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Survival probability is nonnegative

Proved
ActuarialValuation.annualDecrementLaw_survival_nonnegative

by WillR · Oct 8, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

actuarial-sciencemultiple-decrementreserves

The annual decrement law explicitly requires nonnegative survival mass.

Mathematical statement

p≥0p\ge0p≥0
Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_actuarial_isAnnualDecrementLaw
open MeasureTheory
Formal statement
namespace ActuarialValuation

theorem annualDecrementLaw_survival_nonnegative {J : Type*} [Fintype J] (p : ℝ) (q : J → ℝ)
  (h : isAnnualDecrementLaw p q)
  :
  0 ≤ p := by sorry

end ActuarialValuation
Source
Gerber, Life Insurance Mathematics (1997, third edition), Chapter 7 §7.5, equations (7.5.1)-(7.5.5); Dickson, Hardy and Waters (2009), Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks, Chapter 8 §8.8 multiple decrement models, https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511800146.009
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What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · gpt-6

Independent mathematical reading. The assumption is the locally defined annual decrement-law predicate. Its first conjunct directly states that p, the probability of staying in force through the year, is nonnegative. The theorem merely extracts that requirement and does not constrain the sign of any reserve or benefit amount.

Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 9, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by WillR · Oct 9, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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