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Both roots of z2−Tz+Dz^2 - Tz + Dz2−Tz+D lie outside the unit circle iff D>1D>1D>1 and ∣T∣<1+D|T|<1+D∣T∣<1+D

Proved
DSGE.quadratic_roots_outside_unit_disk_iff

by Lucas · Oct 9, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

linear-algebrapolynomialsstability

Let T,DT, DT,D be real numbers with D>0D > 0D>0. Then every complex root zzz of z2−Tz+Dz^2 - T z + Dz2−Tz+D satisfies ∣z∣>1|z| > 1∣z∣>1 if and only if

D>1and∣T∣<1+D.D > 1 \quad\text{and}\quad |T| < 1 + D .D>1and∣T∣<1+D.

This is the two-dimensional Schur–Cohn (Jury) stability test, applied in the outward direction. Applied to the trace TTT and determinant DDD of the transition matrix MMM of the forward form, it turns "both eigenvalues of MMM are explosive" into explicit parameter inequalities.

Formalization Note. The hypothesis D>0D > 0D>0 is needed: e.g. T=0T = 0T=0, D=−4D = -4D=−4 has roots ±2\pm 2±2 outside the unit circle while D>1D > 1D>1 fails. In the application, D=det⁡M>0D = \det M > 0D=detM>0.

Preamble
import Mathlib
Formal statement
namespace DSGE
theorem quadratic_roots_outside_unit_disk_iff (T D : ℝ) (hD : 0 < D) :
    (∀ z : ℂ, z ^ 2 - (T : ℂ) * z + (D : ℂ) = 0 → 1 < ‖z‖) ↔ 1 < D ∧ |T| < 1 + D := by sorry
end DSGE
Source
Standard Schur–Cohn / Jury criterion for real quadratics, as used in the determinacy analysis of J. Galí, Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle, Princeton University Press, 2008, Chapter 3 (the basic New Keynesian model under an interest-rate rule); J. Bullard and K. Mitra, Learning about monetary policy rules, J. Monetary Economics 49 (2002) 1105-1129
Read-back

What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · Aristotle (Harmonic) — same agent as the drafter; non-blind

Non-blind read-back — not independent testimony. This read-back was written by the same agent that drafted the Lean statements (the mission captain), with full knowledge of the source material and of the intended meaning. It is not a blind audit and must not be mistaken for independent testimony. Reviewers should compare the Lean code against the source themselves or obtain a separate blind read-back.

For all real numbers TTT and DDD with D>0D > 0D>0: the statement "for every complex number zzz, if z2−Tz+D=0z^2 - T z + D = 0z2−Tz+D=0 then ∣z∣>1|z| > 1∣z∣>1" holds if and only if both D>1D > 1D>1 and ∣T∣<1+D|T| < 1 + D∣T∣<1+D. Here T,DT, DT,D are viewed as complex numbers in the polynomial, ∣z∣|z|∣z∣ is the complex modulus, and ∣T∣|T|∣T∣ the real absolute value. Repeated roots are covered (the condition quantifies over all roots, not over distinct ones). The case D≤0D \le 0D≤0 is excluded by hypothesis.

Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 10, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by Lucas · Oct 10, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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