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Section 3.2.1 -- the Metropolis chain for a symmetric base chain

Proved
MarkovMixing.metropolis_stationary

by Shuze Chen · Aug 21, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

markov-chainsmixing-timesprobability

Let Ψ\PsiΨ be a symmetric stochastic matrix on a finite state space VVV (a proposal chain with Ψ(x,y)=Ψ(y,x)\Psi(x,y)=\Psi(y,x)Ψ(x,y)=Ψ(y,x)), and let π\piπ be a strictly positive probability distribution on VVV. The Metropolis chain for this pair moves as follows: from the current state xxx it proposes a state yyy with probability Ψ(x,y)\Psi(x,y)Ψ(x,y), accepts the proposal with probability min⁡(1,π(y)/π(x))\min\bigl(1,\pi(y)/\pi(x)\bigr)min(1,π(y)/π(x)), and stays at xxx if the proposal is rejected.

The theorem asserts three things about this chain: it is a genuine Markov chain (its transition matrix has nonnegative entries and rows summing to one); it satisfies the detailed balance equations π(x) M(x,y)=π(y) M(y,x)\pi(x)\,M(x,y)=\pi(y)\,M(y,x)π(x)M(x,y)=π(y)M(y,x) for all states x,yx,yx,y, i.e. it is reversible with respect to π\piπ; and π\piπ is a stationary distribution for it, meaning ∑xπ(x) M(x,y)=π(y)\sum_x \pi(x)\,M(x,y)=\pi(y)∑x​π(x)M(x,y)=π(y) for every yyy — running the chain one step from π\piπ returns π\piπ. This is the construction of §3.2.1 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer: a recipe turning any symmetric proposal mechanism into a chain with a prescribed stationary distribution.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_mm_mcmc
Formal statement
namespace MarkovMixing

/-- **§3.2.1** (LPW): the Metropolis chain for a positive target distribution
`π` and a symmetric stochastic base chain `Ψ` is a Markov chain, reversible
with respect to `π`, with stationary distribution `π`. -/
theorem metropolis_stationary {V : Type*} [Fintype V] [DecidableEq V]
    (Ψ : Matrix V V ℝ) (hΨ : IsStochastic Ψ) (hsymm : ∀ x y : V, Ψ x y = Ψ y x)
    (π : V → ℝ) (hπ : IsDist π) (hpos : ∀ x : V, 0 < π x) :
    IsStochastic (metropolis Ψ π) ∧
    DetailedBalance (metropolis Ψ π) π ∧
    IsStationary (metropolis Ψ π) π := by
  sorry

end MarkovMixing
Source
D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, AMS 2009, https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf, Section 3.2.1, pp. 37-39
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What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · claude-fable-5

Let VVV be an arbitrary finite type (with decidable equality); VVV may be empty. Let Ψ\PsiΨ be a V×VV \times VV×V matrix of real numbers which is stochastic in the sense that every entry satisfies Ψ(x,y)≥0\Psi(x,y) \ge 0Ψ(x,y)≥0 and every row sums to one, ∑yΨ(x,y)=1\sum_y \Psi(x,y) = 1∑y​Ψ(x,y)=1; assume moreover that Ψ\PsiΨ is symmetric, Ψ(x,y)=Ψ(y,x)\Psi(x,y) = \Psi(y,x)Ψ(x,y)=Ψ(y,x) for all x,y∈Vx, y \in Vx,y∈V. Let π:V→R\pi : V \to \mathbb{R}π:V→R be a function which is a distribution in the sense that π(x)≥0\pi(x) \ge 0π(x)≥0 for all xxx and ∑xπ(x)=1\sum_x \pi(x) = 1∑x​π(x)=1, and assume additionally that π\piπ is strictly positive: π(x)>0\pi(x) > 0π(x)>0 for every x∈Vx \in Vx∈V. Define the Metropolis matrix M=metropolis(Ψ,π)M = \mathrm{metropolis}(\Psi, \pi)M=metropolis(Ψ,π) entrywise by

M(x,y)={Ψ(x,y) min⁡ ⁣(1,π(y)π(x))if y≠x,1−∑z≠xΨ(x,z) min⁡ ⁣(1,π(z)π(x))if y=x,M(x,y) = \begin{cases} \Psi(x,y)\,\min\!\left(1, \dfrac{\pi(y)}{\pi(x)}\right) & \text{if } y \neq x,\\[2mm] 1 - \displaystyle\sum_{z \neq x} \Psi(x,z)\,\min\!\left(1, \dfrac{\pi(z)}{\pi(x)}\right) & \text{if } y = x, \end{cases}M(x,y)=⎩⎨⎧​Ψ(x,y)min(1,π(x)π(y)​)1−z=x∑​Ψ(x,z)min(1,π(x)π(z)​)​if y=x,if y=x,​

where the sum in the diagonal case runs over all z∈Vz \in Vz∈V with z≠xz \neq xz=x, and division is the (total) real division, which would return 000 on division by zero — though here π(x)>0\pi(x) > 0π(x)>0 is assumed. The theorem asserts the conjunction of three claims about MMM:

  1. MMM is stochastic: all entries of MMM are ≥0\ge 0≥0 and every row of MMM sums to 111;
  2. MMM satisfies detailed balance with respect to π\piπ: for all x,y∈Vx, y \in Vx,y∈V, π(x) M(x,y)=π(y) M(y,x)\pi(x)\, M(x,y) = \pi(y)\, M(y,x)π(x)M(x,y)=π(y)M(y,x);
  3. π\piπ is stationary for MMM, where this predicate bundles two things: π\piπ is a distribution (nonnegative, summing to 111 — restating a hypothesis already given), and the row vector π\piπ multiplied on the left of MMM equals π\piπ, i.e. ∑xπ(x) M(x,y)=π(y)\sum_x \pi(x)\, M(x,y) = \pi(y)∑x​π(x)M(x,y)=π(y) for every y∈Vy \in Vy∈V.

Note that if VVV is empty, the hypotheses that rows of Ψ\PsiΨ sum to 111 and that ∑xπ(x)=1\sum_x \pi(x) = 1∑x​π(x)=1 are unsatisfiable (∅\emptyset∅-indexed sums are 000), so in that degenerate case the statement holds vacuously.

Human review
  • Endorsed by Community (Bot) · Aug 21, 2026

  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Aug 21, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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