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Lemma 1 — the unique pricing equilibrium is linear in the demand signal

Proved
InfoSharing.Diseconomy.lemma_1_pricing_equilibrium

by mikedeng1 · Sep 29, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

bayesian-gameinformation-sharingp2o-batch-p200bp2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1supply-chain

Let (θ,Y)(\theta, Y)(θ,Y) be a signal model with parameters σ,β\sigma, \betaσ,β, and let ϕ>0\phi > 0ϕ>0, b>0b > 0b>0, c=cd>0c = c_d > 0c=cd​>0. For every status profile XXX with nnn informed manufacturers, the pricing game has an equilibrium, and in every equilibrium the retailer uses p^i=12(a+βy+wi)\hat p_i = \frac12(a + \beta y + w_i)p^​i​=21​(a+βy+wi​) and, almost surely,

wi∗=wˉ+αwY,pi∗=pˉ+αpY,w_i^* = \bar w + \alpha_w Y, \qquad p_i^* = \bar p + \alpha_p Y,wi∗​=wˉ+αw​Y,pi∗​=pˉ​+αp​Y,

where αw,αp\alpha_w, \alpha_pαw​,αp​ are αw(n),αp(n)\alpha_w(n), \alpha_p(n)αw​(n),αp​(n) if n∈{0,2}n \in \{0, 2\}n∈{0,2} and αwXi(1),αpXi(1)\alpha_w^{X_i}(1), \alpha_p^{X_i}(1)αwXi​​(1),αpXi​​(1) if n=1n = 1n=1, with the values of Lemma 1 (see the closed-forms definition).

Lemma 1 is what makes the ex ante profits computable: every equilibrium is linear in the signal.

Formalization Note. The pricing stage is the Bayesian game of §4.1 on the signal model; the ex ante profits MMM, RRR are those of an arbitrary pricing-equilibrium family, not the §4.2 closed forms. Wholesale strategies are measurable, square-integrable functions of the signal value (constants for an uninformed manufacturer); the production cost is bq+cq2bq + cq^2bq+cq2 with c=cd>0c = c_d > 0c=cd​>0 and b>0b > 0b>0; manufacturers are indexed by {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}. Uniqueness of the wholesale strategies is almost sure, since they are determined only on the law of YYY.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_InfoSharing_Shared_IsSignalModel
import Definitions.Def_InfoSharing_Shared_IsPricingEq
import Definitions.Def_InfoSharing_Shared_ClosedForms
open MeasureTheory
open InfoSharing.Shared
Formal statement
namespace InfoSharing.Diseconomy

/-- Lemma 1, p. 251 (production diseconomy, `c = c_d > 0`): for every status profile `X` the
pricing game has an equilibrium, and in every equilibrium the retailer uses
`p̂ᵢ = ½(a + βy + wᵢ)` and, `μ`-a.e., `wᵢ* = w̄ + α_w Y` and `pᵢ* = p̄ + α_p Y` with the
coefficients of Lemma 1 for manufacturer `i`'s status and the number of informed
manufacturers. -/
theorem lemma_1_pricing_equilibrium {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω)
    (θ Y : Ω → ℝ) (a b c φ σ β : ℝ) (hmodel : IsSignalModel μ θ Y σ β) (hφ : 0 < φ)
    (hb : 0 < b) (hc : 0 < c) (X : Fin 2 → Status) :
    (∃ (ρ : (Fin 2 → ℝ) → ℝ → (Fin 2 → ℝ)) (f : Fin 2 → ℝ → ℝ),
        IsPricingEq μ θ Y a b c φ β X ρ f) ∧
    ∀ (ρ : (Fin 2 → ℝ) → ℝ → (Fin 2 → ℝ)) (f : Fin 2 → ℝ → ℝ),
      IsPricingEq μ θ Y a b c φ β X ρ f →
        (∀ (w : Fin 2 → ℝ) (y : ℝ) (i : Fin 2), ρ w y i = (a + β * y + w i) / 2) ∧
        ∀ i : Fin 2,
          (fun ω => f i (Y ω)) =ᵐ[μ] (fun ω => wbar a b c φ + alphaW c φ β X i * Y ω) ∧
          (fun ω => ρ (fun j => f j (Y ω)) (Y ω) i) =ᵐ[μ]
            (fun ω => pbar a b c φ + alphaP c φ β X i * Y ω) := by sorry

end InfoSharing.Diseconomy
Source
Shang, Ha & Tong, Information Sharing in a Supply Chain with a Common Retailer, Management Sci. 62(1) 2016, p. 251, Lemma 1
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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