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At depth zero Expected Shortfall is the worst case

Proved
CoherentRisk.es_zero_eq_worstCase

by viratkota · Sep 6, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

operations-researchprobability

At depth 000 the sets competing for the worst total are exactly the singletons, so the worst total is the single largest loss and Expected Shortfall coincides with the worst-case measure. Since the divisor is the tail size m+1m+1m+1, at m=0m=0m=0 it is 111 and no averaging occurs.

This identification is asserted in the docstring of the ExpectedShortfall definition but is not proved there, so it is recorded here as a theorem. It also connects the two measures: worstCase was separately shown to be coherent, and this exhibits it as the depth-zero member of the Expected Shortfall family.

As throughout CoherentRisk, the development counts states and refers to no probability measure, so mmm is an integer depth rather than a confidence level.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_ExpectedShortfall

open CoherentRisk
Formal statement
namespace CoherentRisk

theorem es_zero_eq_worstCase {n : ℕ} (X : Fin (n+1) → ℝ) :
    ES X (0 : Fin (n+1)) = worstCase X := by
  sorry

end CoherentRisk
Source
C. Acerbi and D. Tasche, On the coherence of expected shortfall, Journal of Banking and Finance 26 (2002) 1487-1503, Section 3

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