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The actual Lévy running supremum exceeds a level exactly when the path has crossed it by that time

Proved
AvramDividend.Classical.runningSup_gt_level_iff_prior_strict_path_hit

by WillR · Oct 27, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

ascending-ladderavram-classicalexcursionfirst-passagerunning-supremum

For the canonical spectrally negative Lévy process, the actual running supremum S_t is strictly greater than b if and only if the underlying path X crosses b by some time s≤t. The proof uses the accepted raw indexed supremum representation and bound on every path value, then Mathlib lt_ciSup_iff. This directly identifies inverse local-time record level crossing events with actual original first-upcrossing clocks, towards future excursion decomposition and Poisson characteristic measure. It does not assert the excursion PPP or killed Markov law.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_AvramDividend_Classical_Reflection
import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_runningSup_eq_rawSup_nonneg
import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_runningSup_monotone_and_path_le
import Mathlib.Order.ConditionallyCompleteLattice.Indexed

open AvramDividend.Classical MeasureTheory Set
open scoped NNReal
Formal statement
theorem AvramDividend.Classical.runningSup_gt_level_iff_prior_strict_path_hit
    {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω}
    {𝓕 : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ}
    (X : SpectrallyNegativeLevy P 𝓕) (ω : Ω)
    (t : ℝ≥0) (b : ℝ) :
    b < runningSup X t ω ↔
      ∃ s : ℝ≥0, s ≤ t ∧ b < X.X s ω := by sorry
Source
Accepted runningSup_eq_rawSup_nonneg, runningSup_monotone_and_path_le and pinned Mathlib lt_ciSup_iff.

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