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Proposition 1, p. 10 — the impulse selects the introspective equilibrium under In/Out demand

Proved
NetExtDominance.Introspective.proposition_1

by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

equilibrium-selectionfixed-pointsmonotone-dynamicsnetwork-externalitiesp2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1

Suppose a market's inverse demand curve is In/Out, with thresholds pmin⁡=P(QL)p_{\min}=P(Q_L)pmin​=P(QL​) and pmax⁡=P(QH)p_{\max}=P(Q_H)pmax​=P(QH​). Start the level-kkk recursion Ik=D(p,⋅)∘k(I0)I_k=D(p,\cdot)^{\circ k}(I_0)Ik​=D(p,⋅)∘k(I0​) from an impulse I0∈[0,1]I_0\in[0,1]I0​∈[0,1].

For pmin⁡≤p≤pmax⁡p_{\min}\le p\le p_{\max}pmin​≤p≤pmax​, the out, middle, and in branch equilibria all exist, and the introspective equilibrium selected by the impulse is

Q1∗(p)={Qin(p),I0>Qmid(p),Qmid(p),I0=Qmid(p),Qout(p),I0<Qmid(p).Q_1^*(p)= \begin{cases} Q^{\mathrm{in}}(p),& I_0>Q^{\mathrm{mid}}(p),\\ Q^{\mathrm{mid}}(p),& I_0=Q^{\mathrm{mid}}(p),\\ Q^{\mathrm{out}}(p),& I_0<Q^{\mathrm{mid}}(p). \end{cases}Q1∗​(p)=⎩⎨⎧​Qin(p),Qmid(p),Qout(p),​I0​>Qmid(p),I0​=Qmid(p),I0​<Qmid(p).​

For p>pmax⁡p>p_{\max}p>pmax​ or p<pmin⁡p<p_{\min}p<pmin​ there is exactly one feasible equilibrium quantity qqq satisfying D(p,q)=qD(p,q)=qD(p,q)=q, and the level-kkk sequence converges to qqq for every allowed impulse.

This is the paper's selection rule for continuation-game equilibrium quantities.

Formalization Note At a threshold price two branch quantities coincide. The existence clause prevents empty branch predicates from making the selection rule vacuous. Outside the threshold interval the equilibrium is defined by D(p,q)=qD(p,q)=qD(p,q)=q, so the statement covers saturated equilibria where P(q)=pP(q)=pP(q)=p has no solution. The market's strict demand signs at inverse-demand points disclose the reading of “decreasing” used in footnote 12; weak monotonicity in quantity replaces the paper's stronger phrase, which fails in its saturated consumer model.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_NetExtDominance_Introspective_Setting
Formal statement
namespace NetExtDominance.Introspective

/-- Proposition 1: the impulse selects one of the three introspective
equilibria between the threshold prices, and the unique equilibrium outside. -/
theorem proposition_1
    (M : Market) (QL QH : ℝ) (hIO : IsInOut M.P QL QH)
    (I0 : ℝ) (hI0 : I0 ∈ Set.Icc (0 : ℝ) 1) (p : ℝ) :
    ((pmin M.P QL ≤ p → p ≤ pmax M.P QH →
      (∃ qo qm qi,
        IsQout M.P QL p qo ∧
        IsQmid M.P QL QH p qm ∧
        IsQin M.P QH p qi) ∧
      ∀ qo qm qi,
        IsQout M.P QL p qo →
        IsQmid M.P QL QH p qm →
        IsQin M.P QH p qi →
        (qm < I0 → IsIntrospectiveEq M p I0 qi) ∧
        (I0 = qm → IsIntrospectiveEq M p I0 qm) ∧
        (I0 < qm → IsIntrospectiveEq M p I0 qo)) ∧
      ((pmax M.P QH < p ∨ p < pmin M.P QL) →
        ∃ q, IsEquilibriumQty M p q ∧
          (∀ q', IsEquilibriumQty M p q' → q' = q) ∧
          IsIntrospectiveEq M p I0 q)) := by sorry

end NetExtDominance.Introspective
Source
Akerlof, Holden & Rayo, Network Externalities and Market Dominance, author's accepted manuscript (WRAP 178238, dated September 16, 2022), p. 10, Proposition 1; http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/178238
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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