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THEOREM 1 (Groves 1973): WIIW^{II}WII is an optimal incentive structure in the class J\mathscr{J}J

Proved
IncentivesInTeams.Conglomerate.own_profit_optimal

by mikedeng1 · Sep 26, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

incentive-structuresmechanism-designp2o-batch-p100ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1team-theory

Consider a conglomerate organization (Conditions S.1–S.5) with finitely many subunits, finite component state spaces carrying probability weights, independent components (product law), arbitrary strategy sets B0B_0B0​, BiB_iBi​, and payoff components v0v_0v0​, viv_ivi​. Let β∗\beta^*β∗ be a joint strategy satisfying Assumption A, and let AiA_iAi​ be arbitrary constants. Let WIIW^{II}WII be the incentive structure (3.5),

ωiII(β,s)=vi[δi(yi(s)),δ0(y0(s));si]+CiII(y0(s)),\omega_i^{II}(\beta, s) = v_i[\delta_i(y_i(s)), \delta_0(y_0(s)); s_i] + C_i^{II}(y_0(s)),ωiII​(β,s)=vi​[δi​(yi​(s)),δ0​(y0​(s));si​]+CiII​(y0​(s)),

with CiIIC_i^{II}CiII​ the head's conditional expectation, under β∗\beta^*β∗ and given his information y0y_0y0​, of all payoff components other than subunit iii's, minus AiA_iAi​ (3.3). Then WIIW^{II}WII belongs to the class J\mathscr{J}J of (3.2), and it is optimal: for every subunit iii and every βi∈Bi\beta_i \in B_iβi​∈Bi​,

ωˉiII(β∗/βi)≤ωˉiII(β∗),\bar\omega_i^{II}(\beta^*/\beta_i) \le \bar\omega_i^{II}(\beta^*),ωˉiII​(β∗/βi​)≤ωˉiII​(β∗),

with strict inequality whenever βi\beta_iβi​ is not equivalent to βi∗\beta_i^*βi∗​.

In words: rewarding each subunit with its own profit plus the head's expectation of everybody else's profit makes truthful reporting and the team-optimal decision rule the unique best reply of each subunit manager, using only information the head already has.

Formalization Note. Finite component state spaces, the one-exchange message protocol of §4.A, fixed message and observation codomains, and the factorized form of the conditional expectation in (3.3) are the conventions of the model file. The factorized form agrees with the literal (3.3) wherever the latter is defined; the literal quotient, which is 000 on null conditioning events, would make the theorem false as soon as a subunit can send a message γi∗\gamma_i^*γi∗​ never sends. Equivalence of strategies is the paper's footnote 5, over all β∈B\beta \in Bβ∈B.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_IncentivesInTeams_Conglomerate_Model
Formal statement
namespace IncentivesInTeams.Conglomerate

theorem own_profit_optimal {ι : Type*} [Fintype ι] [DecidableEq ι] {S₀ : Type*} [Fintype S₀] {S : ι → Type*}
    [∀ i, Fintype (S i)] {Z₀ : Type*} {Z M₀ M : ι → Type*} {D₀ : Type*} {D : ι → Type*}
    (T : Model S₀ S Z₀ Z M₀ M D₀ D) (hT : T.WeightsOK)
    (βs : JointStrategy S₀ S Z₀ Z M₀ M D₀ D) (hA : T.AssumptionA βs) (A : ι → ℝ) :
    T.InClassJ (T.WII βs A) ∧ T.IsOptimal (T.WII βs A) βs := by sorry

end IncentivesInTeams.Conglomerate
Source
Groves, Incentives in Teams, Econometrica 41(4), 1973, p. 625, §3.B, THEOREM 1 (proof: Appendix, pp. 629–630)
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What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · claude-opus-5-5

The theorem concerns a model TTT built on a family of type parameters. It also involves a joint strategy β\betaβ and a vector of real numbers A=(Ai)i∈ιA = (A_i)_{i \in \iota}A=(Ai​)i∈ι​. The notions it uses are "model", "joint strategy", "weights OK", "Assumption A", "WII", "class JJJ" and "optimal". They all come from the imported bundle Definitions.Def_IncentivesInTeams_Conglomerate_Model in the namespace IncentivesInTeams.Conglomerate. That file is not included in the code given to this auditor, so none of them can be unfolded here. Each is treated below as an opaque predicate or construction, and its content is left undetermined.

Parameters and their assumptions.

  • ι\iotaι is an index type. It is assumed to be finite and to have decidable equality, and nothing else.
  • S0S_0S0​ is a finite type.
  • S=(Si)i∈ιS = (S_i)_{i\in\iota}S=(Si​)i∈ι​ is a family of types, each SiS_iSi​ finite.
  • Z0Z_0Z0​ is a type and D0D_0D0​ is a type. No finiteness or other structure is assumed for either.
  • Z=(Zi)i∈ιZ = (Z_i)_{i\in\iota}Z=(Zi​)i∈ι​, M0=(M0,i)i∈ιM_0 = (M_{0,i})_{i\in\iota}M0​=(M0,i​)i∈ι​, M=(Mi)i∈ιM = (M_i)_{i\in\iota}M=(Mi​)i∈ι​ and D=(Di)i∈ιD = (D_i)_{i\in\iota}D=(Di​)i∈ι​ are families of types indexed by ι\iotaι. No finiteness or other structure is assumed for them.
    • Note that the code declares M0M_0M0​ as a family indexed by ι\iotaι, like ZZZ, MMM and DDD. It is not a single type like S0S_0S0​, Z0Z_0Z0​ and D0D_0D0​.
  • TTT is a model over these parameters. The code writes this as Model S0 S Z0 Z M0 M D0 DS_0\, S\, Z_0\, Z\, M_0\, M\, D_0\, DS0​SZ0​ZM0​MD0​D.
  • hTh_ThT​ is a hypothesis that TTT satisfies the bundle's predicate "weights OK".
  • β\betaβ is a joint strategy over the same eight parameters.
  • hAh_AhA​ is a hypothesis that TTT and β\betaβ together satisfy the bundle's predicate "Assumption A".
  • A=(Ai)i∈ιA = (A_i)_{i\in\iota}A=(Ai​)i∈ι​ is an arbitrary vector of real numbers, one per index. It has no sign, bound or normalisation constraint.

Conclusion. Write WTII(β,A)W^{II}_T(\beta, A)WTII​(β,A) for the object the bundle's construction "WII" produces from TTT, β\betaβ and AAA. The theorem asserts the conjunction of two claims:

WTII(β,A)∈JTandWTII(β,A) is optimal for β in T.W^{II}_T(\beta, A) \in J_T \qquad\text{and}\qquad W^{II}_T(\beta, A) \text{ is optimal for } \beta \text{ in } T.WTII​(β,A)∈JT​andWTII​(β,A) is optimal for β in T.
  • The first claim says that WTII(β,A)W^{II}_T(\beta, A)WTII​(β,A) satisfies TTT's predicate "in class JJJ".
  • The second says that WTII(β,A)W^{II}_T(\beta, A)WTII​(β,A) and β\betaβ together satisfy TTT's predicate "is optimal".

Both claims are stated for every real vector AAA, and in the same form for every AAA. The only other inputs are TTT and β\betaβ, and the only hypotheses are hTh_ThT​ and hAh_AhA​; neither hypothesis mentions AAA. What "optimal" means, and over which alternatives it is measured, cannot be read off this code.

Degenerate cases. Nothing in the statement rules out the following:

  • ι\iotaι empty. Then every family is empty, and AAA is the unique empty real vector.
  • ι\iotaι with one element.
  • S0S_0S0​ empty, or some SiS_iSi​ empty.
  • Z0Z_0Z0​, D0D_0D0​ or any ZiZ_iZi​, M0,iM_{0,i}M0,i​, MiM_iMi​, DiD_iDi​ empty or infinite.
  • AAA equal to the zero vector, or with negative or arbitrarily large entries.

The statement itself contains no division, natural-number subtraction, integral, supremum or extended-real arithmetic. Any such operation, and any default value it returns, would sit inside the unseen definitions. So would the answers to three further questions, which cannot be settled from the code provided:

  • whether "weights OK" or "Assumption A" can be satisfied at all, and so whether the theorem could hold vacuously;
  • whether these hypotheses hold automatically, or fail, when ι\iotaι or S0S_0S0​ is empty;
  • what "WII", "class JJJ" and "optimal" reduce to in those cases.
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Sep 27, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Sep 27, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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