Theorem 1 (average) — the -average of star-shaped risk measures is a star-shaped risk measure
ProvedStarShapedRisk.Representation.theorem1_averageLet be a collection of star-shaped risk measures on a space of bounded positions containing the constants, and let be a probability measure on the set of all subsets of . Then the average
is a star-shaped risk measure. In particular, every convex combination of finitely many star-shaped risk measures is one.
Averaging risk assessments across models or experts therefore preserves star-shapedness.
Formalization Note The σ-algebra on is the power set (hypothesis ‹MeasurableSpace I› = ⊤) and is a countably additive probability measure; the integral is Lean's Bochner integral. Every map is then measurable and bounded (by ), hence integrable, so the integral is never the junk value of a non-integrable function.
import Mathlib import Definitions.Def_StarShapedRisk_Representation_RiskMeasure import Definitions.Def_StarShapedRisk_Representation_Aggregation
namespace StarShapedRisk.Representation
theorem theorem1_average {Ω : Type*} (𝒳 : PositionSpace Ω) {I : Type*} [MeasurableSpace I]
(hI : ‹MeasurableSpace I› = ⊤) (μ : MeasureTheory.Measure I)
[MeasureTheory.IsProbabilityMeasure μ]
(ρ : I → 𝒳.carrier → ℝ) (hρ : ∀ i, IsStarShapedRiskMeasure 𝒳 (ρ i)) :
IsStarShapedRiskMeasure 𝒳 (riskAverage 𝒳 μ ρ) := by sorry
end StarShapedRisk.Representation
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).
Confirmed by the moderator at approval.