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Theorem 1 (average) — the μ\muμ-average of star-shaped risk measures is a star-shaped risk measure

Proved
StarShapedRisk.Representation.theorem1_average

by mikedeng1 · Sep 27, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

aggregationp2o-batch-p200bp2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1risk-measuresstar-shaped-risk-measures

Let {ρi}i∈I\{\rho_i\}_{i\in I}{ρi​}i∈I​ be a collection of star-shaped risk measures on a space X\mathcal XX of bounded positions containing the constants, and let μ\muμ be a probability measure on the set of all subsets of III. Then the average

ρμ(X)=∫Iρi(X) dμ(i),X∈X,\rho_\mu(X)=\int_I\rho_i(X)\,d\mu(i),\qquad X\in\mathcal X,ρμ​(X)=∫I​ρi​(X)dμ(i),X∈X,

is a star-shaped risk measure. In particular, every convex combination ∑iciρi\sum_i c_i\rho_i∑i​ci​ρi​ of finitely many star-shaped risk measures is one.

Averaging risk assessments across models or experts therefore preserves star-shapedness.

Formalization Note The σ-algebra on III is the power set (hypothesis ‹MeasurableSpace I› = ⊤) and μ\muμ is a countably additive probability measure; the integral is Lean's Bochner integral. Every map i↦ρi(X)i\mapsto\rho_i(X)i↦ρi​(X) is then measurable and bounded (by sup⁡ω∣X(ω)∣\sup_\omega|X(\omega)|supω​∣X(ω)∣), hence integrable, so the integral is never the junk value of a non-integrable function.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_StarShapedRisk_Representation_RiskMeasure
import Definitions.Def_StarShapedRisk_Representation_Aggregation
Formal statement
namespace StarShapedRisk.Representation
theorem theorem1_average {Ω : Type*} (𝒳 : PositionSpace Ω) {I : Type*} [MeasurableSpace I]
    (hI : ‹MeasurableSpace I› = ⊤) (μ : MeasureTheory.Measure I)
    [MeasureTheory.IsProbabilityMeasure μ]
    (ρ : I → 𝒳.carrier → ℝ) (hρ : ∀ i, IsStarShapedRiskMeasure 𝒳 (ρ i)) :
    IsStarShapedRiskMeasure 𝒳 (riskAverage 𝒳 μ ρ) := by sorry
end StarShapedRisk.Representation
Source
Castagnoli, Cattelan, Maccheroni, Tebaldi, Wang, Star-Shaped Risk Measures, Operations Research 70(5) (2022), p. 2643, Theorem 1 (average, Eq. (8))
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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