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No-arbitrage quotation is FD-01 state-price valuation

Proved
FinancialDerivatives.FD02.claim_noArbitrage_iff_FD01_price

by WillR · Oct 27, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

arbitrageformal-verificationoption-pricing

Strong no-arbitrage constructs the actual FD-01 state-price system with prescribed positive Arrow prices. A derivative extension is arbitrage-free exactly when its quotation equals the system's valuation.

This is an original derived proof obligation in the private FD-02 authoring graph.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Data.Real.Basic
import Mathlib.Data.Fintype.BigOperators
import Definitions.Def_fd01_FinitePriceSystem
import Definitions.Def_fd01_price
import Definitions.Def_fd02_TwoStateMarket
import Definitions.Def_fd02_riskNeutralUp
import Definitions.Def_fd02_riskNeutralValue
import Definitions.Def_fd02_toFD01PriceSystem
import Definitions.Def_fd02_Trade
import Definitions.Def_fd02_NoArbitrage
import Definitions.Def_fd02_ClaimNoArbitrage
Formal statement
namespace FinancialDerivatives.FD02

/-- No-arbitrage quotation is FD-01 state-price valuation. -/
theorem claim_noArbitrage_iff_FD01_price (m : TwoStateMarket) (hNA : NoArbitrage m) (H : Bool → ℝ) :
  ∃ sys : FinancialDerivatives.FD01.FinitePriceSystem Bool, sys.statePrice true = riskNeutralUp m / m.growth ∧ sys.statePrice false = (1 - riskNeutralUp m) / m.growth ∧ (∀ p : ℝ, ClaimNoArbitrage m H p ↔ p = sys.price H) := by sorry

end FinancialDerivatives.FD02
Source
Wilmott, Howison and Dewynne (1995), §§3.2,10.1–10.3, pp. 33–34 and 180–187; original finite-market formalisation. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511812545.
Read-back

What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · GPT-6

For any market with real spot S>0S>0S>0, bank growth R>0R>0R>0, and stock factors 0≤D<U0\le D<U0≤D<U, assume the base-market no-arbitrage property that every signed real pair (x,c)(x,c)(x,c) with xS+c=0xS+c=0xS+c=0, xSU+cR≥0xSU+cR\ge0xSU+cR≥0, and xSD+cR≥0xSD+cR\ge0xSD+cR≥0 has xSU+cR=0xSU+cR=0xSU+cR=0 and xSD+cR=0xSD+cR=0xSD+cR=0, and take any real claim HHH with true and false payoffs H+,H−H_+,H_-H+​,H−​ and q=(R−D)/(U−D)q=(R-D)/(U-D)q=(R−D)/(U−D). There exists a finite two-state price system with nonnegative state prices, strictly positive discount factor equal to their sum, true-state price exactly q/Rq/Rq/R, and false-state price exactly (1−q)/R(1-q)/R(1−q)/R (so the discount factor is 1/R1/R1/R). In this system the price of HHH is the state-price sum (q/R)H++((1−q)/R)H−(q/R)H_++((1-q)/R)H_-(q/R)H+​+((1−q)/R)H−​. For every real quotation ppp, the combined-market condition that for every signed real stock holding xxx, cash holding ccc, and claim quantity aaa, the conditions xS+c+ap=0xS+c+ap=0xS+c+ap=0, xSU+cR+aH+≥0xSU+cR+aH_+\ge0xSU+cR+aH+​≥0, and xSD+cR+aH−≥0xSD+cR+aH_-\ge0xSD+cR+aH−​≥0 imply xSU+cR+aH+=0xSU+cR+aH_+=0xSU+cR+aH+​=0 and xSD+cR+aH−=0xSD+cR+aH_-=0xSD+cR+aH−​=0 holds if and only if ppp equals that state-price sum.

Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 27, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by WillR · Oct 27, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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