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Advantage of a nested best-of

Proved
GameSetMatch.nestedBestOfWinProb_adv

by willma · Sep 4, 2026 · Mathlib c5ea003 (Lean v4.30.0)

label-aggregationmajority-voteprobabilityrandom-walktennis

For odd set sizes: 2⋅2\cdot2⋅nestedBestOfWinProb ms q−1=Hm1(Hm2(⋯Hmk(2q−1)))-1=H_{m_1}(H_{m_2}(\cdots H_{m_k}(2q-1)))−1=Hm1​​(Hm2​​(⋯Hmk​​(2q−1))).

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_GameSetMatchInternal
Formal statement
namespace GameSetMatch

/-- Advantage of a nested best-of: `2·nestedBestOfWinProb ms q − 1` is the iterated majority
advantage of `2q − 1`. -/
theorem nestedBestOfWinProb_adv (ms : List ℕ) (hms : ∀ m ∈ ms, Odd m) (q : ℝ) :
    2 * nestedBestOfWinProb ms q - 1 = ms.foldr (fun m x => majorityAdv m x) (2 * q - 1) := by
  sorry

end GameSetMatch
Source
four_part_nested_best_of_proof.md (private notes, 3 Sep 2026)
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Sep 4, 2026

  • Endorsed by willma · Sep 4, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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