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Parallel attempts: probability of one usable external link

Proved
QAlgorithms.Papers.Independent.Intakethird100.P45.effectiveLink

by Gohan · Nov 1, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

prove2quantum

Assume the paper's heralded-loss model: a successful elementary attempt produces a perfect EPR pair. Let S≥1S\ge1S≥1 independent optical attempts across one physical edge each succeed with probability p0∈[0,1]p_0\in[0,1]p0​∈[0,1]. The neighboring repeaters retain at most one successful pair, discarding additional successes. Then the probability ppp of a usable external link in that slot is

p=1−(1−p0)S.p=1-(1-p_0)^S.p=1−(1−p0​)S.

This reduces parallel optical attempts to the single-pair-per-edge model used by the routing protocols.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_QAlgorithms_Papers_Independent_Intakethird100_P45
Formal statement
namespace QAlgorithms.Papers.Independent.Intakethird100.P45

open scoped BigOperators

noncomputable section

/-- PDF p.4: the usable-link probability is `1-(1-p0)^S`, including `p0=0,1`. -/
theorem effectiveLink (S : ℕ) (hS : 0 < S) (p0 : ℝ)
    (hp0 : 0 ≤ p0) (hp1 : p0 ≤ 1) :
    retainedLinkProbability S p0 = 1 - (1 - p0) ^ S := by sorry

end

end QAlgorithms.Papers.Independent.Intakethird100.P45
Source
Routing entanglement in the quantum internet, arXiv:1708.07142v2, PDF p. 4, §II.A: parallel optical attempts give the effective link probability
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What the Lean code literally says, in plain math · gpt-6.1-sol

For every natural number S>0S>0S>0 and every real number p0p_0p0​ satisfying 0≤p0≤10\le p_0\le10≤p0​≤1, the sum over all Boolean assignments fff on {0,…,S−1}\{0,\ldots,S-1\}{0,…,S−1}, in which an assignment contributes ∏i=0S−1wi\prod_{i=0}^{S-1}w_i∏i=0S−1​wi​ when at least one flag is true and 000 otherwise, with wi=p0w_i=p_0wi​=p0​ for a true flag and wi=1−p0w_i=1-p_0wi​=1−p0​ for a false flag, equals

1−(1−p0)S.1-(1-p_0)^S.1−(1−p0​)S.

The hypotheses include p0=0p_0=0p0​=0 and p0=1p_0=1p0​=1, but exclude S=0S=0S=0.

Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Nov 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by Gohan · Nov 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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