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Proof of Corollary 1, Online Appendix p. 4 — subsidy increments

Proved
AgriSubsidy.Combined.cor1_proof_increments

by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

comparative-staticscournot-equilibriump2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1subsidy

Fix a market and a subsidy increase δ>0\delta>0δ>0. Suppose the equilibria at (sP,sH)(s_P,s_H)(sP​,sH​), (sP+δ,sH)(s_P+\delta,s_H)(sP​+δ,sH​), (sP,sH+δ)(s_P,s_H+\delta)(sP​,sH​+δ), and (sP,sH+δ/2)(s_P,s_H+\delta/2)(sP​,sH​+δ/2) have every farmer active. The farmer-level changes obey

ΔsPqj=δβ(zj−NN+1zˉ),ΔsHqj=δβ(N+1),ΔsHπj=2δN+1qj(sP,sH+δ/2).\Delta_{s_P}q_j=\frac\delta\beta\left(z_j-\frac{N}{N+1}\bar z\right),\qquad \Delta_{s_H}q_j=\frac\delta{\beta(N+1)},\qquad \Delta_{s_H}\pi_j=\frac{2\delta}{N+1}q_j(s_P,s_H+\delta/2).ΔsP​​qj​=βδ​(zj​−N+1N​zˉ),ΔsH​​qj​=β(N+1)δ​,ΔsH​​πj​=N+12δ​qj​(sP​,sH​+δ/2).

These identities describe the output and profit changes used in Proposition 4, with each change computed from the relevant equilibria.

Formalization Note All four equilibria are explicit best-response profiles, not formula-defined vectors. Activity at the planting-shifted subsidy is an added condition needed to retain the same active set. Activity at the harvesting-shifted and midpoint subsidies is stated explicitly; the paper's model implies it from baseline activity, but no uniqueness theorem is assumed here.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_AgriSubsidy_Combined_Setting
Formal statement
namespace AgriSubsidy.Combined

theorem cor1_proof_increments {N : ℕ} (P : Params) (z : Fin N → ℝ)
    (h : Standing P z) (sP sH δ : ℝ) (hδ : 0 < δ)
    (q qP qH qMid : Fin N → ℝ)
    (eq : IsEquilibrium P z (combined z sP sH) q)
    (eqP : IsEquilibrium P z (combined z (sP + δ) sH) qP)
    (eqH : IsEquilibrium P z (combined z sP (sH + δ)) qH)
    (eqMid : IsEquilibrium P z (combined z sP (sH + δ / 2)) qMid)
    (hpos : ∀ j, 0 < q j ∧ 0 < qP j ∧ 0 < qH j ∧ 0 < qMid j) :
    (∀ j, qP j - q j = (δ / P.β) *
      (z j - ((N : ℝ) / ((N : ℝ) + 1)) * zbar z)) ∧
    (∀ j, qH j - q j = δ / (P.β * ((N : ℝ) + 1))) ∧
    (∀ j, profit P z (combined z sP (sH + δ)) qH j -
      profit P z (combined z sP sH) q j =
      (2 * δ / ((N : ℝ) + 1)) * qMid j) := by sorry

end AgriSubsidy.Combined
Source
Fan, Feng, Li, Shanthikumar, Wu, Output-Oriented Agricultural Subsidy Design, SSRN 4378693 (version of 2023-03-18), Online Appendix p. 4, Proof of Corollary 1, first and final displayed equations
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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