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Finite default risk premiums and risk-neutral debt pricing: crCreditLossPV_zero

Proved
ActuarialValuation.crCreditLossPV_zero

by WillR · Oct 10, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

actuarial-credit-default-migrationactuarial-scienceformal-verification

No bond default value discount implies zero credit loss. This original derived actuarial relation uses the parameter restrictions, endpoints and units stated in the separate formal theorem or definition.

Mathematical relation:

B0=e−rTEQ[min⁡(VT,D)]B_0=e^{-rT}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}[\min(V_T,D)]B0​=e−rTEQ[min(VT​,D)]
Preamble
import Mathlib.Data.Real.Basic
import Mathlib.Algebra.Order.Group.MinMax
import Mathlib.Algebra.BigOperators.Group.Finset.Basic
import Mathlib.Data.Fintype.Basic
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Log.Deriv
import Definitions.Def_actuarial_crRiskfreeBond
import Definitions.Def_actuarial_crCreditLossPV
Formal statement
namespace ActuarialValuation

theorem crCreditLossPV_zero (face discount : ℝ) : crCreditLossPV face discount (crRiskfreeBond face discount)=0 := by sorry

end ActuarialValuation
Source
Original derived actuarial mathematics, published source page 451. Robert C. Merton (1974), On the Pricing of Corporate Debt, Journal of Finance 29(2), 449–470, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1974.tb03058.x; Jarrow, Lando and Turnbull (1997), Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/10.2.481. Parent topic: Merton-style terminal firm assets, debt/equity limited liability, credit spread and absorbing finite-state rating transition and default-recovery bond cashflows. The particular Lean formula is a new finite/real-algebraic formalisation and remains an unproved theorem target if labelled theorem. Relevant published actuarial derivation: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1974.tb03058.x
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 11, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by WillR · Oct 11, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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