Diversification gains and pairwise correlation bounds: scrCorrelationGap_nonneg
ProvedActuarialValuation.scrCorrelationGap_nonnegactuarial-scienceformal-verificationsolvency-correlation-capital
At most perfect positive correlation implies a nonnegative diversification gap. The full Lean declaration specifies the finite boundaries, exact units and any positivity, independence or regularity assumptions. This is an original derived Actuarial mathematical statement, not a claim of a numbered previously published theorem.
Mathematical relation:
Preamble
import Mathlib.Data.Real.Basic import Mathlib.Algebra.BigOperators.Group.Finset.Basic import Definitions.Def_actuarial_scrCorrelationGap
Formal statement
namespace ActuarialValuation theorem scrCorrelationGap_nonneg (rho : ℝ) (hr : rho ≤ 1) : 0 ≤ scrCorrelationGap rho := by sorry end ActuarialValuation
Source
Original derived actuarial mathematics, published source page 3. European Union (2009), Solvency II Directive 2009/138/EC, Article 104 and Annex IV, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32009L0138; Bank of England Prudential Regulation Authority (2024), Standard Formula Annexes, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/prudential-regulation/policy-statement/2024/november/ps1524app7.pdf. Parent topic: Correlation-based insurance capital aggregation, systematic cross terms, quadratic risk charges and diversification benefits. The particular Lean formula is a new finite/real-algebraic formalisation and remains an unproved theorem target if labelled theorem. Relevant published actuarial derivation: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/prudential-regulation/policy-statement/2024/november/ps1524app7.pdf
Human review
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).
Confirmed by the moderator at approval.