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Proposition 7(a), p. 21 — Cournot: (S,S) unique below k_N, (S,S) and (N,N) with (S,S) Pareto-better between, (N,N) unique above k_S

Proved
CompetingChains.Cournot.proposition_7a

by mikedeng1 · Oct 8, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

cournot-competitioninformation-sharingnash-equilibriump2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1supply-chain

Fix the competition intensity 0<γC<10<\gamma_C<10<γC​<1, the signal accuracy t>0t>0t>0 and the prior variance σ2>0\sigma^2>0σ2>0. There exist thresholds kCN<kCSk^N_C<k^S_CkCN​<kCS​ with

12<kCN<kCS<3+54\tfrac12<k^N_C<k^S_C<\tfrac{3+\sqrt5}{4}21​<kCN​<kCS​<43+5​​

such that, for all a,c,ka,c,ka,c,k satisfying the standing assumptions 0<c<a0<c<a0<c<a, k>a/(4c)k>a/(4c)k>a/(4c), k>1/3k>1/3k>1/3, the set E\mathcal EE of pure-strategy equilibria of the stage-one information-sharing game between the two manufacturers (Table 1) is:

  1. if k<kCNk<k^N_Ck<kCN​: E={(S,S)}\mathcal E=\{(S,S)\}E={(S,S)};
  2. if kCN<k<kCSk^N_C<k<k^S_CkCN​<k<kCS​: E={(S,S),(N,N)}\mathcal E=\{(S,S),(N,N)\}E={(S,S),(N,N)}, and each manufacturer's payoff at (S,S)(S,S)(S,S) is strictly larger than at (N,N)(N,N)(N,N);
  3. if k>kCSk>k^S_Ck>kCS​: E={(N,N)}\mathcal E=\{(N,N)\}E={(N,N)}.

Here manufacturer iii chooses whether chain iii shares (SSS) or not (NNN), pays the retailer the side payment m^\hat mm^ needed to induce sharing, and earns ΠMi,CSXj−m^Xj\Pi^{SX_j}_{M_i,C}-\hat m^{X_j}ΠMi​,CSXj​​−m^Xj​ if it shares and ΠMi,CNXj\Pi^{NX_j}_{M_i,C}ΠMi​,CNXj​​ otherwise.

This is the main result of the Cournot half of the paper: information sharing is the unique outcome when cost reduction is efficient, a coordination problem with a Pareto-better sharing equilibrium at intermediate efficiency, and absent when cost reduction is inefficient.

Formalization Note The thresholds depend only on (γC,t,σ2)(\gamma_C,t,\sigma^2)(γC​,t,σ2) and are chosen before a,c,ka,c,ka,c,k; their bounds are those of Proposition 6(a)(2), and they make all three cases nonempty. The page's "otherwise" is stated as k>kCSk>k^S_Ck>kCS​: at k=kCNk=k^N_Ck=kCN​ and k=kCSk=k^S_Ck=kCS​ both (S,S)(S,S)(S,S) and (N,N)(N,N)(N,N) are equilibria, so the boundary points are left out. Only pure-strategy equilibria are counted, as in the paper (the middle region also has a mixed equilibrium). "Pareto optimal" is the strict inequality of the payoffs at (S,S)(S,S)(S,S) over (N,N)(N,N)(N,N), stated for manufacturer 1; by symmetry it is the same for manufacturer 2. The hypothesis γC>0\gamma_C>0γC​>0 is added (at γC=0\gamma_C=0γC​=0 the middle region is empty).

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_CompetingChains_Cournot_Setting
Formal statement
namespace CompetingChains.Cournot

theorem proposition_7a (γ t σsq : ℝ) (hγ0 : 0 < γ) (hγ1 : γ < 1) (ht : 0 < t) (hσ : 0 < σsq) :
    ∃ kN kS : ℝ, 1 / 2 < kN ∧ kN < kS ∧ kS < (3 + Real.sqrt 5) / 4 ∧
      ∀ a c k : ℝ, Standing a c k γ t σsq →
        (k < kN → equilibria a c k γ t σsq = {(.S, .S)}) ∧
        (kN < k → k < kS →
          equilibria a c k γ t σsq = {(.S, .S), (.N, .N)} ∧
            payoff a c k γ t σsq .N .N < payoff a c k γ t σsq .S .S) ∧
        (kS < k → equilibria a c k γ t σsq = {(.N, .N)}) := by sorry

end CompetingChains.Cournot
Source
Ha, Tian & Tong, Information Sharing in Competing Supply Chains with Production Cost Reduction (MSOM 2017, pre-published version), p. 21, Proposition 7(a); proof p. 31
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 9, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 9, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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