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Biased walk cutoff at β−1n\beta^{-1}nβ−1n with window n\sqrt nn​

Proved
MarkovMixing.biased_walk_cutoff

by Shuze Chen · Aug 22, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

markov-chainsmixing-timesprobability

The lazy biased random walk on the segment {0,1,…,n}\{0,1,\dots,n\}{0,1,…,n} with up-probability p>12p>\tfrac12p>21​ moves as follows: from an interior state, hold with probability 12\tfrac1221​, step up with probability p/2p/2p/2, step down with probability (1−p)/2(1-p)/2(1−p)/2; at each endpoint, hold with probability 12\tfrac1221​ and step inward with probability 12\tfrac1221​. Write β=p−12\beta=p-\tfrac12β=p−21​ for the bias, πn\pi_nπn​ for the stationary distribution (which weights the top of the segment geometrically), and dn(t)=max⁡x∥Pnt(x,⋅)−πn∥TVd_n(t)=\max_x\|P^t_n(x,\cdot)-\pi_n\|_{TV}dn​(t)=maxx​∥Pnt​(x,⋅)−πn​∥TV​ for the worst-case total variation distance. A family has a cutoff at tnt_ntn​ with window wnw_nwn​ when wn/tn→0w_n/t_n\to0wn​/tn​→0 and dn(⌊tn+αwn⌋)d_n(\lfloor t_n+\alpha w_n\rfloor)dn​(⌊tn​+αwn​⌋) tends (liminf/limsup over nnn) to 111 as α→−∞\alpha\to-\inftyα→−∞ and to 000 as α→+∞\alpha\to+\inftyα→+∞.

The theorem (Theorem 18.2 of Levin–Peres–Wilmer) asserts: the family has a cutoff at

tn=β−1nwith windowwn=n.t_n=\beta^{-1}n\qquad\text{with window}\qquad w_n=\sqrt n.tn​=β−1nwith windowwn​=n​.

The mechanism is transparent: the walk must travel distance nnn against a deterministic drift of speed β\betaβ, taking time β−1n\beta^{-1}nβ−1n, with diffusive fluctuations of order n\sqrt nn​ around it — the cutoff time is a law of large numbers and the window a central limit theorem. This is the simplest chain exhibiting a genuine cutoff, and the book's warm-up for the hypercube.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_mm_cutoff
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Sqrt
Formal statement
namespace MarkovMixing

/-- **Theorem 18.2** (LPW): the lazy biased random walk on `{0,…,n}` with
bias `β = p − 1/2 > 0` has a cutoff at `β⁻¹ n` with a window of order
`√n`. -/
theorem biased_walk_cutoff (p : ℝ) (hp : 1 / 2 < p) (hp1 : p < 1)
    (π : ∀ n : ℕ, Fin (n + 1) → ℝ)
    (hπ : ∀ n, 0 < n → IsStationary (biasedSegmentWalk n p) (π n)) :
    HasCutoffWindow (fun n => biasedSegmentWalk n p) π
      (fun n => (p - 1 / 2)⁻¹ * n) (fun n => Real.sqrt n) := by
  sorry

end MarkovMixing
Source
D. A. Levin, Y. Peres, E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, AMS 2009, https://documents.epfl.ch/groups/i/ip/ipg/www/2013-2014/Random_Walks/markovmixing.pdf, Section 18.2.1, Theorem 18.2, p. 249

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