Appendix C, property 2 — and are monotone under stochastic dominance
ProvedXuMannorRobust.Quantile.property2_stochastic_dominanceLet and be nonnegative random variables with laws and , probability measures on with . Suppose stochastically dominates :
Then for every level , where is allowed only when is bounded above ( for some ),
with the -quantile value and the -truncated mean (Definition 3, corrected second branch).
In the proof of Theorem 5 this is what compares the sample distribution with the discrete distributions supported on the cell minimizers.
Formalization Note The paper says "for any "; the levels are restricted to , where Definition 3 is meaningful, and both variables are taken nonnegative (Definition 3's standing assumption). The level additionally requires to be bounded above. For unbounded the paper's is and the inequality is trivial, but Lean's junk value would falsify it.
import Mathlib import Definitions.Def_XuMannorRobust_Quantile_QuantileTruncatedMean open MeasureTheory
namespace XuMannorRobust.Quantile
/-- **Appendix C, property 2** (Xu & Mannor 2012, p. 415). Let `X` and `Y` be nonnegative random
variables with laws `P` and `P'` (`P((-∞, 0)) = P'((-∞, 0)) = 0`). If `Y` stochastically dominates
`X`, i.e. `Pr(Y ≥ a) ≥ Pr(X ≥ a)` for all `a ∈ ℝ`, then for every level `β ∈ [0, 1]`,
`ℚ^β(Y) ≥ ℚ^β(X)` and `𝕋^β(Y) ≥ 𝕋^β(X)`. The level `β = 1` is allowed only when `Y` is bounded
above (`P'((-∞, M]) = 1` for some `M`): for unbounded `Y` the paper's `ℚ¹(Y)` is `+∞`, which
Lean's real `sInf ∅ = 0` cannot represent. -/
theorem property2_stochastic_dominance (P P' : Measure ℝ) [IsProbabilityMeasure P]
[IsProbabilityMeasure P'] (hP : P (Set.Iio 0) = 0) (hP' : P' (Set.Iio 0) = 0)
(hdom : ∀ a : ℝ, P (Set.Ici a) ≤ P' (Set.Ici a)) (β : ℝ) (hβ0 : 0 ≤ β) (hβ1 : β ≤ 1)
(hfin : β < 1 ∨ ∃ M : ℝ, P' (Set.Iic M) = 1) :
quantileValue P β ≤ quantileValue P' β ∧ truncatedMean P β ≤ truncatedMean P' β := by sorry
end XuMannorRobust.Quantile
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).
Confirmed by the moderator at approval.