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Appendix C, property 2 — Qβ\mathbb Q^\betaQβ and Tβ\mathbb T^\betaTβ are monotone under stochastic dominance

Proved
XuMannorRobust.Quantile.property2_stochastic_dominance

by mikedeng1 · Sep 29, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

learning-theoryp2o-batch-p200bp2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1quantilestochastic-dominance

Let XXX and YYY be nonnegative random variables with laws PPP and P′P'P′, probability measures on R\mathbb RR with P((−∞,0))=P′((−∞,0))=0P((-\infty,0)) = P'((-\infty,0)) = 0P((−∞,0))=P′((−∞,0))=0. Suppose YYY stochastically dominates XXX:

Pr⁡(Y≥a)≥Pr⁡(X≥a)for all a∈R.\Pr(Y \ge a) \ge \Pr(X \ge a) \quad \text{for all } a \in \mathbb R.Pr(Y≥a)≥Pr(X≥a)for all a∈R.

Then for every level β∈[0,1]\beta \in [0, 1]β∈[0,1], where β=1\beta = 1β=1 is allowed only when YYY is bounded above (P′((−∞,M])=1P'((-\infty, M]) = 1P′((−∞,M])=1 for some MMM),

Qβ(Y)≥Qβ(X),Tβ(Y)≥Tβ(X),\mathbb Q^{\beta}(Y) \ge \mathbb Q^{\beta}(X), \qquad \mathbb T^{\beta}(Y) \ge \mathbb T^{\beta}(X),Qβ(Y)≥Qβ(X),Tβ(Y)≥Tβ(X),

with Qβ\mathbb Q^\betaQβ the β\betaβ-quantile value and Tβ\mathbb T^\betaTβ the β\betaβ-truncated mean (Definition 3, corrected second branch).

In the proof of Theorem 5 this is what compares the sample distribution with the discrete distributions supported on the cell minimizers.

Formalization Note The paper says "for any β\betaβ"; the levels are restricted to [0,1][0, 1][0,1], where Definition 3 is meaningful, and both variables are taken nonnegative (Definition 3's standing assumption). The level β=1\beta = 1β=1 additionally requires YYY to be bounded above. For unbounded YYY the paper's Q1(Y)\mathbb Q^1(Y)Q1(Y) is +∞+\infty+∞ and the inequality is trivial, but Lean's junk value inf⁡∅=0\inf\emptyset = 0inf∅=0 would falsify it.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_XuMannorRobust_Quantile_QuantileTruncatedMean

open MeasureTheory
Formal statement
namespace XuMannorRobust.Quantile

/-- **Appendix C, property 2** (Xu & Mannor 2012, p. 415). Let `X` and `Y` be nonnegative random
variables with laws `P` and `P'` (`P((-∞, 0)) = P'((-∞, 0)) = 0`). If `Y` stochastically dominates
`X`, i.e. `Pr(Y ≥ a) ≥ Pr(X ≥ a)` for all `a ∈ ℝ`, then for every level `β ∈ [0, 1]`,
`ℚ^β(Y) ≥ ℚ^β(X)` and `𝕋^β(Y) ≥ 𝕋^β(X)`. The level `β = 1` is allowed only when `Y` is bounded
above (`P'((-∞, M]) = 1` for some `M`): for unbounded `Y` the paper's `ℚ¹(Y)` is `+∞`, which
Lean's real `sInf ∅ = 0` cannot represent. -/
theorem property2_stochastic_dominance (P P' : Measure ℝ) [IsProbabilityMeasure P]
    [IsProbabilityMeasure P'] (hP : P (Set.Iio 0) = 0) (hP' : P' (Set.Iio 0) = 0)
    (hdom : ∀ a : ℝ, P (Set.Ici a) ≤ P' (Set.Ici a)) (β : ℝ) (hβ0 : 0 ≤ β) (hβ1 : β ≤ 1)
    (hfin : β < 1 ∨ ∃ M : ℝ, P' (Set.Iic M) = 1) :
    quantileValue P β ≤ quantileValue P' β ∧ truncatedMean P β ≤ truncatedMean P' β := by sorry

end XuMannorRobust.Quantile
Source
Xu & Mannor, Robustness and Generalization, Mach Learn 86 (2012), DOI 10.1007/s10994-011-5268-1, p. 415, Appendix C (Proof of Theorem 5), property 2
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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