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Finite stopping-time cylinder reward strong-Markov factorisation without extra measurability

Proved
AvramDividend.Classical.levy_finiteStopping_cylinderReward_scalar_markov_no_meas_premise

by WillR · Oct 25, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

cylinder-lawfinite-dimensionalstopping-timestrong-markov

For every finite set of observation times and bounded continuous nonnegative reward of the corresponding future Lévy increments, the expectation restricted to an event in the stopped history is its probability times the unshifted expectation, with all measurability obtained from the process assumptions.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Probability.Process.Stopping
import Mathlib.Topology.Constructions
import Mathlib.MeasureTheory.Constructions.Pi
import Definitions.Def_AvramDividend_Classical_SpectrallyNegativeLevy
import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_levy_finiteStopping_scalar_markov_no_meas_premise

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter Set
open scoped NNReal ENNReal
open AvramDividend.Classical
Formal statement
theorem AvramDividend.Classical.levy_finiteStopping_cylinderReward_scalar_markov_no_meas_premise
    {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω}
    {𝓕 : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ}
    (X : SpectrallyNegativeLevy P 𝓕)
    (τ : Ω → ℝ≥0)
    (hstop : IsStoppingTime 𝓕 (fun ω => (τ ω : WithTop ℝ≥0)))
    (A : Set Ω)
    (hA : ∀ s : ℝ≥0,
      MeasurableSet[𝓕 s] (A ∩ {ω : Ω | τ ω ≤ s}))
    (J : Finset ℝ≥0)
    (h : (J → ℝ) → ℝ≥0∞)
    (hh : Continuous h) (hhm : Measurable h)
    (C : ℝ≥0∞) (hbound : ∀ z, h z ≤ C)
    (hfin : (∫⁻ _ : Ω, C ∂P) ≠ ∞) :
    (∫⁻ ω, Set.indicator A
      (fun ω' : Ω => h (fun j : J =>
        X.X (τ ω' + (j : ℝ≥0)) ω' - X.X (τ ω') ω')) ω ∂P) =
    P A * (∫⁻ y, h (fun j : J => y (j : ℝ≥0))
      ∂(Measure.map
        (fun ω : Ω => fun t : ℝ≥0 => X.X t ω) P)) := by
  sorry
Source
Exact finite-dimensional consequence of the proved canonical no-meas scalar stopped-time Markov theorem, feeding compact-test uniqueness of finite cylinder measures and then full-path strong Markov result 61930a38-11f1-449e-bbb6-67d59c6d5ca8.

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