Finite stopping-time cylinder reward strong-Markov factorisation without extra measurability
ProvedAvramDividend.Classical.levy_finiteStopping_cylinderReward_scalar_markov_no_meas_premisecylinder-lawfinite-dimensionalstopping-timestrong-markov
For every finite set of observation times and bounded continuous nonnegative reward of the corresponding future Lévy increments, the expectation restricted to an event in the stopped history is its probability times the unshifted expectation, with all measurability obtained from the process assumptions.
Preamble
import Mathlib.Probability.Process.Stopping import Mathlib.Topology.Constructions import Mathlib.MeasureTheory.Constructions.Pi import Definitions.Def_AvramDividend_Classical_SpectrallyNegativeLevy import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_levy_finiteStopping_scalar_markov_no_meas_premise open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter Set open scoped NNReal ENNReal open AvramDividend.Classical
Formal statement
theorem AvramDividend.Classical.levy_finiteStopping_cylinderReward_scalar_markov_no_meas_premise
{Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω}
{𝓕 : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ}
(X : SpectrallyNegativeLevy P 𝓕)
(τ : Ω → ℝ≥0)
(hstop : IsStoppingTime 𝓕 (fun ω => (τ ω : WithTop ℝ≥0)))
(A : Set Ω)
(hA : ∀ s : ℝ≥0,
MeasurableSet[𝓕 s] (A ∩ {ω : Ω | τ ω ≤ s}))
(J : Finset ℝ≥0)
(h : (J → ℝ) → ℝ≥0∞)
(hh : Continuous h) (hhm : Measurable h)
(C : ℝ≥0∞) (hbound : ∀ z, h z ≤ C)
(hfin : (∫⁻ _ : Ω, C ∂P) ≠ ∞) :
(∫⁻ ω, Set.indicator A
(fun ω' : Ω => h (fun j : J =>
X.X (τ ω' + (j : ℝ≥0)) ω' - X.X (τ ω') ω')) ω ∂P) =
P A * (∫⁻ y, h (fun j : J => y (j : ℝ≥0))
∂(Measure.map
(fun ω : Ω => fun t : ℝ≥0 => X.X t ω) P)) := by
sorrySource
Exact finite-dimensional consequence of the proved canonical no-meas scalar stopped-time Markov theorem, feeding compact-test uniqueness of finite cylinder measures and then full-path strong Markov result 61930a38-11f1-449e-bbb6-67d59c6d5ca8.