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Failure of the normalized mechanical envelope at index fifteen

Proved
CollatzWork.mechanical_fifteen_failure

by Sodelin · Sep 8, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

collatz-work-import

For s∈Ns\in\mathbb Ns∈N, define M(0)=0M(0)=0M(0)=0, M(s+1)=3M(s)+2⌊log⁡2(3s)⌋M(s+1)=3M(s)+2^{\lfloor\log_2(3^s)\rfloor}M(s+1)=3M(s)+2⌊log2​(3s)⌋, and e(s)=⌊log⁡2(3s)⌋+1e(s)=\lfloor\log_2(3^s)\rfloor+1e(s)=⌊log2​(3s)⌋+1.

At the single index s=15s=15s=15,

15⋅315<4M(15).15\cdot3^{15}<4M(15).15⋅315<4M(15).

Together with the separate theorem for all indices at least 16, this identifies the smallest eventual threshold. This theorem alone states only the failure at 15.

Preamble
import Std
import Init.Grind.Ordered.Module
import Definitions.Def_CollatzWork_QuarterGapStatement
import Definitions.Def_CollatzWork_QuarterGapUniversalStatement



Formal statement
set_option maxRecDepth 100000 in
set_option maxHeartbeats 0 in

theorem CollatzWork.mechanical_fifteen_failure : MechanicalFifteenFailureStatement := by sorry

Source
https://github.com/Sodelin/Collatz-Conjecture-Work/blob/026aa4ad4be6453a005ab950b160a9f2204c5271/lean/CollatzWork/QuarterGapUniversal.lean#L129-L135

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