Proposition 2 — the concurrent threshold
ProvedInfoSharing.Diseconomy.prop_2_concurrent_thresholdFor every there is a threshold , depending only on , with the following property. For every signal model, every , , , and every pricing-equilibrium family, the set of numbers of informed manufacturers attained by concurrent outcomes satisfies
Under concurrent contracting the retailer sells information to both manufacturers or to none, depending on the size of the production diseconomy.
Formalization Note. The pricing stage is the Bayesian game of §4.1 on the signal model; the ex ante profits , are those of an arbitrary pricing-equilibrium family, not the §4.2 closed forms. Wholesale strategies are measurable, square-integrable functions of the signal value (constants for an uninformed manufacturer); the production cost is with and ; manufacturers are indexed by . The paper writes on ; at the retailer is indifferent between and , so there the statement is that is attained.
import Mathlib import Definitions.Def_InfoSharing_Shared_IsSignalModel import Definitions.Def_InfoSharing_Diseconomy_IsConcurrentOutcome open MeasureTheory open InfoSharing.Shared
namespace InfoSharing.Diseconomy
universe u
/-- Proposition 2, p. 253: there exists `c_d^C`, depending only on `φ`, such that under
concurrent information contracting `n_d^C = 0` if `0 < c_d < c_d^C` and `n_d^C = 2` if
`c_d^C ≤ c_d`. At the threshold the retailer is indifferent, so the statement there is that
`2` is attained; above it every outcome has `n = 2`. -/
theorem prop_2_concurrent_threshold :
∀ φ : ℝ, 0 < φ → ∃ cC : ℝ,
∀ (Ω : Type u) [MeasurableSpace Ω] (μ : Measure Ω) (θ Y : Ω → ℝ) (a b c σ β : ℝ)
(E : (Fin 2 → Status) → PricingProfile),
IsSignalModel μ θ Y σ β → 0 < b → 0 < c → IsPricingEqFamily μ θ Y a b c φ β E →
let P := payoffTable μ θ Y a b c φ E
(c < cC → ConcOptN P = {0}) ∧
(cC ≤ c → 2 ∈ ConcOptN P) ∧
(cC < c → ConcOptN P = {2}) := by sorry
end InfoSharing.Diseconomy
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).
Confirmed by the moderator at approval.