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Proof of Proposition 4, second observation — a discount after τ2\tau_2τ2​ is never better than at τ2\tau_2τ2​

Proved
SeasonalPricing.MyopicDet.revenue_le_at_tau2

by mikedeng1 · Sep 27, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

dynamic-pricingmarkdown-pricingp2o-batch-p200ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1revenue-management

Let λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and 0<ρ<10 < \rho < 10<ρ<1, and consider myopic customers with identical base valuation 111, valuation ρt\rho^tρt at time ttt, season [0,1][0, 1][0,1] and unlimited inventory, with expected revenue Rρ(p1,p2;T)R_\rho(p_1, p_2; T)Rρ​(p1​,p2​;T) for premium price p1p_1p1​, discount price p2p_2p2​ and discount time TTT. Let ρ≤p2≤p1≤1\rho \le p_2 \le p_1 \le 1ρ≤p2​≤p1​≤1 and τ2=ln⁡(p2)/ln⁡(ρ)\tau_2 = \ln(p_2)/\ln(\rho)τ2​=ln(p2​)/ln(ρ). Then for every T∈[τ2,1]T \in [\tau_2, 1]T∈[τ2​,1],

Rρ(p1,p2;T)≤Rρ(p1,p2;τ2).R_\rho(p_1, p_2; T) \le R_\rho(p_1, p_2; \tau_2).Rρ​(p1​,p2​;T)≤Rρ​(p1​,p2​;τ2​).

The paper writes "it is never optimal to offer the discounted price after τ2\tau_2τ2​"; the statement is the weak inequality. It lets the seller restrict the discount time to T≤τ2T \le \tau_2T≤τ2​.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_SeasonalPricing_MyopicDet_myopicRevenue
import Definitions.Def_SeasonalPricing_MyopicDet_reducedObjective
Formal statement
namespace SeasonalPricing.MyopicDet

/-- Proof of Proposition 4, second observation (Aviv–Pazgal 2008, p. 359): for prices
`ρ ≤ p₂ ≤ p₁ ≤ 1`, offering the discount at a time `T ∈ [τ₂, 1]`, `τ₂ = ln(p₂)/ln(ρ)`,
yields no more expected revenue than offering it at `τ₂`. -/
theorem revenue_le_at_tau2 (lam ρ p1 p2 T : ℝ) (hlam : 0 < lam) (hρ0 : 0 < ρ) (hρ1 : ρ < 1)
    (hp2 : ρ ≤ p2) (hp12 : p2 ≤ p1) (hp1 : p1 ≤ 1)
    (hT : tau ρ p2 ≤ T) (hT1 : T ≤ 1) :
    detRevenue lam ρ p1 p2 T ≤ detRevenue lam ρ p1 p2 (tau ρ p2) := by sorry

end SeasonalPricing.MyopicDet
Source
Aviv and Pazgal, Optimal Pricing of Seasonal Products in the Presence of Forward-Looking Consumers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 10(3), 2008, p. 359, Proof of Proposition 4 ("Second, …")
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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