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UDD conditional survival at the year end recovers the annual survival probability p.

Proved
actuarial_c_frac_udd_end

by WillR · Oct 12, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

actuarial-scienceinsurancelife-contingency

UDD conditional survival at the year end recovers the annual survival probability p.

Assumptions and domains are exactly those in the Lean quantifiers. These are separate open owner-Draft statements, even when a matching source has been proved in a private diagnostic file.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Analysis.Real.Sqrt
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Log.Basic
import Mathlib.Analysis.SpecialFunctions.Exp
import Mathlib.Tactic.Linarith
import Mathlib.Tactic.Ring
import Definitions.Def_actuarial_c_frac_uddSurvival

open ActuarialAssurances.Fractional

Formal statement
theorem actuarial_c_frac_udd_end (p : ℝ) : uddSurvival p 1 = p := by sorry
Source
Original derived actuarial theorem grounded in Promislow (2015), Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics, third edition, Chapter 7, UDD and constant-force within-year assumptions. https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/fundamentals-of-actuarial/9781118782521/c07.xhtml. It is not a verbatim textbook Lean theorem.
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 13, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by WillR · Oct 13, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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