Lemma 2.3(a) — squared norm of martingale differences
ProvedGhadimiLan.TwoPhase.lemma_2_3_aconcentrationmartingalesp2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1probability
Let be integrable martingale differences adapted to a filtration, and suppose for every . Then for each ,
If the variance sum is positive, the same statement gives, for ,
with the right side interpreted as infinity at . This vector-valued estimate controls post-optimization sampling error.
Formalization Note The statement works over a general probability space and does not require a trivial time-zero sigma-algebra, as the paper's application knows each candidate at time zero. The positive-sum guard repairs the printed non-strict tail claim when every ; then its event is certain for every positive .
Preamble
import Mathlib import Definitions.Def_GhadimiLan_TwoPhase_Model open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
namespace GhadimiLan.TwoPhase
/-- Lemma 2.3(a), p. 11. The tail clause needs a positive variance sum:
with every `σᵢ = 0`, the printed non-strict event has probability one for all λ. -/
theorem lemma_2_3_a {n : ℕ} {Ω : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
(μ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure μ]
(ℱ : Filtration ℕ ‹MeasurableSpace Ω›)
(ζ : ℕ → Ω → GhadimiLan.RSG.E n) (σi : ℕ → ℝ)
(hadapt : ∀ i, 1 ≤ i → StronglyMeasurable[ℱ i] (ζ i))
(hint : ∀ i, 1 ≤ i → Integrable (ζ i) μ)
(hzero : ∀ i, 1 ≤ i →
condExp (ℱ (i - 1)) μ (ζ i) =ᵐ[μ] (fun _ => (0 : GhadimiLan.RSG.E n)))
(hvarint : ∀ i, 1 ≤ i → Integrable (fun ω => ‖ζ i ω‖ ^ 2) μ)
(hvar : ∀ i, 1 ≤ i →
(∫ ω, ‖ζ i ω‖ ^ 2 ∂μ) ≤ σi i ^ 2) :
∀ N : ℕ, 1 ≤ N →
Integrable (fun ω => ‖∑ i ∈ Finset.Icc 1 N, ζ i ω‖ ^ 2) μ ∧
(∫ ω, ‖∑ i ∈ Finset.Icc 1 N, ζ i ω‖ ^ 2 ∂μ) ≤
∑ i ∈ Finset.Icc 1 N, σi i ^ 2 ∧
(0 < (∑ i ∈ Finset.Icc 1 N, σi i ^ 2) →
∀ lam : ℝ, 0 ≤ lam →
μ {ω | lam * (∑ i ∈ Finset.Icc 1 N, σi i ^ 2) ≤
‖∑ i ∈ Finset.Icc 1 N, ζ i ω‖ ^ 2} ≤
(ENNReal.ofReal lam)⁻¹) := by sorry
end GhadimiLan.TwoPhase
Source
Ghadimi & Lan, arXiv:1309.5549v1, Lemma 2.3(a), p. 11
Human review
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).
Confirmed by the moderator at approval.