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Proof of Lemma 2(a), p. 28 — the linear strategies with coefficients C^{X_iX_j} solve the best responses (7) and (9)

Proved
CompetingChains.Cournot.lemma_2a_fixed_point

by mikedeng1 · Oct 8, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

bayesian-equilibriumcournot-competitioninformation-sharingp2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1supply-chain

Let k>1/3k>1/3k>1/3, 0≤γC<10\le\gamma_C<10≤γC​<1, t>0t>0t>0, σ2>0\sigma^2>0σ2>0, and let s=tσ2/(1+tσ2)s=t\sigma^2/(1+t\sigma^2)s=tσ2/(1+tσ2) be the signal weight, so that E[θ∣Yi=y]=E[Yj∣Yi=y]=syE[\theta\mid Y_i=y]=E[Y_j\mid Y_i=y]=syE[θ∣Yi​=y]=E[Yj​∣Yi​=y]=sy. Let qˉ=k(a−c)/((γC+4)k−1)\bar q=k(a-c)/((\gamma_C+4)k-1)qˉ​=k(a−c)/((γC​+4)k−1) and let CXiXjC^{X_iX_j}CXi​Xj​ be the response coefficients of Lemma 2(a). If chain jjj plays qj=qˉ+CXjXiYjq_j=\bar q+C^{X_jX_i}Y_jqj​=qˉ​+CXj​Xi​Yj​, then E[qj∣Yi=y]=qˉ+CXjXisyE[q_j\mid Y_i=y]=\bar q+C^{X_jX_i}syE[qj​∣Yi​=y]=qˉ​+CXj​Xi​sy and E[qj]=qˉE[q_j]=\bar qE[qj​]=qˉ​. The claim is that chain iii's linear strategy is a best response: for all arrangements Xi,Xj∈{S,N}X_i,X_j\in\{S,N\}Xi​,Xj​∈{S,N} and every signal value yyy,

qˉ+CXiXjy=q^Xi(m=sy, e=qˉ+CXjXisy, E=qˉ),\bar q+C^{X_iX_j}y=\hat q^{X_i}\big(m=sy,\ e=\bar q+C^{X_jX_i}sy,\ E=\bar q\big),qˉ​+CXi​Xj​y=q^​Xi​(m=sy, e=qˉ​+CXj​Xi​sy, E=qˉ​),

where q^S\hat q^Sq^​S is the best response (7) and q^N\hat q^Nq^​N the best response (9).

This is the existence half of Lemma 2(a) for the quantities: the pair of linear strategies is a Bayesian equilibrium of the quantity stage. The coefficients CXiXjC^{X_iX_j}CXi​Xj​ are the inputs of every profit formula of the mission.

Formalization Note The conditional expectations are substituted by their values under the linear information structure (p. 8), so the statement is an identity between closed forms. The page cites only (7); for Xi=NX_i=NXi​=N the relevant best response is (9), which is what is stated. Uniqueness, delegated by the paper to Ha et al. (2011), is not stated; the wholesale price and cost reduction lines of Lemma 2(a) are not stated.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_CompetingChains_Cournot_Setting
Formal statement
namespace CompetingChains.Cournot

theorem lemma_2a_fixed_point (a c k γ t σsq : ℝ) (hk : 1 / 3 < k) (hγ0 : 0 ≤ γ) (hγ1 : γ < 1)
    (ht : 0 < t) (hσ : 0 < σsq) :
    ∀ (Xi Xj : Arrangement) (y : ℝ),
      qbar a c k γ + C k γ t σsq Xi Xj * y =
        br a c k γ Xi (sig t σsq * y)
          (qbar a c k γ + C k γ t σsq Xj Xi * (sig t σsq * y)) (qbar a c k γ) := by sorry

end CompetingChains.Cournot
Source
Ha, Tian & Tong, Information Sharing in Competing Supply Chains with Production Cost Reduction (MSOM 2017, pre-published version), p. 28, proof of Lemma 2(a); Lemma 2(a) p. 15; (7) and (9) p. 14; information structure p. 8
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 9, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 9, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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