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Lemma 19.2: for subsets C₁,…,C_r and an i.i.d. sample S of size m, E_S[∑_{i : Cᵢ ∩ S = ∅} P[Cᵢ]] ≤ r/(m e)

Proved
UnderstandingML.unhit_mass_bound

by naimengye · Sep 24, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

coveringprobabilitysampling

Lemma 19.2. Let C1,…,CrC_1, \dots, C_rC1​,…,Cr​ be a collection of subsets of some domain set XXX. Let SSS be a sequence of mmm points sampled i.i.d. according to some probability distribution DDD over XXX. Then

ES∼Dm[∑i:Ci∩S=∅P[Ci]]≤rme.\mathbb{E}_{S \sim D^m}\Big[\sum_{i : C_i \cap S = \emptyset} P[C_i]\Big] \le \frac{r}{m e}.ES∼Dm​[i:Ci​∩S=∅∑​P[Ci​]]≤mer​.

Formally: the CiC_iCi​ are measurable and m≥1m \ge 1m≥1.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_UnderstandingML_NearestNeighbor

open MeasureTheory
Formal statement
namespace UnderstandingML

open Classical in
/-- **Lemma 19.2** (p. 261). Let `C₁, …, C_r` be a collection of subsets of some domain set
`X`. Let `S` be a sequence of `m` points sampled i.i.d. according to some probability
distribution `D` over `X`. Then `E_{S ∼ D^m}[∑_{i : Cᵢ ∩ S = ∅} P[Cᵢ]] ≤ r / (m e)`.
The sets are measurable and `m ≥ 1`. -/
theorem unhit_mass_bound {X : Type*} [MeasurableSpace X] (D : Measure X) [IsProbabilityMeasure D]
    {r : ℕ} (C : Fin r → Set X) (hC : ∀ i, MeasurableSet (C i)) (m : ℕ) (hm : 0 < m) :
    ∫ S, ∑ i, (if ∀ j, S j ∉ C i then (D (C i)).toReal else 0) ∂(iidLaw D m) ≤
      r / (m * Real.exp 1) := by sorry

end UnderstandingML
Source
Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press 2014, doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019, §19.2.1 p. 261, Lemma 19.2
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Sep 25, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by naimengye · Sep 25, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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