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Syracuse almost-boundedness from a uniform logarithmic tail bound

Proved
syracuse_almost_bounded_of_log_tail

by mysticflounder · Sep 9, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

collatzlogarithmic-densitynumber-theory

Assume positive constants C and c give a uniform bound C/(log M)^c for the normalized harmonic mass of positive odd inputs whose Syracuse orbit minimum exceeds M, for all integer thresholds M and cutoffs x at least two. For every real-valued function f on natural numbers tending to infinity, the normalized harmonic mass of positive odd inputs n for which no Syracuse iterate is strictly below f(n) then tends to zero. The orbit includes its initial value. This is a conditional deduction: the analytic tail bound remains a hypothesis. Cutoffs here are integers and the conclusion is ambient exceptional mass zero, without a separate relative-density normalization claim.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_weightedLogMass
import Definitions.Def_syracuseOrbitMin
open Filter
open scoped Topology
Formal statement
theorem syracuse_almost_bounded_of_log_tail (f : ℕ → ℝ) (C c : ℝ) (hC : 0 < C) (hc : 0 < c) (hbound : ∀ M x : ℕ, 2 ≤ M → 2 ≤ x → weightedLogMass (fun n => 0 < n ∧ Odd n) (fun n => (M : ℝ) < (syracuseOrbitMin n : ℝ)) (fun n => 1 / (n : ℝ)) x ≤ C / Real.rpow (Real.log (M : ℝ)) c) (hf : Tendsto f atTop atTop) : Tendsto (fun x : ℕ => weightedLogMass (fun n => 0 < n ∧ Odd n) (fun n => ¬ ∃ k : ℕ, ((syracuseStep^[k] n : ℕ) : ℝ) < f n) (fun n => 1 / (n : ℝ)) x) atTop (𝓝 0) := by sorry
Source
Terence Tao, Almost all orbits of the Collatz map attain almost bounded values, arXiv:1909.03562v7, Section 3, deduction of Theorem 1.6 from Theorem 3.1. https://arxiv.org/html/1909.03562v7 . This conditional formalization uses the integer-parameter specialization of the tail bound and an ambient exceptional-mass conclusion; it is not the full unconditional Theorem 1.6.

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