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Kolmogorov Process Increment Tail Bound

Proved
LevyStochCalc.Brownian.Continuity.kolmogorov_markov_bound_readable

by Lazyfill · Oct 26, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

functional-inequalitieskls-conjecturekls-modularkls-readablelog-concavevendored-levystochcalc

This statement gives the Markov–Chebyshev tail estimate associated with a Kolmogorov process.

Let Ω\OmegaΩ be a measurable space, let PPP be a probability measure on Ω\OmegaΩ, and let X:R→Ω→RX : \mathbb{R} \to \Omega \to \mathbb{R}X:R→Ω→R be a real-valued process. Let p,q∈Rp,q \in \mathbb{R}p,q∈R and M∈[0,∞)M \in [0,\infty)M∈[0,∞), and assume the process satisfies ProbabilityTheory.IsKolmogorovProcess X P p q M. For arbitrary times s,t∈Rs,t \in \mathbb{R}s,t∈R, let λ∈[0,∞]\lambda \in [0,\infty]λ∈[0,∞] satisfy:

  1. 0<λ0 < \lambda0<λ;
  2. λ≠∞\lambda \ne \inftyλ=∞.

Writing edist for the extended distance, the probability of an increment exceeding the threshold λ\lambdaλ is bounded by

P({ω∣λ≤edist⁡(X(s,ω),X(t,ω))})≤M edist⁡(s,t)qλp.P\bigl(\{\omega \mid \lambda \le \operatorname{edist}(X(s,\omega),X(t,\omega))\}\bigr) \le \frac{M\,\operatorname{edist}(s,t)^q}{\lambda^p}.P({ω∣λ≤edist(X(s,ω),X(t,ω))})≤λpMedist(s,t)q​.

Here the right-hand side is interpreted in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], with MMM coerced from [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) to ENNReal; the powers are extended-real powers. This is a per-pair increment tail estimate that can be reused in convergence-in-measure and summability arguments for continuous modifications of stochastic processes.

Formalization Note The measure-valued quantity and all arithmetic in the conclusion use ENNReal; the hypotheses require the threshold to be strictly positive and not equal to ⊤.

Original Lean declaration header

Within namespace LevyStochCalc.Brownian.Continuity. Shown in its original module context. Proof omitted.

lemma kolmogorov_markov_bound
    (P : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure P]
    (X : ℝ → Ω → ℝ) {p q : ℝ} {M : ℝ≥0}
    (hX : ProbabilityTheory.IsKolmogorovProcess X P p q M)
    (s t : ℝ) {lam : ℝ≥0∞} (hlam_pos : 0 < lam) (hlam_top : lam ≠ ⊤) :
    P {ω | lam ≤ edist (X s ω) (X t ω)}
      ≤ (M : ℝ≥0∞) * edist s t ^ q / lam ^ p

Module navigation

Module: LevyStochCalc/Brownian/ContinuityKolmogorovBounds.

Next: kc_level_bad_measure.

Source excerpt, lines 42–48 · Frozen source 408915f.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_KLSModular_LevyStochCalc_Brownian_ContinuityKolmogorovBounds

/-
Copyright (c) 2026 Christian Garry. All rights reserved.
Released under Apache 2.0 license as described in the file LICENSE.
Authors: Christian Garry
-/
-- Vendored from https://github.com/cgarryZA/LevyStochCalc at commit 984dbf0b790031eac05d56fe5a84b65e15e1e932 (upstream path LevyStochCalc/Brownian/ContinuityKolmogorovBounds.lean; Apache-2.0; provenance in formalization/vendor/vendor-lock.json of the KLS repository)
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
open scoped NNReal ENNReal Topology
universe u
variable {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
Formal statement

lemma LevyStochCalc.Brownian.Continuity.kolmogorov_markov_bound_readable
    (P : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure P]
    (X : ℝ → Ω → ℝ) {p q : ℝ} {M : ℝ≥0}
    (hX : ProbabilityTheory.IsKolmogorovProcess X P p q M)
    (s t : ℝ) {lam : ℝ≥0∞} (hlam_pos : 0 < lam) (hlam_top : lam ≠ ⊤) :
    P {ω | lam ≤ edist (X s ω) (X t ω)}
      ≤ (M : ℝ≥0∞) * edist s t ^ q / lam ^ p := by sorry
Source
Lean source: https://github.com/cgarryZA/LevyStochCalc/blob/984dbf0b790031eac05d56fe5a84b65e15e1e932/LevyStochCalc/Brownian/ContinuityKolmogorovBounds.lean#L31-L75 (repository human-ai-mathematics/kls-lean, commit 408915f, module `LevyStochCalc.Brownian.ContinuityKolmogorovBounds`, declaration `LevyStochCalc.Brownian.Continuity.kolmogorov_markov_bound`; the repository is private at upload time). Vendored from https://github.com/cgarryZA/LevyStochCalc at commit 984dbf0b790031eac05d56fe5a84b65e15e1e932 (Apache-2.0; upstream copyright notice retained in the Lean text).

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