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Proposition 2, p. 22 — without a secondary market, thresholds 0 < μ̲ < μ̄ < 1 characterize the equilibrium; H-LPs earn strictly more when both fund types are raised

Proved
PELiquidity.Primary.proposition_2

by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

equilibriumliquidityp2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1private-equityreturn-persistence

Fix the model parameters (Assumptions 1–3, 5 strictly for δL\delta_LδL​, 6, and B≤p(p−q)RB\le p(p-q)RB≤p(p−q)R). For a capital share μH∈(0,1)\mu_H\in(0,1)μH​∈(0,1) of HHH-LPs consider the private equity market equilibria without a secondary market (Definition 2). There exist thresholds μ‾H,μˉH\underline\mu_H,\bar\mu_Hμ​H​,μˉ​H​ with

0<μ‾H<μˉH<10<\underline\mu_H<\bar\mu_H<10<μ​H​<μˉ​H​<1

such that

  1. for every μH∈(0,1)\mu_H\in(0,1)μH​∈(0,1) an equilibrium exists;
  2. if μH<μ‾H\mu_H<\underline\mu_HμH​<μ​H​, every equilibrium raises both HHH-funds and LLL-funds (αL∗>0\alpha^*_L>0αL∗​>0, αH∗>0\alpha^*_H>0αH∗​>0), and HHH-LPs earn a strictly higher return than LLL-LPs:
RˉPE,H∗>RˉPE,L∗=1+r(λ,δL);\bar R^*_{PE,H}>\bar R^*_{PE,L}=1+r(\lambda,\delta_L);RˉPE,H∗​>RˉPE,L∗​=1+r(λ,δL​);
  1. if μH≥μ‾H\mu_H\ge\underline\mu_HμH​≥μ​H​, every equilibrium raises only HHH-funds: αL∗=0\alpha^*_L=0αL∗​=0;
  2. on [μ‾H,μˉH][\underline\mu_H,\bar\mu_H][μ​H​,μˉ​H​] the equilibrium HHH-return is strictly decreasing in μH\mu_HμH​: if μ‾H≤μ1<μ2≤μˉH\underline\mu_H\le\mu_1<\mu_2\le\bar\mu_Hμ​H​≤μ1​<μ2​≤μˉ​H​, then RˉPE,H∗\bar R^*_{PE,H}RˉPE,H∗​ at μ2\mu_2μ2​ is strictly below RˉPE,H∗\bar R^*_{PE,H}RˉPE,H∗​ at μ1\mu_1μ1​, for any equilibria at the two shares;
  3. if μH≥μˉH\mu_H\ge\bar\mu_HμH​≥μˉ​H​, every equilibrium has RˉPE,H∗=1+r(λ,δH)\bar R^*_{PE,H}=1+r(\lambda,\delta_H)RˉPE,H∗​=1+r(λ,δH​): HHH-LPs earn exactly their fair liquidity premium.

Liquidity-tolerant capital is scarce when μH\mu_HμH​ is small, and GPs then pay a premium for it, because HHH-funds avoid the costly acceleration of capital calls that LLL-funds require (Proposition 1). This yields persistent differences in LP returns that do not come from differences in skill.

Formalization Note Item 1 is not printed in the proposition; the proof constructs the equilibrium and concludes that it is unique (p. 49), and it is included so that items 2–5 are not vacuous. The printed statement has "μH≤μ‾H\mu_H\le\underline\mu_HμH​≤μ​H​" in i) and "μH≥μ‾H\mu_H\ge\underline\mu_HμH​≥μ​H​" in ii), which conflict at μH=μ‾H\mu_H=\underline\mu_HμH​=μ​H​; the proof (Case 3, αH∗(μ‾H)=1\alpha^*_H(\underline\mu_H)=1αH∗​(μ​H​)=1) puts the boundary in ii), so item 2 uses the strict inequality. "Decreasing" is read as strict, as in (C.4). The thresholds are existential, as printed; the appendix gives them explicitly by (C.3) and the indifference equation on p. 48.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_PELiquidity_Primary_Setting
import Definitions.Def_PELiquidity_Primary_Market
Formal statement
namespace PELiquidity.Primary

/-- Proposition 2: there are thresholds `0 < μ̲_H < μ̄_H < 1` such that, for every capital
share `μ_H ∈ (0, 1)` of H-LPs, an equilibrium exists; every equilibrium with `μ_H < μ̲_H`
raises both fund types and pays `R̄*_PE,H > R̄*_PE,L = 1 + r(λ, δ_L)`; every equilibrium with
`μ_H ≥ μ̲_H` raises no L-fund; the H-return is strictly decreasing in `μ_H` on
`[μ̲_H, μ̄_H]`; and for `μ_H ≥ μ̄_H` it equals `1 + r(λ, δ_H)`. -/
theorem proposition_2 (P : Params) :
    ∃ muLow muBar : ℝ, 0 < muLow ∧ muLow < muBar ∧ muBar < 1 ∧
      (∀ muH : ℝ, 0 < muH → muH < 1 → ∃ E : Allocation, IsEquilibrium P muH E) ∧
      (∀ (muH : ℝ) (E : Allocation), 0 < muH → muH < muLow → IsEquilibrium P muH E →
          0 < E.αL ∧ 0 < E.αH ∧ E.RL = grossReturn P.lam P.δL ∧ E.RL < E.RH) ∧
      (∀ (muH : ℝ) (E : Allocation), muLow ≤ muH → muH < 1 → IsEquilibrium P muH E →
          E.αL = 0) ∧
      (∀ (mu₁ mu₂ : ℝ) (E₁ E₂ : Allocation), muLow ≤ mu₁ → mu₁ < mu₂ → mu₂ ≤ muBar →
          IsEquilibrium P mu₁ E₁ → IsEquilibrium P mu₂ E₂ → E₂.RH < E₁.RH) ∧
      (∀ (muH : ℝ) (E : Allocation), muBar ≤ muH → muH < 1 → IsEquilibrium P muH E →
          E.RH = grossReturn P.lam P.δH) := by sorry

end PELiquidity.Primary
Source
Maurin, Robinson & Strömberg, A Theory of Liquidity in Private Equity, working paper (draft of December 2020), p. 22, Proposition 2; pp. 47–49, Appendix C.3
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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