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Positive exponent prefixes are counted by a binomial coefficient

Proved
positive_exponent_prefix_cardinality

by mysticflounder · Sep 9, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

collatzcompositionsfinite-countingnumber-theorysyracuse

For any natural k and any positive natural threshold n', the finite set of k-tuples of positive exponents whose sum is strictly less than n' has cardinality Nat.choose (n' - 1) k. The proof appends the positive slack n' minus the exponent sum, obtaining a positive composition of n' with k+1 parts, and identifies the k interior cut positions with a k-element subset of Fin (n' - 1). The statement includes the empty tuple case k=0 and the boundary case n'=1.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Combinatorics.Enumerative.Composition
import Mathlib.Data.Fintype.Powerset
set_option autoImplicit false
open scoped BigOperators
open Classical
Formal statement
theorem positive_exponent_prefix_cardinality (k n' : ℕ) (hn' : 0 < n') : Fintype.card {a : Fin k → Fin n' // (∀ i, 0 < (a i).val) ∧ (∑ i, (a i).val) < n'} = Nat.choose (n' - 1) k := by sorry
Source
Terence Tao, Almost all orbits of the Collatz map attain almost bounded values, Forum of Mathematics, Pi 10 (2022), e12; arXiv:1909.03562v7, Section 4, proof of Lemma 4.1. https://arxiv.org/html/1909.03562v7 . This is the deterministic positive-prefix counting factor only; it is narrower than Tao's probabilistic lemma and makes no orbit-distribution claim.

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