Strong-Markov future reward factors on each adapted stopped-time grid fibre
ProvedAvramDividend.Classical.levy_upperGrid_fibre_futureReward_scalar_factoravram-classicalfinite-gridfuture-rewardstopping-timestrong-markov
For an adapted upper-grid approximation to a Lévy stopping time and any stopped-history event, the nonnegative future-path reward restricted to one stopped-time fibre has expectation equal to that fibre probability times the original whole-path expected reward. This directly composes the proved finite-grid joint product law with the pushforward indicator-mass and product-integral factorisation lemmas.
Preamble
import Mathlib.Probability.IdentDistrib import Definitions.Def_AvramDividend_Classical_SpectrallyNegativeLevy import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_levy_stoppedHistory_upperGrid_futureReward_product import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_stoppedEvent_upperGridFibre_measurable import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_productIndicator_futureReward_lintegral_factor import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_realIndicator_pushforward_one_mass open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Set open scoped NNReal ENNReal BigOperators open AvramDividend.Classical
Formal statement
theorem AvramDividend.Classical.levy_upperGrid_fibre_futureReward_scalar_factor
{Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω}
{𝓕 : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ}
(X : SpectrallyNegativeLevy P 𝓕)
(τ : Ω → ℝ≥0) (A : Set Ω)
(hA : ∀ s : ℝ≥0,
MeasurableSet[𝓕 s] (A ∩ {ω : Ω | τ ω ≤ s}))
(τn : ℕ → Ω → ℝ≥0)
(habove : ∀ ω n, τ ω ≤ τn n ω)
(hfibres : ∀ n s,
MeasurableSet[𝓕 s] {ω : Ω | τn n ω = s})
(n : ℕ) (s : ℝ≥0)
(g : (ℝ≥0 → ℝ) → ℝ≥0∞) (hg : Measurable g) :
(∫⁻ ω, Set.indicator (A ∩ {ω' : Ω | τn n ω' = s})
(fun ω' => g (fun t : ℝ≥0 =>
X.X (s + t) ω' - X.X s ω')) ω ∂P) =
P (A ∩ {ω : Ω | τn n ω = s}) *
(∫⁻ y, g y ∂(Measure.map
(fun ω : Ω => fun t : ℝ≥0 => X.X t ω) P)) := by
sorrySource
Direct intermediate for the no-W strong-Markov barrier value split 79978d61-9d1f-4b20-b8a5-114797a8e380, composing proved finite-grid joint law f8d196c7-e8f7-4929-bc3b-b6c523c5ea5b, product scalar factor 7308e350-de7f-4e44-aff6-1f74bf3db945, pushforward indicator mass 772cefce-ada4-42ec-876d-2eb6794c34c9, and stopped fibre measurability.