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Second moment of an off-diagonal entry of the inverse Wishart matrix: E[(W−1)ij2]=1/((k−r)(k−r−1)(k−r−3))\mathbb{E}[(W^{-1})_{ij}^2] = 1/((k-r)(k-r-1)(k-r-3))E[(W−1)ij2​]=1/((k−r)(k−r−1)(k−r−3)), i≠ji\neq ji=j

Proved
GaussianMatrix.inverse_wishart_offdiag_sq_moment

by tc · Oct 9, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

gaussianinverse-wishartmomentsrandom-matriceswishart

Let r+4≤kr + 4 \le kr+4≤k, let G∈Rr×kG \in \mathbb{R}^{r\times k}G∈Rr×k have independent N(0,1)\mathcal{N}(0,1)N(0,1) entries and W=GG⊤W = GG^\topW=GG⊤. For distinct indices i≠ji \ne ji=j the squared entry (W−1)ij2(W^{-1})_{ij}^2(W−1)ij2​ is integrable and

E[(W−1)ij2]  =  1(k−r)(k−r−1)(k−r−3).\mathbb{E}\big[(W^{-1})_{ij}^2\big] \;=\; \frac{1}{(k-r)(k-r-1)(k-r-3)}.E[(W−1)ij2​]=(k−r)(k−r−1)(k−r−3)1​.

Writing HHH for the matrix of the rows other than gig_igi​, c=(HH⊤)−1Hgic = (HH^\top)^{-1}Hg_ic=(HH⊤)−1Hgi​ for the regression coefficients of gig_igi​ on those rows and Q=∥(I−PH)gi∥2Q = \|(I-P_H)g_i\|^2Q=∥(I−PH​)gi​∥2 for the squared residual, one has (W−1)ij=−cj′/Q(W^{-1})_{ij} = -c_{j'}/Q(W−1)ij​=−cj′​/Q (with j′j'j′ the position of row jjj in HHH). Conditionally on HHH, ccc and QQQ are independent, E[cj′2∣H]=((HH⊤)−1)j′j′\mathbb{E}[c_{j'}^2 \mid H] = ((HH^\top)^{-1})_{j'j'}E[cj′2​∣H]=((HH⊤)−1)j′j′​ and Q∼χk−r+12Q\sim\chi^2_{k-r+1}Q∼χk−r+12​, so the claim follows from E[((HH⊤)−1)j′j′]=1/(k−r)\mathbb{E}[((HH^\top)^{-1})_{j'j'}] = 1/(k-r)E[((HH⊤)−1)j′j′​]=1/(k−r) and E[Q−2]=1/((k−r−1)(k−r−3))\mathbb{E}[Q^{-2}] = 1/((k-r-1)(k-r-3))E[Q−2]=1/((k−r−1)(k−r−3)). This is the term γ\gammaγ in E∥W−1∥F2=rα+r(r−1)γ\mathbb{E}\|W^{-1}\|_F^2 = r\alpha + r(r-1)\gammaE∥W−1∥F2​=rα+r(r−1)γ.

Formalization Note. Lean's matrix inverse returns 000 on singular input; GG⊤GG^\topGG⊤ is a.s. invertible. Integrability is part of the conclusion.

Preamble
import Definitions.Def_GaussianMatrix_basic

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
open scoped Matrix
Formal statement
namespace GaussianMatrix

theorem inverse_wishart_offdiag_sq_moment {r k : ℕ} (hrk : r + 4 ≤ k) (i j : Fin r) (hij : i ≠ j) :
    Integrable (fun G : Fin r → Fin k → ℝ => (Matrix.of G * (Matrix.of G)ᵀ)⁻¹ i j ^ 2)
      (gaussianMatrix r k) ∧
    ∫ G, (Matrix.of G * (Matrix.of G)ᵀ)⁻¹ i j ^ 2 ∂(gaussianMatrix r k)
      = 1 / (((k : ℝ) - r) * ((k : ℝ) - r - 1) * ((k : ℝ) - r - 3)) := by sorry

end GaussianMatrix
Source
standard fact (second moments of the inverse Wishart matrix): for W∼Wr(k,I)W \sim W_r(k, I)W∼Wr​(k,I), E[(W−1)ij(W−1)kl]=(k−r−2)δijδkl+δikδjl+δilδjk(k−r)(k−r−1)(k−r−3)\mathbb{E}[(W^{-1})_{ij}(W^{-1})_{kl}] = \frac{(k-r-2)\delta_{ij}\delta_{kl} + \delta_{ik}\delta_{jl} + \delta_{il}\delta_{jk}}{(k-r)(k-r-1)(k-r-3)}E[(W−1)ij​(W−1)kl​]=(k−r)(k−r−1)(k−r−3)(k−r−2)δij​δkl​+δik​δjl​+δil​δjk​​; A. K. Gupta and D. K. Nagar, Matrix Variate Distributions, Chapman & Hall/CRC 2000, Thm. 3.4.3; D. von Rosen, Scand. J. Statist. 15 (1988) 97–109; cf. R. J. Muirhead, Aspects of Multivariate Statistical Theory, Wiley 1982, Sec. 3.2 (theorem numbers from memory). This is the case i=k≠j=li=k\ne j=li=k=j=l.

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