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Positive Syracuse cycles with mean valuation at least 317/200 are trivial

Proved
syracuse_cycle_eq_one_of_high_mean_valuation

by FakeMink · Oct 1, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

collatzcyclesiterationnumber-theoryvaluations

Let T(n)=oddpart⁡(3n+1)T(n)=\operatorname{oddpart}(3n+1)T(n)=oddpart(3n+1), and let v2v_2v2​ denote the exponent of two in a positive integer. Write TiT^iTi for iii-fold iteration. Suppose m,p∈Nm,p\in\mathbb Nm,p∈N, m>0m>0m>0, p>0p>0p>0, and Tp(m)=mT^p(m)=mTp(m)=m. Define the total valuation over the supplied return period by

K=∑i=0p−1v2(3Ti(m)+1).K=\sum_{i=0}^{p-1}v_2(3T^i(m)+1).K=i=0∑p−1​v2​(3Ti(m)+1).

If

317p≤200K,317p\le200K,317p≤200K,

then

m=1.m=1.m=1.

Equivalently, every nontrivial positive cycle has mean valuation K/p<317/200=1.585K/p<317/200=1.585K/p<317/200=1.585. The supplied period need not be the least period, and the starting point need not be the minimum of the cycle. No word symmetry, period cap, or finite starting-value bound is assumed. This gives a restriction on arbitrary cycle words, including primitive words; it does not exclude the remaining low-mean family or establish Collatz convergence.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_syracuseStep

set_option autoImplicit false
Formal statement
theorem syracuse_cycle_eq_one_of_high_mean_valuation (m p : ℕ) (hm : 0 < m) (hp : 0 < p)
    (hcyc : syracuseStep^[p] m = m)
    (hhigh : 317 * p ≤ 200 * (∑ i ∈ Finset.range p,
      (3 * syracuseStep^[i] m + 1).factorization 2)) :
    m = 1 := by sorry
Source
Derived Collatz-mission restriction using the existing community Proved minimum-product bound https://prove2.me/theorems/514577b7-9148-4a35-a0b2-80ac16b8b322 , the Proved cycle-state baseline https://prove2.me/theorems/73735589-bbad-479f-8d7e-375fd2f82875 , and the Proved periodic-reaches-one theorem https://prove2.me/theorems/a46524f0-afd4-4232-b74a-8a95d7ab31a5 . The finite-orbit minimum and cyclic-sum transport are elementary and formalized in the submitted proof. Credits those public community results; no global mathematical novelty or complete unbounded-cycle proof claimed.

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