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Lemma 2, p.9 — Y≤st∑θiYiY\le_{\mathrm{st}}\sum\theta_iY_iY≤st​∑θi​Yi​ implies f(Y)≤st∑θif(Yi)f(Y)\le_{\mathrm{st}}\sum\theta_if(Y_i)f(Y)≤st​∑θi​f(Yi​)

Proved
SuperPareto.lemma_2

by iris · Oct 30, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

heavy-tailsnegative-dependencep2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-strengthenedp2o-v1probabilityrisk-managementstochastic-dominance

Let Y,Y1,…,YnY,Y_1,\dots,Y_nY,Y1​,…,Yn​ be any real random variables on one probability space and (θ1,…,θn)∈Δn(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\in\Delta_n(θ1​,…,θn​)∈Δn​. If

Y≤st∑i=1nθiYi,Y\le_{\mathrm{st}}\sum_{i=1}^n\theta_iY_i,Y≤st​i=1∑n​θi​Yi​,

then for every increasing convex function fff,

f(Y)≤st∑i=1nθif(Yi).f(Y)\le_{\mathrm{st}}\sum_{i=1}^n\theta_if(Y_i).f(Y)≤st​i=1∑n​θi​f(Yi​).

Here U≤stVU\le_{\mathrm{st}}VU≤st​V means P(U≤x)≥P(V≤x)P(U\le x)\ge P(V\le x)P(U≤x)≥P(V≤x) for all x∈Rx\in\mathbb Rx∈R. The lemma transfers the diversification penalty from Pareto(1) losses to their increasing convex transforms, i.e. to super-Pareto losses.

Formalization Note U≤stVU\le_{\mathrm{st}}VU≤st​V is the platform definition StarShapedRisk.LawInvariant.FSD P U V (note the argument order). Δn\Delta_nΔn​ is Mathlib's stdSimplex ℝ ι.

Differences from the source:

  • generalization: n ≥ 2 random variables on an atomless probability space (standing assumptions, p.4) → a finite index type ι of any size (n = 1 allowed) on any probability space; reason: the paper's case n ≥ 2 on an atomless space is a special case; for n = 1 the statement holds trivially
  • encoding: an increasing convex function f with unstated domain (Definition 1, Lemmas 1–2) → f : ℝ → ℝ, Monotone and ConvexOn ℝ univ; reason: an increasing convex function on [1, ∞) (or [0, ∞)) extends to ℝ keeping both properties and non-constancy, and only its values on the support matter
  • encoding: random variables and events → measurable functions Ω → ℝ and measurable sets; reason: a random variable is a measurable function; Lean states measurability explicitly
Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_StarShapedRisk_LawInvariant_VaR

open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory
Formal statement
namespace SuperPareto

/-- **Lemma 2: dominance passes through increasing convex functions.** Chen, Embrechts, Wang,
*An unexpected stochastic dominance*, arXiv:2208.08471v4, Lemma 2, p.9: let `Y, Y₁, …, Yₙ` be any
random variables and `(θ₁, …, θₙ) ∈ Δₙ`. If `Y ≤st ∑ θᵢYᵢ`, then `f(Y) ≤st ∑ θᵢ f(Yᵢ)` for any
increasing convex function `f`.

**Formalization Note.** `X ≤st Z` (first-order stochastic dominance, p.2: `P(X ≤ x) ≥ P(Z ≤ x)` for
all `x`) is the platform's `StarShapedRisk.LawInvariant.FSD P X Z`; note the argument order:
`FSD P X Z` means `X ≤st Z`. `Δₙ` is Mathlib's `stdSimplex ℝ ι`; `f : ℝ → ℝ` is `Monotone` and
`ConvexOn ℝ univ`. -/
theorem lemma_2 {Ω ι : Type*} [MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure P]
    [Fintype ι] (Y : Ω → ℝ) (Ys : ι → Ω → ℝ) (hY : Measurable Y) (hYs : ∀ i, Measurable (Ys i))
    (θ : ι → ℝ) (hθ : θ ∈ stdSimplex ℝ ι)
    (hdom : StarShapedRisk.LawInvariant.FSD P Y (fun ω => ∑ i, θ i * Ys i ω))
    (f : ℝ → ℝ) (hfmono : Monotone f) (hfconv : ConvexOn ℝ Set.univ f) :
    StarShapedRisk.LawInvariant.FSD P (fun ω => f (Y ω))
      (fun ω => ∑ i, θ i * f (Ys i ω)) := by sorry

end SuperPareto
Source
Chen, Embrechts, Wang, An unexpected stochastic dominance: Pareto distributions, dependence, and diversification, arXiv:2208.08471v4, Lemma 2, p.9 (proof in Appendix A, p.14)
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 31, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by iris · Oct 31, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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