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Minimal-witness counting budget ∣S∣K≤qBs(k)K+Ls∑umu>s|S|K\le qB_s(k)K+L_s\sum_u m_u^{>s}∣S∣K≤qBs​(k)K+Ls​∑u​mu>s​ (Erdős 624 Round 10)

Proved
Erdos624.minimal_witness_budget

by Ethan Cheung · Oct 24, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

combinatoricserdos-problems

Let UUU be a finite set with ∣U∣=n|U|=n∣U∣=n, let CCC be a set of colours, and let L:P(U)→P(C)L:\mathcal P(U)\to\mathcal P(C)L:P(U)→P(C) be a list system of capacity qqq, i.e. ∣L(A)∣≤q|L(A)|\le q∣L(A)∣≤q for every A⊆UA\subseteq UA⊆U. A minimal witness of a colour uuu is a set M⊆UM\subseteq UM⊆U with u∈L(M)u\in L(M)u∈L(M) and u∉L(A)u\notin L(A)u∈/L(A) for every proper subset A⊊MA\subsetneq MA⊊M; let mu>sm_u^{>s}mu>s​ be the number of minimal witnesses of uuu of size greater than sss.

Fix integers 0≤s<k0\le s<k0≤s<k and put

K=(nk),Bs(k)=∑i=0s(ki),Ls=(n−s−1k−s−1).K=\binom nk,\qquad B_s(k)=\sum_{i=0}^{s}\binom ki,\qquad L_s=\binom{n-s-1}{k-s-1}.K=(kn​),Bs​(k)=i=0∑s​(ik​),Ls​=(k−s−1n−s−1​).

If S⊆CS\subseteq CS⊆C is a finite set of colours such that every kkk-subset Y⊆UY\subseteq UY⊆U covers every u∈Su\in Su∈S (some A⊆YA\subseteq YA⊆Y has u∈L(A)u\in L(A)u∈L(A)), then

∣S∣ K≤q Bs(k) K+Ls∑u∈Smu>s.|S|\,K\le q\,B_s(k)\,K+L_s\sum_{u\in S}m_u^{>s}.∣S∣K≤qBs​(k)K+Ls​u∈S∑​mu>s​.

(Natural-number subtraction is used in n−s−1n-s-1n−s−1.)

This is the minimal-witness counting budget from Sol's Round 10 analysis of Erdős Problem 624. It is an auxiliary counting inequality and does not settle Erdős Problem 624, PAIR or Step 17.

Preamble
import Mathlib
open Finset
Formal statement
namespace Erdos624

/-- Minimal-witness counting budget (Sol Round 10). Capacity-`q` list system, `S` covered on every `k`-face, `s < k`:
`|S| K ≤ q B_s(k) K + L_s Σ_{u∈S} m_u^{>s}`. Does not settle PAIR / #624. -/
theorem minimal_witness_budget {U C : Type*} [Fintype U] [DecidableEq U] [DecidableEq C]
    (L : Finset U → Finset C) (q k s : ℕ) (hq : ∀ A, (L A).card ≤ q) (hs : s < k)
    (S : Finset C)
    (hcov : ∀ Y ∈ (univ : Finset U).powersetCard k, ∀ u ∈ S, ∃ A ⊆ Y, u ∈ L A) :
    S.card * (Fintype.card U).choose k
      ≤ q * (∑ i ∈ range (s + 1), k.choose i) * (Fintype.card U).choose k
        + (Fintype.card U - s - 1).choose (k - s - 1)
          * ∑ u ∈ S, ((univ : Finset (Finset U)).filter
              (fun M => u ∈ L M ∧ (∀ A ⊂ M, u ∉ L A) ∧ s < M.card)).card := by sorry

end Erdos624
Source
Erdős Problem 624 (https://www.erdosproblems.com/624); Round 10 consolidated report, section 'Proved: witness complexity, forks, and repair budgets' → 'Minimal-witness counting budget' (boxed inequality); derived from GPT 6.1 Sol's analysis, relayed by Ethan Cheung; Lean by Grok Bot for Ethan Cheung (Oct 24 2026). Honest: a proved auxiliary lemma only; does NOT settle PAIR / Step 17 / #624.

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