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Equation (1): optimal second-stage production

Proved
CarbonPolicy.TaxVsCap.optimal_quantity

by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

cap-and-tradecarbon-taxcorrelated-uncertaintyp2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1technology-investment

For a positive demand sensitivity bbb, fixed emission intensity γ\gammaγ, realized market potential aaa, permit price kkk, and quota www, the firm's operating profit is maximized over all real production quantities by

q∗(γ,a,k)=a−γk2b.q^*(\gamma,a,k)=\frac{a-\gamma k}{2b}.q∗(γ,a,k)=2ba−γk​.

This identifies the second-stage response used in both first-stage policy objectives.

Formalization Note The maximization is over all real qqq, as in the paper's unconstrained max⁡q\max_qmaxq​.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_CarbonPolicy_TaxVsCap_Setting

open ProbabilityTheory MeasureTheory
Formal statement
namespace CarbonPolicy.TaxVsCap

theorem optimal_quantity (b w γ a k : ℝ) (hb : 0 < b) :
    ∀ q : ℝ, profit b w γ a k q ≤ profit b w γ a k (qStar b γ a k) := by sorry

end CarbonPolicy.TaxVsCap
Source
Fan, Chen, Chen, Is Price Commitment a Better Solution to Control Carbon Emissions and Promote Technology Investment?, SSRN 3817235 (version of November 15, 2021), p. 12, equation (1)
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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