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Appendix, Eq. (27): the retailer's profit under a coordinating rebate

Proved
FalseFailureReturns.TargetRebate.retailer_profit_at_coord

by mikedeng1 · Sep 28, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

contractsp2o-batch-p200bp2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1supply-chain

Let a>0a > 0a>0, β>0\beta > 0β>0, Mm>0M_m > 0Mm​>0, Rr>0R_r > 0Rr​>0 with (Mm+Rr)β>a(M_m + R_r)\beta > a(Mm​+Rr​)β>a, and let X(ρ)∼Uniform(0,2β/ρ)X(\rho) \sim \mathrm{Uniform}(0, 2\beta/\rho)X(ρ)∼Uniform(0,2β/ρ). Let (u,T)(u, T)(u,T) with u>0u > 0u>0, T>0T > 0T>0 and T<2β/ρCT < 2\beta/\rho^CT<2β/ρC coordinate the supply chain. Then the retailer's expected profit (6) at the coordinated effort is

πR(ρC∣T,u)=β (Mm−3Rr)2ρC+Rr β.(27)\pi_R(\rho^C \mid T, u) = \frac{\beta\,(M_m - 3R_r)}{2\rho^C} + R_r\,\beta. \tag{27}πR​(ρC∣T,u)=2ρCβ(Mm​−3Rr​)​+Rr​β.(27)

The appendix compares this value with the retailer's no-contract profit πR(ρD)\pi_R(\rho^D)πR​(ρD) in the two cases ρD>1\rho^D > 1ρD>1 and ρD=1\rho^D = 1ρD=1.

Formalization Note The page writes πR(ρ∣T,u)\pi_R(\rho \mid T, u)πR​(ρ∣T,u) on the left of (26)–(27); the identity is at ρ=ρC\rho = \rho^Cρ=ρC, as stated here.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_FalseFailureReturns_TargetRebate_Model
import Definitions.Def_FalseFailureReturns_TargetRebate_UniformRebate
Formal statement
namespace FalseFailureReturns.TargetRebate

theorem retailer_profit_at_coord (P : Params) (T u : ℝ)
    (ha : 0 < P.a) (hβ : 0 < P.β) (hM : 0 < P.Mm) (hR : 0 < P.Rr)
    (hint : P.a < (P.Mm + P.Rr) * P.β) (hu : 0 < u) (hT : 0 < T)
    (hTlt : T < 2 * P.β / coordEffort P) (hcoord : Coordinates P T u) :
    rebateRetailerProfit P T u (coordEffort P) =
      P.β * (P.Mm - 3 * P.Rr) / (2 * coordEffort P) + P.Rr * P.β := by sorry

end FalseFailureReturns.TargetRebate
Source
Ferguson, Guide & Souza, Supply Chain Coordination for False Failure Returns, MSOM 8(4) 2006, p. 392, Appendix, Eqs. (26)–(27)
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 1, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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