Reflected drawdown resets to the shifted future supremum at an attained first record
ProvedAvramDividend.Classical.firstRecord_drawdown_post_shift_resetAt any finite first strict upward passage u of a nonnegative level b, reflected drawdown is zero at u. Consequently the drawdown at u+t equals precisely the future shifted path's running supremum over [0,t] minus its terminal value. This composes two independently Proved pathwise theorems and removes the pre-record history from the future ruin criterion, a core prerequisite of the strong-Markov killed-record renewal step.
Preamble
import Mathlib.Order.ConditionallyCompleteLattice.Basic import Definitions.Def_AvramDividend_Classical_Reflection import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_firstUpcrossing_runningSup_sub_path_eq_zero import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_drawdown_after_firstUpcrossing_shift open MeasureTheory Set open scoped NNReal ENNReal open AvramDividend.Classical
Formal statement
theorem AvramDividend.Classical.firstRecord_drawdown_post_shift_reset
{Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω}
{𝓕 : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ}
(X : SpectrallyNegativeLevy P 𝓕)
(b : ℝ) (hb : 0 ≤ b) (ω : Ω) (u : ℝ≥0)
(hu : (u : ℝ≥0∞) =
(⨅ (s : ℝ≥0) (_ : b < X.X s ω), (s : ℝ≥0∞)))
(hBdd : BddAbove ((fun r : ℝ≥0 => X.X r ω) '' Set.Icc 0 u)) :
∀ t : ℝ≥0,
runningSup X (u + t) ω - X.X (u + t) ω =
sSup ((fun r : ℝ≥0 => X.X (u + r) ω) '' Set.Icc 0 t) -
X.X (u + t) ω := by sorrySource
Avram, Palmowski and Pistorius (2007), Proposition 1; drawdown restart at attained reflected barrier records.