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§3, p. 5, example after (8) — the non-strategic optimum is the threshold policy π = (1, 1, 1)

Proved
StrategicPolicy.StochasticOpt.nonstrategic_optimum

by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

decision-policyp2o-batch-pfp2ap2o-gran-per-chapterp2o-plan-paperp2o-v1threshold-rule

In the three-value instance of §3, consider the non-strategic utility, in which individuals do not change their features:

uNS(π,γ)=∑x=13P(x) (P(y=1∣x)−γ) π(x).u_{\mathrm{NS}}(\pi,\gamma)=\sum_{x=1}^{3}P(x)\,\bigl(P(y=1\mid x)-\gamma\bigr)\,\pi(x).uNS​(π,γ)=x=1∑3​P(x)(P(y=1∣x)−γ)π(x).

A policy π\piπ with values in [0,1][0,1][0,1] maximizes uNSu_{\mathrm{NS}}uNS​ over all such policies if and only if π(x)=1\pi(x)=1π(x)=1 for x=1,2,3x=1,2,3x=1,2,3.

Since every P(y=1∣x)P(y=1\mid x)P(y=1∣x) exceeds γ=0.1\gamma=0.1γ=0.1, this is the deterministic threshold rule (8), and it is the unique non-strategic optimum.

Formalization Note Optimality is IsMaxOn over the whole set of policies [0,1]3[0,1]^3[0,1]3.

Preamble
import Mathlib
import Definitions.Def_StrategicPolicy_StochasticOpt_Setting
import Definitions.Def_StrategicPolicy_StochasticOpt_Example
Formal statement
namespace StrategicPolicy.StochasticOpt

theorem nonstrategic_optimum :
    ∀ π ∈ Policies 3, IsMaxOn (uNS p0 q0 γ0) (Policies 3) π ↔ π = fun _ => 1 := by sorry

end StrategicPolicy.StochasticOpt
Source
Tsirtsis et al., Optimal Decision Making Under Strategic Behavior, arXiv:1905.09239v5, p. 5, §3, example after (8), first sentence after the cost matrix
Human review
  • Endorsed by Shuze Chen · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the moderator at approval.

  • Endorsed by mikedeng1 · Oct 16, 2026

    Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).

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