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The running supremum of future Lévy increments is nonnegative after every finite time shift

Proved
AvramDividend.Classical.shiftedLevy_runningSup_nonnegative

by WillR · Oct 26, 2026 · Mathlib 0df444a (Lean v4.33.1)

avram-dividendbarrier-valuerunning-supremumshifted-levy

For every sample path, finite time shift u and nonnegative future interval length t, the supremum of the future increments X(u+v)-X(u) over 0≤v≤t is nonnegative. It contains its zero-time increment, which is exactly zero, and the supremum is finite by local path boundedness. This allows removal of max(0, ...) from the first shifted reflected-reserve ruin threshold, putting the strong-Markov barrier restart in canonical running-supremum form.

Preamble
import Mathlib.Order.ConditionallyCompleteLattice.Basic
import Theorems.Thm_AvramDividend_Classical_levyPath_bddAbove_Icc
open AvramDividend.Classical MeasureTheory Set
open scoped NNReal ENNReal
Formal statement
theorem AvramDividend.Classical.shiftedLevy_runningSup_nonnegative
    {Ω : Type*} [mΩ : MeasurableSpace Ω] {P : Measure Ω}
    {𝓕 : Filtration ℝ≥0 mΩ}
    (X : SpectrallyNegativeLevy P 𝓕)
    (ω : Ω) (u t : ℝ≥0) :
    0 ≤ sSup ((fun v : ℝ≥0 => X.X (u + v) ω - X.X u ω) ''
        Set.Icc 0 t) := by sorry
Source
Proved levyPath_bddAbove_Icc c2066587 and exact shifted Lévy increment path at v=0. For barrier strategy shifted ruin clock 609e34dd and standing valuation 79978d61.

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