Base rate calibration and technical premium adequacy: ratLossRatio_zero
ProvedActuarialValuation.ratLossRatio_zeroactuarial-scienceexposure-weighted-ratemakingformal-verification
Claims-free experience has zero observed loss ratio. The full Lean declaration specifies the finite boundaries, exact units and any positivity, independence or regularity assumptions. This is an original derived Actuarial mathematical statement, not a claim of a numbered previously published theorem.
Mathematical relation:
Preamble
import Mathlib.Data.Real.Basic import Mathlib.Algebra.BigOperators.Group.Finset.Basic import Definitions.Def_actuarial_ratLossRatio
Formal statement
namespace ActuarialValuation theorem ratLossRatio_zero (premium : ℝ) : ratLossRatio 0 premium = 0 := by sorry end ActuarialValuation
Source
Original derived actuarial mathematics, published source page 1. Actuarial Standards Board, ASOP 53 Estimating Future Costs for Prospective Property/Casualty Risk Transfer and Risk Retention (2017), Section 3.7, https://www.actuarialstandardsboard.org/asops/estimating-future-costs-prospective-propertycasualty-risk-transfer-risk-retention/; Casualty Actuarial Society, Basic Ratemaking presentation (2012), https://www.airc.org.tw/newsfiles/BasicRatemakingI.pdf. Parent topic: General insurance loss-cost pricing, exposure-weighted class relativities and exact pure premium calibration. The particular Lean formula is a new finite/real-algebraic formalisation and remains an unproved theorem target if labelled theorem. Relevant published actuarial derivation: https://www.actuarialstandardsboard.org/asops/estimating-future-costs-prospective-propertycasualty-risk-transfer-risk-retention/
Human review
Confirmed by the mission captain (proposal self-audit).
Confirmed by the moderator at approval.