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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.1308255793978239Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it17 of 18 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record
4 provers on it7 of 7 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Machine LearningOperations ResearchOptimal Transport+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Regularization via Mass Transportation II: Wasserstein-Robust Linear Regression Equals Empirical Loss plus a Dual-Norm PenaltyResearch Paper

Motivation

Ordinary least squares and its robust relatives (least absolute deviations, Huber, ϵ\epsilonϵ-insensitive and quantile regression) fit a linear predictor by minimizing an average loss over the training sample. That average estimates the out-of-sample error poorly when the sample is small, and the usual fix is to add a regularization penalty such as a norm of the weights. Choosing that penalty is often a heuristic. Distributionally robust optimization gives one principled derivation of it: hedge against every data-generating distribution that is close to the empirical one in a Wasserstein distance, and minimize the worst-case expected loss.

S. Shafieezadeh-Abadeh, D. Kuhn and P. Mohajerin Esfahani, Regularization via Mass Transportation (arXiv:1710.10016v3, 2019; JMLR 20, 2019), show that for linear regression with a convex Lipschitz loss this worst-case problem is exactly a regularized empirical risk problem, with an explicit dual-norm penalty. The same identity appears for the logistic loss in Shafieezadeh-Abadeh, Mohajerin Esfahani and Kuhn, Distributionally Robust Logistic Regression (NeurIPS 2015, arXiv:1509.09259). For a general convex loss it is Theorem 10 of the tutorial by Kuhn, Mohajerin Esfahani, Nguyen and Shafieezadeh-Abadeh (arXiv:1908.08729). Blanchet, Kang and Murthy (arXiv:1610.05627) obtain the square-root Lasso from a type-2 transport cost. This mission formalizes the regression theorem of the first paper, Theorem 3.1(ii) on p. 8. The source PDF is the arXiv preprint v3, and every page and label cited here refers to it.

Setting

Data. Inputs are x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn and outputs are y∈Ry\in\mathbb Ry∈R. A pair is written ξ=(x,y)∈Rn+1\xi=(x,y)\in\mathbb R^{n+1}ξ=(x,y)∈Rn+1. The training samples are (x^i,y^i)(\hat x_i,\hat y_i)(x^i​,y^​i​) for i=1,…,Ni=1,\dots,Ni=1,…,N, and P^N=1N∑i=1Nδ(x^i,y^i)\hat{\mathbb P}_N=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\delta_{(\hat x_i,\hat y_i)}P^N​=N1​∑i=1N​δ(x^i​,y^​i​)​ is their empirical distribution (§2.1, p. 5).

Hypotheses and loss. A weight vector w∈Rnw\in\mathbb R^nw∈Rn defines the linear hypothesis h(x)=⟨w,x⟩h(x)=\langle w,x\rangleh(x)=⟨w,x⟩. A univariate convex loss L:R→RL:\mathbb R\to\mathbb RL:R→R defines the regression loss ℓ(⟨w,x⟩,y)=L(⟨w,x⟩−y)\ell(\langle w,x\rangle,y)=L(\langle w,x\rangle-y)ℓ(⟨w,x⟩,y)=L(⟨w,x⟩−y) (§3.1, p. 8). The residual ⟨w,x⟩−y\langle w,x\rangle-y⟨w,x⟩−y is the pairing of ξ\xiξ with the vector (w,−1)(w,-1)(w,−1).

Norms. Rn+1\mathbb R^{n+1}Rn+1 carries an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ with dual norm ∥z∥∗=sup⁡{⟨z,ξ⟩:∥ξ∥≤1}\|z\|_*=\sup\{\langle z,\xi\rangle:\|\xi\|\le1\}∥z∥∗​=sup{⟨z,ξ⟩:∥ξ∥≤1} (§1.1, p. 4). The Lipschitz modulus of LLL is lip(L)=sup⁡z≠z′∣L(z)−L(z′)∣/∣z−z′∣\mathrm{lip}(L)=\sup_{z\ne z'}|L(z)-L(z')|/|z-z'|lip(L)=supz=z′​∣L(z)−L(z′)∣/∣z−z′∣, and the convex conjugate is L∗(θ)=sup⁡zθz−L(z)L^*(\theta)=\sup_z\theta z-L(z)L∗(θ)=supz​θz−L(z) (§1.1).

Wasserstein ball. With transport cost d(ξ,ξ′)=∥ξ−ξ′∥d(\xi,\xi')=\|\xi-\xi'\|d(ξ,ξ′)=∥ξ−ξ′∥, the Wasserstein distance (Definition 2.2, p. 7) is

W(Q,Q′)=inf⁡Π∫d(ξ,ξ′) Π(dξ,dξ′),W(\mathbb Q,\mathbb Q')=\inf_\Pi\int d(\xi,\xi')\,\Pi(\mathrm d\xi,\mathrm d\xi'),W(Q,Q′)=Πinf​∫d(ξ,ξ′)Π(dξ,dξ′),

where the infimum runs over couplings Π\PiΠ of Q\mathbb QQ and Q′\mathbb Q'Q′. The ball of radius ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0 is Bρ(P^N)={Q:Q(Ξ)=1, W(Q,P^N)≤ρ}\mathbb B_\rho(\hat{\mathbb P}_N)=\{\mathbb Q:\mathbb Q(\Xi)=1,\ W(\mathbb Q,\hat{\mathbb P}_N)\le\rho\}Bρ​(P^N​)={Q:Q(Ξ)=1, W(Q,P^N​)≤ρ} (3). The distributionally robust regression problem is

inf⁡w sup⁡Q∈Bρ(P^N)EQ[L(⟨w,x⟩−y)].(4)\inf_w\ \sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\rho(\hat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}\big[L(\langle w,x\rangle-y)\big].\qquad(4)winf​ Q∈Bρ​(P^N​)sup​EQ[L(⟨w,x⟩−y)].(4)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1(ii), p. 8

Let Ξ=Rn+1\Xi=\mathbb R^{n+1}Ξ=Rn+1, ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0, N≥1N\ge1N≥1, and let LLL be nonnegative, convex and Lipschitz continuous. Then for every www

sup⁡Q∈Bρ(P^N)EQ[L(⟨w,x⟩−y)]=1N∑i=1NL(⟨w,x^i⟩−y^i)+ρ lip(L) ∥(w,−1)∥∗,\sup_{\mathbb Q\in\mathbb B_\rho(\hat{\mathbb P}_N)}\mathbb E^{\mathbb Q}\big[L(\langle w,x\rangle-y)\big]=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^NL(\langle w,\hat x_i\rangle-\hat y_i)+\rho\,\mathrm{lip}(L)\,\|(w,-1)\|_*,Q∈Bρ​(P^N​)sup​EQ[L(⟨w,x⟩−y)]=N1​i=1∑N​L(⟨w,x^i​⟩−y^​i​)+ρlip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗​,

so (4) and the regularized problem (6) have the same optimal value.

Milestones

  1. Lemma A.1 (p. 28). The worst case over the ball equals inf⁡λ≥0λρ+1N∑isup⁡ξ[I(ξ)−λd(ξ,ξ^i)]\inf_{\lambda\ge0}\lambda\rho+\frac1N\sum_i\sup_\xi[I(\xi)-\lambda d(\xi,\hat\xi_i)]infλ≥0​λρ+N1​∑i​supξ​[I(ξ)−λd(ξ,ξ^​i​)]. This milestone is linked to the published, proved WassersteinDRO.Duality.strong_duality_worst_case_risk_v2, which covers it for ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0.
  2. Lemma A.3 (p. 29). For γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, sup⁡ζL(⟨β,ζ⟩)−γ∥ζ−ζ^∥\sup_\zeta L(\langle\beta,\zeta\rangle)-\gamma\|\zeta-\hat\zeta\|supζ​L(⟨β,ζ⟩)−γ∥ζ−ζ^​∥ equals L(⟨β,ζ^⟩)L(\langle\beta,\hat\zeta\rangle)L(⟨β,ζ^​⟩) if lip(L)∥β∥∗≤γ\mathrm{lip}(L)\|\beta\|_*\le\gammalip(L)∥β∥∗​≤γ, and +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise.
  3. End of the proof of Lemma A.3 (p. 30). lip(L)=sup⁡{∣θ∣:L∗(θ)<∞}\mathrm{lip}(L)=\sup\{|\theta|:L^*(\theta)<\infty\}lip(L)=sup{∣θ∣:L∗(θ)<∞}.
  4. The inf-over-λ\lambdaλ display in the proof of Theorem 3.1(ii) (pp. 30–31). The worst case equals inf⁡{λρ+1N∑iL(⟨w,x^i⟩−y^i):λ≥0, lip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗≤λ}\inf\{\lambda\rho+\frac1N\sum_iL(\langle w,\hat x_i\rangle-\hat y_i):\lambda\ge0,\ \mathrm{lip}(L)\|(w,-1)\|_*\le\lambda\}inf{λρ+N1​∑i​L(⟨w,x^i​⟩−y^​i​):λ≥0, lip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗​≤λ}.

Significance

The result. The theorem turns an infinite-dimensional min–max problem over distributions into a finite convex program over www: an empirical average plus a norm penalty. The penalty is not ∥w∥∗\|w\|_*∥w∥∗​ but ∥(w,−1)∥∗\|(w,-1)\|_*∥(w,−1)∥∗​, because the transport cost moves outputs as well as inputs. It scales with the radius ρ\rhoρ and with the Lipschitz modulus of the univariate loss. With the Huber, ϵ\epsilonϵ-insensitive and pinball losses it gives Corollaries 3.2–3.4 of the paper. It also gives a statistical reading of the regularization weight as a Wasserstein radius, which the paper's §4 turns into generalization bounds.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; none of its items is formalized yet except Lemma A.1. Lemma A.1 is available in a general form (any p≥1p\ge1p≥1, any closed support set, ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0) as a proved platform theorem from the mission Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization. The per-www identity also follows from the proved WassersteinDRO.Duality.convex_loss_p1_v2 (Theorem 10 of the tutorial, also present as WassersteinDRO.Regularization.convex_loss_p1_v2; the public mission Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization IV has it as goal) once one shows that lip(L∘⟨(w,−1),⋅⟩)=lip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗\mathrm{lip}(L\circ\langle(w,-1),\cdot\rangle)=\mathrm{lip}(L)\|(w,-1)\|_*lip(L∘⟨(w,−1),⋅⟩)=lip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗​. No platform item states that factorization. What this mission adds is the paper's explicit form of the penalty, Lemma A.3 (the inner supremum for an arbitrary convex Lipschitz loss and an arbitrary norm), and the conjugate description of the Lipschitz modulus. The last two are reusable in classification (mission I of this series states them again in its own namespace) and in every Wasserstein-regularization result with linear hypotheses.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is to write the worst case as a supremum over perturbations of the samples and bound each perturbed loss by its Lipschitz constant. That gives only the inequality "≤\le≤", and only for one Lipschitz constant. The identity needs two further steps that this bound does not supply. First, the bound must be attained: the supremum over distributions has to be shown to reach ρ lip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗\rho\,\mathrm{lip}(L)\|(w,-1)\|_*ρlip(L)∥(w,−1)∥∗​, a matching lower bound that a Lipschitz estimate cannot give. Second, lip(L)\mathrm{lip}(L)lip(L) must be the modulus, not any constant: an upper Lipschitz constant K>lip(L)K>\mathrm{lip}(L)K>lip(L) makes the identity false. In Lemma A.3 the case lip(L)∥β∥∗=γ\mathrm{lip}(L)\|\beta\|_*=\gammalip(L)∥β∥∗​=γ sits exactly on the boundary between a finite and an infinite supremum. A further point is that the duality of Lemma A.1 needs ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, while the theorem includes ρ=0\rho=0ρ=0.

Formalization scope

  • Space. Rn+1\mathbb R^{n+1}Rn+1 with an arbitrary norm is an abstract finite-dimensional real normed space E with its Borel σ-algebra. A continuous linear isomorphism e : E ≃L[ℝ] (Fin n → ℝ) × ℝ reads off inputs and outputs. The theorem therefore covers every norm on Rn+1\mathbb R^{n+1}Rn+1; fixing a concrete norm would prove it for that norm only. The functional (w,−1)(w,-1)(w,−1) is pairing e w, and ∥(w,−1)∥∗\|(w,-1)\|_*∥(w,−1)∥∗​ is its operator norm.
  • Published objects. The ball, the worst case, the empirical distribution and the Lipschitz modulus are the published definitions WassersteinDRO_Duality_ambiguitySet, _worstCaseRisk_v2, _empiricalDistribution and _lipschitzModulus. The worst case is taken in the extended reals, and expectations follow the convention of nominalRisk_v2 (no junk value for non-integrable losses). lip(L)\mathrm{lip}(L)lip(L) takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • Standing assumptions. LLL is nonnegative, convex on R\mathbb RR and Lipschitz continuous; N≥1N\ge1N≥1; ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0; Ξ=Rn+1\Xi=\mathbb R^{n+1}Ξ=Rn+1. The paper's L≥0L\ge0L≥0 (§2.1) is imposed as the standing loss-function assumption.
  • Reading of "equivalent". The paper does not define the word. The goal states the per-www identity that the proof establishes plus equality of optimal values. Attainment of the infimum is not claimed.
  • Corrections. The printed display on p. 30 omits a factor 1N\frac1NN1​ and carries a stray ∣θ∣|\theta|∣θ∣ in the constraint; milestone 4 states the corrected identity. The printed Lemma A.1 omits ρ>0\rho>0ρ>0, which its proof uses; the linked platform theorem has it.
  • Ruled out. The goal is not a restatement of Theorem 10 with Lip(ℓw)\mathrm{Lip}(\ell_w)Lip(ℓw​) of the composite loss: its right-hand side is the explicit average of (6) with lip\mathrm{lip}lip of the univariate LLL and the dual norm of (w,−1)(w,-1)(w,−1).
  • Welcome contributions. The factorization lip(L∘β)=lip(L)∥β∥∗\mathrm{lip}(L\circ\beta)=\mathrm{lip}(L)\|\beta\|_*lip(L∘β)=lip(L)∥β∥∗​ for a linear functional β\betaβ on a finite-dimensional normed space, conjugate calculus for univariate convex functions, and the evaluation of the worst case at ρ=0\rho=0ρ=0.

Selected references

  • S. Shafieezadeh-Abadeh, D. Kuhn, P. Mohajerin Esfahani, Regularization via Mass Transportation, arXiv:1710.10016v3, 2019; J. Mach. Learn. Res. 20(103), 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10016
  • D. Kuhn, P. Mohajerin Esfahani, V. A. Nguyen, S. Shafieezadeh-Abadeh, Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization: Theory and Applications in Machine Learning, INFORMS TutORials, 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.08729
  • P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Data-driven distributionally robust optimization using the Wasserstein metric, Math. Program. 171, 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1505.05116
  • S. Shafieezadeh-Abadeh, P. Mohajerin Esfahani, D. Kuhn, Distributionally Robust Logistic Regression, NeurIPS, 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.09259
  • J. Blanchet, Y. Kang, K. Murthy, Robust Wasserstein Profile Inference and Applications to Machine Learning, J. Appl. Probab. 56(3), 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.05627
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Convex Optimization Theory, Athena Scientific, 2009 (cited as [9] in the paper for Propositions 5.3.1 and 5.5.4).
15 thms5 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
CombinatoricsGroup TheoryNumber Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

New Proofs of Plünnecke-type Estimates for Product Sets in Groups 1: In an Abelian Group, |A + B| ≤ α|A| Gives One Nonempty X ⊆ A with |X + hB| ≤ αʰ|X| for Every hResearch Paper

Motivation

A basic question of additive combinatorics asks how a set grows under repeated addition. If a finite set AAA in an abelian group satisfies ∣A+B∣≤α∣A∣|A + B| \le \alpha |A|∣A+B∣≤α∣A∣ for some finite set BBB, how large can the iterated sumsets hB=B+⋯+BhB = B + \cdots + BhB=B+⋯+B be? Plünnecke's inequality gives the answer used throughout the subject: some nonempty part of AAA grows by at most a factor α\alphaα per added copy of BBB. Combined with Ruzsa's triangle inequality it becomes the Plünnecke–Ruzsa inequality ∣mB−nB∣≤αm+n∣A∣|mB - nB| \le \alpha^{m+n}|A|∣mB−nB∣≤αm+n∣A∣, which underlies Freĭman-type structure theorems, sum–product estimates and the polynomial Freĭman–Ruzsa programme.

Timeline.

  • 1970: H. Plünnecke proves the inequality for iterated sumsets in abelian groups with a graph-theoretic method (commutative layered graphs and Menger's theorem).
  • 1989: I. Z. Ruzsa simplifies Plünnecke's argument and combines it with the triangle inequality to bound ∣mB−nB∣|mB - nB|∣mB−nB∣.
  • 2011: G. Petridis gives a short elementary proof, without graphs (arXiv:1101.3507, Combinatorica 32, 2012). His argument also shows that one subset X⊆AX \subseteq AX⊆A works for every number of summands hhh, and it extends to triple products CXBCXBCXB in non-abelian groups.

Setting

Let GGG be a group with finite subsets AAA, BBB, CCC. The product set is AB={ab:a∈A, b∈B}AB = \{ab : a \in A,\ b \in B\}AB={ab:a∈A, b∈B}, and ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ denotes cardinality. In an abelian group, written additively, the sumset is A+B={a+b:a∈A, b∈B}A + B = \{a + b : a \in A,\ b \in B\}A+B={a+b:a∈A, b∈B}, and for h≥0h \ge 0h≥0 the iterated sumset hBhBhB is B+⋯+BB + \cdots + BB+⋯+B with hhh summands, 0B={0}0B = \{0\}0B={0}. It is not the dilate {hb:b∈B}\{hb : b \in B\}{hb:b∈B}.

A nonempty subset X⊆AX \subseteq AX⊆A has minimal growth under BBB if

∣XB∣∣X∣≤∣ZB∣∣Z∣for every nonempty Z⊆A.\frac{|XB|}{|X|} \le \frac{|ZB|}{|Z|} \quad\text{for every nonempty } Z \subseteq A.∣X∣∣XB∣​≤∣Z∣∣ZB∣​for every nonempty Z⊆A.

Such an XXX exists whenever AAA is nonempty, since AAA has finitely many subsets. In Lean, GGG is a Group or AddCommGroup with decidable equality, the sets are Finset G with the pointwise operations of Mathlib (A * B, A + B, h • B), and cardinalities are #A cast to ℝ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

For finite AAA, BBB in an abelian group with AAA nonempty and ∣A+B∣≤α∣A∣|A + B| \le \alpha|A|∣A+B∣≤α∣A∣, there is a nonempty X⊆AX \subseteq AX⊆A with

∣X+hB∣≤αh∣X∣for every h≥0.|X + hB| \le \alpha^h |X| \qquad \text{for every } h \ge 0.∣X+hB∣≤αh∣X∣for every h≥0.

The point is the order of quantifiers: one XXX serves all hhh.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2.1 (p. 5). If ∣XB∣/∣X∣≤∣ZB∣/∣Z∣|XB|/|X| \le |ZB|/|Z|∣XB∣/∣X∣≤∣ZB∣/∣Z∣ for every Z⊆XZ \subseteq XZ⊆X, then ∣CXB∣≤∣XB∣∣X∣ ∣CX∣|CXB| \le \frac{|XB|}{|X|}\,|CX|∣CXB∣≤∣X∣∣XB∣​∣CX∣ for every finite CCC, in any group. This is already on the platform, proved, as FamousTheorems.pluennecke_petridis (additive notation, cross-multiplied), and enters the mission as a reference.
  2. Theorem 1.5 (p. 3). In any group, ∣AB∣≤α∣A∣|AB| \le \alpha|A|∣AB∣≤α∣A∣ with AAA nonempty gives a nonempty X⊆AX \subseteq AX⊆A with
∣CXB∣≤α∣CX∣for every finite C.|CXB| \le \alpha |CX| \quad\text{for every finite } C.∣CXB∣≤α∣CX∣for every finite C.
  1. Inductive step of Theorem 3.1 (p. 7). For X⊆AX \subseteq AX⊆A of minimal growth and ∣A+B∣≤α∣A∣|A+B| \le \alpha|A|∣A+B∣≤α∣A∣:
∣X+hB∣≤α ∣X+(h−1)B∣(h≥1).|X + hB| \le \alpha\,|X + (h-1)B| \quad (h \ge 1).∣X+hB∣≤α∣X+(h−1)B∣(h≥1).

Significance

Theorem 3.1 is the form of Plünnecke's inequality used in applications. Two consequences follow directly. Taking A=BA = BA=B gives ∣hB∣≤αh∣B∣|hB| \le \alpha^h|B|∣hB∣≤αh∣B∣ whenever ∣2B∣≤α∣B∣|2B| \le \alpha|B|∣2B∣≤α∣B∣. Combining one XXX for all hhh with Ruzsa's triangle inequality gives ∣mB−nB∣≤αm+n∣A∣|mB - nB| \le \alpha^{m+n}|A|∣mB−nB∣≤αm+n∣A∣ (Theorem 1.2 of the paper). With a separate XXX for each hhh, the second step would need the same set for mmm and nnn, and that is exactly what Theorem 3.1 provides. Theorem 1.5 is the non-abelian ingredient: missions 2 and 3 of this series apply it to obtain explicit Plünnecke-type bounds for ∣Bh∣|B^h|∣Bh∣ and ∣SBh∣|SB^h|∣SBh∣ in arbitrary groups.

Formalizing it. The results are proved and classical. Mathlib already contains Proposition 2.1 (Finset.pluennecke_petridis_inequality_mul) and the Plünnecke–Ruzsa inequality Finset.pluennecke_ruzsa_inequality_nsmul_sub_nsmul_add. Its proof runs through a private lemma that bounds ∣X+hB∣|X + hB|∣X+hB∣ for one fixed minimiser, but no public statement in Mathlib or on the platform asserts Theorem 3.1 or Theorem 1.5 in the form "there exists a nonempty XXX for all hhh" (respectively "for all CCC"). This mission adds those statements as reusable, citable nodes in the paper's numbering.

Difficulty

A first attempt iterates the hypothesis directly: ∣A+2B∣≤α∣A+B∣|A + 2B| \le \alpha|A + B|∣A+2B∣≤α∣A+B∣ would follow if A+BA + BA+B again grew by a factor α\alphaα under BBB, but nothing controls the growth of A+BA + BA+B. The ratio ∣ZB∣/∣Z∣|ZB|/|Z|∣ZB∣/∣Z∣ is not monotone in ZZZ, and passing to subsets of AAA can only help if the subset is chosen correctly. Choosing a different good subset for each hhh gives Theorem 1.1 but loses the uniformity. The work is to show that one fixed subset controls all the products CXBCXBCXB simultaneously, and in the non-abelian Theorem 1.5 to keep the order of the factors CCC, XXX, BBB throughout.

Formalization scope

  • Theorem 3.1 and the inductive step are stated in an AddCommGroup with DecidableEq. Theorem 1.5 is stated in a Group, with no commutativity, as on the page. The factor order C⋅X⋅BC \cdot X \cdot BC⋅X⋅B is preserved.
  • hBhBhB is h • B (the hhh-fold sumset; 0 • B = {0}), and "for all hhh" ranges over all natural numbers, including the true case h=0h = 0h=0.
  • α\alphaα is an arbitrary real number; cardinalities are cast to ℝ. No hypothesis α≥1\alpha \ge 1α≥1 is added: it follows from the hypotheses once AAA and BBB are nonempty (with BBB empty they force only α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0, and every conclusion is still true).
  • Nonempty witness. The page says "there exists X⊆AX \subseteq AX⊆A". Since ∅+hB=∅\emptyset + hB = \emptyset∅+hB=∅, the empty set would satisfy the printed statements trivially, and that formalization is ruled out: the goal and Theorem 1.5 assume AAA nonempty and assert XXX nonempty, matching the paper's choice of XXX as a minimiser of a ratio defined on nonempty sets.
  • Minimal growth in the step milestone is written cross-multiplied, ∣X+B∣ ∣Z∣≤∣Z+B∣ ∣X∣|X+B|\,|Z| \le |Z+B|\,|X|∣X+B∣∣Z∣≤∣Z+B∣∣X∣, over nonempty Z⊆AZ \subseteq AZ⊆A; the step is stated for h≥1h \ge 1h≥1 with natural-number subtraction guarded by that hypothesis.
  • Ruzsa's covering lemma and Ruzsa's triangle inequality, quoted in §4, are in Mathlib (Finset.ruzsa_covering_mul, Finset.ruzsa_triangle_inequality_mul_mulInv_mul) and are not items of this mission.
  • No new definitions are needed. Welcome contributions: proofs of the three draft statements, and, separately, the deduction of Theorem 1.2 from Theorem 3.1.

Selected references

  • G. Petridis, New proofs of Plünnecke-type estimates for product sets in groups, arXiv:1101.3507v3, 2011; Combinatorica 32 (2012). https://arxiv.org/abs/1101.3507 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s00493-012-2818-5
  • H. Plünnecke, Eine zahlentheoretische Anwendung der Graphentheorie, J. Reine Angew. Math. 243 (1970) 171–183. https://doi.org/10.1515/crll.1970.243.171
  • I. Z. Ruzsa, An application of graph theory to additive number theory, Scientia, Ser. A 3 (1989) 97–109 (no online version).
  • T. Tao, V. Vu, Additive Combinatorics, Cambridge University Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511755149
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimality of (s, S) Policies in Inventory Models with Markovian Demand I: With Markov-Modulated Demand and Fixed Ordering Costs, a State-Dependent (s, S) Policy Is Optimal over a Finite HorizonResearch Paper

Inventory control when demand follows the state of the world

Single-item inventory theory asks how much stock to order each period when the order carries a fixed cost KKK on top of a per-unit cost and demand is random. With independent, identically distributed demand, Scarf (1960) showed that the optimal finite-horizon policy has the (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) form: when the stock falls below the reorder point sss, order up to the level SSS; otherwise order nothing. His proof introduced KKK-convexity.

In practice demand is rarely i.i.d. It depends on economic conditions, seasons, or the stage of a product's life cycle, which change over time and carry over from one period to the next. Song and Zipkin (1993) modeled this by letting a Markov chain of "world states" modulate the demand distribution. Sethi and Cheng (1997) treat a general discrete-time model of this kind. The demand density, the cost parameters and the surplus cost all depend on the period and on the current demand state. They prove that a state-dependent (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) policy is optimal over a finite horizon. They require no growth condition on the backlog cost, and they allow sss and SSS to be −∞-\infty−∞.

Timeline:

  • 1960: Scarf proves (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) optimality for i.i.d. demand using KKK-convexity, assuming a backlog cost that grows faster than the unit ordering cost.
  • 1966: Veinott gives an alternative proof under different assumptions.
  • 1993: Song and Zipkin treat a continuous-time model with Markov-modulated Poisson demand and linear costs, assuming p>αcip > \alpha c^ip>αci.
  • 1997: Sethi and Cheng prove the discrete-time result studied here, with general convex surplus costs.

Setting

There are LLL demand states III and periods 0,1,…,N0, 1, \dots, N0,1,…,N. The state iki_kik​ in period kkk follows a Markov chain with transition matrix P=(pij)P = (p_{ij})P=(pij​). Given ik=ii_k = iik​=i, the demand ξk≥0\xi_k \ge 0ξk​≥0 has density φi,k\varphi_{i,k}φi,k​, with mean at most MMM. At the start of period kkk an order uk≥0u_k \ge 0uk​≥0 is placed and arrives at once. Then demand is subtracted, and unmet demand is backlogged:

xk+1=xk+uk−ξk.x_{k+1} = x_k + u_k - \xi_k .xk+1​=xk​+uk​−ξk​.

Ordering costs ck(i,u)=Kkiδ(u)+ckiuc_k(i,u) = K^i_k\delta(u) + c^i_k uck​(i,u)=Kki​δ(u)+cki​u, with δ(u)=1\delta(u) = 1δ(u)=1 for u>0u > 0u>0 and 000 otherwise, and Kki,cki≥0K^i_k, c^i_k \ge 0Kki​,cki​≥0. A surplus xxx costs fk(i,x)f_k(i,x)fk​(i,x), a convex, nonnegative function with fk(i,0)=0f_k(i,0) = 0fk​(i,0)=0 and fk(i,x)≤C(1+∣x∣)f_k(i,x) \le C(1+|x|)fk​(i,x)≤C(1+∣x∣).

A decision U=(un,…,uN−1)U = (u_n, \dots, u_{N-1})U=(un​,…,uN−1​) may depend on the whole observed history: the states up to the current one and the past demands. The objective and the value function are

Jn(i,x;U)=E{∑k=nN[ck(ik,uk)+fk(ik,xk)]},vn(i,x)=inf⁡UJn(i,x;U).J_n(i,x;U) = E\Big\{\sum_{k=n}^{N} \big[c_k(i_k,u_k) + f_k(i_k,x_k)\big]\Big\}, \qquad v_n(i,x) = \inf_U J_n(i,x;U).Jn​(i,x;U)=E{k=n∑N​[ck​(ik​,uk​)+fk​(ik​,xk​)]},vn​(i,x)=Uinf​Jn​(i,x;U).

With

Fn+1(b)(i,y)=∑jpij∫0∞b(j,y−z)φi,n(z) dz,F_{n+1}(b)(i,y) = \sum_j p_{ij}\int_0^\infty b(j,y-z)\varphi_{i,n}(z)\,dz,Fn+1​(b)(i,y)=j∑​pij​∫0∞​b(j,y−z)φi,n​(z)dz,

the dynamic programming equations are vN=fNv_N = f_NvN​=fN​ and

vn(i,x)=fn(i,x)+inf⁡u≥0{cn(i,u)+Fn+1(vn+1)(i,x+u)}.v_n(i,x) = f_n(i,x) + \inf_{u\ge 0}\big\{c_n(i,u) + F_{n+1}(v_{n+1})(i,x+u)\big\}.vn​(i,x)=fn​(i,x)+u≥0inf​{cn​(i,u)+Fn+1​(vn+1​)(i,x+u)}.

A function ggg is KKK-convex if K+g(z+y)≥g(y)+z (g(y)−g(y−b))/bK + g(z+y) \ge g(y) + z\,(g(y)-g(y-b))/bK+g(z+y)≥g(y)+z(g(y)−g(y−b))/b for all z≥0z \ge 0z≥0, b>0b > 0b>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

Assume, for n∈⟨0,N−1⟩n \in \langle 0, N-1\ranglen∈⟨0,N−1⟩ and all iii,

Kni≥∑jpijKn+1j≥0(4.1),cnix+Fn+1(fn+1)(i,x)→+∞ (x→∞)(4.2).K^i_n \ge \sum_j p_{ij}K^j_{n+1} \ge 0 \quad (4.1), \qquad c^i_n x + F_{n+1}(f_{n+1})(i,x) \to +\infty \ (x\to\infty) \quad (4.2).Kni​≥j∑​pij​Kn+1j​≥0(4.1),cni​x+Fn+1​(fn+1​)(i,x)→+∞ (x→∞)(4.2).

Then there are extended reals sni≤Sni<+∞s^i_n \le S^i_n < +\inftysni​≤Sni​<+∞ such that the rule

u^n(i,x)=(Sni−x) δ(sni−x)\hat u_n(i,x) = (S^i_n - x)\,\delta(s^i_n - x)u^n​(i,x)=(Sni​−x)δ(sni​−x)

(a) attains the infimum in the dynamic programming equation at every nnn, iii, xxx, and (b) generates a policy whose expected cost equals v0(i,x)v_0(i,x)v0​(i,x), the infimum over all admissible history-dependent policies.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.1: the DP functions lie in C1C_1C1​ (nonnegative, linear growth, uniformly continuous), and a measurable minimizer exists.
  2. Theorem 3.2: the verification theorem.
  3. Proposition 4.1(i)–(iv): calculus of KKK-convex functions.
  4. Proposition 4.2(i)–(vi): the one-period (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) structure of a KKK-convex, lower semicontinuous function on an interval [A,B][A,B][A,B] with extended-real endpoints.
  5. From the proof of Theorem 4.1: vn≥fnv_n \ge f_nvn​≥fn​; zn(i,y)=cniy+Fn+1(vn+1)(i,y)z_n(i,y) = c^i_n y + F_{n+1}(v_{n+1})(i,y)zn​(i,y)=cni​y+Fn+1​(vn+1​)(i,y) is coercive at +∞+\infty+∞ and uniformly continuous; vn(i,⋅)v_n(i,\cdot)vn​(i,⋅) and zn(i,⋅)z_n(i,\cdot)zn​(i,⋅) are KniK^i_nKni​-convex.

Significance

The theorem shows that the (s,S)(s,S)(s,S) form survives when demand is driven by a Markov environment, with fixed costs that may vary by state and period. The only coupling condition is (4.1), under which today's fixed cost is at least the expected fixed cost of the next period. It needs no assumption on the backlog side, such as p>cp > cp>c. When ordering never pays, the levels are −∞-\infty−∞. The result is the base case of the paper's later extensions: no-ordering periods, capacity limits, and the discounted infinite horizon (a separate mission in this series). Policies of this kind are what practitioners compute.

The result is proved in print. The paper delegates Theorems 3.1–3.2 to Beyer, Sethi and Taksar (1998). It contains gaps, which this mission records and repairs:

  1. Theorem 3.1's minimizer needs a coercivity condition.
  2. Proposition 4.2(v) fails for a merely lower semicontinuous ggg.
  3. Proposition 4.2's hypothesis g∗>−∞g^* > -\inftyg∗>−∞ is not checked for znz_nzn​, which can be unbounded below.

A machine-checked proof settles these points. No formalization of the theorem or of its verification step exists. Published platform results cover the narrower Lemma 4.2.1 of Bertsekas, for continuous functions coercive at both ends.

Difficulty

The KKK-convexity calculus is elementary. The difficulty lies elsewhere:

  1. Verification. Theorem 3.2 compares a feedback rule against every history-dependent, measurable policy. This needs a measurable-selection and dynamic-programming argument with integrals over paths of a Markov-modulated process. The natural induction must also control integrability at every step.
  2. Proposition 4.2 at its generality. ggg is only lower semicontinuous, [A,B][A,B][A,B] may be unbounded, and SSS or sss may equal −∞-\infty−∞. The case analysis behind (ii)–(iv) is delicate at the boundary.
  3. The unbounded-below case. When znz_nzn​ is unbounded below, Proposition 4.2 does not apply. One must show directly that never ordering is optimal, using KKK-convexity at a "record low" far to the left.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean, namespace SethiChengSS.Finite:

  • Demand states are Fin L; periods are natural numbers with the paper's base.
  • A policy is a function of (t, states i_n…i_{n+t}, demands ξ_n…ξ_{n+t−1}). It is admissible if it is nonnegative and measurable in the demands. So it cannot see the current or future demand, and nothing restricts it to Markov rules.
  • Expectations use the joint density ∏pitit+1φit,t(ξt)\prod p_{i_t i_{t+1}}\varphi_{i_t,t}(\xi_t)∏pit​it+1​​φit​,t​(ξt​) with respect to counting measure times Lebesgue measure. This is the conditional-independence reading of "ξ_k dependent on i_k" under which (3.1) is the conditional expectation in (3.2).
  • JJJ and vvv are lintegral/⨅ in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • No order is placed in period NNN (uN=0u_N = 0uN​=0; (2.3) prints cNc_NcN​).
  • The DP is real-valued, with Bochner integrals and real infima. Theorem 3.1 shows they are genuine.
  • s,Ss, Ss,S are EReal, with S≠+∞S \ne +\inftyS=+∞ and S=−∞S = -\inftyS=−∞ only if s=−∞s = -\inftys=−∞.
  • Pins: (4.2) is added to the minimizer part of Theorem 3.1; continuity of ggg is added to Proposition 4.2(v).

Trivializations excluded:

  • The value is the infimum over all history-dependent measurable policies, never the DP solution itself.
  • Policies are neither restricted to Markov rules nor allowed to be non-measurable.
  • The densities are genuine probability densities and PPP is stochastic.
  • Real-valued s,Ss, Ss,S, which would make the goal false, are not required. Unbounded S=+∞S = +\inftyS=+∞, which would make the rule meaningless, is excluded.

K-convexity is the published definition BertsekasKConvex. The published Bertsekas lemmas (BertsekasDP.kconvex_of_convex, kconvex_combination, kconvex_expectation, kconvex_sS_structure) are included as references. Each is narrower than its counterpart here: positive coefficients only, finite support only, continuity and coercivity at both ends. The posed SongZipkinFluct.FixedCost.theorem3 concerns a different, continuous-time model with integer levels and linear costs and is not used.

Welcome contributions: reusable infrastructure for path-space expectations of Markov-modulated processes; verification theorems for finite-horizon DPs with history-dependent policies; the extended-real KKK-convexity lemmas of Proposition 4.2.

Selected references

  • S. P. Sethi and F. Cheng, Optimality of (s, S) policies in inventory models with Markovian demand, Operations Research 45(6), 931–939, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.6.931
  • H. Scarf, The optimality of (S, s) policies in the dynamic inventory problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960.
  • A. F. Veinott, On the optimality of (s, S) inventory policies: new conditions and a new proof, SIAM J. Appl. Math. 14(5), 1067–1083, 1966. https://doi.org/10.1137/0114086
  • J.-S. Song and P. Zipkin, Inventory control in a fluctuating demand environment, Operations Research 41(2), 351–370, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.2.351
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Control, Academic Press, New York (cited by Sethi and Cheng as 1978; Lemma (d), p. 85).
  • D. Beyer, S. P. Sethi and M. Taksar, Inventory models with Markovian demands and cost functions of polynomial growth, J. Optim. Theory Appl. 98(2), 281–323, 1998.
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Discrete GeometryProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

The Gaussian propeller bound in every dimensionResearch Paper

Motivation

Split Euclidean space into finitely many measurable cells and record, for each cell, its Gaussian first moment, the integral of xxx against the standard Gaussian measure over that cell. How large can the sum of the squared lengths of these vectors be? The propeller conjecture predicts that, with at least three cells in dimension at least two, the answer is 9/(8π)9/(8\pi)9/(8π), attained by three planar sectors of angle 2π/32\pi/32π/3 (a "propeller") times the orthogonal complement. The question arose in Khot and Naor's work on approximate kernel clustering (Mathematika 2009), where this Gaussian partition parameter determines both the approximation ratio of Gaussian rounding and the matching Unique-Games hardness threshold. The surprise is that more cells or more dimensions do not help: the optimum uses only three cells in a plane.

This mission asks for a formal proof of the propeller bound in every dimension, as stated in an OpenAI preprint dated September 24, 2026 (source). The preprint has not been peer reviewed and its claims have not been independently verified; on the platform the Lean goal is open.

Background

  • 1983–2003 — The Gaussian Minkowski (Ehrhard) inequality: Ehrhard for convex sets (Math. Scand. 1983), Latała when one set is convex (Studia Math. 1996), Borell for Borel sets (C. R. Acad. Sci. 2003); later van Handel's game proof (PTRF 2018).
  • 2009 — Khot and Naor introduce the problem, reduce maximizers to conical partitions in the span of their centroids, and compute the three-cell value (Mathematika 2009); see also their sharp kernel-clustering paper (RSA 2013).
  • 2013 — Heilman, Jagannath and Naor prove the conjecture in R3\mathbb R^3R3 with a computer-assisted argument (DCG 2013).
  • 2022 — Heilman gives a conditional route for three or four cells in any dimension, under a stability hypothesis on noise-stability maximizers (arXiv:2209.11216).
  • September 2026 — The OpenAI preprint claims the bound for every dimension and every number of cells (Theorem 1.1, p. 1).

Setting

Let γd\gamma_dγd​ be the standard Gaussian probability measure on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, with density (2π)−d/2e−∥x∥2/2(2\pi)^{-d/2}e^{-\|x\|^2/2}(2π)−d/2e−∥x∥2/2. For a measurable set A⊆RdA\subseteq\mathbb R^dA⊆Rd, its centroid is the unnormalized vector

z(A)=∫Ax dγd(x)∈Rd.z(A)=\int_A x\,d\gamma_d(x)\in\mathbb R^d .z(A)=∫A​xdγd​(x)∈Rd.

A measurable partition (A1,…,Ak)(A_1,\dots,A_k)(A1​,…,Ak​) of Rd\mathbb R^dRd consists of measurable sets such that almost every point (for γd\gamma_dγd​) lies in exactly one of them; empty cells and arbitrary cell probabilities are allowed. Its value is F(A)=∑i=1k∥z(Ai)∥2F(A)=\sum_{i=1}^k\|z(A_i)\|^2F(A)=∑i=1k​∥z(Ai​)∥2. The propeller is the partition of Rd\mathbb R^dRd, d≥2d\ge2d≥2, into the three sets Sj×Rd−2S_j\times\mathbb R^{d-2}Sj​×Rd−2, where S1,S2,S3S_1,S_2,S_3S1​,S2​,S3​ are the planar sectors of opening 2π/32\pi/32π/3 bounded by the rays at angles ±π/3\pm\pi/3±π/3 and π\piπ, with any further cells empty.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (p. 1)

For all positive integers d,kd,kd,k and every measurable partition (A1,…,Ak)(A_1,\dots,A_k)(A1​,…,Ak​) of Rd\mathbb R^dRd,

∑i=1k∥∫Aix dγd(x)∥2 ≤ 98π,\sum_{i=1}^k\Bigl\|\int_{A_i}x\,d\gamma_d(x)\Bigr\|^2\ \le\ \frac{9}{8\pi},i=1∑k​​∫Ai​​xdγd​(x)​2 ≤ 8π9​,

and for d≥2d\ge2d≥2, k≥3k\ge3k≥3 the propeller is a measurable partition attaining equality.

Significance

The result itself. It settles the propeller conjecture in all dimensions and for all numbers of cells, without constraints on cell masses. Through Khot and Naor's analysis, the constant 9/(8π)9/(8\pi)9/(8π) fixes the loss factor αk=8π9(1−1k)\alpha_k=\frac{8\pi}{9}(1-\frac1k)αk​=98π​(1−k1​) of Gaussian rounding for identity-target kernel clustering; combined with the companion Unique Games preprint, the preprint deduces NP-hardness of any better fixed loss factor (Theorem 6.1, p. 18). The bound also gives a sharp inequality for expected Gaussian maxima (Corollary 5.1, p. 17).

Formalizing it. A formal proof needs Gaussian measures on Euclidean space (available in Mathlib as stdGaussian), a compactness argument for extremal partitions, the convex case of the Ehrhard inequality, and the three-dimensional theorem of Heilman, Jagannath and Naor, which the preprint uses as an established input and which itself relies on a finite computer verification. Each of these is a reusable component; the three-dimensional case alone would be a substantial formalization.

Difficulty

The optimization runs over all measurable partitions, with both shapes and probabilities free. Khot and Naor's reduction gives conical extremizers whose mmm nonzero centroids span an (m−1)(m-1)(m−1)-dimensional space, so the three-dimensional theorem disposes of m≤4m\le4m≤4 active cells. The remaining cases m≥5m\ge5m≥5 cannot be handled by any fixed finite computation. The preprint constrains them in two ways: deleting one score costs a definite amount of expected maximum, via concavity from the Ehrhard inequality (Section 3), and competition against two residual scores constrains a covariance determinant (Section 4, Lemma 4.1 and Corollary 4.2, pp. 11–12). Combining these must rule out every configuration with five or more cells.

Formalization scope

  • Space d is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) and the measure is stdGaussian. IsPartition A asks each cell to be measurable and almost every point to lie in exactly one cell, matching the paper's convention that partitions are taken up to null sets.
  • centroid A is the Bochner integral of the identity over A; value sums squared Euclidean norms. Integrability holds because Gaussian measures have finite first moments.
  • The goal is a conjunction: the bound for all d,k≥1d,k\ge1d,k≥1, and, for d≥2d\ge2d≥2, k≥3k\ge3k≥3, that the explicit three-sector propeller d k (cells ≥3\ge3≥3 empty) is a partition with value exactly 9/(8π)9/(8\pi)9/(8π). The sectors are written with closed inequalities, so they overlap only on null rays.
  • No hypothesis is vacuous: the case k=1k=1k=1 is included (value 000), and the equality clause pins the constant.

Selected references

  • OpenAI, The Gaussian propeller bound in every dimension, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 24, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/The-Gaussian-Propeller-Bound-in-Every-Dimension-September-24-2026/main.pdf
  • S. Khot, A. Naor, Approximate kernel clustering, Mathematika 55 (2009), 129–165. https://doi.org/10.1112/S002557930000098X
  • S. Khot, A. Naor, Sharp kernel clustering algorithms and their associated Grothendieck inequalities, Random Struct. Algorithms 42 (2013), 269–300. https://doi.org/10.1002/rsa.20398
  • S. Heilman, A. Jagannath, A. Naor, Solution of the Propeller Conjecture in R3\mathbb R^3R3, Discrete Comput. Geom. 50 (2013), 263–305. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00454-013-9530-0
  • S. Heilman, Hyperstable sets with voting and algorithmic hardness applications, arXiv:2209.11216 (2022). https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.11216v1
  • A. Ehrhard, Symétrisation dans l'espace de Gauss, Math. Scand. 53 (1983), 281–301. https://doi.org/10.7146/math.scand.a-12035
  • R. Latała, A note on the Ehrhard inequality, Studia Math. 118 (1996), 169–174. https://doi.org/10.4064/sm-118-2-169-174
  • C. Borell, The Ehrhard inequality, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 337 (2003), 663–666. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crma.2003.09.031
  • R. van Handel, The Borell–Ehrhard game, Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 170 (2018), 555–585. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00440-017-0762-4
  • E. Mossel, R. O'Donnell, K. Oleszkiewicz, Noise stability of functions with low influences: invariance and optimality, Ann. of Math. 171 (2010), 295–341. https://doi.org/10.4007/annals.2010.171.295
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Machine LearningProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

What Can We Learn Privately? I: The Exponential Mechanism Privately Agnostically Learns Any Finite Concept Class from O((ln|C| + ln(1/β))·max{1/(εα), 1/α²}) ExamplesResearch Paper

Motivation

Many learning tasks run on data about people: medical records, purchase histories, survey answers. A learner whose output reveals too much about any one training example is unusable on such data, however accurate it is. Differential privacy (Dwork, McSherry, Nissim and Smith, 2006) makes "reveals too much" precise: changing one individual's record may change the probability of any outcome of the algorithm by at most a factor eεe^{\varepsilon}eε.

Kasiviswanathan, Lee, Nissim, Raskhodnikova and Smith asked which concept classes can be learned under this constraint, and at what cost in examples. This mission formalizes their first answer (§3 of the paper): every finite concept class can be learned privately in the agnostic model, with a sample size that grows only logarithmically in the size of the class. The result is the private counterpart of the cardinality version of Occam's razor (Kearns and Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, 1994, p. 35). The paper appeared in SIAM J. Comput. 40(3) (2011) 793–826, DOI 10.1137/090756090; all indices below are those of arXiv:0803.0924v3.

The learner is an instance of the exponential mechanism of McSherry and Talwar (FOCS 2007), which selects an output with probability exponentially weighted by a quality score.

Setting

A database of size nnn over a domain DDD is a vector z=(z1,…,zn)∈Dnz=(z_1,\dots,z_n)\in D^nz=(z1​,…,zn​)∈Dn. Databases z,z′z,z'z,z′ are neighbors if they differ in exactly one entry. A randomized algorithm AAA is described by the law A(z)A(z)A(z) of its output on each input. It is ε\varepsilonε-differentially private (Definition 2.1) if

Pr⁡[A(z)∈S]≤eεPr⁡[A(z′)∈S]\Pr[A(z)\in S]\le e^{\varepsilon}\Pr[A(z')\in S]Pr[A(z)∈S]≤eεPr[A(z′)∈S]

for all neighbors z,z′z,z'z,z′ and all measurable sets SSS of outputs.

Learning uses a finite set XXX of examples and labels {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}. A hypothesis is a map h:X→{0,1}h:X\to\{0,1\}h:X→{0,1}, and HHH is a finite nonempty class of hypotheses; in the theorem H=CdH=C_dH=Cd​, the concept class itself. Data are drawn i.i.d. from an arbitrary probability distribution PPP on X×{0,1}X\times\{0,1\}X×{0,1} (the agnostic setting, Definition 2.5). The error of hhh is err(h)=Pr⁡(x,y)∼P[h(x)≠y]\mathrm{err}(h)=\Pr_{(x,y)\sim P}[h(x)\neq y]err(h)=Pr(x,y)∼P​[h(x)=y], and OPT=min⁡f∈Herr(f)\mathrm{OPT}=\min_{f\in H}\mathrm{err}(f)OPT=minf∈H​err(f). On a database z=((xi,yi))i≤nz=((x_i,y_i))_{i\le n}z=((xi​,yi​))i≤n​ the score is q(z,h)=−∣{i:yi≠h(xi)}∣q(z,h)=-|\{i:y_i\neq h(x_i)\}|q(z,h)=−∣{i:yi​=h(xi​)}∣ and the training error is errT(h)=−q(z,h)/n\mathrm{err}_T(h)=-q(z,h)/nerrT​(h)=−q(z,h)/n.

The exponential mechanism Aqε\mathcal A^{\varepsilon}_qAqε​ outputs h∈Hh\in Hh∈H with probability proportional to exp⁡(εq(z,h)/2)\exp(\varepsilon q(z,h)/2)exp(εq(z,h)/2). In Lean these objects are IsDP, err, OPT, score, errT and expMech in the namespace PrivLearn.Generic.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.4 (generic private learner)

There is an absolute constant C>0C>0C>0 such that for every finite XXX, every finite nonempty HHH, every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and all α,β∈(0,1/2)\alpha,\beta\in(0,1/2)α,β∈(0,1/2):

  1. Aqε\mathcal A^{\varepsilon}_qAqε​ is ε\varepsilonε-differentially private on databases of every size;
  2. for every distribution PPP on X×{0,1}X\times\{0,1\}X×{0,1} and every
n ≥ C(ln⁡∣H∣+ln⁡1β)max⁡{1εα,1α2},n\ \ge\ C\Big(\ln|H|+\ln\tfrac1\beta\Big)\max\Big\{\tfrac1{\varepsilon\alpha},\tfrac1{\alpha^2}\Big\},n ≥ C(ln∣H∣+lnβ1​)max{εα1​,α21​},

the mechanism run on nnn i.i.d. samples from PPP satisfies

Pr⁡[err(Aqε(z))>OPT+α]≤β.\Pr\big[\mathrm{err}(\mathcal A^{\varepsilon}_q(z))>\mathrm{OPT}+\alpha\big]\le\beta .Pr[err(Aqε​(z))>OPT+α]≤β.

The constant is left unspecified, as the paper's O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) leaves it. The qualitative first sentence of Theorem 3.4 (classes of size exp⁡(poly(d))\exp(\mathrm{poly}(d))exp(poly(d)) are privately agnostically learnable) follows at once, because then ln⁡∣H∣\ln|H|ln∣H∣ is polynomial in ddd.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.3: Aqε\mathcal A^{\varepsilon}_qAqε​ is ε\varepsilonε-differentially private.
  • Theorem A.2: for i.i.d. Xi∈[a,b]X_i\in[a,b]Xi​∈[a,b] with mean μ\muμ, Pr⁡[∣1n∑iXi−μ∣≥δ]≤2exp⁡(−2δ2n/(b−a)2)\Pr[|\frac1n\sum_iX_i-\mu|\ge\delta]\le2\exp(-2\delta^2n/(b-a)^2)Pr[∣n1​∑i​Xi​−μ∣≥δ]≤2exp(−2δ2n/(b−a)2).
  • Uniform convergence (proof of Theorem 3.4, p. 11): Pr⁡[∃h∈H: ∣err(h)−errT(h)∣≥ρ]≤2∣H∣e−2nρ2\Pr[\exists h\in H:\ |\mathrm{err}(h)-\mathrm{err}_T(h)|\ge\rho]\le2|H|e^{-2n\rho^2}Pr[∃h∈H: ∣err(h)−errT​(h)∣≥ρ]≤2∣H∣e−2nρ2.
  • Exponential weights (proof of Theorem 3.4, p. 12): if ∣err(h)−errT(h)∣<ρ|\mathrm{err}(h)-\mathrm{err}_T(h)|<\rho∣err(h)−errT​(h)∣<ρ for all h∈Hh\in Hh∈H, then Aqε(z)\mathcal A^{\varepsilon}_q(z)Aqε​(z) outputs some hhh with errT(h)≥OPT+2ρ\mathrm{err}_T(h)\ge\mathrm{OPT}+2\rhoerrT​(h)≥OPT+2ρ with probability at most ∣H∣e−εnρ/2|H|e^{-\varepsilon n\rho/2}∣H∣e−εnρ/2.
  • Corollary 3.6: the same guarantee with ln⁡∣H∣\ln|H|ln∣H∣ replaced by VCDIM(Cd)⋅ln⁡∣X∣\mathrm{VCDIM}(C_d)\cdot\ln|X|VCDIM(Cd​)⋅ln∣X∣.

Significance

Theorem 3.4 shows that privacy costs little in sample complexity when computation is unconstrained. Any class that some learner with polynomially long output can learn is learnable privately from polynomially many examples. The non-private agnostic bound is O((log⁡∣Cd∣+log⁡(1/β))/α2)O((\log|C_d|+\log(1/\beta))/\alpha^2)O((log∣Cd​∣+log(1/β))/α2); the private one is larger by a factor O(α/ε)O(\alpha/\varepsilon)O(α/ε) when α>ε\alpha>\varepsilonα>ε, and is the same otherwise (Remark, p. 12). The theorem is the baseline the rest of the paper refines: an efficient private learner for parity (§4) and the equivalence of local privacy with statistical query learning (§5). It also underlies later work on the sample complexity of private learning, such as Beimel, Kasiviswanathan and Nissim (TCC 2010).

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has not been machine-checked. The mission produces a checked statement of the exponential mechanism's privacy and of its learning guarantee with an explicit dependence on ∣H∣|H|∣H∣, ε\varepsilonε, α\alphaα and β\betaβ. It also provides a reusable bounded i.i.d. Hoeffding inequality (Theorem A.2) in the form learning theory uses. Formalizing the proof with any explicit constant is welcome. The constant 666 printed at the end of the proof does not, by itself, make the last inequality close (the two error terms add to more than β\betaβ), so a correct constant is a genuine contribution.

Difficulty

Privacy and accuracy pull in opposite directions. Empirical risk minimization, the obvious learner, is not private: replacing one example can change which hypothesis minimizes the training error, and the output then changes with probability one. Smoothing the choice must not destroy accuracy, and the accuracy argument must hold simultaneously for every hypothesis in the class, with the mechanism's randomness and the sample's randomness combined into one failure probability. In Lean the measure-theoretic bookkeeping is non-trivial: the output is a measure on a function space, the failure probability integrates the mechanism's law against the product measure PnP^nPn, and the privacy bound must hold for every measurable event, not only for single hypotheses.

Formalization scope

  • Databases are vectors Fin n → X × Bool, indexed from 000; neighbors differ in exactly one coordinate.
  • Algorithms are output laws: Aqε(z)\mathcal A^{\varepsilon}_q(z)Aqε​(z) is the measure ∑h∈Hpz(h) δh\sum_{h\in H}p_z(h)\,\delta_h∑h∈H​pz​(h)δh​ on X → Bool with the product σ-algebra. It is a probability measure because HHH is nonempty and all weights are positive; the theorems assume HHH nonempty, and the definition does not build normalization in.
  • Privacy is required on every measurable set of outputs and for every database size nnn, with no assumption on how the data arise.
  • The example domain is a finite type with the discrete σ-algebra (the paper's XdX_dXd​ has representations of size at most ddd). The goal quantifies it over Type so that the absolute constant can precede it.
  • Labels are Bool, standing for {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}. Logarithms are natural (Real.log), as in the paper's ln⁡\lnln.
  • Parameters are ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and α,β∈(0,1/2)\alpha,\beta\in(0,1/2)α,β∈(0,1/2) as in Definitions 2.4 and 3.1. The failure event is the strict err(h)>OPT+α\mathrm{err}(h)>\mathrm{OPT}+\alphaerr(h)>OPT+α, as on p. 11, and OPT is the minimum over H=CdH=C_dH=Cd​.
  • O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is formalized as one absolute constant C>0C>0C>0 quantified before the domain, the class, the distribution and all parameters. A constant chosen after them would make the statement trivially true.
  • Theorem A.2 assumes measurable, mutually independent, pairwise identically distributed variables with values in [a,b][a,b][a,b] at every point. It makes no assumption n≥1n\ge1n≥1 or a<ba<ba<b; in those cases the right side is 222 by Lean's division conventions.
  • Corollary 3.6 uses the platform's VC dimension ComputationalLearning.vcDim (Kearns–Vazirani's Definition 9, the same notion as the paper's Definition 3.5) and references the platform's proved Sauer lemma.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, a measurable-structure library for finite output laws, and a general exponential-mechanism privacy theorem from which Lemma 3.3 follows.

Selected references

  • S. P. Kasiviswanathan, H. K. Lee, K. Nissim, S. Raskhodnikova, A. Smith, What Can We Learn Privately?, SIAM J. Comput. 40(3) (2011) 793–826. arXiv:0803.0924v3, DOI 10.1137/090756090
  • C. Dwork, F. McSherry, K. Nissim, A. Smith, Calibrating Noise to Sensitivity in Private Data Analysis, TCC 2006. DOI 10.1007/11681878_14
  • F. McSherry, K. Talwar, Mechanism Design via Differential Privacy, FOCS 2007. DOI 10.1109/FOCS.2007.66
  • W. Hoeffding, Probability Inequalities for Sums of Bounded Random Variables, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 58 (1963) 13–30. DOI 10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
  • M. Kearns, U. Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, MIT Press, 1994. DOI 10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001
  • A. Beimel, S. P. Kasiviswanathan, K. Nissim, Bounds on the Sample Complexity for Private Learning and Private Data Release, TCC 2010. DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-11799-2_26
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

How Bad is Selfish Routing? 1: A Nash Flow Costs No More Than Any Flow Feasible for Twice the Rates, for Continuous Nondecreasing LatenciesResearch Paper

Motivation

In a road or communication network, traffic is routed by many independent users, each choosing a route that is fastest for itself given the congestion caused by everyone else. The resulting Nash flow (also called a Wardrop equilibrium, after Wardrop 1952) need not minimize the total delay experienced by all users: Braess's paradox shows that adding a road can make everyone slower. Network designers, transport economists and the designers of Internet congestion-control protocols therefore ask how much total delay is lost to selfish routing, compared with a centrally optimized routing of the same traffic.

Roughgarden and Tardos (J. ACM 2002) gave the first general answers. For linear latency functions they showed that the loss is at most a factor 4/34/34/3. For general latency functions they showed that no such factor exists, and proved instead a bicriteria bound: selfish routing is never worse than optimal routing of twice the traffic. This mission formalizes that bicriteria bound (§3 of the paper) together with its variants for an arbitrary traffic increase (Theorem 3.2) and for approximate equilibria (§5.1).

Timeline:

  • 1952: Wardrop states the equilibrium principle for traffic networks.
  • 1968: Braess exhibits a network where adding an edge increases the equilibrium delay of every user.
  • 2000–2002: Roughgarden and Tardos prove the 4/34/34/3 bound for linear latencies and the bicriteria bound of Theorem 3.1 for all continuous nondecreasing latencies (conference version FOCS 2000, journal version 2002).

Setting

A network has edges eee and routes PPP; route PPP is a set of edges. There are kkk commodities i=1,…,ki = 1,\dots,ki=1,…,k; commodity iii is served by a set of routes Pi\mathcal P_iPi​ and has a rate ri>0r_i > 0ri​>0, the amount of traffic it must send. A flow assigns an amount fP≥0f_P \ge 0fP​≥0 to each route; it is feasible for the rates rrr if ∑P∈PifP=ri\sum_{P \in \mathcal P_i} f_P = r_i∑P∈Pi​​fP​=ri​ for every iii. The flow on edge eee is fe=∑P∋efPf_e = \sum_{P \ni e} f_Pfe​=∑P∋e​fP​.

Each edge has a latency function ℓe\ell_eℓe​, nonnegative, continuous and nondecreasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞): the delay of one unit of traffic crossing eee when the edge carries fef_efe​. The latency of a route is ℓP(f)=∑e∈Pℓe(fe)\ell_P(f) = \sum_{e \in P} \ell_e(f_e)ℓP​(f)=∑e∈P​ℓe​(fe​), and the cost of a flow is the total delay

C(f)=∑PℓP(f) fP=∑eℓe(fe) fe.C(f) = \sum_P \ell_P(f)\, f_P = \sum_e \ell_e(f_e)\, f_e .C(f)=P∑​ℓP​(f)fP​=e∑​ℓe​(fe​)fe​.

A feasible flow fff is at Nash equilibrium (Definition 2.1) if no amount δ>0\delta > 0δ>0 of the flow on a route P1∈PiP_1 \in \mathcal P_iP1​∈Pi​, moved to another route P2∈PiP_2 \in \mathcal P_iP2​∈Pi​, would find a latency on P2P_2P2​ smaller than the latency it had on P1P_1P1​. Lemma 2.2 shows this is equivalent to the Wardrop condition: every route carrying flow has minimum latency among the routes of its commodity. Definition 5.1 relaxes the equilibrium by a factor 1+ϵ1 + \epsilon1+ϵ.

In the Lean development: pathLatency A ℓ x r is ℓP(f)\ell_P(f)ℓP​(f), cost A ℓ x is C(f)C(f)C(f), IsNashFlow A s ℓ rate x is Definition 2.1, IsApproxNashFlow A s ℓ rate ε x is Definition 5.1, and barLatency is the auxiliary latency ℓˉ\bar\ellℓˉ of the proof of Theorem 3.1. Edge flows and feasibility are the published KellyStochasticNetworks.linkFlow and wardropFeasible.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1

If fff is a Nash flow for the rates rrr and f∗f^*f∗ is any flow feasible for the rates 2r2r2r, then

C(f)≤C(f∗).C(f) \le C(f^*).C(f)≤C(f∗).

The comparison is with every flow of twice the rates, not only an optimal one.

Milestones

The edge form of the cost (§2.1), Lemma 2.2 (Nash ⇔\Leftrightarrow⇔ Wardrop), Lemma 2.3 (C(f)=∑iLi(f)riC(f) = \sum_i L_i(f) r_iC(f)=∑i​Li​(f)ri​ for the common latency Li(f)L_i(f)Li​(f) of the flow-carrying routes of commodity iii), and the two displayed inequalities of the proof of Theorem 3.1:

∑eℓˉe(fe∗)fe∗−C(f∗)≤C(f),∑PℓˉP(f∗)fP∗≥2C(f).\sum_e \bar\ell_e(f^*_e) f^*_e - C(f^*) \le C(f), \qquad \sum_P \bar\ell_P(f^*) f^*_P \ge 2C(f).e∑​ℓˉe​(fe∗​)fe∗​−C(f∗)≤C(f),P∑​ℓˉP​(f∗)fP∗​≥2C(f).

Stronger and related statements

Theorem 3.2: for γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 and f∗f^*f∗ feasible for (1+γ)r(1+\gamma) r(1+γ)r,

C(f)≤1γ C(f∗).C(f) \le \tfrac{1}{\gamma}\, C(f^*).C(f)≤γ1​C(f∗).

Lemma 5.2 (the approximate analogue of Lemma 2.2) and Theorem 5.3: for 0<ϵ<10 < \epsilon < 10<ϵ<1, an ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate Nash flow fff and f∗f^*f∗ feasible for 2r2r2r,

C(f)≤1+ϵ1−ϵ C(f∗).C(f) \le \frac{1+\epsilon}{1-\epsilon}\, C(f^*).C(f)≤1−ϵ1+ϵ​C(f∗).

Significance

The price of anarchy, the ratio of the cost of a Nash flow to the minimum cost, is unbounded for general latencies: with two parallel links of latencies 111 and xpx^pxp, the ratio tends to infinity as ppp grows. Theorem 3.1 shows that the inefficiency of selfish routing can nevertheless always be offset by doubling capacity, in the sense that the optimal cost of twice the traffic is at least the Nash cost. Theorem 3.2 quantifies the trade-off for any traffic increase and is essentially tight. These results were among the first quantitative bounds of the price-of-anarchy programme and are a standard part of algorithmic game theory courses.

All statements here are proved in the paper (Theorem 5.3 with its proof omitted there as a close copy of Theorem 3.1). To our knowledge none has a machine-checked proof. This mission produces Lean proofs of Theorem 3.1, its supporting lemmas and its two variants, on top of the published Wardrop-equilibrium definitions of Kelly and Yudovina's chapter on road traffic; existence of a Wardrop equilibrium is already proved on the platform (KellyStochasticNetworks.wardrop_equilibrium_exists), so the goal's hypothesis is satisfiable.

Difficulty

The obvious comparison of fff with f∗f^*f∗ route by route fails: f∗f^*f∗ can place its traffic on edges whose latency is much lower than the Nash latencies, and nothing in the latency functions bounds how much lower, since they are only continuous and nondecreasing. A naive bound on the ratio C(f)/C(f∗)C(f)/C(f^*)C(f)/C(f∗) is ruled out by the xpx^pxp example above, so any proof must use the doubled rates essentially. In the Lean development, the passage from Definition 2.1 (a statement about perturbed flows) to the Wardrop condition needs a limit δ→0\delta \to 0δ→0 through continuity on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and the cost manipulations need exchanges of finite double sums over routes and edges.

Formalization scope

  • Routes, not graphs. Routes are arbitrary columns of a 0/10/10/1 edge–route incidence matrix A, each assigned a commodity by s. The paper's family of simple sis_isi​–tit_iti​ paths is one instance; the statements therefore hold for every route family (a disclosed generalization; the proofs use no graph structure). Two copies of one edge set serving two commodities are two routes.
  • Latencies are assumed nonnegative, nondecreasing and continuous on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only. Continuity replaces the paper's differentiability, as licensed by footnote 3 (p. 7) and by §3 (p. 11).
  • Rates are positive reals ri>0r_i > 0ri​>0. The number of commodities may be 000, the paper's k=0k = 0k=0, where all statements hold trivially.
  • Definition 2.1 is formalized with P1≠P2P_1 \ne P_2P1​=P2​ and 0<δ≤fP10 < \delta \le f_{P_1}0<δ≤fP1​​. The page writes δ∈[0,fP1]\delta \in [0, f_{P_1}]δ∈[0,fP1​​] and does not exclude P1=P2P_1 = P_2P1​=P2​; read literally, δ=0\delta = 0δ=0 would force every route of a commodity, used or not, to have the same latency (contradicting Lemma 2.2), and P1=P2P_1 = P_2P1​=P2​ would make Nash flows fail to exist for strictly increasing latencies. Definition 5.1 follows the same convention.
  • No ratios. Bounds are stated as C(f)≤c C(f∗)C(f) \le c\, C(f^*)C(f)≤cC(f∗) for every feasible f∗f^*f∗, never as a quotient of costs, so a zero optimal cost cannot make a statement trivial. The constants 1/γ1/\gamma1/γ and (1+ϵ)/(1−ϵ)(1+\epsilon)/(1-\epsilon)(1+ϵ)/(1−ϵ) carry γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0 and 0<ϵ<10 < \epsilon < 10<ϵ<1.
  • Feasibility for 2r2r2r is wardropFeasible s (fun i => 2 * rate i); for (1+γ)r(1+\gamma) r(1+γ)r it is wardropFeasible s (fun i => (1 + γ) * rate i). Replacing 2r2r2r by rrr would make the goal false (Pigou's example), and comparing only with an optimal f∗f^*f∗ would weaken it.
  • ℓˉ\bar\ellℓˉ is a function of the Nash flow's edge flows, not a free parameter.

Needed infrastructure: finite double-sum exchanges, a one-sided limit argument for continuous functions on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and bookkeeping of the perturbed flow f~\tilde ff~​. The lemmas relating Definition 2.1 to the Wardrop condition are reusable by every later result on nonatomic routing games, including the other missions of this series. Contributions of proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • T. Roughgarden and É. Tardos, How Bad is Selfish Routing?, Journal of the ACM 49(2), 236–259, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1145/506147.506153
  • J. G. Wardrop, Some Theoretical Aspects of Road Traffic Research, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers 1(3), 325–378, 1952. https://doi.org/10.1680/ipeds.1952.11259
  • D. Braess, A. Nagurney and T. Wakolbinger, On a Paradox of Traffic Planning (translation of Braess 1968), Transportation Science 39(4), 446–450, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.1050.0127
  • F. Kelly and E. Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 4. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107284722
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Designing a Call Center with Impatient Customers I: The Steady-State Fraction of Abandoning Callers Tends to max(0, 1 − 1/ρ) as the Number of Agents GrowsResearch Paper

Why abandonment matters in call centers

Telephone call centers are among the largest employers of service labour, and their staffing decisions are made with queueing models. The classical model is the Erlang-C queue M/M/NM/M/NM/M/N: Poisson arrivals, NNN agents, exponential service, infinitely patient callers. Real callers hang up. Garnett, Mandelbaum and Reiman (M&SOM 2002) argued that a model ignoring abandonment is misleading exactly in the regime where large call centers operate, near full utilization: the Erlang-C queue is unstable when the offered load exceeds the number of agents, while a real center simply loses the excess callers. They advocated the Erlang-A queue M/M/N+MM/M/N+MM/M/N+M, in which each caller also has an exponential patience, and developed its many-server asymptotics.

The first of their asymptotic results, Theorem 1 of the paper, settles the most basic performance measure, the fraction of callers who abandon, to first order as the center grows. Its proof combines a utilization argument with two monotonicity properties proved by Bhattacharya and Ephremides (1991) and an asymptotic expansion of Erlang's loss formula due to Jagerman (1974).

The Erlang-A queue

Callers arrive as a Poisson process of rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. There are N≥1N\ge1N≥1 statistically identical agents, each serving one caller at a time with exponentially distributed service times of rate μ>0\mu>0μ>0. The waiting room is unlimited and is served in order of arrival. Each caller carries a patience, an exponential random variable of rate θ>0\theta>0θ>0 independent of everything else; a caller whose wait in queue reaches his patience abandons and does not return.

The number of callers in the system, QQQ, is a birth–death process with birth rate λ\lambdaλ in every state and death rate

μk=min⁡(k,N) μ+(k−N)+ θ\mu_k=\min(k,N)\,\mu+(k-N)^+\,\thetaμk​=min(k,N)μ+(k−N)+θ

in state kkk. Its stationary distribution (Appendix B of the paper, with infinite buffer) is

πk=(λ/μ)kk! π0 (0≤k≤N),πk=∏j=N+1kλNμ+(j−N)θ⋅(λ/μ)NN! π0 (k>N),\pi_k=\frac{(\lambda/\mu)^k}{k!}\,\pi_0\ (0\le k\le N),\qquad \pi_k=\prod_{j=N+1}^{k}\frac{\lambda}{N\mu+(j-N)\theta}\cdot\frac{(\lambda/\mu)^N}{N!}\,\pi_0\ (k>N),πk​=k!(λ/μ)k​π0​ (0≤k≤N),πk​=j=N+1∏k​Nμ+(j−N)θλ​⋅N!(λ/μ)N​π0​ (k>N),

with π0\pi_0π0​ normalizing. The abandonment probability PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} is the probability that a caller arriving in steady state abandons. An arrival finding N+nN+nN+n callers in the system abandons with probability (n+1)θ/(Nμ+(n+1)θ)(n+1)\theta/(N\mu+(n+1)\theta)(n+1)θ/(Nμ+(n+1)θ), so

PN{Ab}=∑n≥0πN+n (n+1)θNμ+(n+1)θ.P_N\{Ab\}=\sum_{n\ge0}\pi_{N+n}\,\frac{(n+1)\theta}{N\mu+(n+1)\theta}.PN​{Ab}=n≥0∑​πN+n​Nμ+(n+1)θ(n+1)θ​.

The blocking probability PN{Bl}P_N\{Bl\}PN​{Bl} of the loss system M/M/N/NM/M/N/NM/M/N/N with the same rates is Erlang's formula E(λ/μ,N)=(λ/μ)N/N!∑j=0N(λ/μ)j/j!E(\lambda/\mu,N)=\dfrac{(\lambda/\mu)^N/N!}{\sum_{j=0}^{N}(\lambda/\mu)^j/j!}E(λ/μ,N)=∑j=0N​(λ/μ)j/j!(λ/μ)N/N!​.

The asymptotic regime. The NNN-th system has NNN agents, arrival rate λN\lambda_NλN​, service rate μ\muμ independent of NNN, and patience rate θN\theta_NθN​. As in §4 of the paper, λN→∞\lambda_N\to\inftyλN​→∞ and θN→θ∈(0,∞)\theta_N\to\theta\in(0,\infty)θN​→θ∈(0,∞). The traffic intensity is ρN=λN/(Nμ)\rho_N=\lambda_N/(N\mu)ρN​=λN​/(Nμ).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 215)

If ρN→ρ∞\rho_N\to\rho_\inftyρN​→ρ∞​ for some 0≤ρ∞≤∞0\le\rho_\infty\le\infty0≤ρ∞​≤∞, then

lim⁡N→∞PN{Ab}={0,0≤ρ∞≤1,1−1/ρ∞,ρ∞>1,\lim_{N\to\infty}P_N\{Ab\}=\begin{cases}0,&0\le\rho_\infty\le1,\\ 1-1/\rho_\infty,&\rho_\infty>1,\end{cases}N→∞lim​PN​{Ab}={0,1−1/ρ∞​,​0≤ρ∞​≤1,ρ∞​>1,​

with 1−1/∞=11-1/\infty=11−1/∞=1. The limit does not depend on θ\thetaθ.

Milestones

  1. The explicit π\piπ is the unique steady state of the Erlang-A birth–death process (Appendix B).
  2. Equation (2): θ E[# waiting]=λP{Ab}\theta\,E[\#\text{ waiting}]=\lambda P\{Ab\}θE[# waiting]=λP{Ab}.
  3. Utilization below one: λN(1−PN{Ab})<Nμ\lambda_N(1-P_N\{Ab\})<N\muλN​(1−PN​{Ab})<Nμ.
  4. Property (ii): PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} is increasing in θ\thetaθ.
  5. PN{Ab}→PN{Bl}P_N\{Ab\}\to P_N\{Bl\}PN​{Ab}→PN​{Bl} as θ→∞\theta\to\inftyθ→∞.
  6. PN{Ab}≤PN{Bl}P_N\{Ab\}\le P_N\{Bl\}PN​{Ab}≤PN​{Bl} for every 0<θ<∞0<\theta<\infty0<θ<∞.
  7. Erlang's formula is increasing in the offered load (published and proved: KellyStochasticNetworks.erlang_strictMono).
  8. Jagerman's expansion (10) of PN{Bl}P_N\{Bl\}PN​{Bl} for λN=Nμρ∞\lambda_N=N\mu\rho_\inftyλN​=Nμρ∞​, ρ∞>1\rho_\infty>1ρ∞​>1, as an asymptotic equivalence.
  9. If λN=Nμρ∞+o(N)\lambda_N=N\mu\rho_\infty+o(N)λN​=Nμρ∞​+o(N) with ρ∞>1\rho_\infty>1ρ∞​>1, then PN{Bl}→1−1/ρ∞P_N\{Bl\}\to1-1/\rho_\inftyPN​{Bl}→1−1/ρ∞​ and lim sup⁡NPN{Ab}≤1−1/ρ∞\limsup_N P_N\{Ab\}\le 1-1/\rho_\inftylimsupN​PN​{Ab}≤1−1/ρ∞​.
  10. Property (i): PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} is increasing in λ\lambdaλ.

Significance

Theorem 1 is the law-of-large-numbers description of an overloaded or critically loaded many-server queue with abandonment. It says that an overloaded center sheds exactly its excess load, λN−Nμ\lambda_N-N\muλN​−Nμ, to abandonment, and that a critically loaded center (ρ∞=1\rho_\infty=1ρ∞​=1) already has vanishing abandonment. This is what directs attention to the Halfin–Whitt (quality-and-efficiency-driven) regime N(1−ρN)→β\sqrt N(1-\rho_N)\to\betaN​(1−ρN​)→β, where the paper's later results (Theorems 2 and 4) refine the picture to order 1/N1/\sqrt N1/N​. It is also the fluid-scale input of later work on staffing with abandonment.

The theorem has been proved in the paper; to our knowledge none of the statements above has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal model of the Erlang-A queue with its stationary law, a verified bridge between the Erlang-A and Erlang-B (loss) systems, and a formal limit theorem for Erlang's loss formula under linear load, each reusable in other many-server problems.

Difficulty

The heuristic is immediate: utilization is at most one, so λN(1−PN{Ab})≤Nμ\lambda_N(1-P_N\{Ab\})\le N\muλN​(1−PN​{Ab})≤Nμ gives the lower bound 1−1/ρN1-1/\rho_N1−1/ρN​. The upper bound is the substance. A direct estimate of the series defining PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} involves θ\thetaθ-dependent products whose asymptotics are not elementary, and the result must hold uniformly over patience rates θN\theta_NθN​ that are only known to be positive. Two further obstacles remain: the monotonicity of PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} in θ\thetaθ and in λ\lambdaλ is a stochastic-ordering property of the birth–death process, not a term-by-term inequality between the series, and any comparison with the loss system needs the asymptotics of Erlang's formula under a load that is linear in NNN only up to o(N)o(N)o(N). Nothing is assumed about how ρN\rho_NρN​ approaches its limit, so the critical case ρ∞=1\rho_\infty=1ρ∞​=1 cannot be read off from either side.

Formalization scope

  • Model. All objects live in the namespace ErlangA.Abandonment. The death rates, the unnormalized weights wkw_kwk​, πk=wk/∑jwj\pi_k=w_k/\sum_j w_jπk​=wk​/∑j​wj​ (a tsum) and PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} are explicit definitions of the parameters N∈NN\in\mathbb NN∈N and λ,μ,θ∈R\lambda,\mu,\theta\in\mathbb Rλ,μ,θ∈R; PN{Bl}P_N\{Bl\}PN​{Bl} is the published KellyStochasticNetworks.erlang (λ/μ) N.
  • Steady state. "Stationary" means a probability distribution on {0,1,2,… }\{0,1,2,\dots\}{0,1,2,…} solving the global balance equations (the published QueueingFundamentals.BirthDeath.IsSteadyState). The time limit lim⁡tP{Q(t)=n}\lim_t P\{Q(t)=n\}limt​P{Q(t)=n} is not formalized. The buffer is infinite.
  • Abandonment probability. PN{Ab}P_N\{Ab\}PN​{Ab} is defined by the arrival-sees-time-average form above; the balance form (θ/λ)∑k(k−N)+πk(\theta/\lambda)\sum_k(k-N)^+\pi_k(θ/λ)∑k​(k−N)+πk​ is milestone 2. It is a probability per arriving caller, not the abandonment rate and not the probability that someone is waiting.
  • Sequences. NNN is both the index and the number of agents; hypotheses on the NNN-th system are imposed for N≥1N\ge1N≥1. μ>0\mu>0μ>0 is fixed.
  • Limits. ρ∞∈[0,∞]\rho_\infty\in[0,\infty]ρ∞​∈[0,∞] is an extended nonnegative real and ρN→ρ∞\rho_N\to\rho_\inftyρN​→ρ∞​ is convergence in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]; 1−1/ρ∞1-1/\rho_\infty1−1/ρ∞​ is evaluated there, giving 111 at ρ∞=∞\rho_\infty=\inftyρ∞​=∞. All limits are Filter.Tendsto along N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞; "∼\sim∼" is Asymptotics.IsEquivalent; lim sup⁡≤c\limsup\le climsup≤c is "for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, eventually ≤c+ε\le c+\varepsilon≤c+ε".
  • Monotonicity. "Increasing" in properties (i) and (ii) is read as nondecreasing, in one parameter at a time with the others fixed.
  • Ruling out trivial readings. Because π\piπ is a quotient by a tsum, a divergent normalizing series would make π≡0\pi\equiv0π≡0 and PN{Ab}=0P_N\{Ab\}=0PN​{Ab}=0, which would make the underloaded case of the goal vacuous; milestone 1 asserts that π\piπ is a genuine probability distribution for every N≥1N\ge1N≥1 and λ,μ,θ>0\lambda,\mu,\theta>0λ,μ,θ>0, and the goal is stated for exactly these parameters.
  • Welcome contributions. Stochastic-ordering arguments for birth–death processes (for properties (i) and (ii)), asymptotics of Erlang's loss formula (Jagerman's expansion, or a direct proof of the linear-load limit), and summation identities for the stationary law.

Selected references

  • O. Garnett, A. Mandelbaum, M. Reiman, Designing a Call Center with Impatient Customers, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 4(3):208–227, 2002. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.4.3.208.7753
  • P. P. Bhattacharya, A. Ephremides, Stochastic monotonicity properties of multiserver queues with impatient customers, Journal of Applied Probability 28(3):673–682, 1991. https://doi.org/10.2307/3214500
  • D. L. Jagerman, Some properties of the Erlang loss function, Bell System Technical Journal 53(3):525–551, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1974.tb02756.x
  • S. Halfin, W. Whitt, Heavy-traffic limits for queues with many exponential servers, Operations Research 29(3):567–588, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
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Machine LearningOptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Additive Logistic Regression: A Statistical View of Boosting 2: Population Discrete AdaBoost Is a Newton-Like Step with Exact Line Search c = ½ log((1−err)/err)Research Paper

Motivation

AdaBoost (Freund and Schapire, 1997) combines many weak classifiers fm(x)∈{−1,1}f_m(x) \in \{-1, 1\}fm​(x)∈{−1,1} into a weighted vote sign⁡(∑mcmfm(x))\operatorname{sign}\big(\sum_m c_m f_m(x)\big)sign(∑m​cm​fm​(x)). At each round it fits a classifier to a reweighted training sample, sets cm=log⁡((1−errm)/errm)c_m = \log((1 - \mathrm{err}_m)/\mathrm{err}_m)cm​=log((1−errm​)/errm​) from the weighted error errm\mathrm{err}_merrm​, and multiplies the weights of the misclassified points by ecme^{c_m}ecm​. The algorithm was introduced as a procedure for boosting the accuracy of weak learners in the PAC sense, and its good test performance was at first not explained by any statistical model.

Friedman, Hastie and Tibshirani (Ann. Statist. 28 (2000) 337–407) recast boosting as stagewise fitting of an additive model by minimizing the exponential criterion J(F)=E(e−yF(x))J(F) = E(e^{-yF(x)})J(F)=E(e−yF(x)). Their Lemma 1 shows that JJJ is minimized at half the log-odds, so an additive FFF fitted this way estimates a logistic regression model. Result 1 of that paper, the subject of this mission, shows that Discrete AdaBoost is exactly such a fitting procedure: in its population version, each round is a Newton-like step on JJJ followed by an exact line search, and the resulting reweighting is AdaBoost's. This view underlies gradient boosting, LogitBoost and the loss-function analysis of boosting in later work.

Setting

Let XXX be a measurable space of features and let ν\nuν be a probability law of the pair (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) on X×{−1,1}X \times \{-1, 1\}X×{−1,1}. The conditional law of yyy given xxx is the disintegration ν(⋅∣x)\nu(\cdot \mid x)ν(⋅∣x), and E(⋅∣x)E(\cdot \mid x)E(⋅∣x) is the integral against it. A current estimate is a measurable F:X→RF : X \to \mathbb RF:X→R, and the exponential criterion is

J(F)=E(e−yF(x))∈[0,∞].J(F) = E\big(e^{-yF(x)}\big) \in [0, \infty].J(F)=E(e−yF(x))∈[0,∞].

With weight w(x,y)=e−yF(x)w(x, y) = e^{-yF(x)}w(x,y)=e−yF(x), the weighted conditional expectation and the weighted expectation are

Ew[g(x,y)∣x]=E[w(x,y)g(x,y)∣x]E[w(x,y)∣x],Ew[g(x,y)]=E[w(x,y)g(x,y)]E[w(x,y)].E_w[g(x, y) \mid x] = \frac{E[w(x, y) g(x, y) \mid x]}{E[w(x, y) \mid x]}, \qquad E_w[g(x, y)] = \frac{E[w(x, y) g(x, y)]}{E[w(x, y)]}.Ew​[g(x,y)∣x]=E[w(x,y)∣x]E[w(x,y)g(x,y)∣x]​,Ew​[g(x,y)]=E[w(x,y)]E[w(x,y)g(x,y)]​.

A classifier is a measurable f:X→{−1,1}f : X \to \{-1, 1\}f:X→{−1,1}; its weighted error is err=Ew[1[y≠f(x)]]\mathrm{err} = E_w[1_{[y \neq f(x)]}]err=Ew​[1[y=f(x)]​]. The paper's candidate update is F←F+cfF \leftarrow F + cfF←F+cf with

f(x)={1,Ew(y∣x)>0,−1,otherwise,(18)c=12log⁡1−errerr.(20)f(x) = \begin{cases} 1, & E_w(y \mid x) > 0, \\ -1, & \text{otherwise}, \end{cases} \qquad (18) \qquad\qquad c = \frac12 \log\frac{1 - \mathrm{err}}{\mathrm{err}}. \qquad (20)f(x)={1,−1,​Ew​(y∣x)>0,otherwise,​(18)c=21​logerr1−err​.(20)

Algorithm 1 (p. 338) uses cm=log⁡((1−err)/err)=2cc_m = \log((1 - \mathrm{err})/\mathrm{err}) = 2ccm​=log((1−err)/err)=2c and the update w←wexp⁡(cm1[y≠f(x)])w \leftarrow w \exp(c_m 1_{[y \neq f(x)]})w←wexp(cm​1[y=f(x)]​) followed by renormalization.

Formalization targets

Goal: Result 1 (p. 346)

For FFF measurable with J(F)<∞J(F) < \inftyJ(F)<∞:

  1. for every c>0c > 0c>0 and every xxx, the classifier (18) minimizes the quadratic approximation Ew(1−ycs+c2/2∣x)E_w(1 - ycs + c^2/2 \mid x)Ew​(1−ycs+c2/2∣x) over s∈{−1,1}s \in \{-1, 1\}s∈{−1,1};
  2. for every classifier fff with 0<err<10 < \mathrm{err} < 10<err<1, the coefficient ccc of (20) satisfies
J(F+cf)≤J(F+c′f)for all c′∈R;J(F + cf) \le J(F + c'f) \qquad \text{for all } c' \in \mathbb R;J(F+cf)≤J(F+c′f)for all c′∈R;
  1. for every classifier fff, every xxx and yyy,
e−yF(x)e−cf(x)y=e−c⋅e−yF(x)exp⁡(log⁡1−errerr 1[y≠f(x)]),e^{-yF(x)} e^{-cf(x)y} = e^{-c} \cdot e^{-yF(x)} \exp\Big(\log\frac{1 - \mathrm{err}}{\mathrm{err}}\, 1_{[y \neq f(x)]}\Big),e−yF(x)e−cf(x)y=e−c⋅e−yF(x)exp(logerr1−err​1[y=f(x)]​),

so the population reweighting coincides with Algorithm 1's after renormalization.

Milestones

  • the second-order expansion of Ew(e−cys∣x)E_w(e^{-cys} \mid x)Ew​(e−cys∣x) in ccc (proof of Result 1, p. 346);
  • (17)–(18): for c>0c > 0c>0, (16) is maximization of Ew[yf(x)]E_w[yf(x)]Ew​[yf(x)], solved by (18) (p. 347);
  • (19): −Ew[yf(x)]=Ew[(y−f(x))2]/2−1-E_w[yf(x)] = E_w[(y - f(x))^2]/2 - 1−Ew​[yf(x)]=Ew​[(y−f(x))2]/2−1 (p. 347);
  • (20): c=12log⁡((1−err)/err)c = \frac12\log((1-\mathrm{err})/\mathrm{err})c=21​log((1−err)/err) is the unique minimizer of Ewe−cyf(x)E_w e^{-cyf(x)}Ew​e−cyf(x) (p. 347);
  • −yf(x)=2×1[y≠f(x)]−1-yf(x) = 2 \times 1_{[y \neq f(x)]} - 1−yf(x)=2×1[y=f(x)]​−1 and the weight identity (p. 347);
  • Corollary 2 (p. 348), referenced from the platform in its sample form;
  • (21)–(22): the first-order condition of the line search (p. 348).

Significance

The result. Result 1 turns AdaBoost from a combinatorial reweighting scheme into an optimization method with a known objective. It identifies the population quantity the algorithm estimates (via Lemma 1, half the log-odds), explains the specific constant log⁡((1−err)/err)\log((1-\mathrm{err})/\mathrm{err})log((1−err)/err) as an exact line search, explains why the weights of misclassified points are inflated by (1−err)/err(1-\mathrm{err})/\mathrm{err}(1−err)/err, and shows that a weak learner worse than chance is used with reversed sign. It is the template for the other population results of the paper (Real AdaBoost, LogitBoost, Gentle AdaBoost) and for later functional-gradient views of boosting.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; it has not been machine-checked. The paper's argument is stated informally ("≈", "arg min", "Newton-like"); this mission fixes each claim as a precise statement about measures on X×{−1,1}X \times \{-1, 1\}X×{−1,1}. The sample version of Corollary 2 is already proved on the platform (UnderstandingML.adaboost_reweighted_error) and is reused; everything else is new.

Difficulty

Each step is elementary on its own; the work is in carrying the population statements through measure theory. The weighted expectations are ratios of integrals that are meaningful only under integrability of e−yF(x)e^{-yF(x)}e−yF(x), and the line-search claim compares J(F+c′f)J(F + c'f)J(F+c′f) for all real c′c'c′, all of which must be shown finite before they can be compared as real numbers. The pointwise claim (16)–(18) uses the conditional law of yyy given xxx, which exists only as a disintegration kernel; passing from it to the unconditional (17) requires the disintegration identity and measurability of (18) in xxx. The tempting shortcut of treating J(F+cf)J(F + cf)J(F+cf) as its quadratic approximation does not prove the line-search claim: (20) is the exact minimizer of JJJ, not of the approximation.

Formalization scope

Labels are Booleans, with y=1y = 1y=1 for true and y=−1y = -1y=−1 for false. JJJ is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞] and is compared there; EwE_wEw​ and Ew(⋅∣x)E_w(\cdot \mid x)Ew​(⋅∣x) are ratios of Bochner integrals, the conditional one against ν.condKernel x. Disclosed additions, each needed for the page's formulas to be defined: FFF and fff measurable, J(F)<∞J(F) < \inftyJ(F)<∞, and 0<err<10 < \mathrm{err} < 10<err<1 wherever log⁡((1−err)/err)\log((1-\mathrm{err})/\mathrm{err})log((1−err)/err) is used. No condition err<1/2\mathrm{err} < 1/2err<1/2 is imposed. Ties Ew(y∣x)=0E_w(y \mid x) = 0Ew​(y∣x)=0 go to −1-1−1, as printed. The "≈" of the expansion is read as "second-order Taylor polynomial in ccc", and derivatives are stated with HasDerivAt.

Trivializing formalizations are excluded: JJJ is not defined by a conditional formula or as a Bochner integral (which would return 000 on non-integrable weights and make every step optimal), the logarithm is never applied outside its domain, and the class of fff stays {−1,1}\{-1, 1\}{−1,1}-valued (over real-valued fff the Newton step is Gentle AdaBoost's, a different result).

Everything is in the namespace AddLogReg.Discrete, with one definitions file (Setting) holding JJJ, EwE_wEw​, the classifier (18), err\mathrm{err}err and the coefficient (20). Reusable pieces are lemmas on disintegrations of laws on X×BoolX \times \mathrm{Bool}X×Bool and on weighted expectations. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • J. Friedman, T. Hastie and R. Tibshirani, Additive logistic regression: a statistical view of boosting, Ann. Statist. 28(2):337–407, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1016218223
  • Y. Freund and R. E. Schapire, A decision-theoretic generalization of on-line learning and an application to boosting, J. Comput. System Sci. 55(1):119–139, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.1997.1504
  • R. E. Schapire and Y. Singer, Improved boosting algorithms using confidence-rated predictions, Machine Learning 37:297–336, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007614523901
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Consumer Returns Policies and Supply Chain Performance 1: With Valuations Learned after Purchase, the Seller's Optimal Policy Is p* = E max(V, s), F̄(q*) = (c − s)/(p* − s), r* = sResearch Paper

Motivation

Retailers accept large volumes of returned merchandise, and a common default is the full refund: a buyer who is unhappy with a product brings it back and gets the whole price back. Many consumers only learn how much they value a product after they have it at home — clothes that do not fit, a gadget that does not suit the buyer's needs. A returns policy therefore plays two roles at once. It raises the buyer's willingness to pay before purchase, and after purchase it decides which units stay with consumers and which go back to the seller to be salvaged.

Xuanming Su's paper Consumer Returns Policies and Supply Chain Performance (SSRN 1020451; published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 11(4), 2009, doi:10.1287/msom.1080.0240) puts this effect into a newsvendor model with random demand. The earlier literature it builds on, notably Che (1996) and Davis, Gerstner and Hagerty (1995), asked whether a seller should offer full refunds or no returns at all. Su's model makes the refund amount a separate decision variable. The answer it gives is closed-form and sharp: the optimal refund equals the salvage value. This mission formalizes Sections 3–4 of the paper: the single-seller model, the full-refund benchmark, and the optimal partial refund.

Setting

A seller stocks a quantity q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 before a selling season at unit cost ccc. Unsold and returned units are salvaged at value sss. Market demand is a nonnegative random variable XXX with law DDD, distribution function FFF and Fˉ=1−F\bar F = 1 - FFˉ=1−F. Each consumer who buys learns a valuation VVV after purchase. Valuations are i.i.d. with law ν\nuν and finite mean μ=EV\mu = EVμ=EV, and the standing assumption is μ>c>s≥0\mu > c > s \ge 0μ>c>s≥0.

The seller chooses a price ppp, a quantity qqq and a refund rrr. Once a consumer has bought, they keep the product if V≥rV \ge rV≥r and return it otherwise. The keep and return probabilities are

Gˉ(r)=P(V≥r),G(r)=P(V<r).\bar G(r) = \mathbb P(V \ge r), \qquad G(r) = \mathbb P(V < r).Gˉ(r)=P(V≥r),G(r)=P(V<r).

Before purchase a consumer's expected utility from buying is Emax⁡(V,r)E\max(V, r)Emax(V,r), so this is the reservation price. Every consumer buys if p≤Emax⁡(V,r)p \le E\max(V, r)p≤Emax(V,r) and nobody buys otherwise (the demand rule (6)). With Emin⁡(X,q)E\min(X, q)Emin(X,q) the expected sales of a stock qqq, the seller's expected profit (7)–(8) is

Π(p,q,r)=[(p−s)Gˉ(r)+(p−r)G(r)] Emin⁡(X,q)−(c−s)qif p≤Emax⁡(V,r),\Pi(p,q,r) = \big[(p-s)\bar G(r) + (p-r)G(r)\big]\,E\min(X,q) - (c-s)q \quad\text{if } p \le E\max(V,r),Π(p,q,r)=[(p−s)Gˉ(r)+(p−r)G(r)]Emin(X,q)−(c−s)qif p≤Emax(V,r),

and −(c−s)q-(c-s)q−(c−s)q otherwise. Two special cases serve as benchmarks. Under full refunds (r=pr = pr=p) every consumer buys and the profit is Πfull(p,q)=(p−s)Gˉ(p)Emin⁡(X,q)−(c−s)q\Pi_{\text{full}}(p,q) = (p-s)\bar G(p)E\min(X,q) - (c-s)qΠfull​(p,q)=(p−s)Gˉ(p)Emin(X,q)−(c−s)q, from (1)–(2). Under no returns the price is μ\muμ and the profit is Πno(q)=(μ−s)Emin⁡(X,q)−(c−s)q\Pi_{\text{no}}(q) = (\mu - s)E\min(X,q) - (c-s)qΠno​(q)=(μ−s)Emin(X,q)−(c−s)q, from (3). Social welfare (12)–(13) is the sum of consumer surplus and seller profit, SW(p,q,r)=∫[r,∞)(v−s) dν(v)⋅Emin⁡(X,q)−(c−s)qSW(p,q,r) = \int_{[r,\infty)}(v-s)\,d\nu(v)\cdot E\min(X,q) - (c-s)qSW(p,q,r)=∫[r,∞)​(v−s)dν(v)⋅Emin(X,q)−(c−s)q, again subject to the demand rule.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (p. 11)

With p∗=Emax⁡(V,s)p^* = E\max(V,s)p∗=Emax(V,s), r∗=sr^* = sr∗=s and any q∗q^*q∗ satisfying

Fˉ(q∗)=c−sEmax⁡(V,s)−s,\bar F(q^*) = \frac{c-s}{E\max(V,s) - s},Fˉ(q∗)=Emax(V,s)−sc−s​,

the triple (p∗,q∗,r∗)(p^*, q^*, r^*)(p∗,q∗,r∗) maximizes Π\PiΠ over all prices, all refunds and all quantities q≥0q \ge 0q≥0:

Π(p,q,r)≤Π(p∗,q∗,r∗).\Pi(p,q,r) \le \Pi(p^*, q^*, r^*).Π(p,q,r)≤Π(p∗,q∗,r∗).

Milestones

  1. The reservation price splits as Emax⁡(V,r)=rG(r)+∫[r,∞)v dνE\max(V,r) = rG(r) + \int_{[r,\infty)} v\,d\nuEmax(V,r)=rG(r)+∫[r,∞)​vdν, which is the step (28)→(29) of the proof (p. 26).
  2. At p=Emax⁡(V,r)p = E\max(V,r)p=Emax(V,r) the per-unit margin (p−s)Gˉ(r)+(p−r)G(r)(p-s)\bar G(r) + (p-r)G(r)(p−s)Gˉ(r)+(p−r)G(r) equals ∫[r,∞)(v−s) dν\int_{[r,\infty)}(v-s)\,d\nu∫[r,∞)​(v−s)dν, displays (27)–(30), p. 26.
  3. This integral is maximized at r=sr = sr=s (p. 26).
  4. Hence (Emax⁡(V,s),s)(E\max(V,s), s)(Emax(V,s),s) maximizes the margin subject to p≤Emax⁡(V,r)p \le E\max(V,r)p≤Emax(V,r), the first step of the proof (p. 26).
  5. The newsvendor critical fractile, a reference to a proved platform theorem (p. 26).
  6. Proposition 1(i) (p. 9): under full refunds, p∗∈arg⁡max⁡p(p−s)Gˉ(p)p^* \in \arg\max_p (p-s)\bar G(p)p∗∈argmaxp​(p−s)Gˉ(p) with Fˉ(q∗)=(c−s)/((p∗−s)Gˉ(p∗))\bar F(q^*) = (c-s)/((p^*-s)\bar G(p^*))Fˉ(q∗)=(c−s)/((p∗−s)Gˉ(p∗)) is optimal.
  7. Proposition 1(ii) at s=0s = 0s=0 (p. 26): with nonnegative valuations, no returns beats every full-refund policy.
  8. Corollary 1 (p. 12): the inequality (p−s)Gˉ(p)≤Emax⁡(V,s)−s(p-s)\bar G(p) \le E\max(V,s) - s(p−s)Gˉ(p)≤Emax(V,s)−s (p. 26), and its consequence that partial refunds earn at least the full-refund profit and, for strictly increasing FFF, stock at least as much.
  9. Corollary 2 (p. 13): the triple of Proposition 2 also maximizes social welfare.

Significance

The result separates two things that a full refund ties together: the price and the refund. Setting r=sr = sr=s sends every unit back to its more valuable use. Consumers who value the product above its salvage value keep it, and the rest return it to be salvaged. The price Emax⁡(V,s)E\max(V,s)Emax(V,s) then extracts the whole expected surplus. Consequences follow directly. Partial refunds dominate both full refunds and no returns (Corollary 1). They raise the stocking quantity, which benefits an upstream manufacturer paid per unit ordered. With valuation uncertainty resolved only after purchase, the monopoly outcome is welfare-maximizing (Corollary 2). Section 5 of the paper, formalized in the companion mission, uses Proposition 2's triple as the first-best target that supply chain contracts must implement.

The results are proved on paper with short arguments in Appendix A of the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof. The mission's contribution is a formal model of consumer returns with the demand rule built in, plus checked versions of Propositions 1–2 and Corollaries 1–2 for general valuation laws (with atoms), not only densities.

Difficulty

The paper's proof treats the problem as separable: first maximize the margin over (p,r)(p, r)(p,r), then solve a newsvendor problem in qqq. Two steps that are routine on paper need care. First, the margin bound must hold over the whole constrained region p≤Emax⁡(V,r)p \le E\max(V, r)p≤Emax(V,r), including refunds above the price and negative prices. It rests on comparing ∫[r,∞)(v−s) dν\int_{[r,\infty)}(v-s)\,d\nu∫[r,∞)​(v−s)dν with ∫[s,∞)(v−s) dν\int_{[s,\infty)}(v-s)\,d\nu∫[s,∞)​(v−s)dν, which needs the closed half-line convention to hold up at atoms of ν\nuν. Second, the newsvendor step must be done for a demand law that may have atoms, where Fˉ\bar FFˉ has no inverse. Without the demand rule the problem is not separable at all: formula (8) alone is unbounded in ppp. Without nonnegativity of demand and quantity it is unbounded in the other direction.

Formalization scope

Lean represents all prices, refunds, costs, quantities and profits as real numbers. The valuation law is a probability measure ν on ℝ with integrable identity, so a density is not required. The demand law is a probability measure D on ℝ with D (Set.Iio 0) = 0. Gˉ(r)\bar G(r)Gˉ(r) is (ν (Set.Ici r)).toReal and G(r)G(r)G(r) is (ν (Set.Iio r)).toReal, following the page's tie rule (keep iff V≥rV \ge rV≥r). Emin⁡(X,q)E\min(X,q)Emin(X,q) is SupplyChainTheory.expSales D q from the published module SupplyChainTheory_contracts, and Fˉ\bar FFˉ is 1 - ProbabilityTheory.cdf D. Printed page numbers equal PDF page numbers throughout the source.

Committed conventions and readings:

  • Demand rule inside the objectives. Profit and welfare are zero-demand cash flows when p>Emax⁡(V,r)p > E\max(V,r)p>Emax(V,r).
  • Nonnegativity. Stocking quantities range over q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 and demand is nonnegative. Both are the page's words ("stocking quantity", "a mass of infinitesimal consumers"), and without them the profit is unbounded.
  • Salvage value. 0≤s0 \le s0≤s, as on p. 26.
  • Optimality, not uniqueness. Every optimum is stated as optimality of the page's closed-form triple. Uniqueness fails when ν\nuν has gaps: if ν\nuν puts no mass on [s,r)[s, r)[s,r), the refund rrr is optimal too.
  • No continuity of FFF for the goal. The goal assumes no continuity of FFF. Existence of q∗q^*q∗ is not claimed.
  • Corollary 1, quantity part. The quantity comparison assumes FFF strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), which the proof's Fˉ−1\bar F^{-1}Fˉ−1 presumes. Without it the statement is false.
  • Proposition 1(ii) at s=0s = 0s=0. This case assumes nonnegative valuations. The "sufficiently low" form of Proposition 1(ii) is not formalized.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: p∗p^*p∗ and r∗r^*r∗ are the explicit values Emax⁡(V,s)E\max(V,s)Emax(V,s) and sss, not an argmax chosen by Classical.choose. The maximization ranges over all (p,r)(p, r)(p,r) and all q≥0q \ge 0q≥0, not a set restricted to r=sr = sr=s. The returned-units cash flow (p−r+s)G(r)(p - r + s)G(r)(p−r+s)G(r) appears in the profit.

The newsvendor step reuses the proved platform theorem SupplyChainTheory.chain_optimal_fractile. The other pieces needed are elementary lemmas on integrals over half-lines and the concavity of q↦Emin⁡(X,q)q \mapsto E\min(X,q)q↦Emin(X,q). They are reusable for any newsvendor-type model. Proofs of any milestone, and a general-law newsvendor optimality lemma that does not need a continuous FFF, are welcome.

Selected references

  • X. Su, Consumer Returns Policies and Supply Chain Performance, SSRN working paper 1020451, version of August 2008. https://ssrn.com/abstract=1020451 — published in Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 11(4), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1080.0240
  • Y.-K. Che, Customer Return Policies for Experience Goods, Journal of Industrial Economics 44(1), 1996. https://doi.org/10.2307/2950560
  • S. Davis, E. Gerstner, M. Hagerty, Money Back Guarantees in Retailing: Matching Products to Consumer Tastes, Journal of Retailing 71(1), 1995. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-4359(95)90010-1
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Logarithmic Sobolev Inequalities for Finite Markov Chains 5: The Log-Sobolev Constant of K(x, y) = π(y) Is (1 − 2π_)/log(1/π_ − 1)Research Paper

Motivation

The log-Sobolev constant α\alphaα of a finite Markov chain controls how fast the chain forgets its starting point in relative entropy and in ℓ2\ell^2ℓ2, and it gives sharper mixing-time bounds than the spectral gap λ\lambdaλ when the stationary distribution has very small atoms. Diaconis and Saloff-Coste (Ann. Appl. Probab. 6 (1996)) made this constant a standard tool for finite chains. A practical obstacle runs through their paper: α\alphaα is defined by a nonlinear variational problem, and exact values are known for very few chains. Lower bounds on α\alphaα for a complicated chain are usually obtained by comparison with a simple chain whose constant is known exactly.

The Appendix of that paper computes such a reference value. For the chain that forgets its state in one step, K(x,y)=π(y)K(x,y)=\pi(y)K(x,y)=π(y), it determines α\alphaα in closed form for every positive π\piπ, and with it the log-Sobolev constant of every chain on two points and of the random walk on the complete graph.

Timeline. Rothaus's work on log-Sobolev inequalities (references [38–40] of the paper) studied the constant through its minimizers, the approach the Appendix follows. Diaconis and Saloff-Coste (1996) give the formula α=(1−2π∗)/log⁡(1/π∗−1)\alpha=(1-2\pi_*)/\log(1/\pi_*-1)α=(1−2π∗​)/log(1/π∗​−1), and note that Higuchi and Yoshida independently found the asymmetric two-point value.

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX be a finite set and KKK a Markov kernel on it: K(x,y)≥0K(x,y)\ge0K(x,y)≥0 and ∑yK(x,y)=1\sum_y K(x,y)=1∑y​K(x,y)=1. Let π\piπ be an invariant probability, ∑xπ(x)K(x,y)=π(y)\sum_x\pi(x)K(x,y)=\pi(y)∑x​π(x)K(x,y)=π(y), with π(x)>0\pi(x)>0π(x)>0 for every xxx. Functions on X\mathcal XX are real. Write Kf(x)=∑yK(x,y)f(y)Kf(x)=\sum_yK(x,y)f(y)Kf(x)=∑y​K(x,y)f(y), ⟨f,g⟩=∑xf(x)g(x)π(x)\langle f,g\rangle=\sum_x f(x)g(x)\pi(x)⟨f,g⟩=∑x​f(x)g(x)π(x), ∥f∥22=⟨f,f⟩\|f\|_2^2=\langle f,f\rangle∥f∥22​=⟨f,f⟩, Eπf=∑xf(x)π(x)E_\pi f=\sum_x f(x)\pi(x)Eπ​f=∑x​f(x)π(x) and Varπ(f)=∥f−Eπf∥22\mathrm{Var}_\pi(f)=\|f-E_\pi f\|_2^2Varπ​(f)=∥f−Eπ​f∥22​.

The Dirichlet form is E(f,g)=⟨(I−K)f,g⟩\mathcal E(f,g)=\langle (I-K)f,g\rangleE(f,g)=⟨(I−K)f,g⟩. The entropy functional is

L(f)=∑x∈X∣f(x)∣2log⁡∣f(x)∣2∥f∥22 π(x),\mathcal L(f)=\sum_{x\in\mathcal X}|f(x)|^2\log\frac{|f(x)|^2}{\|f\|_2^2}\,\pi(x),L(f)=x∈X∑​∣f(x)∣2log∥f∥22​∣f(x)∣2​π(x),

which is nonnegative and vanishes exactly when ∣f∣|f|∣f∣ is constant. The spectral gap and the log-Sobolev constant are

λ=inf⁡{E(f,f)Varπ(f):Varπ(f)≠0},α=inf⁡{E(f,f)L(f):L(f)≠0}.\lambda=\inf\Big\{\frac{\mathcal E(f,f)}{\mathrm{Var}_\pi(f)}:\mathrm{Var}_\pi(f)\ne0\Big\},\qquad \alpha=\inf\Big\{\frac{\mathcal E(f,f)}{\mathcal L(f)}:\mathcal L(f)\ne0\Big\}.λ=inf{Varπ​(f)E(f,f)​:Varπ​(f)=0},α=inf{L(f)E(f,f)​:L(f)=0}.

Equivalently, 1/α1/\alpha1/α is the best constant CCC in L(f)≤C E(f,f)\mathcal L(f)\le C\,\mathcal E(f,f)L(f)≤CE(f,f).

The chain of the mission is K(x,y)=π(y)K(x,y)=\pi(y)K(x,y)=π(y): at each step it draws a fresh point from π\piπ, ignoring its current state. Its invariant measure is π\piπ, and π∗=min⁡Xπ\pi_*=\min_{\mathcal X}\piπ∗​=minX​π is its smallest atom. In Lean the objects are dirichlet, entL, gap, logSobolev, indepChain and piMin in the namespace LogSobolevMC.TwoPoint.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem A.1

For a positive probability π\piπ on X\mathcal XX with π∗<1/2\pi_*<1/2π∗​<1/2, the chain K(x,y)=π(y)K(x,y)=\pi(y)K(x,y)=π(y) has

α=1−2π∗log⁡(1/π∗−1),\alpha=\frac{1-2\pi_*}{\log(1/\pi_*-1)},α=log(1/π∗​−1)1−2π∗​​,

and in particular, for π≡1/∣X∣\pi\equiv1/|\mathcal X|π≡1/∣X∣ with ∣X∣≥3|\mathcal X|\ge3∣X∣≥3, α=(1−2/∣X∣)/log⁡(∣X∣−1)\alpha=(1-2/|\mathcal X|)/\log(|\mathcal X|-1)α=(1−2/∣X∣)/log(∣X∣−1). The goal is an equality, so it contains both a log-Sobolev inequality with this constant and the existence of functions that make it sharp.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3.1: 2α≤λ2\alpha\le\lambda2α≤λ for every chain.
  2. E(∣f∣,∣f∣)≤E(f,f)\mathcal E(|f|,|f|)\le\mathcal E(f,f)E(∣f∣,∣f∣)≤E(f,f) (proof of Theorem A.1).
  3. Either α=λ/2\alpha=\lambda/2α=λ/2, or the infimum is attained at a nonconstant nonnegative function (proof of Theorem A.1).
  4. (A.3): a positive minimizer uuu of a reversible chain satisfies 2ulog⁡u−2ulog⁡∥u∥2−α−1(I−K)u=02u\log u-2u\log\|u\|_2-\alpha^{-1}(I-K)u=02ulogu−2ulog∥u∥2​−α−1(I−K)u=0.
  5. (A.1): the explicit pair a=log⁡[(1−θ)/θ]/(1−2θ)a=\log[(1-\theta)/\theta]/(1-2\theta)a=log[(1−θ)/θ]/(1−2θ), s=(1−2θ)/(2θ(1−θ))s=(1-2\theta)/(2\theta(1-\theta))s=(1−2θ)/(2θ(1−θ)) solves the two-equation system of the proof of Theorem A.2.
  6. Theorem A.2: the two-point chain with both rows (θ,1−θ)(\theta,1-\theta)(θ,1−θ), 0<θ≤1/20<\theta\le1/20<θ≤1/2, has α(θ)=(1−2θ)/log⁡[(1−θ)/θ]\alpha(\theta)=(1-2\theta)/\log[(1-\theta)/\theta]α(θ)=(1−2θ)/log[(1−θ)/θ], with the limit value 1/21/21/2 at θ=1/2\theta=1/2θ=1/2.

Consequences

Corollary A.3 (every two-point chain), Corollary A.4 (α(K)≥(1−2π∗)λ(K)/log⁡[1/π∗−1]\alpha(K)\ge(1-2\pi_*)\lambda(K)/\log[1/\pi_*-1]α(K)≥(1−2π∗​)λ(K)/log[1/π∗​−1] for every finite chain) and Corollary A.5 (the complete graph, α=(∣X∣−2)/((∣X∣−1)log⁡(∣X∣−1))\alpha=(|\mathcal X|-2)/((|\mathcal X|-1)\log(|\mathcal X|-1))α=(∣X∣−2)/((∣X∣−1)log(∣X∣−1)), and α=1/(2log⁡2)\alpha=1/(2\log2)α=1/(2log2) on Z3\mathbb Z_3Z3​).

Significance

The result. Theorem A.1 is one of the few exact log-Sobolev constants known for a whole family of chains. Since this chain has λ=1\lambda=1λ=1, the formula shows that α\alphaα can be smaller than λ/2\lambda/2λ/2 by a factor of order log⁡(1/π∗)\log(1/\pi_*)log(1/π∗​), which answers the question on p. 715 of how far 2α2\alpha2α and λ\lambdaλ can be apart. Corollary A.4 turns this into a general tool: any spectral gap bound gives a log-Sobolev bound, losing only a factor log⁡(1/π∗−1)/(1−2π∗)\log(1/\pi_*-1)/(1-2\pi_*)log(1/π∗​−1)/(1−2π∗​). Corollary A.3 settles every chain on two points, and Corollary A.5 gives the complete graph, a frequent reference chain for comparison arguments.

Formalizing it. These results are proved in the paper. To our knowledge none of them, nor the log-Sobolev constant of a finite Markov chain itself, has a machine-checked formalization. The mission produces the definitions of E\mathcal EE, L\mathcal LL, λ\lambdaλ and α\alphaα for finite chains, and exact values that later comparison arguments can cite.

Difficulty

The upper bound α≤(1−2π∗)/log⁡(1/π∗−1)\alpha\le(1-2\pi_*)/\log(1/\pi_*-1)α≤(1−2π∗​)/log(1/π∗​−1) needs only a good test function. The lower bound is the hard part: it is a statement about every function on X\mathcal XX, and L\mathcal LL is neither quadratic nor convex. The obvious route, comparing with the spectral gap, loses exactly the logarithmic factor the theorem is about. Reducing to two-valued functions requires the infimum to be attained and analysed through its minimizers. The two-point problem that remains is a one-parameter inequality l(s)≤a e(s)l(s)\le a\,e(s)l(s)≤ae(s) on an interval. The authors describe its solution as a calculus exercise that depended on numerical guessing, and it has removable singularities at θ=1/2\theta=1/2θ=1/2.

Formalization scope

X\mathcal XX is a Fintype with decidable equality. KKK is a Matrix V V ℝ and π\piπ a function V → ℝ. Stochasticity, invariance, distributions and reversibility are the published MarkovMixing predicates (IsStochastic, IsStationary, IsDist, DetailedBalance) from mm_basic, and Varπ\mathrm{Var}_\piVarπ​ is MarkovMixing.distVar from mm_lower. Positivity of π\piπ is a hypothesis throughout, as in §2.1. The infima λ\lambdaλ and α\alphaα are Lean sInfs over exactly the sets of (2.4) and (3.1). E\mathcal EE is the bilinear form ⟨(I−K)f,g⟩\langle (I-K)f,g\rangle⟨(I−K)f,g⟩. λ\lambdaλ is the variational gap, not the eigenvalue-based MarkovMixing.spectralGap, which agrees with it only for reversible chains.

Disclosed additions, all at removable singularities of the printed formulas: π∗<1/2\pi_*<1/2π∗​<1/2 in Theorem A.1 (and ∣X∣≥3|\mathcal X|\ge3∣X∣≥3 in its uniform case); the explicit limit value 1/21/21/2 at θ=1/2\theta=1/2θ=1/2 in Theorem A.2; strict π(0)<π(1)\pi(0)<\pi(1)π(0)<π(1) in Corollary A.3; and ∣X∣≥3|\mathcal X|\ge3∣X∣≥3 in Corollary A.5. In (A.3), reversibility, positivity of uuu and α>0\alpha>0α>0 are added. Irreducibility is not assumed anywhere.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out. A closed form evaluated at 0/00/00/0 would be Lean's value 000, so each such case is excluded or replaced by its limit. Real.log of a nonpositive number and an sInf over an empty or unbounded set do not occur under the stated hypotheses. Dropping the positivity or invariance of π\piπ, or replacing λ\lambdaλ by the eigenvalue gap, would change the statements. Stating the goal for two points only, or assuming the minimizer is two-valued, would state a step of the proof.

Contributions welcome: the general facts L≥0\mathcal L\ge0L≥0, E(f,f)=12∑x,y(f(x)−f(y))2K(x,y)π(x)\mathcal E(f,f)=\tfrac12\sum_{x,y}(f(x)-f(y))^2K(x,y)\pi(x)E(f,f)=21​∑x,y​(f(x)−f(y))2K(x,y)π(x) and the existence of minimizers are reusable for every log-Sobolev development on finite spaces. The two-point calculus of Theorem A.2 is self-contained real analysis.

Selected references

  • P. Diaconis and L. Saloff-Coste, Logarithmic Sobolev inequalities for finite Markov chains, Ann. Appl. Probab. 6(3):695–750, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1034968224
  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres and E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, AMS, 2009 (source of the MarkovMixing definitions used here). https://doi.org/10.1090/mbk/058
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Logarithmic Sobolev Inequalities for Finite Markov Chains 4: The Metropolis Chain for the Binomial Distribution Is Within e^{1−c} of Stationarity after (n/2)(log n + 2c) StepsResearch Paper

Motivation

The Metropolis algorithm turns a simple random walk into a Markov chain with a prescribed stationary distribution, by accepting or rejecting the walk's proposals. It is the basic tool of Markov chain Monte Carlo, and the practical question it raises is quantitative: how many steps are needed before the chain's distribution is close to the target? For most chains used in practice there is no rigorous answer.

Diaconis and Saloff-Coste (Ann. Appl. Probab. 6 (1996) 695–750) developed logarithmic Sobolev inequalities for finite Markov chains as a tool for exactly this question. Their first illustration, stated as Theorem 1.1 in the introduction, is the Metropolis chain for the binomial distribution: a one-dimensional chain for which the spectral gap gives a bound of order n2n^2n2 steps, while the log-Sobolev constant gives the correct order nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn. This mission formalizes that theorem and the chain of results the paper uses to prove it: the log-Sobolev constant of a product chain, of the hypercube walk, of the Ehrenfest chain, a comparison principle, and a discrete-time convergence bound.

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX be a finite set. A Markov kernel KKK on X\mathcal XX is a matrix with K(x,y)≥0K(x,y)\ge 0K(x,y)≥0 and ∑yK(x,y)=1\sum_y K(x,y)=1∑y​K(x,y)=1; Kl(x,⋅)K^l(x,\cdot)Kl(x,⋅), written KxlK^l_xKxl​, is the law of the chain after lll steps from xxx. A probability π\piπ on X\mathcal XX is invariant if ∑xπ(x)K(x,y)=π(y)\sum_x\pi(x)K(x,y)=\pi(y)∑x​π(x)K(x,y)=π(y); throughout, π\piπ charges every point. (K,π)(K,\pi)(K,π) is reversible if π(x)K(x,y)=π(y)K(y,x)\pi(x)K(x,y)=\pi(y)K(y,x)π(x)K(x,y)=π(y)K(y,x).

For real functions f,gf,gf,g on X\mathcal XX write ⟨f,g⟩=∑xf(x)g(x)π(x)\langle f,g\rangle=\sum_x f(x)g(x)\pi(x)⟨f,g⟩=∑x​f(x)g(x)π(x), ∥f∥2=⟨f,f⟩1/2\|f\|_2=\langle f,f\rangle^{1/2}∥f∥2​=⟨f,f⟩1/2, Ef=∑xf(x)π(x)Ef=\sum_x f(x)\pi(x)Ef=∑x​f(x)π(x) and Var⁡(f)=∥f−Ef∥22\operatorname{Var}(f)=\|f-Ef\|_2^2Var(f)=∥f−Ef∥22​. The Dirichlet form is E(f,g)=⟨(I−K)f,g⟩\mathcal E(f,g)=\langle (I-K)f,g\rangleE(f,g)=⟨(I−K)f,g⟩, and

L(f)=∑x∣f(x)∣2log⁡∣f(x)∣2∥f∥22 π(x).\mathcal L(f)=\sum_x |f(x)|^2\log\frac{|f(x)|^2}{\|f\|_2^2}\,\pi(x).L(f)=x∑​∣f(x)∣2log∥f∥22​∣f(x)∣2​π(x).

The spectral gap and the log-Sobolev constant are

λ=inf⁡{E(f,f)Var⁡(f):Var⁡(f)≠0},α=inf⁡{E(f,f)L(f):L(f)≠0}.\lambda=\inf\Big\{\frac{\mathcal E(f,f)}{\operatorname{Var}(f)}:\operatorname{Var}(f)\neq0\Big\},\qquad \alpha=\inf\Big\{\frac{\mathcal E(f,f)}{\mathcal L(f)}:\mathcal L(f)\neq0\Big\}.λ=inf{Var(f)E(f,f)​:Var(f)=0},α=inf{L(f)E(f,f)​:L(f)=0}.

For reversible KKK, βmin⁡\beta_{\min}βmin​ is the smallest eigenvalue of KKK. The total variation distance is ∥μ−ν∥TV=max⁡A⊆X∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣\|\mu-\nu\|_{TV}=\max_{A\subseteq\mathcal X}|\mu(A)-\nu(A)|∥μ−ν∥TV​=maxA⊆X​∣μ(A)−ν(A)∣.

The chain of the goal lives on X={0,1,…,n}\mathcal X=\{0,1,\dots,n\}X={0,1,…,n}, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, with the binomial distribution π(x)=2−n(nx)\pi(x)=2^{-n}\binom nxπ(x)=2−n(xn​). The base chain is the nearest-neighbour walk K(x,x±1)=1/2K(x,x\pm1)=1/2K(x,x±1)=1/2 for 1≤x≤n−11\le x\le n-11≤x≤n−1, holding with probability 1/21/21/2 at 000 and at nnn. The Metropolis chain MMM accepts a proposed move x→y≠xx\to y\neq xx→y=x with probability min⁡{1,π(y)/π(x)}\min\{1,\pi(y)/\pi(x)\}min{1,π(y)/π(x)}, so M(x,y)=K(x,y)min⁡{1,π(y)/π(x)}M(x,y)=K(x,y)\min\{1,\pi(y)/\pi(x)\}M(x,y)=K(x,y)min{1,π(y)/π(x)} for y≠xy\ne xy=x, and M(x,x)=1−∑y≠xM(x,y)M(x,x)=1-\sum_{y\ne x}M(x,y)M(x,x)=1−∑y=x​M(x,y). Explicitly, M(x,x+1)=12M(x,x+1)=\frac12M(x,x+1)=21​ for x≤(n−1)/2x\le (n-1)/2x≤(n−1)/2 and M(x,x+1)=n−x2(x+1)M(x,x+1)=\frac{n-x}{2(x+1)}M(x,x+1)=2(x+1)n−x​ above, symmetrically for x−1x-1x−1; this is the kernel (1.9) of the paper.

Two auxiliary chains appear in the proof: the hypercube walk on {−1,1}n\{-1,1\}^n{−1,1}n, which flips a uniformly chosen coordinate, and the Ehrenfest chain P(x,x+1)=(n−x)/nP(x,x+1)=(n-x)/nP(x,x+1)=(n−x)/n, P(x,x−1)=x/nP(x,x-1)=x/nP(x,x−1)=x/n on {0,…,n}\{0,\dots,n\}{0,…,n}, which records the number of coordinates equal to 111.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (upper bound)

For every n≥1n\ge1n≥1, every starting point xxx, every c>0c>0c>0 and every integer lll,

∥Mxl−π∥TV≤e1−cwhenever l≥n2(log⁡n+2c).\|M^l_x-\pi\|_{TV}\le e^{1-c}\qquad\text{whenever } l\ge\frac n2(\log n+2c).∥Mxl​−π∥TV​≤e1−cwhenever l≥2n​(logn+2c).

The goal is stated about the explicit chain (1.9) only; it fixes the constants as printed.

Milestones

  1. Example 1.1, (1.9). The Metropolis construction gives the six-case kernel (1.9), and π(x)M(x,y)=π(y)M(y,x)\pi(x)M(x,y)=\pi(y)M(y,x)π(x)M(x,y)=π(y)M(y,x).
  2. Example 3.1. The two-point chain on {−1,1}\{-1,1\}{−1,1} has π≡1/2\pi\equiv1/2π≡1/2, λ=2\lambda=2λ=2 and α=λ/2=1\alpha=\lambda/2=1α=λ/2=1.
  3. Lemma 3.2. The product chain (2.9) of ddd chains, with the product measure (2.10), has λ=1dmin⁡iλi\lambda=\frac1d\min_i\lambda_iλ=d1​mini​λi​ and α=1dmin⁡iαi\alpha=\frac1d\min_i\alpha_iα=d1​mini​αi​.
  4. Example 3.2. The hypercube walk is that product of two-point chains and has α=λ/2=1/n\alpha=\lambda/2=1/nα=λ/2=1/n.
  5. Lemma 3.1. 2α≤λ2\alpha\le\lambda2α≤λ for every chain.
  6. Lemma 3.3. If E′≤AE\mathcal E'\le A\mathcal EE′≤AE and aπ≤π′a\pi\le\pi'aπ≤π′ with A,a>0A,a>0A,a>0, then λ′≤Aaλ\lambda'\le\frac Aa\lambdaλ′≤aA​λ and α′≤Aaα\alpha'\le\frac Aa\alphaα′≤aA​α.
  7. Example 3.3. The Ehrenfest chain is the projection of the hypercube walk, with λ=2/n\lambda=2/nλ=2/n and α(P)=1/n\alpha(P)=1/nα(P)=1/n; 12P(x,y)≤M(x,y)≤P(x,y)\frac12P(x,y)\le M(x,y)\le P(x,y)21​P(x,y)≤M(x,y)≤P(x,y) for x≠yx\ne yx=y, so EM≤EP≤2EM\mathcal E_M\le\mathcal E_P\le2\mathcal E_MEM​≤EP​≤2EM​; hence 1n≤λ(M)≤2n\frac1n\le\lambda(M)\le\frac2nn1​≤λ(M)≤n2​ and 12n≤α(M)≤1n\frac1{2n}\le\alpha(M)\le\frac1n2n1​≤α(M)≤n1​.
  8. Corollary 3.8. For reversible (K,π)(K,\pi)(K,π) and π(x)≤1/e\pi(x)\le1/eπ(x)≤1/e, with λ∗=min⁡{λ,1+βmin⁡}\lambda_*=\min\{\lambda,1+\beta_{\min}\}λ∗​=min{λ,1+βmin​}, ∥Kxm/π−1∥2≤(1+2e2)1/2e−c\|K^m_x/\pi-1\|_2\le(1+2e^2)^{1/2}e^{-c}∥Kxm​/π−1∥2​≤(1+2e2)1/2e−c for m≥14αlog⁡log⁡1π(x)+cλ∗+1m\ge\frac1{4\alpha}\log\log\frac1{\pi(x)}+\frac c{\lambda_*}+1m≥4α1​loglogπ(x)1​+λ∗​c​+1.
  9. Example 3.4. M(x,x)≥2/(n+3)M(x,x)\ge2/(n+3)M(x,x)≥2/(n+3), βmin⁡≥−1+4/(n+3)\beta_{\min}\ge-1+4/(n+3)βmin​≥−1+4/(n+3), and ∥Mxl/π−1∥2≤(1+2e2)1/2e−c\|M^l_x/\pi-1\|_2\le(1+2e^2)^{1/2}e^{-c}∥Mxl​/π−1∥2​≤(1+2e2)1/2e−c for l≥n2(log⁡n+2c)+1l\ge\frac n2(\log n+2c)+1l≥2n​(logn+2c)+1.

Significance

The theorem shows that the Metropolis chain for the binomial distribution mixes in n2log⁡n+O(n)\frac n2\log n+O(n)2n​logn+O(n) steps, matching the lower bound of order nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn quoted in the paper's converse. The spectral gap λ(M)≍1/n\lambda(M)\asymp1/nλ(M)≍1/n together with π∗=2−n\pi_*=2^{-n}π∗​=2−n only yields order n2n^2n2; the improvement comes from replacing log⁡(1/π∗)\log(1/\pi_*)log(1/π∗​) by log⁡log⁡(1/π∗)\log\log(1/\pi_*)loglog(1/π∗​), which is what the log-Sobolev constant buys. The intermediate results are reusable on their own: the tensorization of λ\lambdaλ and α\alphaα (Lemma 3.2), the comparison principle (Lemma 3.3) and the discrete-time bound (Corollary 3.8) apply to any finite chain, and the exact log-Sobolev constants of the two-point chain, the hypercube and the Ehrenfest chain are standard inputs elsewhere.

All results are proved in the paper (the gap λ=2/n\lambda=2/nλ=2/n of the Ehrenfest chain is quoted there as known). To our knowledge none of them is machine-checked: there is no log-Sobolev constant of a Markov chain in Mathlib or on the platform. The work is to formalize the known proofs.

Difficulty

The natural first idea is to bound the distance to stationarity by the spectral gap: ∥Kxl/π−1∥22≤π(x)−1β2l\|K^l_x/\pi-1\|_2^2\le\pi(x)^{-1}\beta^{2l}∥Kxl​/π−1∥22​≤π(x)−1β2l. With π(x)\pi(x)π(x) as small as 2−n2^{-n}2−n and 1−β≍1/n1-\beta\asymp 1/n1−β≍1/n, this needs lll of order n2n^2n2, so no amount of care with this argument reaches the theorem. The proof instead goes through the log-Sobolev constant, which is hard to compute even for simple chains: the paper obtains α(M)\alpha(M)α(M) only through a sequence of exact computations (two points, products, a projection) followed by a comparison. Each step involves the nonlinear functional L\mathcal LL, whose tensorization and behaviour under comparison of measures are less elementary than those of the variance. The passage from continuous to discrete time also needs control of βmin⁡\beta_{\min}βmin​, since a chain with eigenvalue near −1-1−1 does not converge.

Formalization scope

The state space {0,…,n}\{0,\dots,n\}{0,…,n} is Fin (n + 1), {−1,1}\{-1,1\}{−1,1} is Fin 2 (0↦−10\mapsto-10↦−1, 1↦11\mapsto11↦1), and {−1,1}n\{-1,1\}^n{−1,1}n is Fin n → Fin 2. Kernels are real matrices Matrix V V ℝ; stochasticity, invariance, irreducibility, reversibility (detailed balance), total variation, the rows KxlK^l_xKxl​, the product chain (2.9) and the generic Metropolis rule are the published MarkovMixing definitions (mm_basic, mm_mixing, mm_continuous, mm_mcmc). Functions are real valued. Time lll is a natural number and thresholds are compared in R\mathbb RR.

λ\lambdaλ, α\alphaα and βmin⁡\beta_{\min}βmin​ are defined variationally as real infima (sInf). βmin⁡\beta_{\min}βmin​ is the minimum of the Rayleigh quotient ⟨Kf,f⟩/⟨f,f⟩\langle Kf,f\rangle/\langle f,f\rangle⟨Kf,f⟩/⟨f,f⟩, which is the smallest eigenvalue for reversible chains. The eigenvalue-based MarkovMixing.spectralGap is not used, since it equals λ\lambdaλ only for reversible chains. Two hypotheses are added where Lean's conventions would otherwise falsify a statement: Lemma 3.2 assumes every factor has at least two points (Lean evaluates the infimum over an empty set as 000, the paper as +∞+\infty+∞), and Corollary 3.8 assumes 1+βmin⁡>01+\beta_{\min}>01+βmin​>0 (Lean evaluates c/0c/0c/0 as 000, the paper as +∞+\infty+∞). Lemmas 3.1 and 3.3 are stated without the section's irreducibility assumption, which they do not need.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal mentions only the explicit chain MMM, the binomial distribution, MxlM^l_xMxl​ and total variation, not a chain assumed to have α≥1/(2n)\alpha\ge1/(2n)α≥1/(2n); positivity and invariance of π\piπ are never dropped; and no statement relies on a junk value of sInf, Real.log or division. The converse half of Theorem 1.1, max⁡x∥Mxl−π∥TV≥14+o(1)\max_x\|M^l_x-\pi\|_{TV}\ge\frac14+o(1)maxx​∥Mxl​−π∥TV​≥41​+o(1) for l≤n8log⁡nl\le\frac n8\log nl≤8n​logn, is asymptotic and proved in the paper only by citation; it is not part of the mission. The second statement of Corollary 3.8 (the uniform bound on ∣k2n(x,y)−1∣|k^{2n}(x,y)-1|∣k2n(x,y)−1∣) is also left out.

A complete development needs the semigroup Ht=e−t(I−K)H_t=e^{-t(I-K)}Ht​=e−t(I−K) and the hypercontractivity theorem of the paper (Theorem 3.5) on the way to Corollary 3.8, a spectral decomposition of reversible kernels, and the entropy inequalities behind Lemmas 3.2 and 3.3. The general results (Lemmas 3.1–3.3, Corollary 3.8) are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone, and alternative routes to the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Diaconis and L. Saloff-Coste, Logarithmic Sobolev inequalities for finite Markov chains, Ann. Appl. Probab. 6(3) (1996), 695–750. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1034968224
  • P. Diaconis and L. Saloff-Coste, What do we know about the Metropolis algorithm?, J. Comput. System Sci. 57 (1998), 20–36 (reference [18] of the paper, in its preprint form). https://doi.org/10.1006/jcss.1998.1576
  • D. A. Levin, Y. Peres and E. L. Wilmer, Markov Chains and Mixing Times, AMS, 2009 (source of the published MarkovMixing definitions). https://doi.org/10.1090/mbk/058
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Fuzzy Extractors: How to Generate Strong Keys from Biometrics and Other Noisy Data 4: A Secure Sketch Correcting t Errors Has Residual Min-Entropy at Most L(M, t, m)Research Paper

Motivation

Biometric readings, typed passphrases and physical measurements are secrets that are never reproduced exactly: a second reading w′w'w′ of the same fingerprint differs from the enrolled reading www in a few positions. Dodis, Ostrovsky, Reyzin and Smith (arXiv:cs/0602007, SIAM J. Comput. 38(1), 2008) introduced the secure sketch, public helper data that lets anyone holding a nearby w′w'w′ recover www while leaking as little as possible about www, and the fuzzy extractor, which in addition turns www into a nearly uniform key. Their constructions for the Hamming, set-difference and edit metrics are the standard reference for this primitive in cryptography.

A construction is judged by its entropy loss: how much min-entropy of the secret the published sketch destroys. To call a construction optimal one needs a lower bound on that loss which holds for every sketch, whatever its algorithm. Appendix C of the paper supplies such a bound from coding theory. It shows that, for uniformly distributed inputs, the code-offset sketch for the Hamming metric and the set-difference sketches lose no more entropy than any sketch must. This mission formalizes that bound, Lemma C.1.

Setting

A metric space is a finite set M\mathcal MM with an integer-valued distance dis\mathrm{dis}dis; the paper also requires dis(x,y)=0\mathrm{dis}(x,y)=0dis(x,y)=0 exactly when x=yx=yx=y, symmetry, and the triangle inequality (§2.1, p. 7). Random variables are identified with their laws; logarithms are base 2.

The min-entropy of a random variable AAA is H∞(A)=−log⁡max⁡aPr⁡[A=a]\mathbf H_\infty(A) = -\log \max_a \Pr[A=a]H∞​(A)=−logmaxa​Pr[A=a]. For a pair (A,B)(A,B)(A,B) the average min-entropy is

H~∞(A∣B)=−log⁡Eb←B[max⁡aPr⁡[A=a∣B=b]],\tilde{\mathbf H}_\infty(A\mid B) = -\log \mathbb E_{b\leftarrow B}\Big[\max_a \Pr[A=a\mid B=b]\Big],H~∞​(A∣B)=−logEb←B​[amax​Pr[A=a∣B=b]],

the negative logarithm of the probability that an adversary who sees BBB guesses AAA.

An (M,m,m~,t)(\mathcal M,m,\tilde m,t)(M,m,m~,t)-secure sketch (Definition 3, p. 11) is a pair of randomized procedures: SS\mathsf{SS}SS maps w∈Mw\in\mathcal Mw∈M to a string sss, and Rec\mathsf{Rec}Rec maps (w′,s)(w',s)(w′,s) back to M\mathcal MM. Correctness: if dis(w,w′)≤t\mathrm{dis}(w,w')\le tdis(w,w′)≤t then Rec(w′,SS(w))=w\mathsf{Rec}(w',\mathsf{SS}(w))=wRec(w′,SS(w))=w. Security: for every distribution WWW on M\mathcal MM with H∞(W)≥m\mathbf H_\infty(W)\ge mH∞​(W)≥m, one has H~∞(W∣SS(W))≥m~\tilde{\mathbf H}_\infty(W\mid \mathsf{SS}(W))\ge\tilde mH~∞​(W∣SS(W))≥m~.

An (M,K,t)(\mathcal M,K,t)(M,K,t)-code (§2.2, p. 8) is a set C⊆MC\subseteq\mathcal MC⊆M of KKK points such that every ball {c:dis(w,c)≤t}\{c : \mathrm{dis}(w,c)\le t\}{c:dis(w,c)≤t} around a point w∈Mw\in\mathcal Mw∈M contains at most one codeword. For S⊆MS\subseteq\mathcal MS⊆M, K(M,t,S)K(\mathcal M,t,S)K(M,t,S) is the largest KKK for which an (M,K,t)(\mathcal M,K,t)(M,K,t)-code lies inside SSS, and K(M,t)=K(M,t,M)K(\mathcal M,t)=K(\mathcal M,t,\mathcal M)K(M,t)=K(M,t,M). Finally (Appendix C, p. 40)

L(M,t,m)=log⁡(min⁡∣S∣=2mK(M,t,S)),L(\mathcal M,t,m) = \log\Big(\min_{|S|=2^m} K(\mathcal M,t,S)\Big),L(M,t,m)=log(∣S∣=2mmin​K(M,t,S)),

the worst case, over all sets SSS of 2m2^m2m points, of the largest ttt-error-correcting code inside SSS.

In the Lean development these are minEntropy, avgMinEntropy, IsSecureSketch, IsCode, K dis t S and L dis t N hN, in the namespace FuzzyExtractors.LowerBound.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma C.1

If (SS,Rec)(\mathsf{SS},\mathsf{Rec})(SS,Rec) is an (M,m,m′,t)(\mathcal M,m,m',t)(M,m,m′,t)-secure sketch and 2m=N2^m=N2m=N is a natural number with N≤∣M∣N\le|\mathcal M|N≤∣M∣, then

m′≤L(M,t,m).m' \le L(\mathcal M,t,m).m′≤L(M,t,m).

The bound fixes no particular metric and no particular sketch; it is stated for every finite integer-valued metric and every sketch, with an arbitrary type of sketch values.

Milestones

The proof in Appendix C has three steps, each a milestone. For WWW uniform on a set SSS of 2m2^m2m points:

  1. some sketch value vvv has Pr⁡[SS(W)=v]>0\Pr[\mathsf{SS}(W)=v]>0Pr[SS(W)=v]>0 and H∞(W∣SS(W)=v)≥m′\mathbf H_\infty(W\mid\mathsf{SS}(W)=v)\ge m'H∞​(W∣SS(W)=v)≥m′;
  2. the set TTT of points of SSS that can produce vvv has ∣T∣≥2m′|T|\ge 2^{m'}∣T∣≥2m′;
  3. under the correctness property alone, TTT is an (M,∣T∣,t)(\mathcal M,|T|,t)(M,∣T∣,t)-code.

A fourth milestone is the lemma's second sentence: when m=log⁡∣M∣m=\log|\mathcal M|m=log∣M∣,

m′≤log⁡K(M,t).m' \le \log K(\mathcal M,t).m′≤logK(M,t).

Significance

The result. Lemma C.1 converts any secure sketch into a code: the residual entropy m′m'm′ of the sketch can be no larger than the logarithm of the best ttt-error-correcting code inside a worst-case set of 2m2^m2m points. For uniform inputs it says m′≤log⁡K(M,t)m'\le\log K(\mathcal M,t)m′≤logK(M,t), so the entropy loss is at least log⁡∣M∣−log⁡K(M,t)\log|\mathcal M|-\log K(\mathcal M,t)log∣M∣−logK(M,t). The code-offset construction built from an optimal code attains that loss, which is how the paper certifies its Hamming and set-difference constructions as optimal for uniform passwords. The companion Lemma C.2 gives the analogous bound for fuzzy extractors, up to a −log⁡(1−ε)-\log(1-\varepsilon)−log(1−ε) term. Lower bounds of this shape are what separate an efficient construction from a provably best one.

Formalizing it. The lemma has a complete, short proof in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission produces a checked version of the bound for arbitrary finite integer metrics and arbitrary randomized sketches, together with reusable definitions of min-entropy and average min-entropy on probability mass functions, of secure sketches, and of ttt-error-correcting codes in a general finite metric space.

Difficulty

The combinatorial core, that the preimage set of one sketch value is a code, is immediate from correctness. The work lies in the probabilistic bookkeeping. One must pass from an average bound on guessing probability to a single good sketch value, which requires handling sketch values of probability zero and an infinite (possibly uncountable) space of sketch outputs. One must then pass from "Pr⁡[W=w∣v]≤2−m′\Pr[W=w\mid v]\le 2^{-m'}Pr[W=w∣v]≤2−m′ for all www" to "at least 2m′2^{m'}2m′ points carry positive probability", and compute the min-entropy of a uniform distribution exactly. Finally the bound must be transferred to the minimum over all sets of size 2m2^m2m, a finite but large family. A first idea, to reason only about deterministic sketches, does not suffice: Definition 3 allows randomized SS\mathsf{SS}SS and Rec\mathsf{Rec}Rec, and the statement quantifies over them.

Formalization scope

Laws are Mathlib PMFs; randomized procedures are maps into PMF. The sketch value type V is arbitrary, standing in for {0,1}∗\{0,1\}^*{0,1}∗. Average min-entropy is written in the equivalent joint form −log⁡∑bmax⁡aPr⁡[A=a∧B=b]-\log\sum_b\max_a\Pr[A=a\wedge B=b]−log∑b​maxa​Pr[A=a∧B=b], which avoids conditioning on null events. "Min-entropy mmm" is read as H∞(W)≥m\mathbf H_\infty(W)\ge mH∞​(W)≥m, and m,m′m, m'm,m′ are real numbers. Rec\mathsf{Rec}Rec is randomized and correctness asks that it return www with probability one for every possible sketch value of www.

The explicit choices:

  • L(M,t,m)L(\mathcal M,t,m)L(M,t,m) is defined only when 2m2^m2m is a natural number N≤∣M∣N\le|\mathcal M|N≤∣M∣ (otherwise the minimum ranges over no sets); the goal takes such an NNN with (N:R)=2m(N:\mathbb R)=2^m(N:R)=2m. The printed K(n,t,S)K(n,t,S)K(n,t,S) inside the minimum is read as K(M,t,S)K(\mathcal M,t,S)K(M,t,S), and the printed L(M,t,n)L(\mathcal M,t,n)L(M,t,n) as L(M,t,log⁡∣M∣)L(\mathcal M,t,\log|\mathcal M|)L(M,t,log∣M∣).
  • The code-bound statements explicitly assume all metric axioms from §2.1: zero distance exactly for equal points, symmetry, and the triangle inequality. Symmetry is used because the ball condition of a code measures dis(w′,c)\mathrm{dis}(w',c)dis(w′,c), while correctness is stated for dis(c,w′)\mathrm{dis}(c,w')dis(c,w′). The second-sentence milestone also assumes M\mathcal MM nonempty, which the paper leaves implicit.
  • The hypothesis is the worst-case secure sketch of Definition 3, not the average-case one of Definition 4, which would weaken the lemma.
  • Definition 3's efficiency requirement is dropped; no complexity theory is formalized, and no placeholder predicate replaces it.

Two trivializing formalizations are ruled out: K(M,t,S)K(\mathcal M,t,S)K(M,t,S) is the largest size of a code in SSS, not a count of codes; and a code is defined by the ball condition, not by "distinct codewords are at distance greater than ttt", which is weaker in the absence of the triangle inequality.

Needed infrastructure: the min-entropy of a uniform PMF on a finset, the averaging argument over a tsum of ENNReal values, and monotonicity of Finset.inf'. The min-entropy and code definitions are reusable by every other mission of this paper. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, in any order.

Selected references

  • Y. Dodis, R. Ostrovsky, L. Reyzin, A. Smith, Fuzzy Extractors: How to Generate Strong Keys from Biometrics and Other Noisy Data, SIAM J. Comput. 38(1):97–139, 2008. arXiv:cs/0602007v4. https://arxiv.org/abs/cs/0602007 — DOI https://doi.org/10.1137/060651380
  • A. Juels, M. Wattenberg, A Fuzzy Commitment Scheme, ACM CCS 1999. https://doi.org/10.1145/319709.319714
  • R. Renner, S. Wolf, Simple and Tight Bounds for Information Reconciliation and Privacy Amplification, ASIACRYPT 2005. https://doi.org/10.1007/11593447_11
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

An O(√nL)-Iteration Homogeneous and Self-Dual Linear Programming Algorithm 3: If (LP) and (LD) Have Interior Feasible Points, Every Self-Complementary Solution of (HLP) Has τ* > 0Research Paper

Motivation

Linear programming algorithms often compute a solution to an auxiliary problem before extracting a solution to the original primal and dual pair. For a homogeneous self-dual formulation, the extraction requires a positive scaling coordinate. If that coordinate vanishes, the same auxiliary solution may instead describe infeasibility or unboundedness. Ye, Todd, and Mizuno introduced a homogeneous self-dual linear program that can start from arbitrary positive primal and dual slack vectors, even when the original programs have no known feasible point (Ye–Todd–Mizuno 1994).

Their Theorem 3 concerns strictly self-complementary optimal solutions of the auxiliary program. Theorem 9 addresses a different question: under a regularity assumption on the original programs, does a general optimal solution of the auxiliary program still have a positive scaling coordinate? The distinction matters because optimality alone does not require every complementary pair to have a positive member. This mission formalizes the statement of Theorem 9 and the numbered identities that frame it.

Setting

Fix a real matrix A∈Rm×nA\in\mathbb R^{m\times n}A∈Rm×n, a right-hand side b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm, and a cost vector c∈Rnc\in\mathbb R^nc∈Rn. The primal linear program (LP) minimizes cTxc^TxcTx subject to Ax=bAx=bAx=b and x≥0x\ge0x≥0. Its dual (LD) maximizes bTyb^TybTy subject to ATy≤cA^Ty\le cATy≤c; y∈Rmy\in\mathbb R^my∈Rm is unrestricted. The dual slack is s=c−ATys=c-A^Tys=c−ATy.

An interior feasible point of (LP) is an xxx with Ax=bAx=bAx=b and every xj>0x_j>0xj​>0. An interior feasible point of (LD) is a yyy with every component of c−ATyc-A^Tyc−ATy positive. “Interior” here is the paper's strict coordinatewise feasibility condition, not the topological interior of an equality-constrained set in ambient space. The existence of such a point implies ordinary feasibility for the corresponding program.

The paper builds an auxiliary program (HLP) from initial vectors x0>0x^0>0x0>0, s0>0s^0>0s0>0, and y0y^0y0. It uses the derived data

bˉ=b−Ax0,cˉ=c−ATy0−s0,zˉ=cTx0+1−bTy0.\bar b=b-Ax^0,\qquad \bar c=c-A^Ty^0-s^0,\qquad \bar z=c^Tx^0+1-b^Ty^0.bˉ=b−Ax0,cˉ=c−ATy0−s0,zˉ=cTx0+1−bTy0.

A point is a tuple (y,x,τ,θ,s,κ)(y,x,\tau,\theta,s,\kappa)(y,x,τ,θ,s,κ) with x,s,τ,κ≥0x,s,\tau,\kappa\ge0x,s,τ,κ≥0 and free y,θy,\thetay,θ. Its equality constraints are

Ax−bτ+bˉθ=0,s=−ATy+cτ−cˉθ,κ=bTy−cTx+zˉθ,−bˉTy+cˉTx−zˉτ=−(x0)Ts0−1.\begin{aligned} Ax-b\tau+\bar b\theta&=0,\\ s&=-A^Ty+c\tau-\bar c\theta,\\ \kappa&=b^Ty-c^Tx+\bar z\theta,\\ -\bar b^Ty+\bar c^Tx-\bar z\tau&=-(x^0)^Ts^0-1. \end{aligned}Ax−bτ+bˉθsκ−bˉTy+cˉTx−zˉτ​=0,=−ATy+cτ−cˉθ,=bTy−cTx+zˉθ,=−(x0)Ts0−1.​

The objective is to minimize ((x0)Ts0+1)θ((x^0)^Ts^0+1)\theta((x0)Ts0+1)θ. A feasible point is optimal when no feasible point has a smaller objective. The paper calls an optimal point self-complementary, whether or not its complementary pairs satisfy strict inequalities (p. 57, after Theorem 2(v)). After introducing the general construction, the paper fixes y0=0y^0=0y0=0 and x0=s0=ex^0=s^0=ex0=s0=e, the all-ones vector. That is the instance used in Theorem 9.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9

If both (LP) and (LD) have interior feasible points, then every self-complementary solution w∗=(y∗,x∗,τ∗,θ∗,s∗,κ∗)w^*=(y^*,x^*,\tau^*,\theta^*,s^*,\kappa^*)w∗=(y∗,x∗,τ∗,θ∗,s∗,κ∗) of this fixed (HLP) satisfies

τ∗>0.\tau^*>0.τ∗>0.

The theorem quantifies over every optimal point, including those that are not strictly self-complementary. The printed tuple writes θ∗=0\theta^*=0θ∗=0; Theorem 2(iv) entails that fact from optimality, so it is not an extra hypothesis in the goal (Theorem 9, p. 64).

Supporting targets

Theorem 2(iv) states that (HLP) has zero optimal value and, for every feasible point under arbitrary positive initial x0,s0x^0,s^0x0,s0, satisfies

((x0)Ts0+1)θ=xTs+τκ.((x^0)^Ts^0+1)\theta=x^Ts+\tau\kappa.((x0)Ts0+1)θ=xTs+τκ.

Corollary 4 states that a positive κ\kappaκ at an optimum under the fixed initialization entails infeasibility of (LP) or (LD). Equation (9) states the corresponding normalization identity

eTx+eTs+τ+κ−(n+1)θ=n+1.e^Tx+e^Ts+\tau+\kappa-(n+1)\theta=n+1.eTx+eTs+τ+κ−(n+1)θ=n+1.

These are separate milestone statements, each tied to its index and page in the paper (Theorem 2(iv), p. 57; equation (9), p. 58; Corollary 4, p. 59).

Significance

Theorem 9 says that the auxiliary model does not lose its positive scale at any optimum when the primal and dual programs are both strictly feasible. With τ∗>0\tau^*>0τ∗>0, the homogeneous primal and dual variables can be divided by τ∗\tau^*τ∗ to recover solutions in the original scale. The result applies even when the auxiliary optimum lacks strict complementarity; that is the additional coverage beyond the strictly self-complementary case of Theorem 3 (Ye–Todd–Mizuno 1994, pp. 58 and 64).

The mathematical result was proved in 1994. This mission's remaining work is a machine-checked proof of the stated regularity result and its supporting claims in the paper's specific (HLP) model. The definitions of the homogeneous feasible set, its slacks, and its optimality relation are reusable for the other results in the same paper. The full algorithm and complexity estimate belong to the other missions in this series.

Difficulty

The optimality condition controls the objective, and Theorem 2(iv) identifies that objective with a sum of complementarity terms. Those facts alone permit τ∗=0\tau^*=0τ∗=0; they do not force the scaling coordinate to be positive. Theorem 3's assertion for a strictly self-complementary point cannot be applied to an arbitrary optimal point, because its strict support condition may fail. The challenge is to use interior feasibility of both original programs to exclude all zero-scale optima while retaining the full set of HLP optima in the quantifier.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses finite-dimensional real vectors indexed by Fin m and Fin n, a real matrix AAA, and a six-field HLP point in the paper's order (y,x,τ,θ,s,κ)(y,x,\tau,\theta,s,\kappa)(y,x,τ,θ,s,κ). The standard-form primal and dual feasible sets are reused from a published LP definition with the same minimization and maximization orientation. Paper-specific interior predicates and the homogeneous program are defined locally. Slack fields in an HLP point are constrained to equal their formulas, so they cannot be chosen independently to make a statement true.

The model first defines (HLP) for general x0,y0,s0x^0,y^0,s^0x0,y0,s0 and then substitutes the paper's choice (7). It treats self-complementarity as objective minimization over the whole feasible set. Defining it by θ=0\theta=0θ=0 or by a complementarity equation would erase the content of Theorem 2(iv). The objective and normalization constants are exact, including the n+1n+1n+1 in the fixed instance. No real supremum or infimum is used to define optimality; it is a direct comparison against every feasible point.

The dimensions m,nm,nm,n may be zero. Empty coordinatewise inequalities then have their usual vacuous meaning, but the equations remain in force. In particular the prescribed point (0,e,1,1,e,1)(0,e,1,1,e,1)(0,e,1,1,e,1) is strictly feasible for every A,b,cA,b,cA,b,c, as a separate sorry-free local verification checks. This excludes an empty-feasible-set reading of the HLP definitions. Contributions proving the three numbered milestones, the goal, or reusable finite-dimensional LP lemmas are within scope.

Selected references

  • Yinyu Ye, Michael J. Todd, and Shinji Mizuno, An O(nL)O(\sqrt nL)O(n​L)-Iteration Homogeneous and Self-Dual Linear Programming Algorithm, Mathematics of Operations Research 19(1), 53–67, 1994. DOI 10.1287/moor.19.1.53.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Semidefinite Programming 1: If the Primal or the Dual Semidefinite Program Is Strictly Feasible Then p* = d*, and If Both Are, Both Optimal Sets Are NonemptyResearch Paper

Motivation

A semidefinite program minimizes a linear objective subject to a matrix being positive semidefinite. It includes linear programs and many matrix optimization problems, while allowing constraints on eigenvalues that ordinary coordinate inequalities cannot express. Vandenberghe and Boyd’s 1996 survey helped establish this form as a common language for control, combinatorial optimization, and numerical optimization. A useful dual certificate turns a feasible matrix into a lower bound on every feasible primal objective value. The question here is when that bound reaches the primal optimum and when optimizers exist.

The survey states the weak-duality identity on p. 64 and Theorem 3.1 across pp. 64–65. The theorem is a classical result, not an open conjecture. The paper points to Nesterov and Nemirovskii’s account of convex optimization and Rockafellar’s convex analysis for proofs. The published survey also gives a small feasible example with unequal optimal values, showing that some regularity condition is genuinely needed.

Setting

Let m,nm,nm,n be natural numbers. The data are a vector c∈Rmc\in\mathbb R^mc∈Rm and symmetric matrices F0,F1,…,Fm∈Rn×nF_0,F_1,\ldots,F_m\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}F0​,F1​,…,Fm​∈Rn×n. For a decision vector x∈Rmx\in\mathbb R^mx∈Rm, define the affine matrix map

F(x)=F0+∑i=1mxiFi.F(x)=F_0+\sum_{i=1}^{m}x_iF_i.F(x)=F0​+i=1∑m​xi​Fi​.

A symmetric matrix AAA is positive semidefinite, written A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0, when vTAv≥0v^TAv\ge0vTAv≥0 for every vector vvv. It is positive definite, written A≻0A\succ0A≻0, when this inequality is strict for every nonzero vector. The primal problem minimizes cTxc^TxcTx over vectors with F(x)⪰0F(x)\succeq0F(x)⪰0. A vector satisfying this constraint is primal feasible. The dual problem maximizes −Tr⁡(F0Z)-\operatorname{Tr}(F_0Z)−Tr(F0​Z) over symmetric matrices Z⪰0Z\succeq0Z⪰0 satisfying Tr⁡(FiZ)=ci\operatorname{Tr}(F_iZ)=c_iTr(Fi​Z)=ci​ for each i=1,…,mi=1,\ldots,mi=1,…,m. A matrix satisfying these conditions is dual feasible.

Write p∗p^*p∗ for the infimum of primal objective values and d∗d^*d∗ for the supremum of dual objective values. These are extended-real optimal values: an infeasible primal has p∗=+∞p^*=+\inftyp∗=+∞, and an infeasible dual has d∗=−∞d^*=-\inftyd∗=−∞. An unbounded objective can give the other infinite value. The optimal sets XoptX_{\mathrm{opt}}Xopt​ and ZoptZ_{\mathrm{opt}}Zopt​ contain feasible points whose objective value equals p∗p^*p∗ and d∗d^*d∗, respectively. Equality of optimal values alone need not put a point in either set.

Formalization targets

The entry points are the trace identity and weak duality from p. 64 of the survey. For any primal feasible xxx and dual feasible ZZZ,

cTx+Tr⁡(ZF0)=Tr⁡(ZF(x))≥0,−Tr⁡(F0Z)≤cTx,d∗≤p∗.c^Tx+\operatorname{Tr}(ZF_0)=\operatorname{Tr}(ZF(x))\ge0, \qquad -\operatorname{Tr}(F_0Z)\le c^Tx, \qquad d^*\le p^*.cTx+Tr(ZF0​)=Tr(ZF(x))≥0,−Tr(F0​Z)≤cTx,d∗≤p∗.

The goal, Theorem 3.1, adds strict feasibility. The primal is strictly feasible if some xxx has F(x)≻0F(x)\succ0F(x)≻0. The dual is strictly feasible if some dual feasible ZZZ has Z≻0Z\succ0Z≻0. With either condition, and without a finiteness assumption on the optimal values,

p∗=d∗.p^*=d^*.p∗=d∗.

If both conditions hold, the theorem also asserts

Xopt≠∅andZopt≠∅.X_{\mathrm{opt}}\ne\varnothing \qquad\text{and}\qquad Z_{\mathrm{opt}}\ne\varnothing.Xopt​=∅andZopt​=∅.

The milestone list includes the paper’s positive-semidefinite trace fact, equations (30) and (31), weak duality of values, the finite-value primal strict-feasibility case already proved on the platform, and the complementary-slackness statements on p. 65. The listed finite case is a qualified part of Theorem 3.1; the goal retains its full extended-real statement.

Significance

An optimal dual matrix certifies a lower bound for the primal objective; when the values agree, it can certify optimality. Theorem 3.1 specifies a sufficient condition for that certificate to reach the exact value. Its last clause also ensures that both sides can supply actual optimizers when both strict-feasibility conditions hold. Complementary slackness then states that their positive semidefinite matrices have zero product. These statements connect the numerical practice of primal-dual semidefinite programming to the exact optimization problem in the survey.

The theorem is mathematically proved in the literature but is not yet formalized in full here. A published Prove2Me theorem proves a finite-value primal strict-feasibility case and dual attainment for a sign-reversed inequality convention; another proves self-duality of the positive-semidefinite cone. The remaining work includes the dual strict-feasibility case, infinite optimal values, the two-set attainment clause, and an audited bridge between the survey’s exact definitions and existing results. The definitions and weak-duality statements are reusable for other semidefinite programs whose constraints have the same affine matrix form.

Difficulty

Weak duality gives only d∗≤p∗d^*\le p^*d∗≤p∗. It does not produce a dual feasible matrix with objective approaching the primal optimum, and it does not show that either infimum or supremum is attained. The example on p. 65 has feasible primal and dual problems but p∗=0p^*=0p∗=0 and d∗=−1d^*=-1d∗=−1. Thus mere feasibility cannot replace positive definiteness in Theorem 3.1. Even equality of values by itself would leave the theorem’s existence claim unaddressed. The challenge is to cover both asymmetric strict-feasibility conditions and both optimizer sets while preserving the cases where an optimal value is infinite.

Formalization scope

Lean represents xxx by Fin m → ℝ and matrices by Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ. The paper’s coefficients F1,…,FmF_1,\ldots,F_mF1​,…,Fm​ are stored as a zero-indexed family; F0F_0F0​ is a separate argument. Symmetric real matrices use IsHermitian. Mathlib’s PosSemidef and PosDef encode the matrix order and include symmetry. Dual equalities use Tr⁡(FiZ)\operatorname{Tr}(F_iZ)Tr(Fi​Z); cyclicity of trace identifies this with the paper’s Tr⁡(ZFi)\operatorname{Tr}(ZF_i)Tr(ZFi​). The objective cTxc^TxcTx uses the finite dot product.

Both optimal values use EReal, with an infimum or supremum over the image of the feasible set. This preserves the empty-set and unbounded-value conventions; a real-valued infimum or an infimum over all vectors would change the theorem. The goal states symmetric data explicitly, strict feasibility as positive definiteness, and both nonempty optimal sets under the conjunction of the two strict-feasibility conditions. It makes no linear-independence assumption on F1,…,FmF_1,\ldots,F_mF1​,…,Fm​: the paragraph on p. 63 uses that assumption only to reparameterize the dual. The natural-number dimensions include zero; the formal statements retain the same meanings in those edge cases. The survey’s printed “dual semidefinite program (1)” on p. 64 means dual problem (27), as identified by its displayed constraints and objective.

A complete development needs matrix trace algebra, positive-semidefinite matrix theory, extended-real order and suprema, and a suitable separation or convex-duality result. Contributions to the weak-duality and complementary-slackness lemmas, to the dual strict-feasibility case, and to the extended-real boundary cases are all useful. The local definitions of the primal and dual feasible sets, values, and optimal sets are intended as reusable interfaces.

Selected references

  • Lieven Vandenberghe and Stephen Boyd, Semidefinite Programming, SIAM Review 38(1), 49–95, 1996. DOI: 10.1137/1038003.
  • Yurii Nesterov and Arkadii Nemirovskii, Interior-Point Polynomial Algorithms in Convex Programming, SIAM, 1994, §4.2, cited by Vandenberghe and Boyd for Theorem 3.1. DOI: 10.1137/1.9781611970791.
  • R. Tyrrell Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970, §30, cited by Vandenberghe and Boyd for Theorem 3.1. DOI: 10.1515/9781400873173.
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Gittins Index for Multiarmed Bandits 3: The Optimal Expected Discounted Reward Is a Submodular Function of the Set of Available BanditsResearch Paper

Motivation

The multiarmed bandit problem asks how a gambler should allocate successive plays among nnn independent projects, each of which changes state only when it is played, so as to maximize the expected total-discounted reward. Gittins and Jones (1974) showed that it is optimal to play, at every epoch, a project of greatest Gittins index, a number computed from that project alone. The result underlies job scheduling on a single machine, sequential clinical trials and many stochastic resource-allocation models.

Weber (1992) gave a short proof of the index theorem through prevailing charges, and used the same idea to prove a result that was new: the optimal value is a submodular function of the set of projects that are available. Submodularity of the value says that the marginal worth of an extra project shrinks as more projects are on hand. Two consequences appear in the paper: for statistically identical projects started in a common state, the optimal value is concave in their number; and a bound of Tsitsiklis (1986) for a problem with a retirement option is a special case.

Timeline. Gittins and Jones (1974): the index theorem, by an interchange argument (book-length treatment in Gittins (1989)). Whittle (1980): a proof through a retirement option. Varaiya, Walrand and Buyukkoc (1985): the interchange argument in a general setting. Tsitsiklis (1986): a short proof of the index theorem, including the bound V(S)≤V({i,1})+V(S∖{i})−MV(S)\le V(\{i,1\})+V(S\setminus\{i\})-MV(S)≤V({i,1})+V(S∖{i})−M for a retirement bandit. Weber (1992): the prevailing-charge proof and the submodularity of the value (Theorem 4).

Setting

There are nnn bandits j∈{1,…,n}j\in\{1,\dots,n\}j∈{1,…,n}. Bandit jjj is a Markov chain on a state space SSS with transition kernel PPP; at each epoch t=0,1,2,…t=0,1,2,\dotst=0,1,2,… the gambler plays one bandit j(t)j(t)j(t), receives the reward r(xj(t)(t))r(x_{j(t)}(t))r(xj(t)​(t)), the played bandit moves one step of its chain and the others stay where they are. Rewards are nonnegative and uniformly bounded, and 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1 is the discount factor. The initial states x(0)=xx(0)=xx(0)=x are fixed. A policy chooses j(t)j(t)j(t) from the history; its value is Vπ(x)=Eπ[∑t≥0βtr(xj(t)(t))]V_\pi(x)=\mathbb E_\pi\big[\sum_{t\ge0}\beta^t r(x_{j(t)}(t))\big]Vπ​(x)=Eπ​[∑t≥0​βtr(xj(t)​(t))].

For a set of bandits I⊆{1,…,n}I\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}I⊆{1,…,n}, the restricted problem P(I)P(I)P(I) is the same game played with the bandits of III only, each started in its state in xxx, and

V(I)=sup⁡πVπover the policies of P(I),V(∅)=0.V(I)=\sup_\pi V_\pi\quad\text{over the policies of }P(I),\qquad V(\emptyset)=0 .V(I)=πsup​Vπ​over the policies of P(I),V(∅)=0.

The fair charge γ(y)\gamma(y)γ(y) of a state yyy is the largest ratio of expected discounted reward to expected discounted time over stopping times τ≥1\tau\ge1τ≥1 of a single bandit started at yyy (Weber's (4)). On a fixed realisation, where bandit jjj passes through states ωj(0)=xj,ωj(1),…\omega_j(0)=x_j,\omega_j(1),\dotsωj​(0)=xj​,ωj​(1),… on its successive plays, the prevailing charge after kkk plays is γjk=min⁡0≤v≤kγ(ωj(v))\gamma_{jk}=\min_{0\le v\le k}\gamma(\omega_j(v))γjk​=min0≤v≤k​γ(ωj​(v)), a nonincreasing sequence. Ut(I)U_t(I)Ut​(I) is the sum of the first ttt terms of the interleaving of the sequences (γjk)k≥0(\gamma_{jk})_{k\ge0}(γjk​)k≥0​, j∈Ij\in Ij∈I, into nonincreasing order.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4, eq. (9)

V(I∩J)+V(I∪J)≤V(I)+V(J)for all I,J⊆{1,…,n}.V(I\cap J)+V(I\cup J)\le V(I)+V(J)\qquad\text{for all }I,J\subseteq\{1,\dots,n\}.V(I∩J)+V(I∪J)≤V(I)+V(J)for all I,J⊆{1,…,n}.

This holds for arbitrary bandits (no identical-bandit hypothesis) under the standing assumptions of the paper's Section 1.

Milestones on the path

  1. Eq. (10): for nonincreasing nonnegative sequences and every t≥0t\ge0t≥0, Ut(I∩J)+Ut(I∪J)≤Ut(I)+Ut(J)U_t(I\cap J)+U_t(I\cup J)\le U_t(I)+U_t(J)Ut​(I∩J)+Ut​(I∪J)≤Ut​(I)+Ut​(J). A deterministic inequality.
  2. The representation used in the last line of the proof:
V(I)=E[∑t≥0βt(Ut+1(I)−Ut(I))],V(I)=\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t\ge0}\beta^t\big(U_{t+1}(I)-U_t(I)\big)\Big],V(I)=E[t≥0∑​βt(Ut+1​(I)−Ut​(I))],

the expectation over independent realisations of the bandits' state sequences.

Consequences stated in the paper

  1. Identical bandits started in a common state: m↦Vm\mapsto Vm↦V of the mmm-bandit problem is nondecreasing and concave.
  2. Tsitsiklis's bound: if bandit bbb always pays (1−β)M(1-\beta)M(1−β)M, then V(S)≤V({i,b})+V(S∖{i})−MV(S)\le V(\{i,b\})+V(S\setminus\{i\})-MV(S)≤V({i,b})+V(S∖{i})−M for i≠bi\ne bi=b.

Significance

Submodularity of the value is a structural fact about the bandit problem that the index theorem alone does not give: the index theorem identifies an optimal policy for a fixed set of projects, while (9) compares optimal values across sets. It yields diminishing returns from adding projects, the concavity of the value in the number of identical projects, and Tsitsiklis's retirement bound, which separates one project from the rest. Bounds of this kind are used when choosing which projects to make available before allocation begins.

Theorem 1 of the paper, the optimality of the Gittins index policy, is already on Prove2Me as BanditAlgorithm.gittins_index_theorem (Proved, Shuze Chen), together with the discounted Markov bandit model and the Gittins index (GittinsIndex, Shuze Chen) and a finite-horizon form of the prevailing-charge coupling (BanditAlgorithm.gittins_finite_prevailing_charge_eq_stack_coupling_value, Harry_Xu). This mission builds on those items. Theorem 4, inequality (10) and the infinite-horizon representation of V(I)V(I)V(I) have no machine-checked proof that we know of. The other two missions of this series formalize Weber's Theorem 2 (mission 1, a suboptimality bound by prevailing charges) and Theorem 3 (mission 2, a suboptimality bound by index gaps); this mission does not depend on them.

Difficulty

Inequality (10) concerns sums of largest terms of merged sequences; it fails without nonnegativity when III and JJJ are disjoint, and a proof must use both the monotonicity of each sequence and the sign of the terms. The representation of V(I)V(I)V(I) requires the fair-game property of prevailing charges in infinite horizon: that the optimal policy of P(I)P(I)P(I) collects in expectation exactly the discounted charges it pays, and that, on a common probability space of independent bandit trajectories, the charges paid by the optimal policy are the nonincreasing interleaving. The finite-horizon coupling is on the platform; passing to infinite horizon, identifying the interleaving with the play of an index policy, and handling ties and measurability are the remaining work. Finally, (10) is an undiscounted, pathwise statement while (9) compares discounted expectations, so the two must be connected through series of increments of UtU_tUt​ and an exchange of expectation and series.

Formalization scope

The model is the published BanditAlgorithm discounted Markov bandit: one standard Borel state space SSS, one kernel PPP and one measurable reward rrr shared by all bandits; bandits with different dynamics are encoded by a disjoint union of state spaces. rrr is the mean reward. The value of a policy is the series of per-round expected rewards (markovBanditDiscountedValue), equal to the expectation of the discounted sum for bounded rewards. The fair charge γ\gammaγ is the published gittinsIndex.

Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "the restriction of the problem to bandits in III": the ∣I∣|I|∣I∣-armed game whose arms are the bandits of III in increasing order, started at their states in xxx (restrictedValue), with V(∅)=0V(\emptyset)=0V(∅)=0 set explicitly;
  • "the maximal expected total-discounted reward": the supremum over all history-dependent randomized policies;
  • "a fixed realisation of the states through which bandit jjj evolves": a point of the product of independent Markov chain laws Measure.pi (fun j => markovChainMeasure P (x j));
  • "interleaving into nonincreasing order … summing the first ttt elements": partialInterleavedSum, the maximum over allocations of ttt plays of the sum of initial segments, equal to the interleaving sum for nonincreasing sequences, with Ut(∅)=0U_t(\emptyset)=0Ut​(∅)=0; the sequences start at k=0k=0k=0 (the printed {γjk}k=1∞\{\gamma_{jk}\}_{k=1}^\infty{γjk​}k=1∞​ is a misprint);
  • "multiplying (10) by βt\beta^tβt, summing": the discounted charge is ∑tβt(Ut+1−Ut)\sum_t\beta^t(U_{t+1}-U_t)∑t​βt(Ut+1​−Ut​), the increments of UtU_tUt​;
  • "rewards are nonnegative and uniformly bounded", 0<β<10<\beta<10<β<1: binders of every probabilistic statement, together with StandardBorelSpace S and Measurable r;
  • "concave increasing": nondecreasing and with nonincreasing increments, including n=0n=0n=0;
  • "bandit 1 always pays (1−β)M(1-\beta)M(1−β)M": an absorbing initial state with reward (1−β)M(1-\beta)M(1−β)M.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: V(∅)V(\emptyset)V(∅) and Ut(∅)U_t(\emptyset)Ut​(∅) are defined as 000 rather than obtained from a supremum over an empty type, the supremum defining V(I)V(I)V(I) is over a nonempty family bounded by C/(1−β)C/(1-\beta)C/(1−β), UtU_tUt​ is a maximum over a finite nonempty set, and the hypotheses are satisfiable (checked on a one-bandit instance).

A complete development needs: the infinite-horizon prevailing-charge identity for index policies, measurability of the charge stacks (the measurability of gittinsIndex is on the platform), and a combinatorial lemma on merges of nonincreasing sequences. Inequality (10) and the merge lemmas are reusable beyond bandits, for sums of largest elements and weighted rank functions of uniform matroids.

Selected references

  • R. Weber, On the Gittins index for multiarmed bandits, Ann. Appl. Probab. 2(4), 1024–1033, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005588
  • J. C. Gittins, D. M. Jones, A dynamic allocation index for the sequential design of experiments, in Progress in Statistics (J. Gani, ed.), North-Holland, 241–266, 1974.
  • J. C. Gittins, Bandit Processes and Dynamic Allocation Indices, Wiley, 1989.
  • P. Whittle, Multiarmed bandits and the Gittins index, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 42, 143–149, 1980.
  • P. Varaiya, J. Walrand, C. Buyukkoc, Extensions of the multiarmed bandit problem: the discounted case, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 30, 426–439, 1985.
  • J. N. Tsitsiklis, A lemma on the multiarmed bandit problem, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 31, 576–577, 1986.
  • T. Lattimore, Cs. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Chapter 35. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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The Weighted Majority Algorithm 8: With η Anomalies Every Deterministic Learner Can Be Forced to opt(F, 0) + 2η MistakesResearch Paper

Learning with anomalies

In the on-line prediction model studied by Littlestone and Warmuth (Inform. and Comput. 108, 1994), a learner receives instances one at a time, predicts a binary label for each, and is then told the correct label. No probabilistic assumption is made: performance is measured by the number of mistakes on a worst-case sequence. When every label is given by some function of a known target class FFF, the best attainable worst-case number of mistakes is a combinatorial invariant of FFF, characterized by Littlestone (Mach. Learn. 2, 1988) through mistake trees, now called the Littlestone dimension.

Real data are rarely labelled exactly by a member of the class. Littlestone and Warmuth measure the departure by the number of anomalies: the number of trials inconsistent with the best function in the class. Their Weighted Majority algorithm makes a number of mistakes that grows linearly in the number of anomalies, and the rate of growth can be pushed towards 222 mistakes per anomaly by the choice of the update factor β\betaβ. Theorem 8.1 of the paper shows that no deterministic learner does better: rate 222 is forced for every class with at least two members. This mission formalizes that lower bound.

Setting

Let XXX be an arbitrary set (the domain) and FFF a set of functions X→{0,1}X \to \{0,1\}X→{0,1}, possibly infinite. A trial is a pair (x,y)∈X×{0,1}(x,y) \in X \times \{0,1\}(x,y)∈X×{0,1}, and a sequence of trials S=((x1,y1),…,(xT,yT))\mathcal S = ((x_1,y_1),\dots,(x_T,y_T))S=((x1​,y1​),…,(xT​,yT​)) is finite; an instance may occur several times with different labels.

  • The number of anomalies of S\mathcal SS with respect to f:X→{0,1}f : X \to \{0,1\}f:X→{0,1} is anomf(S)=#{t≤T:f(xt)≠yt}\mathrm{anom}_f(\mathcal S) = \#\{t \le T : f(x_t) \ne y_t\}anomf​(S)=#{t≤T:f(xt​)=yt​}.
  • SηS_\etaSη​ is the collection of sequences with at most η\etaη anomalies with respect to FFF: those S\mathcal SS with min⁡f∈Fanomf(S)≤η\min_{f\in F} \mathrm{anom}_f(\mathcal S) \le \etaminf∈F​anomf​(S)≤η.
  • A deterministic on-line algorithm AAA maps the list of earlier trials and the current instance to a predicted label. MA(S)M_A(\mathcal S)MA​(S) is the number of trials ttt at which AAA's prediction, computed from (x1,y1),…,(xt−1,yt−1)(x_1,y_1),\dots,(x_{t-1},y_{t-1})(x1​,y1​),…,(xt−1​,yt−1​) and xtx_txt​, differs from yty_tyt​.
  • opt(F,η)=min⁡Asup⁡S∈SηMA(S)∈{0,1,… }∪{∞}\mathrm{opt}(F,\eta) = \min_A \sup_{\mathcal S \in S_\eta} M_A(\mathcal S) \in \{0,1,\dots\} \cup \{\infty\}opt(F,η)=minA​supS∈Sη​​MA​(S)∈{0,1,…}∪{∞}.

A complete kkk-mistake tree for FFF is a complete binary tree of height kkk whose internal nodes carry instances of XXX such that every labelling of a root-to-leaf path is realized by some f∈Ff \in Ff∈F; in Lean this is the predicate ShattersTree F k v.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.1 (p. 250)

For every class FFF with ∣F∣>1|F| > 1∣F∣>1 and every η≥0\eta \ge 0η≥0,

opt(F,η) ≥ opt(F,0)+2η.\mathrm{opt}(F,\eta) \ \ge\ \mathrm{opt}(F,0) + 2\eta .opt(F,η) ≥ opt(F,0)+2η.

The constant 222 is the paper's, and the statement holds for infinite classes, including those with opt(F,0)=∞\mathrm{opt}(F,0) = \inftyopt(F,0)=∞.

Milestones

  1. The [Lit88, Lit89b] mistake tree (§8, p. 251): for any pool FFF there is a complete opt(F,0)\mathrm{opt}(F,0)opt(F,0)-mistake tree. This is published and proved on the platform as UnderstandingML.soa_mistake_bound (MSOA(F)≤Ldim(F)M_{\mathrm{SOA}}(F) \le \mathrm{Ldim}(F)MSOA​(F)≤Ldim(F)), referenced together with UnderstandingML.ldim_le_mistake_bound; together they identify opt(F,0)\mathrm{opt}(F,0)opt(F,0) with the Littlestone dimension.
  2. The first stage of the adversary (§8, p. 251): if FFF has a complete kkk-mistake tree with k≥1k \ge 1k≥1, then against any deterministic algorithm there are k−1k-1k−1 trials on which it errs every time, an instance xxx, and two functions f1,f2∈Ff_1, f_2 \in Ff1​,f2​∈F consistent with all these trials with f1(x)≠f2(x)f_1(x) \ne f_2(x)f1​(x)=f2​(x).

Significance

The theorem settles the optimal rate at which mistakes must grow with the number of anomalies for deterministic learners: 222 per anomaly, uniformly over all non-trivial classes. Together with the upper bounds of §2 of the paper, it shows that the deterministic Weighted Majority algorithm is within an arbitrarily small factor of optimal in its dependence on the anomalies, and it explains the factor of 222 that separates deterministic from randomized prediction (Theorem 8.2, a separate mission of this series, gives rate 111 for randomized learners).

The result is proved in the paper; to the best of a search of the platform it has not been formalized. The mission produces a machine-checked lower bound in a general setting: arbitrary domain, arbitrary (possibly infinite) class, extended-natural-valued optimal bounds. The noise-free side, the Littlestone dimension and the Standard Optimal Algorithm, is already published on the platform from Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David's textbook, and this mission connects it to the noisy setting.

Difficulty

The obvious argument forces one mistake per trial and stops: an adversary that always contradicts the learner leaves no function of FFF with few anomalies once the trials outnumber the mistake tree. The difficulty is to spend the anomaly budget so that each anomaly buys two mistakes while the sequence stays in SηS_\etaSη​, and to do so against an arbitrary algorithm, which may behave adversarially itself. The definition of SηS_\etaSη​ through a minimum over the class (not a fixed target) and the possibility that opt(F,0)\mathrm{opt}(F,0)opt(F,0) is infinite both have to be handled.

Formalization scope

  • The domain is any type X; the class is F : Set (X → Bool); the hypothesis ∣F∣>1|F| > 1∣F∣>1 is F.Nontrivial, which is meaningful for infinite classes (a cardinality ncard would be 000 there).
  • Algorithms, histories and mistake counts are those of the published module UnderstandingML_Online (OnlineAlg X Bool, history, mistakes, ShattersTree); an algorithm is an arbitrary function of the history and the current instance, so every deterministic learner is covered.
  • Sequences are Fin T → X × Bool for every finite length T, with repeated instances and conflicting labels allowed.
  • opt F η : ℕ∞ is an infimum over algorithms of a supremum over sequences in SηS_\etaSη​; η\etaη is a natural number. Membership in SηS_\etaSη​ is "some f∈Ff \in Ff∈F has at most η\etaη anomalies", which is the paper's minimum over FFF.
  • Swapping the quantifiers (one sequence hard for all algorithms) or replacing opt\mathrm{opt}opt by a finite toNat truncation would give a different statement; neither is used.

Needed infrastructure: the identification opt(F,0)=min⁡AMA(F)\mathrm{opt}(F,0) = \min_A M_A(F)opt(F,0)=minA​MA​(F) (sequences with no anomaly are exactly the realizable ones), the existence of a shattered tree of depth opt(F,0)\mathrm{opt}(F,0)opt(F,0) from the published Littlestone-dimension results, and the two-stage adversary. Contributions of general lemmas about ShattersTree (subtrees, truncation to smaller depth) are reusable for the randomized mission and beyond.

Selected references

  • N. Littlestone, M. K. Warmuth, The Weighted Majority Algorithm, Information and Computation 108(2), 212–261, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1006/inco.1994.1009
  • N. Littlestone, Learning quickly when irrelevant attributes abound: a new linear-threshold algorithm, Machine Learning 2, 285–318, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00116827
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 21. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107298019
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Graph TheoryLinear algebraNumerical Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Authoritative Sources in a Hyperlinked Environment: The HITS Hub and Authority Iterates Converge to the Principal Eigenvectors of AᵀA and AAᵀResearch Paper

Motivation

Link-based ranking of web pages rests on a small number of linear-algebraic facts. Kleinberg's HITS algorithm (Hyperlink-Induced Topic Search), introduced in Kleinberg 1999, assigns each page of a hyperlinked collection two scores: an authority score, high for pages that many good hubs point to, and a hub score, high for pages that point to many good authorities. The scores are computed by a simple alternating iteration, and the paper's justification for using them is a convergence theorem: the iteration settles, and its limits are the principal eigenvectors of two symmetric matrices built from the link structure. HITS, together with PageRank (Brin–Page 1998), founded the study of link analysis, and the eigenvector characterization is what later work on the stability and uniqueness of such rankings starts from (for example Ng–Zheng–Jordan 2001 and Farahat et al. 2006).

This mission formalizes that convergence theorem, §3 of the paper, together with the steps of its proof.

Setting

A collection of nnn hyperlinked pages is a directed graph G=(V,E)G=(V,E)G=(V,E) with V={p1,…,pn}V=\{p_1,\dots,p_n\}V={p1​,…,pn​}; an edge (p,q)∈E(p,q)\in E(p,q)∈E means that page ppp links to page qqq. Its adjacency matrix AAA is the n×nn\times nn×n matrix with Aij=1A_{ij}=1Aij​=1 if (pi,pj)∈E(p_i,p_j)\in E(pi​,pj​)∈E and Aij=0A_{ij}=0Aij​=0 otherwise. Self-links are allowed.

Each page ppp carries an authority weight x⟨p⟩x^{\langle p\rangle}x⟨p⟩ and a hub weight y⟨p⟩y^{\langle p\rangle}y⟨p⟩, collected into vectors x,y∈Rnx,y\in\mathbb R^nx,y∈Rn. Two operations update them:

I: x⟨p⟩←∑q:(q,p)∈Ey⟨q⟩,O: y⟨p⟩←∑q:(p,q)∈Ex⟨q⟩.\mathcal I:\ x^{\langle p\rangle}\leftarrow\sum_{q:(q,p)\in E}y^{\langle q\rangle},\qquad \mathcal O:\ y^{\langle p\rangle}\leftarrow\sum_{q:(p,q)\in E}x^{\langle q\rangle}.I: x⟨p⟩←q:(q,p)∈E∑​y⟨q⟩,O: y⟨p⟩←q:(p,q)∈E∑​x⟨q⟩.

Normalizing a vector rescales it so that its squares sum to 111.

The procedure Iterate(G,k)(G,k)(G,k) starts from x0=y0=z=(1,…,1)x_0=y_0=z=(1,\dots,1)x0​=y0​=z=(1,…,1). In round i=1,…,ki=1,\dots,ki=1,…,k it applies I\mathcal II to yi−1y_{i-1}yi−1​, obtaining xi′x_i'xi′​; applies O\mathcal OO to xi′x_i'xi′​, obtaining yi′y_i'yi′​; and normalizes xi′x_i'xi′​ and yi′y_i'yi′​ to get xix_ixi​ and yiy_iyi​. It returns (xk,yk)(x_k,y_k)(xk​,yk​).

For a real symmetric matrix MMM, list its eigenvalues with multiplicity in order of decreasing absolute value, λ1(M),λ2(M),…,λn(M)\lambda_1(M),\lambda_2(M),\dots,\lambda_n(M)λ1​(M),λ2​(M),…,λn​(M). The paper's standing Assumption (†) is

∣λ1(M)∣>∣λ2(M)∣,|\lambda_1(M)|>|\lambda_2(M)|,∣λ1​(M)∣>∣λ2​(M)∣,

so that the eigenspace of λ1(M)\lambda_1(M)λ1​(M) is a line. A principal eigenvector ω1(M)\omega_1(M)ω1​(M) is a unit vector spanning that line; it is determined up to sign.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 with the limits of Theorem 3.1

Assume (†) for A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A and for AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤. Then there are x∗,y∗∈Rnx^*,y^*\in\mathbb R^nx∗,y∗∈Rn with

xk→x∗,yk→y∗,x_k\to x^*,\qquad y_k\to y^*,xk​→x∗,yk​→y∗, A⊤A x∗=λ1(A⊤A) x∗,AA⊤y∗=λ1(AA⊤) y∗,∥x∗∥2=∥y∗∥2=1.A^{\top}A\,x^*=\lambda_1(A^{\top}A)\,x^*,\quad AA^{\top}y^*=\lambda_1(AA^{\top})\,y^*,\quad \|x^*\|_2=\|y^*\|_2=1.A⊤Ax∗=λ1​(A⊤A)x∗,AA⊤y∗=λ1​(AA⊤)y∗,∥x∗∥2​=∥y∗∥2​=1.

The authority scores converge to the principal eigenvector of the co-citation matrix A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A, and the hub scores to that of the bibliographic coupling matrix AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤.

Milestones: the proof of Theorem 3.1

  1. The operations are linear: I(y)=A⊤y\mathcal I(y)=A^{\top}yI(y)=A⊤y and O(x)=Ax\mathcal O(x)=AxO(x)=Ax.
  2. Closed forms: for k≥1k\ge1k≥1, xkx_kxk​ is the unit vector along (A⊤A)k−1A⊤z(A^{\top}A)^{k-1}A^{\top}z(A⊤A)k−1A⊤z and yky_kyk​ the unit vector along (AA⊤)kz(AA^{\top})^kz(AA⊤)kz.
  3. Normalized power iteration: for symmetric MMM with positive dominant simple eigenvalue and vvv not orthogonal to ω1(M)\omega_1(M)ω1​(M), Mkv/∥Mkv∥M^kv/\|M^kv\|Mkv/∥Mkv∥ converges to a principal eigenvector.
  4. A symmetric matrix with non-negative entries satisfying (†) has a principal eigenvector with non-negative entries.
  5. zzz is not orthogonal to ω1(AA⊤)\omega_1(AA^{\top})ω1​(AA⊤).
  6. If λ1(A⊤A)≠0\lambda_1(A^{\top}A)\ne0λ1​(A⊤A)=0, then A⊤zA^{\top}zA⊤z is not orthogonal to ω1(A⊤A)\omega_1(A^{\top}A)ω1​(A⊤A).
  7. Theorem 3.1: (xk)(x_k)(xk​) and (yk)(y_k)(yk​) converge.

A companion item states Proposition 6.1 (§6): AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤ and A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A have the same characteristic polynomial, and AAA maps each eigenvector of A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A with nonzero eigenvalue to an eigenvector of AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤ with the same eigenvalue.

Significance

The theorem turns a heuristic, mutually reinforcing update into a well-defined object: the HITS scores of a graph are the principal eigenvectors of A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A and AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤, independent of the number of rounds run, and computable by any eigenvector algorithm. It also locates where the definition is fragile: when (†) fails, the limit depends on the starting vector, which is the starting point of the later stability analyses cited above.

The result has been proved since 1999; its proof in the paper is a short appeal to the power method and to a Perron-type non-negativity fact. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the whole chain, from the combinatorial update rules on a directed graph to the spectral characterization, with the hypotheses made explicit. Two generic power-method theorems are already proved on the platform (Trefethen–Bau, Lecture 27) and are included as references; to our knowledge no formalization of HITS, of Assumption (†), or of the non-negativity of principal eigenvectors of non-negative symmetric matrices exists in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — "the power method converges" — is only half of the proof. The power method converges from a start vector that has a nonzero component along the dominant eigenvector, and the start vectors here are fixed: zzz for the hubs and A⊤zA^{\top}zA⊤z for the authorities. Showing that they are not orthogonal to the principal eigenvectors needs a Perron-type fact (the principal eigenvector of a non-negative symmetric matrix can be chosen non-negative), which in turn needs that the dominant eigenvalue is the spectral radius itself and not its negative. For the authorities the start vector is A⊤zA^{\top}zA⊤z, not zzz, and the argument must also use λ1(A⊤A)≠0\lambda_1(A^{\top}A)\ne0λ1​(A⊤A)=0: when A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A has a zero dominant eigenvalue the iterates are 000. A second difficulty is the passage from the rescaled power iterates λ1−kMkv\lambda_1^{-k}M^kvλ1−k​Mkv of the referenced platform theorem to the normalized iterates of the algorithm, and from a statement on an abstract inner product space to one about matrices on Rn\mathbb R^nRn.

Formalization scope

Pages are Fin n; the link relation is a decidable relation E : Fin n → Fin n → Prop; adjMatrix E is the real 0/1 matrix (Mathlib's SimpleGraph.adjMatrix is undirected and loopless and is not used). The operations I\mathcal II, O\mathcal OO are defined as neighbour sums, not as matrix products, so that milestone 1 has content. normalize v divides by the Euclidean norm and sends 000 to 000; no statement is true only because of that convention. hitsIter E k is (xk,yk)(x_k,y_k)(xk​,yk​), with the O\mathcal OO step applied to the unnormalized xk′x_k'xk′​ as on the page. Convergence is in the product topology of Rn\mathbb R^nRn.

Assumption (†) is encoded as Dagger M: an eigenvalue λ1\lambda_1λ1​ with one-dimensional eigenspace, ∣μ∣<∣λ1∣|\mu|<|\lambda_1|∣μ∣<∣λ1​∣ for every other eigenvalue μ\muμ, and λ1≠0\lambda_1\ne0λ1​=0. The last clause is the paper's own reading ("as dictated by Assumption (†)", p. 11); without it, the one-page graph with no link satisfies (†) vacuously and Theorem 3.2 fails. Theorems 3.1 and 3.2 assume (†) for both A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A and AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤, as the paper does. "The principal eigenvector" is a predicate, IsPrincipalEigenvector, true of both unit vectors in the principal eigenspace. Added hypotheses, each disclosed in its item: λ1>0\lambda_1>0λ1​>0 in the power-iteration milestone (the claim fails for λ1<0\lambda_1<0λ1​<0; it costs nothing for the positive semidefinite A⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤A, AA⊤AA^{\top}AA⊤); the closed form is stated for k≥1k\ge1k≥1. The non-negativity of x∗,y∗x^*,y^*x∗,y∗ is true but not part of Theorem 3.2 and is not asserted.

A formalization in which I\mathcal II and O\mathcal OO are matrix products by definition, or in which Theorem 3.1 alone is the goal (a sequence converging to 000 would satisfy it), is ruled out: the goal pairs convergence with membership of the limit in the principal eigenspace as a unit vector.

Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: normalized power iteration for real symmetric matrices, and the non-negativity of the principal eigenvector of a non-negative symmetric matrix under a simple dominant eigenvalue. Contributions of either, and of the bridge between Matrix.toLin'-eigenspaces and Matrix.IsHermitian.eigenvalues, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. M. Kleinberg, Authoritative sources in a hyperlinked environment, Journal of the ACM 46(5):604–632, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1145/324133.324140
  • S. Brin and L. Page, The anatomy of a large-scale hypertextual Web search engine, Computer Networks and ISDN Systems 30:107–117, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-7552(98)00110-X
  • A. Y. Ng, A. X. Zheng and M. I. Jordan, Stable algorithms for link analysis, Proc. SIGIR 2001, 258–266. https://doi.org/10.1145/383952.384003
  • A. Farahat, T. LoFaro, J. C. Miller, G. Rae and L. A. Ward, Authority rankings from HITS, PageRank, and SALSA: existence, uniqueness, and effect of initialization, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 27(4):1181–1201, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1064827502412875
  • L. N. Trefethen and D. Bau III, Numerical Linear Algebra, SIAM, 1997, Lecture 27. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898719574
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Worst-Case Equilibria I: On Two Identical Parallel Links Every Mixed Nash Equilibrium Has Expected Makespan at Most 3/2 Times the OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

When many users share a network and each routes its own traffic selfishly, the outcome is a Nash equilibrium rather than a centrally optimized assignment. Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou, in Worst-case equilibria (STACS 1999; journal version 2009), proposed to measure the loss caused by this lack of coordination by the worst-case ratio between the social cost of an equilibrium and the social optimum. The ratio, first called the coordination ratio and now the price of anarchy, became a central quantity of algorithmic game theory, studied for routing, scheduling, congestion games, auctions and network design.

The paper analyses the simplest setting in which the question is nontrivial: agents sending traffic over parallel links, which is the same as scheduling independent jobs on parallel machines with the jobs choosing their machines. For two identical links it determines the price of anarchy exactly.

Timeline.

  • 1999: Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou introduce the model and the measure; on two identical links the price of anarchy is 3/23/23/2, and on mmm identical links it is Ω(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)\Omega(\log m/\log\log m)Ω(logm/loglogm), with a nonmatching upper bound in the conference version.
  • 2002: Czumaj and Vöcking, and independently Koutsoupias, Mavronicolas and Spirakis, show that this lower bound is tight for mmm identical links, Θ(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)\Theta(\log m/\log\log m)Θ(logm/loglogm); Czumaj and Vöcking also give tight bounds for links of different speeds.

Setting

There are nnn agents and mmm identical parallel links. Agent iii has an amount of traffic wi>0w_i>0wi​>0 to send over one link. A pure profile s=(j1,…,jn)∈{1,…,m}ns=(j_1,\dots,j_n)\in\{1,\dots,m\}^ns=(j1​,…,jn​)∈{1,…,m}n assigns a link to each agent; the load of link jjj is ℓj(s)=∑k: jk=jwk\ell_j(s)=\sum_{k:\,j_k=j}w_kℓj​(s)=∑k:jk​=j​wk​, and the cost of agent iii is ℓji(s)\ell_{j_i}(s)ℓji​​(s), the traffic on its own link.

A mixed strategy of agent iii is a probability distribution (pi1,…,pim)(p_i^1,\dots,p_i^m)(pi1​,…,pim​) on the links; the agents randomize independently, so sss occurs with probability ∏ipiji\prod_i p_i^{j_i}∏i​piji​​. The cost to agent iii of a mixed profile ppp is its expected cost cic_ici​. The profile ppp is a Nash equilibrium if no agent can lower its expected cost by changing its own distribution while the others keep theirs.

The expected traffic on link jjj is Mj=∑ipijwiM^j=\sum_i p_i^jw_iMj=∑i​pij​wi​, and the cost of agent iii when its traffic is assigned to link jjj is cij=wi+∑k≠ipkjwk=Mj+(1−pij)wic_i^j=w_i+\sum_{k\ne i}p_k^jw_k=M^j+(1-p_i^j)w_icij​=wi​+∑k=i​pkj​wk​=Mj+(1−pij​)wi​.

The social cost of ppp is the expected maximum load,

cost=∑j1=1m⋯∑jn=1m∏i=1npiji max⁡j∑k: jk=jwk,\mathrm{cost}=\sum_{j_1=1}^m\cdots\sum_{j_n=1}^m\prod_{i=1}^n p_i^{j_i}\,\max_{j}\sum_{k:\,j_k=j}w_k ,cost=j1​=1∑m​⋯jn​=1∑m​i=1∏n​piji​​jmax​k:jk​=j∑​wk​,

and the social optimum opt\mathrm{opt}opt is the least maximum load over all pure assignments, the optimum of the mmm-way partition problem for w1,…,wnw_1,\dots,w_nw1​,…,wn​.

The proof of the main theorem uses two further quantities: the contribution probability qiq_iqi​, the probability that agent iii is on the (lexicographically first) link of maximum load, and the collision probability tik=∑jpijpkjt_{ik}=\sum_jp_i^jp_k^jtik​=∑j​pij​pkj​ of agents iii and kkk.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

For any number nnn of agents with positive traffics and m=2m=2m=2 identical links, every Nash equilibrium ppp satisfies

cost(p) ≤ 32 opt.\mathrm{cost}(p)\ \le\ \frac32\,\mathrm{opt}.cost(p) ≤ 23​opt.

Milestones

In the order the proof of Theorem 3 uses them:

  1. Equation (2): cij=wi+∑k≠ipkjwk=Mj+(1−pij)wic_i^j=w_i+\sum_{k\ne i}p_k^jw_k=M^j+(1-p_i^j)w_icij​=wi​+∑k=i​pkj​wk​=Mj+(1−pij​)wi​ for every mixed profile.
  2. The support property: at an equilibrium agent iii uses only links minimizing cijc_i^jcij​, and ci=min⁡jcijc_i=\min_jc_i^jci​=minj​cij​.
  3. The lower bounds opt≥max⁡{wi, ∑kwk/m}\mathrm{opt}\ge\max\{w_i,\ \sum_kw_k/m\}opt≥max{wi​, ∑k​wk​/m}.
  4. Theorem 2 with (6): at every equilibrium on mmm identical links,
ci ≤ ∑kwkm+m−1m wi ≤ (2−1m)opt.c_i\ \le\ \frac{\sum_kw_k}{m}+\frac{m-1}{m}\,w_i\ \le\ \Big(2-\frac1m\Big)\mathrm{opt}.ci​ ≤ m∑k​wk​​+mm−1​wi​ ≤ (2−m1​)opt.
  1. cost=∑iqiwi\mathrm{cost}=\sum_iq_iw_icost=∑i​qi​wi​.
  2. Inequality (7): qi+qk≤1+tikq_i+q_k\le1+t_{ik}qi​+qk​≤1+tik​ for distinct agents i,ki,ki,k.
  3. ci=wi+∑k≠itikwkc_i=w_i+\sum_{k\ne i}t_{ik}w_kci​=wi​+∑k=i​tik​wk​.
  4. On two links, at every equilibrium, ∑k≠iqkwk≤(32−qi)∑k≠iwk\sum_{k\ne i}q_kw_k\le\big(\tfrac32-q_i\big)\sum_{k\ne i}w_k∑k=i​qk​wk​≤(23​−qi​)∑k=i​wk​.

Companion items

The second sentence of Theorem 1 (on two links some equilibrium has cost=32 opt>0\mathrm{cost}=\tfrac32\,\mathrm{opt}>0cost=23​opt>0), which shows the goal is tight, and the fact from its proof that the uniform profile pij=1/mp_i^j=1/mpij​=1/m of mmm unit agents on mmm links is an equilibrium.

Significance

Theorem 3 and the instance of Theorem 1 show that on two identical links selfish randomized routing never costs more than 50%50\%50% above the optimum, whatever the number of agents and their traffics, and that this factor is attained. Theorem 2 gives a per-agent guarantee for any number of links: the expected cost an individual agent experiences at any equilibrium is within 2−1/m2-1/m2−1/m of the optimum, the same factor as Graham's list-scheduling bound. Together they separate the individual and the social view: individual costs stay within a constant, while the expected maximum load, the social cost, can be a factor Ω(log⁡m/log⁡log⁡m)\Omega(\log m/\log\log m)Ω(logm/loglogm) above the optimum.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known they have not been machine-checked. Formalizing them produces a verified model of mixed equilibria in load balancing games, with the social cost as an expected maximum over the product distribution, which is the starting point of the later literature on links with speeds, on general congestion games and on smoothness arguments. The intermediate identities (the contribution and collision probabilities) are reusable for any expected-maximum bound over independent random assignments.

Difficulty

The social cost is an expectation of a maximum over mnm^nmn outcomes, and the equilibrium probabilities are given only implicitly, as the solution of a linear system determined by the agents' supports. The natural first idea, to bound the expected maximum load by the maximum expected load max⁡jMj\max_jM^jmaxj​Mj, fails: the expected maximum can be much larger, and bounding it is exactly what makes the problem hard (for mmm links it grows like the maximum occupancy of mmm balls in mmm bins). Computing the equilibrium probabilities explicitly does not help either; the paper gives them for two links and notes it does not see how to use them to bound the social cost. The argument has to relate the per-agent expected costs, which the equilibrium condition controls, to the expected maximum, which it does not control directly.

Formalization scope

Agents are Fin n and links Fin m (the goal uses Fin 2); the paper's agent iii and link jjj are indices i−1i-1i−1, j−1j-1j−1. A mixed profile is p : Fin n → Fin m → ℝ with p i j =pij=p_i^j=pij​. The game is built on the published definitions agt_games (AGT.IsMixedNash, AGT.expectedPayoff, AGT.profileProb). That vocabulary maximizes payoffs, so the payoff of an agent is minus the load of its link, and the expected cost is minus the expected payoff. The equilibrium is the full mixed Nash condition, including that each pip_ipi​ is a probability distribution; the support description is a milestone, not the definition. The social cost is the expected maximum load over the product distribution, never the maximum expected load. opt\mathrm{opt}opt is a minimum over pure assignments, with the number of links an explicit argument. The lexicographically first maximum link is the lowest-indexed link of maximum load.

Traffics are positive, as in the paper's model; some milestones need only nonnegative traffics or no sign condition, and say so. Statements over mmm links assume m≥1m\ge1m≥1. Price-of-anarchy statements are inequalities cost≤c⋅opt\mathrm{cost}\le c\cdot\mathrm{opt}cost≤c⋅opt for every equilibrium, never a quotient cost/opt\mathrm{cost}/\mathrm{opt}cost/opt, whose value at opt=0\mathrm{opt}=0opt=0 would be a junk 000. A formalization in which the social cost is max⁡jMj\max_jM^jmaxj​Mj, or in which the equilibrium is only a support condition without the requirement that the pip_ipi​ be distributions, would trivialize or falsify the goal and is ruled out by these definitions.

A complete development needs finite sums over the mnm^nmn pure profiles, marginalization of product distributions, and the case analysis of the final step. The marginalization lemmas (summing out the other agents, collision probabilities of independent choices) are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments for Theorem 3, and a proof of Theorem 2 for its own sake are all welcome.

Page numbers are those of the PDF file of the journal version; it prints a page number only on its first page.

Selected references

  • E. Koutsoupias and C. Papadimitriou, Worst-case equilibria, STACS 1999, LNCS 1563, pp. 404–413. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38 (this mission cites the authors' journal version of 2009, Computer Science Review 3(2), 65–69, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosrev.2009.04.003)
  • A. Czumaj and B. Vöcking, Tight bounds for worst-case equilibria, SODA 2002, pp. 413–420; ACM Transactions on Algorithms 3(1), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1145/1186810.1186814
  • E. Koutsoupias, M. Mavronicolas and P. Spirakis, Approximate equilibria and ball fusion, Theory of Computing Systems 36, 683–693, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00224-003-1131-5
  • R. L. Graham, Bounds on multiprocessing timing anomalies, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 17(2), 416–429, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1137/0117039
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Computational GeometryConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Rounding of Polytopes in the Real Number Model of Computation: Barycentric Coordinate Descent Finds a (1+ε)n-Rounding Ellipsoid of m Points in O(n(1/ε + ln n + ln ln m)) IterationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Many algorithms for convex bodies need the body to be well rounded: sandwiched between two concentric ellipsoids whose size ratio is controlled by the dimension. The ellipsoid method, volume and integration algorithms, and preconditioning for linear programming use such roundings. For a polytope given by its vertices a1,…,am∈Rna_1,\dots,a_m \in \mathbb{R}^na1​,…,am​∈Rn, John's theorem guarantees an ellipsoid EEE with

n−1E⊆conv⁡{a1,…,am}⊆E,n^{-1}E \subseteq \operatorname{conv}\{a_1,\dots,a_m\} \subseteq E,n−1E⊆conv{a1​,…,am​}⊆E,

the minimum-volume circumscribed (Löwner–John) ellipsoid scaled about its centre; for centrally symmetric sets the factor improves to n\sqrt nn​. The associated D-optimal design problem is a convex optimization problem. Khachiyan (1996) uses this connection to obtain a finite approximation algorithm.

Khachiyan shows that barycentric coordinate descent (BCD) computes a (1+ε)n(1+\varepsilon)n(1+ε)n-rounding in O(mn2(ε−1+ln⁡n+ln⁡ln⁡m))O(mn^2(\varepsilon^{-1} + \ln n + \ln\ln m))O(mn2(ε−1+lnn+lnlnm)) arithmetic operations. For fixed dimension and tolerance, this is linear in the number of points; the iteration bound depends on that number only through ln⁡ln⁡m\ln\ln mlnlnm. Khachiyan (1996)

The paper builds on the Kiefer–Wolfowitz optimality conditions (1960). Later work revisits the method's complexity and variants; see Todd and Yıldırım (2007).

Setting

Let a1,…,am∈Rna_1,\dots,a_m \in \mathbb{R}^na1​,…,am​∈Rn and let SSS be the unit simplex of weights p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, ∑ipi=1\sum_i p_i = 1∑i​pi​=1. For p∈Sp \in Sp∈S write

A(p)=∑i=1mpi aiaiT,F(p)=ln⁡det⁡A(p),wj(p)=ajTA(p)−1aj,A(p) = \sum_{i=1}^m p_i\, a_i a_i^{\mathsf T}, \qquad F(p) = \ln\det A(p), \qquad w_j(p) = a_j^{\mathsf T}A(p)^{-1}a_j ,A(p)=i=1∑m​pi​ai​aiT​,F(p)=lndetA(p),wj​(p)=ajT​A(p)−1aj​,

and let SF={p∈S∣det⁡A(p)>0}S_F = \{p \in S \mid \det A(p) > 0\}SF​={p∈S∣detA(p)>0}. Maximizing FFF over SSS is the D-optimal design problem (2.3); F∗F^*F∗ is its optimal value. A point p∈SFp \in S_Fp∈SF​ satisfies the ε\varepsilonε-relaxed optimality conditions (2.10) if wj(p)≤(1+ε)nw_j(p) \le (1+\varepsilon)nwj​(p)≤(1+ε)n for every jjj; the accuracy ε(p)=max⁡jwj(p)/n−1\varepsilon(p) = \max_j w_j(p)/n - 1ε(p)=maxj​wj​(p)/n−1 is the least such ε\varepsilonε.

The BCD method starts at p0=(1/m,…,1/m)p_0 = (1/m,\dots,1/m)p0​=(1/m,…,1/m) and repeats

pk+1=(1−τ) pk+τ er,τ=ε(pk)wr(pk)−1,p_{k+1} = (1-\tau)\,p_k + \tau\, e_r, \qquad \tau = \frac{\varepsilon(p_k)}{w_r(p_k) - 1},pk+1​=(1−τ)pk​+τer​,τ=wr​(pk​)−1ε(pk​)​,

where rrr is an index with largest wr(pk)w_r(p_k)wr​(pk​) and ere_rer​ is the rrrth vertex of SSS: it moves weight towards the worst-covered point by the exact line-search step.

For a centrally symmetric set (A=−A\mathcal A = -\mathcal AA=−A) the ellipsoid Ep={x∣xTA(p)−1x≤1}E_p = \{x \mid x^{\mathsf T}A(p)^{-1}x \le 1\}Ep​={x∣xTA(p)−1x≤1} is the candidate rounding. For a general set the method runs on the lift A′={±(aj;1)}⊂Rn+1\mathcal A' = \{\pm(a_j;1)\} \subset \mathbb{R}^{n+1}A′={±(aj​;1)}⊂Rn+1, and the rounding ellipsoid EEE is the intersection of 1+(1+ε)n Ep′\sqrt{1 + (1+\varepsilon)n}\,E'_p1+(1+ε)n​Ep′​ with the hyperplane {y=1}\{y = 1\}{y=1}, where Ep′E'_pEp′​ is the ellipsoid (3.4) of the block matrix with blocks ∑jpjajajT\sum_j p_j a_j a_j^{\mathsf T}∑j​pj​aj​ajT​, ∑jpjaj\sum_j p_j a_j∑j​pj​aj​ and 111, and pjp_jpj​ aggregates the weights of ±(aj;1)\pm(a_j;1)±(aj​;1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 317)

There is a universal constant CCC such that for every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, every A={a1,…,am}\mathcal A = \{a_1,\dots,a_m\}A={a1​,…,am​} with affine hull Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and every BCD run on A′\mathcal A'A′, some iterate pkp_kpk​ with

k≤C(n+1)(1ε+ln⁡(n+1)+ln⁡ln⁡(2m))k \le C(n+1)\Big(\frac1\varepsilon + \ln(n+1) + \ln\ln(2m)\Big)k≤C(n+1)(ε1​+ln(n+1)+lnln(2m))

meets the stopping test with ε′=nn+1ε\varepsilon' = \frac{n}{n+1}\varepsilonε′=n+1n​ε and yields an ellipsoid EEE with

[(1+ε)n]−1E⊆conv⁡(A)⊆E,[(1+\varepsilon)n]^{-1}E \subseteq \operatorname{conv}(\mathcal A) \subseteq E,[(1+ε)n]−1E⊆conv(A)⊆E,

the shrinking taken about the centre of EEE.

The centrally symmetric case: Theorem 1 (p. 314)

For centrally symmetric full-dimensional A\mathcal AA, n≥2n \ge 2n≥2: within C n(ε−1+ln⁡n+ln⁡ln⁡m)C\,n(\varepsilon^{-1} + \ln n + \ln\ln m)Cn(ε−1+lnn+lnlnm) iterations,

Epk⊆conv⁡(A)⊆(1+ε)n  Epk.E_{p_k} \subseteq \operatorname{conv}(\mathcal A) \subseteq \sqrt{(1+\varepsilon)n}\;E_{p_k}.Epk​​⊆conv(A)⊆(1+ε)n​Epk​​.

Milestones

Lemma 1 (∑jpjwj(p)=n\sum_j p_j w_j(p) = n∑j​pj​wj​(p)=n), existence of a maximizer, the line identity (2.6), the Kiefer–Wolfowitz conditions (2.9), Lemma 2(i)–(ii) (relaxed optimality gives value and rounding guarantees), Lemma 3 (the per-step increase and the gap bound), the three steps (2.25), (2.27) and the halving bound of the proof of Lemma 4, Lemma 4 (the iteration bound), the rank-one update of A(pk)−1A(p_k)^{-1}A(pk​)−1, Theorem 1, and Lemma 5 (from the lift back to A\mathcal AA). Three further items complete §4: Lemma 2(iii), the slicing property (4.1) and Theorem 3 (approximating the Löwner ellipsoid to relative volume accuracy ε\varepsilonε).

Significance

The result gives a rounding of a vertex-described polytope at nearly the cost of reading the input, using only rank-one updates; the same iteration approximates the minimum-volume enclosing ellipsoid, a basic primitive in statistics (D-optimal design, outlier detection), computational geometry (core sets) and convex optimization (initialization of interior-point and ellipsoid methods). The doubly logarithmic dependence on mmm is what makes the method practical for large point sets, and the analysis is the template for the later Frank–Wolfe-type analyses of minimum-volume ellipsoid algorithms.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. The platform has the Löwner–John ellipsoid itself (existence, uniqueness, John's nnn-rounding) and the concavity of ln⁡det⁡\ln\detlndet, but no algorithmic statement about it. This mission produces a verified iteration bound for a concrete method, together with the D-optimal design identities (Lemma 1, (2.6), (2.9)) and the rank-one update, which are reusable for any later formalization of optimal design or of Frank–Wolfe methods on the simplex.

Difficulty

The accuracy εk\varepsilon_kεk​ need not decrease at every step, so a bound based on per-step improvement in εk\varepsilon_kεk​ fails. The determinant objective and the geometric rounding condition are different quantities: controlling one must be shown to control the other, including the inner inclusion of the ellipsoid. For a general set, the lift changes the dimension and the relevant ellipsoid is a slice at y=1y=1y=1; the inner inclusion for this slice needs a separate geometric justification.

Formalization scope

Points are vectors Fin n → ℝ; A\mathcal AA is the range of a family a : Fin m → Fin n → ℝ (repetitions allowed). The definitions take any finite index, so they apply both to A\mathcal AA and to the lift, indexed by Fin m ⊕ Fin m. SSS is Mathlib's stdSimplex. FFF uses Real.log, which returns 000 rather than −∞-\infty−∞ on singular matrices, so every comparison of values of FFF is restricted to SFS_FSF​ and F∗F^*F∗ is the supremum over SFS_FSF​. Ellipsoids are the published LinearOptimization.ellipsoid; scaled ellipsoids about the origin use the pointwise scalar multiple, and shrinking a non-centred ellipsoid is the homothety about its centre.

Standing assumptions are hypotheses: in §2, central symmetry (2.1), full dimension (2.2) and n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 (p. 309); in §3, full dimension (3.1) and n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. Items that do not need them drop them. The BCD run is a predicate on sequences that allows any maximizing index at every step, with no tolerance parameter; the tolerance enters only through the stopping test.

Each O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) is a universal constant C>0C > 0C>0 quantified before the dimension, the points, ε\varepsilonε and the run. The paper counts arithmetic operations; the formal statements bound the index of an iterate meeting the stopping test, and the O(nm)O(nm)O(nm) cost per iteration and the O(mn2)O(mn^2)O(mn2) initialization are not formalized. The goal's bound is stated in the lifted parameters (n+1,2m)(n+1, 2m)(n+1,2m), which agrees with the page's up to the constant and stays positive at n=1n = 1n=1.

The goal assumes nothing about the run beyond its definition: the stopping test, the positive definiteness of A(pk)A(p_k)A(pk​), the rounding inclusions and the iteration bound are all conclusions. A statement in which the constant may depend on the instance, or in which a shrunken ellipsoid is scaled about the origin, would be a different, trivial or false, theorem.

Contributions welcome: the determinant and inverse identities ((2.6), Lemma 1, the rank-one update) are self-contained linear algebra; Lemma 2 needs the KKT characterisation of the minimum-volume ellipsoid; Lemma 5 is finite-dimensional convex geometry.

Selected references

  • L. G. Khachiyan, Rounding of polytopes in the real number model of computation, Mathematics of Operations Research 21(2):307–320, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.21.2.307
  • J. Kiefer, J. Wolfowitz, The equivalence of two extremum problems, Canadian Journal of Mathematics 12:363–366, 1960. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1960-030-4
  • L. G. Khachiyan, M. J. Todd, On the complexity of approximating the maximal inscribed ellipsoid for a polytope, Mathematical Programming 61:137–159, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01582144
  • M. J. Todd, E. A. Yıldırım, On Khachiyan's algorithm for the computation of minimum-volume enclosing ellipsoids, Discrete Applied Mathematics 155:1731–1744, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dam.2007.02.013
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior 1: The Optimal Policy Offers Only Nondominated Sets, a Larger One the More Capacity and the Less Time RemainResearch Paper

Why offer sets matter

A seller with one limited inventory pool can choose which fare products to show in each selling period. When customers choose among the displayed products, showing another fare can both add sales and divert buyers from a more expensive fare. A fixed ranking of fares therefore does not by itself tell the seller which products to offer. Talluri and van Ryzin's working paper studies the optimal offer decision under a general discrete choice model, without specifying a logit or independent-demand formula for customer choice (working paper, 2001, pp. 5–8; published article, 2004). The present mission concerns the paper's first main result: how to reduce the collection of possible offer sets and how the best choice changes with inventory and time.

Model and notation

There are nnn fare products, indexed by N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\ldots,n\}N={1,…,n}. Product jjj earns a nonnegative revenue rjr_jrj​. In each period, a customer arrives with probability λ∈[0,1]\lambda\in[0,1]λ∈[0,1], independent of the remaining time. The seller offers a set S⊆NS\subseteq NS⊆N. Conditional on arrival, the customer buys product j∈Sj\in Sj∈S with probability Pj(S)P_j(S)Pj​(S) or buys nothing with the remaining probability. Thus Pj(S)≥0P_j(S)\ge0Pj​(S)≥0 and Q(S)=∑j∈SPj(S)≤1Q(S)=\sum_{j\in S}P_j(S)\le1Q(S)=∑j∈S​Pj​(S)≤1. The purchase probability is Q(S)Q(S)Q(S), while the expected revenue conditional on arrival is R(S)=∑j∈SPj(S)rjR(S)=\sum_{j\in S}P_j(S)r_jR(S)=∑j∈S​Pj​(S)rj​. The empty set is a possible offer; it has Q=R=0Q=R=0Q=R=0.

Time is counted backward: ttt is the number of periods still available, and xxx is the number of inventory units left. Let Vt(x)V_t(x)Vt​(x) be the maximum expected revenue from that state, with V0(x)=Vt(0)=0V_0(x)=V_t(0)=0V0​(x)=Vt​(0)=0. For t,x≥1t,x\ge1t,x≥1, the marginal value of capacity is ΔVt−1(x)=Vt−1(x)−Vt−1(x−1)\Delta V_{t-1}(x)=V_{t-1}(x)-V_{t-1}(x-1)ΔVt−1​(x)=Vt−1​(x)−Vt−1​(x−1). The Bellman equation is

Vt(x)=Vt−1(x)+max⁡S⊆Nλ(R(S)−Q(S)ΔVt−1(x)).V_t(x)=V_{t-1}(x)+\max_{S\subseteq N}\lambda\bigl(R(S)-Q(S)\Delta V_{t-1}(x)\bigr).Vt​(x)=Vt−1​(x)+S⊆Nmax​λ(R(S)−Q(S)ΔVt−1​(x)).

The paper calls a set TTT dominated if a randomization over offer sets achieves either strictly more expected revenue with no greater purchase probability, or no less expected revenue with strictly lower purchase probability. A set is nondominated if neither comparison applies. This two-clause definition is specific to the paper. It differs from the one-clause “efficient set” used for a related model in Talluri and van Ryzin's book; the published formalization of that book's optimal policy theorem is therefore related work rather than a replacement for this goal.

Formalization targets

Nondominated frontier

Proposition 1 characterizes the nondominated sets by a positive tradeoff value vvv: a set TTT lies on the relevant frontier exactly when it maximizes R(S)−vQ(S)R(S)-vQ(S)R(S)−vQ(S) for some v>0v>0v>0. Proposition 2 says that dominated sets can be excluded from the Bellman maximization when ΔVt−1(x)>0\Delta V_{t-1}(x)>0ΔVt−1​(x)>0, and that a nondominated optimum exists when the marginal value is zero. Proposition 3 orders the nondominated sets S1,…,SmS_1,\ldots,S_mS1​,…,Sm​ so that both Qk=Q(Sk)Q_k=Q(S_k)Qk​=Q(Sk​) and Rk=R(Sk)R_k=R(S_k)Rk​=R(Sk​) are nondecreasing (working paper, pp. 8–12).

Largest optimal index

Among indices maximizing Rk−QkvR_k-Q_kvRk​−Qk​v, let k∗(v)k^*(v)k∗(v) be the greatest one when there are ties. Lemmas 1 and 2 say that k∗(v)k^*(v)k∗(v) is nonincreasing in vvv. The paper's Lemmas 3 and 4 say that marginal capacity values decrease as inventory increases and increase as the number of remaining periods increases. For the admissible states t,x≥1t,x\ge1t,x≥1, the goal is Theorem 1:

Vt(x)=Vt−1(x)+λ(Rk∗−Qk∗ΔVt−1(x)),V_t(x)=V_{t-1}(x)+\lambda\bigl(R_{k^*}-Q_{k^*}\Delta V_{t-1}(x)\bigr),Vt​(x)=Vt−1​(x)+λ(Rk∗​−Qk∗​ΔVt−1​(x)),

where Sk∗S_{k^*}Sk∗​ is an optimal offer, and the greatest optimal index k∗k^*k∗ is nondecreasing in xxx and nonincreasing in ttt (working paper, pp. 12–15, Theorem 1). These are claims about the index in the nondominated ordering; the offer sets themselves need not be nested by inclusion.

What the result gives

Theorem 1 replaces a search over all 2n2^n2n offer sets at each state with a search over the nondominated sets. It also tells an operator how the preferred position in that ordered list changes as seats are sold or as the selling horizon shortens. The later sections of the paper add conditions under which this ordering corresponds to fare-order nesting; those conditions are treated in separate missions (working paper, §3).

The model's value recursion and the marginal-value inequalities already have published Prove2Me formalizations in the Talluri–van Ryzin book setting. The book's marginal-value theorem is proved and serves here as a referenced milestone after reindexing its forward time convention. The paper's two-clause dominance concept, its ordered frontier, and Theorem 1 itself remain the formalization work of this mission. Keeping those distinctions explicit makes the resulting definitions reusable for other choice models with the same purchase and revenue coordinates.

Main difficulty

A set with high expected revenue need not be attractive when capacity is scarce: it may also consume inventory more often. Ranking sets by revenue alone therefore fails. Conversely, an offer set can tie another at a single marginal value, so selecting an arbitrary maximizer does not give a monotone index across states. The paper resolves ties by taking the greatest optimal index. Formalization must also retain the full randomized dominance relation: using only strict revenue improvement would leave sets on the wrong frontier. These issues arise even with finitely many products and without a specialized formula for Pj(S)P_j(S)Pj​(S).

Formalization scope

Products are Fin n, and offers are finite subsets of them. The published RevenueManagement_singleResource definition supplies the choice-model predicate, QQQ, RRR, and the backward value recursion. This mission defines the paper's own dominance relation, stage objective, exhaustive ordered list of nondominated sets, and greatest-maximizer predicate. Every possible offer set, including the empty set, participates in the Bellman maximum. The list must contain all nondominated sets exactly once; otherwise choosing from it would weaken Theorem 1.

The assumptions 0≤λ≤10\le\lambda\le10≤λ≤1 and rj≥0r_j\ge0rj​≥0 are the model's arrival-probability and nonnegative-fare conventions. The paper indexes fares in decreasing order, but Section 2's claims do not use that order, so the Lean targets omit it. Proposition 2's assertion that a dominated set is never optimal requires λ>0\lambda>0λ>0; that condition is placed on that clause alone. Decisions and marginal values are stated for t,x≥1t,x\ge1t,x≥1. The paper prints Lemma 3 also at x=1x=1x=1, where its right side ΔVt(0)\Delta V_t(0)ΔVt​(0) is undefined; the referenced formalization states the meaningful range x≥2x\ge2x≥2. The imported book theorem uses forward time, reindexed here as the number of periods remaining. The goal does not assume the dominance reduction or the marginal-value monotonicities that its milestones supply.

A complete development uses finite sums and maxima, the choice-value recursion, a finite frontier argument for Proposition 1, and order properties of the stage objective. The dominance and ordered-frontier definitions can support later results on nested policies. Contributions that establish the stated milestones under the same conventions are within scope.

Selected references

  • K. Talluri and G. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, UPF Economics Working Paper 533, October 21, 2001, pp. 5–15. Working paper.
  • K. Talluri and G. van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 2004, pp. 15–33. DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Linear Programming Approach to the Cutting-Stock Problem: If No Slack and No Knapsack Pattern Prices Out, the Current Basic Solution Is a Minimum of the Cutting-Stock LPResearch Paper

Motivation

A cutting-stock shop receives orders for pieces of several lengths and cuts them from a limited menu of longer stock lengths. Each stock length has a cost. The shop can repeat any cutting pattern, so the central optimization question is which patterns meet the demand at least cost. The direct linear program has a variable for every possible pattern. Even a modest menu of piece lengths can yield too many columns to list before optimization begins. Gilmore and Gomory's 1961 article addresses this large-column obstacle by testing whether an as-yet-unlisted pattern could lower the cost of a current basic solution.

The article studies the linear programming relaxation: cutting activities may have nonnegative real weights rather than integer repetition counts. It does not claim that the resulting fractional optimum is always an integer cutting plan. Its worked example happens to have an integer optimum of cost 170; the authors explicitly note that this integrality is fortuitous (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, p. 858). The target here is the exact stopping condition for the relaxation.

Setting

An instance has mmm ordered piece lengths ℓi\ell_iℓi​, demand Ni∈NN_i\in\mathbb NNi​∈N for each piece length, and kkk stock lengths LjL_jLj​ with real costs cjc_jcj​. A cutting pattern for stock jjj is a vector of nonnegative integer counts aia_iai​ with ∑iℓiai≤Lj\sum_i\ell_i a_i\le L_j∑i​ℓi​ai​≤Lj​. An activity consists of that stock choice and its fitting pattern. Its demand column is a=(ai)a=(a_i)a=(ai​) and its cost is cjc_jcj​. A surplus column for demand row iii has coefficient −1-1−1 in that row, zero elsewhere, and zero cost. The paper uses such columns to turn its demand inequalities into equations (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, p. 850, (1)–(3)).

A feasible solution assigns nonnegative real weights to finitely many activities and surplus columns so that activity output minus surplus equals NiN_iNi​ in every row. Its cost is the weighted sum of stock costs. A basis β\betaβ lists mmm columns with invertible coefficient matrix AAA and cost row CCC. The associated bordered matrix, demand column, tableau column, and multipliers are

B=(1−C0A),N′=(0,N1,…,Nm)T,Nˉ=B−1N′,bi=(B−1)0,i+1.B=\begin{pmatrix}1&-C\\0&A\end{pmatrix},\qquad N'=(0,N_1,\ldots,N_m)^T,\qquad \bar N=B^{-1}N',\qquad b_i=(B^{-1})_{0,i+1}.B=(10​−CA​),N′=(0,N1​,…,Nm​)T,Nˉ=B−1N′,bi​=(B−1)0,i+1​.

A feasible basis has nonnegative basic values, the last mmm entries of Nˉ\bar NNˉ. Those values on the basic columns, with zero on every other column, form the current basic solution. The first entry of Nˉ\bar NNˉ is its cost. These definitions follow the matrix and tableau of routine steps (2)–(4) (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, pp. 854–855).

Formalization targets

The goal is the stopping statement of step (4). If no nonbasic surplus column has a negative multiplier, and no available stock jjj has a fitting pattern satisfying ∑ibiai>cj\sum_i b_i a_i>c_j∑i​bi​ai​>cj​, then the current solution is feasible and minimizes cost across all feasible activity and surplus assignments:

(∀i with surplus i∉β, bi≥0)∧(∀j,a, ∑iℓiai≤Lj⇒∑ibiai≤cj)⟹cost⁡(zβ)=Nˉ0≤cost⁡(z)for every feasible z.\bigl(\forall i\text{ with surplus }i\notin\beta,\ b_i\ge0\bigr) \quad\land\quad \bigl(\forall j,a,\ \sum_i\ell_i a_i\le L_j\Rightarrow\sum_i b_i a_i\le c_j\bigr) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \operatorname{cost}(z_\beta)=\bar N_0\le\operatorname{cost}(z) \quad\text{for every feasible }z.(∀i with surplus i∈/β, bi​≥0)∧(∀j,a, i∑​ℓi​ai​≤Lj​⇒i∑​bi​ai​≤cj​)⟹cost(zβ​)=Nˉ0​≤cost(z)for every feasible z.

The six milestones record the paper's ingredients: the first row of B−1B^{-1}B−1 and the meaning of Nˉ\bar NNˉ; the entering-column price test (4)–(5); the surplus-column test of step (3); the integer-pattern form (6)–(7); the maximum-pattern test; and the dynamic programming recurrence for Fs(x)F_s(x)Fs​(x) (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, pp. 852–855). The paper has no numbered theorems or lemmas; each milestone is drawn from a sentence or display on those pages.

Significance

The result makes a finite tableau a certificate for an optimization problem whose set of potential cutting activities is much larger than the current basis. A failed pricing search is meaningful only when it covers every fitting pattern for every stock length; the goal makes that full scope explicit. In the example, the final multipliers are (2,3,5)(2,3,5)(2,3,5) and the relevant knapsack maxima for stock lengths 555, 666, and 999 are 555, 777, and 101010, matching their stopping prices and the cost 170 (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, p. 858).

The mathematical argument is known from the 1961 article. This mission asks for a machine-checked Lean proof of its particular cutting-stock formulation, including the bounded-pattern search, bordered tableau, surplus columns, and global optimality conclusion. The proposal statements compile with proof placeholders; they are not already proved by those placeholders. Published general LP results are listed as references, but their finite-indexed formulations do not directly state the cutting-stock theorem.

Difficulty

Checking only the columns already in a tableau cannot establish optimality: an unlisted pattern might still fit a stock length and have a price greater than its cost. The article reduces this large search to an integer knapsack maximum for each stock length (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, pp. 852–853). Formalization must retain the distinction between a basis of mmm columns and the full collection of possible columns. Strict improvement also needs care at a degenerate basic solution. The paper directs zero-ratio pivots to a separate degeneracy procedure (Gilmore and Gomory 1961, p. 855); the sufficient directions of the pricing milestones therefore require positive basic values, while the goal's optimality direction does not.

Formalization scope

Lean indexes piece types from zero and uses a separate initial cost coordinate followed by the mmm demand coordinates for BBB. Thus the paper's (i+1)(i+1)(i+1)st bordered row corresponds to Lean demand index iii. Patterns are vectors in Nm\mathbb N^mNm; the zero pattern is included. A solution is a finitely supported real weighting of all activity and surplus columns. Global minimality quantifies over every such feasible weighting, including activities not in the current basis. No sign condition is imposed on stock costs or stock lengths in the goal; the goal is a conditional optimality statement and remains valid whenever its hypotheses hold.

The knapsack value Fs(x)F_s(x)Fs​(x) uses extended real numbers, giving −∞-\infty−∞ when no pattern fits, rather than an accidental real value from an empty supremum. The maximum-pattern milestone assumes positive piece lengths and nonnegative stock length, so the feasible set is finite and nonempty. The recursion milestone assumes positive lengths for all types through the newly added one; without the earlier positivity, a negative earlier length could let the new piece count exceed the displayed upper bound. The nondegeneracy hypotheses are confined to the sufficient directions of the three improvement milestones.

Reusable contributions include lemmas connecting the bordered inverse with CA−1C A^{-1}CA−1, finite-support linear program identities, and the integer knapsack recurrence. The source's rounding discussion, heuristic search, and under-specified anti-cycling device are outside this mission. An encoding that compares the current solution only with basis columns or generated columns would miss the paper's stopping claim.

Selected references

  • P. C. Gilmore and R. E. Gomory, A linear programming approach to the cutting-stock problem, Operations Research 9(6):849–859, 1961. DOI: 10.1287/opre.9.6.849.
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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: wurtle

CLIQUE is NP-CompleteResearch Paper

Prove that CLIQUE is NP-complete by reducing the existing 3-SAT language, KSat.KSAT 3, to it. An instance consists of a finite simple undirected graph and an input threshold; it asks whether the graph contains a clique of at least that size. (https://prove2.me/theorems/d82e8682-c490-4742-a5e5-dd3a0b870b90). The construction specializes Karp’s SAT-to-CLIQUE reduction to 3-SAT.

References:

  • Richard M. Karp. Reducibility Among Combinatorial Problems. Complexity of Computer Computations, 85–103, 1972. Main Theorem, problem 3, p. 94; SAT-to-CLIQUE reduction, p. 97.
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Dynamic ProgrammingLinear OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Probabilistic Production and Inventory Problem: The Optimal Discounted Cost Is the Greatest Point of the Constraint Set (9) and the Unique Optimum of the Linear Program (P2)Research Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process with finitely many states and actions and a discounted cost criterion can be solved in three classical ways: policy iteration, value iteration, and linear programming. The third goes back to F. d'Epenoux's paper A Probabilistic Production and Inventory Problem (Management Science 10(1), 1963, partly redrafted from a translation of d'Epenoux's 1960 article in the Revue Française de Recherche Opérationnelle), which showed that the optimal discounted cost of a stochastic production and inventory model is the solution of a single linear program. Together with Manne's linear program for the average-cost case (1960), it is the origin of the linear programming approach to dynamic programming, which underlies occupation-measure methods, constrained Markov decision processes, and approximate linear programming for large models.

Timeline:

  • 1957–1960. Bellman's Dynamic Programming (value iteration, the principle of optimality); Howard's policy iteration for average costs (1960); Manne's linear program for average costs (Linear programming and sequential decisions, Management Sci., 1960).
  • 1960/1963. d'Epenoux treats the discounted case: policy iteration and value iteration (Sections 2–4), then the linear program (P2)(P_2)(P2​) and its dual (Sections 5–6). Footnote 2 credits Guilbaud (1957) with an earlier observation of an equivalent linear program in another context.
  • 1967. Denardo, Contraction mappings in the theory underlying dynamic programming, places the linear programs in an abstract contraction framework.

Setting

The stock at the beginning of a period is i∈{0,1,…,σ}i \in \{0, 1, \dots, \sigma\}i∈{0,1,…,σ}, where σ\sigmaσ is the stock capacity. The decision is the potential jjj, the quantity available for the period (output plus initial stock), with i≤j≤σi \le j \le \sigmai≤j≤σ. Given the potential jjj, the stock at the end of the period is sss with probability pjsp_{js}pjs​; each row (pjs)s(p_{js})_s(pjs​)s​ is a probability vector. The expected cost of a period with initial stock iii and potential jjj is a real number dijd_{ij}dij​. Costs one period ahead are discounted by λ\lambdaλ, 0<λ<10 < \lambda < 10<λ<1.

A strategy is a map JJJ with i≤J(i)i \le J(i)i≤J(i) for every iii: the potential depends only on the current stock. It has the transition matrix (PJ)is=pJ(i)s(P_J)_{is} = p_{J(i)s}(PJ​)is​=pJ(i)s​ and the cost vector (dJ)i=diJ(i)(d_J)_i = d_{iJ(i)}(dJ​)i​=diJ(i)​. The cost of following JJJ forever is the solution uuu of (2), u=dJ+λPJuu = d_J + \lambda P_J uu=dJ​+λPJ​u. The optimal cost u∗u^*u∗ solves the fundamental equation (7),

ui∗=min⁡j≥i(dij+λ∑s=0σpjsus∗),i=0,…,σ.u^*_i = \min_{j \ge i}\Big( d_{ij} + \lambda \sum_{s=0}^{\sigma} p_{js} u^*_s \Big), \qquad i = 0, \dots, \sigma .ui∗​=j≥imin​(dij​+λs=0∑σ​pjs​us∗​),i=0,…,σ.

For a vector uuu put Uij=ui−λ∑spjsus−dijU_{ij} = u_i - \lambda \sum_s p_{js} u_s - d_{ij}Uij​=ui​−λ∑s​pjs​us​−dij​. The set AAA consists of the vectors satisfying the linear constraints (9), Uij≤0U_{ij} \le 0Uij​≤0 for all admissible pairs i≤ji \le ji≤j. The set BBB consists of the vectors with ∏j≥iUij=0\prod_{j \ge i} U_{ij} = 0∏j≥i​Uij​=0 for every iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: u∗=max⁡(u∈A)u^* = \max(u \in A)u∗=max(u∈A), and (P2)(P_2)(P2​)

The system (7) has a solution, and every solution u∗u^*u∗ is the greatest element of AAA:

u∗∈A,u≤u∗ componentwise for every u∈A.u^* \in A, \qquad u \le u^* \ \text{componentwise for every } u \in A .u∗∈A,u≤u∗ componentwise for every u∈A.

Moreover, for every weight vector ccc with all ci>0c_i > 0ci​>0 and ∑ici=1\sum_i c_i = 1∑i​ci​=1, u∗u^*u∗ is the unique optimal solution of

(P2)maximize (1−λ)∑iciuisubject to Uij≤0  (i≤j).(P_2) \qquad \text{maximize } (1-\lambda) \sum_i c_i u_i \quad \text{subject to } U_{ij} \le 0 \ \ (i \le j).(P2​)maximize (1−λ)i∑​ci​ui​subject to Uij​≤0  (i≤j).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (3). For a stochastic matrix PPP and 0<λ<10<\lambda<10<λ<1, I−λPI - \lambda PI−λP is invertible and (I−λP)−1=∑k≥0λkPk(I-\lambda P)^{-1} = \sum_{k \ge 0} \lambda^k P^k(I−λP)−1=∑k≥0​λkPk.
  2. Eq. (4). u−λPu≥0u - \lambda P u \ge 0u−λPu≥0 implies u≥0u \ge 0u≥0.
  3. Eq. (5). If moreover u−λPu≠0u - \lambda P u \ne 0u−λPu=0 and PPP is indecomposable, then ui>0u_i > 0ui​>0 for all iii.
  4. Eq. (7). (7) has a unique solution, the cost of an optimal strategy (referenced, Proved).
  5. Section 5. uuu solves (7) iff u∈A∩Bu \in A \cap Bu∈A∩B; the points of BBB are exactly the costs of strategies.
  6. Section 5. Every point of AAA lies below every point of BBB.
  7. Section 5. If every PJP_JPJ​ is indecomposable, u∗u^*u∗ is a strict vectorial maximum of AAA: u∈Au \in Au∈A, u≠u∗u \ne u^*u=u∗ imply ui<ui∗u_i < u^*_iui​<ui∗​ for all iii.

Significance

The result turns a fixed-point equation with a minimum in it into a linear program with 12(σ+1)(σ+2)\tfrac12(\sigma+1)(\sigma+2)21​(σ+1)(σ+2) linear constraints. Its consequences are the ones the paper draws in Section 6: the dual of (P2)(P_2)(P2​) has a probabilistic interpretation (discounted state–action frequencies), its optimal basic solutions are optimal strategies, and every linear programming algorithm becomes an algorithm for discounted dynamic programs. The uniqueness clause is what makes the weighted objective recover the whole cost vector; with a single objective ueu_eue​, as the paper notes, the optimum need not determine the complete optimal strategy when the states decompose into several groups.

The dynamic programming half of the paper (Sections 2–4: policy evaluation, policy iteration, value iteration) is already formalized and proved on the platform for the general finite discounted model, as Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Prop. 7.3.1 (BertsekasDP.discounted_main_theorem); it enters this mission as a reference item, and the mission's model is an instance of the same published structure BertsekasSSPModel. The linear programming half is not formalized. Related items in other models are posed elsewhere: Bäuerle and Rieder's Theorem 7.5.9 (finite-state linear program in a measure-theoretic reward model, open) and Denardo's Programs I–II in an abstract contraction model; neither states the componentwise maximality of u∗u^*u∗ in AAA in this model.

Difficulty

The individual steps are short, but the goal combines several facts that are easy to state wrongly. The paper calls the invertibility of I−λPI-\lambda PI−λP and the positivity of its inverse "known and obvious"; in Lean they are statements about an arbitrary stochastic matrix over Fin m, for which Mathlib provides no default matrix norm, and the comparison of AAA with BBB depends on them. Uniqueness of the optimum of (P2)(P_2)(P2​) needs both strict positivity of the weights and the componentwise maximality; with a zero weight it fails. The obvious first idea for the strict maximum, that indecomposability of the optimal strategy's matrix alone suffices, is not the formalized statement: only the sufficient condition over all strategies is posed.

Formalization scope

Stock levels and potentials are Fin (σ + 1), 000-based. The kernel pjsp_{js}pjs​ is an arbitrary stochastic kernel indexed by the potential, and the costs dijd_{ij}dij​ are arbitrary reals; the paper's demand-driven kernel and its cost decomposition dij=d′(j−i)+∑npnd′′(i,j,n)d_{ij} = d'(j-i) + \sum_n p_n d''(i,j,n)dij​=d′(j−i)+∑n​pn​d′′(i,j,n) are an instance and are not built in, because the arguments of Sections 2–5 use only stochasticity (the paper itself remarks on p. 101 that its methods apply far beyond the inventory problem). Only admissible pairs i≤ji \le ji≤j enter AAA, BBB, the minimum in (7), and strategies. The discount is called lam in Lean. Equation (7) is the fixed-point equation of the Bellman operator BertsekasDiscountedBellmanOp of the model.

Explicit readings of the paper's phrases:

  • "u∗=max⁡(u∈A)u^* = \max(u \in A)u∗=max(u∈A)" is IsGreatest in the componentwise order.
  • "the complete solution" of (P2)(P_2)(P2​) is uniqueness of its optimal solution, for every admissible weight vector.
  • "u>0u > 0u>0" in (5) and "strict vectorial maximum" mean every component strictly positive, respectively strictly smaller.
  • "indecomposable" means irreducible: for all i,ki,ki,k some power PnP^nPn has (Pn)ik>0(P^n)_{ik} > 0(Pn)ik​>0. The weaker reading (one closed class plus transient states) makes (5) false.
  • "the points of the set BBB correspond to the costs associated with every possible strategy" is the equivalence between membership in BBB and solving (2) for some strategy.

Ruled out: defining u∗u^*u∗ as the optimum of the linear program, as a supremum of AAA, or as a limit (which would make the goal circular); assuming a solution of (7) without the existence conjunct; constraining also the inadmissible pairs j<ij < ij<i (which can exclude u∗u^*u∗ from AAA); and weakening the weights to ci≥0c_i \ge 0ci​≥0.

Not formalized: the demand-driven kernel, the finite-horizon recursion of Section 2, the monotone convergence remark of Section 4 (c), the count of strategies, the reformulations (P1)(P_1)(P1​) and (P3)(P_3)(P3​), and all of Section 6 (duality). Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones and of the goal, and, as a follow-up mission, the dual programs of Section 6. The matrix facts (3)–(5) are stated for arbitrary stochastic matrices and are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • F. d'Epenoux, A Probabilistic Production and Inventory Problem, Management Science 10(1), 98–108, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.10.1.98
  • A. S. Manne, Linear Programming and Sequential Decisions, Management Science 6(3), 259–267, 1960. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.3.259
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press and John Wiley, 1960.
  • R. Bellman, Dynamic Programming, Princeton University Press, 1957.
  • E. V. Denardo, Contraction Mappings in the Theory Underlying Dynamic Programming, SIAM Review 9(2), 165–177, 1967. https://doi.org/10.1137/1009030
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I, 3rd ed., Athena Scientific, 2005, Prop. 7.3.1.
  • N. Bäuerle and U. Rieder, Markov Decision Processes with Applications to Finance, Springer, 2011, Section 7.5. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18324-9
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Coordinating Inventory Control and Pricing Strategies with Random Demand and Fixed Ordering Cost: The Finite Horizon Case 1: Additive Demand: k-Concave Profit-to-Go, Optimal (s, S, p) PolicyResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer that sets both its replenishment quantities and its prices over a finite selling season faces a coupled decision: the price shapes the demand that the inventory must serve, and the inventory position shapes which price is worth charging. With a fixed cost per order, the classical inventory answer is the (s, S) policy of Scarf (1960): when the stock falls below a reorder point sss, order up to the level SSS. Thomas (1974) asked what happens when the price is also a decision, and conjectured that an (s, S, p) policy — an (s, S) ordering rule together with a price that depends on the stock level — is optimal "under fairly general conditions". He also gave a counterexample when prices are restricted to a discrete set.

Chen and Simchi-Levi (Operations Research 52(6), 2004) settled the conjecture for the finite horizon. When demand is additive in a random shock, wt=Dt(pt)+βtw_t = D_t(p_t) + \beta_twt​=Dt​(pt​)+βt​, the conjecture holds (§3, Theorem 3.1). When the shock is not additive, it fails, and a weaker policy class is optimal (§4, the second mission of this series). This mission formalizes the additive case.

Timeline:

  • Scarf (1960): (s, S) policies are optimal for the fixed-cost inventory problem, through k-convexity.
  • Thomas (1974): conjectures (s, S, p) optimality with a continuous price range.
  • Federgruen and Heching (1999): joint pricing and inventory without a fixed cost; base-stock list-price policies are optimal.
  • Polatoglu and Sahin (2000): the lost-sales variant; sufficient conditions for (s, S, p) optimality.
  • Chen and Simchi-Levi (2004): (s, S, p) optimality for additive demand with backlogging, and its failure in general.

Setting

There are TTT periods t=1,…,Tt = 1, \dots, Tt=1,…,T. In period ttt the firm starts with inventory xxx, orders up to a level y≥xy \ge xy≥x at cost k δ(y−x)+ct(y−x)k\,\delta(y - x) + c_t(y - x)kδ(y−x)+ct​(y−x), where k≥0k \ge 0k≥0 is a fixed cost, ctc_tct​ a unit cost and δ(u)=1\delta(u) = 1δ(u)=1 if u>0u > 0u>0 and 000 otherwise, and sets a price. Demand is wt=αtDt(pt)+βtw_t = \alpha_t D_t(p_t) + \beta_twt​=αt​Dt​(pt​)+βt​ for a random pair ϵt=(αt,βt)\epsilon_t = (\alpha_t, \beta_t)ϵt​=(αt​,βt​) with Eαt=1\mathbb E\alpha_t = 1Eαt​=1, Eβt=0\mathbb E\beta_t = 0Eβt​=0; in the additive case αt=1\alpha_t = 1αt​=1. Unmet demand is backlogged, and an end-of-period inventory xxx costs ht(x)h_t(x)ht​(x), a convex function.

Since price and expected demand determine each other, the decision is an expected demand d∈[d‾t,dˉt]d \in [\underline d_t, \bar d_t]d∈[d​t​,dˉt​], with price Pt(d)=Dt−1(d)P_t(d) = D_t^{-1}(d)Pt​(d)=Dt−1​(d) and expected revenue Rt(d)=d Pt(d)R_t(d) = d\,P_t(d)Rt​(d)=dPt​(d), assumed concave. With Gt(y,d)=E ht(y−αtd−βt)G_t(y, d) = \mathbb E\,h_t(y - \alpha_t d - \beta_t)Gt​(y,d)=Eht​(y−αt​d−βt​), the profit-to-go functions satisfy vT+1≡0v_{T+1} \equiv 0vT+1​≡0 and, for t=T,…,1t = T, \dots, 1t=T,…,1,

vt(x)=ctx+max⁡y≥x[−k δ(y−x)+gt(y,dt(y))],(2)v_t(x) = c_t x + \max_{y \ge x}\Big[-k\,\delta(y - x) + g_t\big(y, d_t(y)\big)\Big], \qquad (2)vt​(x)=ct​x+y≥xmax​[−kδ(y−x)+gt​(y,dt​(y))],(2) gt(y,d)=Rt(d)−cty+E{−ht(y−αtd−βt)+vt+1(y−αtd−βt)},(3)g_t(y, d) = R_t(d) - c_t y + \mathbb E\big\{-h_t(y - \alpha_t d - \beta_t) + v_{t+1}(y - \alpha_t d - \beta_t)\big\}, \qquad (3)gt​(y,d)=Rt​(d)−ct​y+E{−ht​(y−αt​d−βt​)+vt+1​(y−αt​d−βt​)},(3)

where dt(y)d_t(y)dt​(y) maximizes gt(y,⋅)g_t(y, \cdot)gt​(y,⋅) over [d‾t,dˉt][\underline d_t, \bar d_t][d​t​,dˉt​]. A function fff is k-convex if k+f(z+y)≥f(y)+zb(f(y)−f(y−b))k + f(z + y) \ge f(y) + \frac{z}{b}\big(f(y) - f(y - b)\big)k+f(z+y)≥f(y)+bz​(f(y)−f(y−b)) for all z≥0z \ge 0z≥0, b>0b > 0b>0, yyy (Definition 2.1), and k-concave if −f-f−f is k-convex. Assumptions 3–5 of the paper give GtG_tGt​ the stated one-sided growth limits and polynomial growth O(∣y∣ρ)O(|y|^\rho)O(∣y∣ρ), and give demand a finite ρ\rhoρ-th moment.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1(c)–(d)

For additive demand and every period ttt: gt(y,⋅)g_t(y, \cdot)gt​(y,⋅) attains its maximum at some dt(y)d_t(y)dt​(y), the functions y↦gt(y,dt(y))y \mapsto g_t(y, d_t(y))y↦gt​(y,dt​(y)) and x↦vt(x)x \mapsto v_t(x)x↦vt​(x) are k-concave, and there exist st≤Sts_t \le S_tst​≤St​ such that

y∗(x)={St,x<st,x,x≥st,y^*(x) = \begin{cases} S_t, & x < s_t,\\ x, & x \ge s_t,\end{cases}y∗(x)={St​,x,​x<st​,x≥st​,​

maximizes −k δ(y−x)+gt(y,dt(y))-k\,\delta(y - x) + g_t(y, d_t(y))−kδ(y−x)+gt​(y,dt​(y)) over y≥xy \ge xy≥x, vt(x)=ctx−k δ(y∗(x)−x)+gt(y∗(x),dt(y∗(x)))v_t(x) = c_t x - k\,\delta(y^*(x) - x) + g_t(y^*(x), d_t(y^*(x)))vt​(x)=ct​x−kδ(y∗(x)−x)+gt​(y∗(x),dt​(y∗(x))), and a best expected demand exists at y∗(x)y^*(x)y∗(x); the price is Dt−1D_t^{-1}Dt−1​ of it.

Milestones

  1. Definitions 2.1 and 2.2 of k-convexity are equivalent.
  2. Lemma 1(d): a continuous coercive k-convex function has the (s, S) shape (already proved on the platform).
  3. Lemma 2: a maximizer dt(y)d_t(y)dt​(y) can be chosen with y−dt(y)y - d_t(y)y−dt​(y) nondecreasing.
  4. Theorem 3.1(a): gt(y,d)=O(∣y∣ρ)g_t(y, d) = O(|y|^\rho)gt​(y,d)=O(∣y∣ρ) and vt(x)=O(∣x∣ρ)v_t(x) = O(|x|^\rho)vt​(x)=O(∣x∣ρ).
  5. Theorem 3.1(b): gtg_tgt​ is continuous, gt(y,d)→−∞g_t(y, d) \to -\inftygt​(y,d)→−∞ as ∣y∣→∞|y| \to \infty∣y∣→∞, and dt(y)d_t(y)dt​(y) exists.
  6. Inequality (7): gt(y,dt(y))g_t(y, d_t(y))gt​(y,dt​(y)) is k-concave when the continuation value is.
  7. The display of vtv_tvt​: its (s, S) form and the transfer of k-concavity from gt(y,dt(y))g_t(y, d_t(y))gt​(y,dt​(y)) to vtv_tvt​.

Significance

The theorem identifies the structure of an optimal policy for a basic model of coordinated pricing and replenishment: two numbers per period determine the ordering decision, and the price is a function of the post-order stock. It confirms Thomas's conjecture in the additive case and tells a computation or an approximation scheme which policy class it may restrict to; §5 of the paper extends it to a nonincreasing fixed cost, the infinite horizon and Markovian demand.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. A formalization adds checked versions of the k-convexity toolkit (the equivalence of the two standard definitions; the (s, S) structure lemma), a checked monotone-selection argument for a parametric maximization, and a checked finite-horizon induction in which an expectation, a maximization over a continuous action and a fixed cost interact. The proof of part (a) is omitted in the paper ("similar to that of Theorem 1 in Federgruen and Heching (1999)"), so formalizing it supplies a missing argument.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the expectation. A k-concave function composed with a shift y↦y−d−βy \mapsto y - d - \betay↦y−d−β is k-concave for a fixed ddd, but here the demand decision depends on yyy, and k-concavity, unlike concavity, is not preserved under an arbitrary reparametrization: Definition 2.2 is asymmetric in its two points. The inequality needed for the continuation value requires the post-demand levels y−dt(y)−βty - d_t(y) - \beta_ty−dt​(y)−βt​ to be ordered like the inventory levels yyy. That is the content of Lemma 2, and it uses additivity; for multiplicative demand the ordering fails, and so does the theorem (§4).

The second difficulty is analytic: each step of the induction needs a continuous continuation value of polynomial growth, so that the expectation in (3) is finite and continuous, the maximum over ddd is attained, and gtg_tgt​ is coercive.

Formalization scope

The model is a structure of real data indexed by t∈Nt \in \mathbb Nt∈N, with periods 1,…,T1, \dots, T1,…,T; the law of (αt,βt)(\alpha_t, \beta_t)(αt​,βt​) is a probability measure on R2\mathbb R^2R2 and expectations are Bochner integrals. The formalization works in expected-demand space d∈[d‾t,dˉt]d \in [\underline d_t, \bar d_t]d∈[d​t​,dˉt​], equivalent to price space because DtD_tDt​ is a continuous strictly decreasing bijection. Additivity is "αt=1\alpha_t = 1αt​=1 almost surely". The profit-to-go is defined by recursion on the number of periods to go, with vT+1=0v_{T+1} = 0vT+1​=0. Maxima are written as real suprema; every target that uses them asserts that they are attained, so the convention that an unbounded supremum is 000 never enters. k-convexity is the platform's BertsekasKConvex (Definition 2.1); k-concavity of fff is k-convexity of −f-f−f.

Conventions and restrictions relative to the printed page:

  • O(∣y∣ρ)O(|y|^\rho)O(∣y∣ρ) is an explicit bound C(1+∣y∣ρ)C(1 + |y|^\rho)C(1+∣y∣ρ) with ρ∈N\rho \in \mathbb Nρ∈N, uniform in ddd.
  • Assumption 5, printed E{Dt(p,ϵt)}ρ<∞E\{D_t(p, \epsilon_t)\}^\rho < \inftyE{Dt​(p,ϵt​)}ρ<∞, is read as E∣αtd+βt∣ρ<∞\mathbb E|\alpha_t d + \beta_t|^\rho < \inftyE∣αt​d+βt​∣ρ<∞.
  • Integrability of ht(y−αtd−βt)h_t(y - \alpha_t d - \beta_t)ht​(y−αt​d−βt​) is part of Assumption 4, and Theorem 3.1(a) also asserts that the expectation of vt+1v_{t+1}vt+1​ in (3) is finite.
  • Added hypotheses: cT+1=0c_{T+1} = 0cT+1​=0 (the paper uses cT+1c_{T+1}cT+1​ without defining it), ct≥0c_t \ge 0ct​≥0 (used in the proof of part (b); without it gtg_tgt​ need not tend to −∞-\infty−∞), and k≥0k \ge 0k≥0.
  • Independence across periods is not stated; the dynamic program uses only each period's marginal law.
  • The paper writes st<Sts_t < S_tst​<St​ in the proof; for k=0k = 0k=0 equality is possible, so the targets use st≤Sts_t \le S_tst​≤St​.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the targets assert attainment of every maximum they mention and the identity between vt(x)v_t(x)vt​(x) and the maximized objective, so a supremum that defaults to 000, or an integral of a non-integrable function, cannot make them hold vacuously; and the assumptions are satisfiable (a one-period instance with h(x)=∣x∣h(x) = |x|h(x)=∣x∣ meets all of them).

A complete development needs: continuity of parametric integrals under polynomial domination; attainment of maxima over compact intervals; Topkis-style monotone selection for functions with increasing differences; the (s, S) structure lemma for k-convex functions (proved on the platform); and the closure of k-concavity under the operations above. The k-convexity results and the monotone-selection lemma are reusable for the general-demand mission of this series and for other fixed-cost inventory models. Contributions to any milestone are welcome, including proofs that rely on platform results by Topkis (Supermodularity.Monotonicity.argmax_increasing_of_increasing_differences).

Selected references

  • X. Chen, D. Simchi-Levi, Coordinating Inventory Control and Pricing Strategies with Random Demand and Fixed Ordering Cost: The Finite Horizon Case, Operations Research 52(6), 887–896, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1040.0127
  • H. Scarf, The Optimality of (S, s) Policies in the Dynamic Inventory Problem, in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences, Stanford University Press, 1960.
  • L. J. Thomas, Price and Production Decisions with Random Demand, Operations Research 22, 513–518, 1974.
  • E. L. Porteus, On the Optimality of Generalized (s, S) Policies, Management Science 17, 411–426, 1971.
  • A. Federgruen, A. Heching, Combined Pricing and Inventory Control Under Uncertainty, Operations Research 47(3), 454–475, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.47.3.454
  • H. Polatoglu, I. Sahin, Optimal Procurement Policies under Price-Dependent Demand, International Journal of Production Economics 65, 141–171, 2000.
  • D. M. Topkis, Supermodularity and Complementarity, Princeton University Press, 1998.
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control, Vol. I, Athena Scientific, 1995.
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity II: For t ≥ 2n² log(R/r) the Ellipsoid Method Satisfies f(x_t) − min f ≤ (2BR/r)·exp(−t/(2n²))Textbook

Motivation

The ellipsoid method is the cutting-plane algorithm that settled the polynomial-time solvability of linear programming and, more generally, of convex optimization over any set that comes with an efficient separation oracle. It was introduced for convex minimization by Shor and by Yudin and Nemirovski in the 1970s, and Khachiyan used it in 1979 to give the first polynomial-time algorithm for linear programming. Grötschel, Lovász and Schrijver later turned it into the general equivalence between separation and optimization that underlies much of combinatorial optimization.

This mission is the second of a series formalizing S. Bubeck, Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity (Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 8(3–4), 2015; arXiv:1405.4980v2). Its goal is the convergence guarantee of the ellipsoid method, Theorem 2.4 (p. 250), together with the geometric lemma and the steps of the proof on which it rests.

Timeline:

  • 1976–1977: Yudin–Nemirovski and Shor introduce the method for convex minimization.
  • 1979: Khachiyan applies it to linear programming and obtains polynomial time.
  • 1981: Grötschel, Lovász and Schrijver derive the equivalence of separation and optimization.

Setting

Write Rn\mathbb R^nRn for the space of real nnn-vectors, with the dot product x⊤yx^\top yx⊤y. An ellipsoid is a set

E={x∈Rn:(x−c)⊤H−1(x−c)≤1},\mathcal E=\{x\in\mathbb R^n:(x-c)^\top H^{-1}(x-c)\le 1\},E={x∈Rn:(x−c)⊤H−1(x−c)≤1},

where c∈Rnc\in\mathbb R^nc∈Rn is its center and HHH is a symmetric positive definite matrix.

A convex body X⊂Rn\mathcal X\subset\mathbb R^nX⊂Rn is a compact convex set with non-empty interior. The objective fff is continuous and convex on X\mathcal XX with values in [−B,B][-B,B][−B,B], and r,R>0r,R>0r,R>0 are such that X\mathcal XX lies in the Euclidean ball E0\mathcal E_0E0​ of center c0c_0c0​ and radius RRR and contains some Euclidean ball of radius rrr. A subgradient of fff at x∈Xx\in\mathcal Xx∈X is a vector ggg with f(x)+g⊤(y−x)≤f(y)f(x)+g^\top(y-x)\le f(y)f(x)+g⊤(y−x)≤f(y) for all y∈Xy\in\mathcal Xy∈X.

The method starts from E0\mathcal E_0E0​, H0=R2InH_0=R^2\mathrm I_nH0​=R2In​. At step t≥0t\ge0t≥0 it asks for a vector wtw_twt​:

  • if ct∉Xc_t\notin\mathcal Xct​∈/X, a separating vector, with X⊂{x:(x−ct)⊤wt≤0}\mathcal X\subset\{x:(x-c_t)^\top w_t\le0\}X⊂{x:(x−ct​)⊤wt​≤0};
  • otherwise a subgradient of fff at ctc_tct​.

It then replaces Et\mathcal E_tEt​ by the ellipsoid Et+1\mathcal E_{t+1}Et+1​ given by

ct+1=ct−1n+1Htwtwt⊤Htwt,Ht+1=n2n2−1(Ht−2n+1Htwtwt⊤Htwt⊤Htwt).c_{t+1}=c_t-\frac1{n+1}\frac{H_tw_t}{\sqrt{w_t^\top H_tw_t}},\qquad H_{t+1}=\frac{n^2}{n^2-1}\Big(H_t-\frac2{n+1}\frac{H_tw_tw_t^\top H_t}{w_t^\top H_tw_t}\Big).ct+1​=ct​−n+11​wt⊤​Ht​wt​​Ht​wt​​,Ht+1​=n2−1n2​(Ht​−n+12​wt⊤​Ht​wt​Ht​wt​wt⊤​Ht​​).

After ttt iterations the output xtx_txt​ is the best of the queried centers that lie in X\mathcal XX.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.4

For n≥2n\ge2n≥2 and every t≥2n2log⁡(R/r)t\ge 2n^2\log(R/r)t≥2n2log(R/r), t≥1t\ge1t≥1, some queried center lies in X\mathcal XX, and every output satisfies

f(xt)−min⁡x∈Xf(x)≤2BRrexp⁡(−t2n2).f(x_t)-\min_{x\in\mathcal X}f(x)\le\frac{2BR}{r}\exp\Big(-\frac{t}{2n^2}\Big).f(xt​)−x∈Xmin​f(x)≤r2BR​exp(−2n2t​).

Milestones

  1. The scalar inequality (1+1/n)2(1−1/n2)n−1≥exp⁡(1/n)(1+1/n)^2(1-1/n^2)^{n-1}\ge\exp(1/n)(1+1/n)2(1−1/n2)n−1≥exp(1/n) for n≥2n\ge2n≥2 (proof of Lemma 2.3, pp. 248–249).
  2. Lemma 2.3 (p. 247): for w≠0w\ne0w=0 the half-ellipsoid {x∈E0:w⊤(x−c0)≤0}\{x\in\mathcal E_0:w^\top(x-c_0)\le0\}{x∈E0​:w⊤(x−c0​)≤0} lies in an ellipsoid E\mathcal EE with
vol(E)≤exp⁡(−12n)vol(E0),\mathrm{vol}(\mathcal E)\le\exp\Big(-\frac1{2n}\Big)\mathrm{vol}(\mathcal E_0),vol(E)≤exp(−2n1​)vol(E0​),

and for n≥2n\ge2n≥2 the explicit ellipsoid (2.5)–(2.6) works. 3. The remark before Theorem 2.4 (p. 250): a point of X\mathcal XX can leave the current ellipsoid only at a step with ct∈Xc_t\in\mathcal Xct​∈X, and then its value exceeds f(ct)f(c_t)f(ct​). 4. Two steps reused from Theorem 2.1 (pp. 246–247): vol(Xε)=εnvol(X)\mathrm{vol}(\mathcal X_\varepsilon)=\varepsilon^n\mathrm{vol}(\mathcal X)vol(Xε​)=εnvol(X) for Xε=(1−ε)x∗+εX\mathcal X_\varepsilon=(1-\varepsilon)x^*+\varepsilon\mathcal XXε​=(1−ε)x∗+εX, and f≤f(x∗)+2εBf\le f(x^*)+2\varepsilon Bf≤f(x∗)+2εB on Xε\mathcal X_\varepsilonXε​.

Significance

Theorem 2.4 bounds the oracle complexity of the ellipsoid method: accuracy ε\varepsilonε needs O(n2log⁡(1/ε))O(n^2\log(1/\varepsilon))O(n2log(1/ε)) oracle calls. Each step costs O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) arithmetic operations plus one oracle call. With the separation oracles of linear and semidefinite programs this gives polynomial overall complexity (p. 250). The rate depends on the instance only through log⁡(R/r)\log(R/r)log(R/r) and BBB, so the method needs no smoothness and no strong convexity. Lemma 2.3 is also the geometric step of the ellipsoid method for linear feasibility.

The result has a textbook proof. The work of this mission is to formalize it. The same update is published on the platform from Bertsimas and Tsitsiklis's Introduction to Linear Optimization (Theorem 8.1), with a proved volume factor of exp⁡(−1/(2(n+1)))\exp(-1/(2(n+1)))exp(−1/(2(n+1))). That factor is weaker than (2.4)'s exp⁡(−1/(2n))\exp(-1/(2n))exp(−1/(2n)) and does not give Theorem 2.4's constant. The sharper factor and the optimization version of the method (subgradient cuts, the output rule and the value bound) are not formalized on the platform.

Difficulty

There are two difficulties: Lemma 2.3 with the sharp constant, and the bookkeeping that turns per-step volume decrease into a value bound.

For the lemma, the volume of the explicit ellipsoid is (n/n2−1)n(n−1)/(n+1)\big(n/\sqrt{n^2-1}\big)^n\sqrt{(n-1)/(n+1)}(n/n2−1​)n(n−1)/(n+1)​ times that of E0\mathcal E_0E0​. Bounding it by exp⁡(−1/(2n))\exp(-1/(2n))exp(−1/(2n)) rather than by the cruder exp⁡(−1/(2(n+1)))\exp(-1/(2(n+1)))exp(−1/(2(n+1))) needs the scalar inequality of milestone 1 for every n≥2n\ge2n≥2. The reduction from a general ellipsoid to the unit ball also needs determinants under an affine map.

For the theorem, the obvious argument compares vol(Xε)\mathrm{vol}(\mathcal X_\varepsilon)vol(Xε​) with vol(Et)\mathrm{vol}(\mathcal E_t)vol(Et​). This only works if no cut removes an optimal point and if every removed point of X\mathcal XX is worse than a queried center. At the threshold t=2n2log⁡(R/r)t=2n^2\log(R/r)t=2n2log(R/r) the admissible ε\varepsilonε is exactly 111, so a non-strict volume bound alone does not close the argument there.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is Fin n → ℝ with Lebesgue measure, as in the reused Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis ellipsoid definitions (LinearOptimization.ellipsoid, ellipsoidUpdateCenter, ellipsoidUpdateMatrix, IsSubgradientOn).
  • Euclidean balls are written with the dot product, because Mathlib's norm on Fin n → ℝ is the sup norm.
  • The method is a run predicate, IsEllipsoidRun. Every theorem holds for every admissible oracle answer. The update is the published one with a=−wta=-w_ta=−wt​.
  • If an oracle answer is wt=0w_t=0wt​=0 (possible only at a minimizer ct∈Xc_t\in\mathcal Xct​∈X), the run stops. The page's update would divide by zero there.

Conventions and hypotheses added to the page:

  1. n≥2n\ge2n≥2, because the update (2.6) is defined only for n≥2n\ge2n≥2.
  2. A minimizer x∗x^*x∗ exists (the book's standing assumption, p. 242).
  3. The output ranges over the queried centers c0,…,ct−1c_0,\dots,c_{t-1}c0​,…,ct−1​. The page writes {c1,…,ct}\{c_1,\dots,c_t\}{c1​,…,ct​}, but ctc_tct​ has not been cut yet and c0c_0c0​ has.
  4. t≥1t\ge1t≥1, because at R=rR=rR=r and t=0t=0t=0 no center has been queried.

A run predicate whose separation branch does not require X⊂{x:(x−ct)⊤wt≤0}\mathcal X\subset\{x:(x-c_t)^\top w_t\le0\}X⊂{x:(x−ct​)⊤wt​≤0}, or that accepts wt=0w_t=0wt​=0 with an update, would make the statements false or vacuous. Both are excluded.

Lemma 2.3's volume factor is exp⁡(−1/(2n))\exp(-1/(2n))exp(−1/(2n)). The weaker published factor does not prove that milestone. The published theorem LinearOptimization.ellipsoid_update_halfspace_volume is included as a reference: it supplies the containment (2.3) and positive definiteness. Contributions are welcome on every milestone. A determinant formula for the volume of an ellipsoid would be reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 8(3–4):231–358, 2015. arXiv:1405.4980v2
  • N. Z. Shor, Cut-off method with space extension in convex programming problems, Cybernetics 13:94–96, 1977. doi:10.1007/BF01071394
  • D. B. Yudin and A. S. Nemirovski, Informational complexity and efficient methods for the solution of convex extremal problems, Matekon 13(2):22–45, 1976.
  • L. G. Khachiyan, A polynomial algorithm in linear programming, Soviet Mathematics Doklady 20:191–194, 1979.
  • M. Grötschel, L. Lovász and A. Schrijver, The ellipsoid method and its consequences in combinatorial optimization, Combinatorica 1:169–197, 1981. doi:10.1007/BF02579273
  • D. Bertsimas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997 (Theorem 8.1).
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