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Operations Research

2,686 missions · 1,428 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

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ProbabilityReinforcement LearningStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Asynchronous Stochastic Approximation and Q-Learning 1: Bounded Asynchronous Stochastic Approximation Iterates Converge with Probability 1 to the Unique Fixed Point of a Monotone Continuous MapResearch Paper

Motivation

Q-learning (Watkins, 1989) learns the optimal action values of a Markov decision problem from sampled transitions, without a model of the transition probabilities. At each step only one state–action pair is updated, with a noisy estimate of the Bellman operator evaluated at possibly outdated values of the other pairs. Watkins and Dayan (1992) gave a first convergence proof for discounted problems. Tsitsiklis (1994) and, independently, Jaakkola, Jordan and Singh (1994) placed Q-learning inside the theory of stochastic approximation: the Robbins–Monro scheme of iterating x←x+α (F(x)−x+w)x \leftarrow x + \alpha\,(F(x) - x + w)x←x+α(F(x)−x+w) with decreasing stepsizes and zero-mean noise, here in an asynchronous form where different components are updated at different times using delayed information, as in the distributed iterations of Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis (1989).

Tsitsiklis's paper proves convergence with probability 1 under two structural hypotheses on the iteration mapping FFF: a weighted maximum-norm contraction (Theorem 3), which covers discounted Q-learning, and monotonicity (Theorem 2), which covers undiscounted (stochastic shortest path) problems, whose Bellman operator is monotone but in general not a contraction. This mission formalizes the monotone case.

Setting

A mapping F:Rn→RnF:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nF:Rn→Rn with components F1,…,FnF_1,\dots,F_nF1​,…,Fn​ is given, and the goal is to solve F(x)=xF(x)=xF(x)=x. Time is discrete, t=0,1,2,…t=0,1,2,\dotst=0,1,2,…. The iterate x(t)∈Rnx(t)\in\mathbb R^nx(t)∈Rn evolves by

xi(t+1)=xi(t)+αi(t)(Fi(xi(t))−xi(t)+wi(t)),xi(t)=(x1(τ1i(t)),…,xn(τni(t))),x_i(t+1)=x_i(t)+\alpha_i(t)\bigl(F_i(x^i(t))-x_i(t)+w_i(t)\bigr),\qquad x^i(t)=\bigl(x_1(\tau^i_1(t)),\dots,x_n(\tau^i_n(t))\bigr),xi​(t+1)=xi​(t)+αi​(t)(Fi​(xi(t))−xi​(t)+wi​(t)),xi(t)=(x1​(τ1i​(t)),…,xn​(τni​(t))),

where αi(t)∈[0,1]\alpha_i(t)\in[0,1]αi​(t)∈[0,1] is a stepsize (αi(t)=0\alpha_i(t)=0αi​(t)=0 when component iii is not updated), wi(t)w_i(t)wi​(t) is noise, and 0≤τji(t)≤t0\le\tau^i_j(t)\le t0≤τji​(t)≤t are delays: the update of component iii may read component jjj as it was at an earlier time. All quantities are random variables on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) with an increasing sequence of σ-fields {F(t)}\{\mathcal F(t)\}{F(t)}, the history up to the choice of the stepsizes at time ttt.

Vector inequalities are componentwise and eee is the vector of ones. The paper's assumptions are:

  • Assumption 1: every delay index τji(t)\tau^i_j(t)τji​(t) tends to infinity, with probability 1.
  • Assumption 2: x(0)x(0)x(0), αi(t)\alpha_i(t)αi​(t), τji(t)\tau^i_j(t)τji​(t) are F(t)\mathcal F(t)F(t)-measurable and wi(t)w_i(t)wi​(t) is F(t+1)\mathcal F(t+1)F(t+1)-measurable; E[wi(t)∣F(t)]=0E[w_i(t)\mid\mathcal F(t)]=0E[wi​(t)∣F(t)]=0; and E[wi2(t)∣F(t)]≤A+Bmax⁡jmax⁡τ≤t∣xj(τ)∣2E[w_i^2(t)\mid\mathcal F(t)]\le A+B\max_j\max_{\tau\le t}|x_j(\tau)|^2E[wi2​(t)∣F(t)]≤A+Bmaxj​maxτ≤t​∣xj​(τ)∣2 for deterministic constants A,BA,BA,B.
  • Assumption 3: ∑tαi(t)=∞\sum_t\alpha_i(t)=\infty∑t​αi​(t)=∞ and ∑tαi2(t)≤C\sum_t\alpha_i^2(t)\le C∑t​αi2​(t)≤C with probability 1, for a deterministic CCC.
  • Assumption 4: FFF is monotone (x≤y⇒F(x)≤F(y)x\le y\Rightarrow F(x)\le F(y)x≤y⇒F(x)≤F(y)), continuous, has a unique fixed point x∗x^*x∗, and F(x)−re≤F(x−re)≤F(x+re)≤F(x)+reF(x)-re\le F(x-re)\le F(x+re)\le F(x)+reF(x)−re≤F(x−re)≤F(x+re)≤F(x)+re for all xxx and all r>0r>0r>0.

In Lean the algorithm is the structure AsyncSA.Monotone.Algorithm with fields F, x, α, w, τ, and the assumptions are Assumption1–Assumption4.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 189)

Under Assumptions 1–4, if x(t)x(t)x(t) is bounded with probability 1, then

lim⁡t→∞x(t)=x∗with probability 1.\lim_{t\to\infty}x(t)=x^*\qquad\text{with probability 1.}t→∞lim​x(t)=x∗with probability 1.

Boundedness is a hypothesis, not a conclusion: for monotone FFF it must be established separately (the paper does so for Q-learning in §7). The bound may differ between sample paths.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 190): for a scalar recursion W(t+1)=(1−α(t))W(t)+α(t)w(t)W(t+1)=(1-\alpha(t))W(t)+\alpha(t)w(t)W(t+1)=(1−α(t))W(t)+α(t)w(t) with martingale-difference noise whose conditional variance is bounded by an a.s. bounded B(t)B(t)B(t), and stepsizes with ∑α=∞\sum\alpha=\infty∑α=∞, ∑α2≤C\sum\alpha^2\le C∑α2≤C, W(t)→0W(t)\to0W(t)→0 with probability 1.
  2. Lemma 4 (p. 193): the sequences Uk+1=(Uk+F(Uk))/2U^{k+1}=(U^k+F(U^k))/2Uk+1=(Uk+F(Uk))/2, U0=x∗+reU^0=x^*+reU0=x∗+re, and Lk+1=(Lk+F(Lk))/2L^{k+1}=(L^k+F(L^k))/2Lk+1=(Lk+F(Lk))/2, L0=x∗−reL^0=x^*-reL0=x∗−re, satisfy F(Uk)≤Uk+1≤UkF(U^k)\le U^{k+1}\le U^kF(Uk)≤Uk+1≤Uk and F(Lk)≥Lk+1≥LkF(L^k)\ge L^{k+1}\ge L^kF(Lk)≥Lk+1≥Lk.
  3. Lemma 5 (p. 193): Uk→x∗U^k\to x^*Uk→x∗ and Lk→x∗L^k\to x^*Lk→x∗.
  4. Lemma 6 (p. 194): on a sample path where Lk≤x(t)≤UkL^k\le x(t)\le U^kLk≤x(t)≤Uk from time tkt_ktk​ on and all delays exceed tkt_ktk​ from time tk′t'_ktk′​ on, xi(t)≤Xi(t)+Wi(t;tk′)x_i(t)\le X_i(t)+W_i(t;t'_k)xi​(t)≤Xi​(t)+Wi​(t;tk′​), where XiX_iXi​ relaxes from UikU^k_iUik​ towards Fi(Uk)F_i(U^k)Fi​(Uk) and Wi(t;tk′)W_i(t;t'_k)Wi​(t;tk′​) accumulates the noise from tk′t'_ktk′​.
  5. Lemma 7 (p. 195): under the choices of δk\delta_kδk​ and tk′′t''_ktk′′​ made on pp. 194–195, xi(t)≤Uik+1x_i(t)\le U^{k+1}_ixi​(t)≤Uik+1​ for all t≥tk′′t\ge t''_kt≥tk′′​.

Significance

Theorem 2 is the convergence result for asynchronous stochastic approximation driven by a monotone mapping whose fixed point is unique. Its main application is Q-learning for stochastic shortest path problems with improper policies excluded, and more generally any learning scheme whose expected update is a monotone, sup-norm nonexpansive operator in the sense of (7) (dynamic programming operators are the standard examples). The same pattern, an a.s. bounded iterate plus a monotone mean map, recurs in later analyses of asynchronous and distributed learning algorithms.

The result has a published proof but, as far as the platform's catalog shows, no machine-checked one: there is no formalized asynchronous stochastic approximation theorem, and no formal Lemma 1 for random stepsizes and random conditional-variance bounds. A complete development provides the scalar almost-sure convergence lemma, the deterministic envelope argument for monotone maps, and the pathwise comparison steps, each of which is reusable.

Difficulty

The noise has a conditional variance that grows with the iterate, so it is neither bounded nor integrable a priori, and the stepsizes are random and chosen adaptively. The classical deterministic-bound argument for Lemma 1 does not apply directly. The iteration is not a contraction in any norm, so there is no Lyapunov function giving a geometric decrease, and the delays mean that the mapping is evaluated at a vector no single time index describes. Convergence has to be propagated from the deterministic envelopes Uk,LkU^k,L^kUk,Lk to the random iterate through a sequence of random times, one envelope at a time, and each step requires the noise accumulated after a random time to be small uniformly in the remaining horizon.

Formalization scope

  • Components are Fin n (0-based); vectors are Fin n → ℝ with the componentwise order, so Monotone F is Assumption 4(a) exactly. rerere is r • 1.
  • The update is stated in the paper's unified form for every ttt, with αi(t)=0\alpha_i(t)=0αi​(t)=0 off the update times; the update sets TiT^iTi are not represented. The paper sets τji(t)=t\tau^i_j(t)=tτji​(t)=t off TiT^iTi; the formalization leaves τji(t)\tau^i_j(t)τji​(t) free there, which is more general. αi(t)∈[0,1]\alpha_i(t)\in[0,1]αi​(t)∈[0,1] and τji(t)≤t\tau^i_j(t)\le tτji​(t)≤t hold on every sample path.
  • Conditional expectations are generalized, written with set integrals (CondMeanZero, CondSqLe): ∫Sw dP=0\int_S w\,dP=0∫S​wdP=0 for every F(t)\mathcal F(t)F(t)-set SSS on which www is integrable, and ∫Sw2 dP≤∫Sg+ dP\int_S w^2\,dP\le\int_S g^+\,dP∫S​w2dP≤∫S​g+dP in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. Mathlib's condExp is not used: it is 000 for non-integrable functions and would make the noise assumptions vacuous.
  • Series conditions use partial sums (divergence to +∞+\infty+∞; every partial sum at most CCC), never tsum, which is 000 for non-summable sequences. The constants A,B,CA,B,CA,B,C are chosen before the almost-sure quantifier; the bound on x(t)x(t)x(t) is chosen after it.
  • The paper treats x(t)x(t)x(t) as determined by F(t)\mathcal F(t)F(t) and uses this implicitly; Theorem 2 assumes it explicitly (Adapted).
  • Lemma 1 leaves W(0)W(0)W(0) unconstrained, as on the page. Lemmas 4 and 5 hold for every r>0r>0r>0. Lemmas 6 and 7 are pathwise: they fix one sample path and take the induction's objects (kkk, tkt_ktk​, tk′t'_ktk′​, tk′′t''_ktk′′​, XXX, δk\delta_kδk​) as given with exactly the properties the paper has established for them; they are not existential statements about these times.
  • A trivializing formalization (junk conditional expectations, tsum for the series, a deterministic bound on x(t)x(t)x(t), or a second unrelated x∗x^*x∗) is ruled out by the choices above.

Contributions welcome: a general almost-sure convergence theorem for Robbins–Monro recursions with generalized conditional moments (Lemma 1 and its tail version W(t;t0)W(t;t_0)W(t;t0​)), and lemmas on monotone maps satisfying (7).

Selected references

  • J. N. Tsitsiklis, Asynchronous Stochastic Approximation and Q-Learning, Machine Learning 16 (1994) 185–202. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1022689125041
  • C. J. C. H. Watkins and P. Dayan, Q-learning, Machine Learning 8 (1992) 279–292. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992698
  • T. Jaakkola, M. I. Jordan and S. P. Singh, On the Convergence of Stochastic Iterative Dynamic Programming Algorithms, Neural Computation 6 (1994) 1185–1201. https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1994.6.6.1185
  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Parallel and Distributed Computation: Numerical Methods, Prentice Hall, 1989. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/3719
  • B. T. Poljak and Ya. Z. Tsypkin, Pseudogradient adaptation and training algorithms, Automation and Remote Control 34 (1973) 377–397.
  • H. Robbins and S. Monro, A Stochastic Approximation Method, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22 (1951) 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
7 thms1 active userReviewed
Dynamic ProgrammingProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimal Inventory Policies for Assembly Systems Under Random Demands 1: In Long-Run Balance, an Assembly System Has the Optimal Policies of an Equivalent Series SystemResearch Paper

Motivation

An assembly system must coordinate the production of components that meet at a common downstream item. A shortage of any required component can delay the finished product, while producing a component too early incurs holding cost. In Rosling's 1989 study, the central question is whether optimal decisions for such a tree can be understood using the simpler theory of a pure series inventory system. The paper proves an equivalence when the initial inventory positions are in a condition it calls long-run balance. That equivalence gives a precise route from an assembly network to serial inventory control without discarding its lead times or its discounted costs.

Setting

There are items 1,…,N1,\ldots,N1,…,N in a tree rooted at end item 111. Every item i>1i>1i>1 has one immediate successor s(i)<is(i)<is(i)<i; one unit of each component is needed for an end unit. Let lil_ili​ be the production or delivery lead time of item iii. The total lead time MiM_iMi​ is the sum of lead times on the path from iii to the end item, with M0=0M_0=0M0​=0, and the equivalent lead time is Li=Mi−Mi−1L_i=M_i-M_{i-1}Li​=Mi​−Mi−1​. Items are indexed so that MiM_iMi​ is nondecreasing. These definitions and indexing conditions are in §§1–2 of the paper.

At the beginning of each period ttt, outstanding orders arrive, the controller chooses the post-order echelon position YitY_{it}Yit​, and then demand ξt\xi_tξt​ for the end item occurs. The pre-order position is XitX_{it}Xit​, while XktlX^l_{kt}Xktl​ is the position of predecessor kkk from orders old enough to arrive after its lead time. A decision is feasible when Xit≤Yit≤XktlX_{it}\le Y_{it}\le X^l_{kt}Xit​≤Yit​≤Xktl​ for every immediate predecessor kkk of iii. Decisions depend only on demands already observed. The demands are independent and identically distributed, nonnegative, and have a density and a finite positive mean.

The discounted Problem P charges echelon holding cost hih_ihi​ for item iii and a shortage coefficient p+H1p+H_1p+H1​ for the end item. Its discount factor is α\alphaα. The objective is the expectation of the sum over periods of the holding charges and the expected end-item shortfall over l1+1l_1+1l1​+1 demands, with a constant independent of the policy. The paper's Assumption requires every hi>0h_i>0hi​>0 and ∑ihiα−Ms(i)<p+H1\sum_i h_i\alpha^{-M_{s(i)}}<p+H_1∑i​hi​α−Ms(i)​<p+H1​. The system is in long-run balance in period ttt when positions of adjacent items, compared at the same age relative to total lead time, satisfy equation (5):

XitMi−μ≤Xi+1,tMi+1−μ(1≤i<N, 0≤μ<Mi).X^{M_i-\mu}_{it}\le X^{M_{i+1}-\mu}_{i+1,t} \quad(1\le i<N,\ 0\le\mu<M_i).XitMi​−μ​≤Xi+1,tMi+1​−μ​(1≤i<N, 0≤μ<Mi​).

Formalization targets

Equivalent series optimal policies

The equivalent series system has successor i−1i-1i−1, lead time LiL_iLi​, the same demand law and shortage coefficient, and holding coefficient hiαli−Lih_i\alpha^{l_i-L_i}hi​αli​−Li​. Theorem 2 states that its optimal policies and those of the assembly system agree when the assembly system is initially in long-run balance. In the formal statement, the first inclusion is unconditional; the reverse inclusion is conditional on Problem P attaining an optimum:

Opt⁡(P)⊆Opt⁡(Pseries),Opt⁡(P)≠∅⟹Opt⁡(Pseries)⊆Opt⁡(P).\operatorname{Opt}(P)\subseteq\operatorname{Opt}(P_{\mathrm{series}}), \qquad \operatorname{Opt}(P)\ne\varnothing \Longrightarrow \operatorname{Opt}(P_{\mathrm{series}})\subseteq\operatorname{Opt}(P).Opt(P)⊆Opt(Pseries​),Opt(P)=∅⟹Opt(Pseries​)⊆Opt(P).

The target includes Lemmas 1 and 2, Theorem 1, Corollary 1, and the cost identity displayed in the proof of Theorem 2. Lemma 1 limits excess production, Lemma 2 gives a production lower bound, Theorem 1 describes when long-run balance is reached and preserved, and Corollary 1 uses the adjacent series position in that result. Each is stated at the strength given on pp. 568–569 of the paper.

Significance

Theorem 2 identifies the same policy choices in a tree assembly problem and a series problem whose stages have modified lead times and holding coefficients. It makes the serial interpretation exact for initially balanced systems and supports the paper's later discussion of series-system calculations. The statement is an equivalence of optimal policies, rather than just an equality of numerical values, so both the feasible-policy comparison and the cost comparison matter.

The theorem and its supporting results are proved in the 1989 paper; they have not been machine-checked in this development. A complete formalization would supply a reusable account of finite-history inventory policies, random demand histories, echelon positions, and extended-real discounted objectives. The published serial model SupplyChainTheory_multiechelon represents a different stage-indexed system; the assembly tree, its initial pipeline, and Problem P still need their own definitions. The paper's order-up-to Corollary 2 relies on an extension of earlier serial results and is outside this target.

Difficulty

The first natural comparison is to replace the tree's predecessor constraints with adjacent-item constraints. Those feasible sets are not equal for arbitrary states: positions at different total lead times can cross, and initial orders placed before period 1 affect the earliest periods. Long-run balance controls the necessary position comparisons, but equation (5) is empty for an item with Mi=0M_i=0Mi​=0. The printed proof also uses a middle inequality outside the range covered by equation (5) when an equivalent lead time vanishes. A faithful statement must account for these boundary cases without defining the series problem through the assembly problem's optimal policies.

Formalization scope

Items use the paper's indices 1,…,N1,\ldots,N1,…,N, with N≥1N\ge1N≥1 and s(1)=0s(1)=0s(1)=0. Lean period kkk is paper period t=k+1t=k+1t=k+1; the policy sees exactly kkk earlier demands. The common demand law ν\nuν is a probability measure on the reals, concentrated on nonnegative values, absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure, integrable, and of positive mean. The law of demand over l1+1l_1+1l1​+1 periods is the pushforward of a finite product law under summation. Feasibility and the optimal-policy bounds are almost-sure statements, so changes on null histories do not alter them. Pathwise balance results quantify over one nonnegative demand path.

Initial positions include the orders placed before period 1. Their ages are monotone and obey the predecessor constraints inherited from that past. In addition to the paper's initial long-run balance, a separate boundary condition carries the missing comparison when Mi=0M_i=0Mi​=0. Discounting is restricted to 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1: at α=1\alpha=1α=1 the paper specifies average cost through a separate limiting prescription. The formal cost lies in the extended reals and is computed from its positive and negative parts; under the Assumption, feasible policies have a finite negative part. The policy-independent constant of equation (2) is omitted from both systems. “Optimal” means feasible and no more costly than every feasible policy, never a default value of an empty infimum.

The series system is built as a second instance of the same model, using the paper's successor, lead-time, and holding-coefficient transformations. Its cost and constraint (3) are then computed by the shared definitions. Contributions toward the lead-time identities, almost-sure policy comparisons, finite-time balance theorem, and extended-real cost identity are all part of the scope.

Selected references

  • Kaj Rosling, Optimal Inventory Policies for Assembly Systems under Random Demands, Operations Research 37(4):565–579, 1989. DOI: 10.1287/opre.37.4.565.
10 thms1 active userReviewed
Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov Chain·Captain: mikedeng1

Discrete Dynamic Programming with Sensitive Discount Optimality Criteria 1: If Every Stationary Policy Is Transient, Some Stationary Policy Maximizes the Expected Total Reward over All PoliciesResearch Paper

Motivation

A finite dynamic program with total reward is the basic model of sequential decision making without discounting: a system moves among finitely many states, a decision maker picks an action in each state, collects a reward, and the system moves on or stops. The quantity of interest is the expected total reward of a policy, summed over the whole (possibly infinite) horizon, and the question is whether a simple policy — one that uses the same decision rule at every step — is as good as any other.

For discounted or strictly substochastic models the answer has long been known. Shapley (1953) showed by successive approximations that, when every transition matrix has row sums strictly below one, some stationary policy maximizes the total reward among stationary policies; Howard (1960) gave the policy-improvement method for finding one; Blackwell (1962) showed that the maximum over all policies is attained among stationary ones. All of these rest on a contraction hypothesis ∥P(f)∥<1\|P(f)\|<1∥P(f)∥<1.

Veinott's 1969 paper (DOI 10.1214/aoms/1177697379), best known for its sensitive discount optimality criteria, opens in §2 by proving these classical results under the much weaker hypothesis that each stationary policy is transient, and without requiring the transition weights to be substochastic at all. Partial results in this direction were due to Eaton and Zadeh, Derman, and Denardo. The total-reward model without a contraction assumption covers stopping problems, shortest-path type problems and models in which "transition weights" are not probabilities (growth factors, populations), which is why the generalized model is of independent interest.

Setting

There are S≥1S\ge 1S≥1 states 1,…,S1,\dots,S1,…,S. In state sss a finite nonempty set AsA_sAs​ of actions is available; taking action aaa earns the real reward r(s,a)r(s,a)r(s,a) and assigns the transition weight p(t∣s,a)≥0p(t\mid s,a)\ge 0p(t∣s,a)≥0 to each state ttt. No bound on ∑tp(t∣s,a)\sum_t p(t\mid s,a)∑t​p(t∣s,a) is assumed. The set of decision rules is F=×s=1SAsF=\times_{s=1}^S A_sF=×s=1S​As​; for f∈Ff\in Ff∈F, r(f)r(f)r(f) is the vector (r(s,f(s)))s(r(s,f(s)))_s(r(s,f(s)))s​ and P(f)P(f)P(f) the matrix (p(t∣s,f(s)))s,t(p(t\mid s,f(s)))_{s,t}(p(t∣s,f(s)))s,t​.

A policy is a sequence π=(f1,f2,… )\pi=(f_1,f_2,\dots)π=(f1​,f2​,…) of decision rules. The policy f∞=(f,f,… )f^\infty=(f,f,\dots)f∞=(f,f,…) is stationary; (g,π)=(g,f1,f2,… )(g,\pi)=(g,f_1,f_2,\dots)(g,π)=(g,f1​,f2​,…) uses ggg first and then follows π\piπ; Nπ{}^N\piNπ repeats the first NNN rules of π\piπ forever and is called periodic. Let P0(π)=IP^0(\pi)=IP0(π)=I and PN(π)=P(f1)⋯P(fN)P^N(\pi)=P(f_1)\cdots P(f_N)PN(π)=P(f1​)⋯P(fN​). The policy π\piπ is transient if ∑N≥0PN(π)\sum_{N\ge0}P^N(\pi)∑N≥0​PN(π) converges, and then its vector of total returns is

V(π)=∑N=0∞PN(π) r(fN+1).V(\pi)=\sum_{N=0}^\infty P^N(\pi)\,r(f_{N+1}).V(π)=N=0∑∞​PN(π)r(fN+1​).

The one-step comparison v(g,π∗)=V(g,π∗)−V(π∗)v(g,\pi^*)=V(g,\pi^*)-V(\pi^*)v(g,π∗)=V(g,π∗)−V(π∗) measures the gain from deviating to ggg for one step. Vectors are compared coordinatewise, and x>yx>yx>y means x≥yx\ge yx≥y, x≠yx\ne yx=y. For a matrix BBB, ∥B∥=max⁡i∑j∣bij∣\|B\|=\max_i\sum_j|b_{ij}|∥B∥=maxi​∑j​∣bij​∣ and ∣σ(B)∣|\sigma(B)|∣σ(B)∣ is its spectral radius. Finally V∗=max⁡fV(f∞)V^*=\max_f V(f^\infty)V∗=maxf​V(f∞) and ℜV=max⁡g[r(g)+P(g)V]\Re V=\max_g[r(g)+P(g)V]ℜV=maxg​[r(g)+P(g)V], both coordinatewise.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 6

If every stationary policy is transient, there is f∈Ff\in Ff∈F with

V(π)≤V(f∞)for every policy π.V(\pi)\le V(f^\infty)\qquad\text{for every policy }\pi.V(π)≤V(f∞)for every policy π.

The hypothesis concerns only the finitely many stationary policies; the conclusion compares against every policy, stationary or not.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1. For transient π=(gi)\pi=(g_i)π=(gi​) and π∗\pi^*π∗: V(π)−V(π∗)=∑NPN(π) v(gN+1,π∗)V(\pi)-V(\pi^*)=\sum_N P^N(\pi)\,v(g_{N+1},\pi^*)V(π)−V(π∗)=∑N​PN(π)v(gN+1​,π∗), and V(g∞)−V(π∗)=[I−P(g)]−1v(g,π∗)V(g^\infty)-V(\pi^*)=[I-P(g)]^{-1}v(g,\pi^*)V(g∞)−V(π∗)=[I−P(g)]−1v(g,π∗).
  2. Lemma 2. If every stationary policy is transient and f∈Ff\in Ff∈F: either v(g,f∞)>0v(g,f^\infty)>0v(g,f∞)>0 for some ggg, and then V(g∞)>V(f∞)V(g^\infty)>V(f^\infty)V(g∞)>V(f∞), or v(g,f∞)≤0v(g,f^\infty)\le0v(g,f∞)≤0 for all ggg, which holds iff f∞f^\inftyf∞ is best among stationary policies.
  3. Corollary 1. If every stationary policy is transient, some stationary policy maximizes VVV over the stationary policies.
  4. Corollary 2. Under the same hypothesis, V∗V^*V∗ is the unique fixed point of ℜ\Reℜ.
  5. Lemma 3 (Hoffman). For every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and every program there is a positively similar program with max⁡g∥P~(g)∥<max⁡g∣σ(P(g))∣+ε\max_g\|\tilde P(g)\|<\max_g|\sigma(P(g))|+\varepsilonmaxg​∥P~(g)∥<maxg​∣σ(P(g))∣+ε.
  6. Corollary 4, read with "every" and with "some": stationary, periodic and arbitrary policies are transient together, and this is equivalent to ∥PN(π)∥<1\|P^N(\pi)\|<1∥PN(π)∥<1 for some N≥1N\ge1N≥1; with ∥P(g)∥≤1\|P(g)\|\le1∥P(g)∥≤1 also to ∥PS(π)∥<1\|P^S(\pi)\|<1∥PS(π)∥<1.
  7. Theorem 1. If every stationary policy is transient and π∗\pi^*π∗ is any policy: v(g,π∗)>0v(g,\pi^*)>0v(g,π∗)>0 implies V(g∞)>V(π∗)V(g^\infty)>V(\pi^*)V(g∞)>V(π∗), and v(⋅,π∗)≤0v(\cdot,\pi^*)\le0v(⋅,π∗)≤0 iff V(π)≤V(π∗)V(\pi)\le V(\pi^*)V(π)≤V(π∗) for all π\piπ.

Significance

Corollary 6 is the existence half of the theory of total-reward Markov decision processes: it says that the search for an optimal policy can be restricted to the finite set of stationary policies, and, together with Corollary 2 and Theorem 1, that such a policy is characterized by the optimality equation ℜV=V\Re V=VℜV=V and by the absence of one-step improvements. Corollary 4, which the paper's introduction singles out as the section's main new result, shows that transience of the finitely many stationary policies already forces transience of every policy, uniformly; this is what makes V(π)V(\pi)V(π) well defined for all policies. Hoffman's Lemma 3 converts transience into a contraction in a rescaled norm, the device behind geometric convergence of value iteration (Corollary 3 of the paper).

On the formal side, Mathlib has matrices, summability and spectral radii but no total-reward decision model. These results are proved in the 1969 paper and are standard in the textbook literature on Markov decision processes; none of them has a machine-checked proof that we know of. Related platform items concern other models: the stochastic shortest path results of Bertsekas and Tsitsiklis (a cost model with a termination state, stochastic rows and an infinite-cost assumption on improper policies) and Blackwell's discounted model; neither covers nonnegative, non-substochastic weights.

Difficulty

Without a contraction, the standard argument — ℜ\Reℜ is a contraction, so it has a unique fixed point attained by a stationary policy — has nothing to start from: ∥P(g)∥\|P(g)\|∥P(g)∥ may exceed one for every ggg, and the transition weights need not be probabilities, so no probabilistic coupling or stopping-time argument applies directly. Transience of each stationary policy is a statement about finitely many matrix powers P(g)NP(g)^NP(g)N, whereas the goal concerns infinite products of different matrices P(f1)P(f2)⋯P(f_1)P(f_2)\cdotsP(f1​)P(f2​)⋯, whose behaviour is not controlled by the spectral radii of the factors in general. Passing from the stationary policies to all policies is the step where the obvious argument fails.

Formalization scope

The Lean development fixes these conventions.

  • States are a nonempty finite type St; actions are a family of nonempty finite types A : St → Type, so FFF is the dependent function type (s : St) → A s, not a common action set.
  • A program is a structure Program St A with real rewards and nonnegative weights; no row-sum bound is part of the structure. Only 5° of Corollary 4 assumes ∥P(g)∥≤1\|P(g)\|\le1∥P(g)∥≤1.
  • Policies are deterministic Markov sequences ℕ → F, indexed from 000: π 0 is f1f_1f1​. "All policies" means all such sequences.
  • Transience is Summable of N↦PN(π)N\mapsto P^N(\pi)N↦PN(π) in the entrywise topology. VVV is a tsum; it is the genuine series exactly for transient policies.
  • >>> on vectors is written out as ≥\ge≥ and ≠\ne=; ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the maximum absolute row sum, defined explicitly; ∣σ(⋅)∣|\sigma(\cdot)|∣σ(⋅)∣ is Mathlib's spectralRadius ℂ of the complexified matrix, valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • V∗V^*V∗ and ℜ\Reℜ are coordinatewise Finset.sup' over the finite set FFF.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal and Theorem 1 do not assume the competing policies transient (that would hide Corollary 4 inside the hypothesis), and since a non-summable tsum is 000, no statement compares VVV of a policy whose transience is not either assumed or implied by the hypotheses. The hypothesis "every stationary policy is transient" is satisfiable (for instance when all weights are zero) and is not implied by any row-sum bound.

A complete development needs Neumann series for nonnegative matrices, the Perron–Frobenius-type fact that a nonnegative matrix with spectral radius below one has a nonnegative (I−B)−1=∑BN(I-B)^{-1}=\sum B^N(I−B)−1=∑BN, and finite-dimensional spectral theory relating ∣σ(B)∣<1|\sigma(B)|<1∣σ(B)∣<1 to BN→0B^N\to0BN→0. These are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions of such lemmas, and of proofs of the milestones in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. F. Veinott, Jr., Discrete dynamic programming with sensitive discount optimality criteria, Ann. Math. Statist. 40(5):1635–1660, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177697379
  • D. Blackwell, Discrete dynamic programming, Ann. Math. Statist. 33(2):719–726, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704593
  • L. S. Shapley, Stochastic games, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. 39(10):1095–1100, 1953. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.39.10.1095
  • R. A. Howard, Dynamic Programming and Markov Processes, MIT Press, 1960.
  • E. V. Denardo, Contraction mappings in the theory underlying dynamic programming, SIAM Review 9(2):165–177, 1967. https://doi.org/10.1137/1009030
  • C. Derman, On sequential decisions and Markov chains, Management Sci. 9(1):16–24, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.1.16
12 thms1 active userReviewed
Algorithmic Game Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

The Fair Division of a Fixed Supply Among a Growing Population: WPO, Anonymity, Scale Invariance, Continuity and Population Monotonicity Characterize the Kalai–Smorodinsky SolutionResearch Paper

Motivation

Axiomatic bargaining theory asks which rule should divide a set of feasible utility vectors among a group of agents, and answers by listing properties a reasonable rule must have and determining the rules that have them. Nash's solution (Nash 1950) and the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution (Kalai and Smorodinsky 1975) are the two classical answers for a fixed set of two agents. Both characterizations take the number of agents as given.

In many division problems the group is not fixed: a supply of goods that was to be shared among some agents must later be shared among more. Thomson (1983) (Math. Oper. Res. 8:319–326) introduced a framework in which the population varies and a solution is a family of rules, one for each finite group. He proposed an axiom tying the rules for different groups together: when new agents arrive and the resources stay fixed, none of the original agents should gain (population monotonicity). The paper shows that this axiom, combined with four standard ones, singles out the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution.

Timeline.

  • 1950: Nash characterizes the Nash solution for two agents.
  • 1975: Kalai and Smorodinsky replace Nash's independence axiom by individual monotonicity and characterize their solution for two agents.
  • 1980: Roth (Internat. J. Game Theory 8, 129–132, cited as [5] in Thomson 1983) discusses the nnn-agent extension; Thomson notes that without comprehensiveness the nnn-agent solution can fail weak Pareto-optimality once n≥3n \ge 3n≥3.
  • 1983: Thomson characterizes the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution for a variable population by WPO, anonymity, scale invariance, continuity and population monotonicity. This is the result of this mission.

Setting

The agents are the natural numbers, and a group PPP is a nonempty finite set of agents. For a group PPP, RP\mathbb R^PRP is the space of real vectors indexed by PPP, and R+P\mathbb R^P_+R+P​ its nonnegative orthant. For vectors, x>yx > yx>y means xi>yix_i > y_ixi​>yi​ for every iii, x≧yx \geqq yx≧y means xi≥yix_i \ge y_ixi​≥yi​ for every iii, and x⩾yx \geqslant yx⩾y means x≧yx \geqq yx≧y with x≠yx \ne yx=y.

A division problem for PPP is a set S⊆R+PS \subseteq \mathbb R^P_+S⊆R+P​ that is compact, convex, contains a strictly positive vector, and is comprehensive: if x∈Sx \in Sx∈S and 0≦y≦x0 \leqq y \leqq x0≦y≦x, then y∈Sy \in Sy∈S. The class of these problems is ΣP\Sigma^PΣP. The subclass Σ~P\tilde\Sigma^PΣ~P also requires that whenever x,y∈Sx, y \in Sx,y∈S and y⩾xy \geqslant xy⩾x, some z∈Sz \in Sz∈S satisfies z>xz > xz>x.

A solution FFF chooses a point FP(S)∈SF^P(S) \in SFP(S)∈S for every group PPP and every S∈ΣPS \in \Sigma^PS∈ΣP. The ideal point of SSS is a(S)a(S)a(S), with ai(S)=max⁡x∈Sxia_i(S) = \max_{x \in S} x_iai​(S)=maxx∈S​xi​. The Kalai–Smorodinsky solution KKK selects the largest point of SSS on the segment from the origin to a(S)a(S)a(S):

KP(S)=t∗ a(S),t∗=max⁡{t≥0:t a(S)∈S}.K^P(S) = t^*\,a(S), \qquad t^* = \max\{t \ge 0 : t\,a(S) \in S\}.KP(S)=t∗a(S),t∗=max{t≥0:ta(S)∈S}.

The axioms on a solution FFF are:

  • WPO: no y∈Sy \in Sy∈S has y>FP(S)y > F^P(S)y>FP(S).
  • PO: no y∈Sy \in Sy∈S has y⩾FP(S)y \geqslant F^P(S)y⩾FP(S).
  • An: relabelling the agents along a bijection γ:P→P′\gamma : P \to P'γ:P→P′ relabels the outcome.
  • S. Inv: rescaling each agent's utility by a positive factor rescales the outcome the same way.
  • Cont: FP(Sk)→FP(S)F^P(S^k) \to F^P(S)FP(Sk)→FP(S) whenever Sk→SS^k \to SSk→S in the Hausdorff metric.
  • Mon: if P⊆QP \subseteq QP⊆Q, S∈ΣPS \in \Sigma^PS∈ΣP, T∈ΣQT \in \Sigma^QT∈ΣQ, and S=T∩RPS = T \cap \mathbb R^PS=T∩RP (the points of TTT that give zero to everyone outside PPP), then FiP(S)≥FiQ(T)F^P_i(S) \ge F^Q_i(T)FiP​(S)≥FiQ​(T) for every i∈Pi \in Pi∈P.

Formalization targets

Goal: the characterization (Theorems 1 and 3)

For every solution FFF,

F satisfies WPO, An, S. Inv, Cont, Mon  ⟺  FP(S)=KP(S)  for all finite P and all S∈ΣP.F \text{ satisfies WPO, An, S. Inv, Cont, Mon} \iff F^P(S) = K^P(S)\ \text{ for all finite } P \text{ and all } S \in \Sigma^P.F satisfies WPO, An, S. Inv, Cont, Mon⟺FP(S)=KP(S)  for all finite P and all S∈ΣP.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1. KKK is a solution and satisfies WPO, An, S. Inv, Cont and Mon.
  2. Theorem 2, ∣P∣=2|P| = 2∣P∣=2. Under WPO, An, S. Inv and Mon, FP(S)≧KP(S)F^P(S) \geqq K^P(S)FP(S)≧KP(S) for every two-agent group.
  3. The replica problem (appendix). If a(S)=ePa(S) = e^Pa(S)=eP, aeP∈Sa e^P \in SaeP∈S and i0∈Pi_0 \in Pi0​∈P, there are Q⊇PQ \supseteq PQ⊇P with ∣Q∣=3∣P∣−2|Q| = 3|P| - 2∣Q∣=3∣P∣−2 and T∈ΣQT \in \Sigma^QT∈ΣQ such that T∩RP=ST \cap \mathbb R^P = ST∩RP=S and aeQ∈Ta e^Q \in TaeQ∈T. In addition, every agent j∈Qj \in Qj∈Q faces, in some slice of TTT, a relabelled copy of SSS in which jjj holds agent i0i_0i0​'s position.
  4. Theorem 2. Under WPO, An, S. Inv and Mon, FP(S)≧KP(S)F^P(S) \geqq K^P(S)FP(S)≧KP(S) for every PPP and every S∈ΣPS \in \Sigma^PS∈ΣP.
  5. Corollary 1. Under the same four axioms, F=KF = KF=K on every Σ~P\tilde\Sigma^PΣ~P.
  6. Density. Every S∈ΣPS \in \Sigma^PS∈ΣP is a Hausdorff limit of problems in Σ~P\tilde\Sigma^PΣ~P.
  7. Theorem 3. WPO, An, S. Inv, Cont and Mon imply F=KF = KF=K on every ΣP\Sigma^PΣP.

Two further statements accompany the goal. Corollary 2 says that no solution satisfies PO, An, S. Inv and Mon. Lemma 1 says that some solution other than KKK satisfies WPO, An, S. Inv and Mon.

Significance

The theorem identifies the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution as the only rule, among those treating agents symmetrically and ignoring utility units, under which an arrival of new claimants never benefits existing ones. Corollary 2 shows that weak Pareto-optimality cannot be strengthened to Pareto-optimality. Lemma 1 shows that continuity cannot be dropped. Together they fix the logical boundary of the result. The replica construction of the appendix is a reusable device: a problem in which every agent of a larger group faces an exact copy of one agent's situation.

The result has been proved since 1983. It has not been machine-checked, and to our knowledge no proof assistant library contains bargaining problems, solutions or the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution. The mission produces these definitions and checks the full argument, including two steps the paper asserts without proof. One is that the replica problem has the required slices. The other is that problems satisfying condition (c) are dense in the Hausdorff metric. Formalizing the paper also exposes a printed slip: Theorem 2 is stated as an equivalence, but only one direction is true and proved, and only that direction is stated here.

Difficulty

Theorem 1 asks for routine but real convex analysis. Continuity of KKK requires the ideal point and the maximal scalar t∗t^*t∗ to move continuously with SSS in the Hausdorff metric. Comprehensiveness and the strictly positive vector are what make this work.

The substance is in Theorem 2. The first thought is to compare FP(S)F^P(S)FP(S) with KP(S)K^P(S)KP(S) inside SSS alone, using only WPO, An and S. Inv. That cannot work: Lemma 1 exhibits a solution satisfying all four axioms that differs from KKK, so the argument must leave the group PPP. The proof builds a larger problem TTT in which every member of an enlarged group faces a copy of the worst-treated agent's position. Mon then caps each agent's payoff in TTT, and WPO fails at the diagonal point aeQa e^QaeQ. Choosing the groups and bijections, and verifying that each slice of the convex comprehensive hull is exactly the intended copy, is the delicate part. The paper dismisses it as "clear".

Theorem 3 needs the density of Σ~P\tilde\Sigma^PΣ~P in ΣP\Sigma^PΣP. An approximating problem must lose every flat face on its weak Pareto boundary while staying compact, convex and comprehensive.

Formalization scope

Agents are ℕ, where the paper uses {1,2,… }\{1, 2, \dots\}{1,2,…}; this relabelling is harmless. Groups are nonempty: for the empty group, R∅\mathbb R^\emptysetR∅ is a point and WPO would hold for no solution, so the page's "finite subsets" is read as nonempty finite subsets. A group is a Finset ℕ, and RP\mathbb R^PRP is the function type P → ℝ, whose metric is the sup metric. Hausdorff convergence uses Mathlib's extended Hausdorff distance Metric.hausdorffEDist. Convergence in it is equivalent to Euclidean Hausdorff convergence, because the norms are equivalent.

A solution is a total function on all sets, together with the hypothesis IsSolution F that FP(S)∈SF^P(S) \in SFP(S)∈S for S∈ΣPS \in \Sigma^PS∈ΣP. Every axiom quantifies over problems in ΣP\Sigma^PΣP only, and "FFF is the Kalai–Smorodinsky solution" means agreement on every ΣP\Sigma^PΣP. Two formalizations of the goal would be trivial or false, and the statements here rule out both: one that equates FFF and KKK as functions, and one that drops IsSolution.

The remaining conventions are these.

  • KKK and the ideal point use sSup. Both suprema are attained on ΣP\Sigma^PΣP.
  • T∩RPT \cap \mathbb R^PT∩RP is the set of xxx whose zero-extension lies in TTT.
  • An quantifies over bijections P ≃ P'.
  • Scalings have strictly positive factors.

Deviation from the page. Theorem 2's printed "if" direction is false, so only "only if" is stated. For example, choosing (2,1,1)(2,1,1)(2,1,1) on cch{(2,1,1),(0,2,0),(0,0,2)}\mathrm{cch}\{(2,1,1),(0,2,0),(0,0,2)\}cch{(2,1,1),(0,2,0),(0,0,2)} and KKK elsewhere gives a solution with F≧KF \geqq KF≧K that violates S. Inv. The replica milestone states the appendix construction existentially, for a generic agent i0i_0i0​ instead of agent 1.

Out of scope: Theorem 4 (solutions defined on Σ~P\tilde\Sigma^PΣ~P only, whose necessity proof is a sketch), and the remarks of §4.2–§4.4.

A complete development needs Hausdorff-metric continuity of maxima over compact sets and the convex comprehensive hull. It also needs elementary facts about slices and relabellings of comprehensive sets. All of these are reusable for other bargaining and fair-division formalizations. Contributions are welcome on any milestone, and on lemmas about ΣP\Sigma^PΣP that several milestones share.

Selected references

  • W. Thomson, The fair division of a fixed supply among a growing population, Mathematics of Operations Research 8(3):319–326, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.3.319
  • E. Kalai and M. Smorodinsky, Other solutions to Nash's bargaining problem, Econometrica 43(3):513–518, 1975. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914280
  • J. F. Nash, The bargaining problem, Econometrica 18(2):155–162, 1950. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907266
  • A. E. Roth, An impossibility result for n-person games, International Journal of Game Theory 8:129–132, 1980 (as cited in Thomson 1983, reference [5]); see the reference list of https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.8.3.319
9 thms1 active userReviewed
ProbabilityStatisticsStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Estimating Variance From High, Low and Closing Prices I: S_t(S_t − X_t) + I_t(I_t − X_t) Has Mean σ²t for Brownian Motion With Any DriftResearch Paper

Motivation

The logarithm of a share price is commonly modelled as a Brownian motion with drift, Xt=σBt+ctX_t=\sigma B_t+ctXt​=σBt​+ct. The Black–Scholes option pricing formula needs the volatility σ\sigmaσ but not the drift ccc, so a practitioner must estimate σ2\sigma^2σ2 from data. Observing the whole path would give σ2\sigma^2σ2 exactly through its quadratic variation, but a real observer sees far less. The most readily available daily information is the opening and closing prices together with the day's high and low.

Parkinson (1980) proposed an estimator from the high–low range, and Garman and Klass (1980) found the minimum-variance estimator among a class of quadratic functions of high, low and close. Both were derived assuming zero drift, c=0c=0c=0, and the Garman–Klass estimator is biased when c≠0c\neq0c=0. Rogers and Satchell (Ann. Appl. Probab. 1 (1991) 504–512) proposed the estimator

σ^2≡S1(S1−X1)+I1(I1−X1),\hat\sigma^2\equiv S_1(S_1-X_1)+I_1(I_1-X_1),σ^2≡S1​(S1​−X1​)+I1​(I1​−X1​),

which is unbiased for every drift. Their estimator is now a standard tool in empirical finance for range-based volatility measurement.

Setting

Fix a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) carrying a standard Brownian motion B=(Bt)t≥0B=(B_t)_{t\ge0}B=(Bt​)t≥0​: B0=0B_0=0B0​=0, its increments over disjoint intervals are independent and Gaussian with variance equal to the length of the interval, and every sample path t↦Bt(ω)t\mapsto B_t(\omega)t↦Bt​(ω) is continuous. Fix a drift c∈Rc\in\mathbb Rc∈R and a volatility σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0. The log-price is

Xt=σBt+ct,t≥0,X_t=\sigma B_t+ct,\qquad t\ge0,Xt​=σBt​+ct,t≥0,

and, for a trading period [0,t][0,t][0,t], the running maximum and running minimum are

St=sup⁡0≤u≤tXu,It=inf⁡0≤u≤tXu.S_t=\sup_{0\le u\le t}X_u,\qquad I_t=\inf_{0\le u\le t}X_u.St​=0≤u≤tsup​Xu​,It​=0≤u≤tinf​Xu​.

Thus StS_tSt​, ItI_tIt​ and XtX_tXt​ are the high, the low and the close of the log-price (with the open normalized to X0=0X_0=0X0​=0). In Lean these are logPrice σ c B t ω, runMax σ c B t ω and runMin σ c B t ω in the namespace RogersSatchell.Unbiased.

The proof in the paper passes through an exponential time: a random variable TTT with P(T>x)=e−λxP(T>x)=e^{-\lambda x}P(T>x)=e−λx (rate λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, mean λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1), independent of the whole path BBB. For σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 the rates

α=c2+2λσ2−cσ2,β=c2+2λσ2+cσ2\alpha=\frac{\sqrt{c^2+2\lambda\sigma^2}-c}{\sigma^2},\qquad \beta=\frac{\sqrt{c^2+2\lambda\sigma^2}+c}{\sigma^2}α=σ2c2+2λσ2​−c​,β=σ2c2+2λσ2​+c​

appear, in Lean alpha σ c lam and beta σ c lam.

Formalization targets

Goal: display (3)

For every c∈Rc\in\mathbb Rc∈R, every σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0 and every t≥0t\ge0t≥0, St(St−Xt)+It(It−Xt)S_t(S_t-X_t)+I_t(I_t-X_t)St​(St​−Xt​)+It​(It​−Xt​) is integrable and

E[St(St−Xt)+It(It−Xt)]=σ2t.E\big[S_t(S_t-X_t)+I_t(I_t-X_t)\big]=\sigma^2t.E[St​(St​−Xt​)+It​(It​−Xt​)]=σ2t.

At t=1t=1t=1 this is the unbiasedness of σ^2\hat\sigma^2σ^2 of display (2). The statement quantifies over all drifts; the absence of ccc on the right-hand side is the content.

Milestones (Section 2, pp. 505–506)

  1. At an independent exponential time TTT of rate λ\lambdaλ: ST∼Exp⁡(α)S_T\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\alpha)ST​∼Exp(α) and −IT∼Exp⁡(β)-I_T\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\beta)−IT​∼Exp(β).
  2. The Wiener–Hopf splitting: STS_TST​ and ST−XTS_T-X_TST​−XT​ are independent, and ST−XTS_T-X_TST​−XT​ has the law of −IT-I_T−IT​.
  3. E[ST(ST−XT)]=1/(αβ)=σ2/2λE[S_T(S_T-X_T)]=1/(\alpha\beta)=\sigma^2/2\lambdaE[ST​(ST​−XT​)]=1/(αβ)=σ2/2λ.
  4. E[ST(ST−XT)]=∫0∞λe−λt E[St(St−Xt)] dtE[S_T(S_T-X_T)]=\int_0^\infty\lambda e^{-\lambda t}\,E[S_t(S_t-X_t)]\,dtE[ST​(ST​−XT​)]=∫0∞​λe−λtE[St​(St​−Xt​)]dt.
  5. E[St(St−Xt)]=σ2t/2E[S_t(S_t-X_t)]=\sigma^2t/2E[St​(St​−Xt​)]=σ2t/2 for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  6. E[It(It−Xt)]=σ2t/2E[I_t(I_t-X_t)]=\sigma^2t/2E[It​(It​−Xt​)]=σ2t/2 for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0.
  7. (off the goal's path) With Y1=S1(S1−X1)Y_1=S_1(S_1-X_1)Y1​=S1​(S1​−X1​), Y2=I1(I1−X1)Y_2=I_1(I_1-X_1)Y2​=I1​(I1​−X1​): EY12=EY22=σ4/2E Y_1^2=EY_2^2=\sigma^4/2EY12​=EY22​=σ4/2, E(Y1+Y2)2≤2σ4E(Y_1+Y_2)^2\le2\sigma^4E(Y1​+Y2​)2≤2σ4 and var⁡(σ^2)≤σ4\operatorname{var}(\hat\sigma^2)\le\sigma^4var(σ^2)≤σ4, for every drift ccc.

Significance

The goal certifies a drift-free unbiased volatility estimator built from four numbers per trading day. Because only σ2\sigma^2σ2 enters the Black–Scholes formula, an estimator whose mean does not depend on the nuisance parameter ccc is exactly what is needed. Milestone 7 complements this with a drift-uniform bound on its variance, var⁡(σ^2)≤σ4\operatorname{var}(\hat\sigma^2)\le\sigma^4var(σ^2)≤σ4, while the exact value 0.331σ40.331\sigma^40.331σ4 quoted in the paper is only available at c=0c=0c=0.

On the formalization side, the results are classical and proved; none is machine-checked as far as the platform's catalog shows. A complete development would give the first formal treatment of the joint law of the running maximum of drifted Brownian motion at an exponential time, of the Wiener–Hopf splitting at the maximum, and of a Laplace-inversion argument for a moment function of the time horizon. All three are reusable well beyond volatility estimation: in ruin theory, queueing (reflected Brownian motion), and the pricing of lookback and barrier options.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, computing E[St(St−Xt)]E[S_t(S_t-X_t)]E[St​(St​−Xt​)] directly from the joint density of (St,Xt)(S_t,X_t)(St​,Xt​) for drifted Brownian motion, requires the reflection principle combined with a Girsanov change of measure, followed by a double integral involving Gaussian tails, done separately for each sign of ccc. The cancellation that makes the drift disappear is not visible in that computation, and a statement specialized to c=0c=0c=0 (where the reflection principle alone suffices) does not carry over. Every step of the milestone list rests on path properties of Brownian motion (the strong Markov property, the law of the running maximum, splitting at the maximum) that Mathlib does not yet provide for IsBrownianReal, and the passage from milestone 4 to milestone 5 needs uniqueness of the Laplace transform.

Formalization scope

  • Brownian motion is Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.IsBrownianReal B P with B : ℝ≥0 → Ω → ℝ, plus the hypothesis that every sample path is continuous (the standard choice of a continuous version). Time is ℝ≥0.
  • StS_tSt​ and ItI_tIt​ are the real sSup/sInf of the path over the interval [0,t][0,t][0,t]; with continuous paths they are attained. The supremum is never taken over all times or in extended reals.
  • "EEE" is the Bochner integral, and every expectation identity also asserts integrability, so no identity can hold through Lean's convention that a non-integrable function integrates to 000.
  • "TTT exponential with mean λ−1\lambda^{-1}λ−1" is HasLaw T (expMeasure λ) P; "parameter α\alphaα" is read as rate α\alphaα. "Independent of BBB" is independence from the path-valued random variable with the product σ-algebra. STS_TST​ is evaluated at TTT truncated to [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞).
  • "Has the same law as" is equality of image measures, together with the almost-everywhere measurability of both maps.
  • "Inversion of the Laplace transform gives" becomes the fixed-time identity for every t≥0t\ge0t≥0 (milestones 5 and 6), separate from the Laplace identity (milestone 4).
  • Milestones 1 and 3 assume σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 because α,β\alpha,\betaα,β divide by σ2\sigma^2σ2; the Wiener–Hopf splitting, the goal, and milestones 4–7 allow σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0.

A formalization that specializes to c=0c=0c=0, takes the supremum over all of [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), or omits the integrability conjuncts is not the statement of this mission.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs: the reflection principle or the strong Markov property for Brownian motion, the exponential-time law of the running maximum of a Lévy process, and uniqueness of Laplace transforms for continuous functions. All of these are reusable; contributions of any of them are welcome. Related platform items cover other objects and are credited here: running maxima and exit problems for spectrally negative Lévy processes (Avram2004.Exit.reflected), a drifted Brownian motion in characteristic-function form in a queueing-network setting (Reiman84.QueueLength.Paths), and a GI/G/1 Wiener–Hopf transform identity (QueueingFundamentals.GG1.wiener_hopf_transform).

Selected references

  • L. C. G. Rogers and S. E. Satchell, Estimating variance from high, low and closing prices, The Annals of Applied Probability 1(4), 1991, 504–512. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005835
  • M. B. Garman and M. J. Klass, On the estimation of security price volatilities from historical data, Journal of Business 53(1), 1980, 67–78. https://doi.org/10.1086/296072
  • M. Parkinson, The extreme value method for estimating the variance of the rate of return, Journal of Business 53(1), 1980, 61–65. https://doi.org/10.1086/296071
  • P. Greenwood and J. Pitman, Fluctuation identities for Lévy processes and splitting at the maximum, Advances in Applied Probability 12(4), 1980, 893–902. https://doi.org/10.2307/1426747
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dual Approach to Solving Nonlinear Programming Problems by Unconstrained Optimization 3: Under Second-Order Conditions, Tolerances αₖ ≤ q[sup g_r − g_r(yᵏ)] Give |xᵏ − x̄| ≤ s|yᵏ − ȳ|Research Paper

Motivation

The method of multipliers (augmented Lagrangian method), proposed independently by Hestenes and Powell in 1969, solves a constrained optimization problem by a sequence of unconstrained minimizations of a penalized Lagrangian, updating a multiplier estimate between them. It became one of the standard algorithms of nonlinear programming and is the ancestor of ADMM and of the proximal-point view of dual methods. Rockafellar's 1973 paper (Math. Programming 5, 354–373) extended the method to inequality constraints with the penalty Lagrangian LrL_rLr​ and reinterpreted it as unconstrained maximization of a smooth concave dual function grg_rgr​. Its §4 shows that primal points recovered from any maximizing dual sequence are asymptotically minimizing; its §5, the subject of this mission, asks how fast they converge.

Timeline. 1969: Hestenes and Powell introduce multiplier methods for equality constraints. 1973: Rockafellar treats inequality constraints in the convex case through LrL_rLr​ and its dual (this paper), and in the same year applies the multiplier method of Hestenes and Powell to convex programming (J. Optim. Theory Appl. 12). 1976: Rockafellar's "Augmented Lagrangians and applications of the proximal point algorithm in convex programming" (Math. Oper. Res. 1) gives the general convergence theory.

Setting

Let X⊂RnX \subset \mathbb R^nX⊂Rn be convex and f0,f1,…,fm:X→Rf_0, f_1, \dots, f_m : X \to \mathbb Rf0​,f1​,…,fm​:X→R convex. The problem is

(P)minimize f0(x) over x∈X subject to fi(x)≤0, i=1,…,m.\text{(P)}\qquad \text{minimize } f_0(x) \text{ over } x \in X \text{ subject to } f_i(x) \le 0,\ i = 1, \dots, m.(P)minimize f0​(x) over x∈X subject to fi​(x)≤0, i=1,…,m.

With θ(t)=max⁡{0,t}\theta(t) = \max\{0, t\}θ(t)=max{0,t} and a parameter r>0r > 0r>0, the penalty Lagrangian is

Lr(x,y)=f0(x)+14r∑i=1m[θ(yi+2rfi(x))2−yi2],x∈X, y∈Rm,L_r(x, y) = f_0(x) + \frac{1}{4r}\sum_{i=1}^m \big[\theta(y_i + 2 r f_i(x))^2 - y_i^2\big], \qquad x \in X,\ y \in \mathbb R^m,Lr​(x,y)=f0​(x)+4r1​i=1∑m​[θ(yi​+2rfi​(x))2−yi2​],x∈X, y∈Rm,

and the dual problem (Dr)(D_r)(Dr​) maximizes gr(y)=inf⁡x∈XLr(x,y)g_r(y) = \inf_{x \in X} L_r(x, y)gr​(y)=infx∈X​Lr​(x,y) over all y∈Rmy \in \mathbb R^my∈Rm; sup⁡gr\sup g_rsupgr​ is its supremum. A maximizing sequence is a sequence {yk}\{y^k\}{yk} with gr(yk)→sup⁡grg_r(y^k) \to \sup g_rgr​(yk)→supgr​. The dual method of Theorem 4.1 takes a bounded maximizing sequence {yk}\{y^k\}{yk} and, for each kkk, a point xk∈Xx^k \in Xxk∈X that minimizes Lr(⋅,yk)L_r(\cdot, y^k)Lr​(⋅,yk) to within a tolerance αk\alpha_kαk​:

Lr(xk,yk)−gr(yk)≤αk,αk→0.(4.7)L_r(x^k, y^k) - g_r(y^k) \le \alpha_k, \qquad \alpha_k \to 0. \qquad (4.7)Lr​(xk,yk)−gr​(yk)≤αk​,αk​→0.(4.7)

The standing assumptions of §5 concern a point xˉ∈int⁡X\bar x \in \operatorname{int} Xxˉ∈intX that is an optimal solution of (P), near which f0,…,fmf_0, \dots, f_mf0​,…,fm​ are twice continuously differentiable, and a multiplier vector yˉ\bar yyˉ​ satisfying with xˉ\bar xxˉ the Kuhn–Tucker conditions (yˉi≥0\bar y_i \ge 0yˉ​i​≥0, fi(xˉ)≤0f_i(\bar x) \le 0fi​(xˉ)≤0, yˉifi(xˉ)=0\bar y_i f_i(\bar x) = 0yˉ​i​fi​(xˉ)=0, and xˉ\bar xxˉ minimizes f0+∑iyˉifif_0 + \sum_i \bar y_i f_if0​+∑i​yˉ​i​fi​ over XXX). With I={i:fi(xˉ)=0}I = \{i : f_i(\bar x) = 0\}I={i:fi​(xˉ)=0} the active set and H(x,y)=∇2f0(x)+∑i∈Iyi∇2fi(x)H(x, y) = \nabla^2 f_0(x) + \sum_{i \in I} y_i \nabla^2 f_i(x)H(x,y)=∇2f0​(x)+∑i∈I​yi​∇2fi​(x), they are: (i) yˉi≠0\bar y_i \ne 0yˉ​i​=0 for i∈Ii \in Ii∈I; (ii) the ∇fi(xˉ)\nabla f_i(\bar x)∇fi​(xˉ), i∈Ii \in Ii∈I, are linearly independent; (iii) z⋅H(xˉ,yˉ)z>0z \cdot H(\bar x, \bar y) z > 0z⋅H(xˉ,yˉ​)z>0 for every nonzero zzz with z⋅∇fi(xˉ)=0z \cdot \nabla f_i(\bar x) = 0z⋅∇fi​(xˉ)=0 for all i∈Ii \in Ii∈I.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 5.3

Under the standing assumptions, with {yk},{xk},{αk}\{y^k\}, \{x^k\}, \{\alpha_k\}{yk},{xk},{αk​} as in (4.7), if for some q>0q > 0q>0

αk≤q [sup⁡gr−gr(yk)]for all sufficiently large k,(5.18)\alpha_k \le q\,[\sup g_r - g_r(y^k)] \quad \text{for all sufficiently large } k, \qquad (5.18)αk​≤q[supgr​−gr​(yk)]for all sufficiently large k,(5.18)

then there is a constant s>0s > 0s>0 with

∣xk−xˉ∣≤s ∣yk−yˉ∣for all sufficiently large k.(5.19)|x^k - \bar x| \le s\,|y^k - \bar y| \quad \text{for all sufficiently large } k. \qquad (5.19)∣xk−xˉ∣≤s∣yk−yˉ​∣for all sufficiently large k.(5.19)

No rate for {yk}\{y^k\}{yk} is fixed: the statement compares the primal error with the dual error, whatever method produces the dual sequence.

Milestones

  1. xˉ\bar xxˉ is the unique optimal solution to (P) and yˉ\bar yyˉ​ the unique optimal solution to the ordinary dual (D0)(D_0)(D0​) and every (Dr)(D_r)(Dr​) for r>0r > 0r>0 (§5, after (5.1)).
  2. Theorem 5.1 (i)–(iii): for every r,β>0r, \beta > 0r,β>0 there are ε,α>0\varepsilon, \alpha > 0ε,α>0 such that sup⁡gr−gr(y)≤ε\sup g_r - g_r(y) \le \varepsilonsupgr​−gr​(y)≤ε and Lr(x,y)−gr(y)≤αL_r(x, y) - g_r(y) \le \alphaLr​(x,y)−gr​(y)≤α force (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) into a β\betaβ-neighborhood of (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar x, \bar y)(xˉ,yˉ​) with x∈int⁡Xx \in \operatorname{int} Xx∈intX, where LrL_rLr​ is C2C^2C2, given locally by (5.4), and ∇x2Lr(x,y)\nabla_x^2 L_r(x, y)∇x2​Lr​(x,y) is positive definite.
  3. Theorem 5.1 (iv): the unique minimizer ξ(y)\xi(y)ξ(y) of Lr(⋅,y)L_r(\cdot, y)Lr​(⋅,y) over XXX is C1C^1C1 in yyy with derivative (5.5).
  4. Theorem 5.1 (v): grg_rgr​ is C2C^2C2 with negative definite Hessian (5.6)–(5.7).
  5. Corollary 5.2 (5.14): xk→xˉx^k \to \bar xxk→xˉ and yk→yˉy^k \to \bar yyk→yˉ​.
  6. Corollary 5.2 (5.15)–(5.17): a∣xk−ξ(yk)∣2≤αka|x^k - \xi(y^k)|^2 \le \alpha_ka∣xk−ξ(yk)∣2≤αk​, b1∣yk−yˉ∣I≤∣ξ(yk)−xˉ∣≤b2∣yk−yˉ∣Ib_1|y^k - \bar y|_I \le |\xi(y^k) - \bar x| \le b_2|y^k - \bar y|_Ib1​∣yk−yˉ​∣I​≤∣ξ(yk)−xˉ∣≤b2​∣yk−yˉ​∣I​, and c1∣yk−yˉ∣2≤gr(yˉ)−gr(yk)≤c2∣yk−yˉ∣2c_1|y^k - \bar y|^2 \le g_r(\bar y) - g_r(y^k) \le c_2|y^k - \bar y|^2c1​∣yk−yˉ​∣2≤gr​(yˉ​)−gr​(yk)≤c2​∣yk−yˉ​∣2.

Significance

Corollary 5.3 is the paper's answer to the practical question of how accurately each inner minimization must be done. A tolerance proportional to the current dual gap costs nothing in the order of convergence: the primal iterates then converge at least as fast as the dual ones. Since grg_rgr​ is C2C^2C2 with a negative definite Hessian near yˉ\bar yyˉ​ (Theorem 5.1 (v)), any locally linearly or superlinearly convergent unconstrained method applied to grg_rgr​ yields a primal sequence with the same rate. The estimates (5.15)–(5.17) are the quantitative bridge between inner accuracy, dual error and primal error, and reappear in later analyses of inexact augmented Lagrangian methods.

The results are proved in the paper (1973) and in textbook treatments; none of them has a machine-checked proof on this platform or in Mathlib. The mission produces a formal statement of the second-order theory of the penalty Lagrangian: the local smooth structure of LrL_rLr​ and grg_rgr​, the implicit minimizer map ξ\xiξ, and the rate comparison. Complete formal proofs of each milestone are the remaining work.

Difficulty

The obvious argument linearizes everything at (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar x, \bar y)(xˉ,yˉ​), but LrL_rLr​ is only C1C^1C1 globally: θ2\theta^2θ2 has a kink in its second derivative, so smoothness of LrL_rLr​ must first be established on a neighborhood of (xˉ,yˉ)(\bar x, \bar y)(xˉ,yˉ​), using complementary slackness and strict complementarity (i) to fix which branch of (2.4) each constraint follows. The sequence {(xk,yk)}\{(x^k, y^k)\}{(xk,yk)} is not assumed to converge; localizing it into that neighborhood requires the uniform statement of Theorem 5.1 (i) (with ε,α\varepsilon, \alphaε,α chosen after r,βr, \betar,β) and the uniqueness of xˉ\bar xxˉ and yˉ\bar yyˉ​. The minimizer map ξ\xiξ then comes from the implicit function theorem applied to ∇xLr(x,y)=0\nabla_x L_r(x, y) = 0∇x​Lr​(x,y)=0, and the formula for ∇2gr\nabla^2 g_r∇2gr​ needs the derivative of the envelope gr(y)=Lr(ξ(y),y)g_r(y) = L_r(\xi(y), y)gr​(y)=Lr​(ξ(y),y).

Formalization scope

  • Spaces. Primal points lie in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), multipliers in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m); constraint indices are Fin m (0-based), and f0f_0f0​ is a separate argument.
  • Functions. The fif_ifi​ are total functions on Rn\mathbb R^nRn; convexity is assumed on XXX only (ConvexOn ℝ X, an explicit hypothesis of every theorem, the paper's standing assumption of p. 358), and twice continuous differentiability only on a neighborhood of xˉ\bar xxˉ. Smoothness of LrL_rLr​ and grg_rgr​ is always a conclusion, never a hypothesis.
  • Extended values. g0g_0g0​, grg_rgr​, sup⁡gr\sup g_rsupgr​ and the infimum in (P) are computed in EReal, so (4.7), (5.2), (5.3) and (5.18) are differences in [−∞,+∞][-\infty, +\infty][−∞,+∞]; r>0r > 0r>0 is explicit for the penalty Lagrangian, while L0L_0L0​ is defined separately.
  • Derivatives. Hessians are quadratic forms z⋅D(∇φ)(x)zz \cdot D(\nabla\varphi)(x) zz⋅D(∇φ)(x)z; every inverse matrix appears together with positive definiteness of the same matrix, so Lean's convention that a non-invertible map has inverse 000 never applies. Local identities such as (5.4) are stated as equality on a neighborhood, not globally.
  • Choices. The assumption of Theorem 4.1 that the asymptotic optimal value is finite is omitted because it holds under the §5 assumptions. "Generated as in Theorem 4.1" is spelled out as its hypotheses. In (5.15)–(5.17), ξ\xiξ is any function that picks a minimizer of Lr(⋅,y)L_r(\cdot, y)Lr​(⋅,y) over XXX whenever one exists; along yky^kyk it eventually coincides with the paper's unique minimizer. In (iv) and (v), the conclusions are stated for every yyy with sup⁡gr−gr(y)≤ε\sup g_r - g_r(y) \le \varepsilonsupgr​−gr​(y)≤ε, since they do not depend on xxx.
  • Ruled out. The goal does not assume that xkx^kxk or yky^kyk converge, nor that yk≠yˉy^k \ne \bar yyk=yˉ​, and s>0s > 0s>0 is one constant valid for all large kkk; a formalization assuming convergence, or one with an unsatisfiable second-order hypothesis, would be trivial. The standing assumptions and all sequence hypotheses are satisfiable (checked on f0(x)=∣x∣2f_0(x) = |x|^2f0​(x)=∣x∣2, f1(x)=1−e⋅xf_1(x) = 1 - e\cdot xf1​(x)=1−e⋅x in R1\mathbb R^1R1).
  • Infrastructure. The proofs need the implicit function theorem (Mathlib's Analysis/Calculus/Implicit), second derivatives of compositions, envelope differentiation, and the quadratic-growth estimates of a C2C^2C2 function with definite Hessian. Results on Hessian forms and on strict complementarity are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar, A dual approach to solving nonlinear programming problems by unconstrained optimization, Mathematical Programming 5 (1973) 354–373. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580138
  • M. R. Hestenes, Multiplier and gradient methods, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 4 (1969) 303–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00927673
  • M. J. D. Powell, A method for nonlinear constraints in minimization problems, in R. Fletcher (ed.), Optimization, Academic Press, 1969, 283–298.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, The multiplier method of Hestenes and Powell applied to convex programming, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 12 (1973) 555–562. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00934777
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Augmented Lagrangians and applications of the proximal point algorithm in convex programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 1 (1976) 97–116. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1.2.97
8 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationFunctional AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Duality and Stability in Extremum Problems Involving Convex Functions 2: The Dual Supremum Equals the Lower Limit of the Perturbed Infimum, sup (P*) = lim inf_{z→0} inf (P(z))Research Paper

Motivation

A convex minimization problem comes with a dual maximization problem, and the dual value never exceeds the primal value. When the two values differ, a duality gap occurs. Dual bounds, Lagrangian relaxations and optimality certificates are then weaker than hoped. Conditions that rule the gap out are constraint qualifications such as Slater's condition and Rockafellar's notion of a stably set problem. Such conditions say when the gap vanishes, but not what the dual value is when it does not.

R. T. Rockafellar's 1967 paper answers that question for the Fenchel-type pair of problems built from a convex function, a concave function and a continuous linear map between infinite-dimensional spaces. Its Theorem 6 (§6, "Weak duality theorems", pp. 179–180) "explains the exact way in which inf (P) and sup (P*) can fail to be equal", by expressing the dual value through the primal problem alone: the dual supremum is the lower limit of the optimal values of slightly perturbed primal problems. This perturbational view of duality was later developed in Rockafellar's Conjugate Duality and Optimization (1974). It underlies the modern treatment of value functions in convex optimization.

Setting

Two real vector spaces EEE and E∗E^*E∗ are topologically paired when each carries a locally convex Hausdorff topology, they are in duality under a bilinear form ⟨x,x∗⟩\langle x,x^*\rangle⟨x,x∗⟩ that is continuous in each variable, and every continuous linear functional on either space is the pairing with exactly one element of the other. Let (E,E∗)(E,E^*)(E,E∗) and (F,F∗)(F,F^*)(F,F∗) be two such pairs. Let A:E→FA:E\to FA:E→F be continuous linear and A∗:F∗→E∗A^*:F^*\to E^*A∗:F∗→E∗ its adjoint, the continuous linear map with ⟨Ax,y∗⟩=⟨x,A∗y∗⟩\langle Ax,y^*\rangle=\langle x,A^*y^*\rangle⟨Ax,y∗⟩=⟨x,A∗y∗⟩.

A function f:E→[−∞,+∞]f:E\to[-\infty,+\infty]f:E→[−∞,+∞] is convex when its epigraph {(x,μ)∣μ∈R, μ≥f(x)}\{(x,\mu)\mid\mu\in\mathbb R,\ \mu\ge f(x)\}{(x,μ)∣μ∈R, μ≥f(x)} is convex in E×RE\times\mathbb RE×R. It is proper when it never takes −∞-\infty−∞ and is finite somewhere. A function ggg is proper concave when −g-g−g is convex, ggg never takes +∞+\infty+∞, and ggg is finite somewhere. The standing hypotheses are that fff is lower semicontinuous proper convex on EEE and ggg is upper semicontinuous proper concave on FFF. Their conjugates are

f∗(x∗)=sup⁡x{⟨x,x∗⟩−f(x)},g∗(y∗)=inf⁡y{⟨y,y∗⟩−g(y)}.f^*(x^*)=\sup_{x}\{\langle x,x^*\rangle-f(x)\},\qquad g^*(y^*)=\inf_{y}\{\langle y,y^*\rangle-g(y)\}.f∗(x∗)=xsup​{⟨x,x∗⟩−f(x)},g∗(y∗)=yinf​{⟨y,y∗⟩−g(y)}.

The primal problem (P) is to minimize f(x)−g(Ax)f(x)-g(Ax)f(x)−g(Ax) over x∈Ex\in Ex∈E. The dual problem (P*) is to maximize g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗)g^*(y^*)-f^*(A^*y^*)g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗) over y∗∈F∗y^*\in F^*y∗∈F∗. For z∈Fz\in Fz∈F the perturbed problem (P(zzz)) is to minimize f(x)−g(Ax−z)f(x)-g(Ax-z)f(x)−g(Ax−z). Its value defines the perturbation function

h(z)=inf⁡(P(z))=inf⁡x∈E{f(x)−g(Ax−z)},h(0)=inf⁡(P).h(z)=\inf(\mathrm P(z))=\inf_{x\in E}\{f(x)-g(Ax-z)\},\qquad h(0)=\inf(\mathrm P).h(z)=inf(P(z))=x∈Einf​{f(x)−g(Ax−z)},h(0)=inf(P).

The lower semicontinuous hull of hhh is hˉ(y)=lim inf⁡z→yh(z)\bar h(y)=\liminf_{z\to y}h(z)hˉ(y)=liminfz→y​h(z), where z=yz=yz=y is allowed, so that hˉ≤h\bar h\le hhˉ≤h. All infima and suprema are taken in [−∞,+∞][-\infty,+\infty][−∞,+∞].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

sup⁡(P∗)=lim inf⁡z→0 [inf⁡(P(z))],\sup(\mathrm P^*)=\liminf_{z\to 0}\,[\inf(\mathrm P(z))],sup(P∗)=z→0liminf​[inf(P(z))],

valid except in the trivial case where the left side is −∞-\infty−∞ and the right side is +∞+\infty+∞. No consistency, constraint qualification or attainment is assumed, and neither side need be finite. The exception is exactly the stated conjunction. A version assuming (P) consistent would be weaker, since an inconsistent (P), with h(0)=+∞h(0)=+\inftyh(0)=+∞, may still have a finite lower limit.

Milestones: the four claims of the proof (p. 180)

  1. hˉ\bar hhˉ is a lower semicontinuous convex function on FFF.
  2. For every y∗∈F∗y^*\in F^*y∗∈F∗, with hˉ∗(y∗)=sup⁡y{⟨y,y∗⟩−hˉ(y)}\bar h^*(y^*)=\sup_y\{\langle y,y^*\rangle-\bar h(y)\}hˉ∗(y∗)=supy​{⟨y,y∗⟩−hˉ(y)},
−hˉ∗(y∗)=inf⁡y{hˉ(y)−⟨y,y∗⟩}=inf⁡z{h(z)−⟨z,y∗⟩}=g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗).-\bar h^*(y^*)=\inf_y\{\bar h(y)-\langle y,y^*\rangle\}=\inf_z\{h(z)-\langle z,y^*\rangle\}=g^*(y^*)-f^*(A^*y^*).−hˉ∗(y∗)=yinf​{hˉ(y)−⟨y,y∗⟩}=zinf​{h(z)−⟨z,y∗⟩}=g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗).
  1. (6.2): if hˉ\bar hhˉ is proper, then hˉ(0)=sup⁡y∗{⟨0,y∗⟩−hˉ∗(y∗)}\bar h(0)=\sup_{y^*}\{\langle 0,y^*\rangle-\bar h^*(y^*)\}hˉ(0)=supy∗​{⟨0,y∗⟩−hˉ∗(y∗)}.
  2. If hˉ\bar hhˉ is not proper, the maximand g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗)g^*(y^*)-f^*(A^*y^*)g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗) of (P*) is identically −∞-\infty−∞.

The paper's Lemma 2 (convexity of hhh) is used by the first claim. It is a milestone of the companion mission on Theorem 3 of the same paper and is not restated here.

Significance

Theorem 6 reduces every question about the dual value to a question about the primal value function near the origin. Strong duality inf⁡(P)=sup⁡(P∗)\inf(\mathrm P)=\sup(\mathrm P^*)inf(P)=sup(P∗) holds exactly when hhh is lower semicontinuous at 000 (outside the trivial case). A duality gap is exactly a downward jump of hhh at 000. The dual of (P*) obeys the same formula, which the paper uses to derive Theorem 7 on normal problems. An integer-lattice analogue appears in discrete convex analysis (Murota, Theorem 8.53, whose duality relation is already stated on Prove2Me as DiscreteConvex.ConjugacyDualityD.general_duality_relations). That statement has no topology and is not the same theorem.

The result is classical and its proof is published. As far as the platform's index shows, no machine-checked statement of it exists in the paper's generality, nor a statement of extended-real biconjugation on general paired locally convex spaces. The value of the mission is a formal proof in the paper's setting: arbitrary topologically paired spaces, extended-real-valued functions, and both the proper and the improper case of the hull. The biconjugation milestone (6.2) and the hull lemma are reusable for other perturbational duality results.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares h(0)h(0)h(0) with the dual objective directly. It cannot give the theorem, because hhh may jump at 000, and the dual objective does not detect the value of hhh at a single point: the target is a lower limit, not a value. In infinite dimensions, conjugacy recovers a function only when it is lower semicontinuous and convex for a topology compatible with the pairing, so the statement depends on the full compatibility of the pairing on FFF, not on a norm. The usual statements of biconjugation cover proper functions only, whereas here the lower limit may take both values ±∞\pm\infty±∞, and both cases of the theorem must be covered. Finally, extended-real arithmetic must be tracked so that the dual objective, defined from f∗f^*f∗, g∗g^*g∗ and A∗A^*A∗, is matched in every infinite case.

Formalization scope

Values lie in EReal. Infima and suprema are complete-lattice ⨅ and ⨆, so an empty or unbounded family gives ±∞\pm\infty±∞ as in the paper. The lower limit is Filter.liminf h (nhds y) over the full neighbourhood filter: a punctured limit would change the theorem. Convexity is epigraph convexity in E×RE\times\mathbb RE×R, and properness is the paper's two-sided condition. A topological pairing is a structure holding a bilinear map, separate continuity, and existence and uniqueness of representing elements in both directions. No norm, inner product or finite dimension is assumed. The adjoint A∗A^*A∗ is continuous linear data satisfying the adjoint identity. The conjugates f∗f^*f∗, g∗g^*g∗ are defined by the paper's formulas from fff, ggg, so their regularity is a consequence, not a hypothesis. Properness of fff and ggg excludes the form (+∞)−(+∞)(+\infty)-(+\infty)(+∞)−(+∞) from f(x)−g(Ax−z)f(x)-g(Ax-z)f(x)−g(Ax−z) and from g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗)g^*(y^*)-f^*(A^*y^*)g∗(y∗)−f∗(A∗y∗). No statement is repaired relative to the page.

The dual value is the supremum of the maximand built from f∗f^*f∗, g∗g^*g∗ and A∗A^*A∗ as on p. 172. Defining sup⁡(P∗)\sup(\mathrm P^*)sup(P∗) through hˉ\bar hhˉ (for instance as the biconjugate of hˉ\bar hhˉ at 000) would make Theorem 6 true by definition and is ruled out.

A complete development needs extended-real conjugates on paired spaces, the lower semicontinuous hull and the closure of a convex epigraph, and Fenchel–Moreau for proper lower semicontinuous convex functions on a locally convex space. All of these are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the milestones, and lemmas toward Fenchel–Moreau in this generality, are welcome contributions.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar, Duality and Stability in Extremum Problems Involving Convex Functions, Pacific J. Math. 21 (1967), 167–187. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1967.21.167
  • W. Fenchel, On conjugate convex functions, Canad. J. Math. 1 (1949), 73–77. https://doi.org/10.4153/CJM-1949-007-x
  • A. Brøndsted, Conjugate convex functions in topological vector spaces, Mat.-Fys. Medd. Dansk. Vid. Selsk. 34 (1964) (reference [2] of the paper; no DOI).
  • J.-J. Moreau, Fonctions convexes en dualité, multigraph, Séminaires de Mathématique, Faculté des Sciences, Université de Montpellier, 1962 (reference [12] of the paper; no DOI).
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Conjugate Duality and Optimization, CBMS-NSF Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics 16, SIAM, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611970524
  • K. Murota, Discrete Convex Analysis, SIAM, 2003, Theorem 8.53. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9780898718508
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dual Approach to Solving Nonlinear Programming Problems by Unconstrained Optimization 1: Approximate Minimizers of L_r(·, yᵏ) along a Bounded Maximizing Dual Sequence Are Asymptotically MinimizingResearch Paper

Motivation

Constrained convex programs are routinely solved by turning them into a sequence of unconstrained problems. The classical route is the ordinary Lagrangian L0(x,y)=f0(x)+∑iyifi(x)L_0(x, y) = f_0(x) + \sum_i y_i f_i(x)L0​(x,y)=f0​(x)+∑i​yi​fi​(x), whose dual function g0g_0g0​ is in general nonsmooth and equal to −∞-\infty−∞ off the orthant y≥0y \ge 0y≥0, so maximizing it requires a constrained, nonsmooth method. In 1969 Hestenes (JOTA 4, 1969) and Powell (in Optimization, ed. Fletcher, Academic Press, 1969) proposed the method of multipliers for equality constraints, which adds a quadratic penalty to the Lagrangian. Rockafellar's paper (Math. Programming 5, 1973) gives the inequality-constrained version, the penalty Lagrangian LrL_rLr​, and shows that for convex programs its dual is a smooth, unconstrained, concave maximization problem with the same solutions and value as the ordinary dual. The method of multipliers built on this Lagrangian, now called the augmented Lagrangian method, underlies ADMM and many large-scale solvers.

Timeline. Hestenes and Powell (1969): multiplier method for equality constraints. Rockafellar (1973, this paper; and JOTA 12, 1973): the inequality-constrained penalty Lagrangian, its duality theory, and convergence of the multiplier method for convex programs. Rockafellar (Math. Oper. Res. 1, 1976): the method of multipliers identified as the proximal point algorithm applied to the dual. Bertsekas (Constrained Optimization and Lagrange Multiplier Methods, 1982): the general nonconvex theory.

This mission covers the first half of the paper: the duality theory of LrL_rLr​ (§3) and the theorem that maximizing the penalty dual yields asymptotically optimal primal sequences (§4, Theorem 4.1).

Setting

Let XXX be a nonempty convex subset of a real vector space EEE and f0,f1,…,fmf_0, f_1, \dots, f_mf0​,f1​,…,fm​ convex real functions on XXX. The problem is

(P)minimize f0(x) over x∈X subject to fi(x)≤0, i=1,…,m.\text{(P)}\qquad \text{minimize } f_0(x) \text{ over } x \in X \text{ subject to } f_i(x) \le 0,\ i = 1, \dots, m.(P)minimize f0​(x) over x∈X subject to fi​(x)≤0, i=1,…,m.

Multipliers yyy range over Rm\mathbb R^mRm, with Euclidean norm ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ and inner product u⋅yu \cdot yu⋅y. With θ(t)=max⁡{0,t}\theta(t) = \max\{0, t\}θ(t)=max{0,t} and a parameter r>0r > 0r>0, the penalty Lagrangian is

Lr(x,y)=f0(x)+14r∑i=1m[θ(yi+2rfi(x))2−yi2],L_r(x, y) = f_0(x) + \frac{1}{4r} \sum_{i=1}^m \big[\theta(y_i + 2 r f_i(x))^2 - y_i^2\big],Lr​(x,y)=f0​(x)+4r1​i=1∑m​[θ(yi​+2rfi​(x))2−yi2​],

defined for all y∈Rmy \in \mathbb R^my∈Rm with no sign restriction. The dual function is gr(y)=inf⁡x∈XLr(x,y)g_r(y) = \inf_{x \in X} L_r(x, y)gr​(y)=infx∈X​Lr​(x,y), and the dual problem (Dr)(D_r)(Dr​) maximizes grg_rgr​ over Rm\mathbb R^mRm; g0g_0g0​ and (D0)(D_0)(D0​) are the same with L0L_0L0​, and sup⁡g0\sup g_0supg0​ is the dual optimal value. In Lean these objects are Lr, L0, gr, g0, dualValue, and Fr is the perturbed objective Fr(x,u)=f0(x)+r∣u∣2F_r(x, u) = f_0(x) + r|u|^2Fr​(x,u)=f0​(x)+r∣u∣2 if u≥f(x)u \ge f(x)u≥f(x), +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise.

A sequence {xk}\{x^k\}{xk} in XXX is asymptotically feasible if lim sup⁡kfi(xk)≤0\limsup_k f_i(x^k) \le 0limsupk​fi​(xk)≤0 for every iii. The asymptotic optimal value (asympValue) is the infimum of lim sup⁡kf0(xk)\limsup_k f_0(x^k)limsupk​f0​(xk) over asymptotically feasible sequences, and a sequence attaining it is asymptotically minimizing (IsAsympMinimizing). A maximizing sequence for (Dr)(D_r)(Dr​) is a sequence {yk}\{y^k\}{yk} with gr(yk)→sup⁡grg_r(y^k) \to \sup g_rgr​(yk)→supgr​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

Suppose the asymptotic optimal value in (P) is finite, r>0r > 0r>0, {yk}\{y^k\}{yk} is a bounded maximizing sequence for (Dr)(D_r)(Dr​), and xk∈Xx^k \in Xxk∈X satisfies

Lr(xk,yk)−gr(yk)≤αk,αk→0.L_r(x^k, y^k) - g_r(y^k) \le \alpha_k, \qquad \alpha_k \to 0.Lr​(xk,yk)−gr​(yk)≤αk​,αk​→0.

Then {xk}\{x^k\}{xk} is asymptotically minimizing for (P).

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.1: Lr(x,y)=min⁡u{Fr(x,u)+u⋅y}L_r(x, y) = \min_u \{F_r(x, u) + u \cdot y\}Lr​(x,y)=minu​{Fr​(x,u)+u⋅y}; LrL_rLr​ is convex in xxx and concave in yyy.
  2. Theorem 3.2: gr(y)=max⁡z{g0(z)−14r∣z−y∣2}g_r(y) = \max_z \{g_0(z) - \frac{1}{4r}|z - y|^2\}gr​(y)=maxz​{g0​(z)−4r1​∣z−y∣2}; (Dr)(D_r)(Dr​) and (D0)(D_0)(D0​) have the same supremum and optimal solutions; if g0≢−∞g_0 \not\equiv -\inftyg0​≡−∞, grg_rgr​ is finite and C1C^1C1 with ∂gr/∂yi=max⁡{−yi/2r,fi(x)}\partial g_r/\partial y_i = \max\{-y_i/2r, f_i(x)\}∂gr​/∂yi​=max{−yi​/2r,fi​(x)} at any xxx attaining gr(y)g_r(y)gr​(y).
  3. Corollary 3.3: gr(y)+(y′−y)⋅∇gr(y)≥gr(y′)≥gr(y)+(y′−y)⋅∇gr(y)−14r∣y′−y∣2g_r(y) + (y' - y)\cdot\nabla g_r(y) \ge g_r(y') \ge g_r(y) + (y'-y)\cdot\nabla g_r(y) - \frac{1}{4r}|y'-y|^2gr​(y)+(y′−y)⋅∇gr​(y)≥gr​(y′)≥gr​(y)+(y′−y)⋅∇gr​(y)−4r1​∣y′−y∣2.
  4. §4 (p. 364): the asymptotic optimal value equals the dual optimal value when the latter is not −∞-\infty−∞ or asymptotically feasible sequences exist.
  5. Lemmas 4.2 and 4.3: r∣∇gr(y)∣2≤sup⁡gr−gr(y)r|\nabla g_r(y)|^2 \le \sup g_r - g_r(y)r∣∇gr​(y)∣2≤supgr​−gr​(y), and r∣∇yLr(x,y)−∇gr(y)∣2≤αr|\nabla_y L_r(x, y) - \nabla g_r(y)|^2 \le \alphar∣∇y​Lr​(x,y)−∇gr​(y)∣2≤α under (4.7).
  6. (4.9)–(4.11): u↦F0(x,u)+u⋅y+r∣u∣2u \mapsto F_0(x, u) + u \cdot y + r|u|^2u↦F0​(x,u)+u⋅y+r∣u∣2 has the unique minimizer ∇yLr(x,y)\nabla_y L_r(x, y)∇y​Lr​(x,y).

Significance

Theorem 4.1 says that any procedure that drives the smooth, unconstrained dual grg_rgr​ to its supremum, while computing Lr(⋅,yk)L_r(\cdot, y^k)Lr​(⋅,yk)-minimizers only approximately, produces an asymptotically optimal primal sequence. It needs no constraint qualification, no existence of a dual or primal optimal solution, and not even feasibility of (P): only that the asymptotic optimal value is finite. Together with Theorem 3.2 it justifies the multiplier method as a dual ascent on a C1C^1C1 concave function with Lipschitz gradient, and it is the starting point of the convergence theory of augmented Lagrangian methods.

None of these statements is formalized on Prove2Me or in Mathlib, which has Lagrangian duality only in special forms and no theory of the penalty Lagrangian or of asymptotic optimal values. The Qi–Sun augmented Lagrangian items on the platform (NonsmoothNewton.AugLagrangian.*) use the (r/2)(r/2)(r/2)-scaled function on Rn\mathbb R^nRn and concern smoothness in (x,y)(x, y)(x,y), not the dual function. The results of this paper are classical and proved; this mission formalizes them.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the primal iterates with a saddle point: if yˉ\bar yyˉ​ is a dual optimal solution and (P) is normal, approximate minimizers of Lr(⋅,yˉ)L_r(\cdot, \bar y)Lr​(⋅,yˉ​) are approximately optimal. Theorem 4.1 assumes neither. The function grg_rgr​ need not attain its supremum, (P) need not be normal or even feasible, and there may be no Kuhn–Tucker vector, so there is no saddle point to compare with; the only data are the dual values gr(yk)g_r(y^k)gr​(yk), the boundedness of {yk}\{y^k\}{yk} and the tolerances αk\alpha_kαk​. The difficulty is to obtain primal feasibility and optimality information from dual convergence alone, measured against the asymptotic optimal value rather than the infimum in (P). Every ingredient is extended-real-valued: g0g_0g0​ is −∞-\infty−∞ off the orthant, grg_rgr​ may be identically −∞-\infty−∞, and the asymptotic optimal value may be ±∞\pm\infty±∞. Mathlib does not package this part of convex analysis (partial conjugates, envelopes of extended-real concave functions, the asymptotic duality theorem).

Formalization scope

EEE is a bare real vector space (AddCommGroup E, Module ℝ E) with no topology, as in the paper. The functions fif_ifi​ are total functions E→RE \to \mathbb RE→R assumed convex on XXX; only their values on XXX enter. Constraint indices are Fin m (0-based) and f0f_0f0​ is a separate argument. Multipliers live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin m). The standing assumption of §3 (XXX nonempty convex, all fif_ifi​ convex) is a hypothesis of every theorem.

Explicit choices:

  • grg_rgr​, g0g_0g0​, the dual value, the asymptotic optimal value and every lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup are computed in EReal, so ±∞\pm\infty±∞ are represented and no infimum is replaced by a junk real value.
  • r>0r > 0r>0 is an explicit hypothesis wherever LrL_rLr​ is used; L0L_0L0​ is a separate definition.
  • (4.7) is written Lr(xk,yk)≤gr(yk)+αkL_r(x^k, y^k) \le g_r(y^k) + \alpha_kLr​(xk,yk)≤gr​(yk)+αk​ in EReal, equivalent to the printed difference; only αk→0\alpha_k \to 0αk​→0 is assumed.
  • Concavity or convexity of extended-real functions is stated through convex hypographs and epigraphs; "max" in (3.5) is attainment of the greatest value.
  • Gradients are taken of the real coercion of grg_rgr​, and only under hypotheses that make grg_rgr​ finite.
  • Dual optimal solutions do not exist when gr≡−∞g_r \equiv -\inftygr​≡−∞ (the paper's convention, p. 361).
  • Lemmas 4.2, 4.3 and (4.9)–(4.11) are stated for one point rather than along a sequence; the paper's statements are their instances.
  • Misprints: "concave in y∈Yy \in Yy∈Y" (Theorem 3.1) reads Rm\mathbb R^mRm; the lost minus sign in Lemma 4.2 is restored.

The goal must not be replaced by "f0(xk)→inf⁡(P)f_0(x^k) \to \inf\text{(P)}f0​(xk)→inf(P) and lim sup⁡fi(xk)≤0\limsup f_i(x^k) \le 0limsupfi​(xk)≤0": that is the special case of normal problems with feasible solutions. Nor may it assume a Slater point, a Kuhn–Tucker vector, or feasibility of (P), each of which makes it a special case.

A complete development needs extended-real convex analysis on Rm\mathbb R^mRm (partial conjugates, Moreau envelopes of concave functions, the asymptotic duality theorem), which is reusable beyond this mission. Contributions proving any milestone, or general lemmas on Moreau envelopes of extended-real concave functions, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar, A dual approach to solving nonlinear programming problems by unconstrained optimization, Mathematical Programming 5 (1973) 354–373. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01580138
  • M. R. Hestenes, Multiplier and gradient methods, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 4 (1969) 303–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00927673
  • M. J. D. Powell, A method for nonlinear constraints in minimization problems, in R. Fletcher (ed.), Optimization, Academic Press, 1969, 283–298.
  • R. T. Rockafellar, The multiplier method of Hestenes and Powell applied to convex programming, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications 12 (1973) 555–562. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00934777
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Augmented Lagrangians and applications of the proximal point algorithm in convex programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 1 (1976) 97–116. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1.2.97
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Constrained Optimization and Lagrange Multiplier Methods, Academic Press, 1982.
11 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationFunctional AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Duality and Stability in Extremum Problems Involving Convex Functions 1: A Convex Program Is Stably Set If and Only If Its Infimum Equals the Attained Maximum of the Dual, inf (P) = max (P*)Research Paper

Motivation

In convex optimization, a dual problem supplies a bound on what a primal minimization problem can achieve. The bound can be useful even when no minimizer is known, but an equality of the primal and dual values says more: it certifies that the bound is exact. In applications, one also wants a dual variable that actually attains the bound, since that variable can act as a multiplier or a sensitivity certificate. Rockafellar's 1967 paper asks when such an attained equality follows from the behavior of the primal value under small changes to the problem Rockafellar 1967.

The paper works with locally convex spaces paired with their continuous duals, rather than limiting the question to finite-dimensional vectors or normed spaces. In this setting, ordinary finite-dimensional constraint qualifications need not describe the relevant behavior. Theorem 3 gives a criterion in terms of the perturbation function itself. It also states the corresponding criterion with the primal and dual roles reversed Rockafellar 1967, §5.

Setting

Let EEE and E′E'E′ be real locally convex Hausdorff spaces in topological duality, with pairing ⟨x,x′⟩E\langle x,x'\rangle_E⟨x,x′⟩E​. Let FFF and F′F'F′ be another such pair. Each pairing represents every continuous linear functional on either member uniquely by a point of the other member. Let A:E→FA:E\to FA:E→F be continuous linear, and let its continuous adjoint A∗:F′→E′A^*:F'\to E'A∗:F′→E′ satisfy ⟨Ax,y′⟩F=⟨x,A∗y′⟩E\langle Ax,y'\rangle_F=\langle x,A^*y'\rangle_E⟨Ax,y′⟩F​=⟨x,A∗y′⟩E​.

The primal data are a lower semicontinuous proper convex function f:E→[−∞,+∞]f:E\to[-\infty,+\infty]f:E→[−∞,+∞] and an upper semicontinuous proper concave function g:F→[−∞,+∞]g:F\to[-\infty,+\infty]g:F→[−∞,+∞]. Here proper means that fff never takes −∞-\infty−∞ and is finite somewhere, while ggg never takes +∞+\infty+∞ and is finite somewhere. Convexity means convexity of the real epigraph, and concavity means convexity of −g-g−g. Their conjugates are f∗(x′)=sup⁡x(⟨x,x′⟩E−f(x))f^*(x')=\sup_x(\langle x,x'\rangle_E-f(x))f∗(x′)=supx​(⟨x,x′⟩E​−f(x)) and g∗(y′)=inf⁡y(⟨y,y′⟩F−g(y))g^*(y')=\inf_y(\langle y,y'\rangle_F-g(y))g∗(y′)=infy​(⟨y,y′⟩F​−g(y)) Rockafellar 1967, §2.

The primal problem (P)(P)(P) minimizes f(x)−g(Ax)f(x)-g(Ax)f(x)−g(Ax) over EEE. Its dual (P∗)(P^*)(P∗) maximizes g∗(y′)−f∗(A∗y′)g^*(y')-f^*(A^*y')g∗(y′)−f∗(A∗y′) over F′F'F′. A translation z∈Fz\in Fz∈F changes the primal objective to f(x)−g(Ax−z)f(x)-g(Ax-z)f(x)−g(Ax−z), giving

h(z)=inf⁡x∈E{f(x)−g(Ax−z)},h(0)=inf⁡(P).h(z)=\inf_{x\in E}\{f(x)-g(Ax-z)\},\qquad h(0)=\inf(P).h(z)=x∈Einf​{f(x)−g(Ax−z)},h(0)=inf(P).

The primal problem is stably set when it is consistent, meaning h(0)<+∞h(0)<+\inftyh(0)<+∞, and when directional rates of change of hhh at zero cannot be arbitrarily negative in every neighborhood of zero. The instability test is made only when h(0)h(0)h(0) is finite. Consequently h(0)=−∞h(0)=-\inftyh(0)=−∞ counts as stable, as the paper explicitly observes Rockafellar 1967, §4–5. The dual stability condition is the same definition applied to the dual's minimization form (P′)(P')(P′), with perturbations in E′E'E′.

Formalization targets

The goal is both directions of Theorem 3, including the dual statement:

(P) stably set⟺inf⁡(P)=max⁡(P∗),(P)\text{ stably set}\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \inf(P)=\max(P^*),(P) stably set⟺inf(P)=max(P∗), min⁡(P)=sup⁡(P∗)⟺(P∗) stably set.\min(P)=\sup(P^*)\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad (P^*)\text{ stably set}.min(P)=sup(P∗)⟺(P∗) stably set.

The symbols max⁡\maxmax and min⁡\minmin assert that the stated value is attained. A statement equating only an infimum and a supremum would omit part of the theorem. The mission's milestones are the convexity of hhh (Lemma 2), the equivalence between stability and a nonempty subdifferential ∂h(0)\partial h(0)∂h(0), the criterion linking a subgradient to inequality (5.1), and weak duality (Lemma 1). Each is a claim stated in the paper's proof or as a numbered lemma Rockafellar 1967, pp. 174, 178–179.

Significance

The theorem turns a local property of the optimal-value function into an exact, attained duality statement. A dual optimum has operational meaning: its point y′∈F′y'\in F'y′∈F′ is a continuous linear response to perturbations z∈Fz\in Fz∈F, expressed through ⟨z,y′⟩F\langle z,y'\rangle_F⟨z,y′⟩F​. The converse says that attained exact duality already forces the same stability property. The dual half adds a symmetric criterion for attainment of the primal minimum Rockafellar 1967, Theorem 3.

The 1967 result is proved in the cited paper; this mission asks for its Lean formalization. A complete development would give reusable definitions for paired locally convex spaces, extended-real conjugates, epigraph convexity, and perturbation-based stability. The milestone statements expose the intermediate mathematical claims separately, so later formalizations can use the parts they need without importing the entire theorem.

Difficulty

Weak duality by itself gives only an inequality. It does not supply a dual point achieving the primal infimum, and equality of two extended-real lattice values does not establish attainment. The central issue is that a perturbation function can have a finite value at zero yet fall at arbitrarily steep rates in nearby directions; then no continuous linear support at zero need exist. Infinite primal values bring two additional cases: inconsistency when h(0)=+∞h(0)=+\inftyh(0)=+∞, and the paper's stable case when h(0)=−∞h(0)=-\inftyh(0)=−∞. The dual half requires the topology on E′E'E′ because the translated dual problem is perturbed there Rockafellar 1967, §§4–5.

Formalization scope

The Lean representation uses EReal for all objective and conjugate values; its complete lattice gives the paper's ±∞\pm\infty±∞ values for unbounded or empty extrema. Spaces are arbitrary locally convex Hausdorff real topological vector spaces equipped with a pairing that identifies each space with the continuous linear dual of the other. The adjoint is continuous linear data constrained by the pairing identity. Properness rules out endpoint arithmetic of the form +∞−(+∞)+\infty-(+\infty)+∞−(+∞) in the primal and dual objectives. The conjugates are defined from fff and ggg; their regularity is not assumed separately.

Stability is encoded using the positive one-sided lower limit of directional difference quotients, which equals the paper's limit for convex hhh. It requires consistency and excludes arbitrarily negative rates in every neighborhood. It is not defined by ∂h(0)≠∅\partial h(0)\ne\varnothing∂h(0)=∅: that equivalence is an independent milestone. Attained extrema are represented by greatest and least elements of the ranges of the objective functions, rather than by equality of lattice values alone. The formalization includes both halves of Theorem 3 and all four listed milestones. Contributions toward general convex analysis on paired spaces and toward the extended-real endpoint cases are useful beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar, Duality and Stability in Extremum Problems Involving Convex Functions, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 21 (1967), 167–187. DOI: 10.2140/pjm.1967.21.167.
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Inventory Control in a Fluctuating Demand Environment III: Under Stochastic Monotonicity, the Myopic and Optimal Basestock Levels Are Nondecreasing in the World StateResearch Paper

Motivation

Demand for many products does not arrive at a constant rate. It moves with an underlying environment: the economy, the season, a product's life-cycle stage, the state of a customer's own operations. Song and Zipkin (Oper. Res. 41(2):351–370, 1993) modelled this environment as a continuous-time Markov chain, the world, whose current state sets the Poisson demand rate, and showed that a basestock policy whose level depends on the current world state is optimal under linear order costs. Missions I and II of this series formalize those optimality results.

A practitioner who uses such a policy wants to know how the levels depend on the world. If a higher world state means more demand now and more demand later, a higher level should be kept. That is what intuition says, but the optimal level depends on the whole future of the world chain, not only on the current demand rate. §4 of the paper answers it for a world with an arbitrary partial order, which covers several independent demand drivers at once.

Setting

The world AAA is a continuous-time Markov chain on a countable set I\mathbf II with generator Q=(qij)Q = (q_{ij})Q=(qij​), qi=−qiiq_i = -q_{ii}qi​=−qii​, and bounded rates q∗=sup⁡iqiq^* = \sup_i q_iq∗=supi​qi​, λ∗=sup⁡iλi\lambda^* = \sup_i \lambda_iλ∗=supi​λi​. While A=iA = iA=i, unit demands arrive at rate λi\lambda_iλi​, all demand is backlogged, and orders arrive after a random lead time LLL that is independent of the world and the demand. Costs are discounted at rate α>0\alpha > 0α>0. With the unit order cost cˉ\bar ccˉ, holding rate hhh and penalty rate ppp, set c=cˉ E[e−αL]c = \bar c\,E[e^{-\alpha L}]c=cˉE[e−αL] and

C^(x)=max⁡{−px, hx},C(i,y)=E[e−αLC^(y−DLi)],\hat C(x) = \max\{-px,\ hx\}, \qquad C(i,y) = E\big[e^{-\alpha L}\hat C(y - D^i_L)\big],C^(x)=max{−px, hx},C(i,y)=E[e−αLC^(y−DLi​)],

where DLiD^i_LDLi​ is the demand during a lead time when the world starts in iii. Uniformizing at a rate μ≥q∗+λ∗\mu \ge q^* + \lambda^*μ≥q∗+λ∗ with β=1/(μ+α)\beta = 1/(\mu+\alpha)β=1/(μ+α) and γ=βμ\gamma = \beta\muγ=βμ, the myopic cost is G+(i,y)=(1−γ)cy+βC(i,y)G^+(i,y) = (1-\gamma)cy + \beta C(i,y)G+(i,y)=(1−γ)cy+βC(i,y). The linear-cost model (K=0K = 0K=0) is solved by value iteration from W0≡0W_0 \equiv 0W0​≡0:

Gn(i,y)=G+(i,y)+βλic+β{λiWn−1(i,y−1)+∑j≠iqijWn−1(j,y)+(μ−λi−qi)Wn−1(i,y)},G_n(i,y) = G^+(i,y) + \beta\lambda_i c + \beta\Big\{\lambda_i W_{n-1}(i,y-1) + \sum_{j\ne i} q_{ij}W_{n-1}(j,y) + (\mu-\lambda_i-q_i)W_{n-1}(i,y)\Big\},Gn​(i,y)=G+(i,y)+βλi​c+β{λi​Wn−1​(i,y−1)+j=i∑​qij​Wn−1​(j,y)+(μ−λi​−qi​)Wn−1​(i,y)},

Wn(i,x)=min⁡y≥xGn(i,y)W_n(i,x) = \min_{y\ge x} G_n(i,y)Wn​(i,x)=miny≥x​Gn​(i,y), with limits G∞G_\inftyG∞​ and W∞W_\inftyW∞​. The myopic level y+(i)y^+(i)y+(i), the finite-horizon levels yn∗(i)y^*_n(i)yn∗​(i) and the optimal level y∗(i)y^*(i)y∗(i) are the smallest minimizers of G+(i,⋅)G^+(i,\cdot)G+(i,⋅), Gn(i,⋅)G_n(i,\cdot)Gn​(i,⋅) and G∞(i,⋅)G_\infty(i,\cdot)G∞​(i,⋅), and y∞∗(i)=lim⁡nyn∗(i)y^*_\infty(i) = \lim_n y^*_n(i)y∞∗​(i)=limn​yn∗​(i). Throughout, αcˉ<p\alpha\bar c < pαcˉ<p (Assumption 1).

The world states carry a partial order ⪯\preceq⪯. The chain is stochastically partial-monotone (display (14)) if for every i⪯ji \preceq ji⪯j there is a probability space carrying copies of AAA started at iii and at jjj whose paths satisfy A(t)⪯A′(t)A(t) \preceq A'(t)A(t)⪯A′(t) for all t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 almost surely. Condition 1 requires this together with λi\lambda_iλi​ nondecreasing in iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

Under Condition 1, the three families of levels exist and are nondecreasing along ⪯\preceq⪯:

i⪯j ⟹ y+(i)≤y+(j),y∗(i)≤y∗(j),y∞∗(i)≤y∞∗(j).i \preceq j \ \Longrightarrow\ y^+(i) \le y^+(j),\qquad y^*(i) \le y^*(j),\qquad y^*_\infty(i) \le y^*_\infty(j).i⪯j ⟹ y+(i)≤y+(j),y∗(i)≤y∗(j),y∞∗​(i)≤y∞∗​(j).

Milestones

  • Lemma 8, with its fixed-lead-time form from the proof: D(l)D(l)D(l) given A(0)=iA(0)=iA(0)=i is stochastically smaller than given A(0)=jA(0)=jA(0)=j for each l≥0l \ge 0l≥0, and DLi≤stDLjD^i_L \le_{st} D^j_LDLi​≤st​DLj​.
  • Lemma 9: ΔC(i,y)≥ΔC(j,y)\Delta C(i,y) \ge \Delta C(j,y)ΔC(i,y)≥ΔC(j,y) for i⪯ji \preceq ji⪯j.
  • Theorem 7: for all n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and fixed xxx, ΔWn−1(i,x)\Delta W_{n-1}(i,x)ΔWn−1​(i,x) and ΔGn(i,x)\Delta G_n(i,x)ΔGn​(i,x) are nonincreasing in iii, and yn∗(i)y^*_n(i)yn∗​(i) is nondecreasing in iii.
  • Theorem 9 (companion): if qij≠0q_{ij} \ne 0qij​=0 only for j⪰ij \succeq ij⪰i, then y∗(i)=y+(i)y^*(i) = y^+(i)y∗(i)=y+(i), so the myopic policy is optimal.
  • Theorem 10 (companion): with a fixed order cost K>0K > 0K>0, the bounds S+(i)S^+(i)S+(i), r+(i)r^+(i)r+(i), r−(i)r^-(i)r−(i), r−−(i)r^{--}(i)r−−(i) on the optimal (r,S)(r,S)(r,S) parameters are nondecreasing in iii.

Significance

Theorem 8 turns an optimal policy into a structured one. A world-dependent basestock policy has one level per world state; monotonicity says the levels follow the order of the states, which reduces search, makes the levels interpretable, and gives sanity checks for computed solutions. Theorem 9 identifies when nothing beyond the one-step cost needs to be computed at all. Theorem 10 is the paper's substitute for an open question: the authors could not show that the optimal (r,S)(r,S)(r,S) parameters are monotone, and instead bound them between monotone functions.

All of these results are proved in the paper. None of them has been machine-checked. The formalization requires a value-iteration argument for a model with unbounded one-period costs, a coupling argument for Markov-modulated Poisson demand, and the passage to the limit in the levels. These are the ingredients of most monotone-policy results in inventory theory with Markov-modulated demand.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at the generator. For a single scalar world, stochastic monotonicity is equivalent to the expectation inequality (15) for nondecreasing functions, and the inductive step of Theorem 7 only needs that. For a partial order, the expectation inequality is strictly weaker than the coupling (14) (Massey 1987). The induction must also handle the cross term ∑jqijΔWn−1(j,x)\sum_j q_{ij}\Delta W_{n-1}(j,x)∑j​qij​ΔWn−1​(j,x), which requires an embedded discrete-time chain whose one-step kernel preserves the order. The paper's Lemma 7 asserts that the embedded chain P=I+Q/νP = I + Q/\nuP=I+Q/ν is monotone for every ν≥q∗\nu \ge q^*ν≥q∗. As printed, this is false at ν=q∗\nu = q^*ν=q∗: for two states with q01=q10=1q_{01} = q_{10} = 1q01​=q10​=1, PPP swaps the states. A complete proof cannot rely on that lemma as printed.

A second difficulty is that the one-period cost is unbounded. The classical theorems that ordered differences survive value iteration (Denardo, Lovejoy) assume bounded costs, so the induction has to be carried out by hand, and the limits G∞G_\inftyG∞​, y∞∗y^*_\inftyy∞∗​ must be justified by Lemma 4's uniform bounds.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace SongZipkinFluct.Monotone. World states form a countable nonempty type with a PartialOrder instance; no linear order is assumed. Inventory positions are integers. The demand-count law fi(d∣l)f_i(d\mid l)fi​(d∣l) and the world transition function P(t)P(t)P(t) are defined by uniformization at the model's rate μ\muμ, the paper's own device. The lead-time law is a probability measure on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and C(i,y)C(i,y)C(i,y) is the series ∑dgi(d∣α)C^(y−d)\sum_d g_i(d\mid\alpha)\hat C(y-d)∑d​gi​(d∣α)C^(y−d) of display (16). WnW_nWn​ uses an infimum over integers y≥xy \ge xy≥x, and W∞W_\inftyW∞​, G∞G_\inftyG∞​ are suprema over nnn, which equal the limits because the sequences are nondecreasing and bounded. Monotonicity in iii is Monotone/Antitone with respect to ⪯\preceq⪯. Smallest minimizers, maxima and minima are IsLeast/IsGreatest characterizations, never sInf on Z\mathbb ZZ.

Condition 1(a) is encoded as the coupling (14) itself, with one probability space per pair i⪯ji \preceq ji⪯j and copies identified by their finite-dimensional distributions. Replacing it by the expectation inequality (15), or the partial order by a total order, would change the theorem and is ruled out. Every goal statement asserts the existence of the levels it constrains before constraining them, so no conclusion holds vacuously. The standing hypotheses together with Condition 1 are satisfiable: a one-state instance is checked in Lean.

Lemma 7 is not included because it is false as printed. A guarded version (for instance with ν≥2q∗\nu \ge 2q^*ν≥2q∗) would be a welcome contribution. Reusable parts include the uniformized Markov-modulated Poisson process, the coupling definition of stochastic monotonicity for a countable partially ordered state space, and the usual stochastic order on N\mathbb NN. Proofs of Lemma 9 and Theorem 7 that avoid Lemma 7 are particularly welcome.

Selected references

  • J.-S. Song and P. Zipkin, Inventory Control in a Fluctuating Demand Environment, Operations Research 41(2):351–370, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.2.351
  • W. A. Massey, Stochastic orderings for Markov processes on partially ordered spaces, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(2):350–367, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.2.350
  • J. Keilson and A. Kester, Monotone matrices and monotone Markov processes, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 5(3):231–241, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4149(77)90033-3
  • A. F. Veinott Jr., Optimal policy for a multi-product, dynamic, nonstationary inventory problem, Management Science 12(3):206–222, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.12.3.206
  • W. S. Lovejoy, Ordered solutions for dynamic programs, Mathematics of Operations Research 12(2):269–276, 1987. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.12.2.269
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Inventory Control in a Fluctuating Demand Environment I: With Linear Order Costs, a World-Dependent Basestock Policy Is Optimal over the Infinite HorizonResearch Paper

Motivation

An inventory controller must decide how much to order while demand changes with an observed external condition. A single demand rate misses that dependence: the same inventory position can justify different orders when the condition changes. Song and Zipkin's 1993 study asks whether a simple policy remains optimal when the condition follows a continuous-time Markov chain and orders arrive after a random lead time. The answer for linear ordering costs is a world-dependent basestock policy: each world state has one target inventory position, and an order raises the current position to that target when it lies below it.

The policy claim concerns an infinite horizon. It is stronger than showing that a particular collection of target levels performs well or that such a policy minimizes a one-step cost. Theorem 2 of Song and Zipkin identifies the targets through a limiting value function and establishes optimality for the full discounted problem. This mission formalizes that theorem and the finite-stage results the authors use to state its limit precisely.

Setting

The world state iii belongs to a nonempty countable set III. The world evolves according to a conservative continuous-time Markov generator Q=(qij)Q=(q_{ij})Q=(qij​), with exit rate qi=−qiiq_i=-q_{ii}qi​=−qii​. When the world is in state iii, customers demand individual units at rate λi≥0\lambda_i\ge0λi​≥0. The exit rates and demand rates are bounded above. Inventory is fully backlogged: a negative inventory level records unmet demand. The controller observes the world state and the inventory position x∈Zx\in\mathbb Zx∈Z, which includes outstanding orders, and chooses an order-up-to position y≥xy\ge xy≥x.

An order has actual unit cost cˉ≥0\bar c\ge0cˉ≥0 and may have fixed cost Kˉ≥0\bar K\ge0Kˉ≥0. This mission takes the linear-cost case, so the discounted fixed cost is K=0K=0K=0. The lead time LLL is a finite nonnegative random time, independent of the world and demand process. Its Laplace transform discounts the ordering costs to c=cˉ E[e−αL]c=\bar c\,E[e^{-\alpha L}]c=cˉE[e−αL], where α>0\alpha>0α>0 is the discount rate. Holding one unit costs h>0h>0h>0 per unit time; backlogging one unit costs p>0p>0p>0.

Write DLiD_L^iDLi​ for the number of demands during the lead time conditional on initial world state iii. The cost rate of an inventory level zzz is C^(z)=−pz\widehat C(z)=-pzC(z)=−pz for z<0z<0z<0 and hzhzhz otherwise. The lead-time cost and myopic cost are

C(i,y)=E[e−αLC^(y−DLi)],G+(i,y)=(1−γ)cy+βC(i,y),C(i,y)=E[e^{-\alpha L}\widehat C(y-D_L^i)],\qquad G^+(i,y)=(1-\gamma)cy+\beta C(i,y),C(i,y)=E[e−αLC(y−DLi​)],G+(i,y)=(1−γ)cy+βC(i,y),

where μ>0\mu>0μ>0 is a uniformization rate at least sup⁡iqi+sup⁡iλi\sup_iq_i+\sup_i\lambda_isupi​qi​+supi​λi​, β=(μ+α)−1\beta=(\mu+\alpha)^{-1}β=(μ+α)−1, and γ=βμ\gamma=\beta\muγ=βμ. The paper's Assumption 1, αcˉ<p\alpha\bar c<pαcˉ<p, applies to the later results. It ensures the myopic cost has finite nonnegative minimizers. The smallest such minimizer in world state iii is y+(i)y^+(i)y+(i), and ymin⁡+=min⁡iy+(i)y^+_{\min}=\min_i y^+(i)ymin+​=mini​y+(i).

With zero fixed cost and zero terminal cost, the nnn-stage transformed cost Wn(i,x)W_n(i,x)Wn​(i,x) minimizes the auxiliary cost Gn(i,y)G_n(i,y)Gn​(i,y) over y≥xy\ge xy≥x. Each GnG_nGn​ combines the myopic cost with the expected discounted continuation after a demand, a world-state jump, or a self-loop. Let W∞W_\inftyW∞​ and G∞G_\inftyG∞​ denote their pointwise limits. A basestock policy π(y)\pi(y)π(y) orders to max⁡{x,y(i)}\max\{x,y(i)\}max{x,y(i)} in state (i,x)(i,x)(i,x); it never cancels an outstanding order.

Formalization targets

The main target is the finite, smallest global minimizer y∗(i)y^*(i)y∗(i) of G∞(i,⋅)G_\infty(i,\cdot)G∞​(i,⋅) for each world state, with the inequalities of Theorem 2(c):

0≤ymin⁡+≤y∗(i)≤y∞∗(i)≤y+(i),G∞(i,y∞∗(i))=min⁡z∈ZG∞(i,z).0\le y^+_{\min}\le y^*(i)\le y^*_\infty(i)\le y^+(i), \qquad G_\infty(i,y^*_\infty(i))=\min_{z\in\mathbb Z}G_\infty(i,z).0≤ymin+​≤y∗(i)≤y∞∗​(i)≤y+(i),G∞​(i,y∞∗​(i))=z∈Zmin​G∞​(i,z).

Here y∞∗(i)y^*_\infty(i)y∞∗​(i) is the limit of the smallest finite-stage minimizers yn∗(i)y^*_n(i)yn∗​(i). Theorem 2(e) then asserts that π(y∗)\pi(y^*)π(y∗) has minimum infinite-horizon expected discounted cost from every state among all feasible policies. The milestone list states Lemmas 1, 2 and 4, Corollaries 1 and 2, all parts of Theorem 1 as identified by the paper's internal references, and the limit and optimality-equation clauses of Theorem 2. Together they fix the finite-stage and limiting objects used by the goal.

Significance

The theorem reduces a decision at every integer inventory position to one integer target for each observed world state. It gives an exact policy structure for a model with a changing demand rate and random lead time, rather than an approximation derived from a constant-demand model. The limiting inequalities also locate an optimal target relative to the myopic target and the finite-stage targets, giving a mathematically specified range for policy computation. These claims are the linear-cost part of Song and Zipkin's analysis; the paper proves the result but supplies no Lean proof.

Formalization will leave reusable definitions for countable-state uniformization with a demand counter, integer convexity of inventory cost functions, and discounted costs of history-dependent policies. The mission's theorem statements compile as open goals. The remaining work is to verify the analytic properties of the lead-time demand law, the finite-stage inequalities, convergence, and the infinite-horizon policy comparison. The fixed-order-cost and monotone-world-state results of the paper are separate missions.

Difficulty

The world can have countably many states, so a continuation value includes a series over possible world jumps. The stage cost grows with inventory position, so a bounded-cost finite-state dynamic-programming theorem does not directly cover the model. The minimization is over an unbounded set of integers, and the minimizers themselves change with the stage number. Convexity of a one-stage cost alone does not establish that the limiting policy beats policies that use the entire observation history. These are the specific gaps the paper's bound, ordered-difference, and limit results address.

Formalization scope

World states are a nonempty countable Lean type, inventory positions and order-up-to levels are integers, and costs are real until policy evaluation. The lead-time law is a probability measure on finite nonnegative real times, independent of world and demand. The demand-count law is defined by exact Poisson uniformization at rate μ\muμ, with demand, world-jump, and self-loop branches. The infinite-horizon policy cost uses extended nonnegative reals and a supremum of finite-horizon costs, so it can express an infinite expected cost without a default real value. Policies may depend on all past observed states; the goal compares its basestock policy against every feasible deterministic policy in this class. Randomized policies are omitted because they cannot improve expected nonnegative costs on this countable state space.

Assumption 1 is attached only to the results that use it. The linear-cost recursion has K=0K=0K=0 and W0=0W_0=0W0​=0. Integer convexity means nondecreasing forward differences. Smallest minimizers and the minimum across world states are asserted to exist; neither is encoded by an integer infimum that returns a default on an empty or unbounded set. The goal requires an actual optimal policy cost comparison from every state, so solving the limiting optimality equation only within basestock policies cannot close it. Contributions to the lead-time mixture, integer convexity, boundedness of the real series and infima, and unrestricted policy comparison all fit this scope.

Selected references

  • Jing-Sheng Song and Paul Zipkin, Inventory Control in a Fluctuating Demand Environment, Operations Research 41(2):351–370, 1993. DOI 10.1287/opre.41.2.351.
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Edge-Disjoint Spanning Trees of Finite Graphs: A Finite Multigraph Has k Edge-Disjoint Spanning Trees iff Every Partition P of Its Vertices Is Crossed by at Least k(|P| − 1) EdgesResearch Paper

Why edge-disjoint spanning trees

A connected network survives the failure of any single link exactly when it has no bridge, but a stronger and more useful property is to carry several edge-disjoint spanning trees: each tree can broadcast to every node on its own, so kkk such trees give kkk independent routing or broadcast structures, and the network stays connected after any k−1k-1k−1 link failures. The question of when a graph contains kkk edge-disjoint spanning trees was answered in 1961, simultaneously and independently, by W. T. Tutte (On the problem of decomposing a graph into n connected factors) and C. St.J. A. Nash-Williams (Edge-disjoint spanning trees of finite graphs). The answer is a min-max condition over vertex partitions, now called the Tutte–Nash-Williams tree-packing theorem. It is a standard result in combinatorial optimization and the graphic case of Edmonds's matroid base-packing theorem (1965).

Timeline:

  • 1961. Tutte proves the theorem in an equivalent form; Nash-Williams, unaware of Tutte's work, gives a different proof a few months later, the one formalized here.
  • 1964. Nash-Williams proves the companion covering theorem: the edges can be covered by kkk forests iff every vertex set UUU spans at most k(∣U∣−1)k(|U|-1)k(∣U∣−1) edges.
  • 1965. Edmonds derives both results from matroid partition (Minimum partition of a matroid into independent subsets).

Setting

A graph GGG here is a finite unoriented multigraph in which every edge joins two distinct vertices; two vertices may be joined by several edges. Write VVV for its vertex set and EEE for its edge set. A tree on a non-empty vertex set WWW is an edge set TTT, all of whose edges have both ends in WWW, containing no cycle (two parallel edges count as a cycle), such that any two vertices of WWW are joined by a path of TTT-edges. A spanning tree of GGG is a tree on all of VVV using edges of GGG. Spanning trees are edge-disjoint if no two share an edge.

A partition PPP of VVV is a set of non-empty, pairwise disjoint subsets of VVV whose union is VVV; ∣P∣|P|∣P∣ is the number of its members. The crossing edges EP(G)E_P(G)EP​(G) are the edges whose two ends lie in different members of PPP, counted with multiplicity. Throughout, kkk is a fixed positive integer. For X⊆VX \subseteq VX⊆V, EXE_XEX​ is the set of edges with both ends in XXX, eX=∣EX∣e_X = |E_X|eX​=∣EX​∣, and

ΔG(X)=k(∣X∣−1)−eX.\Delta_G(X) = k(|X|-1) - e_X .ΔG​(X)=k(∣X∣−1)−eX​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

G has k edge-disjoint spanning trees  ⟺  ∣EP(G)∣≥k(∣P∣−1) for every partition P of V.(1)G \text{ has } k \text{ edge-disjoint spanning trees} \iff |E_P(G)| \ge k(|P|-1) \text{ for every partition } P \text{ of } V. \tag{1}G has k edge-disjoint spanning trees⟺∣EP​(G)∣≥k(∣P∣−1) for every partition P of V.(1)

Milestones, in the order of the proof

  1. Lemma 1: a tree on WWW has ∣W∣−1|W|-1∣W∣−1 edges. Lemma 2: every connected graph has a spanning tree.
  2. Necessity: kkk edge-disjoint spanning trees imply (1) for every PPP.
  3. (*) On couples [G,g][G,g][G,g] (g≥0g \ge 0g≥0 on vertices, ΔG≥0\Delta_G \ge 0ΔG​≥0 on non-empty sets): critical sets (ΔG=0\Delta_G = 0ΔG​=0) whose intersection is non-empty are closed under ∩\cap∩ and ∪\cup∪. The same holds for crucial sets (Γ=0\Gamma = 0Γ=0, where Γ(X)=ΔG(X)−s+g . Xˉ\Gamma(X) = \Delta_G(X) - s + g\,.\,\bar XΓ(X)=ΔG​(X)−s+g.Xˉ) when the couple is sss-good.
  4. Lemma 3: for s≥1s \ge 1s≥1, an sss-good couple has an (s−1)(s-1)(s−1)-good supercouple with one added edge. Corollary 3A: an sss-good couple has an sss-supercouple, obtained by adding sss edges.
  5. (†) and Lemma 4: a spanning tree of a graph produced by fusions at ξ\xiξ (replacing edges ξη\xi\etaξη, ξζ\xi\zetaξζ by a new edge ηζ\eta\zetaηζ) pulls back to a spanning tree of the original graph.
  6. Lemma 5: a graph with ∣E∣=k(∣V∣−1)|E| = k(|V|-1)∣E∣=k(∣V∣−1) satisfies (1) iff ΔG(X)≥0\Delta_G(X) \ge 0ΔG​(X)≥0 for every non-empty XXX.
  7. Lemma 6: under the inductive hypothesis of the proof, a critical partition other than {V}\{V\}{V} and the partition into singletons yields kkk edge-disjoint spanning trees.

Significance

The theorem gives an exact, checkable certificate in both directions: a family of kkk trees certifies the packing, and a single partition violating (1) certifies that no packing exists. Corollaries include that every 2k2k2k-edge-connected graph has kkk edge-disjoint spanning trees, and that the maximum number of edge-disjoint spanning trees (the strength-type parameter used in network reliability and in Nagamochi–Ibaraki style connectivity algorithms) is the minimum of ⌊∣EP(G)∣/(∣P∣−1)⌋\lfloor |E_P(G)|/(|P|-1) \rfloor⌊∣EP​(G)∣/(∣P∣−1)⌋ over partitions with ∣P∣≥2|P| \ge 2∣P∣≥2. The partition condition is also the prototype of the rank condition in matroid base packing.

The result itself is classical and fully proved. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version in a multigraph setting. Mathlib has trees and spanning trees for simple graphs (SimpleGraph.IsTree, SimpleGraph.Connected.exists_isTree_le), but not edge-disjoint tree packing, and its simple graphs cannot express the parallel edges that the theorem and its proof need. Related items on the platform include the multigraph layer NagamochiIbaraki.EdgeConn.Multigraph (reused here), the Keller–Trotter spanning-forest count for simple graphs, and Edmonds's matroid partition theorem with Nash-Williams's covering corollary. Covering and packing are different statements, so none of these yields Theorem 1 directly. Formalizing Tutte's alternative proof, or deriving Theorem 1 from a formalized matroid union theorem, would also be welcome.

Difficulty

Necessity is a counting argument. The difficulty lies in sufficiency. The obvious induction deletes an edge or contracts a set of vertices, but deleting an edge can destroy (1), and contracting changes the vertex set, so neither reduction preserves the hypothesis on its own. The hardest case is a graph in which only the partition into singletons is critical. There a vertex of degree less than 2k2k2k has to be removed while (1) is preserved on the remaining graph, and the trees found there have to be converted back into trees of the original graph. Both steps need careful bookkeeping of edges incident with that vertex. A simple-graph development cannot carry the argument, because the edges that the reduction adds among the neighbours of the removed vertex may be parallel to existing ones.

Formalization scope

  • Graphs. A vertex type V, an edge type E (both finite, in Type), and ends : E → Sym2 V, the published encoding of NagamochiIbaraki.EdgeConn. Loops are excluded by the hypothesis ∀ e, ¬ (ends e).IsDiag. Parallel edges are allowed, and simplicity is never assumed. A subgraph is a pair (W : Finset V, F : Finset E).
  • Trees. "Tree" means non-empty vertex set, edges inside it, no cycle (IsForest: every edge is a bridge) and connected. ∣T∣=∣W∣−1|T| = |W|-1∣T∣=∣W∣−1 is Lemma 1, not part of the definition. "kkk edge-disjoint spanning trees" is a family Fin k → Finset E of pairwise disjoint spanning trees.
  • Partitions are Mathlib Finpartition (Finset.univ : Finset V). (1) is required for every partition, including the one-part partition and the singletons. All counts involving subtraction (ΔG\Delta_GΔG​, (1), criticality, Γ\GammaΓ) are in Z\mathbb ZZ.
  • Explicit readings. VVV is non-empty in Theorem 1, since the paper's graphs have a vertex and on V=∅V = \emptysetV=∅ condition (1) holds while no tree exists. k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 in every statement. The paper's "X⊂V(G)X \subset V(G)X⊂V(G)" includes X=V(G)X = V(G)X=V(G) and is read as ⊆\subseteq⊆. "Exactly g(ξ)−h(ξ)g(\xi)-h(\xi)g(ξ)−h(ξ) new edges" is written deg⁡new(ξ)+h(ξ)=g(ξ)\deg_{\text{new}}(\xi) + h(\xi) = g(\xi)degnew​(ξ)+h(ξ)=g(ξ), without natural-number subtraction. A supergraph with sss added edges has edge type E ⊕ Fin s, so the added edges always exist; none of them may be a loop. A fusion uses a given fresh edge ρ : E in an ambient edge type, and a sequence of fusions is a list, each valid on the graph produced by the later ones (L=Φ1⋯ΦnGL = \Phi_1\cdots\Phi_n GL=Φ1​⋯Φn​G applies Φn\Phi_nΦn​ first). In (†) and Lemma 4, "is a tree" means "is a spanning tree of GGG", since the vertex set is all of VVV. Lemma 6 carries the paper's inductive hypothesis as an explicit hypothesis: Theorem 1 (admissible implies kkk trees) for all loopless multigraphs with smaller ∣V∣+∣E∣|V|+|E|∣V∣+∣E∣.
  • Ruled out. Defining a spanning tree by an edge count alone, or by acyclicity alone, would make Lemma 1 or the goal trivial; the definitions require both acyclicity and connectivity on the stated vertex set. Taking added edges from a fixed ambient type would make Lemma 3 false. Dropping or globalizing Lemma 6's inductive hypothesis would turn it into the goal or a tautology.
  • Infrastructure. Multigraph trees, the tree edge count and spanning-tree existence, contraction GPG_PGP​ of a partition, and splitting-off at a vertex. All of these are reusable beyond this mission. Contributions of general multigraph lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • C. St.J. A. Nash-Williams, Edge-disjoint spanning trees of finite graphs, J. London Math. Soc. 36 (1961), 445–450. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-36.1.445
  • W. T. Tutte, On the problem of decomposing a graph into n connected factors, J. London Math. Soc. 36 (1961), 221–230. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-36.1.221
  • C. St.J. A. Nash-Williams, Decomposition of finite graphs into forests, J. London Math. Soc. 39 (1964), 12. https://doi.org/10.1112/jlms/s1-39.1.12
  • J. Edmonds, Minimum partition of a matroid into independent subsets, J. Res. Nat. Bur. Standards 69B (1965), 67–72. https://doi.org/10.6028/jres.069B.004
  • C. Berge, Théorie des graphes et ses applications, Dunod, Paris, 1958.
15 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Scenarios and Policy Aggregation in Optimization Under Uncertainty 1: In the Convex Case Progressive Hedging Converges to Optimal Solutions of (P) and (D) Exactly When They ExistResearch Paper

Motivation

Decisions under uncertainty are often modelled by a finite set of scenarios: possible futures s∈Ss\in Ss∈S with weights psp_sps​, each with its own optimization problem. Solving every scenario separately is easy but useless in practice, because the decision taken today cannot depend on which scenario will be revealed tomorrow. Progressive hedging, introduced by Rockafellar and Wets in Scenarios and policy aggregation in optimization under uncertainty (IIASA Working Paper WP-87-119, 1987; Mathematics of Operations Research 16(1), 1991), restores this nonanticipativity by iterating between scenario-wise solves and an averaging step, guided by price systems that act as multipliers. It is the standard decomposition method for multistage stochastic programs and is implemented in widely used software such as PySP/mpi-sppy. This mission formalizes the paper's convergence theorem in the convex case, Theorem 5.1, together with the duality theory of §4 and the proof steps of §5 it rests on.

Setting

Let SSS be a finite set of scenarios with weights ps>0p_s>0ps​>0, ∑sps=1\sum_s p_s=1∑s​ps​=1. For each sss the scenario subproblem (Ps)(P_s)(Ps​) is to minimize fs(x)f_s(x)fs​(x) over x∈Cs⊂Rnx\in C_s\subset\mathbb R^nx∈Cs​⊂Rn, where CsC_sCs​ is nonempty and closed and fsf_sfs​ is locally Lipschitz with bounded level sets {x∈Cs∣fs(x)≤α}\{x\in C_s\mid f_s(x)\le\alpha\}{x∈Cs​∣fs​(x)≤α}. The convex case is when every fsf_sfs​ and CsC_sCs​ is convex.

A decision vector is split by time, x=(x1,…,xT)x=(x_1,\dots,x_T)x=(x1​,…,xT​). A policy is a map X:S→RnX:S\to\mathbb R^nX:S→Rn; the policy space E\mathcal EE carries the inner product ⟨X,Y⟩=∑spsX(s)⋅Y(s)\langle X,Y\rangle=\sum_s p_s X(s)\cdot Y(s)⟨X,Y⟩=∑s​ps​X(s)⋅Y(s) and norm ∥X∥=⟨X,X⟩1/2\|X\|=\langle X,X\rangle^{1/2}∥X∥=⟨X,X⟩1/2. At each time ttt the scenarios are partitioned into bundles A∈AtA\in\mathcal A_tA∈At​ of scenarios that cannot yet be told apart. The aggregation X^=JX\hat X=JXX^=JX replaces Xt(s)X_t(s)Xt​(s) by its ppp-weighted average over the bundle of sss at time ttt, and K=I−JK=I-JK=I−J. The implementable policies are N={X∣Xt\mathcal N=\{X\mid X_tN={X∣Xt​ constant on each A∈At}A\in\mathcal A_t\}A∈At​}, the price systems are M={W∣JW=0}=N⊥\mathcal M=\{W\mid JW=0\}=\mathcal N^\perpM={W∣JW=0}=N⊥, and the admissible policies are C={X∣X(s)∈Cs ∀s}\mathcal C=\{X\mid X(s)\in C_s\ \forall s\}C={X∣X(s)∈Cs​ ∀s}. With F(X)=∑spsfs(X(s))F(X)=\sum_s p_s f_s(X(s))F(X)=∑s​ps​fs​(X(s)) the problem is

(P)minimize F(X) subject to X∈C∩N.(P)\qquad \text{minimize } F(X) \text{ subject to } X\in\mathcal C\cap\mathcal N .(P)minimize F(X) subject to X∈C∩N.

Its Lagrangian is L(X,W)=F(X)+⟨X,W⟩L(X,W)=F(X)+\langle X,W\rangleL(X,W)=F(X)+⟨X,W⟩ on C×M\mathcal C\times\mathcal MC×M, the dual is (D)(D)(D): maximize G(W)=inf⁡X∈CL(X,W)G(W)=\inf_{X\in\mathcal C}L(X,W)G(W)=infX∈C​L(X,W) over W∈MW\in\mathcal MW∈M with G(W)>−∞G(W)>-\inftyG(W)>−∞.

The progressive hedging algorithm fixes r>0r>0r>0, starts from any X0X^0X0 and any W0∈MW^0\in\mathcal MW0∈M, and in iteration ν\nuν sets X^ν=JXν\hat X^\nu=JX^\nuX^ν=JXν, lets Xν+1(s)X^{\nu+1}(s)Xν+1(s) minimize

fs(x)+x⋅Wν(s)+12r ∣x−X^ν(s)∣2over x∈Csf_s(x)+x\cdot W^\nu(s)+\tfrac12 r\,|x-\hat X^\nu(s)|^2\quad\text{over } x\in C_sfs​(x)+x⋅Wν(s)+21​r∣x−X^ν(s)∣2over x∈Cs​

for every scenario, and updates Wν+1=Wν+rKXν+1W^{\nu+1}=W^\nu+rKX^{\nu+1}Wν+1=Wν+rKXν+1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1

In the convex case with exact minimization, the sequences {X^ν}\{\hat X^\nu\}{X^ν} and {Wν}\{W^\nu\}{Wν} are bounded if and only if (P) and (D) have optimal solutions. In that case there are optimal X∗X^*X∗ for (P) and W∗W^*W∗ for (D) with

X^ν→X∗,Wν→W∗,\hat X^\nu\to X^*,\qquad W^\nu\to W^*,X^ν→X∗,Wν→W∗,

and, with ∥(X,W)∥r=(∥X∥2+r−2∥W∥2)1/2\|(X,W)\|_r=(\|X\|^2+r^{-2}\|W\|^2)^{1/2}∥(X,W)∥r​=(∥X∥2+r−2∥W∥2)1/2,

∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X∗,W∗)∥r≤∥(X^ν,Wν)−(X∗,W∗)∥r\|(\hat X^{\nu+1},W^{\nu+1})-(X^*,W^*)\|_r\le\|(\hat X^{\nu},W^{\nu})-(X^*,W^*)\|_r∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X∗,W∗)∥r​≤∥(X^ν,Wν)−(X∗,W∗)∥r​

for all ν≥0\nu\ge0ν≥0, strictly unless (X^ν,Wν)=(X∗,W∗)(\hat X^\nu,W^\nu)=(X^*,W^*)(X^ν,Wν)=(X∗,W∗), and the step lengths ∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X^ν,Wν)∥r\|(\hat X^{\nu+1},W^{\nu+1})-(\hat X^\nu,W^\nu)\|_r∥(X^ν+1,Wν+1)−(X^ν,Wν)∥r​ are nonincreasing from ν=1\nu=1ν=1 on.

Milestones

  1. Propositions 3.1–3.3: existence for the scenario subproblems, the lower bound α^=min⁡CF=E{min⁡(Ps)}≤min⁡(P)\hat\alpha=\min_{\mathcal C}F=E\{\min(P_s)\}\le\min(P)α^=minC​F=E{min(Ps​)}≤min(P), well-posedness of every modified subproblem (unique solution in the convex case), and compact level sets of FFF on C\mathcal CC.
  2. Theorem 4.2 and Proposition 4.4 (in the convex case): the scenario-wise subgradient conditions −W∗(s)∈∂fs(X∗(s))+NCs(X∗(s))-W^*(s)\in\partial f_s(X^*(s))+N_{C_s}(X^*(s))−W∗(s)∈∂fs​(X∗(s))+NCs​​(X∗(s)) are equivalent to a saddle point of LLL, and the analogous conditions are necessary and sufficient for the iterates.
  3. Proposition 4.5 and Theorem 4.6: the perturbation function Φ(U)=min⁡{F(X)∣X∈C, KX=U}\Phi(U)=\min\{F(X)\mid X\in\mathcal C,\ KX=U\}Φ(U)=min{F(X)∣X∈C, KX=U} and the duality −∞<min⁡(P)=sup⁡(D)-\infty<\min(P)=\sup(D)−∞<min(P)=sup(D), argmax⁡(D)=−∂Φ(0)\operatorname{argmax}(D)=-\partial\Phi(0)argmax(D)=−∂Φ(0).
  4. Proposition 5.3: each iteration is the unique saddle point of a proximal saddle function.
  5. From the proof of Theorem 5.1: firm nonexpansiveness (5.26) of the iteration map in ∥⋅∥r\|\cdot\|_r∥⋅∥r​, and the identification of its fixed points with primal–dual optimal pairs.

Significance

Theorem 5.1 is the guarantee behind progressive hedging in the convex case: solving only small scenario problems and averaging, the method finds a nonanticipative optimal policy and an optimal price system whenever these exist, with a distance to the solution that never increases. The dual sequence WνW^\nuWν converges to a solution of (D), which gives the prices of information that the paper interprets economically. Boundedness of the iterates is an exact test for solvability.

The result is classical and fully proved on paper; its proof reduces the algorithm to Rockafellar's proximal point algorithm for a maximal monotone operator. No machine-checked version is known to exist. The mission produces a formal statement and, eventually, a proof of the full chain from scenario data to convergence, including the duality theorem of §4, which is of independent use for scenario-based stochastic programming. A related platform mission in this series treats the nonconvex case (limits of the algorithm satisfy first-order conditions).

Difficulty

The algorithm is not a proximal point method in the variable XXX: it acts on the pair (X^,W)(\hat X,W)(X^,W), and the averaged policy X^ν\hat X^\nuX^ν is in general not admissible while XνX^\nuXν is in general not implementable. The step that fails in a direct attempt is showing that the map (X^ν,Wν)↦(X^ν+1,Wν+1)(\hat X^\nu,W^\nu)\mapsto(\hat X^{\nu+1},W^{\nu+1})(X^ν,Wν)↦(X^ν+1,Wν+1) is firmly nonexpansive, which requires recognizing it as the resolvent of the monotone operator of a saddle function restricted to N×M\mathcal N\times\mathcal MN×M, in the rescaled norm ∥⋅∥r\|\cdot\|_r∥⋅∥r​ rather than in the original product norm. A second difficulty is duality: identifying the fixed points of the iteration with optimal pairs of (P) and (D) needs the convex duality theory of §4 for an extended-real-valued perturbation function without any constraint qualification.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n); policies are functions S → EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with S a Fintype. Time periods are a monotone map assigning each coordinate to its period, and each At\mathcal A_tAt​ is a Setoid S; no refinement between periods is assumed. The standing assumptions of §3 are fields of the model structure, and the convex case is a separate hypothesis.

The inner product (2.2), norm (2.3) and ∥⋅∥r\|\cdot\|_r∥⋅∥r​ (5.2) are explicit weighted sums. Mathlib's norm on a function type is the sup norm; it is used only for topology (boundedness, convergence, local Lipschitz continuity, compactness), which coincides with that of (2.3) in finite dimension. Stating (5.3) or (5.26) with Mathlib's sup norm would change the inequalities and is ruled out. Optimal values min⁡(P)\min(P)min(P), sup⁡(D)\sup(D)sup(D), GGG, Φ\PhiΦ, α^\hat\alphaα^ and ℓ\ellℓ are EReal infima and suprema, so that infeasibility gives +∞+\infty+∞ and an unbounded dual objective gives −∞-\infty−∞; real-valued sInf would silently return 000 there. A solution of (D) must have G(W∗)>−∞G(W^*)>-\inftyG(W∗)>−∞. The algorithm is a predicate on sequences, with X0X^0X0 arbitrary and W0∈MW^0\in\mathcal MW0∈M; Proposition 3.2 shows the predicate is satisfiable.

Subgradients and normal cones are those of convex analysis; the normal cone is the published definition FirstOrderOpt.ConvexTheory.normalCone. Not formalized: the nonconvex (Clarke) parts of §4, the linear-quadratic case and its rate result, and inexact minimization.

A complete development needs: separable minimization over product sets, finite-dimensional compactness arguments, convex duality for a perturbation function on a subspace, and the convergence of the proximal point algorithm for maximal monotone operators (Rockafellar 1976, Theorem 1 and Proposition 1). The last two are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions of either as standalone results are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Scenarios and policy aggregation in optimization under uncertainty, IIASA Working Paper WP-87-119, 1987; Mathematics of Operations Research 16(1):119–147, 1991. https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/2933/ — https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.16.1.119
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Monotone operators and the proximal point algorithm, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 14(5):877–898, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1137/0314056
  • G. J. Minty, Monotone (nonlinear) operators in Hilbert space, Duke Mathematical Journal 29(3):341–346, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1215/S0012-7094-62-02933-2
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
15 thms1 active userReviewed
Convex OptimizationFunctional Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Convex Programming: Basic Duality 1: With Bounded Constraint Sets the Two-Stage Stochastic Convex Program Satisfies min P = sup DResearch Paper

Motivation

A two-stage stochastic program with recourse models a decision taken in two steps: a first-stage decision is fixed before a random outcome is observed, and a second-stage (recourse) decision is chosen after the outcome is known, both subject to constraints and both incurring costs. The model is the standard framework for planning under uncertainty in operations research: capacity planning, production and inventory, energy dispatch, finance.

For linear recourse problems, duality was developed in the 1960s and early 1970s by Wets and others, partly under integrability restrictions on the random data. R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Stochastic convex programming: basic duality (Pacific J. Math. 62 (1976), doi:10.2140/pjm.1976.62.173), treat the convex case, where every cost and constraint function is convex, by embedding the problem in a family of perturbed problems and applying the perturbational theory of convex duality (Rockafellar, Conjugate Duality and Optimization, SIAM 1974) together with the theory of convex integral functionals. The paper's dual variables are integrable price systems, interpreted as equilibrium prices for perturbations of the constraints; it is the starting point of a series of papers by the same authors on stochastic convex programming (relatively complete recourse, Kuhn–Tucker conditions, singular multipliers).

Setting

Let (S,Σ,σ)(S,\Sigma,\sigma)(S,Σ,σ) be a probability space. A vector x1∈Rn1x_1\in\mathbb R^{n_1}x1​∈Rn1​ is chosen subject to x1∈C1x_1\in C_1x1​∈C1​ and f1i(x1)≤0f_{1i}(x_1)\le 0f1i​(x1​)≤0 (i=1,…,m1i=1,\dots,m_1i=1,…,m1​), at cost f10(x1)f_{10}(x_1)f10​(x1​). Then s∈Ss\in Ss∈S is observed and x2(s)∈Rn2x_2(s)\in\mathbb R^{n_2}x2​(s)∈Rn2​ is chosen subject to x2(s)∈C2x_2(s)\in C_2x2​(s)∈C2​ and f2i(s,x1,x2(s))≤0f_{2i}(s,x_1,x_2(s))\le 0f2i​(s,x1​,x2​(s))≤0 (i=1,…,m2i=1,\dots,m_2i=1,…,m2​), at cost f20(s,x1,x2(s))f_{20}(s,x_1,x_2(s))f20​(s,x1​,x2​(s)). The aim is to minimize the expected cost

f10(x1)+∫Sf20(s,x1,x2(s)) σ(ds).f_{10}(x_1)+\int_S f_{20}(s,x_1,x_2(s))\,\sigma(ds).f10​(x1​)+∫S​f20​(s,x1​,x2​(s))σ(ds).

The standing assumptions are: C1C_1C1​, C2C_2C2​ convex, closed and nonempty; f1if_{1i}f1i​ and f2i(s,⋅,⋅)f_{2i}(s,\cdot,\cdot)f2i​(s,⋅,⋅) convex and finite everywhere; s↦f2i(s,x1,x2)s\mapsto f_{2i}(s,x_1,x_2)s↦f2i​(s,x1​,x2​) measurable, summable for i=0i=0i=0 and bounded for i≥1i\ge 1i≥1.

Decisions live in X=Rn1×Ln2∞X=\mathbb R^{n_1}\times\mathcal L^\infty_{n_2}X=Rn1​×Ln2​∞​ and perturbations in U=Rm1×Lm2∞U=\mathbb R^{m_1}\times\mathcal L^\infty_{m_2}U=Rm1​×Lm2​∞​. The perturbation functional F(x,u)F(x,u)F(x,u) is the expected cost if xxx satisfies the constraints with right-hand sides u1u_1u1​ and, almost surely, u2(s)u_2(s)u2​(s), and +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise. The problem P\mathbf PP minimizes F(x,0)F(x,0)F(x,0).

The space Y=Rm1×Lm21Y=\mathbb R^{m_1}\times\mathcal L^1_{m_2}Y=Rm1​×Lm2​1​ is paired with UUU by ⟨u,y⟩=u1⋅y1+∫Su2(s)⋅y2(s) σ(ds)\langle u,y\rangle=u_1\cdot y_1+\int_S u_2(s)\cdot y_2(s)\,\sigma(ds)⟨u,y⟩=u1​⋅y1​+∫S​u2​(s)⋅y2​(s)σ(ds), and V=Rn1×Ln21V=\mathbb R^{n_1}\times\mathcal L^1_{n_2}V=Rn1​×Ln2​1​ with XXX in the same way. The Lagrangian is L(x,y)=inf⁡u∈U{⟨u,y⟩+F(x,u)}L(x,y)=\inf_{u\in U}\{\langle u,y\rangle+F(x,u)\}L(x,y)=infu∈U​{⟨u,y⟩+F(x,u)}, the dual D\mathbf DD maximizes g(y)=inf⁡x∈XL(x,y)g(y)=\inf_{x\in X}L(x,y)g(y)=infx∈X​L(x,y) over y∈Yy\in Yy∈Y, and the perturbation function is φ(u)=inf⁡x∈XF(x,u)\varphi(u)=\inf_{x\in X}F(x,u)φ(u)=infx∈X​F(x,u). Conjugates φ∗\varphi^*φ∗, φ∗∗\varphi^{**}φ∗∗ are taken with respect to the pairing of UUU with YYY.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

If C1C_1C1​ and C2C_2C2​ are bounded, then

min⁡P=sup⁡D>−∞,\min\mathbf P=\sup\mathbf D>-\infty,minP=supD>−∞,

and in fact φ\varphiφ is a proper convex function on UUU, lower semicontinuous for the weak topology σ(U,Y)\sigma(U,Y)σ(U,Y), the infimum defining φ(u)\varphi(u)φ(u) is attained for every u∈Uu\in Uu∈U, and φ∗∗=φ\varphi^{**}=\varphiφ∗∗=φ. The goal is the theorem exactly as printed, all conclusions included.

Milestones

  1. p. 174: for bounded measurable x1(⋅)x_1(\cdot)x1​(⋅), x2(⋅)x_2(\cdot)x2​(⋅), the functions s↦f2i(s,x1(s),x2(s))s\mapsto f_{2i}(s,x_1(s),x_2(s))s↦f2i​(s,x1​(s),x2​(s)) are measurable, summable for i=0i=0i=0 and essentially bounded for i≥1i\ge1i≥1.
  2. Proposition 3: FFF is convex, not identically +∞+\infty+∞, and lower semicontinuous on X×UX\times UX×U for the norm topology and for the weak topology induced by V×YV\times YV×Y.
  3. (4.9): with C1,C2C_1,C_2C1​,C2​ bounded, X0={x:x1∈C1, x2(s)∈C2 a.s.}X_0=\{x: x_1\in C_1,\ x_2(s)\in C_2\text{ a.s.}\}X0​={x:x1​∈C1​, x2​(s)∈C2​ a.s.} is weakly compact in XXX, and X0′={x2∈Ln2∞:x2(s)∈C2 a.s.}X_0'=\{x_2\in\mathcal L^\infty_{n_2}: x_2(s)\in C_2\text{ a.s.}\}X0′​={x2​∈Ln2​∞​:x2​(s)∈C2​ a.s.} is compact in σ(Ln2∞,Ln21)\sigma(\mathcal L^\infty_{n_2},\mathcal L^1_{n_2})σ(Ln2​∞​,Ln2​1​).
  4. (4.1): g(y)=inf⁡u{⟨u,y⟩+φ(u)}=−φ∗(−y)g(y)=\inf_{u}\{\langle u,y\rangle+\varphi(u)\}=-\varphi^*(-y)g(y)=infu​{⟨u,y⟩+φ(u)}=−φ∗(−y).
  5. (4.2): φ∗∗(0)=sup⁡D\varphi^{**}(0)=\sup\mathbf Dφ∗∗(0)=supD.

The mission also poses the explicit form (1.8) of the Lagrangian and Corollary 1 (dual solutions are the negatives of subgradients of φ\varphiφ at 000; saddle-point characterization of primal solutions when ∂φ(0)≠∅\partial\varphi(0)\ne\emptyset∂φ(0)=∅).

Significance

Theorem 3 gives, for bounded constraint sets, the absence of a duality gap between a convex recourse problem with essentially bounded decisions and its Lagrangian dual over integrable multipliers, together with existence of an optimal decision. Through Corollary 1 it reduces the necessity of the Kuhn–Tucker (saddle-point) optimality conditions to the single question whether ∂φ(0)\partial\varphi(0)∂φ(0) is nonempty, and through the paper's later results it describes the directional derivatives of the optimal value with respect to perturbations of the constraints.

The result has been proved since 1976; it has not been machine-checked. A formal development produces the problem model on L∞\mathcal L^\inftyL∞ and L1\mathcal L^1L1 spaces, the weak topologies of the pairings, and conjugate duality for extended-real-valued functions on such paired spaces, none of which is currently available as a ready-made Lean statement on this platform.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at two points. First, inf⁡P=sup⁡D\inf\mathbf P=\sup\mathbf DinfP=supD is φ(0)=φ∗∗(0)\varphi(0)=\varphi^{**}(0)φ(0)=φ∗∗(0), and the biconjugate equals φ\varphiφ only for a lower semicontinuous proper convex function in a topology compatible with the pairing. Lower semicontinuity of φ\varphiφ in the norm topology of UUU is not enough: the pairing is with L1\mathcal L^1L1, not with the norm dual of L∞\mathcal L^\inftyL∞, so the relevant topology is the weak topology σ(U,Y)\sigma(U,Y)σ(U,Y), and an infimum of lower semicontinuous functions is in general not lower semicontinuous. Second, the lower semicontinuity of FFF itself, in the weak topology, is a statement about convex integral functionals on L∞\mathcal L^\inftyL∞ that rests on measurability of the integrands in sss jointly with continuity in the decision variables. Boundedness of C1C_1C1​, C2C_2C2​ is what supplies the compactness that is otherwise missing.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is Fin n → ℝ and the products u1⋅y1u_1\cdot y_1u1​⋅y1​, u2(s)⋅y2(s)u_2(s)\cdot y_2(s)u2​(s)⋅y2​(s) are dot products. Constraint indices i=1,…,mi=1,\dots,mi=1,…,m are Fin m.
  • Ln∞\mathcal L^\infty_nLn∞​ and Ln1\mathcal L^1_nLn1​ are Mathlib's Lp (Fin n → ℝ) ⊤ σ and Lp (Fin n → ℝ) 1 σ, spaces of almost-everywhere classes; all second-stage conditions are stated almost surely. σ\sigmaσ is a probability measure (IsProbabilityMeasure).
  • Values in R∪{±∞}\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\}R∪{±∞} are EReal; infima and suprema are lattice operations in EReal, so there are no junk values for empty or unbounded sets. Every sum has a real first summand, so no ∞−∞\infty-\infty∞−∞ convention enters.
  • The expected cost is a real Bochner integral; its integrand is summable for x2∈L∞x_2\in\mathcal L^\inftyx2​∈L∞ (milestone 1), so it is the true expected cost. No extended-real-valued function is ever integrated.
  • A weak topology "induced by the pairing" is the coarsest topology making every functional of the pairing continuous; the product weak topology on X×UX\times UX×U is the product of the two. These are passed explicitly. Replacing them by the norm topologies would make the lower semicontinuity statements strictly weaker and the compactness statement false; such a formalization does not count.
  • An extended-real function is convex when its epigraph is convex, and proper when it never takes −∞-\infty−∞ and is somewhere finite.
  • Boundedness of C1C_1C1​, C2C_2C2​ is assumed exactly where the paper assumes it: Theorem 3, (4.9) and Corollary 1.

A complete development needs the identification of L∞\mathcal L^\inftyL∞ with the dual of L1\mathcal L^1L1 on a probability space (for weak-* compactness), lower semicontinuity of convex integral functionals, and conjugate duality on paired locally convex spaces. These are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of milestones, and of auxiliary lemmas of this kind as separate theorems, are welcome. The mission Stochastic Convex Programming: Basic Duality 2 formalizes the paper's other main result, on the first-stage problem and attainment of the recourse.

Selected references

  • R. T. Rockafellar and R. J.-B. Wets, Stochastic convex programming: basic duality, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 62(1) (1976) 173–195. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1976.62.173
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Conjugate Duality and Optimization, CBMS-NSF Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics 16, SIAM, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611970524
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Integrals which are convex functionals, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 24(3) (1968) 525–539. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1968.24.525
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Integrals which are convex functionals, II, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 39(2) (1971) 439–469. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1971.39.439
  • R. J.-B. Wets, Stochastic programs with fixed recourse: the equivalent deterministic program, SIAM Review 16(3) (1974) 309–339. https://doi.org/10.1137/1016053
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Linear algebraOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Strongly Regular Generalized Equations II: Schur-Complement Criterion — A₁₁ Nonsingular and (A/A₁₁) Positive Definite Make (A + ∂ψ_{ℝʳ×K})⁻¹ Lipschitz on ℝ^{r+s}; for K = ℝˢ₊, P-Matrix IffResearch Paper

Motivation

A constrained system can be written as a generalized equation: a smooth or linear expression must balance the normal cone of a feasible set. This form includes variational inequalities and the first-order conditions of many optimization problems. It is useful to know whether a small change in the right-hand side determines one nearby solution and how far that solution moves. In the linear finite-dimensional case, Robinson's Theorem 3.1 gives matrix conditions that guarantee something stronger: a unique solution for every right-hand side, with one Lipschitz bound valid over the entire space. The theorem also identifies an exact matrix criterion when the feasible set is a product with a nonnegative orthant.

The question is relevant whenever some coordinates of a system are free and others are constrained by inequalities. Eliminating the free coordinates produces a smaller matrix, the Schur complement. The resulting condition can be checked on the reduced block, and in the orthant case it becomes the familiar P-matrix criterion from linear complementarity. Robinson states both claims in a single theorem and relates them to the behavior of a generalized equation rather than to an isolated matrix property Robinson, pp. 51–52.

Setting

Let r,sr,sr,s be positive integers and give Rr+s\mathbb R^{r+s}Rr+s its Euclidean norm. Write w=(w1,w2)w=(w_1,w_2)w=(w1​,w2​), with w1∈Rrw_1\in\mathbb R^rw1​∈Rr and w2∈Rsw_2\in\mathbb R^sw2​∈Rs. Let K⊆RsK\subseteq\mathbb R^sK⊆Rs be nonempty, closed, and convex, and put D=Rr×KD=\mathbb R^r\times KD=Rr×K. For w∈Dw\in Dw∈D, the normal cone is

ND(w)={v∈Rr+s:⟨v,c−w⟩≤0 for every c∈D}.N_D(w)=\{v\in\mathbb R^{r+s}:\langle v,c-w\rangle\leq0\text{ for every }c\in D\}.ND​(w)={v∈Rr+s:⟨v,c−w⟩≤0 for every c∈D}.

For w∉Dw\notin Dw∈/D, ND(w)N_D(w)ND​(w) is empty. Thus the inclusion y∈Aw+ND(w)y\in Aw+N_D(w)y∈Aw+ND​(w) itself enforces feasibility. This is Robinson's indicator-subdifferential convention Robinson, pp. 43 and 51.

Partition the real square matrix AAA into blocks A11A_{11}A11​, A12A_{12}A12​, A21A_{21}A21​, and A22A_{22}A22​, where A11A_{11}A11​ is r×rr\times rr×r. When A11A_{11}A11​ is nonsingular, its Schur complement in AAA is

A/A11=A22−A21A11−1A12.A/A_{11}=A_{22}-A_{21}A_{11}^{-1}A_{12}.A/A11​=A22​−A21​A11−1​A12​.

A real matrix MMM is positive definite in the theorem's sense when v⊤Mv>0v^\top Mv>0v⊤Mv>0 for every nonzero vvv. Symmetry is not assumed. A P-matrix has strictly positive determinants for every nonempty principal submatrix. Write R+s\mathbb R^s_+R+s​ for the vectors with all components nonnegative. These conventions are stated or used in Theorem 3.1 and its proof.

Formalization targets

General closed convex set

For TK(w)=Aw+NRr×K(w)T_K(w)=Aw+N_{\mathbb R^r\times K}(w)TK​(w)=Aw+NRr×K​(w), the first target is the sufficient condition

det⁡A11≠0andv⊤(A/A11)v>0  (v≠0)⟹TK−1:Rr+s→Rr+s is Lipschitz.\det A_{11}\ne0\quad\text{and}\quad v^\top(A/A_{11})v>0\;(v\ne0) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad T_K^{-1}:\mathbb R^{r+s}\to\mathbb R^{r+s}\text{ is Lipschitz}.detA11​=0andv⊤(A/A11​)v>0(v=0)⟹TK−1​:Rr+s→Rr+s is Lipschitz.

Here “is Lipschitz” includes that exactly one inverse value exists at every yyy. The assertion holds for every nonempty closed convex KKK; it is not restricted to polyhedral sets.

Nonnegative orthant

When K=R+sK=\mathbb R^s_+K=R+s​, the second target is an equivalence:

TR+s−1 is everywhere defined, single-valued and Lipschitz⟺det⁡A11≠0 and A/A11 is a P-matrix.T_{\mathbb R^s_+}^{-1}\text{ is everywhere defined, single-valued and Lipschitz} \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \det A_{11}\ne0\text{ and }A/A_{11}\text{ is a P-matrix}.TR+s​−1​ is everywhere defined, single-valued and Lipschitz⟺detA11​=0 and A/A11​ is a P-matrix.

The goal theorem is the conjunction of these two statements, matching Theorem 3.1. Its milestones record the paper's local upper Lipschitz assertion for polyhedral multifunctions, the block reduction, the reduced inverse result, the complementarity characterization, and the necessity of nonsingularity.

Significance

The first part gives a global sensitivity guarantee for a generalized equation with an arbitrary nonempty closed convex lower-block constraint. For any two right-hand sides, their unique solutions differ by at most a fixed multiple of the distance between those right-hand sides. The second part tells when this guarantee holds for the orthant model: the P-matrix condition is necessary as well as sufficient. These are the precise conclusions of Robinson's theorem; the mission concerns their machine-checked formalization, not an unresolved mathematical conjecture.

A complete development would provide reusable definitions of the normal-cone generalized equation, an explicitly nonsymmetric notion of positive definiteness, P-matrices, and the global inverse property. It would also formalize the linear complementarity characterization quoted in the paper. The current draft has Lean-checked statements with proof placeholders. No proof of Theorem 3.1 or of its milestones is claimed here.

Difficulty

Nonsingularity of the full matrix AAA alone does not decide whether the constrained inverse exists uniquely: the normal cone can change as w2w_2w2​ reaches different faces of KKK. A pointwise uniqueness argument also does not by itself supply one Lipschitz constant on all of Rr+s\mathbb R^{r+s}Rr+s. For the orthant case, checking only the full determinant or leading principal minors would miss the criterion Robinson invokes; every nonempty principal minor matters. The difficulty is to connect a global statement about all right-hand sides with the reduced matrix condition while preserving the normal cone's behavior at boundary points Robinson, pp. 51–52.

Formalization scope

Lean represents Rr+s\mathbb R^{r+s}Rr+s as a Euclidean space indexed by the disjoint union of Fin(r)\mathrm{Fin}(r)Fin(r) and Fin(s)\mathrm{Fin}(s)Fin(s). This gives the paper's Euclidean norm rather than the sup norm of a product type. The normal cone is empty off its set, and the inverse property explicitly requires existence for every right-hand side, uniqueness, and one global real Lipschitz bound. The Schur complement appears only with a nonsingular A11A_{11}A11​ in the substantive claims; matrix inversion on a singular input would otherwise be totalized by Lean. Positive definiteness does not add a symmetry hypothesis. The goal retains r,s>0r,s>0r,s>0 as printed; the paper's later remark about zero-dimensional blocks is outside this theorem.

The polyhedral milestones use finite intersections of closed half-spaces. The reduced-operator milestone uses a nonempty closed convex KKK, matching the theorem's setting. The LCP milestone allows any finite dimension; at dimension zero, both its universal uniqueness statement and its empty-minor P-matrix condition hold. A weaker encoding in which the inverse is merely single-valued where it happens to exist would erase the global conclusion and is excluded here.

Solvers can contribute the block-normal-cone equivalence, the global inverse statement for the reduced operator, the polyhedral Lipschitz result, the P-matrix characterization, and the final theorem. The normal-cone and matrix definitions can also serve later generalized-equation missions that use the same conventions.

Selected references

  • S. M. Robinson, Strongly Regular Generalized Equations, Mathematics of Operations Research 5(1), 43–62, 1980. DOI 10.1287/moor.5.1.43.
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Functional AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Strongly Regular Generalized Equations I: Implicit-Function Theorem — the Solution x(p) of 0 ∈ f(p, x) + ∂ψ_C(x) Is Locally Unique with ‖x(p) − x(q)‖ ≤ (λ + ε)‖f(p, x(q)) − f(q, x(q))‖Research Paper

Motivation

Many problems of optimization and equilibrium can be written as one inclusion. Some examples are the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions of a nonlinear program, nonlinear complementarity problems, variational inequalities and the equilibrium conditions of economic and traffic models. In each of them a point xxx has to satisfy 0∈f(x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(x)+∂ψC​(x). In applications the data fff depend on parameters: estimated coefficients, prices, or the iterate of an algorithm. One then wants to know whether a solution persists under a perturbation of the parameter, whether it stays locally unique, and how fast it moves. For a smooth equation f(p,x)=0f(p, x) = 0f(p,x)=0 the classical implicit-function theorem answers all three questions. Inequality constraints make the solution set nonsmooth, and the classical theorem no longer applies.

S. M. Robinson's paper Strongly regular generalized equations (Math. Oper. Res. 5 (1980) 43–62) introduced the condition of strong regularity and proved an implicit-function theorem for generalized equations under it. The condition and the theorem became the starting point of the stability theory of variational inequalities and nonlinear programs. Later work characterises strong regularity for nonlinear programs (Robinson's own §4, through the strong second-order sufficient condition), and develops it in the theory of metric regularity and of single-valued Lipschitz localisations (Dontchev–Rockafellar, Implicit Functions and Solution Mappings, Springer 2009/2014). Its sensitivity results underlie the convergence analysis of Newton and sequential quadratic programming methods for these problems.

This mission formalizes §1–§2 of the paper: the definition, the implicit-function theorem (Theorem 2.1) with its proof, and the three results derived from it.

Setting

Let XXX be a real normed linear space and X′X'X′ its topological dual, the continuous linear functionals on XXX. Let C⊆XC \subseteq XC⊆X be closed and convex. The normal-cone operator of CCC is

∂ψC(x)={{y∈X′:y(c−x)≤0 for all c∈C},x∈C,∅,x∉C.\partial\psi_C(x) = \begin{cases} \{y \in X' : y(c - x) \le 0 \text{ for all } c \in C\}, & x \in C, \\ \emptyset, & x \notin C. \end{cases}∂ψC​(x)={{y∈X′:y(c−x)≤0 for all c∈C},∅,​x∈C,x∈/C.​

A generalized equation is the inclusion 0∈f(x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(x)+∂ψC​(x), for a function fff from an open set Ω⊆X\Omega \subseteq XΩ⊆X to X′X'X′. For C=XC = XC=X it is the equation f(x)=0f(x) = 0f(x)=0. For CCC the nonnegative orthant of Rn\mathbb R^nRn it is the nonlinear complementarity problem. For a general closed convex CCC it is the variational inequality over CCC.

Let x0∈Ωx_0 \in \Omegax0​∈Ω solve the generalized equation, and let fff be Fréchet differentiable at x0x_0x0​. Linearising fff gives the multifunction

Tx=f(x0)+f′(x0)(x−x0)+∂ψC(x).T x = f(x_0) + f'(x_0)(x - x_0) + \partial\psi_C(x).Tx=f(x0​)+f′(x0​)(x−x0​)+∂ψC​(x).

The generalized equation is strongly regular at x0x_0x0​ with associated Lipschitz constant λ\lambdaλ if there are neighbourhoods UUU of 000 in X′X'X′ and VVV of x0x_0x0​ with the following property: for every y∈Uy \in Uy∈U the inclusion y∈Txy \in Txy∈Tx has exactly one solution s(y)s(y)s(y) in VVV, and ∥s(y1)−s(y2)∥≤λ∥y1−y2∥\|s(y_1) - s(y_2)\| \le \lambda \|y_1 - y_2\|∥s(y1​)−s(y2​)∥≤λ∥y1​−y2​∥ on UUU. The condition depends only on f(x0)f(x_0)f(x0​), f′(x0)f'(x_0)f′(x0​) and CCC.

In the parametric problem the function is f(p,x)f(p, x)f(p,x), with ppp in a topological space PPP and base point p0p_0p0​. Its partial derivative in xxx is f′(p,x)f'(p, x)f′(p,x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.1 (p. 45)

Assume that f′f'f′ exists on P×ΩP \times \OmegaP×Ω, that fff and f′f'f′ are continuous at (p0,x0)(p_0, x_0)(p0​,x0​), and that x0x_0x0​ solves 0∈f(p0,x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(p_0, x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(p0​,x)+∂ψC​(x), strongly regularly with constant λ\lambdaλ. Then for every ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 there are neighbourhoods NεN_\varepsilonNε​ of p0p_0p0​ and WεW_\varepsilonWε​ of x0x_0x0​, and a function x:Nε→Wεx : N_\varepsilon \to W_\varepsilonx:Nε​→Wε​, with two properties. First, x(p)x(p)x(p) is the unique solution in WεW_\varepsilonWε​ of 0∈f(p,x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(p, x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(p,x)+∂ψC​(x). Second,

∥x(p)−x(q)∥≤(λ+ε) ∥f(p,x(q))−f(q,x(q))∥(p,q∈Nε).\|x(p) - x(q)\| \le (\lambda + \varepsilon)\,\|f(p, x(q)) - f(q, x(q))\| \qquad (p, q \in N_\varepsilon).∥x(p)−x(q)∥≤(λ+ε)∥f(p,x(q))−f(q,x(q))∥(p,q∈Nε​).

Milestones: the steps of the proof (p. 46)

Write LLL for the linearisation at (p0,x0)(p_0, x_0)(p0​,x0​), r(p,x)=f(p0,x0)+f′(p0,x0)(x−x0)−f(p,x)r(p, x) = f(p_0, x_0) + f'(p_0, x_0)(x - x_0) - f(p, x)r(p,x)=f(p0​,x0​)+f′(p0​,x0​)(x−x0​)−f(p,x) for the residual, and Φp(x)=V∩L−1[r(p,x)]\Phi_p(x) = V \cap L^{-1}[r(p, x)]Φp​(x)=V∩L−1[r(p,x)]. The milestones are four claims of the proof:

  1. On the closed ball VεV_\varepsilonVε​, the fixed points of Φp\Phi_pΦp​ are exactly the solutions of the perturbed inclusion.
  2. ∥Φp(x1)−Φp(x2)∥≤λδ∥x1−x2∥\|\Phi_p(x_1) - \Phi_p(x_2)\| \le \lambda\delta \|x_1 - x_2\|∥Φp​(x1​)−Φp​(x2​)∥≤λδ∥x1​−x2​∥ on VεV_\varepsilonVε​.
  3. Φp\Phi_pΦp​ maps VεV_\varepsilonVε​ into itself.
  4. The contraction principle on VεV_\varepsilonVε​, with the bound ∥x(p)−x∥≤(1−λδ)−1∥Φp(x)−x∥\|x(p) - x\| \le (1 - \lambda\delta)^{-1} \|\Phi_p(x) - x\|∥x(p)−x∥≤(1−λδ)−1∥Φp​(x)−x∥ (2.5).

Companion results

  • Corollary 2.2 (pp. 46–47). If PPP lies in a normed space and ∥f(p,x)−f(q,x)∥≤ν∥p−q∥\|f(p, x) - f(q, x)\| \le \nu \|p - q\|∥f(p,x)−f(q,x)∥≤ν∥p−q∥, then x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) is Lipschitzian with modulus ν(λ+ε)\nu(\lambda + \varepsilon)ν(λ+ε).
  • Theorem 2.3 (p. 47). Let Φp(x0)\Phi_p(x_0)Φp​(x0​) be the unique local solution of the linear generalized equation 0∈f(p,x0)+f′(p0,x0)(x−x0)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(p, x_0) + f'(p_0, x_0)(x - x_0) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(p,x0​)+f′(p0​,x0​)(x−x0​)+∂ψC​(x). Then ∥x(p)−Φp(x0)∥≤αε(p)∥p−p0∥\|x(p) - \Phi_p(x_0)\| \le \alpha_\varepsilon(p)\|p - p_0\|∥x(p)−Φp​(x0​)∥≤αε​(p)∥p−p0​∥, with αε(p)→0\alpha_\varepsilon(p) \to 0αε​(p)→0.
  • Theorem 2.4 (p. 48). This is a perturbation lemma for linear generalized equations 0∈Ax+a+∂ψC(x)0 \in Ax + a + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈Ax+a+∂ψC​(x). Near (A0,a0)(A_0, a_0)(A0​,a0​) the localised inverse stays single-valued, and it is Lipschitzian with modulus λ(1−λ∥A−A0∥)−1\lambda(1 - \lambda\|A - A_0\|)^{-1}λ(1−λ∥A−A0​∥)−1.
  • The case C=XC = XC=X (remark on p. 45). There strong regularity is equivalent to f′(x0)f'(x_0)f′(x0​) having a continuous linear inverse.
  • Strong regularity is the weakest possible condition (remark on p. 47). For the canonical perturbation f(p,x)=f(x0)+f′(x0)(x−x0)−pf(p,x) = f(x_0) + f'(x_0)(x - x_0) - pf(p,x)=f(x0​)+f′(x0​)(x−x0​)−p, p∈X′p \in X'p∈X′, locally unique solvability with a Lipschitzian solution map x(⋅)x(\cdot)x(⋅) near p0=0p_0 = 0p0​=0 is exactly strong regularity at x0x_0x0​.

Significance

Theorem 2.1 reduces the stability of a nonsmooth problem to a property of one linearised problem at the base point. Once strong regularity is checked at x0x_0x0​, the solution exists, is locally unique and moves in a Lipschitz manner for every nearby parameter. Corollary 2.2 and Theorem 2.3 make this quantitative. Theorem 2.3 shows that a linear complementarity problem or a quadratic program approximates the nonlinear solution to first order. Theorem 2.4 is the analogue of Banach's perturbation lemma, which keeps an operator invertible under small perturbations. The later sections of the paper give checkable criteria for strong regularity: a Schur-complement test, a reduced-form test over polyhedral sets, and second-order conditions for nonlinear programs. Those criteria are the subject of the companion missions II–IV.

The theorems have been proved since 1980 and have been restated in textbooks. No machine-checked version of strong regularity or of this implicit-function theorem is known. Mathlib has the classical implicit- and inverse-function theorems for C1C^1C1 maps between Banach spaces, and the contraction mapping principle. It has nothing on normal-cone operators, generalized equations or Lipschitz localisations. The formalization adds this layer. It also shows that Theorem 2.1 needs no completeness of XXX.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to apply the classical implicit-function theorem. It fails because x↦f(x)+∂ψC(x)x \mapsto f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)x↦f(x)+∂ψC​(x) is set-valued and is not differentiable in any useful sense. The inverse is localised only to a neighbourhood VVV and is single-valued only there. So every step must keep the iterates inside sets on which strong regularity says something. The neighbourhoods have to be chosen in the right order: δ\deltaδ from ε\varepsilonε, then UUU and VVV, then the ball radius ρ\rhoρ, then the parameter neighbourhood. The estimate (2.4) has to come out with the constant λ+ε\lambda + \varepsilonλ+ε and no larger. The page applies the contraction principle in a space it calls only normed. A faithful proof must also obtain the fixed point without completeness of XXX, for example through the completeness of X′X'X′.

Formalization scope

  • X′X'X′ is StrongDual ℝ X, the normal cone is a Set (StrongDual ℝ X) that is empty off CCC, and an inclusion 0∈f(x)+∂ψC(x)0 \in f(x) + \partial\psi_C(x)0∈f(x)+∂ψC​(x) is written −f(x)∈∂ψC(x)-f(x) \in \partial\psi_C(x)−f(x)∈∂ψC​(x).
  • Strong regularity is a predicate on (C,f(x0),f′(x0),x0,λ)(C, f(x_0), f'(x_0), x_0, \lambda)(C,f(x0​),f′(x0​),x0​,λ) with real λ\lambdaλ. It requires existence, uniqueness in VVV and the Lipschitz bound.
  • fff is a total function P×X→X′P \times X \to X'P×X→X′ whose values off P×ΩP \times \OmegaP×Ω carry no hypothesis. The conclusion therefore asserts Wε⊆ΩW_\varepsilon \subseteq \OmegaWε​⊆Ω.
  • Differentiability is HasFDerivAt at every point of Ω\OmegaΩ, for every ppp. Continuity of f′f'f′ at (p0,x0)(p_0, x_0)(p0​,x0​) is joint and in operator norm.
  • Uniqueness is uniqueness within WεW_\varepsilonWε​, never global. Global uniqueness is false in general. Dropping uniqueness, or quantifying ε\varepsilonε after the neighbourhoods, would trivialize the goal, and the statements are written to exclude both.
  • Theorem 2.1, Corollary 2.2 and Theorem 2.3 do not assume completeness, as printed. Theorem 2.4 assumes a Banach space, as printed.
  • The contraction-principle milestone assumes completeness, under which the principle as invoked holds.
  • Corollary 2.2 asks for its Lipschitz hypothesis on Nε×VεN_\varepsilon \times V_\varepsilonNε​×Vε​, sets that Theorem 2.1 produces. It is therefore stated on fixed neighbourhoods given in advance.
  • Theorem 2.4 also asserts λ∥A−A0∥<1\lambda\|A - A_0\| < 1λ∥A−A0​∥<1, which its proof secures.

A complete development needs the following:

  • the mean-value inequality for Fréchet-differentiable maps on convex sets;
  • the contraction principle on a closed ball;
  • a fixed-point argument that obtains the fixed point through the complete space X′X'X′.

The definitions of normal cone and strong regularity are reusable for variational inequalities in general. Contributions are welcome at any level: proofs of the milestones, the goal from the milestones, or the companion results from the goal.

Selected references

  • S. M. Robinson, Strongly regular generalized equations, Mathematics of Operations Research 5(1):43–62, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.5.1.43
  • A. L. Dontchev and R. T. Rockafellar, Implicit Functions and Solution Mappings, 2nd ed., Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-1037-3
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OptimizationProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Asymptotic Theory for Solutions in Statistical Estimation and Stochastic Programming: Generalized M-Estimates Converge in Distribution to the Inverse Contingent Derivative at a GaussianResearch Paper

Motivation

Maximum likelihood estimates, least-squares fits and sample-average approximations of stochastic programs solve 0=fˉν(x)0 = \bar f^\nu(x)0=fˉ​ν(x), where fˉν\bar f^\nufˉ​ν averages a random integrand over ν\nuν observations. Their classical asymptotic theory rests on the implicit function theorem and needs a smooth, unconstrained problem.

When the estimate is constrained to a set, for example a nonnegativity constraint, a simplex or a polyhedron, the first-order conditions become a generalized equation

0∈f(z,x)+N(x),0 \in f(z, x) + N(x),0∈f(z,x)+N(x),

where NNN is a multifunction such as the normal cone of the constraint set. The same form describes optimality conditions of stochastic programs and variational inequalities. Aitchison and Silvey (1958) treated equality-constrained maximum likelihood. Huber (1967) allowed nonsmooth estimating functions but required an open parameter domain. Dupačová and Wets (1988) and Shapiro (1989) derived limit laws for solutions of stochastic programs under smoothness of the expected gradient. King and Rockafellar (1993) gave a general theory that needs neither smoothness of the expected map nor single-valuedness of NNN: the limit law of the normalized error is the image of a Gaussian under a contingent derivative, a positively homogeneous and generally nonlinear map, so the limit is generally not normal.

Setting

Let ZZZ be a separable Banach space with norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and let ∣⋅∣|\cdot|∣⋅∣ be the Euclidean norm on Rn\mathbb R^nRn and Rm\mathbb R^mRm. A multifunction G:Z⇉RnG : Z \rightrightarrows \mathbb R^nG:Z⇉Rn assigns a set G(z)⊆RnG(z) \subseteq \mathbb R^nG(z)⊆Rn to each zzz. Its graph is gph⁡G\operatorname{gph} GgphG and its inverse is G−1(x)={z∣x∈G(z)}G^{-1}(x) = \{z \mid x \in G(z)\}G−1(x)={z∣x∈G(z)}.

For sets AtA_tAt​ indexed by t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0, the upper limit lim sup⁡At\limsup A_tlimsupAt​ consists of the points xxx with x=lim⁡xkx = \lim x_kx=limxk​, xk∈Atkx_k \in A_{t_k}xk​∈Atk​​ for some tk↓0t_k \downarrow 0tk​↓0, and the lower limit of the points reachable along every such sequence. The contingent derivative of GGG at (z,x)∈gph⁡G(z, x) \in \operatorname{gph} G(z,x)∈gphG is the multifunction DG(z∣x)DG(z|x)DG(z∣x) with

gph⁡DG(z∣x)=lim sup⁡t↓0t−1[gph⁡G−(z,x)].\operatorname{gph} DG(z|x) = \limsup_{t \downarrow 0} t^{-1}\big[\operatorname{gph} G - (z,x)\big].gphDG(z∣x)=t↓0limsup​t−1[gphG−(z,x)].

GGG is proto-differentiable when this upper limit equals the lower limit, and semi-differentiable when t−1[G(z+tw′)−x]→DG(z∣x)(w)t^{-1}[G(z + t w') - x] \to DG(z|x)(w)t−1[G(z+tw′)−x]→DG(z∣x)(w) as t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0 and w′→ww' \to ww′→w. A single-valued ggg is B-differentiable at zzz when t−1[g(z+tw′)−g(z)]→Dg(z)(w)t^{-1}[g(z + tw') - g(z)] \to Dg(z)(w)t−1[g(z+tw′)−g(z)]→Dg(z)(w) in the same sense.

The deterministic problem is 0∈f(z,x)+N(x)0 \in f(z, x) + N(x)0∈f(z,x)+N(x) with f:Z×Rn→Rmf : Z \times \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R^mf:Z×Rn→Rm, data zzz and solution map J(z)J(z)J(z). At a reference pair (z∗,x∗)(z^*, x^*)(z∗,x∗) set F=f(z∗,⋅)+NF = f(z^*, \cdot) + NF=f(z∗,⋅)+N. The analytical assumptions M.1–M.4 are as follows. fff is jointly continuous and B-differentiable in each variable, with the zzz-derivative Dzf(z∗,x∗)D_z f(z^*, x^*)Dz​f(z∗,x∗) strong (uniform in xxx near x∗x^*x∗). NNN is closed and proto-differentiable. FFF is subinvertible: 0∈F(x∗)0 \in F(x^*)0∈F(x∗), and a closed-graph, convex-valued selection of F−1F^{-1}F−1 near 000 passes through x∗x^*x∗. The contingent derivative DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) is at most single-valued.

The statistical problem has i.i.d. random elements s1,s2,…s_1, s_2, \dotss1​,s2​,… of a measurable space SSS and an integrand f:U×S→Rmf : U \times S \to \mathbb R^mf:U×S→Rm on a compact neighborhood UUU of x∗x^*x∗. It satisfies the probabilistic assumptions P.1–P.4: continuity in xxx, measurability in sss, a finite second moment at one point, and a Lipschitz bound ∣f(x1,s)−f(x2,s)∣≤a(s)∣x1−x2∣|f(x_1,s) - f(x_2,s)| \le a(s)|x_1 - x_2|∣f(x1​,s)−f(x2​,s)∣≤a(s)∣x1​−x2​∣ with Ea(s1)2<∞E a(s_1)^2 < \inftyEa(s1​)2<∞. The M-estimate xνx^\nuxν is a measurable solution of

0∈fˉν(x)+N(x),fˉν(x)=1ν∑i=1νf(x,si),0 \in \bar f^\nu(x) + N(x), \qquad \bar f^\nu(x) = \frac1\nu\sum_{i=1}^\nu f(x, s_i),0∈fˉ​ν(x)+N(x),fˉ​ν(x)=ν1​i=1∑ν​f(x,si​),

and the true equation is 0∈Ef(x)+N(x)0 \in Ef(x) + N(x)0∈Ef(x)+N(x) with F=Ef+NF = Ef + NF=Ef+N.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.7 (asymptotic distribution of M-estimates)

Under P.1–P.4 on a compact neighborhood UUU of x∗x^*x∗, B-differentiability of EfEfEf at x∗x^*x∗, and M.2–M.4 for F=Ef+NF = Ef + NF=Ef+N, every sequence of measurable solutions xνx^\nuxν of (2.5) with xν→x∗x^\nu \to x^*xν→x∗ almost surely satisfies

ν [xν−x∗]→ D DF−1(0∣x∗)(−w∗),w∗∼N(0,cov⁡f(x∗,s1)).\sqrt\nu\,[x^\nu - x^*] \xrightarrow{\ \mathcal D\ } DF^{-1}(0|x^*)(-w^*), \qquad w^* \sim \mathcal N\big(0, \operatorname{cov} f(x^*, s_1)\big).ν​[xν−x∗] D ​DF−1(0∣x∗)(−w∗),w∗∼N(0,covf(x∗,s1​)).

The goal fixes the limit law completely: the map is the contingent derivative of F−1F^{-1}F−1, and the Gaussian has the covariance of the integrand at x∗x^*x∗.

Milestones

  • Theorem 2.4 gives bounds in probability, P{∣xν−x∗∣>δ}≤P{αλ∥zν−z∗∥>δ}P\{|x^\nu - x^*| > \delta\} \le P\{\alpha\lambda\|z^\nu - z^*\| > \delta\}P{∣xν−x∗∣>δ}≤P{αλ∥zν−z∗∥>δ}. Its proof uses the upper-Lipschitz property U∩F−1(y)⊆x∗+λ∣y∣BU \cap F^{-1}(y) \subseteq x^* + \lambda|y|BU∩F−1(y)⊆x∗+λ∣y∣B (a display of the proof).
  • Theorem 2.6 is the abstract limit theorem: if τν−1[zν−z∗]→Dw\tau_\nu^{-1}[z^\nu - z^*] \to_{\mathcal D} wτν−1​[zν−z∗]→D​w, then τν−1[xν−x∗]→DDF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dzf(z∗,x∗)(w))\tau_\nu^{-1}[x^\nu - x^*] \to_{\mathcal D} DF^{-1}(0|x^*)(-D_z f(z^*,x^*)(w))τν−1​[xν−x∗]→D​DF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dz​f(z∗,x∗)(w)). Its proof uses two displays: semi-differentiability of the localized solution map, with DJ(z∗∣x∗)(w)=DF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dzf(z∗,x∗)(w))DJ(z^*|x^*)(w) = DF^{-1}(0|x^*)(-D_z f(z^*,x^*)(w))DJ(z∗∣x∗)(w)=DF−1(0∣x∗)(−Dz​f(z∗,x∗)(w)), and a Lipschitz bound ∣x−x∗∣≤λ∥z−z∗∥|x - x^*| \le \lambda\|z - z^*\|∣x−x∗∣≤λ∥z−z∗∥ on U∩J(z)U \cap J(z)U∩J(z).
  • Proposition A1, Corollary A2 and Theorem A3 concern the space Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U) under P.1–P.4. The integrand and the empirical means are random elements of Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U), and ν(fˉν−Ef)\sqrt\nu(\bar f^\nu - Ef)ν​(fˉ​ν−Ef) converges in distribution to a Gaussian element of Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U).

The three displays (Theorem 2.4's upper-Lipschitz inclusion, and Theorem 2.6's semi-differentiability and Lipschitz bound) are statements the paper cites from King and Rockafellar, Sensitivity analysis for nonsmooth generalized equations ([12]: Proposition 2.1, Theorem 4.1, Remark 4.3). They are cited results, not this paper's own, and are milestones because the proofs of Theorems 2.4 and 2.6 rest on them.

Significance

Theorem 2.7 gives the limit law of constrained and nonsmooth M-estimates in a form that can be computed. When NNN is the normal cone of a polyhedron, DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) is piecewise linear, and the limit is the solution of a random linear complementarity or quadratic problem driven by a Gaussian vector. This underlies the asymptotic theory of sample-average approximation in stochastic programming, where the paper applies it to stochastic programs (§3) and to piecewise linear-quadratic tracking problems (§4). Theorem 2.6 separates the deterministic sensitivity analysis from the probability, so any data sequence with a known limit law yields a limit law for the solutions.

The result is proved in the paper modulo the cited theorems of [12] and [11], but none of it is machine-checked. Mathlib has the real-valued i.i.d. central limit theorem, Gaussian measures on Banach spaces and convergence in distribution. It has no multivariate or Banach-space central limit theorem, no contingent derivatives and no set-valued implicit function theorem. Formalizing the mission produces these, along with a checked version of the cited sensitivity results.

Difficulty

The classical argument linearizes FFF at x∗x^*x∗, inverts the Jacobian and applies the delta method. Here FFF is set-valued and its derivative is only positively homogeneous. There is no Jacobian to invert, and the solution map need not be differentiable or even single-valued away from x∗x^*x∗. The replacement for the implicit function theorem is the semi-differentiability of the localized solution map under M.1–M.4. Proving it means controlling both the upper and the lower set limits of difference quotients of solution sets, and subinvertibility is what supplies existence of nearby solutions.

The probabilistic side cannot work coordinate by coordinate either. The estimate solves an equation in the whole function fˉν\bar f^\nufˉ​ν, so convergence of fˉν\bar f^\nufˉ​ν at finitely many points is not enough. The central limit theorem must hold in the sup norm on Cm(U)C_m(U)Cm​(U), which requires tightness of the empirical process, and only then can the deterministic sensitivity result be composed with it.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and ZZZ is a real normed space with [CompleteSpace Z] [SeparableSpace Z] where the paper says "separable Banach". Set limits are Kuratowski limits along filters (t↓0t \downarrow 0t↓0 is 𝓝[>] 0, and (t,w′)→(0+,w)(t,w') \to (0^+,w)(t,w′)→(0+,w) is the product filter). The contingent derivative is defined by (2.2) alone. M.4's printed sum formula equals it under M.1, and this is not assumed. "B-differentiable" is read as the limit (2.4). Products carry Lean's max norm. s1s_1s1​ is s 0, empirical means sum over Finset.range ν, and (2.5) is required for ν≥1\nu \ge 1ν≥1. F=Ef+NF = Ef + NF=Ef+N is empty off UUU. Convergence in distribution is Mathlib's TendstoInDistribution, with the limit on its own probability space. The law of w∗w^*w∗ is fixed through linear functionals: ⟨ℓ,w∗⟩∼N(0,Var⁡⟨ℓ,f(x∗,s1)⟩)\langle\ell, w^*\rangle \sim \mathcal N(0, \operatorname{Var}\langle\ell, f(x^*,s_1)\rangle)⟨ℓ,w∗⟩∼N(0,Var⟨ℓ,f(x∗,s1​)⟩). In Appendix A1–A3 the integrand is S → C(↥U, Rn m) with the Borel σ-algebra, and "Gaussian" is IsGaussian.

Explicit choices relative to the printed text:

  1. The paper states that an almost surely convergent sequence of solutions "converges to the point x∗x^*x∗" (Theorems 2.6 and 2.7). This is false when the true equation has a second solution: f(z,x)=x2−x−zf(z,x) = x^2 - x - zf(z,x)=x2−x−z, N≡{0}N \equiv \{0\}N≡{0}, z∗=x∗=0z^* = x^* = 0z∗=x∗=0 satisfies M.1–M.4 with J(0)={0,1}J(0) = \{0, 1\}J(0)={0,1}. The formalization assumes xν→x∗x^\nu \to x^*xν→x∗ almost surely instead.
  2. 0∈F(x∗)0 \in F(x^*)0∈F(x∗) (presupposed by DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗)) is explicit in Theorem 2.4 and the upper-Lipschitz display.
  3. The threshold for "all sufficiently small δ\deltaδ" in Theorem 2.4 is chosen with UUU and λ\lambdaλ, before the random elements.
  4. Proposition A1 and Corollary A2 carry P.1–P.4, as stated or inherited on the Appendix page, though their measurability conclusions use only P.1.
  5. In the limit theorems, the single-valued map DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) is a function LLL whose values lie in the contingent derivative at every point.

The conclusion of the goal names its limit: the image of the stated Gaussian under a map LLL whose values lie in the contingent derivative of F−1F^{-1}F−1. A statement asserting only that ν(xν−x∗)\sqrt\nu(x^\nu - x^*)ν​(xν−x∗) converges in distribution to some limit, or replacing DF−1(0∣x∗)DF^{-1}(0|x^*)DF−1(0∣x∗) by a linear map, is a different and weaker theorem. A sorry-free check confirms that the goal's hypotheses can all be met (a degenerate instance with f(x,s)=xf(x,s) = xf(x,s)=x, N≡{0}N \equiv \{0\}N≡{0}).

A complete development needs Kuratowski set convergence and contingent derivatives (reusable across set-valued analysis), a central limit theorem in C(K)C(K)C(K) for Lipschitz-indexed processes (reusable for empirical-process theory), and a continuous-mapping argument for random closed sets. Contributions to any of these layers are welcome, as are proofs of the cited [12] statements.

Selected references

  • A. J. King and R. T. Rockafellar, Asymptotic theory for solutions in statistical estimation and stochastic programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 18(1) (1993). https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.18.1.148
  • A. J. King and R. T. Rockafellar, Sensitivity analysis for nonsmooth generalized equations, Mathematical Programming 55 (1992) 193–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01581199
  • A. J. King, Generalized delta theorems for multivalued mappings and measurable selections, Mathematics of Operations Research 14(4) (1989) 720–736. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.14.4.720
  • J. Dupačová and R. J.-B. Wets, Asymptotic behavior of statistical estimators and of optimal solutions of stochastic optimization problems, Annals of Statistics 16(4) (1988) 1517–1549. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176351052
  • A. Shapiro, Asymptotic properties of statistical estimators in stochastic programming, Annals of Statistics 17(2) (1989) 841–858. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176347146
  • P. J. Huber, The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions, Proc. Fifth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab. 1 (1967) 221–233. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bsmsp/1200512988
  • A. Araujo and E. Giné, The Central Limit Theorem for Real and Banach Valued Random Variables, Wiley, 1980.
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Control TheoryDynamical Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Dynamic Instabilities and Stabilization Methods in Distributed Real-Time Scheduling of Manufacturing Systems 1: Clearing Policies Are Unstable on a Re-Entrant Two-Machine Line, Even Without Set-UpsResearch Paper

Motivation

A flexible manufacturing system is a set of machines through which parts of several types travel along fixed routes; each machine serves several buffers and must pay a set-up time whenever it switches from one buffer to another. Real-time scheduling decides, as the system evolves, which buffer each machine works on. Perkins and Kumar (IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 34, 1989) introduced simple distributed policies for this problem, of which the most natural is the clearing policy: a machine keeps working on a buffer until it is empty, and only then switches. They proved that every clear-a-fraction policy, a subclass of clearing policies, keeps every buffer bounded on acyclic systems whenever each machine has spare capacity, and left open whether clear-a-fraction policies stabilize all systems in which material flows around cycles.

Kumar and Seidman (IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 35(3), 1990, doi:10.1109/9.50339) answered no. Their Example 1 is a single part type that visits two machines in the order 1, 2, 2, 1. Every machine has spare capacity, yet under the clearing policy the buffer levels grow without bound, and they do so even when all set-up times are zero, so the instability comes from machines starving each other rather than from time lost to set-ups. Until then, instability had been suspected to require positive set-up times. Shortly afterwards Lu and Kumar exhibited instability of a static buffer-priority rule in a re-entrant network (IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 36, 1991); together these examples started the study of stability of multiclass queueing networks.

Setting

A manufacturing system has part types ppp arriving at rates dp>0d_p > 0dp​>0. Parts of type ppp follow a route of length npn_pnp​: their iii-th operation is at machine μp,i\mu_{p,i}μp,i​, and they wait for it in buffer bp,ib_{p,i}bp,i​, where each part needs processing time τp,i>0\tau_{p,i} > 0τp,i​>0. Machine mmm serves the buffers Bm={b:μb=m}B_m = \{b : \mu_b = m\}Bm​={b:μb​=m}, and switching from bbb to b′b'b′ costs set-up time δb,b′≥0\delta_{b,b'} \ge 0δb,b′​≥0.

Flows are continuous (fluid). The level of buffer bbb at time t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 is xb(t)=xb(0)+ub(t)−yb(t)≥0x_b(t) = x_b(0) + u_b(t) - y_b(t) \ge 0xb​(t)=xb​(0)+ub​(t)−yb​(t)≥0, where yb(t)y_b(t)yb​(t) is its cumulative output and ub(t)u_b(t)ub​(t) its cumulative input: dptd_p tdp​t for the first buffer of a route, and the output of the preceding buffer otherwise. Each machine works in runs: run kkk is a set-up phase of length δβk−1,βk\delta_{\beta_{k-1},\beta_k}δβk−1​,βk​​ followed by a processing phase on buffer βk\beta_kβk​, during which the buffer is drained at rate 1/τb1/\tau_b1/τb​ while it is nonempty and passed through at its inflow rate when it is empty. The system is stable if sup⁡0≤t<∞xb(t)<∞\sup_{0 \le t < \infty} x_b(t) < \inftysup0≤t<∞​xb​(t)<∞ for every buffer.

A clearing policy (Definition 1) is one in which a machine processing bbb continues until the first time that bbb is empty and some other buffer of the same machine is nonempty, and then commences a set-up for one of the nonempty buffers.

Example 1. One part type arrives at rate d=1d = 1d=1 and visits machine 1, machine 2, machine 2 and machine 1; its buffers are 1,2,3,41, 2, 3, 41,2,3,4, so B1={1,4}B_1 = \{1, 4\}B1​={1,4} and B2={2,3}B_2 = \{2, 3\}B2​={2,3}. Processing times are τ1,…,τ4>0\tau_1, \dots, \tau_4 > 0τ1​,…,τ4​>0, and δk\delta_kδk​ is the time to set up to buffer kkk. The parameters satisfy the critical condition and the capacity condition

τ2+τ4>1,τ1+τ4<1,τ2+τ3<1.(3–5)\tau_2 + \tau_4 > 1, \qquad \tau_1 + \tau_4 < 1, \qquad \tau_2 + \tau_3 < 1. \tag{3–5}τ2​+τ4​>1,τ1​+τ4​<1,τ2​+τ3​<1.(3–5)

The initial state is x(0)=(ξ,0,0,0)x(0) = (\xi, 0, 0, 0)x(0)=(ξ,0,0,0), with machine 1 set up for buffer 4 and machine 2 set up for buffer 3. Write

λ=τ41−τ2>1,α=(τ4+1)(δ1+δ2)1−τ2+δ3(τ4+1)+δ4,β=τ4(δ1+δ2)1−τ2+τ4δ3+δ4.\lambda = \frac{\tau_4}{1-\tau_2} > 1, \quad \alpha = \frac{(\tau_4+1)(\delta_1+\delta_2)}{1-\tau_2} + \delta_3(\tau_4+1) + \delta_4, \quad \beta = \frac{\tau_4(\delta_1+\delta_2)}{1-\tau_2} + \tau_4\delta_3 + \delta_4.λ=1−τ2​τ4​​>1,α=1−τ2​(τ4​+1)(δ1​+δ2​)​+δ3​(τ4​+1)+δ4​,β=1−τ2​τ4​(δ1​+δ2​)​+τ4​δ3​+δ4​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 1, both cases

Assume (3)–(5).

  1. If δ1,…,δ4>0\delta_1, \dots, \delta_4 > 0δ1​,…,δ4​>0, there is ξ0\xi_0ξ0​ such that for every ξ≥ξ0\xi \ge \xi_0ξ≥ξ0​ (ξ>0\xi > 0ξ>0) a clearing trajectory from (ξ,0,0,0)(\xi, 0, 0, 0)(ξ,0,0,0) exists, and every such trajectory has
sup⁡0≤t<∞x1(t)=+∞.\sup_{0 \le t < \infty} x_1(t) = +\infty.0≤t<∞sup​x1​(t)=+∞.
  1. If δ1=⋯=δ4=0\delta_1 = \dots = \delta_4 = 0δ1​=⋯=δ4​=0, the same holds for every ξ>0\xi > 0ξ>0.

Milestone: the Case 1 cycle map

For ξ\xiξ large enough, every clearing trajectory from (ξ,0,0,0)(\xi, 0, 0, 0)(ξ,0,0,0) reaches, at T1=(λ+τ2/(1−τ2))ξ+αT_1 = (\lambda + \tau_2/(1-\tau_2))\xi + \alphaT1​=(λ+τ2​/(1−τ2​))ξ+α,

x(T1)=(λξ+β,0,0,0),x(T_1) = (\lambda\xi + \beta, 0, 0, 0),x(T1​)=(λξ+β,0,0,0),

with machines 1 and 2 again set up for buffers 4 and 3.

Milestone: the Case 2 magnification

With zero set-up times and any ξ>0\xi > 0ξ>0, every clearing trajectory reaches, at t5=(τ2+τ4)ξ/(1−τ2)t_5 = (\tau_2+\tau_4)\xi/(1-\tau_2)t5​=(τ2​+τ4​)ξ/(1−τ2​),

x(t5)=(λξ,0,0,0),x(t_5) = (\lambda\xi, 0, 0, 0),x(t5​)=(λξ,0,0,0),

with machines 1 and 2 again set up for buffers 4 and 3.

Significance

The example shows that the condition ρm<1\rho_m < 1ρm​<1 on every machine, which is necessary for stability and sufficient for the existence of some stabilizing policy, does not make natural distributed policies stable once material flows around a cycle. The throughput of the line falls to 1/(τ2+τ4)<11/(\tau_2+\tau_4) < 11/(τ2​+τ4​)<1 part per unit time although each machine could handle the demand. This motivates the paper's two positive results: sufficient conditions under which clear-a-fraction policies are stable (Theorem 1), and a supervisory mechanism that stabilizes any policy (Theorem 2), which are the subjects of the other missions of this series. The example is also an early instance of the phenomenon later studied as instability of multiclass fluid networks under work-conserving policies.

The paper's argument is a stage-by-stage computation of piecewise linear trajectories. No machine-checked version of it exists. A formal proof has to make precise what the paper leaves to the reader: that the clearing rule determines the trajectory, that the stage formulas are what that trajectory does, and that the cycle can be restarted. The formal model of runs, set-ups and the clearing rule built here is the same as in the other missions of the series.

Difficulty

The arithmetic of each cycle is routine once the trajectory is known. The difficulty is in the universal quantifier: the claim covers every clearing trajectory, and the clearing rule is defined implicitly, through "the first time thereafter" at which a buffer is empty and another one is nonempty. At several switching instants the buffer a machine switches to is empty and only starts to fill at that instant, and with zero set-up times a machine may begin a run at an instant where the switching condition already holds. Showing that each switch happens exactly when the paper says, and that the fluid levels then follow the printed formulas (including the reduced rate of a machine working on an empty buffer), is a uniqueness argument for a hybrid system, not a simulation. The existence half asks for the converse: an explicit trajectory, defined for all time, with infinitely many runs whose start times tend to infinity.

Formalization scope

  • Time is real (t≥0t \ge 0t≥0); flows are fluid; there are no transport delays or assembly.
  • The system is a general structure (part types Fin P, machines Fin M, buffers ⟨p, i⟩ with i : Fin (n p), paper index iii = Lean index i+1i+1i+1), instantiated as Example 1 with d=1d = 1d=1, route (1,2,2,1)(1,2,2,1)(1,2,2,1), and δb,b′=δb′\delta_{b,b'} = \delta_{b'}δb,b′​=δb′​ for b≠b′b \ne b'b=b′; staying on a buffer costs nothing.
  • A trajectory is a schedule of runs per machine (possibly finitely many, the last lasting forever), with only finitely many run starts in any bounded interval. Processing obeys a rate cap (yby_byb​ grows at most at rate 1/τb1/\tau_b1/τb​, and only while machine μb\mu_bμb​ is in a processing phase of bbb) and runs at full rate while the buffer is nonempty.
  • In Definition 1, a target buffer counts as "nonempty" when it is demanding: positive level, or inflow starting at that instant. The no-early-exit condition is imposed on the open processing interval. Under the literal reading (positive level) or a closed interval, the paper's own trajectories are not clearing, and the goal would hold vacuously; the existence clause in the goal rules out that trivialization.
  • "Set up for buffer bbb at time TTT" means the run in force on (sk,sk+1](s_k, s_{k+1}](sk​,sk+1​].
  • Unboundedness is stated for buffer 1: for every CCC there is t≥0t \ge 0t≥0 with x1(t)>Cx_1(t) > Cx1​(t)>C; "ξ\xiξ large enough" is ∃ξ0,∀ξ≥ξ0\exists \xi_0, \forall \xi \ge \xi_0∃ξ0​,∀ξ≥ξ0​.

Useful contributions include lemmas about fluid trajectories that do not depend on the example (continuity of levels, the pass-through rate on an empty buffer, restarting a trajectory at a run boundary), which also serve the other missions of the series.

Selected references

  • P. R. Kumar and T. I. Seidman, Dynamic instabilities and stabilization methods in distributed real-time scheduling of manufacturing systems, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 35(3), 289–298, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1109/9.50339
  • J. R. Perkins and P. R. Kumar, Stable, distributed, real-time scheduling of flexible manufacturing/assembly/disassembly systems, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 34, 139–148, 1989 (reference [18] of the paper).
  • S. H. Lu and P. R. Kumar, Distributed scheduling based on due dates and buffer priorities, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 36, 1991.
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Inequalities on Partially Ordered Spaces 1: Stochastically Ordered Initial Laws and Kernels Give Coupled Random Sequences with Xₙ ≤ Yₙ for All n Almost SurelyResearch Paper

Motivation

Comparison theorems for stochastic processes answer a practical question: if one system starts "lower" and moves "upward" less aggressively than another, does it stay below the other one for all time? Queueing, reliability and inventory models use such statements to order performance measures of two systems without computing either distribution. Results of this kind for real-valued Markov chains go back to Kalmykov (1962) and Daley (1968); O'Brien (1975) proved a comparison theorem for real sequences with general (non-Markov) dependence on the past.

Kamae, Krengel and O'Brien (1977) placed these results on a common foundation: an arbitrary partially ordered Polish space, where the state can be a vector, a path, a configuration or a measure. Their tool is a characterization of the stochastic order through monotone couplings, which goes back to Strassen (1965).

Timeline.

  • 1962, Kalmykov: comparison of real Markov chains with stochastically monotone kernels.
  • 1965, Strassen: existence of probability measures with given marginals; a coupling on a closed set K⊆E×EK \subseteq E \times EK⊆E×E exists iff the marginals satisfy the matching inequalities.
  • 1968, Daley: stochastically monotone Markov chains on R\mathbb RR.
  • 1975, O'Brien: comparison theorem for real random sequences with history-dependent kernels.
  • 1977, Kamae–Krengel–O'Brien: the order on a partially ordered Polish space, Theorem 1 (six characterizations), and the comparison theorem for sequences in products of such spaces (Theorem 2).

Setting

Let EEE be a complete separable metric space with a closed partial order ≤\le≤ (the set {(x,y):x≤y}\{(x,y) : x \le y\}{(x,y):x≤y} is closed in E×EE \times EE×E) and its Borel σ\sigmaσ-algebra. Write M(E)\mathcal M(E)M(E) for the probability measures on EEE. A set A⊆EA \subseteq EA⊆E is increasing if x∈Ax \in Ax∈A and x≤yx \le yx≤y imply y∈Ay \in Ay∈A; a function fff is increasing if x≤yx \le yx≤y implies f(x)≤f(y)f(x) \le f(y)f(x)≤f(y). For P1,P2∈M(E)P_1, P_2 \in \mathcal M(E)P1​,P2​∈M(E), P1P_1P1​ is stochastically smaller than P2P_2P2​, written P1≺P2P_1 \prec P_2P1​≺P2​, if

∫f dP1≤∫f dP2for every bounded measurable increasing f:E→R.\int f\,dP_1 \le \int f\,dP_2 \quad\text{for every bounded measurable increasing } f : E \to \mathbb R .∫fdP1​≤∫fdP2​for every bounded measurable increasing f:E→R.

A stochastic kernel kkk from E1E_1E1​ to E2E_2E2​ assigns to every x∈E1x \in E_1x∈E1​ a probability measure k(x,⋅)k(x,\cdot)k(x,⋅) on E2E_2E2​, measurably in xxx. For P1∈M(E1)P_1 \in \mathcal M(E_1)P1​∈M(E1​), P1∗kP_1 * kP1​∗k is the measure on E1×E2E_1 \times E_2E1​×E2​ with (P1∗k)(A1×A2)=∫A1k(x,A2) P1(dx)(P_1 * k)(A_1 \times A_2) = \int_{A_1} k(x, A_2)\,P_1(dx)(P1​∗k)(A1​×A2​)=∫A1​​k(x,A2​)P1​(dx), and P1kP_1^{k}P1k​ is its second marginal. A kernel kkk on E×EE \times EE×E is upward if k(x,⋅)k(x,\cdot)k(x,⋅) is concentrated on {y:y≥x}\{y : y \ge x\}{y:y≥x} for every xxx.

For partially ordered Polish spaces E1,E2,…E_1, E_2, \dotsE1​,E2​,…, the products En=E1×⋯×EnE^{n} = E_1 \times \cdots \times E_nEn=E1​×⋯×En​ and E∞=∏iEiE^\infty = \prod_i E_iE∞=∏i​Ei​ carry the product topology and the coordinatewise order, and are again partially ordered Polish spaces. Given P1∈M(E1)P_1 \in \mathcal M(E_1)P1​∈M(E1​) and kernels pnp_npn​ from En−1E^{n-1}En−1 to EnE_nEn​ (n≥2n \ge 2n≥2), the measure P1∗p2∗⋯∗pnP_1 * p_2 * \cdots * p_nP1​∗p2​∗⋯∗pn​ on EnE^{n}En is the law of (X1,…,Xn)(X_1, \dots, X_n)(X1​,…,Xn​) when X1∼P1X_1 \sim P_1X1​∼P1​ and XnX_nXn​ is drawn from pn(X1,…,Xn−1,⋅)p_n(X_1, \dots, X_{n-1}, \cdot)pn​(X1​,…,Xn−1​,⋅); its projective limit is the law of the whole sequence.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (the discrete-time comparison theorem)

Let P1,Q1∈M(E1)P_1, Q_1 \in \mathcal M(E_1)P1​,Q1​∈M(E1​) and let pn,qnp_n, q_npn​,qn​ be stochastic kernels from En−1E^{n-1}En−1 to EnE_nEn​, n≥2n \ge 2n≥2. If P1≺Q1P_1 \prec Q_1P1​≺Q1​ and

pn(xn−1,⋅)≺qn(yn−1,⋅)whenever xn−1≤yn−1,p_n(x^{n-1},\cdot) \prec q_n(y^{n-1},\cdot) \quad\text{whenever } x^{n-1} \le y^{n-1},pn​(xn−1,⋅)≺qn​(yn−1,⋅)whenever xn−1≤yn−1,

then there are random sequences (Xn)(X_n)(Xn​), (Yn)(Y_n)(Yn​) on one probability space, with initial laws P1P_1P1​, Q1Q_1Q1​ and conditional laws pnp_npn​, qnq_nqn​, such that

P(Xi≤Yi, i=1,2,… )=1.P(X_i \le Y_i,\ i = 1, 2, \dots) = 1 .P(Xi​≤Yi​, i=1,2,…)=1.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 1: for P1,P2∈M(E)P_1, P_2 \in \mathcal M(E)P1​,P2​∈M(E), P1≺P2P_1 \prec P_2P1​≺P2​ is equivalent to each of: a coupling supported on {x≤y}\{x \le y\}{x≤y}; a representation f(Z)∼P1f(Z) \sim P_1f(Z)∼P1​, g(Z)∼P2g(Z) \sim P_2g(Z)∼P2​ with f≤gf \le gf≤g and ZZZ real; random variables X1≤X2X_1 \le X_2X1​≤X2​ a.s. with laws P1,P2P_1, P_2P1​,P2​; P2=P1kP_2 = P_1^{k}P2​=P1k​ for an upward kernel kkk; and P1(B)≤P2(B)P_1(B) \le P_2(B)P1​(B)≤P2​(B) for every closed increasing BBB.
  2. Proposition 1: under the hypotheses of Theorem 2, P1∗p2∗⋯∗pn≺Q1∗q2∗⋯∗qnP_1 * p_2 * \cdots * p_n \prec Q_1 * q_2 * \cdots * q_nP1​∗p2​∗⋯∗pn​≺Q1​∗q2​∗⋯∗qn​ for every nnn.
  3. Proposition 2: on E∞E^\inftyE∞, if all finite-dimensional marginals satisfy P(i)≺Q(i)P^{(i)} \prec Q^{(i)}P(i)≺Q(i), then P≺QP \prec QP≺Q.
  4. Proposition 3: ≺\prec≺ is preserved under weak convergence.
  5. Proposition 4: P1≺P2≺⋯P_1 \prec P_2 \prec \cdotsP1​≺P2​≺⋯ iff there are random elements X1≤X2≤⋯X_1 \le X_2 \le \cdotsX1​≤X2​≤⋯ a.s. with Xi∼PiX_i \sim P_iXi​∼Pi​, iff there are ZZZ real and f1≤f2≤⋯f_1 \le f_2 \le \cdotsf1​≤f2​≤⋯ with fi(Z)∼Pif_i(Z) \sim P_ifi​(Z)∼Pi​.
  6. Corollary 1 (i)–(iii), consequences of Theorem 2 when E1=E2=⋯E_1 = E_2 = \cdotsE1​=E2​=⋯: for an increasing set AAA, P(Xn∈A)≤P(Yn∈A)P(X_n \in A) \le P(Y_n \in A)P(Xn​∈A)≤P(Yn​∈A); first entrance times into AAA satisfy P(Nx<n)≤P(Ny<n)P(N_x < n) \le P(N_y < n)P(Nx​<n)≤P(Ny​<n); and Ef(Xn)≤Ef(Yn)E f(X_n) \le E f(Y_n)Ef(Xn​)≤Ef(Yn​) for nondecreasing fff whenever the expectations exist.
  7. Theorem 3: in a partially ordered Polish space with a compatible vector structure, kernels ordered through the increments they produce yield processes (Sn)(S_n)(Sn​), (Tn)(T_n)(Tn​) with S1≤T1S_1 \le T_1S1​≤T1​ and Sn+1−Sn≤Tn+1−TnS_{n+1} - S_n \le T_{n+1} - T_nSn+1​−Sn​≤Tn+1​−Tn​ for all nnn, almost surely.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 turns an inequality between one-step transition laws into a pathwise inequality between whole trajectories. Every functional that is increasing in the path, such as hitting times of increasing sets, maxima, occupation counts or cumulative costs, is then ordered between the two processes, as Corollary 1 illustrates. Because the state space is any partially ordered Polish space, the theorem covers vector-valued queue lengths, networks, and processes whose state is itself a sequence, not just real chains. Theorem 1 is the basic tool for working with the order on such spaces: it converts between integrals, couplings, kernels and closed increasing sets.

Formalizing it. All results are proved in the paper (1977); none is machine-checked. The platform has the special case of Theorem 1 (i) ⇔\Leftrightarrow⇔ (iv) for E=RnE = \mathbb R^nE=Rn as an open statement (PalmQueueing.Ordering.strassen_st); the general partially ordered Polish case, and the sequence comparison, are new. A formal development yields a reusable library for the stochastic order on general ordered spaces and its interaction with Mathlib's Ionescu-Tulcea construction of process laws (Kernel.trajMeasure).

Difficulty

The obvious argument for Theorem 2 couples the processes step by step: couple X1≤Y1X_1 \le Y_1X1​≤Y1​, then, given the two histories, couple X2≤Y2X_2 \le Y_2X2​≤Y2​, and so on. Each step needs a monotone coupling of pn(xn−1,⋅)p_n(x^{n-1},\cdot)pn​(xn−1,⋅) and qn(yn−1,⋅)q_n(y^{n-1},\cdot)qn​(yn−1,⋅) chosen measurably in the pair of histories; the existence of one coupling for each fixed pair (Theorem 1) does not by itself give a kernel.

Theorem 1's central implication, from the integral inequality to a coupling supported on the closed set {x≤y}\{x \le y\}{x≤y}, is Strassen's theorem. On R\mathbb RR it follows from quantile functions; on a general ordered space there is no such formula. Passing from finite horizons to the infinite sequence is a further step, since an ordering of every finite-dimensional marginal must be turned into an ordering of the infinite-dimensional laws.

Formalization scope

  • A partially ordered Polish space is [TopologicalSpace E] [PolishSpace E] [MeasurableSpace E] [BorelSpace E] [PartialOrder E] [OrderClosedTopology E]. This is the paper's standing assumption (Sec. 1, p. 899) and is carried by every theorem, also where a statement says only "Polish space". All sets and functions the paper quantifies over are measurable, also by the standing assumption.
  • StochLE P₁ P₂ is defined through bounded measurable monotone functions, exactly as on p. 899. It is not defined through increasing sets, closed increasing sets or couplings, so none of the milestones holds by definition.
  • Sequences are 0-based: the paper's EiE_iEi​, XiX_iXi​ are Lean's E (i - 1), X (i - 1), and the paper's kernel pnp_npn​ (n≥2n \ge 2n≥2) is p (n - 2) : Kernel (Π i : Iic (n - 2), E i) (E (n - 1)), the signature of Mathlib's Ionescu-Tulcea API.
  • "Random sequences with initial law P1P_1P1​ and conditional laws pnp_npn​" is encoded through their joint law, which these data determine: the law of (Xn)(X_n)(Xn​) is Kernel.trajMeasure P₁ p. Corollary 1 is stated about these laws directly. The goal therefore cannot be met by coupling only one-dimensional marginals or finite prefixes; it asserts the joint laws of the full sequences and one almost-sure event for all indices.
  • Hypothesis (4) is required pointwise for all ordered pairs of histories; no stochastic monotonicity of the kernels is assumed.
  • Corollary 1 (iii) takes expectations in the extended sense, Ef=Ef+−Ef−E f = E f^+ - E f^-Ef=Ef+−Ef− in EReal, and "the expectation exists" means the two parts are not both infinite; expectations equal to ±∞\pm\infty±∞ are covered.
  • Theorem 1 (iii) and Proposition 4 (iii) leave the law of the real variable ZZZ free, as the paper does.
  • Theorem 3 (p. 904) prints the conditional increment law of TTT as qn+1(T1,…,Tn;A+Sn)q_{n+1}(T_1, \dots, T_n; A + S_n)qn+1​(T1​,…,Tn​;A+Sn​); this is a misprint for A+TnA + T_nA+Tn​, and the Lean states the corrected form. Its compatible vector structure is [AddCommGroup E] [Module ℝ E] [ContinuousAdd E] [ContinuousSMul ℝ E] plus the hypothesis that translates of increasing sets are increasing.
  • Not included: Sections 4–5 (continuous time, which needs the Skorohod space).

Welcome contributions: proofs of the milestones, in particular Strassen's coupling theorem on partially ordered Polish spaces, a measurable-selection lemma for monotone couplings, and general lemmas relating StochLE to increasing sets.

The source is the published version (The Annals of Probability), and printed page = PDF page + 898 throughout.

Selected references

  • T. Kamae, U. Krengel, G. L. O'Brien, Stochastic Inequalities on Partially Ordered Spaces, The Annals of Probability 5(6), 1977, 899–912. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176995659
  • V. Strassen, The existence of probability measures with given marginals, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics 36(2), 1965, 423–439. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177700153
  • G. L. O'Brien, The comparison method for stochastic processes, The Annals of Probability 3, 1975, 80–88. https://projecteuclid.org/journals/annals-of-probability/volume-3/issue-1
  • D. J. Daley, Stochastically monotone Markov chains, Zeitschrift für Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und verwandte Gebiete 10, 1968, 307–317 (as cited in the paper).
  • G. I. Kalmykov, On the partial ordering of one-dimensional Markov processes, Theory of Probability and its Applications 7, 1962, 456–459 (as cited in the paper).
13 thms1 active userReviewed
Graph TheoryProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Loss Networks 3: If E e^{λX} < ∞ and 2E(X − C)⁺ < E(C − X)⁺, i.i.d. Loads on the Complete Graph Fit on Direct and Two-Edge Routes with Probability → 1Research Paper

Motivation

Telephone and data networks are often fully connected at the core: every pair of switching centres has a direct trunk group, and a call that finds its direct trunk full may be alternatively routed over a two-link path through a third, tandem centre. Whether such a network can absorb fluctuations of demand without losing traffic depends on how the spare capacity of lightly loaded links can be borrowed by heavily loaded ones. F. P. Kelly's survey Loss networks (Ann. Appl. Probab., 1991, doi:10.1214/aoap/1177005872) studies this question in §4.6, "Results respecting graph structure", by looking at a static snapshot of the network: random loads on the edges of a complete graph, and the question whether they can all be carried at once.

Timeline:

  • Hajek (1986, personal communication cited as [21] in the survey) considered edges coloured independently red (a pair that needs twice an edge's capacity) or white (an idle edge), and proved that for red probability p<1/3p<1/3p<1/3 all red pairs can be served over white two-edge paths with probability tending to one (Theorem 4.40, p. 357).
  • Hajek (1987, [22]) showed the same threshold for routing each red pair on a single two-edge path (Theorem 4.43, quoted, p. 358).
  • Kelly (1991, Theorem 4.45, p. 358) extended Theorem 4.40 from two-valued loads to general i.i.d. loads with an exponential moment, under the condition 2 E(X−C)+<E(C−X)+2\,\mathbb E(X-C)^+<\mathbb E(C-X)^+2E(X−C)+<E(C−X)+. The survey gives the proof in full on p. 359.

Setting

Let K≥1K\ge 1K≥1 and consider the complete graph on the nodes {0,…,K−1}\{0,\dots,K-1\}{0,…,K−1}: every unordered pair e={a,b}e=\{a,b\}e={a,b} of distinct nodes is an edge, and there are 12K(K−1)\tfrac12K(K-1)21​K(K−1) edges. Every edge has capacity CCC.

An offered load xe≥0x_e\ge 0xe​≥0 is attached to every edge eee. The load of e={a,b}e=\{a,b\}e={a,b} may be carried on its direct edge, or on a two-edge route a−k−ba-k-ba−k−b through a tandem node k∉ek\notin ek∈/e; such a route uses the two edges {a,k}\{a,k\}{a,k} and {b,k}\{b,k\}{b,k}. Loads are divisible. The loads are routable with capacity CCC if there are flows fe,k≥0f_{e,k}\ge 0fe,k​≥0 (zero when k∈ek\in ek∈e) with ∑kfe,k≤xe\sum_k f_{e,k}\le x_e∑k​fe,k​≤xe​ such that on every edge ggg

(xg−∑kfg,k)+∑(e,k): g on the route of e via kfe,k≤C,\Big(x_g-\sum_k f_{g,k}\Big)+\sum_{(e,k):\ g \text{ on the route of } e \text{ via } k} f_{e,k}\le C,(xg​−k∑​fg,k​)+(e,k): g on the route of e via k∑​fe,k​≤C,

i.e. the directly carried part of ggg's own load plus all two-edge traffic passing through ggg is at most CCC.

The loads are random: XXX is a nonnegative real random variable with law μ\muμ, and the loads (xe)(x_e)(xe​) are independent, each distributed as XXX. Let

P(K)=P{the loads on the complete graph on K nodes are routable}.P(K)=\mathbb P\{\text{the loads on the complete graph on } K \text{ nodes are routable}\}.P(K)=P{the loads on the complete graph on K nodes are routable}.

Write E(X−C)+\mathbb E(X-C)^+E(X−C)+ for the mean excess of a load over the capacity and E(C−X)+\mathbb E(C-X)^+E(C−X)+ for the mean spare capacity.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.45

If E eλX<∞\mathbb E\,e^{\lambda X}<\inftyEeλX<∞ for some λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 and

2 E(X−C)+<E(C−X)+(4.46)2\,\mathbb E(X-C)^+<\mathbb E(C-X)^+ \tag{4.46}2E(X−C)+<E(C−X)+(4.46)

then

P(K)→1(K→∞).P(K)\to 1 \qquad (K\to\infty).P(K)→1(K→∞).

Milestones (in the order of the proof on pp. 358–359)

With m=E(C−X)+m=\mathbb E(C-X)^+m=E(C−X)+ and 0<ε<m20<\varepsilon<m^20<ε<m2:

  1. In each triangle the cyclic reservations (xe−C)+(C−xak)+(C−xbk)+/((K−2)(m2−ε))(x_e-C)^+(C-x_{ak})^+(C-x_{bk})^+/((K-2)(m^2-\varepsilon))(xe​−C)+(C−xak​)+(C−xbk​)+/((K−2)(m2−ε)) are positive at most once, and only for an overloaded edge routed through two underloaded ones.
  2. If every overloaded edge's reservations cover its excess and no underloaded edge has more reserved through it than it has spare, the loads are routable.
  3. E Y=m2/(m2−ε)>1\mathbb E\,Y=m^2/(m^2-\varepsilon)>1EY=m2/(m2−ε)>1 for Y=(C−X2)+(C−X3)+/(m2−ε)Y=(C-X_2)^+(C-X_3)^+/(m^2-\varepsilon)Y=(C−X2​)+(C−X3​)+/(m2−ε).
  4. E Z=2 E(X−C)+ m/(m2−ε)<1\mathbb E\,Z=2\,\mathbb E(X-C)^+\,m/(m^2-\varepsilon)<1EZ=2E(X−C)+m/(m2−ε)<1 for small ε\varepsilonε, for Z=((X1−C)+(C−X2)++(X2−C)+(C−X1)+)/(m2−ε)Z=\big((X_1-C)^+(C-X_2)^++(X_2-C)^+(C-X_1)^+\big)/(m^2-\varepsilon)Z=((X1​−C)+(C−X2​)++(X2​−C)+(C−X1​)+)/(m2−ε).
  5. (4.48): P{∑i≤nn−1Yi<1}≤e−nI1\mathbb P\{\sum_{i\le n} n^{-1}Y_i<1\}\le e^{-nI_1}P{∑i≤n​n−1Yi​<1}≤e−nI1​ for some I1>0I_1>0I1​>0 and all n≥1n\ge 1n≥1.
  6. (4.49): P{∑i≤nn−1Zi>1}≤e−nI2\mathbb P\{\sum_{i\le n} n^{-1}Z_i>1\}\le e^{-nI_2}P{∑i≤n​n−1Zi​>1}≤e−nI2​ for some I2>0I_2>0I2​>0 and all n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, when XXX has an exponential moment.
  7. 1−P(K)≤12K(K−1) (P1(K−2)+P2(K−2))1-P(K)\le\tfrac12K(K-1)\,(P_1(K-2)+P_2(K-2))1−P(K)≤21​K(K−1)(P1​(K−2)+P2​(K−2)).

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.45 says that in a large fully connected network, a load distribution whose mean overload is less than half its mean spare capacity can be served, with probability tending to one, using only direct and two-link routes. The factor 222 reflects that each unit of overflow occupies two edges. The condition is explicit and depends on the load law only through two expectations, which makes it a design rule: capacity CCC suffices for large networks as soon as (4.46) holds. Comment 4.47 (p. 358) observes that the two-valued law P{X=2}=p\mathbb P\{X=2\}=pP{X=2}=p, P{X=0}=1−p\mathbb P\{X=0\}=1-pP{X=0}=1−p with C=1C=1C=1 turns (4.46) into Hajek's threshold p<1/3p<1/3p<1/3.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved, in full, on one page; nothing here is open. The mission produces a machine-checked version of that proof: a precise routing event on the complete graph, the deterministic reservation argument, two Cramér–Chernoff tail bounds with rates uniform in the network size, and the union bound over edges. To our knowledge none of these steps is formalized anywhere, and no routing-feasibility event on a complete graph exists in Mathlib or on the platform.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to fix an overloaded edge and argue that, among its K−2K-2K−2 two-edge routes, enough pass through two underloaded edges. That count is binomial and concentrates, but it does not prove the theorem: the same underloaded edge sits on two-edge routes of many overloaded pairs, so the reservations of different pairs compete for its spare capacity, and the routing decisions of different pairs are dependent. Any argument has to control, simultaneously at every edge, both the flow an overloaded edge can shed and the flow an underloaded edge is asked to absorb, with exponential rates uniform in KKK so that a union bound over 12K(K−1)\tfrac12K(K-1)21​K(K−1) edges survives; this is the central difficulty. On the upper side the variables are unbounded, so the exponential moment of XXX has to be carried over to the reserved flows.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace KellyLossNetworks.Routing.

  • Edges are {e : Sym2 (Fin K) // ¬ e.IsDiag}; loads are functions Edge K → ℝ.
  • The routing event Feasible C x lets each pair split its load arbitrarily over its direct edge and all its two-edge routes, charges a two-edge flow to both edges of its route, requires the flow sent away from a pair not to exceed its load, and imposes the capacity constraint on every edge, including overloaded ones. Flows are real (divisible loads); integer routing is a different problem.
  • "Independent and identically distributed" is the product measure Measure.pi (fun _ : Edge K => μ), with μ a probability measure on ℝ and X ≥ 0 almost surely. P(K)P(K)P(K) is the measure of the routing event; no measurability of that event is presupposed.
  • Expectations are Bochner integrals. The exponential moment is integrability of t↦eθtt\mapsto e^{\theta t}t↦eθt for some θ>0\theta>0θ>0; it implies that (X−C)+(X-C)^+(X−C)+ is integrable, so (4.46) compares genuine expectations.
  • The limit is along K∈NK\in\mathbb NK∈N with no lower bound on KKK; for K≤2K\le 2K≤2 there are no two-edge routes, which does not affect the limit.
  • The rates I1,I2I_1,I_2I1​,I2​ in (4.48) and (4.49) are quantified before nnn and may not depend on it.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: an event that allows only direct routing, ignores the capacity of the edges a detour passes through, or lets a pair send away more than its load would make the statement false or empty, and the routing event here does none of these.

A complete development needs Fubini on product measures, the Cramér–Chernoff method for averages of i.i.d. variables (both tails, with the lower tail for a bounded nonnegative variable and the upper tail under an exponential moment), measure-preserving projections of Measure.pi, and combinatorics of the triangles through an edge of the complete graph. The Cramér–Chernoff bounds with rates uniform in nnn are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions to any milestone are welcome; the deterministic milestones 1–2 and the expectation computations 3–4 are independent of the tail bounds and of each other.

Selected references

  • F. P. Kelly, Loss networks, Annals of Applied Probability 1(3):319–378, 1991. doi:10.1214/aoap/1177005872
  • B. Hajek, Average case analysis of greedy algorithms for Kelly's triangle problem and the independent set problem, 26th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, 1987 (reference [22] of the survey; the source of Theorem 4.43).
  • H. Chernoff, A measure of asymptotic efficiency for tests of a hypothesis based on the sum of observations, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 23(4):493–507, 1952. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177729330
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Shock Models and Wear Processes III: The First Passage Time of a Nondecreasing Markov Wear Process Above a Fixed Level Has an IHRA DistributionResearch Paper

Motivation

Reliability theory classifies life distributions by how they age. A device whose failure rate tends to increase over time is "wearing out", and the class of distributions with increasing hazard rate average (IHRA) is the one that is closed under forming coherent systems of independent components (Birnbaum, Esary and Marshall, 1966). This makes IHRA the natural ageing class for systems. It also raises a question: which physical failure mechanisms produce IHRA lives?

Esary, Marshall and Proschan's paper Shock Models and Wear Processes (Ann. Probability 1, 1973) answers this for two kinds of mechanism. In the first, damage arrives in discrete amounts at the epochs of a Poisson process of shocks. In the second, damage accumulates continuously. In both, the device fails when the accumulated damage first exceeds a fixed capacity. This mission covers the second kind: a wear process {Z(t),t≥0}\{Z(t), t \ge 0\}{Z(t),t≥0} and its first passage time above a level. The paper shows that the first passage time is IHRA under three qualitative conditions: wear starts at zero and only grows, the process is Markov, and accumulated wear and age make further wear more likely. Nothing else is assumed about the law of the wear.

A short timeline. Birnbaum, Esary and Marshall (1966) introduced the IHRA class and proved it is closed under coherent systems. Morey (1965) studied first passage times of wear processes under an extra monotonicity assumption. Esary, Marshall and Proschan (1973), §4, proved the IHRA property first for Poisson shocks with i.i.d. damages (Corollary 4.2, (4.7)), then for dependent damages (Lemma 4.1b, (4.7b)), and finally for continuous wear (Theorem 4.10).

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal F, P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space. "Decreasing" means non-increasing throughout.

A survival function Fˉ\bar FFˉ is IHRA if t↦[Fˉ(t)]1/tt \mapsto [\bar F(t)]^{1/t}t↦[Fˉ(t)]1/t is decreasing on t>0t > 0t>0 (p. 631). For an exponential life, [Fˉ(t)]1/t[\bar F(t)]^{1/t}[Fˉ(t)]1/t is constant. IHRA says the average failure rate over [0,t][0, t][0,t] never decreases.

Dependent damages. Let X1,X2,…X_1, X_2, \dotsX1​,X2​,… be nonnegative random variables, the damages caused by successive shocks, and let Z0=0Z_0 = 0Z0​=0 and Zk=X1+⋯+XkZ_k = X_1 + \dots + X_kZk​=X1​+⋯+Xk​. The paper's conditions (p. 636) are:

  • (4.3) the conditional law of XkX_kXk​ given X1,…,Xk−1X_1, \dots, X_{k-1}X1​,…,Xk−1​ depends only on Zk−1Z_{k-1}Zk−1​;
  • (4.4) P{Xk≤u∣Zk−1=z}P\{X_k \le u \mid Z_{k-1} = z\}P{Xk​≤u∣Zk−1​=z} is decreasing in z≥0z \ge 0z≥0 (accumulated damage lowers resistance);
  • (4.5) P{Xk≤u∣Zk−1=z}≥P{Xk+1≤u∣Zk=z}P\{X_k \le u \mid Z_{k-1} = z\} \ge P\{X_{k+1} \le u \mid Z_k = z\}P{Xk​≤u∣Zk−1​=z}≥P{Xk+1​≤u∣Zk​=z} for z≥0z \ge 0z≥0 (later shocks are more severe).

Wear process. Z(t)Z(t)Z(t) is the wear accumulated in [0,t][0, t][0,t]. The conditions (pp. 640–641) are:

  • (4.8) Z(0)=0Z(0) = 0Z(0)=0 and Z(t+Δ)−Z(t)≥0Z(t + \Delta) - Z(t) \ge 0Z(t+Δ)−Z(t)≥0 for all t,Δ≥0t, \Delta \ge 0t,Δ≥0, with probability one;
  • (4.9) {Z(t),t≥0}\{Z(t), t \ge 0\}{Z(t),t≥0} is a Markov process;
  • (4.10) P{Z(t+Δ)−Z(t)≤u∣Z(t)=z}P\{Z(t + \Delta) - Z(t) \le u \mid Z(t) = z\}P{Z(t+Δ)−Z(t)≤u∣Z(t)=z} is decreasing in both zzz and ttt in the region t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, z≥0z \ge 0z≥0, Δ≥0\Delta \ge 0Δ≥0.

The first passage time above a level xxx is Tx=inf⁡{t:Z(t)>x}T_x = \inf\{t : Z(t) > x\}Tx​=inf{t:Z(t)>x}. Its survival function is Hˉx(t)=P{Tx>t}\bar H_x(t) = P\{T_x > t\}Hˉx​(t)=P{Tx​>t}, and Ft(x)=P{Z(t)≤x}F_t(x) = P\{Z(t) \le x\}Ft​(x)=P{Z(t)≤x} is the distribution function of the wear at time ttt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.10 (p. 641)

If {Z(t),t≥0}\{Z(t), t \ge 0\}{Z(t),t≥0} satisfies (4.8), (4.9) and (4.10), then for every level xxx

t⟼[Hˉx(t)]1/t is decreasing on t>0,t \longmapsto \big[\bar H_x(t)\big]^{1/t} \text{ is decreasing on } t > 0,t⟼[Hˉx​(t)]1/t is decreasing on t>0,

that is, TxT_xTx​ has an IHRA distribution.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.1b (p. 637): under (4.3)–(4.5), [P{X1+⋯+Xk≤x}]1/k[P\{X_1 + \dots + X_k \le x\}]^{1/k}[P{X1​+⋯+Xk​≤x}]1/k is decreasing in k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,….
  2. Proof of Theorem 4.10, first claim (a): for Δ>0\Delta > 0Δ>0, the grid increments Xi=Z(iΔ)−Z((i−1)Δ)X_i = Z(i\Delta) - Z((i-1)\Delta)Xi​=Z(iΔ)−Z((i−1)Δ) satisfy (4.3)–(4.5).
  3. Proof of Theorem 4.10, first claim (b): [FkΔ(x)]1/(kΔ)[F_{k\Delta}(x)]^{1/(k\Delta)}[FkΔ​(x)]1/(kΔ) is decreasing in k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,….
  4. Proof of Theorem 4.10, second claim: [Fs(x)]1/s≥[Ft(x)]1/t[F_s(x)]^{1/s} \ge [F_t(x)]^{1/t}[Fs​(x)]1/s≥[Ft​(x)]1/t whenever 0<s≤t0 < s \le t0<s≤t.
  5. Proof of Theorem 4.10, third claim: Hˉx(t)=lim⁡ε↓0Ft+ε(x)\bar H_x(t) = \lim_{\varepsilon \downarrow 0} F_{t+\varepsilon}(x)Hˉx​(t)=limε↓0​Ft+ε​(x), under (4.8) alone.

An optional extra item states Corollary 4.2 (4.7b): Poisson shocks of rate λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 with damages satisfying (4.3)–(4.5) give an IHRA life Hˉ(t)=∑ke−λt(λt)k/k!⋅P{Zk≤x}\bar H(t) = \sum_k e^{-\lambda t} (\lambda t)^k / k! \cdot P\{Z_k \le x\}Hˉ(t)=∑k​e−λt(λt)k/k!⋅P{Zk​≤x}.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.10 derives an ageing property of a failure time from qualitative properties of the damage process alone: no distributional form, no stationarity and no independence of increments is assumed. Together with the closure of IHRA under coherent systems, this lets a reliability engineer conclude that a system built from components failing by wear has an IHRA life. Examples include processes with nonnegative stationary independent increments started at the origin, such as compound Poisson processes and infinitesimal renewal processes (p. 641). Lemma 4.1b is the discrete analogue: a sequence of probabilities Pˉk\bar P_kPˉk​ with Pˉk1/k\bar P_k^{1/k}Pˉk1/k​ decreasing is what Theorem 3.1 (3.4) needs to give an IHRA life under Poisson shocks.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper. As far as we know none of them has been machine-checked. The formalization needs, and would make reusable, a statement of the Markov property for a continuous-time real process in terms of Mathlib's conditional expectation, versions of conditional distributions with monotonicity constraints, and the passage from a discrete-time grid to continuous time for first passage times. Each of these is a step a probabilist writes in one line and a proof assistant does not.

Difficulty

The paper's proof is short, but every sentence hides a measure-theoretic step. The first claim, that the grid increments satisfy (4.3)–(4.5), requires turning the Markov property and the monotonicity of the increment law into conditional laws of Xk+1X_{k+1}Xk+1​ given (X1,…,Xk)(X_1, \dots, X_k)(X1​,…,Xk​). Those conditional laws are defined only almost everywhere, and the monotonicity must be preserved along the way. Lemma 4.1b itself is an induction that integrates the monotonicity conditions against the law of ZkZ_kZk​. The extension from rational to arbitrary ratios s/ts/ts/t uses the monotonicity of paths. The identification of Hˉx(t)\bar H_x(t)Hˉx​(t) as a right limit of Ft+ε(x)F_{t+\varepsilon}(x)Ft+ε​(x) needs the pathwise reading of (4.8). The natural first idea, approximating ZZZ by a compound Poisson process, would add hypotheses the theorem does not have.

Formalization scope

All objects sit in the namespace ShockWear.WearProcess, in one definition file. The committed conventions:

  • Probability space. A measure pr with IsProbabilityMeasure. Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge 0}R≥0​; Z:R≥0→Ω→RZ : \mathbb R_{\ge0} \to \Omega \to \mathbb RZ:R≥0​→Ω→R with every Z(t)Z(t)Z(t) measurable.
  • (4.8) is read pathwise. Almost every path has Z(0)=0Z(0) = 0Z(0)=0 and is nondecreasing. The paper's "for all t,Δ≥0t, \Delta \ge 0t,Δ≥0 with probability one" is ambiguous in quantifier order; this reading is the one used by the proof's equivalence "Tx>tT_x > tTx​>t iff Z(t+ε)≤xZ(t+\varepsilon) \le xZ(t+ε)≤x for some ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0".
  • (4.9) is the Markov property for the natural filtration σ(Z(r),r≤s)\sigma(Z(r), r \le s)σ(Z(r),r≤s): P(Z(t)∈B∣Fs)=P(Z(t)∈B∣Z(s))P(Z(t) \in B \mid \mathcal F_s) = P(Z(t) \in B \mid Z(s))P(Z(t)∈B∣Fs​)=P(Z(t)∈B∣Z(s)) a.s. for s≤ts \le ts≤t and Borel BBB.
  • Conditional probabilities are explicit versions. P{Xk+1≤u∣Zk=z}P\{X_{k+1} \le u \mid Z_k = z\}P{Xk+1​≤u∣Zk​=z} and P{Z(t+Δ)−Z(t)≤u∣Z(t)=z}P\{Z(t+\Delta) - Z(t) \le u \mid Z(t) = z\}P{Z(t+Δ)−Z(t)≤u∣Z(t)=z} are the values on (−∞,u](-\infty, u](−∞,u] of Markov kernels κ\kappaκ that agree almost everywhere with Mathlib's condDistrib. The monotonicity conditions (4.4), (4.5), (4.10) are imposed on these versions, on the paper's regions z≥0z \ge 0z≥0, t≥0t \ge 0t≥0. "Is decreasing in zzz" is read as "has a version decreasing in zzz".
  • Nonnegativity of damages is almost sure.
  • Index base. Lean's X i is the paper's Xi+1X_{i+1}Xi+1​, and the kernel κ k describes Xk+1X_{k+1}Xk+1​ given ZkZ_kZk​.
  • First passage time TxT_xTx​ takes values in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞] and may be infinite with positive probability; it is not assumed finite. Hˉx(t)=1\bar H_x(t) = 1Hˉx​(t)=1 for t<0t < 0t<0. The level xxx ranges over all reals.
  • Powers [ ⋅ ]1/t[\,\cdot\,]^{1/t}[⋅]1/t, [ ⋅ ]1/k[\,\cdot\,]^{1/k}[⋅]1/k, [ ⋅ ]1/(kΔ)[\,\cdot\,]^{1/(k\Delta)}[⋅]1/(kΔ) are real powers with real exponents.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: (4.9) and (4.10) are not replaced by independence or stationarity of increments, nor by a compound Poisson model. Those are examples (p. 641), not hypotheses. Monotonicity is never imposed on Mathlib's condDistrib itself, whose values off the support of Z(t)Z(t)Z(t) are unconstrained. A sorry-free local check confirms the hypotheses are satisfiable: the deterministic process Z(t)=tZ(t) = tZ(t)=t satisfies (4.8)–(4.10), and constant damages satisfy (4.3)–(4.5).

Contributions are welcome on any milestone. The reduction (milestone 2) and the induction of Lemma 4.1b are the substantial parts. Lemmas about versions of conditional distributions under Markov processes would be reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. D. Esary, A. W. Marshall and F. Proschan, Shock Models and Wear Processes, Ann. Probability 1(4) (1973) 627–649. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996891
  • Z. W. Birnbaum, J. D. Esary and A. W. Marshall, A Stochastic Characterization of Wear-out for Components and Systems, Ann. Math. Statist. 37 (1966) 816–825. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699362
  • R. C. Morey, Stochastic Wear Processes, Technical Report ORC 65-16, Operations Research Center, University of California, Berkeley, 1965 (cited on p. 640 of Esary, Marshall and Proschan).
  • R. E. Barlow and F. Proschan, Statistical Theory of Reliability and Life Testing, Holt, Rinehart and Winston, 1975.
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

The Relation between Customer and Time Averages in Queues: H = λG on Every Sample Path When 0 < λ < ∞, G < ∞ and Each f_n Vanishes Outside [t_n, t_n + s_n] with s_n/n → 0Research Paper

Motivation

Little's law L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW says that the long-run average number of customers in a system equals the arrival rate times the average time a customer spends there. It is one of the most used identities in queueing theory, and it holds on individual sample paths under weak conditions (Little 1961; Stidham 1974). Many quantities of interest are not head counts, however: the work in the system, the cost accumulated by customers in progress, the number of tokens a customer holds in some state. For these a more general relation is needed, between a time average HHH and a customer average GGG, of the form H=λGH = \lambda GH=λG.

Heyman and Stidham (Oper. Res. 28 (1980)) prove such a relation on each sample path, for an arbitrary real-valued function attached to each customer, under a support condition that is much weaker than the continuous-sojourn assumption of the L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW theorem. They then show by a counterexample that the support condition cannot simply be dropped, even when every customer function is an indicator.

Timeline.

  • 1961: Little proves L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW under stationarity assumptions (Little 1961).
  • 1971: Brumelle proves H=λGH = \lambda GH=λG under conditions (v.a), (v.b) on the tails of the fnf_nfn​ (J. Appl. Prob. 8, 508–520).
  • 1972: Stidham gives a new proof of L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW, including the lemma relating N(t)/tN(t)/tN(t)/t and tn/nt_n/ntn​/n (Stidham 1972).
  • 1974: Stidham proves L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW on each sample path, assuming each sojourn is one uninterrupted interval (Stidham 1974).
  • 1980: Heyman and Stidham prove H=λGH = \lambda GH=λG on every sample path under the support condition below, and give the counterexample. The paper notes that its Theorem 1 is weaker than the sample-path version of Brumelle's theorem, with hypotheses stated directly on the sample path.

Setting

Fix one sample path. Customers n=1,2,…n = 1, 2, \ldotsn=1,2,… arrive at epochs 0≤t1≤t2≤⋯0 \le t_1 \le t_2 \le \cdots0≤t1​≤t2​≤⋯; ties are allowed. The arrival count N(t)N(t)N(t) is the number of nnn with tn≤tt_n \le ttn​≤t, and the arrival rate is λ=lim⁡t→∞N(t)/t\lambda = \lim_{t\to\infty} N(t)/tλ=limt→∞​N(t)/t when the limit exists.

Customer nnn carries a real-valued function fnf_nfn​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Its total is gn=∫0∞fn(t) dtg_n = \int_0^\infty f_n(t)\,dtgn​=∫0∞​fn​(t)dt, and the rate is h(t)=∑n=1∞fn(t)h(t) = \sum_{n=1}^\infty f_n(t)h(t)=∑n=1∞​fn​(t). The customer average and time average are

G=lim⁡N→∞1N∑n=1Ngn,H=lim⁡T→∞1T∫0Th(t) dt.G = \lim_{N\to\infty} \frac1N \sum_{n=1}^N g_n, \qquad H = \lim_{T\to\infty} \frac1T \int_0^T h(t)\,dt .G=N→∞lim​N1​n=1∑N​gn​,H=T→∞lim​T1​∫0T​h(t)dt.

When fnf_nfn​ is the indicator of [tn,tn+Wn)[t_n, t_n + W_n)[tn​,tn​+Wn​), gn=Wng_n = W_ngn​=Wn​ is the sojourn time and h(t)h(t)h(t) is the number in system, so H=λGH = \lambda GH=λG is L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW.

The ASSUMPTION of the paper is that for each nnn there is sn∈[0,∞)s_n \in [0,\infty)sn​∈[0,∞) with

  1. (i) fn(t)=0f_n(t) = 0fn​(t)=0 for t∉[tn,tn+sn]t \notin [t_n, t_n + s_n]t∈/[tn​,tn​+sn​];
  2. (ii) sn/n→0s_n / n \to 0sn​/n→0.

For signed fnf_nfn​ write fn+=max⁡[0,fn]f_n^+ = \max[0, f_n]fn+​=max[0,fn​], fn−=max⁡[0,−fn]f_n^- = \max[0, -f_n]fn−​=max[0,−fn​], and let gn±g_n^\pmgn±​, h±h^\pmh±, G±G^\pmG±, H±H^\pmH± be the corresponding totals, rates and averages.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 986)

Assume (i), (ii) and (v) ∫0∞∣fn(t)∣ dt<∞\int_0^\infty |f_n(t)|\,dt < \infty∫0∞​∣fn​(t)∣dt<∞ for every nnn. If λ\lambdaλ, G+G^+G+ and G−G^-G− exist with 0<λ<∞0 < \lambda < \infty0<λ<∞ and G±<∞G^\pm < \inftyG±<∞, then GGG exists, equals G+−G−G^+ - G^-G+−G−, HHH exists, and

H=λG.(1)H = \lambda G. \tag{1}H=λG.(1)

Milestones

  • (2): for 0<λ<∞0 < \lambda < \infty0<λ<∞, N(t)/t→λN(t)/t \to \lambdaN(t)/t→λ if and only if tn/n→λ−1t_n / n \to \lambda^{-1}tn​/n→λ−1.
  • (3): for fn≥0f_n \ge 0fn​≥0, V(T)≤∫0Th(t) dt≤U(T)V(T) \le \int_0^T h(t)\,dt \le U(T)V(T)≤∫0T​h(t)dt≤U(T), where U(T)U(T)U(T) sums gng_ngn​ over arrived customers and V(T)V(T)V(T) over customers with tn+sn≤Tt_n + s_n \le Ttn​+sn​≤T.
  • (4): λG=lim⁡t→∞U(t)/t\lambda G = \lim_{t\to\infty} U(t)/tλG=limt→∞​U(t)/t.
  • sn/tn→0s_n / t_n \to 0sn​/tn​→0, and lim⁡U(t)/t=lim⁡V(t)/t\lim U(t)/t = \lim V(t)/tlimU(t)/t=limV(t)/t.
  • Theorem 1 (p. 985): for fn≥0f_n \ge 0fn​≥0 under (i)–(iv), H=λGH = \lambda GH=λG.
  • The identity ∫0Th+−∫0Th−=∫0Th\int_0^T h^+ - \int_0^T h^- = \int_0^T h∫0T​h+−∫0T​h−=∫0T​h and (6): G=G+−G−G = G^+ - G^-G=G+−G−, H=H+−H−H = H^+ - H^-H=H+−H−.

Companion results

  • The §3 counterexample: tn=nt_n = ntn​=n, indicator fnf_nfn​ with gn=1g_n = 1gn​=1, so λ=G=1\lambda = G = 1λ=G=1, but H=log⁡2H = \log 2H=log2; its support span sn=ns_n = nsn​=n satisfies (i) and fails (ii).
  • Corollary 3 (p. 988): if λ(ω)=λ\lambda(\omega) = \lambdaλ(ω)=λ is constant, the ensemble averages satisfy ∫H dP=λ∫G dP\int H\,dP = \lambda \int G\,dP∫HdP=λ∫GdP.
  • G=W<∞G = W < \inftyG=W<∞ implies Wn/n→0W_n / n \to 0Wn​/n→0 (p. 986), the step by which Theorem 1 contains L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW.

Significance

The result. H=λGH = \lambda GH=λG converts between a time average, which is what a system designer measures, and a customer average, which is what a customer experiences. Applied to different fnf_nfn​ it yields L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW, the relation between average work in system and average customer work, and relations between time-stationary and embedded-chain probabilities; §2 of the paper derives the GI/M/c/K relation this way. Because the support condition (i)–(ii) allows a customer's contribution to be interrupted (leaving and re-entering the system), it covers preemptive priority queues and nodes of networks, which the continuous-sojourn L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW theorem does not. The counterexample marks the boundary: with interrupted sojourns, indicator functions and finite λ\lambdaλ, GGG alone do not suffice.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper, with two steps delegated to earlier work "by mimicking" Lemma 1 and Theorem 2 of Stidham 1974. The indicator special case L=λWL = \lambda WL=λW (with strictly increasing arrivals) is already proved on Prove2Me as queueing_general_littles_law (wenxinzhang). This mission asks for the general, signed, pathwise statement and its proof steps, a counterexample with an exactly computed time average log⁡2\log 2log2, and the ensemble corollary.

Difficulty

The obvious argument, exchanging the time integral of hhh with the sum over customers, gives ∫0Th=∑n∫0Tfn\int_0^T h = \sum_n \int_0^T f_n∫0T​h=∑n​∫0T​fn​, but a customer that has arrived by TTT may contribute only part of its total gng_ngn​ by TTT. The sandwich V(T)≤∫0Th≤U(T)V(T) \le \int_0^T h \le U(T)V(T)≤∫0T​h≤U(T) only bounds this loss; the hard step is showing that U(t)/tU(t)/tU(t)/t and V(t)/tV(t)/tV(t)/t have the same limit, which needs sn/tn→0s_n / t_n \to 0sn​/tn​→0 to compare VVV at time ttt with UUU at a slightly earlier time. Without (ii) this fails, as the counterexample shows: customers there remain "open" for a window proportional to their index.

For signed fnf_nfn​ the sandwich is not available directly, and the proof splits fnf_nfn​ into positive and negative parts; the exchange of sum and integral then needs the finiteness of the parts on every [0,T][0,T][0,T].

Formalization scope

All statements except Corollary 3 are about one fixed sample path; the paper's "with probability one" is the pathwise statement applied to almost every path, and Corollary 3 states this explicitly with a probability measure and almost-sure hypotheses.

Conventions:

  • Customers are indexed from 000 in Lean; index nnn is the paper's customer n+1n+1n+1, so sn/n→0s_n/n \to 0sn​/n→0 is written sn/(n+1)→0s_n/(n+1) \to 0sn​/(n+1)→0.
  • Arrival epochs are Monotone with t0≥0t_0 \ge 0t0​≥0; ties are allowed.
  • fn:R→Rf_n : \mathbb R \to \mathbb Rfn​:R→R, but only values on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) enter: (i) is required only for t≥0t \ge 0t≥0, gng_ngn​ integrates over [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and time averages integrate over [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  • (iv) and (v) are stated as integrability of fnf_nfn​ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); the page prints (iv) as "≤∞\le \infty≤∞", a misprint for "<∞< \infty<∞".
  • N(t)N(t)N(t) is the cardinality of {n:tn≤t}\{n : t_n \le t\}{n:tn​≤t}; hhh, UUU, VVV are infinite sums over all customers.
  • "HHH exists" includes integrability of hhh on every [0,T][0,T][0,T].
  • The page prints (6) as "G=G+−G+G = G^+ - G^+G=G+−G+"; the stated identity is G=G+−G−G = G^+ - G^-G=G+−G−, as the proof shows.

Added hypotheses: milestones (3), the h±h^\pmh± identity and (6) assume tn→∞t_n \to \inftytn​→∞, which the paper derives from (2); Corollary 3 assumes G(ω)G(\omega)G(ω) is integrable, which its definition of the ensemble average presupposes.

A formalization in which hhh sums only over arrived customers, or in which a non-integrable hhh or fnf_nfn​ has integral 000, would make the statements trivial or different; the definitions rule this out by summing over all customers and requiring integrability.

Needed infrastructure: Cesàro averages and counting functions of nondecreasing sequences, interchange of countable sums and integrals for locally finite families, and harmonic sums ∑m=⌈(k+1)/2⌉k1/m→log⁡2\sum_{m=\lceil (k+1)/2\rceil}^{k} 1/m \to \log 2∑m=⌈(k+1)/2⌉k​1/m→log2. The counting-function lemma (2) and the squeeze for UUU and VVV are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • D. P. Heyman and S. Stidham, Jr., The relation between customer and time averages in queues, Operations Research 28(4):983–994, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.4.983
  • J. D. C. Little, A proof for the queuing formula: L = λW, Operations Research 9(3):383–387, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.9.3.383
  • S. Stidham, Jr., L = λW: a discounted analogue and a new proof, Operations Research 20(6):1115–1126, 1972. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.20.6.1115
  • S. Stidham, Jr., A last word on L = λW, Operations Research 22(2):417–421, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.22.2.417
  • S. L. Brumelle, On the relation between customer and time averages in queues, Journal of Applied Probability 8:508–520, 1971.
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Numerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods I: Inexact Newton Backtracking Converges to Every Limit Point Where F′ Is Invertible, That Point Is a Zero of F, and Initial Steps Are Eventually AcceptedResearch Paper

Motivation

Newton's method for a nonlinear system F(x)=0F(x) = 0F(x)=0, with F:Rn→RnF:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R^nF:Rn→Rn, solves the linear system F′(xk)sk=−F(xk)F'(x_k)s_k = -F(x_k)F′(xk​)sk​=−F(xk​) at every step. For large systems that solve is itself iterative (a Krylov method such as GMRES), and it is stopped early. The resulting inexact Newton methods, introduced by Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19 (1982)), accept any step with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥, where the forcing term ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) controls how accurately the linear system is solved. Their theory is local: it applies once the iterates are near a solution with invertible derivative.

Practical solvers (Newton–Krylov codes in large-scale simulation, nonlinear solver libraries such as PETSc's SNES and SUNDIALS' KINSOL) combine such inexact steps with a globalization, most often backtracking along the step. Eisenstat and Walker (SIAM J. Optim. 4 (1994)) gave the global convergence theory for this combination: what can be said about the iterates from an arbitrary starting point, with no assumption that a solution exists or that F′F'F′ is invertible anywhere.

Timeline. Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug (1982) proved local convergence of inexact Newton methods. Dembo and Steihaug (Math. Program. 26 (1983)) studied truncated Newton methods for unconstrained minimization. Brown and Saad (1990) studied globalized Newton–Krylov methods with line searches and model trust regions, under the inner-product norm. Eisenstat and Walker (1994) gave the general framework treated here, for an arbitrary norm. Their 1996 paper (SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17) proposed the forcing-term choices that are now standard.

Setting

Let EEE be Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥, and let F:E→EF:E\to EF:E→E be continuously differentiable with derivative F′(x)F'(x)F′(x). A point x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) if every ball Nδ(x∗)={y:∥y−x∗∥<δ}N_\delta(x_*)=\{y:\|y-x_*\|<\delta\}Nδ​(x∗​)={y:∥y−x∗​∥<δ} contains xkx_kxk​ for infinitely many kkk.

Algorithm GIN (global inexact Newton method). Fix t∈(0,1)t\in(0,1)t∈(0,1). At each kkk, find a level ηk∈[0,1)\eta_k\in[0,1)ηk​∈[0,1) and a step sks_ksk​ with

∥F(xk)+F′(xk)sk∥≤ηk∥F(xk)∥(2.1),∥F(xk+sk)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk)] ∥F(xk)∥(2.2),\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)s_k\|\le\eta_k\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.1),\qquad \|F(x_k+s_k)\|\le[1-t(1-\eta_k)]\,\|F(x_k)\| \quad (2.2),∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)sk​∥≤ηk​∥F(xk​)∥(2.1),∥F(xk​+sk​)∥≤[1−t(1−ηk​)]∥F(xk​)∥(2.2),

and set xk+1=xk+skx_{k+1}=x_k+s_kxk+1​=xk​+sk​. Condition (2.1) says that sks_ksk​ reduces the norm of the local linear model by the factor ηk\eta_kηk​. Condition (2.2) asks that ∥F∥\|F\|∥F∥ itself decrease by a fixed fraction ttt of that predicted reduction.

Algorithm MR (minimum reduction method). Fix ηmax⁡∈[0,1)\eta_{\max}\in[0,1)ηmax​∈[0,1) and 0<θmin⁡<θmax⁡<10<\theta_{\min}<\theta_{\max}<10<θmin​<θmax​<1. At step kkk, choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and a curve σk\sigma_kσk​ with ∥F(xk)+F′(xk)σk(η)∥≤η∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)+F'(x_k)\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\eta\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)+F′(xk​)σk​(η)∥≤η∥F(xk​)∥ for ηˉk≤η≤1\bar\eta_k\le\eta\le1ηˉ​k​≤η≤1 (5.1). Start at ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails for sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​), replace ηk\eta_kηk​ by 1−θ(1−ηk)1-\theta(1-\eta_k)1−θ(1−ηk​) for some θ∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θ∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Then set xk+1=xk+σk(ηk)x_{k+1}=x_k+\sigma_k(\eta_k)xk+1​=xk​+σk​(ηk​).

Algorithm INB (inexact Newton backtracking). Choose ηˉk∈[0,ηmax⁡]\bar\eta_k\in[0,\eta_{\max}]ηˉ​k​∈[0,ηmax​] and an inexact Newton step sˉk\bar s_ksˉk​ at level ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​. While (2.2) fails, shorten the step, sk←θsks_k\leftarrow\theta s_ksk​←θsk​, and raise the level, ηk←1−θ(1−ηk)\eta_k\leftarrow1-\theta(1-\eta_k)ηk​←1−θ(1−ηk​). INB is MR with the backtracking curve σk(η)=1−η1−ηˉksˉk\sigma_k(\eta)=\frac{1-\eta}{1-\bar\eta_k}\bar s_kσk​(η)=1−ηˉ​k​1−η​sˉk​ (6.1).

An algorithm does not break down if it produces an infinite sequence of iterates, in particular if every while-loop exits.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1 (global convergence of Algorithm INB)

If Algorithm INB does not break down and x∗x_*x∗​ is a limit point of (xk)(x_k)(xk​) at which F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) is invertible, then

F(x∗)=0,xk→x∗,sk=sˉk and ηk=ηˉk for all sufficiently large k.F(x_*)=0,\qquad x_k\to x_*,\qquad s_k=\bar s_k\ \text{and}\ \eta_k=\bar\eta_k\ \text{for all sufficiently large }k.F(x∗​)=0,xk​→x∗​,sk​=sˉk​ and ηk​=ηˉ​k​ for all sufficiently large k.

The statement assumes no solution, bounded level set, Lipschitz derivative or particular norm. The last clause says that backtracking eventually stops, so the local rate is governed by the forcing terms ηˉk\bar\eta_kηˉ​k​.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Lemmas 1.1 and 1.2. Continuity of y↦F′(y)−1y\mapsto F'(y)^{-1}y↦F′(y)−1 at an invertible point, and a uniform linearization error ∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥\|F(z)-F(y)-F'(y)(z-y)\|\le\varepsilon\|z-y\|∥F(z)−F(y)−F′(y)(z−y)∥≤ε∥z−y∥ near xxx.
  2. Theorem 3.3. If F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, the steps satisfy (2.1) with a fixed η\etaη, and ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ is nonincreasing, then an invertible limit point is a zero and the limit.
  3. Theorem 3.4. A GIN run with ∑k(1−ηk)=∞\sum_k(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑k​(1−ηk​)=∞ has F(xk)→0F(x_k)\to0F(xk​)→0, plus the conclusion of Theorem 3.3 at invertible limit points.
  4. Theorem 3.5. A GIN run converges to a limit point near which ∥sk∥≤Γ(1−ηk)∥F(xk)∥\|s_k\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta_k)\|F(x_k)\|∥sk​∥≤Γ(1−ηk​)∥F(xk​)∥ (3.2).
  5. Lemma 5.1. The while-loop terminates, with 1−ηk≥min⁡{1−ηˉk,θmin⁡δ/(Γ∥F(xk)∥)}1-\eta_k\ge\min\{1-\bar\eta_k,\theta_{\min}\delta/(\Gamma\|F(x_k)\|)\}1−ηk​≥min{1−ηˉ​k​,θmin​δ/(Γ∥F(xk​)∥)}.
  6. MR runs are GIN runs (§5).
  7. Theorem 5.2 for MR. Under ∥σk(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk)∥\|\sigma_k(\eta)\|\le\Gamma(1-\eta)\|F(x_k)\|∥σk​(η)∥≤Γ(1−η)∥F(xk​)∥ near a limit point x∗x_*x∗​ (5.6): F(x∗)=0F(x_*)=0F(x∗​)=0, xk→x∗x_k\to x_*xk​→x∗​, and ηk=ηˉk\eta_k=\bar\eta_kηk​=ηˉ​k​ eventually.
  8. INB runs are MR runs with the curve (6.1), and sk=σk(ηk)s_k=\sigma_k(\eta_k)sk​=σk​(ηk​) throughout the loop (§6).

Further items, which are not milestones: Corollary 6.2 (exact Newton with backtracking takes full Newton steps eventually), Theorem 5.2 for Algorithm TL, Lemma 3.1 (existence of acceptable GIN steps), and Proposition 2.1 (the Goldstein–Armijo alpha condition implies (2.2) in the Euclidean norm).

Significance

The result. Theorem 6.1 is the global convergence guarantee for the inexact Newton backtracking method that Newton–Krylov solvers implement. It separates three outcomes: the iterates diverge, they accumulate only at points where F′F'F′ is singular, or they converge to a solution with invertible derivative and eventually take the unmodified inexact Newton steps. In the third case the local theory of Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug applies from some iteration on, so the forcing terms alone set the convergence rate. Theorem 5.2 is the template: §§6–8 of the paper derive the convergence of backtracking, equality-curve and dogleg-type methods from it by verifying (5.6).

Formalizing it. The results are proved on paper and none of them has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission produces a library of algorithm-run predicates with explicit while-loops for inexact Newton methods. It also checks the paper's reduction chain (INB is a run of MR, MR is a run of GIN) and the global convergence theorems in an arbitrary finite-dimensional norm.

Difficulty

The obvious argument fails at both ends. Sufficient decrease (2.2) alone gives monotonicity of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥, but not convergence of the iterates. On the page, F(x)=x2−1F(x)=x^2-1F(x)=x2−1 admits sequences satisfying (2.2) with both ±1\pm1±1 as limit points. Convergence of ∥F(xk)∥\|F(x_k)\|∥F(xk​)∥ to 000 needs ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞, and nothing in the algorithm states this. In Theorem 5.2 it has to be derived from the exit level of the while-loop, which depends on a neighbourhood of x∗x_*x∗​ where the linearization error is uniformly controlled. A solver must combine a limit-point argument (only infinitely many iterates are near x∗x_*x∗​, not all of them) with the loop's worst-case backtracking factor θmin⁡\theta_{\min}θmin​. The invertibility of F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) enters only through the bound (5.6) for the backtracking curve, which must be established uniformly in kkk.

Formalization scope

  • Space and norm. EEE is a finite-dimensional real normed space ([NormedAddCommGroup E] [NormedSpace ℝ E] [FiniteDimensional ℝ E]). This is exactly "Rn\mathbb R^nRn with an arbitrary norm". Fin n → ℝ (sup norm) and EuclideanSpace would each fix one norm. Only Proposition 2.1 assumes an inner product space, as the page does.
  • Derivative. F′F'F′ is fderiv ℝ F, with ContDiff ℝ 1 F (the paper's standing assumption). Invertibility is ContinuousLinearMap.IsInvertible, and F′(x)−1F'(x)^{-1}F′(x)−1 is ContinuousLinearMap.inverse.
  • Runs. An algorithm that does not break down is a predicate on infinite sequences (IsGINRun, IsMRRun, IsINBRun, plus IsTLRun, IsENBRun). The steps and levels the algorithm says to "find" or "choose" are data constrained only by the stated conditions. A while-loop is recorded by its number of passes mkm_kmk​ and factors θk,j∈[θmin⁡,θmax⁡]\theta_{k,j}\in[\theta_{\min},\theta_{\max}]θk,j​∈[θmin​,θmax​]. Every trial before the last fails the loop's test and the last one passes it. Termination is part of the run.
  • Limit point is MapClusterPt xstar atTop x. "For all sufficiently large kkk" is ∀ᶠ k in atTop. The paper's "whenever xkx_kxk​ is sufficiently near x∗x_*x∗​ [and kkk is sufficiently large]" is ∃ Γ, ∃ δ > 0, [∃ K,] ∀ k [≥ K], x k ∈ ball xstar δ → …. Γ\GammaΓ precedes kkk ("independent of kkk"), and the "kkk large" clause appears only in (3.2), where the page has it.
  • Hypotheses as printed. Theorems 3.5 and 5.2 do not assume F′(x∗)F'(x_*)F′(x∗​) invertible. Theorem 5.2 does not assume ∑(1−ηk)=∞\sum(1-\eta_k)=\infty∑(1−ηk​)=∞. Lemma 5.1 is stated for one iteration of the loop shared by MR and TL, for every choice of factors.
  • Trivializing readings ruled out. A run predicate without the "rejected" clause would allow needless backtracking, and one without the "accepted" clause would drop (2.2). Both clauses are present. A sorry-free check (F = id on R\mathbb RR) confirms that the INB, GIN and ENB run predicates and the goal's hypotheses are satisfiable, so the goal is not vacuous.
  • Infrastructure. Continuity of operator inversion and uniform differentiability on neighbourhoods are in Mathlib. The run predicates and trial-level recursions are reusable for any line-search or backtracking analysis. Each milestone is stated independently; contributions in any order are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Globally Convergent Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Optim. 4(2) (1994) 393–422. https://doi.org/10.1137/0804022
  • R. S. Dembo, S. C. Eisenstat and T. Steihaug, Inexact Newton Methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19(2) (1982) 400–408. https://doi.org/10.1137/0719025
  • R. S. Dembo and T. Steihaug, Truncated-Newton algorithms for large-scale unconstrained optimization, Math. Program. 26 (1983) 190–212. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02592055
  • P. N. Brown and Y. Saad, Hybrid Krylov Methods for Nonlinear Systems of Equations, SIAM J. Sci. Stat. Comput. 11(3) (1990) 450–481. https://doi.org/10.1137/0911026
  • S. C. Eisenstat and H. F. Walker, Choosing the Forcing Terms in an Inexact Newton Method, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17(1) (1996) 16–32. https://doi.org/10.1137/0917003
  • J. E. Dennis and R. B. Schnabel, Numerical Methods for Unconstrained Optimization and Nonlinear Equations, SIAM Classics in Applied Mathematics 16 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971200
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Reflected Brownian Motion on an Orthant: The Skorokhod Construction Yields an Adapted, Almost Surely Unique, Time-Homogeneous Markov ProcessResearch Paper

Motivation

Reflected Brownian motion on the orthant is the diffusion that arises as the heavy-traffic limit of open networks of queues. In a KKK-station network the scaled queue-length vector lives in the nonnegative orthant R+K\mathbb R^K_+R+K​; in the interior it moves like a Brownian motion, and when a station empties the process is pushed back into the orthant in a direction determined by the routing of customers between stations. Harrison (1978) obtained such a limit for two queues in tandem, and Reiman (Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic, Math. Oper. Res. 9 (1984)) showed that general KKK-station open networks lead exactly to the class of processes studied here.

Classical constructions of reflected diffusions (Stroock and Varadhan 1971, Watanabe 1971) require a smooth boundary and a reflection direction varying continuously on it. The orthant has corners and the reflection direction jumps between faces, so those results do not apply. Harrison and Reiman (Reflected Brownian Motion on an Orthant, Ann. Probab. 9 (1981)) construct the process pathwise, following Skorokhod's one-dimensional approach, and derive its Markov property from the construction. The process has since become the standard object in the diffusion approximation of queueing networks.

Setting

Fix a positive integer KKK. Vectors in RK\mathbb R^KRK are row vectors, indexed by j=1,…,Kj=1,\dots,Kj=1,…,K. Let AAA be a K×KK\times KK×K covariance matrix (symmetric, nonnegative definite), b∈RKb\in\mathbb R^Kb∈RK a drift vector, and Q=(qij)Q=(q_{ij})Q=(qij​) a nonnegative K×KK\times KK×K matrix with zeros on the diagonal and spectral radius strictly less than one. S=R+KS=\mathbb R^K_+S=R+K​ is the nonnegative orthant.

Let CCC be the space of continuous paths x:[0,∞)→RKx:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb R^Kx:[0,∞)→RK with the topology of uniform convergence on compact intervals, and CSC_SCS​ the paths with x(0)∈Sx(0)\in Sx(0)∈S. For x∈CSx\in C_Sx∈CS​, the Skorokhod problem asks for y,z∈Cy,z\in Cy,z∈C with, for every jjj,

zj(t)=xj(t)+yj(t)−∑i=1Kqij yi(t),zj(t)≥0,t≥0,(5–6)z_j(t)=x_j(t)+y_j(t)-\sum_{i=1}^K q_{ij}\,y_i(t),\qquad z_j(t)\ge 0,\qquad t\ge0, \tag{5–6}zj​(t)=xj​(t)+yj​(t)−i=1∑K​qij​yi​(t),zj​(t)≥0,t≥0,(5–6)

yjy_jyj​ nondecreasing with yj(0)=0y_j(0)=0yj​(0)=0 (7), and yjy_jyj​ increasing only at times ttt where zj(t)=0z_j(t)=0zj​(t)=0 (8). In matrix form, z=x+y(I−Q)z=x+y(I-Q)z=x+y(I−Q). Theorem 1 of the paper shows there is exactly one such pair, written y=ψ(x)y=\psi(x)y=ψ(x), z=ϕ(x)z=\phi(x)z=ϕ(x).

The process is obtained by feeding a Brownian path into this map. On a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) let XXX be a KKK-dimensional Brownian motion with covariance matrix AAA, drift bbb and X(0)∈SX(0)\in SX(0)∈S almost surely, with X(0)X(0)X(0) independent of the increments of XXX. Let Ft=F(X(s);0≤s≤t)\mathcal F_t=\mathcal F(X(s);0\le s\le t)Ft​=F(X(s);0≤s≤t). Set Y=ψ(X)Y=\psi(X)Y=ψ(X) and Z=ϕ(X)Z=\phi(X)Z=ϕ(X) where X∈CSX\in C_SX∈CS​, and Y=Z=0Y=Z=0Y=Z=0 on the exceptional null set. ZZZ is reflected Brownian motion on SSS with reflection matrix I−QI-QI−Q.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 1

There is a family (κt)(\kappa_t)(κt​) of Markov transition kernels on RK\mathbb R^KRK, depending only on (Q,A,b)(Q,A,b)(Q,A,b), such that for every such XXX, YYY, ZZZ:

(a)Y(t), Z(t) are Ft-measurable, t≥0;\text{(a)}\quad Y(t),\ Z(t)\ \text{are } \mathcal F_t\text{-measurable},\ t\ge0;(a)Y(t), Z(t) are Ft​-measurable, t≥0; (b)(Y,Z) satisfies (1)–(4) a.s., and any pair satisfying (1)–(4) a.s. equals (Y,Z) a.s.;\text{(b)}\quad (Y,Z)\ \text{satisfies (1)–(4) a.s., and any pair satisfying (1)–(4) a.s. equals } (Y,Z) \text{ a.s.};(b)(Y,Z) satisfies (1)–(4) a.s., and any pair satisfying (1)–(4) a.s. equals (Y,Z) a.s.; (c)P[Z(s+t)∈B∣Fs]=κt(Z(s),B) a.s.,s,t≥0, B Borel.\text{(c)}\quad P\big[Z(s+t)\in B \mid \mathcal F_s\big]=\kappa_t\big(Z(s),B\big)\ \text{a.s.},\qquad s,t\ge0,\ B \text{ Borel}.(c)P[Z(s+t)∈B∣Fs​]=κt​(Z(s),B) a.s.,s,t≥0, B Borel.

Here (1)–(4) are (5)–(8) for the paths of XXX, YYY, ZZZ. The kernel is chosen before the probability space and the initial law, which is what "stationary transition probabilities" means.

Milestones

The milestones follow the proof of Theorem 1 on pp. 304–305:

  1. a positive diagonal Λ\LambdaΛ with ∥Λ−1QΛ∥<1\|\Lambda^{-1}Q\Lambda\|<1∥Λ−1QΛ∥<1 (Veinott scaling);
  2. (5)–(8) are invariant under (Q,x,y,z)↦(Λ−1QΛ,xΛ,yΛ,zΛ)(Q,x,y,z)\mapsto(\Lambda^{-1}Q\Lambda,x\Lambda,y\Lambda,z\Lambda)(Q,x,y,z)↦(Λ−1QΛ,xΛ,yΛ,zΛ);
  3. the key observation that (5)–(8) are equivalent to y∈C0y\in C_0y∈C0​, the fixed-point equation y=π(y)y=\pi(y)y=π(y) with π(y)(t)=sup⁡0≤s≤t[y(s)Q−x(s)]+\pi(y)(t)=\sup_{0\le s\le t}[y(s)Q-x(s)]^+π(y)(t)=sup0≤s≤t​[y(s)Q−x(s)]+, and z=x+y(I−Q)z=x+y(I-Q)z=x+y(I−Q);
  4. the contraction ∥π(y)−π(y′)∥≤α∥y−y′∥\|\pi(y)-\pi(y')\|\le\alpha\|y-y'\|∥π(y)−π(y′)∥≤α∥y−y′∥ on [0,T][0,T][0,T];
  5. convergence of the Picard iterates yn+1=π(yn)y^{n+1}=\pi(y^n)yn+1=π(yn), y0≡0y^0\equiv0y0≡0;
  6. the Lipschitz bound ∥ψ(x)−ψ(x′)∥≤∥x−x′∥/(1−α)\|\psi(x)-\psi(x')\|\le\|x-x'\|/(1-\alpha)∥ψ(x)−ψ(x′)∥≤∥x−x′∥/(1−α);
  7. Theorem 1 itself: existence and uniqueness, non-anticipation (9), continuity (10);
  8. the regeneration property (11): with x∗(t)=z(T)+x(T+t)−x(T)x^*(t)=z(T)+x(T+t)-x(T)x∗(t)=z(T)+x(T+t)−x(T), y∗(t)=y(T+t)−y(T)y^*(t)=y(T+t)-y(T)y∗(t)=y(T+t)−y(T), z∗(t)=z(T+t)z^*(t)=z(T+t)z∗(t)=z(T+t), one has y∗=ψ(x∗)y^*=\psi(x^*)y∗=ψ(x∗), z∗=ϕ(x∗)z^*=\phi(x^*)z∗=ϕ(x∗).

Milestone 7 is the platform theorem Reiman84.QueueLength.lemma_1, posed as an open target by an earlier mission (Reiman 1984 cites it as its Lemma 1). It is referenced here and not posed again.

Significance

Corollary 1 is what makes ZZZ a usable stochastic process: adaptedness and almost-sure uniqueness say ZZZ is determined by the driving Brownian motion in a non-anticipating way, and the Markov property with time-homogeneous kernels is the starting point for the change-of-variable formula of §3, for generators, for stationary distributions, and for the heavy-traffic limit theorems in which ZZZ appears as the limit. The pathwise map ϕ\phiϕ and its Lipschitz continuity are reused throughout queueing theory: the continuous-mapping argument for heavy-traffic limits rests on exactly the continuity (10) established here.

The results are classical, with complete published proofs. None of them has a machine-checked proof. Mathlib has the measure-theoretic layer (kernels, conditional expectation, independence) but no reflection maps, no construction of multidimensional Brownian motion with drift, and no Markov-process theory in continuous time. This mission provides a formal statement of the pathwise reflection theory and its probabilistic consequence on which such a development can build.

Difficulty

The pathwise part is a contraction argument, but the contraction is not in the original norm: the map y↦yQy\mapsto yQy↦yQ need not be a contraction for any standard norm when only the spectral radius of QQQ is below one. The proof first changes coordinates by a positive diagonal matrix, and the right norm must be matched to the row-vector convention. The fixed-point characterization also has to be shown equivalent to the complementarity condition (8), which is where the zero diagonal of QQQ enters.

For Corollary 1, the difficulty is measure-theoretic. Adaptedness requires measurability of a path functional with respect to the uncompleted natural filtration, which uses (9) and (10) and the fact that continuous paths are determined by countably many coordinates. The Markov property requires the regeneration identity (11) together with independence of the post-sss increments of XXX from Fs\mathcal F_sFs​, and a kernel that is jointly measurable and independent of the initial law. Conditioning on Fs\mathcal F_sFs​ alone, without identifying the future as a fixed functional of Z(s)Z(s)Z(s) and an independent Brownian motion, does not give a kernel that is the same for all sss.

Formalization scope

  • RK\mathbb R^KRK is Fin K → ℝ (paper index jjj = Lean index j−1j-1j−1), with K≥1K\ge1K≥1; row vector times matrix is Matrix.vecMul. Paths are functions ℝ → Fin K → ℝ; only times t≥0t\ge0t≥0 are constrained.
  • Spectral radius <1<1<1 is rendered as Qm→0Q^m\to0Qm→0, the rendering of Reiman84.QueueLength.lemma_1. AAA is PosSemidef.
  • (5)–(8) are the published Reiman84.QueueLength.IsReflectionPair; (8) reads "yjy_jyj​ is constant on every interval [s,t]⊆[0,∞)[s,t]\subseteq[0,\infty)[s,t]⊆[0,∞) on which zj>0z_j>0zj​>0". CSC_SCS​ is IsCPlus; uniform convergence on compacts is UocTendsto; Brownian motion from 000 with drift and covariance is IsDriftedBM.
  • The norm on C[0,T]C[0,T]C[0,T] is sup⁡0≤t≤T∥y(t)∥∞\sup_{0\le t\le T}\|y(t)\|_\inftysup0≤t≤T​∥y(t)∥∞​. The suprema in π\piπ and in the norm are real suprema, honest only for continuous paths, and every statement using them assumes continuity.
  • The paper's ∥P∥\|P\|∥P∥ is printed as the maximal row sum. Under the row-vector convention the contraction, Picard and Lipschitz steps need the maximal column sum; with the printed reading the contraction inequality is false (a nilpotent 3×33\times33×3 counterexample is recorded in those items). Veinott scaling is stated as printed; applying it to Q⊤Q^\topQ⊤ gives the column version.
  • The Brownian motion is X=X0+ξX=X_0+\xiX=X0​+ξ with ξ\xiξ a drifted Brownian motion from 000 and X0≥0X_0\ge0X0​≥0 a.s. independent of the whole process ξ\xiξ. Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ is the uncompleted σ-algebra generated by X(s)X(s)X(s), 0≤s≤t0\le s\le t0≤s≤t.
  • YYY and ZZZ enter Corollary 1 as hypotheses: a solution of (5)–(8) on {X∈CS}\{X\in C_S\}{X∈CS​}, zero elsewhere. That such processes exist is the existence part of Theorem 1, the referenced open item.
  • The kernel family is quantified before the probability space, so it cannot depend on sss, on Ω\OmegaΩ or on the law of X(0)X(0)X(0). A version of (c) with a kernel depending on these, with the completed or full σ-algebra in place of Fs\mathcal F_sFs​, or with one-dimensional marginals only, is a different and weaker statement and is ruled out.

Out of scope: Theorem 2 (the change-of-variable formula, which needs stochastic integration), the necessity of spectral radius <1<1<1, and §§3–4. Useful contributions beyond the milestones include a construction of multidimensional Brownian motion with drift in Mathlib, the Skorokhod map as a function on CSC_SCS​, and general lemmas on measurability of continuous path functionals.

Selected references

  • J. M. Harrison and M. I. Reiman, Reflected Brownian Motion on an Orthant, Annals of Probability 9(2), 302–308, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176994471
  • M. I. Reiman, Open Queueing Networks in Heavy Traffic, Mathematics of Operations Research 9(3), 441–458, 1984. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.9.3.441
  • A. F. Veinott, Jr., Discrete Dynamic Programming with Sensitive Discount Optimality Criteria, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 40(5), 1635–1660, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177697379
  • A. V. Skorokhod, Stochastic Equations for Diffusion Processes in a Bounded Region, Theory of Probability and Its Applications 6(3), 264–274, 1961. https://doi.org/10.1137/1106035
  • D. W. Stroock and S. R. S. Varadhan, Diffusion Processes with Boundary Conditions, Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics 24, 147–225, 1971. https://doi.org/10.1002/cpa.3160240206
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OptimizationProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Mean-Variance Hedging in Continuous Time: The Feedback Futures Strategy Φ(G*) Minimizes the Expected Squared Deviation of Terminal Wealth from Any Target LevelResearch Paper

Motivation

A firm that will receive or deliver a quantity of a commodity, currency or security at a future date carries price risk until that date. When the asset itself cannot be traded in the meantime, the standard instrument for reducing that risk is a futures contract on a correlated asset: the firm takes a position in futures and adjusts it over time, and the gains or losses of the futures position offset part of the movement of its commitment. Choosing that position is the hedging problem. The classical answer, the minimum-variance hedge ratio, is a static one-period rule. Duffie and Richardson (Ann. Appl. Probab. 1991) solved the dynamic version in continuous time with a quadratic criterion: minimize the expected squared deviation of terminal wealth from a target. Their explicit feedback solution became a reference point for the later literature on mean-variance hedging in incomplete markets (Schweizer, Gouriéroux–Laurent–Pham, and others), where the same quadratic criterion is studied under general semimartingale prices.

Setting

Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0 and a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) carrying a two-dimensional standard Brownian motion (B,ε)(B,\varepsilon)(B,ε) with its filtration F\mathbb FF. Let μ,σ,m,v,ρ\mu,\sigma,m,v,\rhoμ,σ,m,v,ρ be bounded measurable functions on [0,T][0,T][0,T], with ∣v∣|v|∣v∣ bounded away from zero and ρt∈[−1,1]\rho_t\in[-1,1]ρt​∈[−1,1]. The Brownian motion ξt=∫0tρs dBs+∫0t1−ρs2 dεs\xi_t=\int_0^t\rho_s\,dB_s+\int_0^t\sqrt{1-\rho_s^2}\,d\varepsilon_sξt​=∫0t​ρs​dBs​+∫0t​1−ρs2​​dεs​ has instantaneous correlation ρ\rhoρ with BBB. The committed asset SSS and the futures price FFF follow

dSt=μtSt dt+σtSt dBt,dFt=mtFt dt+vtFt dξt,S0,F0>0.dS_t=\mu_tS_t\,dt+\sigma_tS_t\,dB_t,\qquad dF_t=m_tF_t\,dt+v_tF_t\,d\xi_t,\qquad S_0,F_0>0.dSt​=μt​St​dt+σt​St​dBt​,dFt​=mt​Ft​dt+vt​Ft​dξt​,S0​,F0​>0.

The hedger is committed to kkk units of SSS at time TTT. A trading strategy is a progressively measurable process θ\thetaθ (the futures position) with E∫0Tθt2Ft2 dt<∞E\int_0^T\theta_t^2F_t^2\,dt<\inftyE∫0T​θt2​Ft2​dt<∞; Θ\ThetaΘ denotes the set of them. Its futures gain is the stochastic integral G(θ)t=∫0tθs dFsG(\theta)_t=\int_0^t\theta_s\,dF_sG(θ)t​=∫0t​θs​dFs​, and the terminal wealth is W(θ)=kST+G(θ)TW(\theta)=kS_T+G(\theta)_TW(θ)=kST​+G(θ)T​. Given a target level L∈RL\in\mathbb RL∈R, problem (3) is

min⁡θ∈ΘE[(W(θ)−L)2].\min_{\theta\in\Theta}E\big[(W(\theta)-L)^2\big].θ∈Θmin​E[(W(θ)−L)2].

With γt=mtσtρt/vt−μt\gamma_t=m_t\sigma_t\rho_t/v_t-\mu_tγt​=mt​σt​ρt​/vt​−μt​, the tracking process is Zt=kexp⁡(−∫tTγs ds)StZ_t=k\exp(-\int_t^T\gamma_s\,ds)S_tZt​=kexp(−∫tT​γs​ds)St​, so that ZT=kSTZ_T=kS_TZT​=kST​, and the feedback map is

Φ(Gt∗)=1Ft[mtvt2(L−Zt−Gt∗)−σtρtvtZt],\Phi(G^*_t)=\frac1{F_t}\Big[\frac{m_t}{v_t^2}(L-Z_t-G^*_t)-\frac{\sigma_t\rho_t}{v_t}Z_t\Big],Φ(Gt∗​)=Ft​1​[vt2​mt​​(L−Zt​−Gt∗​)−vt​σt​ρt​​Zt​],

where G∗G^*G∗ solves dGt∗=Φ(Gt∗) dFtdG^*_t=\Phi(G^*_t)\,dF_tdGt∗​=Φ(Gt∗​)dFt​, G0∗=0G^*_0=0G0∗​=0. The strategy φ=Φ(G∗)\varphi=\Phi(G^*)φ=Φ(G∗) depends only on the gains realized so far and the current price StS_tSt​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 1

φt=Φ(Gt∗)  solves  min⁡θ∈ΘE[(kST+G(θ)T−L)2]\varphi_t=\Phi(G^*_t)\ \text{ solves }\ \min_{\theta\in\Theta}E\big[(kS_T+G(\theta)_T-L)^2\big]φt​=Φ(Gt∗​)  solves  θ∈Θmin​E[(kST​+G(θ)T​−L)2]

for every commitment kkk, every target LLL and every solution G∗G^*G∗ of (10). No constant is hard-coded: the statement is the paper's for arbitrary coefficients satisfying the standing hypotheses.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: φ∈Θ\varphi\in\Thetaφ∈Θ is optimal iff E[(L−kST−G(φ)T) G(θ)T]=0E[(L-kS_T-G(\varphi)_T)\,G(\theta)_T]=0E[(L−kST​−G(φ)T​)G(θ)T​]=0 for every θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ.
  2. Existence (§3.3): equation (10) has a solution with Gt∗∈L2(P)G^*_t\in L^2(P)Gt∗​∈L2(P).
  3. Itô dynamics of ZZZ: dZt=(γt+μt)Zt dt+σtZt dBtdZ_t=(\gamma_t+\mu_t)Z_t\,dt+\sigma_tZ_t\,dB_tdZt​=(γt​+μt​)Zt​dt+σt​Zt​dBt​.
  4. Moment equations for E(ZtGt)E(Z_tG_t)E(Zt​Gt​), E(Gt∗Gt)E(G^*_tG_t)E(Gt∗​Gt​) and E(Gt)E(G_t)E(Gt​), with G=G(θ)G=G(\theta)G=G(θ).
  5. Lemma 2: Ht=E[(L−Zt−Gt∗)G(θ)t]H_t=E[(L-Z_t-G^*_t)G(\theta)_t]Ht​=E[(L−Zt​−Gt∗​)G(θ)t​] satisfies H˙t=−(mt2/vt2)Ht\dot H_t=-(m_t^2/v_t^2)H_tH˙t​=−(mt2​/vt2​)Ht​.
  6. The solution of (13): Ht=H0exp⁡(−∫0tms2/vs2 ds)H_t=H_0\exp(-\int_0^tm_s^2/v_s^2\,ds)Ht​=H0​exp(−∫0t​ms2​/vs2​ds).

Two further items, not milestones, formalize §4: Lemma 3 (a solution of (3) is mean-variance efficient) and §4.1 (maximizing the quadratic utility E[W−cW2]E[W-cW^2]E[W−cW2], c>0c>0c>0, is problem (3) with L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c)).

Significance

Proposition 1 gives the optimal dynamic hedge in closed feedback form for every target level at once. Varying LLL traces out the whole mean-variance frontier of terminal wealth (Lemma 3), and the choice L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c)L=1/(2c) solves the quadratic-utility problem (§4.1); the minimum-variance hedge of §4.3 of the paper is obtained by optimizing over LLL. The result is also an instance of a general pattern: a quadratic hedging problem in an incomplete market reduces to an L2L^2L2 projection onto the space of attainable gains, and the projection is computed by a linear SDE.

The result is proved in the paper, in six pages. No machine-checked version of it, or of any continuous-time hedging result, exists on the platform. A formalization requires Itô's formula for products of Itô processes, the zero-mean property of square-integrable stochastic integrals, Fubini's theorem for moments, and existence for a linear SDE with an Itô-process forcing term; each of these is reusable well beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The projection step (Lemma 1) is Hilbert-space geometry and the final ODE step is Grönwall. The difficulty lies in between: the orthogonality E[(L−kST−GT∗)G(θ)T]=0E[(L-kS_T-G^*_T)G(\theta)_T]=0E[(L−kST​−GT∗​)G(θ)T​]=0 must be verified against every trading strategy θ\thetaθ, about which only E∫0Tθt2Ft2 dt<∞E\int_0^T\theta_t^2F_t^2\,dt<\inftyE∫0T​θt2​Ft2​dt<∞ is known. A computation that treats θ\thetaθ as bounded, continuous or simple does not suffice. Making the paper's moment computations rigorous requires controlling the integrability of products such as ZtθtFtZ_t\theta_tF_tZt​θt​Ft​ and Gt∗G(θ)tG^*_tG(\theta)_tGt∗​G(θ)t​, proving that the stochastic-integral parts of Itô's product rule are true martingales rather than local martingales, and differentiating expectations in time when the coefficients are only measurable, so that derivatives exist only almost everywhere.

Formalization scope

The stochastic layer is the published definition file Peng1990_SMP_Stochastic (the L2L^2L2 Itô integral and Itô processes on R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​ time), imported, not redefined. The mission commits to the following conventions.

  • (B,ε)(B,\varepsilon)(B,ε) is one R2\mathbb R^2R2-valued standard Brownian motion; BBB is coordinate 0, ε\varepsilonε coordinate 1, and dξd\xidξ is expanded as ρ dB+1−ρ2 dε\rho\,dB+\sqrt{1-\rho^2}\,d\varepsilonρdB+1−ρ2​dε.
  • The filtration is the natural filtration of (B,ε)(B,\varepsilon)(B,ε), not its augmentation, and trading strategies are progressively measurable instead of predictable. Neither change alters the space of terminal gains.
  • Gains are relations: a gain process is any version of the Itô integral, and every statement quantifies over all versions.
  • The objective E[(W−L)2]E[(W-L)^2]E[(W−L)2] and variances take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so a non-square-integrable wealth cannot be optimal through a junk value 000; inner products carry explicit integrability.
  • ρt∈[−1,1]\rho_t\in[-1,1]ρt​∈[−1,1] (§3.1), not [0,1][0,1][0,1] (§2). The sign of vvv is free; only ∣v∣≥δ>0|v|\ge\delta>0∣v∣≥δ>0 is assumed.
  • "Φ(G∗)\Phi(G^*)Φ(G∗) defined by (9)–(11)" means: for every solution of (10), where a solution includes that Φ(G∗)\Phi(G^*)Φ(G∗) is a trading strategy. The paper takes this membership for granted.
  • Lemma 2 and the moment equations are stated in integral form (Ht=H0−∫0t(m2/v2)H dsH_t=H_0-\int_0^t(m^2/v^2)H\,dsHt​=H0​−∫0t​(m2/v2)Hds), which is the paper's "for almost every ttt" derivative together with absolute continuity; continuity of the coefficients is not assumed.
  • The display for dZdZdZ in the proof of Lemma 2 omits dtdtdt; the drift is (γt+μt)Zt dt(\gamma_t+\mu_t)Z_t\,dt(γt​+μt​)Zt​dt.
  • In §4.1, c>0c>0c>0 is assumed explicitly.

Proposition 1 would hold vacuously if equation (10) had no solution; the existence milestone rules this out and must be proved, not assumed. Contributions are welcome on Itô's product formula and the martingale property of Itô integrals in the Peng framework, on the existence of solutions of linear SDEs, and on the Grönwall-type uniqueness for (13).

Selected references

  • D. Duffie, H. R. Richardson, Mean-Variance Hedging in Continuous Time, The Annals of Applied Probability 1(1) (1991) 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005978
  • S. Peng, A General Stochastic Maximum Principle for Optimal Control Problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4) (1990) 966–979. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
  • P. Protter, Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, Springer, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-02619-9
  • D. G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, Wiley, 1969.
  • M. Schweizer, Mean-Variance Hedging for General Claims, The Annals of Applied Probability 2(1) (1992) 171–179. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005776
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