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Queueing and Stochastic Networks

Single-server queues, Jackson and loss networks, heavy-traffic limits, fluid stability, and the control of queueing systems.

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Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems II: The Discount Optimality EquationTextbook

Motivation

Control problems for queueing systems (admission control, routing, service rate selection, inventory replenishment) are naturally modelled as Markov decision chains with a countable state space, such as the number of customers in a buffer, and with costs that grow without bound in the state, such as holding costs proportional to queue length. The expected discounted cost criterion is the first infinite horizon criterion applied to such models, and it is also the tool through which the average cost criterion is treated later in the same book (Chapters 6–8 of Sennott's text reach average cost optimal policies through limits of discounted problems as the discount factor tends to one).

Classical treatments of discounted dynamic programming assume bounded costs, under which the dynamic programming operator is a contraction and has a unique bounded fixed point. That assumption fails for queueing models. This mission formalizes Chapter 4, Sections 4.1–4.4, of L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems (Wiley, 1999), which develops the discounted theory for nonnegative, possibly unbounded costs, where value functions may be infinite.

Timeline of the underlying theory:

  • 1965. Blackwell (Ann. Math. Statist. 36) establishes the discounted theory with bounded rewards.
  • 1966. Strauch (Ann. Math. Statist. 37) treats "negative" dynamic programming, the case of nonpositive rewards (equivalently nonnegative costs), with no boundedness assumption.
  • 1977–1978. Bertsekas (SIAM J. Control Optim. 15) and Bertsekas and Shreve (Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case) give the abstract monotone-mapping framework covering both cases.
  • 1999. Sennott's text states the countable-state, finite-action, nonnegative-cost discounted theory in the form used for queueing control, with general history-dependent randomized policies.

Setting

A Markov decision chain Δ\DeltaΔ has a countable state space SSS; for each state iii a finite nonempty action set AiA_iAi​; for each a∈Aia \in A_ia∈Ai​ a nonnegative finite cost C(i,a)C(i,a)C(i,a) and a probability distribution (Pij(a))j∈S(P_{ij}(a))_{j \in S}(Pij​(a))j∈S​ of the next state. A policy θ\thetaθ chooses the action at time nnn at random from a distribution θ(⋅∣hn)\theta(\cdot \mid h_n)θ(⋅∣hn​) on AinA_{i_n}Ain​​ that may depend on the entire history hn=(i0,a0,…,an−1,in)h_n = (i_0, a_0, \dots, a_{n-1}, i_n)hn​=(i0​,a0​,…,an−1​,in​). A stationary policy fff always chooses f(i)∈Aif(i) \in A_if(i)∈Ai​ in state iii; for it one writes C(i,f)=C(i,f(i))C(i,f) = C(i,f(i))C(i,f)=C(i,f(i)) and Pij(f)=Pij(f(i))P_{ij}(f) = P_{ij}(f(i))Pij​(f)=Pij​(f(i)).

Fix a discount factor α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1)α∈(0,1). For an initial state iii and a policy θ\thetaθ, the nnn-horizon cost with terminal cost zero and the infinite horizon discounted cost are

vθ,α,n(i)=∑t=0n−1αtEθ[C(Xt,At)∣X0=i],Vθ,α(i)=∑t=0∞αtEθ[C(Xt,At)∣X0=i],v_{\theta,\alpha,n}(i) = \sum_{t=0}^{n-1} \alpha^t E_\theta[C(X_t,A_t) \mid X_0 = i], \qquad V_{\theta,\alpha}(i) = \sum_{t=0}^{\infty} \alpha^t E_\theta[C(X_t,A_t) \mid X_0 = i],vθ,α,n​(i)=t=0∑n−1​αtEθ​[C(Xt​,At​)∣X0​=i],Vθ,α​(i)=t=0∑∞​αtEθ​[C(Xt​,At​)∣X0​=i],

and the value functions are vα,n(i)=inf⁡θvθ,α,n(i)v_{\alpha,n}(i) = \inf_\theta v_{\theta,\alpha,n}(i)vα,n​(i)=infθ​vθ,α,n​(i) and Vα(i)=inf⁡θVθ,α(i)V_\alpha(i) = \inf_\theta V_{\theta,\alpha}(i)Vα​(i)=infθ​Vθ,α​(i), infima over all policies. All of these lie in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. A policy is discount optimal if Vθ,α=VαV_{\theta,\alpha} = V_\alphaVθ,α​=Vα​. The discount optimality equation is

W(i)=min⁡a∈Ai{C(i,a)+α∑jPij(a)W(j)},i∈S.(4.9)W(i) = \min_{a \in A_i} \Big\{ C(i,a) + \alpha \sum_j P_{ij}(a) W(j) \Big\}, \qquad i \in S. \tag{4.9}W(i)=a∈Ai​min​{C(i,a)+αj∑​Pij​(a)W(j)},i∈S.(4.9)

With W=VαW = V_\alphaW=Vα​, Bi(α)B_i(\alpha)Bi​(α) denotes the set of actions attaining the minimum at iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1.4

VαV_\alphaVα​ solves (4.9); every W:S→[0,∞]W : S \to [0,\infty]W:S→[0,∞] solving (4.9) satisfies Vα≤WV_\alpha \le WVα​≤W; and every stationary policy fαf_\alphafα​ with

C(i,fα)+α∑jPij(fα)Vα(j)=min⁡a{C(i,a)+α∑jPij(a)Vα(j)}for all iC(i,f_\alpha) + \alpha \sum_j P_{ij}(f_\alpha) V_\alpha(j) = \min_a \Big\{ C(i,a) + \alpha \sum_j P_{ij}(a) V_\alpha(j) \Big\} \quad \text{for all } iC(i,fα​)+αj∑​Pij​(fα​)Vα​(j)=amin​{C(i,a)+αj∑​Pij​(a)Vα​(j)}for all i

is discount optimal. No boundedness of costs and no finiteness of VαV_\alphaVα​ is assumed.

Milestones

In attack order: Lemma 4.1.1 (vθ,α,n↑Vθ,αv_{\theta,\alpha,n} \uparrow V_{\theta,\alpha}vθ,α,n​↑Vθ,α​); Proposition 4.1.2 (a supersolution of the one-policy equation dominates ve,α,n+αnEe[W(Xn)]v_{e,\alpha,n} + \alpha^n E_e[W(X_n)]ve,α,n​+αnEe​[W(Xn​)] and Ve,αV_{e,\alpha}Ve,α​); Corollary 4.1.3 (a supersolution of the optimality inequality dominates Vf,α≥VαV_{f,\alpha} \ge V_\alphaVf,α​≥Vα​); then, beyond the goal, Corollary 4.1.5 (αnEfα[Vα(Xn)∣X0=i]→0\alpha^n E_{f_\alpha}[V_\alpha(X_n) \mid X_0 = i] \to 0αnEfα​​[Vα​(Xn​)∣X0​=i]→0 where Vα(i)<∞V_\alpha(i) < \inftyVα​(i)<∞), Proposition 4.2.2 and Corollary 4.2.4 (conditions under which a solution of (4.9) equals VαV_\alphaVα​), Proposition 4.3.1 (vα,n↑Vαv_{\alpha,n} \uparrow V_\alphavα,n​↑Vα​, and limit points of finite horizon optimal stationary policies are discount optimal) and Proposition 4.4.1 (optimal policies are exactly those concentrated on the sets Bi(α)B_{i}(\alpha)Bi​(α) along histories of positive probability).

Significance

Theorem 4.1.4 is the foundation for everything in the book that concerns discounted costs: it produces an optimal stationary deterministic policy, identifies VαV_\alphaVα​ among the many solutions of (4.9) (Example 4.2.1 of the book gives a one-parameter family of finite solutions), and underlies value iteration (Proposition 4.3.1) and the approximating-sequence method of Sections 4.6–4.7. The average cost results of Chapters 6–8 are proved from it by letting α→1\alpha \to 1α→1. Proposition 4.4.1 describes the full set of optimal policies, including randomized and history-dependent ones.

These are known results with published proofs. The contribution of this mission is a machine-checked development of the discounted theory for countable state spaces with unbounded costs and infinite values, over the general policy class. Related statements on the platform (the monotone-mapping propositions of Bertsekas 1977 in the MonotoneDP missions, and bounded-cost or finite-state discounted results) use different models and are open; no machine-checked proof of the present statements is known to this mission.

Difficulty

The contraction argument that settles the bounded case is unavailable: with unbounded costs the operator in (4.9) has many fixed points, and VαV_\alphaVα​ can equal +∞+\infty+∞ at some states, so neither uniqueness of fixed points nor subtraction of values is available. The optimality equation compares the infimum over all history-dependent randomized policies with a one-step minimum, so the general policy class and the law of the process under it must be handled directly; restricting attention to Markov or stationary policies begs the question. Every limit exchange (monotone limits of finite horizon costs, the passage to limit points of policies in Proposition 4.3.1) takes place in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], where finite-valued arguments do not transfer verbatim.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace SennottDP.Discounted. Conventions:

  • The state space is a type S with [Countable S]; actions form a type Act and A i : Finset Act is nonempty. Costs are ℝ≥0; transition probabilities are ℝ≥0∞ with ∑' j, P i a j = 1 for a ∈ A i.
  • A history at time nnn is a pair Fin (n+1) → S, Fin n → Act; a policy assigns to every history a distribution on the action set of its last state. The probability of a history is the product of the policy and transition probabilities; expectations are ℝ≥0∞ sums over histories, so no integrability conditions arise.
  • All values (vθ,α,nv_{\theta,\alpha,n}vθ,α,n​, Vθ,αV_{\theta,\alpha}Vθ,α​, vα,nv_{\alpha,n}vα,n​, VαV_\alphaVα​, and the competing solutions WWW) are ℝ≥0∞-valued; 0⋅∞=00 \cdot \infty = 00⋅∞=0. The discount factor is α : ℝ≥0 with 0 < α and α < 1. Terminal costs are zero.
  • VαV_\alphaVα​ and vα,nv_{\alpha,n}vα,n​ are infima over the type of all general policies. Defining them over stationary policies only would make the optimality of fαf_\alphafα​ a tautology; that formalization is ruled out.
  • Proposition 4.4.1: the book states the equivalence without a finiteness assumption, but its necessity argument needs Vα<∞V_\alpha < \inftyVα​<∞, and necessity fails otherwise. Sufficiency is stated in general and necessity under Vα<∞V_\alpha < \inftyVα​<∞ everywhere.

Useful infrastructure, reusable by the later missions of this series (approximating sequences, average cost): the shift of a general policy after its first step, the Chapman–Kolmogorov identity for the history law, and the computation Ef[W(Xn+1)]=Ef[∑jPXnj(f)W(j)]E_f[W(X_{n+1})] = E_f[\sum_j P_{X_n j}(f) W(j)]Ef​[W(Xn+1​)]=Ef​[∑j​PXn​j​(f)W(j)] for stationary policies. Contributions of such lemmas, and proofs of any milestone, are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, 1999, Chapter 4. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • D. Blackwell, Discounted dynamic programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 36 (1965), 226–235. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177700285
  • R. E. Strauch, Negative dynamic programming, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 37 (1966), 871–890. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177699369
  • D. P. Bertsekas, Monotone mappings with application in dynamic programming, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 15 (1977), 438–464. https://doi.org/10.1137/0315031
  • D. P. Bertsekas and S. E. Shreve, Stochastic Optimal Control: The Discrete-Time Case, Academic Press, 1978.
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems III: Approximating Sequences for the Discounted Cost CriterionTextbook

Motivation

Optimal control of queueing systems leads to Markov decision problems whose state space is countably infinite (buffer contents, numbers of customers) and whose costs are unbounded (holding costs grow with the queue). Such a problem cannot be solved on a computer as it stands. The standard remedy is to truncate: solve a finite problem on the states {0,1,…,N}\{0,1,\dots,N\}{0,1,…,N} and hope that its value and its optimal policy approximate those of the original problem as NNN grows. Linn Sennott's approximating sequence method (ASM) makes this hope precise. For the expected discounted cost criterion, Sections 4.6–4.7 of Sennott's book (Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999) identify a single condition, Assumption DC(α\alphaα), that is necessary and sufficient for convergence of the truncated values, and give checkable sufficient conditions for it.

The method matters because naive truncation can fail. The book's Example 4.6.1 has a chain whose value at state 000 is finite, yet a natural truncation produces values VαN(0)≥αN2/((1−α)[N(1−α)+α])→∞V^N_\alpha(0)\ge \alpha N^2/((1-\alpha)[N(1-\alpha)+\alpha])\to\inftyVαN​(0)≥αN2/((1−α)[N(1−α)+α])→∞. How the probability that would leave the truncated set is redistributed decides whether the computation is meaningful.

Earlier truncation schemes (Fox 1971; White 1980, 1982; Hernández-Lerma 1986; Cavazos-Cadena 1986; Whitt 1978–79; see the bibliographic notes on p. 81 of the book and Puterman 1994) require bounded rewards or pass directly to an algorithm. The ASM instead produces a sequence of finite Markov decision chains that can be studied in their own right; the material of Sections 4.6–4.7 is presented in the book as new.

Setting

A Markov decision chain (MDC) Δ\DeltaΔ has a countable state space SSS; for each state iii a finite nonempty action set AiA_iAi​; nonnegative finite costs C(i,a)C(i,a)C(i,a); and transition probabilities Pij(a)P_{ij}(a)Pij​(a) with ∑jPij(a)=1\sum_j P_{ij}(a)=1∑j​Pij​(a)=1. A policy θ\thetaθ chooses the action at time ttt at random from a distribution θ(⋅∣ht)\theta(\cdot\mid h_t)θ(⋅∣ht​) on AitA_{i_t}Ait​​ that may depend on the entire history ht=(i0,a0,…,it−1,at−1,it)h_t=(i_0,a_0,\dots,i_{t-1},a_{t-1},i_t)ht​=(i0​,a0​,…,it−1​,at−1​,it​). A stationary policy fff always chooses f(i)∈Aif(i)\in A_if(i)∈Ai​ in state iii. Fix a discount factor α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1). The discounted cost of θ\thetaθ and the discounted value function are

Vθ,α(i)=∑t≥0αtEθ[C(Xt,At)∣X0=i],Vα(i)=inf⁡θVθ,α(i),V_{\theta,\alpha}(i)=\sum_{t\ge0}\alpha^tE_\theta[C(X_t,A_t)\mid X_0=i],\qquad V_\alpha(i)=\inf_\theta V_{\theta,\alpha}(i),Vθ,α​(i)=t≥0∑​αtEθ​[C(Xt​,At​)∣X0​=i],Vα​(i)=θinf​Vθ,α​(i),

both in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], the infimum over all policies. A policy is discount optimal if Vθ,α=VαV_{\theta,\alpha}=V_\alphaVθ,α​=Vα​.

An approximating sequence (ΔN)N≥N0(\Delta_N)_{N\ge N_0}(ΔN​)N≥N0​​ consists of finite nonempty sets SNS_NSN​ increasing to SSS and, for i∈SNi\in S_Ni∈SN​ and a∈Aia\in A_ia∈Ai​, probability distributions Pij(a;N)P_{ij}(a;N)Pij​(a;N) on SNS_NSN​ with Pij(a;N)→Pij(a)P_{ij}(a;N)\to P_{ij}(a)Pij​(a;N)→Pij​(a) as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞. The finite MDC ΔN\Delta_NΔN​ has state space SNS_NSN​ and the same actions and costs; VαNV^N_\alphaVαN​ is its value function and fαNf^N_\alphafαN​ a stationary policy attaining the minimum in its discount optimality equation

VαN(i)=min⁡a∈Ai{C(i,a)+α∑j∈SNPij(a;N)VαN(j)},i∈SN.V^N_\alpha(i)=\min_{a\in A_i}\Big\{C(i,a)+\alpha\sum_{j\in S_N}P_{ij}(a;N)V^N_\alpha(j)\Big\},\qquad i\in S_N.VαN​(i)=a∈Ai​min​{C(i,a)+αj∈SN​∑​Pij​(a;N)VαN​(j)},i∈SN​.

An augmentation type approximating sequence (ATAS) keeps the original probabilities inside SNS_NSN​ and redistributes the excess probability Pir(a)P_{ir}(a)Pir​(a), r∉SNr\notin S_Nr∈/SN​, according to augmentation distributions qj(i,a,r,N)q_j(i,a,r,N)qj​(i,a,r,N) on SNS_NSN​: Pij(a;N)=Pij(a)+∑r∉SNPir(a)qj(i,a,r,N)P_{ij}(a;N)=P_{ij}(a)+\sum_{r\notin S_N}P_{ir}(a)q_j(i,a,r,N)Pij​(a;N)=Pij​(a)+∑r∈/SN​​Pir​(a)qj​(i,a,r,N).

Assumption DC(α\alphaα): for every i∈Si\in Si∈S, Wα(i):=lim sup⁡NVαN(i)<∞W_\alpha(i):=\limsup_{N}V^N_\alpha(i)<\inftyWα​(i):=limsupN​VαN​(i)<∞ and Wα(i)≤Vα(i)W_\alpha(i)\le V_\alpha(i)Wα​(i)≤Vα​(i).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.6.3

The following are equivalent:

(i) lim⁡N→∞VαN(i)=Vα(i)<∞  (i∈S);(ii) Assumption DC(α).\text{(i)}\ \lim_{N\to\infty}V^N_\alpha(i)=V_\alpha(i)<\infty\ \ (i\in S);\qquad \text{(ii)}\ \text{Assumption DC}(\alpha).(i) N→∞lim​VαN​(i)=Vα​(i)<∞  (i∈S);(ii) Assumption DC(α).

Under either, every limit point of (fαN)N≥N0(f^N_\alpha)_{N\ge N_0}(fαN​)N≥N0​​ (a stationary fff with fNr(i)=f(i)f^{N_r}(i)=f(i)fNr​(i)=f(i) eventually along a subsequence, for each iii) is discount optimal for Δ\DeltaΔ.

Milestones

  • Lemma 4.6.2: lim inf⁡NVαN≥Vα\liminf_N V^N_\alpha\ge V_\alphaliminfN​VαN​≥Vα​ for every approximating sequence.
  • Proposition 4.7.1: bounded costs imply DC(α\alphaα).
  • Lemma 4.7.2: taboo probabilities of avoiding S−SNS-S_NS−SN​ converge to the ttt-step transition probabilities.
  • Lemma 4.7.3: for the first passage time Ti(N)T_i(N)Ti​(N) out of SNS_NSN​ under a stationary policy, E[αTi(N)]→0E[\alpha^{T_i(N)}]\to0E[αTi​(N)]→0.
  • Proposition 4.7.4: if Vα<∞V_\alpha<\inftyVα​<∞ and the ATAS sends excess probability to a finite set, DC(α\alphaα) holds.
  • Corollary 4.7.5: the case of a single distinguished state zzz, with the relative form of the optimality equation for ΔN\Delta_NΔN​.
  • Proposition 4.7.6: if Vα<∞V_\alpha<\inftyVα​<∞ and the augmentation distributions satisfy ∑j∈SNqj(i,a,r,N)vα,n(j)≤vα,n(r)\sum_{j\in S_N}q_j(i,a,r,N)v_{\alpha,n}(j)\le v_{\alpha,n}(r)∑j∈SN​​qj​(i,a,r,N)vα,n​(j)≤vα,n​(r) for all n≥0n\ge0n≥0, then VαN≤VαV^N_\alpha\le V_\alphaVαN​≤Vα​ on SNS_NSN​.

Significance

Theorem 4.6.3 turns the question "does truncation work?" into the verification of one inequality between a lim sup and the true value, and it delivers both the value and an optimal stationary policy from finite computations. Propositions 4.7.4–4.7.6 give conditions that hold in the queueing models of the book with unbounded holding costs, and Corollary 4.7.5 supplies the computational form used for the inventory model of Chapter 5. The discounted theory is also the stepping stone to the average cost ASM of Chapter 8, which is built on discounted approximations.

All results are proved in the book. None of them is formalized: the platform has no statement about approximating sequences or state truncation of countable-state MDPs, and Mathlib has no Markov decision processes. The mission produces machine-checked versions of the convergence theorem and its sufficient conditions, for general history-dependent randomized policies and [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued costs.

Difficulty

The value functions are infima over uncountably many history-dependent policies and may be infinite, so no contraction argument applies: costs are unbounded and VαV_\alphaVα​ is only the minimal nonnegative solution of its optimality equation. Passing to the limit in NNN inside ∑j∈SNPij(a;N)VαN(j)\sum_{j\in S_N}P_{ij}(a;N)V^N_\alpha(j)∑j∈SN​​Pij​(a;N)VαN​(j) is an interchange of limit and infinite sum under a moving probability measure, with no dominating function in general; Example 4.6.1 shows that the interchange genuinely fails. The upper bound of Proposition 4.7.4 requires comparing ΔN\Delta_NΔN​ with Δ\DeltaΔ along a coupled first passage out of SNS_NSN​, which needs the taboo-probability estimates of Lemmas 4.7.2–4.7.3. The obvious idea of bounding VαNV^N_\alphaVαN​ by sup⁡C/(1−α)\sup C/(1-\alpha)supC/(1−α) works only for bounded costs (Proposition 4.7.1).

Formalization scope

The state type S is countable ([Countable S]); actions live in a type Act, with a finite nonempty Finset of admissible actions per state. Costs are ℝ≥0, transition probabilities and all value functions are ℝ≥0∞, so infima over policies are lattice infima and +∞+\infty+∞ is a legitimate value. A general policy is a function of the history, encoded as the list of past state–action pairs (most recent first) and the current state; the expected cost at time ttt is the [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued sum over histories. VαV_\alphaVα​ is the infimum over all such policies; a stationary policy enters as the policy putting mass one on f(i)f(i)f(i). The discount factor is α : ℝ≥0 with 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1 (the chapter's standing assumption). ΔN\Delta_NΔN​ is an MDC on the subtype SNS_NSN​; VαN(i)V^N_\alpha(i)VαN​(i) is extended by 000 when N<N0N<N_0N<N0​ or i∉SNi\notin S_Ni∈/SN​, a convention that affects finitely many NNN for each fixed iii and hence no limit in NNN. Limits, lim sups and lim infs are along Filter.atTop in ℝ≥0∞. Taboo probabilities and the first passage quantity E[αT]=∑n≥1αnP(T=n)E[\alpha^{T}]=\sum_{n\ge1}\alpha^nP(T=n)E[αT]=∑n≥1​αnP(T=n) (so α∞=0\alpha^\infty=0α∞=0) are defined combinatorially from the transition probabilities.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: VαV_\alphaVα​ is not an infimum over stationary policies only (which would make optimality of limit points close to definitional), DC(α\alphaα) keeps both of its conditions, and statement (i) of the goal includes finiteness of VαV_\alphaVα​.

A complete development needs the minimality of VαV_\alphaVα​ among nonnegative solutions of the discount optimality equation (Theorem 4.1.4, chunk II of this series), Fatou-type lemmas for sums against converging distributions (Appendix A, chunk XI), and compactness of stationary policies (Proposition B.5). Contributions of these as reusable lemmas about countable-state MDCs are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999, Sections 4.6–4.7, pp. 73–81. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems IV: Average Cost Optimal Stationary Policies Exist for Finite State SpacesTextbook

Why average cost on finite state spaces

Controlled queues, inventories and communication links are run for a long time, and the quantity an operator usually cares about is the long-run average cost per period rather than a discounted total. The average cost criterion is harder to work with than the discounted one: its value is a lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup of Cesàro means, it is not given by a contraction, and for general (history dependent, randomized) policies the limit need not exist. Chapter 6 of L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems (Wiley, 1999) treats the case of a finite state space, where the strongest results hold: an average cost optimal policy exists, can be taken stationary, and can be obtained as a limit of discount optimal policies as the discount factor tends to one.

The results go back to D. Blackwell, "Discrete dynamic programming", Ann. Math. Statist. 33 (1962), who showed that for finite states and actions some stationary policy is discount optimal for all discount factors close to one. Such a policy is now called Blackwell optimal. Sennott's Chapter 6 derives average cost optimality of this policy and the multichain average cost optimality equation from it, in the notation used throughout the book.

Setting

A Markov decision chain (MDC) Δ\DeltaΔ has a countable state space SSS, a finite nonempty action set AiA_iAi​ in each state iii, nonnegative finite costs C(i,a)C(i,a)C(i,a), and transition probabilities Pij(a)P_{ij}(a)Pij​(a) with ∑jPij(a)=1\sum_j P_{ij}(a) = 1∑j​Pij​(a)=1. A policy θ\thetaθ chooses the action at time ttt from a distribution θ(⋅∣ht)\theta(\cdot \mid h_t)θ(⋅∣ht​) on AitA_{i_t}Ait​​ that may depend on the whole history ht=(i0,a0,…,it)h_t = (i_0,a_0,\ldots,i_t)ht​=(i0​,a0​,…,it​). A stationary policy fff always chooses a fixed action f(i)∈Aif(i) \in A_if(i)∈Ai​ in state iii.

With Xt,AtX_t, A_tXt​,At​ the state and action at time ttt and X0=iX_0 = iX0​=i, define

  • the discounted cost Vθ,α(i)=∑t≥0αtEθ[C(Xt,At)]V_{\theta,\alpha}(i) = \sum_{t \ge 0} \alpha^t E_\theta[C(X_t,A_t)]Vθ,α​(i)=∑t≥0​αtEθ​[C(Xt​,At​)] for 0<α<10<\alpha<10<α<1, and the discounted value function Vα(i)=inf⁡θVθ,α(i)V_\alpha(i) = \inf_\theta V_{\theta,\alpha}(i)Vα​(i)=infθ​Vθ,α​(i);
  • the nnn horizon cost vθ,n(i)=∑t=0n−1Eθ[C(Xt,At)]v_{\theta,n}(i) = \sum_{t=0}^{n-1} E_\theta[C(X_t,A_t)]vθ,n​(i)=∑t=0n−1​Eθ​[C(Xt​,At​)];
  • the average cost Jθ(i)=lim sup⁡nvθ,n(i)/nJ_\theta(i) = \limsup_n v_{\theta,n}(i)/nJθ​(i)=limsupn​vθ,n​(i)/n, its lim inf⁡\liminfliminf version Jθ∗(i)J^*_\theta(i)Jθ∗​(i), and the minimum average cost J(i)=inf⁡θJθ(i)J(i) = \inf_\theta J_\theta(i)J(i)=infθ​Jθ​(i).

All infima range over all general policies, and every quantity may equal +∞+\infty+∞. A policy is α\alphaα discount optimal if Vθ,α=VαV_{\theta,\alpha} = V_\alphaVθ,α​=Vα​, and average cost optimal if Jθ=JJ_\theta = JJθ​=J.

For a stationary policy fff on a finite state space, the induced Markov chain splits into positive recurrent classes R1,…,RKR_1,\ldots,R_KR1​,…,RK​ and transient states. With pk(i)p_k(i)pk​(i) the probability of reaching RkR_kRk​ from iii, distinguished states zk∈Rkz_k \in R_kzk​∈Rk​, and Wα(i)=∑kpk(i)Vα(zk)W_\alpha(i) = \sum_k p_k(i) V_\alpha(z_k)Wα​(i)=∑k​pk​(i)Vα​(zk​), the relative value function is wα(i)=Vα(i)−Wα(i)w_\alpha(i) = V_\alpha(i) - W_\alpha(i)wα​(i)=Vα​(i)−Wα​(i).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6.2.3

For an MDC with a finite state space there are α0∈(0,1)\alpha_0 \in (0,1)α0​∈(0,1) and one stationary policy fff such that fff is α\alphaα discount optimal for every α∈(α0,1)\alpha \in (\alpha_0,1)α∈(α0​,1), fff is average cost optimal, and

J(i)=lim⁡α→1−(1−α)Vα(i)=lim⁡n→∞vf,n(i)n,i∈S.J(i) = \lim_{\alpha\to 1^-} (1-\alpha) V_\alpha(i) = \lim_{n\to\infty} \frac{v_{f,n}(i)}{n}, \qquad i \in S.J(i)=α→1−lim​(1−α)Vα​(i)=n→∞lim​nvf,n​(i)​,i∈S.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4.5.3. For finite SSS and stationary eee, α↦Ve,α(i)\alpha \mapsto V_{e,\alpha}(i)α↦Ve,α​(i) is a finite, continuous, rational function on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).
  2. Proposition 6.1.1. For every policy on a countable state space,
Jθ∗(i)≤lim inf⁡α→1−(1−α)Vθ,α(i)≤lim sup⁡α→1−(1−α)Vθ,α(i)≤Jθ(i),J^*_\theta(i) \le \liminf_{\alpha\to1^-}(1-\alpha)V_{\theta,\alpha}(i) \le \limsup_{\alpha\to1^-}(1-\alpha)V_{\theta,\alpha}(i) \le J_\theta(i),Jθ∗​(i)≤α→1−liminf​(1−α)Vθ,α​(i)≤α→1−limsup​(1−α)Vθ,α​(i)≤Jθ​(i),

with three equivalent conditions for equality. 3. Proposition 6.2.2. For finite SSS and stationary eee, Je(i)=lim⁡α→1−(1−α)Ve,α(i)=lim⁡nve,n(i)/nJ_e(i) = \lim_{\alpha\to1^-}(1-\alpha)V_{e,\alpha}(i) = \lim_n v_{e,n}(i)/nJe​(i)=limα→1−​(1−α)Ve,α​(i)=limn​ve,n​(i)/n. 4. Proposition 4.5.1, Proposition 4.5.4, Corollary 4.5.5. The power series structure of Vθ,αV_{\theta,\alpha}Vθ,α​ in α\alphaα; monotonicity and left continuity of VαV_\alphaVα​; continuity under bounded costs. 5. Theorem 6.3.1. For the policy fff of the goal, lim⁡α→1−wα(i)=w(i)\lim_{\alpha \to 1^-} w_\alpha(i) = w(i)limα→1−​wα​(i)=w(i) exists, and

J(i)+w(i)=C(i,f)+∑jPij(f)w(j) ≥ min⁡a{C(i,a)+∑jPij(a)w(j)},J(i) + w(i) = C(i,f) + \sum_j P_{ij}(f) w(j) \ \ge\ \min_{a} \Big\{C(i,a) + \sum_j P_{ij}(a) w(j)\Big\},J(i)+w(i)=C(i,f)+j∑​Pij​(f)w(j) ≥ amin​{C(i,a)+j∑​Pij​(a)w(j)},

together with the limit identities (i)–(iii) and the optimality criterion (v). 6. Proposition 6.3.3. Vα(i)=J(i)/(1−α)+w∗(i)+εα(i)V_\alpha(i) = J(i)/(1-\alpha) + w^*(i) + \varepsilon_\alpha(i)Vα​(i)=J(i)/(1−α)+w∗(i)+εα​(i) with εα(i)→0\varepsilon_\alpha(i) \to 0εα​(i)→0 as α→1−\alpha \to 1^-α→1−.

Significance

The goal says that on a finite state space nothing is gained by randomizing or by remembering the past when minimizing average cost, and that the minimum average cost is the vanishing-discount limit of the discounted value function. This justifies computing average cost optimal policies through discounted problems and value iteration, the route taken in the rest of Chapter 6 and, via approximating sequences, for countable state spaces in Chapters 7 and 8. Theorem 6.3.1 supplies an optimality equation without any unichain or communication assumption. The book's Example 6.3.2 shows that the inequality in that equation can be strict, and that a stationary policy attaining the minimum need not be optimal.

The results are classical and proved in the book. No machine-checked version of them is known to exist. The platform has average-reward results for unichain finite MDPs with Markov policies (the Puterman series) and an average-cost optimality equation under recurrence assumptions (the Bertsekas series). Neither covers existence of a Blackwell optimal policy against the class of all history dependent randomized policies, or the multichain equation. A formal development also yields reusable infrastructure: the law of a controlled process under a general policy, first passage quantities of finite chains, and the Abelian inequality between Abel and Cesàro means of a nonnegative sequence.

Difficulty

The obvious argument picks, for each α\alphaα, a stationary discount optimal policy fαf_\alphafα​ and lets α→1\alpha \to 1α→1. Finiteness of the set of stationary policies gives one policy that is optimal along some sequence αn→1\alpha_n \to 1αn​→1, but not on an interval. Excluding infinite switching between two policies requires the analytic structure of α↦Vf,α(i)\alpha \mapsto V_{f,\alpha}(i)α↦Vf,α​(i) (Proposition 4.5.3), which in turn rests on matrix inversion of I−αPI - \alpha PI−αP. Passing from the discounted criterion to the average one requires an Abelian inequality for nonnegative series whose terms may be infinite (Proposition 6.1.1), and comparison against general policies rules out any argument that works only within stationary or Markov policies. For Theorem 6.3.1 the difficulty is the multichain structure: the relative value function has to be assembled class by class from first passage times and costs, and its limit must be identified.

Formalization scope

  • States form a type S; [Countable S] for Section 4.5 and Proposition 6.1.1, [Fintype S] from Section 6.2 on, as in the book. Actions form a type Act with A i : Finset Act nonempty. Costs are in ℝ≥0, transition probabilities in ℝ≥0∞.
  • A general policy is a function of the list of past state-action pairs (most recent first) and the current state, giving a distribution on A i. Stationary policies embed as degenerate policies. The law of the process is built from this data, and every infimum ranges over all general policies.
  • Vθ,αV_{\theta,\alpha}Vθ,α​, VαV_\alphaVα​, vθ,nv_{\theta,n}vθ,n​, JθJ_\thetaJθ​, Jθ∗J^*_\thetaJθ∗​, JJJ are in ℝ≥0∞, so +∞+\infty+∞ is represented. α→1−\alpha \to 1^-α→1− is the filter 𝓝[<] 1. On a finite state space these quantities are finite. The real valued objects of Section 6.3 (wαw_\alphawα​, www, w∗w^*w∗, equation (6.6)) are therefore formed with toReal, and this switch from ℝ≥0∞ to ℝ happens only in Theorem 6.3.1 and Proposition 6.3.3.
  • The objects of Section 6.3 (pkp_kpk​, mi∣km_{i|k}mi∣k​, ci∣kc_{i|k}ci∣k​, πs\pi_sπs​, WαW_\alphaWα​) are defined from fff. The distinguished states are a hypothesis quantified over.
  • A trivializing formalization would take the infimum over stationary policies only, let the optimal policy depend on α\alphaα, or state rationality as an equation p/q without requiring q≠0q \ne 0q=0. Each is excluded here: JJJ and VαV_\alphaVα​ are infima over all general policies, one pair (α0,f)(\alpha_0,f)(α0​,f) is quantified before all α\alphaα, and the denominator is required to be nonzero on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).

Useful infrastructure includes rational functions of one real variable and their finitely many sign changes, the resolvent (I−αP)−1(I-\alpha P)^{-1}(I−αP)−1 of a stochastic matrix, the Abelian inequality for [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued sequences, and renewal-reward identities for finite chains. Contributions of general lemmas on these topics are welcome, as are proofs of individual milestones.

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • D. Blackwell, "Discrete dynamic programming", Annals of Mathematical Statistics 33 (1962), 719–726. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177704593
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems IX: Bounded Mean Residual Lifetimes Imply Finite Moments of All OrdersTextbook

Motivation

In a discrete-time queue the service of a customer lasts a random number YYY of slots. When such a system is modelled as a Markov decision chain (Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999, DOI 10.1002/9780470317037, Chapter 9), the state must record how much service is still owed, and the controller only observes that a service has lasted sss slots and is not yet finished. The relevant random quantity is then the residual life YsY_sYs​: the remaining service time given that sss slots have elapsed without completion. Verifying the book's average cost assumptions for such a model requires bounds on expected first passage times and costs, and these reduce to moment bounds on YYY and on the residual lives YsY_sYs​.

Section 9.2 isolates a single condition that makes those bounds available: the expected remaining service time is bounded uniformly in the elapsed time. The concept of mean residual life comes from reliability theory, where YYY is the lifetime of a component and E[Ys]E[Y_s]E[Ys​] is its expected remaining lifetime at age sss. This mission formalizes Section 9.2 of the book, together with the moment computation for batch arrivals (Lemma 9.5.2) that the same verification uses.

Setting

Let YYY be a random variable with values in {1,2,3,… }\{1,2,3,\dots\}{1,2,3,…} and distribution uy=P(Y=y)u_y = P(Y = y)uy​=P(Y=y), y≥1y \ge 1y≥1. Write F(y)=P(Y≤y)F(y) = P(Y \le y)F(y)=P(Y≤y) and F∗(y)=P(Y>y)=1−F(y)F^*(y) = P(Y > y) = 1 - F(y)F∗(y)=P(Y>y)=1−F(y) for y≥0y \ge 0y≥0, so F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0 and F∗(0)=1F^*(0) = 1F∗(0)=1. The kkk-th moment is

E[Yk]=∑y≥1ykuy∈[0,∞].E[Y^k] = \sum_{y \ge 1} y^k u_y \in [0,\infty].E[Yk]=y≥1∑​ykuy​∈[0,∞].

For s≥0s \ge 0s≥0 with F∗(s)>0F^*(s) > 0F∗(s)>0, the residual life YsY_sYs​ has distribution

P(Ys=y)=P(Y=s+y∣Y>s)=us+yF∗(s),y≥1,P(Y_s = y) = P(Y = s + y \mid Y > s) = \frac{u_{s+y}}{F^*(s)}, \qquad y \ge 1,P(Ys​=y)=P(Y=s+y∣Y>s)=F∗(s)us+y​​,y≥1,

with Y0=YY_0 = YY0​=Y; its tail is Fs∗(y)=F∗(s+y)/F∗(s)F^*_s(y) = F^*(s+y)/F^*(s)Fs∗​(y)=F∗(s+y)/F∗(s), and E[Ys]E[Y_s]E[Ys​] is the mean residual lifetime.

The distribution of YYY has bounded mean residual lifetimes (BMRL-UUU, Definition 9.2.4) if there is a finite constant UUU with

E[Ys]≤Ufor every s≥0 with F∗(s)>0,E[Y_s] \le U \qquad \text{for every } s \ge 0 \text{ with } F^*(s) > 0,E[Ys​]≤Ufor every s≥0 with F∗(s)>0,

and it is BMRL if it is BMRL-UUU for some UUU.

Three families appear by name: the geometric distribution geo(μ)\mathrm{geo}(\mu)geo(μ) of the number of Bernoulli(μ\muμ) trials to the first success, P(Y=y)=μ(1−μ)y−1P(Y=y) = \mu(1-\mu)^{y-1}P(Y=y)=μ(1−μ)y−1; the negative binomial neg bin(μ,r)\mathrm{neg\,bin}(\mu, r)negbin(μ,r) of the number of trials to the rrr-th success, P(Y=y)=(y−1r−1)μr(1−μ)y−rP(Y = y) = \binom{y-1}{r-1}\mu^r(1-\mu)^{y-r}P(Y=y)=(r−1y−1​)μr(1−μ)y−r for y≥ry \ge ry≥r; and the truncated Poisson trun Pois(λ)\mathrm{trun\,Pois}(\lambda)trunPois(λ), P(Y=y)=e−λ1−e−λλyy!P(Y=y) = \frac{e^{-\lambda}}{1-e^{-\lambda}}\frac{\lambda^y}{y!}P(Y=y)=1−e−λe−λ​y!λy​ for y≥1y \ge 1y≥1.

For Lemma 9.5.2, batches of customers arrive in each slot; the batch sizes X1,X2,…X_1, X_2, \dotsX1​,X2​,… are independent with common distribution pjp_jpj​, mean λ=∑jjpj\lambda = \sum_j j p_jλ=∑j​jpj​ and second moment λ(2)=∑jj2pj\lambda^{(2)} = \sum_j j^2 p_jλ(2)=∑j​j2pj​, and X(s)=X1+⋯+XsX(s) = X_1 + \dots + X_sX(s)=X1​+⋯+Xs​ is the number of arrivals in sss slots.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 9.2.5

If the distribution of YYY is BMRL, then

E[Yk]<∞for every k.E[Y^k] < \infty \qquad \text{for every } k.E[Yk]<∞for every k.

The goal fixes no constant: it asserts only that a uniform first-moment bound on the residual lives forces every moment of YYY to be finite.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 9.2.1. E[Y]=∑y=0∞F∗(y)E[Y] = \sum_{y=0}^\infty F^*(y)E[Y]=∑y=0∞​F∗(y) and, for k≥2k \ge 2k≥2,
E[Yk]=1+∑z=0k−1(kz)[∑y=1∞yzF∗(y)].(9.4)E[Y^k] = 1 + \sum_{z=0}^{k-1}\binom{k}{z}\left[\sum_{y=1}^\infty y^z F^*(y)\right]. \tag{9.4}E[Yk]=1+z=0∑k−1​(zk​)[y=1∑∞​yzF∗(y)].(9.4)
  1. Remark 9.2.2. For k≥2k \ge 2k≥2, E[Yk]<∞E[Y^k] < \inftyE[Yk]<∞ if and only if ∑yyk−1F∗(y)<∞\sum_y y^{k-1}F^*(y) < \infty∑y​yk−1F∗(y)<∞.
  2. Proposition 9.2.3. For a positive integer kkk, E[Yk]<∞E[Y^k] < \inftyE[Yk]<∞ implies E[Ysk]<∞E[Y_s^k] < \inftyE[Ysk​]<∞ for all s≥0s \ge 0s≥0.
  3. Proposition 9.2.6. The geometric (0<μ<10<\mu<10<μ<1), negative binomial (0<μ<10<\mu<10<μ<1, r≥2r \ge 2r≥2) and truncated Poisson (λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0) distributions are BMRL.
  4. Lemma 9.5.2. Under λ(2)<∞\lambda^{(2)} < \inftyλ(2)<∞,
E[X(s)]=λs,E[(X(s))2]=λ(2)s+λ2s(s−1).(9.25)E[X(s)] = \lambda s, \qquad E[(X(s))^2] = \lambda^{(2)}s + \lambda^2 s(s-1). \tag{9.25}E[X(s)]=λs,E[(X(s))2]=λ(2)s+λ2s(s−1).(9.25)

Significance

The result itself. Proposition 9.2.5 turns a condition that is easy to check for concrete service distributions, and natural for services (a service whose expected remaining duration grows without bound as it goes on is undesirable), into the moment bounds that the average cost analysis consumes. With Proposition 9.2.6 it shows that the most common unbounded service distributions on {1,2,… }\{1,2,\dots\}{1,2,…} have finite moments of all orders; with Lemma 9.5.2 it supplies the linear and quadratic growth of expected arrivals and their second moments that the verification of the (WAC) assumptions for the batch-arrival queue of Example 9.3.1 needs (Section 9.5). Every bounded distribution is BMRL as well (the book's Problem 9.3).

Formalizing it. All results here are proved in the book; none has a machine-checked proof on the platform or in Mathlib, which has geometric and Poisson distributions but no residual lives, negative binomial or truncated Poisson laws. A complete development gives a reusable tail-sum calculus for moments of N\mathbb NN-valued random variables in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], a residual-life construction for discrete distributions, and the BMRL property of three standard families. The platform's mean residual life order (the "Stochastic Orders II" mission, Shaked–Shanthikumar) compares two variables; BMRL is a uniform bound on one variable's residual lives and is not an order, so none of that material states these results.

Difficulty

BMRL controls only first moments, of the conditional laws YsY_sYs​; the goal asks for moments of every order of YYY itself. Bounding E[Yk]E[Y^k]E[Yk] by expanding E[Ys]E[Y_s]E[Ys​] for each fixed sss gives nothing, because each single bound is compatible with a heavy tail: the uniformity in sss is essential. The residual lives are also only defined where P(Y>s)>0P(Y > s) > 0P(Y>s)>0, so every argument must handle distributions with bounded support separately. Proposition 9.2.6 requires explicit control of ratios of tail sums for three families; for the negative binomial and truncated Poisson the tails have no closed form.

Formalization scope

  • YYY is represented by its law, a function u:N→[0,∞]u : \mathbb N \to [0,\infty]u:N→[0,∞] with ∑yuy=1\sum_y u_y = 1∑y​uy​=1 and u0=0u_0 = 0u0​=0 (IsDistOnPos). F∗F^*F∗, moments and residual-life moments are ℝ≥0∞-valued series; an infinite moment is +∞+\infty+∞ and "finite" means <∞< \infty<∞. No Bochner integral is used, so a finite-moment conclusion cannot hold vacuously through an integrability default.
  • The residual life YsY_sYs​ is defined by (9.7) and is used only where F∗(s)>0F^*(s) > 0F∗(s)>0; BMRL-UUU is required exactly at those sss, and UUU is a finite nonnegative real. A formalization requiring the bound at every sss with a junk value of E[Ys]E[Y_s]E[Ys​] where F∗(s)=0F^*(s) = 0F∗(s)=0 is ruled out: the definitions never divide by F∗(s)=0F^*(s) = 0F∗(s)=0 in a used position, and bounded distributions remain BMRL.
  • The geometric and negative binomial laws count trials (support starting at 111 and rrr), not failures as Mathlib's geometricPMF does.
  • Lemma 9.5.2 is stated on a probability space with measurable, mutually independent (iIndepFun) batch sizes of common law ppp, expectations as lower Lebesgue integrals, and only assumption (BA1), λ(2)<∞\lambda^{(2)} < \inftyλ(2)<∞, which is the part of the book's (BA) that concerns arrivals.
  • Welcome contributions: the tail-sum identity (9.4) and its reindexing lemmas, the residual-life tail formula (9.8) and moment formula (9.9), each as a separate lemma; and proofs that the three named families are probability distributions on their supports.

Selected references

  • Linn I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, 1999, Section 9.2 (pp. 202–206) and Section 9.5 (pp. 214–215). DOI 10.1002/9780470317037
  • Moshe Shaked and J. George Shanthikumar, Stochastic Orders, Springer Series in Statistics, Springer, 2007, Section 2.A (the mean residual life order). DOI 10.1007/978-0-387-34675-5
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AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems XI: The Generalized Dominated Convergence Theorem for Approximating DistributionsTextbook

Motivation

Linn Sennott's Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems (Wiley, 1999) studies Markov decision chains with countably many states, finite action sets and unbounded nonnegative costs. Its main computational device, the approximating sequence method (Definition 2.5.1, p. 28), replaces the countable state space SSS by an increasing sequence of state spaces SNS_NSN​ and the transition law out of each state by distributions Pj(N)P_j(N)Pj​(N) on SNS_NSN​ that converge pointwise to the original law. Every convergence argument of that method has the same shape: a sum ∑j∈SNPj(N) u(j,N)\sum_{j\in S_N} P_j(N)\,u(j,N)∑j∈SN​​Pj​(N)u(j,N), an expected cost or value under the NNN-th approximating model, must be shown to converge to ∑j∈SPj u(j)\sum_{j\in S} P_j\,u(j)∑j∈S​Pj​u(j), or at least to satisfy a one-sided bound in the limit.

Appendix A, Sections A.1–A.2 (pp. 270–278), collects the analysis results used for this. The author proves them for sums over countable sets rather than general integrals, so they need no measure theory, and the proofs of the discounted-cost and average-cost approximation theorems (Chapters 4 and 8) cite them. This mission formalizes that appendix section as a self-contained unit.

Setting

Let SSS be a countable set and (Pj)j∈S(P_j)_{j\in S}(Pj​)j∈S​ a probability distribution on SSS: Pj≥0P_j\ge 0Pj​≥0 and ∑jPj=1\sum_j P_j=1∑j​Pj​=1. Values of functions are extended reals in [−∞,∞][-\infty,\infty][−∞,∞], with the convention 0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0. For u:S→[−∞,∞]u:S\to[-\infty,\infty]u:S→[−∞,∞], the weighted sum is

∑j∈SPj u(j)=∑j∈SPj u+(j)−∑j∈SPj u−(j),\sum_{j\in S}P_j\,u(j)=\sum_{j\in S}P_j\,u^+(j)-\sum_{j\in S}P_j\,u^-(j),j∈S∑​Pj​u(j)=j∈S∑​Pj​u+(j)−j∈S∑​Pj​u−(j),

which is well defined, in (−∞,∞](-\infty,\infty](−∞,∞], whenever the negative parts have finite weighted sum. In Lean this is wsum P u.

A family of approximating distributions for (Pj)(P_j)(Pj​) consists of

  1. an increasing sequence of subsets S0⊆S1⊆⋯S_0\subseteq S_1\subseteq\cdotsS0​⊆S1​⊆⋯ of SSS with ⋃NSN=S\bigcup_N S_N=S⋃N​SN​=S;
  2. for each NNN, a probability distribution (Pj(N))j∈SN(P_j(N))_{j\in S_N}(Pj​(N))j∈SN​​ on SNS_NSN​;
  3. pointwise convergence lim⁡N→∞Pj(N)=Pj\lim_{N\to\infty}P_j(N)=P_jlimN→∞​Pj​(N)=Pj​ for every j∈Sj\in Sj∈S.

Since the sets increase to SSS, a fixed state jjj lies in SNS_NSN​ for every large NNN, so lim inf⁡Nu(j,N)\liminf_N u(j,N)liminfN​u(j,N) and lim⁡Nu(j,N)\lim_N u(j,N)limN​u(j,N) make sense for a function u(j,N)u(j,N)u(j,N) defined only for j∈SNj\in S_Nj∈SN​. In Lean these three conditions are the structure ApproxDist P SN Q, with Q N j =Pj(N)=P_j(N)=Pj​(N).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem A.2.6 (Generalized Dominated Convergence Theorem), p. 278

Under the approximating-distribution hypotheses, let u(j,N)u(j,N)u(j,N) and w(j,N)w(j,N)w(j,N) be finite with ∣u(j,N)∣≤w(j,N)|u(j,N)|\le w(j,N)∣u(j,N)∣≤w(j,N) for j∈SNj\in S_Nj∈SN​, let u(j,N)→u(j)u(j,N)\to u(j)u(j,N)→u(j) and w(j,N)→w(j)w(j,N)\to w(j)w(j,N)→w(j) for every jjj, and assume

lim⁡N→∞∑j∈SNPj(N) w(j,N)=∑j∈SPj w(j)<∞.\lim_{N\to\infty}\sum_{j\in S_N}P_j(N)\,w(j,N)=\sum_{j\in S}P_j\,w(j)<\infty.N→∞lim​j∈SN​∑​Pj​(N)w(j,N)=j∈S∑​Pj​w(j)<∞.

Then

lim⁡N→∞∑j∈SNPj(N) u(j,N)=∑j∈SPj u(j).\lim_{N\to\infty}\sum_{j\in S_N}P_j(N)\,u(j,N)=\sum_{j\in S}P_j\,u(j).N→∞lim​j∈SN​∑​Pj​(N)u(j,N)=j∈S∑​Pj​u(j).

Milestones, in the book's order

  • Proposition A.1.3: lim inf⁡\liminfliminf commutes with a minimum over a finite nonempty set; lim⁡\limlim does too when all limits exist.
  • Proposition A.1.5: lim inf⁡N∑j∈Gu(j,N)≥∑j∈Glim inf⁡Nu(j,N)\liminf_N\sum_{j\in G}u(j,N)\ge\sum_{j\in G}\liminf_N u(j,N)liminfN​∑j∈G​u(j,N)≥∑j∈G​liminfN​u(j,N) for finite GGG and u>−∞u>-\inftyu>−∞, when the right side has no indeterminate form.
  • Proposition A.1.7: the same inequality for countable sums of [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued terms.
  • Proposition A.1.8: the same, with the left sum over SNS_NSN​ increasing to SSS.
  • Proposition A.1.10: lim inf⁡un≤lim inf⁡wn/n≤lim sup⁡wn/n≤lim sup⁡un\liminf u_n\le\liminf w_n/n\le\limsup w_n/n\le\limsup u_nliminfun​≤liminfwn​/n≤limsupwn​/n≤limsupun​ for wn=∑k<nukw_n=\sum_{k<n}u_kwn​=∑k<n​uk​.
  • Proposition A.2.1 (Fatou's lemma): lim inf⁡N∑jPju(j,N)≥∑jPjlim inf⁡Nu(j,N)\liminf_N\sum_jP_j u(j,N)\ge\sum_jP_j\liminf_N u(j,N)liminfN​∑j​Pj​u(j,N)≥∑j​Pj​liminfN​u(j,N) for u≥−Lu\ge -Lu≥−L.
  • Theorem A.2.3 (dominated convergence, with a convergent dominating sequence w(j,N)w(j,N)w(j,N)) and Corollary A.2.4 (fixed dominating function).
  • Proposition A.2.5 (generalized Fatou's lemma):
lim inf⁡N→∞∑j∈SNPj(N) u(j,N) ≥ ∑j∈SPj lim inf⁡N→∞u(j,N)(u≥−L on SN).\liminf_{N\to\infty}\sum_{j\in S_N}P_j(N)\,u(j,N)\ \ge\ \sum_{j\in S}P_j\,\liminf_{N\to\infty}u(j,N)\qquad(u\ge -L\text{ on }S_N).N→∞liminf​j∈SN​∑​Pj​(N)u(j,N) ≥ j∈S∑​Pj​N→∞liminf​u(j,N)(u≥−L on SN​).
  • Corollary A.2.7: bounded convergence under approximating distributions.

Significance

The results. Proposition A.2.5 and Theorem A.2.6 are the two limit interchanges the approximating sequence method needs. The generalized Fatou inequality gives the lower bound on limits of value functions of the approximating models, and the generalized dominated convergence theorem identifies the limit of expected costs when a dominating function is available. Corollary A.2.7 gives the bounded case, and Proposition A.1.3 moves limits inside the minimization of an optimality equation. Proposition A.1.10 compares Cesàro averages with the sequence itself, which the average-cost chapters use.

Formalizing them. All statements are classical and proved in the book. A.1.7, A.2.1, A.2.3 and A.2.4 are, after translation, instances of Mathlib's Fatou lemma (MeasureTheory.lintegral_liminf_le) and dominated convergence theorem for a discrete measure. The mission states them in the book's discrete, extended-real form so later chapters can cite them by number. The versions in which the distribution and its support change with NNN (A.2.5–A.2.7) are not in Mathlib in this form; the generalized dominated convergence theorem appears in the measure-theoretic literature (Royden, Real Analysis, Ch. 4) but has no Lean formalization. None of these statements has been formalized for this book.

Difficulty

For the generalized results, Mathlib's Fatou lemma and dominated convergence theorem do not apply directly: they fix one measure, while here both the weights Pj(N)P_j(N)Pj​(N) and the support SNS_NSN​ change with NNN. The dominating function w(j,N)w(j,N)w(j,N) also changes with NNN and is not integrable uniformly in NNN; only the convergence of its expectations is assumed. For small NNN, ∑j∈SNPj(N)w(j,N)\sum_{j\in S_N}P_j(N)w(j,N)∑j∈SN​​Pj​(N)w(j,N) may even be infinite, and then ∑j∈SNPj(N)u(j,N)\sum_{j\in S_N} P_j(N)u(j,N)∑j∈SN​​Pj​(N)u(j,N) has no value.

A second difficulty is bookkeeping in the extended reals. Lower limits may be ±∞\pm\infty±∞, products use 0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=00⋅∞=0, and a sum with a +∞+\infty+∞ term and a −∞-\infty−∞ term is undefined. The inequality of Proposition A.1.5 holds only when that indeterminate form is excluded. The bound u≥−Lu\ge -Lu≥−L in A.2.1 and A.2.5 cannot be dropped: Examples A.1.9 and A.2.2 of the book show the inequalities fail without it.

Formalization scope

  • Types. SSS is any type with [Countable S]. Probabilities are ℝ≥0∞-valued with ∑' j, P j = 1, and Pj(N)P_j(N)Pj​(N) is Q N j. Extended-real values are EReal, and nonnegative extended values (A.1.7, A.1.8) are ℝ≥0∞. Limits and lower and upper limits are along atTop in ℕ. The book's N≥N0N\ge N_0N≥N0​ convention (Remark A.1.2) needs nothing extra, since only large NNN matter.
  • Sums over SNS_NSN​ are sums over SSS of (SN N).indicator (Q N) times the function. Values of u(j,N)u(j,N)u(j,N) and Pj(N)P_j(N)Pj​(N) for j∉SNj\notin S_Nj∈/SN​ never enter any statement, and the hypotheses on uuu (u≥−Lu\ge -Lu≥−L, ∣u∣≤w|u|\le w∣u∣≤w) are imposed only on SNS_NSN​, as in the book.
  • Weighted sums are wsum, the difference of the weighted positive and negative parts, each in [0,∞]. When both are infinite the book's sum is undefined and wsum returns −∞-\infty−∞. Every sum used in a hypothesis or conclusion is defined, except possibly for finitely many NNN in limit statements, where it does not matter.
  • Limits of u(j,N)u(j,N)u(j,N) and w(j,N)w(j,N)w(j,N) are taken in EReal, since the book allows extended-real limits (p. 271). The hypotheses force them to be finite wherever Pj>0P_j>0Pj​>0.
  • Ruled out. Statements in which wsum returns its junk value −∞-\infty−∞ could make an inequality trivial. Every left-hand side here is a lower limit of sums whose negative parts are bounded, or a limit of eventually defined sums, so no statement holds only because of that junk value. Real-valued tsum with its junk value 000 is not used anywhere.
  • Welcome contributions. A proof of A.1.7 from lintegral_liminf_le for the counting measure, and lemmas relating wsum to Mathlib's tsum and to integrals against Measure.sum (fun j => P j • dirac j), can be reused by the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, 1999, Appendix A, pp. 270–278. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • H. L. Royden, Real Analysis, 3rd ed., Macmillan, 1988, Chapter 4 (Fatou's lemma, generalized Lebesgue convergence theorem).
  • The Mathlib Community, The Lean Mathematical Library, CPP 2020, https://doi.org/10.1145/3372885.3373824 (MeasureTheory.lintegral_liminf_le, MeasureTheory.tendsto_integral_of_dominated_convergence).
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AnalysisProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems XII: A Tauberian Theorem Linking Abel and Cesàro Means of Nonnegative SeriesTextbook

Motivation

In the theory of Markov decision chains two cost criteria dominate: the discounted cost, in which a cost incurred at time nnn is weighted by αn\alpha^nαn for a discount factor α∈(0,1)\alpha \in (0,1)α∈(0,1), and the average cost, the long-run cost per unit time. A standard route to average cost optimal policies is to solve the discounted problem and let α→1−\alpha \to 1^-α→1−. That route needs a precise link between the two criteria for a single sequence of expected costs u0,u1,u2,⋯≥0u_0, u_1, u_2, \dots \ge 0u0​,u1​,u2​,⋯≥0: the discounted cost multiplied by 1−α1-\alpha1−α on one side, the running average on the other. Appendix A.4 of Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems (Wiley, 1999) supplies this link as Theorem A.4.2, and the book invokes it whenever it passes from discounted to average cost (for instance in Chapter 6, where it is applied to un=Eθ[C(Xn,An)]u_n = E_\theta[C(X_n, A_n)]un​=Eθ​[C(Xn​,An​)]).

The result belongs to classical summability theory.

  • Abelian direction. Convergence of averages implies convergence of the power-series (Abel) means: a consequence of Abel's and Frobenius's theorems on power series (19th century).
  • Tauber (1897). The first converse, under a growth condition on the terms.
  • Hardy and Littlewood (1914). The converse for Cesàro means of nonnegative terms, the "Hardy–Littlewood Tauberian theorem".
  • Karamata (1930). A short proof of that converse by polynomial approximation, reproduced in Titchmarsh, The Theory of Functions (1939, pp. 227–229). The book follows this proof.
  • Widder (1941). The continuous-time (Laplace transform) version.
  • Sennott (1986b). A proof of the discrete statement, cited by the book as its source for Theorem A.4.2.

Setting

Let u0,u1,u2,…u_0, u_1, u_2, \dotsu0​,u1​,u2​,… be nonnegative terms un∈[0,∞]u_n \in [0, \infty]un​∈[0,∞] with u0<∞u_0 < \inftyu0​<∞. For α∈[0,∞)\alpha \in [0, \infty)α∈[0,∞) the power series

U(α)=∑n=0∞αnun∈[0,∞]U(\alpha) = \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \alpha^n u_n \in [0, \infty]U(α)=n=0∑∞​αnun​∈[0,∞]

always has a sum, possibly +∞+\infty+∞, because its partial sums increase. Its radius of convergence is R=(lim sup⁡nun1/n)−1∈[0,∞]R = (\limsup_{n} u_n^{1/n})^{-1} \in [0,\infty]R=(limsupn​un1/n​)−1∈[0,∞]. The partial sums are wn=∑k=0n−1ukw_n = \sum_{k=0}^{n-1} u_kwn​=∑k=0n−1​uk​ for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. Two ways of averaging the sequence are compared:

  • the Cesàro means wn/nw_n / nwn​/n, as n→∞n \to \inftyn→∞;
  • the Abel means (1−α)U(α)(1-\alpha) U(\alpha)(1−α)U(α), as α→1−\alpha \to 1^-α→1− (from below).

For the constant sequence un≡Bu_n \equiv Bun​≡B both equal BBB. In the Lean development these are U, radius, w, cesaroMean and abelMean in the namespace SennottDP.Tauberian, all valued in ℝ≥0∞. The proof also uses the function rrr of Fig. A.1, equal to 000 on (0,e−1)(0, e^{-1})(0,e−1) and to 1/x1/x1/x on [e−1,1)[e^{-1}, 1)[e−1,1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem A.4.2

lim inf⁡n→∞wnn≤lim inf⁡α→1−(1−α)U(α)≤lim sup⁡α→1−(1−α)U(α)≤lim sup⁡n→∞wnn,(A.28)\liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{w_n}{n} \le \liminf_{\alpha\to 1^-} (1-\alpha)U(\alpha) \le \limsup_{\alpha\to 1^-} (1-\alpha)U(\alpha) \le \limsup_{n\to\infty} \frac{w_n}{n}, \tag{A.28}n→∞liminf​nwn​​≤α→1−liminf​(1−α)U(α)≤α→1−limsup​(1−α)U(α)≤n→∞limsup​nwn​​,(A.28)

and the following are equivalent: (i) all terms in (A.28) are equal and finite; (ii) lim⁡nwn/n\lim_n w_n/nlimn​wn​/n exists and is finite; (iii) lim⁡α→1−(1−α)U(α)\lim_{\alpha \to 1^-} (1-\alpha)U(\alpha)limα→1−​(1−α)U(α) exists and is finite.

No growth or boundedness condition on unu_nun​ is assumed: nonnegativity is the only Tauberian condition.

Milestones

  1. Remark A.3.3: the geometric series. R=1R = 1R=1, U(α)=B/(1−α)U(\alpha) = B/(1-\alpha)U(α)=B/(1−α) and B∑nnαn=Bα/(1−α)2B\sum_n n\alpha^n = B\alpha/(1-\alpha)^2B∑n​nαn=Bα/(1−α)2.
  2. Remark A.3.1: inside the radius of convergence, UUU is differentiable term by term, and the derived series has the same radius.
  3. Eq. (A.31): (∑αn)U(α)=∑nαnwn+1=U(α)/(1−α)\big(\sum \alpha^n\big) U(\alpha) = \sum_n \alpha^n w_{n+1} = U(\alpha)/(1-\alpha)(∑αn)U(α)=∑n​αnwn+1​=U(α)/(1−α).
  4. Eq. (A.28): the Abelian inequalities on their own.
  5. Eq. (A.26): ∫01r=1\int_0^1 r = 1∫01​r=1.
  6. Lemma A.4.1: continuous s∗≤r≤ss^* \le r \le ss∗≤r≤s with integrals within ε\varepsilonε of 111.
  7. Eqs. (A.35)–(A.36): if the Abel means tend to L<∞L < \inftyL<∞, then (1−α)∑nαnunf(αn)→L∫01f(1-\alpha)\sum_n \alpha^n u_n f(\alpha^n) \to L\int_0^1 f(1−α)∑n​αnun​f(αn)→L∫01​f for f(x)=xkf(x) = x^kf(x)=xk.
  8. The same statement for every fff continuous on [0,1][0,1][0,1].
  9. The same statement for f=rf = rf=r.
  10. Example A.5.1: a 0/10/10/1 block sequence with lim inf⁡wn/n=1/2\liminf w_n/n = 1/2liminfwn​/n=1/2 and lim sup⁡wn/n=2/3\limsup w_n/n = 2/3limsupwn​/n=2/3 (Choice One) or 111 (Choice Two), for which the middle inequality of (A.28) is strict.

Significance

The result itself. Theorem A.4.2 lets every statement about lim⁡α→1−(1−α)Vα\lim_{\alpha\to1^-}(1-\alpha)V_\alphalimα→1−​(1−α)Vα​ for a discounted value be read as a statement about long-run average cost, and conversely. The strict cases of Example A.5.1 show why the book must work with lim inf⁡\liminfliminf and lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup rather than limits: average costs of policies need not exist as limits, even for bounded costs.

Formalizing it. Mathlib contains Abel's theorem for convergent series (Mathlib/Analysis/Complex/AbelLimit.lean) and Cesàro convergence of convergent sequences, but no Tauberian theorem. The pinned checkout has no file mentioning "Tauberian", and neither does the platform. The mathematics has been proved since 1914. Formalizing it here adds:

  • a machine-checked Hardy–Littlewood–Karamata theorem for nonnegative [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued sequences;
  • the lim inf⁡\liminfliminf/lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup comparison (A.28) with infinite values allowed;
  • a reusable component for the average cost chapters of this series.

Difficulty

The Abelian inequalities (A.28) follow from rearranging the series. The converse (iii) ⇒ (ii) does not: the first idea, recovering wn/nw_n/nwn​/n from (1−α)U(α)(1-\alpha)U(\alpha)(1−α)U(α) at α=1−1/n\alpha = 1 - 1/nα=1−1/n, fails, because knowing UUU near 111 controls only weighted averages of all the uku_kuk​, not a sharp truncation. Some positivity argument is unavoidable, since the converse fails for signed sequences (for example un=(−1)nnu_n = (-1)^n nun​=(−1)nn). The sharp truncation at n≈(−ln⁡α)−1n \approx (-\ln\alpha)^{-1}n≈(−lnα)−1 corresponds to the discontinuous weight rrr. Passing from polynomial weights to the jump function rrr requires uniform approximation together with the nonnegativity of the unu_nun​ at every step.

The infinite values add bookkeeping. A single un0=∞u_{n_0} = \inftyun0​​=∞ makes every term of (A.28) infinite, and R<1R < 1R<1 forces U(α)=∞U(\alpha) = \inftyU(α)=∞ on (R,1)(R,1)(R,1).

Formalization scope

Conventions the statements commit to:

  • Values. Terms u:N→[0,∞]u : \mathbb{N} \to [0,\infty]u:N→[0,∞] (ℝ≥0∞) with u0≠∞u_0 \ne \inftyu0​=∞. UUU, the Abel means, wnw_nwn​ and the Cesàro means are ℝ≥0∞-valued, with ℝ≥0∞ sums (no summability side conditions).
  • Limits. lim inf⁡\liminfliminf and lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup are those of the complete lattice [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], never real liminf. "Exists and is finite" means convergence in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] to some L≠∞L \ne \inftyL=∞.
  • Discount factor. α∈R≥0\alpha \in \mathbb{R}_{\ge 0}α∈R≥0​, and α→1−\alpha \to 1^-α→1− is the filter 𝓝[<] 1.
  • Index n=0n = 0n=0. n→∞n \to \inftyn→∞ is atTop on N\mathbb{N}N; the value w0/0=0w_0/0 = 0w0​/0=0 is irrelevant.
  • The equivalence is List.TFAE.
  • The function rrr. Its value at the jump is r(e−1)=er(e^{-1}) = er(e−1)=e (Fig. A.1).
  • Continuity. In Lemma A.4.1 and in the continuous-weight step, continuity is required on the closed interval [0,1][0,1][0,1], which is what the Weierstrass approximation step uses. The book writes "(0,1)(0,1)(0,1)".
  • Finite terms. Remark A.3.1 is stated for finite terms, which the book's discussion of the radius presumes.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out. Real-valued lim inf⁡\liminfliminf/lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup would make (A.28) hold by junk values on unbounded sequences; hypotheses such as boundedness of unu_nun​ would replace the theorem by an easier special case; and a definition of "exists and is finite" allowing L=∞L = \inftyL=∞ would make (ii) hold for un=nu_n = nun​=n. None of these is used. As sanity checks: for un≡1u_n \equiv 1un​≡1 all four terms of (A.28) equal 111, and for un=nu_n = nun​=n all equal ∞\infty∞ and (i)–(iii) all fail.

A complete development needs:

  • Cauchy products of [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued power series;
  • the Weierstrass approximation theorem, which Mathlib has (polynomialFunctions.topologicalClosure);
  • interval integrals of step-like functions;
  • lim inf⁡\liminfliminf/lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup manipulation along 𝓝[<] 1.

Reusable beyond this mission: the ℝ≥0∞ power-series toolkit and the Karamata argument for general continuous weights (milestone 8). Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of (iii) ⇒ (ii).

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999, Appendix A.3–A.5, pp. 279–287. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470317037
  • E. C. Titchmarsh, The Theory of Functions, 2nd ed., Oxford University Press, 1939, pp. 227–229 (Karamata's proof).
  • J. Karamata, "Über die Hardy–Littlewoodschen Umkehrungen des Abelschen Stetigkeitssatzes", Mathematische Zeitschrift 32 (1930), 319–320.
  • G. H. Hardy and J. E. Littlewood, "Tauberian theorems concerning power series and Dirichlet's series whose coefficients are positive", Proc. London Math. Soc. (2) 13 (1914), 174–191.
  • D. V. Widder, The Laplace Transform, Princeton University Press, 1941.
  • L. I. Sennott, "A new condition for the existence of optimum stationary policies in average cost Markov decision processes — unbounded cost case", Proc. 25th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, Athens, 1986, pp. 1719–1721 (cited by the book as Sennott 1986b).
  • T. M. Liggett and S. A. Lippman, "Short notes: Stochastic games with perfect information and time average payoff", SIAM Review 11 (1969), 604–607. https://doi.org/10.1137/1011093
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems XIII: Lyapunov Criteria and z Standard Markov Chains with CostsTextbook

Motivation

Average cost control of queues rests on a small amount of Markov chain theory: when does a chain with costs have a well defined long-run average cost, and how can that be checked for a concrete model with an unbounded state space? Appendix C of L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems (Wiley, 1999, doi:10.1002/9780470317037) collects this material for countable state spaces and packages it in one hypothesis, the zzz standard chain. Chapters 7–10 of the book verify this hypothesis for the Markov chains induced by stationary policies in admission, routing and service-rate control models, and use its consequences to prove existence of average cost optimal policies.

The tools are Lyapunov functions in the sense of Foster (1953): a nonnegative function on the states whose expected one-step change is negative away from a finite set. Foster's criterion for positive recurrence, and its refinements bounding expected first passage times and costs, are the standard way to verify stability of queueing networks (Meyn and Tweedie, Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability, 1993/2009).

Setting

A Markov chain Γ\GammaΓ on a countable set SSS is given by transition probabilities Pij≥0P_{ij}\ge 0Pij​≥0 with ∑jPij=1\sum_j P_{ij}=1∑j​Pij​=1. XtX_tXt​ is the state at time ttt and Pij(t)P^{(t)}_{ij}Pij(t)​ the ttt-step transition probability (Pij(0)=δijP^{(0)}_{ij}=\delta_{ij}Pij(0)​=δij​). State iii leads to jjj if Pij(t)>0P^{(t)}_{ij}>0Pij(t)​>0 for some t≥0t\ge0t≥0; states that lead to each other communicate, which partitions SSS into communicating classes.

For a nonempty G⊆SG\subseteq SG⊆S the first passage time from iii is TiG=min⁡{t≥1:Xt∈G}T_{iG}=\min\{t\ge1: X_t\in G\}TiG​=min{t≥1:Xt​∈G} given X0=iX_0=iX0​=i, and miG=E[TiG]∈[0,∞]m_{iG}=E[T_{iG}]\in[0,\infty]miG​=E[TiG​]∈[0,∞]; mijm_{ij}mij​ is the case G={j}G=\{j\}G={j} and miim_{ii}mii​ the expected return time. The taboo probability GPik(t)_G P^{(t)}_{ik}G​Pik(t)​ is the probability of going from iii to kkk in ttt steps without visiting GGG at the intermediate times, and Guik_G u_{ik}G​uik​ is the expected number of visits to kkk at times 0≤t<TiG0\le t<T_{iG}0≤t<TiG​. A state is transient if P(Tii<∞)<1P(T_{ii}<\infty)<1P(Tii​<∞)<1 and positive recurrent if mii<∞m_{ii}<\inftymii​<∞; a positive recurrent class is a communicating class of positive recurrent states. The steady state probability is πj=(mjj)−1\pi_j=(m_{jj})^{-1}πj​=(mjj​)−1 (zero when mjj=∞m_{jj}=\inftymjj​=∞).

Each state carries a finite cost C(i)≥0C(i)\ge0C(i)≥0. The expected average cost over [0,n−1][0,n-1][0,n−1] from iii is

Ji(n)=1n E[∑t=0n−1C(Xt) ∣ X0=i]=1n∑t=0n−1∑jPij(t)C(j),J^{(n)}_i=\frac1n\,E\Big[\sum_{t=0}^{n-1}C(X_t)\,\Big|\,X_0=i\Big]=\frac1n\sum_{t=0}^{n-1}\sum_j P^{(t)}_{ij}C(j),Ji(n)​=n1​E[t=0∑n−1​C(Xt​)​X0​=i]=n1​t=0∑n−1​j∑​Pij(t)​C(j),

ciGc_{iG}ciG​ is the expected cost E[∑t=0TiG−1C(Xt)∣X0=i]E[\sum_{t=0}^{T_{iG}-1}C(X_t)\mid X_0=i]E[∑t=0TiG​−1​C(Xt​)∣X0​=i] of a first passage (defined when miG<∞m_{iG}<\inftymiG​<∞), and JR=∑j∈RπjC(j)J_R=\sum_{j\in R}\pi_jC(j)JR​=∑j∈R​πj​C(j) is the average cost on a positive recurrent class RRR. The chain is zzz standard (Definition C.2.5) if for a distinguished state zzz

miz<∞andciz<∞for all i∈S.m_{iz}<\infty\quad\text{and}\quad c_{iz}<\infty\qquad\text{for all } i\in S.miz​<∞andciz​<∞for all i∈S.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition C.2.6

If Γ\GammaΓ is zzz standard, then SSS is the union of a positive recurrent class R∋zR\ni zR∋z and a set of transient states, JR<∞J_R<\inftyJR​<∞, and

lim⁡n→∞Ji(n)=JRfor every i∈S.\lim_{n\to\infty}J^{(n)}_i=J_R\qquad\text{for every } i\in S.n→∞lim​Ji(n)​=JR​for every i∈S.

The statement fixes no constants: it asserts that the average cost exists, is finite, and does not depend on the initial state.

Milestones

  1. Proposition C.1.2: π\piπ is the unique stationary distribution of a positive recurrent class, and πj=eij/mii=πieij\pi_j=e_{ij}/m_{ii}=\pi_ie_{ij}πj​=eij​/mii​=πi​eij​.
  2. Proposition C.1.4: the first-step equations (C.2)–(C.4) for taboo probabilities, visit counts and miGm_{iG}miG​; ∑i∈GπimiG=1\sum_{i\in G}\pi_im_{iG}=1∑i∈G​πi​miG​=1 for GGG inside a positive recurrent class; mij<∞m_{ij}<\inftymij​<∞ within such a class.
  3. Proposition C.1.5: if ∑jPij[y(j)−y(i)]≤−ϵ\sum_jP_{ij}[y(j)-y(i)]\le-\epsilon∑j​Pij​[y(j)−y(i)]≤−ϵ off GGG, then miG≤y(i)/ϵm_{iG}\le y(i)/\epsilonmiG​≤y(i)/ϵ.
  4. Corollary C.1.6: the same with G={z}G=\{z\}G={z} and ∑jPzjy(j)<∞\sum_jP_{zj}y(j)<\infty∑j​Pzj​y(j)<∞ makes zzz positive recurrent.
  5. Proposition C.2.1: on a positive recurrent class, Ji(n)→JR=cii/miiJ^{(n)}_i\to J_R=c_{ii}/m_{ii}Ji(n)​→JR​=cii​/mii​.
  6. Proposition C.2.2: ciG=∑kC(k) Guikc_{iG}=\sum_kC(k)\,{}_Gu_{ik}ciG​=∑k​C(k)G​uik​, the first-step equation (C.13), and JR=∑i∈GπiciGJ_R=\sum_{i\in G}\pi_ic_{iG}JR​=∑i∈G​πi​ciG​.
  7. Proposition C.2.3 and Corollary C.2.4: the cost drift condition ∑jPij[r(j)−r(i)]≤−C(i)\sum_jP_{ij}[r(j)-r(i)]\le-C(i)∑j​Pij​[r(j)−r(i)]≤−C(i) off a finite set bounds ciG≤r(i)+FmiGc_{iG}\le r(i)+Fm_{iG}ciG​≤r(i)+FmiG​, and gives czz<∞c_{zz}<\inftyczz​<∞.
  8. Remark C.2.7: the hypotheses of C.1.6 and C.2.4 together imply the chain is zzz standard; so do irreducibility, positive recurrence and finite average cost.

Significance

Proposition C.2.6 is what makes the zzz standard hypothesis useful: an average cost criterion that is a genuine limit, finite, and independent of the initial state, even for chains with transient states and unbounded state spaces. Every average cost optimality result of the book that works with a stationary policy's induced chain (the (SEN) and (BOR) assumption sets, the approximating-sequence method, the continuous-time chapter) calls on this proposition or on the Lyapunov criteria of Remark C.2.7 to establish its hypotheses for queueing models.

All results of the mission are classical and proved in the literature; parts are stated in the book without proof and referred to Chung (1967), Grassmann et al. (1985) and renewal theory. None of them has been machine-checked in this form as far as the platform and Mathlib show: Mathlib has kernels and Ionescu-Tulcea trajectories but no countable-state Markov chain classification, no first passage calculus, and no Foster–Lyapunov criterion. Existing platform results on countable chains (the Levin–Peres–Wilmer series) treat irreducible chains without costs. A complete development here produces a reusable library of first passage identities, Foster–Lyapunov bounds for times and costs, and average cost limits on reducible chains.

Difficulty

The Lyapunov bounds (C.1.5, C.2.3) are telescoping arguments, but they require a clean handling of truncated passages and of sums that may be infinite: (C.7) is an inequality between possibly divergent series, and the step "iterate nnn times and let n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞" must be made rigorous for [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued expectations.

The central difficulty is part (iii) of the goal for transient initial states. On the class RRR, the limit of Ji(n)J^{(n)}_iJi(n)​ is a renewal reward theorem over successive returns to zzz; from a transient state the first cycle has a different law, so a delayed renewal reward argument is needed, and it has to cover the case where costs are unbounded. The obvious approach, bounding Ji(n)J^{(n)}_iJi(n)​ between JRJ_RJR​ and the average over the first nnn steps of the chain started in zzz, fails because Pij(t)P^{(t)}_{ij}Pij(t)​ need not converge (periodic classes) and because finite cizc_{iz}ciz​ does not bound individual cost terms. Proposition C.1.2's uniqueness and the Kac-type identity of C.1.4(iv) likewise need the full cycle decomposition of a positive recurrent class.

Formalization scope

The chain is a structure MC S with P : S → S → ℝ≥0∞ and ∑' j, P i j = 1, over a countable type S; costs are C : S → ℝ≥0. Probabilities and expectations are ℝ≥0∞-valued sums over finite paths Fin (t+1) → S, so every quantity is defined without summability side conditions and may be ∞\infty∞. The first passage time is TiG≥1T_{iG}\ge1TiG​≥1; miGm_{iG}miG​ is the expectation of TiGT_{iG}TiG​ from its law (and ∞\infty∞ when P(TiG<∞)<1P(T_{iG}<\infty)<1P(TiG​<∞)<1), not defined by the recursion (C.4), so that (C.4) is a theorem. Guik_Gu_{ik}G​uik​ counts visits at times 0≤t<TiG0\le t<T_{iG}0≤t<TiG​. ciGc_{iG}ciG​ is computed over first passage paths and is used only when miG<∞m_{iG}<\inftymiG​<∞, as in the book. πj\pi_jπj​ is (mjj)−1(m_{jj})^{-1}(mjj​)−1, which the book states equals the Cesàro limit lim⁡nQjj(n)\lim_nQ^{(n)}_{jj}limn​Qjj(n)​. Ji(n)J^{(n)}_iJi(n)​ is meaningful for n≥1n\ge1n≥1, and limits are taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The drift conditions ∑jPij[y(j)−y(i)]≤−ϵ\sum_jP_{ij}[y(j)-y(i)]\le-\epsilon∑j​Pij​[y(j)−y(i)]≤−ϵ and ∑jPij[r(j)−r(i)]≤−C(i)\sum_jP_{ij}[r(j)-r(i)]\le-C(i)∑j​Pij​[r(j)−r(i)]≤−C(i) are written in the equivalent additive form ∑jPijy(j)+ϵ≤y(i)\sum_jP_{ij}y(j)+\epsilon\le y(i)∑j​Pij​y(j)+ϵ≤y(i), which is equivalent for finite yyy and makes the case ∑jPijy(j)=∞\sum_jP_{ij}y(j)=\infty∑j​Pij​y(j)=∞ fail, as it does in the book.

A trivializing formalization, such as defining miGm_{iG}miG​ or ciGc_{iG}ciG​ by the equations (C.4) or (C.13), defining JRJ_RJR​ as the limit of Ji(n)J^{(n)}_iJi(n)​, or allowing a zzz standard chain whose return time or return cost to zzz is infinite, is ruled out: zzz standard requires miz<∞m_{iz}<\inftymiz​<∞ and ciz<∞c_{iz}<\inftyciz​<∞ for every iii including zzz, and each quantity is defined from path probabilities.

Needed infrastructure: path-sum manipulation in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (first-step and last-step decompositions), the ratio limit / renewal reward theorem for a positive recurrent class, and the delayed version for transient starts. The first passage calculus and the Lyapunov bounds are reusable by the book's other chapters on average cost, which state the zzz standard property for policy-induced chains. Contributions of lemmas on path sums and of an independent renewal reward library are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. I. Sennott, Stochastic Dynamic Programming and the Control of Queueing Systems, Wiley, 1999, Appendix C, pp. 292–302. doi:10.1002/9780470317037
  • K. L. Chung, Markov Chains with Stationary Transition Probabilities, 2nd ed., Springer, 1967. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-62015-7
  • F. G. Foster, On the stochastic matrices associated with certain queuing processes, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 24 (1953), 355–360. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177728976
  • S. P. Meyn and R. L. Tweedie, Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability, 2nd ed., Cambridge University Press, 2009. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511626630
  • D. P. Heyman and M. J. Sobel, Stochastic Models in Operations Research, Vol. I, McGraw-Hill, 1982.
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Markov ChainNumerical AnalysisOperations Research+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Fundamentals of Queueing Theory X: Uniformization of Continuous-Time Markov ChainsTextbook

Motivation

Most Markovian queueing models have no closed-form transient solution. The M/M/1 queue already needs modified Bessel functions (Chapter 2 of the book), and a finite-capacity or multi-class model with state-dependent rates has no closed form at all. What an analyst can always write down is the system of forward equations p′(t)=p(t)Qp'(t)=p(t)Qp′(t)=p(t)Q for the state probabilities. Chapter 8 of Gross, Shortle, Thompson and Harris, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory (4th ed., Wiley 2008, DOI 10.1002/9781118625651), presents two numerical techniques that turn such models into numbers: the randomization (or uniformization) method for the transient distribution of a finite continuous-time Markov chain, and the Fourier-series method for inverting a Laplace transform, as needed for the M/G/1 waiting-time transform (5.33) and the busy-period transform (5.37).

Uniformization goes back to Jensen (1953) and is the standard transient solver in performance-evaluation and reliability tools. Its appeal is that it replaces a matrix exponential, which is numerically delicate, by powers of a stochastic matrix weighted by Poisson probabilities, with an error bound that can be fixed before the computation starts (Grassmann 1977; Gross and Miller 1984). The Fourier-series method with Euler summation is due to Abate and Whitt (Abate and Whitt 1992; Abate, Choudhury and Whitt 1999).

Setting

A continuous-time Markov chain X(t)X(t)X(t) on the states {0,1,…,N}\{0,1,\dots,N\}{0,1,…,N} is described by its infinitesimal generator Q=(qij)Q=(q_{ij})Q=(qij​): for i≠ji\ne ji=j, qij≥0q_{ij}\ge0qij​≥0 is the rate of jumps from iii to jjj, and the diagonal entry is −qi-q_i−qi​ with

qi=∑j≠iqij,i=0,1,…,N.q_i=\sum_{j\ne i}q_{ij},\qquad i=0,1,\dots,N.qi​=j=i∑​qij​,i=0,1,…,N.

The transient state-probability vector p(t)=(p0(t),…,pN(t))p(t)=(p_0(t),\dots,p_N(t))p(t)=(p0​(t),…,pN​(t)), pn(t)=Pr⁡{X(t)=n}p_n(t)=\Pr\{X(t)=n\}pn​(t)=Pr{X(t)=n}, is the solution of the forward equations

p′(t)=p(t)Q(t≥0),p'(t)=p(t)Q\quad(t\ge0),p′(t)=p(t)Q(t≥0),

started from a given probability vector p(0)p(0)p(0). Fix a constant Λ>0\Lambda>0Λ>0 with Λ≥qi\Lambda\ge q_iΛ≥qi​ for every iii (the book takes Λ=max⁡iqi\Lambda=\max_i q_iΛ=maxi​qi​) and define the uniformized matrix

P~=QΛ+I,p~in={qin/Λ(i≠n),1−qi/Λ(i=n).\tilde P=\frac{Q}{\Lambda}+I,\qquad \tilde p_{in}=\begin{cases}q_{in}/\Lambda&(i\ne n),\\1-q_i/\Lambda&(i=n).\end{cases}P~=ΛQ​+I,p~​in​={qin​/Λ1−qi​/Λ​(i=n),(i=n).​

It is the transition matrix of a discrete-time chain YkY_kYk​: the state of XXX after the kkk-th event of a Poisson process of rate Λ\LambdaΛ that has been thinned. Write ϕ(k)=p(0)P~k\phi^{(k)}=p(0)\tilde P^{k}ϕ(k)=p(0)P~k for its distribution after kkk steps.

For the second half of the chapter, the Laplace transform of a real function fff on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) is fˉ(s)=∫0∞e−stf(t) dt\bar f(s)=\int_0^\infty e^{-st}f(t)\,dtfˉ​(s)=∫0∞​e−stf(t)dt, and the Fourier-series approximant with parameter AAA is

fA,n(t)=eA/22t[fˉ(A2t)+2∑k=1n(−1)k Re fˉ(A+2kπi2t)],f_{A,n}(t)=\frac{e^{A/2}}{2t}\Big[\bar f\Big(\frac{A}{2t}\Big)+2\sum_{k=1}^{n}(-1)^k\,\mathrm{Re}\,\bar f\Big(\frac{A+2k\pi i}{2t}\Big)\Big],fA,n​(t)=2teA/2​[fˉ​(2tA​)+2k=1∑n​(−1)kRefˉ​(2tA+2kπi​)],

with fA(t)=lim⁡n→∞fA,n(t)f_A(t)=\lim_{n\to\infty}f_{A,n}(t)fA​(t)=limn→∞​fA,n​(t).

Formalization targets

Goal: the randomization formula with its truncation bound (Eqs. (8.9)–(8.12))

The forward equations have a solution, and every solution satisfies, for all t≥0t\ge0t≥0,

p(t)=∑k=0∞p(0)P~(k) e−Λt(Λt)kk!,p(t)=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}p(0)\tilde P^{(k)}\,\frac{e^{-\Lambda t}(\Lambda t)^k}{k!},p(t)=k=0∑∞​p(0)P~(k)k!e−Λt(Λt)k​,

and whenever ∑k=0Te−Λt(Λt)k/k!>1−ϵ\sum_{k=0}^{T}e^{-\Lambda t}(\Lambda t)^k/k!>1-\epsilon∑k=0T​e−Λt(Λt)k/k!>1−ϵ, every component of the sum truncated at k=Tk=Tk=T is within ϵ\epsilonϵ of pn(t)p_n(t)pn​(t).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (8.12): P~\tilde PP~ has the entries above and is a stochastic matrix.
  2. Eqs. (8.13)–(8.14): ϕ(k)=ϕ(k−1)P~\phi^{(k)}=\phi^{(k-1)}\tilde Pϕ(k)=ϕ(k−1)P~ and each ϕ(k)\phi^{(k)}ϕ(k) is a probability vector.
  3. p.385: ϕ=ϕP~  ⟺  0=ϕQ\phi=\phi\tilde P\iff0=\phi Qϕ=ϕP~⟺0=ϕQ.
  4. Eqs. (8.27)–(8.28): for bounded Lipschitz fff, A>0A>0A>0 and t>0t>0t>0,
fA(t)−f(t)=∑k=1∞e−kAf((2k+1)t),∣fA(t)−f(t)∣≤Ce−A1−e−A  if ∣f(x)∣≤C for x>3t.f_A(t)-f(t)=\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}e^{-kA}f\big((2k+1)t\big),\qquad |f_A(t)-f(t)|\le\frac{Ce^{-A}}{1-e^{-A}}\ \text{ if } |f(x)|\le C \text{ for } x>3t.fA​(t)−f(t)=k=1∑∞​e−kAf((2k+1)t),∣fA​(t)−f(t)∣≤1−e−ACe−A​  if ∣f(x)∣≤C for x>3t.

The mission also contains Eqs. (8.7)–(8.8) as a further theorem, outside the milestone list: the transition probabilities satisfy pin(t)=∑kp~in(k)e−Λt(Λt)k/k!p_{in}(t)=\sum_k\tilde p^{(k)}_{in}e^{-\Lambda t}(\Lambda t)^k/k!pin​(t)=∑k​p~​in(k)​e−Λt(Λt)k/k!, and pn(t)=∑ipi(0)pin(t)p_n(t)=\sum_i p_i(0)p_{in}(t)pn​(t)=∑i​pi​(0)pin​(t).

Significance

The randomization formula reduces the transient analysis of any finite Markovian queue (finite-buffer, multi-server, with balking, reneging or state-dependent rates) to repeated vector–matrix products with a sparse stochastic matrix. The truncation point is chosen from a Poisson tail alone, independently of QQQ. Milestone 3 shows that the same matrix gives the stationary equations, so one iteration serves both transient and steady-state computation. The discretization identity (8.27) is what justifies the parameter choice in Algorithm 8.1: the error decays like e−Ae^{-A}e−A.

All of these results are classical and proved in the literature. None of them is formalized in Lean or Mathlib as far as a search of the platform and Mathlib shows. Mathlib has the matrix exponential and Poisson summation under decay hypotheses, but no continuous-time Markov chain generators, no uniformization, and no Laplace transform. This mission would add the finite-state link between generators, stochastic matrices and matrix exponentials that later chapters of queueing and reliability theory use, and a verified error formula for a numerical inversion method in wide use.

Difficulty

The book's derivation is probabilistic: it conditions on the number of events of the Poisson(Λ\LambdaΛ) process and thins them. A formal statement cannot rest on that picture, because p(t)p(t)p(t) is defined analytically, by the forward equations. The goal therefore contains a uniqueness statement for a linear ODE on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with one-sided derivative at 000, which the book never mentions. The componentwise bound then needs P~\tilde PP~ to be stochastic, so that every ϕn(k)\phi^{(k)}_nϕn(k)​ lies in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. That is exactly where Λ≥max⁡iqi\Lambda\ge\max_i q_iΛ≥maxi​qi​ is used; with a smaller Λ\LambdaΛ the matrix P~\tilde PP~ has negative diagonal entries and the bound fails.

For (8.27), the book gives no proof. The identity is an aliasing (Poisson-summation) formula for a periodic function assembled from the values of fff at all odd multiples of ttt. The convergence of the conditionally summed series (8.24) is the delicate point: continuity of fff at ttt, the book's only hypothesis, does not guarantee convergence of a Fourier series. Mathlib's Poisson summation theorems require decay of the Fourier transform that the damped, reflected function built from fff does not have.

Formalization scope

  • States are Fin (N+1); a row vector is Fin (N+1) → ℝ; pQpQpQ is vecMul. A generator is a real matrix with nonnegative off-diagonal entries and diagonal −∑j≠iqij-\sum_{j\ne i}q_{ij}−∑j=i​qij​.
  • p(t)p(t)p(t) is not defined as the series. It is any function with p(0)=p0p(0)=p_0p(0)=p0​ and one-sided derivative p(t)Qp(t)Qp(t)Q within [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) at every t≥0t\ge0t≥0. The goal also asserts that such a function exists, so it cannot hold vacuously, and it asserts the series identity for every solution. Defining p(t)p(t)p(t) as the series (8.9) would make the goal a tautology and is ruled out.
  • Λ\LambdaΛ is any real with Λ>0\Lambda>0Λ>0 and Λ≥qi\Lambda\ge q_iΛ≥qi​ for all iii (the book takes equality with max⁡iqi\max_i q_imaxi​qi​).
  • The truncation bound is stated componentwise, as on p.384 ("an error bound on pn(t)p_n(t)pn​(t) of ϵ\epsilonϵ"), for an arbitrary real ϵ\epsilonϵ and truncation point TTT.
  • The series (8.8), (8.9) are stated with HasSum, so convergence is part of the claim.
  • The Laplace transform is the Lebesgue integral over (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) at a complex argument. fA(t)f_A(t)fA​(t) is the limit of the partial sums fA,n(t)f_{A,n}(t)fA,n​(t), and the convergence is part of milestone 4.
  • Strengthened hypotheses in milestone 4: fff bounded and Lipschitz on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) replaces "ttt is a continuity point of fff", which is not sufficient for convergence.
  • Corrected misprints: e−λte^{-\lambda t}e−λt in (8.9) is e−Λte^{-\Lambda t}e−Λt; qij/Λq_{ij}/\Lambdaqij​/Λ in (8.12) is qin/Λq_{in}/\Lambdaqin​/Λ; ϕ(Q/Λ−I)\phi(Q/\Lambda-I)ϕ(Q/Λ−I) on p.385 is ϕ(Q/Λ+I)\phi(Q/\Lambda+I)ϕ(Q/Λ+I).
  • Not formalized: Theorem 8.1 (Bromwich inversion) and the real form (8.21), which the book states without hypotheses on fff; the limit claim lim⁡kϕ(k)=lim⁡tp(t)\lim_k\phi^{(k)}=\lim_t p(t)limk​ϕ(k)=limt​p(t) on p.385, which fails when P~\tilde PP~ is periodic; the Euler-summation approximation (8.26) and the round-off discussion, which are stated with "≈".

Useful infrastructure: the matrix exponential and its derivative (Matrix, NormedSpace.exp), uniqueness for linear ODEs (Grönwall), Fourier series on the circle, and a reusable Laplace transform file. Contributions of general lemmas on generators and stochastic matrices are welcome, as they apply to every finite Markovian model in the series.

Selected references

  • D. Gross, J. F. Shortle, J. M. Thompson, C. M. Harris, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, 4th ed., Wiley, 2008, §§8.1.2–8.2. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118625651
  • A. Jensen, "Markoff chains as an aid in the study of Markoff processes", Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift 36 (1953) 87–91.
  • W. K. Grassmann, "Transient solutions in Markovian queueing systems", Computers & Operations Research 4 (1977) 47–53.
  • D. Gross, D. R. Miller, "The randomization technique as a modeling tool and solution procedure for transient Markov processes", Operations Research 32 (1984) 343–361. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.2.343
  • J. Abate, W. Whitt, "The Fourier-series method for inverting transforms of probability distributions", Queueing Systems 10 (1992) 5–87. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01158520
  • J. Abate, G. L. Choudhury, W. Whitt, "An introduction to numerical transform inversion and its application to probability models", in W. Grassmann (ed.), Computational Probability, Kluwer, 1999, 257–323.
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance II: An O(n²) Extended Formulation of the Multiclass M/M/1 Performance PolymatroidResearch Paper

Motivation

A single server shared by several classes of customers is the basic model of scheduling under uncertainty: jobs of different types arrive at random, need random amounts of work, and a scheduler decides at every moment which type to serve. A classical way to optimize such a system, the achievable region approach, describes the set of all performance vectors that some scheduling policy can attain, and optimizes a linear cost over that set with linear programming. For the multiclass M/M/1 queue under preemptive, work-conserving scheduling, this set is a polyhedron described by conservation laws (Coffman and Mitrani, 1980; Gelenbe and Mitrani, 1980; Shanthikumar and Yao, 1992): it is the base of a polymatroid, its vertices are the performance vectors of the n!n!n! strict priority rules, and minimizing a linear cost over it is solved greedily, which recovers the cμc\mucμ rule.

That description uses one inequality for every nonempty set of classes, 2n−12^n-12n−1 constraints in all. Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis (working paper 1992, Annals of Applied Probability 1994) derived performance bounds for general multiclass networks from quadratic potential functions. Specialized to one station, their nonparametric method produces a different polyhedron, in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) variables with O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) constraints, and they show that its projection is exactly the conservation-law polyhedron (Theorem 8.4). The paper remarks that this confirms, for this polymatroid, the belief that problems solvable in polynomial time admit polynomial-size formulations.

Setting

There are nnn customer classes E={1,…,n}E=\{1,\dots,n\}E={1,…,n}. Class iii has arrival rate λi>0\lambda_i>0λi​>0 and service rate μi>0\mu_i>0μi​>0; its traffic intensity is ρi=λi/μi\rho_i=\lambda_i/\mu_iρi​=λi​/μi​, and the queue is stable: ∑i∈Eρi<1\sum_{i\in E}\rho_i<1∑i∈E​ρi​<1. For S⊆ES\subseteq ES⊆E define

b(S)=∑i∈Sρi/μi1−∑i∈Sρi,b(∅)=0.b(S)=\frac{\sum_{i\in S}\rho_i/\mu_i}{1-\sum_{i\in S}\rho_i},\qquad b(\emptyset)=0 .b(S)=1−∑i∈S​ρi​∑i∈S​ρi​/μi​​,b(∅)=0.

In the queue, nin_ini​ is the steady-state mean number of class iii customers and ni/μin_i/\mu_ini​/μi​ their mean remaining work; b(S)b(S)b(S) is the mean work of the classes in SSS when those classes have preemptive priority over the rest.

The performance polymatroid P1 (Theorem 8.3) is the set of (ni)∈R+n(n_i)\in\mathbb R_+^n(ni​)∈R+n​ with

∑i∈Sniμi≥b(S)(S⊂E),∑i∈Eniμi=b(E).\sum_{i\in S}\frac{n_i}{\mu_i}\ge b(S)\quad (S\subset E),\qquad \sum_{i\in E}\frac{n_i}{\mu_i}=b(E).i∈S∑​μi​ni​​≥b(S)(S⊂E),i∈E∑​μi​ni​​=b(E).

For a permutation π=(π1,…,πn)\pi=(\pi_1,\dots,\pi_n)π=(π1​,…,πn​) of EEE, the vector v(π)v(\pi)v(π) is the solution of the triangular system ∑j=1kxπj/μπj=b({π1,…,πk})\sum_{j=1}^{k}x_{\pi_j}/\mu_{\pi_j}=b(\{\pi_1,\dots,\pi_k\})∑j=1k​xπj​​/μπj​​=b({π1​,…,πk​}), k=1,…,nk=1,\dots,nk=1,…,n (Eq. (58) with fiS=1/μif_i^S=1/\mu_ifiS​=1/μi​).

The extended formulation P2 (Theorem 8.4) is the set of nonnegative (ni)i∈E(n_i)_{i\in E}(ni​)i∈E​ and (Iij)i,j∈E(I_{ij})_{i,j\in E}(Iij​)i,j∈E​ satisfying

μiIii−λini=λi,μiIij+μjIji−λjni−λinj=0 (i≠j),∑i∈EIij=nj.\mu_iI_{ii}-\lambda_in_i=\lambda_i,\qquad \mu_iI_{ij}+\mu_jI_{ji}-\lambda_jn_i-\lambda_in_j=0\ (i\neq j),\qquad \sum_{i\in E}I_{ij}=n_j .μi​Iii​−λi​ni​=λi​,μi​Iij​+μj​Iji​−λj​ni​−λi​nj​=0 (i=j),i∈E∑​Iij​=nj​.

In the queue, IijI_{ij}Iij​ is the steady-state mean of the number of class jjj customers on the event that the server is busy with class iii. The projection P2′\mathrm{P2}'P2′ of P2 is the set of (ni)(n_i)(ni​) for which some (Iij)(I_{ij})(Iij​) makes ((ni),(Iij))((n_i),(I_{ij}))((ni​),(Iij​)) a point of P2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.4

P2′=P1.\mathrm{P2}'=\mathrm{P1}.P2′=P1.

Both inclusions are part of the goal. The statement fixes no constants and holds for every nnn, every positive rate vector and every stable load.

Milestones

  1. §8.2, proof of Theorem 8.3. The extreme points of P1 are exactly the vectors v(π)v(\pi)v(π), and P1 is their convex hull:
ext⁡P1={v(π)},P1=conv⁡{v(π)}.\operatorname{ext}\mathrm{P1}=\{v(\pi)\},\qquad \mathrm{P1}=\operatorname{conv}\{v(\pi)\}.extP1={v(π)},P1=conv{v(π)}.
  1. §8.2, proof of Theorem 8.4. The easy inclusion, which the paper obtains from its Theorem 4.4:
P2′⊆P1.\mathrm{P2}'\subseteq\mathrm{P1}.P2′⊆P1.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8.4 replaces 2n−12^n-12n−1 constraints by O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) constraints in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) variables without changing the projected set. Any linear program over the M/M/1 performance region, including problems with side constraints where the greedy cμc\mucμ rule no longer applies, can then be solved with a polynomial-size LP. It also identifies the paper's nonparametric method as exact at a single station: the method loses nothing there, which is the baseline against which its gaps in networks are measured.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, but the reverse inclusion P1⊆P2′\mathrm{P1}\subseteq\mathrm{P2}'P1⊆P2′ is argued through achievability: every point of P1 is the performance of some (randomized) policy, and every policy's performance satisfies the equations of P2. That argument rests on stochastic objects (invariant distributions under arbitrary policies, and time-0 randomizations over priority rules) that the paper does not define precisely. The paper points to a purely combinatorial derivation in Paschalidis' thesis, which we have not seen. A machine-checked proof of the polyhedral identity is therefore new content: it supplies the deterministic argument the paper delegates. The polymatroid structure of P1 (Milestone 1) is classical for supermodular set functions; this mission requires it for this specific bbb. We know of no formalization of either result.

Difficulty

The inclusion P2′⊆P1\mathrm{P2}'\subseteq\mathrm{P1}P2′⊆P1 only combines the equations of P2 with nonnegativity. The reverse inclusion is the hard half: for each point of P1 one must exhibit a nonnegative matrix (Iij)(I_{ij})(Iij​) satisfying n2n^2n2 linear equations, and the inequalities of P1 say nothing directly about the off-diagonal entries IijI_{ij}Iij​. The paper's own argument does not help here, since it produces III as a steady-state expectation under a scheduling policy, an object defined through a Markov chain and given in no closed form. The sign constraints Iij≥0I_{ij}\ge0Iij​≥0 are where the 2n−12^n-12n−1 inequalities of P1 are encoded, and a proof has to explain how O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) sign conditions on auxiliary variables carry exactly the information of exponentially many inequalities in the original ones.

Formalization scope

Classes are Fin n; rates are real functions lam mu : Fin n → ℝ with 0 < lam i, 0 < mu i and ∑ i, lam i / mu i < 1. The paper's nin_ini​ is written x i, because n is the number of classes. A point of P2 is a pair (x, I) with I i j =Iij=I_{ij}=Iij​, including the diagonal entries. P1 is the platform definition AllocationIndices.achievablePolytope with the matrix AiS=1/μiA^S_i=1/\mu_iAiS​=1/μi​: inequality for every S≠ES\neq ES=E, equality at S=ES=ES=E, nonnegativity. The paper writes NNN for the class set EEE in (65) and (71); every such sum runs over all classes. The constraints (64)–(65) bound ni/μin_i/\mu_ini​/μi​, not nin_ini​. v(π)v(\pi)v(π) is given by its closed form, v(π)πk=μπk(b({π1,…,πk})−b({π1,…,πk−1}))v(\pi)_{\pi_k}=\mu_{\pi_k}\bigl(b(\{\pi_1,\dots,\pi_k\})-b(\{\pi_1,\dots,\pi_{k-1}\})\bigr)v(π)πk​​=μπk​​(b({π1​,…,πk​})−b({π1​,…,πk−1​})), which solves (58). The standing hypothesis λi>0\lambda_i>0λi​>0 is presupposed by the model (Poisson arrivals at rate λi\lambda_iλi​); the load condition is the paper's stability condition and keeps every denominator of bbb positive.

No statement involves a policy, a Markov chain or an expectation; the queueing meaning above is motivation only. In particular, neither "P1 is the achievable region" nor "the performance vector of each priority rule is achievable" is formalized. The goal is the full set identity: stating only P2′⊆P1\mathrm{P2}'\subseteq\mathrm{P1}P2′⊆P1, or assuming P1=conv⁡{v(π)}\mathrm{P1}=\operatorname{conv}\{v(\pi)\}P1=conv{v(π)} as a hypothesis of the goal, would not be Theorem 8.4.

A complete development needs: supermodularity of bbb under the load condition; the greedy (Edmonds) description of base polytopes of supermodular functions, which is reusable well beyond this mission; and a nonnegative solution of the P2 system at each v(π)v(\pi)v(π). Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, I. Ch. Paschalidis, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance, MIT Sloan School WP #3509-92-MSA, 1992; Annals of Applied Probability 4(1):43–75, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005200
  • E. G. Coffman, I. Mitrani, A characterization of waiting time performance realizable by single-server queues, Operations Research 28(3):810–821, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.3.810
  • J. G. Shanthikumar, D. D. Yao, Multiclass queueing systems: polymatroidal structure and optimal scheduling control, Operations Research 40(S2):S293–S299, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.3.S293
  • D. Bertsimas, J. Niño-Mora, Conservation laws, extended polymatroids and multiarmed bandit problems; a polyhedral approach to indexable systems, Mathematics of Operations Research 21(2):257–306, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.21.2.257
  • J. Edmonds, Submodular functions, matroids, and certain polyhedra, in Combinatorial Structures and Their Applications, Gordon and Breach, 1970, pp. 69–87.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

A Characterization of Waiting Time Performance Realizable by Single-Server Queues: The Conservation-Law Polytope Is the Convex Hull of the Preemptive Priority VectorsResearch Paper

Motivation

A single server shared by several classes of jobs must decide, at every moment, which class to serve. Different scheduling rules give different mean response times to the classes, and a system designer often starts from the other end: a target vector of mean response times, one per class, and the question whether any rule can meet it. Coffman and Mitrani answered this question for the multiclass M/M/1 queue in A Characterization of Waiting Time Performance Realizable by Single-Server Queues (Operations Research 28 (1980), 810–821). Their answer is a polytope with an explicit description: the response-time vectors that can be realized are exactly the convex combinations of the vectors of the preemptive priority rules, and these are exactly the vectors satisfying one equation and 2M−22^M-22M−2 inequalities.

The starting point is Kleinrock's conservation law (Kleinrock, Naval Res. Logist. Quart. 12 (1965)): a weighted sum of the response times does not depend on the rule. The characterization is the first instance of what was later called the achievable region method, developed for general multiclass systems by Federgruen and Groenevelt (Oper. Res. 36 (1988)), Shanthikumar and Yao (Oper. Res. 40 (1992)) and Bertsimas and Niño-Mora (Math. Oper. Res. 21 (1996)), and used to derive priority-index policies such as the cμc\mucμ rule and Gittins indices.

Setting

There are M≥1M\ge1M≥1 job classes. Jobs of class iii arrive in a Poisson stream at rate λi>0\lambda_i>0λi​>0 and have exponential service times with parameter μi>0\mu_i>0μi​>0. The traffic intensity of class iii is ρi=λi/μi\rho_i=\lambda_i/\mu_iρi​=λi​/μi​, and the system is stable: ρ=ρ1+⋯+ρM<1\rho=\rho_1+\cdots+\rho_M<1ρ=ρ1​+⋯+ρM​<1. A performance vector W=(W1,…,WM)W=(W_1,\dots,W_M)W=(W1​,…,WM​) lists the mean response times of the classes. Write ai=ρi/μia_i=\rho_i/\mu_iai​=ρi​/μi​, V=∑iλi/μi2V=\sum_i\lambda_i/\mu_i^2V=∑i​λi​/μi2​, and for a set ggg of classes

f(g)=∑i∈gai1−∑i∈gρi,f(∅)=0.f(g)=\frac{\sum_{i\in g}a_i}{1-\sum_{i\in g}\rho_i},\qquad f(\emptyset)=0 .f(g)=1−∑i∈g​ρi​∑i∈g​ai​​,f(∅)=0.
  • The conservation law (1): ∑i=1MρiWi=V/(1−ρ)\sum_{i=1}^M\rho_iW_i=V/(1-\rho)∑i=1M​ρi​Wi​=V/(1−ρ), which equals f({1,…,M})f(\{1,\dots,M\})f({1,…,M}).
  • The inequalities (4): ∑i∈gρiWi≥f(g)\sum_{i\in g}\rho_iW_i\ge f(g)∑i∈g​ρi​Wi​≥f(g) for each proper nonempty set ggg of classes.
  • H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗ is the set of WWW satisfying (1) and (4).
  • A priority order lists the classes as i1,…,iMi_1,\dots,i_Mi1​,…,iM​, i1i_1i1​ highest. The preemptive priority vector P(i1,…,iM)P(i_1,\dots,i_M)P(i1​,…,iM​) is the vector with ∑i∈SkρiWi=f(Sk)\sum_{i\in S_k}\rho_iW_i=f(S_k)∑i∈Sk​​ρi​Wi​=f(Sk​) for the top sets Sk={i1,…,ik}S_k=\{i_1,\dots,i_k\}Sk​={i1​,…,ik​}, k=1,…,Mk=1,\dots,Mk=1,…,M; explicitly Pik=(f(Sk)−f(Sk−1))/ρikP_{i_k}=(f(S_k)-f(S_{k-1}))/\rho_{i_k}Pik​​=(f(Sk​)−f(Sk−1​))/ρik​​. For M=2M=2M=2, P(1,2)1=1/(μ1−λ1)P(1,2)_1=1/(\mu_1-\lambda_1)P(1,2)1​=1/(μ1​−λ1​), the M/M/1 response time of class 1 alone.
  • HHH, (3), is the set of convex combinations ∑k=1MαkPk\sum_{k=1}^M\alpha_kP_k∑k=1M​αk​Pk​ of MMM preemptive priority vectors.

In Lean the data are a structure Params M carrying λ,μ\lambda,\muλ,μ and the three standing assumptions; Params.f, Params.Hss (H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗), Params.prioVec, topSet and Params.H are the objects above.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2, analytical form

H∗∗=H.H^{**}=H .H∗∗=H.

The paper's Theorem 2 says a vector is achievable by a scheduling strategy iff it lies in HHH; its proof is the chain H⊆H∗⊆H∗∗⊆HH\subseteq H^*\subseteq H^{**}\subseteq HH⊆H∗⊆H∗∗⊆H, where H∗H^*H∗ is the achievable set. The goal is the part of the chain that involves no strategies.

Milestones

  1. The priority vector is the unique solution of the equations (5) for its chain of top sets.
  2. The first inequality of the proof of Lemma 2: (1−ρ(g1))(1−ρ(g2))>(1−ρ(g1∪g2))(1−ρ(g1∩g2))(1-\rho(g_1))(1-\rho(g_2))>(1-\rho(g_1\cup g_2))(1-\rho(g_1\cap g_2))(1−ρ(g1​))(1−ρ(g2​))>(1−ρ(g1​∪g2​))(1−ρ(g1​∩g2​)) for crossing g1,g2g_1,g_2g1​,g2​.
  3. The second inequality of that proof, in the coefficients aia_iai​.
  4. Lemma 1 at the priority vectors: every P(i1,…,iM)P(i_1,\dots,i_M)P(i1​,…,iM​) lies in H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗.
  5. Two sets on which a point of H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗ satisfies (4) with equality are nested.
  6. Lemma 2: every vertex of H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗ is a preemptive priority vector.

A further item states the paper's final remark (§4): every linear cost ∑iciWi\sum_ic_iW_i∑i​ci​Wi​ is minimized over H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗ at some preemptive priority vector.

Significance

The theorem turns a question about all scheduling rules into a finite check: a target vector is realizable iff it satisfies (1) and the inequalities (4), and every realizable vector is realized by randomly mixing at most MMM priority rules. Linear costs over the realizable vectors are minimized by a priority rule, the fact behind the optimality of priority-index rules in multiclass queues. The paper also gives a linear program for finding the mixture.

The result has been proved since 1980. No machine-checked proof of it is known. The Prove2Me library holds the abstract generalized conservation law theorem of Gittins, Glazebrook and Weber (AllocationIndices.achievable_region_theorem, included as a reference item), which assumes the inequalities (4) for every policy and whose polytope also imposes nonnegativity; it does not compute the right-hand sides for the M/M/1 queue, does not prove that the priority vectors satisfy (4), and uses equality on the lowest-priority sets rather than the highest. This mission supplies the concrete polytope, the closed form of the priority vectors and the strict supermodularity of fff.

Difficulty

That the priority vectors lie in H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗ is a family of inequalities between ratios f(Sk)f(S_k)f(Sk​), one for each pair of a priority order and a set ggg, and the order and ggg need not interact in any simple way. The reverse inclusion is a statement about vertices: a vertex is determined by MMM tight constraints, and one has to show that they form a chain. This needs strict inequalities with the right direction for every crossing pair of sets, which is where the positivity of every λi,μi\lambda_i,\mu_iλi​,μi​ is used. If some λi=0\lambda_i=0λi​=0, then WiW_iWi​ appears in no constraint, H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗ is unbounded and the goal is false. Finally, HHH uses only MMM points, not all M!M!M!, so the goal contains a Carathéodory-type bound for the hyperplane of (1).

Formalization scope

Classes are Fin M, numbered from 000. A priority order is π : Equiv.Perm (Fin M) with π r the class of rank r, rank 000 highest. "Vertex" is an element of Set.extremePoints ℝ. The points of (3) are prioVec (σ k) for an arbitrary σ : Fin M → Equiv.Perm (Fin M), so repetitions are allowed. The priority vectors are given by their closed form, not as solutions of a system. The goal assumes M≥1M\ge1M≥1; for M=0M=0M=0 the set HHH is empty.

The paper's notion "achievable by some scheduling strategy" is replaced by its analytical characterization H∗∗H^{**}H∗∗: the strategy class of the paper (Assumptions 1–3, p. 812) is described only in prose and the steady-state means are assumed to exist, so the queueing half of the proof (Theorem 1, Lemma 1 for arbitrary strategies, the conservation law itself) is not stated. The goal is not to be stated on an abstract set satisfying hypotheses that encode Lemma 1 and (1); that form is already proved and drops the content of milestone 4. The conservation law is an equality, never the inequality (4) at the full set.

A complete development needs finite-set sums, the extreme points of a polyhedron and a Carathéodory argument in an affine hyperplane; the inequalities of milestones 2 and 3 and the vertex-chain argument are reusable for any strictly supermodular set function. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal through polymatroid theory, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. G. Coffman, Jr. and I. Mitrani, A Characterization of Waiting Time Performance Realizable by Single-Server Queues, Operations Research 28(3, Part II), 810–821, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.3.810
  • L. Kleinrock, A Conservation Law for a Wide Class of Queueing Disciplines, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 12, 181–192, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800120206
  • A. Federgruen and H. Groenevelt, Characterization and Optimization of Achievable Performance in General Queueing Systems, Operations Research 36(5), 733–741, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.36.5.733
  • J. G. Shanthikumar and D. D. Yao, Multiclass Queueing Systems: Polymatroidal Structure and Optimal Scheduling Control, Operations Research 40(3-supplement-2), S293–S299, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.3.S293
  • D. Bertsimas and J. Niño-Mora, Conservation Laws, Extended Polymatroids and Multiarmed Bandit Problems; A Polyhedral Approach to Indexable Systems, Mathematics of Operations Research 21(2), 257–306, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.21.2.257
  • J. Gittins, K. Glazebrook and R. Weber, Multi-armed Bandit Allocation Indices, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470980033
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Markov ChainOperations ResearchProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance I: Quadratic Potential Functions Bound Mean Response Times in Open NetworksResearch Paper

Motivation

Scheduling in a multiclass queueing network asks which waiting job a server should work on next when jobs of several types share stations and revisit them along fixed routes. Such networks model semiconductor wafer fabs, job shops and communication switches. Optimal policies are rarely computable: the state space is countably infinite, and even deciding properties of optimal policies is hard (Papadimitriou and Tsitsiklis 1999). A practical substitute is the achievable region approach: describe, by constraints that every policy must satisfy, a set containing all performance vectors any policy can achieve, then optimize a linear cost over that set to get a lower bound on the optimal cost.

Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis (MIT Sloan working paper 1992; Ann. Appl. Probab. 1994) gave a general method for producing such constraints for open networks, by computing the steady-state drift of quadratic potential functions. This mission formalizes their first-order bounds (Section 4).

Timeline:

  • 1980–1988: Coffman and Mitrani, then Federgruen and Groenevelt — the achievable performance vectors of a single-station multiclass queue form a polytope described by conservation laws.
  • Early 1990s: Kumar (reference [Kuma] of the paper), using a potential-function argument he attributes to Meyn, derives a single lower bound on the mean number in system for re-entrant lines with deterministic routing (described on p. 16 of the paper).
  • 1992–1994: Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis — parametric families of linear bounds for general open networks with Markovian routing (Theorem 4.1), and the nonparametric polyhedron (Theorems 4.2–4.4), shown to be at least as tight.

Setting

A network has NNN single-server stations and RRR job classes. Class rrr is served at station σ(r)\sigma(r)σ(r), and CiC_iCi​ is the set of classes served at station iii. Class-rrr jobs arrive from outside as a Poisson stream of rate λ0r\lambda_{0r}λ0r​, service times are exponential with rate μr\mu_rμr​, and after service a class-rrr job becomes a class-sss job with probability prsp_{rs}prs​ or leaves with probability pr0=1−∑sprsp_{r0}=1-\sum_s p_{rs}pr0​=1−∑s​prs​. The traffic equations

λr=λ0r+∑r′λr′pr′r(15)\lambda_r=\lambda_{0r}+\sum_{r'}\lambda_{r'}p_{r'r}\qquad(15)λr​=λ0r​+r′∑​λr′​pr′r​(15)

have a unique solution λ\lambdaλ (the network is open), and ∑r∈Ciλr/μr<1\sum_{r\in C_i}\lambda_r/\mu_r<1∑r∈Ci​​λr​/μr​<1 at every station.

The state n⃗=(n1,…,nR)\vec n=(n_1,\dots,n_R)n=(n1​,…,nR​) counts the jobs of each class. A Markovian policy decides from the current state which classes are in service, at most one per station and only classes with jobs present; idling is allowed. Write BrB_rBr​ for the event that station σ(r)\sigma(r)σ(r) serves class rrr, and B0iB_{0i}B0i​ for the event that station iii is idle. Under such a policy n⃗(t)\vec n(t)n(t) is a continuous-time Markov chain. Assumption A requires that it has a unique invariant distribution π\piπ and that Eπ[nr2]<∞E_\pi[n_r^2]<\inftyEπ​[nr2​]<∞ for all rrr. Let nˉr=Eπ[nr]\bar n_r=E_\pi[n_r]nˉr​=Eπ​[nr​], which equals λrxr\lambda_rx_rλr​xr​ with xrx_rxr​ the mean response time of class rrr (Little's law), and define

Irr′=Eπ[1{Br}nr′],Nir′=Eπ[1{B0i}nr′].I_{rr'}=E_\pi[1\{B_r\}n_{r'}],\qquad N_{ir'}=E_\pi[1\{B_{0i}\}n_{r'}].Irr′​=Eπ​[1{Br​}nr′​],Nir′​=Eπ​[1{B0i​}nr′​].

For a set SSS of classes, f-parameters are reals f(r)≥0f(r)\ge 0f(r)≥0 for r∈Sr\in Sr∈S such that μr[∑r′∈Sprr′(f(r)−f(r′))+∑r′∉Sprr′f(r)]\mu_r\big[\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}(f(r)-f(r'))+\sum_{r'\notin S}p_{rr'}f(r)\big]μr​[∑r′∈S​prr′​(f(r)−f(r′))+∑r′∈/S​prr′​f(r)] is nonnegative and the same for all r∈Ci∩Sr\in C_i\cap Sr∈Ci​∩S; that common value is fif_ifi​, and fi=0f_i=0fi​=0 when Ci∩S=∅C_i\cap S=\emptysetCi​∩S=∅ (restriction (17)). The sums over r′∉Sr'\notin Sr′∈/S include the exit r′=0r'=0r′=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1

For every policy satisfying Assumption A, every SSS and every f-parameters satisfying (17),

∑r∈Sλrf(r)xr ≥ N′(S)D′(S),\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_rf(r)x_r\ \ge\ \frac{N'(S)}{D'(S)},r∈S∑​λr​f(r)xr​ ≥ D′(S)N′(S)​,

where

N′(S)=∑r∈Sλ0rf2(r)+∑r∉Sλr∑r′∈Sprr′f2(r′)+∑r∈Sλr[∑r′∈Sprr′(f(r)−f(r′))2+∑r′∉Sprr′f2(r)],N'(S)=\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_{0r}f^2(r)+\sum_{r\notin S}\lambda_r\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}f^2(r')+\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_r\Big[\sum_{r'\in S}p_{rr'}(f(r)-f(r'))^2+\sum_{r'\notin S}p_{rr'}f^2(r)\Big],N′(S)=r∈S∑​λ0r​f2(r)+r∈/S∑​λr​r′∈S∑​prr′​f2(r′)+r∈S∑​λr​[r′∈S∑​prr′​(f(r)−f(r′))2+r′∈/S∑​prr′​f2(r)], D′(S)=2[∑i=1Nfi−∑r∈Sλ0rf(r)].D'(S)=2\Big[\sum_{i=1}^Nf_i-\sum_{r\in S}\lambda_{0r}f(r)\Big].D′(S)=2[i=1∑N​fi​−r∈S∑​λ0r​f(r)].

The formal goal is the product form N′(S)≤D′(S)∑r∈Sf(r)nˉrN'(S)\le D'(S)\sum_{r\in S}f(r)\bar n_rN′(S)≤D′(S)∑r∈S​f(r)nˉr​.

Milestones

  1. The utilization identity Eπ[1{Br}]=λr/μrE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]=\lambda_r/\mu_rEπ​[1{Br​}]=λr​/μr​ (pp. 16 and 19).
  2. Theorem 4.2: the linear equalities (24), (25) between nˉr\bar n_rnˉr​ and Irr′I_{rr'}Irr′​.
  3. Theorem 4.3: ∑r∈CiIrr′+Nir′=nˉr′\sum_{r\in C_i}I_{rr'}+N_{ir'}=\bar n_{r'}∑r∈Ci​​Irr′​+Nir′​=nˉr′​ (28).
  4. Theorem 4.4: any nonnegative (x,I,N)(x,I,N)(x,I,N) satisfying (24), (25), (28), with nˉr=λrxr\bar n_r=\lambda_rx_rnˉr​=λr​xr​ in those equalities, satisfies every inequality of Theorem 4.1. This statement is deterministic.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 gives, for each choice of SSS and fff, a linear inequality on mean response times valid for all admissible policies. Minimizing a linear holding cost ∑rcrxr\sum_r c_rx_r∑r​cr​xr​ subject to these inequalities is a linear program whose value bounds the optimal scheduling cost from below; the paper reports numerical values of such bounds in its Section 9. Theorems 4.2–4.4 show that a polynomial-size polyhedron in the variables (nˉ,I,N)(\bar n,I,N)(nˉ,I,N) implies all of these inequalities at once, so the parametric search over fff is unnecessary.

The results are proved in the paper. As far as is known, none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires a Lean treatment of invariant distributions of controlled countable-state Markov chains with unbounded test functions, which is currently absent from Mathlib, and then the algebra of the drift identities. The definitions here (network data, Markovian sequencing policies, the generator, Assumption A) are the substrate that the paper's later results on routing, closed networks and higher-order bounds would reuse.

Difficulty

Every statement except Theorem 4.4 rests on taking expectations of the generator applied to unbounded functions (nrn_rnr​, nrnr′n_rn_{r'}nr​nr′​) under the invariant distribution. The invariance condition is stated only for indicators of single states; extending ∑nπ(n)(Gg)(n)=0\sum_n\pi(n)(\mathcal Gg)(n)=0∑n​π(n)(Gg)(n)=0 to quadratic ggg needs an interchange of summations justified by the second-moment condition of Assumption A. The utilization identity additionally needs uniqueness of the traffic solution to identify μrEπ[1{Br}]\mu_rE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]μr​Eπ​[1{Br​}] with λr\lambda_rλr​. Theorem 4.1 then needs the sign bookkeeping that turns an identity into an inequality: the terms dropped are nonnegative only because f≥0f\ge0f≥0 on SSS, fi≥0f_i\ge0fi​≥0 and at most one class per station is in service.

Formalization scope

Classes are Fin R, stations Fin N, states Fin R → ℕ, all rates and probabilities real. A policy is a Bool-valued function of the state with the two admissibility constraints; work conservation is not assumed. Invariance is global balance of the generator on the countable state space; expectations are tsums. The uniformized chain and the epochs τk\tau_kτk​ of the paper are not built: the paper notes that its expectations at τk\tau_kτk​ are expectations under the invariant distribution of n⃗(t)\vec n(t)n(t).

Conventions fixed in Lean:

  • λrxr\lambda_rx_rλr​xr​ appears only as the mean number in system nˉr\bar n_rnˉr​ (Little's law, used by the paper on pp. 11 and 20); response times are not formalized.
  • Sums over r′∉Sr'\notin Sr′∈/S include the exit r′=0r'=0r′=0 (p. 15).
  • f-parameters are nonnegative on SSS (p. 9).
  • The network is open: (15) has a unique solution, and λ\lambdaλ is an input constrained by (15), never defined from the policy.
  • (18) is stated multiplied by D′(S)D'(S)D′(S), which avoids Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 and is (18) whenever D′(S)>0D'(S)>0D′(S)>0.

A quotient-form statement of (18) would be trivially true when D′(S)=0D'(S)=0D′(S)=0, and defining λr\lambda_rλr​ as μrEπ[1{Br}]\mu_rE_\pi[1\{B_r\}]μr​Eπ​[1{Br​}] would make the utilization identity hold by definition; both are excluded.

Welcome contributions: a general lemma extending global balance to test functions of polynomial growth under moment conditions; proofs of the drift identities; the deterministic Theorem 4.4.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, I. Ch. Paschalidis, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance, MIT Sloan WP #3509-92-MSA, 1992; Ann. Appl. Probab. 4(1), 1994. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005200
  • C. H. Papadimitriou, J. N. Tsitsiklis, The complexity of optimal queuing network control, Math. Oper. Res. 24(2), 1999. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.24.2.293
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Reversibility and Stochastic Networks V: Optimal Capacity Allocation in a Network of QueuesTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 4 of F. P. Kelly's Reversibility and Stochastic Networks (Wiley, 1979) applies the product-form theory of Chapter 3 to concrete systems. Two of its results have numbered statements, and they answer two practical questions.

The first comes from the design of store-and-forward communication networks (telegraph and packet-switched data networks). Messages queue at channels; the designer chooses each channel's capacity subject to a budget, and wants to minimize the delay messages suffer. Because the equilibrium law at every channel is geometric under several different modelling assumptions (§4.1, pp. 95–96), the mean delay has a closed form, and the budget allocation problem becomes a small convex program with an explicit solution. This square-root capacity assignment goes back to L. Kleinrock's work on communication nets (Communication Nets, McGraw-Hill, 1964) and remains the textbook example of optimal design for a network of queues.

The second comes from compartmental models in biology, birth–illness–death processes and manpower planning (§4.5, pp. 113–115). Individuals enter a system as a Poisson stream and move through it independently. Equilibrium results follow from Chapter 3; Theorem 4.2 describes the transient behaviour exactly, starting from an empty system.

Setting

Capacity allocation (§4.1). A network has J≥1J \ge 1J≥1 channels. Channel jjj receives traffic at average rate aj>0a_j > 0aj​>0 and is given capacity ϕj\phi_jϕj​. In equilibrium the number njn_jnj​ of messages at channel jjj has the geometric law (4.1),

P(nj=n)=(1−ajϕj)(ajϕj)n,n=0,1,2,…,P(n_j = n) = \Big(1 - \frac{a_j}{\phi_j}\Big)\Big(\frac{a_j}{\phi_j}\Big)^n, \qquad n = 0, 1, 2, \dots,P(nj​=n)=(1−ϕj​aj​​)(ϕj​aj​​)n,n=0,1,2,…,

which requires ϕj>aj\phi_j > a_jϕj​>aj​. Its mean is aj/(ϕj−aj)a_j/(\phi_j - a_j)aj​/(ϕj​−aj​). Capacity on channel jjj costs fj>0f_j > 0fj​>0 per unit and the total budget is FFF, giving the cost constraint (4.2)

∑jfjϕj=F.\sum_j f_j\phi_j = F.j∑​fj​ϕj​=F.

The mean number of customers in the network is

N(ϕ)=∑jajϕj−aj,N(\phi) = \sum_j \frac{a_j}{\phi_j - a_j},N(ϕ)=j∑​ϕj​−aj​aj​​,

and the feasible set is the set of ϕ∈RJ\phi \in \mathbb{R}^Jϕ∈RJ with ϕj>aj\phi_j > a_jϕj​>aj​ for every jjj that satisfy (4.2). In Lean these are meanNumberInNetwork a φ and FeasibleCapacities a f F. The proof works with the Lagrangian lagrangian a f F y φ =N(ϕ)+y(∑jfjϕj−F)= N(\phi) + y(\sum_j f_j\phi_j - F)=N(ϕ)+y(∑j​fj​ϕj​−F).

Compartmental model (§4.5). Individuals arrive in a Poisson stream of rate ν>0\nu > 0ν>0 at a system of JJJ compartments that is empty at time 000. Let pj(s)p_j(s)pj​(s) be the probability that an individual is in compartment jjj a time sss after its arrival; pj(s)≥0p_j(s) \ge 0pj​(s)≥0 and ∑jpj(s)≤1\sum_j p_j(s) \le 1∑j​pj​(s)≤1, since individuals may leave. Let nj(t)n_j(t)nj​(t) be the number of individuals in compartment jjj at time t>0t > 0t>0, and

αj(t)=∫0tpj(u) du.\alpha_j(t) = \int_0^t p_j(u)\,du.αj​(t)=∫0t​pj​(u)du.

In Lean the model is the predicate IsCompartmentModel P ν t p M T Loc, the counts are compartmentCount M Loc j, and αj(t)\alpha_j(t)αj​(t) is alpha p j t.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (p. 97)

If J≥1J \ge 1J≥1, aj>0a_j > 0aj​>0, fj>0f_j > 0fj​>0 and F>∑kakfkF > \sum_k a_k f_kF>∑k​ak​fk​, then

ϕj∗=aj+ajfj∑kakfk⋅F−∑kakfkfj\phi^*_j = a_j + \frac{\sqrt{a_j f_j}}{\sum_k \sqrt{a_k f_k}}\cdot\frac{F - \sum_k a_k f_k}{f_j}ϕj∗​=aj​+∑k​ak​fk​​aj​fj​​​⋅fj​F−∑k​ak​fk​​

is feasible and minimizes NNN over the feasible set, and every other feasible ϕ\phiϕ has N(ϕ)>N(ϕ∗)N(\phi) > N(\phi^*)N(ϕ)>N(ϕ∗).

Milestones toward the goal

  1. The mean of the geometric law (4.1) is aj/(ϕj−aj)a_j/(\phi_j - a_j)aj​/(ϕj​−aj​) (p. 97).
  2. For y>0y > 0y>0 the Lagrangian is minimized over {ϕj>aj}\{\phi_j > a_j\}{ϕj​>aj​} by ϕj=aj+aj/(yfj)\phi_j = a_j + \sqrt{a_j/(y f_j)}ϕj​=aj​+aj​/(yfj​)​ (proof of Theorem 4.1).
  3. The choice 1/y=(F−∑kakfk)/∑kakfk1/\sqrt y = (F - \sum_k a_k f_k)/\sum_k\sqrt{a_k f_k}1/y​=(F−∑k​ak​fk​)/∑k​ak​fk​​ makes that minimizer equal to ϕ∗\phi^*ϕ∗ and feasible for (4.2).

Second result: Theorem 4.2 (pp. 114–115)

The proof's generating-function identity, for zj∈[0,1]z_j \in [0,1]zj​∈[0,1],

E(z1n1(t)⋯zJnJ(t))=∏j=1Jexp⁡[−(1−zj)ναj(t)],E\big(z_1^{n_1(t)}\cdots z_J^{n_J(t)}\big) = \prod_{j=1}^J \exp\big[-(1 - z_j)\nu\alpha_j(t)\big],E(z1n1​(t)​⋯zJnJ​(t)​)=j=1∏J​exp[−(1−zj​)ναj​(t)],

and the theorem itself: n1(t),…,nJ(t)n_1(t), \dots, n_J(t)n1​(t),…,nJ​(t) are independent and nj(t)n_j(t)nj​(t) is Poisson with mean ναj(t)\nu\alpha_j(t)ναj​(t).

Significance

Theorem 4.1 is a closed-form design rule. Every channel first receives the capacity aja_jaj​ needed to carry its traffic; the remaining budget is shared in proportion to ajfj\sqrt{a_j f_j}aj​fj​​, not to the traffic aja_jaj​. Sizing capacity in proportion to the load, which is the obvious rule, is therefore not optimal. The same calculation applies to any network whose stations have the geometric law (4.1), for example a manufacturing job shop (p. 97). The mean number in the network and the mean time a customer spends in it are minimized together.

Theorem 4.2 is the exact transient law of a network of infinite-server queues started empty. It holds however complicated the motion of an individual is, provided individuals move independently, and letting t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞ it recovers the equilibrium Poisson law of §4.5.

Both results are classical and proved in the book. Neither is formalized on Prove2Me. The platform has the geometric equilibrium law of the M/M/1 queue (KellyStochasticNetworks.mm1_equilibrium) but not its mean, and no result on Poisson thinning or marking by independent random locations. The formal work for Theorem 4.1 is a strict-convexity and Lagrangian-sufficiency argument in RJ\mathbb{R}^JRJ. For Theorem 4.2 it is a Poisson marking theorem in measure-theoretic probability. Both pieces are reusable.

Difficulty

For Theorem 4.1, the book's proof sets the partial derivatives of the Lagrangian to zero. A stationary point is not a global minimizer in general, so the formal proof must show that LLL is (strictly) convex on the open region ϕj>aj\phi_j > a_jϕj​>aj​, and it must use Lagrangian sufficiency, not first-order conditions alone. The region is open and the objective is unbounded near its boundary. Feasibility of ϕ∗\phi^*ϕ∗ needs F>∑kakfkF > \sum_k a_k f_kF>∑k​ak​fk​, which the book leaves implicit.

For Theorem 4.2, the steps of the proof that read "conditional on MMM" have to be carried out with measure-theoretic independence. One step averages a product over MMM independent uniform instants. Another sums the Poisson mixture into an exponential. The last turns a factorized generating function into mutual independence of JJJ counts with Poisson marginals. Mathlib has the Poisson distribution (ProbabilityTheory.poissonMeasure) but no marking or thinning theorem, and no uniqueness theorem for multivariate probability generating functions.

Formalization scope

Channels and compartments are indexed by Fin J; all rates, costs and capacities are real numbers.

Theorem 4.1. The statement carries the book's implicit hypotheses explicitly: J≥1J \ge 1J≥1, aj>0a_j > 0aj​>0, fj>0f_j > 0fj​>0, F>∑kakfkF > \sum_k a_k f_kF>∑k​ak​fk​. Stability ϕj>aj\phi_j > a_jϕj​>aj​ is part of the feasible set. The conclusion is global optimality over the feasible set (IsMinOn) together with feasibility of ϕ∗\phi^*ϕ∗, plus strict optimality against every other feasible point. Uniqueness is a slight strengthening of the book's "the optimal allocation is", and it holds by strict convexity. A statement that ϕ∗\phi^*ϕ∗ satisfies (4.2), or that it is a stationary point of the Lagrangian, is not the theorem: those are one-line computations or the proof method, and the goal is stated as global optimality to rule them out.

Theorem 4.2. The model is pinned down as in the proof on p. 115:

  • the number MMM of arrivals in (0,t)(0,t)(0,t) is Poisson with mean νt\nu tνt;
  • an i.i.d. sequence of (arrival instant, location at time ttt) pairs is independent of MMM, and only its first MMM entries are used;
  • each instant is uniform on (0,t)(0,t)(0,t), and an individual arriving at uuu is in compartment jjj at time ttt with probability pj(t−u)p_j(t-u)pj​(t−u), or has left.

"Individuals move independently" is formalized as this conditional independence. The pjp_jpj​ are measurable sub-probabilities, not assumed to sum to one. The conclusion is mutual independence of the JJJ counts (iIndepFun) together with the Poisson probability mass function of each. Infinite time horizons and the point-process description of the system are out of scope.

Useful contributions: a reusable Lagrangian-sufficiency lemma for separable convex objectives under one linear constraint; a Poisson marking (colouring) theorem for finitely many colours; the multivariate generating-function uniqueness lemma for NJ\mathbb{N}^JNJ-valued random vectors.

Selected references

  • F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, John Wiley & Sons, 1979, Chapter 4 (§4.1, pp. 95–97; §4.5, pp. 113–115).
  • L. Kleinrock, Communication Nets: Stochastic Message Flow and Delay, McGraw-Hill, 1964 (reprinted Dover, 1972).
  • J. F. C. Kingman, Poisson Processes, Oxford University Press, 1993 (colouring and marking theorems).
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Reversibility and Stochastic Networks VII: Clustering Processes — Poisson Product-Form Equilibrium of the Open Clustering ProcessTextbook

Motivation

Many systems consist of units that form themselves into clusters: individuals at a gathering forming conversational groups, monomers forming polymers, particles coagulating and fragmenting. Chapter 8 of F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks (Wiley, 1979) treats such clustering processes as Markov processes whose state counts the clusters of each type, and shows that when the process is reversible its equilibrium distribution has an explicit product form. The chapter opens with a model of social grouping (§8.1), develops a general basic model (§8.2) and later applies it to polymerization (§8.4).

The basic model sits in the same family as the migration processes and queueing networks of the earlier chapters: the method is to guess reversibility, solve the detailed balance equations, and normalize. Its specific feature is that the transitions are unions and break-ups of clusters, with rates quadratic in the cluster counts, rather than movements of single individuals.

Setting

There is a countable collection of cluster types rrr. A state is a vector m=(mr)m = (m_r)m=(mr​) of non-negative integers, mrm_rmr​ being the number of rrr-clusters present, with only finitely many mrm_rmr​ non-zero. For cluster types r,s,ur, s, ur,s,u let ere_rer​ be the rrr-th unit vector and

Rursm=m−er−es+eu,Rrsum=m+er+es−eu,R^{rs}_u m = m - e_r - e_s + e_u, \qquad R^u_{rs} m = m + e_r + e_s - e_u,Rurs​m=m−er​−es​+eu​,Rrsu​m=m+er​+es​−eu​,

the union of an rrr-cluster with an sss-cluster into a uuu-cluster, and the break-up of a uuu-cluster into an rrr-cluster and an sss-cluster. Given non-negative parameters λrsu=λsru\lambda_{rsu} = \lambda_{sru}λrsu​=λsru​ and μrsu=μsru\mu_{rsu} = \mu_{sru}μrsu​=μsru​, the clustering process has transition rates

q(m,Rursm)=λrsumrms (r≠s),q(m,Rurrm)=λrrumr(mr−1),q(m,Rrsum)=μrsumu.(8.3)q(m, R^{rs}_u m) = \lambda_{rsu} m_r m_s \ (r \ne s), \qquad q(m, R^{rr}_u m) = \lambda_{rru} m_r(m_r - 1), \qquad q(m, R^u_{rs} m) = \mu_{rsu} m_u. \qquad (8.3)q(m,Rurs​m)=λrsu​mr​ms​ (r=s),q(m,Rurr​m)=λrru​mr​(mr​−1),q(m,Rrsu​m)=μrsu​mu​.(8.3)

A closed clustering process lives on a finite irreducible state space S\mathcal SS. The open clustering process additionally lets one-clusters enter at rate ν\nuν and leave at rate μm1\mu m_1μm1​,

q(m,m+e1)=ν,q(m,m−e1)=μm1,(8.7)q(m, m + e_1) = \nu, \qquad q(m, m - e_1) = \mu m_1, \qquad (8.7)q(m,m+e1​)=ν,q(m,m−e1​)=μm1​,(8.7)

and its state space is the countable set of all mmm with ∑rmr\sum_r m_r∑r​mr​ finite, every state being reachable from every other.

An equilibrium distribution is a collection of positive numbers π(m)\pi(m)π(m) summing to one that satisfies the equilibrium equations π(m)∑m′q(m,m′)=∑m′π(m′)q(m′,m)\pi(m)\sum_{m'} q(m, m') = \sum_{m'} \pi(m') q(m', m)π(m)∑m′​q(m,m′)=∑m′​π(m′)q(m′,m); the process is reversible in equilibrium exactly when π\piπ satisfies the detailed balance conditions π(m)q(m,m′)=π(m′)q(m′,m)\pi(m) q(m, m') = \pi(m') q(m', m)π(m)q(m,m′)=π(m′)q(m′,m).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.2 (p. 164)

If there are positive numbers crc_rcr​ with

ν=c1μ,λrsucrcs=cuμrsu,(8.8)∑rcr<∞,(8.9)\nu = c_1 \mu, \qquad \lambda_{rsu} c_r c_s = c_u \mu_{rsu}, \qquad (8.8) \qquad \sum_r c_r < \infty, \qquad (8.9)ν=c1​μ,λrsu​cr​cs​=cu​μrsu​,(8.8)r∑​cr​<∞,(8.9)

then the open clustering process has equilibrium distribution

π(m)=∏re−crcrmrmr!,(8.10)\pi(m) = \prod_{r} e^{-c_r} \frac{c_r^{m_r}}{m_r!}, \qquad (8.10)π(m)=r∏​e−cr​mr​!crmr​​​,(8.10)

it is reversible, and the counts m1,m2,…m_1, m_2, \dotsm1​,m2​,… are independent, mrm_rmr​ being Poisson with mean crc_rcr​.

Milestones

  • Eq. (8.6): under (8.4), crcsλrsu=cuμrsuc_r c_s \lambda_{rsu} = c_u \mu_{rsu}cr​cs​λrsu​=cu​μrsu​, the weights ∏rcrmr/mr!\prod_r c_r^{m_r}/m_r!∏r​crmr​​/mr​! satisfy the detailed balance conditions for the rates (8.3) on the whole state space.
  • Theorem 8.1 (p. 163): under (8.4) the closed clustering process is reversible with equilibrium distribution π(m)=B∏rcrmr/mr!\pi(m) = B\prod_r c_r^{m_r}/m_r!π(m)=B∏r​crmr​​/mr​! on S\mathcal SS.
  • Eq. (8.2) (p. 161): the social grouping model with MMM individuals has equilibrium π(m)=B∏i1mi!(βα i!)mi\pi(m) = B \prod_{i} \frac{1}{m_i!}\bigl(\frac{\beta}{\alpha\, i!}\bigr)^{m_i}π(m)=B∏i​mi​!1​(αi!β​)mi​ on {m:∑iimi=M}\{m : \sum_i i m_i = M\}{m:∑i​imi​=M}.
  • Eq. (8.9) (p. 164): the product-form weights are summable over the finitely supported states if and only if ∑rcr<∞\sum_r c_r < \infty∑r​cr​<∞, and then (8.10) sums to one.

Significance

Theorem 8.2 gives the equilibrium of a whole class of coagulation–fragmentation dynamics in closed form: the cluster counts are independent Poisson variables, and the equation system (8.8) is the only thing to solve. Quantities such as the expected number of clusters of each type, or the proportion of units in clusters of a given size, are then read off directly. Theorem 8.1 gives the corresponding result for a closed system, where the normalizing constant couples the types; opening the system removes that coupling. The results are the base of the polymerization models of §8.4 and of the later literature on reversible coagulation–fragmentation processes.

The results are proved in the book, with short proofs that state the detailed balance computation is "readily verified". To our knowledge they have no machine-checked proof. The work this mission asks for is the formal verification of that computation for the aggregated rate function, including unions in which two clusters of the same type meet, and the normalization of an infinite product over a countable set of types, which the book takes for granted.

Difficulty

The book calls the detailed balance computation readily verified; the bookkeeping is where a formal check can fail. Two different unions, or a break-up and the entry of a one-cluster, can lead from the same state to the same state when a cluster type is reproduced by the transition, so the rate between two states is a sum over transitions, and the identity has to be checked for the sums, not for single transitions. The same-type case r=sr = sr=s carries the falling factorial mr(mr−1)m_r(m_r - 1)mr​(mr​−1) rather than mr2m_r^2mr2​.

The normalization is the second difficulty. The state space of the open process is countably infinite, the product (8.10) runs over infinitely many types, and the interchange ∑m∏r=∏r∑n\sum_m \prod_r = \prod_r \sum_{n}∑m​∏r​=∏r​∑n​ that makes it sum to one requires (8.9). Without (8.9) the weights are not summable; this is the content of the book's remark that (8.9) is necessary.

Formalization scope

Cluster types are an arbitrary countable type R carrying a linear order, used only to count each unordered pair of types once. States are finitely supported vectors R →₀ ℕ. The rate q(m,m′)q(m, m')q(m,m′) is the sum of the rates (8.3) of all unions and break-ups taking mmm to m′m'm′, plus, for the open process, the rates (8.7); a transition is present only when the clusters it consumes exist, and q(m,m)=0q(m, m) = 0q(m,m)=0 holds because every transition changes the number of clusters. The one-cluster type is a distinguished element one. The closed state space is a finite non-empty set closed under positive-rate transitions and irreducible. The open process carries the book's assumptions that every state is reachable from every other and that the total rate out of each state is finite.

The statements are at the level of rates: reversibility is detailed balance for a positive, normalized π\piπ, the equivalence with reversibility of the stationary process being Kelly's Theorem 1.3. That π\piπ is the law of a stationary Markov process with these rates is not formalized. Independence and the Poisson laws are stated as the joint law of every finite set of counts. A formalization in which crc_rcr​ may vanish, in which detailed balance is imposed only for a degenerate choice of rates, or in which (8.10) is not normalized does not meet the goal: the crc_rcr​ are positive, the rates are arbitrary non-negative symmetric parameters, and both detailed balance and total mass one are required.

The development uses the published definitions KellyStochasticNetworks_Balance (detailed balance and the equilibrium equations) and the proved implication from detailed balance to the equilibrium equations. Lemmas on summing products over finitely supported vectors, and on infinite products of exponentials, are reusable beyond this mission. Lemma 8.3, a partial converse to Theorem 8.1, is not part of this mission; a faithful statement of it, with the units structure of the clusters, is a welcome addition.

Selected references

  • F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, Wiley, Chichester, 1979, Chapter 8. Reissued by Cambridge University Press, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511564246 (author's copy: http://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/BOOKS/kelly_book.html)
  • P. Whittle, Systems in Stochastic Equilibrium, Wiley, 1986 (reversible models of association and polymerization). ISBN 978-0-471-90887-0.
  • F. P. Kelly and E. Yudovina, Stochastic Networks, Cambridge University Press, 2014 (detailed balance and the equilibrium equations used here). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139565363
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Reversibility and Stochastic Networks VIII: Markov Fields — A Positive Random Field Is Markov iff It Factorizes over the Simplices of the GraphTextbook

Motivation

Many systems consist of a finite number of sites whose states influence one another only locally: fruit trees in an orchard that are diseased or healthy, power sources that are working or broken, individuals holding one of several views. Chapter 9 of F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks (Wiley, 1979) asks which joint distributions such systems have in equilibrium. Earlier chapters of the book produce product-form distributions in which the components are independent; spatial models instead give a limited dependence, and §9.1 makes that notion precise through Markov fields.

The central characterization, that a positive random field is Markov with respect to a graph exactly when it factorizes over the cliques of that graph, is the theorem of Hammersley and Clifford (1971, unpublished manuscript), with published proofs by Besag (1974), Grimmett (1973) and Preston (1973). It underlies Gibbs random fields in statistical mechanics, spatial statistics, image analysis and graphical models. Kelly's §§9.2–9.3 then use it to identify the equilibrium distributions of interacting-particle Markov processes ("spatial processes"), connecting it to reversibility and partial balance.

Setting

There are JJJ sites, the vertices of a finite graph GGG; ∂j\partial j∂j is the set of neighbours of site jjj and G−jG-jG−j the set of sites other than jjj. Site jjj carries an attribute njn_jnj​ from a finite set Nj\mathcal N_jNj​, and a state is n=(n1,…,nJ)\mathbf n=(n_1,\dots,n_J)n=(n1​,…,nJ​) in S=N1×⋯×NJ\mathcal S=\mathcal N_1\times\cdots\times\mathcal N_JS=N1​×⋯×NJ​. For a set of sites HHH, nH\mathbf n_HnH​ is the vector of attributes of the sites in HHH. The operator TjmT_j^mTjm​ changes the attribute of site jjj to mmm.

A random field is a function π\piπ on S\mathcal SS with π(n)>0\pi(\mathbf n)>0π(n)>0 for every state and ∑nπ(n)=1\sum_{\mathbf n}\pi(\mathbf n)=1∑n​π(n)=1. The conditional probability that site jjj has attribute njn_jnj​ given all other sites is

P(nj∣nG−j)=π(n)∑m∈Njπ(Tjmn).(9.1)P(n_j\mid\mathbf n_{G-j}) = \frac{\pi(\mathbf n)}{\sum_{m\in\mathcal N_j}\pi(T_j^m\mathbf n)}. \qquad (9.1)P(nj​∣nG−j​)=∑m∈Nj​​π(Tjm​n)π(n)​.(9.1)

π\piπ is a Markov field if P(nj∣nG−j)=P(nj∣n∂j)P(n_j\mid\mathbf n_{G-j}) = P(n_j\mid\mathbf n_{\partial j})P(nj​∣nG−j​)=P(nj​∣n∂j​) for every jjj and n\mathbf nn (9.2): the attribute of a site depends on the rest of the system only through its neighbours. A simplex is a single site or a set of sites any two of which are neighbours; C\mathcal CC is the set of simplices of GGG.

A spatial process is a Markov process n(t)\mathbf n(t)n(t) on S\mathcal SS with rates qqq such that (i) only one component changes at a time, (ii) q(n,Tjmn)q(\mathbf n,T_j^m\mathbf n)q(n,Tjm​n) depends on n\mathbf nn only through njn_jnj​ and n∂j\mathbf n_{\partial j}n∂j​, and (iii) TjmnT_j^m\mathbf nTjm​n can be reached from n\mathbf nn by transitions that do not alter nG−j\mathbf n_{G-j}nG−j​. The general spatial process of §9.3 has rates

q(n,Tjmn)=λj(nj,m) Φ(n)ΦG−j(nG−j)(9.15)q(\mathbf n,T_j^m\mathbf n)=\lambda_j(n_j,m)\,\frac{\Phi(\mathbf n)}{\Phi_{G-j}(\mathbf n_{G-j})} \qquad (9.15)q(n,Tjm​n)=λj​(nj​,m)ΦG−j​(nG−j​)Φ(n)​(9.15)

for positive functions Φ\PhiΦ, ΦG−j\Phi_{G-j}ΦG−j​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9.2 (p. 186)

A random field π\piπ is a Markov field if and only if

π(n)=B∏C∈CϕC(nC),n∈S,(9.5)\pi(\mathbf n) = B\prod_{C\in\mathcal C}\phi_C(\mathbf n_C), \qquad \mathbf n\in\mathcal S, \qquad (9.5)π(n)=BC∈C∏​ϕC​(nC​),n∈S,(9.5)

for some constant BBB and functions ϕC\phi_CϕC​.

Milestones

  • Lemma 9.1 (p. 185): the conditional probabilities P(nj∣nG−j)P(n_j\mid\mathbf n_{G-j})P(nj​∣nG−j​), j∈Gj\in Gj∈G, n∈S\mathbf n\in\mathcal Sn∈S, determine the random field uniquely.
  • Theorem 9.3 (p. 189): the equilibrium distribution of a reversible spatial process is a Markov field.
  • Theorem 9.4 (p. 193): for the rates (9.15), with αj>0\alpha_j>0αj​>0 solving αj(n)∑mλj(n,m)=∑mαj(m)λj(m,n)\alpha_j(n)\sum_m\lambda_j(n,m)=\sum_m\alpha_j(m)\lambda_j(m,n)αj​(n)∑m​λj​(n,m)=∑m​αj​(m)λj​(m,n) (9.16), the equilibrium distribution is
π(n)=B ∏j=1Jαj(nj)Φ(n),(9.17)\pi(\mathbf n) = B\,\frac{\prod_{j=1}^J\alpha_j(n_j)}{\Phi(\mathbf n)}, \qquad (9.17)π(n)=BΦ(n)∏j=1J​αj​(nj​)​,(9.17)

and it satisfies the partial balance equations (9.18) site by site.

Significance

Theorem 9.2 turns a statement about conditional laws, which is how local interaction is usually specified, into an explicit parametrization of the joint law by clique potentials. On a lattice with binary attributes it reduces a Markov field to one parameter per site and one per pair of adjacent sites, giving the form π(n)=BαMβR\pi(\mathbf n)=B\alpha^M\beta^Rπ(n)=BαMβR (9.9). Theorem 9.3 shows that local, reversible dynamics produce Markov-field equilibria, and Theorem 9.4 gives a family of non-reversible processes, containing the closed migration process of Chapter 2, whose equilibria are still explicit; its partial balance equations are the bridge to §9.4.

All four results are classical and proved in the book. They are not, to our knowledge, machine-checked in this discrete form. The platform has an open statement of Hammersley–Clifford in a different setting, HighDimStat.GraphicalModels.thm11_8_hammersley_clifford (Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics, Theorem 11.8): a random vector in RV\mathbb R^VRV with a strictly positive Lebesgue density and the global (separation) Markov property. Neither statement implies the other as formalized, so this mission poses Kelly's finite, local version separately. A formal proof here also gives reusable infrastructure: conditional probabilities of a distribution on a finite product space, and factorizations over the cliques of a graph.

Difficulty

The "if" direction is routine. The "only if" direction is where the content lies: the functions ϕC\phi_CϕC​ must be produced from π\piπ alone, and a product over the cliques of GGG must reproduce π\piπ at every state, not only at the states whose nonzero attributes sit on a single clique. The natural first idea, one factor per site read off from the conditional laws, fails as soon as two sites interact. The Markov property must also be brought from its explicit form (9.2), which involves a marginal over the non-neighbours, into a usable statement about π\piπ itself. Strict positivity is essential: without it the "only if" direction is false (Exercise 9.2.2). For Theorem 9.3, condition (iii) cannot be dropped: Exercise 9.2.2 gives a reversible process satisfying (i) and (ii) whose equilibrium is not a Markov field, so any argument that uses only the local form of the rates fails.

Formalization scope

  • Sites form an arbitrary finite type V with decidable equality; attributes at site j form a finite type N j, which may differ between sites. States are dependent functions (j : V) → N j, and TjmnT_j^m\mathbf nTjm​n is Function.update n j m. The graph is a Mathlib SimpleGraph V, so ∂j\partial j∂j is G.neighborSet j.
  • A random field is a real function, positive at every state, with finite sum 111. P(nj∣n∂j)P(n_j\mid\mathbf n_{\partial j})P(nj​∣n∂j​) is the conditional probability computed from π\piπ (a ratio of finite sums), so (9.2) is stated literally.
  • Simplices are the nonempty cliques of the given graph GGG, including single sites. The factorization ranges over exactly these sets; a product over all subsets of sites, or over the cliques of the complete graph, would make the goal trivially true and is ruled out.
  • Theorems 9.3 and 9.4 are read at the level of rates: "equilibrium distribution of a reversible process" is a positive distribution summing to one in detailed balance with qqq (the published KellyStochasticNetworks.DetailedBalance), and "equilibrium distribution" in 9.4 is a positive distribution summing to one satisfying the equilibrium equations (KellyStochasticNetworks.FullBalance), together with its uniqueness under irreducibility. The Markov process itself is not constructed. The state space is always finite, so all sums are finite.
  • Contributions welcome: proofs of any item, general lemmas on conditional laws over finite product spaces, and a formal account of the general Hammersley–Clifford theorem that both this mission and the Wainwright statement could use.

Selected references

  • F. P. Kelly, Reversibility and Stochastic Networks, Wiley, 1979, Chapter 9. https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/BOOKS/kelly_book.html
  • J. Besag, Spatial interaction and the statistical analysis of lattice systems, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 36 (1974), 192–236. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2517-6161.1974.tb00999.x
  • G. R. Grimmett, A theorem about random fields, Bull. London Math. Soc. 5 (1973), 81–84. https://doi.org/10.1112/blms/5.1.81
  • C. J. Preston, Generalized Gibbs states and Markov random fields, Adv. Appl. Probab. 5 (1973), 242–261. https://doi.org/10.2307/1426035
  • M. J. Wainwright, High-Dimensional Statistics, Cambridge University Press, 2019, Theorem 11.8. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108627771
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