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320 missions · 176 completed

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AlgebraCombinatoricsFunctional Analysis+3·Captain: Lucas

Formal Conjectures Portfolio: Bateman-Horn and CompanionsOpen Problem

1. Motivation

Wikipedia's pages on open problems are, for many mathematicians, the first contact with a conjecture: a one-paragraph statement, a short history, a list of partial results. The Formal Conjectures library (Google DeepMind, Apache-2.0) turned a large part of that material into Lean 4 statements, so that the conjectures can be attacked — and, just as importantly, stated unambiguously — by machine.

This mission ports a coherent slice of that material to Prove2Me. It is deliberately a portfolio mission: the goal theorem is the Bateman–Horn conjecture, the strongest single statement in the collection, and the milestone list gathers the other conjectures and the landmark theorems that surround them. Some milestones are genuine steps toward the goal (the Bunyakovsky conjecture is literally the one-polynomial case); most are independent open problems from other fields, grouped here because they share a source, a level of difficulty, and a need for faithful formal statements. A reader should not assume that proving a milestone advances the goal theorem. The mission's value is that every statement in it has been written against the same Mathlib revision, checked to compile, and documented well enough to be attacked.

A rough timeline of the collection's landmarks:

  • 1947 — Mills: a real A>1A>1A>1 with ⌊A3n⌋\lfloor A^{3^n}\rfloor⌊A3n⌋ always prime.
  • 1962 — Radó: the busy beaver function outgrows every computable function.
  • 1971 — Davies: planar Kakeya sets have Hausdorff dimension 222.
  • 1978 — Apéry: ζ(3)\zeta(3)ζ(3) is irrational.
  • 1985 — Read (after Enflo, 1981): an operator on ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 with no nontrivial closed invariant subspace.
  • 2001 — Zudilin: one of ζ(5),ζ(7),ζ(9),ζ(11)\zeta(5),\zeta(7),\zeta(9),\zeta(11)ζ(5),ζ(7),ζ(9),ζ(11) is irrational.
  • 2002 — Mihăilescu: 888 and 999 are the only consecutive perfect powers (Catalan's conjecture).
  • 2009 / 2021 — Dvir; Bukh–Chao: the finite-field Kakeya bound and its sharp density constant.
  • 2021 — Gardam: Kaplansky's unit conjecture is false (its zero-divisor and idempotent companions remain open).
  • 2024 — Saito: Mills' constant is irrational; bbchallenge: BB(5)=47 176 870\mathrm{BB}(5)=47\,176\,870BB(5)=47176870.
  • 2025 — Wang–Zahl: the Kakeya set conjecture in R3\mathbb{R}^3R3.

2. Setting

The goal theorem concerns prime values of polynomials. Fix a finite set S={f1,…,fk}⊆Z[X]S=\{f_1,\dots,f_k\}\subseteq\mathbb{Z}[X]S={f1​,…,fk​}⊆Z[X] of distinct polynomials. Say that fff satisfies the Bunyakovsky condition if its leading coefficient is positive, deg⁡f≥1\deg f\ge 1degf≥1, and fff is irreducible over Z\mathbb{Z}Z; say that SSS satisfies the Schinzel condition if for every prime ppp there is an integer nnn with p∤f1(n)⋯fk(n)p\nmid f_1(n)\cdots f_k(n)p∤f1​(n)⋯fk​(n) — i.e. no fixed prime divides the product at every argument.

For a prime ppp let ωp(S)\omega_p(S)ωp​(S) be the number of residue classes n mod pn \bmod pnmodp at which some fif_ifi​ vanishes, let D=∏ideg⁡fiD=\prod_i \deg f_iD=∏i​degfi​, and let

πS(x)=#{ n≤x:∣fi(n)∣ is prime for every i }.\pi_S(x)=\#\{\,n\le x : |f_i(n)| \text{ is prime for every } i\,\}.πS​(x)=#{n≤x:∣fi​(n)∣ is prime for every i}.

The Bateman–Horn constant is the (conditionally convergent) Euler product

C=lim⁡N→∞ ∏p<N(1−1p)−k(1−ωp(S)p).C=\lim_{N\to\infty}\ \prod_{p<N}\Big(1-\tfrac1p\Big)^{-k}\Big(1-\tfrac{\omega_p(S)}{p}\Big).C=N→∞lim​ p<N∏​(1−p1​)−k(1−pωp​(S)​).

The other groups use their own vocabulary, each fixed in a definition item of this mission: Kakeya sets in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn and over Fq\mathbb{F}_qFq​; Mills' property ⌊A3n⌋∈P\lfloor A^{3^n}\rfloor \in \mathbb{P}⌊A3n⌋∈P; Wagstaff primes and Catalan–Mersenne numbers; polynomial self-maps and their Jacobian matrix; nontrivial closed invariant subspaces; linear extensions of a finite poset; Catalan's constant; and an explicit two-symbol Turing machine model with its maximum-shifts function BB\mathrm{BB}BB.

3. Target

The goal theorem is the Bateman–Horn asymptotic: under the Bunyakovsky and Schinzel hypotheses, CCC exists and is positive and

πS(x) ∼ CD x(log⁡x)k(x→∞).\pi_S(x)\ \sim\ \frac{C}{D}\,\frac{x}{(\log x)^{k}}\qquad (x\to\infty).πS​(x) ∼ DC​(logx)kx​(x→∞).

Weaker statements in the same direction appear as milestones, first of all Bunyakovsky's conjecture: under the same hypotheses with k=1k=1k=1, fff takes prime values infinitely often. The remaining milestones are listed in the milestone panel and are grouped by subject: Diophantine equations (Brocard, Pillai, Lebesgue–Nagell, Catalan/Mihăilescu), Mersenne-type primality (New Mersenne, infinitude of Mersenne primes, Catalan–Mersenne), prime-representing constants (Mills), geometric measure theory (Kakeya in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, Kakeya over Fq\mathbb{F}_qFq​, Falconer), operator theory (invariant subspace problem and Read's ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 counterexample), group algebras (Kaplansky's zero-divisor and idempotent conjectures), affine algebraic geometry (the two-variable Jacobian conjecture), irrationality and transcendence (ζ(5)\zeta(5)ζ(5), all odd zeta values, Zudilin's theorem, e+πe+\pie+π, eπe\pieπ, γ\gammaγ, Catalan's constant), order theory (the 1/31/31/3–2/32/32/3 conjecture), and computability (Radó's theorem).

4. Significance

The results themselves. Bateman–Horn is the quantitative form of Schinzel's hypothesis H: it contains the twin prime conjecture, the infinitude of primes of the form n2+1n^2+1n2+1, and Bunyakovsky as special cases, and it is the standard heuristic behind prime-counting predictions. The other targets are each the headline question of their area: whether every bounded Hilbert-space operator has an invariant subspace; whether group algebras of torsion-free groups are domains; whether Kakeya sets must have full dimension. The solved milestones (Mihăilescu, Davies, Dvir, Zudilin, Read, Saito, Radó) are landmarks whose formal proofs would be significant library contributions in their own right.

Formalizing them. None of the open statements is expected to fall here; the concrete deliverable is a set of faithful, compiling, reusable statements plus formal proofs of the solved milestones, most of which are not in Mathlib today. Several are realistically in reach: the finite-field Kakeya bound (Dvir's polynomial method is short), the elementary fact that π+e\pi+eπ+e and πe\pi eπe cannot both be algebraic, and Radó's diagonal argument.

5. Difficulty

For Bateman–Horn, the obstruction is visible already for k=1k=1k=1, deg⁡f=2\deg f = 2degf=2: sieve methods bound πS(x)\pi_S(x)πS​(x) from above by a constant times the conjectured main term and produce almost-primes, but the parity problem blocks every known sieve from producing a single prime value of an irreducible quadratic. The conditional convergence of the Euler product is a second, smaller trap: the product over p<Np<Np<N must be taken in order, so any reformulation as an unordered infinite product changes the statement.

Each other group has its own obstruction, and they do not transfer: the parity problem says nothing about Kakeya, where the difficulty is that dimension is not stable under the natural compactness arguments, nor about the invariant subspace problem, where the known counterexamples on ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 show that no soft argument can work.

6. Formalization scope

Conventions this mission commits to, all fixed in the definition items:

  • Polynomials are elements of ℤ[X]; primality of a polynomial value is primality of its absolute value, and the counting function ranges over natural numbers n≤⌊x⌋n \le \lfloor x\rfloorn≤⌊x⌋.
  • The Bateman–Horn constant is the limit of the ordered partial products over p<Np<Np<N, not an unordered infinite product.
  • Kakeya sets carry no compactness or measurability hypothesis, matching the source; the conjecture is stated as an equality of Hausdorff dimensions in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • Falconer's hypothesis is written d<2dim⁡HEd < 2\dim_H Ed<2dimH​E to avoid division in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞].
  • Torsion-freeness of a group is spelled out as "every element of finite order is the identity", which is the hypothesis the source intends (it is weaker than Mathlib's IsMulTorsionFree).
  • Linear extensions are order-preserving bijections onto {0,…,∣P∣−1}\{0,\dots,|P|-1\}{0,…,∣P∣−1}, and probabilities are quotients of set cardinalities in Q\mathbb{Q}Q.
  • The busy beaver model is an explicit nnn-state, 222-symbol machine with a bi-infinite Boolean tape; BB\mathrm{BB}BB counts transitions performed (maximum shifts), the halting transition included, and BB(0)=0\mathrm{BB}(0)=0BB(0)=0.
  • Several source statements are phrased as "is XXX true?" with an unknown answer. Prove2Me statements must be definite, so each such question is recorded in its affirmative form (e.g. "e+πe+\pie+π is irrational"); a solver who can refute one should submit a disproof. The one question with no statable answer, "what is BB(6)\mathrm{BB}(6)BB(6)?", is replaced by Radó's growth theorem rather than guessed at.
  • Nothing here is vacuous: each hypothesis set is satisfiable (e.g. closed unit balls are Kakeya sets, and X2+1X^2+1X2+1 satisfies the Bunyakovsky and Schinzel conditions).

Contributions welcome: proofs of the solved milestones; sharper variants; and additional faithful statements from the same source library, which contains far more than fits in one mission.

7. Selected references

  • P. T. Bateman and R. A. Horn, A heuristic asymptotic formula concerning the distribution of prime numbers, Math. Comp. 16 (1962), 363–367. DOI
  • T. Radó, On non-computable functions, Bell System Tech. J. 41 (1962), 877–884. DOI
  • R. O. Davies, Some remarks on the Kakeya problem, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 69 (1971), 417–421. DOI
  • C. J. Read, A solution to the invariant subspace problem on the space ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​, Bull. London Math. Soc. 17 (1985), 305–317. DOI
  • K. Falconer, On the Hausdorff dimensions of distance sets, Mathematika 32 (1985), 206–212. DOI
  • W. Zudilin, One of the numbers ζ(5),ζ(7),ζ(9),ζ(11)\zeta(5),\zeta(7),\zeta(9),\zeta(11)ζ(5),ζ(7),ζ(9),ζ(11) is irrational, Russian Math. Surveys 56 (2001), 774–776. DOI
  • P. Mihăilescu, Primary cyclotomic units and a proof of Catalan's conjecture, J. reine angew. Math. 572 (2004), 167–195. DOI
  • Z. Dvir, On the size of Kakeya sets in finite fields, J. Amer. Math. Soc. 22 (2009), 1093–1097. DOI
  • B. Bukh and T.-W. Chao, Sharp density bounds on the finite field Kakeya problem, Discrete Analysis 26 (2021). DOI
  • G. Gardam, A counterexample to the unit conjecture for group rings, Ann. of Math. 194 (2021), 967–979. DOI
  • K. Saito, Mills' constant is irrational, Mathematika 71 (2025), e70027. arXiv:2404.19461
  • H. Wang and J. Zahl, Volume estimates for unions of convex sets, and the Kakeya set conjecture in three dimensions, arXiv:2502.17655
  • Google DeepMind, Formal Conjectures, Apache-2.0, github.com/google-deepmind/formal-conjectures

Provenance note. The Lean statements in this mission are adaptations of the Formal Conjectures library (Apache-2.0), rewritten to depend only on Mathlib and on this mission's own definition items, and checked to compile against the platform's Mathlib revision. Each draft item carries a read-back; those read-backs are non-blind — they were written by the same agent that drafted the statements, and each says so in its first line. They are documentation, not independent testimony.

93 thms14 active usersReviewed
Captain: labuka

Derivative-Zero Chains: Uniform BoundsOpen Problem

Motivation

Differentiation replaces a polynomial's zeros by a smaller set of critical points. Repeating it produces a sequence of finite root sets, ending at one point. The derivative-zero-chain problem asks whether a single path can visit an actual zero in every set without accumulating a length that grows with the degree. The question concerns the geometry of polynomial differentiation, rather than numerical root finding: every point of the path must satisfy the appropriate polynomial equation.

Ingo Althöfer posed the uniform-length question and the specific bound four in his derivative-chain problem announcement. Earlier work on assignments between roots and critical points is described in Konrad Kaffka's 2012 thesis. The established geometry includes the Gauss–Lucas theorem and the stochastic and convex-order refinements proved by S. M. Malamud. These results provide reusable inputs; they do not by themselves establish a degree-independent chain-length bound.

Setting

A root list is a finite list a1,…,ana_1,\ldots,a_na1​,…,an​ of complex numbers, with repeated entries recording multiplicity and with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. It determines the monic polynomial

pa(X)=∏j=1n(X−aj).p_a(X)=\prod_{j=1}^{n}(X-a_j).pa​(X)=j=1∏n​(X−aj​).

For 1≤m≤n1\le m\le n1≤m≤n, define its degree-mmm row by Pm=Dn−mpaP_m=D^{n-m}p_aPm​=Dn−mpa​, where DDD is ordinary polynomial differentiation. A complete derivative-root chain chooses one complex number zmz_mzm​ from every row, satisfying Pm(zm)=0P_m(z_m)=0Pm​(zm​)=0. Its cost is the Euclidean length

L(z)=∑m=1n−1∣zm+1−zm∣.L(z)=\sum_{m=1}^{n-1}|z_{m+1}-z_m|.L(z)=m=1∑n−1​∣zm+1​−zm​∣.

The order runs from the degree-one row to the original polynomial. The first point is therefore the centroid of the original root slots. Reversing the path gives the same cost. All source roots are normalized to the closed unit disk. Degree one has a single point and zero cost; no derivative row is omitted.

Formalization targets

Goal: one constant for every degree

The mission's main goal is the weakest stable uniform assertion:

∃C≥0  ∀n≥1  ∀a∈Cn,(∀j, ∣aj∣≤1)⟹∃z,Pm(zm)=0 (1≤m≤n),L(z)≤C.\exists C\ge0\;\forall n\ge1\;\forall a\in\mathbb C^n,\quad \bigl(\forall j,\ |a_j|\le1\bigr)\Longrightarrow \exists z,\quad P_m(z_m)=0\ (1\le m\le n),\quad L(z)\le C.∃C≥0∀n≥1∀a∈Cn,(∀j, ∣aj​∣≤1)⟹∃z,Pm​(zm​)=0 (1≤m≤n),L(z)≤C.

The same real constant must work for all degrees and all root lists. It cannot depend on the polynomial or its degree. This target remains unproved in this development.

Stronger target and restricted classes

The stronger unrestricted milestone is the four-bound, L≤4L\le4L≤4. The original announcement asks for total path length at most CCC and specifically suggests C=4C=4C=4, so this is the corresponding stated target. Additional open milestones concern real-coefficient polynomials with at most two, three or four nonreal conjugate pairs, counting multiplicity. Their proposed bounds are respectively 333, strictly less than 7/27/27/2, and 444. These are explicit statements to prove or refute, not accepted consequences of a scalar estimate. Their real-coefficient hypotheses must not be transferred to the unrestricted goal.

Significance and current status

A uniform bound would control one compatible path through every nonconstant derivative row, even as the number of rows grows. It would give information beyond the containment of critical points in the convex hull of their parents. The stronger bound four specifies a quantitative target within the same problem.

The initial accepted development contained 52 proved theorem records and three definition bundles: derivative-chain foundations, root probability, and the finite Hermite model. All three bundles are now listed directly in this proposal. The six additional proved library references retain their original contributors and are separate from those initial 52 accepted proofs. They include standard mathematics, supporting lemmas, conditional constructions, overlapping formulations and restricted class results. This count is not a claim of 52 original discoveries. In particular the square-root baseline is already stated in the organizer-hosted report, while the explicit barycentric root weights and multiplicity-aware Rolle counting are available in Mathlib.

The accepted class results include the length bound 222 for real-coefficient unit-disk polynomials with at most one nonreal conjugate pair, and the bound (DQ+1)R(D_Q+1)R(DQ​+1)R for real-compressed polynomials XrQ(Xd)X^rQ(X^d)XrQ(Xd), where d≥2d\ge2d≥2, 0≤r<d0\le r<d0≤r<d, QQQ is real, and DQD_QDQ​ is its multiplicity-counted nonreal-root deficit. The compressed ray and pair-count bounds are corollaries within that family. The accepted cubic-cube theorem gives a complete chain for q3q^3q3, for any monic complex cubic qqq whose roots lie in a radius-RRR disk, with length at most 42R/34\sqrt2R/342​R/3, a common monotone orthonormal coordinate frame and a repeated source-root tail. These are restricted results, not solutions of the main goal.

Reusable public proof library

The proposal also references six existing public results: the real and multivariate martingale-coupling characterizations of convex order, the absolute-deviation and integrated-tail criteria, equality of means under multivariate convex order, and finite optimal-transport attainment and its triangle inequality. These are references to the original records, not duplicate submissions or claims of new proofs by this project. The five stochastic-order proofs are credited to Nickrobbins95 and the finite-transport proof to MKPynnic; theorem submitter and proof author can differ.

  • The transportation metric is an attained metric.
  • Theorem 3.A.2 — the absolute-deviation characterization of the convex order.
  • Theorem 3.A.4 — Strassen's martingale-coupling characterization of the convex order (corrected: finite means, random variables).
  • Theorem 3.A.1 — tail-integral characterizations of the convex order.
  • Eq. (7.A.5) — the multivariate convex order forces equal means.
  • Theorem 7.A.1 — martingale-coupling characterization of the multivariate convex order (corrected: finite means, random vectors).

These results are supporting inputs, not proofs of the derivative-chain goal. Applying the coupling results still requires a proved convex-order statement for the actual polynomial root laws, with the correct multiplicity weights and uniform marginals. Repeated root slots yield a pseudometric, so the finite metric theorem needs distinct locations with multiplicity weights. The default norm on a real coordinate function space is not automatically the complex Euclidean norm. Neither coupling existence nor separate short edges supplies a complete uniform-length chain without a further compatible selection argument.

Verified fourth and fifth powers of complex cubics

The fourth-power theorem and fifth-power theorem now have complete Lean proofs accepted by Prove2me. For every monic complex cubic whose roots lie in a disk of radius R≥0R\ge0R≥0, they construct compatible chains through all twelve or fifteen ordinary derivative rows, respectively, with length at most 42R/34\sqrt2R/342​R/3.

Both theorems retain the cubic centroid, one common monotone orthonormal coordinate frame and a final source-root suffix of four or five entries. Repeated roots, zero radius and degenerate centered coefficients are included. Neither statement assumes a supplied prefix or continuation theorem. The accepted cubic-cube result remains a separate restricted-class theorem; these three class results do not settle either unrestricted goal or arbitrary larger powers.

The fourth-power research source, fifth-power research source and their checkpoint archive preserve the original analytic work. The linked theorem records carry the accepted formal proofs and their proved dependency chains.

The public Lean proof archive contains 193 Lean files (182 proof modules and 11 dependencies), reproduction instructions and SHA-256 manifests. This is the complete local-proof snapshot prepared before the final server submission packaging; the accepted submissions and their dependency chains on Prove2me are the authoritative server-verified artifacts. The archive README and formal-proof metadata record the accepted status of both theorems. The original research files are preserved unchanged; their earlier Open notices describe the historical research snapshot.

Difficulty

Convex containment does not control the sum of successive movements. Choosing a short edge separately at each row also need not produce a compatible path: the endpoint of one choice must be the start of the next. The known general square-root bound grows with degree, so it does not answer the uniform question. A variance bound controls squared increments and cannot simply be read as a constant bound on their unsquared sum.

Repeated roots and collisions are genuine cases, not numerical exceptions. The accepted Hermite obstruction rules out a particular local variance-increment estimate; it does not refute the unrestricted chain-length questions. Likewise, accepted scalar and conditional lemmas establish only their displayed conclusions under their stated hypotheses. A proposed polynomial application must prove those hypotheses for the same actual chain.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses Fin n → ℂ root slots, fromRoots for the product polynomial, row a m for the ordinary derivative row, IsChain for actual root membership and chainCost for the finite sum of complex norms. Positive degree, all nonconstant rows, source normalization and multiplicity counting are explicit. No root simplicity assumption or supplied short chain is permitted in the unrestricted goal. Real-coefficient and compressed-form restrictions belong only to their named class theorems.

The accepted proofs use Lean 4.33.1 and Mathlib revision 0df444a360eaa60ab8c11dca51a86af692955474. Existing declarations retain their identifiers and attribution. Generic convex-order and martingale-coupling results are reusable, but a citation to them does not prove the polynomial-specific uniform-root marginal property. Contributions are welcome on exact root-law adapters, compatible selection estimates and the listed open targets. Novelty and faithfulness to the stated problem should be assessed separately from successful Lean verification.

Selected references

  • Ingo Althöfer, Math with AI — Diary, derivative-chain problem announcement, 15 August 2026. Announcement.

  • A n−1\sqrt{n-1}n−1​ Bound for Chains of Zeros of Successive Derivatives, organizer-hosted report. Report.

  • Konrad Kaffka, Zuordnungen zwischen Nullstellen und kritischen Punkten von Polynomen, Diplomarbeit, Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena, 2012. Thesis.

  • S. M. Malamud, Inverse spectral problem for normal matrices and a generalization of the Gauss–Lucas theorem, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 357 (2005), 4043–4064. Preprint.

  • Rajesh Pereira, Differentiators and the geometry of polynomials, Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications 285 (2003), 336–348. Article.

  • Thorsten Theobald and Timo de Wolff, Norms of Roots of Trinomials, 2015 preprint version. Trinomial geometry.

  • Public formalization reference package: 60 numbered records, including the three definitions, five open targets and 52 accepted proof sources. Statements, proofs and source conventions.

75 thms6 active usersReviewed
Dynamical Systems·Captain: Lucas

Dynamics in One Complex Variable I: Sullivan's No Wandering Domains TheoremTextbook

Motivation

The iteration of a rational map f:C^→C^f:\hat{\mathbb C}\to\hat{\mathbb C}f:C^→C^ of the Riemann sphere is the model problem of holomorphic dynamics. The subject was founded by Fatou and Julia around 1918–1920, who split the sphere into a region of stable behaviour and a region of chaotic behaviour, and it was revived in the 1980s by Douady, Hubbard, Sullivan and Thurston. John Milnor's textbook Dynamics in One Complex Variable (3rd ed., Princeton, 2006) is the standard graduate introduction. This mission, the first of a series on the book, formalizes the chain of results that leads from Montel's theorem on normal families to Sullivan's theorem that rational maps have no wandering domains.

Timeline of the results formalized here:

  • 1912–1927, Montel. Families of holomorphic maps omitting three values are normal (Milnor, Theorem 3.7).
  • 1918–1920, Fatou and Julia. Definition of the Fatou and Julia sets; the Julia set of a map of degree d≥2d\ge2d≥2 is nonempty and equals the closure of the repelling periodic points (Milnor, Lemma 4.8 and Theorem 14.1).
  • 1920s–1942. Fatou classified the possible dynamics on an invariant Fatou component; Siegel (1942) showed that Siegel disks exist, and Herman (1979) constructed Herman rings. Together these give the four cases of Milnor's Theorem 16.1.
  • 1985, Sullivan. Every Fatou component is eventually periodic (Sullivan, Quasiconformal homeomorphisms and dynamics I, Ann. of Math. 122 (1985); Milnor, Theorem 16.4).

Setting

The Riemann sphere is C^=C∪{∞}\hat{\mathbb C}=\mathbb C\cup\{\infty\}C^=C∪{∞}, the one-point compactification of C\mathbb CC, with the two coordinates zzz (near finite points) and 1/z1/z1/z (near ∞\infty∞). A rational map is f=p/qf=p/qf=p/q with p,qp,qp,q coprime complex polynomials, q≠0q\neq0q=0; it acts on C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ in the usual way, and its degree is d=max⁡(deg⁡p,deg⁡q)d=\max(\deg p,\deg q)d=max(degp,degq). Write f∘nf^{\circ n}f∘n for the nnn-th iterate.

A family of maps from an open set to C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ is normal if every sequence in it has a subsequence converging locally uniformly in the spherical (chordal) metric. The Fatou set F(f)F(f)F(f) is the set of points having a neighbourhood on which the iterates {f∘n}\{f^{\circ n}\}{f∘n} form a normal family; the Julia set is its complement J(f)=C^∖F(f)J(f)=\hat{\mathbb C}\setminus F(f)J(f)=C^∖F(f). A Fatou component is a connected component of F(f)F(f)F(f). A periodic point z0=f∘m(z0)z_0=f^{\circ m}(z_0)z0​=f∘m(z0​) of minimal period mmm has multiplier λ=(f∘m)′(z0)\lambda=(f^{\circ m})'(z_0)λ=(f∘m)′(z0​), computed in a local coordinate; it is repelling if ∣λ∣>1|\lambda|>1∣λ∣>1 and attracting if ∣λ∣<1|\lambda|<1∣λ∣<1.

A Fatou component UUU with f(U)=Uf(U)=Uf(U)=U is a Siegel disk (resp. Herman ring) if f∣Uf|_Uf∣U​ is conformally conjugate to an irrational rotation of the unit disk (resp. of a round annulus {1<∣w∣<r}\{1<|w|<r\}{1<∣w∣<r}).

Formalization targets

Goal: no wandering domains (Theorem 16.4)

For a rational map fff of degree d≥2d\ge2d≥2 and every Fatou component UUU there are n≥0n\ge0n≥0, p≥1p\ge1p≥1 with

f∘p(f∘n(U))=f∘n(U).f^{\circ p}\bigl(f^{\circ n}(U)\bigr)=f^{\circ n}(U).f∘p(f∘n(U))=f∘n(U).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2.5: C^∖{0,1,∞}\hat{\mathbb C}\setminus\{0,1,\infty\}C^∖{0,1,∞} is covered holomorphically by the unit disk.
  2. Corollary 3.3 (case D→C∖{0,1}\mathbb D\to\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}D→C∖{0,1}): holomorphic maps between hyperbolic surfaces form a normal family.
  3. Lemma 3.5 (case C∖{0,1}⊂C^\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}\subset\hat{\mathbb C}C∖{0,1}⊂C^).
  4. Theorem 3.7 (Montel): holomorphic maps from a domain to C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ omitting three values form a normal family.
  5. Lemma 4.3: z∈J(f)  ⟺  f(z)∈J(f)z\in J(f)\iff f(z)\in J(f)z∈J(f)⟺f(z)∈J(f).
  6. Lemma 4.4: J(f∘k)=J(f)J(f^{\circ k})=J(f)J(f∘k)=J(f) for k>0k>0k>0.
  7. Lemma 4.8: J(f)≠∅J(f)\neq\emptysetJ(f)=∅ when d≥2d\ge2d≥2.
  8. Theorem 14.1: J(f)={repelling periodic points}‾J(f)=\overline{\{\text{repelling periodic points}\}}J(f)={repelling periodic points}​ when d≥2d\ge2d≥2.
  9. Theorem 16.1: an invariant Fatou component is an attracting basin, a parabolic basin, a Siegel disk or a Herman ring.

Significance

The results. Montel's theorem is the engine of the Fatou–Julia theory: nonemptiness of JJJ, density of iterated preimages and density of repelling cycles all rest on it. Theorem 14.1 identifies the non-normality locus with the closure of the repelling cycles, the form in which the Julia set is usually computed and pictured. Sullivan's theorem, combined with Theorem 16.1, gives a complete qualitative picture of the dynamics on the Fatou set; it is used throughout the later theory, e.g. to show that the Julia set of a postcritically finite map without superattracting cycles is the whole sphere (Milnor, Corollary 16.5).

Formalizing them. All results here are classical theorems with published proofs; none is open. A text search of Mathlib at the platform's pinned revision (0df444a) finds no Montel theorem for families of holomorphic maps, no Fatou or Julia sets and no wandering-domain results; it does contain the Schwarz lemma and the hyperbolic metric on the upper half-plane. The remaining work is to formalize the known proofs.

Difficulty

The early milestones need the uniformization-type input that C∖{0,1}\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}C∖{0,1} is covered by the disk (via the modular function or an equivalent construction) and Schwarz–Pick-type estimates on hyperbolic surfaces; Mathlib has the Schwarz lemma and the hyperbolic metric of the upper half-plane, but not the Poincaré metric of general hyperbolic domains or covering-space uniformization. Theorem 14.1 requires a quantitative use of Montel's theorem around points of JJJ that are not critical values. Theorem 16.1 needs the Denjoy–Wolff-type classification of self-maps of hyperbolic surfaces and the Snail Lemma for parabolic points. The goal is substantially harder: Sullivan's proof uses the measurable Riemann mapping theorem (Morrey–Ahlfors–Bers) to build an infinite-dimensional family of quasiconformal deformations of fff, contradicting the finite dimensionality of the space of rational maps of degree ddd. The theory of quasiconformal maps and Beltrami equations is absent from Mathlib, and no elementary argument avoiding it is known.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the book-wide namespace MilnorDynamics and build on the published definition files MilnorDynamics_NormalFamilies, MilnorDynamics_RationalMaps and MilnorDynamics_PeriodicPoints; one new definition file, MilnorDynamics_FatouComponents, adds Fatou components, immediate basins, Siegel disks and Herman rings.

  • C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ is OnePoint ℂ; a rational map is a structure of coprime polynomials p,qp,qp,q with q≠0q\ne0q=0, acting on OnePoint ℂ via RationalMap.toFun; the degree is max⁡(deg⁡p,deg⁡q)\max(\deg p,\deg q)max(degp,degq).
  • Holomorphy of a map into C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^ on an open U⊆CU\subseteq\mathbb CU⊆C is continuity plus complex differentiability in the charts zzz and 1/z1/z1/z (IsHolomorphicOn). Normality is locally uniform subconvergence in the chordal metric (IsNormalFamily); the Fatou set is defined through the standard charts of C^\hat{\mathbb C}C^.
  • Multipliers are derivatives of f∘mf^{\circ m}f∘m in the standard chart at the periodic point, mmm the minimal period.
  • Montel's theorem is stated for a domain U⊆CU\subseteq\mathbb CU⊆C rather than an arbitrary Riemann surface (normality is local, Milnor Problem 3-e); Lemma 2.5, Corollary 3.3 and Lemma 3.5 are linked in the special cases used for Montel's theorem.
  • The degree hypotheses are Milnor's: d≥1d\ge1d≥1 (nonconstant) in §4 Lemmas 4.3–4.4, d≥2d\ge2d≥2 elsewhere. Without d≥2d\ge2d≥2 several statements are false (e.g. J(z↦2z)=∅J(z\mapsto 2z)=\emptysetJ(z↦2z)=∅), so the hypothesis must not be dropped.

Welcome contributions: the Poincaré metric and Schwarz–Pick on hyperbolic domains, the modular covering of C∖{0,1}\mathbb C\setminus\{0,1\}C∖{0,1}, the degree theory of rational maps, quasiconformal maps and the measurable Riemann mapping theorem. These are reusable far beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. Milnor, Dynamics in One Complex Variable, 3rd ed., Annals of Mathematics Studies 160, Princeton University Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400835539
  • D. Sullivan, Quasiconformal homeomorphisms and dynamics I. Solution of the Fatou–Julia problem on wandering domains, Ann. of Math. 122 (1985), 401–418. https://doi.org/10.2307/1971308
  • L. Carleson and T. W. Gamelin, Complex Dynamics, Universitext, Springer, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-4364-9
  • P. Montel, Leçons sur les familles normales de fonctions analytiques et leurs applications, Gauthier-Villars, Paris, 1927.
49 thms6 active usersReviewed
Number Theory·Captain: shivm

Irrationality and transcendence of Euler's constantOpen Problem

What the constant is

Euler's constant γ\gammaγ measures the gap between the harmonic numbers and the logarithm:

γ  =  lim⁡n→∞(∑k=1n1k  −  log⁡n)  =  0.5772156649…\gamma \;=\; \lim_{n\to\infty}\left(\sum_{k=1}^{n}\frac{1}{k} \;-\; \log n\right) \;=\; 0.5772156649\ldotsγ=n→∞lim​(k=1∑n​k1​−logn)=0.5772156649…

It appears wherever the harmonic series is compared against an integral, and it is the value at 111 of the digamma function, ψ(1)=−γ\psi(1) = -\gammaψ(1)=−γ, equivalently γ=−Γ′(1)\gamma = -\Gamma'(1)γ=−Γ′(1). Among the classical constants of analysis it is the conspicuous one whose arithmetic nature is unknown.

What is being asked

For π\piπ and eee the arithmetic questions were settled long ago: both are irrational and transcendental. For γ\gammaγ, neither is known. It is not known whether γ\gammaγ is irrational, and a fortiori not whether it is transcendental, though it is universally expected to be both.

The goal theorem of this mission is transcendence,

γ∉Q‾,\gamma \notin \overline{\mathbb{Q}},γ∈/Q​,

with irrationality carried as a separate, weaker target — a proof of transcendence yields irrationality immediately, but not conversely, and irrationality alone would already be a landmark.

What is actually known

Progress has come in three forms, and the milestones below formalize each.

Conditional bounds on a putative denominator. If γ\gammaγ were rational, its denominator would have to be enormous. Brent and McMillan (1980), computing γ\gammaγ to 30,00030{,}00030,000 places by an algorithm built on modified Bessel functions, showed any denominator exceeds 101500010^{15000}1015000; a continued-fraction analysis by Papanikolaou (1997) pushed this past 1024466310^{244663}10244663. These are not steps toward a proof so much as a measurement of how far brute computation can go.

Disjunctive results. The strongest unconditional statements pair γ\gammaγ with the Euler–Gompertz constant

δ  =  ∫0∞e−u1+u du  =  0.5963473623…\delta \;=\; \int_0^{\infty} \frac{e^{-u}}{1+u}\, du \;=\; 0.5963473623\ldotsδ=∫0∞​1+ue−u​du=0.5963473623…

Aptekarev, building on work of Mahler and Shidlovskii, observed that at least one of γ\gammaγ and δ\deltaδ is irrational. Rivoal later strengthened this to at least one of them is transcendental. Neither argument isolates which, and that is precisely the obstruction: the Padé-approximation machinery that controls the pair does not separate them.

Irrationality criteria. Sondow, adapting Beukers' treatment of Apéry's theorem for ζ(3)\zeta(3)ζ(3), gave criteria equivalent to the irrationality of γ\gammaγ in terms of the fractional parts of certain integer sequences. They reformulate the problem rather than resolve it.

Timeline

  • 1734 — Euler introduces the constant and computes it to six decimals.
  • 1790s–1800s — Mascheroni computes further digits; the constant acquires its second name.
  • 1873 — Hermite proves eee transcendental; 1882 — Lindemann does the same for π\piπ. The methods do not reach γ\gammaγ.
  • 1980 — Brent and McMillan: if γ=p/q\gamma = p/qγ=p/q then q>1015000q > 10^{15000}q>1015000.
  • 1997 — Papanikolaou: the same denominator exceeds 1024466310^{244663}10244663.
  • 2009 — Aptekarev: at least one of γ\gammaγ, δ\deltaδ is irrational.
  • 2012 — Rivoal: at least one of γ\gammaγ, δ\deltaδ is transcendental.
  • 2010s — Murty, Saradha and others obtain transcendence results for generalized Euler–Lehmer constants, again leaving γ\gammaγ itself untouched.

Formalization notes

Mathlib provides the constant as Real.eulerMascheroniConstant, defined as the limit of ∑k≤n1/k−log⁡n\sum_{k\le n} 1/k - \log n∑k≤n​1/k−logn, together with the identifications ψ(1)=−γ\psi(1) = -\gammaψ(1)=−γ and γ=−Γ′(1)\gamma = -\Gamma'(1)γ=−Γ′(1) and the numeric bounds 1/2<γ<2/31/2 < \gamma < 2/31/2<γ<2/3. Irrational and Transcendental ℚ are Mathlib's standard predicates. The Euler–Gompertz constant is not in Mathlib and is supplied here as a mission definition.

88 thms6 active usersReviewed
Operations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

The Data-Driven Newsvendor Problem: New Bounds and Insights II: Every Log-Concave Demand Has Weighted Mean Spread at Least min(b,h)/(b+h)Research Paper

Motivation

The newsvendor problem is the basic single-period inventory model: a decision maker orders qqq units before a random demand DDD is observed, pays b>0b>0b>0 per unit of unmet demand and h>0h>0h>0 per unit left over, and minimizes the expected cost C(q)=E[b(D−q)++h(q−D)+]C(q)=E[b(D-q)^+ + h(q-D)^+]C(q)=E[b(D−q)++h(q−D)+]. When the distribution of DDD is known, the optimal order is the b/(b+h)b/(b+h)b/(b+h) quantile of DDD. In practice the distribution is unknown and only a sample of past demands is available; the standard data-driven order is the sample average approximation (SAA), the b/(b+h)b/(b+h)b/(b+h) quantile of the empirical distribution.

R. Levi, G. Perakis and J. Uichanco, The Data-Driven Newsvendor Problem: New Bounds and Insights (Operations Research 63(6), 2015), ask how many samples guarantee that the SAA order is ϵ\epsilonϵ-optimal with high probability. Levi, Roundy and Shmoys (2007) gave a distribution-free bound. Levi, Perakis and Uichanco show that, asymptotically in ϵ\epsilonϵ, the right measure of difficulty is a single scalar of the demand law, the weighted mean spread at the critical quantile, and that for the class of log-concave demand distributions (normal, uniform, exponential, logistic, Laplace and many others used in inventory theory) this scalar is bounded below by min⁡(b,h)/(b+h)\min(b,h)/(b+h)min(b,h)/(b+h). That uniform bound turns a distribution-dependent sample-size guarantee into one that holds for every log-concave demand, and is markedly tighter than the distribution-free one.

This mission formalizes the bound (Proposition 2) and the chain of lemmas the paper uses to prove it. The source is the authors' accepted manuscript of the paper (MIT DSpace), cited by its own page numbers.

Setting

Fix costs b>0b>0b>0, h>0h>0h>0 and the critical ratio β=b/(b+h)∈(0,1)\beta=b/(b+h)\in(0,1)β=b/(b+h)∈(0,1). A demand law is given by a probability density f:R→Rf:\mathbb R\to\mathbb Rf:R→R: measurable, nonnegative, with ∫f=1\int f=1∫f=1. Its cdf is F(t)=∫(−∞,t]fF(t)=\int_{(-\infty,t]}fF(t)=∫(−∞,t]​f, and its β\betaβ quantile is

q∗=inf⁡{q:F(q)≥β}.q^*=\inf\{q : F(q)\ge \beta\}.q∗=inf{q:F(q)≥β}.

The absolute mean spread (AMS, Definition 1) at ttt is the gap between the conditional means above and below ttt,

Δ(t)=E(D∣D≥t)−E(D∣D≤t)=∫[t,∞)xf(x) dx1−F(t)−∫(−∞,t]xf(x) dxF(t),\Delta(t)=E(D\mid D\ge t)-E(D\mid D\le t)=\frac{\int_{[t,\infty)}x f(x)\,dx}{1-F(t)}-\frac{\int_{(-\infty,t]}x f(x)\,dx}{F(t)},Δ(t)=E(D∣D≥t)−E(D∣D≤t)=1−F(t)∫[t,∞)​xf(x)dx​−F(t)∫(−∞,t]​xf(x)dx​,

and the weighted mean spread (WMS, Definition 2) is Δ(q∗)f(q∗)\Delta(q^*)f(q^*)Δ(q∗)f(q∗).

A density is log-concave (Definition 3) if log⁡f\log flogf is concave on its support. Equivalently, f(x)af(y)1−a≤f(ax+(1−a)y)f(x)^a f(y)^{1-a}\le f(ax+(1-a)y)f(x)af(y)1−a≤f(ax+(1−a)y) for all x,yx,yx,y and a∈[0,1]a\in[0,1]a∈[0,1]; this form allows fff to vanish outside an interval.

For a log-concave fff and a point ttt with f(t)>0f(t)>0f(t)>0, the number γ1\gamma_1γ1​ is a supergradient of log⁡f\log flogf at ttt, written γ1∈∂log⁡f(t)\gamma_1\in\partial\log f(t)γ1​∈∂logf(t), if log⁡f(x)≤log⁡f(t)+γ1(x−t)\log f(x)\le\log f(t)+\gamma_1(x-t)logf(x)≤logf(t)+γ1​(x−t) for all xxx with f(x)>0f(x)>0f(x)>0. The paper splits the class L\mathbb LL of log-concave densities into the subclasses Lq∗,γ0,γ1\mathbb L_{q^*,\gamma_0,\gamma_1}Lq∗,γ0​,γ1​​ of densities with quantile q∗q^*q∗, f(q∗)=γ0f(q^*)=\gamma_0f(q∗)=γ0​ and γ1∈∂log⁡f(q∗)\gamma_1\in\partial\log f(q^*)γ1​∈∂logf(q∗), and minimizes the AMS over each subclass (problem (11)). The minimizer is the truncated exponential density

f~(x)=γ0eγ1(x−q∗)  on [x‾,x‾],x‾=q∗+1γ1log⁡ ⁣(1−γ1γ0β),x‾=q∗+1γ1log⁡ ⁣(1+γ1γ0(1−β)),\tilde f(x)=\gamma_0e^{\gamma_1(x-q^*)}\ \text{ on }[\underline x,\overline x],\qquad \underline x=q^*+\tfrac1{\gamma_1}\log\!\big(1-\tfrac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0}\beta\big),\quad \overline x=q^*+\tfrac1{\gamma_1}\log\!\big(1+\tfrac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0}(1-\beta)\big),f~​(x)=γ0​eγ1​(x−q∗)  on [x​,x],x​=q∗+γ1​1​log(1−γ0​γ1​​β),x=q∗+γ1​1​log(1+γ0​γ1​​(1−β)),

and zero elsewhere (display (12)), with AMS zq∗,γ0,γ1∗z^*_{q^*,\gamma_0,\gamma_1}zq∗,γ0​,γ1​∗​ in closed form.

The Lean development uses the names IsPdf, cdfOf, quantileOf, ams, IsLogSupergradient, tildeF and zStar for these objects, in the namespace DataDrivenNV.WMS.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2

For every log-concave density fff,

Δ(q∗) f(q∗) ≥ min⁡(b,h)b+h.\Delta(q^*)\,f(q^*)\ \ge\ \frac{\min(b,h)}{b+h}.Δ(q∗)f(q∗) ≥ b+hmin(b,h)​.

The statement has no further hypothesis: no moment condition, no continuity, no restriction on γ0,γ1\gamma_0,\gamma_1γ0​,γ1​.

Milestones, in the order of the paper's proof

  1. Lemma 1: at the quantile, −b+hh≤γ1γ0≤b+hb-\frac{b+h}{h}\le\frac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0}\le\frac{b+h}{b}−hb+h​≤γ0​γ1​​≤bb+h​.
  2. Lemma 2: f(x)≤γ0eγ1(x−t)f(x)\le\gamma_0e^{\gamma_1(x-t)}f(x)≤γ0​eγ1​(x−t) for every xxx.
  3. Lemma 3 (Domination Lemma): a density dominated on the support of another, with the same mass left of ttt, has the larger AMS at ttt.
  4. Proposition 1: f~\tilde ff~​ belongs to Lq,γ0,γ1\mathbb L_{q,\gamma_0,\gamma_1}Lq,γ0​,γ1​​ and minimizes the AMS there.
  5. The closed form: Δf~(q)=zq,γ0,γ1∗=γ0γ12[(b+hh+γ1γ0)log⁡(1+γ1γ0hb+h)+(b+hb−γ1γ0)log⁡(1−γ1γ0bb+h)]\Delta_{\tilde f}(q)=z^*_{q,\gamma_0,\gamma_1}=\frac{\gamma_0}{\gamma_1^2}\big[(\frac{b+h}{h}+\frac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0})\log(1+\frac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0}\frac{h}{b+h})+(\frac{b+h}{b}-\frac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0})\log(1-\frac{\gamma_1}{\gamma_0}\frac{b}{b+h})\big]Δf~​​(q)=zq,γ0​,γ1​∗​=γ12​γ0​​[(hb+h​+γ0​γ1​​)log(1+γ0​γ1​​b+hh​)+(bb+h​−γ0​γ1​​)log(1−γ0​γ1​​b+hb​)].
  6. Lemma 4: three elementary inequalities in β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) and η∈(−11−β,1β)\eta\in(-\frac1{1-\beta},\frac1\beta)η∈(−1−β1​,β1​).

Significance

The proposition is what makes the paper's log-concave sample-size bound (Theorem 4) parameter-free: the probability that the biased SAA order is ϵ\epsilonϵ-optimal is, asymptotically, at least 1−2exp⁡(−14Nϵ Δ(q∗)f(q∗))1-2\exp(-\frac14N\epsilon\,\Delta(q^*)f(q^*))1−2exp(−41​NϵΔ(q∗)f(q∗)) (Theorem 3), and Proposition 2 replaces the unknown Δ(q∗)f(q∗)\Delta(q^*)f(q^*)Δ(q∗)f(q∗) by min⁡(b,h)/(b+h)\min(b,h)/(b+h)min(b,h)/(b+h). A manager who only knows that demand is log-concave can then size a sample without estimating any parameter of the law.

The result is proved in the paper; nothing about it is open. As far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it produces a checked lower bound for an inventory-theory quantity together with reusable facts about log-concave densities on the line: exponential envelopes from a supergradient, the quantile-and-slope constraints of Lemma 1, and the comparison of conditional means behind the Domination Lemma.

Difficulty

The definitions are elementary, but the proof passes through an infinite-dimensional optimization problem over a class of densities. The obvious first step, "the AMS is minimized by the most concentrated density", has no direct meaning without fixing the density value and the slope of log⁡f\log flogf at the quantile; after fixing them, one needs the envelope of Lemma 2, a stochastic comparison (Lemma 3) and an explicit integral of a truncated exponential. The Domination Lemma as printed is false (a density whose support has a gap to the right of ttt is a counterexample), so it is formalized under the hypothesis that the dominating density is positive exactly on an interval around ttt, which is how Proposition 1 uses it. The case γ1=0\gamma_1=0γ1​=0 (uniform minimizer) and the two boundary values of γ1/γ0\gamma_1/\gamma_0γ1​/γ0​ (one-sided exponential minimizers) are not covered by the closed form (12) and must be handled separately in a proof of the goal. Finally, Lemma 1 rests on the monotonicity of the failure rate f/(1−F)f/(1-F)f/(1−F) and the reversed hazard rate f/Ff/Ff/F of log-concave laws, which must be proved from log-concavity.

Formalization scope

Densities are functions ℝ → ℝ with IsPdf f (measurable, nonnegative everywhere, integrable, total integral 1); the law of DDD is never introduced separately. Log-concavity is the published definition ConvexOptimization.LogConcaveOn Set.univ f (power form, zeros allowed). Concavity of Real.log ∘ f is not used, because Real.log 0 = 0 would treat log⁡f\log flogf as 000 off the support. The quantile is an sInf; for β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) its defining set is nonempty and bounded below. The AMS is the difference of two ratios of integrals. At the quantile both denominators are positive, and the goal and Proposition 1 assume no integrability of xf(x)xf(x)xf(x), since log-concave densities have exponential tails. The value f(q∗)f(q^*)f(q∗) is taken pointwise; q∗q^*q∗ lies in the interior of the support, where a log-concave density is continuous.

Conventions and disclosed departures from the page:

  • "γ1∈∂log⁡f\gamma_1\in\partial\log fγ1​∈∂logf, the set of all subgradients" is read as the superdifferential of the concave log⁡f\log flogf on {f>0}\{f>0\}{f>0}.
  • Lemma 3 carries three added hypotheses: f2f_2f2​ vanishes outside some [l,u]∋t[l,u]\ni t[l,u]∋t and is positive on (l,u)(l,u)(l,u); 0<F1(t)<10<F_1(t)<10<F1​(t)<1; and xf1(x)xf_1(x)xf1​(x), xf2(x)xf_2(x)xf2​(x) are integrable. The first repairs the printed statement; the other two are the conditions under which Definition 1 makes sense for general densities.
  • Proposition 1 and the closed form of z∗z^*z∗ are stated for γ1≠0\gamma_1\neq0γ1​=0 and γ1/γ0\gamma_1/\gamma_0γ1​/γ0​ strictly inside the interval of Lemma 1, where (12) is a finite interval.
  • The goal has no such restriction.

Assumption 1 of the paper (monotonicity of fff beyond q∗q^*q∗) and the continuity assumption of §3 are hypotheses of Theorems 3–4 only and are not used here. A formalization in which f(q∗)f(q^*)f(q∗) or Δ(q∗)\Delta(q^*)Δ(q∗) takes a junk value (a non-integrable xf(x)xf(x)xf(x), a zero denominator) would make the goal trivially true or false; the hypotheses above exclude this, and no statement assumes the conclusion of another.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in any order; general lemmas on log-concave densities on R\mathbb RR (exponential tails, integrability of moments, monotone hazard rates, continuity in the interior of the support); and the boundary cases of problem (11).

Selected references

  • R. Levi, G. Perakis, J. Uichanco, The Data-Driven Newsvendor Problem: New Bounds and Insights, Operations Research 63(6):1294–1306, 2015. Authors' accepted manuscript, MIT DSpace. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1422
  • R. Levi, R. O. Roundy, D. B. Shmoys, Provably Near-Optimal Sampling-Based Policies for Stochastic Inventory Control Models, Mathematics of Operations Research 32(4):821–839, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1070.0272
9 thms4 active usersReviewed
Dynamical SystemsTopology·Captain: Lucas

Local Connectivity of the Mandelbrot Set (MLC)Open Problem

The set

For a complex parameter ccc, iterate the quadratic map

fc(z)=z2+cf_c(z) = z^2 + cfc​(z)=z2+c

starting at the critical point z=0z = 0z=0. The Mandelbrot set is the set of parameters for which this orbit stays bounded:

M={ c∈C : sup⁡k∈N∣fc k(0)∣<∞ }.M = \{\, c \in \mathbb{C} \ : \ \sup_{k \in \mathbb{N}} \left| f_c^{\,k}(0) \right| < \infty \,\}.M={c∈C : k∈Nsup​​fck​(0)​<∞}.

Equivalently -- and this is the first milestone of the mission -- c∈Mc \in Mc∈M if and only if ∣fc k(0)∣≤2|f_c^{\,k}(0)| \le 2∣fck​(0)∣≤2 for every kkk, which exhibits MMM as a compact subset of the plane.

MMM is the parameter-space picture of the simplest non-trivial family in complex dynamics, and it acts as a dictionary: the shape of MMM near a parameter ccc encodes the dynamics of fcf_cfc​ on its Julia set, so structural questions about MMM are questions about the whole quadratic family at once. Douady and Hubbard proved in 1982 that MMM is connected, by exhibiting a conformal isomorphism

Φ:C∖M⟶C∖D‾\Phi : \mathbb{C} \setminus M \longrightarrow \mathbb{C} \setminus \overline{\mathbb{D}}Φ:C∖M⟶C∖D

between the complement of MMM and the exterior of the closed unit disk.

The question

MLC conjecture. MMM is locally connected: every point of MMM has a neighbourhood basis, in the subspace topology, consisting of connected sets.

By Caratheodory's theorem, MLC is equivalent to the statement that Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 extends continuously to the unit circle. That extension would deliver a complete combinatorial description of MMM -- the pinched disk model of Douady and Thurston -- in which every boundary point is labelled by the external rays landing on it. Two headline consequences follow: the density of hyperbolicity in the quadratic family (Fatou's conjecture: every quadratic polynomial can be perturbed to one with an attracting cycle), and zero area for ∂M\partial M∂M.

MLC has been open since the early 1980s and is regarded as the central problem of one-dimensional complex dynamics.

Timeline

  • 1982 -- Douady and Hubbard prove that MMM is connected, via the Boettcher uniformisation of its complement, and formulate MLC.
  • 1984/85 -- The Orsay notes develop the combinatorics of external rays and the pinched-disk model, and show that MLC implies the density of hyperbolicity in the quadratic family.
  • 1990 -- Yoccoz proves MLC at every finitely renormalizable parameter without an indifferent periodic point, introducing the Yoccoz puzzle and the rigidity techniques that dominate later work.
  • 1997 -- Lyubich extends local connectivity to infinitely renormalizable parameters of bounded type, using complex bounds for quadratic-like renormalization.
  • 1997 -- Graczyk-Swiatek and Lyubich prove density of hyperbolicity in the real quadratic family.
  • 1998 -- Shishikura proves that ∂M\partial M∂M has Hausdorff dimension 222, by parabolic implosion. Whether ∂M\partial M∂M has positive area remains open.
  • 2005 -- Buff and Cheritat construct quadratic Julia sets of positive area, showing that the analogous area question in the dynamical plane has a negative answer.
  • Today -- MLC is known at large classes of parameters, but the general case, and with it the density of hyperbolicity, remain open.

What this mission asks for

The goal theorem is MLC itself, in the form "the Mandelbrot set, as a topological subspace of C\mathbb{C}C, is a locally connected space".

The milestones are of three kinds, and are ordered accordingly:

  1. Foundations provable today -- the escape criterion (in the quadratic and the general unicritical degree) and compactness. These make the filter-theoretic definition usable and are the natural entry point for a solver new to the mission.
  2. Known theorems from the literature -- connectedness of MMM (Douady-Hubbard), the implication MLC ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ density of hyperbolicity (Douady-Hubbard), and dim⁡H(∂M)=2\dim_H(\partial M) = 2dimH​(∂M)=2 (Shishikura). These are hard but settled, and formalizing them builds the infrastructure -- Boettcher coordinates, external rays, parabolic implosion -- that any attack on the goal will need.
  3. The open companions -- density of hyperbolicity in the quadratic and unicritical families, zero area of ∂M\partial M∂M, and MLC for all Multibrot sets MnM_nMn​, the parameter sets of z↦zn+cz \mapsto z^n + cz↦zn+c.

All statements are phrased against a single shared definition file, so a solver can move between milestones without re-fixing conventions.

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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Sensitivity Analysis of the Price of Anarchy in Nonatomic Congestion Games 1: The Price of Anarchy Is Hölder Continuous with Exponent 1/2 at Every Game with Costs Lipschitz on [0, T(d)]Research Paper

Motivation

The price of anarchy (PoA) of a nonatomic congestion game is the ratio of the total cost of a Wardrop equilibrium to the minimum possible total cost. It quantifies how much selfish routing loses compared with central coordination, and it has been studied intensively since Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou (1999) and Roughgarden and Tardos (2002), mostly through worst-case bounds over classes of cost functions.

Worst-case bounds say nothing about how the PoA of one particular network behaves when its data change. In transport applications both the cost functions (capacities, tolls, travel-time models) and the demands are estimated, so the PoA is only useful if small errors in the data cause small errors in the PoA. Wu and Möhring (arXiv:2007.13979, published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023) study this sensitivity question in a setting where cost functions and demands change simultaneously. Earlier sensitivity results changed only the demands, with the cost functions fixed: Englert, Franke and Olbrich (2010) bounded the growth of the PoA of a single-O/D network with polynomial costs of degree at most β\betaβ by a factor (1+ϵ)β(1+\epsilon)^\beta(1+ϵ)β when the demand grows by a factor 1+ϵ1+\epsilon1+ϵ; Takalloo and Kwon (2020) extended this to several O/D pairs whose demands are scaled together; and Cominetti, Dose and Scarsini (arXiv:1907.10101) studied differentiability of the PoA as a function of the demand of a single O/D pair. The main theorem of the paper, Theorem 9, is the subject of this mission.

Setting

A network consists of a finite set AAA of arcs, a finite non-empty set K\mathcal KK of origin–destination (O/D) pairs, and for every k∈Kk \in \mathcal Kk∈K a non-empty set Sk\mathcal S_kSk​ of paths; each path is a non-empty set of arcs. From §3.1 onward the paper also assumes every arc lies on some path and every Sk\mathcal S_kSk​ has at least two paths (Condition 1).

A game Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma = (\tau, d)Γ=(τ,d) on the network consists of cost functions τa:[0,∞)→[0,∞)\tau_a : [0,\infty) \to [0,\infty)τa​:[0,∞)→[0,∞), one per arc, that are continuous and non-decreasing, and demands dk≥0d_k \ge 0dk​≥0, one per O/D pair. The total demand is T(d)=∑kdkT(d) = \sum_k d_kT(d)=∑k​dk​. The game space G(G,K,S)\mathcal G(G,\mathcal K,\mathcal S)G(G,K,S) consists of the games with T(d)>0T(d) > 0T(d)>0 and τa(x)>0\tau_a(x) > 0τa​(x)>0 for all x∈(0,T(d)]x \in (0, T(d)]x∈(0,T(d)].

A flow f=(fs)f = (f_s)f=(fs​) assigns a non-negative amount to every path, with ∑s∈Skfs=dk\sum_{s\in\mathcal S_k} f_s = d_k∑s∈Sk​​fs​=dk​. Its arc flows are fa=∑s∋afsf_a = \sum_{s \ni a} f_sfa​=∑s∋a​fs​, its path costs τs(f)=∑a∈sτa(fa)\tau_s(f) = \sum_{a\in s}\tau_a(f_a)τs​(f)=∑a∈s​τa​(fa​), and its total cost

C(Γ,f)=∑a∈Afa τa(fa).C(\Gamma, f) = \sum_{a\in A} f_a\,\tau_a(f_a).C(Γ,f)=a∈A∑​fa​τa​(fa​).

A Wardrop equilibrium (WE) is a flow in which every used path of a pair is a cheapest path of that pair. The SO cost C∗(Γ)\mathcal C^*(\Gamma)C∗(Γ) is the minimum total cost over all flows, the WE cost C~(Γ)\tilde{\mathcal C}(\Gamma)C~(Γ) is the total cost of a WE flow (all WE flows have the same cost), and

ρ(Γ)=C~(Γ)C∗(Γ).\rho(\Gamma) = \frac{\tilde{\mathcal C}(\Gamma)}{\mathcal C^*(\Gamma)}.ρ(Γ)=C∗(Γ)C~(Γ)​.

Games are compared by the distance

∥Γ−Γ′∥=max⁡{∥d−d′∥∞, max⁡a∈Amax⁡x∈[0,min⁡{T(d),T(d′)}]∣τa(x)−σa(x)∣, ∥τ(T(d))−σ(T(d′))∥∞}\|\Gamma - \Gamma'\| = \max\Big\{\|d-d'\|_\infty,\ \max_{a\in A}\max_{x\in[0,\min\{T(d),T(d')\}]}|\tau_a(x) - \sigma_a(x)|,\ \|\tau(T(d)) - \sigma(T(d'))\|_\infty\Big\}∥Γ−Γ′∥=max{∥d−d′∥∞​, a∈Amax​x∈[0,min{T(d),T(d′)}]max​∣τa​(x)−σa​(x)∣, ∥τ(T(d))−σ(T(d′))∥∞​}

for Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma = (\tau, d)Γ=(τ,d) and Γ′=(σ,d′)\Gamma' = (\sigma, d')Γ′=(σ,d′). It compares cost functions only on the range of flow values both games can produce, plus the values at the respective total demands. A function hhh is Lipschitz continuous on [0,T][0,T][0,T] with constant MMM if ∣h(x)−h(y)∣≤M∣x−y∣|h(x) - h(y)| \le M|x-y|∣h(x)−h(y)∣≤M∣x−y∣ for all x,y∈[0,T]x, y \in [0,T]x,y∈[0,T].

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9 (p. 26)

Let Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma = (\tau, d)Γ=(τ,d) be a game of the game space whose cost functions are Lipschitz continuous on [0,T(d)][0, T(d)][0,T(d)]. Then there are ϵΓ>0\epsilon_\Gamma > 0ϵΓ​>0 and κΓ>0\kappa_\Gamma > 0κΓ​>0, depending only on Γ\GammaΓ, such that

∣ρ(Γ)−ρ(Γ′)∣≤κΓ ∥Γ−Γ′∥1/2for every game Γ′ of the game space with ∥Γ−Γ′∥<ϵΓ.|\rho(\Gamma) - \rho(\Gamma')| \le \kappa_\Gamma\,\|\Gamma - \Gamma'\|^{1/2}\quad\text{for every game } \Gamma' \text{ of the game space with } \|\Gamma - \Gamma'\| < \epsilon_\Gamma.∣ρ(Γ)−ρ(Γ′)∣≤κΓ​∥Γ−Γ′∥1/2for every game Γ′ of the game space with ∥Γ−Γ′∥<ϵΓ​.

The goal fixes the exponent 1/21/21/2 and leaves the radius and the constant existential, which is the form the paper claims.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1a)–c) (p. 13): properties of ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate WE flows, ending with
∣C(Γ,f)−C(Γ,f~)∣≤∣A∣Mϵ T(d)+ϵ|C(\Gamma, f) - C(\Gamma, \tilde f)| \le |A|\sqrt{M\epsilon}\,T(d) + \epsilon∣C(Γ,f)−C(Γ,f~​)∣≤∣A∣Mϵ​T(d)+ϵ

for an ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate WE flow fff and a WE flow f~\tilde ff~​ when all costs are MMM-Lipschitz on [0,T(d)][0,T(d)][0,T(d)]. 2. Lemma 10a)–d) (p. 27): on a demand slice (games with a common demand vector www), C∗\mathcal C^*C∗ is Lipschitz, WE flows of one game are ∣A∣ T(w) ∥Γ1−Γ2∥|A|\,T(w)\,\|\Gamma_1-\Gamma_2\|∣A∣T(w)∥Γ1​−Γ2​∥-approximate WE flows of the other, and C~\tilde{\mathcal C}C~ and ρ\rhoρ are Hölder with exponent 1/21/21/2 with explicit constants. 3. Lemma 11a)–c) (p. 31): on a cost slice (games with a common cost vector and T(w′)≤T(w)T(w') \le T(w)T(w′)≤T(w)), explicit Hölder bounds of exponent 1/21/21/2 for C~\tilde{\mathcal C}C~ and ρ\rhoρ and a Lipschitz bound for C∗\mathcal C^*C∗.

Significance

Theorem 9 is the first pointwise Hölder continuity result for the PoA on the whole game space, with demands and costs perturbed together. Its hypothesis is mild (Lipschitz costs on a compact interval, which covers polynomial, BPR-type and piecewise linear costs), and such games are dense in the game space. Together with Theorem 8 of the same paper, which shows that no uniform Hölder bound exists, it describes exactly what kind of stability the PoA has: local, with a constant depending on the game, and exponent 1/21/21/2 in general. The explicit constants of Lemmas 10 and 11 give computable error bounds for the PoA of a network whose data are known only approximately.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof exists. This mission formalizes the statement and the explicit slice estimates the proof rests on. Lemma 1 is a self-contained statement about approximate Wardrop equilibria that is useful well beyond this paper, for instance for analysing iterative traffic-assignment algorithms, which only ever produce approximate equilibria.

Difficulty

The obvious approach compares an equilibrium of Γ\GammaΓ with an equilibrium of Γ′\Gamma'Γ′ directly. This fails because the two games have different demand vectors, so their flows live in different polytopes: an equilibrium of one game is not even a flow of the other. The paper separates the perturbation into a change of costs at fixed demand and a change of demand at fixed costs, through an auxiliary game, and each half needs its own argument. On a demand slice an equilibrium of one game is only an approximate equilibrium of the other, and the passage from an approximate equilibrium to its cost loses a square root (Lemma 1c), which is tight by Example 2). On a cost slice the demand has to be removed path by path from an equilibrium while keeping it an equilibrium of a shifted game. Finally, the constants of the slice estimates depend on the auxiliary game, and they must be controlled uniformly near Γ\GammaΓ.

Formalization scope

The Lean development fixes the following conventions.

  • The network is a structure with ∣A∣|A|∣A∣ arcs, ∣S∣|\mathcal S|∣S∣ paths and ∣K∣|\mathcal K|∣K∣ O/D pairs, a 0/1 arc–path incidence matrix and the map sending a path to its pair. Lemma 1 uses the §2 model assumptions: 0/1 incidence, non-empty paths, K≠∅\mathcal K \neq \emptysetK=∅, and ∣Sk∣≥1|\mathcal S_k| \ge 1∣Sk​∣≥1. The later results add Condition 1 (every arc on a path, ∣Sk∣≥2|\mathcal S_k| \ge 2∣Sk​∣≥2), as assumed from §3.1. Paths are arbitrary non-empty 0/1 columns, not necessarily loop-free paths of a digraph; the results do not use loop-freeness.
  • Cost functions are maps R→R\mathbb R \to \mathbb RR→R required to be continuous, non-decreasing and non-negative on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only.
  • Arc flows, Wardrop equilibria (2.1) and the potential (2.6) come from the published definition KellyStochasticNetworks_Wardrop. ϵ\epsilonϵ-approximate WE flows follow (2.7) in arc form. The total cost uses the arc form, which equals the path form for 0/1 incidence.
  • C∗\mathcal C^*C∗ is the infimum of costs over flows, C~\tilde{\mathcal C}C~ the supremum of costs over WE flows, ρ\rhoρ their quotient. The middle term of the distance is the supremum of the image of the compact set A×[0,min⁡{T(d),T(d′)}]A\times[0,\min\{T(d),T(d')\}]A×[0,min{T(d),T(d′)}], and ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ is the sup norm.
  • Every statement about ρ\rhoρ, C∗\mathcal C^*C∗ or C~\tilde{\mathcal C}C~ quantifies over games of the game space, where ρ\rhoρ is a genuine ratio of positive numbers. Off the game space Lean's division by zero would give ρ=0\rho = 0ρ=0, so quantifying over all pairs (τ,d)(\tau, d)(τ,d) would trivialize the statements; this is ruled out. In the goal, ϵΓ\epsilon_\GammaϵΓ​ and κΓ\kappa_\GammaκΓ​ are chosen before Γ′\Gamma'Γ′.
  • Several printed strict inequalities are posed as non-strict, because they fail at Γ′=Γ\Gamma' = \GammaΓ′=Γ or are attained in the paper's own Example 2. In Lemma 11 the printed constants are corrected by a factor ∣K∣|\mathcal K|∣K∣ that the paper's own argument needs; each item's Formalization Note quotes the printed form.

A complete development needs: existence of Wardrop equilibria and uniqueness of their cost on the game space, existence of social optima, the integral inequality (2.9) for monotone costs, positivity of C∗\mathcal C^*C∗ on the game space, and the path-by-path demand-reduction construction of Lemma 11. The existence and uniqueness results and Lemma 1 are reusable in any formalization of selfish routing. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are the supporting lemmas above.

The source is the arXiv preprint arXiv:2007.13979v3 (23 Aug 2021); all page and theorem numbers refer to it, not to the published version.

Selected references

  • Z. Wu, R. H. Möhring, A sensitivity analysis of the price of anarchy in non-atomic congestion games, arXiv:2007.13979v3, 2021; Mathematics of Operations Research 48(3), 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.13979, https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2022.1292
  • T. Roughgarden, É. Tardos, How bad is selfish routing?, Journal of the ACM 49(2), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1145/506147.506153
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. Papadimitriou, Worst-case equilibria, STACS 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38
  • J. G. Wardrop, Some theoretical aspects of road traffic research, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers 1(3), 1952. https://doi.org/10.1680/ipeds.1952.11259
  • M. Englert, T. Franke, L. Olbrich, Sensitivity of Wardrop equilibria, Theory of Computing Systems 47(1):3–14, 2010.
  • M. Takalloo, C. Kwon, Sensitivity of Wardrop equilibria: revisited, Optimization Letters 14(3):781–796, 2020.
  • R. Cominetti, V. Dose, M. Scarsini, The price of anarchy in routing games as a function of the demand, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.10101
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Linear algebraProbabilityRandom Matrix Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

User-Friendly Tail Bounds for Sums of Random Matrices V: The Matrix Azuma Inequality for Adapted Sequences with Semidefinite Bounds on the Squared DifferencesResearch Paper

Motivation

Sums of random matrices appear throughout numerical linear algebra, statistics, combinatorics and quantum information: randomized sketching and sparsification, covariance estimation, graph sparsifiers, and the analysis of random features all reduce to controlling the largest eigenvalue of a sum of random self-adjoint matrices. Scalar concentration inequalities (Chernoff, Hoeffding, Bernstein, Azuma) have matrix analogues, and J. A. Tropp's User-Friendly Tail Bounds for Sums of Random Matrices (arXiv:1004.4389v7, Found. Comput. Math. 12 (2012) 389–434, doi:10.1007/s10208-011-9099-z) gives a unified derivation of them with explicit constants.

Many applications do not have independent summands: adaptive algorithms, online learning and sequential estimation produce sums whose terms depend on the past. The scalar tool for such sums is Azuma's inequality for martingales with bounded differences, and its corollary, McDiarmid's bounded differences inequality (McDiarmid 1998). This mission is the fifth of a series formalizing Tropp's paper; it targets §7, the matrix Azuma inequality.

Timeline. Ahlswede and Winter (2002) introduced a matrix analogue of the Laplace transform bound for independent sums; Oliveira (2010) gave the variant used in this paper. Tropp (this paper, 2010–2012) proved the matrix Azuma and McDiarmid inequalities below. More refined matrix martingale inequalities appear in Oliveira (2010) and in Tropp's Freedman's inequality for matrix martingales (2011), which the paper cites (p. 27) as requiring additional machinery.

Setting

All matrices are d×dd\times dd×d with complex entries, d≥1d\ge 1d≥1. A matrix is self-adjoint (s.a.) when it is Hermitian. For s.a. AAA, λmax⁡(A)\lambda_{\max}(A)λmax​(A) is its largest eigenvalue and ∥A∥\|A\|∥A∥ its spectral norm. Functions of s.a. matrices are defined spectrally: if A=QΛQ∗A=Q\Lambda Q^*A=QΛQ∗ then eA=QeΛQ∗e^{A}=Qe^{\Lambda}Q^*eA=QeΛQ∗, and log⁡\loglog is defined the same way on positive-definite matrices. A⪯BA\preceq BA⪯B is the semidefinite order: B−AB-AB−A is positive semidefinite.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space with a filtration F0⊂F1⊂⋯⊂F\mathcal F_0\subset\mathcal F_1\subset\cdots\subset\mathcal FF0​⊂F1​⊂⋯⊂F, and write Ek[ ⋅ ]=E[ ⋅∣Fk]\mathbb E_k[\,\cdot\,]=\mathbb E[\,\cdot\mid\mathcal F_k]Ek​[⋅]=E[⋅∣Fk​]. The expectation and the conditional expectation of a random matrix are taken entrywise. A sequence X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ of random matrices is adapted when each XkX_kXk​ is Fk\mathcal F_kFk​-measurable. A matrix martingale is an adapted sequence of s.a. matrices YkY_kYk​ with E∥Yk∥<∞\mathbb E\|Y_k\|<\inftyE∥Yk​∥<∞ and Ek−1Yk=Yk−1\mathbb E_{k-1}Y_k=Y_{k-1}Ek−1​Yk​=Yk−1​; its difference sequence Xk=Yk−Yk−1X_k=Y_k-Y_{k-1}Xk​=Yk​−Yk−1​ satisfies Ek−1Xk=0\mathbb E_{k-1}X_k=0Ek−1​Xk​=0.

The hypotheses of the main theorem are: X1,…,XnX_1,\dots,X_nX1​,…,Xn​ is an adapted sequence of random s.a. matrices, and A1,…,AnA_1,\dots,A_nA1​,…,An​ is a fixed (non-random) sequence of s.a. matrices, with

Ek−1Xk=0andXk2⪯Ak2  almost surely.\mathbb E_{k-1}X_k = 0 \qquad\text{and}\qquad X_k^2\preceq A_k^2\ \text{ almost surely.}Ek−1​Xk​=0andXk2​⪯Ak2​  almost surely.

The variance parameter is σ2:=∥∑kAk2∥\sigma^2 := \big\|\sum_k A_k^2\big\|σ2:=​∑k​Ak2​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1 (Matrix Azuma), p. 27

For all t≥0t\ge 0t≥0,

P{λmax⁡(∑kXk)≥t}≤d⋅e−t2/8σ2.\mathbb P\Big\{\lambda_{\max}\Big(\sum_{k}X_k\Big)\ge t\Big\}\le d\cdot e^{-t^2/8\sigma^2}.P{λmax​(k∑​Xk​)≥t}≤d⋅e−t2/8σ2.

Milestones

In the order they are used:

  1. Display (2.6), Golden–Thompson: tr⁡eA+H≤tr⁡(eAeH)\operatorname{tr}e^{A+H}\le\operatorname{tr}(e^Ae^H)treA+H≤tr(eAeH) for s.a. A,HA,HA,H.
  2. Proposition 3.1, the Laplace transform method: P{λmax⁡(Y)≥t}≤inf⁡θ>0e−θt Etr⁡eθY\mathbb P\{\lambda_{\max}(Y)\ge t\}\le\inf_{\theta>0}e^{-\theta t}\,\mathbb E\operatorname{tr}e^{\theta Y}P{λmax​(Y)≥t}≤infθ>0​e−θtEtreθY.
  3. Corollary 3.3: Etr⁡exp⁡(H+X)≤tr⁡exp⁡(H+log⁡EeX)\mathbb E\operatorname{tr}\exp(H+X)\le\operatorname{tr}\exp(H+\log\mathbb E e^{X})Etrexp(H+X)≤trexp(H+logEeX).
  4. Lemma 4.3, Rademacher half: EeεθA⪯eθ2A2/2\mathbb E e^{\varepsilon\theta A}\preceq e^{\theta^2A^2/2}EeεθA⪯eθ2A2/2.
  5. Lemma 7.6 (Symmetrization): Etr⁡eH+X≤Etr⁡eH+2εX\mathbb E\operatorname{tr}e^{H+X}\le\mathbb E\operatorname{tr}e^{H+2\varepsilon X}EtreH+X≤EtreH+2εX when EX=0\mathbb EX=0EX=0 and ε\varepsilonε is an independent Rademacher variable.
  6. Lemma 7.7 (Azuma cgf): log⁡E[e2εθX∣X]⪯2θ2A2\log\mathbb E[e^{2\varepsilon\theta X}\mid X]\preceq2\theta^2A^2logE[e2εθX∣X]⪯2θ2A2 when X2⪯A2X^2\preceq A^2X2⪯A2.
  7. Display (7.5): Etr⁡exp⁡(∑kθXk)≤tr⁡exp⁡(2θ2∑kAk2)\mathbb E\operatorname{tr}\exp(\sum_k\theta X_k)\le\operatorname{tr}\exp(2\theta^2\sum_kA_k^2)Etrexp(∑k​θXk​)≤trexp(2θ2∑k​Ak2​) under the hypotheses of the goal.

Further statements

Corollary 7.2 is the martingale form, P{λmax⁡(Yn−EYn)≥t}≤d e−t2/8σ2\mathbb P\{\lambda_{\max}(Y_n-\mathbb EY_n)\ge t\}\le d\,e^{-t^2/8\sigma^2}P{λmax​(Yn​−EYn​)≥t}≤de−t2/8σ2. Corollary 7.5 (Matrix Bounded Differences) is the matrix McDiarmid inequality, P{λmax⁡(H(z)−EH(z))≥t}≤d e−t2/8σ2\mathbb P\{\lambda_{\max}(H(z)-\mathbb EH(z))\ge t\}\le d\,e^{-t^2/8\sigma^2}P{λmax​(H(z)−EH(z))≥t}≤de−t2/8σ2 for a matrix-valued function HHH of independent variables whose changes in one coordinate kkk have squares bounded by Ak2A_k^2Ak2​.

Significance

The result. The bound has the scalar subgaussian shape with two matrix features: a dimensional factor ddd, and a variance parameter equal to the norm of the sum ∑kAk2\sum_kA_k^2∑k​Ak2​ rather than the sum of the norms ∑k∥Ak∥2\sum_k\|A_k\|^2∑k​∥Ak​∥2. In the commuting case the two coincide; in general the first can be smaller by a factor of up to nnn. The theorem needs no independence, so it covers adapted constructions such as Doob martingales. Corollary 7.5, obtained from it, is the standard matrix tool for concentration of matrix-valued functions of independent data. With independent summands the theorem gives a matrix Hoeffding inequality (Theorem 1.3 of the paper).

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; none of it is formalized. Mathlib has the continuous functional calculus, conditional expectation and filtrations, but no Golden–Thompson inequality, no Lieb concavity theorem, and no matrix tail inequality. A formalization produces a machine-checked matrix Azuma inequality, the Golden–Thompson inequality, and a symmetrization lemma for the trace exponential, all of which have uses beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The scalar proof of Azuma's inequality multiplies conditional moment generating functions, Eeθ∑Xk=E[eθ∑k<nXk En−1eθXn]\mathbb E e^{\theta\sum X_k}=\mathbb E\big[e^{\theta\sum_{k<n}X_k}\,\mathbb E_{n-1}e^{\theta X_n}\big]Eeθ∑Xk​=E[eθ∑k<n​Xk​En−1​eθXn​], and bounds each factor. For matrices this fails: eA+B≠eAeBe^{A+B}\neq e^Ae^BeA+B=eAeB unless AAA and BBB commute, and tr⁡eA+B+C≤tr⁡(eAeBeC)\operatorname{tr}e^{A+B+C}\le\operatorname{tr}(e^Ae^Be^C)treA+B+C≤tr(eAeBeC) is false, so the Golden–Thompson inequality cannot be iterated over nnn terms. The paper itself notes (p. 28) that the classical approach does not seem to extend. A second obstacle is that the hypothesis Xk2⪯Ak2X_k^2\preceq A_k^2Xk2​⪯Ak2​ bounds squares, not the matrices themselves; it does not give Xk⪯AkX_k\preceq A_kXk​⪯Ak​, so the scalar Hoeffding lemma for bounded centred variables has no direct matrix analogue. The infrastructure is also heavy: Lieb's concavity theorem underlies Corollary 3.3, and operator monotonicity of the logarithm is needed.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin d) (Fin d) ℂ, self-adjointness is IsHermitian, and ⪯\preceq⪯ is Mathlib's order under MatrixOrder. Matrix exponential and logarithm are cfc Real.exp and cfc Real.log. λmax⁡\lambda_{\max}λmax​ is the supremum of the real spectrum, which is why d≥1d\ge1d≥1 is assumed (NeZero d). Expectation and conditional expectation of matrices are entrywise Bochner integrals; adaptedness is entrywise strong measurability with respect to a Mathlib Filtration ℕ. The summands are indexed by k=1,…,nk=1,\dots,nk=1,…,n, so Fk−1\mathcal F_{k-1}Fk−1​ is never truncated. The bound Xk2⪯Ak2X_k^2\preceq A_k^2Xk2​⪯Ak2​ is required almost surely. The bounds AkA_kAk​ are deterministic matrices. The infimum over θ>0\theta>0θ>0 in Proposition 3.1 is posed as the bound for each θ>0\theta>0θ>0 at which the expectation is finite.

The hypotheses must not be made vacuous. Integrability of each XkX_kXk​ is assumed explicitly, because for a non-integrable variable Lean's conditional expectation is 000 and the centring hypothesis would say nothing. The XkX_kXk​ are not assumed independent: an independence hypothesis would turn the goal into the weaker matrix Hoeffding inequality.

Two readings are recorded in the statements. In Lemma 7.7 the conditional expectation given XXX is replaced by the expectation over ε\varepsilonε at each fixed value xxx with x2⪯A2x^2\preceq A^2x2⪯A2; by independence these agree. Corollary 7.2 adds the hypothesis that Y0Y_0Y0​ is almost surely constant, without which Yn−EYn≠∑kXkY_n-\mathbb EY_n\neq\sum_kX_kYn​−EYn​=∑k​Xk​.

A complete development needs: Golden–Thompson; Lieb's concavity theorem (or Corollary 3.3 directly); operator monotonicity of the matrix logarithm; monotonicity of the trace exponential; conditional expectation of matrix-valued variables and its interaction with the semidefinite order. All of these are reusable well beyond this mission, and contributions of any of them are welcome. Proposition 3.1, Corollary 3.3 and Lemma 4.3 are also milestones of other missions in this series.

Selected references

  • J. A. Tropp, User-Friendly Tail Bounds for Sums of Random Matrices, Found. Comput. Math. 12 (2012) 389–434; cited version arXiv:1004.4389v7 (2011). https://arxiv.org/abs/1004.4389v7
  • R. Ahlswede and A. Winter, Strong converse for identification via quantum channels, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 48 (2002) 569–579. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.985947
  • R. I. Oliveira, Sums of random Hermitian matrices and an inequality by Rudelson, Electron. Commun. Probab. 15 (2010) 203–212. https://arxiv.org/abs/1004.3821
  • J. A. Tropp, Freedman's inequality for matrix martingales, Electron. Commun. Probab. 16 (2011) 262–270. https://arxiv.org/abs/1101.3039
  • R. I. Oliveira, Concentration of the adjacency matrix and of the Laplacian in random graphs with independent edges, arXiv:0911.0600 (2010). https://arxiv.org/abs/0911.0600
  • C. McDiarmid, Concentration, in Probabilistic Methods for Algorithmic Discrete Mathematics, Springer (1998) 195–248. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-12788-9_6
  • R. Bhatia, Matrix Analysis, Springer GTM 169 (1997), Sec. IX.3. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-0653-8
  • E. H. Lieb, Convex trace functions and the Wigner–Yanase–Dyson conjecture, Adv. Math. 11 (1973) 267–288. https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-8708(73)90011-X
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Functional AnalysisMathematical Physics·Captain: mikedeng1

Mathematical Methods in Quantum Mechanics VIII: Relatively Compact Perturbations and Weyl's TheoremTextbook

Motivation

In quantum mechanics the spectrum of a Hamiltonian splits into two parts that behave very differently under perturbation. Isolated eigenvalues of finite multiplicity (bound states) move, split or disappear when the operator is changed even slightly; the rest of the spectrum, which carries scattering states and accumulation points of eigenvalues, is far more rigid. Weyl's theorem makes this rigidity precise: if two self-adjoint operators have resolvents that differ by a compact operator, their essential spectra coincide. It is the standard first step in locating the spectrum of a Schrödinger operator −Δ+V-\Delta + V−Δ+V: one shows that VVV is a relatively compact perturbation of −Δ-\Delta−Δ, concludes σess(−Δ+V)=σess(−Δ)=[0,∞)\sigma_{ess}(-\Delta + V) = \sigma_{ess}(-\Delta) = [0,\infty)σess​(−Δ+V)=σess​(−Δ)=[0,∞), and is left with the discrete eigenvalues below zero.

The result goes back to H. Weyl's 1909 work on compact perturbations of bounded self-adjoint operators; the resolvent formulation for unbounded operators is the one used in modern texts such as Reed–Simon (Vol. IV, Sec. XIII.4) and Teschl's Mathematical Methods in Quantum Mechanics (AMS GSM 99, 2009), Section 6.4, which this mission follows.

Setting

Let H\mathfrak HH be a complex Hilbert space and AAA a linear operator with domain D(A)⊆H\mathfrak D(A) \subseteq \mathfrak HD(A)⊆H. For z∈Cz \in \mathbb Cz∈C, the resolvent RA(z)=(A−z)−1R_A(z) = (A - z)^{-1}RA​(z)=(A−z)−1 exists when A−zA - zA−z maps D(A)\mathfrak D(A)D(A) bijectively onto H\mathfrak HH with a bounded inverse. The resolvent set ρ(A)\rho(A)ρ(A) is the set of such zzz, and the spectrum is σ(A)=C∖ρ(A)\sigma(A) = \mathbb C \setminus \rho(A)σ(A)=C∖ρ(A).

The discrete spectrum σd(A)\sigma_d(A)σd​(A) is the set of eigenvalues zzz of AAA that are isolated points of σ(A)\sigma(A)σ(A) and whose eigenspace Ker⁡(A−z)\operatorname{Ker}(A - z)Ker(A−z) is finite dimensional. The essential spectrum is σess(A)=σ(A)∖σd(A)\sigma_{ess}(A) = \sigma(A) \setminus \sigma_d(A)σess​(A)=σ(A)∖σd​(A).

A sequence ψn∈D(A)\psi_n \in \mathfrak D(A)ψn​∈D(A) with ∥ψn∥=1\|\psi_n\| = 1∥ψn​∥=1, ⟨φ,ψn⟩→0\langle \varphi, \psi_n \rangle \to 0⟨φ,ψn​⟩→0 for every φ\varphiφ (weak convergence to zero) and ∥(A−z)ψn∥→0\|(A - z)\psi_n\| \to 0∥(A−z)ψn​∥→0 is a singular Weyl sequence for AAA at zzz.

An operator is compact if it maps bounded sets to relatively compact sets; C(H)\mathfrak C(\mathfrak H)C(H) denotes the compact operators. An operator KKK is relatively compact with respect to AAA if D(A)⊆D(K)\mathfrak D(A) \subseteq \mathfrak D(K)D(A)⊆D(K) and KRA(z)∈C(H)K R_A(z) \in \mathfrak C(\mathfrak H)KRA​(z)∈C(H) for one z∈ρ(A)z \in \rho(A)z∈ρ(A). BBB is AAA bounded if D(A)⊆D(B)\mathfrak D(A) \subseteq \mathfrak D(B)D(A)⊆D(B) and ∥Bψ∥≤a∥Aψ∥+b∥ψ∥\|B\psi\| \le a\|A\psi\| + b\|\psi\|∥Bψ∥≤a∥Aψ∥+b∥ψ∥ on D(A)\mathfrak D(A)D(A); the infimum of admissible aaa is the AAA-bound. A symmetric operator AAA has defect indices d±(A)=dim⁡Ran⁡(A±i)⊥d_\pm(A) = \dim \operatorname{Ran}(A \pm i)^\perpd±​(A)=dimRan(A±i)⊥.

Formalization targets

Goal: Weyl's theorem (Theorem 6.19)

For self-adjoint AAA and BBB,

∃ z∈ρ(A)∩ρ(B): RA(z)−RB(z)∈C(H)⟹σess(A)=σess(B).\exists\, z \in \rho(A) \cap \rho(B):\ R_A(z) - R_B(z) \in \mathfrak C(\mathfrak H) \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \sigma_{ess}(A) = \sigma_{ess}(B).∃z∈ρ(A)∩ρ(B): RA​(z)−RB​(z)∈C(H)⟹σess​(A)=σess​(B).

Milestones

  • Weyl criterion (Lemma 6.17). For self-adjoint AAA: z∈σess(A)z \in \sigma_{ess}(A)z∈σess​(A) if and only if a singular Weyl sequence at zzz exists; if so, it can be chosen orthonormal.
  • Compact perturbations (Lemma 6.18). For self-adjoint AAA and compact self-adjoint KKK, σess(A+K)=σess(A)\sigma_{ess}(A + K) = \sigma_{ess}(A)σess​(A+K)=σess​(A), and
σess(A)=⋂K∈C(H), K∗=Kσ(A+K).\sigma_{ess}(A) = \bigcap_{K \in \mathfrak C(\mathfrak H),\, K^* = K} \sigma(A + K).σess​(A)=K∈C(H),K∗=K⋂​σ(A+K).
  • Independence of zzz (Lemma 6.21, first part). If RA(z)−RB(z)R_A(z) - R_B(z)RA​(z)−RB​(z) is compact for one z∈ρ(A)∩ρ(B)z \in \rho(A) \cap \rho(B)z∈ρ(A)∩ρ(B), it is compact for all such zzz.
  • Self-adjoint extensions (Theorem 6.20). If AAA is symmetric with d+(A)=d−(A)<∞d_+(A) = d_-(A) < \inftyd+​(A)=d−​(A)<∞, all self-adjoint extensions of AAA have the same essential spectrum.
  • Relative compactness is infinitesimal (Lemma 6.22). For self-adjoint AAA, a relatively compact KKK has AAA-bound 000.
  • Stability of relative compactness (Lemma 6.23). If AAA is self-adjoint, BBB symmetric with AAA-bound less than one, and KKK relatively compact with respect to AAA, then KKK is relatively compact with respect to A+BA + BA+B.

Significance

The result. Weyl's theorem reduces the determination of the essential spectrum of a perturbed operator to that of a simpler reference operator. Combined with Lemma 6.22 and the Kato–Rellich theorem, it yields σess(A+K)=σess(A)\sigma_{ess}(A + K) = \sigma_{ess}(A)σess​(A+K)=σess​(A) for every relatively compact symmetric KKK; Lemma 6.23 extends this to perturbations of the form B+KB + KB+K. These are the inputs to the HVZ theorem for NNN-body systems, to the spectral analysis of one-particle Schrödinger operators with decaying potentials, and, via Theorem 6.20, to the observation that boundary conditions at a limit-circle endpoint do not affect the essential spectrum of a Sturm–Liouville operator. The Weyl criterion is independently useful: it is how points are shown to lie in σess\sigma_{ess}σess​ in concrete examples.

Formalizing it. The results are classical and proved in every text on the subject. None of them is formalized: Mathlib has compact operators and the adjoint of a densely defined LinearPMap, but no resolvent set or spectrum for unbounded operators, no discrete or essential spectrum and no relative compactness. This mission asks for formal proofs of Teschl's statements and, with them, a reusable layer of definitions (resolvent of a LinearPMap, σd\sigma_dσd​, σess\sigma_{ess}σess​, singular Weyl sequences, relative compactness) on which later chapters (free Schrödinger operator, HVZ theorem) can build.

Difficulty

The obvious route to all of these statements goes through the spectral theorem: Teschl's proof of the Weyl criterion uses spectral projections PA((λ−ε,λ+ε))P_A((\lambda - \varepsilon, \lambda + \varepsilon))PA​((λ−ε,λ+ε)) and spectral measures μψn\mu_{\psi_n}μψn​​, and his characterization (6.27)–(6.28) of σess\sigma_{ess}σess​ by ranks of spectral projections presupposes the functional calculus. Mathlib has no spectral theorem for unbounded self-adjoint operators, so this route requires either building it or finding arguments that avoid it. The definition of σess\sigma_{ess}σess​ used here is deliberately the PVM-free one of p. 145, which makes the statements expressible now but moves the difficulty into the proofs: showing that a point of σ(A)∖σd(A)\sigma(A) \setminus \sigma_d(A)σ(A)∖σd​(A) carries a singular Weyl sequence requires controlling approximate eigenvectors near a non-isolated spectral point or an eigenvalue of infinite multiplicity without projections.

A second difficulty is domain bookkeeping. A+KA + KA+K, A+BA + BA+B, KRA(z)K R_A(z)KRA​(z) and RA+B(z)R_{A+B}(z)RA+B​(z) all involve unbounded operators with different domains, and identities such as the second resolvent formula KRA+B(z)=KRA(z)(I−BRA+B(z))K R_{A+B}(z) = K R_A(z)(\mathbb I - B R_{A+B}(z))KRA+B​(z)=KRA​(z)(I−BRA+B​(z)) must be established on the correct domains. Theorem 6.20 requires relating the resolvents of two self-adjoint extensions through the finite-dimensional defect spaces.

Formalization scope

The Hilbert space is {H : Type*} [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace ℂ H] [CompleteSpace H]; separability is not assumed, since no statement of the section needs it. Unbounded operators are Mathlib LinearPMaps H →ₗ.[ℂ] H, self-adjointness is Mathlib's IsSelfAdjoint (which implies a dense domain), and symmetric operators are densely defined by definition, as in the book. The resolvent is the bounded two-sided inverse of A−zA - zA−z of p. 73 (IsResolventAt), and ρ(A)\rho(A)ρ(A), σ(A)\sigma(A)σ(A) are defined from it; Mathlib's Banach-algebra spectrum is not used. "For one z∈ρ(A)∩ρ(B)z \in \rho(A) \cap \rho(B)z∈ρ(A)∩ρ(B)" is an existential over zzz and the two resolvents. Compactness is Mathlib's IsCompactOperator, which on a Hilbert space agrees with the book's norm closure of finite rank operators. A+KA + KA+K for bounded KKK is K +ᵥ A (domain D(A)\mathfrak D(A)D(A)); A+BA + BA+B for unbounded BBB is the LinearPMap sum with domain D(A)∩D(B)\mathfrak D(A) \cap \mathfrak D(B)D(A)∩D(B). The AAA-bound is valued in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and is ∞\infty∞ for an operator that is not AAA bounded. The defect indices are "equal and finite" when both defect spaces are finite dimensional with equal finrank.

No projection-valued measure or functional calculus is taken as data, and none is needed: every statement is phrased without f(A)f(A)f(A). For this reason the second half of Lemma 6.21, f(A)−f(B)∈C(H)f(A) - f(B) \in \mathfrak C(\mathfrak H)f(A)−f(B)∈C(H) for f∈C∞(R)f \in C_\infty(\mathbb R)f∈C∞​(R), and the form-compactness results Lemma 6.26 and Corollary 6.27 of Section 6.5 are not part of the mission.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the discrete spectrum requires all three of "eigenvalue", "isolated in σ(A)\sigma(A)σ(A)" and "finite-dimensional eigenspace", so σess\sigma_{ess}σess​ is neither empty nor all of σ(A)\sigma(A)σ(A) by definition, and the resolvent hypothesis of Weyl's theorem is an existential over genuine resolvents, never a junk value outside ρ(A)\rho(A)ρ(A).

A complete development needs the resolvent identities for LinearPMaps, the relation between self-adjointness and real spectrum, weak convergence of bounded sequences, and the fact that compact operators map weakly null sequences to norm-null ones. The definitions of resolvent, σess\sigma_{ess}σess​, relative compactness and AAA-bound are shared with other chapters of this series and are intended for reuse. Contributions of general lemmas on LinearPMap resolvents are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Teschl, Mathematical Methods in Quantum Mechanics, With Applications to Schrödinger Operators, Graduate Studies in Mathematics 99, AMS, 2009, Section 6.4. https://doi.org/10.1090/gsm/099
  • H. Weyl, Über beschränkte quadratische Formen, deren Differenz vollstetig ist, Rendiconti del Circolo Matematico di Palermo 27 (1909), 373–392. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03019655
  • M. Reed and B. Simon, Methods of Modern Mathematical Physics IV: Analysis of Operators, Academic Press, 1978, Section XIII.4.
  • T. Kato, Perturbation Theory for Linear Operators, 2nd ed., Springer, 1980, Section IV.5. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-66282-9
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Pure Mathematics·Captain: mikedeng1

Tasty Bits of Several Complex Variables I: Holomorphic Functions and Power Series on PolydiscsTextbook

Why holomorphic functions of several variables

Several complex variables studies functions of z=(z1,…,zn)∈Cnz = (z_1, \dots, z_n) \in \mathbb{C}^nz=(z1​,…,zn​)∈Cn that are holomorphic in every coordinate. It underlies complex geometry, the theory of analytic spaces, and parts of mathematical physics and harmonic analysis. Every later topic of the subject (domains of holomorphy, pseudoconvexity, the ∂ˉ\bar\partial∂ˉ-problem, the Bergman kernel, analytic varieties) starts from the same foundation: a function that is holomorphic in each variable separately and locally bounded is jointly smooth and is locally the sum of a convergent power series. This mission formalizes that foundation as it appears in the first chapter of Jiří Lebl's textbook Tasty Bits of Several Complex Variables (jirka.org/scv).

Historically, the step from separate to joint regularity is due to Osgood (1899), who showed that a continuous (later: locally bounded) function that is holomorphic in each variable separately is holomorphic; Hartogs (1906) later removed the boundedness assumption altogether, a much harder theorem not covered here.

Setting

Points of Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn are z=(z1,…,zn)z = (z_1, \dots, z_n)z=(z1​,…,zn​). For a center a∈Cna \in \mathbb{C}^na∈Cn and a polyradius ρ=(ρ1,…,ρn)\rho = (\rho_1, \dots, \rho_n)ρ=(ρ1​,…,ρn​) with every ρk>0\rho_k > 0ρk​>0, the polydisc is

Δρ(a)={z∈Cn:∣zk−ak∣<ρk, k=1,…,n},\Delta_\rho(a) = \{ z \in \mathbb{C}^n : |z_k - a_k| < \rho_k,\ k = 1, \dots, n \},Δρ​(a)={z∈Cn:∣zk​−ak​∣<ρk​, k=1,…,n},

a product of open discs Δ1×⋯×Δn\Delta_1 \times \cdots \times \Delta_nΔ1​×⋯×Δn​. Its distinguished boundary is the torus Γ=∂Δ1×⋯×∂Δn={∣ζk−ak∣=ρk for all k}\Gamma = \partial\Delta_1 \times \cdots \times \partial\Delta_n = \{ |\zeta_k - a_k| = \rho_k \text{ for all } k \}Γ=∂Δ1​×⋯×∂Δn​={∣ζk​−ak​∣=ρk​ for all k}, and Δ‾\overline{\Delta}Δ denotes the closed polydisc.

A function fff on an open set U⊂CnU \subset \mathbb{C}^nU⊂Cn is holomorphic (the book's Definition 1.1.2) if it is locally bounded (every point of UUU has a neighborhood on which fff is bounded) and complex-differentiable in each variable separately: for every z∈Uz \in Uz∈U and every kkk, the one-variable limit

lim⁡ξ→0f(z1,…,zk+ξ,…,zn)−f(z)ξ\lim_{\xi \to 0} \frac{f(z_1, \dots, z_k + \xi, \dots, z_n) - f(z)}{\xi}ξ→0lim​ξf(z1​,…,zk​+ξ,…,zn​)−f(z)​

exists. A map f=(f1,…,fm):U→Cmf = (f_1, \dots, f_m) : U \to \mathbb{C}^mf=(f1​,…,fm​):U→Cm is holomorphic if every component is.

A multi-index is α=(α1,…,αn)∈N0n\alpha = (\alpha_1, \dots, \alpha_n) \in \mathbb{N}_0^nα=(α1​,…,αn​)∈N0n​, with α!=α1!⋯αn!\alpha! = \alpha_1! \cdots \alpha_n!α!=α1​!⋯αn​!, (z−a)α=∏k(zk−ak)αk(z-a)^\alpha = \prod_k (z_k - a_k)^{\alpha_k}(z−a)α=∏k​(zk​−ak​)αk​ and ρα=∏kρkαk\rho^\alpha = \prod_k \rho_k^{\alpha_k}ρα=∏k​ρkαk​​. A power series ∑αcα(z−a)α\sum_\alpha c_\alpha (z-a)^\alpha∑α​cα​(z−a)α is summed over all multi-indices; since N0n\mathbb{N}_0^nN0n​ has no natural order, convergence means absolute convergence, and the series converges uniformly absolutely on a set XXX when ∑α∣cα(z−a)α∣\sum_\alpha |c_\alpha (z-a)^\alpha|∑α​∣cα​(z−a)α∣ converges uniformly for z∈Xz \in Xz∈X. The Wirtinger derivative is ∂/∂zk=12(∂/∂xk−i ∂/∂yk)\partial/\partial z_k = \tfrac12(\partial/\partial x_k - i\,\partial/\partial y_k)∂/∂zk​=21​(∂/∂xk​−i∂/∂yk​) for zk=xk+iykz_k = x_k + i y_kzk​=xk​+iyk​, and ∂∣α∣/∂zα\partial^{|\alpha|}/\partial z^\alpha∂∣α∣/∂zα applies ∂/∂zk\partial/\partial z_k∂/∂zk​ exactly αk\alpha_kαk​ times for each kkk.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.2.1 (power series on a polydisc)

Let Δ=Δρ(a)\Delta = \Delta_\rho(a)Δ=Δρ​(a) be a polydisc. If f:Δ‾→Cf : \overline{\Delta} \to \mathbb{C}f:Δ→C is continuous and holomorphic in Δ\DeltaΔ, then there are coefficients cαc_\alphacα​ with

f(z)=∑αcα(z−a)α(z∈Δ),f(z) = \sum_\alpha c_\alpha (z-a)^\alpha \qquad (z \in \Delta),f(z)=α∑​cα​(z−a)α(z∈Δ),

the series converging uniformly absolutely on every compact subset of Δ\DeltaΔ. Conversely, a function defined on Δ\DeltaΔ by such a series is holomorphic on Δ\DeltaΔ. Both directions are part of the goal.

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Proposition 1.1.3. A holomorphic function on an open UUU is C∞C^\inftyC∞, and every ∂f/∂zk\partial f/\partial z_k∂f/∂zk​ is again holomorphic.
  2. Theorem 1.1.4 (Cauchy integral formula). For fff continuous on Δ‾\overline{\Delta}Δ and holomorphic in Δ\DeltaΔ, and z∈Δz \in \Deltaz∈Δ,
f(z)=1(2πi)n∫Γf(ζ)(ζ1−z1)⋯(ζn−zn) dζ1∧⋯∧dζn.f(z) = \frac{1}{(2\pi i)^n} \int_\Gamma \frac{f(\zeta)}{(\zeta_1 - z_1)\cdots(\zeta_n - z_n)}\, d\zeta_1 \wedge \cdots \wedge d\zeta_n.f(z)=(2πi)n1​∫Γ​(ζ1​−z1​)⋯(ζn​−zn​)f(ζ)​dζ1​∧⋯∧dζn​.
  1. Proposition 1.2.2. The derivative formula ∂∣α∣f∂zα(z)=1(2πi)n∫Γα! f(ζ)(ζ−z)α+1 dζ\frac{\partial^{|\alpha|} f}{\partial z^\alpha}(z) = \frac{1}{(2\pi i)^n}\int_\Gamma \frac{\alpha!\, f(\zeta)}{(\zeta - z)^{\alpha+1}}\,d\zeta∂zα∂∣α∣f​(z)=(2πi)n1​∫Γ​(ζ−z)α+1α!f(ζ)​dζ, the coefficient formula cα=1α!∂∣α∣f∂zα(a)c_\alpha = \frac{1}{\alpha!}\frac{\partial^{|\alpha|} f}{\partial z^\alpha}(a)cα​=α!1​∂zα∂∣α∣f​(a), and the Cauchy estimates ∣cα∣≤∥f∥Γ/ρα|c_\alpha| \le \|f\|_\Gamma / \rho^\alpha∣cα​∣≤∥f∥Γ​/ρα.
  2. Proposition 1.2.3. A limit, uniform on compact subsets, of holomorphic functions is holomorphic, and all derivatives ∂∣α∣/∂zα\partial^{|\alpha|}/\partial z^\alpha∂∣α∣/∂zα converge uniformly on compact subsets.
  3. Theorem 1.2.7 (identity theorem). On a domain, a holomorphic function vanishing on a nonempty open subset vanishes identically.
  4. Theorem 1.2.8 (maximum principle). On a domain, if ∣f∣|f|∣f∣ has a local maximum at aaa, then f≡f(a)f \equiv f(a)f≡f(a).
  5. Theorem 1.3.5. Compositions of holomorphic mappings are holomorphic.
  6. Proposition 1.3.7. For holomorphic f:U→Cnf : U \to \mathbb{C}^nf:U→Cn, ∣det⁡Df(p)∣2=det⁡DRf(p)|\det Df(p)|^2 = \det D_{\mathbb{R}} f(p)∣detDf(p)∣2=detDR​f(p).

Significance

Theorem 1.2.1 is the statement that makes the theory of several complex variables possible: it identifies the book's elementary, one-variable-at-a-time definition of holomorphy with local representability by power series. Uniqueness of the coefficients, the Cauchy estimates, the identity theorem, the maximum principle, and holomorphy of compositions and of implicit functions all follow from it, and every later chapter of the book (Hartogs figures, pseudoconvexity, the Bergman kernel, Weierstrass preparation) uses it without comment.

Mathlib already develops complex analysis in several variables for Fréchet-differentiable maps: analyticity of DifferentiableOn ℂ functions, torusIntegral, Cauchy integrals over circles, and Osgood-type regularity for maps on Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn are available or published on the platform. What this mission adds is the bridge from the weaker separate notion of holomorphy, with local boundedness, to these results, stated with multi-index power series and uniform absolute convergence on compact sets exactly as in the textbook. The results are classical and fully proved in the book; none has a machine-checked proof in this form.

Difficulty

The hypothesis controls fff only along complex lines parallel to the coordinate axes, plus a bound. Nothing in the definition says that fff is continuous, let alone jointly differentiable, so no joint limit, Fréchet derivative, or change of the order of integration is available at the start. Every tool that the one-variable theory and Mathlib's multivariable library supply presupposes joint regularity; the obstacle is to obtain it from separate information.

A second difficulty is bookkeeping: power series over N0n\mathbb{N}_0^nN0n​ have no natural order, so convergence must be handled as unconditional summation with a uniformity statement over compact sets, and iterated Wirtinger derivatives must be related to derivatives of the series term by term.

Formalization scope

  • Cn\mathbb{C}^nCn is Fin n → ℂ; multi-indices are Fin n → ℕ. A polyradius is ρ : Fin n → ℝ with the hypothesis ∀ k, 0 < ρ k; the polydisc is defined coordinatewise (not Metric.ball, which only gives equal radii).
  • Holomorphy is the book's Definition 1.1.2, IsHolomorphicOn f U: local boundedness plus complex differentiability at ξ=0\xi = 0ξ=0 of ξ↦f(z1,…,zk+ξ,…,zn)\xi \mapsto f(z_1, \dots, z_k + \xi, \dots, z_n)ξ↦f(z1​,…,zk​+ξ,…,zn​) (via Function.update). Openness of UUU is a hypothesis wherever the book says "open". Maps into Cm\mathbb{C}^mCm are holomorphic componentwise.
  • Ruled out: defining holomorphy as Mathlib's DifferentiableOn ℂ. That makes Proposition 1.1.3 and the first half of the goal off-target (they would follow from existing library results) and is not the book's definition.
  • The closed polydisc is closure (polydisc a ρ); "continuous on Δ‾\overline{\Delta}Δ, holomorphic in Δ\DeltaΔ" keeps both hypotheses.
  • Power series: HasSum (unconditional summation) of the terms cα(z−a)αc_\alpha (z-a)^\alphacα​(z−a)α to f(z)f(z)f(z), and uniform absolute convergence on a set XXX means the finite partial sums of ∣cα(z−a)α∣|c_\alpha (z-a)^\alpha|∣cα​(z−a)α∣, directed by inclusion, converge uniformly on XXX. Mathlib's HasFPowerSeriesOnBall is not used: its balls for the sup norm are equiradial polydiscs only.
  • The integral over Γ\GammaΓ is torusIntegral, whose parametrization ζk=ak+ρkeiθk\zeta_k = a_k + \rho_k e^{i\theta_k}ζk​=ak​+ρk​eiθk​ includes the Jacobian ∏kiρkeiθk\prod_k i\rho_k e^{i\theta_k}∏k​iρk​eiθk​ and orients each circle positively. The integrands are continuous on the compact torus, so no integrability hypothesis is needed.
  • ∂/∂zk\partial/\partial z_k∂/∂zk​ is defined from real partial derivatives (deriv along t↦zk+tt \mapsto z_k + tt↦zk​+t and t↦zk+itt \mapsto z_k + itt↦zk​+it); ∂∣α∣/∂zα\partial^{|\alpha|}/\partial z^\alpha∂∣α∣/∂zα iterates it. det⁡DRf(p)\det D_{\mathbb{R}} f(p)detDR​f(p) is LinearMap.det of the real Fréchet derivative, which is basis independent.
  • The Cauchy estimate is stated for every bound MMM of ∣f∣|f|∣f∣ on Γ\GammaΓ, which is equivalent to the book's ∥f∥Γ\|f\|_\Gamma∥f∥Γ​ form.

A complete development needs the one-variable Cauchy integral formula (in Mathlib), iterated circle integrals and torusIntegral, and summation over Fin n → ℕ. The regularity bridge from separate to joint holomorphy and the multi-index power-series API are reusable across the whole series of missions on this book; contributions of either as standalone lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Lebl, Tasty Bits of Several Complex Variables, version 4.4, 2026, Chapter 1, §§1.1–1.3. https://www.jirka.org/scv/scv.pdf
  • W. F. Osgood, "Note über analytische Functionen mehrerer Veränderlichen", Mathematische Annalen 52 (1899), 462–464.
  • L. Hörmander, An Introduction to Complex Analysis in Several Variables, 3rd ed., North-Holland, 1990, Chapter II.
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Captain: mikedeng1

Generalized Stieltjes Transforms: Basic Aspects: A Criterion of Exactness for the Stieltjes Order via Monotonicity of a Fractional Transform of the Representing MeasureResearch Paper

Motivation

The generalized Stieltjes transform of order α>0\alpha>0α>0 of a non-negative measure μ\muμ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) is the function z↦∫[0,∞)μ(du)/(u+z)αz\mapsto\int_{[0,\infty)}\mu(du)/(u+z)^\alphaz↦∫[0,∞)​μ(du)/(u+z)α. For α=1\alpha=1α=1 this is the classical Stieltjes transform, whose functions (Stieltjes functions) appear in moment problems, in the theory of completely monotone and Bernstein functions, in the spectral theory of positive operators, and in the functional calculus of sectorial operators. The classes of order α≠1\alpha\ne1α=1 were studied by Widder, Hirschman and Widder, Sokal, and Schwarz, among others, and appear in work on functional calculi of sectorial operators (Batty, Gomilko and Tomilov, arXiv:1309.0318).

D. Karp and E. Prilepkina, Generalized Stieltjes transforms: basic aspects (arXiv:1111.4271), collect and prove the basic real- and complex-variable properties of these classes. One elementary but structural fact is that the classes are nested: a function of order α\alphaα is also of every larger order β\betaβ. This raises a natural question that the paper answers: given fff in the class of order β\betaβ, is β\betaβ the smallest order available, or can it be lowered? The paper introduces the exact Stieltjes order and gives a criterion of exactness phrased purely in terms of the representing measure of fff. This mission formalizes that criterion (Theorem 16) together with the results its proof relies on.

Setting

For α>0\alpha>0α>0, write Mα\mathcal M_\alphaMα​ for the set of non-negative Borel measures μ\muμ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with

∫[0,∞)μ(dt)(1+t)α<∞.(2)\int_{[0,\infty)}\frac{\mu(dt)}{(1+t)^\alpha}<\infty. \tag{2}∫[0,∞)​(1+t)αμ(dt)​<∞.(2)

The generalized Stieltjes class SαS_\alphaSα​ consists of the functions f:(0,∞)→Rf:(0,\infty)\to\mathbb Rf:(0,∞)→R of the form

f(z)=μ∞+∫[0,∞)μα(du)(u+z)α,z>0,f(z)=\mu_\infty+\int_{[0,\infty)}\frac{\mu_\alpha(du)}{(u+z)^\alpha},\qquad z>0,f(z)=μ∞​+∫[0,∞)​(u+z)αμα​(du)​,z>0,

with a constant μ∞≥0\mu_\infty\ge0μ∞​≥0 and μα∈Mα\mu_\alpha\in\mathcal M_\alphaμα​∈Mα​. The paper writes the atom of μα\mu_\alphaμα​ at 000 separately as a term μ0/zα\mu_0/z^\alphaμ0​/zα (its formula (1)); here it is part of μα\mu_\alphaμα​. The pair (μ∞,μα)(\mu_\infty,\mu_\alpha)(μ∞​,μα​) is a representation of fff in SαS_\alphaSα​, and μα\mu_\alphaμα​ is its representing measure. Write S∞=⋃α>0SαS_\infty=\bigcup_{\alpha>0}S_\alphaS∞​=⋃α>0​Sα​.

For a measure μ\muμ on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), its left-continuous distribution function is Fμ(y)=μ([0,y))F_\mu(y)=\mu([0,y))Fμ​(y)=μ([0,y)), so Fμ(0)=0F_\mu(0)=0Fμ​(0)=0. For η>0\eta>0η>0, the left-sided Riemann–Liouville fractional integral Iη+μI^+_\eta\muIη+​μ (Definition A1) is the measure on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with Lebesgue density

y⟼1Γ(η)∫[0,y)μ(du)(y−u)1−η(y>0).y\longmapsto\frac{1}{\Gamma(\eta)}\int_{[0,y)}\frac{\mu(du)}{(y-u)^{1-\eta}}\qquad(y>0).y⟼Γ(η)1​∫[0,y)​(y−u)1−ημ(du)​(y>0).

The exact Stieltjes order of f∈S∞f\in S_\inftyf∈S∞​ is

α∗[f]=inf⁡{α>0: f∈Sα}.(24)\alpha^*[f]=\inf\{\alpha>0:\ f\in S_\alpha\}. \tag{24}α∗[f]=inf{α>0: f∈Sα​}.(24)

Finally, for f∈Sβf\in S_\betaf∈Sβ​ with representing measure μβ\mu_\betaμβ​ and a parameter ε\varepsilonε, set

Φ(y)=∫[0,y)μβ(du)(y−u)ε,y≥0.(25)\Phi(y)=\int_{[0,y)}\frac{\mu_\beta(du)}{(y-u)^{\varepsilon}},\qquad y\ge0. \tag{25}Φ(y)=∫[0,y)​(y−u)εμβ​(du)​,y≥0.(25)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 16 (criterion of exactness)

For β>0\beta>0β>0 and f∈Sβf\in S_\betaf∈Sβ​ with representing measure μβ\mu_\betaμβ​,

β>α∗[f]  ⟺  Φ is non-decreasing on (0,∞) for some ε∈(0,min⁡{β,1}).\beta>\alpha^*[f]\iff \Phi\ \text{is non-decreasing on }(0,\infty)\ \text{for some}\ \varepsilon\in(0,\min\{\beta,1\}).β>α∗[f]⟺Φ is non-decreasing on (0,∞) for some ε∈(0,min{β,1}).

The order β\betaβ is exact precisely when no admissible ε\varepsilonε makes Φ\PhiΦ monotone.

Milestones

  1. Formula (12). For 0<α<β0<\alpha<\beta0<α<β, z>0z>0z>0, u≥0u\ge0u≥0:
1(u+z)α=Γ(β)Γ(α)Γ(β−α)∫(0,∞)tβ−α−1 dt(z+u+t)β.\frac{1}{(u+z)^\alpha}=\frac{\Gamma(\beta)}{\Gamma(\alpha)\Gamma(\beta-\alpha)}\int_{(0,\infty)}\frac{t^{\beta-\alpha-1}\,dt}{(z+u+t)^\beta}.(u+z)α1​=Γ(α)Γ(β−α)Γ(β)​∫(0,∞)​(z+u+t)βtβ−α−1dt​.
  1. Theorem 3, first part. For 0<α<β0<\alpha<\beta0<α<β, Sα⊂SβS_\alpha\subset S_\betaSα​⊂Sβ​; explicitly, f∈Sαf\in S_\alphaf∈Sα​ is represented in SβS_\betaSβ​ with the same μ∞\mu_\inftyμ∞​ and
μβ(dy)=Γ(β) dyΓ(α)Γ(β−α)∫[0,y)μα(du)(y−u)α+1−β.(10)\mu_\beta(dy)=\frac{\Gamma(\beta)\,dy}{\Gamma(\alpha)\Gamma(\beta-\alpha)}\int_{[0,y)}\frac{\mu_\alpha(du)}{(y-u)^{\alpha+1-\beta}}. \tag{10}μβ​(dy)=Γ(α)Γ(β−α)Γ(β)dy​∫[0,y)​(y−u)α+1−βμα​(du)​.(10)
  1. Theorem A1, first part. Iη+I^+_\etaIη+​ maps Mα\mathcal M_\alphaMα​ into Mα+η\mathcal M_{\alpha+\eta}Mα+η​.
  2. Theorem A1, inversion (29), case 0<η<10<\eta<10<η<1. Fμ(y)=1Γ(1−η)∫[0,y)(Iη+μ)(du)(y−u)ηF_\mu(y)=\frac{1}{\Gamma(1-\eta)}\int_{[0,y)}\frac{(I^+_\eta\mu)(du)}{(y-u)^{\eta}}Fμ​(y)=Γ(1−η)1​∫[0,y)​(y−u)η(Iη+​μ)(du)​ for all y≥0y\ge0y≥0.
  3. Theorem 3, inversion (11), case 0<β−α<10<\beta-\alpha<10<β−α<1. If f∈Sαf\in S_\alphaf∈Sα​ has representing measure μα\mu_\alphaμα​ and any representation (μ∞′,μβ)(\mu'_\infty,\mu_\beta)(μ∞′​,μβ​) in SβS_\betaSβ​, then μ∞′=μ∞\mu'_\infty=\mu_\inftyμ∞′​=μ∞​ and
Fμα(y)=Γ(α)Γ(β)Γ(α−β+1)∫[0,y)μβ(du)(y−u)β−α.F_{\mu_\alpha}(y)=\frac{\Gamma(\alpha)}{\Gamma(\beta)\Gamma(\alpha-\beta+1)}\int_{[0,y)}\frac{\mu_\beta(du)}{(y-u)^{\beta-\alpha}}.Fμα​​(y)=Γ(β)Γ(α−β+1)Γ(α)​∫[0,y)​(y−u)β−αμβ​(du)​.
  1. Claim (26). If Φ=Fν\Phi=F_\nuΦ=Fν​ and ∫[0,∞)Φ(y) dy/(1+y)α+1<∞\int_{[0,\infty)}\Phi(y)\,dy/(1+y)^{\alpha+1}<\infty∫[0,∞)​Φ(y)dy/(1+y)α+1<∞, then ∫[0,∞)dΦ(y)/(1+y)α<∞\int_{[0,\infty)}d\Phi(y)/(1+y)^\alpha<\infty∫[0,∞)​dΦ(y)/(1+y)α<∞ and Φ(t)(1+t)−α→0\Phi(t)(1+t)^{-\alpha}\to0Φ(t)(1+t)−α→0.

Significance

The result. Theorem 16 reduces the question "is the order of fff optimal?" to a monotonicity test on a single function built from the representing measure. The paper derives two practical corollaries from it: if Φ(2y)/Φ(y)\Phi(2y)/\Phi(y)Φ(2y)/Φ(y) has a limit below 111, then β\betaβ is exact (Corollary 1), and if μβ\mu_\betaμβ​ has compact support, then β\betaβ is exact (Corollary 2). Both are immediate once Theorem 16 is available and are natural follow-up targets. The milestones are of independent use: Theorem 3 is the nesting of the classes with an explicit formula for the new representing measure, and Theorem A1 is the integrability and inversion theory of fractional integrals of measures, which the paper's appendix develops because the authors found no reference treating measures rather than functions.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none is formalized. The platform has the generalized Stieltjes class itself (a published definition from the Batty–Gomilko–Tomilov formalization) and the half-line Beta integral, but no fractional integrals of measures, no inversion formula, and nothing on the exact order. A complete development provides a reusable Riemann–Liouville calculus for measures on the half-line and the uniqueness of the representing measure in SβS_\betaSβ​, which milestone 5 contains.

Difficulty

The forward direction of Theorem 16 looks like a computation: pass from β\betaβ to a smaller order and read off the measure. The obstacle is that one must know that the representing measure in SβS_\betaSβ​ is unique, since Φ\PhiΦ is built from the representing measure and the inversion formula (11) must apply to it; milestone 5 states the inversion for an arbitrary representing measure for this reason. The converse direction must produce a measure from a function: a non-decreasing Φ\PhiΦ is a distribution function, and one must show the resulting measure satisfies (2) at the lower order, which is claim (26) and needs a careful tail estimate rather than a direct comparison. Throughout, interchanges of integration are carried out for measures with atoms (including an atom at 000), where the naive differentiation formula of (11) and (29) for higher nnn breaks down at jumps.

Formalization scope

Functions are real-valued on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) (PositiveReal), and the classes and representations are the published StieltjesClass and StieltjesRepresentation (QAlgorithms_Papers_Independent_Renew46_P11), reused unchanged. Representing measures are measures on ℝ≥0; the paper's atom at +∞+\infty+∞ is the constant μ∞\mu_\inftyμ∞​. All orders α,β,η\alpha,\beta,\etaα,β,η are positive. All kernel integrals and the functions FμF_\muFμ​ and Φ\PhiΦ take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (lower Lebesgue integrals), so a divergent integral is +∞+\infty+∞, not 000; "non-decreasing" is monotonicity in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]. The exact order is the real infimum of {α>0:f∈Sα}\{\alpha>0: f\in S_\alpha\}{α>0:f∈Sα​}, which is nonempty and bounded below whenever f∈Sβf\in S_\betaf∈Sβ​. Densities are with respect to Lebesgue measure on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) pushed to ℝ≥0.

Corrected readings, each disclosed in the item: (25) is taken over [0,y)[0,y)[0,y), while the paper prints (0,y)(0,y)(0,y); with (0,y)(0,y)(0,y) the theorem fails for f(z)=z−βf(z)=z^{-\beta}f(z)=z−β, whose representing measure is the unit mass at 000. Formulas (11) and (29) are stated only for n=0n=0n=0, the case Theorem 16 uses; as printed for n≥1n\ge1n≥1 they differentiate a function at its jumps. Claim (26) is stated for the distribution function of an arbitrary measure, the generality its proof gives.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: Φ\PhiΦ must be built from the representing measure of the given fff (not from an arbitrary measure), over [0,y)[0,y)[0,y) (over (0,y)(0,y)(0,y) an atom at 000 makes Φ\PhiΦ identically 000), and in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (a real-valued Bochner Φ\PhiΦ would be 000 wherever the integral diverges).

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, a reusable Riemann–Liouville integral of measures on ℝ≥0 with its Tonelli computations, uniqueness of generalized Stieltjes representations, and the corollaries of Theorem 16.

Selected references

  • D. Karp, E. Prilepkina, Generalized Stieltjes transforms: basic aspects, arXiv:1111.4271v2, 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1111.4271
  • C. Batty, A. Gomilko, Yu. Tomilov, Product formulas in functional calculi for sectorial operators, arXiv:1309.0318. https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.0318
  • A. D. Sokal, Real-variables characterization of generalized Stieltjes functions, Expositiones Mathematicae 28 (2010), 179–185.
  • J. H. Schwarz, The generalized Stieltjes transform and its inverse, J. Math. Phys. 46, 013501 (2005).
  • D. V. Widder, The Stieltjes transform, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 43 (1938), 7–60.
  • S. G. Samko, A. A. Kilbas, O. I. Marichev, Fractional Integrals and Derivatives: Theory and Applications, Gordon and Breach, 1993.
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Noncommutative Lp modules: Every Lp Module over a Finite-Dimensional von Neumann Algebra Is Isometrically Isomorphic, as a Module, to a Principal Column Sum of Projected Lp SpacesResearch Paper

Motivation

A Hilbert space has an orthonormal basis, so every Hilbert space is isometric to some ℓ2(I)\ell^2(I)ℓ2(I). Hilbert C∗^*∗-modules, the analogue of Hilbert spaces in which the inner product takes values in an operator algebra, have no such basis in general. Over a von Neumann algebra M\mathcal MM, Paschke showed that the self-dual Hilbert C∗^*∗-modules are exactly the "ultraweak direct sums" of corners qαMq_\alpha\mathcal Mqα​M cut by projections qα∈Mq_\alpha\in\mathcal Mqα​∈M (Paschke, Trans. AMS 182, 1973).

Junge and Sherman (arXiv:math/0301044v2, 2003, revised 2004) carried this picture to the noncommutative LpL^pLp spaces Lp(M)L^p(\mathcal M)Lp(M), 0<p≤∞0<p\le\infty0<p≤∞. They introduced LpL^pLp modules, whose inner product takes values in Lp/2(M)L^{p/2}(\mathcal M)Lp/2(M), and proved that every LpL^pLp module is a column sum of corners qαLp(M)q_\alpha L^p(\mathcal M)qα​Lp(M). The result organizes the study of module maps between noncommutative LpL^pLp spaces (the paper's §5–§6 on commutants and LpL^pLp bimodules build on it), and it is the LpL^pLp form of the orthonormal-basis theorem. Earlier, Junge had proved a version for a special class of LpL^pLp modules ([J1, Prop. 2.8]).

Setting

Let n∈Nn\in\mathbb Nn∈N and let M\mathcal MM be a unital ∗*∗-subalgebra of the matrix algebra Mn(C)M_n(\mathbb C)Mn​(C); these are exactly the finite-dimensional von Neumann algebras. For real 0<p<∞0<p<\infty0<p<∞, Lp(M)L^p(\mathcal M)Lp(M) is M\mathcal MM with the tracial (quasi)norm

∥a∥p=(Tr (a∗a)p/2)1/p.\|a\|_p=\big(\mathrm{Tr}\,(a^*a)^{p/2}\big)^{1/p}.∥a∥p​=(Tr(a∗a)p/2)1/p.

In the Lean files this is lpNorm p a, the published Schatten norm schattenNorm.

Let X\mathfrak XX be a complex vector space with a right action (ξ,x)↦ξx(\xi,x)\mapsto\xi x(ξ,x)↦ξx of M\mathcal MM (act). An Lp/2L^{p/2}Lp/2-valued inner product (Definition 2.1) is a map ⟨⋅,⋅⟩:X×X→M\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle:\mathfrak X\times\mathfrak X\to\mathcal M⟨⋅,⋅⟩:X×X→M (ip). It is conjugate linear in the first variable and linear in the second, and satisfies

⟨ξ,ηx⟩=⟨ξ,η⟩x,⟨ξ,η⟩=⟨η,ξ⟩∗,⟨ξ,ξ⟩≥0,⟨ξ,ξ⟩=0  ⟺  ξ=0.\langle\xi,\eta x\rangle=\langle\xi,\eta\rangle x,\qquad\langle\xi,\eta\rangle=\langle\eta,\xi\rangle^*,\qquad\langle\xi,\xi\rangle\ge0,\quad\langle\xi,\xi\rangle=0\iff\xi=0.⟨ξ,ηx⟩=⟨ξ,η⟩x,⟨ξ,η⟩=⟨η,ξ⟩∗,⟨ξ,ξ⟩≥0,⟨ξ,ξ⟩=0⟺ξ=0.

It induces

∥ξ∥=∥⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2∥p=(Tr ⟨ξ,ξ⟩p/2)1/p\|\xi\|=\big\|\langle\xi,\xi\rangle^{1/2}\big\|_p=\big(\mathrm{Tr}\,\langle\xi,\xi\rangle^{p/2}\big)^{1/p}∥ξ∥=​⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2​p​=(Tr⟨ξ,ξ⟩p/2)1/p

(gauge p ip ξ). By Proposition 2.2 this is a norm for p≥2p\ge2p≥2 and a p/2p/2p/2-norm for p≤2p\le2p≤2. A right LpL^pLp M\mathcal MM-module (Definition 2.3) is such an X\mathfrak XX that is complete in ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥.

Given projections (qα)α∈I(q_\alpha)_{\alpha\in I}(qα​)α∈I​ of M\mathcal MM, the column sum (2.4) is

⨁cqαLp={(ξα)α∈I: ξα∈qαLp, ∑αξα∗ξα converges},⟨(ξα),(ηα)⟩=∑αξα∗ηα.\textstyle\bigoplus_c q_\alpha L^p=\Big\{(\xi_\alpha)_{\alpha\in I}:\ \xi_\alpha\in q_\alpha L^p,\ \sum_\alpha\xi_\alpha^*\xi_\alpha\ \text{converges}\Big\},\qquad\langle(\xi_\alpha),(\eta_\alpha)\rangle=\sum_\alpha\xi_\alpha^*\eta_\alpha.⨁c​qα​Lp={(ξα​)α∈I​: ξα​∈qα​Lp, ∑α​ξα∗​ξα​ converges},⟨(ξα​),(ηα​)⟩=∑α​ξα∗​ηα​.

In Lean this is columnSumSet M q with colIp. The paper calls these modules principal.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2.5

For every right LpL^pLp M\mathcal MM-module X\mathfrak XX there are an index set III, projections (qα)(q_\alpha)(qα​) of M\mathcal MM and a map T:X→⨁cqαLpT:\mathfrak X\to\bigoplus_c q_\alpha L^pT:X→⨁c​qα​Lp with the following properties: TTT is bijective, complex linear and a module map, and

∥(∑αT(ξ)α∗T(ξ)α)1/2∥p=∥⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2∥p(ξ∈X).\Big\|\Big(\sum_\alpha T(\xi)_\alpha^*T(\xi)_\alpha\Big)^{1/2}\Big\|_p=\big\|\langle\xi,\xi\rangle^{1/2}\big\|_p\qquad(\xi\in\mathfrak X).​(α∑​T(ξ)α∗​T(ξ)α​)1/2​p​=​⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2​p​(ξ∈X).

This is the paper's statement as printed: "isometrically isomorphic, as a module". The index set and the projections are not fixed; they are part of the conclusion.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1.2: Mφ1/p‾=Lps(φ)\overline{\mathcal M\varphi^{1/p}}=L^ps(\varphi)Mφ1/p​=Lps(φ) and φ1/pM‾=s(φ)Lp\overline{\varphi^{1/p}\mathcal M}=s(\varphi)L^pφ1/pM​=s(φ)Lp.
  2. Lemma 1.4: a bounded compatible net ξα=ξαpα\xi_\alpha=\xi_\alpha p_\alphaξα​=ξα​pα​, ξβpα=ξα\xi_\beta p_\alpha=\xi_\alphaξβ​pα​=ξα​ (α<β)(\alpha<\beta)(α<β) in LrL^rLr, r<∞r<\inftyr<∞, converges in norm.
  3. Proposition 2.2: ⟨ξ,η⟩=⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2T⟨η,η⟩1/2\langle\xi,\eta\rangle=\langle\xi,\xi\rangle^{1/2}T\langle\eta,\eta\rangle^{1/2}⟨ξ,η⟩=⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2T⟨η,η⟩1/2 with ∥T∥≤1\|T\|\le1∥T∥≤1; ∥⟨ξ,η⟩∥p/2≤∥ξ∥∥η∥\|\langle\xi,\eta\rangle\|_{p/2}\le\|\xi\|\|\eta\|∥⟨ξ,η⟩∥p/2​≤∥ξ∥∥η∥; and ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is a norm (p≥2p\ge2p≥2) or a p/2p/2p/2-norm (p≤2p\le2p≤2).
  4. (2.4): the column sum is a right LpL^pLp module.
  5. The cyclic case: ξM‾≅s(⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2)Lp\overline{\xi\mathcal M}\cong s(\langle\xi,\xi\rangle^{1/2})L^pξM​≅s(⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2)Lp.
  6. Case 2 (p>2p>2p>2): the closed span of an orthogonal family is isomorphic to a column sum, and a vector with 000 as best approximant from that span is orthogonal to the family.

Significance

Theorem 2.5 reduces questions about arbitrary LpL^pLp modules to columns of corners of Lp(M)L^p(\mathcal M)Lp(M). Two consequences follow. Module maps between LpL^pLp modules become matrices of maps between corners, and the paper identifies the commutant of the right action and describes LpL^pLp bimodules in this way. For p=2p=2p=2 the theorem is the orthonormal-basis theorem with M\mathcal MM-valued inner products; for p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ it is Paschke's theorem. In between, there is no Hilbert-space structure to fall back on.

The result is proved in the paper for every von Neumann algebra and every 0<p≤∞0<p\le\infty0<p≤∞. No part of it has been formalized. Mathlib has Hilbert C∗^*∗-modules with the C∗^*∗-norm and the Hermitian functional calculus for matrices, but no noncommutative LpL^pLp spaces, no LpL^pLp modules and no column sums. This mission produces the finite-dimensional theory: the definitions, the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality (2.1)–(2.2) for Lp/2L^{p/2}Lp/2-valued inner products, the column-sum construction and the structure theorem.

Difficulty

Even when M\mathcal MM is finite-dimensional, X\mathfrak XX need not be. An LpL^pLp module may be an infinite column of corners, and the theorem must produce the decomposition without any basis to start from. The obvious idea is to copy Gram–Schmidt and Zorn: take a maximal orthogonal family {ξα}\{\xi_\alpha\}{ξα​} and show that its closed span X0\mathfrak X_0X0​ is everything. For p≠2p\ne2p=2 this step fails as stated. Without an inner product on X\mathfrak XX there is no orthogonal projection onto X0\mathfrak X_0X0​. A best approximation from X0\mathfrak X_0X0​ exists only for p>2p>2p>2 (where X\mathfrak XX is a Banach space and X0\mathfrak X_0X0​ is reflexive), and turning "000 is a best approximant of ζ\zetaζ" into the algebraic identity ⟨ζ,ξλ⟩=0\langle\zeta,\xi_\lambda\rangle=0⟨ζ,ξλ​⟩=0 needs smoothness of the LpL^pLp norm together with the factorization (2.1). The case p<2p<2p<2 is reached by a different route through tensor products with Lq(M)L^q(\mathcal M)Lq(M). A second difficulty is that ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the trace norm of ⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2\langle\xi,\xi\rangle^{1/2}⟨ξ,ξ⟩1/2: it depends on ppp and is not the C∗^*∗-module norm, so Mathlib's C∗^*∗-module results do not apply.

Formalization scope

  • Finite-dimensional algebra. M\mathcal MM is a StarSubalgebra ℂ (Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℂ). Lp(M)L^p(\mathcal M)Lp(M) is M\mathcal MM with the Schatten (quasi)norm of the trace, which is isometric to Haagerup's Lp(M)L^p(\mathcal M)Lp(M). This restriction is forced: Haagerup LpL^pLp spaces of a general von Neumann algebra exist neither in Mathlib nor on the platform. Because Lp/2(M)=ML^{p/2}(\mathcal M)=\mathcal MLp/2(M)=M as a set, the inner-product axioms do not depend on ppp; the norm does.
  • Exponents. Every item assumes 0<p<∞0<p<\infty0<p<∞, and Case 2 items assume p>2p>2p>2 as in the paper. p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ is out of scope.
  • The module. X\mathfrak XX is any complex vector space, of any dimension. The action is a function act with the right-module axioms for elements of M\mathcal MM, and the inner product is the structure LpInnerProduct. Completeness is sequential completeness for ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ (GaugeComplete), since ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is only a quasi-norm for p<2p<2p<2.
  • Column sums. A column sum is a set of families I→Mn(C)I\to M_n(\mathbb C)I→Mn​(C). Convergence of ∑αξα∗ξα\sum_\alpha\xi_\alpha^*\xi_\alpha∑α​ξα∗​ξα​ is unconditional summability. In the goal, III lives in the universe of X\mathfrak XX.
  • Closures. In Lemma 1.2 and in the cyclic case the closures on the page are of finite-dimensional subspaces and are dropped. The closed span X0\mathfrak X_0X0​ of Case 2 keeps its closure.
  • No trivialization. Several formalizations would make the theorem empty or a different theorem, and none is admissible: measuring X\mathfrak XX in the C∗^*∗-norm ∥⟨ξ,ξ⟩∥1/2\|\langle\xi,\xi\rangle\|^{1/2}∥⟨ξ,ξ⟩∥1/2 (which makes the statement the p=∞p=\inftyp=∞ theorem), assuming X\mathfrak XX finite-dimensional or given with a basis, or asking only for a non-bijective or non-linear TTT.
  • Infrastructure. The development needs the Hermitian functional calculus on matrices (square roots, powers, support projections), Hölder's inequality and the p/2p/2p/2-triangle inequality for Schatten quasinorms, and summability of positive matrix families. These pieces are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are proofs of Theorem 2.5 by routes other than the paper's.

Selected references

  • M. Junge and D. Sherman, Noncommutative LpL^pLp modules, preprint arXiv:math/0301044v2, 2003, revised 14 Sep 2004. arXiv:math/0301044v2
  • W. L. Paschke, Inner product modules over B∗^*∗-algebras, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 182 (1973), 443–468 (reference [Pa] of the paper; cited as [P] on p. 10).
  • H. Kosaki, Applications of the complex interpolation method to a von Neumann algebra: noncommutative LpL^pLp-spaces, J. Funct. Anal. 56 (1984), 29–78 (reference [K1] of the paper).
  • U. Haagerup, LpL^pLp-spaces associated with an arbitrary von Neumann algebra, Algèbres d’opérateurs et leurs applications en physique mathématique, CNRS 15 (1979), 175–184 (reference [H] of the paper).
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Intertemporal Choice with Continuity Constraints: On a Finite Horizon, Eight Axioms Characterize Preferences over Continuous Trajectories Admitting a Discounted Utility Integral RepresentationResearch Paper

Why continuous time matters

Intertemporal choice compares outcomes received at different times. A familiar model assigns each instantaneous outcome a utility and aggregates those utilities with a time weight. That model is useful in economics and operations research, but its meaning depends on what choices are feasible and how a preference over one stretch of time relates to a preference over another. When outcomes must vary continuously, an agent cannot freely paste two trajectories together at a chosen instant. Pivato's 2018 preprint asks which observable properties of preferences still force an integral representation under that constraint. The resulting theorem concerns a finite horizon; the paper also develops distinct infinite-horizon representations, which are outside this mission.

Earlier discounted-utility models often begin with an integral or a discounted sum and then study its implications. Here the integral is the conclusion. This changes the formalization problem: the preference structure, the permitted trajectories, and the relation between preferences on overlapping time regions must be defined independently of any utility or discount function. Theorem 1 on p. 13 is the paper's finite-horizon characterization. The Appendix A and B results selected as milestones connect its structural axioms to a content-based representation and then to an integral.

Trajectories, spans, and preferences

Time is the compact interval T=[0,T]\mathcal T=[0,T]T=[0,T], with T>0T>0T>0. The outcome space X\mathcal XX is connected, and a trajectory α\alphaα is a continuous map from T\mathcal TT to X\mathcal XX. A set A\mathcal AA of feasible trajectories includes every constant trajectory κx\kappa^xκx, which gives outcome xxx at every time. Feasibility is substantive: a trajectory obtained by pasting arbitrary continuous pieces may fail to be continuous at the join.

A time interval ⌊r,s⌉\lfloor r,s\rceil⌊r,s⌉ is relatively open in T\mathcal TT. It includes 000 when r=0r=0r=0 and TTT when s=Ts=Ts=T, but excludes any interior endpoints. A time span S\mathcal SS is a finite union of disjoint such intervals with distinct endpoints. The empty span is allowed. Relative interior and closure give the Boolean operations ¬S=int⁡(Sc)\neg\mathcal S=\operatorname{int}(\mathcal S^{\mathrm c})¬S=int(Sc) and Q∨R=int⁡cl⁡(Q∪R)\mathcal Q\vee\mathcal R=\operatorname{int}\operatorname{cl}(\mathcal Q\cup\mathcal R)Q∨R=intcl(Q∪R). These operations can bridge omitted boundary instants.

For every time interval I\mathcal II, a primitive preference order ⪰I\succeq_{\mathcal I}⪰I​ compares restrictions of members of A\mathcal AA to I\mathcal II. Each such order is complete, transitive and nontrivial. The order ⪰\succeq⪰ on the whole horizon is ⪰T\succeq_{\mathcal T}⪰T​; its comparison of constant trajectories induces the synchronic preference ⪰sy\succeq_{\mathrm{sy}}⪰sy​ on outcomes. Preferences ⪰S\succeq_{\mathcal S}⪰S​ on general spans are induced through the paper's limited-separability construction: representatives agree with the compared trajectories on S\mathcal SS, are indifferent on each component of ¬S\neg\mathcal S¬S, and are then compared on the full horizon. The representatives must belong to A\mathcal AA.

The axioms constrain this primitive structure. Richness (R) permits preference-preserving insertion of a middle trajectory between fixed outer restrictions. Minimal equicontinuity (MinEqn) requires interiors of synchronic contour preimages to be time spans. The eight characterization axioms are interval separability (ISep), limited separability (LSep), static equivalence (StEq), continuity of synchronic preferences (C), dominance (Dom), continuity of intertemporal preferences (CIP), tradeoff consistency (TC), and ephemerality (Eph). Their definitions refer only to preferences and feasible trajectories.

Formalization target

A discounted utility integral representation consists of a continuous utility u:X→Ru:\mathcal X\to\mathbb Ru:X→R and a continuous, strictly increasing map ρ:[0,T]→[0,1]\rho:[0,T]\to[0,1]ρ:[0,T]→[0,1] with ρ(0)=0\rho(0)=0ρ(0)=0 and ρ(T)=1\rho(T)=1ρ(T)=1. For every time span S\mathcal SS and feasible restricted trajectories α,β\alpha,\betaα,β, it satisfies

α⪰Sβ⟺∫Su(α(t)) dρ(t)≥∫Su(β(t)) dρ(t).\alpha\succeq_{\mathcal S}\beta \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad \int_{\mathcal S}u(\alpha(t))\,d\rho(t) \geq \int_{\mathcal S}u(\beta(t))\,d\rho(t).α⪰S​β⟺∫S​u(α(t))dρ(t)≥∫S​u(β(t))dρ(t).

The goal is Theorem 1 of the preprint: under the standing preference assumptions, (R), and (MinEqn), the eight axioms hold if and only if such a representation exists. The theorem also says that the normalized ρ\rhoρ is unique and that any two representing utility functions differ by u′=au+bu'=a u+bu′=au+b for some a>0a>0a>0 and b∈Rb\in\mathbb Rb∈R. The milestone list includes the structural equivalences of Lemmas A1, A3 and A4; the compatibility and separability results of Lemma A5 and Proposition A6; the richness result of Lemma A9; the comeasurability claim of Lemma B1; and the content-utility characterization in Theorem B2(b).

What the result supplies

The characterization identifies when local comparisons, continuity, and consistency of tradeoffs across regions of time determine one common utility scale and one normalized time weight. The uniqueness clauses prevent two different discount profiles from representing the same structure, while allowing the expected positive affine freedom in utility. Without the characterization, an integral can be used as an example of a preference rule, but the stated axioms would not certify that every admissible rule has that form.

The paper gives a mathematical proof, but this mission records open Lean statements rather than verified proofs. A completed development would make the time-span algebra, the induced intermittent order, and the content integrator reusable for related representation results. It would also expose precisely where the finite-horizon assumption is used before adapting the framework to the paper's later infinite-horizon theorems. The cited preprint relies in part on companion results about contents and their measure representations; formal proofs of those results are welcome groundwork.

Main obstacle

Continuous trajectories cannot generally be pasted at a time boundary while remaining feasible. This blocks the immediate finite-product argument often used for separable preferences. The paper's richness conditions replace that maneuver with preference-equivalent trajectories whose restrictions can be coordinated across component intervals. A second difficulty is that a finitely additive content on regular-open spans is not automatically a Borel measure: the representation needs a way to account for boundary behavior before the integral formula follows. The source treats this in its appendices and invokes companion work.

Formalization scope

Lean uses the subtype [0,T][0,T][0,T] with its relative topology, continuous maps for feasible trajectories, and sets of subtype times for spans. A member of A(S)\mathcal A(\mathcal S)A(S) is represented by a full member of A\mathcal AA, so comparisons never range over arbitrary functions on S\mathcal SS. The intermittent order is existentially induced from whole-horizon comparisons; a universally quantified extension rule could be vacuous when no extension exists. The axioms are stated directly on preferences, without mentioning uuu or ρ\rhoρ.

The integral is represented by integration against the Lebesgue–Stieltjes measure of a continuous StieltjesFunction. This is the paper's Riemann–Stieltjes expression on bounded continuous integrands, using its equation (B12). Integrals are restricted to the image of the span in R\mathbb RR. The representing function is normalized at both horizon endpoints; uniqueness compares its values on [0,T][0,T][0,T]. Both the final integral representation and the intermediate content representation require agreement with primitive interval orders, in accordance with their identification with induced orders in Lemma A5. The intermediate utility also represents synchronic preference.

The strict clauses of (Dom), (TC), and (CIP) range over nonempty spans; at the empty span their literal unqualified forms become contradictory. Condition (R) is stated for a nonempty middle interval, q≤r<s≤tq\le r<s\le tq≤r<s≤t: with r=sr=sr=s as printed, continuity would force the two outer trajectories to agree at rrr, which no set containing two distinct constant trajectories in a Hausdorff outcome space can satisfy. These domain choices and the specialization of Appendix B's Theorem B2 to [0,T][0,T][0,T] are recorded in the moderation notes. Definitions of time spans, preference orders, contents, simple-function integration, and the measure connection are reusable contributions. Machine-checked proofs of the listed milestones and of the final equivalence are the intended contributions.

Selected references

  • Marcus Pivato, Intertemporal Choice with Continuity Constraints, SSRN preprint 3232014, August 10, 2018. Preprint. The later journal version appeared in Mathematics of Operations Research (2021), DOI; the mission's page and theorem citations use the 2018 preprint.
  • Alfred Horn and Alfred Tarski, Measures in Boolean Algebras, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society 64 (1948). DOI. The paper cites its extension theorem at Lemma B4.
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EconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Following the Customers: Dynamic Competitive Repositioning: For Small Repositioning Costs, the Thresholds Rise Infinitely Fast, Increase with σ², Decrease with δ, and Become Independent of rResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms reposition their products as consumer tastes drift: car makers redesign models, retailers change assortments, media outlets shift their editorial line. Each move costs money, and competitors respond to it. Ning and Villas-Boas (2020) study when two competing firms should incur a fixed cost to move toward consumers whose preferred position follows a random path. The answer is a pair of repositioning thresholds. The paper characterizes them through a system of two transcendental equations and, for small repositioning costs, derives explicit asymptotic expansions. Those expansions give the paper's comparative statics in volatility, attribute importance and patience.

This mission formalizes that small-cost analysis: Proposition 2 of the paper, together with the chain of identities and limits in its appendix that leads to it.

Setting

Consumers have preferences (x,z)∈[0,1]2(x,z)\in[0,1]^2(x,z)∈[0,1]2. All consumers share the same position xtx_txt​ on the repositionable attribute, and they are uniformly spread on the fixed attribute zzz. The position xtx_txt​ follows a driftless Brownian motion with variance σ2\sigma^2σ2, reflected at 000 and 111. Two firms sit at the ends of [0,1][0,1][0,1] in xxx, and at opposite ends in zzz. A consumer buying from a firm at distance xxx gets utility v−δx−z−pv-\delta x-z-pv−δx−z−p, so δ>0\delta>0δ>0 measures how much the repositionable attribute matters. A firm may jump to the other end of the xxx-line at a cost K>0K>0K>0. Firms discount at rate r>0r>0r>0. All these parameters are standing assumptions.

Under price competition, a firm earns the flow profit πs=12\pi_s=\tfrac12πs​=21​ when both firms are on the same side. When they are on different sides and the firm is at distance xxx from the consumers, it earns

πd(x)=12(1+δ(1−2x)3)2.\pi_d(x)=\tfrac12\Big(1+\frac{\delta(1-2x)}{3}\Big)^2 .πd​(x)=21​(1+3δ(1−2x)​)2.

Write λ=2r/σ2\lambda=\sqrt{2r/\sigma^2}λ=2r/σ2​. In the symmetric equilibrium, a firm on the far side repositions when its distance reaches a threshold x∗x^*x∗. Firms on the same side reposition at a positive hazard rate on (x‾,x∗)(\underline x,x^*)(x​,x∗). Value matching and smooth pasting of the value functions

Vd(x)=πd(x)r+4δ29rλ2+Aeλx+Be−λx,Vs(x)=πsr+C(eλx+e−λx)V_d(x)=\frac{\pi_d(x)}{r}+\frac{4\delta^2}{9r\lambda^2}+Ae^{\lambda x}+Be^{-\lambda x},\qquad V_s(x)=\frac{\pi_s}{r}+C\big(e^{\lambda x}+e^{-\lambda x}\big)Vd​(x)=rπd​(x)​+9rλ24δ2​+Aeλx+Be−λx,Vs​(x)=rπs​​+C(eλx+e−λx)

give five conditions (5)–(9). Eliminating A,B,CA,B,CA,B,C leaves the threshold system (14)–(15) in (x‾,x∗)(\underline x,x^*)(x​,x∗) alone. With G=eλ(x∗+x‾−1)G=e^{\lambda(x^*+\underline x-1)}G=eλ(x∗+x​−1):

G=πd(x∗)−πs+πd′(x∗)/λ+rK+4δ29λ2πd(1−x‾)−πs+πd′(1−x‾)/λ−rK+4δ29λ2,G=πd(1−x‾)−πs−πd′(1−x‾)/λ−rK+4δ29λ2πd(x∗)−πs−πd′(x∗)/λ+rK+4δ29λ2.G=\frac{\pi_d(x^*)-\pi_s+\pi_d'(x^*)/\lambda+rK+\frac{4\delta^2}{9\lambda^2}}{\pi_d(1-\underline x)-\pi_s+\pi_d'(1-\underline x)/\lambda-rK+\frac{4\delta^2}{9\lambda^2}},\qquad G=\frac{\pi_d(1-\underline x)-\pi_s-\pi_d'(1-\underline x)/\lambda-rK+\frac{4\delta^2}{9\lambda^2}}{\pi_d(x^*)-\pi_s-\pi_d'(x^*)/\lambda+rK+\frac{4\delta^2}{9\lambda^2}} .G=πd​(1−x​)−πs​+πd′​(1−x​)/λ−rK+9λ24δ2​πd​(x∗)−πs​+πd′​(x∗)/λ+rK+9λ24δ2​​,G=πd​(x∗)−πs​−πd′​(x∗)/λ+rK+9λ24δ2​πd​(1−x​)−πs​−πd′​(1−x​)/λ−rK+9λ24δ2​​.

A threshold pair at cost KKK is a solution of (14)–(15) with 12<x‾<x∗<1\tfrac12<\underline x<x^*<121​<x​<x∗<1 and δ(2x∗−1)<3\delta(2x^*-1)<3δ(2x∗−1)<3. A solution branch is a pair of functions K↦(x‾(K),x∗(K))K\mapsto(\underline x(K),x^*(K))K↦(x​(K),x∗(K)) that is a threshold pair for every sufficiently small K>0K>0K>0. The appendix uses the prices p∗=(3+δ−2δx∗)/3p^*=(3+\delta-2\delta x^*)/3p∗=(3+δ−2δx∗)/3 and p‾=(3−δ+2δx‾)/3\underline p=(3-\delta+2\delta\underline x)/3p​=(3−δ+2δx​)/3, and their sum y=p∗+p‾y=p^*+\underline py=p∗+p​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2

For every solution branch, as K→0+K\to0^+K→0+:

  1. the thresholds rise infinitely fast:
x∗(K)−12K→∞,x‾(K)−12K→∞;\frac{x^*(K)-\tfrac12}{K}\to\infty,\qquad\frac{\underline x(K)-\tfrac12}{K}\to\infty;Kx∗(K)−21​​→∞,Kx​(K)−21​​→∞;
  1. comparing two parameter tuples with equal r,δr,\deltar,δ and σ12<σ22\sigma_1^2<\sigma_2^2σ12​<σ22​, for all small KKK,
x1∗<x2∗,x‾1<x‾2,x1∗−x‾1<x2∗−x‾2;x_1^*<x_2^*,\qquad\underline x_1<\underline x_2,\qquad x_1^*-\underline x_1<x_2^*-\underline x_2;x1∗​<x2∗​,x​1​<x​2​,x1∗​−x​1​<x2∗​−x​2​;
  1. comparing equal r,σ2r,\sigma^2r,σ2 and δ1<δ2\delta_1<\delta_2δ1​<δ2​, for all small KKK, both thresholds decrease and the gap increases:
x2∗<x1∗,x‾2<x‾1,x1∗−x‾1<x2∗−x‾2;x_2^*<x_1^*,\qquad\underline x_2<\underline x_1,\qquad x_1^*-\underline x_1<x_2^*-\underline x_2;x2∗​<x1∗​,x​2​<x​1​,x1∗​−x​1​<x2∗​−x​2​;
  1. comparing equal σ2,δ\sigma^2,\deltaσ2,δ and arbitrary r1,r2r_1,r_2r1​,r2​,
x1∗−x2∗x1∗−12→0,x‾1−x‾2x‾1−12→0.\frac{x_1^*-x_2^*}{x_1^*-\tfrac12}\to0,\qquad\frac{\underline x_1-\underline x_2}{\underline x_1-\tfrac12}\to0 .x1∗​−21​x1∗​−x2∗​​→0,x​1​−21​x​1​−x​2​​→0.

The goal fixes no constant. It asserts only the directions and the vanishing relative effect of rrr, so it survives any refinement of the expansions.

Milestones

In attack order:

  • (14)–(15) follow from (5)–(9);
  • Proposition 1, existence part: a solution branch exists;
  • the polynomial form (x)–(xi) of (14)–(15);
  • the identities (xii) and (xiii);
  • the limit (xviii): lim⁡G→1(log⁡G−2G−1G+1)/(G−1)3=112\lim_{G\to1}\big(\log G-2\tfrac{G-1}{G+1}\big)/(G-1)^3=\tfrac1{12}limG→1​(logG−2G+1G−1​)/(G−1)3=121​;
  • convergence x‾,x∗→12\underline x,x^*\to\tfrac12x​,x∗→21​;
  • the limits (xix): (G−1)3/K→36rλ/δ(G-1)^3/K\to36r\lambda/\delta(G−1)3/K→36rλ/δ, and (xx): (y−2)/(G−1)2→−δ2σ2/(54r)(y-2)/(G-1)^2\to-\delta^2\sigma^2/(54r)(y−2)/(G−1)2→−δ2σ2/(54r);
  • the expansions (16)–(18):
x∗=12+9σ24δ3K1/3+12δσ4183K2/3+o(K2/3),x‾=12+9σ24δ3K1/3−12δσ4183K2/3+o(K2/3),x∗−x‾K2/3→δσ4183.x^*=\tfrac12+\sqrt[3]{\tfrac{9\sigma^2}{4\delta}}K^{1/3}+\tfrac12\sqrt[3]{\tfrac{\delta\sigma^4}{18}}K^{2/3}+o(K^{2/3}),\quad \underline x=\tfrac12+\sqrt[3]{\tfrac{9\sigma^2}{4\delta}}K^{1/3}-\tfrac12\sqrt[3]{\tfrac{\delta\sigma^4}{18}}K^{2/3}+o(K^{2/3}),\quad \frac{x^*-\underline x}{K^{2/3}}\to\sqrt[3]{\tfrac{\delta\sigma^4}{18}} .x∗=21​+34δ9σ2​​K1/3+21​318δσ4​​K2/3+o(K2/3),x​=21​+34δ9σ2​​K1/3−21​318δσ4​​K2/3+o(K2/3),K2/3x∗−x​​→318δσ4​​.

Significance

The result. Proposition 2 is the paper's main qualitative statement about cheap repositioning. More volatile tastes make firms wait longer before moving: with high σ2\sigma^2σ2 the consumers are likely to drift back. A more important repositioning attribute makes them move sooner. In both cases the band (x‾,x∗)(\underline x,x^*)(x​,x∗), in which same-side firms randomize, widens. Patience, by contrast, drops out to first order. The K1/3K^{1/3}K1/3 law also quantifies how strongly repositioning reacts to its cost: a small cost has a large effect on behaviour.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper by an asymptotic computation in its appendix. As far as a search of the Prove2Me catalog shows, none of it is formalized. The mission produces a checked version of every step, in the paper's own notation. Two places need more than transcription. The printed (16)–(17) have right sides that still depend on KKK, so they are restated as two-term expansions. The paper also never states that solutions of (14)–(15) exist for small KKK; the existence milestone supplies that.

Difficulty

The thresholds are defined only implicitly, as solutions of a transcendental system, and the goal is about every solution branch. Nothing is known in advance about such a branch: not continuity, not uniqueness, not a closed form. The natural first idea, to substitute the expansions (16)–(18) and compare coefficients, assumes what has to be shown. The expansions must be derived from (14)–(15) for an arbitrary branch.

The derivation is delicate because the leading behaviour cancels. The left side of (xii) vanishes to third order at G=1G=1G=1, so the rate of G−1G-1G−1 is the cube root of a ratio of small quantities. The gap x∗−x‾x^*-\underline xx∗−x​ is of order K2/3K^{2/3}K2/3, one order below the thresholds' own displacement. Clause 4 of the goal needs the leading coefficient to be independent of rrr, and clauses 2–3 need strict inequalities between leading coefficients.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real. The parameters are a structure with fields r, σ2 (the variance σ2\sigma^2σ2 itself) and δ, and Standing requires all three to be positive. Primes are deriv evaluated at the point, and πd′\pi_d'πd′​ is the derivative of pid, not a hand-coded formula. Equations (14)–(15) keep the paper's ratio form: since G>0G>0G>0, a vanishing denominator makes them false, not vacuously true. The milestone deriving (14)–(15) from (5)–(9) states the displayed ratios with both denominators nonzero.

Commitments beyond the printed text:

  • The region. A threshold pair must satisfy 12<x‾<x∗<1\tfrac12<\underline x<x^*<121​<x​<x∗<1, the paper's own description of the thresholds, and δ(2x∗−1)<3\delta(2x^*-1)<3δ(2x∗−1)<3, which keeps the far firm's Hotelling price positive. The latter is not a global restriction on δ\deltaδ: the paper's examples use δ=4\delta=4δ=4.
  • Small KKK. "For a small KKK" and "K not too large" mean "for all sufficiently small K>0K>0K>0". Limits are along K→0+K\to0^+K→0+.
  • Infinitely fast. This is divergence of the chord slope (x∗(K)−12)/K(x^*(K)-\tfrac12)/K(x∗(K)−21​)/K, since no differentiability in KKK is established.
  • The effect of rrr. Its vanishing is relative to the displacement of the threshold from 12\tfrac1221​.
  • (16)–(17) are two-term expansions.

Two readings are ruled out as trivializing. Defining the thresholds by formulas, or assuming (16)–(18) for the branch, would make the goal a computation; the goal instead quantifies over every branch. Stating clause 4 as x1∗−x2∗→0x_1^*-x_2^*\to0x1∗​−x2∗​→0 would be contentless, because both thresholds tend to 12\tfrac1221​.

The development needs real asymptotics: Taylor control of log⁡\loglog near 111, cube roots as real powers, and filters on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞). It needs no stochastic calculus, since the value functions enter only through their closed forms. The limit (xviii) and the asymptotic analysis of an implicitly defined branch are reusable beyond this paper. Contributions to any milestone are welcome. Not formalized: the hazard rate (13), the verification that the thresholds form a Markov perfect equilibrium, Propositions 3–6, the asymmetric equilibrium and the limit r→0r\to0r→0.

Selected references

  • Z. Eddie Ning and J. Miguel Villas-Boas, Following the Customers: Dynamic Competitive Repositioning, SSRN working paper 3695318, December 2020. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3695318
  • Z. Eddie Ning and J. Miguel Villas-Boas, Following the Customers: Dynamic Competitive Repositioning, Management Science, published version. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.3962
  • Harold Hotelling, Stability in Competition, The Economic Journal 39(153), 41–57, 1929. https://doi.org/10.2307/2224214
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Personalized Robo-Advising: Enhancing Investment Through Client Interaction: The Approximate Personalization Measure Has a Unique Optimal Time Between Interactions, Increasing in Behavioral BiasResearch Paper

How often should a robo-advisor talk to its client?

A robo-advisor is an automated portfolio manager. It invests a client's wealth according to a model of the client's risk preferences, and it learns those preferences by interacting with the client: questionnaires, check-ins, requests to confirm or revise a risk profile. The design question of how often such a system should query its client is practical: each interaction updates the advisor's view of a preference that drifts over time, but each interaction is also exposed to the client's momentary reaction to recent market moves.

Capponi, Ólafsson and Zariphopoulou (Management Science 68(4), 2022; read here as arXiv:1911.01391v2) model this trade-off. Their Proposition 5.1 gives a closed-form approximation of how well the portfolio tracks the client's true risk aversion as a function of the time between interactions, and shows that this approximation has a unique optimal interaction time whose position responds monotonically to the model's parameters. This mission formalizes part (ii) of that proposition and the comparative statics (5.6).

Setting

Time is discrete. The client's true risk aversion γnC\gamma^C_nγnC​ evolves over the investment horizon; in each period it receives, with probability pϵ∈[0,1]p_\epsilon \in [0,1]pϵ​∈[0,1], an idiosyncratic shock σϵWn−σϵ2/2\sigma_\epsilon W_n - \sigma_\epsilon^2/2σϵ​Wn​−σϵ2​/2 with WnW_nWn​ standard Gaussian and σϵ>0\sigma_\epsilon > 0σϵ​>0, and no shock otherwise (p. 17). The robo-advisor and client interact every ϕ≥1\phi \ge 1ϕ≥1 periods. At an interaction the client communicates a risk-aversion parameter that is distorted by a behavioral bias: it is the true value multiplied by e−β⋅(average excess market return since the last interaction)e^{-\beta \cdot(\text{average excess market return since the last interaction})}e−β⋅(average excess market return since the last interaction), where the coefficient β≥0\beta \ge 0β≥0 measures the strength of the bias (eq. (5.2), pp. 17–18). Between interactions the advisor keeps using the last communicated value. Market returns have volatility σ(y)>0\sigma(y) > 0σ(y)>0 in economic state yyy, and σ0:=σ(Y0)\sigma_0 := \sigma(Y_0)σ0​:=σ(Y0​) is the volatility in the initial state.

The personalization measure (5.4) is the expected time-average relative error between the advisor's risk tolerance 1/γn1/\gamma_n1/γn​ and the client's 1/γnC1/\gamma^C_n1/γnC​,

R(ϕ,β)=E[1T∑n=0T−1∣1/γn−1/γnC1/γnC∣].\mathcal R(\phi,\beta) = \mathbb E\Big[\frac1T\sum_{n=0}^{T-1}\Big|\frac{1/\gamma_n - 1/\gamma^C_n}{1/\gamma^C_n}\Big|\Big].R(ϕ,β)=E[T1​n=0∑T−1​​1/γnC​1/γn​−1/γnC​​​].

Lower is better. Proposition 5.1(i) shows that R\mathcal RR is, up to error terms, a multiple of the approximate personalization measure

R~(ϕ,β)=2π(βσ0ϕ(1−ϕ−12pϵ)+β2σ02ϕ+σϵ2  ϕ−12pϵ).\widetilde{\mathcal R}(\phi,\beta) = \sqrt{\frac{2}{\pi}}\left(\frac{\beta\sigma_0}{\sqrt{\phi}}\Big(1-\frac{\phi-1}{2}p_\epsilon\Big) + \sqrt{\frac{\beta^2\sigma_0^2}{\phi}+\sigma_\epsilon^2}\;\frac{\phi-1}{2}p_\epsilon\right).R(ϕ,β)=π2​​​ϕ​βσ0​​(1−2ϕ−1​pϵ​)+ϕβ2σ02​​+σϵ2​​2ϕ−1​pϵ​​.

The first term is the bias cost, which shrinks as interactions become rarer (the bias averages returns over a longer window); the second is the staleness cost, which grows with the number of shocks missed between interactions. The mission is about R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R, as Proposition 5.1(ii) is. In Lean the parameters are a structure Params with fields sig0 (σ0\sigma_0σ0​), pe (pϵp_\epsilonpϵ​), se (σϵ\sigma_\epsilonσϵ​), β, and R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R is Rtilde P φ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5.1(ii) and (5.6)

Assume σ0>0\sigma_0 > 0σ0​>0, σϵ>0\sigma_\epsilon > 0σϵ​>0, pϵ∈[0,1]p_\epsilon \in [0,1]pϵ​∈[0,1], β≥0\beta \ge 0β≥0 and β+pϵ>0\beta + p_\epsilon > 0β+pϵ​>0. Then

arg⁡min⁡ϕ≥1R~(ϕ,β)={1,β=0,ϕ0∈[1,∞),β>0, pϵ>0,∞,pϵ=0,\arg\min_{\phi\ge1}\widetilde{\mathcal R}(\phi,\beta) = \begin{cases} 1, & \beta = 0,\\ \phi_0\in[1,\infty), & \beta>0,\ p_\epsilon>0,\\ \infty, & p_\epsilon = 0,\end{cases}argϕ≥1min​R(ϕ,β)=⎩⎨⎧​1,ϕ0​∈[1,∞),∞,​β=0,β>0, pϵ​>0,pϵ​=0,​

and ϕ0\phi_0ϕ0​ is increasing in β\betaβ and σ0\sigma_0σ0​ and decreasing in pϵp_\epsilonpϵ​ and σϵ\sigma_\epsilonσϵ​ (5.6). "arg⁡min⁡=∞\arg\min = \inftyargmin=∞" means that no ϕ≥1\phi \ge 1ϕ≥1 is a minimizer, R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R decreases strictly on [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞) and tends to its infimum 000.

Milestones

The proof (Appendix C, p. 46) works with the bracket f=π/2 R~f = \sqrt{\pi/2}\,\widetilde{\mathcal R}f=π/2​R and an auxiliary function ggg with f′(ϕ)=12βσ0pϵϕ−2g(ϕ)f'(\phi) = \tfrac12\beta\sigma_0p_\epsilon\phi^{-2}g(\phi)f′(ϕ)=21​βσ0​pϵ​ϕ−2g(ϕ). The milestones are its displayed claims, in order: f≥0f \ge 0f≥0; the two degenerate cases pϵ=0p_\epsilon = 0pϵ​=0 and β=0\beta = 0β=0; the factorization of f′f'f′; the value of f′(1)f'(1)f′(1) and the criterion f′(1)≥0  ⟺  pϵσϵ2/(β2σ02)≥2+1/pϵf'(1) \ge 0 \iff p_\epsilon\sigma_\epsilon^2/(\beta^2\sigma_0^2) \ge 2 + 1/p_\epsilonf′(1)≥0⟺pϵ​σϵ2​/(β2σ02​)≥2+1/pϵ​; the sufficient condition pϵσϵ/(βσ0)<1⇒∂ϕR~∣ϕ=1<0p_\epsilon\sigma_\epsilon/(\beta\sigma_0) < 1 \Rightarrow \partial_\phi\widetilde{\mathcal R}|_{\phi=1} < 0pϵ​σϵ​/(βσ0​)<1⇒∂ϕ​R∣ϕ=1​<0 of p. 22; the lower bound g′(ϕ)≥12ϕ−1/2g(1)g'(\phi) \ge \tfrac12\phi^{-1/2}g(1)g′(ϕ)≥21​ϕ−1/2g(1), which settles the corner case g(1)≥0g(1)\ge 0g(1)≥0; and the interior case g(1)<0g(1) < 0g(1)<0, where ggg is strictly convex, tends to ∞\infty∞, and has a unique zero at which fff is minimized.

Significance

The result gives the model's two qualitative predictions in exact form. Without behavioral bias the advisor should interact at every period; without idiosyncratic shocks it should never interact; when both are present there is a single best interaction frequency, and it moves in the economically expected direction: more bias or more volatile markets call for rarer interaction, more frequent or larger preference shocks call for more frequent interaction. The p. 22 criterion gives a checkable condition, in terms of pϵσϵp_\epsilon\sigma_\epsilonpϵ​σϵ​ against βσ0\beta\sigma_0βσ0​, under which interacting at every period is not optimal.

The proof in the paper is a sketch. The convexity of ggg in the interior case is asserted ("it can be shown"), and the comparative statics (5.6) are stated as following from "the form of the function fff". As printed, (5.6) asserts strict signs of partial derivatives of ϕ0\phi_0ϕ0​, which fail on the open parameter region where the minimizer sits at the corner ϕ0=1\phi_0 = 1ϕ0​=1 (there ϕ0\phi_0ϕ0​ is locally constant). A machine-checked proof therefore supplies the missing convexity argument and the corrected comparative statics. No part of the proposition is known to be formalized.

Difficulty

The function R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R mixes ϕ−1/2\phi^{-1/2}ϕ−1/2, ϕ1/2\phi^{1/2}ϕ1/2 and a square root of β2σ02/ϕ+σϵ2\beta^2\sigma_0^2/\phi + \sigma_\epsilon^2β2σ02​/ϕ+σϵ2​. The sign of its derivative is not visible from the formula, and the paper's sign analysis passes through ggg; the paper's claim that ggg is strictly convex has no written proof. The comparative statics are not a differentiable implicit-function computation either: the minimizer switches between the corner ϕ=1\phi = 1ϕ=1 and an interior root of ggg, and the monotonicity must hold across that switch. The obvious move of differentiating the first-order condition g(ϕ0)=0g(\phi_0) = 0g(ϕ0​)=0 in the parameters covers only the interior region and says nothing at the corner.

Formalization scope

All quantities are real. The time between interactions ϕ\phiϕ is a real variable on [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞): the model uses integer ϕ\phiϕ, but Proposition 5.1 differentiates in ϕ\phiϕ and places ϕ0\phi_0ϕ0​ in [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞). The standing ranges σ0>0\sigma_0 > 0σ0​>0, σϵ>0\sigma_\epsilon > 0σϵ​>0, pϵ∈[0,1]p_\epsilon \in [0,1]pϵ​∈[0,1], β≥0\beta \ge 0β≥0 are bundled in Params.Standing. "ϕ\phiϕ minimizes R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R" is the predicate IsOptInteraction P φ: ϕ≥1\phi \ge 1ϕ≥1 and R~(ϕ)≤R~(ψ)\widetilde{\mathcal R}(\phi) \le \widetilde{\mathcal R}(\psi)R(ϕ)≤R(ψ) for all ψ≥1\psi \ge 1ψ≥1; there is no argmin function, so no junk value can satisfy the goal. Square roots are Real.sqrt, ϕ3/2\phi^{3/2}ϕ3/2 is ϕϕ\phi\sqrt\phiϕϕ​, and every statement restricts ϕ\phiϕ so that no radicand is negative and no denominator vanishes. Derivatives are stated with HasDerivAt and an explicit value. Rtilde P φ takes ϕ\phiϕ last, while the page writes both R~(ϕ,β)\widetilde{\mathcal R}(\phi,\beta)R(ϕ,β) and R~(β,ϕ)\widetilde{\mathcal R}(\beta,\phi)R(β,ϕ).

Two readings are fixed. The case "arg⁡min⁡=∞\arg\min = \inftyargmin=∞" is: no minimizer exists, R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R is strictly decreasing on [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞), and R~(ϕ)→0\widetilde{\mathcal R}(\phi) \to 0R(ϕ)→0. The comparative statics (5.6) are stated as monotone comparative statics: if a parameter increases (keeping pϵ≤1p_\epsilon \le 1pϵ​≤1), the minimizer moves weakly in the stated direction, and strictly whenever the original minimizer exceeds 111. The monotonicity clauses quantify over minimizers for both parameter sets, and the existence clause of the goal ensures both exist, so they are not vacuous. Stating the goal about fff alone, or defining ϕ0\phi_0ϕ0​ by sInf or by a formula, would trivialize the claim; the goal is about R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R and its minimizers.

Part (i) of Proposition 5.1, which relates R\mathcal RR to R~\widetilde{\mathcal R}R with unquantified O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) error terms, is not formalized; neither is the optimal investment strategy of Proposition 4.1. The development needs one-variable real calculus from Mathlib, including square-root and quotient derivatives, monotonicity and convexity on intervals, and limits at infinity. Proofs of the milestones, of the convexity of ggg on all of [1,∞)[1,\infty)[1,∞) (which appears to hold without the hypothesis g(1)<0g(1) < 0g(1)<0), and of the derivative form of (5.6) on the interior region are all welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Capponi, S. Ólafsson, T. Zariphopoulou, Personalized Robo-Advising: Enhancing Investment through Client Interaction, Management Science 68(4), 2022; preprint arXiv:1911.01391v2 (the version cited for all page and equation numbers). https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.01391
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Operations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Provably Good Region Partitioning for On-Time Last-Mile Delivery I: A Partition Equitable in √f and in the Load Density Is Asymptotically Optimal in Heavy TrafficResearch Paper

Motivation

Same-day and on-demand delivery services (groceries, meals, parcels) must decide how to assign incoming orders to drivers. One option is flexible dispatching: any driver may serve any order in the service region. Another is districting: the region is cut into mmm districts, one per driver, and each driver serves only the orders from their own district. Districting is easier to run, since drivers learn their territory, routes are short and responsibility is clear, but it gives up the flexibility of pooling. A basic question is when a districting policy loses nothing against the best flexible policy.

Carlsson, Liu, Salari and Yu (Operations Research 72(1), 2024; accepted manuscript SSRN 3915544) answer this in heavy traffic, the regime where the drivers are almost always busy. Their comparison point is the policy π∗\pi^*π∗ of Bertsimas and van Ryzin (1993), whose expected delivery time has an explicit leading-order formula in heavy traffic. Their Theorem 6 gives two integral conditions on a partition under which districting matches π∗\pi^*π∗ to first order.

Timeline.

  • 1959. Beardwood, Halton and Hammersley: the shortest tour through nnn random points with density fff has length ∼βn∬f\sim\beta\sqrt n\iint\sqrt{f}∼βn​∬f​.
  • 1991–1993. Bertsimas and van Ryzin: the dynamic traveling repairman and its capacitated, multi-vehicle versions, with heavy-traffic lower bounds and a policy π∗\pi^*π∗ that attains the leading-order formula (Theorem 3 of the paper, p. 8).
  • 2024. Carlsson, Liu, Salari and Yu: a partition that is equitable for two measures gives a districting policy that is asymptotically optimal in heavy traffic (Theorem 6), together with algorithms to compute such partitions.

Setting

A service region R⊆R2\mathscr R\subseteq\mathbb R^2R⊆R2 is compact and convex and contains a depot x0x_0x0​. Orders arrive at rate λ\lambdaλ at random locations drawn from a demand density f≥0f\ge0f≥0 on R\mathscr RR, Lipschitz, with ∬Rf(x) dx=1\iint_{\mathscr R}f(x)\,dx=1∬R​f(x)dx=1. There are m≥1m\ge1m≥1 identical vehicles with speed v>0v>0v>0 and capacity q∈N+q\in\mathbb N_+q∈N+​, and each order needs an on-site service of mean sˉ≥0\bar s\ge0sˉ≥0. The constant β>0\beta>0β>0 comes from the Beardwood–Halton–Hammersley theorem.

The workload factor of the fleet is

ρ+2λ∬R∥x−x0∥f(x) dxmvq,ρ=λsˉm,\rho+\frac{2\lambda\iint_{\mathscr R}\|x-x_0\|f(x)\,dx}{mvq},\qquad \rho=\frac{\lambda\bar s}{m},ρ+mvq2λ∬R​∥x−x0​∥f(x)dx​,ρ=mλsˉ​,

the long-run fraction of time a vehicle spends in on-site service and in travel to and from the depot. The system is stable when it is below 111, and heavy traffic is the limit in which it tends to 111 from below, with only λ\lambdaλ varying.

Theorem 3 of the paper (Bertsimas and van Ryzin) states that π∗\pi^*π∗ achieves

T(π∗)∼β2λ(1−1q)2[∬Rf(x) dx]22m2v2(1−ρ−2λ∬R∥x−x0∥f(x) dxmvq)2T(\pi^*)\sim\frac{\beta^2\lambda(1-\frac1q)^2\left[\iint_{\mathscr R}\sqrt{f(x)}\,dx\right]^2}{2m^2v^2\left(1-\rho-\frac{2\lambda\iint_{\mathscr R}\|x-x_0\|f(x)\,dx}{mvq}\right)^2}T(π∗)∼2m2v2(1−ρ−mvq2λ∬R​∥x−x0​∥f(x)dx​)2β2λ(1−q1​)2[∬R​f(x)​dx]2​

in heavy traffic. A policy π\piπ is asymptotically optimal if T(π)/T(π∗)→1T(\pi)/T(\pi^*)\to1T(π)/T(π∗)→1 in heavy traffic.

A region partitioning policy fixes a partition {R1,…,Rm}\{\mathscr R_1,\dots,\mathscr R_m\}{R1​,…,Rm​} of R\mathscr RR and dedicates one vehicle to each Ri\mathscr R_iRi​. District iii then receives orders at rate λi=λ∬Rif\lambda_i=\lambda\iint_{\mathscr R_i}fλi​=λ∬Ri​​f with conditional density fi=f/∬Riff_i=f/\iint_{\mathscr R_i}ffi​=f/∬Ri​​f. Its vehicle runs the single-vehicle version of π∗\pi^*π∗, so Theorem 3 with m=1m=1m=1 gives its delivery time TiT_iTi​. The policy's overall expected delivery time is T=∑iP(x∈Ri) TiT=\sum_i\mathbb P(x\in\mathscr R_i)\,T_iT=∑i​P(x∈Ri​)Ti​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6 (p. 11)

If for every iii

∬Rif(x) dx=1m∬Rf(x) dx,∬Ri(sˉvq+2∥x−x0∥)f(x) dx=1m∬R(sˉvq+2∥x−x0∥)f(x) dx,\iint_{\mathscr R_i}\sqrt{f(x)}\,dx=\frac1m\iint_{\mathscr R}\sqrt{f(x)}\,dx,\qquad \iint_{\mathscr R_i}(\bar svq+2\|x-x_0\|)f(x)\,dx=\frac1m\iint_{\mathscr R}(\bar svq+2\|x-x_0\|)f(x)\,dx,∬Ri​​f(x)​dx=m1​∬R​f(x)​dx,∬Ri​​(sˉvq+2∥x−x0​∥)f(x)dx=m1​∬R​(sˉvq+2∥x−x0​∥)f(x)dx,

and T(π∗)T(\pi^*)T(π∗) and every TiT_iTi​ obey Theorem 3, then

∑i=1mP(x∈Ri) TiT(π∗)⟶1in heavy traffic.\frac{\sum_{i=1}^m\mathbb P(x\in\mathscr R_i)\,T_i}{T(\pi^*)}\longrightarrow1\quad\text{in heavy traffic.}T(π∗)∑i=1m​P(x∈Ri​)Ti​​⟶1in heavy traffic.

Milestones

These are the displayed steps of the printed proofs of Theorems 5 and 6 (pp. ec5–ec6):

  1. Normalization identities. ∬Rifi=∬Rif/∬Rif\iint_{\mathscr R_i}\sqrt{f_i}=\iint_{\mathscr R_i}\sqrt f/\sqrt{\iint_{\mathscr R_i}f}∬Ri​​fi​​=∬Ri​​f​/∬Ri​​f​ and ∬Ri∥x−x0∥fi=∬Ri∥x−x0∥f/∬Rif\iint_{\mathscr R_i}\|x-x_0\|f_i=\iint_{\mathscr R_i}\|x-x_0\|f/\iint_{\mathscr R_i}f∬Ri​​∥x−x0​∥fi​=∬Ri​​∥x−x0​∥f/∬Ri​​f.
  2. Per-district workload identity. Under the second condition, district iii's workload factor ρi+2λi∬Ri∥x−x0∥fi/vq\rho_i+2\lambda_i\iint_{\mathscr R_i}\|x-x_0\|f_i/vqρi​+2λi​∬Ri​​∥x−x0​∥fi​/vq equals the fleet's for every λ\lambdaλ. The two heavy-traffic limits therefore coincide.
  3. Leading-term chain. Under both conditions, the Theorem 3 term of district iii (one vehicle, data λi,fi\lambda_i,f_iλi​,fi​) equals the fleet's term.
  4. Per-district ratio. Ti/T(π∗)→1T_i/T(\pi^*)\to1Ti​/T(π∗)→1 for every iii.
  5. Total expectation. If Ti/T(π∗)→1T_i/T(\pi^*)\to1Ti​/T(π∗)→1 for every iii, then ∑iP(x∈Ri)Ti/T(π∗)→1\sum_i\mathbb P(x\in\mathscr R_i)T_i/T(\pi^*)\to1∑i​P(x∈Ri​)Ti​/T(π∗)→1.

Significance

The result. Theorem 6 turns a question about stochastic, dynamic routing into a static geometric condition: find a partition that gives every district a 1/m1/m1/m share of two measures, μ1=∬f\mu_1=\iint\sqrt fμ1​=∬f​ (local tour length) and μ2=∬(sˉvq+2∥x−x0∥)f\mu_2=\iint(\bar svq+2\|x-x_0\|)fμ2​=∬(sˉvq+2∥x−x0​∥)f (service plus round-trip load). The rest of the paper builds on this. It computes such partitions with convex pieces, bounds the loss when the shares are only approximately equal (Proposition 3, the subject of the companion mission), and tests the policy in simulation. The theorem also shows that the arrival rates need not be equal across districts. What has to be equal is the combined load.

Formalizing it. The result has a short pen-and-paper proof, and no machine-checked version exists. The mission records exactly which part of the argument is real analysis (integral identities over a partition, and how heavy-traffic limits pass to ratios) and which part is borrowed from Bertsimas and van Ryzin. It also gives the platform a first districting and continuous-approximation development. Its definitions (workload factor, Theorem 3's leading term, heavy-traffic filter, conditional subregion data) can be reused for other results in the continuous-approximation literature.

Difficulty

The algebra in the proof is simple once Theorem 3 is applied to each district with its own rate λi\lambda_iλi​, density fif_ifi​ and one vehicle. The obstacle is in the limits. Theorem 3 for district iii holds along that district's heavy-traffic limit, where its own workload factor tends to 111, while asymptotic optimality is measured along the fleet's limit. These are different limits unless the second equitable condition makes the two workload factors equal as functions of λ\lambdaλ. A tempting shortcut is to state the district hypothesis directly with the fleet's quantities, such as (1/m)∬Rf(1/m)\iint_{\mathscr R}\sqrt f(1/m)∬R​f​ and the fleet's workload factor. That assumes milestones 2 and 3 and empties the theorem. Division also needs care: fif_ifi​ and the ratios Ti/T(π∗)T_i/T(\pi^*)Ti​/T(π∗) have denominators that must be shown nonzero from the hypotheses, not assumed.

Formalization scope

The plane is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin 2) with the Euclidean norm, and integrals are Bochner set integrals for Lebesgue measure. The definition file CarlssonPartition.Equitable.Setting contains:

  • the instance (R,x0,f,m,v,q,sˉ,β)(\mathscr R,x_0,f,m,v,q,\bar s,\beta)(R,x0​,f,m,v,q,sˉ,β);
  • the standing assumptions listed in Setting;
  • the workload factor and Theorem 3's leading term, both generic in (vehicle count, rate, region, density);
  • P(x∈S)\mathbb P(x\in S)P(x∈S), λi\lambda_iλi​ and fif_ifi​;
  • partitions;
  • the heavy-traffic filter.

Conventions:

  • The model is not formalized. The stochastic dynamic routing model (renewal arrivals, TSP batching, queues of tours) has no Mathlib substrate. The paper itself uses it only through Theorem 3 of Bertsimas and van Ryzin. So T(π∗)T(\pi^*)T(π∗) and the TiT_iTi​ are arbitrary real functions of λ\lambdaλ, and Theorem 3 is a hypothesis on them: for the fleet, and for each district with m=1m=1m=1 along the district's own limit.
  • Heavy traffic is Filter.comap (fun λ => workload) (𝓝[<] 1): the arrival rates along which the workload factor tends to 111 from below. Every "∼\sim∼" is a ratio tending to 111.
  • Partitions are read up to null sets: null-measurable pieces, pairwise almost-everywhere disjoint, with union R\mathscr RR.
  • Added hypothesis q≥2q\ge2q≥2. At q=1q=1q=1 the factor (1−1/q)2(1-1/q)^2(1−1/q)2 makes Theorem 3's leading term zero, so its ratio hypotheses could not hold and the theorem would be vacuous.
  • No positivity of ∬Rif\iint_{\mathscr R_i}f∬Ri​​f is assumed in the goal, because it follows from the first equitable condition. The milestones that manipulate fif_ifi​ state it explicitly.
  • The Lipschitz condition is kept as a standing assumption of the paper, although only continuity is needed.

Two formalizations would make the goal trivial and are ruled out: defining T(π∗)T(\pi^*)T(π∗) or TiT_iTi​ as the leading-order formula, and writing the district hypothesis with fleet quantities or the fleet's filter. The verification development checks that the heavy-traffic filter is not the bottom filter whenever sˉ>0\bar s>0sˉ>0.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the milestones; a general lemma on averaging ratio limits under a probability vector; and finite additivity of set integrals over a.e.-disjoint partitions in the form used here.

Selected references

  • J. G. Carlsson, S. Liu, N. Salari, H. Yu, Provably Good Region Partitioning for On-Time Last-Mile Delivery, Operations Research 72(1):91–109, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2021.0588 (accepted manuscript: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3915544)
  • D. J. Bertsimas, G. van Ryzin, Stochastic and Dynamic Vehicle Routing in the Euclidean Plane with Multiple Capacitated Vehicles, Operations Research 41(1):60–76, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.1.60
  • D. J. Bertsimas, G. van Ryzin, A Stochastic and Dynamic Vehicle Routing Problem in the Euclidean Plane, Operations Research 39(4):601–615, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.39.4.601
  • J. Beardwood, J. H. Halton, J. M. Hammersley, The Shortest Path Through Many Points, Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 55(4):299–327, 1959. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0305004100034095
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Sensitivity Analysis of the Price of Anarchy in Nonatomic Congestion Games 3: The Price of Anarchy Is Locally Lipschitz at Games with Constant Costs or Strictly Increasing C¹ CostsResearch Paper

Motivation

The price of anarchy (PoA) of a nonatomic congestion game is the ratio of the total cost of a Wardrop equilibrium to the minimum total cost. Worst-case bounds on it over whole classes of cost functions are classical (Roughgarden and Tardos, 2002; Correa, Schulz and Stier-Moses, 2004). In practice the demands and cost functions of a traffic model are estimated, never known exactly, so a second question matters as much as the worst case: how much does the PoA of a given game move when its data move?

Wu and Möhring (arXiv:2007.13979v3, published in Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023) answer this with a metric on games that compares demands and cost functions simultaneously. They show that the PoA is continuous, that it is Hölder continuous with exponent 1/21/21/2 near every game whose costs are Lipschitz, and that it is not uniformly Hölder continuous. This mission formalizes their Theorem 12 (§4.3): at two special classes of games, games with constant costs and games with strictly increasing continuously differentiable costs, the exponent improves to 111, so the PoA is locally Lipschitz. The authors motivate the result by the differentiability results of Cominetti, Dose and Scarsini (2020), which suggest Lipschitz behaviour at games whose costs have strictly positive derivatives.

Setting

Fix a finite set AAA of arcs, a finite nonempty set KKK of origin–destination (O/D) pairs, and for each k∈Kk\in Kk∈K a set SkS_kSk​ of at least two paths, each a nonempty set of arcs; every arc lies on some path. A game Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma=(\tau,d)Γ=(τ,d) consists of arc cost functions τa\tau_aτa​, continuous, non-decreasing and non-negative on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and demands dk≥0d_k\ge 0dk​≥0 with total demand T(d)=∑kdk>0T(d)=\sum_k d_k>0T(d)=∑k​dk​>0; moreover τa(x)>0\tau_a(x)>0τa​(x)>0 for x∈(0,T(d)]x\in(0,T(d)]x∈(0,T(d)]. These games form the game space G(G,K,S)\mathcal G(G,K,S)G(G,K,S).

A flow f=(fs)s∈S≥0f=(f_s)_{s\in S}\ge 0f=(fs​)s∈S​≥0 routes each demand, ∑s∈Skfs=dk\sum_{s\in S_k} f_s=d_k∑s∈Sk​​fs​=dk​. The arc flow is fa=∑s∋afsf_a=\sum_{s\ni a} f_sfa​=∑s∋a​fs​, the path cost τs(f)=∑a∈sτa(fa)\tau_s(f)=\sum_{a\in s}\tau_a(f_a)τs​(f)=∑a∈s​τa​(fa​), and the total cost C(Γ,f)=∑afaτa(fa)C(\Gamma,f)=\sum_a f_a\tau_a(f_a)C(Γ,f)=∑a​fa​τa​(fa​). A flow f~\tilde ff~​ is a Wardrop equilibrium (WE) if every used path of a pair is a cheapest path of that pair. The SO cost C∗(Γ)C^*(\Gamma)C∗(Γ) is the minimum total cost, the WE cost C~(Γ)\tilde C(\Gamma)C~(Γ) is the total cost of a WE flow (all WE flows have the same cost), and the PoA is

ρ(Γ)=C~(Γ)C∗(Γ).\rho(\Gamma)=\frac{\tilde C(\Gamma)}{C^*(\Gamma)}.ρ(Γ)=C∗(Γ)C~(Γ)​.

The distance of two games Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma=(\tau,d)Γ=(τ,d) and Γ′=(σ,d′)\Gamma'=(\sigma,d')Γ′=(σ,d′) is

∥Γ−Γ′∥=max⁡{∥d−d′∥∞, max⁡a∈Amax⁡x∈[0,min⁡{T(d),T(d′)}]∣τa(x)−σa(x)∣, ∥τ(T(d))−σ(T(d′))∥∞},\|\Gamma-\Gamma'\|=\max\Big\{\|d-d'\|_\infty,\ \max_{a\in A}\max_{x\in[0,\min\{T(d),T(d')\}]}|\tau_a(x)-\sigma_a(x)|,\ \|\tau(T(d))-\sigma(T(d'))\|_\infty\Big\},∥Γ−Γ′∥=max{∥d−d′∥∞​, a∈Amax​x∈[0,min{T(d),T(d′)}]max​∣τa​(x)−σa​(x)∣, ∥τ(T(d))−σ(T(d′))∥∞​},

which compares cost functions only on the range both games use, plus their values at the respective total demands.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

Let Γ=(τ,d)∈G(G,K,S)\Gamma=(\tau,d)\in\mathcal G(G,K,S)Γ=(τ,d)∈G(G,K,S).

  1. If every τa\tau_aτa​ is constant on [0,T(d)][0,T(d)][0,T(d)], or
  2. if every τa\tau_aτa​ is continuously differentiable on [0,T(d)][0,T(d)][0,T(d)] with τa′≥mΓ>0\tau_a'\ge m_\Gamma>0τa′​≥mΓ​>0 there,

then there are ϵΓ>0\epsilon_\Gamma>0ϵΓ​>0 and κΓ>0\kappa_\Gamma>0κΓ​>0 such that

∣ρ(Γ)−ρ(Γ′)∣≤κΓ⋅∥Γ−Γ′∥for all Γ′∈G(G,K,S) with ∥Γ−Γ′∥<ϵΓ.|\rho(\Gamma)-\rho(\Gamma')|\le\kappa_\Gamma\cdot\|\Gamma-\Gamma'\|\qquad\text{for all }\Gamma'\in\mathcal G(G,K,S)\text{ with }\|\Gamma-\Gamma'\|<\epsilon_\Gamma.∣ρ(Γ)−ρ(Γ′)∣≤κΓ​⋅∥Γ−Γ′∥for all Γ′∈G(G,K,S) with ∥Γ−Γ′∥<ϵΓ​.

The goal leaves the constants unspecified; only their existence, depending on Γ\GammaΓ alone, is asserted.

Milestones

  • Proof of Theorem 12a), p. 37. A game whose costs are constant on [0,T(d)][0,T(d)][0,T(d)] has ρ(Γ)=1\rho(\Gamma)=1ρ(Γ)=1.
  • (4.33), p. 37. Near such a game, 0≤ρ(Γ′)−ρ(Γ)≤8 ∣A∣ T(d) (∣K∣+1)C∗(Γ)∥Γ−Γ′∥0\le\rho(\Gamma')-\rho(\Gamma)\le\frac{8\,|A|\,T(d)\,(|K|+1)}{C^*(\Gamma)}\|\Gamma-\Gamma'\|0≤ρ(Γ′)−ρ(Γ)≤C∗(Γ)8∣A∣T(d)(∣K∣+1)​∥Γ−Γ′∥.
  • (4.39), p. 38. For WE flows f~,g~\tilde f,\tilde gf~​,g~​ of two games Γ1=(π1,w)\Gamma_1=(\pi^1,w)Γ1​=(π1,w), Γ2=(π2,w)\Gamma_2=(\pi^2,w)Γ2​=(π2,w) with equal demands,
0≤∑a(πa1(f~a)−πa2(g~a))(g~a−f~a)≤∑a(πa1(g~a)−πa2(f~a))(g~a−f~a)≤2∣A∣ T(w) ∥Γ1−Γ2∥.0\le\sum_a(\pi^1_a(\tilde f_a)-\pi^2_a(\tilde g_a))(\tilde g_a-\tilde f_a)\le\sum_a(\pi^1_a(\tilde g_a)-\pi^2_a(\tilde f_a))(\tilde g_a-\tilde f_a)\le 2|A|\,T(w)\,\|\Gamma_1-\Gamma_2\|.0≤a∑​(πa1​(f~​a​)−πa2​(g~​a​))(g~​a​−f~​a​)≤a∑​(πa1​(g~​a​)−πa2​(f~​a​))(g~​a​−f~​a​)≤2∣A∣T(w)∥Γ1​−Γ2​∥.
  • (4.40), p. 38, first four inequalities. If moreover the costs of Γ1\Gamma_1Γ1​ are C1C^1C1 on [0,T(w)][0,T(w)][0,T(w)] with derivative ≥m>0\ge m>0≥m>0, then
m∑a∣g~a−f~a∣2≤∑a(πa1(g~a)−πa1(f~a))(g~a−f~a)≤∑a(πa1(g~a)−πa2(g~a))(g~a−f~a)≤∥Γ1−Γ2∥∑a∣g~a−f~a∣.m\sum_a|\tilde g_a-\tilde f_a|^2\le\sum_a(\pi^1_a(\tilde g_a)-\pi^1_a(\tilde f_a))(\tilde g_a-\tilde f_a)\le\sum_a(\pi^1_a(\tilde g_a)-\pi^2_a(\tilde g_a))(\tilde g_a-\tilde f_a)\le\|\Gamma_1-\Gamma_2\|\sum_a|\tilde g_a-\tilde f_a|.ma∑​∣g~​a​−f~​a​∣2≤a∑​(πa1​(g~​a​)−πa1​(f~​a​))(g~​a​−f~​a​)≤a∑​(πa1​(g~​a​)−πa2​(g~​a​))(g~​a​−f~​a​)≤∥Γ1​−Γ2​∥a∑​∣g~​a​−f~​a​∣.

Significance

At a general game with Lipschitz costs the PoA is only Hölder continuous with exponent 1/21/21/2 in this metric, and the paper shows that no exponent works uniformly over the game space. Theorem 12 identifies two natural classes of games at which the sensitivity is linear: constant costs (the PoA equals 111 and grows at most linearly under perturbation) and strictly increasing C1C^1C1 costs, which include affine costs with positive slopes. For these games an estimation error of size δ\deltaδ in demands and costs changes the PoA by O(δ)O(\delta)O(δ).

The result is proved in the paper; it is not formalized anywhere. A complete development would also provide machine-checked equilibrium-comparison estimates between two games of one demand slice ((4.39)–(4.40)), which are reusable for any stability analysis of Wardrop equilibria. The paper's explicit constants in (4.41)–(4.46) are off by a factor ∣A∣\sqrt{|A|}∣A∣​ (the last step of (4.40) uses ∑a∣xa∣≤∑axa2\sum_a|x_a|\le\sqrt{\sum_a x_a^2}∑a​∣xa​∣≤∑a​xa2​​); the existential Theorem 12 is unaffected, and a formalization with correct explicit constants is a welcome addition.

Difficulty

The PoA is a ratio of two optimal values, and the perturbed game Γ′\Gamma'Γ′ may change the demand vector and the costs at once, including the costs on (T(d),T(d′)](T(d),T(d')](T(d),T(d′)], which Γ\GammaΓ's hypotheses do not control. A direct comparison of Γ\GammaΓ and Γ′\Gamma'Γ′ therefore fails: the WE flows live in different feasible sets, and the hypotheses on Γ\GammaΓ say nothing beyond T(d)T(d)T(d). The general Hölder-1/21/21/2 argument loses a square root exactly where it bounds the distance between the arc flows of the two equilibria through an approximate-equilibrium estimate; obtaining exponent 111 requires an estimate in which the flow difference enters linearly, and this is where strict monotonicity of the costs is needed. Constant costs are degenerate in the opposite direction: the WE is far from unique, and only costs, not flows, can be compared.

Formalization scope

The model follows §2–§3.2 of the paper and reuses the published definition KellyStochasticNetworks_Wardrop for arc flows, feasibility and the Wardrop condition. Paths are nonempty 0/10/10/1 incidence columns (a generalization of loop-free paths that the proofs do not use); KKK is nonempty and Condition 1 is standing (∣Sk∣≥2|S_k|\ge 2∣Sk​∣≥2, every arc on a path). Costs are functions R→R\mathbb R\to\mathbb RR→R constrained on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) only. C∗C^*C∗ is an infimum over all flows, C~\tilde CC~ a supremum over WE flows, ρ=C~/C∗\rho=\tilde C/C^*ρ=C~/C∗; the distance is (3.3) with the sup norm on demand and endpoint vectors and a supremum over the compact set A×[0,min⁡{T(d),T(d′)}]A\times[0,\min\{T(d),T(d')\}]A×[0,min{T(d),T(d′)}]. The derivative in Theorem 12b) is derivWithin on [0,T(d)][0,T(d)][0,T(d)], one-sided at the endpoints, and C1C^1C1 is ContDiffOn ℝ 1 on that interval.

Every statement quantifies over games in the game space only: off it, ρ\rhoρ would be a junk ratio such as 0/0=00/0=00/0=0. The paper prints the conclusions of Theorem 12 and (4.33) with a strict inequality, which fails at Γ′=Γ\Gamma'=\GammaΓ′=Γ; the non-strict form is posed, and no hypothesis Γ′≠Γ\Gamma'\neq\GammaΓ′=Γ is added (distinct games can have distance 000). Milestones (4.39) and (4.40) are posed for two arbitrary games of one demand slice, the general form of the paper's step for its auxiliary game.

A complete development needs existence of SO and WE flows on the game space, the variational characterization of Wardrop equilibria, the mean value theorem on a closed interval with one-sided derivatives, and continuity of C∗C^*C∗ in the metric; contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome. The source is the arXiv preprint v3; the published Mathematics of Operations Research version is not the cited artifact.

Selected references

  • Z. Wu, R. H. Möhring, A sensitivity analysis of the price of anarchy in non-atomic congestion games, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(3), 2023; cited as arXiv:2007.13979v3, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.13979v3
  • T. Roughgarden, É. Tardos, How bad is selfish routing?, Journal of the ACM 49(2), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1145/506147.506153
  • J. R. Correa, A. S. Schulz, N. E. Stier-Moses, Selfish routing in capacitated networks, Mathematics of Operations Research 29(4), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0098
  • R. Cominetti, V. Dose, M. Scarsini, The price of anarchy in routing games as a function of the demand, arXiv:1907.10101v2, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.10101
  • J. G. Wardrop, Some theoretical aspects of road traffic research, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers 1(3), 1952. https://doi.org/10.1680/ipeds.1952.11259
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Sensitivity Analysis of the Price of Anarchy in Nonatomic Congestion Games 2: The Social Optimum Cost, the Wardrop Equilibrium Cost and the Price of Anarchy Are Continuous on the Game SpaceResearch Paper

Motivation

Traffic users choose routes for themselves, while a planner may choose routes that minimize everyone's combined travel cost. The price of anarchy measures the cost of the users' equilibrium relative to the planner's optimum. Travel demand and arc latency functions are estimated from data and change over time, so a ratio that changes abruptly under a small input change would be difficult to interpret or use. Wu and Möhring study this sensitivity for nonatomic congestion games, where each individual user has negligible influence on arc flows. Their preprint proves that the optimum cost, equilibrium cost, and their ratio vary continuously over the game space they define. This mission isolates that foundational continuity result. It supplies the qualitative starting point for the paper's later Hölder and Lipschitz estimates.

The cited artifact is arXiv:2007.13979v3, dated 2021. The article subsequently appeared in Mathematics of Operations Research in 2023, but theorem numbers and pages here refer to the preprint.

Setting

Fix finite sets AAA of arcs, SSS of routes, and KKK of origin–destination pairs. Each route sss serves one pair kkk and contains at least one arc. Every arc belongs to some route, and every pair has at least two routes. A game Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma=(\tau,d)Γ=(τ,d) assigns each arc aaa a nonnegative, nondecreasing, continuous latency function τa:[0,∞)→[0,∞)\tau_a:[0,\infty)\to[0,\infty)τa​:[0,∞)→[0,∞) and each pair kkk a nonnegative demand dkd_kdk​. The total demand is T(d)=∑k∈KdkT(d)=\sum_{k\in K}d_kT(d)=∑k∈K​dk​. These are the paper's basic model and standing combinatorial assumptions (pp. 10–11 and 14).

A feasible flow fff puts nonnegative traffic on routes so that the traffic for each pair sums to its demand. The induced arc flow is fa=∑s∋afsf_a=\sum_{s\ni a}f_sfa​=∑s∋a​fs​. Its total cost is

C(Γ,f)=∑a∈Afaτa(fa).C(\Gamma,f)=\sum_{a\in A} f_a\tau_a(f_a).C(Γ,f)=a∈A∑​fa​τa​(fa​).

A social optimum (SO) is a feasible flow minimizing total cost. A Wardrop equilibrium (WE) is a feasible flow in which every route carrying positive traffic has minimum cost among the routes serving the same pair. Write C∗(Γ)C^*(\Gamma)C∗(Γ) for the SO cost and C~(Γ)\widetilde C(\Gamma)C(Γ) for the WE cost. The paper shows that all SO flows have the same cost and all WE flows have the same cost (pp. 11–12 and 18).

A generalized game has the stated nonnegative demands and regular latency functions. The game space G(G,K,S)\mathcal G(G,K,S)G(G,K,S) further requires T(d)>0T(d)>0T(d)>0 and τa(x)>0\tau_a(x)>0τa​(x)>0 for every arc and every 0<x≤T(d)0<x\le T(d)0<x≤T(d), the paper's Condition 2. On this space, the optimum cost is positive and the price of anarchy is defined by

ρ(Γ)=C~(Γ)C∗(Γ).\rho(\Gamma)=\frac{\widetilde C(\Gamma)}{C^*(\Gamma)}.ρ(Γ)=C∗(Γ)C(Γ)​.

For Γ=(τ,d)\Gamma=(\tau,d)Γ=(τ,d) and Γ′=(σ,d′)\Gamma'=(\sigma,d')Γ′=(σ,d′), the paper's distance Dist⁡(Γ,Γ′)\operatorname{Dist}(\Gamma,\Gamma')Dist(Γ,Γ′) is the maximum of three discrepancies: the sup norm of d−d′d-d'd−d′, the largest ∣τa(x)−σa(x)∣|\tau_a(x)-\sigma_a(x)|∣τa​(x)−σa​(x)∣ for a∈Aa\in Aa∈A and 0≤x≤min⁡{T(d),T(d′)}0\le x\le\min\{T(d),T(d')\}0≤x≤min{T(d),T(d′)}, and the sup norm of τ(T(d))−σ(T(d′))\tau(T(d))-\sigma(T(d'))τ(T(d))−σ(T(d′)). The last term compares costs at the two games' respective demand endpoints. Games with equal demands and equal latency functions up to that demand are identified as equivalent (pp. 15–17, (3.1)–(3.3)).

Formalization targets

The supporting milestones establish a positive lower bound for C∗C^*C∗ and an upper bound for ρ\rhoρ (Lemma 3), the distance properties of generalized games (Lemma 4), and behavior of feasible, SO, and WE flows under convergent game sequences (Lemma 5). The goal is the paper's Theorem 6, p. 19: for any sequence Γn∈G(G,K,S)\Gamma_n\in\mathcal G(G,K,S)Γn​∈G(G,K,S) with Dist⁡(Γn,Γ)→0\operatorname{Dist}(\Gamma_n,\Gamma)\to0Dist(Γn​,Γ)→0 and Γ∈G(G,K,S)\Gamma\in\mathcal G(G,K,S)Γ∈G(G,K,S),

C∗(Γn)→C∗(Γ),C~(Γn)→C~(Γ),ρ(Γn)→ρ(Γ).C^*(\Gamma_n)\to C^*(\Gamma),\qquad \widetilde C(\Gamma_n)\to\widetilde C(\Gamma),\qquad \rho(\Gamma_n)\to\rho(\Gamma).C∗(Γn​)→C∗(Γ),C(Γn​)→C(Γ),ρ(Γn​)→ρ(Γ).

Significance

The theorem establishes that sufficiently small changes in both demand and latency data produce small changes in the two total costs and their ratio. It allows the PoA to be treated as a stable observable of a game, including where the identity of an optimum or equilibrium flow changes. The result is qualitative: it does not supply a uniform rate of change. The same paper investigates sharper rates under additional assumptions (§4).

The mathematical result is proved in the paper. In this mission its statements and definitions are compiled Lean drafts, while proofs of Theorem 6 and its milestone lemmas remain open. A completed development would make the game-space metric, limit-of-flow statements, and cost continuity available for later sensitivity results on nonatomic routing.

Difficulty

Pointwise continuity of each τa\tau_aτa​ does not by itself control an optimum or equilibrium when demands change: the feasible-flow sets change with ddd, and a flow for one game need not be feasible for another. A converging sequence of games can also have different optimal or equilibrium flows at every index. The distance compares functions only on demand-relevant intervals, so limits of costs must respect those varying intervals. Finally, continuity of the quotient requires a positive optimum cost throughout the game space; the paper's Condition 2 is what makes that denominator meaningful (pp. 15–19).

Formalization scope

Lean uses finite types for arcs, routes, and pairs; a route is a nonempty 000–111 incidence column and is assigned to one pair. This admits arbitrary route collections rather than insisting on loop-free directed graph paths. The standing network predicate records the nonempty pair set, nonempty routes, every arc's membership in a route, and at least two routes per pair. Costs are total functions on the reals, with continuity, monotonicity, and nonnegativity required only on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Flow feasibility, arc flow, the Wardrop condition, and the potential reuse the published KellyStochasticNetworks_Wardrop definition. The total cost uses the arc formula; C∗C^*C∗ is an infimum over feasible flows and C~\widetilde CC a supremum over WE flows. On valid games these recover the paper's common SO and WE costs.

The distance uses the sup norm on finite vectors and a real supremum over the bounded shared demand interval. Convergence is stated sequentially, following the paper, without imposing a metric-space instance on raw games that may be equivalent. Every theorem involving ρ\rhoρ quantifies over the game space, so a zero denominator or an empty equilibrium set cannot supply a spurious value. The route-count and arc-count factors in Lemma 3 are the actual finite cardinalities. Contributions that establish existence and compactness of relevant flow sets, equivalence of the arc and path cost formulas, and the stated limit properties are useful beyond this theorem.

Selected references

  • Z. Wu and R. H. Möhring, A sensitivity analysis of the PoA in non-atomic congestion games, arXiv:2007.13979v3, 2021. Preprint.
  • Z. Wu and R. H. Möhring, A Sensitivity Analysis of the Price of Anarchy in Nonatomic Congestion Games, Mathematics of Operations Research 48(3), 2023. DOI.
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Sample-Driven Optimal Stopping: From the Secretary Problem to the i.i.d. Prophet Inequality III: The Explicit Lower Bound on the Competitive Ratio Is at Least α* Times pResearch Paper

Motivation

Optimal stopping with partial information sits between two classical problems. In the secretary problem a decision maker sees values in random order, knows nothing about how they are generated, and must stop on the best one; the optimal guarantee is 1/e1/e1/e. In the i.i.d. prophet inequality the values are independent draws from a known distribution, and the best guarantee, relative to the expected maximum, is the constant α∗≈0.745\alpha^*\approx 0.745α∗≈0.745: Hill and Kertz (1982) and Kertz (1986) showed that no stopping rule does better on every distribution, and Correa, Foncea, Hoeksma, Oosterwijk and Vredeveld (2017, doi:10.1145/3033274.3085137) gave a rule that achieves it. Practical settings, such as pricing from historical data, lie in between: the distribution is unknown, but samples of it are available.

Correa, Cristi, Epstein and Soto (arXiv:2011.06516v2) interpolate between the two problems with the ppp-sample-driven optimal stopping problem: each of NNN adversarial values is independently revealed in advance (a sample) with probability ppp, and the remaining values arrive online in random order. At p=0p=0p=0 this is the secretary problem; as p→1p\to1p→1 it approaches the i.i.d. prophet inequality. They show that the optimal competitive ratio α(p)\alpha(p)α(p) of the limit problem is the value of an infinite-dimensional linear program, and they construct an explicit threshold rule whose guarantee α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) is the root of a scalar equation.

Prior work on learning a distribution from samples obtained guarantees α∗−O(ε)\alpha^*-O(\varepsilon)α∗−O(ε) with O(n2/ε)O(n^2/\varepsilon)O(n2/ε) samples (Correa, Dütting, Fischer, Schewior, 2019) and with O(n/ε6)O(n/\varepsilon^6)O(n/ε6) samples (Rubinstein, Wang, Weinberg, 2020). Theorem 9 of the paper, the goal of this mission, gives such a guarantee with O(n/ε)O(n/\varepsilon)O(n/ε) samples.

Setting

Fix p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1). The guarantee of the explicit threshold rule is the number α~(p)∈(0,1)\tilde\alpha(p)\in(0,1)α~(p)∈(0,1) solving

ln⁡p+α~(1−p)2p=∑i=1∞ln⁡(1−α~+α~[(i+1)pi−ipi+1])i(i+1).(19)\ln p+\frac{\tilde\alpha(1-p)^2}{p}=\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\frac{\ln\bigl(1-\tilde\alpha+\tilde\alpha[(i+1)p^i-ip^{i+1}]\bigr)}{i(i+1)}.\tag{19}lnp+pα~(1−p)2​=i=1∑∞​i(i+1)ln(1−α~+α~[(i+1)pi−ipi+1])​.(19)

Lemma 7 of the paper shows that (19) has exactly one root in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). The i.i.d. prophet constant α∗∈(0,1)\alpha^*\in(0,1)α∗∈(0,1) is the solution of

∫01dyy(1−ln⁡y)+1/α∗−1=1.\int_0^1\frac{dy}{y(1-\ln y)+1/\alpha^*-1}=1 .∫01​y(1−lny)+1/α∗−1dy​=1.

The proof of Theorem 9 (Appendix B.9) works with three auxiliary functions of ppp, each depending on α∗\alpha^*α∗ as a parameter:

a(p)=∑i≥1ln⁡(1p−α∗(1−pi(1+i(1−p))))i(i+1)+α∗(2p−p2),b(p)=1p2∑i≥11i(i+1)(1p−α∗(1−pi(1+i(1−p)))),a(p)=\sum_{i\ge1}\frac{\ln\bigl(\tfrac1p-\alpha^*(1-p^i(1+i(1-p)))\bigr)}{i(i+1)}+\alpha^*(2p-p^2),\qquad b(p)=\frac1{p^2}\sum_{i\ge1}\frac{1}{i(i+1)\bigl(\tfrac1p-\alpha^*(1-p^i(1+i(1-p)))\bigr)},a(p)=i≥1∑​i(i+1)ln(p1​−α∗(1−pi(1+i(1−p))))​+α∗(2p−p2),b(p)=p21​i≥1∑​i(i+1)(p1​−α∗(1−pi(1+i(1−p))))1​, c(p)=∑i≥1pi−1−pi1pα∗−1+pi(1+i(1−p)).c(p)=\sum_{i\ge1}\frac{p^{i-1}-p^i}{\tfrac1{p\alpha^*}-1+p^i(1+i(1-p))}.c(p)=i≥1∑​pα∗1​−1+pi(1+i(1−p))pi−1−pi​.

Appendix B.7 also names the two sides of (19): f(p,α)=ln⁡p+α(1−p)2/pf(p,\alpha)=\ln p+\alpha(1-p)^2/pf(p,α)=lnp+α(1−p)2/p and g(p,α)=∑i≥1ln⁡(1+α(pi(1+i(1−p))−1))/(i(i+1))g(p,\alpha)=\sum_{i\ge1}\ln(1+\alpha(p^i(1+i(1-p))-1))/(i(i+1))g(p,α)=∑i≥1​ln(1+α(pi(1+i(1−p))−1))/(i(i+1)). In Lean, IsAlphaTilde p a and IsAlphaStar s are shared predicates in SampleDrivenOS.Limit; aB9 s p, bB9 s p, cB9 s p, fB7 p α, and gB7 p α are in SampleDrivenOS.Linear.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 9 (p. 17)

for every p∈(0,1):α~(p) ≥ α∗p.\text{for every }p\in(0,1):\qquad \tilde\alpha(p)\ \ge\ \alpha^*p .for every p∈(0,1):α~(p) ≥ α∗p.

It is stated for every root α~\tilde\alphaα~ of (19) and every solution α∗\alpha^*α∗ of the integral equation; neither existence nor uniqueness is assumed.

Milestones (Appendix B.7 and B.9, in the order the proof uses them)

  1. B.7: f(p,⋅)f(p,\cdot)f(p,⋅) is strictly increasing on [0,1][0,1][0,1] and g(p,⋅)g(p,\cdot)g(p,⋅) non-increasing on [0,1)[0,1)[0,1).
  2. B.9: if (19) holds with "≤\le≤" at α∗p\alpha^*pα∗p in place of α~\tilde\alphaα~ (after the substitution α~=f(p)p\tilde\alpha=f(p)pα~=f(p)p), then α~(p)≥α∗p\tilde\alpha(p)\ge\alpha^*pα~(p)≥α∗p.
  3. B.9: that inequality is equivalent to α∗≤a(p)\alpha^*\le a(p)α∗≤a(p).
  4. B.9: aaa is differentiable on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) with a′(p)=2α∗(1−p)−b(p)+c(p)a'(p)=2\alpha^*(1-p)-b(p)+c(p)a′(p)=2α∗(1−p)−b(p)+c(p), also in term-by-term form.
  5. B.9: b(p)≥1/pb(p)\ge 1/pb(p)≥1/p.
  6. B.9: c(p)≤1p∫01dy1/(pα∗)−1+y(1−pln⁡y)−α∗(1−p)c(p)\le\frac1p\int_0^1\frac{dy}{1/(p\alpha^*)-1+y(1-p\ln y)}-\alpha^*(1-p)c(p)≤p1​∫01​1/(pα∗)−1+y(1−plny)dy​−α∗(1−p).
  7. B.9: using the defining equation of α∗\alpha^*α∗,
1p∫01dy1pα∗−1+y(1−pln⁡y)≤1p−1−pp(1pα∗−1e)ln⁡1pα∗+pe1pα∗+pe−1.\frac1p\int_0^1\frac{dy}{\tfrac1{p\alpha^*}-1+y(1-p\ln y)}\le\frac1p-\frac{1-p}{p}\Bigl(\frac1{p\alpha^*}-\frac1e\Bigr)\ln\frac{\tfrac1{p\alpha^*}+\tfrac pe}{\tfrac1{p\alpha^*}+\tfrac pe-1}.p1​∫01​pα∗1​−1+y(1−plny)dy​≤p1​−p1−p​(pα∗1​−e1​)lnpα∗1​+ep​−1pα∗1​+ep​​.
  1. B.9: for all s∈[0.74,0.75]s\in[0.74,0.75]s∈[0.74,0.75] and p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1), (1ps−1e)ln⁡1/(ps)+p/e1/(ps)+p/e−1≥0.8\bigl(\frac1{ps}-\frac1e\bigr)\ln\frac{1/(ps)+p/e}{1/(ps)+p/e-1}\ge0.8(ps1​−e1​)ln1/(ps)+p/e−11/(ps)+p/e​≥0.8.
  2. B.9: if α∗∈[0.74,0.75]\alpha^*\in[0.74,0.75]α∗∈[0.74,0.75], then c(p)≤1p−α∗(1−p)(1+1p)c(p)\le\frac1p-\alpha^*(1-p)(1+\frac1p)c(p)≤p1​−α∗(1−p)(1+p1​).
  3. B.9: under the same hypothesis, ddpa(p)≤0\frac{d}{dp}a(p)\le0dpd​a(p)≤0 on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).

Significance

The explicit rule's guarantee α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) is a lower bound on the optimal ratio α(p)\alpha(p)α(p), and Theorem 8 (a separate mission of this series) shows α~(p)→α∗\tilde\alpha(p)\to\alpha^*α~(p)→α∗ as p→1p\to1p→1. Theorem 9 makes that convergence quantitative and uniform: the guarantee is at least linear in ppp, so with p=1−εp=1-\varepsilonp=1−ε, an online set of size n=εNn=\varepsilon Nn=εN and O(n/ε)O(n/\varepsilon)O(n/ε) samples the rule earns α∗−O(ε)\alpha^*-O(\varepsilon)α∗−O(ε) of the expected maximum. This improves the sample complexity of the earlier learning-based results by a polynomial factor, in a model more general than theirs.

The theorem is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. The proof is elementary real analysis on explicit series and integrals, and one of its steps is a numerical check that the paper does not carry out in print. A formalization turns that numerical claim into a certified inequality and checks a chain of estimates in which one inequality sign is misprinted (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The statement is about two implicitly defined numbers. α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) has no closed form, and α∗\alpha^*α∗ is defined by an integral equation. Evaluating both numerically at finitely many ppp proves nothing for the remaining ppp, and the inequality is tight at p=1p=1p=1 (α~(1)=α∗\tilde\alpha(1)=\alpha^*α~(1)=α∗), so no uniform slack is available near p=1p=1p=1.

Concavity of α~\tilde\alphaα~ would give the result immediately, and the paper reports it numerically, but the authors were unable to prove it; the argument must avoid it. The remaining work handles infinite series whose terms depend on ppp through both pip^ipi and i(1−p)i(1-p)i(1−p): differentiating such a series term by term requires uniform control of the derivative series, comparing it with an integral needs a monotonicity argument, and one step needs a bound valid on an entire two-parameter region rather than at a point.

Formalization scope

  • Numbers, not processes. No probability, program or algorithm appears in Lean. Everything is a real-valued function on R\mathbb RR.
  • Predicates, not choice. α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) and α∗\alpha^*α∗ enter as IsAlphaTilde p a (with 0<a<10<a<10<a<1) and IsAlphaStar s (with 0<s<10<s<10<s<1). Statements quantify over every solution. Both exist, so the goal is not vacuous: existence of α~\tilde\alphaα~ is Lemma 7 (posed in the second mission of this series), and existence and uniqueness of α∗=1/β∗\alpha^*=1/\beta^*α∗=1/β∗ are posed as CorreaThreshold.Adaptive.beta_star_existsUnique (512ff915-7ec1-4d24-87b3-bc8adfee6bad).
  • Series. Every series is a Lean tsum over i : ℕ with the paper's index i≥1i\ge1i≥1 shifted to i + 1. For parameters in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) all series are summable, so tsum is the true sum; summability is part of what solvers prove, never a hypothesis. Differentiability of aaa is likewise a conclusion (HasDerivAt), never assumed.
  • Total functions. Real.log 0 = 0 makes the integrands' values at y=0y=0y=0 equal their limits, so the interval integrals are the true integrals. Every division (1/p1/p1/p, 1/(ps)1/(ps)1/(ps)) is at a positive argument under the stated ranges, and every logarithm's argument is positive.
  • α∗≈0.745\alpha^*\approx0.745α∗≈0.745. The paper uses this approximation through the interval α∗∈[0.74,0.75]\alpha^*\in[0.74,0.75]α∗∈[0.74,0.75] of its numerical check. Milestones 9 and 10 carry that interval as a hypothesis; the goal does not. The lower bound α∗>0.745\alpha^*>0.745α∗>0.745 is posed as CorreaThreshold.Adaptive.inv_beta_star_gt (ce70487c-b155-4e47-9ce8-8348dc1b1645). The upper bound α∗≤0.75\alpha^*\le0.75α∗≤0.75 (numerically α∗≈0.74544\alpha^*\approx0.74544α∗≈0.74544) is posed nowhere and is welcome as a lemma.
  • A printed slip. The paper prints the conclusion of milestone 9 as "c(p)≥…c(p)\ge\dotsc(p)≥…". The surrounding argument requires and announces "≤\le≤", and the formal statement uses ≤\le≤.
  • Ruled-out trivializations. Fixing ppp, replacing α∗\alpha^*α∗ by the numeral 0.7450.7450.745 (a weaker statement, since 0.745<α∗0.745<\alpha^*0.745<α∗), stating aaa's monotonicity through deriv (which is 000 at non-differentiable points), or replacing α~\tilde\alphaα~ by a chosen value all change the theorem. None is used.
  • Reusable infrastructure. Welcome contributions include term-by-term differentiation of tsums under a dominating series, Riemann-sum comparisons for monotone integrands, a Chebyshev-type integral inequality for two decreasing functions, and certified interval arithmetic for a two-variable inequality such as milestone 8.

Selected references

  • J. Correa, A. Cristi, B. Epstein, J. A. Soto, Sample-Driven Optimal Stopping: From the Secretary Problem to the i.i.d. Prophet Inequality, arXiv:2011.06516v2, 2021 (journal version: Mathematics of Operations Research, 2024). https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.06516v2
  • J. Correa, P. Foncea, R. Hoeksma, T. Oosterwijk, T. Vredeveld, Posted Price Mechanisms for a Random Stream of Customers, ACM EC 2017; Mathematics of Operations Research 46(4), 2021. https://doi.org/10.1145/3033274.3085137
  • T. P. Hill, R. P. Kertz, Comparisons of stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables, Annals of Probability 10(2), 1982 (reference [26] of the paper). https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993767
  • R. P. Kertz, Stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables: a complete comparison by conjugate duality, Journal of Multivariate Analysis 19, 1986 (reference [28] of the paper).
  • J. Correa, P. Dütting, F. Fischer, K. Schewior, Prophet Inequalities for I.I.D. Random Variables from an Unknown Distribution, ACM EC 2019. https://doi.org/10.1145/3328526.3329627
  • A. Rubinstein, J. Z. Wang, S. M. Weinberg, Optimal Single-Choice Prophet Inequalities from Samples, ITCS 2020. https://doi.org/10.4230/LIPIcs.ITCS.2020.60
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Sample-Driven Optimal Stopping: From the Secretary Problem to the i.i.d. Prophet Inequality II: The Optimal Competitive Ratio Tends to the i.i.d. Prophet Constant as p Tends to 1Research Paper

Motivation

Optimal stopping with samples sits between two classical problems. In the secretary problem a decision maker sees items in random order, knows nothing about their values, and must stop on one; the best guarantee is 1/e1/e1/e. In the i.i.d. prophet inequality the values are independent draws from a known distribution, and the best guarantee against the expected maximum is the constant α∗≈0.745\alpha^*\approx0.745α∗≈0.745: Hill and Kertz (1982) and Kertz (1986) showed that no stopping rule does better, and Correa, Foncea, Hoeksma, Oosterwijk and Vredeveld (2017) showed that it is achieved. Real decision makers usually have neither nothing nor everything: they have a history of past observations.

Correa, Cristi, Epstein and Soto (arXiv:2011.06516v2) model this as ppp-DOS (sample-driven optimal stopping): each of NNN items is independently placed in a history set with probability ppp, the decision maker sees the history first and then the remaining items online, and must stop on one online item. At p=0p=0p=0 this is the secretary problem; as p→1p\to1p→1 the history reveals the distribution and the problem approaches the i.i.d. prophet setting. This mission formalizes the paper's Theorem 8, which makes the second statement precise: the optimal guarantee tends to α∗\alpha^*α∗.

Timeline. Hill and Kertz (1982) compared stop-rule and supremum expectations for i.i.d. variables; Kertz (1986) completed the comparison, giving the worst-case constant ≈0.745\approx0.745≈0.745 through the integral equation used below; Correa et al. (2017) gave a matching algorithm. Kaplan, Naori and Raz (2020) studied the sample-driven model with a weaker bound for small ppp; Correa, Dütting, Fischer and Schewior (2019) and Rubinstein, Wang and Weinberg (2020) studied i.i.d. values with samples from an unknown distribution. The present paper (2020–2021) gives the exact limit program and Theorem 8.

Setting

Fix p∈(0,1)p\in(0,1)p∈(0,1). A stopping rule is a nonnegative function q(t,ℓ)q(t,\ell)q(t,ℓ) of a time t∈[p,1]t\in[p,1]t∈[p,1] and a rank ℓ≥1\ell\ge1ℓ≥1. For k≥1k\ge1k≥1 let

Fk(q)=∑ℓ=1k∫p1q(t,ℓ)∑j=ℓk(j−1ℓ−1)(1−t)j−ℓtℓ dt.F_k(q)=\sum_{\ell=1}^{k}\int_p^1 q(t,\ell)\sum_{j=\ell}^{k}\binom{j-1}{\ell-1}(1-t)^{j-\ell}t^{\ell}\,dt .Fk​(q)=ℓ=1∑k​∫p1​q(t,ℓ)j=ℓ∑k​(ℓ−1j−1​)(1−t)j−ℓtℓdt.

The limit program SDCLPp_pp​ maximizes α∈[0,1]\alpha\in[0,1]α∈[0,1] over pairs (q,α)(q,\alpha)(q,α) with

t q(t,ℓ)+∫pt∑s≥1q(τ,s) dτ≤1(t∈[p,1], ℓ≥1),α≤Fk(q)1−pk(k≥1).t\,q(t,\ell)+\int_p^t\sum_{s\ge1}q(\tau,s)\,d\tau\le1\quad(t\in[p,1],\ \ell\ge1),\qquad \alpha\le\frac{F_k(q)}{1-p^k}\quad(k\ge1).tq(t,ℓ)+∫pt​s≥1∑​q(τ,s)dτ≤1(t∈[p,1], ℓ≥1),α≤1−pkFk​(q)​(k≥1).

Its optimal value is α(p)\alpha(p)α(p). The paper obtains SDCLPp_pp​ as the limit N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞ of the linear programs that describe the best algorithm for ppp-DOS with adversarial values (§4.1–4.2); Theorem 8 is a statement about the program's value.

Two constants are defined by equations. α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) is the unique root in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) of

ln⁡p+α~(1−p)2p=∑i=1∞ln⁡(1−α~+α~[(i+1)pi−ipi+1])i(i+1),(19)\ln p+\frac{\tilde\alpha(1-p)^2}{p}=\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\frac{\ln\bigl(1-\tilde\alpha+\tilde\alpha[(i+1)p^i-ip^{i+1}]\bigr)}{i(i+1)},\qquad(19)lnp+pα~(1−p)2​=i=1∑∞​i(i+1)ln(1−α~+α~[(i+1)pi−ipi+1])​,(19)

and α∗\alpha^*α∗ is the solution of ∫01dyy(1−ln⁡y)+1/α∗−1=1\int_0^1\frac{dy}{y(1-\ln y)+1/\alpha^*-1}=1∫01​y(1−lny)+1/α∗−1dy​=1. A threshold rule (12) is given by times p=t1≤t2≤⋯≤1p=t_1\le t_2\le\cdots\le1p=t1​≤t2​≤⋯≤1 with Ti=∏j≤itjT_i=\prod_{j\le i}t_jTi​=∏j≤i​tj​: on [ti,ti+1)[t_i,t_{i+1})[ti​,ti+1​) it equals Ti/ti+1T_i/t^{i+1}Ti​/ti+1 for ranks ℓ≤i\ell\le iℓ≤i and 000 for larger ranks.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8

0≤α~(p)≤α(p)≤α∗(p∈(0,1)),lim⁡p→1−α~(p)=lim⁡p→1−α(p)=α∗.0\le\tilde\alpha(p)\le\alpha(p)\le\alpha^*\quad(p\in(0,1)),\qquad \lim_{p\to1^-}\tilde\alpha(p)=\lim_{p\to1^-}\alpha(p)=\alpha^*.0≤α~(p)≤α(p)≤α∗(p∈(0,1)),p→1−lim​α~(p)=p→1−lim​α(p)=α∗.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. B.4: ∑ℓ=1j(j−1ℓ−1)(1−t)j−ℓtℓ=t\sum_{\ell=1}^{j}\binom{j-1}{\ell-1}(1-t)^{j-\ell}t^\ell=t∑ℓ=1j​(ℓ−1j−1​)(1−t)j−ℓtℓ=t.
  2. Lemma 4: a maximal α\alphaα satisfies α≥inf⁡k≥111−pk∑j≤k∫p1t q(t,j) dt\alpha\ge\inf_{k\ge1}\frac{1}{1-p^k}\sum_{j\le k}\int_p^1 t\,q(t,j)\,dtα≥infk≥1​1−pk1​∑j≤k​∫p1​tq(t,j)dt when qqq is non-increasing in ℓ\ellℓ.
  3. Lemma 5: for a threshold rule, the system "every term of that infimum equals α\alphaα" is equivalent to explicit equations (15)–(16).
  4. Lemma 6 (i), (ii): the times t1=pt_1=pt1​=p, t2=peα(1−p)2/pt_2=pe^{\alpha(1-p)^2/p}t2​=peα(1−p)2/p, (tk/tk+1)k−1=γk/γk−1(t_k/t_{k+1})^{k-1}=\gamma_k/\gamma_{k-1}(tk​/tk+1​)k−1=γk​/γk−1​ increase, and their limit is at most 111 exactly under condition (18).
  5. B.6: Ti/tii−1=pγi−1T_i/t_i^{i-1}=p\gamma_{i-1}Ti​/tii−1​=pγi−1​ and μk=p(1−α+αpk−2)/(k−2)\mu_k=p(1-\alpha+\alpha p^{k-2})/(k-2)μk​=p(1−α+αpk−2)/(k−2).
  6. Lemma 6 (iii): under (18) the threshold rule is feasible with value α\alphaα.
  7. Lemma 7: (19) has a unique root, continuous in ppp.
  8. B.8: the ratio h(p,η)h(p,\eta)h(p,η) of the two sides of (19) tends to ∫01dyy(1−ln⁡y)+1/η−1\int_0^1\frac{dy}{y(1-\ln y)+1/\eta-1}∫01​y(1−lny)+1/η−1dy​ as p→1p\to1p→1.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8 shows that sample access interpolates continuously between the secretary and prophet worlds and that, with almost full information, no more than the known-distribution guarantee α∗\alpha^*α∗ is lost or gained. The explicit rule behind α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) is a concrete threshold algorithm, and the companion Theorem 9 of the paper (α~(p)≥α∗p\tilde\alpha(p)\ge\alpha^*pα~(p)≥α∗p, a separate mission) turns it into sample-complexity bounds: O(n/ε)O(n/\varepsilon)O(n/ε) samples suffice for α∗−O(ε)\alpha^*-O(\varepsilon)α∗−O(ε).

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no part of it is machine-checked. A formal proof contributes a verified treatment of an infinite-dimensional linear program over L1([p,1]×N)L^1([p,1]\times\mathbb N)L1([p,1]×N), of series defined through implicit equations, and of a Riemann-sum limit obtained by l'Hôpital's rule. One clause, α(p)≤α∗\alpha(p)\le\alpha^*α(p)≤α∗, is not proved in the paper: it is imported from the i.i.d. prophet inequality literature via the interpretation of α(p)\alpha(p)α(p) as a competitive ratio. A formal proof of that clause directly from SDCLPp_pp​ would be new.

Difficulty

The lower bound α~(p)≤α(p)\tilde\alpha(p)\le\alpha(p)α~(p)≤α(p) needs an explicit feasible point of an infinite program; checking feasibility of the threshold rule requires exact telescoping of series with products of the times tkt_ktk​, which are defined recursively through fractional powers. The limit α~(p)→α∗\tilde\alpha(p)\to\alpha^*α~(p)→α∗ is a 0/00/00/0 limit of infinite series whose terms change scale as p→1p\to1p→1: every individual term tends to zero, so termwise passage to the limit gives no information, and the integral in the defining equation of α∗\alpha^*α∗ appears only in an aggregate limit of the whole series. The upper bound α(p)≤α∗\alpha(p)\le\alpha^*α(p)≤α∗ cannot come from evaluating any single solution: it is a statement about every feasible qqq, and the paper obtains it only through an external argument.

Formalization scope

  • A stopping rule is q : ℝ → ℕ → ℝ; ranks are 1-based (values at rank 000 are never used), and constraints are imposed pointwise on [p,1][p,1][p,1] as printed. The integral of the series in (10) is a lower Lebesgue integral of an [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued series, so it cannot collapse to a junk value; each q(⋅,ℓ)q(\cdot,\ell)q(⋅,ℓ) is required integrable on [p,1][p,1][p,1].
  • α(p)\alpha(p)α(p) is sSup of the set of feasible α\alphaα; it contains 000 and is bounded by 111, so it is the true supremum (checked in a sorry-free verification file). The program ranges over all feasible qqq, never only threshold rules.
  • (11) is quantified over k≥1k\ge1k≥1 only, so 1−pk≠01-p^k\neq01−pk=0.
  • Threshold rules use the half-open intervals [ti,ti+1)[t_i,t_{i+1})[ti​,ti+1​) of (7); (12) prints closed intervals, which overlap at the tit_iti​.
  • The series in (18), (19), (26) and μk\mu_kμk​ are written with the summation index shifted to start at 000; with p,α∈(0,1)p,\alpha\in(0,1)p,α∈(0,1) every logarithm's argument lies in [1−α,1][1-\alpha,1][1−α,1], so they converge absolutely and tsum is the true sum.
  • Lemma 6's recursion is tk+1=tk(γk−1/γk)1/(k−1)t_{k+1}=t_k(\gamma_{k-1}/\gamma_k)^{1/(k-1)}tk+1​=tk​(γk−1​/γk​)1/(k−1) for k≥2k\ge2k≥2, the unique positive solution of (17).
  • α~\tilde\alphaα~ and α∗\alpha^*α∗ are predicates (IsAlphaTilde, IsAlphaStar), not chosen functions; the goal holds for every root selection. Existence and uniqueness of α∗\alpha^*α∗ (with β=1/α∗\beta=1/\alpha^*β=1/α∗) is already posed as the open item CorreaThreshold.Adaptive.beta_star_existsUnique and is not posed again.
  • "p→1p\to1p→1" is the one-sided filter 𝓝[<] 1.
  • Lemma 6 (iii) carries hypothesis (18), which the paper states in the sentence after the lemma; without it the claim is false.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: replacing α(p)\alpha(p)α(p) by α~(p)\tilde\alpha(p)α~(p) or by the value of a truncated program, fixing ppp, restricting qqq to threshold rules in the definition of α(p)\alpha(p)α(p), or replacing α∗\alpha^*α∗ by 0.7450.7450.745 each changes the theorem and is not done.

A complete development needs: binomial identities, interval integrals of t−it^{-i}t−i and of piecewise-defined functions, real powers and logarithms of recursively defined sequences, summability of series in ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1, continuity of the root of a monotone family of equations, and limits of Riemann-type sums on (0,1](0,1](0,1]. The last two are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome independently of the goal.

Selected references

  • J. Correa, A. Cristi, B. Epstein, J. A. Soto, Sample-Driven Optimal Stopping: From the Secretary Problem to the i.i.d. Prophet Inequality, arXiv:2011.06516v2, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.06516v2
  • T. P. Hill, R. P. Kertz, Comparisons of stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables, The Annals of Probability 10(2), 336–345, 1982 (reference [26] of the paper).
  • R. P. Kertz, Stop rule and supremum expectations of i.i.d. random variables: a complete comparison by conjugate duality, Journal of Multivariate Analysis 19, 88–112, 1986 (reference [28]).
  • J. Correa, P. Foncea, R. Hoeksma, T. Oosterwijk, T. Vredeveld, Posted price mechanisms for a random stream of customers, ACM EC 2017 (reference [17]).
  • H. Kaplan, D. Naori, D. Raz, Competitive analysis with a sample and the secretary problem, SODA 2020 (reference [27]).
  • J. Correa, P. Dütting, F. Fischer, K. Schewior, Prophet inequalities for i.i.d. random variables from an unknown distribution, ACM EC 2019 (reference [15]).
  • A. Rubinstein, J. Z. Wang, S. M. Weinberg, Optimal single-choice prophet inequalities from samples, ITCS 2020 (reference [40]).
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Mechanism Design under Approximate Incentive Compatibility 2: Under Local α-Power Envelopes, ε-IC Mechanisms Gain at Most Õ(ε^(α/(2α−1))) RevenueResearch Paper

Motivation

Classical mechanism design assumes that agents optimize exactly: a buyer facing a menu picks the option that maximizes his utility, however small the advantage over the next-best option. In many settings this is implausible. Agents may face cognitive or computational costs, or the designer may only be able to certify incentives approximately, as in algorithmic mechanism design where exact incentive compatibility is replaced by ε-incentive compatibility: no deviation gains more than ε\varepsilonε.

Balseiro, Besbes and Castro (arXiv:2103.03403v2; Operations Research, 2024) ask how much a revenue-maximizing seller can gain when the buyer is only an ε\varepsilonε-optimizer, in the most basic setting: one seller, one item, one buyer. Without the relaxation the answer is classical: by Myerson (1981) and Riley–Zeckhauser (1983) the optimal mechanism is a posted price. The rounding argument usually attributed to Nisan shows that the gain from the relaxation is O(ε1/2)O(\varepsilon^{1/2})O(ε1/2) for every distribution. This mission formalizes the paper's first main theorem, which shows that for regular instances the gain is much smaller and is determined by the local curvature of the revenue curve at the optimal price.

Setting

The buyer's value vvv has a density fff on S=[0,vˉ]S=[0,\bar v]S=[0,vˉ], with vˉ>0\bar v>0vˉ>0, f≥0f\ge 0f≥0, f=0f=0f=0 off SSS and ∫0vˉf=1\int_0^{\bar v}f=1∫0vˉ​f=1. Assumption 1 requires in addition that fff has bounded variation on SSS. Write F(v)=∫0vfF(v)=\int_0^v fF(v)=∫0v​f, Fˉ=1−F\bar F=1-FFˉ=1−F, the revenue function R(v)=vFˉ(v)R(v)=v\bar F(v)R(v)=vFˉ(v) (the revenue of a posted price vvv), and R˙(v)=Fˉ(v)−vf(v)\dot R(v)=\bar F(v)-vf(v)R˙(v)=Fˉ(v)−vf(v).

A mechanism m=(x,t)m=(x,t)m=(x,t) assigns to every report v∈Sv\in Sv∈S an allocation probability x(v)∈[0,1]x(v)\in[0,1]x(v)∈[0,1] and a payment t(v)∈Rt(v)\in\mathbb Rt(v)∈R. It is individually rational (IR) if vx(v)−t(v)≥0v x(v)-t(v)\ge 0vx(v)−t(v)≥0 for all v∈Sv\in Sv∈S, and ε-incentive compatible (ICε_\varepsilonε​) if

v x(v)−t(v) ≥ v x(v′)−t(v′)−ε∀v,v′∈S.v\,x(v)-t(v)\ \ge\ v\,x(v')-t(v')-\varepsilon\qquad\forall v,v'\in S .vx(v)−t(v) ≥ vx(v′)−t(v′)−ε∀v,v′∈S.

M(ε)\mathcal M(\varepsilon)M(ε) is the set of such mechanisms, Π(m)=∫0vˉt(v)f(v) dv\Pi(m)=\int_0^{\bar v}t(v)f(v)\,dvΠ(m)=∫0vˉ​t(v)f(v)dv the expected revenue, and Π⋆(M(ε))=sup⁡m∈M(ε)Π(m)\Pi^\star(\mathcal M(\varepsilon))=\sup_{m\in\mathcal M(\varepsilon)}\Pi(m)Π⋆(M(ε))=supm∈M(ε)​Π(m).

Definition 1 (local α-power envelopes). RRR has a unique maximizer p⋆∈(0,vˉ)p^\star\in(0,\bar v)p⋆∈(0,vˉ) on SSS, and there are α>1\alpha>1α>1, κL,κU>0\kappa_L,\kappa_U>0κL​,κU​>0 and a neighborhood Nℓ=(p⋆−ℓ,p⋆+ℓ)⊂(0,vˉ)\mathcal N_\ell=(p^\star-\ell,p^\star+\ell)\subset(0,\bar v)Nℓ​=(p⋆−ℓ,p⋆+ℓ)⊂(0,vˉ) with

κLα∣v−p⋆∣α≤(p⋆−v)R˙(v)≤κUα∣v−p⋆∣α∀v∈Nℓ.\kappa_L\alpha|v-p^\star|^\alpha\le(p^\star-v)\dot R(v)\le\kappa_U\alpha|v-p^\star|^\alpha\qquad\forall v\in\mathcal N_\ell .κL​α∣v−p⋆∣α≤(p⋆−v)R˙(v)≤κU​α∣v−p⋆∣α∀v∈Nℓ​.

For the uniform distribution on [0,1][0,1][0,1], p⋆=1/2p^\star=1/2p⋆=1/2 and α=2\alpha=2α=2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 16)

Under Assumption 1, local α\alphaα-power envelopes at p⋆p^\starp⋆ and inf⁡p∈S∖Nℓ∣R˙(p)∣>0\inf_{p\in S\setminus\mathcal N_\ell}|\dot R(p)|>0infp∈S∖Nℓ​​∣R˙(p)∣>0,

Π⋆(M(ε))−Π⋆(M(0))=O~(εα/(2α−1)),\Pi^\star(\mathcal M(\varepsilon))-\Pi^\star(\mathcal M(0))=\tilde O\big(\varepsilon^{\alpha/(2\alpha-1)}\big),Π⋆(M(ε))−Π⋆(M(0))=O~(εα/(2α−1)),

where O~\tilde OO~ allows a factor log⁡(1/ε)\log(1/\varepsilon)log(1/ε) and the constants depend on the instance but not on ε\varepsilonε.

Milestones

The paper's argument passes through the following stated results, in attack order:

  1. M(ε)⊆Mpath(ε)\mathcal M(\varepsilon)\subseteq\mathcal M_{\text{path}}(\varepsilon)M(ε)⊆Mpath​(ε) for the relaxation that keeps IR on [0,μ][0,\mu][0,μ] and IC only along a path v↦v⋆(v)v\mapsto v^\star(v)v↦v⋆(v) (p. 17);
  2. Lemma 1 (weak duality): Π(m)≤Φ1(λ)+Φ2(λ)\Pi(m)\le\Phi_1(\lambda)+\Phi_2(\lambda)Π(m)≤Φ1​(λ)+Φ2​(λ) for every m∈Mpath(ε)m\in\mathcal M_{\text{path}}(\varepsilon)m∈Mpath​(ε) and every dual-feasible λ\lambdaλ;
  3. Lemma 2: an explicit dual solution λ⋆(v)=ddv∑j≤kF(wj(v))\lambda^\star(v)=\frac{d}{dv}\sum_{j\le k}F(w^j(v))λ⋆(v)=dvd​∑j≤k​F(wj(v)) on the kkk-th step, where www inverts v⋆v^\starv⋆;
  4. Lemma 3: Φ1(λ⋆)≤CεK\Phi_1(\lambda^\star)\le C\varepsilon KΦ1​(λ⋆)≤CεK, KKK the number of steps;
  5. Lemma 4: ∫xvˉΔ≤R(x)+2(w(x)−x)\int_x^{\bar v}\Delta\le R(x)+2(w(x)-x)∫xvˉ​Δ≤R(x)+2(w(x)−x) when the dual virtual value Δ\DeltaΔ is nonnegative on [x,ν0][x,\nu_0][x,ν0​];
  6. Proposition 2: for the piecewise-linear path of eq. (9), K=O(log⁡(1/ε)/εβ)K=O(\log(1/\varepsilon)/\varepsilon^\beta)K=O(log(1/ε)/εβ);
  7. the sandwich vf−Fˉ−CLεβ≤Δ≤vf−Fˉ+CUεβvf-\bar F-C_L\varepsilon^\beta\le\Delta\le vf-\bar F+C_U\varepsilon^\betavf−Fˉ−CL​εβ≤Δ≤vf−Fˉ+CU​εβ a.e. on [p⋆,ν0][p^\star,\nu_0][p⋆,ν0​] (p. 48);
  8. Δ≤−R˙+Cεβ\Delta\le-\dot R+C\varepsilon^\betaΔ≤−R˙+Cεβ a.e. on [0,p⋆][0,p^\star][0,p⋆] (pp. 51–52).

Significance

Theorem 1 is an instance-dependent impossibility result: no ε\varepsilonε-IC mechanism can extract more than O~(εα/(2α−1))\tilde O(\varepsilon^{\alpha/(2\alpha-1)})O~(εα/(2α−1)) beyond the optimal posted price. Since α/(2α−1)>1/2\alpha/(2\alpha-1)>1/2α/(2α−1)>1/2 for every α>1\alpha>1α>1, it strictly improves the universal O(ε1/2)O(\varepsilon^{1/2})O(ε1/2) bound for these distributions; for α=2\alpha=2α=2 (a revenue curve with nonzero second derivative at p⋆p^\starp⋆) the rate is ε2/3\varepsilon^{2/3}ε2/3. Together with Theorem 3 of the same paper, a matching Ω(εα/(2α−1))\Omega(\varepsilon^{\alpha/(2\alpha-1)})Ω(εα/(2α−1)) lower bound by a randomized mechanism, it identifies the exact rate up to the logarithm. The authors conjecture that the logarithmic factor can be removed.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of it or of any of its lemmas exists. A formalization would check an appendix argument of several pages of explicit estimates, and would produce reusable components: a weak duality theorem for a mechanism-design program over a path of incentive constraints, an explicit solution of the functional equation λ(v)=f(v)+w˙(v)λ(w(v))\lambda(v)=f(v)+\dot w(v)\lambda(w(v))λ(v)=f(v)+w˙(v)λ(w(v)) by iterates of www, and estimates of iterated piecewise-linear maps.

Difficulty

The obvious approach is to bound the gain by perturbing the optimal posted price, which yields only the ε1/2\varepsilon^{1/2}ε1/2 rate of the rounding argument. Getting the exponent α/(2α−1)\alpha/(2\alpha-1)α/(2α−1) requires an upper bound that is tight to first order, i.e. a nearly optimal dual certificate for an infinite-dimensional program. The dual depends on the choice of path: the paper's analysis shows that a parallel shift w(x)=x+δw(x)=x+\deltaw(x)=x+δ cannot beat ε1/2\varepsilon^{1/2}ε1/2, so the path must approach the diagonal near p⋆p^\starp⋆ while keeping the number of steps KKK controlled. The estimates for Δ\DeltaΔ in milestones 7–8 require tracking λ⋆(w(v))\lambda^\star(w(v))λ⋆(w(v)) through K=O(log⁡(1/ε)/εβ)K=O(\log(1/\varepsilon)/\varepsilon^\beta)K=O(log(1/ε)/εβ) iterations of www, with a bounded-variation (possibly discontinuous) density. Measure-theoretic details absent from the paper also have to be supplied: changes of variables along a Lipschitz path, almost-everywhere differentiability of iterated compositions, and integrability of the dual variable.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in namespace ApproxIC.UpperBound. Every function of the value is a total function ℝ → ℝ and every condition quantifies over SSS only. Committed conventions:

  • FFF is the interval integral of fff; R˙\dot RR˙ is the explicit expression Fˉ(v)−vf(v)\bar F(v)-vf(v)Fˉ(v)−vf(v), not a derivative of RRR.
  • Mechanisms are required to be measurable (disclosed: Ev[t(v)]\mathbb E_v[t(v)]Ev​[t(v)] presumes it). Π⋆\Pi^\starΠ⋆ is an sSup of the revenue image, which is nonempty and bounded above by vˉ\bar vvˉ.
  • The goal is stated as ∀m∈M(ε), Π(m)−Π⋆(M(0))≤Cεα/(2α−1)log⁡(1/ε)\forall m\in\mathcal M(\varepsilon),\ \Pi(m)-\Pi^\star(\mathcal M(0))\le C\varepsilon^{\alpha/(2\alpha-1)}\log(1/\varepsilon)∀m∈M(ε), Π(m)−Π⋆(M(0))≤Cεα/(2α−1)log(1/ε) for all ε∈(0,ε0]\varepsilon\in(0,\varepsilon_0]ε∈(0,ε0​], with C,ε0C,\varepsilon_0C,ε0​ chosen after the instance and before ε\varepsilonε. The infimum hypothesis on ∣R˙∣|\dot R|∣R˙∣ ranges over S∖NℓS\setminus\mathcal N_\ellS∖Nℓ​.
  • Definition 1's constants are parameters of a predicate LocalPowerEnvelope.
  • Paths carry an added, disclosed assumption: www is Lipschitz on [0,ν0][0,\nu_0][0,ν0​] (eq. (9)'s www is). w˙\dot ww˙ is deriv w.
  • The thresholds are N\mathbb NN-indexed with index 000 equal to vˉ\bar vvˉ, so the paper's νk\nu_kνk​ is index k+1k+1k+1.
  • Lemma 1's printed sign (v−w(v))(v-w(v))(v−w(v)) in Φ2\Phi_2Φ2​ is read as (w(v)−v)(w(v)-v)(w(v)−v), as in its proof and in Lemma 4. Lemma 4's printed "Φ2(λ)=∫xvˉΔ\Phi_2(\lambda)=\int_x^{\bar v}\DeltaΦ2​(λ)=∫xvˉ​Δ" is read as ∫xvˉΔ+=∫xvˉΔ\int_x^{\bar v}\Delta^+=\int_x^{\bar v}\Delta∫xvˉ​Δ+=∫xvˉ​Δ. Lemmas 3 and 4 are stated for Lemma 2's explicit λ⋆\lambda^\starλ⋆.

The goal imports only the model file; paths, the dual and eq. (9) appear only in the milestones. A formalization in which O~\tilde OO~'s constants are chosen after ε\varepsilonε, Π⋆(M(0))\Pi^\star(\mathcal M(0))Π⋆(M(0)) is replaced by a constant, or the revenue integral is allowed to vanish on non-measurable mechanisms is not this theorem and is ruled out by the statement.

A complete development needs interval integrals and the fundamental theorem of calculus for absolutely continuous functions, change of variables along monotone Lipschitz maps, BoundedVariationOn, real powers and logarithms, and iterates Nat.iterate. The duality lemma and the functional-equation solution are reusable for other single-agent screening problems with relaxed incentive constraints. Contributions to any milestone, and alternative proofs of the goal that bypass the path construction, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. R. Balseiro, O. Besbes, F. Castro, Mechanism Design under Approximate Incentive Compatibility, arXiv:2103.03403v2, 2022; Operations Research, 2024. https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.03403
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • J. Riley, R. Zeckhauser, Optimal Selling Strategies: When to Haggle, When to Hold Firm, Quarterly Journal of Economics 98(2), 1983. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885622
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Control TheoryEconomicsOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost II: Condition 2, High Switching Cost, Not-Hiring Value Functions Meet the Optimality ConditionsResearch Paper

Motivation

Firms that outsource work to an agent whose effort they cannot observe often punish poor performance by suspending the relationship for a while, even though restarting costs money: a new set-up, re-training, re-mobilisation. Cao, Sun and Tian (Management Science, 2024) study this trade-off in a continuous-time principal–agent model with Poisson arrivals and a fixed switching cost paid every time work (re)starts. They characterise the optimal dynamic contract in three regimes: never hire the agent, hire and keep the agent working forever, or a control-band contract with suspension episodes of fixed length. The model extends the Poisson-arrival contracting framework of Sun and Tian (2018) by adding the switching cost.

The proof follows a guess-and-verify pattern. A stochastic verification theorem (Theorem 1 of the paper) turns any pair of functions satisfying a system of quasi-variational inequalities into an upper bound on the principal's value. Propositions 2–7 then supply such a pair in each parameter region. This mission covers one region: the agent is much more impatient than the principal (Condition 2) and the switching cost is high.

Setting

A principal earns revenue RRR per arrival of a Poisson process. Without the agent's effort the arrival rate is μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0; with effort it is μ>μ‾\mu>\underline\muμ>μ​, and effort costs the agent b>0b>0b>0 per unit of time. While the agent works, the principal's total cost rate is c≥bc\ge bc≥b. Each time work starts or restarts, the principal pays a switching cost K>0K>0K>0. The principal discounts at rate rrr and the agent at rate ρ\rhoρ, with 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ. Write Δμ=μ−μ‾\Delta\mu=\mu-\underline\muΔμ=μ−μ​. Assumption 1 is RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c.

The derived constants are

β=bΔμ,wˉ=βμρ,v‾=μ‾Rr,Vˉ=Rμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉr,Kˉ2=Vˉ−v‾−wˉ.\beta=\frac{b}{\Delta\mu},\qquad \bar w=\frac{\beta\mu}{\rho},\qquad \underline v=\frac{\underline\mu R}{r},\qquad \bar V=\frac{R\mu-c-(\rho-r)\bar w}{r},\qquad \bar K_2=\bar V-\underline v-\bar w .β=Δμb​,wˉ=ρβμ​,v​=rμ​R​,Vˉ=rRμ−c−(ρ−r)wˉ​,Kˉ2​=Vˉ−v​−wˉ.

The variable w≥0w\ge0w≥0 is the agent's promised utility. The revenue threshold is

R^=[cb+(ρ−r)μΔμ(ρ−r−μ)⋅ρ−μρ]β.\hat R=\Big[\frac cb+\frac{(\rho-r)\mu}{\Delta\mu(\rho-r-\mu)}\cdot\frac{\rho-\mu}{\rho}\Big]\beta .R^=[bc​+Δμ(ρ−r−μ)(ρ−r)μ​⋅ρρ−μ​]β.

Condition 2 is: μ<ρ−r\mu<\rho-rμ<ρ−r and R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^.

For a function fff on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ with left derivative f′f'f′, the working-state operator and the suspension-state operator are

(AIf)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w,(\mathcal A_I f)(w)=(\mu+r)f(w)-\mu f(w+\beta)+\rho(\bar w-w)f'(w)-(\mu R-c)+(\rho-r)w,(AI​f)(w)=(μ+r)f(w)−μf(w+β)+ρ(wˉ−w)f′(w)−(μR−c)+(ρ−r)w, (A∅f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ‾.(\mathcal A_\emptyset f)(w)=rf(w)-\rho wf'(w)+(\rho-r)w-R\underline\mu .(A∅​f)(w)=rf(w)−ρwf′(w)+(ρ−r)w−Rμ​.

The first is a delay-differential operator: it evaluates fff at w+βw+\betaw+β. A pair (VI,V∅)(V_I,V_\emptyset)(VI​,V∅​) satisfies the optimality condition (20)–(22) if

(AIVI)(w)≥0,(A∅V∅)(w)≥0,0≤VI(w)−V∅(w)≤K,VI(0)≥v‾, V∅(0)≥v‾.(\mathcal A_IV_I)(w)\ge0,\quad(\mathcal A_\emptyset V_\emptyset)(w)\ge0,\qquad 0\le V_I(w)-V_\emptyset(w)\le K,\qquad V_I(0)\ge\underline v,\ V_\emptyset(0)\ge\underline v .(AI​VI​)(w)≥0,(A∅​V∅​)(w)≥0,0≤VI​(w)−V∅​(w)≤K,VI​(0)≥v​, V∅​(0)≥v​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 4

Under Condition 2, let VIV_IVI​ be the line from v‾\underline vv​ at w=0w=0w=0 to Vˉ\bar VVˉ at w=wˉw=\bar ww=wˉ, and let VIV_IVI​ be constant Vˉ\bar VVˉ beyond wˉ\bar wwˉ (display (31)). Then

K>Vˉ−v‾ ⟹ (VI, V∅≡v‾) satisfies (20)–(22),K>\bar V-\underline v\ \Longrightarrow\ (V_I,\ V_\emptyset\equiv\underline v)\ \text{satisfies (20)–(22)},K>Vˉ−v​ ⟹ (VI​, V∅​≡v​) satisfies (20)–(22), Kˉ2<K≤Vˉ−v‾ ⟹ (VI, V∅) satisfies (20)–(22),\bar K_2<K\le\bar V-\underline v\ \Longrightarrow\ (V_I,\ V_\emptyset)\ \text{satisfies (20)–(22)},Kˉ2​<K≤Vˉ−v​ ⟹ (VI​, V∅​) satisfies (20)–(22),

where in the second case V∅V_\emptysetV∅​ is the line from v‾\underline vv​ to Vˉ−K\bar V-KVˉ−K on [0,wˉ][0,\bar w][0,wˉ], constant Vˉ−K\bar V-KVˉ−K beyond (display (32)).

Milestones

  1. Lemma EC.2(vi), second claim: if ρ>r+μ\rho>r+\muρ>r+μ, then Vˉ−ρ−rρ−r−μwˉ≥v‾\bar V-\frac{\rho-r}{\rho-r-\mu}\bar w\ge\underline vVˉ−ρ−r−μρ−r​wˉ≥v​ if and only if R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^.
  2. Proposition 4, first part: the case K>Vˉ−v‾K>\bar V-\underline vK>Vˉ−v​.
  3. Proposition 4, second part: the case Kˉ2<K≤Vˉ−v‾\bar K_2<K\le\bar V-\underline vKˉ2​<K≤Vˉ−v​.

Significance

Through the paper's verification theorem, Proposition 4 yields the "not hiring" half of the main Theorem 2 in the Condition 2 regime. If K≥Kˉ2K\ge\bar K_2K≥Kˉ2​, the principal's value is at most v‾\underline vv​, so it is optimal never to engage the agent (Theorem 3). The threshold Kˉ2=Vˉ−v‾−wˉ\bar K_2=\bar V-\underline v-\bar wKˉ2​=Vˉ−v​−wˉ is the switching cost above which the value of hiring, net of the set-up cost and of the agent's promised rent, falls below the outside value. Together with the companion missions of this series (Condition 1 with high cost, Condition 2 with medium cost, and the low-cost control-band regime), this result completes the partition of the parameter space behind Theorem 2.

The result is proved in the paper and has no machine-checked proof yet. This mission states the analytic certificate of the guess-and-verify argument, not the contract-optimality theorem. The contribution it asks for is a formal proof that these explicit functions satisfy the quasi-variational inequalities, including the left-derivative behaviour at the kink w=wˉw=\bar ww=wˉ and the algebra that links Condition 2 to the sign of AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​.

Difficulty

The functions are piecewise linear, so the difficulty is not analytic depth but bookkeeping that is easy to get wrong:

  • The operator AI\mathcal A_IAI​ is non-local. It evaluates VIV_IVI​ at w+βw+\betaw+β, and which branch of (31) applies there depends on how wˉ\bar wwˉ compares with β\betaβ, which Condition 2 settles.
  • At the kink w=wˉw=\bar ww=wˉ the functions are not differentiable, so the left-derivative convention must be used explicitly.
  • The sign of AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ on [0,wˉ][0,\bar w][0,wˉ] reduces to an inequality between Vˉ\bar VVˉ, v‾\underline vv​ and wˉ\bar wwˉ, and showing that this inequality is the revenue condition R≥R^R\ge\hat RR≥R^ requires unfolding (8)–(10) and (28).

The naive check, that AIVI\mathcal A_IV_IAI​VI​ vanishes or is positive because VIV_IVI​ is "close to" a solution of the delay equation, does not work: VIV_IVI​ is not a solution of (25), and the inequality is strict in general.

Formalization scope

All parameters are real numbers in one structure Params. Its predicate Standing collects the paper's standing assumptions: 0≤μ‾<μ0\le\underline\mu<\mu0≤μ​<μ, 0<b≤c0<b\le c0<b≤c, K>0K>0K>0, 0<r≤ρ0<r\le\rho0<r≤ρ and RΔμ>cR\Delta\mu>cRΔμ>c. Two of these are added to the page and disclosed: μ‾≥0\underline\mu\ge0μ​≥0, since it is an arrival rate, and b>0b>0b>0, since (31)–(32) divide by wˉ=βμ/ρ\bar w=\beta\mu/\rhowˉ=βμ/ρ.

Functions are ℝ → ℝ, and every condition is quantified over w≥0w\ge0w≥0 only. The derivative in AI\mathcal A_IAI​ and A∅\mathcal A_\emptysetA∅​ is the left derivative derivWithin f (Set.Iic w) w, as the paper prescribes on p. 15. Inequality (20) is required for w>0w>0w>0: on R+\mathbb R_+R+​ the left derivative at 000 does not exist. Inequalities (21) and (22) are required exactly as printed. "Satisfy the optimality condition (20)–(22)" means exactly these three conditions; the paper's Theorem 1 additionally asks for monotonicity and concavity, but Proposition 4 does not claim them and they are not added.

The threshold R^\hat RR^ is the printed formula. Its denominator ρ−r−μ\rho-r-\muρ−r−μ is positive under Condition 2, so Lean's convention x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 never applies there.

None of the conditions is weakened: (21) keeps both bounds, (22) is kept, and the operators are not pre-simplified with the closed form of Vˉ\bar VVˉ. A formal proof therefore has to carry out the sign computation itself. The stochastic contract model (Poisson point processes, promise keeping, incentive compatibility), the verification Theorem 1 and the optimality Theorems 2–3 are not formalized.

Two hat symbols elsewhere in the paper are distinct objects from those used here: w^\hat{\mathrm w}w^ of Lemma 3 and the bold w^\hat{\mathbf w}w^ of Proposition 6. Neither appears in this mission. Proofs of the milestones, and proofs of the goal that use them, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Cao, P. Sun, F. Tian, Punish Underperformance with Suspension: Optimal Dynamic Contracts in the Presence of Switching Cost, Management Science, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4845
  • P. Sun, F. Tian, Optimal Contract to Induce Continued Effort, Management Science 64(9), 4193–4217, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2017.2795
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Scores for Multivariate Distributions and Level Sets I: The L² Scoring Rules S and S′ Are Proper, With Divergence the h-Weighted L² Distance Between f_X ∗ w and f_Y ∗ wResearch Paper

Why scoring rules for multivariate distributions

A probabilistic forecast issues a whole distribution PXP_XPX​ for an uncertain quantity Y∈RdY\in\mathbb R^dY∈Rd rather than a single number: wind and wave heights at several sites, demand for several products, the joint returns of several assets. Forecasts of this kind are compared and estimated with a scoring rule S(PX,y)S(P_X,y)S(PX​,y), a number assigned to the forecast once the realization yyy is observed. A scoring rule is proper if a forecaster who knows the true distribution PYP_YPY​ minimizes the expected score by reporting it, and strictly proper if PYP_YPY​ is the only minimizer (Gneiting and Raftery 2007). Properness is what makes a score usable for model ranking and for M-estimation: an improper score rewards systematic misreporting.

For univariate distributions the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the quadratic score are standard. In several dimensions the choices are thinner: the quadratic score needs a density and is sensitive to its spikes, and the energy score and the multivariate CRPS (MCRPS) were treated as separate constructions. Meng, Taylor, Ben Taieb and Li (arXiv:2002.09578v6, Operations Research, 2025) give one family, the L² scoring rules, which contains the quadratic score, the CRPS and the MCRPS as special cases and produces new ones, such as a score based on lower partial moments. Their Theorem 1 says these rules are proper. This mission formalizes that theorem.

Setting

Work on Rd\mathbb R^dRd with Lebesgue measure Ld\mathcal L^dLd and the componentwise order. A distribution is a probability measure PPP on Rd\mathbb R^dRd; the paper writes it through a generalized density fPf_PfP​ (a PDF, a PMF or a mixture), and every integral ∫g(s)fP(s) ds\int g(s)f_P(s)\,ds∫g(s)fP​(s)ds below is ∫g dP\int g\,dP∫gdP. The forecasts range over a class Vd\mathcal V^dVd of distributions.

Fix a kernel w:Rd→Rw:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rw:Rd→R and a weight h≥0h\ge0h≥0 that is integrable. The smoothed density of PPP is the convolution

(fP∗w)(z)=∫Rdw(z−s) dP(s).(f_P*w)(z)=\int_{\mathbb R^d} w(z-s)\,dP(s).(fP​∗w)(z)=∫Rd​w(z−s)dP(s).

For the Heaviside kernel u(z)=1{z≥0}u(z)=\mathbb 1\{z\ge0\}u(z)=1{z≥0} it is the CDF FP(z)=P{s≤z}F_P(z)=P\{s\le z\}FP​(z)=P{s≤z}.

The two L² scoring rules are, for a forecast PXP_XPX​ and a realization yyy,

S(PX,y;w,h)=∫Rd((fX∗w)(z)−w(z−y))2h(z) dz(2)S(P_X,y;w,h)=\int_{\mathbb R^d}\big((f_X*w)(z)-w(z-y)\big)^2h(z)\,dz \qquad (2)S(PX​,y;w,h)=∫Rd​((fX​∗w)(z)−w(z−y))2h(z)dz(2) S′(PX,y;w,h)=∫Rd(fX∗w)2(z)h(z) dz−2∫Rd(fX∗w)(z) w(z−y) h(z) dz.(3)S'(P_X,y;w,h)=\int_{\mathbb R^d}(f_X*w)^2(z)h(z)\,dz-2\int_{\mathbb R^d}(f_X*w)(z)\,w(z-y)\,h(z)\,dz. \qquad (3)S′(PX​,y;w,h)=∫Rd​(fX​∗w)2(z)h(z)dz−2∫Rd​(fX​∗w)(z)w(z−y)h(z)dz.(3)

The realization yyy is treated as a point mass, whose convolution with www is w(⋅−y)w(\cdot-y)w(⋅−y). The divergence of a score is EPY[S(PX,∙)]−EPY[S(PY,∙)]\mathbb E_{P_Y}[S(P_X,\bullet)]-\mathbb E_{P_Y}[S(P_Y,\bullet)]EPY​​[S(PX​,∙)]−EPY​​[S(PY​,∙)], and the paper's candidate is the weighted L² distance between smoothed densities,

∫Rd((fX∗w)(z)−(fY∗w)(z))2h(z) dz.(1)\int_{\mathbb R^d}\big((f_X*w)(z)-(f_Y*w)(z)\big)^2h(z)\,dz. \qquad (1)∫Rd​((fX​∗w)(z)−(fY​∗w)(z))2h(z)dz.(1)

Assumption 1 (p. 32) collects the integrability under which all these integrals are finite.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 8)

Under Assumption 1, for all PX,PY∈VdP_X,P_Y\in\mathcal V^dPX​,PY​∈Vd,

EPY[S(PX,∙)]−EPY[S(PY,∙)]=EPY[S′(PX,∙)]−EPY[S′(PY,∙)]=∫(fX∗w−fY∗w)2h dz ≥0,\mathbb E_{P_Y}[S(P_X,\bullet)]-\mathbb E_{P_Y}[S(P_Y,\bullet)]=\mathbb E_{P_Y}[S'(P_X,\bullet)]-\mathbb E_{P_Y}[S'(P_Y,\bullet)]=\int\big(f_X*w-f_Y*w\big)^2h\,dz\ \ge 0,EPY​​[S(PX​,∙)]−EPY​​[S(PY​,∙)]=EPY​​[S′(PX​,∙)]−EPY​​[S′(PY​,∙)]=∫(fX​∗w−fY​∗w)2hdz ≥0,

so both rules are proper. If in addition h≠0h\ne0h=0 Ld\mathcal L^dLd-a.e. and fY∗wf_Y*wfY​∗w determines PYP_YPY​ within Vd\mathcal V^dVd, both are strictly proper. The goal fixes no kernel and no weight: it holds for every pair (w,h)(w,h)(w,h) meeting the assumption.

Milestones

  1. The relation between (2) and (3): S=S′+∫w2(z−y)h(z) dzS=S'+\int w^2(z-y)h(z)\,dzS=S′+∫w2(z−y)h(z)dz, a term that does not depend on the forecast (p. 8).
  2. The Fubini step of the proof: ∫ ⁣∫g(z)w(z−s)h(z) dz dPY(s)=∫g (fY∗w) h dz\int\!\int g(z)w(z-s)h(z)\,dz\,dP_Y(s)=\int g\,(f_Y*w)\,h\,dz∫∫g(z)w(z−s)h(z)dzdPY​(s)=∫g(fY​∗w)hdz (p. 32).
  3. The divergence display: the divergence of (2) equals (1) and is nonnegative (p. 32).
  4. The strict step: a vanishing divergence with h≠0h\ne0h=0 a.e. forces fX∗w=fY∗wf_X*w=f_Y*wfX​∗w=fY​∗w a.e. (p. 32).
  5. MCRPS (5) and MCRPS′ (6) are strictly proper for all distributions when h≠0h\ne0h=0 a.e. (p. 11).
  6. Lower partial moments of any order kkk determine the distribution (Appendix, p. 34).

Significance

Theorem 1 is the paper's justification for its whole family of scores. With w=uw=uw=u it shows that the MCRPS is proper; with www the kernel of lower partial moments it shows that a new LPM score is proper; and in Section 4 of the paper the same smoothed densities fY∗wf_Y*wfY​∗w define the level sets whose scoring functions are the subject of the companion mission (Mission II of this series). Strict properness reduces to one question about the kernel: whether fY∗wf_Y*wfY​∗w determines PYP_YPY​. Milestones 5 and 6 answer it for the CDF and for lower partial moments.

The result is proved in the paper (appendix, pp. 32 and 34). To our knowledge none of it is formalized: Mathlib has no scoring rules, and the platform has no proper scoring rule for distributions, no multivariate CRPS and no lower partial moment. The formalization adds the integrability bookkeeping the paper leaves implicit, a machine-checked uniqueness theorem for the multivariate CDF (Mathlib's ext_of_Iic covers linear orders only, i.e. d=1d=1d=1), and the same for lower partial moments.

Difficulty

The algebraic core of Theorem 1 is the expansion of a square, and the obvious argument is the paper's. The cost lies elsewhere. Every expectation is an iterated integral of a function of (s,z)(s,z)(s,z), and exchanging the order (Fubini) and splitting an integral of a difference require the integrability that Assumption 1 states only as "then (2) is well-defined and finite". The proof also uses ∫dPY=1\int dP_Y=1∫dPY​=1 when it integrates the yyy-free terms against PYP_YPY​.

For the companions the obstacle is measure-theoretic. An a.e. equality of multivariate CDFs must first be upgraded to equality everywhere, by right-continuity in each coordinate, and then measures that agree on lower orthants must be shown equal, a π-system argument in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. For lower partial moments the paper differentiates kkk times under the integral; a rigorous version has to control the finiteness of the lower-order moments.

Formalization scope

  • Rd\mathbb R^dRd is Fin d → ℝ with its product Lebesgue measure volume and the Pi order, so y≤zy\le zy≤z is componentwise and lower orthants are Set.Iic z. ddd is any natural number; at d=0d=0d=0 the strict clauses are vacuous, as in the paper.
  • Distributions are measures with IsProbabilityMeasure; the class Vd\mathcal V^dVd is a set of such measures. Its convexity (§2) is never used and is not imposed.
  • Standing assumptions. The kernel www is a measurable function. The paper also allows a local Borel measure, so that w=δ0w=\delta_0w=δ0​ gives the quadratic score (4); that case is not covered. hhh is measurable, nonnegative and integrable, not normalized to a density.
  • Assumption 1 made explicit. Its clauses (b) and (c) are formalized as integrability hypotheses, each labelled with its clause: (fY∗w)2h(f_Y*w)^2h(fY​∗w)2h and w(⋅−y)2hw(\cdot-y)^2hw(⋅−y)2h integrable; (s,z)↦w(z−s)2h(z)(s,z)\mapsto w(z-s)^2h(z)(s,z)↦w(z−s)2h(z) integrable for PY⊗LdP_Y\otimes\mathcal L^dPY​⊗Ld; (fX∗w) w(⋅−y) h(f_X*w)\,w(\cdot-y)\,h(fX​∗w)w(⋅−y)h integrable; and (s,z)↦(fX∗w)(z) w(z−s) h(z)(s,z)\mapsto(f_X*w)(z)\,w(z-s)\,h(z)(s,z)↦(fX​∗w)(z)w(z−s)h(z) integrable for PY⊗LdP_Y\otimes\mathcal L^dPY​⊗Ld. Clause (a) adds that fY∗wf_Y*wfY​∗w is well defined.
  • "fX∗w=fY∗wf_X*w=f_Y*wfX​∗w=fY​∗w" is an Ld\mathcal L^dLd-a.e. equality. "fY∗wf_Y*wfY​∗w uniquely characterizes any PY∈VdP_Y\in\mathcal V^dPY​∈Vd" is a property of the whole class Vd\mathcal V^dVd, not of the pair at hand. "hhh nonzero Ld\mathcal L^dLd-a.e." is used with the paper's quantifier. The theorem's printed "fy∗wf_{\mathbf y}*wfy​∗w" is read as fY∗wf_Y*wfY​∗w.
  • Lower partial moments are defined from the explicit kernel printed in (7), ∏j(zj−sj)k1{zj≥sj}/k!\prod_j (z_j-s_j)^k\mathbb 1\{z_j\ge s_j\}/k!∏j​(zj​−sj​)k1{zj​≥sj​}/k!, for k∈Nk\in\mathbb Nk∈N, not as a convolution power of uuu. Milestone 6 states equality of the LPMs implying PX=PYP_X=P_YPX​=PY​, the claim of its opening sentence.
  • Ruling out trivial readings. A Bochner integral of a non-integrable function is 000 in Lean, so every expectation in every statement carries the integrability that makes it the paper's integral. Without it, properness could hold because both sides are 000. The characterization hypothesis is never assumed for the pair (PX,PY)(P_X,P_Y)(PX​,PY​) alone.
  • Needed infrastructure: product-measure Fubini (integral_integral_swap), integrability of products and squares, and uniqueness of measures from a generating π-system. A general lemma "a multivariate CDF determines its measure" would be reusable well beyond this mission and is welcome as a separate contribution.

Selected references

  • X. Meng, J. W. Taylor, S. Ben Taieb, S. Li, Scores for Multivariate Distributions and Level Sets, Operations Research, 2025; preprint arXiv:2002.09578v6, 2023. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.09578v6
  • T. Gneiting, A. E. Raftery, Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation, Journal of the American Statistical Association 102(477), 359–378, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214506000000437
  • T. Gneiting, R. Ranjan, Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 29(3), 411–422, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1198/jbes.2010.08110
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Functional Analysis·Captain: Lucas

Invariant Subspace ProblemOpen Problem

Motivation

The invariant subspace problem asks whether every bounded linear operator on an infinite-dimensional separable complex Hilbert space leaves some non-trivial closed subspace invariant. It is listed as a high-importance open problem in analysis in the Open Problem Garden (entry) and is widely regarded as one of the most famous open problems in functional analysis. Invariant subspaces are the infinite-dimensional replacement for eigenvectors: in finite dimensions every complex matrix has an eigenvector, and the structure theory of matrices (triangular and Jordan forms) is built from chains of invariant subspaces. Whether any such structure is available for an arbitrary bounded operator on Hilbert space is exactly what the problem asks.

Timeline

  • 1930s (von Neumann, unpublished). Compact operators on Hilbert space have non-trivial closed invariant subspaces.
  • 1954 (Aronszajn–Smith). The compact case on arbitrary Banach spaces (doi:10.2307/1969637).
  • 1966 (Bernstein–Robinson; Halmos). Polynomially compact operators on Hilbert space.
  • 1973 (Lomonosov). Every non-zero compact operator has a non-trivial closed hyperinvariant subspace; consequently every operator commuting with a non-zero compact operator has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace (doi:10.1007/BF01080698).
  • 1975 announced / 1987 published (Enflo). A bounded operator on a separable Banach space with no non-trivial closed invariant subspace (doi:10.1007/BF02392260).
  • 1985 (Read). Such an operator on the classical space ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 (doi:10.1112/blms/17.4.305).
  • 2011 (Argyros–Haydon). An infinite-dimensional Banach space on which every operator is a scalar plus a compact operator, so that every operator on it has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace (arXiv:0903.3921).

The Hilbert-space question remains open.

Setting

Let K\mathbb{K}K be R\mathbb{R}R or C\mathbb{C}C, let EEE be a normed space over K\mathbb{K}K, and let T ⁣:E→ET\colon E\to ET:E→E be a bounded linear operator. A linear subspace S⊆ES\subseteq ES⊆E is invariant under TTT if T(S)⊆ST(S)\subseteq ST(S)⊆S. It is a non-trivial closed invariant subspace if moreover SSS is closed in the norm topology and {0}≠S≠E\{0\}\neq S\neq E{0}=S=E. A closed subspace SSS with {0}≠S≠E\{0\}\neq S\neq E{0}=S=E is a non-trivial closed hyperinvariant subspace of TTT if A(S)⊆SA(S)\subseteq SA(S)⊆S for every bounded operator AAA with AT=TAAT=TAAT=TA.

A Hilbert space HHH is a complete complex inner product space; it is separable if it has a countable dense subset. An operator KKK is compact if it maps bounded sets to relatively compact sets, and TTT is normal if T∗T=TT∗T^*T=TT^*T∗T=TT∗. In the Lean development these notions are IsInvariantSubspace, IsNontrivialClosedInvariantSubspace, HasNontrivialClosedInvariantSubspace and HasNontrivialClosedHyperinvariantSubspace (namespace InvariantSubspaceProblem), together with Mathlib's IsCompactOperator and IsStarNormal.

Formalization targets

Goal: the invariant subspace problem

∀ H separable, dim⁡H=∞, ∀ T∈B(H):∃ S⊆H closed, {0}≠S≠H, T(S)⊆S.\forall\, H \text{ separable, } \dim H=\infty,\ \forall\, T\in\mathcal{B}(H):\quad \exists\, S\subseteq H \text{ closed},\ \{0\}\neq S\neq H,\ T(S)\subseteq S .∀H separable, dimH=∞, ∀T∈B(H):∃S⊆H closed, {0}=S=H, T(S)⊆S.

The source poses a yes/no question; the goal states the affirmative answer, and a formal proof of its negation equally settles the problem.

Milestones (known results)

  1. Finite-dimensional case: every operator on a complex space of dimension ≥2\ge 2≥2 has a non-trivial invariant subspace.
  2. Non-separable case: every operator on a non-separable complex normed space has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace.
  3. Normal operators on a complex Hilbert space of dimension ≥2\ge 2≥2.
  4. Aronszajn–Smith: compact operators on infinite-dimensional real or complex Banach spaces.
  5. Lomonosov: non-zero compact operators have non-trivial closed hyperinvariant subspaces.
  6. Lomonosov: operators commuting with a non-zero compact operator.
  7. Enflo: a separable infinite-dimensional complex Banach space with an operator having no non-trivial closed invariant subspace.
  8. Read: such an operator on ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1.
  9. Argyros–Haydon: a separable infinite-dimensional real Banach space on which every operator is λI+K\lambda I+KλI+K with KKK compact.
  10. Argyros–Haydon: a separable infinite-dimensional real Banach space on which every operator has a non-trivial closed invariant subspace.

Significance

The result itself. A positive answer would give every bounded operator on Hilbert space a non-trivial piece of structure and would be the first step towards triangular-form type theorems for general operators. A negative answer would, after Enflo and Read, show that even the Hilbert-space geometry does not force invariant subspaces. Either answer resolves a question that has organised much of operator theory since the 1930s.

Formalizing it. The goal is open; no proof, formal or informal, is known. The milestones are proved results whose formal proofs would build reusable infrastructure absent from Mathlib: the Aronszajn–Smith and Lomonosov theorems (the latter through Schauder's fixed point theorem), invariant subspaces from the spectral theorem for normal operators, and the large explicit constructions of Enflo, Read and Argyros–Haydon. None of these results is formalized in Mathlib at the time of writing.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, taking the closed linear span of an orbit {x,Tx,T2x,… }\{x, Tx, T^2x,\dots\}{x,Tx,T2x,…}, fails exactly when every non-zero vector is cyclic, which is the situation that has to be ruled out; for separable spaces nothing prevents this a priori. Spectral methods fail because an operator can have a one-point spectrum and no eigenvectors (quasinilpotent operators). Methods that work on Hilbert space must use the inner-product structure in an essential way, since Enflo's and Read's examples show that the statement is false on some Banach spaces. Lomonosov's technique needs a non-zero compact operator in the commutant, which a general operator need not have.

Formalization scope

Hilbert spaces are Mathlib types H with [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace ℂ H] [CompleteSpace H]; separability is TopologicalSpace.SeparableSpace H and infinite dimension is ¬ FiniteDimensional ℂ H. Operators are continuous linear maps H →L[ℂ] H. Scalars are complex in the goal. Subspaces are Submodules, and closedness is required explicitly: without it the statement is trivially true in infinite dimensions (the algebraic span of an orbit is a proper invariant subspace), and a published platform statement that omits closedness should not be confused with this problem. Existential milestones quantify over spaces in Type.

Useful infrastructure includes: Schauder's fixed point theorem, Riesz theory of compact operators, the spectral theorem for normal operators, and ℓ1\ell^1ℓ1 machinery for Read's construction. Contributions of reusable lemmas, partial results (for instance further classes of operators known to have invariant subspaces), and proof sketches for the milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • Open Problem Garden, Invariant subspace problem, posted by T. Chow, 2009. http://www.openproblemgarden.org/op/invariant_subspace_problem
  • N. Aronszajn, K. T. Smith, Invariant subspaces of completely continuous operators, Ann. of Math. 60 (1954) 345–350. https://doi.org/10.2307/1969637
  • V. I. Lomonosov, Invariant subspaces for the family of operators which commute with a completely continuous operator, Funct. Anal. Appl. 7 (1973) 213–214. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01080698
  • P. Enflo, On the invariant subspace problem for Banach spaces, Acta Math. 158 (1987) 213–313. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02392260
  • C. J. Read, A solution to the invariant subspace problem on the space ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​, Bull. London Math. Soc. 17 (1985) 305–317. https://doi.org/10.1112/blms/17.4.305
  • S. A. Argyros, R. G. Haydon, A hereditarily indecomposable L∞\mathcal{L}_\inftyL∞​-space that solves the scalar-plus-compact problem, Acta Math. 206 (2011) 1–54. https://arxiv.org/abs/0903.3921
  • H. Radjavi, P. Rosenthal, The invariant subspace problem, Math. Intelligencer 4 (1982) 33–37.
  • B. S. Yadav, The present state and heritages of the invariant subspace problem, Milan J. Math. 73 (2005) 289–316.
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Mathematical PhysicsProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Conformal Weldings of Random Surfaces: SLE and the Quantum Gravity Zipper 2: For κ < 4, Reverse SLE_κ Zipping Welds Boundary Arcs of Equal Quantum Length, ν_h[z₋,0] = ν_h[0,z₊]Research Paper

Why conformal welding by quantum length

Liouville quantum gravity (LQG) equips a planar domain with a random area measure μh\mu_hμh​ and a random boundary length measure νh\nu_hνh​. Both are built from an instance hhh of the Gaussian free field (GFF). The Schramm–Loewner evolution SLEκ\mathrm{SLE}_\kappaSLEκ​ is the conformally invariant random curve that describes interfaces in critical planar models. Sheffield's paper (arXiv:1012.4797, Ann. Probab. 44 (2016)) shows that the two are linked by a conformal welding. Zipping up a free boundary GFF by a reverse Loewner flow glues two boundary arcs of equal quantum length, and the glued seam is an SLEκ\mathrm{SLE}_\kappaSLEκ​ curve.

This "quantum zipper" is the starting point of the mating-of-trees programme (Duplantier–Miller–Sheffield, arXiv:1409.7055). It is also the mechanism behind the conjectured, and partly proved, scaling limits of random planar maps decorated by statistical-physics models.

Timeline:

  • 2005 — reverse Loewner flows are studied by Rohde and Schramm (RS05). They show that for κ<4\kappa<4κ<4 the SLE trace is simple and its complement is a Hölder domain.
  • 2000 — Jones and Smirnov show that boundaries of Hölder domains are conformally removable (JS00).
  • 2011 — Duplantier and Sheffield construct μh\mu_hμh​ and νh\nu_hνh​ as almost sure limits along dyadic scales and prove the KPZ relation (DS11a).
  • 2010–2016 — this paper (arXiv v1 2010, v2 2015, journal 2016) proves the welding theorem (Theorem 1.3) and the quantum-length zipper (Theorem 1.8).

Setting

H={z:Im⁡z>0}\mathbb H=\{z:\operatorname{Im}z>0\}H={z:Imz>0}, and the free boundary Green's function is G(y,z)=−log⁡∣y−z∣−log⁡∣y−zˉ∣G(y,z)=-\log|y-z|-\log|y-\bar z|G(y,z)=−log∣y−z∣−log∣y−zˉ∣. Fix κ∈(0,4)\kappa\in(0,4)κ∈(0,4) and put γ=κ\gamma=\sqrt\kappaγ=κ​ and Q=2/γ+γ/2Q=2/\gamma+\gamma/2Q=2/γ+γ/2.

  • Reverse Loewner flow. For a standard Brownian motion BBB, ft=gt−κBtf_t=g_t-\sqrt\kappa B_tft​=gt​−κ​Bt​, where ∂tgt(z)=−2/(gt(z)−κBt)\partial_tg_t(z)=-2/(g_t(z)-\sqrt\kappa B_t)∂t​gt​(z)=−2/(gt​(z)−κ​Bt​) and g0(z)=zg_0(z)=zg0​(z)=z. Then fTf_TfT​ maps H\mathbb HH onto H∖ηT\mathbb H\setminus\eta_TH∖ηT​, and ηT\eta_TηT​ is a simple curve.
  • The coupled field. Let ht(z)=2κlog⁡∣ft(z)∣+Qlog⁡∣ft′(z)∣\mathfrak h_t(z)=\frac2{\sqrt\kappa}\log|f_t(z)|+Q\log|f_t'(z)|ht​(z)=κ​2​log∣ft​(z)∣+Qlog∣ft′​(z)∣. With h~\tilde hh~ a free boundary GFF independent of BBB,
h=hT+h~∘fT,h=\mathfrak h_T+\tilde h\circ f_T ,h=hT​+h~∘fT​,

which by Theorem 1.2 has the law of 2κlog⁡∣⋅∣+h~\frac2{\sqrt\kappa}\log|\cdot|+\tilde hκ​2​log∣⋅∣+h~ modulo additive constants.

  • Quantum length. hε(x)h_\varepsilon(x)hε​(x) is the mean of hhh on the upper semicircle of radius ε\varepsilonε around x∈Rx\in\mathbb Rx∈R. Then
νh=lim⁡n→∞εnγ2/4eγhεn(x)/2 dx,εn=2−n,\nu_h=\lim_{n\to\infty}\varepsilon_n^{\gamma^2/4}e^{\gamma h_{\varepsilon_n}(x)/2}\,dx,\qquad \varepsilon_n=2^{-n},νh​=n→∞lim​εnγ2/4​eγhεn​​(x)/2dx,εn​=2−n,

as a vague limit. The area measure μh\mu_hμh​ is the analogous limit with circle averages and exponent γ2/2\gamma^2/2γ2/2.

  • Quantum wedges. An α\alphaα-quantum wedge is the doubly marked surface (H,h)(\mathbb H,h)(H,h) with h=h†+Q(−log⁡∣⋅∣)+A−log⁡∣⋅∣h=h^\dagger+Q(-\log|\cdot|)+A_{-\log|\cdot|}h=h†+Q(−log∣⋅∣)+A−log∣⋅∣​ (1.10). Here h†h^\daggerh† is the lateral part of the GFF and AAA is a two-sided drifted Brownian motion. A surface is identified with its canonical description, normalized by μh(B1(0))=1\mu_h(B_1(0))=1μh​(B1​(0))=1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.3

Almost surely, for every zzz on ηT\eta_TηT​ and the two real points z−<0<z+z_-<0<z_+z−​<0<z+​ that fTf_TfT​ maps to zzz,

νh([z−,0])=νh([0,z+]).\nu_h\big([z_-,0]\big)=\nu_h\big([0,z_+]\big).νh​([z−​,0])=νh​([0,z+​]).

The statement is scale free: it does not depend on the additive constant of hhh.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 4.5. Reverse SLEκ,ρ\mathrm{SLE}_{\kappa,\rho}SLEκ,ρ​ zipping preserves the law of h^0+h~\hat{\mathfrak h}_0+\tilde hh^​0​+h~, with h^t=ht+12κ∫Gt(y,⋅)ρ(dy)\hat{\mathfrak h}_t=\mathfrak h_t+\frac1{2\sqrt\kappa}\int G_t(y,\cdot)\rho(dy)h^​t​=ht​+2κ​1​∫Gt​(y,⋅)ρ(dy).
  2. Proposition 5.4. Under e(h0,ρ)Γe^{(h^0,\rho)}\Gammae(h0,ρ)Γ, the zipper is the modified SLE of Theorem 4.5.
  3. Proposition 1.6. Zooming in at a νh\nu_hνh​-typical boundary point gives a γ\gammaγ-quantum wedge.
  4. Proposition 1.7. The γ\gammaγ-wedge is stationary under shifting the origin by a fixed quantum length.
  5. Lemma 5.6. Sampling xxx from νh[−δ,0]\nu_h[-\delta,0]νh​[−δ,0] under Γ\GammaΓ turns the zipper into SLEκ,ρ\mathrm{SLE}_{\kappa,\rho}SLEκ,ρ​ with ρ=γ2δx−γ2σ0,1\rho=\gamma^2\delta_x-\gamma^2\sigma_{0,1}ρ=γ2δx​−γ2σ0,1​.
  6. Theorem 1.8, length clause. On a (γ−2/γ)(\gamma-2/\gamma)(γ−2/γ)-quantum wedge with an independent SLEγ2\mathrm{SLE}_{\gamma^2}SLEγ2​, the quantum lengths of the two sides of the curve agree.

Significance

Theorem 1.3 says that reverse SLE zipping is a welding by quantum length. Combined with the removability of SLEκ\mathrm{SLE}_\kappaSLEκ​ for κ<4\kappa<4κ<4, it gives Theorem 1.4: the field hhh determines the curve ηT\eta_TηT​. The same equality of boundary lengths on the two sides of an SLE is the defining property of the quantum-zipper and mating-of-trees constructions, which build random surfaces by welding wedges together.

All results here are proved in the paper, and none has a machine-checked proof. The proofs are partly sketches: Proposition 5.5 ends with a limiting estimate, and the zero–one step of Theorem 1.8 is delegated to [DMS14a, Lemma 8.2]. A formal development would therefore check the most cited welding argument in random conformal geometry. The definitions it needs (arc averages of a GFF, νh\nu_hνh​, quantum wedges, conditionally Gaussian fields) are reusable for any LQG statement.

Difficulty

The obvious argument tries to compare the left and right boundary measures directly, ball by ball along the curve. It fails because the two measures depend on the field near the curve in the same way (5.1): nothing local distinguishes them, and nothing local forces them to agree. The paper instead builds a stationary picture (Lemma 5.6, Proposition 5.5, Figure 1.7). It shows that the curve splits a (γ−2/γ)(\gamma-2/\gamma)(γ−2/γ)-wedge into two independent γ\gammaγ-wedges, and it uses the ergodic theorem with scale invariance to force the ratio of the two lengths to be a constant ccc, which symmetry makes equal to 111. The last step transfers the result from the wedge to the field of Theorem 1.3 by absolute continuity. Every step uses Gaussian conditioning on random conformal images of the field, which current libraries lack.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • Time is R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​, and Brownian motion is Mathlib's IsBrownianReal. Flows are pathwise ODE solutions, with no stochastic integrals.
  • A field is a random map Ψ(ω,μ)=(h,μ)\Psi(\omega,\mu)=(h,\mu)Ψ(ω,μ)=(h,μ) on admissible measures: finite, bounded support in H\mathbb HH, finite logarithmic energy. Its law is given in characteristic-function form, as "conditionally Gaussian given G\mathcal GG with mean mmm and covariance CCC". The arc averages hε(z)=(h,σz,ε)h_\varepsilon(z)=(h,\sigma_{z,\varepsilon})hε​(z)=(h,σz,ε​) are continuous in (z,ε)(z,\varepsilon)(z,ε).
  • Additive constants are fixed by h1(0)=0h_1(0)=0h1​(0)=0 (semicircle of radius 111), the paper's normalization (5.9).
  • νh\nu_hνh​ and μh\mu_hμh​ are predicates: the a.s. vague limits along 2−n2^{-n}2−n with locally integrable densities. The measure ν≡0\nu\equiv0ν≡0 cannot satisfy them vacuously, and the sanity file proves that adding CCC to the field multiplies ν\nuν by eγC/2e^{\gamma C/2}eγC/2.
  • The points z±z_\pmz±​ are encoded by radial boundary limits of fTf_TfT​. "Agree in law" means equality of the laws of all pairings, and convergence of random surfaces means convergence of the finite-dimensional laws of ∫f dμcan\int f\,d\mu^{\mathrm{can}}∫fdμcan.
  • Γ\GammaΓ is encoded by its restriction to (h0,(ft)t≥0)(h^0,(f_t)_{t\ge0})(h0,(ft​)t≥0​). The forward SLE of Theorem 1.8 is the platform definition OAI.SLEExactGauge.IsOrdinaryChordalSLE.

Disclosed readings of the text:

  • "α<0\alpha<0α<0" in (1.10) is read as α<Q\alpha<Qα<Q.
  • The force set C\mathcal CC of Theorem 4.5 lies in H‾\overline{\mathbb H}H.
  • Proposition 5.4 uses the measure 2κ ρ2\sqrt\kappa\,\rho2κ​ρ in (4.4)–(4.6).
  • The "unit circle" of Lemma 5.6 is the upper unit semicircle.
  • γ=0\gamma=0γ=0 is excluded in Proposition 1.6.

Contributions are welcome on any of the following:

  • existence of the predicates (νh\nu_hνh​, wedges, Γ\GammaΓ);
  • Gaussian conditioning on conformal images;
  • the Itô computations behind Theorem 4.5;
  • the milestones themselves.

Selected references

  • S. Sheffield, Conformal weldings of random surfaces: SLE and the quantum gravity zipper, Ann. Probab. 44(5), 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1012.4797 (v2), https://doi.org/10.1214/15-AOP1055
  • B. Duplantier, S. Sheffield, Liouville quantum gravity and KPZ, Invent. Math. 185, 2011. https://arxiv.org/abs/0808.1560
  • S. Rohde, O. Schramm, Basic properties of SLE, Ann. of Math. 161, 2005. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0106036
  • P. Jones, S. Smirnov, Removability theorems for Sobolev functions and quasiconformal maps, Ark. Mat. 38, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02384490
  • B. Duplantier, J. Miller, S. Sheffield, Liouville quantum gravity as a mating of trees, Astérisque 427, 2021. https://arxiv.org/abs/1409.7055
  • S. Sheffield, Gaussian free fields for mathematicians, Probab. Theory Related Fields 139, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0312099
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