Localization costs and information growth for exact Gaussian observationsResearch Paper
Motivation
An exact linear observation of a real signal can carry arbitrarily many bits. A finite message computed from a block of such observations cannot, but its information content is not controlled by the number of observations alone: if earlier messages have already concentrated the signal in a small region, the next block can exploit that concentration. Bounds of this kind are the engine of memory–sample lower bounds for noiseless Gaussian regression, where a learner with bits of memory must recover a unit vector to angular accuracy from a stream of exact Gaussian measurements.
This preprint asks how to restore a geometric spread condition on the posterior while paying for the information revealed in doing so, and proves that, for a cube-shaped prior on a spherical patch, blocks of exact measurements with messages of at most values reveal only nats.
Background
- 2015. Steinhardt and Duchi prove memory–sample trade-offs for noisy sparse regression.
- 2016. Steinhardt, Valiant and Wager formulate a memory/sample conjecture for parity learning; Raz proves a quadratic-memory versus exponential-sample separation for parities, extended to a broad class of finite problems in 2017.
- 2019. Sharan, Sidford and Valiant prove an sample lower bound for Gaussian regression with small additive noise, memory at most bits and Euclidean accuracy ; their Section 7 expands projection moments into independent signal copies. Dagan, Kur and Shamir prove quadratic-memory lower bounds for approximately solving a consistent linear system in random order.
- 2026. OpenAI preprints on exact observations: Posterior replicas and conditional information in Gaussian regression, Replacing Gaussian observations in memory-constrained inference, and the present Localization costs and information growth for exact Gaussian observations (dated September 27, 2026), which supplies several localization routes to the lower bound for memory. None of these preprints is peer reviewed; the Lean goal is open on this platform.
Setting
Let be large, , , . The cube prior is normalized Lebesgue measure on the half-open cube , and the chart maps it into . Dyadic cells of level subdivide into half-open subcubes of side .
Draw . In block an independent standard Gaussian matrix is drawn, and is observed exactly. A message is drawn from a Borel probability kernel of the block data, whose choice may depend on the preceding messages . Information is measured in nats by mutual information , defined as a relative entropy.
In Lean (OAI.RepeatedLocalization), Coordinate n = Fin n → ℝ, cubePrior n is Lebesgue measure conditioned on initialCube n, chart is , a Cell n is a level with a multi-index in Fin (2^J), a BlockRule n N is a measurable probability vector on Fin N indexed by block data, Rules n N t chooses a rule for each block from the past history, and experimentLaw rules is the joint law of .
Formalization targets
Goal: Theorem 3.2 (Repeated localization), repeated_localization
There is an absolute such that for every there is with the following property, for large. If
then one can reveal nested dyadic cells containing , with a finite-valued measurable function of and , such that the augmented transcript satisfies
where is the level of . An alphabet of size satisfies the hypothesis with depending only on .
Milestones (results from the paper's other routes)
- Lemma 5.2 (finite expected regularization of a finite-relative-entropy posterior by a terminating dyadic search).
- Lemma 12.1 (convexity and coercivity of the kernel potential ).
- Proposition 12.6 (the potential grows by at most per block).
- Lemma 13.2 (inverse simplex-volume moment under a ball bound, with no support restriction).
Significance
The result. Theorem 3.2 is the first information estimate in the paper and the model for its later routes: it shows that revealing a nested dyadic cell after each block, which restores the spread condition needed by the projection estimate, costs only nats per block. Since the original message history is a function of , the bound also controls the information in the messages alone. Combined with the paper's endpoint arguments this yields the lower bound for learners with bits.
Formalizing it. These results are proved only in an unrefereed preprint; no machine-checked proofs exist. The milestones are independent analytic statements (an entropy regularization, a convex potential and its drift, an inverse-volume moment) that are reusable in the companion missions on exact Gaussian observations.
Difficulty
The information a block reveals depends on how concentrated the current posterior is, and earlier messages can make it arbitrarily concentrated. Simply conditioning on messages gives no control. Revealing a localizing cell restores spread, but naming a cell itself costs information, and the count of candidate cells at depth grows like ; the argument must show that confinement to a depth- cell (worth bits relative to the prior) pays for this, uniformly over all message rules.
Formalization scope
- The prior is the image of cube volume under , not surface measure; coordinates are
Fin n → ℝ, and appears asn + 1. - Row counts and parameters are natural-number floors
n / 16,n / 8. Gaussian entries aregaussianReal 0 1. - A disclosure
Q : Disclosure n N tis valid when each cell map is measurable with finite range, contains , lies in , and the cells are nested. The goal asserts existence of a valid disclosure withmutualInformation (augmentedLaw rules Q) ≤ C (n+1) tand expected final level at most . - Mutual information is
klDivof the joint law against the product of marginals, valued inℝ≥0∞.
The goal is not trivial: the trivial disclosure (always ) does not bound the information in arbitrary messages, and the quantifier order (absolute , then , then ) matches the source.
Needed infrastructure: Gaussian projections of measures on cells, density bounds, dyadic cell combinatorics, and relative-entropy chain rules. Contributions toward any milestone are welcome.
Selected references
- OpenAI, Localization costs and information growth for exact Gaussian observations, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 27, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Localization-costs-and-information-growth-for-exact-Gaussian-observations-September-27-2026/paper.pdf
- OpenAI, Posterior replicas and conditional information in Gaussian regression, OpenAI Math Release preprint, September 27, 2026. https://github.com/openai/math/blob/main/preprints/Posterior-replicas-and-conditional-information-in-Gaussian-regression-September-27-2026/paper.pdf
- V. Sharan, A. Sidford, G. Valiant, Memory-Sample Tradeoffs for Linear Regression with Small Error, STOC 2019. https://doi.org/10.1145/3313276.3316403
- R. Raz, Fast Learning Requires Good Memory, 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.05161
- R. Raz, A Time-Space Lower Bound for a Large Class of Learning Problems, FOCS 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2017.73
- J. Steinhardt, G. Valiant, S. Wager, Memory, Communication, and Statistical Queries, COLT 2016. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v49/steinhardt16.html
- J. Steinhardt, J. Duchi, Minimax Rates for Memory-Bounded Sparse Linear Regression, COLT 2015. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v40/Steinhardt15.html
- Y. Dagan, G. Kur, O. Shamir, Space Lower Bounds for Linear Prediction in the Streaming Model, COLT 2019. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v99/dagan19b.html
- T. Austin, Multi-variate correlation and mixtures of product measures, Kybernetika, 2020.