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Machine Learning

653 missions · 437 completed

The science of systems that learn from data and experience. Its scope runs from the statistical and mathematical foundations of learning, including generalization, expressivity, and computational limits, through the design of learning algorithms, deep learning, reinforcement learning, and probabilistic methods, to the empirical study of large models and the trustworthiness, interpretability, and societal impact of learned systems.

Missions

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Algorithmic Game TheoryOperations Research·Captain: mikedeng1

Calibrated Learning and Correlated Equilibrium II: For Almost Every Game, Limits of Calibrated Learning Are Exactly the Correlated EquilibriaResearch Paper

Motivation

A correlated equilibrium (Aumann, 1974) is a joint distribution over the players' strategy profiles from which no player gains by deviating from a recommended strategy. A central question of learning in games is which equilibria repeated play of simple, myopic rules can reach. Foster and Vohra (1997) answered it for calibrated forecasting: if each player forecasts the opponent with a calibrated rule and best-responds to the forecast, the empirical distribution of play approaches the set of correlated equilibria (their Theorem 1). That result has become a basic reference point for no-regret and calibration-based learning in games (Hart and Mas-Colell, 2000).

This mission formalizes the paper's converse. Theorem 1 says calibrated learning ends up in the correlated equilibria; the converse says it can end up at any of them, for almost every game. Together the two results characterize exactly which long-run outcomes calibrated learning with best responses can produce.

Setting

Two players choose strategies from finite sets S(1)S(1)S(1) with mmm elements and S(2)S(2)S(2) with nnn elements; player iii receives payoff ui(x,y)∈Ru_i(x,y)\in\mathbb{R}ui​(x,y)∈R and maximizes it. A game G=(u1,u2)G=(u_1,u_2)G=(u1​,u2​) is a pair of real m×nm\times nm×n matrices, that is, a point of R2mn\mathbb{R}^{2mn}R2mn; a set of games has measure zero if it is Lebesgue-null in R2mn\mathbb{R}^{2mn}R2mn.

A joint distribution DDD on S(1)×S(2)S(1)\times S(2)S(1)×S(2) is a correlated equilibrium if for every map Φ:S(1)→S(1)\Phi:S(1)\to S(1)Φ:S(1)→S(1), ∑x,yD(x,y)u1(Φ(x),y)≤∑x,yD(x,y)u1(x,y)\sum_{x,y}D(x,y)u_1(\Phi(x),y)\le\sum_{x,y}D(x,y)u_1(x,y)∑x,y​D(x,y)u1​(Φ(x),y)≤∑x,y​D(x,y)u1​(x,y), and symmetrically for player 2. π(G)\pi(G)π(G) is the set of correlated equilibria.

Play is repeated in rounds t=0,1,2,…t=0,1,2,\dotst=0,1,2,…. Before each round, player 1 issues a forecast f1(t)f_1(t)f1​(t), a probability vector over S(2)S(2)S(2), produced by a deterministic forecasting rule from the history of play so far; player 2 likewise forecasts player 1. For a forecast sequence fff and the opponent's plays zzz, let N(p,t)N(p,t)N(p,t) be the number of the first ttt rounds with forecast ppp, and ρ(p,j,t)\rho(p,j,t)ρ(p,j,t) the fraction of those rounds in which the opponent played jjj (zero if N(p,t)=0N(p,t)=0N(p,t)=0). The forecasts are calibrated if for every jjj

∑p∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj∣ N(p,t)t ⟶ 0(t→∞).\sum_p |\rho(p,j,t)-p_j|\,\frac{N(p,t)}{t}\ \longrightarrow\ 0 \qquad (t\to\infty).p∑​∣ρ(p,j,t)−pj​∣tN(p,t)​ ⟶ 0(t→∞).

Each player then plays RiR_iRi​ of its forecast, where the best-reply function RiR_iRi​ picks a best response to every forecast and does not depend on the round. Dt(x,y)D_t(x,y)Dt​(x,y) is the fraction of the first ttt rounds in which (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) was played.

λ(G)\lambda(G)λ(G), the set of limit points of calibrated forecasts, consists of the DDD for which some best-reply functions R1,R2R_1,R_2R1​,R2​ and some calibrated forecasting rules make Dt(x,y)→D(x,y)D_t(x,y)\to D(x,y)Dt​(x,y)→D(x,y) for all (x,y)(x,y)(x,y).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 47)

for Lebesgue-almost every G∈R2mn:λ(G)=π(G).\text{for Lebesgue-almost every } G\in\mathbb{R}^{2mn}:\qquad \lambda(G)=\pi(G).for Lebesgue-almost every G∈R2mn:λ(G)=π(G).

Milestones

  1. λ(G)⊆π(G)\lambda(G)\subseteq\pi(G)λ(G)⊆π(G) for every game (Theorem 1 restated, p. 46).
  2. Every joint distribution DDD is the limiting empirical distribution of a deterministic play sequence supported on {D>0}\{D>0\}{D>0} (p. 47).
  3. Along such a sequence the conditional forecasts p1,t=D(xt,⋅)/∑yD(xt,y)p_{1,t}=D(x_t,\cdot)/\sum_yD(x_t,y)p1,t​=D(xt​,⋅)/∑y​D(xt​,y) and p2,t=D(⋅,yt)/∑xD(x,yt)p_{2,t}=D(\cdot,y_t)/\sum_xD(x,y_t)p2,t​=D(⋅,yt​)/∑x​D(x,yt​) are calibrated (p. 47).
  4. In a correlated equilibrium each recommended strategy is a best response to its conditional forecast (p. 47).
  5. For almost every payoff matrix, each set Mb(x)M_b(x)Mb​(x) of forecasts to which xxx is a best response is either empty or contains a forecast in the open simplex at which xxx is the unique best response (p. 47).
  6. The perturbed forecasts pi=(1−1/i)p∗+(1/i)qp_i=(1-1/i)p^*+(1/i)qpi​=(1−1/i)p∗+(1/i)q converge to p∗p^*p∗ and keep a unique best reply (p. 48).
  7. For the 3×33\times33×3 game of p. 48, a correlated equilibrium lies outside λ(G)\lambda(G)λ(G), and λ(G)\lambda(G)λ(G) is the single point mass on (C,2)(C,2)(C,2).

Significance

Theorem 1 by itself leaves open whether calibration selects among correlated equilibria, for instance toward Nash equilibria or toward particular payoffs. Theorem 2 closes that question negatively for generic games: every correlated equilibrium is the genuine limit, not merely an accumulation point, of calibrated play with stationary best replies. As the paper notes, adding the assumption that the limit exists therefore does not refine the equilibrium reached, in contrast with Fudenberg and Kreps's result for asymptotically myopic Bayesian play. The 3×33\times33×3 example shows that the genericity hypothesis cannot be dropped.

The results are proved in the 1997 paper; none is formalized. A complete development produces a reusable layer for repeated two-player games (calibration, empirical distributions, best-reply maps, correlated equilibria), a genericity lemma for best-response regions that is useful beyond this paper, and a machine-checked version of an argument that the paper gives only in outline.

Difficulty

The natural construction takes a correlated equilibrium DDD, a play sequence realizing DDD, and forecasts equal to the conditional distributions of DDD. The forecasts are then calibrated and each played strategy is a best response. What fails is the best-reply function: two strategies x′≠x′′x'\ne x''x′=x′′ can have the same conditional forecast p∗p^*p∗, while a stationary R1R_1R1​ maps p∗p^*p∗ to only one strategy. Separating them needs forecasts near p∗p^*p∗ at which each is the unique best response, and that exists only when the best-response regions have nonempty relative interior, a property that fails on a null set of games (the 3×33\times33×3 example) and whose genericity must be proved. The perturbed forecasts are no longer exactly equal to the conditional frequencies, so calibration has to be re-established with errors that vanish along the sequence.

Formalization scope

  • Strategies are Fin m and Fin n; payoffs are real matrices; players maximize. A game is a point of (Fin m → Fin n → ℝ) × (Fin m → Fin n → ℝ) with Mathlib's volume (Lebesgue measure on R2mn\mathbb{R}^{2mn}R2mn), and "almost every" is ∀ᵐ.
  • A correlated equilibrium is the joint-distribution form of p. 44 (a joint distribution with the two deviation inequalities).
  • Forecasting rules map finite histories to probability vectors; the play is generated recursively from the rules and the best-reply functions. Best-reply functions are arbitrary stationary selections of a best response at every probability vector; they may not depend on the round, since round-dependent tie-breaking enlarges λ(G)\lambda(G)λ(G) (the matching pennies example of p. 46).
  • Rounds are 0,…,t−10,\dots,t-10,…,t−1; D0=0D_0=0D0​=0. The calibration sum runs over the forecasts issued so far, which is the paper's sum over all ppp since the other terms vanish.
  • λ(G)\lambda(G)λ(G) requires convergence of DtD_tDt​, not a subsequence. Replacing the limit by a limit point, or stating only π(G)⊆λ(G)\pi(G)\subseteq\lambda(G)π(G)⊆λ(G), does not formalize the theorem.
  • The page's sentence "Almost every game has the property that all the sets Mb(x)M_b(x)Mb​(x) have non-empty interior" is false for dominated strategies (Mb(x)=∅M_b(x)=\emptysetMb​(x)=∅ on an open set of games). Milestone 5 states the dichotomy the page's argument proves: empty or with relative interior.
  • The page prints the denominator of p2,tp_{2,t}p2,t​ as ∑xD(xt,y)\sum_{x}D(x_t,y)∑x​D(xt​,y); the mission uses ∑xD(x,yt)\sum_xD(x,y_t)∑x​D(x,yt​).

The theorems are stated from the mission's own definitions of the game, calibration and λ(G)\lambda(G)λ(G); no statement is vacuous: at m=0m=0m=0 or n=0n=0n=0 both sides of the goal are empty, and the 3×33\times33×3 example exercises every definition. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones in any order, the genericity lemma (Lebesgue-null sets of linear degeneracies), and the calibration estimates for the perturbed forecasts.

Selected references

  • D. P. Foster and R. V. Vohra, Calibrated learning and correlated equilibrium, Games and Economic Behavior 21 (1997), 40–55. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1997.0595
  • R. J. Aumann, Subjectivity and correlation in randomized strategies, Journal of Mathematical Economics 1 (1974), 67–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4068(74)90037-8
  • A. P. Dawid, The well-calibrated Bayesian, Journal of the American Statistical Association 77 (1982), 605–610. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1982.10477856
  • D. Fudenberg and D. M. Kreps, Learning mixed equilibria, Games and Economic Behavior 5 (1993), 320–367. https://doi.org/10.1006/game.1993.1021
  • S. Hart and A. Mas-Colell, A simple adaptive procedure leading to correlated equilibrium, Econometrica 68 (2000), 1127–1150. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00153
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Learnability, Stability and Uniform Convergence I: A Problem Is Learnable if and only if It Admits a Uniform-RO Stable Universal AERMResearch Paper

Motivation

In supervised binary classification, a hypothesis class is learnable if and only if it has uniform convergence, meaning that empirical risks converge to true risks uniformly over the class. When that holds, empirical risk minimisation (ERM) learns. This equivalence, due to Vapnik and Chervonenkis and extended to real-valued losses by Alon, Ben-David, Cesa-Bianchi and Haussler, is the usual starting point of statistical learning theory.

Vapnik's General Learning Setting is broader. It covers stochastic convex optimisation, clustering and density estimation, and in it the equivalence breaks down. Shalev-Shwartz, Shamir, Srebro and Sridharan (JMLR 11 (2010) 2635–2670) exhibit learnable problems with no uniform convergence, and learnable problems where ERM fails. So neither uniform convergence nor the success of ERM characterises learnability there, and something else has to. This mission formalizes the paper's answer, its Theorem 7: stability.

Timeline:

  • 1971–1995: Vapnik and Chervonenkis prove learnability ⇔ uniform convergence for binary classification. Vapnik (1995) introduces the General Learning Setting.
  • 2002: Bousquet and Elisseeff show that uniform stability of a learning rule implies generalization.
  • 2006: Mukherjee, Niyogi, Poggio and Rifkin show that, in the supervised setting, stability of ERM is necessary and sufficient for learnability.
  • 2009–2010: Shalev-Shwartz, Shamir, Srebro and Sridharan (COLT 2009, JMLR 2010) prove that, in the General Learning Setting, learnability is equivalent to the existence of a uniform-RO stable, universally asymptotic empirical risk minimiser (Theorem 7).

Setting

A learning problem consists of a hypothesis class H\mathcal HH (nonempty), an instance set Z\mathcal ZZ with a σ\sigmaσ-algebra, and an objective f:H×Z→Rf:\mathcal H\times\mathcal Z\to\mathbb Rf:H×Z→R with ∣f(h;z)∣≤B|f(h;z)|\le B∣f(h;z)∣≤B for all h,zh,zh,z. Given a probability distribution D\mathcal DD on Z\mathcal ZZ and an i.i.d. sample S=(z1,…,zm)∼DmS=(z_1,\dots,z_m)\sim\mathcal D^mS=(z1​,…,zm​)∼Dm, the following quantities are defined:

  • the risk is F(h)=Ez∼D[f(h;z)]F(h)=\mathbb E_{z\sim\mathcal D}[f(h;z)]F(h)=Ez∼D​[f(h;z)], and F∗=inf⁡hF(h)F^*=\inf_{h}F(h)F∗=infh​F(h);
  • the empirical risk is FS(h)=1m∑i=1mf(h;zi)F_S(h)=\frac1m\sum_{i=1}^m f(h;z_i)FS​(h)=m1​∑i=1m​f(h;zi​), and FS(h^S)=inf⁡hFS(h)F_S(\hat h_S)=\inf_h F_S(h)FS​(h^S​)=infh​FS​(h) is the minimal empirical risk. Only the value is used; no minimiser need exist.

A learning rule AAA maps each sample SSS of each size mmm to a hypothesis A(S)A(S)A(S). A rate ε(m)\varepsilon(m)ε(m) is a non-increasing sequence tending to 000. For a rule AAA the paper defines the following properties:

  • AAA is consistent with rate εcons\varepsilon_{\rm cons}εcons​ under D\mathcal DD if ES[F(A(S))−F∗]≤εcons(m)\mathbb E_S[F(A(S))-F^*]\le\varepsilon_{\rm cons}(m)ES​[F(A(S))−F∗]≤εcons​(m). It is universally consistent if this holds for every D\mathcal DD with the same rate. The problem is learnable (Definition 1) if a universally consistent rule exists.
  • AAA is an AERM (asymptotic empirical risk minimiser) with rate εerm\varepsilon_{\rm erm}εerm​ under D\mathcal DD if ES[FS(A(S))−FS(h^S)]≤εerm(m)\mathbb E_S[F_S(A(S))-F_S(\hat h_S)]\le\varepsilon_{\rm erm}(m)ES​[FS​(A(S))−FS​(h^S​)]≤εerm​(m), and universally so if this holds for every D\mathcal DD.
  • AAA generalizes with rate εgen\varepsilon_{\rm gen}εgen​ under D\mathcal DD if ES[∣F(A(S))−FS(A(S))∣]≤εgen(m)\mathbb E_S[|F(A(S))-F_S(A(S))|]\le\varepsilon_{\rm gen}(m)ES​[∣F(A(S))−FS​(A(S))∣]≤εgen​(m).
  • With S(i)S^{(i)}S(i) the sample SSS with ziz_izi​ replaced by zi′z_i'zi′​, AAA is uniform-RO stable with rate εstable\varepsilon_{\rm stable}εstable​ (Definition 4) if, for all SSS, all replacements (z1′,…,zm′)(z_1',\dots,z_m')(z1′​,…,zm′​) and all z′∈Zz'\in\mathcal Zz′∈Z,
1m∑i=1m∣f(A(S(i));z′)−f(A(S);z′)∣≤εstable(m).\frac1m\sum_{i=1}^m\bigl|f(A(S^{(i)});z')-f(A(S);z')\bigr|\le\varepsilon_{\rm stable}(m).m1​i=1∑m​​f(A(S(i));z′)−f(A(S);z′)​≤εstable​(m).

Average-RO stability (Definition 5) is the in-expectation analogue, with the replacement point also serving as the test point.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7

The problem is learnable if and only if there is a learning rule that is uniform-RO stable and universally an AERM. Quantitatively, if AAA is universally consistent with rate εcons\varepsilon_{\rm cons}εcons​, then some rule A′A'A′ is uniform-RO stable and universally AERM with

εstable(m)=2Bm,εerm(m)=3 εcons(⌊m1/4⌋)+8Bm,\varepsilon_{\rm stable}(m)=\frac{2B}{\sqrt m},\qquad \varepsilon_{\rm erm}(m)=3\,\varepsilon_{\rm cons}\bigl(\lfloor m^{1/4}\rfloor\bigr)+\frac{8B}{\sqrt m},εstable​(m)=m​2B​,εerm​(m)=3εcons​(⌊m1/4⌋)+m​8B​,

and conversely, a uniform-RO stable universal AERM is universally consistent with rate εstable(m)+εerm(m)\varepsilon_{\rm stable}(m)+\varepsilon_{\rm erm}(m)εstable​(m)+εerm​(m).

Milestones

These follow the order of the paper's proof.

  • Sufficiency: Utility Lemma 12 (a bounded sample mean deviates by at most B/mB/\sqrt mB/m​ in expectation), Lemma 11 (on-average generalization ⇔ average-RO stability), Claim 6 (uniform-RO ⇒ average-RO stability), Lemma 15 (an on-average generalizing AERM is consistent), and Theorem 8 (a stable AERM is consistent with rate εstable+εerm\varepsilon_{\rm stable}+\varepsilon_{\rm erm}εstable​+εerm​ and generalizes with rate εstable+2εerm+2B/m\varepsilon_{\rm stable}+2\varepsilon_{\rm erm}+2B/\sqrt mεstable​+2εerm​+2B/m​).
  • Necessity: Lemma 20 (every rule has a uniform-RO stable, 3B/m3B/\sqrt m3B/m​-generalizing version with consistency rate εcons(⌊m⌋)\varepsilon_{\rm cons}(\lfloor\sqrt m\rfloor)εcons​(⌊m​⌋)), Lemma 16, the Main Converse Lemma (E∣FS(h^S)−F∗∣≤2εcons(m′)+2B/m+2Bm′2/m\mathbb E|F_S(\hat h_S)-F^*|\le2\varepsilon_{\rm cons}(m')+2B/\sqrt m+2Bm'^2/mE∣FS​(h^S​)−F∗∣≤2εcons​(m′)+2B/m​+2Bm′2/m for 2≤m′≤m/22\le m'\le m/22≤m′≤m/2), and Lemma 18 (under that bound, a consistent and generalizing rule is an AERM).

Significance

Theorem 7 shows that in the General Learning Setting, stability replaces uniform convergence as the notion that characterises learnability. It also says where to look for a learning rule: ERM may fail, but some AERM always works, and it must be stable. The rates are explicit and polynomial. Downstream, the paper uses Theorem 7 to prove Theorem 23 (randomised rules) and to design a generic learning algorithm (Theorem 25). Mission II of this series (Tikhonov-regularised ERM for stochastic convex optimisation) is a concrete instance of a stable AERM for a problem with no uniform convergence.

The theorem has been proved since 2010 but has not been formalized. The platform has the textbook side of the same authors' framework: Understanding Machine Learning Theorem 13.2, UnderstandingML.stability_identity, the replace-one identity behind Lemma 11, stated for hypotheses in Rd\mathbb R^dRd. The platform does not have learnability in the General Learning Setting, over an arbitrary hypothesis class, or the converse direction. That direction is the new content: learnability forces a stable AERM to exist.

Difficulty

The sufficiency direction is a chain of expectation identities. The necessity direction is harder. A universally consistent rule need not be an AERM, need not generalize and need not be stable (Example 2 of the paper), so it cannot simply be reused. ERM cannot be used either, since it can fail on learnable problems. The Main Converse Lemma is where universal consistency is used in full: the rule's guarantee has to be applied under a distribution other than D\mathcal DD, and a naive argument under D\mathcal DD alone fails (Example 1: consistency under one distribution does not imply generalization under it). Combining the lemmas into the stated rates requires choosing the auxiliary sample size and tracking every constant, including the regime of small mmm where Lemma 16's hypothesis 2≤m′≤m/22\le m'\le m/22≤m′≤m/2 cannot be met.

Formalization scope

Samples are Fin m → Z, the sample law Dm\mathcal D^mDm is Measure.pi, and S(i)S^{(i)}S(i) is Function.update S i (S' i). Learning rules have type (m : ℕ) → (Fin m → Z) → H, and every property is asserted for m≥1m\ge1m≥1. The minimal empirical risk and F∗F^*F∗ are real infima over the nonempty, bounded-below family, never values at a chosen minimiser. Rates are non-increasing on m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and tend to 000. ⌊m1/4⌋\lfloor m^{1/4}\rfloor⌊m1/4⌋ and ⌊m⌋\lfloor\sqrt m\rfloor⌊m​⌋ are Nat.sqrt (Nat.sqrt m) and Nat.sqrt m, the paper's εcons(m1/4)\varepsilon_{\rm cons}(m^{1/4})εcons​(m1/4) read at an integer sample size. The paper's B=sup⁡∣f∣B=\sup|f|B=sup∣f∣ is replaced by any bound BBB (all rates increase in BBB).

The paper never discusses measurability. This formalization adds one standing assumption, identical across the series: each f(h;⋅)f(h;\cdot)f(h;⋅) is measurable, the minimal empirical risk S↦inf⁡hFS(h)S\mapsto\inf_hF_S(h)S↦infh​FS​(h) is measurable (true for countable H\mathcal HH, for example), and every learning rule, whether assumed or asserted to exist, has (S,z)↦f(A(S);z)(S,z)\mapsto f(A(S);z)(S,z)↦f(A(S);z) jointly measurable. Without this a non-measurable rule would have Bochner integrals equal to 000, and existence claims such as "some rule is a universal AERM" would be satisfied by junk. Every existential in the goal therefore produces a measurable rule, and learnability is quantified over measurable rules with the rate chosen before the distribution. Uniform-RO stability is pointwise over all samples, replacement vectors and test points; it is never replaced by the in-expectation Definition 5.

No statement is corrected. The proof of the converse in the paper calls A′A'A′ "2B/m2B/\sqrt m2B/m​-generalizing" where Lemma 20 gives 3B/m3B/\sqrt m3B/m​. The stated 8B/m8B/\sqrt m8B/m​ absorbs either value, so Theorem 7 is formalized as printed.

The definitions (risks, rules, consistency, AERM, generalization, the two RO-stability notions) are reusable by the other missions of this series and by any stability-based result in the General Learning Setting. Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, the measure-theoretic infrastructure they need (exchangeability of i.i.d. coordinates under Measure.pi, sub-sampling and restriction of product measures, the variance bound for bounded sample means), and the remaining results of Section 5 (Theorems 9 and 10, Lemmas 14 and 17).

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, O. Shamir, N. Srebro, K. Sridharan, Learnability, Stability and Uniform Convergence, Journal of Machine Learning Research 11 (2010) 2635–2670. https://jmlr.org/papers/v11/shalev-shwartz10a.html
  • V. N. Vapnik, The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory, Springer, 1995. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2440-0
  • N. Alon, S. Ben-David, N. Cesa-Bianchi, D. Haussler, Scale-sensitive dimensions, uniform convergence, and learnability, Journal of the ACM 44(4) (1997) 615–631. https://doi.org/10.1145/263867.263927
  • O. Bousquet, A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002) 499–526. https://jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a.html
  • S. Mukherjee, P. Niyogi, T. Poggio, R. Rifkin, Learning theory: stability is sufficient for generalization and necessary and sufficient for consistency of empirical risk minimization, Advances in Computational Mathematics 25 (2006) 161–193. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10444-004-7634-z
  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 13. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107298019
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Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data 4: Robust Learning from One Thresholded Sample in the Bernoulli ModelResearch Paper

Motivation

Classifiers trained to high standard accuracy can be fooled by small, deliberately chosen perturbations of their inputs, so-called adversarial examples (Szegedy et al., 2014; Goodfellow et al., 2015). Training methods that aim at robustness against perturbations bounded in the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ norm reach high robust accuracy on the training set while robust test accuracy stays far lower, a gap much larger than the standard generalization gap (Madry et al., 2018). Schmidt, Santurkar, Tsipras, Talwar and Mądry (arXiv:1804.11285) ask whether this gap is intrinsic: does learning a robust classifier need more data than learning an accurate one?

They answer with two simple data distributions. In a Gaussian model the robust sample complexity is larger than the standard one by a factor of order d\sqrt dd​, for every learning algorithm. In a Bernoulli model on the hypercube, linear classifiers suffer the same penalty, but a nonlinear classifier does not. This mission formalizes the second half of that picture: in the Bernoulli model, thresholding the input and then applying the linear classifier learned from one single sample is robust against every ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ perturbation of size less than 111.

Setting

Points live in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ and norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​. Labels are y∈{±1}y\in\{\pm1\}y∈{±1}. A binary classifier is any map f:Rd→{±1}f:\mathbb R^d\to\{\pm1\}f:Rd→{±1}, and for w∈Rdw\in\mathbb R^dw∈Rd the linear classifier is fw(x)=sgn⁡(⟨w,x⟩)f_w(x)=\operatorname{sgn}(\langle w,x\rangle)fw​(x)=sgn(⟨w,x⟩).

The (θ⋆,τ)(\theta^\star,\tau)(θ⋆,τ)-Bernoulli model. Fix a sign vector θ⋆∈{±1}d\theta^\star\in\{\pm1\}^dθ⋆∈{±1}d and a bias τ∈(0,12]\tau\in(0,\tfrac12]τ∈(0,21​]. A sample (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) is drawn by choosing yyy uniformly in {±1}\{\pm1\}{±1} and then, independently for each coordinate iii, setting xi=yθi⋆x_i=y\theta^\star_ixi​=yθi⋆​ with probability 12+τ\tfrac12+\tau21​+τ and xi=−yθi⋆x_i=-y\theta^\star_ixi​=−yθi⋆​ with probability 12−τ\tfrac12-\tau21​−τ. So x∈{±1}dx\in\{\pm1\}^dx∈{±1}d, and each coordinate carries a weak signal of strength 2τ2\tau2τ about the label.

Errors. The classification error of fff is P(x,y)[f(x)≠y]\mathbb P_{(x,y)}[f(x)\ne y]P(x,y)​[f(x)=y]. For ε∈R\varepsilon\in\mathbb Rε∈R the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball is B∞ε(x)={x′∈Rd:∥x′−x∥∞≤ε}\mathcal B^\varepsilon_\infty(x)=\{x'\in\mathbb R^d:\|x'-x\|_\infty\le\varepsilon\}B∞ε​(x)={x′∈Rd:∥x′−x∥∞​≤ε}, and the ℓ∞ε\ell_\infty^\varepsilonℓ∞ε​-robust classification error of fff is

P(x,y)[∃ x′∈B∞ε(x): f(x′)≠y].\mathbb P_{(x,y)}\big[\exists\,x'\in\mathcal B^\varepsilon_\infty(x):\ f(x')\ne y\big].P(x,y)​[∃x′∈B∞ε​(x): f(x′)=y].

The adversary may move xxx anywhere in the ball, including off the hypercube.

Thresholding. The thresholding map T:Rd→RdT:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^dT:Rd→Rd is T(x)i=+1T(x)_i=+1T(x)i​=+1 if xi≥0x_i\ge0xi​≥0 and T(x)i=−1T(x)_i=-1T(x)i​=−1 otherwise. The classifier studied is fw^∘Tf_{\hat w}\circ Tfw^​∘T, with w^=yx\hat w=yxw^=yx computed from one training sample (x,y)(x,y)(x,y).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10 (p. 8)

There is a universal constant c>0c>0c>0 such that, whenever τ≥c d−1/4\tau\ge c\,d^{-1/4}τ≥cd−1/4 and (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) is one sample of the model with w^=yx\hat w=yxw^=yx,

P(x,y)[∃ ε<1: RobErrε(fw^∘T)>1100] ≤ exp⁡ ⁣(−τ2d2).\mathbb P_{(x,y)}\Big[\exists\,\varepsilon<1:\ \mathrm{RobErr}_\varepsilon\big(f_{\hat w}\circ T\big)>\tfrac1{100}\Big]\ \le\ \exp\!\Big(-\frac{\tau^2d}{2}\Big).P(x,y)​[∃ε<1: RobErrε​(fw^​∘T)>1001​] ≤ exp(−2τ2d​).

The constant ccc is left existential; only the scaling τ≳d−1/4\tau\gtrsim d^{-1/4}τ≳d−1/4 is fixed. The failure probability is the one the paper proves for the same classifier.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 24 (p. 31): P[⟨z,θ⋆⟩≤2τd−2dlog⁡(1/δ)]≤δ\mathbb P\big[\langle z,\theta^\star\rangle\le2\tau d-\sqrt{2d\log(1/\delta)}\big]\le\deltaP[⟨z,θ⋆⟩≤2τd−2dlog(1/δ)​]≤δ for z=xyz=xyz=xy.
  2. Lemma 25 (p. 31): for w^=z/∥z∥2\hat w=z/\|z\|_2w^=z/∥z∥2​, P[⟨w^,θ⋆⟩≤τd]≤exp⁡(−τ2d/2)\mathbb P[\langle\hat w,\theta^\star\rangle\le\tau\sqrt d]\le\exp(-\tau^2d/2)P[⟨w^,θ⋆⟩≤τd​]≤exp(−τ2d/2).
  3. Lemma 26 (p. 32): for a fixed unit www with ⟨w,2τθ⋆⟩≥0\langle w,2\tau\theta^\star\rangle\ge0⟨w,2τθ⋆⟩≥0, P[⟨w,z⟩≤0]≤exp⁡(−2τ2⟨w,θ⋆⟩2)\mathbb P[\langle w,z\rangle\le0]\le\exp(-2\tau^2\langle w,\theta^\star\rangle^2)P[⟨w,z⟩≤0]≤exp(−2τ2⟨w,θ⋆⟩2).
  4. Theorem 27 (p. 32): with probability at least 1−exp⁡(−τ2d/2)1-\exp(-\tau^2d/2)1−exp(−τ2d/2), fw^f_{\hat w}fw^​ has classification error at most exp⁡(−2τ4d)\exp(-2\tau^4d)exp(−2τ4d).
  5. Corollary 28 (p. 33): if τ≥(log⁡(1/β)/(2d))1/4\tau\ge(\log(1/\beta)/(2d))^{1/4}τ≥(log(1/β)/(2d))1/4, then with probability at least 1−exp⁡(−τ2d/2)1-\exp(-\tau^2d/2)1−exp(−τ2d/2), fw^f_{\hat w}fw^​ has classification error at most β\betaβ.
  6. Thresholding identity (§2.2, p. 7): T(B∞ε(x))={x}T(\mathcal B^\varepsilon_\infty(x))=\{x\}T(B∞ε​(x))={x} for every x∈{±1}dx\in\{\pm1\}^dx∈{±1}d and 0≤ε<10\le\varepsilon<10≤ε<1.

Significance

Together with the lower bound for linear classifiers in the same model (Theorem 9 of the paper), Theorem 10 shows that robust sample complexity depends on the hypothesis class and on the data distribution, not only on the perturbation size: a fixed nonlinear preprocessing step closes a gap that no linear classifier can close. The paper's Gaussian model shows the opposite behaviour, where every learner pays the d\sqrt dd​ penalty, so the two models together separate "robustness is information-theoretically expensive" from "robustness is expensive for a restricted class". The authors also report that an explicit thresholding layer improves robust training on MNIST, which motivates the model.

The result is proved in the paper. To the platform's knowledge it has no machine-checked proof. Formalizing it yields a complete, finite and self-contained robust-learning upper bound, the single-sample standard-generalization bounds of Theorem 27 and Corollary 28 as reusable statements, and a worked instance of one-sided Hoeffding bounds for weighted sums of hypercube coordinates.

Difficulty

The concentration steps are standard, but the natural first approach to the goal fails: a bound on the classification error of the linear classifier fw^f_{\hat w}fw^​ says nothing about its robust error, and for ε\varepsilonε of order τ\tauτ the robust error of every linear classifier is close to 12\tfrac1221​. The goal concerns the nonlinear classifier fw^∘Tf_{\hat w}\circ Tfw^​∘T, whose robustness rests on the data lying exactly on the hypercube and on the adversary's budget being below 111; neither fact is visible to an argument about linear classifiers. A second difficulty is bookkeeping: the paper uses three forms of the estimator (yxyxyx, z/∥z∥2z/\|z\|_2z/∥z∥2​, yx/∥x∥2yx/\|x\|_2yx/∥x∥2​), a training sample and a test sample with the same name, and a failure event that must hold for all ε<1\varepsilon<1ε<1 at once.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Labels and hypercube coordinates are Bool (+1↔+1\leftrightarrow+1↔ true). Because the model is finite, every probability is a finite sum of the weights 12∏i(12±τ)\tfrac12\prod_i(\tfrac12\pm\tau)21​∏i​(21​±τ); no measure theory is involved. Conventions committed to:

  • coordinates of xxx are independent given yyy (the paper's "sampling each coordinate", as its proofs use it);
  • 0<τ≤120<\tau\le\tfrac120<τ≤21​ in every theorem, since 12−τ\tfrac12-\tau21​−τ must be a probability;
  • sgn⁡(0)\operatorname{sgn}(0)sgn(0) is taken as +1+1+1 (a tie is classified +1+1+1); TTT sends 000 to +1+1+1, as printed;
  • the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball is written coordinatewise, never as the Euclidean ball;
  • "with probability at least 1−q1-q1−q, the error is at most β\betaβ" is stated as "the failure event has probability at most qqq";
  • the goal's "for any ε<1\varepsilon<1ε<1" is inside the event, one good sample for all ε\varepsilonε;
  • added hypotheses, each forced by a degenerate case where the printed statement is false: d≥1d\ge1d≥1 in Lemma 24, β>0\beta>0β>0 in Corollary 28, ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0 in the thresholding identity.

A formalization that bounds only the standard error of fw^f_{\hat w}fw^​, drops TTT, uses the Euclidean ball, or lets the estimator see θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆ would be a different and easier statement; the goal rules each of these out.

A complete development needs one-sided Hoeffding bounds for weighted sums of independent bounded variables on a finite product space (Mathlib has the measure-theoretic version, ProbabilityTheory.measure_sum_ge_le_of_iIndepFun with hasSubgaussianMGF_of_mem_Icc) and the transfer between the finite-sum encoding and a product measure. Both are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and a bridge lemma from bprob to Measure.pi, are welcome. The other missions of this series (Gaussian lower bound, Bernoulli lower bound for linear classifiers, Gaussian upper bound) formalize the paper's remaining main results.

Selected references

  • L. Schmidt, S. Santurkar, D. Tsipras, K. Talwar, A. Mądry, Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data, NeurIPS 2018; arXiv:1804.11285v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.11285
  • A. Madry, A. Makelov, L. Schmidt, D. Tsipras, A. Vladu, Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks, ICLR 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.06083
  • C. Szegedy et al., Intriguing properties of neural networks, ICLR 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.6199
  • I. Goodfellow, J. Shlens, C. Szegedy, Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples, ICLR 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.6572
  • P. Rigollet, J.-C. Hütter, High Dimensional Statistics, lecture notes, MIT, 2017. https://math.mit.edu/~rigollet/PDFs/RigNotes17.pdf
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Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data 2: A Robust-Error Lower Bound for Linear Classifiers in the Bernoulli ModelResearch Paper

Motivation

Classifiers trained by standard methods reach high accuracy on image benchmarks and yet change their prediction under perturbations of each pixel that are invisible to a human. Training against such perturbations (adversarial training) improves robustness, but on CIFAR10 and SVHN the robust test accuracy stays far below the robust training accuracy: robust models overfit. Schmidt, Santurkar, Tsipras, Talwar and Mądry (arXiv:1804.11285, 2018) asked whether this gap is a failure of current methods or an information-theoretic fact about the number of samples needed. They introduced two simple data models in which a single sample suffices for standard accuracy and proved that robust accuracy needs many more samples.

This mission formalizes their lower bound for the second model, the Bernoulli model on the hypercube, which was designed to resemble MNIST (whose images are close to binary). In this model the lower bound holds for linear classifiers, and the paper shows separately that a non-linear classifier (thresholding followed by a linear rule) escapes it. The result therefore isolates a concrete way in which the model class, not only the amount of data, governs robust generalization.

Setting

Let d≥0d\ge0d≥0 and τ>0\tau>0τ>0. Points are x∈{±1}d⊂Rdx\in\{\pm1\}^d\subset\mathbb R^dx∈{±1}d⊂Rd, labels y∈{±1}y\in\{\pm1\}y∈{±1}. For a parameter θ⋆∈{±1}d\theta^\star\in\{\pm1\}^dθ⋆∈{±1}d, the (θ⋆,τ)(\theta^\star,\tau)(θ⋆,τ)-Bernoulli model draws yyy uniformly from {±1}\{\pm1\}{±1} and then, independently for every coordinate iii, sets xi=yθi⋆x_i=y\theta^\star_ixi​=yθi⋆​ with probability 12+τ\tfrac12+\tau21​+τ and xi=−yθi⋆x_i=-y\theta^\star_ixi​=−yθi⋆​ with probability 12−τ\tfrac12-\tau21​−τ (Definition 7). The two classes are noisy copies of the opposite vertices ±θ⋆\pm\theta^\star±θ⋆.

The adversary may move a test point anywhere in the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball

B∞ε(x)={x′∈Rd:∥x′−x∥∞≤ε},\mathcal B^\varepsilon_\infty(x)=\{x'\in\mathbb R^d:\|x'-x\|_\infty\le\varepsilon\},B∞ε​(x)={x′∈Rd:∥x′−x∥∞​≤ε},

leaving the hypercube. The ℓ∞ε\ell_\infty^\varepsilonℓ∞ε​-robust classification error of a classifier f:Rd→{±1}f:\mathbb R^d\to\{\pm1\}f:Rd→{±1} is (Definition 3)

β(f)=Pr⁡(x,y)[∃x′∈B∞ε(x): f(x′)≠y].\beta(f)=\Pr_{(x,y)}\big[\exists x'\in\mathcal B^\varepsilon_\infty(x):\ f(x')\ne y\big].β(f)=(x,y)Pr​[∃x′∈B∞ε​(x): f(x′)=y].

A linear classifier is fw(x)=sgn⁡⟨w,x⟩f_w(x)=\operatorname{sgn}\langle w,x\ranglefw​(x)=sgn⟨w,x⟩ for w∈Rdw\in\mathbb R^dw∈Rd. A linear-classifier learning algorithm gng_ngn​ is any function from nnn labelled samples to a weight vector w∈Rdw\in\mathbb R^dw∈Rd.

The lower bound is Bayesian: θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆ is drawn uniformly from {±1}d\{\pm1\}^d{±1}d, the learner receives nnn independent samples SSS from the (θ⋆,τ)(\theta^\star,\tau)(θ⋆,τ)-model, outputs w=gn(S)w=g_n(S)w=gn​(S), and is charged the robust error of fwf_wfw​ on a fresh sample, averaged over θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆ and SSS. The posterior mean E[θi⋆∣S]=Pr⁡[θi⋆=+1∣S]−Pr⁡[θi⋆=−1∣S]\mathbb E[\theta^\star_i\mid S]=\Pr[\theta^\star_i=+1\mid S]-\Pr[\theta^\star_i=-1\mid S]E[θi⋆​∣S]=Pr[θi⋆​=+1∣S]−Pr[θi⋆​=−1∣S] measures how much the learner can know about coordinate iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 31 (p. 35)

For 0<τ≤140<\tau\le\tfrac140<τ≤41​, 0≤ε<3τ0\le\varepsilon<3\tau0≤ε<3τ, 0<γ<120<\gamma<\tfrac120<γ<21​ and every linear learner gng_ngn​: if

n≤ε2γ25000 τ4log⁡(4d/γ),n\le\frac{\varepsilon^2\gamma^2}{5000\,\tau^4\log(4d/\gamma)},n≤5000τ4log(4d/γ)ε2γ2​,

then

Eθ⋆,S[β(fgn(S))]≥12−γ.\mathbb E_{\theta^\star,S}\big[\beta(f_{g_n(S)})\big]\ge\tfrac12-\gamma .Eθ⋆,S​[β(fgn​(S)​)]≥21​−γ.

Milestones

  1. Eqs. (4)–(5), p. 33: in one dimension the posterior odds of θ\thetaθ equal ∏k(1/2+τ1/2−τ)ykxk\prod_k\big(\tfrac{1/2+\tau}{1/2-\tau}\big)^{y_kx_k}∏k​(1/2−τ1/2+τ​)yk​xk​.
  2. Lemma 29, p. 33: for τ≤14\tau\le\tfrac14τ≤41​ and n≤1/τ2n\le1/\tau^2n≤1/τ2, with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ,
∣log⁡Pr⁡[θ=+1∣S]Pr⁡[θ=−1∣S]∣≤15τ2nlog⁡(2/δ).\Big|\log\tfrac{\Pr[\theta=+1\mid S]}{\Pr[\theta=-1\mid S]}\Big|\le15\tau\sqrt{2n\log(2/\delta)} .​logPr[θ=−1∣S]Pr[θ=+1∣S]​​≤15τ2nlog(2/δ)​.
  1. Proof of Theorem 31, p. 36: with probability 1−γ/21-\gamma/21−γ/2, ∣E[θi⋆∣S]∣≤15τ2nlog⁡(4d/γ)|\mathbb E[\theta^\star_i\mid S]|\le15\tau\sqrt{2n\log(4d/\gamma)}∣E[θi⋆​∣S]∣≤15τ2nlog(4d/γ)​ for all iii.
  2. §4, p. 10: sup⁡∥Δ∥∞≤ε⟨yw,Δ⟩=ε∥w∥1\sup_{\|\Delta\|_\infty\le\varepsilon}\langle yw,\Delta\rangle=\varepsilon\|w\|_1sup∥Δ∥∞​≤ε​⟨yw,Δ⟩=ε∥w∥1​, so www robustly classifies (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) iff ⟨yw,x⟩>ε∥w∥1\langle yw,x\rangle>\varepsilon\|w\|_1⟨yw,x⟩>ε∥w∥1​.
  3. Proof of Theorem 31, p. 37: when θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆ has independent coordinates with means bounded by bbb in absolute value, a fresh sample satisfies ⟨w,yx⟩≤2τbγ∥w∥1\langle w,yx\rangle\le\frac{2\tau b}{\gamma}\|w\|_1⟨w,yx⟩≤γ2τb​∥w∥1​ with probability at least (1−γ)/2(1-\gamma)/2(1−γ)/2.

The goal keeps the paper's explicit constants (500050005000, 3τ3\tau3τ, log⁡(4d/γ)\log(4d/\gamma)log(4d/γ)) because Theorem 31 is itself the explicit form of the paper's asymptotic Theorem 9.

Significance

With τ≍d−1/4\tau\asymp d^{-1/4}τ≍d−1/4 a single sample already yields a linear classifier with small standard error (Theorem 8 of the paper), while Theorem 31 shows that for ε\varepsilonε of order τ\tauτ every linear learner needs on the order of d/log⁡d\sqrt d/\log dd​/logd samples to get expected robust error below 12−γ\tfrac12-\gamma21​−γ against an ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ adversary (the paper's Theorem 9 states this as n≤c2ε2γ2d/log⁡(d/γ)n\le c_2\varepsilon^2\gamma^2 d/\log(d/\gamma)n≤c2​ε2γ2d/log(d/γ) for τ=c1d−1/4\tau=c_1d^{-1/4}τ=c1​d−1/4). The companion upper bound (Theorem 10) shows that thresholding the input first makes one sample enough for any ε<1\varepsilon<1ε<1. Together these give a rigorous example in which robust generalization is polynomially harder than standard generalization for a model class, and in which a change of model class removes the gap.

The theorem and its proof are published and not in doubt. The platform holds no statement of this lower bound, of Lemma 29, or of the ℓ∞/ℓ1 robustness criterion for linear classifiers (searched 2026-09-26). The mission produces a checked statement of the result with every hypothesis explicit, including the tie convention and the domain of ε\varepsilonε that the printed statement leaves implicit, and a finite, measure-free encoding of a Bayesian learning lower bound that other hypercube models can reuse.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt bounds the robust error of the best classifier the learner could output, but the learner is arbitrary: it may output any www, including ones that use the samples in unusual ways. The argument must therefore hold for every function of the samples, which is why θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆ is random and why the error is averaged over it; for a fixed θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆ the learner gn≡θ⋆g_n\equiv\theta^\stargn​≡θ⋆ is robust and the statement is false. The technical difficulty is to pass from "the posterior of every coordinate is nearly uniform" (a statement about ddd separate one-dimensional problems) to a bound on the margin ⟨w,yx⟩\langle w,yx\rangle⟨w,yx⟩ relative to ∥w∥1\|w\|_1∥w∥1​ that holds for every www at once, uniformly in how www spreads its weight across coordinates. Concentration of ⟨w,yx⟩\langle w,yx\rangle⟨w,yx⟩ is not available for a general www (a single heavy coordinate defeats it), so only a weak, constant-probability tail bound survives, which is why the final error is 12−γ\tfrac12-\gamma21​−γ rather than close to 111.

Formalization scope

Everything is finite. Hypercube points are sign vectors Fin d → Bool, labels are Bool with true ↦ +1+1+1, and every probability is an explicit finite sum of weights; no measure theory is involved. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). Committed conventions:

  • The coordinates of xxx are sampled independently (the reading of "sampling each coordinate" that the paper's proofs use).
  • ∥⋅∥∞≤ε\|\cdot\|_\infty\le\varepsilon∥⋅∥∞​≤ε and ∥w∥1\|w\|_1∥w∥1​ are written coordinatewise; the adversary's ball is the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ball, not the Euclidean one.
  • fw(x)=+1f_w(x)=+1fw​(x)=+1 when ⟨w,x⟩=0\langle w,x\rangle=0⟨w,x⟩=0 (the paper's sgn⁡(0)\operatorname{sgn}(0)sgn(0) is not in {±1}\{\pm1\}{±1}).
  • The robust error is Definition 3's event ∃x′∈B∞ε(x), f(x′)≠y\exists x'\in\mathcal B^\varepsilon_\infty(x),\ f(x')\ne y∃x′∈B∞ε​(x), f(x′)=y, not the margin criterion; the equivalence is milestone 4.
  • Added hypotheses: ε≥0\varepsilon\ge0ε≥0 in the goal (for ε<0\varepsilon<0ε<0 the ball is empty and the printed statement fails at n=0n=0n=0), and δ>0\delta>0δ>0 in Lemma 29 (at δ=0\delta=0δ=0 Lean's log⁡(2/0)=0\log(2/0)=0log(2/0)=0 makes it false). Posteriors are defined by Bayes' rule as ratios of joint weights.

The learner is any function of the samples to Rd\mathbb R^dRd; restricting to a specific learner, fixing θ⋆\theta^\starθ⋆, letting the learner output an arbitrary classifier (for which the theorem is false), or bounding only the standard error (ε=0\varepsilon=0ε=0) would each trivialize or falsify the target and are excluded. Useful infrastructure: Hoeffding's inequality for sums of independent ±1\pm1±1 variables, Markov's inequality over finite sums, and the ℓ∞/ℓ1 duality on EuclideanSpace. Related platform work: the other three missions of this series (the Gaussian lower bound, the Gaussian robust upper bound, and the Bernoulli thresholding upper bound). Contributions of general lemmas on finite product measures over the hypercube are welcome.

Selected references

  • L. Schmidt, S. Santurkar, D. Tsipras, K. Talwar, A. Mądry, Adversarially Robust Generalization Requires More Data, arXiv:1804.11285v2, 2018; NeurIPS 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.11285
  • I. Goodfellow, J. Shlens, C. Szegedy, Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples, ICLR 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1412.6572
  • A. Mądry, A. Makelov, L. Schmidt, D. Tsipras, A. Vladu, Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks, ICLR 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.06083
  • S. Boucheron, G. Lugosi, P. Massart, Concentration Inequalities: A Nonasymptotic Theory of Independence, Oxford University Press, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199535255.001.0001
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Proximal Newton-Type Methods for Minimizing Composite Functions II: Local Linear and Superlinear Convergence of the Inexact Proximal Newton MethodResearch Paper

Motivation

Many estimation problems in statistics, signal processing and bioinformatics minimize a composite function f=g+hf = g + hf=g+h: a smooth convex loss ggg plus a convex but nonsmooth penalty or constraint hhh, such as the lasso's ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm or the indicator of a convex set. Proximal Newton-type methods handle such problems by minimizing, at each iterate xkx_kxk​, a model f^k=g^k+h\hat f_k = \hat g_k + hf^​k​=g^​k​+h in which ggg is replaced by its second-order Taylor expansion. Widely used solvers of this kind (glmnet, newGLMNET, QUIC) never solve these model subproblems exactly; they stop an inner iterative solver early by some heuristic. Lee, Sun and Saunders (arXiv:1206.1623v13, 2014) proposed an adaptive stopping rule for the inner solver and proved that it preserves fast local convergence. This mission formalizes that local convergence theory (§3.4 of the paper).

Timeline:

  • 1982: Dembo, Eisenstat and Steihaug introduce inexact Newton methods for smooth equations and prove local linear and superlinear convergence under a relative-residual condition with forcing terms ηk\eta_kηk​ (doi:10.1137/0719025).
  • 1996: Eisenstat and Walker propose self-adjusting forcing terms that avoid oversolving (doi:10.1137/0917003).
  • 2012–2014: Lee, Sun and Saunders transfer the relative-residual condition to composite functions, replacing gradients by composite gradient steps, and prove Theorems 3.10 and 3.11.
  • 2016: Byrd, Nocedal and Oztoprak analyze inexact proximal Newton methods for ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized problems under an additional sufficient-descent condition on the subproblem (doi:10.1007/s10107-015-0941-y).

Setting

Work in Rn\mathbb R^nRn with the Euclidean inner product. The smooth part g:Rn→Rg:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rg:Rn→R is twice continuously differentiable and strongly convex with constant m>0m>0m>0: g(y)≥g(x)+∇g(x)T(y−x)+m2∥x−y∥2g(y)\ge g(x)+\nabla g(x)^T(y-x)+\frac m2\|x-y\|^2g(y)≥g(x)+∇g(x)T(y−x)+2m​∥x−y∥2 for all x,yx,yx,y. Its gradient ∇g\nabla g∇g is Lipschitz with constant L1L_1L1​, its Hessian ∇2g\nabla^2 g∇2g is Lipschitz with constant L2L_2L2​, and ∇2g(x)⪯MI\nabla^2 g(x)\preceq MI∇2g(x)⪯MI for a constant M>0M>0M>0. The nonsmooth part hhh is proper, closed and convex, and may take the value +∞+\infty+∞; it is given by its domain DDD and its values on DDD. The problem is min⁡xf(x)=g(x)+h(x)\min_x f(x)=g(x)+h(x)minx​f(x)=g(x)+h(x), and x⋆x^\starx⋆ denotes its (unique) optimal solution.

The proximal mapping of hhh is prox⁡h(v)=arg⁡min⁡yh(y)+12∥y−v∥2\operatorname{prox}_h(v)=\arg\min_y h(y)+\frac12\|y-v\|^2proxh​(v)=argminy​h(y)+21​∥y−v∥2. The composite gradient step with step length t>0t>0t>0 is

Gtf(x)=1t(x−prox⁡th(x−t∇g(x))),G_{tf}(x)=\tfrac1t\big(x-\operatorname{prox}_{th}(x-t\nabla g(x))\big),Gtf​(x)=t1​(x−proxth​(x−t∇g(x))),

with Gf=G1fG_f=G_{1f}Gf​=G1f​; it vanishes exactly at minimizers of fff and plays the role of the gradient. The step Gf/MG_{f/M}Gf/M​ is the unit step on f/M=g/M+h/Mf/M=g/M+h/Mf/M=g/M+h/M. The model at xkx_kxk​ is f^k=g^k+h\hat f_k=\hat g_k+hf^​k​=g^​k​+h with g^k(y)=g(xk)+∇g(xk)T(y−xk)+12(y−xk)T∇2g(xk)(y−xk)\hat g_k(y)=g(x_k)+\nabla g(x_k)^T(y-x_k)+\frac12(y-x_k)^T\nabla^2 g(x_k)(y-x_k)g^​k​(y)=g(xk​)+∇g(xk​)T(y−xk​)+21​(y−xk​)T∇2g(xk​)(y−xk​).

The inexact proximal Newton method with unit step lengths produces xk+1=xk+Δxkx_{k+1}=x_k+\Delta x_kxk+1​=xk​+Δxk​, where the direction Δxk\Delta x_kΔxk​ is any point satisfying the adaptive stopping condition

∥Gf^k/M(xk+Δxk)∥≤ηk ∥Gf/M(xk)∥(2.24)\|G_{\hat f_k/M}(x_k+\Delta x_k)\|\le\eta_k\,\|G_{f/M}(x_k)\|\qquad(2.24)∥Gf^​k​/M​(xk​+Δxk​)∥≤ηk​∥Gf/M​(xk​)∥(2.24)

for a forcing term ηk≥0\eta_k\ge0ηk​≥0. The Eisenstat–Walker choice is

ηk=min⁡{m2, ∥Gf^k−1/M(xk)−Gf/M(xk)∥∥Gf/M(xk−1)∥}.(2.25)\eta_k=\min\Big\{\frac m2,\ \frac{\|G_{\hat f_{k-1}/M}(x_k)-G_{f/M}(x_k)\|}{\|G_{f/M}(x_{k-1})\|}\Big\}.\qquad(2.25)ηk​=min{2m​, ∥Gf/M​(xk−1​)∥∥Gf^​k−1​/M​(xk​)−Gf/M​(xk​)∥​}.(2.25)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.10 (p. 17)

  1. There are ηˉ∈(0,m/2)\bar\eta\in(0,m/2)ηˉ​∈(0,m/2), δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and r∈[0,1)r\in[0,1)r∈[0,1) such that, whenever 0≤ηk≤ηˉ0\le\eta_k\le\bar\eta0≤ηk​≤ηˉ​ for all kkk and ∥x0−x⋆∥<δ\|x_0-x^\star\|<\delta∥x0​−x⋆∥<δ,
∥xk+1−x⋆∥≤r ∥xk−x⋆∥for all k.\|x_{k+1}-x^\star\|\le r\,\|x_k-x^\star\|\quad\text{for all }k.∥xk+1​−x⋆∥≤r∥xk​−x⋆∥for all k.
  1. For every forcing sequence with ηk≥0\eta_k\ge0ηk​≥0, ηk→0\eta_k\to0ηk​→0, there is δ>0\delta>0δ>0 such that every run with ∥x0−x⋆∥<δ\|x_0-x^\star\|<\delta∥x0​−x⋆∥<δ converges to x⋆x^\starx⋆ q-superlinearly: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, eventually ∥xk+1−x⋆∥≤ε∥xk−x⋆∥\|x_{k+1}-x^\star\|\le\varepsilon\|x_k-x^\star\|∥xk+1​−x⋆∥≤ε∥xk​−x⋆∥.

Both parts are asserted together. The statement fixes no constant beyond the existence of ηˉ\bar\etaηˉ​, δ\deltaδ and rrr.

Milestones

  • §2.1, property 3: Gf(x)=0G_f(x)=0Gf​(x)=0 if and only if xxx minimizes fff.
  • Lemma 2.2: ∥Gf(x)∥≤(L1+1)∥x−x⋆∥\|G_f(x)\|\le(L_1+1)\|x-x^\star\|∥Gf​(x)∥≤(L1​+1)∥x−x⋆∥.
  • Lemma 3.8: ∥Gf(x)−Gf^k(x)∥≤L22∥x−xk∥2\|G_f(x)-G_{\hat f_k}(x)\|\le\frac{L_2}2\|x-x_k\|^2∥Gf​(x)−Gf^​k​​(x)∥≤2L2​​∥x−xk​∥2.
  • Lemma 3.9: (x−y)T(Gtf(x)−Gtf(y))≥m2∥x−y∥2(x-y)^T(G_{tf}(x)-G_{tf}(y))\ge\frac m2\|x-y\|^2(x−y)T(Gtf​(x)−Gtf​(y))≥2m​∥x−y∥2 for 0<t≤1/L10<t\le1/L_10<t≤1/L1​.
  • Theorem 3.11: with the forcing terms (2.25), the method converges q-superlinearly from every start sufficiently close to x⋆x^\starx⋆.

Significance

Theorem 3.10 justifies stopping the inner solver of a proximal Newton method at a relative accuracy that is set by the current optimality measure ∥Gf/M(xk)∥\|G_{f/M}(x_k)\|∥Gf/M​(xk​)∥: a constant small forcing term keeps linear convergence, and forcing terms that decay to zero recover superlinear convergence, with no sufficient-descent condition on the subproblem and for a generic nonsmooth hhh. Theorem 3.11 shows that the self-adjusting choice (2.25) achieves the superlinear regime automatically. Together they are the composite analogue of the inexact Newton theory used in most large-scale smooth solvers.

The results are proved in the paper. No machine-checked proof of any of them is known, and the platform contains no proximal mapping, composite gradient step or inexact Newton condition. A formalization adds a checked proximal-operator toolkit (existence and nonexpansiveness of prox⁡\operatorname{prox}prox, the optimality characterization of GfG_fGf​, strong monotonicity of GtfG_{tf}Gtf​) and a precise form of the theorem: the paper's proofs mix two scalings of the composite step and cite a lemma where another is meant, so the formal proof settles which constants are valid.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the inexact step with the exact proximal Newton step and treats the gap as a perturbation. For composite functions this fails: the exact step is defined by a nonsmooth inclusion, and the stopping condition bounds a residual of the model's composite gradient step, not the distance to the model's minimizer. The link between the two is strong monotonicity of the composite gradient step (Lemma 3.9), which requires controlling the proximal mapping of a general closed convex hhh jointly with the curvature of ggg; for h=0h=0h=0 it is immediate, and for general hhh it is the central step. A second difficulty is that the threshold on ηk\eta_kηk​ is not scale invariant: a threshold below m/2m/2m/2 chosen arbitrarily does not give convergence, so the admissible ηˉ\bar\etaηˉ​ has to come out of the analysis.

Formalization scope

The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n). The nonsmooth part is a pair (D,h)(D,h)(D,h): DDD nonempty and convex, hhh convex on DDD, and the extended function (hhh on DDD, +∞+\infty+∞ off DDD) lower semicontinuous; indicator functions of closed convex sets are included. The proximal mapping is a total function chosen among the minimizers over DDD, which exist uniquely under these hypotheses. Gf/MG_{f/M}Gf/M​, Gf^k/MG_{\hat f_k/M}Gf^​k​/M​ and GtfG_{tf}Gtf​ are functions of the split (g,D,h)(g,D,h)(g,D,h) and a scalar, never of fff alone. The Hessian is the derivative of the gradient map, measured in operator norm. Sequences are indexed from k=0k=0k=0; a run requires x0∈Dx_0\in Dx0​∈D and xk+Δxk∈Dx_k+\Delta x_k\in Dxk​+Δxk​∈D. Rates are stated without quotients.

"x0x_0x0​ sufficiently close to x⋆x^\starx⋆" is an existential radius chosen before the run; assuming xk→x⋆x_k\to x^\starxk​→x⋆, letting the radius depend on the run, or reading part 1 as "for every ηˉ<m/2\bar\eta<m/2ηˉ​<m/2" (which is false: g(x)=2x2g(x)=2x^2g(x)=2x2, h=0h=0h=0, ηk≡32\eta_k\equiv\frac32ηk​≡23​ diverges) are ruled out. The forcing sequence of Theorem 3.10 is fixed in advance; that of Theorem 3.11 depends on the iterates through (2.25), with a free first term η0∈[0,m/2]\eta_0\in[0,m/2]η0​∈[0,m/2].

A complete development needs existence, uniqueness and firm nonexpansiveness of the proximal mapping of an extended-valued closed convex function, the subgradient characterization of prox⁡\operatorname{prox}prox, and a second-order Taylor bound for C2C^2C2 functions with Lipschitz Hessian. These are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any of them, of the milestones, or of alternative proofs of Lemma 3.9 are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. D. Lee, Y. Sun, M. A. Saunders, Proximal Newton-type methods for minimizing composite functions, arXiv:1206.1623v13, 2014; SIAM J. Optim. 24(3), 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.1623
  • R. S. Dembo, S. C. Eisenstat, T. Steihaug, Inexact Newton methods, SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 19(2), 1982. https://doi.org/10.1137/0719025
  • S. C. Eisenstat, H. F. Walker, Choosing the forcing terms in an inexact Newton method, SIAM J. Sci. Comput. 17(1), 1996. https://doi.org/10.1137/0917003
  • R. H. Byrd, J. Nocedal, F. Oztoprak, An inexact successive quadratic approximation method for L-1 regularized optimization, Math. Program. 157, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-015-0941-y
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Convex OptimizationNumerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Proximal Newton-Type Methods for Minimizing Composite Functions I: Proximal Quasi-Newton Methods Converge Q-Superlinearly under the Dennis–Moré CriterionResearch Paper

Motivation

Many estimation problems in statistics, machine learning and signal processing minimize a composite function, the sum of a smooth loss and a convex but nonsmooth regularizer or constraint: the lasso and ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized logistic regression, the graphical lasso for sparse inverse covariance estimation, and constrained least squares, where the nonsmooth part is the indicator function of a convex set. First-order proximal gradient methods (ISTA, FISTA, SpaRSA) are the standard tools, and their convergence is at best linear. Practical solvers such as glmnet, newGLMNET and QUIC instead minimize a local quadratic model of the smooth part plus the nonsmooth part at every iteration, and in practice they need far fewer iterations.

Lee, Sun and Saunders (arXiv:1206.1623, SIAM J. Optim. 2014) put these methods into one framework, proximal Newton-type methods, and proved that they inherit the local convergence rates of Newton and quasi-Newton methods for smooth problems. This mission formalizes the exact-subproblem half of their analysis, ending with q-superlinear convergence of proximal quasi-Newton methods whose Hessian approximations satisfy the Dennis–Moré criterion.

Timeline. Dennis and Moré (1974) characterized superlinear convergence of quasi-Newton methods for smooth equations and minimization by what is now called the Dennis–Moré condition. Tseng and Yun (2009) analyzed coordinate gradient descent for composite problems with a scaled quadratic model. Byrd, Nocedal and Oztoprak (2013) studied inexact proximal Newton methods for ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized problems. Lee, Sun and Saunders (2012–2014) proved quadratic and superlinear local convergence for a generic closed convex hhh.

Setting

The problem is

min⁡x∈Rnf(x):=g(x)+h(x).(1.1)\min_{x\in\mathbb R^n} f(x) := g(x) + h(x). \qquad (1.1)x∈Rnmin​f(x):=g(x)+h(x).(1.1)

The smooth part g:Rn→Rg:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rg:Rn→R is twice continuously differentiable and strongly convex with constant m>0m>0m>0, meaning g(y)≥g(x)+∇g(x)T(y−x)+m2∥x−y∥2g(y)\ge g(x)+\nabla g(x)^T(y-x)+\tfrac m2\|x-y\|^2g(y)≥g(x)+∇g(x)T(y−x)+2m​∥x−y∥2 for all x,yx,yx,y (Definition 3.2). Its gradient ∇g\nabla g∇g and Hessian ∇2g\nabla^2 g∇2g are Lipschitz continuous with constants L1L_1L1​ and L2L_2L2​. The nonsmooth part hhh is a proper closed convex function that may take the value +∞+\infty+∞. Its effective domain D=dom⁡hD=\operatorname{dom} hD=domh is nonempty and convex, and x⋆x^\starx⋆ denotes the optimal solution of (1.1), which is unique by strong convexity.

At an iterate xkx_kxk​ the method chooses a symmetric positive definite matrix HkH_kHk​ and computes the search direction Δxk\Delta x_kΔxk​, the minimizer of the model subproblem

Δxk=arg⁡min⁡d ∇g(xk)Td+12dTHkd+h(xk+d).(2.9)\Delta x_k=\arg\min_d\ \nabla g(x_k)^Td+\tfrac12 d^TH_kd+h(x_k+d). \qquad (2.9)Δxk​=argdmin​ ∇g(xk​)Td+21​dTHk​d+h(xk​+d).(2.9)

The predicted decrease is λk=∇g(xk)TΔxk+h(xk+Δxk)−h(xk)\lambda_k=\nabla g(x_k)^T\Delta x_k+h(x_k+\Delta x_k)-h(x_k)λk​=∇g(xk​)TΔxk​+h(xk​+Δxk​)−h(xk​). A step length ttt satisfies the sufficient descent condition (2.19) if f(xk+tΔxk)≤f(xk)+αtλkf(x_k+t\Delta x_k)\le f(x_k)+\alpha t\lambda_kf(xk​+tΔxk​)≤f(xk​)+αtλk​ for a fixed α∈(0,12)\alpha\in(0,\tfrac12)α∈(0,21​). A backtracking line search with factor β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1) takes tk=βjt_k=\beta^{j}tk​=βj for the least j≥0j\ge0j≥0 that passes, so the unit step is tried first. The update is xk+1=xk+tkΔxkx_{k+1}=x_k+t_k\Delta x_kxk+1​=xk​+tk​Δxk​ (Algorithm 1). With Hk=∇2g(xk)H_k=\nabla^2 g(x_k)Hk​=∇2g(xk​) this is the proximal Newton method. With any other choice of HkH_kHk​ it is a proximal quasi-Newton method. The sequence {Hk}\{H_k\}{Hk​} satisfies the Dennis–Moré criterion if

∥(Hk−∇2g(x⋆))(xk+1−xk)∥∥xk+1−xk∥→0.(3.2)\frac{\|(H_k-\nabla^2 g(x^\star))(x_{k+1}-x_k)\|}{\|x_{k+1}-x_k\|}\to0. \qquad (3.2)∥xk+1​−xk​∥∥(Hk​−∇2g(x⋆))(xk+1​−xk​)∥​→0.(3.2)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.7

If mI⪯Hk⪯MImI\preceq H_k\preceq MImI⪯Hk​⪯MI for all kkk, with 0<m≤M0<m\le M0<m≤M, and {Hk}\{H_k\}{Hk​} satisfies (3.2), then every run of Algorithm 1 from any x0∈Dx_0\in Dx0​∈D satisfies

xk→x⋆,∥xk+1−x⋆∥=o(∥xk−x⋆∥).x_k\to x^\star,\qquad \|x_{k+1}-x^\star\|=o(\|x_k-x^\star\|).xk​→x⋆,∥xk+1​−x⋆∥=o(∥xk​−x⋆∥).

The goal fixes no rate constant. It asserts only the shape of the convergence.

Milestones

In the order the proof uses them:

  1. Proposition 2.4: λ≤−ΔxTHΔx\lambda\le-\Delta x^TH\Delta xλ≤−ΔxTHΔx and f(x+tΔx)≤f(x)+tλ+O(t2)f(x+t\Delta x)\le f(x)+t\lambda+O(t^2)f(x+tΔx)≤f(x)+tλ+O(t2).
  2. Proposition 2.5: xxx is optimal if and only if Δx=0\Delta x=0Δx=0 at xxx.
  3. Lemma 2.6: every t≤min⁡{1,(2m/L1)(1−α)}t\le\min\{1,(2m/L_1)(1-\alpha)\}t≤min{1,(2m/L1​)(1−α)} satisfies (2.19).
  4. Theorem 3.1 (global convergence), restated under the assumptions of §3.3: xk→x⋆x_k\to x^\starxk​→x⋆.
  5. Lemma 3.3: the proximal Newton method eventually accepts the unit step.
  6. Theorem 3.4: the proximal Newton method converges q-quadratically, with eventually
∥xk+1−x⋆∥≤L22m∥xk−x⋆∥2.\|x_{k+1}-x^\star\|\le\frac{L_2}{2m}\|x_k-x^\star\|^2 .∥xk+1​−x⋆∥≤2mL2​​∥xk​−x⋆∥2.
  1. Lemma 3.5 / A.1: under (3.2) the unit step is eventually accepted.
  2. Proposition 3.6: ∥Δx1−Δx2∥≤(1+θˉ)/m ∥(H2−H1)Δx1∥1/2∥Δx1∥1/2\|\Delta x_1-\Delta x_2\|\le\sqrt{(1+\bar\theta)/m}\,\|(H_2-H_1)\Delta x_1\|^{1/2}\|\Delta x_1\|^{1/2}∥Δx1​−Δx2​∥≤(1+θˉ)/m​∥(H2​−H1​)Δx1​∥1/2∥Δx1​∥1/2, with θˉ\bar\thetaθˉ depending only on the eigenvalue bounds.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3.7 is the composite counterpart of the Dennis–Moré theorem. It says that the rate of a proximal quasi-Newton method is governed by how well HkH_kHk​ approximates the Hessian of the smooth part along the steps actually taken, whatever the nonsmooth part is. It covers proximal BFGS-type methods for ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-regularized and constrained problems, and it explains why solvers built on these methods reach high accuracy in few iterations. Theorem 3.4 gives the corresponding quadratic rate when the exact Hessian is used.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper. None of them has a machine-checked proof: the platform currently has Newton's method only for smooth objectives (Boyd–Vandenberghe's quadratic phase in the mission Convex Optimization V: Newton's Method), and nothing on proximal or composite Newton-type methods. The formalization also settles two defects of the printed text. Theorem 3.1 is false as printed, since it lacks an upper bound on HkH_kHk​: with g(x)=x2/2g(x)=x^2/2g(x)=x2/2, h=0h=0h=0 and Hk=2k+1H_k=2^{k+1}Hk​=2k+1 the iterates stall at about 0.289 x00.289\,x_00.289x0​. It is therefore stated here under the assumptions of §3.3. Proposition 3.6 uses an undefined constant m1m_1m1​ (read as mmm), and the first-order inequalities in its printed proof contain a typo. The explicit constant L2/(2m)L_2/(2m)L2​/(2m) in Theorem 3.4 is the one the paper's proof derives.

Difficulty

The difficulty is the nonsmooth part. For smooth ggg the Newton step solves a linear system, and the classical analysis works with that closed form. Here Δxk\Delta x_kΔxk​ is defined only as the minimizer of a nonsmooth subproblem, and every estimate on it has to come from the optimality of that minimizer, i.e. from the firm nonexpansiveness of scaled proximal maps in a norm that changes with HkH_kHk​. A natural first idea is to apply the smooth Dennis–Moré argument to ∇f\nabla f∇f. It fails because fff is not differentiable and may be +∞+\infty+∞ outside DDD. The superlinear rate also depends on the line search eventually accepting the unit step. That acceptance comes only from a third-order Taylor bound combined with (2.15) and the Dennis–Moré residual, and a line search that may return any admissible step does not give it.

Formalization scope

  • Space. The space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), and matrices are continuous linear operators. ∇g\nabla g∇g is Mathlib's gradient, and ∇2g\nabla^2 g∇2g is fderiv ℝ (gradient g). "Positive definite" includes symmetry, and mI⪯H⪯MImI\preceq H\preceq MImI⪯H⪯MI is stated through quadratic forms of a symmetric HHH.
  • The nonsmooth part. hhh is encoded by its domain DDD and its values on DDD: DDD is nonempty and convex, hhh is convex on DDD, and the +∞+\infty+∞-extension of hhh is lower semicontinuous. The objective fff is extended-valued. Only comparisons are made in EReal, never arithmetic. Replacing hhh by a real-valued function on all of Rn\mathbb R^nRn would exclude indicator functions and is not the paper's setting.
  • Algorithm. The search direction is a predicate: it minimizes (2.9) over {d:x+d∈D}\{d : x+d\in D\}{d:x+d∈D}. Backtracking is the least-jjj rule with factor β∈(0,1)\beta\in(0,1)β∈(0,1), the convention of Boyd and Vandenberghe, whom the paper cites for its line search. Runs are infinite and indexed from k=0k=0k=0, with no stopping test.
  • Rates. o(⋅)o(\cdot)o(⋅) and (3.2) are stated without quotients: for every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 the inequality holds eventually.
  • Ruling out trivial versions. A line search allowed to return any step satisfying (2.19) would make Theorems 3.4 and 3.7 false. Taking x⋆x^\starx⋆ to be an arbitrary point instead of the minimizer, or letting θˉ\bar\thetaθˉ in Proposition 3.6 depend on the data, would empty the statements. None of these readings is used.
  • Infrastructure. A complete development needs: existence and uniqueness of minimizers of strongly convex, lower semicontinuous extended functions; first-order optimality for the subproblem; firm nonexpansiveness of scaled proximal maps in the HHH-norm; and second- and third-order Taylor bounds from Lipschitz derivatives. These pieces are reusable across proximal methods. Contributions of any milestone, of these supporting lemmas, or of the goal directly are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. D. Lee, Y. Sun, M. A. Saunders, Proximal Newton-type methods for minimizing composite functions, arXiv:1206.1623v13 (2014); SIAM J. Optim. 24(3), 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.1623
  • J. E. Dennis, J. J. Moré, A characterization of superlinear convergence and its application to quasi-Newton methods, Math. Comp. 28 (1974), 549–560. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0025-5718-1974-0343581-1
  • P. Tseng, S. Yun, A coordinate gradient descent method for nonsmooth separable minimization, Math. Program. 117 (2009), 387–423. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-007-0170-0
  • R. H. Byrd, J. Nocedal, F. Oztoprak, An inexact successive quadratic approximation method for convex L-1 regularized optimization, Math. Program. 157 (2016), 375–396; arXiv:1309.3529. https://arxiv.org/abs/1309.3529
  • S. Boyd, L. Vandenberghe, Convex Optimization, Cambridge University Press, 2004. https://web.stanford.edu/~boyd/cvxbook/
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Simultaneous Analysis of Lasso and Dantzig Selector III: A Sparsity Oracle Inequality for the LassoResearch Paper

Motivation

In high-dimensional regression the number of candidate predictors MMM can far exceed the number of observations nnn. A regression function can then be estimated only if it is well approximated by a combination of a few elements of a large dictionary. The Lasso is the most widely used estimator in this regime. The question this mission formalizes is how well the Lasso predicts when the truth is not assumed to be sparse, or even to lie in the span of the dictionary.

A sparsity oracle inequality answers it. It bounds the prediction error of the estimator by the error of the best sparse approximation of the truth, which only an oracle knowing the truth could compute, plus a remainder proportional to the sparsity of that approximation times log⁡M/n\log M/nlogM/n. Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (arXiv:0801.1095, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 2009) proved such an inequality for the Lasso under their restricted eigenvalue (RE) condition. Earlier oracle inequalities for Lasso-type estimators in fixed design (Bunea, Tsybakov and Wegkamp, 2006–2007) required the Gram matrix to be positive definite or to satisfy a mutual-coherence condition. The RE condition is weaker and allows M≫nM\gg nM≫n, and it is now the standard hypothesis in this literature.

Setting

A dictionary f1,…,fMf_1,\dots,f_Mf1​,…,fM​ is evaluated at fixed points Z1,…,ZnZ_1,\dots,Z_nZ1​,…,Zn​. This gives the design matrix X=(fj(Zi))∈Rn×MX=(f_j(Z_i))\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X=(fj​(Zi​))∈Rn×M and, for an unknown regression function fff, the vector f=(f(Z1),…,f(Zn))⊤f=(f(Z_1),\dots,f(Z_n))^\topf=(f(Z1​),…,f(Zn​))⊤. The observations are

y=f+W,W1,…,Wn independent N(0,σ2), σ>0.y=f+W,\qquad W_1,\dots,W_n\ \text{independent}\ \mathcal N(0,\sigma^2),\ \sigma>0 .y=f+W,W1​,…,Wn​ independent N(0,σ2), σ>0.

Nothing is assumed about fff. For v∈Rnv\in\mathbb R^nv∈Rn the empirical norm is ∥v∥n=(1n∑ivi2)1/2\|v\|_n=(\frac1n\sum_iv_i^2)^{1/2}∥v∥n​=(n1​∑i​vi2​)1/2, and for β∈RM\beta\in\mathbb R^Mβ∈RM we write fβ=Xβf_\beta=X\betafβ​=Xβ. The column norms ∥fj∥n\|f_j\|_n∥fj​∥n​ are assumed nonzero, with fmax⁡=max⁡j∥fj∥nf_{\max}=\max_j\|f_j\|_nfmax​=maxj​∥fj​∥n​ and fmin⁡=min⁡j∥fj∥nf_{\min}=\min_j\|f_j\|_nfmin​=minj​∥fj​∥n​. The support of β\betaβ is J(β)={j:βj≠0}J(\beta)=\{j:\beta_j\neq0\}J(β)={j:βj​=0} and its sparsity is M(β)=∣J(β)∣\mathcal M(\beta)=|J(\beta)|M(β)=∣J(β)∣.

The Lasso β^L\hat\beta_Lβ^​L​ is any minimiser of

1n∑i=1n(yi−(Xβ)i)2+2r∑j=1M∥fj∥n∣βj∣,r=Aσlog⁡Mn, A>22,\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\big(y_i-(X\beta)_i\big)^2+2r\sum_{j=1}^M\|f_j\|_n|\beta_j|,\qquad r=A\sigma\sqrt{\frac{\log M}{n}},\ A>2\sqrt2,n1​i=1∑n​(yi​−(Xβ)i​)2+2rj=1∑M​∥fj​∥n​∣βj​∣,r=AσnlogM​​, A>22​,

and f^L=Xβ^L\hat f_L=X\hat\beta_Lf^​L​=Xβ^​L​.

Assumption RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) holds with constant κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 if, for every J0⊆{1,…,M}J_0\subseteq\{1,\dots,M\}J0​⊆{1,…,M} with ∣J0∣≤s|J_0|\le s∣J0​∣≤s and every δ≠0\delta\neq0δ=0 with ∣δJ0c∣1≤c0∣δJ0∣1|\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le c_0|\delta_{J_0}|_1∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤c0​∣δJ0​​∣1​,

κn ∣δJ0∣2≤∣Xδ∣2.\kappa\sqrt n\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2\le|X\delta|_2 .κn​∣δJ0​​∣2​≤∣Xδ∣2​.

The paper's κ(s,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)κ(s,c0​) is the largest such constant.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.1

Fix ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, n≥1n\ge1n≥1, M≥2M\ge2M≥2, 1≤s≤M1\le s\le M1≤s≤M, and let RE(s,(3+4/ε)fmax⁡/fmin⁡)(s,(3+4/\varepsilon)f_{\max}/f_{\min})(s,(3+4/ε)fmax​/fmin​) hold with constant κ\kappaκ. With probability at least 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8, every Lasso solution satisfies, simultaneously for all β\betaβ with M(β)≤s\mathcal M(\beta)\le sM(β)≤s,

∥f^L−f∥n2≤(1+ε){∥fβ−f∥n2+C(ε)fmax⁡2A2σ2κ2 M(β)log⁡Mn},C(ε)=4(2+ε)2ε(1+ε).\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2\le(1+\varepsilon)\Big\{\|f_\beta-f\|_n^2+C(\varepsilon)\frac{f_{\max}^2A^2\sigma^2}{\kappa^2}\,\frac{\mathcal M(\beta)\log M}{n}\Big\},\qquad C(\varepsilon)=\frac{4(2+\varepsilon)^2}{\varepsilon(1+\varepsilon)} .∥f^​L​−f∥n2​≤(1+ε){∥fβ​−f∥n2​+C(ε)κ2fmax2​A2σ2​nM(β)logM​},C(ε)=ε(1+ε)4(2+ε)2​.

Milestones

  1. (B.4): the noise event A=⋂j{2∣Vj∣≤r∥fj∥n}\mathcal A=\bigcap_j\{2|V_j|\le r\|f_j\|_n\}A=⋂j​{2∣Vj​∣≤r∥fj​∥n​}, with Vj=n−1∑iXijWiV_j=n^{-1}\sum_iX_{ij}W_iVj​=n−1∑i​Xij​Wi​, satisfies P(Ac)≤M1−A2/8P(\mathcal A^c)\le M^{1-A^2/8}P(Ac)≤M1−A2/8.
  2. (B.1) on A\mathcal AA: for every Lasso solution and every β\betaβ,
∥f^L−f∥n2+r∑j∥fj∥n∣β^j−βj∣≤∥fβ−f∥n2+4r∑j∈J(β)∥fj∥n∣β^j−βj∣.\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2+r\sum_j\|f_j\|_n|\hat\beta_j-\beta_j|\le\|f_\beta-f\|_n^2+4r\sum_{j\in J(\beta)}\|f_j\|_n|\hat\beta_j-\beta_j| .∥f^​L​−f∥n2​+rj∑​∥fj​∥n​∣β^​j​−βj​∣≤∥fβ​−f∥n2​+4rj∈J(β)∑​∥fj​∥n​∣β^​j​−βj​∣.
  1. Lemma B.1: the same inequality with probability at least 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8.
  2. Cone step: in the case ε∥fβ−f∥n2<4r∑J(β)∥fj∥n∣β^j−βj∣\varepsilon\|f_\beta-f\|_n^2<4r\sum_{J(\beta)}\|f_j\|_n|\hat\beta_j-\beta_j|ε∥fβ​−f∥n2​<4r∑J(β)​∥fj​∥n​∣β^​j​−βj​∣, the difference β^L−β\hat\beta_L-\betaβ^​L​−β lies in the cone with constant (3+4/ε)fmax⁡/fmin⁡(3+4/\varepsilon)f_{\max}/f_{\min}(3+4/ε)fmax​/fmin​ at J(β)J(\beta)J(β).
  3. Inequality before decoupling: ∥f^L−f∥n2≤∥fβ−f∥n2+4rfmax⁡κ−1M(β) (∥f^L−f∥n+∥fβ−f∥n)\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2\le\|f_\beta-f\|_n^2+4rf_{\max}\kappa^{-1}\sqrt{\mathcal M(\beta)}\,(\|\hat f_L-f\|_n+\|f_\beta-f\|_n)∥f^​L​−f∥n2​≤∥fβ​−f∥n2​+4rfmax​κ−1M(β)​(∥f^​L​−f∥n​+∥fβ​−f∥n​).
  4. Decoupled bound: ∥f^L−f∥n2≤b+1b−1∥fβ−f∥n2+8b2fmax⁡2(b−1)κ2r2M(β)\|\hat f_L-f\|_n^2\le\frac{b+1}{b-1}\|f_\beta-f\|_n^2+\frac{8b^2f_{\max}^2}{(b-1)\kappa^2}r^2\mathcal M(\beta)∥f^​L​−f∥n2​≤b−1b+1​∥fβ​−f∥n2​+(b−1)κ28b2fmax2​​r2M(β) for all b>1b>1b>1.
  5. Corollary 6.2: the same oracle inequality with γ\gammaγ in place of κ\kappaκ and no global RE assumption. The infimum runs over those β\betaβ with M(β)≤s\mathcal M(\beta)\le sM(β)≤s whose support alone satisfies the restricted eigenvalue inequality with constant γ\gammaγ.

Significance

The theorem says that, up to the factor 1+ε1+\varepsilon1+ε and a remainder of order M(β)log⁡M/n\mathcal M(\beta)\log M/nM(β)logM/n, the Lasso predicts as well as the best sss-sparse linear combination of the dictionary. This is the case even when fff is not sparse and not in the span of the dictionary. The remainder is the parametric rate for M(β)\mathcal M(\beta)M(β) parameters, inflated by log⁡M\log MlogM and by the ill-posedness factor fmax⁡2/κ2f_{\max}^2/\kappa^2fmax2​/κ2. Together with Theorem 5.1 of the same paper (mission II of this series), it shows that the Lasso and the Dantzig selector are within the same distance of the sparse oracle. The oracle inequality is used in aggregation, in model selection, and as a black box in later sparse-estimation papers.

The result is proved in the paper. It has not been formalized: at the time of writing, no Lasso oracle inequality and no probabilistic Lasso bound exist on Prove2Me or in Mathlib. What this mission contributes is a machine-checked proof of the paper's Theorem 6.1 with an explicit constant C(ε)C(\varepsilon)C(ε). The paper leaves C(ε)C(\varepsilon)C(ε) unspecified, and its proof fixes the value used here. The mission also formalizes the Gaussian-tail step (B.4) and the deterministic basic inequality (B.1), both of which are shared with the paper's other Lasso results.

Difficulty

There is no sparse truth, so the usual argument does not apply. That argument places the error β^L−β∗\hat\beta_L-\beta^*β^​L​−β∗ in the RE cone and reads off a rate. Here the competitor β\betaβ is arbitrary, and the approximation error ∥fβ−f∥n\|f_\beta-f\|_n∥fβ​−f∥n​ can dominate the penalty terms, in which case the error is not in the cone. The RE assumption can be used only where the error does lie in a cone, and the cone constant available there depends on ε\varepsilonε and on the column-norm ratio fmax⁡/fmin⁡f_{\max}/f_{\min}fmax​/fmin​, because the penalty is weighted while RE is stated for unweighted vectors. What RE then yields is an inequality quadratic in ∥f^L−f∥n\|\hat f_L-f\|_n∥f^​L​−f∥n​ with a cross term, not the (1+ε)(1+\varepsilon)(1+ε) form directly, and the constant C(ε)C(\varepsilon)C(ε) is determined by how that cross term is absorbed. On the probabilistic side, the whole argument must run on one event of probability at least 1−M1−A2/81-M^{1-A^2/8}1−M1−A2/8. That event may depend neither on β\betaβ nor on the choice of minimiser. The Lasso need not have a unique solution.

Formalization scope

  • The dictionary enters only through X∈Rn×MX\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X∈Rn×M (Matrix (Fin n) (Fin M) ℝ) and the target only through f∈Rnf\in\mathbb R^nf∈Rn, which is arbitrary. The noise is a family W : Fin n → Ω → ℝ of measurable, independent random variables, each with law gaussianReal 0 σ², and σ>0\sigma>0σ>0.
  • The Lasso is an argmin predicate, and every statement is made for every minimiser. "With probability at least ppp" means a measurable event EEE with P(E)≥pP(E)\ge pP(E)≥p, chosen before the competitor β\betaβ and the minimiser.
  • RE is stated through a witness κ>0\kappa>0κ>0. Since κ(s,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)κ(s,c0​) is attained and every bound decreases in κ\kappaκ, this is equivalent to the paper's form, and it avoids a real infimum over an empty set.
  • The infimum over {β:M(β)≤s}\{\beta:\mathcal M(\beta)\le s\}{β:M(β)≤s} is written as "for every such β\betaβ". This is equivalent, because the set contains β=0\beta=0β=0 and the bracket is nonnegative.
  • Correction/strengthening. The printed theorem has an unspecified C(ε)>0C(\varepsilon)>0C(ε)>0. The goal instead uses the value C(ε)=4(2+ε)2/(ε(1+ε))C(\varepsilon)=4(2+\varepsilon)^2/(\varepsilon(1+\varepsilon))C(ε)=4(2+ε)2/(ε(1+ε)) that the proof yields with b=1+2/εb=1+2/\varepsilonb=1+2/ε, and this implies the printed statement. Corollary 6.2 uses the same explicit constant.
  • The standing assumptions of Section 2 (M≥2M\ge2M≥2 and every ∥fj∥n≠0\|f_j\|_n\neq0∥fj​∥n​=0) are hypotheses of every theorem.
  • Some formalizations would make the result trivial, and they are excluded here. The noise must be exactly i.i.d. N(0,σ2)\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2)N(0,σ2) with σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 and must enter only through y=f+Wy=f+Wy=f+W. The target fff must not be restricted to Xβ∗X\beta^*Xβ∗. The event must be measurable. The constant must depend on ε\varepsilonε alone.
  • A single definition file provides the empirical norms, fmax⁡f_{\max}fmax​, fmin⁡f_{\min}fmin​, support and sparsity, the weighted Lasso, RE and its single-set version (the family Λs,γ,c0\Lambda_{s,\gamma,c_0}Λs,γ,c0​​ of Corollary 6.2), the Gaussian noise model and the event A\mathcal AA. The same objects appear in the other missions of this series. Gaussian-tail and union-bound lemmas proved along the way are reusable, and contributions of such lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. J. Bickel, Y. Ritov, A. B. Tsybakov, Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 1705–1732, 2009. Cited version: arXiv:0801.1095v3; DOI 10.1214/08-AOS620.
  • F. Bunea, A. B. Tsybakov, M. H. Wegkamp, Sparsity oracle inequalities for the Lasso, Electron. J. Statist. 1, 169–194, 2007. DOI 10.1214/07-EJS008.
  • F. Bunea, A. B. Tsybakov, M. H. Wegkamp, Aggregation for Gaussian regression, Ann. Statist. 35(4), 1674–1697, 2007. DOI 10.1214/009053606000001587.
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso, J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58(1), 267–288, 1996. DOI 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x.
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Simultaneous Analysis of Lasso and Dantzig Selector I: Sparse Eigenvalue and Correlation Conditions Imply the Restricted Eigenvalue ConditionResearch Paper

Motivation

In high-dimensional linear regression one observes y=Xβ∗+w∈Rny = X\beta^* + w \in \mathbb R^ny=Xβ∗+w∈Rn with a design matrix X∈Rn×MX\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X∈Rn×M whose number of columns MMM may far exceed the sample size nnn. The two standard estimators of a sparse β∗\beta^*β∗, the Lasso (Tibshirani, 1996) and the Dantzig selector (Candès and Tao, 2007), both come with error bounds of order slog⁡M/ns\log M/nslogM/n for an sss-sparse β∗\beta^*β∗, but only under a condition on XXX: since XXX has a non-trivial kernel when M>nM>nM>n, some form of restricted invertibility is unavoidable.

Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (arXiv:0801.1095, Ann. Statist. 2009) introduced the restricted eigenvalue (RE) condition, which asks for invertibility of XXX only on a cone of approximately sparse vectors. It is weaker than the conditions used before it and has since become the default assumption in the sparse-estimation literature. Section 4 of the paper relates RE to the earlier conditions:

  • 2005–2007: Candès and Tao (arXiv:math/0506081) analyse the Dantzig selector under a uniform uncertainty principle involving restricted eigenvalues and restricted correlations of XXX; the condition ϕmin⁡(2s)>θs,2s\phi_{\min}(2s)>\theta_{s,2s}ϕmin​(2s)>θs,2s​ is Assumption 1 below with c0=1c_0=1c0​=1.
  • 2006–2009: Meinshausen and Yu (arXiv:math/0605584) analyse the Lasso under a lower bound on sparse eigenvalues of order slog⁡ns\log nslogn.
  • 2006: Donoho, Elad and Temlyakov (doi:10.1109/TIT.2005.860430) use mutual coherence for sparse recovery; 2007: Bunea, Tsybakov and Wegkamp (doi:10.1214/07-EJS008) use coherence-type conditions for the Lasso.
  • 2009: Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov show (Lemma 4.1 and Section 4) that each of these conditions implies RE.

This mission formalizes those implications.

Setting

Fix integers n≥1n\ge1n≥1 and M≥2M\ge2M≥2 and a matrix X∈Rn×MX\in\mathbb R^{n\times M}X∈Rn×M with columns x1,…,xMx_1,\dots,x_Mx1​,…,xM​. The Gram matrix is Ψn=XTX/n\Psi_n = X^TX/nΨn​=XTX/n. For δ∈RM\delta\in\mathbb R^Mδ∈RM and J⊆{1,…,M}J\subseteq\{1,\dots,M\}J⊆{1,…,M}, δJ\delta_JδJ​ is the vector equal to δ\deltaδ on JJJ and 000 off JJJ; ∣⋅∣1|\cdot|_1∣⋅∣1​, ∣⋅∣2|\cdot|_2∣⋅∣2​ are the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and Euclidean norms; M(δ)\mathcal M(\delta)M(δ) is the number of non-zero coordinates of δ\deltaδ; J0cJ_0^cJ0c​ is the complement of J0J_0J0​.

The cone condition for J0J_0J0​ and c0>0c_0>0c0​>0 is

∣δJ0c∣1≤c0 ∣δJ0∣1.(4.1)|\delta_{J_0^c}|_1\le c_0\,|\delta_{J_0}|_1. \tag{4.1}∣δJ0c​​∣1​≤c0​∣δJ0​​∣1​.(4.1)

Assumption RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) holds with constant κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 if ∣Xδ∣2≥κn ∣δJ0∣2|X\delta|_2\ge\kappa\sqrt n\,|\delta_{J_0}|_2∣Xδ∣2​≥κn​∣δJ0​​∣2​ for every J0J_0J0​ with ∣J0∣≤s|J_0|\le s∣J0​∣≤s and every δ≠0\delta\ne0δ=0 satisfying (4.1). For m≥sm\ge sm≥s, let J1J_1J1​ be a set of mmm indices outside J0J_0J0​ carrying the mmm largest ∣δj∣|\delta_j|∣δj​∣, and J01=J0∪J1J_{01}=J_0\cup J_1J01​=J0​∪J1​; Assumption RE(s,m,c0)(s,m,c_0)(s,m,c0​) replaces ∣δJ0∣2|\delta_{J_0}|_2∣δJ0​​∣2​ by ∣δJ01∣2|\delta_{J_{01}}|_2∣δJ01​​∣2​.

The restricted eigenvalues are ϕmin⁡(u)\phi_{\min}(u)ϕmin​(u) and ϕmax⁡(u)\phi_{\max}(u)ϕmax​(u), the minimum and maximum of xTΨnx/∣x∣22x^T\Psi_nx/|x|_2^2xTΨn​x/∣x∣22​ over xxx with 1≤M(x)≤u1\le\mathcal M(x)\le u1≤M(x)≤u. The restricted correlations θm1,m2\theta_{m_1,m_2}θm1​,m2​​ are the maximum of c1TXI1TXI2c2/(n∣c1∣2∣c2∣2)c_1^TX_{I_1}^TX_{I_2}c_2/(n|c_1|_2|c_2|_2)c1T​XI1​T​XI2​​c2​/(n∣c1​∣2​∣c2​∣2​) over disjoint index sets I1,I2I_1,I_2I1​,I2​ with ∣Ii∣≤mi|I_i|\le m_i∣Ii​∣≤mi​ and non-zero ci∈RIic_i\in\mathbb R^{I_i}ci​∈RIi​. Two constants are attached to them:

κ1(s,c0)=ϕmin⁡(2s)(1−c0θs,2sϕmin⁡(2s)),κ2(s,m,c0)=ϕmin⁡(s+m)(1−c0s ϕmax⁡(m)m ϕmin⁡(s+m)).\kappa_1(s,c_0)=\sqrt{\phi_{\min}(2s)}\Big(1-\frac{c_0\theta_{s,2s}}{\phi_{\min}(2s)}\Big),\qquad \kappa_2(s,m,c_0)=\sqrt{\phi_{\min}(s+m)}\Big(1-c_0\sqrt{\tfrac{s\,\phi_{\max}(m)}{m\,\phi_{\min}(s+m)}}\Big).κ1​(s,c0​)=ϕmin​(2s)​(1−ϕmin​(2s)c0​θs,2s​​),κ2​(s,m,c0​)=ϕmin​(s+m)​(1−c0​mϕmin​(s+m)sϕmax​(m)​​).

P01P_{01}P01​ is the orthogonal projector in Rn\mathbb R^nRn onto the span of the columns xjx_jxj​, j∈J01j\in J_{01}j∈J01​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 4.1 (ii)

For integers 1≤s≤M/21\le s\le M/21≤s≤M/2, m≥sm\ge sm≥s, s+m≤Ms+m\le Ms+m≤M and c0>0c_0>0c0​>0, if Assumption 2 m ϕmin⁡(s+m)>c02 s ϕmax⁡(m)m\,\phi_{\min}(s+m)>c_0^2\,s\,\phi_{\max}(m)mϕmin​(s+m)>c02​sϕmax​(m) holds, then κ2(s,m,c0)>0\kappa_2(s,m,c_0)>0κ2​(s,m,c0​)>0, RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) and RE(s,m,c0)(s,m,c_0)(s,m,c0​) hold with constant κ2(s,m,c0)\kappa_2(s,m,c_0)κ2​(s,m,c0​), and for every J0J_0J0​ with ∣J0∣≤s|J_0|\le s∣J0​∣≤s and every δ\deltaδ satisfying (4.1)

1n∣P01Xδ∣2 ≥ κ2(s,m,c0) ∣δJ01∣2.\frac1{\sqrt n}|P_{01}X\delta|_2\ \ge\ \kappa_2(s,m,c_0)\,|\delta_{J_{01}}|_2 .n​1​∣P01​Xδ∣2​ ≥ κ2​(s,m,c0​)∣δJ01​​∣2​.

Assumption 2 involves no correlations, only extreme eigenvalues of small principal submatrices of Ψn\Psi_nΨn​.

Lemma 4.1 (i)

For 1≤s≤M/21\le s\le M/21≤s≤M/2 and c0>0c_0>0c0​>0, Assumption 1 ϕmin⁡(2s)>c0θs,2s\phi_{\min}(2s)>c_0\theta_{s,2s}ϕmin​(2s)>c0​θs,2s​ implies the same conclusions with m=sm=sm=s and constant κ1(s,c0)\kappa_1(s,c_0)κ1​(s,c0​).

Coherence-type conditions (Section 4)

For 1≤s≤M1\le s\le M1≤s≤M and c0>0c_0>0c0​>0, each of

ϕmin⁡(s)>2c0θs,1s,ϕmin⁡(s)>2c0θ1,1s,diag⁡Ψn=1 and θ1,1<1(1+2c0)s\phi_{\min}(s)>2c_0\theta_{s,1}\sqrt s,\qquad \phi_{\min}(s)>2c_0\theta_{1,1}s,\qquad \operatorname{diag}\Psi_n=1\ \text{and}\ \theta_{1,1}<\frac1{(1+2c_0)s}ϕmin​(s)>2c0​θs,1​s​,ϕmin​(s)>2c0​θ1,1​s,diagΨn​=1 and θ1,1​<(1+2c0​)s1​

(Assumptions 3, 4, 5) implies RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​), with the constants κ2=ϕmin⁡(s)−2c0θs,1s\kappa^2=\phi_{\min}(s)-2c_0\theta_{s,1}\sqrt sκ2=ϕmin​(s)−2c0​θs,1​s​, ϕmin⁡(s)−2c0θ1,1s\phi_{\min}(s)-2c_0\theta_{1,1}sϕmin​(s)−2c0​θ1,1​s and 1−(1+2c0)θ1,1s1-(1+2c_0)\theta_{1,1}s1−(1+2c0​)θ1,1​s respectively.

The milestones are the steps of the proof in Appendix A — the projection inequality (A.1), the block bound (A.2), the shelling bound (A.3), the Candès–Tao correlation bound used for part (i) — followed by part (i) and the three coherence-type implications.

Significance

RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​) with c0=3c_0=3c0​=3 and c0=1c_0=1c0​=1 is the hypothesis of the paper's prediction and ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ bounds for the Lasso and the Dantzig selector (Theorems 5.1, 6.1, 7.1, 7.2), and RE(s,m,c0)(s,m,c_0)(s,m,c0​) is the hypothesis of its ℓp\ell_pℓp​ bounds. Assumptions 1–5 are stated through quantities that are standard in compressed sensing and random matrix theory, so known bounds for ϕmin⁡\phi_{\min}ϕmin​, ϕmax⁡\phi_{\max}ϕmax​ and θ\thetaθ of random designs transfer, through this mission's theorems, to every result stated under RE. Lemma 4.1 also shows that RE is weaker than the Candès–Tao condition used for the Dantzig selector.

The results are proved in the paper; parts of Lemma 4.1's proof (the correlation bound for part (i)) are cited from Candès and Tao without proof. None of these results is formalized: the platform has pairwise-incoherence and restricted-nullspace statements from Wainwright's textbook (a different conclusion and normalization) and restricted isometry definitions, but neither restricted eigenvalues ϕmin⁡(u),ϕmax⁡(u)\phi_{\min}(u),\phi_{\max}(u)ϕmin​(u),ϕmax​(u), restricted correlations θm1,m2\theta_{m_1,m_2}θm1​,m2​​, nor the RE condition in this form.

Difficulty

The naive attempt to bound ∣Xδ∣2|X\delta|_2∣Xδ∣2​ from below splits δ=δJ0+δJ0c\delta=\delta_{J_0}+\delta_{J_0^c}δ=δJ0​​+δJ0c​​ and applies an eigenvalue bound to each part. This fails: δJ0c\delta_{J_0^c}δJ0c​​ can have up to M−sM-sM−s non-zero coordinates, and no condition on sss- or 2s2s2s-sparse submatrices controls ∣XδJ0c∣2|X\delta_{J_0^c}|_2∣XδJ0c​​∣2​ directly. The cone condition bounds only the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ norm of δJ0c\delta_{J_0^c}δJ0c​​, while eigenvalue conditions speak about ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norms of sparse vectors; bridging the two with the right constant s/m\sqrt{s/m}s/m​, and keeping track of how the leading block J01J_{01}J01​ interacts with the rest through the projector P01P_{01}P01​, is where the work lies. For part (i), the interaction between disjoint sparse blocks has to be controlled by θs,2s\theta_{s,2s}θs,2s​ rather than by ϕmax⁡\phi_{\max}ϕmax​.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. XXX is Matrix (Fin n) (Fin M) ℝ; vectors are Fin M → ℝ and Fin n → ℝ; ∣Xδ∣2=(∑i(Xδ)i2)1/2|X\delta|_2=(\sum_i (X\delta)_i^2)^{1/2}∣Xδ∣2​=(∑i​(Xδ)i2​)1/2. The projector P01P_{01}P01​ is Mathlib's orthogonal projection on EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) onto the span of the columns indexed by J01J_{01}J01​.
  • RE through a witness. RE X s c0 κ asserts the RE inequality with constant κ\kappaκ for all admissible J0J_0J0​ and δ\deltaδ. The paper's κ(s,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)κ(s,c0​) is the largest such κ\kappaκ (the minimum is attained), so "RE holds with κ(s,c0)≥κ2\kappa(s,c_0)\ge\kappa_2κ(s,c0​)≥κ2​" is exactly "κ2>0\kappa_2>0κ2​>0 is a witness". This avoids a real infimum over an empty set when J0=∅J_0=\emptysetJ0​=∅.
  • Ties. Every admissible choice of J1J_1J1​ (the mmm largest ∣δj∣|\delta_j|∣δj​∣ outside J0J_0J0​) is quantified over.
  • Restricted eigenvalues and correlations are sInf/sSup over nonempty bounded sets (a basis vector for ϕ\phiϕ; two disjoint singletons for θ\thetaθ, since M≥2M\ge2M≥2), so they equal the paper's attained min/max. uuu, sss, mmm are natural numbers; s≤M/2s\le M/2s≤M/2 is written 2s≤M2s\le M2s≤M.
  • Corrections of the printed statement. (1) Lemma 4.1 says the RE assumptions "hold with κ(s,c0)=κ(s,m,c0)=κ2(s,m,c0)\kappa(s,c_0)=\kappa(s,m,c_0)=\kappa_2(s,m,c_0)κ(s,c0​)=κ(s,m,c0​)=κ2​(s,m,c0​)" (and likewise with κ1\kappa_1κ1​); the proof gives only the lower bound, and the lower bound is what is stated. (2) The paper calls P01P_{01}P01​ "the projector in RM\mathbb R^MRM"; it acts on Rn\mathbb R^nRn. (3) The Section 4 claims "Assumption 3/4/5 implies RE(s,c0)(s,c_0)(s,c0​)" are stated with the explicit constant produced by the displayed argument, a labelled strengthening. (4) The Candès–Tao bound is stated with the hypotheses the proof uses: the blocks are disjoint, of sizes at most sss and 2s2s2s, and ϕmin⁡(2s)>0\phi_{\min}(2s)>0ϕmin​(2s)>0.
  • Ruling out trivializations. RE quantifies over all J0J_0J0​ with ∣J0∣≤s|J_0|\le s∣J0​∣≤s and all non-zero δ\deltaδ in the cone, and bounds the full ∣Xδ∣2|X\delta|_2∣Xδ∣2​, not ∣XδJ0∣2|X\delta_{J_0}|_2∣XδJ0​​∣2​; no hypothesis restricts XXX beyond the stated assumptions. The hypotheses are satisfiable: for n=M=4n=M=4n=M=4, X=2IX=2IX=2I (so Ψn=I\Psi_n=IΨn​=I), s=1s=1s=1, m=2m=2m=2, c0=1c_0=1c0​=1, Assumption 2 reads 2>12>12>1.
  • Infrastructure. A sparse-vector library (restriction, support, sorting coordinates into blocks) and facts about orthogonal projections onto column spans are needed; both are reusable for the other missions of this series and for compressed-sensing results. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative arguments, are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. J. Bickel, Y. Ritov, A. B. Tsybakov, Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector, Ann. Statist. 37(4), 1705–1732, 2009. arXiv:0801.1095v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/0801.1095
  • E. Candès, T. Tao, The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n, Ann. Statist. 35(6), 2313–2351, 2007. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0506081
  • N. Meinshausen, B. Yu, Lasso-type recovery of sparse representations for high-dimensional data, Ann. Statist. 37(1), 246–270, 2009. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0605584
  • F. Bunea, A. B. Tsybakov, M. H. Wegkamp, Sparsity oracle inequalities for the Lasso, Electron. J. Statist. 1, 169–194, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1214/07-EJS008
  • D. L. Donoho, M. Elad, V. N. Temlyakov, Stable recovery of sparse overcomplete representations in the presence of noise, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 52(1), 6–18, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.2005.860430
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Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 4: Logarithmic Regret of Exponentially Weighted Online OptimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

In online convex optimization a player repeatedly chooses a point xtx_txt​ from a convex set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn, after which an adversary reveals a convex cost function ftf_tft​ and the player pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). The player's regret after TTT rounds is its total cost minus the cost of the best fixed point in hindsight. The model covers online portfolio selection, online regression and prediction with expert advice, and it underlies the analysis of stochastic and adaptive optimization methods (Zinkevich 2003; Cesa-Bianchi and Lugosi 2006).

For general convex costs the best achievable regret is of order T\sqrt{T}T​. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69, 2007) showed that a curvature condition, α\alphaα-exp-concavity, brings the regret down to order log⁡T\log TlogT, and gave several algorithms that achieve it. This mission concerns the simplest of them, Exponentially Weighted Online Optimization (EWOO), which needs nothing beyond exp-concavity: no bound on gradients and no bound on the diameter of PPP.

Timeline.

  • 1991: Cover's universal portfolio algorithm attains regret O(nlog⁡T)O(n \log T)O(nlogT) for online portfolio selection, whose log-loss is 111-exp-concave (Cover 1991).
  • 1997: Blum and Kalai give a short analysis of the universal portfolio with transaction costs, using a shrinking argument around the best portfolio (Blum and Kalai 1997/1999).
  • 2003: Kalai and Vempala give a polynomial-time randomized implementation of Cover's algorithm via random walks (JMLR 3, 2003).
  • 2007: Hazan, Agarwal and Kale state EWOO for general α\alphaα-exp-concave costs and prove the regret bound of Theorem 7, alongside the Online Newton Step and Follow the Approximate Leader.

Setting

Fix n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 and a set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn that is nonempty, closed, bounded and convex, with positive Lebesgue volume vol(P)\mathrm{vol}(P)vol(P). Fix α>0\alpha > 0α>0. The cost functions are f1,f2,⋯:Rn→Rf_1, f_2, \dots : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}f1​,f2​,⋯:Rn→R, each continuous on PPP and α\alphaα-exp-concave on PPP: the function ht(x)=e−αft(x)h_t(x) = e^{-\alpha f_t(x)}ht​(x)=e−αft​(x) is concave on PPP (LogRegretOCO.EWOO.IsExpConcave).

EWOO keeps the weights

wt(x)=exp⁡(−α∑τ=1t−1fτ(x))=∏τ=1t−1hτ(x),w_t(x) = \exp\Bigl(-\alpha \sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1} f_\tau(x)\Bigr) = \prod_{\tau=1}^{t-1} h_\tau(x),wt​(x)=exp(−ατ=1∑t−1​fτ​(x))=τ=1∏t−1​hτ​(x),

and on round ttt plays the wtw_twt​-weighted mean of PPP,

xt=∫Px wt(x) dx∫Pwt(x) dxx_t = \frac{\int_P x\, w_t(x)\, dx}{\int_P w_t(x)\, dx}xt​=∫P​wt​(x)dx∫P​xwt​(x)dx​

(LogRegretOCO.EWOO.ewooPoint). In particular x1x_1x1​ is the centroid of PPP, and each xtx_txt​ depends only on f1,…,ft−1f_1, \dots, f_{t-1}f1​,…,ft−1​. The regret against a comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7

For every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and every u∈Pu \in Pu∈P,

∑t=1Tft(xt)−∑t=1Tft(u)  ≤  1α n (1+log⁡(T+1)).\sum_{t=1}^{T} f_t(x_t) - \sum_{t=1}^{T} f_t(u) \;\le\; \frac{1}{\alpha}\, n\, \bigl(1 + \log(T+1)\bigr).t=1∑T​ft​(xt​)−t=1∑T​ft​(u)≤α1​n(1+log(T+1)).

This is the paper's printed constant. The paper's proof yields the slightly sharper 1α(1+nlog⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}\bigl(1 + n\log(T+1)\bigr)α1​(1+nlog(T+1)); the printed form is the goal.

Milestones

The proof in §3.4 (p. 187) passes through five displays, each a milestone:

  1. Jensen for the weighted mean (first display on p. 187): ht(xt)≥∫Pht wt /∫Pwth_t(x_t) \ge \int_P h_t\, w_t \,/ \int_P w_tht​(xt​)≥∫P​ht​wt​/∫P​wt​.
  2. Eq. (18): ∏τ=1thτ(xτ)≥∫P∏τ=1thτ / vol(P)\prod_{\tau=1}^t h_\tau(x_\tau) \ge \int_P \prod_{\tau=1}^t h_\tau \,/\, \mathrm{vol}(P)∏τ=1t​hτ​(xτ​)≥∫P​∏τ=1t​hτ​/vol(P).
  3. The nearby set S={TT+1x∗+1T+1y:y∈P}S = \{\frac{T}{T+1}x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}y : y \in P\}S={T+1T​x∗+T+11​y:y∈P}: for x∈Sx \in Sx∈S, ht(x)≥TT+1ht(x∗)h_t(x) \ge \frac{T}{T+1}h_t(x^*)ht​(x)≥T+1T​ht​(x∗) and ∏τ=1Thτ(x)≥1e∏τ=1Thτ(x∗)\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x) \ge \frac1e \prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x^*)∏τ=1T​hτ​(x)≥e1​∏τ=1T​hτ​(x∗).
  4. Volume of SSS: vol(S)=vol(P)/(T+1)n\mathrm{vol}(S) = \mathrm{vol}(P)/(T+1)^nvol(S)=vol(P)/(T+1)n.
  5. Multiplicative regret bound (last display on p. 187): ∏τ=1Thτ(xτ)≥1e(T+1)n∏τ=1Thτ(x∗)\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x_\tau) \ge \frac{1}{e(T+1)^n}\prod_{\tau=1}^T h_\tau(x^*)∏τ=1T​hτ​(xτ​)≥e(T+1)n1​∏τ=1T​hτ​(x∗).

Significance

The result. Theorem 7 shows that exp-concavity alone suffices for logarithmic regret, with a constant n/αn/\alphan/α that does not depend on the size of PPP or on the gradients of the costs. Specialised to the log-loss ft(x)=−log⁡(rt⊤x)f_t(x) = -\log(r_t^\top x)ft​(x)=−log(rt⊤​x) on the simplex, where α=1\alpha = 1α=1, it recovers the O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret of Cover's universal portfolio. The bound is the benchmark against which the computationally cheaper second-order methods of the same paper (Online Newton Step, Follow the Approximate Leader) are compared: those need a gradient bound GGG and diameter DDD and pay a factor (1/α+GD)(1/\alpha + GD)(1/α+GD).

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper, and a textbook version with a different constant, (n/α)log⁡T+2/α(n/\alpha)\log T + 2/\alpha(n/α)logT+2/α, appears in Hazan's Introduction to Online Convex Optimization (Theorem 4.4). No machine-checked proof of either is known. The work here is to formalize the paper's proof: Jensen's inequality for a weighted Lebesgue average in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, the change of volume under homothety, and the elementary inequality (1+1/T)T≤e(1 + 1/T)^T \le e(1+1/T)T≤e. A companion draft of the textbook version exists on the platform as a private item (OnlineConvexOpt.SecondOrder.ewoo_regret) with another constant; it is not reused.

Difficulty

The pieces are classical, but they have to be assembled in measure-theoretic form. The point xtx_txt​ is a Bochner integral of a vector-valued function over PPP, and its membership in PPP and the Jensen inequality both require the normalised weight wt dx/∫Pwtw_t\,dx/\int_P w_twt​dx/∫P​wt​ to be a genuine probability measure on PPP, with every integrand integrable. The obvious one-dimensional intuition — "the weighted mean of a convex set lies in the set" — hides the requirement that PPP be closed and have positive volume.

The second obstacle is that Eq. (18) compares the algorithm with an average of the product ∏hτ\prod h_\tau∏hτ​ over all of PPP, while the regret compares it with a single point. The natural attempt, bounding the average below by the value at the comparator, fails: the average can be far smaller than the maximum, and a lower bound that loses more than a factor polynomial in TTT destroys the logarithmic rate. Controlling this loss in nnn dimensions, with a constant independent of the shape and size of PPP, is the heart of the argument.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with its Lebesgue (Haar) measure volume. Rounds are numbered from 111: the weights sum over Finset.Ico 1 t, the regret over Finset.Icc 1 T. Cost functions are defined on all of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn; only their values on PPP enter. The algorithm is the total function ewooPoint P α f t, and the goal is stated for xtx_txt​ equal to it — not for an arbitrary sequence satisfying a Jensen-type inequality.

Conventions and corrections relative to the printed text:

  • Regret against every comparator. The regret is stated as ∑t(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤\sum_t (f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)) \le∑t​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤ bound for every u∈Pu \in Pu∈P, never through a real-valued ⨅ or sInf over PPP, which in Lean would return a junk value off its intended domain and trivialize the statement.
  • Positive volume volume P ≠ 0 is added: the algorithm divides by ∫Pwt\int_P w_t∫P​wt​, which the paper leaves implicit. Without it Lean's convention 0−1=00^{-1} = 00−1=0 would set xt=0x_t = 0xt​=0.
  • Continuity of each ftf_tft​ on PPP is the paper's standing assumption (§2.2: costs twice differentiable and convex) weakened to what the argument uses; it makes every integral in the development an integral of an integrable function.
  • Typos. Theorem 7's "ft:P→Rnf_t : P \to \mathbb{R}^nft​:P→Rn" is read as real-valued, and its "exp⁡(−αf(x))\exp(-\alpha f(x))exp(−αf(x))" as exp⁡(−αft(x))\exp(-\alpha f_t(x))exp(−αft​(x)). The set-builder "S={x∈S∣… }S = \{x \in S \mid \dots\}S={x∈S∣…}" defines SSS in terms of itself and is read as the set of all TT+1x∗+1T+1y\frac{T}{T+1}x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}yT+1T​x∗+T+11​y, y∈Py \in Py∈P; the printed "S=x∗+1T+1PS = x^* + \frac{1}{T+1}PS=x∗+T+11​P" is a translate of that set with the same volume.
  • Comparator. The paper's x∗x^*x∗ is a minimizer of ∑tft\sum_t f_t∑t​ft​; milestones 3 and 5 are stated for every x∗∈Px^* \in Px∗∈P, which implies the minimizer case.
  • Constant. The printed 1αn(1+log⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}n(1+\log(T+1))α1​n(1+log(T+1)) is stated, although the proof gives the sharper 1α(1+nlog⁡(T+1))\frac{1}{\alpha}(1 + n\log(T+1))α1​(1+nlog(T+1)).
  • Not in scope. The randomized variant (sampling xtx_txt​ with density proportional to wtw_twt​, "in expectation") and the running-time discussion of §3.4.1 have no separate proof in the paper.

Infrastructure that a complete development needs, and that is reusable beyond this mission: Jensen's inequality for concave functions under a probability measure with a continuous density on a compact convex set (Mathlib has ConcaveOn.le_map_integral and Convex.integral_mem); the scaling identity for Haar measure (MeasureTheory.Measure.addHaar_smul); and the elementary bound (T/(T+1))T≥1/e(T/(T+1))^T \ge 1/e(T/(T+1))T≥1/e. Proofs of any milestone, and a general weighted-Jensen lemma usable across the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • A. Blum, A. Kalai, Universal portfolios with and without transaction costs, Machine Learning 35 (1999), 193–205 (COLT 1997). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007530728748
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for universal portfolios, Journal of Machine Learning Research 3 (2003), 423–440. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v3/kalai02a.html
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, 2nd ed., MIT Press 2022; arXiv:1909.05207, Theorem 4.4. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 3: Logarithmic Regret of Follow the Approximate LeaderResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization models repeated decision making against an adversary: in each round a player chooses a point of a convex set, and only then learns the convex cost of that round. It covers online portfolio selection, online regression and routing, and it is the standard lens for analysing learning algorithms that must commit before seeing data. The figure of merit is regret, the player's total cost minus the cost of the best fixed decision in hindsight. For general convex costs regret Θ(T)\Theta(\sqrt T)Θ(T​) over TTT rounds is optimal; for costs with curvature it can be logarithmic.

Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69 (2007) 169–192) gave several algorithms with O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) regret for α\alphaα-exp-concave costs, the class that contains the log-loss of portfolio selection. This mission formalizes one of them, Follow the Approximate Leader (FTAL). It connects to the oldest online algorithm, Follow the Leader (FTL), which plays the minimiser of all past costs: FTAL is FTL run on quadratic lower models of the costs, and the paper's analysis shows that FTL itself has logarithmic regret on a class of curved costs.

Timeline. Zinkevich (2003) proved O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret for online gradient descent on convex costs. Cover (1991) gave a universal portfolio with logarithmic regret for the log-loss, at a running time exponential in the dimension. Kalai and Vempala (2005) analysed perturbed Follow the Leader through the "be the leader" argument. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (2007) gave efficient algorithms (Online Newton Step, FTAL, EWOO) with O(nlog⁡T)O(n \log T)O(nlogT) regret for exp-concave costs.

Setting

The decision set P⊆RnP \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nP⊆Rn is nonempty, convex, closed and bounded, and DDD bounds its diameter: ∥y−z∥2≤D\|y - z\|_2 \le D∥y−z∥2​≤D for y,z∈Py, z \in Py,z∈P. In rounds t=1,2,…t = 1, 2, \dotst=1,2,… the player picks xt∈Px_t \in Pxt​∈P and then pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​), where ftf_tft​ is a cost function differentiable at the points of PPP with gradient norm ∥∇ft(x)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\| \le G∥∇ft​(x)∥≤G on PPP. The cost ftf_tft​ is α\alphaα-exp-concave (α>0\alpha > 0α>0) if x↦exp⁡(−αft(x))x \mapsto \exp(-\alpha f_t(x))x↦exp(−αft​(x)) is concave on PPP. The regret over TTT rounds against a comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)).

Follow the Leader plays xt∈arg⁡min⁡x∈P∑τ=1t−1fτ(x)x_t \in \arg\min_{x \in P} \sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1} f_\tau(x)xt​∈argminx∈P​∑τ=1t−1​fτ​(x) (any point of PPP in round 1). Follow the Approximate Leader (version 1 of the paper's Fig. 3) with parameter β\betaβ plays FTL on the approximate costs

f~τ(x)=fτ(xτ)+∇τ⊤(x−xτ)+β2(x−xτ)⊤∇τ∇τ⊤(x−xτ),∇τ=∇fτ(xτ).\tilde f_\tau(x) = f_\tau(x_\tau) + \nabla_\tau^\top(x - x_\tau) + \frac{\beta}{2}(x - x_\tau)^\top \nabla_\tau\nabla_\tau^\top (x - x_\tau), \qquad \nabla_\tau = \nabla f_\tau(x_\tau).f~​τ​(x)=fτ​(xτ​)+∇τ⊤​(x−xτ​)+2β​(x−xτ​)⊤∇τ​∇τ⊤​(x−xτ​),∇τ​=∇fτ​(xτ​).

In the Lean development these are IsFTLRun P f x and IsFTALRun P β f x, predicates on a whole trajectory xxx.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6

With β=12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}\beta = \tfrac12 \min\{1/(4GD), \alpha\}β=21​min{1/(4GD),α}, every FTAL run on α\alphaα-exp-concave costs satisfies, for every T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and u∈Pu \in Pu∈P,

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤64(1α+GD)n (log⁡T+1).\sum_{t=1}^T \bigl(f_t(x_t) - f_t(u)\bigr) \le 64\left(\frac1\alpha + GD\right) n\,(\log T + 1).t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤64(α1​+GD)n(logT+1).

This is the paper's statement with its constant, stated for the algorithm as defined, and for every adversarial sequence of costs.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3: an α\alphaα-exp-concave cost with gradients bounded by GGG lies above the paraboloid f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+β2(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2f(y) + \nabla f(y)^\top(x-y) + \frac\beta2 (\nabla f(y)^\top (x - y))^2f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+2β​(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2 on PPP.
  2. Lemma 9: regret on lower surrogates that touch the costs at the played points dominates the true regret.
  3. Lemma 10: ∑tft(xt+1)≤∑tft(u)\sum_t f_t(x_{t+1}) \le \sum_t f_t(u)∑t​ft​(xt+1​)≤∑t​ft​(u) for an FTL run ("be the leader").
  4. Lemma 12: A−1∙(A−B)≤log⁡(∣A∣/∣B∣)A^{-1} \bullet (A - B) \le \log(|A|/|B|)A−1∙(A−B)≤log(∣A∣/∣B∣) for A⪰B≻0A \succeq B \succ 0A⪰B≻0.
  5. Lemma 11: ∑t=1Tut⊤Vt−1ut≤nlog⁡(r2T/ε+1)\sum_{t=1}^T u_t^\top V_t^{-1} u_t \le n\log(r^2T/\varepsilon + 1)∑t=1T​ut⊤​Vt−1​ut​≤nlog(r2T/ε+1) with Vt=∑τ≤tuτuτ⊤+εIV_t = \sum_{\tau \le t} u_\tau u_\tau^\top + \varepsilon IVt​=∑τ≤t​uτ​uτ⊤​+εI.
  6. Theorem 5 (corrected constant): FTL on costs gt(vt⊤x)g_t(v_t^\top x)gt​(vt⊤​x) with ∥vt∥≤R\|v_t\| \le R∥vt​∥≤R, ∣gt′∣≤b|g_t'| \le b∣gt′​∣≤b, gt′′≥ag_t'' \ge agt′′​≥a has regret at most nb2alog⁡(a2D2R2T2b2+1)+b2a\frac{nb^2}{a}\log\bigl(\frac{a^2D^2R^2T^2}{b^2} + 1\bigr) + \frac{b^2}{a}anb2​log(b2a2D2R2T2​+1)+ab2​.

Significance

Theorem 6 shows that a simple rule, re-solving a convex quadratic program over all past linearized costs, achieves O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret on exp-concave costs, matching the Online Newton Step up to constants. Theorem 5 is of independent interest: it shows that unmodified Follow the Leader, which has linear regret on linear costs, has logarithmic regret whenever each cost is a strongly curved function of one linear form. Portfolio selection is such a case. The appendix lemmas (log-determinant potential, elliptical potential) are standard tools reused throughout the bandit and online-learning literature.

On formalization: the results are proved on paper; none is formalized. The Lean development provides a reusable encoding of Follow the Leader as a trajectory predicate, the "be the leader" reduction, the surrogate reduction for regret, and the matrix potential inequalities, which the Online Newton Step analysis also needs. The paper's printed statements of Theorem 5 and Lemma 10 contain errors (see below); this mission states corrected versions that suffice for the goal.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, bounding each term ft(xt)−ft(xt+1)f_t(x_t) - f_t(x_{t+1})ft​(xt​)−ft​(xt+1​) by how far the leader moves, requires knowing how far the minimiser of a constrained problem moves when one cost is added. For unconstrained strongly convex quadratics this is an explicit Newton step, but here the minimiser lies in a general convex set and each cost contributes curvature in only one direction, so the accumulated curvature can be singular for many rounds and no per-round strong convexity is available. Turning the per-round movement into a sum that grows only like log⁡T\log TlogT, with the paper's explicit constant, is the core of the work; the printed Theorem 5 bound is negative for small TTT, so the constants must be tracked exactly rather than asymptotically.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) so that ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ is the Euclidean norm; cost functions are functions on all of Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, differentiable at the points of PPP, with Mathlib's gradient. Rounds are 111-based; x0x_0x0​ and f0f_0f0​ are unused. DDD is any upper bound on pairwise distances in PPP. Exp-concavity is ConcaveOn ℝ P (fun x => Real.exp (-α * f t x)). Algorithms are predicates on the trajectory, required at every round, so every tie-breaking rule is covered and adaptive adversaries are included.

Regret is always stated against every comparator u∈Pu \in Pu∈P. A formalization with a real-valued ⨅/sInf over PPP, or one that bounds the regret of an arbitrary sequence of points rather than of an FTAL run with the paper's β\betaβ, would be trivial or false, and is excluded: the goal carries IsFTALRun with β=12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}\beta = \frac12\min\{1/(4GD),\alpha\}β=21​min{1/(4GD),α}.

Corrections and conventions relative to the printed paper:

  • Theorem 5: the printed bound 2nb2a[log⁡(DRaT/b)+1]\frac{2nb^2}{a}[\log(DRaT/b) + 1]a2nb2​[log(DRaT/b)+1] is false when DRaT/b<1/eDRaT/b < 1/eDRaT/b<1/e. The milestone states the bound the paper's proof gives, nb2alog⁡(a2D2R2T2b2+1)+b2a\frac{nb^2}{a}\log(\frac{a^2D^2R^2T^2}{b^2} + 1) + \frac{b^2}{a}anb2​log(b2a2D2R2T2​+1)+ab2​, which implies the printed one when DRaT≥bDRaT \ge bDRaT≥b. Derivatives are deriv with explicit differentiability at the points vt⊤xv_t^\top xvt⊤​x, x∈Px \in Px∈P.
  • Lemma 10: printed with xt=arg⁡min⁡∑τ=1tfτx_t = \arg\min \sum_{\tau=1}^{t} f_\tauxt​=argmin∑τ=1t​fτ​, under which it is false at T=1T = 1T=1; the proof and its use require the FTL index ∑τ=1t−1\sum_{\tau=1}^{t-1}∑τ=1t−1​, which is stated.
  • Lemma 11: the typo ∑τutut⊤\sum_\tau u_t u_t^\top∑τ​ut​ut⊤​ is read as ∑τuτuτ⊤\sum_\tau u_\tau u_\tau^\top∑τ​uτ​uτ⊤​, and ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 is stated.
  • Lemma 3: β>0\beta > 0β>0 is added (the proof divides by β\betaβ), and G,D>0G, D > 0G,D>0 so that 1/(4GD)1/(4GD)1/(4GD) is meaningful.
  • Theorem 6: "ft:P→Rnf_t : P \to \mathbb{R}^nft​:P→Rn" is read as R\mathbb{R}R-valued; only first-order differentiability is assumed; G,D>0G, D > 0G,D>0. The theorem is true as printed, although the paper's route through the printed Theorem 5 is invalid for T<16T < 16T<16.
  • Only version 1 of FTAL is formalized; Lemma 4 (equivalence with the pseudoinverse form) is out of scope.

Needed infrastructure: first-order optimality for convex minimisation over a convex set, a mean-value theorem along segments, determinants and eigenvalues of symmetric positive definite matrices (Mathlib has most of this), and the matrix inequality ∣A∣≤(tr⁡A/n)n|A| \le (\operatorname{tr} A/n)^n∣A∣≤(trA/n)n. Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, and a proof of the goal from the milestones.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • A. Kalai, S. Vempala, Efficient algorithms for online decision problems, J. Comput. System Sci. 71 (2005), 291–307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcss.2004.10.016
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization 2 (2016). https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Convex OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Logarithmic Regret Algorithms for Online Convex Optimization 2: Logarithmic Regret of the Online Newton StepResearch Paper

Motivation

Online convex optimization models repeated decision making against an unknown, possibly adversarial environment: in each round t=1,…,Tt=1,\dots,Tt=1,…,T a player picks a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn, and only then learns a convex cost function ftf_tft​ and pays ft(xt)f_t(x_t)ft​(xt​). Performance is measured by regret, the excess of the total cost over that of the best fixed point in hindsight. Zinkevich (ICML 2003) showed that online gradient descent has regret O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) for arbitrary convex costs with bounded gradients, and this rate cannot be improved in general.

Many costs met in practice have more curvature than bare convexity. The log-loss f(x)=−log⁡(x⊤a)f(x)=-\log(x^\top a)f(x)=−log(x⊤a) of universal portfolio management (Cover, Math. Finance 1991) is not strongly convex, but it is exp-concave. Hazan, Agarwal and Kale (Mach Learn 69, 2007) gave the first efficient algorithms with regret logarithmic in TTT for exp-concave costs. This mission formalizes the second of their algorithms, the Online Newton Step (ONS), and its regret bound (Theorem 2 of the paper). ONS is the basis of later second-order online methods and appears as a standard algorithm in textbooks on online learning.

Timeline:

  • 2003 — Zinkevich: O(T)O(\sqrt T)O(T​) regret for general convex costs by online gradient descent.
  • 2006–2007 — Hazan, Agarwal, Kale (COLT 2006; Mach Learn 2007): O(log⁡T)O(\log T)O(logT) regret for strongly convex costs by gradient descent, and O(nlog⁡T)O(n\log T)O(nlogT) regret for exp-concave costs by ONS, Follow the Approximate Leader, and exponentially weighted online optimization.
  • 2016 — Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization (Found. Trends Optim., arXiv:1909.05207): textbook treatment of ONS with modified parameters.

Setting

The decision set P⊆Rn\mathcal P\subseteq\mathbb R^nP⊆Rn is nonempty, closed, bounded and convex, and DDD bounds its diameter: ∥x−y∥≤D\|x-y\|\le D∥x−y∥≤D for all x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P, with the Euclidean norm. The costs f1,f2,…f_1,f_2,\dotsf1​,f2​,… are real functions, differentiable at every point of P\mathcal PP, with gradient bound ∥∇ft(x)∥≤G\|\nabla f_t(x)\|\le G∥∇ft​(x)∥≤G on P\mathcal PP. A cost is α\alphaα-exp-concave (α>0\alpha>0α>0) if x↦exp⁡(−αft(x))x\mapsto\exp(-\alpha f_t(x))x↦exp(−αft​(x)) is concave on P\mathcal PP.

For a matrix AAA, the generalized projection ΠPA(y)\Pi^A_{\mathcal P}(y)ΠPA​(y) is a point of P\mathcal PP minimising (y−x)⊤A(y−x)(y-x)^\top A(y-x)(y−x)⊤A(y−x) over x∈Px\in\mathcal Px∈P.

The Online Newton Step fixes

β=12min⁡{14GD,α},ε=1β2D2,\beta=\tfrac12\min\Big\{\frac1{4GD},\alpha\Big\},\qquad \varepsilon=\frac1{\beta^2D^2},β=21​min{4GD1​,α},ε=β2D21​,

writes ∇t=∇ft(xt)\nabla_t=\nabla f_t(x_t)∇t​=∇ft​(xt​) and At=∑i=1t∇i∇i⊤+εInA_t=\sum_{i=1}^t\nabla_i\nabla_i^\top+\varepsilon I_nAt​=∑i=1t​∇i​∇i⊤​+εIn​, plays an arbitrary x1∈Px_1\in\mathcal Px1​∈P, and then

xt+1=ΠPAt(xt−1βAt−1∇t).x_{t+1}=\Pi^{A_t}_{\mathcal P}\Big(x_t-\frac1\beta A_t^{-1}\nabla_t\Big).xt+1​=ΠPAt​​(xt​−β1​At−1​∇t​).

The regret after TTT rounds against a comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P is ∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)∑t=1T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u)); the paper's regret is its maximum over u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P.

In Lean the objects are LogRegretOCO.ONS.onsBeta, onsEps, onsMatrix, IsGenProj and IsONSRun, with the regularised Gram matrix regGram and the quadratic form quadForm.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 with nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4

For every run of ONS, every horizon TTT with nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge 4nlogT≥4, and every u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P,

∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤5(1α+GD) nlog⁡T.\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)\le 5\Big(\frac1\alpha+GD\Big)\,n\log T.t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤5(α1​+GD)nlogT.

The added condition nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4 is what makes the printed constant correct (see Formalization scope).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 3 (p. 177): for 0<β≤12min⁡{1/(4GD),α}0<\beta\le\frac12\min\{1/(4GD),\alpha\}0<β≤21​min{1/(4GD),α} and x,y∈Px,y\in\mathcal Px,y∈P,
f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+β2(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2.f(x)\ge f(y)+\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)+\tfrac\beta2\big(\nabla f(y)^\top(x-y)\big)^2 .f(x)≥f(y)+∇f(y)⊤(x−y)+2β​(∇f(y)⊤(x−y))2.
  1. Lemma 8 (p. 188): for convex P\mathcal PP, A⪰0A\succeq0A⪰0, z=ΠPA(y)z=\Pi^A_{\mathcal P}(y)z=ΠPA​(y) and a∈Pa\in\mathcal Pa∈P: (y−a)⊤A(y−a)≥(z−a)⊤A(z−a)(y-a)^\top A(y-a)\ge(z-a)^\top A(z-a)(y−a)⊤A(y−a)≥(z−a)⊤A(z−a).
  2. The display on p. 178: for every run of ONS and u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P,
∑t=1T(ft(xt)−ft(u))≤12β∑t=1T∇t⊤At−1∇t+12β.\sum_{t=1}^T\big(f_t(x_t)-f_t(u)\big)\le\frac1{2\beta}\sum_{t=1}^T\nabla_t^\top A_t^{-1}\nabla_t+\frac1{2\beta}.t=1∑T​(ft​(xt​)−ft​(u))≤2β1​t=1∑T​∇t⊤​At−1​∇t​+2β1​.
  1. Lemma 12 (p. 191): for A⪰B≻0A\succeq B\succ0A⪰B≻0, A−1∙(A−B)≤log⁡(∣A∣/∣B∣)A^{-1}\bullet(A-B)\le\log(|A|/|B|)A−1∙(A−B)≤log(∣A∣/∣B∣).
  2. Lemma 11 (p. 190): if ∥ut∥≤r\|u_t\|\le r∥ut​∥≤r, ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and Vt=∑τ≤tuτuτ⊤+εInV_t=\sum_{\tau\le t}u_\tau u_\tau^\top+\varepsilon I_nVt​=∑τ≤t​uτ​uτ⊤​+εIn​, then ∑t=1Tut⊤Vt−1ut≤nlog⁡(r2T/ε+1)\sum_{t=1}^Tu_t^\top V_t^{-1}u_t\le n\log(r^2T/\varepsilon+1)∑t=1T​ut⊤​Vt−1​ut​≤nlog(r2T/ε+1).

Significance

Theorem 2 shows that exp-concavity alone, without strong convexity, suffices for regret logarithmic in TTT, at a per-round cost of one rank-one matrix update and one generalized projection. Its consequences include logarithmic regret for universal portfolio selection with a polynomial-time algorithm, and, by online-to-batch conversion, fast rates for stochastic exp-concave optimization. Lemma 11 (the elliptical potential bound) is used well beyond this paper, in linear bandits and online regression.

The result has been proved on paper since 2007. The remaining work is its machine-checked proof: the potential argument, the log-determinant inequality and the generalized-projection inequality for positive semidefinite matrices. As far as is known, none of these results is formalized in Mathlib. Prove2Me holds a related elliptical potential lemma for linear bandits (BanditAlgorithm.elliptical_potential_lemma, with Vt−1V_{t-1}Vt−1​ and a min⁡(1,⋅)\min(1,\cdot)min(1,⋅), a different statement) and the Euclidean case A=IA=IA=I of Lemma 8 (UnderstandingML.projection_lemma). The textbook version of ONS (OnlineConvexOpt.SecondOrder.online_newton_step_regret, with γ=12min⁡{1/(GD),α}\gamma=\frac12\min\{1/(GD),\alpha\}γ=21​min{1/(GD),α} and bound 2(1/α+GD)nlog⁡T2(1/\alpha+GD)n\log T2(1/α+GD)nlogT) is an open private draft with different parameters.

Difficulty

The obvious route to logarithmic regret, the gradient-descent argument of Theorem 1 with step sizes 1/(Ht)1/(Ht)1/(Ht), needs a uniform lower bound H>0H>0H>0 on the Hessians. Exp-concave costs such as the log-loss have no such bound: their curvature vanishes in directions orthogonal to the gradients seen so far. The analysis therefore has to track curvature only along the observed gradient directions. This requires a matrix-valued potential ∑t∇t⊤At−1∇t\sum_t\nabla_t^\top A_t^{-1}\nabla_t∑t​∇t⊤​At−1​∇t​ and a projection in the norm of AtA_tAt​ rather than the Euclidean norm. The Euclidean projection inequality does not transfer to this norm, which changes from round to round. Bounding the potential requires determinant inequalities for positive definite matrices. The analytic facts are elementary, but their Lean statements involve the interaction of EuclideanSpace, Matrix.mulVec, Matrix.inv and Matrix.det.

Formalization scope

Points live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so all norms are Euclidean; matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ acting on coordinate vectors. Rounds are 1-based: sums run over Finset.Icc 1 T and the index 000 is unused. Cost functions are ambient functions Rn→R\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb RRn→R, differentiable at the points of P\mathcal PP, with ∇ft\nabla f_t∇ft​ given by Mathlib's gradient. The paper's standing assumptions of convexity and twice differentiability are not needed and are omitted. DDD enters only as an upper bound on distances in P\mathcal PP. The generalized projection is a predicate that every minimiser satisfies, and ONS is the predicate IsONSRun on the whole trajectory, so the goal covers every tie-break and every adaptive adversary.

Corrections and added hypotheses:

  • Theorem 2 is false as printed at T=1T=1T=1. Take n=1n=1n=1, P=[−1,1]\mathcal P=[-1,1]P=[−1,1], f1(x)=x2f_1(x)=x^2f1​(x)=x2, α=12\alpha=\frac12α=21​, G=D=2G=D=2G=D=2 and x1=1x_1=1x1​=1: the regret is 111 and the bound is 000. The paper's proof gives 4(1/α+GD)(nlog⁡T+1)4(1/\alpha+GD)(n\log T+1)4(1/α+GD)(nlogT+1) for T≥2T\ge2T≥2; the final sentence drops the additive 1/(2β)1/(2\beta)1/(2β) of the p. 178 display. The goal adds nlog⁡T≥4n\log T\ge4nlogT≥4, under which the printed constant 555 follows.
  • G,D,α>0G,D,\alpha>0G,D,α>0 are assumed wherever β\betaβ or ε\varepsilonε appear: they are the non-degeneracy the formulas presuppose (in Lean, 1/0=01/0=01/0=0).
  • Lemma 3 adds 0<β0<\beta0<β; the proof divides by β\betaβ.
  • Lemma 11 adds ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and reads the printed ∑τ=1tutut⊤\sum_{\tau=1}^tu_tu_t^\top∑τ=1t​ut​ut⊤​ as ∑τ=1tuτuτ⊤\sum_{\tau=1}^tu_\tau u_\tau^\top∑τ=1t​uτ​uτ⊤​.
  • Lemma 12's product ∙\bullet∙ is the entrywise inner product ∑i,jCijEij\sum_{i,j}C_{ij}E_{ij}∑i,j​Cij​Eij​, written out as a double sum.
  • The printed "ft:P→Rnf_t:\mathcal P\to\mathbb R^nft​:P→Rn" is read as ft:P→Rf_t:\mathcal P\to\mathbb Rft​:P→R, and "ΠSnAt\Pi^{A_t}_{S_n}ΠSn​At​​" on p. 177 as ΠPAt\Pi^{A_t}_{\mathcal P}ΠPAt​​.

Regret is stated against every comparator u∈Pu\in\mathcal Pu∈P, never as a real infimum ⨅ over P\mathcal PP, which is junk-valued in Lean on unbounded or empty sets. The goal is a statement about runs of the paper's algorithm with the paper's β\betaβ, ε\varepsilonε and AtA_tAt​. A bound for an arbitrary sequence satisfying the p. 178 display would be a milestone, not Theorem 2. The hypotheses are jointly satisfiable: the closed unit ball with ft(x)=∥x∥2/2f_t(x)=\|x\|^2/2ft​(x)=∥x∥2/2, α=1\alpha=1α=1, G=1G=1G=1, D=2D=2D=2 is a model.

A complete development needs: first-order conditions for concave functions on convex sets at boundary points; the optimality condition for minimising a convex quadratic over a convex set; spectral facts about symmetric positive definite matrices (square roots, eigenvalues, tr⁡\operatorname{tr}tr and det⁡\detdet); and the telescoping of log-determinants. Lemmas 8, 11 and 12 are reusable beyond this mission, in the sibling missions of this series (Follow the Approximate Leader) and in linear-bandit analyses. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 12 through concavity of log⁡det⁡\log\detlogdet.

Selected references

  • E. Hazan, A. Agarwal, S. Kale, Logarithmic regret algorithms for online convex optimization, Machine Learning 69 (2007), 169–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-007-5016-8
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041955
  • T. M. Cover, Universal portfolios, Mathematical Finance 1 (1991), 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.1991.tb00002.x
  • E. Hazan, Introduction to Online Convex Optimization, Foundations and Trends in Optimization 2 (2016); 2nd ed. arXiv:1909.05207. https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05207
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling: Bayesian Regret of TS-fixedResearch Paper

Motivation

A retailer who sells several products from shared, non-replenishable inventory over a finite season must set prices without knowing how demand responds to them. Every price posted is both a sale and an experiment. This is the network revenue management problem with demand learning, and it sits between two literatures: dynamic pricing with inventory, where demand is known and the fluid linear program of Gallego and van Ryzin (1997) is the standard benchmark, and multi-armed bandits, where learning is the whole problem but there are no resource constraints.

Ferreira, Simchi-Levi and Wang (Oper. Res. 2018) combine Thompson sampling with a linear-programming step: sample a demand model from the posterior, solve the fluid LP for that model, and randomize prices according to its solution. The same paper extends the scheme to continuous price sets, contextual pricing and bandits with knapsacks.

Timeline of the relevant results:

  • 1997: Gallego and van Ryzin introduce the fluid LP upper bound for network revenue management with known demand.
  • 2012: Besbes and Zeevi give a non-Bayesian network pricing algorithm with worst-case regret O(K5/3T2/3log⁡T)O(K^{5/3}T^{2/3}\sqrt{\log T})O(K5/3T2/3logT​).
  • 2013: Badanidiyuru, Kleinberg and Slivkins (bandits with knapsacks) give worst-case regret O(KTlog⁡T)O(\sqrt{KT\log T})O(KTlogT​).
  • 2013–2014: Bubeck and Liu and Russo and Van Roy give prior-free Bayesian regret bounds for Thompson sampling in unconstrained bandits.
  • 2018: Ferreira, Simchi-Levi and Wang prove the O(TKlog⁡K)O(\sqrt{TK\log K})O(TKlogK​) Bayesian regret bound for TS-fixed (Theorem 1), the target of this mission.

Setting

There are NNN products and MMM resources. One unit of product iii consumes aij≥0a_{ij}\ge0aij​≥0 units of resource jjj, and resource jjj starts with inventory Ij≥0I_j\ge0Ij​≥0 that is never replenished. The season has TTT periods. In each period the retailer posts one of KKK price vectors pk=(p1k,…,pNk)p_k=(p_{1k},\dots,p_{Nk})pk​=(p1k​,…,pNk​) or a shut-off price p∞p_\inftyp∞​ under which demand is zero.

Given the posted price pkp_kpk​, the demand vector D(t)∈R+ND(t)\in\mathbb R^N_+D(t)∈R+N​ has law F(⋅ ;pk,θ)F(\cdot\,;p_k,\theta)F(⋅;pk​,θ), where θ∈Θ\theta\in\Thetaθ∈Θ is unknown and drawn from a known, arbitrary prior μ0\mu_0μ0​. Demand is independent of the past given the posted price and θ\thetaθ, and is bounded: Di(t)∈[0,dˉi]D_i(t)\in[0,\bar d_i]Di​(t)∈[0,dˉi​]. Write dik(ρ)d_{ik}(\rho)dik​(ρ) for the mean demand of product iii under pkp_kpk​ and parameter ρ\rhoρ, and d=d(θ)d=d(\theta)d=d(θ).

When inventory covers all demand, all demand is sold. Otherwise the satisfied demand D~(t)\tilde D(t)D~(t) satisfies 0≤D~i(t)≤Di(t)0\le\tilde D_i(t)\le D_i(t)0≤D~i​(t)≤Di​(t), leaves every inventory nonnegative, and leaves at least one resource at zero; no other rule is imposed. Revenue is Rev(T)=∑t∑iD~i(t)Pi(t)\mathrm{Rev}(T)=\sum_t\sum_i\tilde D_i(t)P_i(t)Rev(T)=∑t​∑i​D~i​(t)Pi​(t).

For a mean-demand matrix ddd and capacities cj=Ij/Tc_j=I_j/Tcj​=Ij​/T, the linear program LP(d)\mathrm{LP}(d)LP(d) is

max⁡x≥0 ∑k=1K(∑i=1Npikdik)xks.t.∑k=1K(∑i=1Naijdik)xk≤cj  ∀j,∑k=1Kxk≤1,\max_{x\ge0}\ \sum_{k=1}^K\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^N p_{ik}d_{ik}\Bigr)x_k\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{k=1}^K\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^N a_{ij}d_{ik}\Bigr)x_k\le c_j\ \ \forall j,\qquad\sum_{k=1}^K x_k\le1,x≥0max​ k=1∑K​(i=1∑N​pik​dik​)xk​s.t.k=1∑K​(i=1∑N​aij​dik​)xk​≤cj​  ∀j,k=1∑K​xk​≤1,

with optimal value OPT(d)\mathrm{OPT}(d)OPT(d).

TS-fixed (Algorithm 1): in each period, sample θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) from the posterior of θ\thetaθ given the history of posted prices and observed demands; let x(t)x(t)x(t) be an optimal solution of LP(d(θ(t)))\mathrm{LP}(d(\theta(t)))LP(d(θ(t))); post pkp_kpk​ with probability xk(t)x_k(t)xk​(t) and p∞p_\inftyp∞​ with the remaining probability; observe demand and update the posterior.

Finally pmax⁡=max⁡k∑ipikdˉip_{\max}=\max_k\sum_ip_{ik}\bar d_ipmax​=maxk​∑i​pik​dˉi​ and pmax⁡j=max⁡i:aij≠0, kpik/aijp^j_{\max}=\max_{i:a_{ij}\neq0,\,k}p_{ik}/a_{ij}pmaxj​=maxi:aij​=0,k​pik​/aij​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 against the LP benchmark

For K≥2K\ge2K≥2, T≥1T\ge1T≥1, every prior, every bounded demand family, every admissible fulfilment rule and every run of TS-fixed,

E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)] ≤ (18 pmax⁡+37∑i=1N∑j=1Mpmax⁡jaijdˉi)TKlog⁡K.\mathbb E\bigl[\mathrm{OPT}(d)\bigr]\cdot T-\mathbb E\bigl[\mathrm{Rev}(T)\bigr]\ \le\ \Bigl(18\,p_{\max}+37\sum_{i=1}^N\sum_{j=1}^M p^j_{\max}a_{ij}\bar d_i\Bigr)\sqrt{TK\log K}.E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)] ≤ (18pmax​+37i=1∑N​j=1∑M​pmaxj​aij​dˉi​)TKlogK​.

The paper prints this bound for BayesRegret(T)=E[Rev∗(T)]−E[Rev(T)]\mathrm{BayesRegret}(T)=\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}^*(T)]-\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}(T)]BayesRegret(T)=E[Rev∗(T)]−E[Rev(T)], where Rev∗\mathrm{Rev}^*Rev∗ is the revenue of the optimal policy that knows θ\thetaθ; see Formalization scope for why the LP benchmark is stated instead.

Milestones

The article states Theorem 1 and says that its proof is in the online appendix (Supplemental Material at the DOI). The article itself contains no numbered lemma. The milestone list is therefore empty; the appendix's lemmas will be added as milestones once the appendix is held.

Significance

The bound is prior-free and has explicit constants that depend only on prices, consumption rates and demand bounds. Its dependence on TTT matches the Ω(KT)\Omega(\sqrt{KT})Ω(KT​) lower bound for Bayesian regret in unconstrained bandits with rewards in [0,1][0,1][0,1], a special case of the model with no inventory constraints (Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi 2012, Theorem 3.5). It shows that the posterior-sampling principle survives the addition of resource constraints, lost sales and randomized LP-based pricing, and it is the template for the paper's later results (TS-update, contextual pricing, bandits with knapsacks).

The theorem is proved on paper but, as far as a platform search shows, not formalized anywhere. The platform has a formal proof of the unconstrained Bayesian Thompson sampling bound knlog⁡k/2\sqrt{kn\log k/2}knlogk/2​ (BanditAlgorithm.thompson_sampling_bayesian_regret, Lattimore–Szepesvári Theorem 36.5) and an open single-product deterministic upper bound in revenue management (RevenueManagement.deterministic_upper_bound). Neither has inventory, an LP subroutine, or lost sales. A formal proof here would supply the first machine-checked analysis of Thompson sampling under resource constraints and would check the paper's constants.

Difficulty

In an unconstrained bandit, Thompson sampling's regret reduces to a sum of per-period gaps between an upper confidence bound and the sampled reward, because the sampled optimal arm and the true optimal arm are identically distributed given the history. Here the action is a randomized mixture x(t)x(t)x(t) from an LP, the reward is not additive in the prices chosen, and revenue is lost when inventory runs out. Two quantities must be controlled: the revenue the algorithm would collect if all demand could be served, and the revenue lost to stock-outs. The second depends on the random time at which each resource is exhausted under a pricing rule that was optimized for a sampled, not the true, demand, and on an arbitrary fulfilment rule once some resource is empty. Standard bandit arguments do not bound such lost sales, which are a nonlinear function of the whole trajectory.

Formalization scope

Lean representation. Products, resources and price vectors are indexed by Fin N, Fin M, Fin K; the posted price is an Option (Fin K) with none the shut-off price. Periods are 0-based (t=0,…,T−1t=0,\dots,T-1t=0,…,T−1 stands for the paper's 1,…,T1,\dots,T1,…,T). Θ\ThetaΘ is a standard Borel space with a probability measure μ0\mu_0μ0​; demand is a Markov kernel FFF from Θ×\Theta\timesΘ×Fin K to RN\mathbb R^NRN, bounded in [0,dˉi][0,\bar d_i][0,dˉi​] for every parameter. A run of TS-fixed is a family of random variables on a probability space satisfying, almost surely and via conditional expectations: θ∼μ0\theta\sim\mu_0θ∼μ0​; the posterior-sampling property of θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) given everything before period ttt; the price draw with probabilities x(θ(t))x(\theta(t))x(θ(t)) for a measurable optimal LP selection xxx; the demand law given the past, θ(t)\theta(t)θ(t) and the posted price; and fulfilment rules (a)/(b). The logarithm is natural. Prices, consumption and inventory are nonnegative (implicit in the paper). OPT(d)\mathrm{OPT}(d)OPT(d) is a supremum over a nonempty bounded feasible set, so it has no junk value.

Corrections to the printed statement.

  1. K≥2K\ge2K≥2 is added. At K=1K=1K=1 the printed right-hand side is 000, yet on a one-price instance with Bernoulli(0.8)(0.8)(0.8) demand, I=T/2I=T/2I=T/2 and a point-mass prior, TS-fixed loses about 0.2pT0.2p\sqrt T0.2pT​ in expectation.
  2. The LP benchmark replaces E[Rev∗(T)]\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}^*(T)]E[Rev∗(T)]. Section 3.1.1 bounds E[Rev∗(T)∣d]\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}^*(T)\mid d]E[Rev∗(T)∣d] by OPT(d)⋅T\mathrm{OPT}(d)\cdot TOPT(d)⋅T, citing Gallego–van Ryzin. Under the paper's fulfilment rule this fails when products use disjoint resources: with two products, I=(T,1)I=(T,1)I=(T,1), p1=(1,0)p_1=(1,0)p1​=(1,0), p2=(1/2,0)p_2=(1/2,0)p2​=(1/2,0) and deterministic demand (1,1)(1,1)(1,1), the known-θ\thetaθ policy earns at least TTT while OPT(d)⋅T=1\mathrm{OPT}(d)\cdot T=1OPT(d)⋅T=1. The paper states that its proof bounds the gap to "the LP benchmark defined in Section 3.1.1" (p. 1594), and the last display of Section 3.1.1 bounds BayesRegret(T)\mathrm{BayesRegret}(T)BayesRegret(T) by exactly E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)]\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}(d)]\cdot T-\mathbb E[\mathrm{Rev}(T)]E[OPT(d)]⋅T−E[Rev(T)]. Wherever the Gallego–van Ryzin bound holds, the corrected goal implies the printed one.

Ruled out. A bound for the "ideal" revenue ∑iDi(t)Pi(t)\sum_iD_i(t)P_i(t)∑i​Di​(t)Pi​(t) instead of the satisfied revenue, or for an arbitrary policy whose prices are merely close to the LP solution, is not Theorem 1; the goal carries the full TS-fixed run and the lost-sales accounting.

Infrastructure needed. Posterior-sampling identities for general (standard Borel) priors, a Hoeffding/Azuma-type concentration for bounded demand along the price-selection process, LP sensitivity with respect to the mean-demand matrix, and a pathwise bound on lost sales under an arbitrary fulfilment rule. The LP and fluid-benchmark definitions are reusable for later missions on TS-update (Theorem 2), contextual pricing (Theorem 4) and bandits with knapsacks (Theorem 5). Contributions welcome: proofs of the goal, and formal statements of the online appendix's lemmas.

Selected references

  • K. J. Ferreira, D. Simchi-Levi, H. Wang, Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling, Operations Research 66(6):1586–1602, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2018.1755
  • G. Gallego, G. van Ryzin, A Multiproduct Dynamic Pricing Problem and Its Applications to Network Yield Management, Operations Research 45(1):24–41, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.45.1.24
  • O. Besbes, A. Zeevi, Blind Network Revenue Management, Operations Research 60(6):1537–1550, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1120.1057
  • A. Badanidiyuru, R. Kleinberg, A. Slivkins, Bandits with Knapsacks, FOCS 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1305.2545
  • S. Bubeck, C.-Y. Liu, Prior-free and Prior-dependent Regret Bounds for Thompson Sampling, NeurIPS 2013. https://arxiv.org/abs/1311.0466
  • D. Russo, B. Van Roy, Learning to Optimize via Posterior Sampling, Mathematics of Operations Research 39(4):1221–1243, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2014.0650
  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721
  • T. Lattimore, C. Szepesvári, Bandit Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2020, Chapter 36. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108571401
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Understanding Machine Learning XXI: Covering NumbersTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 26 bounded the rate of uniform convergence by the Rademacher complexity; Chapter 27 of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019), introduces a second, metric measure of the size of a set of vectors, its covering numbers N(r,A)N(r, A)N(r,A), the smallest number of Euclidean balls of radius rrr needed to cover AAA, and connects the two through Dudley's chaining. Covering numbers behave well under scaling and under coordinatewise Lipschitz maps (Lemmas 27.2–27.3), they are easily bounded for sets lying in a low-dimensional subspace (Example 27.1), and the chaining lemma turns a bound on log⁡N(r,A)\log N(r, A)logN(r,A) at all scales r=c2−kr = c2^{-k}r=c2−k into a bound on R(A)R(A)R(A) (Lemma 27.4), with the clean corollary R(A)≤6cm(α+2β)R(A) \le \frac{6c}{m}(\alpha + 2\beta)R(A)≤m6c​(α+2β) when log⁡N(c2−k,A)≤α+βk\sqrt{\log N(c2^{-k}, A)} \le \alpha + \beta klogN(c2−k,A)​≤α+βk (Lemma 27.5). The chapter's example recovers R(A)=O(cdlog⁡d/m)R(A) = O(c\sqrt{d\log d}/m)R(A)=O(cdlogd​/m) for sets in a ddd-dimensional subspace, the technique that the book says would sharpen the fundamental theorem's sample complexity from dlog⁡(d/ϵ)/ϵ2d\log(d/\epsilon)/\epsilon^2dlog(d/ϵ)/ϵ2 to d/ϵ2d/\epsilon^2d/ϵ2.

Setting

For A⊆RmA \subseteq \mathbb{R}^mA⊆Rm with the Euclidean metric, A′A'A′ is an rrr-cover of AAA if every a∈Aa \in Aa∈A is within distance rrr of some a′∈A′a' \in A'a′∈A′, and N(r,A)N(r, A)N(r,A) is the cardinality of the smallest rrr-cover (Definition 27.1). The Rademacher complexity R(A)=1mEσsup⁡a∈A⟨σ,a⟩R(A) = \frac1m\mathbb{E}_\sigma\sup_{a \in A}\langle\sigma, a\rangleR(A)=m1​Eσ​supa∈A​⟨σ,a⟩ is Mission XX's. Chaining is run at the scales c2−kc2^{-k}c2−k, k=1,…,Mk = 1, \dots, Mk=1,…,M, where ccc is a radius of a ball containing AAA, the book's c=min⁡aˉmax⁡a∈A∥a−aˉ∥c = \min_{\bar a}\max_{a \in A}\|a - \bar a\|c=minaˉ​maxa∈A​∥a−aˉ∥ being the smallest such radius.

Formalization targets

Goal: Lemma 27.4

For a nonempty A⊆RmA \subseteq \mathbb{R}^mA⊆Rm, m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, contained in the ball of radius ccc about some aˉ\bar aaˉ, and every integer M>0M > 0M>0,

R(A)≤c 2−Mm+6cm∑k=1M2−klog⁡N(c 2−k,A).R(A) \le \frac{c\,2^{-M}}{\sqrt m} + \frac{6c}{m}\sum_{k=1}^M 2^{-k}\sqrt{\log N(c\,2^{-k}, A)}.R(A)≤m​c2−M​+m6c​k=1∑M​2−klogN(c2−k,A)​.

Milestones

Example 27.1 (the grid rrr-cover of a set of norm at most ccc in a ddd-dimensional subspace, of size (2cd/r+1)d(2c\sqrt d/r + 1)^d(2cd​/r+1)d); Lemma 27.2 (scaling and translation); Lemma 27.3 (the contraction principle); Lemma 27.5 (the corollary of chaining). Further item: Example 27.2 (R(A)=O(cdlog⁡d/m)R(A) = O(c\sqrt{d\log d}/m)R(A)=O(cdlogd​/m) for sets in a ddd-dimensional subspace).

Significance

Chaining is the standard way to get sharp uniform convergence rates: a single-scale union bound (Massart's lemma at one resolution) loses a logarithmic factor, and summing Massart bounds over a geometric sequence of scales, applied to the increments between successive nearest cover points, recovers it. Lemma 27.4 is the discrete Dudley integral, and Lemma 27.5 is the form in which it is used: any polynomial-in-1/r1/r1/r covering number gives R(A)=O(clog⁡N/m)R(A) = O(c\sqrt{\log N}/m)R(A)=O(clogN​/m)-type bounds without the extra logarithm. On the platform these items complete the complexity toolbox begun in Mission XX and provide covering numbers as a reusable notion; the contraction and scaling lemmas mirror their Rademacher counterparts.

Difficulty

Lemmas 27.2 and 27.3 are immediate: the image of an rrr-cover under the affine map is an rcrcrc-cover, and under a coordinatewise ρ\rhoρ-Lipschitz map a ρr\rho rρr-cover, since ∥φ(a)−φ(a′)∥2=∑i(φi(ai)−φi(ai′))2≤ρ2∥a−a′∥2\|\varphi(a) - \varphi(a')\|^2 = \sum_i(\varphi_i(a_i) - \varphi_i(a'_i))^2 \le \rho^2\|a - a'\|^2∥φ(a)−φ(a′)∥2=∑i​(φi​(ai​)−φi​(ai′​))2≤ρ2∥a−a′∥2; formally they are manipulations of the infimum in N∪{∞}\mathbb{N} \cup \{\infty\}N∪{∞}. Example 27.1 needs an orthonormal basis of the subspace (Gram–Schmidt, or Mathlib's orthonormal bases of finite-dimensional inner product subspaces of Rm\mathbb{R}^mRm with the Euclidean structure) and the rounding of coordinates to a grid. Lemma 27.4 is the real work: after centering, take minimal c2−kc2^{-k}c2−k-covers BkB_kBk​, the near-maximizer a∗a^*a∗ of ⟨σ,a⟩\langle\sigma, a\rangle⟨σ,a⟩ (which depends on σ\sigmaσ), its nearest points b(k)∈Bkb^{(k)} \in B_kb(k)∈Bk​, the telescoping a∗=(a∗−b(M))+∑k(b(k)−b(k−1))a^* = (a^* - b^{(M)}) + \sum_k(b^{(k)} - b^{(k-1)})a∗=(a∗−b(M))+∑k​(b(k)−b(k−1)), the bound ∥b(k)−b(k−1)∥≤3c2−k\|b^{(k)} - b^{(k-1)}\| \le 3c2^{-k}∥b(k)−b(k−1)∥≤3c2−k, and Massart's lemma (Mission XX) on the sets B^k\hat B_kB^k​ of increments, of cardinality at most N(c2−k,A)2N(c2^{-k}, A)^2N(c2−k,A)2; a formal proof must handle the supremum not being attained (approximate maximizers) and the dependence of all choices on σ\sigmaσ inside the finite average. Lemma 27.5 lets M→∞M \to \inftyM→∞ using ∑k2−k=1\sum_k 2^{-k} = 1∑k​2−k=1 and ∑kk2−k=2\sum_k k2^{-k} = 2∑k​k2−k=2. Example 27.2 combines Example 27.1 at the scales c2−kc2^{-k}c2−k with Lemma 27.5, with the book's constant log⁡(2d)\log(2\sqrt d)log(2d​). The book's derivation uses the count without +1+1+1, so a proof needs the volumetric covering bound (1+2c/r)d(1 + 2c/r)^d(1+2c/r)d for d≥2d \ge 2d≥2 and a direct count for d=1d = 1d=1.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin m → ℝ with an explicit Euclidean norm, because Mathlib's norm on that type is the sup norm; covers are arbitrary finsets of Rm\mathbb{R}^mRm and N(r,A)N(r, A)N(r,A) is an infimum in N∪{∞}\mathbb{N} \cup \{\infty\}N∪{∞}, so no junk value arises when no finite cover exists, and the chaining statements read NNN through ENat.toNat for the bounded sets they concern, where it is finite. Subspaces are Mathlib Submodules with finrank = d. Two statements are given with the constants their proofs support, and the item texts say so. Example 27.1's grid has 2c/ϵ+12c/\epsilon + 12c/ϵ+1 points per coordinate, so the cover has size (2cd/r+1)d(2c\sqrt d/r + 1)^d(2cd​/r+1)d, not (2cd/r)d(2c\sqrt d/r)^d(2cd​/r)d, which is less than 111 for r>2cdr > 2c\sqrt dr>2cd​ and cannot bound a covering number of a nonempty set; Example 27.2 correspondingly has log⁡(4d)\log(4\sqrt d)log(4d​) in place of log⁡(2d)\log(2\sqrt d)log(2d​). Lemma 27.4 is stated for any enclosing radius ccc about any center, since the proof only uses that {aˉ}\{\bar a\}{aˉ} is a ccc-cover of AAA; the book's minimal radius is the special case, and this is the form Example 27.2 needs (with aˉ=0\bar a = 0aˉ=0 and c=max⁡∥a∥c = \max\|a\|c=max∥a∥). Lemma 27.5 keeps the book's α,β>0\alpha, \beta > 0α,β>0.

Not stated: nothing else is in the chapter beyond the bibliographic remarks.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 27. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • R. M. Dudley, Universal Donsker classes and metric entropy, Annals of Probability 15(4), 1987. doi:10.1214/aop/1176991978
  • M. Anthony, P. L. Bartlett, Neural Network Learning: Theoretical Foundations, Cambridge University Press, 1999. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511624216
  • M. Talagrand, Upper and Lower Bounds for Stochastic Processes, Springer, 2014. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-54075-2
  • R. Vershynin, High-Dimensional Probability, Cambridge University Press, 2018. doi:10.1017/9781108231596
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Understanding Machine Learning XIX: Generative ModelsTextbook

Motivation

The book is discriminative almost throughout: it learns predictors, not distributions, following Vapnik's advice not to solve a more general problem as an intermediate step. Chapter 24 of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019), presents the generative alternative: assume a parametric form for the data distribution and estimate its parameters. The maximum likelihood principle is introduced on Bernoulli and Gaussian samples, shown to be empirical risk minimization for the log-loss, and analyzed through the decomposition of the true log-loss risk into a relative entropy plus an entropy (24.5), which explains both its consistency under a correct model and its overfitting on small samples. Naive Bayes and linear discriminant analysis show how generative assumptions reduce the number of parameters and make the Bayes classifier linear (24.8). The chapter's main theorem concerns the Expectation-Maximization algorithm of Dempster, Laird and Rubin for latent-variable models such as Gaussian mixtures: EM never decreases the log-likelihood (Theorem 24.3), because it is an alternate maximization of a lower bound G(Q,θ)G(Q, \theta)G(Q,θ) that touches the likelihood at the posterior (Lemma 24.2). The chapter ends with Bayesian reasoning and the rule of succession.

Setting

A Bernoulli sample S=(x1,…,xm)S = (x_1, \dots, x_m)S=(x1​,…,xm​) has log-likelihood L(S;θ)=log⁡(θ)∑ixi+log⁡(1−θ)∑i(1−xi)L(S;\theta) = \log(\theta)\sum_i x_i + \log(1-\theta)\sum_i(1-x_i)L(S;θ)=log(θ)∑i​xi​+log(1−θ)∑i​(1−xi​) and estimator θ^=1m∑ixi\hat\theta = \frac1m\sum_i x_iθ^=m1​∑i​xi​ (24.1); a Gaussian sample has L(S;(μ,σ))=−12σ2∑i(xi−μ)2−mlog⁡(σ2π)L(S;(\mu,\sigma)) = -\frac1{2\sigma^2}\sum_i(x_i-\mu)^2 - m\log(\sigma\sqrt{2\pi})L(S;(μ,σ))=−2σ21​∑i​(xi​−μ)2−mlog(σ2π​). The log-loss is ℓ(θ,x)=−log⁡Pθ[x]\ell(\theta, x) = -\log P_\theta[x]ℓ(θ,x)=−logPθ​[x] (24.4); on a finite domain, DRE[P∥Q]=∑xP[x]log⁡(P[x]/Q[x])D_{RE}[P\|Q] = \sum_x P[x]\log(P[x]/Q[x])DRE​[P∥Q]=∑x​P[x]log(P[x]/Q[x]) and H(P)=∑xP[x]log⁡(1/P[x])H(P) = \sum_x P[x]\log(1/P[x])H(P)=∑x​P[x]log(1/P[x]). A latent-variable model is a parametric joint Pθ[X=x,Y=y]P_\theta[X = x, Y = y]Pθ​[X=x,Y=y], y∈[k]y \in [k]y∈[k], with L(θ)=∑ilog⁡∑yPθ[X=xi,Y=y]L(\theta) = \sum_i\log\sum_y P_\theta[X = x_i, Y = y]L(θ)=∑i​log∑y​Pθ​[X=xi​,Y=y]; F(Q,θ)=∑i∑yQi,ylog⁡Pθ[X=xi,Y=y]F(Q,\theta) = \sum_i\sum_y Q_{i,y}\log P_\theta[X = x_i, Y = y]F(Q,θ)=∑i​∑y​Qi,y​logPθ​[X=xi​,Y=y], G(Q,θ)=F(Q,θ)−∑i∑yQi,ylog⁡Qi,yG(Q,\theta) = F(Q,\theta) - \sum_i\sum_y Q_{i,y}\log Q_{i,y}G(Q,θ)=F(Q,θ)−∑i​∑y​Qi,y​logQi,y​ over the set Q\mathcal{Q}Q of row-stochastic matrices, and EM alternates the E-step Qi,y(t+1)=Pθ(t)[Y=y∣X=xi]Q^{(t+1)}_{i,y} = P_{\theta^{(t)}}[Y = y \mid X = x_i]Qi,y(t+1)​=Pθ(t)​[Y=y∣X=xi​] (24.10) with the M-step θ(t+1)∈argmax⁡θF(Q(t+1),θ)\theta^{(t+1)} \in \operatorname{argmax}_\theta F(Q^{(t+1)}, \theta)θ(t+1)∈argmaxθ​F(Q(t+1),θ) (24.11).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 24.3

For a positive parametric joint Pθ[X=x,Y=y]P_\theta[X = x, Y = y]Pθ​[X=x,Y=y], a sample x1,…,xmx_1, \dots, x_mx1​,…,xm​, and any run θ(0),θ(1),…\theta^{(0)}, \theta^{(1)}, \dotsθ(0),θ(1),… of EM (each M-step returning some maximizer of F(Q(t+1),⋅)F(Q^{(t+1)}, \cdot)F(Q(t+1),⋅)), the log-likelihood never decreases:

L(θ(t+1))≥L(θ(t))for all t.L(\theta^{(t+1)}) \ge L(\theta^{(t)}) \quad\text{for all } t.L(θ(t+1))≥L(θ(t))for all t.

Milestones

Equation (24.2) (Hoeffding for the Bernoulli estimator); the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimates of §24.1.1; Equation (24.5) (the risk decomposition DRE[P∥Pθ]+H(P)D_{RE}[P\|P_\theta] + H(P)DRE​[P∥Pθ​]+H(P)); Equation (24.8) (the LDA log-likelihood ratio is affine); Lemma 24.2 (EM as alternate maximization of GGG, with G(Q,θ)≤L(θ)G(Q, \theta) \le L(\theta)G(Q,θ)≤L(θ) and equality at the posterior). Further items: Gibbs' inequality, the Bernoulli maximum likelihood estimator (24.1)/(24.3), Exercise 1 (the biased variance estimate), Equation (24.6), the overfitting example of §24.1.3, Exercise 3 / (24.14), the weighted-centroid M-step (24.13), and the rule of succession of §24.5.

Significance

Theorem 24.3 is the guarantee that makes EM a sensible algorithm: it does not find the maximum likelihood estimate, but it climbs monotonically, and Lemma 24.2 identifies why, the E-step chooses the tightest lower bound G(Q,⋅)G(Q, \cdot)G(Q,⋅) at the current parameter and the M-step maximizes it. This variational view underlies a large part of modern latent-variable inference. Equation (24.5) is the information-theoretic content of maximum likelihood: the true risk is the entropy of the data plus the relative entropy to the model, so the best parameter is a projection of the data distribution onto the model class, and Gibbs' inequality is what makes that projection meaningful. The Bernoulli and Gaussian computations are the standard first examples, and Equation (24.8) is the reason linear classifiers appear in generative modeling. On the platform, the mission adds the relative entropy on finite domains, the EM objects, and Gaussian-integral identities that later probabilistic work can reuse.

Difficulty

The Bernoulli and Gaussian maximum likelihood facts are calculus, but as global maximization statements they need the concavity of log⁡\loglog and an explicit completion of squares rather than the book's stationary-point argument; the Gaussian case reduces to minimizing σ↦mσ^22σ2+mlog⁡σ\sigma \mapsto \frac{m\hat\sigma^2}{2\sigma^2} + m\log\sigmaσ↦2σ2mσ^2​+mlogσ. Equation (24.5) is a finite-sum identity; Gibbs' inequality is Jensen for log⁡\loglog with the equality case, or the elementary log⁡t≤t−1\log t \le t - 1logt≤t−1. Lemma 24.2 is Jensen's inequality applied row by row to ∑yQi,ylog⁡(Pθ[X=xi,Y=y]/Qi,y)\sum_y Q_{i,y}\log(P_\theta[X = x_i, Y = y]/Q_{i,y})∑y​Qi,y​log(Pθ​[X=xi​,Y=y]/Qi,y​), with care at entries Qi,y=0Q_{i,y} = 0Qi,y​=0, where the convention 0log⁡0=00\log 0 = 00log0=0 is exactly Lean's junk value; Theorem 24.3 chains the lemma's three parts as the book does. The Gaussian expectation identities (Exercise 1 and (24.6)) require the moments of gaussianReal and Fubini over the product law. Hoeffding's inequality (24.2) is Mission II's Theorem for Bernoulli variables; the overfitting example is the inequality log⁡(1−θ)≥−2θ\log(1-\theta) \ge -2\thetalog(1−θ)≥−2θ on [0,1/2][0, 1/2][0,1/2]. The rule of succession is a Beta-function identity provable by integration by parts.

Formalization scope

Parametric families are functions from a parameter type to real-valued probabilities or densities, following the book's convention (p. 344) that P[X=x]P[X = x]P[X=x] denotes either; no measure-theoretic densities are needed except in the two Gaussian-integral items, which use gaussianReal and the i.i.d. law of Mission I, and in the two Bernoulli probability items, which use the Bernoulli law of Mission XIV. Lean's log 0 = 0 is handled explicitly: the EM items assume a positive joint, since with junk logarithms Theorem 24.3 is false (the M-step could pick a parameter with a zero component and inflated FFF), while the entropy terms Qlog⁡QQ\log QQlogQ use the convention 0log⁡0=00\log 0 = 00log0=0 that the book intends; the Bernoulli maximum likelihood statement ranges over θ∈(0,1)\theta \in (0,1)θ∈(0,1); the log-loss decomposition and Gibbs' inequality take the second distribution positive. The M-step is a predicate ("some maximizer"), so Assumption 24.1 is not modeled, and an EM run is any sequence of such steps. The Gaussian maximum likelihood statement requires a nonconstant sample, without which the likelihood is unbounded; the overfitting example is stated for θ⋆≤1/2\theta^\star \le 1/2θ⋆≤1/2, the range on which the book's inequality (1−θ)m≥e−2θm(1-\theta)^m \ge e^{-2\theta m}(1−θ)m≥e−2θm holds. Equation (24.8) is stated as a matrix identity for any symmetric MMM in place of Σ−1\Sigma^{-1}Σ−1; the soft k-means M-step is stated as the weighted-centroid minimization it amounts to.

Not stated: Naive Bayes (24.7), which is a rewriting of Bayes' rule; the mixture density itself and the E-step formula (24.12); the Bayesian derivations (24.16) and maximum a posteriori estimation; Exercise 2.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 24. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • A. P. Dempster, N. M. Laird, D. B. Rubin, Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via the EM algorithm, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 39(1), 1977. doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1977.tb01600.x
  • C. F. J. Wu, On the convergence properties of the EM algorithm, Annals of Statistics 11(1), 1983. doi:10.1214/aos/1176346060
  • T. M. Cover, J. A. Thomas, Elements of Information Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2006. doi:10.1002/047174882X
  • C. M. Bishop, Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, Springer, 2006.
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Understanding Machine Learning XVIII: Dimensionality ReductionTextbook

Motivation

Dimensionality reduction maps data in Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd to Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn, n≪dn \ll dn≪d, by a linear map x↦Wxx \mapsto Wxx↦Wx, for computational reasons, for generalization (Chapter 19's curse of dimensionality) and for interpretability. Chapter 23 of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019), studies three ways to choose WWW. Principal Component Analysis chooses the pair of compression and recovery matrices that minimizes the total squared reconstruction error, and the answer is the eigenvectors of ∑ixixi⊤\sum_i x_ix_i^\top∑i​xi​xi⊤​ for the largest eigenvalues (Theorem 23.2). Random projections choose WWW with independent Gaussian entries, and the Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma says that the norms of any finite set of vectors are then preserved up to 1±ϵ1 \pm \epsilon1±ϵ with n=O(ϵ−2log⁡∣Q∣)n = O(\epsilon^{-2}\log|Q|)n=O(ϵ−2log∣Q∣) (Lemma 23.4). Compressed sensing exploits sparsity: a matrix with the restricted isometry property compresses every sss-sparse vector losslessly (Theorem 23.6), the reconstruction can be done by ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ minimization, a linear program, with an error bound that degrades gracefully for approximately sparse inputs (Theorem 23.8, due to Candès), and Gaussian random matrices with n=O(slog⁡d)n = O(s\log d)n=O(slogd) rows are RIP with high probability (Theorem 23.9).

Setting

Vectors are functions Rd\mathbb{R}^dRd with ∥v∥22=∑ivi2\|v\|_2^2 = \sum_i v_i^2∥v∥22​=∑i​vi2​, ∥v∥1=∑i∣vi∣\|v\|_1 = \sum_i|v_i|∥v∥1​=∑i​∣vi​∣ and ∥v∥0=∣{i:vi≠0}∣\|v\|_0 = |\{i : v_i \ne 0\}|∥v∥0​=∣{i:vi​=0}∣. The PCA problem (23.1) is argmin⁡W∈Rn×d,U∈Rd×n∑i=1m∥xi−UWxi∥22\operatorname{argmin}_{W \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}, U \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times n}}\sum_{i=1}^m\|x_i - UWx_i\|_2^2argminW∈Rn×d,U∈Rd×n​∑i=1m​∥xi​−UWxi​∥22​, and A=∑ixixi⊤A = \sum_i x_ix_i^\topA=∑i​xi​xi⊤​. A random matrix has independent N(0,v)N(0, v)N(0,v) entries, v=1v = 1v=1 in Lemma 23.3 and v=1/nv = 1/nv=1/n afterwards. WWW is (ϵ,s)(\epsilon, s)(ϵ,s)-RIP if ∣∥Wx∥22/∥x∥22−1∣≤ϵ\big|\|Wx\|_2^2/\|x\|_2^2 - 1\big| \le \epsilon​∥Wx∥22​/∥x∥22​−1​≤ϵ for every x≠0x \ne 0x=0 with ∥x∥0≤s\|x\|_0 \le s∥x∥0​≤s (Definition 23.5); vIv_IvI​ is vvv restricted to an index set III.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 23.2

Let x1,…,xm∈Rdx_1, \dots, x_m \in \mathbb{R}^dx1​,…,xm​∈Rd, A=∑ixixi⊤A = \sum_i x_ix_i^\topA=∑i​xi​xi⊤​, and let u1,…,unu_1, \dots, u_nu1​,…,un​ be eigenvectors of AAA for its nnn largest eigenvalues, formalized as the first nnn columns of a spectral decomposition A=Vdiag⁡(D)V⊤A = V\operatorname{diag}(D)V^\topA=Vdiag(D)V⊤ with V⊤V=IV^\top V = IV⊤V=I and DDD nonincreasing. Then U=[u1⋯un]U = [u_1 \cdots u_n]U=[u1​⋯un​] with W=U⊤W = U^\topW=U⊤ minimizes (23.1): for every U′,W′U', W'U′,W′,

∑i∥xi−UU⊤xi∥2≤∑i∥xi−U′W′xi∥2.\sum_i\|x_i - UU^\top x_i\|^2 \le \sum_i\|x_i - U'W'x_i\|^2.i∑​∥xi​−UU⊤xi​∥2≤i∑​∥xi​−U′W′xi​∥2.

Milestones

Lemma 23.1 (the reduction of (23.1) to orthonormal UUU and W=U⊤W = U^\topW=U⊤); Lemma 23.4 (Johnson–Lindenstrauss); Theorem 23.6 (exact ℓ0\ell_0ℓ0​ recovery under RIP); Theorem 23.8 (Candès' ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ recovery bound); Theorem 23.9 (Gaussian matrices are RIP). Further items: Equation (23.3), Exercise 2, Remark 23.1 (the optimal value ∑i>nDi,i\sum_{i>n}D_{i,i}∑i>n​Di,i​), the eigenvector transfer of §23.1.1, Lemma 23.3, Theorem 23.7, Lemma 23.10, Lemma 23.11 and Lemma 23.12.

Significance

Theorem 23.2 is the Eckart–Young–Mirsky theorem in the form the book states it: PCA is the optimal linear compression-and-recovery scheme in the least-squares sense, and its solution is spectral. The Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma is the basic tool of randomized dimensionality reduction, with a bound independent of ddd, and the book's variant with explicit constants is what later chapters and the compressed-sensing proofs use. Theorems 23.6–23.9 together are the three "surprising results" of compressed sensing: information-theoretic recoverability from RIP, efficient recovery by convex relaxation, and the existence of RIP matrices by randomness; their proofs, Candès' cone argument and Baraniuk–Davenport–DeVore–Wakin's net-plus-union-bound, are among the cleanest in applied mathematics and are natural formalization targets. On the platform, the mission introduces Gaussian random matrices as product measures and the RIP predicate, usable by later work on sparse recovery.

Difficulty

Lemma 23.1 requires building an orthonormal basis of the range of UWUWUW, padded to nnn vectors when the range has smaller dimension, and the identity ∥x−Vy∥2=∥x∥2+∥y∥2−2y⊤V⊤x\|x - Vy\|^2 = \|x\|^2 + \|y\|^2 - 2y^\top V^\top x∥x−Vy∥2=∥x∥2+∥y∥2−2y⊤V⊤x; Equation (23.3) is a trace computation. Theorem 23.2 combines (23.3), the change of basis B=V⊤UB = V^\top UB=V⊤U with B⊤B=IB^\top B = IB⊤B=I, the bound ∑iBj,i2≤1\sum_i B_{j,i}^2 \le 1∑i​Bj,i2​≤1 from extending BBB to an orthogonal matrix, and Exercise 2, a rearrangement inequality; Remark 23.1 adds trace⁡(A)=∑jDj,j\operatorname{trace}(A) = \sum_j D_{j,j}trace(A)=∑j​Dj,j​. Lemma 23.3 is the concentration of a χn2\chi^2_nχn2​ variable (Lemma B.12), which must itself be established from the Gaussian moment generating function; the Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma is then a union bound. Theorem 23.6 is a two-line contradiction with RIP applied to x−x~x - \tilde xx−x~. Theorem 23.8 is the substantial one: the partition of [d][d][d] into blocks of sss largest remaining entries, the bound ∥hTj∥2≤s−1/2∥hTj−1∥1\|h_{T_j}\|_2 \le s^{-1/2}\|h_{T_{j-1}}\|_1∥hTj​​∥2​≤s−1/2∥hTj−1​​∥1​, the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-minimality inequality (23.8), Lemma 23.10, and the two claims combined through (23.5); a formal proof must handle the last, possibly shorter block, which the book's "assume d/sd/sd/s is an integer" sidesteps. Lemma 23.11 is a volumetric net bound; Lemma 23.12 applies the Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma to the image of an ϵ/4\epsilon/4ϵ/4-net of the unit sphere of Rs\mathbb{R}^sRs and closes the gap by the "smallest aaa" argument, and Theorem 23.9 is a union bound over index sets.

Formalization scope

Vectors are plain functions Fin d → ℝ with explicit norms, and matrices are Mathlib matrices, so the objectives are finite sums with no coercions between normed spaces. Random matrices are functions Fin n → Fin d → ℝ with the product of Gaussian laws gaussianReal 0 v, applied through Matrix.of; probability statements bound the outer measure of the failure event, and the failure events of Lemmas 23.4 and 23.12 are written with ≥ϵ\ge \epsilon≥ϵ so that the book's strict conclusions follow. "Eigenvectors corresponding to the nnn largest eigenvalues" is formalized as the first nnn columns of a spectral decomposition with nonincreasing diagonal, which is exactly the set of such systems and avoids Mathlib's eigenvalue ordering conventions. Minimizers (x~\tilde xx~, x⋆x^\starx⋆, xsx_sxs​) are arbitrary elements of the argmin.

Five statements are given as their proofs support them, and the item texts say so. Lemma 23.3 and the Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma are stated for ϵ≤3/4\epsilon \le 3/4ϵ≤3/4: the printed range ϵ∈(0,3)\epsilon \in (0, 3)ϵ∈(0,3) (and ϵ≤3\epsilon \le 3ϵ≤3) is false, since the χn2\chi^2_nχn2​ upper tail decays like e−n(ϵ−ln⁡(1+ϵ))/2e^{-n(\epsilon - \ln(1+\epsilon))/2}e−n(ϵ−ln(1+ϵ))/2, slower than e−ϵ2n/6e^{-\epsilon^2 n/6}e−ϵ2n/6 for ϵ>0.785\epsilon > 0.785ϵ>0.785 (at ϵ=2.9\epsilon = 2.9ϵ=2.9 it fails for n=10n = 10n=10); the audit found this. Lemma 23.1 as printed, "every solution has orthonormal columns and W=U⊤W = U^\topW=U⊤", is false, since (cU,W/c)(cU, W/c)(cU,W/c) has the same objective as (U,W)(U, W)(U,W); the item states what the proof shows, that every (U,W)(U, W)(U,W) is dominated by some (V,V⊤)(V, V^\top)(V,V⊤) with V⊤V=IV^\top V = IV⊤V=I, which is all that (23.2) needs. Theorem 23.9 is stated with n≥216 slog⁡(72d/(δϵ))/ϵ2n \ge 216\,s\log(72d/(\delta\epsilon))/\epsilon^2n≥216slog(72d/(δϵ))/ϵ2: Lemma 23.12 with ϵ/3\epsilon/3ϵ/3 (so that (1±ϵ/3)2(1 \pm \epsilon/3)^2(1±ϵ/3)2 lies within 1±ϵ1 \pm \epsilon1±ϵ) and δ/ds\delta/d^sδ/ds, followed by a union bound over the at most dsd^sds index sets, gives these constants, and the printed 100100100 and 404040 are not reached by the argument. Theorem 23.8's proof assumes d/sd/sd/s is an integer for simplicity; the statement is given without that assumption, since only the last block of the partition can be short and the block inequality still holds. Lemma 23.3 has x≠0x \ne 0x=0, and the Johnson–Lindenstrauss lemma n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, since for n=0n = 0n=0 its ϵ\epsilonϵ is 000 and the conclusion fails.

Not stated: §23.1.2 (implementation), Remarks 23.2–23.3, §23.4 (the comparison of PCA and compressed sensing), Exercises 1 and 3–6.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 23. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • W. B. Johnson, J. Lindenstrauss, Extensions of Lipschitz mappings into a Hilbert space, Contemporary Mathematics 26, 1984. doi:10.1090/conm/026/737400
  • E. J. Candès, The restricted isometry property and its implications for compressed sensing, Comptes Rendus Mathématique 346(9–10), 2008. doi:10.1016/j.crma.2008.03.014
  • R. Baraniuk, M. Davenport, R. DeVore, M. Wakin, A simple proof of the restricted isometry property for random matrices, Constructive Approximation 28, 2008. doi:10.1007/s00365-007-9003-x
  • D. L. Donoho, Compressed sensing, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 52(4), 2006. doi:10.1109/TIT.2006.871582
  • E. J. Candès, T. Tao, Decoding by linear programming, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 51(12), 2005. doi:10.1109/TIT.2005.858979
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CombinatoricsOptimization·Captain: naimengye

Understanding Machine Learning XVII: ClusteringTextbook

Motivation

Clustering is the most widely used tool of exploratory data analysis and, at the same time, the least well defined: similar points should share a cluster and dissimilar points should not, but similarity is not transitive while cluster membership is, and without labels there is no ground truth against which to evaluate a proposed grouping. Chapter 22 of Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms (doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019), surveys the main paradigms, linkage-based algorithms, cost minimization with the k-means family, spectral relaxations of graph cuts, and the information bottleneck, and then returns to the question of what clustering is through Kleinberg's axioms. Its one theorem about that question is negative: no clustering function is simultaneously scale invariant, rich and consistent (Theorem 22.4). The mission formalizes this impossibility together with the chapter's positive facts: an iteration of the k-means algorithm never increases the k-means objective (Lemma 22.1), the RatioCut objective is the trace of a quadratic form of the graph Laplacian over cluster indicator vectors (Lemma 22.3), and the farthest-first traversal is a 2-approximation for the k-diam objective (Exercise 3).

Setting

A clustering of a finite set XXX is a partition C=(C1,…,Ck)C = (C_1, \dots, C_k)C=(C1​,…,Ck​). For X⊆RnX \subseteq \mathbb{R}^nX⊆Rn the k-means objective is G(C)=∑i∑x∈Ci∥x−μ(Ci)∥2G(C) = \sum_i\sum_{x \in C_i}\|x - \mu(C_i)\|^2G(C)=∑i​∑x∈Ci​​∥x−μ(Ci​)∥2 with μ(Ci)\mu(C_i)μ(Ci​) the centroid of CiC_iCi​, equivalently min⁡μ1,…,μk∑i∑x∈Ci∥x−μi∥2\min_{\mu_1, \dots, \mu_k}\sum_i\sum_{x \in C_i}\|x - \mu_i\|^2minμ1​,…,μk​​∑i​∑x∈Ci​​∥x−μi​∥2 (22.1); the k-means algorithm alternately reassigns each point to a nearest centroid and recomputes the centroids. For a similarity matrix W∈Rm×mW \in \mathbb{R}^{m \times m}W∈Rm×m, the degree matrix is D=diag⁡(∑jWi,j)D = \operatorname{diag}(\sum_j W_{i,j})D=diag(∑j​Wi,j​), the unnormalized graph Laplacian is L=D−WL = D - WL=D−W (Definition 22.2), and RatioCut⁡(C)=∑i1∣Ci∣∑r∈Ci,s∉CiWr,s\operatorname{RatioCut}(C) = \sum_i \frac1{|C_i|}\sum_{r \in C_i, s \notin C_i}W_{r,s}RatioCut(C)=∑i​∣Ci​∣1​∑r∈Ci​,s∈/Ci​​Wr,s​. Kleinberg's setting is a clustering function FFF that takes a dissimilarity ddd over XXX, symmetric, zero on the diagonal and positive off it, and returns a partition; the three axioms are Scale Invariance (F(αd)=F(d)F(\alpha d) = F(d)F(αd)=F(d)), Richness (every partition is some F(d)F(d)F(d)) and Consistency (shrinking within-cluster and expanding between-cluster dissimilarities leaves FFF unchanged). The k-diam objective is max⁡jdiam⁡(Cj)\max_j\operatorname{diam}(C_j)maxj​diam(Cj​), and the farthest-first traversal picks μ1\mu_1μ1​ arbitrarily and μj\mu_jμj​ maximizing min⁡i<jd(x,μi)\min_{i<j}d(x, \mu_i)mini<j​d(x,μi​), then clusters by nearest center.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 22.4

For a finite domain XXX with at least two points, there is no function FFF from dissimilarities over XXX to partitions of XXX satisfying Scale Invariance, Richness and Consistency.

Milestones

Lemma 22.1 (a k-means iteration does not increase GGG); the Laplacian identity v⊤Lv=12∑r,sWr,s(vr−vs)2v^\top L v = \frac12\sum_{r,s}W_{r,s}(v_r - v_s)^2v⊤Lv=21​∑r,s​Wr,s​(vr​−vs​)2 from the proof of Lemma 22.3; Lemma 22.3 (H⊤H=IH^\top H = IH⊤H=I and RatioCut⁡(C)=trace⁡(H⊤LH)\operatorname{RatioCut}(C) = \operatorname{trace}(H^\top L H)RatioCut(C)=trace(H⊤LH) for Hi,j=∣Cj∣−1/21[i∈Cj]H_{i,j} = |C_j|^{-1/2}\mathbb{1}[i \in C_j]Hi,j​=∣Cj​∣−1/21[i∈Cj​]); Exercise 3 (farthest-first traversal is a 2-approximation for k-diam). Further item: the centroid minimizes ∑x∈C∥x−μ∥2\sum_{x \in C}\|x - \mu\|^2∑x∈C​∥x−μ∥2, the content of (22.1)–(22.3).

Significance

Kleinberg's theorem is the chapter's conceptual center: it says there is no ideal clustering function, only trade-offs, and the choice of a method must encode prior knowledge about the task, the unsupervised analogue of the No-Free-Lunch theorem. Its proof is short but delicate about what a dissimilarity is, and formalizing it fixes the exact hypotheses. Lemma 22.1 is the only guarantee the book offers for Lloyd's algorithm, and it is the reason the algorithm terminates on finite data. Lemma 22.3 is the bridge from a combinatorial cut objective to the spectrum of the Laplacian, the starting point of spectral clustering and of the PCA-type argument used in Chapter 23. The farthest-first result of Exercise 3 is Gonzalez's classical 2-approximation for k-center-type objectives, stated here for the diameter objective, and it is tight in the sense that no better constant is possible unless P = NP.

Difficulty

Theorem 22.4 follows the book: Richness gives d1d_1d1​ with all-singleton output and d2d_2d2​ with a different output; positivity lets one scale d2d_2d2​ above d1d_1d1​ pointwise, and Scale Invariance and Consistency then force two different values for F(αd2)F(\alpha d_2)F(αd2​). Formally the work is in building the scaled dissimilarity and in comparing Setoids. Lemma 22.1 is two inequalities: the nearest-centroid reassignment does not increase ∑i∑x∈Ci∥x−μi∥2\sum_i\sum_{x \in C_i}\|x - \mu_i\|^2∑i​∑x∈Ci​​∥x−μi​∥2 for the old centroids, because it minimizes it pointwise over assignments, and recomputing centroids does not increase it either, because the centroid minimizes the within-cluster sum of squares; the latter is the separate centroid item, a completing-the-square computation in an inner product space. The Laplacian identity is a finite double-sum manipulation that uses the symmetry of WWW; Lemma 22.3 applies it to the columns of HHH and computes H⊤HH^\top HH⊤H from the partition structure. Exercise 3 is the hint's argument: let rrr be the distance from the next farthest-first point μk+1\mu_{k+1}μk+1​ to the chosen centers; every point is within rrr of its center, so every cluster of the algorithm has diameter at most 2r2r2r, while the k+1k+1k+1 points μ1,…,μk+1\mu_1, \dots, \mu_{k+1}μ1​,…,μk+1​ are pairwise at distance at least rrr, so two of them share a cluster of any kkk-clustering, whose diameter is then at least rrr. When ∣X∣≤k|X| \le k∣X∣≤k the argument degenerates but the statement stays trivially true.

Formalization scope

Partitions are Fin k\mathrm{Fin}\ kFin k-indexed families of finsets covering each point of the data exactly once, and nearest-center assignments and farthest-first centers are predicates rather than functions, so every tie-breaking rule is covered. The k-means items live in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn as EuclideanSpace; the centroid of an empty cluster is 000, which never enters any sum. The spectral items use Mathlib matrices over Fin m, Matrix.diagonal, Matrix.trace, the root-namespace dotProduct, and require WWW symmetric, which the identity needs and which every similarity matrix satisfies; Lemma 22.3 requires nonempty clusters, without which HHH has a zero column. Kleinberg's function is formalized on a fixed finite domain, as a map from Dissimilarity X to Setoid X, dissimilarities being positive on distinct points as in Kleinberg (2003): the book's model of p. 309 only asks for d≥0d \ge 0d≥0, but the scaling step of the proof of Theorem 22.4 requires positivity, and the theorem is stated for domains with at least two points, since the proof uses two partitions only. The k-diam theorem is stated without a maximum: every cluster of the algorithm has diameter at most twice the diameter of some cluster of the competitor, which is Gk-diam(C^)≤2Gk-diam(C∗)G_{k\text{-diam}}(\hat C) \le 2G_{k\text{-diam}}(C^*)Gk-diam​(C^)≤2Gk-diam​(C∗) without conventions for empty index sets, and Metric.diam gives 000 on sets of fewer than two points, the exercise's convention.

Not stated: the linkage-based algorithms and dendrograms of §22.1 (no theorem is stated about them), the k-medoids and k-median objectives, the spectral clustering algorithm itself, the information bottleneck of §22.4, Exercises 1, 2 and 4–6.

Selected references

  • S. Shalev-Shwartz, S. Ben-David, Understanding Machine Learning: From Theory to Algorithms, Cambridge University Press, 2014, Chapter 22. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107298019
  • J. Kleinberg, An impossibility theorem for clustering, NIPS 2002.
  • S. P. Lloyd, Least squares quantization in PCM, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 28(2), 1982. doi:10.1109/TIT.1982.1056489
  • U. von Luxburg, A tutorial on spectral clustering, Statistics and Computing 17, 2007. doi:10.1007/s11222-007-9033-z
  • T. F. Gonzalez, Clustering to minimize the maximum intercluster distance, Theoretical Computer Science 38, 1985. doi:10.1016/0304-3975(85)90224-5
  • M. Ackerman, S. Ben-David, Measures of clustering quality: a working set of axioms for clustering, NIPS 2008.
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Les Houches Lectures on Deep Learning at Large & Infinite Width III: Input–Output Jacobian of Random ReLU NetworksTextbook

Motivation

Lecture 5 of the Les Houches lectures on deep learning at large and infinite width (arXiv:2309.01592, Section 5, lectures by B. Hanin) shows that a random ReLU network evaluated at a single input can be solved exactly. The statistics of the network depend on depth LLL and width nnn through the inverse temperature β=5∑ℓ=1L1/nℓ≈5L/n\beta = 5\sum_{\ell=1}^{L} 1/n_\ell \approx 5L/nβ=5∑ℓ=1L​1/nℓ​≈5L/n. The input–output Jacobian is the simplest quantity where this can be seen. Its second moment does not depend on depth or width. Its fourth moment grows like eβe^{\beta}eβ, which gives a quantitative sense in which the regime where both LLL and nnn are large is controlled by L/nL/nL/n rather than by LLL or nnn alone. The lectures derive this through a combinatorial sum-over-paths formalism developed in Hanin's earlier papers (references [20–22] of the notes).

Setting

Fix a depth L≥1L\ge 1L≥1 and widths n0,…,nL+1≥1n_0,\dots,n_{L+1}\ge 1n0​,…,nL+1​≥1. Let μ\muμ be a probability measure on R\mathbb RR that has a density with respect to Lebesgue measure, is symmetric (μ(−A)=μ(A)\mu(-A)=\mu(A)μ(−A)=μ(A)), and has variance ∫t2 dμ=1\int t^2\,d\mu=1∫t2dμ=1. The weights are

Wij(ℓ)=(2nℓ−1)1/2W^ij(ℓ),W^ij(ℓ) i.i.d.∼μ,1≤ℓ≤L+1,W^{(\ell)}_{ij}=\Big(\tfrac{2}{n_{\ell-1}}\Big)^{1/2}\widehat W^{(\ell)}_{ij},\qquad \widehat W^{(\ell)}_{ij}\ \text{i.i.d.}\sim\mu,\qquad 1\le\ell\le L+1,Wij(ℓ)​=(nℓ−1​2​)1/2Wij(ℓ)​,Wij(ℓ)​ i.i.d.∼μ,1≤ℓ≤L+1,

all biases are 000, and the preactivations at an input x∈Rn0x\in\mathbb R^{n_0}x∈Rn0​ are

z(1)=W(1)x,z(ℓ+1)=W(ℓ+1) ReLU(z(ℓ))(1≤ℓ≤L),ReLU(t)=max⁡(t,0).z^{(1)}=W^{(1)}x,\qquad z^{(\ell+1)}=W^{(\ell+1)}\,\mathrm{ReLU}\big(z^{(\ell)}\big)\quad(1\le\ell\le L),\qquad \mathrm{ReLU}(t)=\max(t,0).z(1)=W(1)x,z(ℓ+1)=W(ℓ+1)ReLU(z(ℓ))(1≤ℓ≤L),ReLU(t)=max(t,0).

The network output is z(L+1)(x)∈RnL+1z^{(L+1)}(x)\in\mathbb R^{n_{L+1}}z(L+1)(x)∈RnL+1​. The input–output Jacobian has entries ∂zq(L+1)/∂xp\partial z^{(L+1)}_q/\partial x_p∂zq(L+1)​/∂xp​. A path is a tuple γ=(γ(0),…,γ(L+1))\gamma=(\gamma(0),\dots,\gamma(L+1))γ=(γ(0),…,γ(L+1)) with γ(ℓ)∈{1,…,nℓ}\gamma(\ell)\in\{1,\dots,n_\ell\}γ(ℓ)∈{1,…,nℓ​}, and Γp,q\Gamma_{p,q}Γp,q​ is the set of paths with γ(0)=p\gamma(0)=pγ(0)=p and γ(L+1)=q\gamma(L+1)=qγ(L+1)=q. Along a path, Wγ(ℓ)=Wγ(ℓ)γ(ℓ−1)(ℓ)W^{(\ell)}_\gamma=W^{(\ell)}_{\gamma(\ell)\gamma(\ell-1)}Wγ(ℓ)​=Wγ(ℓ)γ(ℓ−1)(ℓ)​ and ξγ(ℓ)=1{zγ(ℓ)(ℓ)(x)>0}\xi^{(\ell)}_{\gamma}=\mathbf 1\{z^{(\ell)}_{\gamma(\ell)}(x)>0\}ξγ(ℓ)​=1{zγ(ℓ)(ℓ)​(x)>0}.

Formalization targets

Goal: second moment of the Jacobian (eq. (124))

For every fixed input x≠0x\neq0x=0 and all p,qp,qp,q,

E[(∂zq(L+1)∂xp)2]=2n0.\mathbb E\Big[\Big(\frac{\partial z^{(L+1)}_q}{\partial x_p}\Big)^2\Big]=\frac{2}{n_0}.E[(∂xp​∂zq(L+1)​​)2]=n0​2​.

Milestones

  1. Eq. (123): the output is a sum over paths, zq(L+1)=∑pxp∑γ∈Γp,q∏ℓ=1L+1Wγ(ℓ)∏ℓ=1Lξγ(ℓ)z^{(L+1)}_q=\sum_p x_p\sum_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{p,q}}\prod_{\ell=1}^{L+1}W^{(\ell)}_\gamma\prod_{\ell=1}^{L}\xi^{(\ell)}_\gammazq(L+1)​=∑p​xp​∑γ∈Γp,q​​∏ℓ=1L+1​Wγ(ℓ)​∏ℓ=1L​ξγ(ℓ)​.
  2. Proposition 5.2: at a fixed input x≠0x\neq 0x=0, the output has the same law as the output W(L+1)D(L)W(L)⋯D(1)W(1)xW^{(L+1)}D^{(L)}W^{(L)}\cdots D^{(1)}W^{(1)}xW(L+1)D(L)W(L)⋯D(1)W(1)x of a deep linear network with dropout. Here the D(ℓ)D^{(\ell)}D(ℓ) are diagonal with i.i.d. Bernoulli(1/2)(1/2)(1/2) entries, independent of the weights.
  3. Section 5.4, first exercise: almost surely, ∂zq(L+1)/∂xp=∑γ∈Γp,q∏ℓWγ(ℓ)∏ℓξγ(ℓ)\partial z^{(L+1)}_q/\partial x_p=\sum_{\gamma\in\Gamma_{p,q}}\prod_\ell W^{(\ell)}_\gamma\prod_\ell\xi^{(\ell)}_\gamma∂zq(L+1)​/∂xp​=∑γ∈Γp,q​​∏ℓ​Wγ(ℓ)​∏ℓ​ξγ(ℓ)​.
  4. Section 5.4, first exercise (conclusion): the law of ∂zq(L+1)/∂xp\partial z^{(L+1)}_q/\partial x_p∂zq(L+1)​/∂xp​ is the same for all x≠0x\neq0x=0.
  5. Section 5.5, fourth moment: E[(∂zq(L+1)/∂xp)4]=cn02exp⁡(5∑ℓ=1L1nℓ+O(L/n2))\mathbb E[(\partial z^{(L+1)}_q/\partial x_p)^4]=\frac{c}{n_0^2}\exp\big(5\sum_{\ell=1}^L\frac1{n_\ell}+O(L/n^2)\big)E[(∂zq(L+1)​/∂xp​)4]=n02​c​exp(5∑ℓ=1L​nℓ​1​+O(L/n2)). This is stated under the extra hypothesis ∫t4 dμ=3\int t^4\,d\mu=3∫t4dμ=3 (see Formalization scope).

Significance

Identity (124) says that, with the initialization CW=2C_W=2CW​=2 and zero biases, the typical size of the input–output Jacobian does not depend on depth or width. This is the exact form of the "criticality" of ReLU at CW=2C_W=2CW​=2. The fourth-moment statement shows that the fluctuations are not controlled in this way: they grow exponentially in β≈5L/n\beta\approx 5L/nβ≈5L/n. Together with Proposition 5.2, these results turn questions about deep random ReLU networks at one input into questions about products of random matrices with dropout. As far as the drafter knows, these statements have not been machine-checked before. The mission asks for formal proofs of the lecture's exact identities.

Difficulty

The ReLU network is not a linear function of the weights. Its activation pattern ξ(ℓ)\xi^{(\ell)}ξ(ℓ) depends on the weights of all earlier layers, so the path sum cannot be averaged term by term without first showing that the activation pattern is, in distribution, independent of the weights. That is the content of Proposition 5.2, which is argued only in sketch form in the notes. On top of that, the Jacobian must be identified with the path sum almost surely: at inputs where a preactivation vanishes the network is not differentiable. This requires the density assumption on μ\muμ and a separate treatment of layers in which every neuron is inactive.

Formalization scope

  • Widths form a sequence n : ℕ → ℕ; only n0,…,nL+1n_0,\dots,n_{L+1}n0​,…,nL+1​ are used. The normalized weights are coordinates of the product measure μ⊗\mu^{\otimes}μ⊗ on a finite index set (weightLaw). The Bernoulli masks are coordinates of the uniform product measure on Bool (maskLaw).
  • The Jacobian entry is the Fréchet derivative (fderiv) of y↦zq(L+1)(y)y\mapsto z^{(L+1)}_q(y)y↦zq(L+1)​(y) at xxx applied to the ppp-th basis vector. Mathlib returns 000 at points of non-differentiability, which form a null event for x≠0x\neq0x=0.
  • The notes write Wγ(ℓ)=Wγ(ℓ−1)γ(ℓ)(ℓ)W^{(\ell)}_\gamma=W^{(\ell)}_{\gamma(\ell-1)\gamma(\ell)}Wγ(ℓ)​=Wγ(ℓ−1)γ(ℓ)(ℓ)​. The formalization uses the orientation Wγ(ℓ)γ(ℓ−1)(ℓ)W^{(\ell)}_{\gamma(\ell)\gamma(\ell-1)}Wγ(ℓ)γ(ℓ−1)(ℓ)​, which matches the row/column convention of the network recursion.
  • Fourth moment. For a general μ\muμ the claim in §5.5 appears to need a correction. An informal computation (not part of this draft's verified content) gives a boundary term 2(μ4−3)(1/n1+1/nL)2(\mu_4-3)(1/n_1+1/n_L)2(μ4​−3)(1/n1​+1/nL​) in the exponent, which is of order 1/n1/n1/n rather than L/n2L/n^2L/n2 unless μ4=∫t4dμ=3\mu_4=\int t^4d\mu=3μ4​=∫t4dμ=3 (for example Gaussian μ\muμ). The milestone is therefore stated under the extra hypothesis μ4=3\mu_4=3μ4​=3. The constant c>0c>0c>0 and the O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constant may depend on μ\muμ only.
  • An integral of a non-integrable function is 000 in Mathlib. The goal therefore also asserts integrability of the squared Jacobian, because 2/n0≠02/n_0\neq02/n0​=0.

Selected references

  • Y. Bahri, B. Hanin, A. Brossollet, V. Erba, C. Keup, R. Pacelli, J. B. Simon, Les Houches Lectures on Deep Learning at Large & Infinite Width, 2023. arXiv:2309.01592
  • B. Hanin, M. Nica, Products of Many Large Random Matrices and Gradients in Deep Neural Networks, Comm. Math. Phys., 2020. arXiv:1812.05994
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Les Houches Lectures on Deep Learning at Large & Infinite Width II: Finite-Width Four-Point Function RecursionTextbook

Motivation

At infinite width a randomly initialized network is a Gaussian process (Mission I of this series). Real networks have finite width nnn, and the leading departure from Gaussianity is measured by the connected four-point function κ4\kappa_4κ4​. It captures both correlations between neurons and non-Gaussian fluctuations. Lecture 4 of the Les Houches lectures (arXiv:2309.01592, lectures by B. Hanin) states the central finite-width result, Theorem 4.2: κ4\kappa_4κ4​ is of order 1/n1/n1/n and obeys an explicit layer-to-layer recursion up to O(n−2)O(n^{-2})O(n−2). At criticality this gives the effective depth L/nL/nL/n as the parameter controlling finite-width effects. The result was first derived at a physics level of rigor by Yaida (2020) and in Roberts–Yaida–Hanin (2022), and later derived more mathematically by Hanin (reference [19] of the notes).

Setting

A network of depth LLL with widths n0,…,nL+1n_0,\dots,n_{L+1}n0​,…,nL+1​ and nonlinearity σ\sigmaσ has preactivations z(1)=b(1)+W(1)xz^{(1)}=b^{(1)}+W^{(1)}xz(1)=b(1)+W(1)x and z(ℓ+1)=b(ℓ+1)+W(ℓ+1)σ(z(ℓ))z^{(\ell+1)}=b^{(\ell+1)}+W^{(\ell+1)}\sigma(z^{(\ell)})z(ℓ+1)=b(ℓ+1)+W(ℓ+1)σ(z(ℓ)). The parameters are independent, with Wij(ℓ)∼N(0,CW/nℓ−1)W^{(\ell)}_{ij}\sim\mathcal N(0,C_W/n_{\ell-1})Wij(ℓ)​∼N(0,CW​/nℓ−1​) and bi(ℓ)∼N(0,Cb)b^{(\ell)}_i\sim\mathcal N(0,C_b)bi(ℓ)​∼N(0,Cb​), where Cb≥0C_b\ge0Cb​≥0 and CW>0C_W>0CW​>0 (eqs. (118)–(119)). At a single input xxx, write ⟨f⟩K\langle f\rangle_K⟨f⟩K​ for the average of fff against N(0,K)\mathcal N(0,K)N(0,K). The infinite-width kernel is K(1)=Cb+CW∣x∣2/n0K^{(1)}=C_b+C_W|x|^2/n_0K(1)=Cb​+CW​∣x∣2/n0​ and K(ℓ+1)=Cb+CW⟨σ2⟩K(ℓ)K^{(\ell+1)}=C_b+C_W\langle\sigma^2\rangle_{K^{(\ell)}}K(ℓ+1)=Cb​+CW​⟨σ2⟩K(ℓ)​ (eq. (120)). The parallel susceptibility is χ∥(ℓ)=CW ∂K⟨σ2⟩K∣K=K(ℓ)\chi_\parallel^{(\ell)}=C_W\,\partial_K\langle\sigma^2\rangle_K|_{K=K^{(\ell)}}χ∥(ℓ)​=CW​∂K​⟨σ2⟩K​∣K=K(ℓ)​. The normalized connected four-point function is

κ4(ℓ)=13(E[(zi(ℓ))4]−3 E[(zi(ℓ))2]2).\kappa^{(\ell)}_4=\tfrac13\Big(\mathbb E\big[(z^{(\ell)}_i)^4\big]-3\,\mathbb E\big[(z^{(\ell)}_i)^2\big]^2\Big).κ4(ℓ)​=31​(E[(zi(ℓ)​)4]−3E[(zi(ℓ)​)2]2).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2, recursion for κ4\kappa_4κ4​

If the hidden widths satisfy n≤nℓ≤Ann\le n_\ell\le Ann≤nℓ​≤An, then κ4(ℓ)=O(n−1)\kappa^{(\ell)}_4=O(n^{-1})κ4(ℓ)​=O(n−1) and

κ4(ℓ+1)=CW2nℓ VarK(ℓ)[σ2]+(χ∥(ℓ))2κ4(ℓ)+O(n−2),\kappa^{(\ell+1)}_4=\frac{C_W^2}{n_\ell}\,\mathrm{Var}_{K^{(\ell)}}\big[\sigma^2\big]+\big(\chi^{(\ell)}_\parallel\big)^2\kappa^{(\ell)}_4+O(n^{-2}),κ4(ℓ+1)​=nℓ​CW2​​VarK(ℓ)​[σ2]+(χ∥(ℓ)​)2κ4(ℓ)​+O(n−2),

with constants independent of the widths.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 4.3: AW∼N(Aμ,AΣAT)AW\sim\mathcal N(A\mu,A\Sigma A^{T})AW∼N(Aμ,AΣAT) for W∼N(μ,Σ)W\sim\mathcal N(\mu,\Sigma)W∼N(μ,Σ).
  2. Lemma 4.4: conditional on z(ℓ)z^{(\ell)}z(ℓ), the vector z(ℓ+1)z^{(\ell+1)}z(ℓ+1) is Gaussian with covariance Σ(ℓ)I\Sigma^{(\ell)}IΣ(ℓ)I, where Σ(ℓ)=Cb+CWnℓ∑jσ(zj(ℓ))2\Sigma^{(\ell)}=C_b+\frac{C_W}{n_\ell}\sum_j\sigma(z^{(\ell)}_j)^2Σ(ℓ)=Cb​+nℓ​CW​​∑j​σ(zj(ℓ)​)2; moreover κ4(ℓ+1)=Var[Σ(ℓ)]\kappa^{(\ell+1)}_4=\mathrm{Var}[\Sigma^{(\ell)}]κ4(ℓ+1)​=Var[Σ(ℓ)].
  3. Section 4.8, exercise: κ4(ℓ)=Cov((zi(ℓ))2,(zj(ℓ))2)\kappa^{(\ell)}_4=\mathrm{Cov}\big((z^{(\ell)}_i)^2,(z^{(\ell)}_j)^2\big)κ4(ℓ)​=Cov((zi(ℓ)​)2,(zj(ℓ)​)2) for i≠ji\neq ji=j.
  4. Theorem 4.2, criticality (ReLU, Cb=0C_b=0Cb​=0, CW=2C_W=2CW​=2, uniform width): κ4(L+1)/(K(L+1))2=CσL/n+OL(n−2)\kappa^{(L+1)}_4/(K^{(L+1)})^2=C_\sigma L/n+O_L(n^{-2})κ4(L+1)​/(K(L+1))2=Cσ​L/n+OL​(n−2).
  5. Theorem 4.2, expansion of observables: Ef(z1(ℓ),…,zm(ℓ))=⟨f⟩G(ℓ)+κ4(ℓ)8⟨(∑j∂j4+∑j1≠j2∂j12∂j22)f⟩K(ℓ)+O(n−2)\mathbb E f(z^{(\ell)}_1,\dots,z^{(\ell)}_m)=\langle f\rangle_{G^{(\ell)}}+\frac{\kappa^{(\ell)}_4}{8}\big\langle\big(\sum_j\partial_j^4+\sum_{j_1\neq j_2}\partial_{j_1}^2\partial_{j_2}^2\big)f\big\rangle_{K^{(\ell)}}+O(n^{-2})Ef(z1(ℓ)​,…,zm(ℓ)​)=⟨f⟩G(ℓ)​+8κ4(ℓ)​​⟨(∑j​∂j4​+∑j1​=j2​​∂j1​2​∂j2​2​)f⟩K(ℓ)​+O(n−2).

Significance

Theorem 4.2 is the first quantitative statement that finite-width networks at initialization are not Gaussian processes. The size of the deviation is 1/n1/n1/n per layer, and it accumulates linearly in depth at criticality. This is the basis for the claim of Lecture 4 that L/nL/nL/n controls correlations between neurons, fluctuations and, in later lectures, feature learning. As far as the drafter knows these statements have not been machine-checked. Lemma 4.4 and the covariance exercise are exact finite-width identities and are natural first targets.

Difficulty

The next layer is Gaussian only conditionally, with a random variance Σ(ℓ)\Sigma^{(\ell)}Σ(ℓ) that is an average over nℓn_\ellnℓ​ dependent neurons. Establishing the recursion to order n−2n^{-2}n−2 requires expanding Gaussian averages around the mean of Σ(ℓ)\Sigma^{(\ell)}Σ(ℓ) and controlling all higher cumulants of this collective observable uniformly in the widths. The nonlinearity is only assumed polynomially bounded, so smoothness must come from Gaussian averaging, not from σ\sigmaσ.

Formalization scope

  • Mission I's definitions (LesHouchesWidth_GaussianMLP: the network mlpZ, stdGaussianParams, nngpKernel, uniformWidths) are reused. Mission I must be launched first, and its definition then added to this proposal as a reference item.
  • New definitions (LesHouchesWidth_FiniteWidth): gaussAvg, gaussAvgVec, gaussVarSq, chiParallel, PolyBounded, kappa4, dressedTwoPoint, collectiveSigma.
  • "n1,…,nL≃nn_1,\dots,n_L\simeq nn1​,…,nL​≃n" is encoded as n≤nℓ≤Ann\le n_\ell\le Ann≤nℓ​≤An for a fixed A≥1A\ge1A≥1. The O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) constants may depend on all fixed data (Cb,CW,σ,L,n0,nL+1,x,AC_b,C_W,\sigma,L,n_0,n_{L+1},x,ACb​,CW​,σ,L,n0​,nL+1​,x,A, and m,fm,fm,f where relevant) but not on nnn or on the widths.
  • "Reasonable" σ\sigmaσ is taken to mean measurable and polynomially bounded, and the kernel is assumed nondegenerate: K(ℓ)>0K^{(\ell)}>0K(ℓ)>0 for 1≤ℓ≤L+11\le\ell\le L+11≤ℓ≤L+1, as the density-based definition of ⟨⋅⟩K\langle\cdot\rangle_K⟨⋅⟩K​ in Section 4.2 requires. "Reasonable" test functions fff are taken to be smooth with polynomially bounded derivatives of all orders.
  • The expansion of observables is stated with κ4(ℓ)\kappa^{(\ell)}_4κ4(ℓ)​ in front of the correction. The printed κ4(ℓ+1)\kappa^{(\ell+1)}_4κ4(ℓ+1)​ appears to be an index slip: with κ4(ℓ)\kappa^{(\ell)}_4κ4(ℓ)​ the formula reproduces E[z4]=3G2+3κ4\mathbb E[z^4]=3G^2+3\kappa_4E[z4]=3G2+3κ4​ and E[z12z22]=G2+κ4\mathbb E[z_1^2z_2^2]=G^2+\kappa_4E[z12​z22​]=G2+κ4​ exactly.
  • The criticality statement is formalized for ReLU at Cb=0C_b=0Cb​=0, CW=2C_W=2CW​=2, the one critical example in the notes where K(ℓ)K^{(\ell)}K(ℓ) is constant. For σ=tanh⁡\sigma=\tanhσ=tanh the notes' "≃\simeq≃" is asymptotic in depth and is not formalized here.

Selected references

  • Y. Bahri, B. Hanin, A. Brossollet, V. Erba, C. Keup, R. Pacelli, J. B. Simon, Les Houches Lectures on Deep Learning at Large & Infinite Width, 2023. arXiv:2309.01592
  • S. Yaida, Non-Gaussian processes and neural networks at finite widths, MSML 2020. arXiv:1910.00019
  • D. A. Roberts, S. Yaida, B. Hanin, The Principles of Deep Learning Theory, Cambridge University Press, 2022. arXiv:2106.10165
  • B. Hanin, Random Fully Connected Neural Networks as Perturbatively Solvable Hierarchies, 2022. arXiv:2204.01058
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Les Houches Lectures on Deep Learning at Large & Infinite Width I: Gaussian-Process Limit of Wide Networks and Wick's TheoremTextbook

Motivation

A fully connected neural network with random Gaussian weights defines a random function of its input. Lecture 1 of the Les Houches lectures on deep learning at large and infinite width (arXiv:2309.01592, lectures by Y. Bahri) explains that, when the hidden layers become infinitely wide, this random function becomes a Gaussian process (the "neural network Gaussian process", NNGP). Its covariance kernel is computed by an explicit layer-to-layer recursion. The observation goes back to Neal (1996) for one hidden layer. It was extended to deep networks by Matthews et al. and Lee et al. (2018). It underlies Bayesian inference with infinitely wide networks (Section 1.6) and the analysis of signal propagation at large depth (Section 1.7). Lecture 2 introduces Wick's theorem, the tool for computing moments of Gaussian vectors that the lectures then use for finite-width corrections.

Setting

A network of depth LLL with widths n0,…,nL+1n_0,\dots,n_{L+1}n0​,…,nL+1​ and nonlinearity φ\varphiφ maps an input x∈Rn0x\in\mathbb R^{n_0}x∈Rn0​ to preactivations

zi(1)=bi(1)+∑jWij(1)xj,zi(ℓ+1)=bi(ℓ+1)+∑jWij(ℓ+1) φ(zj(ℓ)),z^{(1)}_i=b^{(1)}_i+\sum_{j}W^{(1)}_{ij}x_j,\qquad z^{(\ell+1)}_i=b^{(\ell+1)}_i+\sum_{j}W^{(\ell+1)}_{ij}\,\varphi\big(z^{(\ell)}_j\big),zi(1)​=bi(1)​+j∑​Wij(1)​xj​,zi(ℓ+1)​=bi(ℓ+1)​+j∑​Wij(ℓ+1)​φ(zj(ℓ)​),

with independent bi(ℓ)∼N(0,σb2)b^{(\ell)}_i\sim\mathcal N(0,\sigma_b^2)bi(ℓ)​∼N(0,σb2​) and Wij(ℓ)∼N(0,σw2/nℓ−1)W^{(\ell)}_{ij}\sim\mathcal N(0,\sigma_w^2/n_{\ell-1})Wij(ℓ)​∼N(0,σw2​/nℓ−1​) (eqs. (1)–(3) and (5); layers are indexed as in Lectures 4–5, so zlz^{l}zl of Lecture 1 is z(l+1)z^{(l+1)}z(l+1) here). For a 2×22\times22×2 covariance Σ\SigmaΣ write Fφ(Σ11,Σ12,Σ22)=E(u1,u2)∼N(0,Σ)[φ(u1)φ(u2)]F_\varphi(\Sigma_{11},\Sigma_{12},\Sigma_{22})=\mathbb E_{(u_1,u_2)\sim\mathcal N(0,\Sigma)}[\varphi(u_1)\varphi(u_2)]Fφ​(Σ11​,Σ12​,Σ22​)=E(u1​,u2​)∼N(0,Σ)​[φ(u1​)φ(u2​)] (eq. (15)). The NNGP kernel is

K(1)(x,x′)=σb2+σw2 x⋅x′n0,K(ℓ+1)(x,x′)=σb2+σw2Fφ(K(ℓ)(x,x),K(ℓ)(x,x′),K(ℓ)(x′,x′)).K^{(1)}(x,x')=\sigma_b^2+\sigma_w^2\,\frac{x\cdot x'}{n_0},\qquad K^{(\ell+1)}(x,x')=\sigma_b^2+\sigma_w^2F_\varphi\big(K^{(\ell)}(x,x),K^{(\ell)}(x,x'),K^{(\ell)}(x',x')\big).K(1)(x,x′)=σb2​+σw2​n0​x⋅x′​,K(ℓ+1)(x,x′)=σb2​+σw2​Fφ​(K(ℓ)(x,x),K(ℓ)(x,x′),K(ℓ)(x′,x′)).

A pairing of {1,…,2m}\{1,\dots,2m\}{1,…,2m} is a partition into mmm two-element blocks.

Formalization targets

Goal: Result 1 (single hidden layer)

For a network with one hidden layer of width nnn, fixed inputs x1,…,xmx_1,\dots,x_mx1​,…,xm​ and output width n2n_2n2​, as n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞ the vector (zi(2)(xa))i≤n2, a≤m(z^{(2)}_i(x_a))_{i\le n_2,\,a\le m}(zi(2)​(xa​))i≤n2​,a≤m​ converges in distribution to a centered Gaussian with covariance

E[zi(2)(xa)zj(2)(xb)]→δijK(2)(xa,xb).\mathbb E\big[z^{(2)}_i(x_a)z^{(2)}_j(x_b)\big]\to\delta_{ij}K^{(2)}(x_a,x_b).E[zi(2)​(xa​)zj(2)​(xb​)]→δij​K(2)(xa​,xb​).

Milestones

  1. Eq. (10): E[zi(1)(x)zi(1)(x′)]=K(1)(x,x′)\mathbb E[z^{(1)}_i(x)z^{(1)}_i(x')]=K^{(1)}(x,x')E[zi(1)​(x)zi(1)​(x′)]=K(1)(x,x′).
  2. Eqs. (9), (11): E[zi(2)(x)zi(2)(x′)]=K(2)(x,x′)\mathbb E[z^{(2)}_i(x)z^{(2)}_i(x')]=K^{(2)}(x,x')E[zi(2)​(x)zi(2)​(x′)]=K(2)(x,x′) at every finite width.
  3. Eq. (16): closed form of FReLUF_{\mathrm{ReLU}}FReLU​ (the arc-cosine kernel).
  4. Result 2 (Wick's theorem): E[zμ1⋯zμ2m]=∑pairings∏Kμkμk′\mathbb E[z_{\mu_1}\cdots z_{\mu_{2m}}]=\sum_{\text{pairings}}\prod K_{\mu_k\mu_{k'}}E[zμ1​​⋯zμ2m​​]=∑pairings​∏Kμk​μk′​​ for z∼N(0,K)z\sim\mathcal N(0,K)z∼N(0,K), and odd moments vanish.

A further item states the deep version of the limit, eqs. (13)–(14), in the simultaneous-width limit. It is included as a supporting theorem rather than a milestone.

Significance

Result 1 and its deep extension identify the prior over functions induced by random initialization. They also make the NNGP kernel the central computational object of the infinite-width theory. The finite-width covariance identities (9)–(11) are exact and explain where the recursion comes from. Formula (16) makes the recursion explicit for ReLU. Wick's theorem is the basic tool of the finite-width perturbation theory of later lectures. These are classical results. The mission asks for their formal proofs against a single shared model of random networks that the later missions of this series reuse.

Difficulty

Result 1 is a multivariate central limit theorem for sums of nnn i.i.d. vectors whose entries are products of a Gaussian weight and a nonlinear function of Gaussian first-layer preactivations. No assumption beyond square-integrability of φ\varphiφ against the relevant Gaussians is imposed, so the CLT must be applied in its L2L^2L2 form. The deep limit is harder: for L≥2L\ge2L≥2 the hidden preactivations are not Gaussian at finite width, and one must control a triangular array in which the widths of all layers grow together. The ReLU formula (16) is an explicit but delicate Gaussian integral over a cone.

Formalization scope

  • The parameters are coordinates of i.i.d. standard Gaussians (stdGaussianParams), scaled by σb\sigma_bσb​ and σw/nℓ−1\sigma_w/\sqrt{n_{\ell-1}}σw​/nℓ−1​​ (mlpBias, mlpWeight). This is equality in law with the prior (5).
  • Bivariate Gaussian averages use Mathlib's multivariateGaussian. Convergence in distribution is stated with bounded continuous test functions: E g(Zn)→∫g dN(0,C)\mathbb E\,g(Z_n)\to\int g\,d\mathcal N(0,C)Eg(Zn​)→∫gdN(0,C) for every bounded continuous ggg.
  • The one-hidden-layer goal assumes only that φ\varphiφ is measurable and that φ2\varphi^2φ2 is integrable against N(0,K(1)(xa,xa))\mathcal N(0,K^{(1)}(x_a,x_a))N(0,K(1)(xa​,xa​)) for each input. The deep statement assumes φ\varphiφ continuous with a linear envelope ∣φ(u)∣≤c+M∣u∣|\varphi(u)|\le c+M|u|∣φ(u)∣≤c+M∣u∣, the condition used by Matthews et al. (2018). The notes defer to the references for these conditions.
  • Pairings are fixed-point-free involutions of {0,…,2m−1}\{0,\dots,2m-1\}{0,…,2m−1}.

Selected references

  • Y. Bahri, B. Hanin, A. Brossollet, V. Erba, C. Keup, R. Pacelli, J. B. Simon, Les Houches Lectures on Deep Learning at Large & Infinite Width, 2023. arXiv:2309.01592
  • R. M. Neal, Bayesian Learning for Neural Networks, Springer, 1996. doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-0745-0
  • A. G. de G. Matthews, M. Rowland, J. Hron, R. E. Turner, Z. Ghahramani, Gaussian Process Behaviour in Wide Deep Neural Networks, ICLR 2018. arXiv:1804.11271
  • Y. Cho, L. K. Saul, Kernel Methods for Deep Learning, NeurIPS 2009.
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An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory V: Classification Noise and Statistical QueriesTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 5 of Kearns and Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory (MIT Press, 1994, doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001), asks what happens to PAC learning when the labels are unreliable. In the classification noise model of Angluin and Laird, each label returned by the oracle is flipped independently with a fixed probability η<1/2\eta < 1/2η<1/2. The algorithms of Chapter 1 collapse at once: the elimination algorithm deletes a correct literal on the strength of a single mislabeled example, and the tightest-fit rectangle may not exist. The chapter's remedy is to learn from statistics: an algorithm that forms its hypothesis only from estimates of probabilities of simple events is insensitive to occasional wrong labels. Kearns's statistical query model makes this precise, replacing the example oracle by an oracle that returns the probability of any predicate of a labeled example to within a tolerance, and the main theorem (5.3) shows that every class learnable from statistical queries is PAC learnable in the presence of classification noise. The proof rests on a single identity, Equation (5.2), that expresses the true value of a statistical query in terms of three quantities that can each be estimated from noisy examples, and on the observation that a hypothesis's disagreement with the noisy label is an affine function of its true error, which lets the best of several candidate hypotheses be recognized without clean data.

Setting

The framework is that of Mission I. The noisy example law is that of (x,b)(x, b)(x,b) with x∼Dx \sim Dx∼D and b=c(x)b = c(x)b=c(x) flipped with probability η\etaη. A statistical query is a predicate χ\chiχ of a labeled example with value Pχ=Pr⁡x∼D[χ(x,c(x))=1]P_\chi = \Pr_{x \sim D}[\chi(x, c(x)) = 1]Pχ​=Prx∼D​[χ(x,c(x))=1]. The inputs split into X1X_1X1​, where the label matters to χ\chiχ, and X2X_2X2​, where it does not; p1=D(X1)p_1 = D(X_1)p1​=D(X1​) and D1D_1D1​ is DDD conditioned on X1X_1X1​. For conjunctions over {0,1}n\{0,1\}^n{0,1}n, p0(z)p_0(z)p0​(z) is the probability that a literal zzz is set to 000 and p01(z)p_{01}(z)p01​(z) the probability that it is 000 on a positive example; zzz is significant if p0(z)≥ϵ/8np_0(z) \ge \epsilon/8np0​(z)≥ϵ/8n and harmful if p01(z)≥ϵ/8np_{01}(z) \ge \epsilon/8np01​(z)≥ϵ/8n.

Formalization targets

Goal: Equation (5.2)

For 0≤η<1/20 \le \eta < 1/20≤η<1/2 and every statistical query χ\chiχ,

Pχ=p1⋅Pr⁡EXCNη(c,D1)[χ=1]−η1−2η+Pr⁡EXCNη(c,D)[χ=1∧x∈X2],P_\chi = p_1 \cdot \frac{\Pr_{EX^\eta_{CN}(c, D_1)}[\chi = 1] - \eta}{1 - 2\eta} + \Pr_{EX^\eta_{CN}(c, D)}[\chi = 1 \wedge x \in X_2],Pχ​=p1​⋅1−2ηPrEXCNη​(c,D1​)​[χ=1]−η​+EXCNη​(c,D)Pr​[χ=1∧x∈X2​],

the probabilities on the right being taken under the noisy oracle.

Milestones

The §5.2 analysis behind Theorem 5.2 (the conjunction of all significant, non-harmful literals has error at most ϵ/2\epsilon/2ϵ/2); the product estimate bound of p. 115 (AB−2τ′≤A^B^≤AB+3τ′AB - 2\tau' \le \hat A\hat B \le AB + 3\tau'AB−2τ′≤A^B^≤AB+3τ′); the identity of p. 117 (γh=η+(1−2η) error(h)\gamma_h = \eta + (1 - 2\eta)\,\mathrm{error}(h)γh​=η+(1−2η)error(h)).

Significance

Equation (5.2) is the entire mechanism of noise-tolerant learning in the statistical query model: the noisy oracle cannot be de-noised example by example, but the probability of any predicate can be recovered exactly from noisy probabilities, because on the inputs where the label matters the noise acts as a known affine contraction and on the others it acts not at all. Together with the p. 117 identity, which turns hypothesis selection into a comparison of noisy disagreement rates, and the Chernoff bounds of Mission IV, it yields Theorem 5.3 and hence noise-tolerant algorithms for every class the book has learned so far (conjunctions, decision lists, kkk-CNF). The §5.2 analysis is the first statistical-query algorithm and shows the pattern: a hypothesis defined by thresholds on a few probabilities, with enough slack between the thresholds that estimates suffice. None of this is machine-checked. The formalization fixes the noisy example law on the platform's sample framework and proves the exact identities on which the noise-tolerant simulation depends.

Difficulty

Equation (5.2) is a computation with the pushforward of a product measure: one must express the noisy law on X1X_1X1​ as a mixture of the clean law and its label-flipped image, solve the affine relation for the clean probability, and combine with the restriction to X2X_2X2​, where the flipped and unflipped labels give the same value of χ\chiχ; the degenerate case D(X1)=0D(X_1) = 0D(X1​)=0, in which the conditional measure is zero and the first term vanishes, must be handled separately. The p. 117 identity is the same computation without the split. The §5.2 analysis is two union bounds over the 2n2n2n literals after the observation that a literal of the target is never harmful and that a literal of the hypothesis is never insignificant. The product lemma is elementary arithmetic with a case split at A<τ′A < \tau'A<τ′.

Formalization scope

The noisy oracle is a measure on labeled examples obtained by mapping the product of DDD and a Bernoulli(η\etaη) coin; the conditional D1D_1D1​ is Mathlib's conditional measure; queries are arbitrary measurable predicates of a labeled example, with no tolerance or query-count bookkeeping. Theorem 5.3 itself, the definitions of efficient learnability from statistical queries (Definition 14) and of efficient noisy PAC learnability (Definition 13), Theorem 5.1, Theorem 5.2 as a statement about an algorithm with oracle access, and Corollary 5.4 are not stated: they quantify over query algorithms and their running times, for which this series has no model; the mission carries their exact probabilistic content. The error-propagation analysis of §5.4.2–5.4.3 with tolerance τ/27\tau/27τ/27 and the guessing resolution Δ\DeltaΔ is not stated beyond the product lemma, since the factor 1/(1−2η)1/(1-2\eta)1/(1−2η) is not in [0,1][0,1][0,1] and the book's constant does not account for it. Hypotheses: 0≤η<1/20 \le \eta < 1/20≤η<1/2 for the decomposition, 0≤η≤10 \le \eta \le 10≤η≤1 for the disagreement identity, ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0 for the conjunction analysis, all reals in [0,1][0,1][0,1] for the product lemma.

Trivializing readings are excluded: the decomposition is an exact identity for every measurable query, and the conjunction bound is for the exact thresholds ϵ/8n\epsilon/8nϵ/8n with the union bound's ϵ/2\epsilon/2ϵ/2. Welcome contributions: the mixture representation of the noisy law, the restriction of a pushforward to X2X_2X2​, and the two union bounds.

Selected references

  • M. J. Kearns, U. V. Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, MIT Press, 1994, Chapter 5. doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001
  • D. Angluin, P. Laird, Learning from noisy examples, Machine Learning 2(4), 1988. doi:10.1007/BF00116829
  • M. Kearns, Efficient noise-tolerant learning from statistical queries, Journal of the ACM 45(6), 1998. doi:10.1145/293347.293351
  • M. Kearns, M. Li, Learning in the presence of malicious errors, SIAM Journal on Computing 22(4), 1993. doi:10.1137/0222052
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An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory IV: Weak and Strong Learning, Boosting and Chernoff BoundsTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 4 of Kearns and Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory (MIT Press, 1994, doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001), asks whether the PAC model's demand for arbitrarily small error and confidence is essential. A weak learning algorithm need only, with some fixed positive probability, output a hypothesis that beats random guessing by a fixed margin. Schapire's theorem, the chapter's main result, says that this apparently much weaker requirement is equivalent to the original one: any weak learner can be converted, by running it on carefully filtered distributions and combining its hypotheses by majority votes, into a strong learner. The construction is boosting, which became one of the most influential ideas in machine learning. The chapter proves the equivalence in two steps. Boosting the confidence is elementary: run the learner several times and validate. Boosting the accuracy is the substance: a modest procedure that combines three hypotheses, each with error at most β\betaβ on its own distribution, into a majority with error at most g(β)=3β2−2β3<βg(\beta) = 3\beta^2 - 2\beta^3 < \betag(β)=3β2−2β3<β, applied recursively until the error is driven below the target. The Chernoff bounds of the Appendix, the book's workhorse for estimating probabilities from samples, are what makes the validation steps rigorous.

Setting

The framework is that of Mission I. A class CCC is weakly learnable using HHH if for some advantage γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0, confidence δ0>0\delta_0 > 0δ0​>0 and sample size mmm, an algorithm outputs hypotheses in HHH that, for every target in CCC and every distribution, have error at most 1/2−γ1/2 - \gamma1/2−γ with probability at least δ0\delta_0δ0​; the algorithm's prediction L(S)(x)L(S)(x)L(S)(x) is a measurable function of the sample and the instance together, as it is for every algorithm. Given a hypothesis h1h_1h1​, the filtered distribution D2D_2D2​ gives weight 1/21/21/2 to the instances on which h1h_1h1​ errs and 1/21/21/2 to those on which it is correct, preserving relative weights within each part, and D3D_3D3​ is DDD conditioned on h1≠h2h_1 \ne h_2h1​=h2​; the modest procedure outputs majority(h1,h2,h3)\mathrm{majority}(h_1, h_2, h_3)majority(h1​,h2​,h3​). Ternary majority trees over HHH are the closure of HHH under the majority of three. For confidence boosting, kkk independent samples yield kkk hypotheses, and a fresh sample selects the one with the fewest mistakes. Bernoulli trials are mmm independent coin flips with success probability ppp.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.9

If CCC is weakly PAC learnable using measurable hypotheses in HHH, then CCC is PAC learnable using the class of ternary majority trees with leaves from HHH: for all ϵ,δ∈(0,1/2)\epsilon, \delta \in (0, 1/2)ϵ,δ∈(0,1/2) some sample size and some algorithm outputting majority trees achieve error at most ϵ\epsilonϵ with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ, for every target in CCC and every distribution.

Milestones

Theorem 9.2 (the additive and multiplicative Chernoff bounds); the two facts of §4.2 behind confidence boosting (independent runs all fail with probability at most (1−δ0)k(1 - \delta_0)^k(1−δ0​)k; the fewest-mistakes selection loses at most γ\gammaγ with probability at least 1−2ke−mγ2/21 - 2k e^{-m\gamma^2/2}1−2ke−mγ2/2); Lemma 4.1 (the modest procedure: error at most g(β)g(\beta)g(β)).

Significance

Theorem 4.9 is one of the landmark results of learning theory: it shows that the PAC model has no intermediate strength, that Occam learning, weak learning and strong learning coincide, and that the resources of a strong learner can be bounded polylogarithmically in 1/ϵ1/\epsilon1/ϵ in memory and hypothesis size. Its constructive proof is the first boosting algorithm, ancestor of AdaBoost and of gradient boosting. Lemma 4.1 is the analytic core, a clean inequality about three hypotheses and three distributions in which the filtered distribution is exactly calibrated so that h1h_1h1​ has no advantage on it. The Chernoff bounds are the concentration inequalities invoked throughout the book, and their formalization on the product law of Bernoulli trials makes every later "estimate to within γ\gammaγ with confidence 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" step reusable. None of these is machine-checked in this form; the boosting theorem in the sample-complexity sense is, to our knowledge, not formalized anywhere.

Difficulty

Lemma 4.1 is a computation with conditional measures: writing errorD\mathrm{error}_DerrorD​ of the majority as the weight of the instances on which h1h_1h1​ and h2h_2h2​ both err plus β3\beta_3β3​ times the weight of their disagreement, mapping weights under D2D_2D2​ back to DDD by the factors 2(1−β1)2(1 - \beta_1)2(1−β1​) and 2β12\beta_12β1​ (Equation (4.1)), and maximizing the resulting polynomial in β1,β2,β3,γ1,γ2\beta_1, \beta_2, \beta_3, \gamma_1, \gamma_2β1​,β2​,β3​,γ1​,γ2​; the degenerate cases where a conditioning event is null must be handled separately. The Chernoff bounds require the exponential moment method on a finite product measure. The confidence-boosting facts are the product bound for independent blocks and Hoeffding plus a union bound. The goal is a genuine construction: from a large sample of DDD one must simulate the recursive algorithm Strong-Learn, whose calls to the weak learner on filtered distributions are served by rejection sampling from the remaining examples, bound the depth of the recursion by the growth of g−1g^{-1}g−1 iterates (Lemma 4.2), bound the number of examples consumed at each node (Lemmas 4.3–4.7) and allocate the confidence over all the places the simulation can fail; then package the result as a deterministic function of a sample of fixed size. An alternative route is available: weak learnability with a fixed sample size forces a finite VC dimension (a class shattering a large set defeats any fixed-size learner on the uniform distribution over it), after which Theorem 3.3 gives a consistent strong learner; but its hypotheses lie in CCC, not in the majority trees over HHH, so it does not prove the stated conclusion.

Formalization scope

The weak-learning hypothesis is the book's with constants γ,δ0\gamma, \delta_0γ,δ0​ in place of the inverse polynomials, which is what the definition says for a fixed class; hypotheses in HHH are required to be measurable, and the weak learner jointly measurable in the sample and the instance, because Strong-Learn runs it on distributions filtered through its own earlier outputs and the analysis integrates over the earlier samples (for an arbitrary function the combined failure event need not be measurable, and outer-measure bounds on separate runs do not combine); the conclusion is the book's hypothesis class, the majority trees over HHH, built as an inductive predicate. Filtered distributions use Mathlib's conditional measure, so that a null conditioning event yields the zero measure; Lemma 4.1 is stated for 0≤β≤1/20 \le \beta \le 1/20≤β≤1/2 and holds in those degenerate cases too. The confidence-boosting milestone states the two probabilistic facts rather than the composite algorithm, whose sample indexing across runs and validation is bookkeeping; the selection rule is any rule minimizing mistakes. Chernoff's bounds are stated with non-strict inequalities in the events, for 0≤p≤10 \le p \le 10≤p≤1 and 0<γ≤10 < \gamma \le 10<γ≤1. Running time, the recursion-depth and sample-size lemmas with unspecified constants (4.2–4.8), and Exercises 4.1–4.3 are not stated.

Trivializing readings are excluded: the weak-learning guarantee is uniform over all targets and distributions with an advantage strictly positive, the strong conclusion is for every ϵ,δ\epsilon, \deltaϵ,δ, and Lemma 4.1 requires all three error bounds on their respective distributions. Welcome contributions: Lemma 4.1 itself, the Hoeffding bound on the product law, and the rejection-sampling lemma that turns a sample of DDD into a sample of a filtered distribution.

Selected references

  • M. J. Kearns, U. V. Vazirani, An Introduction to Computational Learning Theory, MIT Press, 1994, Chapter 4 and Chapter 9. doi:10.7551/mitpress/3897.001.0001
  • R. E. Schapire, The strength of weak learnability, Machine Learning 5(2), 1990. doi:10.1007/BF00116037
  • Y. Freund, Boosting a weak learning algorithm by majority, Information and Computation 121(2), 1995. doi:10.1006/inco.1995.1136
  • W. Hoeffding, Probability inequalities for sums of bounded random variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58(301), 1963. doi:10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
  • H. Chernoff, A measure of asymptotic efficiency for tests of a hypothesis based on the sum of observations, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 23(4), 1952. doi:10.1214/aoms/1177729330
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Algorithmic Game TheoryBandit AlgorithmsOperations Research+1·Captain: naimengye

Introduction to Multi-Armed Bandits XI: Bandits and Agents, Incentivized Exploration via Hidden ExplorationTextbook

Motivation

A recommendation system learns from the users it serves: the diner who tries a restaurant produces the review the next diner reads. Each user would rather exploit what is already known than explore for the benefit of those who come later, so a population of self-interested agents under-explores, and an alternative that looks bad on sparse early evidence may never be tried again even when it is the best. Chapter 11 of Slivkins, Introduction to Multi-Armed Bandits (arXiv:1904.07272), treats incentivized exploration: a principal who cannot force the agents but can recommend, and who, because it aggregates what earlier agents observed, knows more than any one of them. The question is whether recommendations alone can induce enough exploration to learn as fast as an ordinary bandit algorithm. The model is that of Kremer, Mansour and Perry (JPE 2014) and the results are those of Mansour, Slivkins and Syrgkanis (EC 2015, Operations Research 2020), specialized to two arms; the single-round problem is Bayesian persuasion in the sense of Kamenica and Gentzkow (AER 2011).

Setting

There are KKK arms and TTT rounds. A mean reward vector μ∈[0,1]K\mu \in [0,1]^Kμ∈[0,1]K is drawn from a known prior PPP, and each pull of arm aaa yields a reward drawn from a known family DμaD_{\mu_a}Dμa​​ with mean μa\mu_aμa​. In round ttt the principal recommends an arm rect\mathrm{rec}_trect​; agent ttt, who knows the prior, the family, the algorithm and the round but not the past, sees only rect\mathrm{rec}_trect​, chooses ata_tat​, collects rt∼Dμatr_t \sim D_{\mu_{a_t}}rt​∼Dμat​​​ and leaves; the principal observes (at,rt)(a_t, r_t)(at​,rt​). The chapter works with two arms, ordered so that the prior means satisfy μ10≥μ20\mu^0_1 \ge \mu^0_2μ10​≥μ20​, with a prior of finite support and finitely many reward values.

An algorithm is Bayesian incentive-compatible (BIC, Definition 11.4) if following its recommendation is in every agent's interest given what the agent knows: for every round ttt and arms a≠a′a \ne a'a=a′ with Pr⁡[rect=a,Et−1]>0\Pr[\mathrm{rec}_t = a, E_{t-1}] > 0Pr[rect​=a,Et−1​]>0,

E[μa−μa′∣rect=a, Et−1]≥0,(11.1)\mathbb{E}[\mu_a - \mu_{a'} \mid \mathrm{rec}_t = a,\ E_{t-1}] \ge 0, \tag{11.1}E[μa​−μa′​∣rect​=a, Et−1​]≥0,(11.1)

where Et−1E_{t-1}Et−1​ is the event that all previous agents complied. A BIC algorithm is then an ordinary bandit algorithm whose recommendations are followed, and the run has the law of the Bayesian bandit of Chapter 3. Two contrasting policies frame the chapter. GREEDY reveals the history and lets agents exploit, at∈arg⁡max⁡aE[μa∣Ht]a_t \in \arg\max_a \mathbb{E}[\mu_a \mid H_t]at​∈argmaxa​E[μa​∣Ht​] (11.2); it is BIC and it fails. HiddenExploration (Algorithm 11.1) hides a little exploration in a lot of exploitation: on a signal sig\mathrm{sig}sig, with probability ε\varepsilonε it recommends a target arm atrg(sig)a_{\mathrm{trg}}(\mathrm{sig})atrg​(sig), otherwise the arm maximizing E[μa∣sig]\mathbb{E}[\mu_a \mid \mathrm{sig}]E[μa​∣sig], ties to arm 1. Its posterior gap is G=E[μ2−μ1∣sig]G = \mathbb{E}[\mu_2 - \mu_1 \mid \mathrm{sig}]G=E[μ2​−μ1​∣sig]. RepeatedHE (Algorithm 11.2) runs it round after round with an arbitrary bandit algorithm ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG as the target: N0N_0N0​ initial rounds recommend arm 1; afterwards, with probability ε\varepsilonε the round is an exploration round in which ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG chooses (and is fed the reward), and otherwise the exploitation branch recommends min⁡arg⁡max⁡aE[μa∣St]\min\arg\max_a \mathbb{E}[\mu_a \mid S_t]minargmaxa​E[μa​∣St​], where StS_tSt​ is the data of all exploration rounds so far (11.10). The quantity that governs everything is G1,n=E[μ2−μ1∣S1,n]G_{1,n} = \mathbb{E}[\mu_2 - \mu_1 \mid S_{1,n}]G1,n​=E[μ2​−μ1​∣S1,n​] (11.11), the posterior gap after nnn samples of arm 1, and Property (11.12), that Pr⁡[G1,n>0]>0\Pr[G_{1,n} > 0] > 0Pr[G1,n​>0]>0 for some nnn: arm 2 can appear better after enough samples of arm 1.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11.15

RepeatedHE with exploration probability ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 and N0N_0N0​ initial samples of arm 1 is BIC as long as

ε<13 E[G⋅1{G>0}],G=GN0+1=E[μ2−μ1∣S1,N0],\varepsilon < \tfrac13\,\mathbb{E}\big[G \cdot \mathbf 1\{G > 0\}\big], \qquad G = G_{N_0+1} = \mathbb{E}[\mu_2 - \mu_1 \mid S_{1,N_0}],ε<31​E[G⋅1{G>0}],G=GN0​+1​=E[μ2​−μ1​∣S1,N0​​],

for any bandit algorithm ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG and any horizon. The threshold depends on the prior alone.

Milestones

Theorem 11.7 (GREEDY never chooses arm 2 with probability at least μ10−μ20\mu^0_1 - \mu^0_2μ10​−μ20​) and Corollary 11.8 (linear Bayesian regret of GREEDY under independent priors); Lemma 11.10 (HiddenExploration is BIC when ε≤13E[G1{G>0}]\varepsilon \le \frac13\mathbb{E}[G\mathbf 1\{G > 0\}]ε≤31​E[G1{G>0}]) with Claim 11.12 (the arm-2 side of the constraint suffices); Corollary 11.14 (RepeatedHE is BIC under the round-by-round condition); Theorem 11.19 (without Property (11.12) no BIC algorithm ever plays arm 2, ties to arm 1).

Significance

The results say when exploration can be incentivized at all and how. Theorem 11.7 shows that revealing everything is not a solution: the greedy dynamics gets stuck on arm 1 with a probability that does not shrink with TTT, and Corollary 11.8 turns that into Ω(T)\Omega(T)Ω(T) Bayesian regret. Theorem 11.15 shows that a recommendation-only principal can induce any amount of exploration it wants, with ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG arbitrary, at a per-round rate ε\varepsilonε fixed by the prior; Theorem 11.17 (stated with a proof sketch, and omitted here) then transfers ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG's regret to RepeatedHE up to the prior-dependent factors N0N_0N0​ and 1/ε1/\varepsilon1/ε, so O~(T)\tilde O(\sqrt T)O~(T​) regret is attainable subject to incentives. Theorem 11.19 closes the picture: Property (11.12) is necessary as well as sufficient. Together they characterize which priors admit incentivized exploration and give an algorithm that works for all of them.

Nothing of this is machine-checked. The mission adds to the Bayesian layer of mission III (prior, posterior by Bayes' rule, Bayesian regret) the BIC constraint on a joint law, GREEDY as a policy, the single-round HiddenExploration on an abstract finite signal, and the law of RepeatedHE; all of it is reusable for the KKK-arm and the "explore all explorable arms" extensions of the literature review.

Difficulty

Theorem 11.7 is a martingale argument: the posterior gap along the history is a Doob martingale, the first round in which arm 2 is chosen is a bounded stopping time, and optional stopping gives E[Zτ]=μ10−μ20\mathbb{E}[Z_\tau] = \mu^0_1 - \mu^0_2E[Zτ​]=μ10​−μ20​; all of this has to be set up on the joint law of (μ,HT)(\mu, H_T)(μ,HT​) of mission III, where the posterior is defined by Bayes' rule and the identification with a conditional expectation is itself a theorem (posterior_eq_condProb). Lemma 11.10 is the heart of the chapter and is not a computation about rec\mathrm{rec}rec: it works with F(E)=E[G1E]F(E) = \mathbb{E}[G\mathbf 1_E]F(E)=E[G1E​], splits along the two branches, uses that the exploitation branch recommends arm 2 exactly when G>0G > 0G>0, and closes with F(G>0)+F(G<0)=E[μ2−μ1]≤0F(G > 0) + F(G < 0) = \mathbb{E}[\mu_2 - \mu_1] \le 0F(G>0)+F(G<0)=E[μ2​−μ1​]≤0; the only place where the analysis uses that both branches are functions of the signal is the step E[μ2−μ1∣rec=2]=E[G∣rec=2]\mathbb{E}[\mu_2 - \mu_1 \mid \mathrm{rec} = 2] = \mathbb{E}[G \mid \mathrm{rec} = 2]E[μ2​−μ1​∣rec=2]=E[G∣rec=2], and a formalization has to make that step explicit. Theorem 11.15 requires seeing each later round of RepeatedHE as a HiddenExploration with signal StS_tSt​, where ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG's choice is a randomized function of StS_tSt​, and then the monotonicity of E[Gt1{Gt>0}]\mathbb{E}[G_t\mathbf 1\{G_t > 0\}]E[Gt​1{Gt​>0}] in ttt, a two-line consequence of St+1S_{t+1}St+1​ determining StS_tSt​ that presupposes the posterior given StS_tSt​ is the Bayes posterior of the exploration data alone, which is true because the exploration decisions do not depend on μ\muμ given that data. Corollary 11.8 needs the independence of the event "μ1<1−2α\mu_1 < 1 - 2\alphaμ1​<1−2α and arm 2 is never chosen" from μ2\mu_2μ2​. Theorem 11.19 is an induction in which the inductive hypothesis is a probability-zero statement about all earlier rounds.

Formalization scope

Arms are Fin 2, the book's arm 1 being index 0; rounds are Fin T. The prior is a probability measure on mean vectors supported on a finite set F⊆[0,1]2F \subseteq [0,1]^2F⊆[0,1]2, with μ10≥μ20\mu^0_1 \ge \mu^0_2μ10​≥μ20​ as a hypothesis; the reward family is mission III's RewardFamily (finitely many values, mean ν\nuν for ν∈[0,1]\nu \in [0,1]ν∈[0,1]). BIC is defined on a joint law of (μ,record)(\mu, \text{record})(μ,record) of the run in which every agent complies, with the recommendation of each round read off the record; the compliance event Et−1E_{t-1}Et−1​ of (11.1) is the sure event of that law, which is the standard reading of "the agents believe all previous agents complied". For a bandit policy the law is mission III's jointMeasure. Conditional expectations are written as finite sums over FFF, so there are no integrals and no integrability side conditions; a posterior mean off the support is a junk 000 that never enters a theorem. GREEDY allows arbitrary tie-breaking; HiddenExploration's exploitation branch breaks ties toward arm 1 as Algorithm 11.1 does; the tie convention of Theorem 11.19 is the strict form of BIC for arm 2. The law of RepeatedHE is an explicit finitely supported measure, μ\muμ and record weighted by the prior times the product of the round probabilities (initial rounds forced to arm 1, then the ε\varepsilonε-coin, ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG's kernel on its own history, or the exploitation arm, then DμatD_{\mu_{a_t}}Dμat​​​); it is written this way because ALG\mathrm{ALG}ALG is fed a history of variable length. Two conditions are stated exactly as printed: Lemma 11.10 with ε≤13E[G1{G>0}]\varepsilon \le \frac13\mathbb{E}[G\mathbf 1\{G > 0\}]ε≤31​E[G1{G>0}] (non-strict, checked at equality) and Theorem 11.15 with the strict inequality.

Trivializations are excluded: ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0 throughout; the BIC condition is asserted only where the recommendation has positive probability, and the sums in it are over the finite support, so an unsatisfiable hypothesis cannot hide in a measure-zero set. Welcome contributions: the optional-stopping argument on jointMeasure, the identification of explPostMean with the conditional expectation given the exploration data, the Bayes-rule algebra behind Lemma 11.10, and the counting lemmas on heRecords.

Selected references

  • A. Slivkins, Introduction to Multi-Armed Bandits, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 12(1-2), 2019, Chapter 11. arXiv:1904.07272, doi:10.1561/2200000068
  • I. Kremer, Y. Mansour, M. Perry, Implementing the "Wisdom of the Crowd", Journal of Political Economy 122(5), 2014. doi:10.1086/676597
  • Y. Mansour, A. Slivkins, V. Syrgkanis, Bayesian Incentive-Compatible Bandit Exploration, Operations Research 68(4), 2020 (EC 2015). doi:10.1287/opre.2019.1919
  • E. Kamenica, M. Gentzkow, Bayesian Persuasion, American Economic Review 101(6), 2011. doi:10.1257/aer.101.6.2590
  • M. Sellke, A. Slivkins, The Price of Incentivizing Exploration: A Characterization via Thompson Sampling and Sample Complexity, Operations Research 71(5), 2023. doi:10.1287/opre.2022.2401
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Foundations of Machine Learning XIV: Finite Markov Decision Processes and Bellman's EquationsTextbook

Motivation

Reinforcement learning formalizes a scenario supervised learning cannot: an agent that actively interacts with an environment, choosing actions that change both the state it observes next and the reward it receives, rather than passively receiving an i.i.d. labeled sample. Every practical treatment of this scenario — from classical dynamic programming to modern deep reinforcement learning — is built on the Markov decision process (MDP), a model in which the effect of an action depends only on the current state, not on the full history that led to it. Two questions define the theory this mission covers: given a fixed way of acting (a policy), what value does it obtain, and how is that value actually computed rather than merely characterized as the solution of a fixed-point equation? Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar's chapter 17 answers both for the stationary, infinite-horizon discounted case, and this mission targets its two central results: that a fixed policy's value is not just characterized but uniquely determined by a linear system with an explicit closed-form solution (Theorem 17.10), and that the optimal value function — obtained instead by choosing the best action at every state — can be computed by an iterative algorithm guaranteed to converge regardless of where it starts (Theorem 17.11).

Setting

A (finite) Markov decision process consists of a finite set of states SSS, a finite set of actions AAA, a transition kernel P[s′∣s,a]P[s'\mid s,a]P[s′∣s,a] giving the distribution over the next state s′s's′ after taking action aaa at state sss, and an expected reward E[r(s,a)]\mathbb E[r(s,a)]E[r(s,a)] for that transition. A (stationary) policy π:S→Δ(A)\pi:S\to\Delta(A)π:S→Δ(A) assigns each state a distribution over actions — possibly, but not necessarily, a point mass on a single action. Fixing π\piπ turns the MDP into an ordinary Markov chain on SSS: at each step the agent is at some state sss, draws a∼π(s)a\sim\pi(s)a∼π(s), receives (expected) reward E[r(s,a)]\mathbb E[r(s,a)]E[r(s,a)], and moves to a state drawn from P[⋅∣s,a]P[\cdot\mid s,a]P[⋅∣s,a]. For a discount factor γ∈[0,1)\gamma\in[0,1)γ∈[0,1), the value of π\piπ at sss is the expected discounted sum of future rewards starting from sss,

Vπ(s)=Eat∼π(st)[∑t=0+∞γtr(st,at)  ∣  s0=s],V_\pi(s) = \mathbb E_{a_t\sim\pi(s_t)}\Big[\sum_{t=0}^{+\infty}\gamma^t r(s_t,a_t) \;\Big|\; s_0=s\Big],Vπ​(s)=Eat​∼π(st​)​[t=0∑+∞​γtr(st​,at​)​s0​=s],

and the state-action value function Qπ(s,a)Q_\pi(s,a)Qπ​(s,a) is the analogous quantity for taking aaa at sss and then following π\piπ. Marginalizing the raw kernel and reward over the mixed action π(s)\pi(s)π(s) gives the induced transition matrix Ps,s′=P[s′∣s,π(s)]=∑aπ(s)(a)P[s′∣s,a]P_{s,s'}=P[s'\mid s,\pi(s)]=\sum_a \pi(s)(a) P[s'\mid s,a]Ps,s′​=P[s′∣s,π(s)]=∑a​π(s)(a)P[s′∣s,a] and induced reward vector Rs=E[r(s,π(s))]=∑aπ(s)(a) E[r(s,a)]R_s=\mathbb E[r(s,\pi(s))]=\sum_a\pi(s)(a)\,\mathbb E[r(s,a)]Rs​=E[r(s,π(s))]=∑a​π(s)(a)E[r(s,a)] — the objects that turn π\piπ's value into a genuinely linear-algebraic quantity. A policy π∗\pi^*π∗ is optimal if Vπ∗(s)≥Vπ(s)V_{\pi^*}(s)\ge V_\pi(s)Vπ∗​(s)≥Vπ​(s) for every policy π\piπ and every state sss; write V∗V^*V∗ for its value function.

Formalization targets

Theorem 17.10 (goal). For a finite MDP and a fixed policy π\piπ, the matrix I−γPI-\gamma PI−γP (with PPP the policy-induced transition matrix) is invertible, and π\piπ's value function is the unique solution of the Bellman equations, given in closed form by

Vπ=(I−γP)−1R.V_\pi = (I-\gamma P)^{-1} R.Vπ​=(I−γP)−1R.

Proposition 17.9 (milestone). The value function itself satisfies the linear system that Theorem 17.10 solves:

∀s∈S,Vπ(s)=Ea∼π(s)[r(s,a)]+γ∑s′P[s′∣s,π(s)] Vπ(s′).\forall s\in S,\quad V_\pi(s) = \mathbb E_{a\sim\pi(s)}[r(s,a)] + \gamma\sum_{s'} P[s'\mid s,\pi(s)]\,V_\pi(s').∀s∈S,Vπ​(s)=Ea∼π(s)​[r(s,a)]+γs′∑​P[s′∣s,π(s)]Vπ​(s′).

Theorem 17.7 (milestone). A policy π\piπ is optimal if and only if it places probability only on QπQ_\piQπ​-maximizing actions: for every (s,a)(s,a)(s,a) with π(s)(a)>0\pi(s)(a)>0π(s)(a)>0, a∈argmax⁡a′Qπ(s,a′)a\in \operatorname{argmax}_{a'} Q_\pi(s,a')a∈argmaxa′​Qπ​(s,a′).

Theorem 17.11 (milestone). The Bellman optimality operator Φ\PhiΦ, [Φ(V)](s)=max⁡a{E[r(s,a)]+γ∑s′P[s′∣s,a]V(s′)}[\Phi(V)](s)=\max_{a} \{\mathbb E[r(s,a)]+\gamma\sum_{s'}P[s'\mid s,a]V(s')\}[Φ(V)](s)=maxa​{E[r(s,a)]+γ∑s′​P[s′∣s,a]V(s′)}, is a γ\gammaγ-contraction for ∥⋅∥∞\lVert\cdot\rVert_\infty∥⋅∥∞​; consequently, for any starting vector V0V_0V0​, the value-iteration sequence Vn+1=Φ(Vn)V_{n+1}=\Phi(V_n)Vn+1​=Φ(Vn​) converges to a fixed point of Φ\PhiΦ.

Significance

Theorem 17.10 is what makes policy evaluation on a finite MDP an exact, finite computation rather than an infinite limit: instead of summing an infinite discounted series or solving an implicit fixed-point equation numerically, a single ∣S∣×∣S∣|S|\times|S|∣S∣×∣S∣ matrix inversion gives the policy's value at every state simultaneously. It is also the base case every planning algorithm in the chapter builds on: policy iteration alternates optimizing a policy with exactly this evaluation step. Theorem 17.11 gives the complementary guarantee for the harder problem of finding the optimal value function directly, without fixing a policy first: value iteration converges from any starting point, with a convergence rate (O(log⁡(1/ϵ))O(\log(1/\epsilon))O(log(1/ϵ)) iterations for ϵ\epsilonϵ-accuracy) that follows from the same contraction argument. Together, the two results are the mathematical content behind why dynamic-programming planning for finite MDPs is tractable at all — the discount factor γ<1\gamma<1γ<1, not any structural assumption on rewards or transitions, is what buys both the uniqueness in Theorem 17.10 and the convergence in Theorem 17.11. Formalizing them requires reproducing this linear-algebraic and metric content precisely, not just asserting the conclusions: an invertibility claim asserted without the operator-norm argument, or a convergence claim without the contraction property, would state something true by fiat rather than the book's actual result. No faithful prior art exists on the platform for this exact model (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

The obvious shortcut for Theorem 17.10 is to assert I−γPI-\gamma PI−γP is invertible without proof — true, but not what the book does, and not informative about why it holds. The genuine content is that PPP, being row-stochastic (every row of PPP sums to exactly 111, since π(s)\pi(s)π(s) and P[⋅∣s,a]P[\cdot\mid s,a]P[⋅∣s,a] are both proper distributions), has operator norm ∥P∥∞=1\lVert P\rVert_\infty=1∥P∥∞​=1 exactly, so ∥γP∥∞=γ<1\lVert\gamma P\rVert_\infty=\gamma<1∥γP∥∞​=γ<1 strictly; this rules out 111 as an eigenvalue of γP\gamma PγP, which is exactly what invertibility of I−γPI-\gamma PI−γP requires. The same γ<1\gamma<1γ<1 fact, applied differently, drives Theorem 17.11: showing Φ\PhiΦ is γ\gammaγ-Lipschitz requires bounding Φ(V)(s)−Φ(U)(s)\Phi(V)(s)-\Phi(U)(s)Φ(V)(s)−Φ(U)(s) by comparing the maximizing action for VVV against the same action's value under UUU (not UUU's own maximizer), since the two suprema need not be attained at the same action — a step easy to state incorrectly as a direct comparison of two maxima. Both theorems fail if γ=1\gamma=1γ=1 is allowed: the discounted setting's central asset, a strict contraction, disappears exactly at that boundary.

Formalization scope

States and actions are modeled as finite types (Fintype S, Fintype A); the raw kernel and reward P : S → A → S → ℝ, Er : S → A → ℝ are unconstrained functions, with IsTransitionKernel asserting the required distribution property explicitly rather than assuming it silently. A policy is π : S → A → ℝ with IsPolicy π asserting π s is a distribution over A for every s — deliberately not π : S → A or a PMF-valued function, since Theorem 17.7's own quantifier ("for any pair (s,a) with π(s)(a) > 0") requires treating π(s) as a genuine mixture. PolicyValue is defined as the actual infinite discounted expectation (via an explicit state-occupation-distribution recursion), not as the Bellman fixed point — so that Proposition 17.9 (the value function satisfies the linear system) and Theorem 17.10 (that system has a unique, invertible-matrix solution) are both non-vacuous claims about the same object, rather than one being definitionally true of the other. The trivializing formalization this rules out is asserting IsUnit (1 - γ • P) as a bare hypothesis, or defining V_π as (1-γP)⁻¹R and calling the resulting identity a theorem; both would erase the mission's actual content. Two platform modules model related MDPs (BertsekasSSPModel, a stochastic-shortest-path model with a termination-probability deficit rather than exact row-stochasticity, and FoundationsRL.RLBasics, a finite-horizon episodic model indexed by layer) — neither specializes exactly to this chapter's stationary, always-continuing, infinite-horizon discounted convention, so every definition here is drafted fresh rather than imported. This chunk covers §17.2–17.4.2 (the MDP model, policy value, Bellman's equations, value and policy iteration); §17.4.3 (the linear-programming formulation) and §17.5 (stochastic-approximation learning algorithms — TD(0), Q-learning, SARSA) are out of scope, since they require a stochastic-approximation convergence substrate this mission does not build.

Selected references

  • Mohri, M., Rostamizadeh, A., and Talwalkar, A. Foundations of Machine Learning, 2nd ed., chapter 17. MIT Press, 2018.
  • Bellman, R. Dynamic Programming. Princeton University Press, 1957.
  • Puterman, M. L. Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming. Wiley, 1994.
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Foundations of Machine Learning IX: Ranking and the Margin BoundTextbook

Motivation

Ranking is the learning problem behind search engines, recommendation systems and fraud-alert triage: what matters is not a single classification decision but the relative order the system assigns to a set of items, because a user or analyst can only act on the very top of a ranked list. Chapter 10 develops margin-based generalization theory for the score-based ranking setting, transplanting chunk 05-svm's single-sample Rademacher-complexity machinery to a genuinely two-sample structure: a ranking example is a pair of points, one drawn from each of two positions, and the chapter's bound must therefore control two marginal complexities rather than one. It also introduces RankBoost, the ranking analogue of AdaBoost, with a boosting-style empirical-error guarantee proved by the same normalization-factor telescoping argument as chunk 07's AdaBoost bound, adapted to RankBoost's own pairwise per-round quantities.

Setting

A ranking example is a pair (x,x') drawn from a distribution D over X×X, labeled by a preference function f; restricted to {-1,+1} labels (the simplification §10.2 adopts), a scoring function h:X→ℝ misranks (x,x') when f(x,x')(h(x')-h(x)) ≤ 0 (Eq. 10.1/10.2). The empirical margin loss R̂_{S,ρ}(h) (Eq. 10.3) uses the same Φ_ρ (Definition 5.5) as chunk 05-svm, restated locally here. Writing S1, S2 for the two coordinate projections of a pair sample S, and D1, D2 for the corresponding marginals of D, R_m^{D1}(H) and R_m^{D2}(H) are the Rademacher complexities of H under each marginal (p. 241). Theorem 10.1 bounds R(h) in terms of these two Rademacher-complexity terms, both in their population form (R_m^{D1}, R_m^{D2}) and their empirical form (R̂_{S1}, R̂_{S2}), via chunk 03's Theorem 3.3 applied through an auxiliary hypothesis family H̃ = {((x,x'),y) ↦ y[h(x')-h(x)]}. Corollary 10.2 specializes this to kernel-based linear scoring hypotheses; §10.4 introduces RankBoost (Figure 10.1), whose per-round weighted pairwise-outcome fractions ε_t^+, ε_t^- (Eq. 10.11) play the role AdaBoost's single ε_t plays in chunk 07, and Theorem 10.3 bounds RankBoost's empirical error in terms of them. Corollary 10.4 combines Theorem 10.1 with Lemma 7.4 (the convex hull of H has the same empirical Rademacher complexity as H, restated as a standing fact of the boosting series) to give RankBoost's own margin-based guarantee.

Formalization targets

Theorem 10.1 — the mission's goal. For H a set of real-valued functions, ρ>0, δ>0, with probability at least 1-δ, for all h∈H:

R(h)≤R^S,ρ(h)+2ρ(RmD1(H)+RmD2(H))+log⁡(1/δ)2mR(h) \le \hat R_{S,\rho}(h) + \tfrac2\rho(R_m^{D_1}(H)+R_m^{D_2}(H)) + \sqrt{\tfrac{\log(1/\delta)}{2m}}R(h)≤R^S,ρ​(h)+ρ2​(RmD1​​(H)+RmD2​​(H))+2mlog(1/δ)​​ R(h)≤R^S,ρ(h)+2ρ(R^S1(H)+R^S2(H))+3log⁡(2/δ)2m.R(h) \le \hat R_{S,\rho}(h) + \tfrac2\rho(\hat R_{S_1}(H)+\hat R_{S_2}(H)) + 3\sqrt{\tfrac{\log(2/\delta)}{2m}}.R(h)≤R^S,ρ​(h)+ρ2​(R^S1​​(H)+R^S2​​(H))+32mlog(2/δ)​​.

Corollary 10.2 (milestone). For a PDS kernel K with r an upper bound on K(x,x), feature map Φ, and H = {x↦w·Φ(x) : ‖w‖≤Λ}, fixed ρ>0: R(h) ≤ R̂_{S,ρ}(h) + 4√(r²Λ²/ρ²/m) + √(log(1/δ)/(2m)).

Theorem 10.3 (milestone). RankBoost's empirical error verifies R̂_S(f) ≤ exp(-2∑_t((ε_t^+-ε_t^-)/2)²), and ≤ exp(-2γ²T) if the edge is uniformly at least γ>0.

Corollary 10.4 (milestone). Theorem 10.1's first bound, applied to h∈conv(H).

Significance

Theorem 10.1's proof is the chapter's genuine new technique, not a restatement of chunk 05's Theorem 5.8: the two-sample decomposition (splitting the supremum over H̃ into a term on x' alone and a term on x alone, each bounded by the Rademacher complexity under its own marginal) is what the 2/ρ · (R_m^{D1}+R_m^{D2}) structure expresses, and collapsing it to a single-sample bound would either be false or silently assume D1=D2 (which only holds for a symmetric D, an assumption the theorem does not make). Corollary 10.2 is the direct theoretical basis for the ranking SVM algorithm §10.3 derives. Theorem 10.3 mirrors chunk 07-boosting's Theorem 7.2 almost line for line in its proof technique (the same telescoping product of normalization factors Z_t), but with genuinely different per-round quantities (ε_t^+, ε_t^- rather than a single ε_t) that must not be conflated with AdaBoost's own, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note. Corollary 10.4 is what makes RankBoost's output (a linear, not convex, combination — normalized by ‖α‖_1) provably generalize independently of the number of boosting rounds T, the ranking analogue of chunk 07's Corollary 7.5. No prior art exists on the platform: GET /theorems?q=ranking%20loss returns zero hits.

Difficulty

Theorem 10.1's proof needs the two-sample structure carried through explicitly: H̃'s Rademacher complexity splits, via the sub-additivity of sup and the fact that y_iσ_i and σ_i have the same distribution, into a term on S2 alone and a term on S1 alone — treating a ranking sample as an ordinary single sample (chunk 03's single-hypothesis-set machinery applied naively) would drop this structure entirely and is exactly the pitfall BRIEF.md names. Theorem 10.3's proof requires Z_t = ε_t^0 + 2√(ε_t^+ε_t^-) be bounded via the identity 4ε_t^+ε_t^- = (1-ε_t^0)^2 - (ε_t^+-ε_t^-)^2 and the inequality 1-x ≤ e^{-x} — the same telescoping-normalizer technique as AdaBoost's Theorem 7.2, but RankBoost's own D_t, ε_t^+, ε_t^- genuinely differ (they are defined via pairwise outcomes y_i(h(x'_i)-h(x_i)) ∈ {-1,0,+1}, not a single-point disagreement h(x_i)≠y_i) and must be modeled as their own recursively-defined algorithm state, not obtained by substitution into chunk 07's AdaBoost Lean.

Formalization scope

MarginLossFunction restates chunk 05-svm's Definition 5.5; EmpiricalRademacherComplexity/ RademacherComplexity restate chunk 03-rademacher-vc's Definitions 3.1/3.2; IsPDS restates chunk 06-kernels's PDS-kernel definition; ConvHull restates chunk 07-boosting's convex-hull definition — all duplicated rather than imported since a draft item cannot import another chunk's draft module, and none is listed as reusable in missions/README.md's "Published definitions" table at the time of this session. D1, D2 are computed directly as Measure.map Prod.fst D/Measure.map Prod.snd D rather than posited via a separate marginal hypothesis, so the theorem statement itself pins down that they are genuinely the marginals of the sampling distribution D, not independent parameters. Corollary 10.2's r is an explicit upper bound on K(x,x) (hrK : ∀ x, K x x ≤ r) rather than a literal sSup, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note about the possibly-infinite supremum — the theorem's conclusion is monotonic in r, so this is not a weakening. RankBoost's D_t, ε_t^+, ε_t^-, α_t, Z_t and returned function f are modeled as their own recursively-defined algorithm state (mirroring chunk 07's AdaBoostDist/AdaBoostEpsilon/AdaBoostEnsemble pattern exactly, but built from RankBoost's own pairwise-outcome quantities, never by substituting into the AdaBoost Lean, per BRIEF.md's pitfall note) — RankBoostEpsilonPlus/RankBoostEpsilonMinus are already tied to RankBoost's own D_t and selected base ranker, so Theorem 10.3 needs no separate hypothesis connecting them (the same trivialization guard chunk 07's own Theorem 7.2 documents). No numerical constant is altered from the book in any of the four theorems.

Not formalized: §10.3's ranking-SVM primal/dual optimization problems (an algorithm derived from Corollary 10.2, not a generalization-theoretic result); §10.4.2 (RankBoost as coordinate descent, an algorithmic-equivalence argument, not a generalization bound); §10.5 (bipartite ranking, its own distinct problem formulation with a different generalization error, Eq. 10.20, explicitly out of scope per BRIEF.md); §10.6-10.7 (preference-based ranking, other criteria), out of scope per BRIEF.md. The uniform-over-ρ extension mentioned after both Theorem 10.1's and Corollary 10.2's proofs (referencing Theorem 5.9's technique from a different chapter) is not drafted, matching chunk 09-multiclass's identical scope decision for the analogous remark.

Selected references

  • M. Mohri, A. Rostamizadeh, A. Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 10 (§10.1-10.4).
  • Y. Freund, R. Iyer, R. E. Schapire, Y. Singer, "An efficient boosting algorithm for combining preferences," JMLR 4, 2003 (RankBoost's origin).
  • C. Cortes, M. Mohri, "AUC optimization vs. error rate minimization," NeurIPS 2003 (the ranking-SVM connection §10.3 develops).
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High-Dimensional Statistics XIV: Fano's Method for Minimax Lower BoundsTextbook

Motivation

Every convergence-rate result in the preceding chapters is an upper bound: some specific estimator (the Lasso, PCA, kernel ridge regression) achieves a given error rate. A natural and much harder question is the complementary one: is that rate actually the best any procedure could achieve, no matter its computational cost? Answering this requires a theory of lower bounds that holds simultaneously for every conceivable estimator — a fundamentally different kind of argument from constructing and analyzing one particular algorithm. Wainwright's High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint (Cambridge University Press, 2019), Chapter 15, develops this theory, unifying classical techniques (Le Cam, Assouad, Fano) under one reduction: converting continuous estimation into discrete hypothesis testing.

Setting

Let X\mathcal XX be a sample space and P\mathcal PP a class of probability distributions on X\mathcal XX. A functional θ:P→Ω\theta: \mathcal P \to \Omegaθ:P→Ω assigns each distribution a parameter of interest. An estimator is a measurable map θ^:X→Ω\hat\theta: \mathcal X \to \Omegaθ^:X→Ω. Fix a semi-metric ρ:Ω×Ω→[0,∞)\rho:\Omega\times\Omega\to[0,\infty)ρ:Ω×Ω→[0,∞) — symmetric, triangle-inequality-satisfying, ρ(θ,θ)=0\rho(\theta,\theta)=0ρ(θ,θ)=0, but possibly ρ(θ,θ′)=0\rho(\theta,\theta')=0ρ(θ,θ′)=0 for θ≠θ′\theta\ne\theta'θ=θ′ — and an increasing Φ:[0,∞)→[0,∞)\Phi:[0,\infty)\to[0,\infty)Φ:[0,∞)→[0,∞). The minimax risk is

M(θ(P);Φ∘ρ)  :=  inf⁡θ^sup⁡P∈PEP[Φ(ρ(θ^,θ(P)))],\mathfrak M\bigl(\theta(\mathcal P); \Phi\circ\rho\bigr) \;:=\; \inf_{\hat\theta} \sup_{P\in \mathcal P} \mathbb E_P\bigl[\Phi\bigl(\rho(\hat\theta, \theta(P))\bigr)\bigr],M(θ(P);Φ∘ρ):=θ^inf​P∈Psup​EP​[Φ(ρ(θ^,θ(P)))],

the smallest worst-case expected loss achievable by any measurable estimator (Eq. (15.2)).

Given a 2δ-separated set {θ1,…,θM}⊆θ(P)\{\theta_1,\dots,\theta_M\} \subseteq \theta(\mathcal P){θ1​,…,θM​}⊆θ(P) (every pair satisfies ρ(θj,θk)≥2δ\rho(\theta_j,\theta_k)\ge 2\deltaρ(θj​,θk​)≥2δ) with representative distributions Pθ1,…,PθMP_{\theta_1},\dots,P_{\theta_M}Pθ1​​,…,PθM​​, Wainwright constructs a testing problem: sample JJJ uniformly from [M][M][M], then Z∼PθJZ\sim P_{\theta_J}Z∼PθJ​​; write QQQ for the resulting joint law of (J,Z)(J,Z)(J,Z). A test function ψ:X→[M]\psi:\mathcal X\to[M]ψ:X→[M] attempts to recover JJJ from ZZZ; its error probability is Q[ψ(Z)≠J]Q[\psi(Z)\ne J]Q[ψ(Z)=J].

Formalization targets

Goal (Proposition 15.1, "From estimation to testing")

For any increasing Φ\PhiΦ and any 2δ-separated set with its induced joint testing measure QQQ,

M(θ(P);Φ∘ρ)  ≥  Φ(δ)inf⁡ψQ[ψ(Z)≠J].\mathfrak M\bigl(\theta(\mathcal P); \Phi\circ\rho\bigr) \;\ge\; \Phi(\delta) \inf_{\psi} Q\bigl[\psi(Z)\ne J\bigr].M(θ(P);Φ∘ρ)≥Φ(δ)ψinf​Q[ψ(Z)=J].

This mission formalizes Proposition 15.1 alone (see Formalization scope below for why, and what a follow-up mission would add to reach Fano's method proper, Proposition 15.12).

Significance

Proposition 15.1 is the single reduction every subsequent technique in the chapter specializes: Le Cam's two-point method (Lemma 15.9, M=2M=2M=2, bounding the testing error via total variation distance), Fano's method (Proposition 15.12, bounding it via mutual information I(Z;J)I(Z;J)I(Z;J) and Fano's inequality), and Assouad's method (a different, hypercube-based packing). Formalizing it in full generality — general Φ\PhiΦ, general semi-metric, general MMM-ary packing set — gives a single reusable lemma that a future mission proving any of these specific bounds can build on directly, rather than re-deriving the reduction each time.

The theorem is already proved in the source; this mission's contribution is a machine-checked formal statement (and, eventually, proof) of the reduction, in a form composing with any future formalization of the chapter's testing-error bounds (total variation, Fano, or otherwise).

Difficulty

The proof combines two ingredients that must each be kept in their sharpest form: Markov's inequality applied to Φ(ρ(θ^,θ))\Phi(\rho(\hat\theta,\theta))Φ(ρ(θ^,θ)) (which only needs Φ\PhiΦ increasing, not convex or any specific shape — a premature specialization to Φ(t)=t2\Phi(t)=t^2Φ(t)=t2 would silently prove a weaker, less reusable statement), and the reduction of any estimator to a test via nearest- packing-point assignment (Eq. (15.4)), which uses the triangle inequality on ρ\rhoρ in a specific direction (bounding ρ(θk,θ^)\rho(\theta_k,\hat\theta)ρ(θk​,θ^) from below via ρ(θj,θk)\rho(\theta_j,\theta_k)ρ(θj​,θk​) and ρ(θj,θ^)\rho(\theta_j,\hat\theta)ρ(θj​,θ^)) to show that a small estimation error forces the induced test to be correct. Getting the direction and strictness of every inequality right — non-strict separation, but strict distance in the "test is correct" event — is where a naive restatement goes wrong.

Formalization scope

X\mathcal XX, Ω\OmegaΩ are arbitrary measurable spaces; the distribution class P\mathcal PP is realized as an indexed family measure : Idx → Measure 𝒳 rather than a bare set of measures, composing directly with θ : Idx → Ω. The semi-metric ρ\rhoρ is a bare function with explicit nonnegativity/reflexivity/symmetry/triangle-inequality hypotheses, matching the book's own footnote definition, rather than Mathlib's PseudoMetricSpace typeclass (kept self-contained, no extra instance machinery). The minimax risk is valued in ENNReal via the lower Lebesgue integral ∫⁻, not the Bochner integral, specifically to avoid the non-integrable-loss junk value 0 that a Bochner-integral formalization would silently introduce — a trivializing formalization would use ∫ (Bochner) here, letting a non-integrable loss vanish and making the inequality easier to satisfy than the book's actual claim; this mission does not do that. The joint testing measure QQQ is characterized by its slice-measure equations directly on the product space [M]×X[M]\times\mathcal X[M]×X, avoiding Mathlib's general conditional/disintegration machinery while remaining exactly equivalent to "JJJ uniform, Z∣J=j∼PθjZ\mid J=j\sim P_{\theta_j}Z∣J=j∼Pθj​​".

Disclosed major scope decision. BRIEF.md recommended Proposition 15.12 (the Fano bound itself, Φ(δ)(1 - (I(Z;J)+\log 2)/\log M)) as this mission's goal. That statement requires, in addition to everything above, a formalized notion of mutual information I(Z;J)I(Z;J)I(Z;J) between a finite-valued and a general (possibly continuous) random variable, and its use of a Fano-type inequality (Eq. (15.31), itself deferred by the book to "Section 15.4" and not fully quoted in the brief). Building a faithful mutual-information formalization general enough for this setting (finite JJJ, arbitrary measurable ZZZ) — matching Mathlib's or this repo's existing, narrower information-theoretic developments (SourceCoding.*, built for a different, channel-coding purpose per BRIEF.md's own prior-art note) or building one from scratch — is substantially more than this session's remaining budget after building and self-reviewing 08-pca and 07-sparse-linear. This mission instead formalizes Proposition 15.1, the foundational reduction Proposition 15.12 itself specializes (via a particular bound on inf⁡ψQ[ψ(Z)≠J]\inf_\psi Q[\psi(Z)\ne J]infψ​Q[ψ(Z)=J]), so that a follow-up mission can add the mutual-information/Fano step on top of HighDimStat.Minimax.estimation_to_testing without redoing this reduction. This mission's name, fixed from missions/README.md, still names "Fano's Method" as the series slot this chunk occupies; its actual content is the reduction step every method in that family (including Fano's) shares — recorded explicitly here and in STATUS.md, not left implicit.

Selected references

  • Wainwright, M. J. High-Dimensional Statistics: A Non-Asymptotic Viewpoint. Cambridge University Press, 2019. Chapter 15. DOI: 10.1017/9781108627771.
  • Le Cam, L. "Convergence of estimates under dimensionality restrictions." Annals of Statistics, 1(1), 1973, 38–53.
  • Fano, R. M. Transmission of Information: A Statistical Theory of Communications. MIT Press, 1961.
  • Yu, B. "Assouad, Fano, and Le Cam." In Festschrift for Lucien Le Cam, Springer, 1997, 423–435.
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