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Machine Learning

653 missions · 438 completed

The science of systems that learn from data and experience. Its scope runs from the statistical and mathematical foundations of learning, including generalization, expressivity, and computational limits, through the design of learning algorithms, deep learning, reinforcement learning, and probabilistic methods, to the empirical study of large models and the trustworthiness, interpretability, and societal impact of learned systems.

Missions

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🏆Completed
ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network III: Sigmoid Networks with Small Weights GeneralizeResearch Paper

Motivation

A classifier built from a neural network produces a real score and predicts a binary label from its sign. A network can have many hidden units, so a guarantee based only on the number of parameters can be uninformative even when its output weights are small. Bartlett's 1998 paper asks whether a classifier's margin on training examples and the total magnitude of its weights can control its probability of error without fixing the number of units. Its Theorem 28 gives such a statement for two-layer networks whose activation is bounded and nondecreasing. The paper also discusses why this parameter-magnitude view supports weight decay and early stopping as learning heuristics, while leaving their algorithmic behavior outside the theorem's scope (Bartlett 1998, pp. 526, 534–535).

The theorem combines two results in the same paper. Theorem 2 turns the fat-shattering dimension of a real-valued function class into a margin generalization bound. Corollary 24 controls that dimension for finite combinations of affine-input units when the sum of the absolute combination weights is bounded. Lemmas 19, 22, and 23 supply covering estimates along that path. These are the milestones of this mission, with the source statements preserved in the milestone record (Bartlett 1998, pp. 527, 532–534).

Setting

An input is a vector x∈Rnx\in\mathbb R^nx∈Rn, represented in Lean as Fin n → ℝ. A label is y∈{−1,+1}y\in\{-1,+1\}y∈{−1,+1}; Lean's Bool is converted by pm, where true means +1+1+1. A probability distribution PPP lives on labeled inputs. From an independent sample z=((xi,yi))i=1mz=((x_i,y_i))_{i=1}^mz=((xi​,yi​))i=1m​, the empirical margin error at scale γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 is the fraction of indices with yih(xi)<γy_i h(x_i)<\gammayi​h(xi​)<γ. The population error is the probability that sgn⁡(h(x))≠y\operatorname{sgn}(h(x))\ne ysgn(h(x))=y, where sgn⁡(0)=+1\operatorname{sgn}(0)=+1sgn(0)=+1. The inequality in the empirical error is strict, as in the paper's definition (Bartlett 1998, p. 526).

Fix a bounded nondecreasing activation σ:R→[−1,1]\sigma:\mathbb R\to[-1,1]σ:R→[−1,1]. The first-layer class FFF contains every x↦σ(w⋅x+w0)x\mapsto\sigma(w\cdot x+w_0)x↦σ(w⋅x+w0​), with an arbitrary weight vector and bias. The network class HHH contains all finite sums ∑i=1Nαifi\sum_{i=1}^N\alpha_i f_i∑i=1N​αi​fi​ with fi∈Ff_i\in Ffi​∈F and ∑i∣αi∣≤A\sum_i|\alpha_i|\le A∑i​∣αi​∣≤A. Thus AAA bounds the output layer's total weight magnitude, while NNN can vary without an imposed width limit. The bias w0w_0w0​ is part of every unit. For a class GGG, fat⁡G(η)\operatorname{fat}_G(\eta)fatG​(η) records the largest length of an input sequence whose every sign pattern can be realized with separation at least η\etaη around one vector of thresholds (Bartlett 1998, pp. 526, 533–534).

Formalization targets

Two-layer generalization

For 0<γ≤10<\gamma\le10<γ≤1, 0<δ<1/20<\delta<1/20<δ<1/2, A≥1A\ge1A≥1, and an independent sample of length m≥1m\ge1m≥1, the goal is one universal c>0c>0c>0 such that, with probability at least 1−δ1-\delta1−δ, every h∈Hh\in Hh∈H satisfies

er⁡P(h)<er⁡^zγ(h)+cm(A2nγ2log⁡ ⁣(32Aγ)(log⁡m)2+log⁡ ⁣(1δ)).\operatorname{er}_P(h)<\widehat{\operatorname{er}}_z^\gamma(h)+ \sqrt{\frac{c}{m}\left( \frac{A^2n}{\gamma^2}\log\!\left(\frac{32A}{\gamma}\right)(\log m)^2+ \log\!\left(\frac1\delta\right)\right)}.erP​(h)<erzγ​(h)+mc​(γ2A2n​log(γ32A​)(logm)2+log(δ1​))​.

The paper prints log⁡(A/γ)\log(A/\gamma)log(A/γ) in this display. That term vanishes at A=γ=1A=\gamma=1A=γ=1, although the class can then contain halfspace classifiers with nonzero sample complexity. The proof obtains a positive factor at that corner through Corollary 24 at scale γ/16\gamma/16γ/16, giving log⁡(32A/γ)\log(32A/\gamma)log(32A/γ). The goal states this correction and records the printed statement separately in the moderation notes. The constant precedes all network, distribution, margin, confidence, and sample parameters in Lean; it cannot be selected after observing the instance (Bartlett 1998, pp. 533–534).

Capacity and margin milestones

Corollary 24 bounds fat⁡H(η)\operatorname{fat}_H(\eta)fatH​(η) by a constant multiple of M2A2nη−2log⁡(MA/η)M^2A^2n\eta^{-2}\log(MA/\eta)M2A2nη−2log(MA/η) when the activation has range [−M/2,M/2][-M/2,M/2][−M/2,M/2]. Theorem 2 then converts a finite fat dimension at scale γ/16\gamma/16γ/16 into a simultaneous bound on population error for all members of HHH. The three covering lemmas track how shattering, pseudodimension, and an ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ weight budget affect covers in sample ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​, ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​, and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ distances. Each bound retains the scale and explicit constants printed by the paper, subject to the stated corrections to undefined or false boundary cases (Bartlett 1998, pp. 527, 532–533).

Significance

The goal gives a width-independent generalization guarantee for a chosen network when its empirical margin error and total output weight are small. It applies to the entire class HHH at once, so choosing a network after inspecting the sample does not turn the bound into a claim about only one fixed predictor. It does not assert that a learning algorithm finds such a network or that the displayed constants are optimal. Bartlett notes that later work had improved a logarithmic factor, and that empirical agreement with neural-network performance remained an open experimental question at the time (Bartlett 1998, pp. 534–535).

The paper proves the mathematical result. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of its corrected formal statement and the stated supporting results; the draft theorem files currently contain proof obligations. A completed development would also make the fat dimension and strict external sample-cover definitions available for other margin analyses. Those objects differ from the platform's fixed-architecture neural networks and closed-ball covering numbers, so they are defined here with the conventions of this paper.

Difficulty

Counting hidden units gives no finite width-independent capacity bound, because HHH permits arbitrarily many terms. Bounding each unit separately also does not control the full combination class: different small contributions can produce distinct values on a sample. The challenging step is relating covers of the base class to covers of all finite combinations under the total absolute-weight constraint, and then relating those covers back to fat-shattering. Even once a finite capacity estimate is available, the probability statement must hold simultaneously for every h∈Hh\in Hh∈H, including a network selected after sampling (Bartlett 1998, pp. 532–534).

Formalization scope

Lean uses N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞} for fat dimensions and covering numbers, so an unbounded class cannot acquire a spurious dimension zero. Covers are external finite sets of real functions and use the strict distance <ε<\varepsilon<ε of Definition 3. Sample ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ and ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ distances are normalized by mmm. Pseudodimension is the supremum of positive-scale fat dimensions, matching the paper's right limit. Theorems assume m≥1m\ge1m≥1, and sample indices are zero-based. The network class is generated from its weights rather than supplied as an arbitrary set satisfying the desired bound.

The paper says it ignores measurability issues and assumes all sets considered are measurable (Bartlett 1998, p. 526). The goal makes the event of a violating network measurable. Its individual network functions are measurable from monotonicity of σ\sigmaσ and finite sums; the restated Theorem 2 has explicit hypotheses for measurable class members, the violating event, and the double-sample event in its proof. Theorem 2 additionally restricts d=fat⁡H(γ/16)d=\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma/16)d=fatH​(γ/16) to d≤34md\le34md≤34m, where its printed logarithmic bound remains valid. Corollary 24 uses n≥1n\ge1n≥1 because a zero-dimensional input still permits a biased constant unit. Lemma 23 uses d≥1d\ge1d≥1 and 0<γ<emM/d0<\gamma<emM/d0<γ<emM/d in place of the printed γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0: at γ=0\gamma=0γ=0 or d=0d=0d=0, or for γ≥emM/d\gamma\ge emM/dγ≥emM/d, the printed strict inequality fails, while on the rest of the printed range it is kept. These are recorded as corrections rather than attributed to the printed wording.

The deeper-network part of Theorem 28 is outside this proposal. Its printed chain through Corollary 27 has an unresolved range issue when the input box bound BBB is smaller than the activation range, and the displayed log⁡n\log nlogn factor also vanishes at n=1n=1n=1. This mission's goal is Part 1 and uses none of those claims. Contributions that establish the corrected covering lemmas, the capacity corollary, or the simultaneous margin bound fit the present proof frontier (Bartlett 1998, pp. 533–534).

Selected references

  • P. L. Bartlett, The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 44(2), 525–536, 1998. DOI.
15 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
AnalysisFunctional Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Theory of Reproducing Kernels IV: The Kernels of a Decreasing Sequence of Reproducing Kernel Classes Converge to the Kernel of the Limit ClassResearch Paper

Motivation

A reproducing kernel Hilbert space is a Hilbert space of functions on a set in which every point evaluation is continuous; the function K(x,y)K(x,y)K(x,y) that represents evaluation at yyy is its reproducing kernel. N. Aronszajn's Theory of Reproducing Kernels (Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), 337–404, DOI 10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7) gave the general theory of these spaces, which today underlies kernel methods in statistics and machine learning, Gaussian-process regression, and the Bergman and Szegő kernels of complex analysis.

Part I of the paper studies how kernels behave under the basic operations on classes of functions: sums, inclusions, products, restrictions, and limits. §9 treats limits. Its case A concerns a decreasing sequence of classes with increasing norms, defined on an increasing sequence of sets. The application in the paper's Part II is the computation of kernels of a domain by approximation from simpler domains: when a domain is exhausted by an increasing sequence of subdomains, the kernels of the subdomains converge to the kernel of the whole domain. This mission formalizes §9, Theorem I and the steps of its proof.

Setting

Let XXX be an arbitrary set and E1⊂E2⊂⋯E_1\subset E_2\subset\cdotsE1​⊂E2​⊂⋯ subsets with union E=E1+E2+⋯=XE = E_1+E_2+\cdots = XE=E1​+E2​+⋯=X. For each nnn let FnF_nFn​ be a complex Hilbert space of functions on EnE_nEn​, with norm ∥⋅∥n\|\cdot\|_n∥⋅∥n​, in which point evaluations are continuous; Kn(x,y)K_n(x,y)Kn​(x,y), for x,y∈Enx,y\in E_nx,y∈En​, is its reproducing kernel, characterized by Kn(⋅,y)∈FnK_n(\cdot,y)\in F_nKn​(⋅,y)∈Fn​ and

f(y)=(f,Kn(⋅,y))n(f∈Fn, y∈En),f(y) = (f, K_n(\cdot,y))_n \qquad (f\in F_n,\ y\in E_n),f(y)=(f,Kn​(⋅,y))n​(f∈Fn​, y∈En​),

with the scalar product (f,g)n(f,g)_n(f,g)n​ linear in fff. For fn∈Fnf_n\in F_nfn​∈Fn​ and m≤nm\le nm≤n, fnmf_{nm}fnm​ denotes the restriction of fnf_nfn​ to EmE_mEm​. The standing assumptions of §9 A (p. 362) are:

  1. E1⊂E2⊂⋯E_1\subset E_2\subset\cdotsE1​⊂E2​⊂⋯ and E=⋃nEnE = \bigcup_n E_nE=⋃n​En​;
  2. the classes decrease: fnm∈Fmf_{nm}\in F_mfnm​∈Fm​ for every fn∈Fnf_n\in F_nfn​∈Fn​ and m≤nm\le nm≤n;
  3. the norms increase: ∥fnm∥m≤∥fn∥n\|f_{nm}\|_m\le\|f_n\|_n∥fnm​∥m​≤∥fn​∥n​ for every fn∈Fnf_n\in F_nfn​∈Fn​ and m≤nm\le nm≤n;

together with the existence of every kernel KnK_nKn​. For two kernels on a set YYY, K1≪KK_1\ll KK1​≪K means that K−K1K-K_1K−K1​ is a positive matrix: ∑i,j(K−K1)(yi,yj) ξˉiξj≥0\sum_{i,j}(K-K_1)(y_i,y_j)\,\bar\xi_i\xi_j\ge 0∑i,j​(K−K1​)(yi​,yj​)ξˉ​i​ξj​≥0 for all finite families yi∈Yy_i\in Yyi​∈Y, ξi∈C\xi_i\in\mathbb Cξi​∈C. KnmK_{nm}Knm​ is the restriction of KnK_nKn​ to Em×EmE_m\times E_mEm​×Em​.

The limit class F0F_0F0​ is the set of functions f0f_0f0​ on EEE such that (1°) every restriction f0nf_{0n}f0n​ belongs to FnF_nFn​ and (2°) lim⁡n∥f0n∥n<∞\lim_n\|f_{0n}\|_n<\inftylimn​∥f0n​∥n​<∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: §9, Theorem I (pp. 362–363)

Under the standing assumptions there is K0:E×E→CK_0 : E\times E\to\mathbb CK0​:E×E→C such that, whenever x,y∈ENx,y\in E_Nx,y∈EN​,

lim⁡n→∞Kn(x,y)=K0(x,y),\lim_{n\to\infty}K_n(x,y)=K_0(x,y),n→∞lim​Kn​(x,y)=K0​(x,y),

and K0K_0K0​ is the reproducing kernel of F0F_0F0​ with the norm

∥f0∥0=lim⁡n→∞∥f0n∥n.\|f_0\|_0=\lim_{n\to\infty}\|f_{0n}\|_n .∥f0​∥0​=n→∞lim​∥f0n​∥n​.

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  1. §9, Eq. (4): Knm≪KmK_{nm}\ll K_mKnm​≪Km​ for m<nm<nm<n.
  2. §9, proof of Theorem I, p. 363: for y∈Eky\in E_ky∈Ek​, {Km(y,y)}m≥k\{K_m(y,y)\}_{m\ge k}{Km​(y,y)}m≥k​ is a decreasing sequence of non-negative numbers.
  3. §9, Eq. (5): for y∈Eky\in E_ky∈Ek​, k≤m≤nk\le m\le nk≤m≤n, ∥Kmk(⋅,y)−Knk(⋅,y)∥k2≤Km(y,y)−Kn(y,y)\|K_{mk}(\cdot,y)-K_{nk}(\cdot,y)\|_k^2\le K_m(y,y)-K_n(y,y)∥Kmk​(⋅,y)−Knk​(⋅,y)∥k2​≤Km​(y,y)−Kn​(y,y).
  4. §9, Eq. (6): with K0K_0K0​ the pointwise limit, K0k(⋅,y)∈FkK_{0k}(\cdot,y)\in F_kK0k​(⋅,y)∈Fk​ and ∥Kmk(⋅,y)−K0k(⋅,y)∥k2≤Km(y,y)−K0(y,y)\|K_{mk}(\cdot,y)-K_{0k}(\cdot,y)\|_k^2\le K_m(y,y)-K_0(y,y)∥Kmk​(⋅,y)−K0k​(⋅,y)∥k2​≤Km​(y,y)−K0​(y,y).
  5. §9, Remark after Theorem I: under 1°, ∥f0n∥n\|f_{0n}\|_n∥f0n​∥n​ is non-decreasing, so its limit exists, possibly infinite.
  6. §9, Eq. (7): if F0F_0F0​ carries the limit norm, then (f0,g0)0=lim⁡n(f0n,g0n)n(f_0,g_0)_0=\lim_n(f_{0n},g_{0n})_n(f0​,g0​)0​=limn​(f0n​,g0n​)n​.

Significance

The result. Theorem I turns a monotone family of function spaces into a single space and identifies its kernel as the pointwise limit of the kernels. It reduces the computation of a kernel on a large set to kernels on an exhausting sequence of subsets, the method Aronszajn uses in Part II for Bergman-type kernels of plane domains. With En=EE_n=EEn​=E for all nnn (explicitly allowed on p. 362) it gives the limit of a decreasing sequence of kernels K1≫K2≫⋯K_1\gg K_2\gg\cdotsK1​≫K2​≫⋯ on one set as the kernel of the intersection class with the limit norm. The milestones (4)–(6) are quantitative: (5) bounds the distance between restricted kernel sections by the decrease of the diagonal values, which yields strong convergence of Km(⋅,y)K_m(\cdot,y)Km​(⋅,y) in every FkF_kFk​.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and proved in the paper; to our knowledge no machine-checked proof exists. Mathlib has the RKHS class, the operator-valued kernel, the positive semidefiniteness of kernels and the Moore–Aronszajn construction RKHS.OfKernel, but nothing about restrictions of an RKHS to a subset, the order ≪\ll≪ between kernels, or limits of sequences of reproducing kernel spaces. This mission produces those statements on Mathlib's RKHS vocabulary over C\mathbb CC, with kernels on varying domains.

Difficulty

The kernels KnK_nKn​ live on different sets En×EnE_n\times E_nEn​×En​, so convergence is not convergence of a sequence of functions on one set: a pair x,yx,yx,y enters the sequence only from the first ENE_NEN​ containing both. The identification of the limit class needs three separate facts: that F0F_0F0​ with the limit norm is a Hilbert space (the limit of norms must be shown to come from a scalar product, and completeness requires passing to the limit in two indices), that K0(⋅,y)∈F0K_0(\cdot,y)\in F_0K0​(⋅,y)∈F0​, and that K0K_0K0​ reproduces. The natural first idea, to embed all FnF_nFn​ in one space and take an intersection, fails: the FnF_nFn​ are spaces of functions on different sets, and their norms differ, so there is no common ambient Hilbert space; the comparison goes only through restriction and the inequalities (3). Eq. (4) itself uses §7, Theorem II (a contractively included Hilbert subclass has a dominated kernel) and the restriction theorem of §5, neither of which is in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

  • Scalars and spaces. Complex scalars throughout (Aronszajn works with complex Hilbert spaces from §1 on). Each FnF_nFn​ is a type H n with [InnerProductSpace ℂ (H n)] [CompleteSpace (H n)] [RKHS ℂ (H n) (E n) ℂ], a space of functions on the subtype E n; the set EEE is a type X with no topology, measure or nonemptiness assumption.
  • Kernel. The scalar kernel kernelFn H x y is Mathlib's RKHS.kernel H x y 1. Mathlib's inner product is conjugate-linear in the first slot, so Aronszajn's (f,g)(f,g)(f,g) is ⟪g, f⟫_ℂ.
  • Standing assumptions. (1)–(3) are the structure IsDecreasingRKSequence; every statement takes it as a hypothesis. Restriction is pointwise agreement on EmE_mEm​. Indexing starts at 000.
  • Order. K1≪KK_1\ll KK1​≪K is KernelLE K₁ K := (Matrix.of K - Matrix.of K₁).PosSemidef, with Mathlib's positive semidefiniteness over an arbitrary index type (finitely supported vectors).
  • Comparisons of kernel values (Km(y,y)≥0K_m(y,y)\ge 0Km​(y,y)≥0, the right-hand sides of (5), (6)) are in Mathlib's ComplexOrder, which also asserts that these values are real.
  • Convergence of kernels is stated only where the terms are defined: for x,y∈ENx,y\in E_Nx,y∈EN​, the sequence j↦KN+j(x,y)j\mapsto K_{N+j}(x,y)j↦KN+j​(x,y) converges to K0(x,y)K_0(x,y)K0​(x,y). Kernels are never extended by 000 outside EnE_nEn​.
  • Condition 2° is convergence of ∥f0n∥n\|f_{0n}\|_n∥f0n​∥n​ to a real number, not a supremum, and the norm of F0F_0F0​ is stated as a limit (Tendsto).
  • The goal asserts (a) the convergence, (b) the existence of an RKHS on XXX with kernel K0K_0K0​, and (c) that every RKHS on XXX with kernel K0K_0K0​ has exactly the functions of F0F_0F0​ as its elements and the limit norm. A formalization that defines F0F_0F0​ as RKHS.OfKernel K₀ and then asserts that its kernel is K0K_0K0​ would be a tautology (RKHS.kernel_ofKernel); the goal instead characterizes the space by its functions and norm, as the paper does.
  • Eq. (7) is stated for an inner product space of functions whose norm is assumed to be the limit norm; the paper's derivation that the limit norm is a quadratic form is the content of the goal.
  • Non-vacuity. The constant sequence En=EE_n=EEn​=E, Fn=FF_n=FFn​=F satisfies the standing assumptions (checked in Lean), and the one-point example Fn=CF_n=\mathbb CFn​=C with norms cn∣f∣c_n|f|cn​∣f∣, cnc_ncn​ increasing, satisfies them with Kn=cn−2K_n=c_n^{-2}Kn​=cn−2​.

Needed infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: restriction of an RKHS to a subset (§5), the dominated-kernel theorem for contractive inclusions (§7, Theorem II), and the passage from a convergent sequence of norms to a convergent sequence of scalar products. Proofs of any milestone, and of these general facts as separate lemmas, are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Aronszajn, Theory of Reproducing Kernels, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), no. 3, 337–404. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7
  • E. H. Moore, General Analysis, Part I, Memoirs of the American Philosophical Society 1 (1935). (Positive matrices.)
  • Mathlib, Mathlib/Analysis/InnerProductSpace/Reproducing.lean (the RKHS class, RKHS.kernel, RKHS.OfKernel). https://github.com/leanprover-community/mathlib4
11 thms2 active usersReviewed
🏆Completed
AnalysisFunctional Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Theory of Reproducing Kernels V: A Hermitian Kernel Represents a Bounded Symmetric Operator with Bounds m and M iff mK ≪ Λ ≪ MKResearch Paper

Motivation

Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces are the function spaces of kernel methods in statistics and machine learning (Gaussian-process regression, support vector machines, kernel mean embeddings), of the Bergman and Szegő spaces of complex analysis, and of the theory of positive-definite functions. In all of these, bounded operators on the space (covariance operators, integral operators, projections onto subspaces, multiplication operators) are handled through functions of two points rather than through abstract operators. N. Aronszajn's Theory of Reproducing Kernels (Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), 337–404) gives, in its §11, the dictionary between bounded operators on a space with a reproducing kernel and their kernels, and characterizes the kernels of bounded symmetric operators with prescribed bounds. Aronszajn credits the ideas of the section to E. H. Moore.

Setting

Let EEE be an arbitrary set and let FFF be a class of complex-valued functions on EEE that forms a complex Hilbert space with scalar product (f,g)(f, g)(f,g), linear in fff and conjugate-linear in ggg. A reproducing kernel of FFF is a function K:E×E→CK : E \times E \to \mathbb{C}K:E×E→C such that, for every y∈Ey \in Ey∈E, the function K(⋅,y)K(\cdot, y)K(⋅,y) belongs to FFF and

f(y)=(f,K(⋅,y))for every f∈F.f(y) = (f, K(\cdot, y)) \qquad \text{for every } f \in F.f(y)=(f,K(⋅,y))for every f∈F.

Such a kernel exists exactly when every point evaluation f↦f(y)f \mapsto f(y)f↦f(y) is continuous.

For a bounded linear operator LLL on FFF, with adjoint L∗L^*L∗ defined by (Lf,g)=(f,L∗g)(Lf, g) = (f, L^* g)(Lf,g)=(f,L∗g), the kernel of LLL is

Λ(x,y)=Lx∗K(x,y),\Lambda(x, y) = L^*_x K(x, y),Λ(x,y)=Lx∗​K(x,y),

the value at xxx of the element L∗(K(⋅,y))L^*(K(\cdot, y))L∗(K(⋅,y)) of FFF. By the reproducing property, Lf(y)=(f,Λ(⋅,y))Lf(y) = (f, \Lambda(\cdot, y))Lf(y)=(f,Λ(⋅,y)) for every f∈Ff \in Ff∈F and y∈Ey \in Ey∈E, so LLL is determined by Λ\LambdaΛ.

A function P:E×E→CP : E \times E \to \mathbb{C}P:E×E→C is a positive matrix if ∑i,jξi‾ P(yi,yj) ξj≥0\sum_{i,j} \overline{\xi_i}\, P(y_i, y_j)\, \xi_j \ge 0∑i,j​ξi​​P(yi​,yj​)ξj​≥0 for every finite family of points yi∈Ey_i \in Eyi​∈E and complex numbers ξi\xi_iξi​. For two arbitrary functions Λ1,Λ2\Lambda_1, \Lambda_2Λ1​,Λ2​ on E×EE \times EE×E, one writes Λ1≪Λ2\Lambda_1 \ll \Lambda_2Λ1​≪Λ2​ if Λ2−Λ1\Lambda_2 - \Lambda_1Λ2​−Λ1​ is a positive matrix. A bounded operator LLL is symmetric if L=L∗L = L^*L=L∗, and positive if (Lf,f)≥0(Lf, f) \ge 0(Lf,f)≥0 for every fff. A symmetric LLL has lower bound ≥m\ge m≥m and upper bound ≤M\le M≤M if

m (f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M (f,f)for every f∈F.m\,(f, f) \le (Lf, f) \le M\,(f, f) \qquad \text{for every } f \in F.m(f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M(f,f)for every f∈F.

A kernel Λ\LambdaΛ is hermitian symmetric if Λ(x,y)=Λ(y,x)‾\Lambda(x, y) = \overline{\Lambda(y, x)}Λ(x,y)=Λ(y,x)​.

Formalization targets

Goal: §11, Theorem I (p. 373)

For an arbitrary hermitian symmetric function Λ:E×E→C\Lambda : E \times E \to \mathbb{C}Λ:E×E→C and real numbers m,Mm, Mm,M:

∃ L bounded, symmetric, with Λ=Lx∗K(x,y) and m(f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M(f,f)  ∀f⟺mK≪Λ≪MK.\exists\, L \text{ bounded, symmetric, with } \Lambda = L^*_x K(x,y) \text{ and } m(f,f) \le (Lf,f) \le M(f,f)\ \ \forall f \quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad mK \ll \Lambda \ll MK .∃L bounded, symmetric, with Λ=Lx∗​K(x,y) and m(f,f)≤(Lf,f)≤M(f,f)  ∀f⟺mK≪Λ≪MK.

The function Λ\LambdaΛ is not assumed to have Λ(⋅,y)∈F\Lambda(\cdot, y) \in FΛ(⋅,y)∈F; that membership is part of what the condition yields.

Milestones

  1. §11, (3): the kernel of the adjoint, Λ∗(y,z)=Λ(z,y)‾\Lambda^*(y, z) = \overline{\Lambda(z, y)}Λ∗(y,z)=Λ(z,y)​.
  2. §11, (6): LLL is symmetric if and only if Λ\LambdaΛ is hermitian symmetric.
  3. §11, (7): LLL is positive if and only if Λ\LambdaΛ is a positive matrix.
  4. §11, (4): the kernel of a composition, Λ(y,z)=(Λ1(x,z),Λ2(y,x)‾)x\Lambda(y, z) = (\Lambda_1(x, z), \overline{\Lambda_2(y, x)})_xΛ(y,z)=(Λ1​(x,z),Λ2​(y,x)​)x​ for L=L1L2L = L_1 L_2L=L1​L2​.
  5. §11, Theorem II: if Lnu→LuL_n u \to L uLn​u→Lu weakly for every uuu, then Λn→Λ\Lambda_n \to \LambdaΛn​→Λ pointwise; if ∥Ln−L∥→0\|L_n - L\| \to 0∥Ln​−L∥→0, then Λn→Λ\Lambda_n \to \LambdaΛn​→Λ uniformly on every set of couples (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) on which K(x,x)K(x, x)K(x,x) and K(y,y)K(y, y)K(y,y) are uniformly bounded.
  6. §11, Theorem III, first sentence: for complete orthonormal systems {gm′}\{g'_m\}{gm′​}, {gn′′}\{g''_n\}{gn′′​} and αmn=(gn′′,Lgm′)\alpha_{mn} = (g''_n, L g'_m)αmn​=(gn′′​,Lgm′​),
Λ(x,y)=lim⁡p,q→∞∑m=1p∑n=1qαmn gm′(x) gn′′(y)‾.\Lambda(x, y) = \lim_{p, q \to \infty} \sum_{m=1}^{p} \sum_{n=1}^{q} \alpha_{mn}\, g'_m(x)\, \overline{g''_n(y)} .Λ(x,y)=p,q→∞lim​m=1∑p​n=1∑q​αmn​gm′​(x)gn′′​(y)​.

Significance

Theorem I identifies, by finite quadratic-form inequalities alone, which functions of two points are kernels of bounded symmetric operators and with which spectral bounds. It reduces statements about operators (boundedness, positivity, operator inequalities mI≤L≤MImI \le L \le MImI≤L≤MI) to statements about finitely many evaluations of kernels, the form in which they are checked in practice, for instance when a covariance or integral operator is shown to be bounded and positive from its kernel. The milestones make the correspondence L↦ΛL \mapsto \LambdaL↦Λ a usable calculus: adjoints become conjugate transposes, composition becomes a scalar product in the middle variable, and limits of operators become limits of kernels.

All of these results are proved in the paper. None is formalized: Mathlib has reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS), adjoints, positive operators and positive semidefinite matrices over arbitrary index types, but no kernel of an operator and none of the statements above. The mission produces machine-checked proofs of the §11 dictionary and of Theorem I.

Difficulty

The necessity half of Theorem I and milestones (3), (6), (4) follow from the reproducing property. The sufficiency half is where the work is: Λ\LambdaΛ is an arbitrary function, and the hypothesis mK≪Λ≪MKmK \ll \Lambda \ll MKmK≪Λ≪MK is only about finite families of points. One has to produce an operator on all of FFF. The obvious attempt, defining LLL on the dense span of the functions K(⋅,y)K(\cdot, y)K(⋅,y) by the kernel and extending by continuity, needs the bound ∣( Lf,g)∣≤C∥f∥∥g∥|(\,L f, g)| \le C\|f\|\|g\|∣(Lf,g)∣≤C∥f∥∥g∥ on that span, which does not follow directly from the two one-sided inequalities on the diagonal forms. The positivity of Λ−mK\Lambda - mKΛ−mK and MK−ΛMK - \LambdaMK−Λ does not by itself give the membership Λ(⋅,y)∈F\Lambda(\cdot, y) \in FΛ(⋅,y)∈F, which the definition of the kernel of an operator requires. In milestone (7), positivity of an operator is a statement about all of FFF, while positivity of the kernel only sees finite combinations of kernel functions; the passage between them uses density of these combinations.

Formalization scope

  • The space is Mathlib's RKHS ℂ H X ℂ: a complex Hilbert space H whose elements are functions X → ℂ on an arbitrary type X (no topology, no measure, not assumed nonempty), with continuous evaluations. The scalar kernel is the series' shared definition AronszajnRK.Sum.kernelFn H x y := RKHS.kernel H x y 1; the function K(⋅,y)K(\cdot, y)K(⋅,y) is the element RKHS.kerFun H y 1.
  • The kernel of L : H →L[ℂ] H is opKernel L x y := (adjoint L) (kerFun H y 1) x. Mathlib's ⟪u, v⟫_ℂ is conjugate-linear in u, so the paper's (f,g)(f, g)(f,g) is ⟪g, f⟫_ℂ, and every formula with a scalar product or a bar has been rewritten in that order. On a one-point EEE with F=CF = \mathbb{C}F=C, K=1K = 1K=1 and L=cIL = cIL=cI, the kernel is cˉ\bar ccˉ.
  • Positive matrices and ≪\ll≪ are Matrix.PosSemidef of Matrix.of Λ over the index type X (finitely supported test vectors, ComplexOrder on ℂ); no finiteness of X is assumed.
  • Symmetric is IsSelfAdjoint L. "Positive" in (7) is ∀ f, 0 ≤ ⟪f, L f⟫_ℂ in ComplexOrder (real and nonnegative), without assuming self-adjointness, as in the paper. The bounds in Theorem I are bounds of the quadratic form, m‖f‖² ≤ Re⟪f, L f⟫ ≤ M‖f‖², not of the operator norm. The paper does not assume m≤Mm \le Mm≤M and neither does the statement: for m>Mm > Mm>M both sides hold exactly when F={0}F = \{0\}F={0} and Λ=0\Lambda = 0Λ=0.
  • In (4) the statement asserts that the functions x↦Λ1(x,z)x \mapsto \Lambda_1(x, z)x↦Λ1​(x,z) and x↦Λ2(y,x)‾x \mapsto \overline{\Lambda_2(y, x)}x↦Λ2​(y,x)​ are elements of H, and that the kernel of L₁ ∘L L₂ is their scalar product.
  • Weak convergence in Theorem II is ⟪v, Lₙ u⟫ → ⟪v, L u⟫ for all u, v; uniform convergence is ‖Lₙ − L‖ → 0 in operator norm.
  • In Theorem III the orthonormal systems are HilbertBasis with arbitrary index types, and the double limit is taken along growing finite sets of indices in both variables. For systems indexed by N\mathbb{N}N this contains the paper's lim⁡p,q\lim_{p,q}limp,q​ over {1..p}×{1..q}\{1..p\}\times\{1..q\}{1..p}×{1..q}; the general form also covers finite-dimensional spaces. The second sentence of Theorem III (kernels in F⊗F‾F \otimes \overline{F}F⊗F correspond to operators of finite norm) needs the direct product F⊗F‾F \otimes \overline FF⊗F and is not stated.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: Theorem I quantifies over every hermitian function Λ\LambdaΛ, not over functions already known to be kernels of operators, and the right-hand side is the finite-matrix condition, not a statement about an operator built from Λ\LambdaΛ.
  • Not stated: the decomposition (8)–(9) into hermitian parts and the remark on general bounded operators (p. 374), and formula (5). Available substrate: RKHS, RKHS.kerFun_inner, RKHS.kerFun_dense, RKHS.posSemidef_kernel, ContinuousLinearMap.adjoint, ContinuousLinearMap.IsPositive and isPositive_iff_complex, HilbertBasis, Matrix.PosSemidef. Contributions welcome: a general lemma that a function Λ\LambdaΛ with 0≪Λ≪K0 \ll \Lambda \ll K0≪Λ≪K is the kernel of an operator 0≤L≤I0 \le L \le I0≤L≤I, and the inclusion theorem K1≪K⇒F1⊂FK_1 \ll K \Rightarrow F_1 \subset FK1​≪K⇒F1​⊂F, both reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • N. Aronszajn, Theory of Reproducing Kernels, Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 68 (1950), no. 3, 337–404. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1950-0051437-7
  • E. H. Moore, General Analysis, Part II, Mem. Amer. Philos. Soc. 1 (1939).
  • V. I. Paulsen and M. Raghupathi, An Introduction to the Theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces, Cambridge University Press, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316219232
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CombinatoricsFunctional Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network II: Fat-Shattering Bound for Bounded-Weight NetworksResearch Paper

Motivation

In the mid-1990s, neural networks trained by gradient descent were observed to generalize well even when the number of weights far exceeded the number of training examples. The classical theory could not explain this: VC-dimension bounds for networks grow with the number of parameters, so for large networks they are vacuous. Bartlett's paper (IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 44 (1998)) showed that, for classification with a margin, what controls generalization is the size of the weights, not the size of the network. Its two main technical results are a margin bound in terms of the fat-shattering dimension (Theorem 2, the subject of mission I of this series) and a bound on the fat-shattering dimension of networks with bounded weights (Theorem 17, the subject of this mission). The same idea of weight-norm capacity control underlies much of the later theory of margins, boosting and kernel methods.

Timeline. Kearns and Schapire (1994) introduced the fat-shattering dimension. Alon, Ben-David, Cesa-Bianchi and Haussler (1997) bounded ℓ∞ covering numbers by it. Bartlett, Kulkarni and Posner (1997) gave the matching lower bound on ℓ1 covering numbers used here as Lemma 19. Maurey's approximation lemma (reported by Pisier, 1981) was used by Jones (1992) and Barron (1993) for approximation by networks, and by Lee, Bartlett and Williamson (1996) for covering numbers of convex hulls. Bartlett (1998) combined these into Theorem 17.

Setting

Let XXX be a set and HHH a class of functions X→RX\to\mathbb RX→R. For γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, a sequence x=(x1,…,xm)∈Xmx=(x_1,\dots,x_m)\in X^mx=(x1​,…,xm​)∈Xm is γ\gammaγ-shattered by HHH if there is r∈Rmr\in\mathbb R^mr∈Rm such that for every b∈{−1,1}mb\in\{-1,1\}^mb∈{−1,1}m some h∈Hh\in Hh∈H satisfies (h(xi)−ri)bi≥γ(h(x_i)-r_i)b_i\ge\gamma(h(xi​)−ri​)bi​≥γ for all iii. The fat-shattering dimension is

fat⁡H(γ)=max⁡{m: H γ-shatters some x∈Xm}∈N∪{∞}.\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma)=\max\{m:\ H\ \gamma\text{-shatters some }x\in X^m\}\in\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}.fatH​(γ)=max{m: H γ-shatters some x∈Xm}∈N∪{∞}.

A cover of a class FFF at scale ε\varepsilonε for a pseudometric ρ\rhoρ on functions is a set TTT of functions such that every f∈Ff\in Ff∈F has some t∈Tt\in Tt∈T with ρ(t,f)<ε\rho(t,f)<\varepsilonρ(t,f)<ε; N(F,ε,ρ)\mathcal N(F,\varepsilon,\rho)N(F,ε,ρ) is the least size of a cover. For a sample x∈Xmx\in X^mx∈Xm the pseudometrics dℓ∞(x)d_{\ell_\infty(x)}dℓ∞​(x)​, dℓ1(x)d_{\ell_1(x)}dℓ1​(x)​, dℓ2(x)d_{\ell_2(x)}dℓ2​(x)​ are the maximum, the mean, and the root mean square of ∣f(xi)−g(xi)∣|f(x_i)-g(x_i)|∣f(xi​)−g(xi​)∣ over iii, and the uniform covering numbers are Np(F,ε,m)=max⁡x∈XmN(F,ε,dℓp(x))\mathcal N_p(F,\varepsilon,m)=\max_{x\in X^m}\mathcal N(F,\varepsilon,d_{\ell_p(x)})Np​(F,ε,m)=maxx∈Xm​N(F,ε,dℓp​(x)​).

The hidden units form a nonempty class FFF of functions X→[−M/2,M/2]X\to[-M/2,M/2]X→[−M/2,M/2]. For A>0A>0A>0 the two-layer network class with ℓ1-bounded output weights is

H={∑i=1Nwifi: N∈N, fi∈F, ∑i=1N∣wi∣≤A}.H=\Big\{\sum_{i=1}^Nw_if_i:\ N\in\mathbb N,\ f_i\in F,\ \sum_{i=1}^N|w_i|\le A\Big\}.H={i=1∑N​wi​fi​: N∈N, fi​∈F, i=1∑N​∣wi​∣≤A}.

In Lean these are BartlettNN.Margin.fat, BartlettNN.Margin.coverNum and BartlettNN.Margin.Ninf (shared with mission I), and BartlettNN.FatNet.N1, BartlettNN.FatNet.N2 and BartlettNN.FatNet.combos F A.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 17

There is a universal constant ccc such that for every XXX, FFF, MMM, A>0A>0A>0 and γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 with d=fat⁡F(γ/(32A))≥1d=\operatorname{fat}_F(\gamma/(32A))\ge1d=fatF​(γ/(32A))≥1,

fat⁡H(γ)≤cM2A2dγ2ln⁡2(MAdγ).\operatorname{fat}_H(\gamma)\le\frac{cM^2A^2d}{\gamma^2}\ln^2\Big(\frac{MAd}{\gamma}\Big).fatH​(γ)≤γ2cM2A2d​ln2(γMAd​).

The constant is left unspecified, as in the paper, so that the goal survives any improvement of the numerical constants.

Milestones (in the order the proof uses them)

  1. Lemma 19 (cited from Bartlett–Kulkarni–Posner): for [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued FFF with fat⁡F(4γ)≥d\operatorname{fat}_F(4\gamma)\ge dfatF​(4γ)≥d, log⁡2N1(F,γ,d)≥d/32\log_2\mathcal N_1(F,\gamma,d)\ge d/32log2​N1​(F,γ,d)≥d/32.
  2. Lemma 20, (5): for d=fat⁡F(γ/4)d=\operatorname{fat}_F(\gamma/4)d=fatF​(γ/4) and m≥2+2dlog⁡2(32M/γ)m\ge2+2d\log_2(32M/\gamma)m≥2+2dlog2​(32M/γ), log⁡2N2(F,γ,m)<1+dlog⁡2(4emM/(dγ))log⁡2(9mM2/γ2)\log_2\mathcal N_2(F,\gamma,m)<1+d\log_2(4emM/(d\gamma))\log_2(9mM^2/\gamma^2)log2​N2​(F,γ,m)<1+dlog2​(4emM/(dγ))log2​(9mM2/γ2).
  3. Lemma 21 (Maurey): in a Hilbert space, a point of the closed convex hull of a set of norm at most bbb is within c/k\sqrt{c/k}c/k​ of an average of kkk points of the set, for every c>b2−∥h∥2c>b^2-\|h\|^2c>b2−∥h∥2.
  4. Lemma 22: log⁡2N2(H,γ,m)≤(2M2A2/γ2)log⁡2(2N2(F,γ/(2A),m)+1)\log_2\mathcal N_2(H,\gamma,m)\le(2M^2A^2/\gamma^2)\log_2(2\mathcal N_2(F,\gamma/(2A),m)+1)log2​N2​(H,γ,m)≤(2M2A2/γ2)log2​(2N2​(F,γ/(2A),m)+1).
  5. Inequality (6): if m=fat⁡H(4γ)≥2+2dlog⁡2(64MA/γ)m=\operatorname{fat}_H(4\gamma)\ge2+2d\log_2(64MA/\gamma)m=fatH​(4γ)≥2+2dlog2​(64MA/γ) with d=fat⁡F(γ/(8A))d=\operatorname{fat}_F(\gamma/(8A))d=fatF​(γ/(8A)), then m≤(64M2A2/γ2)(3+dlog⁡2(8emMA/γ)log⁡2(36mM2A2/γ2))m\le(64M^2A^2/\gamma^2)(3+d\log_2(8emMA/\gamma)\log_2(36mM^2A^2/\gamma^2))m≤(64M2A2/γ2)(3+dlog2​(8emMA/γ)log2​(36mM2A2/γ2)).

Significance

Theorem 17 bounds the capacity of a network class without reference to the number of hidden units NNN. With Theorem 2 (mission I) it gives misclassification bounds for networks with small weights that hold for networks of any size, and by iteration it yields the bounds for deep sigmoid networks of Theorem 28 (mission III). Its method — upper-bound ℓ2 covering numbers through Maurey's lemma and compare with a lower bound in terms of fat-shattering — is a template for bounding the fat-shattering dimension of convex hulls in general.

The results are proved in the paper (Lemmas 19 and 21 by citation). None of them is formalized: the platform has no fat-shattering dimension, no uniform sample covering numbers of function classes, and only a finite-dimensional, diameter-based form of Maurey's lemma (HighDimProb.Appetizer.approx_caratheodory), which is not Lemma 21. This mission produces machine-checked statements of all five ingredients and of the theorem.

Difficulty

The obvious route would bound fat⁡H\operatorname{fat}_HfatH​ through a VC-type count of the network's parameters, which fails because NNN is unbounded. The paper's route needs a lower bound on covering numbers by the fat-shattering dimension (Lemma 19, a combinatorial packing argument not proved in the paper), an upper bound by the fat-shattering dimension at a finer scale (Lemma 20, which goes through the Alon et al. scale-sensitive Sauer lemma and a quantization argument), and a probabilistic approximation argument in the empirical L2L_2L2​ space (Lemmas 21 and 22). The final step solves a transcendental inequality (6) for mmm, with care at the boundary where the logarithm is small.

Formalization scope

  • Functions are maps X → ℝ; fat is valued in ℕ∞, so an unbounded shattering is ∞\infty∞, not a junk 000. Labels ±1\pm1±1 are Bool read through pm (true ↦ 1); sequences are indexed by Fin m (0-based).
  • Covers are external (finite sets of arbitrary functions X→RX\to\mathbb RX→R) with the strict inequality of Definition 3; the covering number is ∞\infty∞ when no finite cover exists. The ℓ1 and ℓ2 distances carry the factor 1/m1/m1/m. Mathlib's Metric.coveringNumber (closed balls, metric types) is not used.
  • Bounds of the form "log⁡2N≤B\log_2\mathcal N\le Blog2​N≤B" are stated for every finite value of N\mathcal NN, and where the paper's bound implies finiteness (Lemmas 20, 22, Theorem 17) finiteness is part of the conclusion.
  • The constant ccc of Theorem 17 is quantified before XXX, FFF, MMM, AAA, γ\gammaγ and ddd; a constant chosen after them would make the statement trivially true.
  • Corrections of the printed statement. Theorem 17 is stated for γ>0\gamma>0γ>0 (printed γ≥0\gamma\ge0γ≥0, under which the bound is meaningless) and A>0A>0A>0 (printed A≥0A\ge0A≥0, under which γ/(32A)\gamma/(32A)γ/(32A) is undefined). Implicit positivity (M>0M>0M>0, γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, A>0A>0A>0) in Lemmas 20, 22 and (6) is stated as hypotheses. Inequality (6) is copied as printed, with log⁡2(8emMA/γ)\log_2(8emMA/\gamma)log2​(8emMA/γ).
  • In Theorem 17 the logarithm is natural (the base is absorbed by ccc); (5) and (6) use log⁡2\log_2log2​.
  • Lemma 21 is stated in a complete real inner product space, with "convex closure" read as the closure of the convex hull.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the five milestones and of the goal, and reusable infrastructure on fat-shattering and covering numbers of function classes.

Selected references

  • P. L. Bartlett, The Sample Complexity of Pattern Classification with Neural Networks: The Size of the Weights is More Important than the Size of the Network, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 44(2), 1998, 525–536. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.661502
  • N. Alon, S. Ben-David, N. Cesa-Bianchi, D. Haussler, Scale-sensitive dimensions, uniform convergence, and learnability, J. ACM 44(4), 1997, 615–631. https://doi.org/10.1145/263867.263927
  • P. L. Bartlett, S. R. Kulkarni, S. E. Posner, Covering numbers for real-valued function classes, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 43(5), 1997, 1721–1724. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.623181
  • M. J. Kearns, R. E. Schapire, Efficient distribution-free learning of probabilistic concepts, J. Comput. Syst. Sci. 48(3), 1994, 464–497. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-0000(05)80062-5
  • W. S. Lee, P. L. Bartlett, R. C. Williamson, Efficient agnostic learning of neural networks with bounded fan-in, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 42(6), 1996, 2118–2132. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.556601
  • A. R. Barron, Universal approximation bounds for superpositions of a sigmoidal function, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 39(3), 1993, 930–945. https://doi.org/10.1109/18.256500
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Certified Adversarial Robustness via Randomized Smoothing 2: The Certified ℓ2 Radius Cannot Be EnlargedResearch Paper

Motivation

Neural-network classifiers can be made to change their output by perturbations of the input that are imperceptible to a person. A certified defense is a classifier together with a proof that its prediction at a point xxx does not change for any perturbation δ\deltaδ in a stated set, typically an ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ ball ∥δ∥2<R\|\delta\|_2<R∥δ∥2​<R. Randomized smoothing turns an arbitrary base classifier into one with such a certificate by classifying Gaussian-noised copies of the input and returning the most likely class. Cohen, Rosenfeld and Kolter (arXiv:1902.02918v2, ICML 2019) gave the certified radius R=σ2(Φ−1(pA‾)−Φ−1(pB‾))R=\frac{\sigma}{2}\big(\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A})-\Phi^{-1}(\overline{p_B})\big)R=2σ​(Φ−1(pA​​)−Φ−1(pB​​)) (their Theorem 1) and showed, in their Theorem 2, that this radius cannot be enlarged when only the two class-probability bounds are known about the base classifier. This mission formalizes Theorem 2. Theorem 1 is the subject of the companion mission of this series.

Earlier certificates for the same smoothed classifier, by Lecuyer et al. (2019) via differential privacy and Li et al. (2018) via Rényi divergence, gave smaller radii. Theorem 2 shows that no further analysis that uses only the class-probability bounds can improve on Theorem 1.

Setting

Inputs live in Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm ∥⋅∥2\|\cdot\|_2∥⋅∥2​; classes form a set Y\mathcal YY. A base classifier is a map f:Rd→Yf:\mathbb R^d\to\mathcal Yf:Rd→Y with Borel decision regions. For a noise level σ>0\sigma>0σ>0, write N(x,σ2I)\mathcal N(x,\sigma^2I)N(x,σ2I) for the isotropic Gaussian law of x+εx+\varepsilonx+ε with ε∼N(0,σ2I)\varepsilon\sim\mathcal N(0,\sigma^2I)ε∼N(0,σ2I). The class probability of ccc at xxx is P(f(x+ε)=c)\mathbb P(f(x+\varepsilon)=c)P(f(x+ε)=c), and the smoothed classifier is

g(x)=arg⁡max⁡c∈Y P(f(x+ε)=c).g(x)=\arg\max_{c\in\mathcal Y}\ \mathbb P(f(x+\varepsilon)=c).g(x)=argc∈Ymax​ P(f(x+ε)=c).

Let Φ\PhiΦ be the standard Gaussian CDF and Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 its inverse on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). A classifier fff is consistent with the observed class probabilities (6) for a top class cAc_AcA​ and numbers pA‾≥pB‾\underline{p_A}\ge\overline{p_B}pA​​≥pB​​ if

P(f(x+ε)=cA) ≥ pA‾ ≥ pB‾ ≥ max⁡c≠cAP(f(x+ε)=c).\mathbb P(f(x+\varepsilon)=c_A)\ \ge\ \underline{p_A}\ \ge\ \overline{p_B}\ \ge\ \max_{c\ne c_A}\mathbb P(f(x+\varepsilon)=c).P(f(x+ε)=cA​) ≥ pA​​ ≥ pB​​ ≥ c=cA​max​P(f(x+ε)=c).

The certified radius is R=σ2(Φ−1(pA‾)−Φ−1(pB‾))R=\frac{\sigma}{2}\big(\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A})-\Phi^{-1}(\overline{p_B})\big)R=2σ​(Φ−1(pA​​)−Φ−1(pB​​)). In Lean these are gaussNoise x σ, classProb f σ x c, IsConsistent f σ x cA pA pB and radius σ pA pB in the namespace Cohen2019.Tight, with Phi and PhiInvReal from the series' shared module Cohen2019.Robust; the half-spaces A={z:δT(z−x)≤σ∥δ∥Φ−1(pA‾)}A=\{z:\delta^T(z-x)\le\sigma\|\delta\|\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A})\}A={z:δT(z−x)≤σ∥δ∥Φ−1(pA​​)} and B={z:δT(z−x)≥σ∥δ∥Φ−1(1−pB‾)}B=\{z:\delta^T(z-x)\ge\sigma\|\delta\|\Phi^{-1}(1-\overline{p_B})\}B={z:δT(z−x)≥σ∥δ∥Φ−1(1−pB​​)} of the paper's Appendix A are setA and setB.

Quotations write the paper's underlined lower bound as p̲A and its overlined upper bound as p̄B. The PDF has no printed page numbers; every page cited is the PDF page of arXiv:1902.02918v2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (corrected)

Assume 0<pB‾≤pA‾<10<\overline{p_B}\le\underline{p_A}<10<pB​​≤pA​​<1, pA‾+pB‾≤1\underline{p_A}+\overline{p_B}\le1pA​​+pB​​≤1, and that some finite set sss of classes other than cAc_AcA​ satisfies 1≤pA‾+∣s∣ pB‾1\le\underline{p_A}+|s|\,\overline{p_B}1≤pA​​+∣s∣pB​​. Then for every δ\deltaδ with ∥δ∥2>R\|\delta\|_2>R∥δ∥2​>R there is a base classifier f∗f^*f∗ consistent with (6) and a class c≠cAc\ne c_Ac=cA​ with

P(f∗(x+δ+ε)=cA) < P(f∗(x+δ+ε)=c),\mathbb P(f^*(x+\delta+\varepsilon)=c_A)\ <\ \mathbb P(f^*(x+\delta+\varepsilon)=c),P(f∗(x+δ+ε)=cA​) < P(f∗(x+δ+ε)=c),

so that g(x+δ)≠cAg(x+\delta)\ne c_Ag(x+δ)=cA​ under any tie-breaking. The classifier may depend on δ\deltaδ.

The class-capacity hypothesis is a correction. As printed, with only pA‾+pB‾≤1\underline{p_A}+\overline{p_B}\le1pA​​+pB​​≤1, the theorem fails for two classes: with Y={cA,cB}\mathcal Y=\{c_A,c_B\}Y={cA​,cB​}, pA‾=0.6\underline{p_A}=0.6pA​​=0.6, pB‾=0.1\overline{p_B}=0.1pB​​=0.1 and σ=∥δ∥2=1\sigma=\|\delta\|_2=1σ=∥δ∥2​=1, one has R≈0.767<1R\approx0.767<1R≈0.767<1, yet every consistent fff gives cAc_AcA​ probability at least 0.90.90.9, and Theorem 1 then certifies radius Φ−1(0.9)≈1.28\Phi^{-1}(0.9)\approx1.28Φ−1(0.9)≈1.28.

Milestones

The milestones are the steps the paper itself states, in its order: the Claims P(X∈A)=pA‾\mathbb P(X\in A)=\underline{p_A}P(X∈A)=pA​​ and P(X∈B)=pB‾\mathbb P(X\in B)=\overline{p_B}P(X∈B)=pB​​ for X∼N(x,σ2I)X\sim\mathcal N(x,\sigma^2I)X∼N(x,σ2I); the disjointness of AAA and BBB (corrected to "null" when pA‾+pB‾=1\underline{p_A}+\overline{p_B}=1pA​​+pB​​=1); equations (13) and (14) for Y∼N(x+δ,σ2I)Y\sim\mathcal N(x+\delta,\sigma^2I)Y∼N(x+δ,σ2I),

P(Y∈A)=Φ(Φ−1(pA‾)−∥δ∥σ),P(Y∈B)=Φ(Φ−1(pB‾)+∥δ∥σ);\mathbb P(Y\in A)=\Phi\Big(\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A})-\tfrac{\|\delta\|}{\sigma}\Big),\qquad \mathbb P(Y\in B)=\Phi\Big(\Phi^{-1}(\overline{p_B})+\tfrac{\|\delta\|}{\sigma}\Big);P(Y∈A)=Φ(Φ−1(pA​​)−σ∥δ∥​),P(Y∈B)=Φ(Φ−1(pB​​)+σ∥δ∥​);

the equivalence P(Y∈A)<P(Y∈B)  ⟺  ∥δ∥2>R\mathbb P(Y\in A)<\mathbb P(Y\in B)\iff\|\delta\|_2>RP(Y∈A)<P(Y∈B)⟺∥δ∥2​>R; and the existence of the worst-case classifier f∗f^*f∗ satisfying (6) with equalities.

Significance

Theorem 2 makes the guarantee of Theorem 1 exact: when only (6) is known about fff, the set of perturbations under which the Gaussian-smoothed prediction is provably constant is exactly the open ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ ball of radius RRR. It settles that improvements to Gaussian-smoothing certificates must use more information about the base classifier than the two bounds, as later work on higher-order and Lipschitz-based certificates does.

The paper's proof is complete in its main lines and has two gaps that this mission records and repairs: the printed statement omits a condition on the number of classes, and the claim A∩B=∅A\cap B=\emptysetA∩B=∅ fails at pA‾+pB‾=1\underline{p_A}+\overline{p_B}=1pA​​+pB​​=1. To our knowledge neither Theorem 1 nor Theorem 2 has a machine-checked proof. Mathlib at the pinned revision has the multivariate standard Gaussian but no normal quantile function and no Gaussian half-space lemma; this mission adds statements for both kinds of fact.

Difficulty

Each step is elementary on paper but rests on facts about Gaussians that Mathlib does not package: the image of the standard Gaussian on Rd\mathbb R^dRd under a linear functional z↦δTzz\mapsto\delta^T zz↦δTz is the one-dimensional Gaussian with variance ∥δ∥2\|\delta\|^2∥δ∥2, and Φ\PhiΦ is a continuous strictly increasing bijection R→(0,1)\mathbb R\to(0,1)R→(0,1) with Φ−1(1−p)=−Φ−1(p)\Phi^{-1}(1-p)=-\Phi^{-1}(p)Φ−1(1−p)=−Φ−1(p). The construction of f∗f^*f∗ has a further step the paper leaves informal: the region between AAA and BBB, of mass 1−pA‾−pB‾1-\underline{p_A}-\overline{p_B}1−pA​​−pB​​, must be shared among "other classes" with none exceeding pB‾\overline{p_B}pB​​, which is where the capacity hypothesis enters. Measurability of the constructed decision regions must be carried along.

Formalization scope

Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). N(x,σ2I)\mathcal N(x,\sigma^2I)N(x,σ2I) is the pushforward of Mathlib's stdGaussian under z↦x+σzz\mapsto x+\sigma zz↦x+σz, with σ>0\sigma>0σ>0 a binder. Φ\PhiΦ is cdf (gaussianReal 0 1); Φ−1(p)\Phi^{-1}(p)Φ−1(p) is the generalized inverse inf⁡{t:p≤Φ(t)}\inf\{t:p\le\Phi(t)\}inf{t:p≤Φ(t)}, which is the true inverse on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1) and the junk value 000 at the endpoints, so every statement that evaluates it assumes 0<p<10<p<10<p<1; at pB‾=0\overline{p_B}=0pB​​=0 or pA‾=1\underline{p_A}=1pA​​=1 the paper's radius is infinite and Theorem 2 is vacuous. Class probabilities are real numbers. The base classifier in the conclusion is deterministic with Borel decision regions, which is the stronger existence statement. The conclusion is the strict inequality between class probabilities, not merely the failure of cAc_AcA​ to be a strict unique argmax.

A formalization in which the junk endpoint value of Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 makes RRR negative, or in which the classifier's decision regions are non-measurable so that its class probabilities are default values, would make the goal trivial; the hypotheses above exclude both.

Reusable beyond this mission: the Gaussian half-space probabilities and the normal quantile on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1). Contributions of general Mathlib-style lemmas (the law of δTX\delta^T XδTX for X∼N(x,σ2I)X\sim\mathcal N(x,\sigma^2I)X∼N(x,σ2I), properties of Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1) are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. M. Cohen, E. Rosenfeld, J. Z. Kolter, Certified Adversarial Robustness via Randomized Smoothing, ICML 2019; arXiv:1902.02918v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.02918v2
  • M. Lecuyer, V. Atlidakis, R. Geambasu, D. Hsu, S. Jana, Certified Robustness to Adversarial Examples with Differential Privacy, IEEE S&P 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.03471
  • B. Li, C. Chen, W. Wang, L. Carin, Certified Adversarial Robustness with Additive Noise, NeurIPS 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.03113
  • J. Neyman, E. S. Pearson, On the Problem of the Most Efficient Tests of Statistical Hypotheses, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 231, 1933. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.1933.0009
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Convex OptimizationProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 4: Relative-Entropy Regularization of Mixtures Has Uniform Stability M²/(λm)Research Paper

Motivation

A learning algorithm generalizes when its error on fresh data is close to its error on the training sample. Bousquet and Elisseeff (JMLR 2, 2002) showed that a single property of the algorithm, uniform stability, controls this gap with exponential concentration: if removing any one example from a training set of size mmm changes the loss of the output at every point by at most β\betaβ, the generalization error exceeds the empirical error by roughly 2β+(4mβ+M)ln⁡(1/δ)/(2m)2\beta + (4m\beta + M)\sqrt{\ln(1/\delta)/(2m)}2β+(4mβ+M)ln(1/δ)/(2m)​ with probability 1−δ1-\delta1−δ (their Theorem 12). The bound is useful only when β=O(1/m)\beta = O(1/m)β=O(1/m), and the second half of the paper identifies algorithms with that rate: Tikhonov regularization in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (Theorem 22), and relative-entropy regularization of mixtures (Theorem 24), the subject of this mission.

Mixtures arise whenever a learner outputs a distribution over a parametric base class instead of a single hypothesis: Bayesian posterior averaging, Gibbs and randomized classifiers, exponential weights. Regularizing by the relative entropy to a prior is the maximum-a-posteriori reading of these procedures, and Theorem 24 is one of the earliest results showing that such posteriors are uniformly stable with rate 1/(λm)1/(\lambda m)1/(λm). The same mechanism (entropic regularization, stability through Pinsker's inequality) reappears in PAC-Bayesian analysis and in the stability of exponential-weights methods.

Setting

Let Θ\ThetaΘ be a measurable space with a reference measure ν\nuν, and write dθd\thetadθ for integration against ν\nuν. A base class H={hθ:θ∈Θ}\mathcal H = \{h_\theta : \theta \in \Theta\}H={hθ​:θ∈Θ} is indexed by Θ\ThetaΘ, and r(hθ,z)∈[0,M]r(h_\theta, z) \in [0, M]r(hθ​,z)∈[0,M] is the loss of the base hypothesis hθh_\thetahθ​ at an example z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z.

The algorithm outputs a density ggg with respect to ν\nuν: a measurable, nonnegative, integrable g:Θ→Rg : \Theta \to \mathbb Rg:Θ→R with ∫Θg dθ=1\int_\Theta g\,d\theta = 1∫Θ​gdθ=1. FFF denotes the set of all densities. A density is scored by the averaged loss

ℓ(g,z)=∫Θr(hθ,z) g(θ) dθ(28),\ell(g, z) = \int_\Theta r(h_\theta, z)\, g(\theta)\, d\theta \qquad (28),ℓ(g,z)=∫Θ​r(hθ​,z)g(θ)dθ(28),

the expected loss of a randomized predictor that draws hθh_\thetahθ​ from ggg. The relative entropy of ggg to g′g'g′ is

K(g,g′)=∫Θg(θ)ln⁡g(θ)g′(θ) dθ∈[0,∞],K(g, g') = \int_\Theta g(\theta) \ln \frac{g(\theta)}{g'(\theta)}\, d\theta \in [0, \infty],K(g,g′)=∫Θ​g(θ)lng′(θ)g(θ)​dθ∈[0,∞],

with K(g,g′)=+∞K(g, g') = +\inftyK(g,g′)=+∞ when g νg\,\nugν is not absolutely continuous with respect to g′ νg'\,\nug′ν or the integrand is not integrable.

Fix a prior f0∈Ff_0 \in Ff0​∈F, a parameter λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, and a training set S=(z1,…,zm)S = (z_1, \dots, z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​). The algorithm returns a minimizer over FFF of

Rr(g)=1m∑j=1mℓ(g,zj)+λK(g,f0)(29).R_r(g) = \frac1m \sum_{j=1}^m \ell(g, z_j) + \lambda K(g, f_0) \qquad (29).Rr​(g)=m1​j=1∑m​ℓ(g,zj​)+λK(g,f0​)(29).

For an index iii, the truncated objective is Rr∖i(g)=1m∑j≠iℓ(g,zj)+λK(g,f0)R_r^{\setminus i}(g) = \frac1m \sum_{j \ne i} \ell(g, z_j) + \lambda K(g, f_0)Rr∖i​(g)=m1​∑j=i​ℓ(g,zj​)+λK(g,f0​), and f∖if^{\setminus i}f∖i denotes one of its minimizers over FFF.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 24

For every minimizer fff of (29), every minimizer f∖if^{\setminus i}f∖i of the truncated objective, and every example zzz,

∣ℓ(f,z)−ℓ(f∖i,z)∣≤M2λm.|\ell(f, z) - \ell(f^{\setminus i}, z)| \le \frac{M^2}{\lambda m}.∣ℓ(f,z)−ℓ(f∖i,z)∣≤λmM2​.

Milestones

  1. MMM-admissibility of (28) (§5.2.3, p. 518): ∣ℓ(g,z)−ℓ(g′,z)∣≤M∫Θ∣g−g′∣ dθ|\ell(g,z) - \ell(g',z)| \le M \int_\Theta |g - g'|\,d\theta∣ℓ(g,z)−ℓ(g′,z)∣≤M∫Θ​∣g−g′∣dθ.
  2. Pinsker's inequality, L1L^1L1 form (proof of Theorem 24): 12(∫Θ∣g−g′∣ dθ)2≤K(g,g′)\tfrac12 \bigl(\int_\Theta |g - g'|\,d\theta\bigr)^2 \le K(g, g')21​(∫Θ​∣g−g′∣dθ)2≤K(g,g′) for densities g,g′g, g'g,g′.
  3. Lemma 21 (p. 513): for a differentiable convex regularizer NNN on a vector space and a σ\sigmaσ-admissible loss,
dN(f,f∖i)+dN(f∖i,f)≤1λm(ℓ(f∖i,zi)−ℓ(f,zi)−dℓ(⋅,zi)(f∖i,f))≤σλm∣Δf(xi)∣.d_N(f, f^{\setminus i}) + d_N(f^{\setminus i}, f) \le \frac{1}{\lambda m}\Bigl(\ell(f^{\setminus i}, z_i) - \ell(f, z_i) - d_{\ell(\cdot, z_i)}(f^{\setminus i}, f)\Bigr) \le \frac{\sigma}{\lambda m}|\Delta f(x_i)|.dN​(f,f∖i)+dN​(f∖i,f)≤λm1​(ℓ(f∖i,zi​)−ℓ(f,zi​)−dℓ(⋅,zi​)​(f∖i,f))≤λmσ​∣Δf(xi​)∣.
  1. Bregman divergence of the relative entropy (proof of Theorem 24): dK(⋅,f0)(g,g′)=K(g,g′)d_{K(\cdot, f_0)}(g, g') = K(g, g')dK(⋅,f0​)​(g,g′)=K(g,g′).
  2. L1L^1L1 displacement bound (proof of Theorem 24):
∫Θ∣f−f∖i∣ dθ≤Mλm.\int_\Theta |f - f^{\setminus i}|\,d\theta \le \frac{M}{\lambda m}.∫Θ​∣f−f∖i∣dθ≤λmM​.

Significance

Theorem 24 places entropy-regularized posteriors among the algorithms to which the paper's exponential generalization bound applies: combined with Theorem 12 it gives, for the averaged loss, a deviation of order M2/(λm)+(M2/λ+M)ln⁡(1/δ)/mM^2/(\lambda m) + (M^2/\lambda + M)\sqrt{\ln(1/\delta)/m}M2/(λm)+(M2/λ+M)ln(1/δ)/m​. The proof also yields the L1L^1L1 bound ∫∣f−f∖i∣≤M/(λm)\int |f - f^{\setminus i}| \le M/(\lambda m)∫∣f−f∖i∣≤M/(λm), which by itself gives classification stability M/(λm)M/(\lambda m)M/(λm) for base hypotheses with values in {−1,1}\{-1, 1\}{−1,1} (remark after Theorem 24, p. 518).

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof is known to exist. A formalization produces reusable pieces that Mathlib does not have: Pinsker's inequality for densities in L1L^1L1 form (Mathlib has the Kullback–Leibler divergence InformationTheory.klDiv, but not Pinsker), the Bregman identity for the relative entropy, and a stability statement for minimizers over a space of probability densities.

Difficulty

The paper derives Theorem 24 from Lemma 21, which is stated for a regularizer that is defined and differentiable on a vector space. The relative entropy K(⋅,f0)K(\cdot, f_0)K(⋅,f0​) is defined only on the convex set of densities and is not differentiable at densities that vanish on a set of positive measure, so the general lemma does not literally apply, and the identity dK(⋅,f0)=Kd_{K(\cdot,f_0)} = KdK(⋅,f0​)​=K needs integrability conditions that the page does not state. A complete proof of the goal must either justify that application on the set of densities, or work directly with the minimizers, which requires identifying them and handling the +∞+\infty+∞ values of KKK. Pinsker's inequality itself requires a separate argument at the level of general measures.

Formalization scope

  • Densities are IsDensity ν g: measurable, nonnegative, integrable, total mass one, with respect to a σ-finite reference measure ν. The integral dθd\thetadθ is always against ν, never Lebesgue measure.
  • The base loss is r : Θ → Z → ℝ, measurable in θ, with 0 ≤ r ≤ M; the paper's costs are nonnegative (p. 502).
  • KKK is InformationTheory.klDiv of the measures g · ν and g' · ν, in ℝ≥0∞. The objectives (29) and its truncation take values in ℝ≥0∞. A formalization that converts KKK to a real number with toReal would send K=+∞K = +\inftyK=+∞ to 000 and make the worst densities minimizers; that reading is excluded.
  • The minimizers are given as hypotheses: f minimizes (29) and f' minimizes the truncated objective over all densities, for the given S : Fin m → Z and i : Fin m.
  • Corrected reading of the algorithm on S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i. The goal is stated in the pairwise form of the paper's proof: f∖if^{\setminus i}f∖i minimizes the truncated objective with factor 1/m1/m1/m, the analogue of (20), not (29) run on the m−1m-1m−1 points of S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i with factor 1/(m−1)1/(m-1)1/(m−1).
  • Corrected display. The objective displayed before Theorem 24 has ℓ(g,z)\ell(g, z)ℓ(g,z) inside the sum; (29) has ℓ(g,zi)\ell(g, z_i)ℓ(g,zi​), which is used.
  • Lemma 21 is stated as printed, in its differentiable case, on a real normed space whose elements act as functions on XXX through a linear map; the goal does not instantiate it. The Bregman identity is stated with the explicit gradient ln⁡(g′/f0)+1\ln(g'/f_0) + 1ln(g′/f0​)+1, for f0,g′>0f_0, g' > 0f0​,g′>0, finite K(g,f0)K(g, f_0)K(g,f0​), K(g′,f0)K(g', f_0)K(g′,f0​), and integrable gln⁡(g′/f0)g \ln(g'/f_0)gln(g′/f0​).

Contributions welcome: proofs of Pinsker's inequality for klDiv (reusable far beyond this mission), of the Bregman identity, of Lemma 21, and of the goal by any route.

Selected references

  • O. Bousquet and A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002) 499–526. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a.html
  • T. M. Cover and J. A. Thomas, Elements of Information Theory, Wiley, 1991 (Pinsker's inequality). https://doi.org/10.1002/0471200611
  • R. T. Rockafellar, Convex Analysis, Princeton University Press, 1970 (Bregman divergences, Appendix C of the paper). https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400873173
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 2: Exponential Generalization Bounds for Uniformly Stable AlgorithmsResearch Paper

Motivation

A learning algorithm is judged by its generalization error: the expected loss of the hypothesis it outputs on a fresh example. That quantity depends on an unknown distribution, so it is estimated from the training data, by the empirical error (the average loss on the training set) or the leave-one-out error (the average loss on each training point of the hypothesis trained without it). Classical learning theory controls the gap between these estimates and the true error uniformly over a hypothesis class, through its VC dimension or covering numbers. Such bounds say nothing useful about algorithms that search very large or infinite-dimensional spaces, such as support vector machines and regularization networks in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.

Bousquet and Elisseeff (JMLR 2 (2002) 499–526) replaced the capacity of the class by a property of the algorithm, its stability: how much its output changes when one training example is removed. Their exponential bound for uniformly stable algorithms is the starting point of the stability approach to generalization, which was later used for stochastic gradient descent (Hardt, Recht and Singer, 2016) and differential privacy, and sharpened by Feldman and Vondrák (2019) and Bousquet, Klochkov and Zhivotovskiy (2020).

Timeline. Rogers and Wagner (1978) and Devroye and Wagner (1979) bounded the leave-one-out error of local rules such as k-nearest neighbours through their stability. McDiarmid (1989) proved the bounded-differences inequality. Lugosi and Pawlak (1994) combined it with smoothed error estimates. Kearns and Ron (1999) named hypothesis and error stability and related them to the VC dimension. Bousquet and Elisseeff (2002) introduced uniform stability and proved the exponential bounds this mission formalizes.

Setting

Let Z=X×YZ = X \times YZ=X×Y be a measurable space of labelled examples with an unknown probability distribution DDD. A training set S=(z1,…,zm)S = (z_1, \dots, z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​) is drawn from DmD^mDm. A learning algorithm AAA maps a training set to a hypothesis AS:X→Y′A_S : X \to Y'AS​:X→Y′. It is deterministic and symmetric: it depends on the training set only as a multiset, so it is a function Multiset (X × Y) → (X → Y'), defined for training sets of every size. For a cost ccc, the loss of a hypothesis fff at z=(x,y)z = (x, y)z=(x,y) is ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y)\ell(f, z) = c(f(x), y)ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y).

Given SSS, write S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i for SSS with its iii-th example removed, and SiS^iSi for SSS with ziz_izi​ replaced by an independent draw zi′∼Dz_i' \sim Dzi′​∼D. The three errors are

R=Ez∼D[ℓ(AS,z)],Remp=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS,zi),Rloo=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS∖i,zi).R = \mathbb E_{z \sim D}[\ell(A_S, z)], \qquad R_{\mathrm{emp}} = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_S, z_i), \qquad R_{\mathrm{loo}} = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}}, z_i).R=Ez∼D​[ℓ(AS​,z)],Remp​=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS​,zi​),Rloo​=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS∖i​,zi​).

An algorithm has uniform stability β\betaβ at sample size mmm (Definition 6) if for every S∈ZmS \in Z^mS∈Zm, every iii and every z∈Zz \in Zz∈Z,

∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(AS∖i,z)∣≤β.|\ell(A_S, z) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}}, z)| \le \beta .∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(AS∖i​,z)∣≤β.

As a function of the sample size this constant is written βm\beta_mβm​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

If AAA has uniform stability β\betaβ and 0≤ℓ(AS,z)≤M0 \le \ell(A_S, z) \le M0≤ℓ(AS​,z)≤M for all zzz and all training sets SSS, then for every m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 and δ∈(0,1)\delta \in (0,1)δ∈(0,1), each of the following holds, separately, with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ over S∼DmS \sim D^mS∼Dm:

R≤Remp+2β+(4mβ+M)ln⁡(1/δ)2m,(11)R \le R_{\mathrm{emp}} + 2\beta + (4m\beta + M)\sqrt{\frac{\ln(1/\delta)}{2m}}, \qquad (11)R≤Remp​+2β+(4mβ+M)2mln(1/δ)​​,(11) R≤Rloo+β+(4mβ+M)ln⁡(1/δ)2m.(12)R \le R_{\mathrm{loo}} + \beta + (4m\beta + M)\sqrt{\frac{\ln(1/\delta)}{2m}}. \qquad (12)R≤Rloo​+β+(4mβ+M)2mln(1/δ)​​.(12)

Milestones

  1. McDiarmid's inequality (Theorem 2): for measurable F:Zm→RF : Z^m \to \mathbb RF:Zm→R with ∣F(S)−F(Si)∣≤ci|F(S) - F(S^i)| \le c_i∣F(S)−F(Si)∣≤ci​, PS[F−ESF≥ϵ]≤e−2ϵ2/∑ici2P_S[F - \mathbb E_S F \ge \epsilon] \le e^{-2\epsilon^2/\sum_i c_i^2}PS​[F−ES​F≥ϵ]≤e−2ϵ2/∑i​ci2​.
  2. Uniform stability β\betaβ implies ∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(ASi,z)∣≤2β|\ell(A_S, z) - \ell(A_{S^i}, z)| \le 2\beta∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(ASi​,z)∣≤2β (p. 504).
  3. Lemma 7: the bias identities for ES[R−Remp]\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{emp}}]ES​[R−Remp​], ES[R(A,S∖i)−Rloo]\mathbb E_S[R(A,S^{\setminus i}) - R_{\mathrm{loo}}]ES​[R(A,S∖i)−Rloo​] and ES[R−Rloo]\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{loo}}]ES​[R−Rloo​].
  4. R−RempR - R_{\mathrm{emp}}R−Remp​ and R−RlooR - R_{\mathrm{loo}}R−Rloo​ have bounded differences ci=4β+M/mc_i = 4\beta + M/mci​=4β+M/m.
  5. ES[R−Remp]≤2β\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{emp}}] \le 2\betaES​[R−Remp​]≤2β and ES[R−Rloo]≤β\mathbb E_S[R - R_{\mathrm{loo}}] \le \betaES​[R−Rloo​]≤β.
  6. The tail bounds PS[R−Remp>ϵ+2β]≤exp⁡(−2mϵ2/(4mβ+M)2)P_S[R - R_{\mathrm{emp}} > \epsilon + 2\beta] \le \exp(-2m\epsilon^2/(4m\beta+M)^2)PS​[R−Remp​>ϵ+2β]≤exp(−2mϵ2/(4mβ+M)2) and the leave-one-out analogue.

Significance

When β=O(1/m)\beta = O(1/m)β=O(1/m) both bounds are O(1/m)O(1/\sqrt m)O(1/m​), with constants that do not depend on any capacity of the hypothesis space. Later sections of the paper show that Tikhonov regularization in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space has β=O(1/(λm))\beta = O(1/(\lambda m))β=O(1/(λm)), so the theorem gives generalization bounds for support vector regression, kernel ridge regression and, through a smoothed loss, soft-margin classification. The theorem is also the template for later stability bounds: the decomposition into a bias term controlled by stability and a deviation term controlled by a concentration inequality recurs throughout the literature.

The result has been proved since 2002, and replace-one variants appear in textbooks (Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, Theorem 14.2; Shalev-Shwartz and Ben-David, Chapter 13). On Prove2Me the replace-one textbook version is not formalized, and Mathlib at the platform's environment has no McDiarmid inequality. This mission asks for a machine-checked proof of the paper's remove-one version with its exact constants, and a reusable McDiarmid inequality with per-coordinate constants.

Difficulty

The deterministic steps (the bias identity and the bounded-differences estimates) are short on paper. The central difficulty is McDiarmid's inequality itself: it needs a martingale argument along the coordinates of a product measure, or an equivalent tensorization of conditional sub-Gaussian bounds, with the Doob martingale E[F∣z1,…,zk]\mathbb E[F \mid z_1, \dots, z_k]E[F∣z1​,…,zk​] expressed through partial integration over Measure.pi. Hoeffding's inequality for sums, which Mathlib has, does not apply directly: R−RempR - R_{\mathrm{emp}}R−Remp​ is not a sum of independent terms. A second, bookkeeping difficulty is Lemma 7: the identities rest on exchanging ziz_izi​ with zi′z_i'zi′​ and on the symmetry of AAA, which in Lean means measure-preserving coordinate permutations of Dm⊗DD^m \otimes DDm⊗D and multiset equalities such as Si ∖i=S∖iS^{i\,\setminus i} = S^{\setminus i}Si∖i=S∖i.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to by the Lean statements:

  • An algorithm is a function of a multiset; this is how symmetry is encoded. Samples are Fin m → X × Y, and SiS^iSi is Function.update.
  • The law of SSS is Measure.pi (fun _ => D) with D a probability measure; zi′z_i'zi′​ and zzz are independent draws, integrated against the product (Measure.pi fun _ => D).prod D.
  • The paper's standing assumption that all functions are measurable is one hypothesis: (S,z)↦ℓ(AS,z)(S, z) \mapsto \ell(A_S, z)(S,z)↦ℓ(AS​,z) is measurable for every sample size. With the bound 0≤ℓ(AT,z)≤M0 \le \ell(A_T, z) \le M0≤ℓ(AT​,z)≤M for training sets TTT of every size, every expectation is a genuine integral, so no bound can hold because a non-integrable expectation defaults to 000.
  • Uniform stability quantifies over every sample, every index and every point, not almost every one.
  • "With probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" means the DmD^mDm-measure of the failure set is at most δ\deltaδ. The two bounds (11) and (12) are separate statements, joined by a conjunction; they are not claimed for one joint event.
  • The paper assumes βm\beta_mβm​ is non-increasing in mmm and bounds βm−1\beta_{m-1}βm−1​ by βm\beta_mβm​ (p. 504). The leave-one-out bound (12) and its milestones carry the explicit hypothesis of uniform stability β\betaβ at size m−1m-1m−1; the empirical bound (11) does not.
  • McDiarmid's inequality sums ci2c_i^2ci2​ over i=1,…,mi = 1, \dots, mi=1,…,m; the paper's printed upper index nnn is a slip.
  • When a displayed tail bound has a zero denominator, its formal statement uses the limiting bound 000. In McDiarmid's inequality this is the constant-function case; in the stability tails the loss is identically zero.

The stability notion is the paper's remove-one notion. A formalization with replace-one stability would prove a different theorem with different constants, and the published FoundationsML_Stability_UniformlyStable (replace-one) is therefore not used.

The development needs the published loss, empirical-error and generalization-error definitions from Foundations of Machine Learning, a McDiarmid inequality on product measures (reusable for any bounded-differences argument), and the coordinate-exchange lemmas for Measure.pi behind Lemma 7. Contributions of a general McDiarmid inequality, of exchangeability lemmas for product measures, and of proofs of any milestone are welcome.

Selected references

  • O. Bousquet and A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002) 499–526. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a.html
  • C. McDiarmid, On the method of bounded differences, Surveys in Combinatorics, LMS Lecture Note Series 141 (1989) 148–188. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107359949.008
  • L. Devroye and T. Wagner, Distribution-free performance bounds for potential function rules, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 25 (1979) 601–604. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1979.1056087
  • M. Kearns and D. Ron, Algorithmic stability and sanity-check bounds for leave-one-out cross-validation, Neural Computation 11 (1999) 1427–1453. https://doi.org/10.1162/089976699300016304
  • M. Hardt, B. Recht and Y. Singer, Train faster, generalize better: stability of stochastic gradient descent, ICML 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.01240
  • V. Feldman and J. Vondrák, High probability generalization bounds for uniformly stable algorithms with nearly optimal rate, COLT 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.10710
  • O. Bousquet, Y. Klochkov and N. Zhivotovskiy, Sharper bounds for uniformly stable algorithms, COLT 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.07833
  • M. Mohri, A. Rostamizadeh and A. Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 14.
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ProbabilityReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Minimax Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning II: High-Probability Regret Bound for UCBVI with a Bernstein–Freedman BonusResearch Paper

Why finite-horizon reinforcement learning needs a variance-sensitive bound

An agent can learn to act in an unknown environment by repeatedly running a finite episode, observing the states reached after its actions, and updating its model of the environment. The agent must trade off rewards in the current episode against information that may improve later decisions. A regret bound measures the cumulative value lost relative to an optimal policy that knows the true transition probabilities. Its dependence on the number of states, actions, episode steps, and interactions says how much exploration that uncertainty can force.

Azar, Osband, and Munos study this question for a finite-horizon Markov decision process with known, bounded rewards and an unknown, stationary transition kernel. Their UCBVI algorithm estimates action values from observed transitions and adds an exploration bonus. Their second version, UCBVI-BF, uses the empirical variance of the next-state value in that bonus. Their Theorem 2 gives an explicit high-probability regret bound whose leading dependence on the horizon is smaller than the bound they give for the simpler UCBVI-CH bonus. The paper states that, in a sufficiently long-run regime, its leading order matches the cited lower-bound scale up to logarithmic factors. This mission targets the explicit theorem, including its lower-order terms, rather than only that asymptotic comparison.

The MDP, interaction, and algorithm

Let S\mathcal SS and A\mathcal AA be nonempty finite state and action sets with cardinalities SSS and AAA. A stationary transition kernel P(y∣x,a)P(y\mid x,a)P(y∣x,a) is a probability distribution on next states yyy for every current state xxx and action aaa. The reward R(x,a)R(x,a)R(x,a) is deterministic, known to the learner, and lies in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. These are the conditions of Assumption 1 and §2. Episodes have H≥1H\ge1H≥1 steps; KKK episodes comprise T=KHT=KHT=KH interactions.

A policy π\piπ chooses an action for each state and step. Its value Vhπ(x)V_h^\pi(x)Vhπ​(x) is the expected reward from step hhh through the final step when the state at hhh is xxx; the terminal value is VH+1π=0V_{H+1}^\pi=0VH+1π​=0. The optimal value Vh∗(x)=sup⁡πVhπ(x)V_h^*(x)=\sup_\pi V_h^\pi(x)Vh∗​(x)=supπ​Vhπ​(x) ranges over all deterministic policies of this form. At the start of episode kkk, the environment may choose the initial state using the completed episodes. The learner then fixes a policy πk\pi_kπk​, observes transitions during the episode, and updates counts for the next episode. Its regret is

Regret⁡(K)=∑k=1K(V1∗(xk,1)−V1πk(xk,1)).\operatorname{Regret}(K)=\sum_{k=1}^{K}\bigl(V_1^*(x_{k,1})-V_1^{\pi_k}(x_{k,1})\bigr).Regret(K)=k=1∑K​(V1∗​(xk,1​)−V1πk​​(xk,1​)).

For each state-action pair, Nk(x,a,y)N_k(x,a,y)Nk​(x,a,y) counts transitions to yyy in episodes before kkk, and Nk(x,a)=∑yNk(x,a,y)N_k(x,a)=\sum_yN_k(x,a,y)Nk​(x,a)=∑y​Nk​(x,a,y). When the latter is positive, P^k(y∣x,a)=Nk(x,a,y)/Nk(x,a)\widehat P_k(y\mid x,a)=N_k(x,a,y)/N_k(x,a)Pk​(y∣x,a)=Nk​(x,a,y)/Nk​(x,a). The count Nk,h′(y)N'_{k,h}(y)Nk,h′​(y) records previous episodes whose state at step hhh was yyy. Algorithms 2 and 4 compute optimistic Qk,hQ_{k,h}Qk,h​ backward from zero terminal value, take a minimum with the previous episode's QQQ estimate and with HHH, and choose a maximizing action at every state. Previously unseen pairs receive Qk,h=HQ_{k,h}=HQk,h​=H. The Bernstein–Freedman bonus uses the empirical variance of Vk,h+1V_{k,h+1}Vk,h+1​ under P^k\widehat P_kPk​ and an additional term based on Nk,h+1′N'_{k,h+1}Nk,h+1′​; the algorithm uses Lalg=ln⁡(5SAT/δ)L_{\rm alg}=\ln(5SAT/\delta)Lalg​=ln(5SAT/δ).

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 2 on p. 5. For any MDP and interaction described above and every δ>0\delta>0δ>0, write L=ln⁡(5HSAT/δ)L=\ln(5HSAT/\delta)L=ln(5HSAT/δ). The target is the exact bad-event form of the printed high-probability bound:

Pr⁡ ⁣{Regret⁡(K)>30HLSAK+2500H2S2AL2+4H3/2KL}≤δ.\Pr\!\left\{\operatorname{Regret}(K)>30HL\sqrt{SAK}+2500H^2S^2AL^2+4H^{3/2}\sqrt{KL}\right\}\le\delta.Pr{Regret(K)>30HLSAK​+2500H2S2AL2+4H3/2KL​}≤δ.

The milestone list contains three empirical-transition deviations from the proof of Lemma 1: Eq. (9) for a value-weighted transition error, the displayed count bound before Eq. (11), and Eq. (12) for the full transition row's ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ error. It also contains Lemma 2's variance comparison and Eq. (26), which relates cumulative conditional next-value variance to the variance of an episode return. These are source-indexed targets, with their printed constants retained.

What the result and its formalization supply

The theorem gives a quantitative guarantee for a particular executable decision rule: its regret grows sublinearly in KKK in the leading term, with explicit dependence on SSS, AAA, and HHH. The result lets one compare the horizon dependence of a variance-sensitive bonus with a value-agnostic bonus under the same finite-horizon model. It also fixes which logarithm belongs in the algorithm and which appears in the reported bound; replacing either changes the claim.

A formal proof would connect a fully specified adaptive interaction to its finite probability law, empirical counts, backward value iteration, and the stated high-probability conclusion. The local prior-art search found reusable transition-kernel vocabulary and general concentration tools, but no published formal statement of this exact UCBVI-BF algorithm or theorem. The mission's finite path and variance definitions can also support other episodic reinforcement-learning bounds that use conditional variance.

Where the difficulty lies

The bonus is computed using a value function that itself depends on earlier observations and the same episode's backward recursion. A concentration inequality for a fixed transition row and a fixed test function therefore does not directly control every value estimate encountered by the algorithm. The number of samples in a row is also random and changes with the learner's past actions. The regret compares a policy's value at an environment-chosen initial state with a supremum over all policies, while the learner's greedy action must be defined at states it never visits. These dependencies are the central obstacle to turning local concentration statements into the episode-level bound.

Formalization scope and conventions

The Lean model uses finite sums rather than measure theory. A published predicate supplies the stationary, real-valued transition kernel; a local MDP adds the known deterministic reward. State and action types are finite and nonempty. Policies are deterministic and depend on the step. The supremum defining V∗V^*V∗ ranges over their finite function type. A theorem quantifies over every maximizing tie-breaking rule and every initial-state rule that reads only completed episodes. The probability of an event is constructed as a sum over finite outcome sequences, each weighted by the product of true transition probabilities. Counts use all past transitions and no current or future outcomes. These choices rule out a trivialization that assumes the desired law or optimizes over an unbounded class of arbitrary functions.

Lean indexes the HHH steps from zero, while the paper indexes them from one. The last observed next state is kept because Algorithm 4 counts states at the terminal index H+1H+1H+1. At Nk,h+1′(y)=0N'_{k,h+1}(y)=0Nk,h+1′​(y)=0, Algorithm 4's quotient is interpreted as infinite and the capped term is H2H^2H2; Lean's ordinary division by zero would incorrectly produce zero. The algorithm uses Lalg=ln⁡(5SAT/δ)L_{\rm alg}=\ln(5SAT/\delta)Lalg​=ln(5SAT/δ), while Theorem 2's bound uses L=ln⁡(5HSAT/δ)L=\ln(5HSAT/\delta)L=ln(5HSAT/δ). For Eq. (26), the appendix ends its sums at H−1H-1H−1 under a shifted terminal convention; the local statement includes all HHH reward steps and the terminal value VH+1=0V_{H+1}=0VH+1​=0 used by Algorithm 2. The milestone text remains the printed text. The count milestone is the display before Eq. (11), since Eq. (11) drops a factor of 222 under the square root present in that display.

Theorem 2 retains its printed 2500H2S2AL22500H^2S^2AL^22500H2S2AL2 term. The appendix's displayed Lemma 13 calculation does not reproduce that second-order constant when propagated to Lemma 14; this is a source proof gap, not a hypothesis of the theorem. Work on the probability normalization, random-count concentration, adaptive value estimates, variance identity, and a valid route to the printed explicit constants is welcome. A proof with altered constants or an asymptotic-only conclusion would be a different target.

Selected references

  • M. G. Azar, I. Osband, and R. Munos, Minimax Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning, arXiv:1703.05449v2, 2017. Preprint.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent 2: A No-Regret Algorithm and a Valid Halfspace Oracle Approach a Compact Convex Set at Rate 2·Regret_T/TResearch Paper

Motivation

Blackwell approachability is the vector-payoff analogue of von Neumann's minimax theorem. In a repeated game where each round's outcome is a vector u(xt,yt)∈Rdu(x_t, y_t) \in \mathbb R^du(xt​,yt​)∈Rd, a player wants the running average of these vectors to converge to a target set SSS, whatever the opponent does. Blackwell (1956) showed when this is possible, and approachability has since become a standard tool for calibrated forecasting, regret minimization with respect to general benchmarks, and learning in games.

Online linear optimization (OLO) is the problem of choosing points θt\theta_tθt​ in a fixed decision set K\mathcal KK against a sequence of linear losses ⟨ft,⋅⟩\langle f_t, \cdot\rangle⟨ft​,⋅⟩, with performance measured by regret against the best fixed point in hindsight. Algorithms with regret o(T)o(T)o(T) — "no-regret" algorithms such as online gradient descent (Zinkevich, 2003) — are among the most studied objects of machine learning.

Abernethy, Bartlett and Hazan (COLT 2011) showed that the two problems are algorithmically equivalent: each can be converted into the other with explicit control of the rates. This mission covers the direction from OLO to approachability.

Timeline:

  • 1956: Blackwell proves the approachability theorem for convex sets, via a geometric projection strategy.
  • 2003: Zinkevich introduces online gradient descent, a no-regret algorithm for any bounded convex decision set.
  • 2009: Even-Dar, Kleinberg, Mannor and Mansour state approachability in the response-satisfiability form (as cited on p. 32 of the 2011 paper).
  • 2011: Abernethy, Bartlett and Hazan give the two reductions, with explicit rates, and apply them to efficient calibration.

Setting

A Blackwell instance (X,Y,u,S)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u, S)(X,Y,u,S) consists of compact convex sets X⊆Rn\mathcal X \subseteq \mathbb R^nX⊆Rn, Y⊆Rm\mathcal Y \subseteq \mathbb R^mY⊆Rm, a payoff u:X×Y→Rdu : \mathcal X \times \mathcal Y \to \mathbb R^du:X×Y→Rd that is affine in each argument (biaffine), and a closed convex target set S⊆RdS \subseteq \mathbb R^dS⊆Rd. Write dist(z,U)=inf⁡w∈U∥z−w∥\mathtt{dist}(z, U) = \inf_{w \in U}\|z - w\|dist(z,U)=infw∈U​∥z−w∥ for the Euclidean distance to a set, and B2(r)B_2(r)B2​(r) for the closed Euclidean ball of radius rrr.

A halfspace oracle takes a halfspace H={z:⟨a,z⟩≤c}H = \{z : \langle a, z\rangle \le c\}H={z:⟨a,z⟩≤c} and returns a point O(H)∈X\mathcal O(H) \in \mathcal XO(H)∈X; it is valid if for every halfspace H⊇SH \supseteq SH⊇S, u(O(H),y)∈Hu(\mathcal O(H), y) \in Hu(O(H),y)∈H for all y∈Yy \in \mathcal Yy∈Y.

A set X⊆RdX \subseteq \mathbb R^dX⊆Rd is a cone if αz∈X\alpha z \in Xαz∈X for all z∈Xz \in Xz∈X, α≥0\alpha \ge 0α≥0. For K⊆RdK \subseteq \mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, cone(K)={αx:α≥0,x∈K}\mathtt{cone}(K) = \{\alpha x : \alpha \ge 0, x \in K\}cone(K)={αx:α≥0,x∈K}, and the polar cone of CCC is C0={θ:⟨θ,x⟩≤0 ∀x∈C}C^0 = \{\theta : \langle \theta, x\rangle \le 0 \ \forall x \in C\}C0={θ:⟨θ,x⟩≤0 ∀x∈C}.

An OLO algorithm L\mathcal LL maps past loss vectors (f1,…,ft−1)(f_1, \dots, f_{t-1})(f1​,…,ft−1​) to a point θt∈K\theta_t \in \mathcal Kθt​∈K, and its regret is

RegretT=∑t=1T⟨ft,θt⟩−min⁡θ∈K∑t=1T⟨ft,θ⟩.\mathrm{Regret}_T = \sum_{t=1}^T \langle f_t, \theta_t\rangle - \min_{\theta \in \mathcal K} \sum_{t=1}^T \langle f_t, \theta\rangle .RegretT​=t=1∑T​⟨ft​,θt​⟩−θ∈Kmin​t=1∑T​⟨ft​,θ⟩.

Algorithm 2 runs L\mathcal LL on K=S0∩B2(1)\mathcal K = S^0 \cap B_2(1)K=S0∩B2​(1) when SSS is a cone: at round ttt it sets θt=L(f1,…,ft−1)\theta_t = \mathcal L(f_1, \dots, f_{t-1})θt​=L(f1​,…,ft−1​), plays xt=O({z:⟨θt,z⟩≤0})x_t = \mathcal O(\{z : \langle \theta_t, z\rangle \le 0\})xt​=O({z:⟨θt​,z⟩≤0}), observes yt∈Yy_t \in \mathcal Yyt​∈Y, and feeds ft=−u(xt,yt)f_t = -u(x_t, y_t)ft​=−u(xt​,yt​) back to L\mathcal LL.

When SSS is compact but not a cone, it is lifted: with κ=max⁡s∈S∥s∥\kappa = \max_{s\in S}\|s\|κ=maxs∈S​∥s∥ and κ⊕z∈Rd+1\kappa \oplus z \in \mathbb R^{d+1}κ⊕z∈Rd+1 the concatenation, put u′(x,y)=κ⊕u(x,y)u'(x, y) = \kappa \oplus u(x, y)u′(x,y)=κ⊕u(x,y) and S′=cone({κ}×S)S' = \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\} \times S)S′=cone({κ}×S), and run Algorithm 2 on (X,Y,u′,S′)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u', S')(X,Y,u′,S′).

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 18 (p. 39)

For a Blackwell instance with SSS nonempty and compact, any valid halfspace oracle for the lifted instance, any OLO algorithm with values in K′=(S′)0∩B2(1)\mathcal K' = (S')^0 \cap B_2(1)K′=(S′)0∩B2​(1), any T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 and any y1,…,yT∈Yy_1, \dots, y_T \in \mathcal Yy1​,…,yT​∈Y, the run of Algorithm 2 on the lifted instance satisfies

dist(1T∑t=1Tu(xt,yt),S)≤2 dist(1T∑t=1Tu′(xt,yt),S′)≤2T RegretT.\mathtt{dist}\Big(\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T u(x_t,y_t), S\Big) \le 2\,\mathtt{dist}\Big(\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T u'(x_t,y_t), S'\Big) \le \frac2T\,\mathrm{Regret}_T .dist(T1​t=1∑T​u(xt​,yt​),S)≤2dist(T1​t=1∑T​u′(xt​,yt​),S′)≤T2​RegretT​.

The bound holds for every TTT and every adversary, with no rate assumed for L\mathcal LL; a no-regret L\mathcal LL then gives approachability.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 13 (p. 35): for a nonempty convex cone CCC, dist(x,C)=max⁡θ∈C0∩B2(1)⟨θ,x⟩\mathtt{dist}(x, C) = \max_{\theta \in C^0 \cap B_2(1)} \langle \theta, x\rangledist(x,C)=maxθ∈C0∩B2​(1)​⟨θ,x⟩.
  2. Theorem 17 (p. 38): if SSS is a cone, Algorithm 2 achieves dist(1T∑tu(xt,yt),S)≤Regret(LK;f1:T)/T\mathtt{dist}\big(\frac1T\sum_t u(x_t,y_t), S\big) \le \mathrm{Regret}(\mathcal L_{\mathcal K}; f_{1:T})/Tdist(T1​∑t​u(xt​,yt​),S)≤Regret(LK​;f1:T​)/T.
  3. Lemma 14 (p. 35): for nonempty compact convex K\mathcal KK, κ=max⁡K∥⋅∥\kappa = \max_{\mathcal K}\|\cdot\|κ=maxK​∥⋅∥ and x∉Kx \notin \mathcal Kx∈/K, dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))≤dist(x,K)≤2 dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))\mathtt{dist}(\kappa\oplus x, \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times\mathcal K)) \le \mathtt{dist}(x, \mathcal K) \le 2\,\mathtt{dist}(\kappa\oplus x, \mathtt{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times\mathcal K))dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K))≤dist(x,K)≤2dist(κ⊕x,cone({κ}×K)).

Significance

The result. Corollary 18 turns any no-regret algorithm into an approachability strategy for a compact convex target, provided a valid halfspace oracle is available, with rate 2 RegretT/T2\,\mathrm{Regret}_T/T2RegretT​/T. Combined with online gradient descent it gives an O(1/T)O(1/\sqrt T)O(1/T​) approachability rate, and through the choice of OLO algorithm it lets approachability inherit the computational efficiency of online learning. The paper uses this route to build an efficient calibrated forecaster (Section 5). Together with the converse reduction (Theorem 16), it shows that the two problems are equivalent.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them has been machine-checked. Formalizing them requires the conic duality formula for distances (Lemma 13), a quantitative lifting lemma (Lemma 14) and the bookkeeping of an interactive protocol. The proof of Lemma 14 on the page is a sketch: it refers to an undefined point and uses a triangle-similarity argument, so a complete proof is new work.

Difficulty

The reduction's core is Lemma 13: the distance to a cone is a maximum of a linear function over the polar cone's unit ball. Lemma 13 needs projection onto a cone in Euclidean space; for a non-closed cone the projection may not exist, and the argument must go through the closure. The lifting Lemma 14 is a geometric statement whose page proof relies on a picture and an undefined point, so the factor 2 has no complete written argument. Finally, connecting the average lifted payoff to the lift of the average payoff, and the halfspace guarantee ⟨θt,ft⟩≥0\langle\theta_t, f_t\rangle \ge 0⟨θt​,ft​⟩≥0 to the regret, requires keeping the round indexing and the oracle's validity domain exactly aligned.

Formalization scope

All spaces are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). The concatenation κ⊕z\kappa\oplus zκ⊕z lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d+1)) with coordinate 0 equal to κ\kappaκ, so ∥κ⊕z∥2=κ2+∥z∥2\|\kappa\oplus z\|^2 = \kappa^2 + \|z\|^2∥κ⊕z∥2=κ2+∥z∥2; a product type with the sup norm would change every distance and is ruled out. Distances are Metric.infDist. The polar cone uses the paper's sign (≤0\le 0≤0), the negative of Mathlib's innerDual. A halfspace is the pair (a,c)(a, c)(a,c); a valid oracle must answer every halfspace containing SSS, including a=0a = 0a=0, not only the halfspaces the algorithm happens to query. The OLO algorithm is a map from histories Fin t → ℝᴰ with values in S0∩B2(1)S^0 \cap B_2(1)S0∩B2​(1) at every history. Rounds are t=1,…,Tt = 1, \dots, Tt=1,…,T, and the run of Algorithm 2 is given as hypotheses on sequences θ,x,f\theta, x, fθ,x,f, which exist and are unique by recursion. The minimum in the regret and κ\kappaκ are written as sInf/sSup of images over nonempty compact sets, where they are attained.

Hypotheses added relative to the page: S≠∅S \neq \emptysetS=∅ and T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 in the goal; C≠∅C \ne \emptysetC=∅ in Lemma 13 (the empty set is a cone under Definition 11 and the identity fails for it); K≠∅\mathcal K \ne \emptysetK=∅ in Lemma 14. Corrected misprints, each disclosed in the item's note: "RegretT(A)\mathrm{Regret}_T(\mathcal A)RegretT​(A)" in Corollary 18 and (9) denotes the regret of the OLO algorithm L\mathcal LL on the lifted losses; Lemma 14's "K⊆H\mathcal K \subseteq \mathcal HK⊆H" has a stray H\mathcal HH; κ\kappaκ is the maximal norm of the set, not its diameter. The oracle in the goal is a valid oracle for the lifted instance, which is what applying Algorithm 2 to (X,Y,u′,S′)(\mathcal X, \mathcal Y, u', S')(X,Y,u′,S′) requires.

A formalization in which the oracle is valid only at the run's own queries, the OLO algorithm is unconstrained, the regret's minimum ranges over all of Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, or the middle term of the goal is dropped, is a different statement and is ruled out.

The development needs: the dual formula for the distance to a convex cone, nearest-point projection onto closed convex sets (in Mathlib), compactness of polar-cone slices, and finite sums of biaffine payoffs. The cone layer (Lemma 13) is reusable for the converse direction of the paper and for conic duality generally. Proofs of any milestone, and of the bridge from an oracle for the original instance to one for the lifted instance, are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. Abernethy, P. L. Bartlett, E. Hazan, Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent, JMLR W&CP 19 (COLT 2011), pp. 27–46. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v19/abernethy11b.html
  • D. Blackwell, An analog of the minimax theorem for vector payoffs, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 6(1), 1956, pp. 1–8. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1956.6.1
  • M. Zinkevich, Online convex programming and generalized infinitesimal gradient ascent, ICML 2003. https://www.aaai.org/Papers/ICML/2003/ICML03-120.pdf
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Linear algebraMarkov ChainReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction VIII: The TD Fixed Point of Linear Semi-gradient TD(0) and Its Error BoundTextbook

Motivation

Reinforcement learning methods estimate the value function vπv_\pivπ​ of a policy π\piπ: the expected discounted sum of future rewards from each state. When the state space is large, vπv_\pivπ​ cannot be stored as a table and is approximated by a parametrized function. The most studied case is linear function approximation, where each state sss carries a feature vector x(s)∈Rd\mathbf x(s) \in \mathbb R^dx(s)∈Rd and the estimate is v^(s,w)=w⊤x(s)\hat v(s, \mathbf w) = \mathbf w^\top \mathbf x(s)v^(s,w)=w⊤x(s). Temporal-difference learning with this approximation, linear semi-gradient TD(0), is one of the basic algorithms of the field, and Chapter 9 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018) presents its analysis: where the algorithm can converge, why that point exists, and how good it is.

The history is short. Sutton (1988, doi:10.1007/BF00115009) introduced TD learning and showed positive definiteness of the matrix governing its expected update. Dayan (1992, doi:10.1007/BF00992701) extended convergence to TD(λ). Tsitsiklis and Van Roy (1997, doi:10.1109/9.580874) proved convergence with probability one for linear TD(λ) under on-policy sampling and bounded the error of the limit. Bradtke and Barto (1996) introduced least-squares TD (LSTD), which computes the same limit directly.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has finite sets of states S\mathcal SS, actions A\mathcal AA and rewards R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R, and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a), the probability of next state s′s's′ and reward rrr after action aaa in state sss. A policy π(a∣s)\pi(a \mid s)π(a∣s) is a probability distribution over actions for each state. It induces a Markov chain on states with transition matrix P\mathbf PP, P(s,s′)=p(s′∣s)=∑aπ(a∣s)∑rp(s′,r∣s,a)\mathbf P(s, s') = p(s' \mid s) = \sum_a \pi(a \mid s) \sum_r p(s', r \mid s, a)P(s,s′)=p(s′∣s)=∑a​π(a∣s)∑r​p(s′,r∣s,a), and expected one-step reward rπ(s)r_\pi(s)rπ​(s). For a discount rate 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, the true value is vπ(s)=∑k≥0γk(Pkrπ)(s)v_\pi(s) = \sum_{k \ge 0} \gamma^k (\mathbf P^k r_\pi)(s)vπ​(s)=∑k≥0​γk(Pkrπ​)(s), the expected discounted return.

A state distribution μ\muμ is stationary if μ⊤P=μ⊤\mu^\top \mathbf P = \mu^\topμ⊤P=μ⊤; write D=diag(μ)\mathbf D = \mathrm{diag}(\mu)D=diag(μ). The feature matrix X\mathbf XX is the ∣S∣×d|\mathcal S| \times d∣S∣×d matrix with rows x(s)\mathbf x(s)x(s). The mean square value error of a weight vector is

VE‾(w)=∑sμ(s) [vπ(s)−w⊤x(s)]2.\overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w) = \sum_{s} \mu(s)\,[v_\pi(s) - \mathbf w^\top \mathbf x(s)]^2 .VE(w)=s∑​μ(s)[vπ​(s)−w⊤x(s)]2.

Linear semi-gradient TD(0) updates wt+1=wt+α(Rt+1+γwt⊤xt+1−wt⊤xt)xt\mathbf w_{t+1} = \mathbf w_t + \alpha(R_{t+1} + \gamma \mathbf w_t^\top \mathbf x_{t+1} - \mathbf w_t^\top \mathbf x_t)\mathbf x_twt+1​=wt​+α(Rt+1​+γwt⊤​xt+1​−wt⊤​xt​)xt​. In steady state its expected update involves

b=E[Rt+1xt],A=E[xt(xt−γxt+1)⊤],\mathbf b = \mathbb E[R_{t+1}\mathbf x_t], \qquad \mathbf A = \mathbb E[\mathbf x_t(\mathbf x_t - \gamma \mathbf x_{t+1})^\top],b=E[Rt+1​xt​],A=E[xt​(xt​−γxt+1​)⊤],

and the TD fixed point is wTD=A−1b\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}} = \mathbf A^{-1}\mathbf bwTD​=A−1b. A real square matrix MMM, not necessarily symmetric, is positive definite if y⊤My>0y^\top M y > 0y⊤My>0 for every y≠0y \ne 0y=0. The key matrix is D(I−γP)\mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma\mathbf P)D(I−γP).

Formalization targets

Goal: the TD fixed point exists and its error bound (9.12), (9.14)

Under the hypotheses above, with every μ(s)>0\mu(s) > 0μ(s)>0 and linearly independent feature columns, A\mathbf AA is invertible, b=AwTD\mathbf b = \mathbf A \mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}}b=AwTD​, and

VE‾(wTD)≤11−γmin⁡wVE‾(w).\overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}}) \le \frac{1}{1-\gamma}\min_{\mathbf w} \overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w).VE(wTD​)≤1−γ1​wmin​VE(w).

Milestones

  1. The expected update (9.13): E[wt+1∣wt]=(I−αA)wt+αb\mathbb E[\mathbf w_{t+1} \mid \mathbf w_t] = (\mathbf I - \alpha \mathbf A)\mathbf w_t + \alpha \mathbf bE[wt+1​∣wt​]=(I−αA)wt​+αb.
  2. The matrix form A=X⊤D(I−γP)X\mathbf A = \mathbf X^\top \mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma \mathbf P)\mathbf XA=X⊤D(I−γP)X.
  3. The criterion of Sutton (1988): positive diagonal, nonpositive off-diagonal entries, positive row sums and nonnegative column sums give positive definiteness.
  4. The column sums of the key matrix, 1⊤D(I−γP)=(1−γ)μ⊤\mathbf 1^\top \mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma \mathbf P) = (1-\gamma)\mu^\top1⊤D(I−γP)=(1−γ)μ⊤.
  5. The key matrix and A\mathbf AA are positive definite.
  6. A positive definite A\mathbf AA is invertible and A−1b\mathbf A^{-1}\mathbf bA−1b is the unique solution of b=Aw\mathbf b = \mathbf A \mathbf wb=Aw (9.12).
  7. The Sherman–Morrison update (9.22) of the LSTD inverse A^t−1\hat{\mathbf A}_t^{-1}A^t−1​.

Significance

Positive definiteness of A\mathbf AA is the reason on-policy linear TD(0) is stable: it makes the expected iteration contract toward the fixed point for small step sizes, and it guarantees that the fixed point exists and is unique. The error bound (9.14) quantifies the price of bootstrapping: the limit of TD can be worse than the best linear approximation, but by at most the factor 1/(1−γ)1/(1-\gamma)1/(1−γ). The same objects A\mathbf AA, b\mathbf bb and the key matrix reappear in LSTD, in the analysis of off-policy divergence (Chapter 11 of the book, where D\mathbf DD is no longer the stationary distribution of P\mathbf PP and positive definiteness fails), and in gradient-TD methods.

All results here are known. The book gives the positive definiteness argument in a box and cites (9.14) without proof. None of them has a machine-checked proof on the platform; the general Woodbury identity (FamousTheorems.woodbury_identity) is available, and (9.22) is its rank-one case written for the LSTD recursion. The mission produces a formal account of the finite-state theory of linear TD(0), with every hypothesis the book leaves implicit stated.

Difficulty

The key matrix D(I−γP)\mathbf D(\mathbf I - \gamma \mathbf P)D(I−γP) is not symmetric, so the usual tools for symmetric positive definite matrices do not apply directly, and A\mathbf AA is positive definite only because of the specific interplay between D\mathbf DD and P\mathbf PP: if μ\muμ is replaced by a non-stationary distribution the claim is false (this is the off-policy counterexample of Chapter 11). The error bound (9.14) is not a consequence of positive definiteness alone. The TD fixed point is not the minimizer of VE‾\overline{\mathrm{VE}}VE, and VE‾(wTD)\overline{\mathrm{VE}}(\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}})VE(wTD​) has to be compared with the error of the μ\muμ-weighted projection of vπv_\pivπ​, which requires controlling P\mathbf PP in the μ\muμ-weighted norm. The book gives no argument for this step.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace SuttonBartoRL.LinearTD. The MDP has four-argument dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a) with a finite reward set and one action set for all states; policies are stochastic. vπv_\pivπ​ is defined from expected discounted returns as the series ∑kγkPkrπ\sum_k \gamma^k \mathbf P^k r_\pi∑k​γkPkrπ​, never from a Bellman equation or from wTD\mathbf w_{\mathrm{TD}}wTD​. A\mathbf AA and b\mathbf bb are defined as the book's steady-state expectations (9.11), as finite sums over μ\muμ, π\piπ and ppp; the matrix form is a milestone, not a definition. Features are a matrix Matrix S (Fin d) ℝ with rows x(s)\mathbf x(s)x(s); linear independence of its columns is LinearIndependent ℝ Xᵀ. Positive definiteness is a custom predicate ∀y≠0, 0<y⊤My\forall y \ne 0,\ 0 < y^\top M y∀y=0, 0<y⊤My, not Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef, which requires symmetry. The minimum in (9.14) is expressed by quantifying over every w\mathbf ww. The matrix inverse is Mathlib's, which is zero on singular matrices; the goal therefore asserts invertibility of A\mathbf AA explicitly.

Hypotheses the book leaves implicit and the statements make explicit: 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1 (the continuing case); μ\muμ a stationary distribution of the chain induced by π\piπ with μ(s)>0\mu(s) > 0μ(s)>0 for every sss (otherwise the key matrix is only positive semidefinite); linearly independent feature columns (the book's "degenerate cases", p. 205). The box calls the off-diagonal entries of the key matrix "negative"; they are zero wherever p(s′∣s)=0p(s' \mid s) = 0p(s′∣s)=0, so the criterion is stated with nonpositive entries. The book's sentence that εI\varepsilon\mathbf IεI "ensures that A^t\hat{\mathbf A}_tA^t​ is always invertible" (p. 229) is false in general, because the summands xk(xk−γxk+1)⊤\mathbf x_k(\mathbf x_k - \gamma \mathbf x_{k+1})^\topxk​(xk​−γxk+1​)⊤ are not positive semidefinite: with d=1d = 1d=1, ε=1/10\varepsilon = 1/10ε=1/10, γ=1/2\gamma = 1/2γ=1/2, x0=1\mathbf x_0 = 1x0​=1, x1=11/5\mathbf x_1 = 11/5x1​=11/5 one gets A^1=0\hat{\mathbf A}_1 = 0A^1​=0. It is not stated; (9.22) carries invertibility of A^t−1\hat{\mathbf A}_{t-1}A^t−1​ and a nonzero denominator as hypotheses.

A statement in which vπv_\pivπ​ is defined as the solution of the projected equation, or in which A\mathbf AA is assumed invertible or positive definite, would make the goal trivial or empty; neither is done. Convergence of the stochastic algorithm with probability one is not stated, since the book says it needs conditions and a step-size schedule it does not give. The bound for the episodic case and for other bootstrapping methods (p. 208) is stated only by reference in the book and is not a target.

Useful infrastructure: the μ\muμ-weighted inner product and orthogonal projection onto the column space of X\mathbf XX, the non-expansiveness of a stochastic matrix in the norm of its stationary distribution, and the positive definiteness criterion for non-symmetric matrices. All of these are reusable in the off-policy and average-reward chapters of the book. Contributions of these lemmas, and of alternative proofs of the milestones, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Richard S. Sutton and Andrew G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, §§9.2, 9.4, 9.8.
  • Richard S. Sutton, Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences, Machine Learning 3, 1988. doi:10.1007/BF00115009
  • John N. Tsitsiklis and Benjamin Van Roy, An analysis of temporal-difference learning with function approximation, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 42(5), 1997. doi:10.1109/9.580874
  • Steven J. Bradtke and Andrew G. Barto, Linear least-squares algorithms for temporal difference learning, Machine Learning 22, 1996. doi:10.1007/BF00114723
  • Richard S. Varga, Matrix Iterative Analysis, Prentice-Hall, 1962.
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OptimizationProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Variance-based Regularization with Convex Objectives I: The χ²-Robust Risk Equals Empirical Risk plus a Standard-Deviation PenaltyResearch Paper

Motivation

Many statistical procedures minimize an average observed loss. This treats two candidates with the same average as equally attractive even when one has much more variable losses across the sample. Adding a multiple of the empirical standard deviation can distinguish them, but the resulting objective need not be convex even when each individual loss is convex. Duchi and Namkoong study a distributionally robust alternative: they maximize expected loss over a small neighborhood of the empirical distribution, then minimize that worst-case value. Their paper identifies when this convex robust value agrees exactly with the mean-plus-standard-deviation expression and how far apart the two can be otherwise. The finite-sample statement is Theorem 1 of the pinned preprint.

The relation matters to someone choosing a loss function for stochastic optimization. The variance expression has a direct statistical interpretation, while the robust expression preserves convexity in a decision parameter when the loss is convex. Theorem 1 makes the relationship quantitative for a single bounded random variable, before the paper turns to uniform guarantees over whole classes of losses. This mission isolates that first step and its finite optimization model.

Setting

Take observed real values z1,…,znz_1,\ldots,z_nz1​,…,zn​, with n≥1n\ge1n≥1. Their empirical mean and empirical variance are

zˉ=1n∑i=1nzi,sn2=1n∑i=1nzi2−zˉ2.\bar z=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n z_i,\qquad s_n^2=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n z_i^2-\bar z^2.zˉ=n1​i=1∑n​zi​,sn2​=n1​i=1∑n​zi2​−zˉ2.

The variance uses 1/n1/n1/n, not the unbiased-estimator factor 1/(n−1)1/(n-1)1/(n−1). A weight vector p=(p1,…,pn)p=(p_1,\ldots,p_n)p=(p1​,…,pn​) is feasible when its entries are nonnegative, sum to one, and satisfy

12∑i=1n(npi−1)2≤ρ,ρ≥0.\frac12\sum_{i=1}^n(np_i-1)^2\le\rho,\qquad \rho\ge0.21​i=1∑n​(npi​−1)2≤ρ,ρ≥0.

This is the paper's χ² neighborhood Pn(ρ)\mathcal P_n(\rho)Pn​(ρ) of the uniform empirical weights. Its robust sample expectation is

Rn(z,ρ)=sup⁡p∈Pn(ρ)∑i=1npizi.R_n(z,\rho)=\sup_{p\in\mathcal P_n(\rho)}\sum_{i=1}^n p_i z_i.Rn​(z,ρ)=p∈Pn​(ρ)sup​i=1∑n​pi​zi​.

For a random variable ZZZ with law PPP supported on [M0,M1][M_0,M_1][M0​,M1​], write M=M1−M0M=M_1-M_0M=M1​−M0​ and σ2=Var⁡P(Z)\sigma^2=\operatorname{Var}_P(Z)σ2=VarP​(Z). An independent sample Z1,…,ZnZ_1,\ldots,Z_nZ1​,…,Zn​ supplies the vector zzz. The paper describes Pn\mathcal P_nPn​ through a ϕ\phiϕ-divergence from the empirical distribution, with ϕ(t)=12(t−1)2\phi(t)=\tfrac12(t-1)^2ϕ(t)=21​(t−1)2; its finite maximization problem (8) is the weight-vector form used here. The preprint, pp. 2 and 5–7 fixes these conventions.

Formalization targets

Deterministic bound

For every sample in [M0,M1][M_0,M_1][M0​,M1​], the robust value lies between the empirical mean plus a corrected variance penalty and the full penalty:

(2ρsn2n−2Mρn)+≤Rn(z,ρ)−zˉ≤2ρsn2n.\left(\sqrt{\frac{2\rho s_n^2}{n}}-\frac{2M\rho}{n}\right)_+\le R_n(z,\rho)-\bar z\le\sqrt{\frac{2\rho s_n^2}{n}}.(n2ρsn2​​​−n2Mρ​)+​≤Rn​(z,ρ)−zˉ≤n2ρsn2​​​.

This is inequality (10). The correction is explicit, so this target records more than an asymptotic approximation.

Exact expansion

When σ2>0\sigma^2>0σ2>0 and the sample size obeys

n≥max⁡{5,M2σ2max⁡{8σ,44,44ρ}},n\ge\max\left\{5,\frac{M^2}{\sigma^2}\max\{8\sigma,44,44\rho\}\right\},n≥max{5,σ2M2​max{8σ,44,44ρ}},

the goal is the high-probability equality

Pr⁡{Rn(Z1:n,ρ)≠Zˉ+2ρsn2n}≤exp⁡(−nσ211M2).\Pr\left\{R_n(Z_{1:n},\rho)\ne\bar Z+\sqrt{\frac{2\rho s_n^2}{n}}\right\}\le\exp\left(-\frac{n\sigma^2}{11M^2}\right).Pr{Rn​(Z1:n​,ρ)=Zˉ+n2ρsn2​​​}≤exp(−11M2nσ2​).

This is Theorem 1's equality (11) with the missing ρ\rhoρ-dependent sample-size requirement supplied from the proof. The exact expansion is the mission goal; display (30), inequality (10), and Lemma A.2 form the milestone list, and the exact value under condition (9) is a further statement of the mission.

Significance

The deterministic result states how large the discrepancy between a convex robust risk and a variance penalty can be for any bounded sample. The equality says that, with the stated confidence, no discrepancy remains once the population variance and sample size make the penalty compatible with nonnegative probability weights. These are the numerical facts later sections need when they move from one loss variable to families of losses and minimizers. The claims and constants come from Theorem 1 and Section 2.1.

The paper develops arguments for these results, although its printed (11) needs the correction described below; the statements in this mission have no machine-checked proofs yet. The formalization work includes the finite χ² feasible set, its real supremum, exact handling of tied observations, empirical moments with the paper's normalization, and a product-law event for the probability estimate. The Samson concentration milestone is reusable for other bounded independent-coordinate models. Solvers can also contribute a different route to the corrected exact expansion; the goal concerns the statement, not one chosen argument.

Difficulty

Without the nonnegativity requirement on ppp, optimizing a linear function over the centered Euclidean ball gives the mean plus a standard-deviation term. The candidate weights can become negative when a sample coordinate is far below the mean, so that calculation alone cannot certify the robust value. Condition (9) records precisely when the candidate is feasible. The probability target then needs a quantitative guarantee that the sample variance is large enough often enough, with the stated exponential constant. A pointwise inequality for a fixed sample does not by itself yield that probability estimate. These are separate obligations in Section 2.1 and Appendix A.

Formalization scope

The sample is a function Fin n → ℝ; feasible weights have the same type. chiSqBall, robustSup, empMean, and empVar mirror equations (8) and the definitions on p. 6. Every theorem assumes n>0n>0n>0 and ρ≥0\rho\ge0ρ≥0, so the weight ball is nonempty and its real supremum is bounded. The high-probability theorem uses a probability measure PPP on the reals, supported on [M0,M1][M_0,M_1][M0​,M1​], and the independent product measure on Fin n → ℝ. Its conclusion bounds the measure of the event on which equality fails. The positive population variance hypothesis makes division by σ2\sigma^2σ2 and M2M^2M2 meaningful. The deterministic bounds include every sample in the interval and use x+=max⁡{x,0}x_+=\max\{x,0\}x+​=max{x,0}.

The paper prints the threshold without 44ρ44\rho44ρ in (11), but its Appendix A invokes the corresponding inequality, and the printed claim fails for sufficiently large ρ\rhoρ. The goal includes that term. The paper's route through Lemmas A.1 and A.4 contains misprinted lower-tail and moment claims, so those are not milestones. Lemma A.3's displayed (31b) is also omitted because its correction term has the wrong scaling; the corrected goal stands as a target to establish independently. These discrepancies are detailed in the local moderation notes and the pinned source, pp. 7 and 32–35.

No hypothesis may force the bad event to be empty, and the robust value must optimize over all feasible weights, not a selected optimizer. The supporting definitions are intended for reuse in later missions on uniform variance expansions. Contributions to the finite optimization facts, the concentration statement, and the probability goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • J. C. Duchi and H. Namkoong, Variance-based regularization with convex objectives, arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.02581v3, 2017. Pinned preprint.
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Bandit AlgorithmsOperations ResearchStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems III: Contextual Bandits and the Banditron Mistake BoundTextbook

Motivation

In many sequential decision problems the learner sees side information before acting. A news site chooses an article for a visitor whose history and location it knows; an ad server chooses an advertisement for a query. Only the reward of the chosen action is observed. These are contextual bandit problems, and Chapter 4 of Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's monograph Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems (arXiv:1204.5721v2) surveys several of their formal versions. In a contextual problem the learner is compared with the best policy, a map from contexts to arms, rather than with the best single arm.

This mission covers three of the chapter's models. The first marks each round with a context from a finite set. In the second, NNN experts give advice, as in prediction with expert advice. The third is the bandit multiclass problem: a linear classifier predicts one of KKK labels and then learns only whether its prediction was right. The goal is the mistake bound of the Banditron (Kakade, Shalev-Shwartz and Tewari, ICML 2008). The bound shows that one bit of feedback per round suffices to compete with every linear classifier, at regret O(n2/3)O(n^{2/3})O(n2/3).

Setting

There are K≥2K \ge 2K≥2 arms (or labels) {1,…,K}\{1,\dots,K\}{1,…,K} and rounds t=1,…,nt = 1, \dots, nt=1,…,n.

Adversarial losses. At round ttt an adversary assigns losses ℓi,t∈[0,1]\ell_{i,t} \in [0,1]ℓi,t​∈[0,1] to the arms and may adapt to the forecaster's past plays I1,…,It−1I_1, \dots, I_{t-1}I1​,…,It−1​. The forecaster draws ItI_tIt​ at random from a distribution ptp_tpt​ that depends on what it has observed, and it observes only ℓIt,t\ell_{I_t,t}ℓIt​,t​. Expectations E\mathbb EE are over the forecaster's draws.

Side information. Each round carries a context sts_tst​ from a finite set S\mathcal SS, and the sequence s1,s2,…s_1, s_2, \dotss1​,s2​,… is fixed in advance. The pseudo-regret against context-to-arm maps is

R‾nS=max⁡g:S→{1,…,K}E[∑t=1nℓIt,t−∑t=1nℓg(st),t].\overline R^{\mathcal S}_n = \max_{g:\mathcal S\to\{1,\dots,K\}} \mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{I_t,t} - \sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{g(s_t),t}\Big].RnS​=g:S→{1,…,K}max​E[t=1∑n​ℓIt​,t​−t=1∑n​ℓg(st​),t​].

The S-Exp3 forecaster runs one instance of Exp3 (Section 3.1 of the book) on each context.

Expert advice. At each round each of NNN experts jjj proposes a distribution ξtj\xi^j_tξtj​ over arms, which may depend on the forecaster's past plays. The contextual pseudo-regret is

R‾nctx=max⁡k=1,…,NE[∑t=1nℓIt,t−∑t=1nEi∼ξtkℓi,t].\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n = \max_{k=1,\dots,N}\mathbb E\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n \ell_{I_t,t} - \sum_{t=1}^n \mathbb E_{i\sim\xi^k_t}\ell_{i,t}\Big].Rnctx​=k=1,…,Nmax​E[t=1∑n​ℓIt​,t​−t=1∑n​Ei∼ξtk​​ℓi,t​].

Exp4 (Fig. 4.1) runs exponential weights over the experts with importance-weighted loss estimates.

Bandit multiclass. The examples (xt,yt)∈Rd×{1,…,K}(x_t, y_t) \in \mathbb R^d \times \{1,\dots,K\}(xt​,yt​)∈Rd×{1,…,K} are fixed in advance, with ∥xt∥=1\|x_t\| = 1∥xt​∥=1 (Euclidean). A K×dK\times dK×d matrix UUU classifies xxx by arg⁡max⁡i(Ux)i\arg\max_i (Ux)_iargmaxi​(Ux)i​. Its multiclass hinge loss on round ttt is ℓt(U)=[1−(Uxt)yt+max⁡i≠yt(Uxt)i]+\ell_t(U) = [1 - (Ux_t)_{y_t} + \max_{i\neq y_t}(Ux_t)_i]_+ℓt​(U)=[1−(Uxt​)yt​​+maxi=yt​​(Uxt​)i​]+​. Write Ln(U)=∑t≤nℓt(U)L_n(U) = \sum_{t\le n}\ell_t(U)Ln​(U)=∑t≤n​ℓt​(U) for the cumulative hinge loss, Lˉn(U)=Ln(U)/n\bar L_n(U) = L_n(U)/nLˉn​(U)=Ln​(U)/n for its average, and ∥U∥\|U\|∥U∥ for the Frobenius norm. The multiclass Perceptron predicts y^t=arg⁡max⁡i(Wtxt)i\hat y_t = \arg\max_i (W_tx_t)_iy^​t​=argmaxi​(Wt​xt​)i​ and, after seeing yty_tyt​, adds xtx_txt​ to row yty_tyt​ and subtracts it from row y^t\hat y_ty^​t​. The Banditron (p. 58) predicts YtY_tYt​ from pi,t=(1−γ)1y^t=i+γ/Kp_{i,t} = (1-\gamma)\mathbb 1_{\hat y_t = i} + \gamma/Kpi,t​=(1−γ)1y^​t​=i​+γ/K. It observes only 1Yt=yt\mathbb 1_{Y_t = y_t}1Yt​=yt​​ and updates Wt+1=Wt+X~tW_{t+1} = W_t + \widetilde X_tWt+1​=Wt​+Xt​, where (X~t)i,j=xt,j(1Yt=yt1Yt=i/pi,t−1y^t=i)(\widetilde X_t)_{i,j} = x_{t,j}\big(\mathbb 1_{Y_t=y_t}\mathbb 1_{Y_t=i}/p_{i,t} - \mathbb 1_{\hat y_t=i}\big)(Xt​)i,j​=xt,j​(1Yt​=yt​​1Yt​=i​/pi,t​−1y^​t​=i​). Its number of mistakes is Mn=∑t≤n1Yt≠ytM_n = \sum_{t\le n}\mathbb 1_{Y_t\neq y_t}Mn​=∑t≤n​1Yt​=yt​​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.7 (Banditron)

For n≥8Kn \ge 8Kn≥8K, γ=(K/n)1/3\gamma = (K/n)^{1/3}γ=(K/n)1/3, every example sequence as above and every K×dK\times dK×d matrix UUU,

E Mn≤Ln(U)+(1+∥U∥2Lˉn(U))K1/3n2/3+2∥U∥2K2/3n1/3+2 ∥U∥K1/6n1/3.\mathbb E\,M_n \le L_n(U) + \Big(1 + \|U\|\sqrt{2\bar L_n(U)}\Big)K^{1/3}n^{2/3} + 2\|U\|^2K^{2/3}n^{1/3} + \sqrt2\,\|U\|K^{1/6}n^{1/3}.EMn​≤Ln​(U)+(1+∥U∥2Lˉn​(U)​)K1/3n2/3+2∥U∥2K2/3n1/3+2​∥U∥K1/6n1/3.

Milestones

  1. Multiclass Perceptron bound (Section 4.4, p. 57). For every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and UUU, ∑t≤n1y^t≠yt≤Ln(U)+2∥U∥2+∥U∥2nLˉn(U)\sum_{t\le n}\mathbb 1_{\hat y_t\ne y_t} \le L_n(U) + 2\|U\|^2 + \|U\|\sqrt{2n\bar L_n(U)}∑t≤n​1y^​t​=yt​​≤Ln​(U)+2∥U∥2+∥U∥2nLˉn​(U)​.
  2. Theorem 4.1 (p. 44). S-Exp3 satisfies R‾nS≤2n∣S∣Kln⁡K\overline R^{\mathcal S}_n \le \sqrt{2n|\mathcal S|K\ln K}RnS​≤2n∣S∣KlnK​.
  3. Theorem 4.2 (p. 46), with corrected constants. Exp4 without mixing satisfies R‾nctx≤2nKln⁡N\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n \le \sqrt{2nK\ln N}Rnctx​≤2nKlnN​ for ηt=2ln⁡N/(nK)\eta_t = \sqrt{2\ln N/(nK)}ηt​=2lnN/(nK)​, and R‾nctx≤2nKln⁡N\overline R^{\mathrm{ctx}}_n \le 2\sqrt{nK\ln N}Rnctx​≤2nKlnN​ for ηt=ln⁡N/(tK)\eta_t = \sqrt{\ln N/(tK)}ηt​=lnN/(tK)​.
  4. Theorem 4.3 (p. 50), with corrected learning rate. Let the plays be drawn from distributions qtq_tqt​ with qi,t≥ε>0q_{i,t}\ge\varepsilon > 0qi,t​≥ε>0, and let Exp3 run on the estimates ℓi,t1It=i/qi,t\ell_{i,t}\mathbb 1_{I_t=i}/q_{i,t}ℓi,t​1It​=i​/qi,t​ with η=2εln⁡K/n\eta = \sqrt{2\varepsilon\ln K/n}η=2εlnK/n​. Then max⁡kE[∑tEi∼ptℓi,t−∑tℓk,t]≤(2n/ε)ln⁡K\max_k \mathbb E\big[\sum_t \mathbb E_{i\sim p_t}\ell_{i,t} - \sum_t\ell_{k,t}\big] \le \sqrt{(2n/\varepsilon)\ln K}maxk​E[∑t​Ei∼pt​​ℓi,t​−∑t​ℓk,t​]≤(2n/ε)lnK​.

Significance

Theorem 4.7 shows that, on any sequence of examples, the bandit version of online multiclass classification costs at most O(K1/3n2/3)O(K^{1/3}n^{2/3})O(K1/3n2/3) mistakes beyond the hinge loss of the best linear classifier. The full-information Perceptron, by comparison, pays O(n)O(\sqrt n)O(n​). The bound has no stochastic assumption and has explicit constants. Theorems 4.1–4.3 are the basic regret guarantees for side information and expert advice. Theorem 4.3 in particular lets learning algorithms serve as experts inside Exp4, which is the construction behind Theorem 4.5.

The mission produces machine-checked statements, and eventually proofs, of these results with fully explicit constants and an explicit model of adaptive adversaries and adaptive advice. To the curators' knowledge none of the Banditron, the multiclass Perceptron bound, S-Exp3 or Theorem 4.3 is formalized anywhere. The platform's Bandit Algorithms series has a proved Exp4 bound, but only for advice and rewards fixed in advance. The book proves all four milestones and the goal; two printed statements (4.2 and 4.3) contain misprints that this mission corrects.

Difficulty

The Banditron bound concerns a randomized process whose weight matrix depends on all earlier random predictions. The Perceptron argument tracks ⟨U,Wn+1⟩\langle U, W_{n+1}\rangle⟨U,Wn+1​⟩ and ∥Wn+1∥2\|W_{n+1}\|^2∥Wn+1​∥2. It carries over only in conditional expectation, and the second moment of the importance-weighted update is of order K/γK/\gammaK/γ on rounds where y^t≠yt\hat y_t \neq y_ty^​t​=yt​ and of order γ\gammaγ otherwise. Combining these into one inequality for ∑tP(y^t≠yt)\sum_t\mathbb P(\hat y_t\neq y_t)∑t​P(y^​t​=yt​) and then for EMn\mathbb E M_nEMn​ requires solving a quadratic inequality in the presence of expectations, and the constants must come out as printed. For the Exp3/Exp4 results, the obstacle is that losses and advice adapt to past plays. The standard potential argument has to be run conditionally on the history, and a version that fixes the losses in advance proves a weaker theorem.

Formalization scope

  • Rounds and laws. Rounds are numbered from 000 in Lean (Lean round ttt is the book's round t+1t+1t+1). Every forecaster is a sampling rule from past plays to weights on Fin K. The law of the first nnn plays is the product ∏tpt(ωt∣ω<t)\prod_t p_t(\omega_t\mid\omega_{<t})∏t​pt​(ωt​∣ω<t​) over sequences ω:Fin n→Fin K\omega : \mathrm{Fin}\,n\to\mathrm{Fin}\,Kω:Finn→FinK, and expectations are finite sums against it. The adversary and the experts are deterministic functions of past plays; an independent randomized adversary is a mixture of these. The examples of the Banditron are fixed.
  • Argmax. y^t\hat y_ty^​t​ uses any argmax selector; all tie-breaking rules are covered.
  • Norms. ∥xt∥=1\|x_t\| = 1∥xt​∥=1 is the Euclidean condition ∑jxt,j2=1\sum_j x_{t,j}^2 = 1∑j​xt,j2​=1; ∥U∥\|U\|∥U∥ is the Frobenius norm written out explicitly.
  • Infima and maxima. Each "inf⁡U\inf_UinfU​" and "max⁡k\max_kmaxk​" of the book is stated as "for every UUU" or "for every kkk", which is equivalent.
  • Explicit constants. Every bound is the one printed or, for the corrected items, the one the proof yields. No O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅) appears.
  • Corrected misprints. Theorem 4.7 prints the examples in Rd×{−1,+1}\mathbb R^d\times\{-1,+1\}Rd×{−1,+1}; labels are in {1,…,K}\{1,\dots,K\}{1,…,K}. Theorem 4.2 prints 2nNln⁡K\sqrt{2nN\ln K}2nNlnK​ and 2nNln⁡K2\sqrt{nN\ln K}2nNlnK​; the proof gives 2nKln⁡N\sqrt{2nK\ln N}2nKlnN​ and 2nKln⁡N2\sqrt{nK\ln N}2nKlnN​. Theorem 4.3 prints η=2ln⁡K/(nK)\eta = \sqrt{2\ln K/(nK)}η=2lnK/(nK)​; (4.7) follows from the proof with η=2εln⁡K/n\eta = \sqrt{2\varepsilon\ln K/n}η=2εlnK/n​.
  • Parameter range. At n=8Kn = 8Kn=8K the Banditron's γ\gammaγ equals 1/21/21/2, outside the box's open interval (0,1/2)(0,1/2)(0,1/2). The proof uses only γ≤1/2\gamma\le 1/2γ≤1/2, so n=8Kn = 8Kn=8K is included.
  • Ruling out trivial forms. Theorem 4.1 is stated for the explicit S-Exp3 forecaster, not as an existence claim, so no forecaster tuned to the losses can witness it. The losses and the advice are allowed to adapt, so a proof for oblivious sequences does not suffice.
  • Left out. Theorem 4.4 (Exp4 with mixing) is proved in the book only by reference. The argument that reference suggests yields 32γn+Kln⁡N/γ\tfrac32\gamma n + K\ln N/\gamma23​γn+KlnN/γ, not the printed γn/2+Kln⁡N/γ\gamma n/2 + K\ln N/\gammaγn/2+KlnN/γ. Theorem 4.5 is stated with O(⋅)O(\cdot)O(⋅), Theorem 4.6 "for some constant ccc", and Eq. (4.8) is left to the reader.

Useful reusable infrastructure: the path-law expectation for history-dependent sampling, the exponential-weights potential argument under adaptive losses, and Perceptron-type inner-product arguments for matrices. Proofs of any milestone and of the goal are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1204.5721 ; https://doi.org/10.1561/2200000024
  • S. M. Kakade, S. Shalev-Shwartz, A. Tewari, Efficient Bandit Algorithms for Online Multiclass Prediction, ICML 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1390156.1390212
  • P. Auer, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Y. Freund, R. E. Schapire, The Nonstochastic Multiarmed Bandit Problem, SIAM Journal on Computing 32(1), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539701398375
  • O.-A. Maillard, R. Munos, Adaptive Bandits: Towards the Best History-Dependent Strategy, AISTATS 2011. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v15/maillard11a.html
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Bandit AlgorithmsConvex OptimizationOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems V: Bandit Convex Optimization with One-Point FeedbackTextbook

Motivation

In bandit convex optimization a forecaster repeatedly picks a point xtx_txt​ of a convex set K⊆Rd\mathcal K\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd, and an adversary picks a convex loss ℓt\ell_tℓt​. The forecaster pays ℓt(xt)\ell_t(x_t)ℓt​(xt​) and observes only that number: it never sees the function, its gradient, or its value elsewhere. This is the model of online optimization with only function-value access, as in tuning a system online from measured costs, dynamic pricing with an unknown convex demand-cost curve, or routing with path costs observed only on the route taken. The question is how fast the forecaster can approach the best fixed point in hindsight.

Chapter 6 of Bubeck and Cesa-Bianchi's monograph (arXiv:1204.5721v2, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012) treats the problem through spherical gradient estimates fed to projected gradient descent. The one-point method is due to Flaxman, Kalai and McMahan (SODA 2005, arXiv:cs/0408007), who obtained an O(n3/4)\mathcal O(n^{3/4})O(n3/4) regret bound. Agarwal, Dekel and Xiao (COLT 2010) showed that two function evaluations per round allow O(n)\mathcal O(\sqrt n)O(n​). Whether one-point feedback admits n\sqrt nn​ regret was open when the monograph was written (p. 94); Bubeck, Eldan and Lee (STOC 2017, arXiv:1607.03084) later obtained n\sqrt nn​ regret up to logarithmic and polynomial-in-ddd factors for convex losses, with a different and much more involved algorithm.

Setting

Let B={x∈Rd:∥x∥≤1}\mathbb B=\{x\in\mathbb R^d:\|x\|\le1\}B={x∈Rd:∥x∥≤1} be the closed Euclidean unit ball and S={x:∥x∥=1}\mathbb S=\{x:\|x\|=1\}S={x:∥x∥=1} the unit sphere, with unnormalized spherical measure σ\sigmaσ, so that σ(S)=d Vol(B)\sigma(\mathbb S)=d\,\mathrm{Vol}(\mathbb B)σ(S)=dVol(B). Fix δ>0\delta>0δ>0. For a loss ℓ\ellℓ, the smoothed loss is ℓ~(x)=E ℓ(x+δB)\widetilde\ell(x)=\mathbb E\,\ell(x+\delta B)ℓ(x)=Eℓ(x+δB) with BBB uniform on B\mathbb BB.

The set K\mathcal KK is closed and convex with rB⊆K⊆RBr\mathbb B\subseteq\mathcal K\subseteq R\mathbb BrB⊆K⊆RB. The losses ℓ1,ℓ2,⋯:Rd→R\ell_1,\ell_2,\dots:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb Rℓ1​,ℓ2​,⋯:Rd→R are GGG-Lipschitz, differentiable and convex, and are fixed before the game (an oblivious adversary).

OSGD (Online Stochastic Gradient Descent) on a set K′\mathcal K'K′ with learning rate η\etaη starts at x1=0x_1=0x1​=0 and sets xt+1=argmin⁡y∈K′∥y−(xt−ηg~t(xt))∥x_{t+1}=\operatorname{argmin}_{y\in\mathcal K'}\|y-(x_t-\eta\widetilde g_t(x_t))\|xt+1​=argminy∈K′​∥y−(xt​−ηg​t​(xt​))∥, where g~t\widetilde g_tg​t​ is a gradient estimate. With S1,S2,…S_1,S_2,\dotsS1​,S2​,… independent and uniform on S\mathbb SS:

  • the two-point estimate (6.1) is g~t(xt)=d2δ(ℓt(Xt+)−ℓt(Xt−))St\widetilde g_t(x_t)=\frac d{2\delta}\big(\ell_t(X_t^+)-\ell_t(X_t^-)\big)S_tg​t​(xt​)=2δd​(ℓt​(Xt+​)−ℓt​(Xt−​))St​ with Xt±=xt±δStX_t^\pm=x_t\pm\delta S_tXt±​=xt​±δSt​; the played point is Xt+X_t^+Xt+​ or Xt−X_t^-Xt−​ by a fair coin;
  • the one-point estimate (6.3) is g~t(xt)=dδ ℓt(X~t)St\widetilde g_t(x_t)=\frac d\delta\,\ell_t(\widetilde X_t)S_tg​t​(xt​)=δd​ℓt​(Xt​)St​ with played point X~t=xt+δSt\widetilde X_t=x_t+\delta S_tXt​=xt​+δSt​.

OSGD runs on the shrunken set K′=(1−δ/r)K\mathcal K'=(1-\delta/r)\mathcal KK′=(1−δ/r)K, so that the perturbed points stay in K\mathcal KK. The pseudo-regret is

R‾n=E∑t=1nℓt(X~t)−min⁡x∈K∑t=1nℓt(x).\overline R_n=\mathbb E\sum_{t=1}^n\ell_t(\widetilde X_t)-\min_{x\in\mathcal K}\sum_{t=1}^n\ell_t(x).Rn​=Et=1∑n​ℓt​(Xt​)−x∈Kmin​t=1∑n​ℓt​(x).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2, tuned

If in addition ∣ℓt∣≤L|\ell_t|\le L∣ℓt​∣≤L on K\mathcal KK, and δ=(2n)−1/4RdL/((3+R/r)G)\delta=(2n)^{-1/4}\sqrt{RdL/((3+R/r)G)}δ=(2n)−1/4RdL/((3+R/r)G)​, η=(2n)−3/4R3/(dL(3+R/r)G)\eta=(2n)^{-3/4}\sqrt{R^3/(dL(3+R/r)G)}η=(2n)−3/4R3/(dL(3+R/r)G)​, then one-point OSGD satisfies

R‾n≤4n3/4RdL (3+R/r) G.\overline R_n\le 4n^{3/4}\sqrt{RdL\,(3+R/r)\,G}.Rn​≤4n3/4RdL(3+R/r)G​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 6.1: ∇∫Bℓ(x+δb) db=1δ∫Sℓ(x+δs)s dσ(s)\nabla\int_{\mathbb B}\ell(x+\delta b)\,db=\frac1\delta\int_{\mathbb S}\ell(x+\delta s)s\,d\sigma(s)∇∫B​ℓ(x+δb)db=δ1​∫S​ℓ(x+δs)sdσ(s).
  2. Lemma 6.2: dδE[ℓ(x+δS)S]=∇E ℓ(x+δB)\frac d\delta\mathbb E[\ell(x+\delta S)S]=\nabla\mathbb E\,\ell(x+\delta B)δd​E[ℓ(x+δS)S]=∇Eℓ(x+δB).
  3. Eq. (6.2): ∣ℓ(x)−ℓ~(x)∣≤δG|\ell(x)-\widetilde\ell(x)|\le\delta G∣ℓ(x)−ℓ(x)∣≤δG.
  4. Lemma 6.3: the queried points' regret against xxx is at most the smoothed regret of the iterates against (1−ξ)x(1-\xi)x(1−ξ)x, plus 3δGn+ξGRn3\delta Gn+\xi GRn3δGn+ξGRn.
  5. Theorem 6.1: two-point OSGD has R‾n≤R2/η+η(Gd)2n+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le R^2/\eta+\eta(Gd)^2n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤R2/η+η(Gd)2n+δ(3+R/r)Gn, and R‾n≤2RGdn+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le 2RGd\sqrt n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤2RGdn​+δ(3+R/r)Gn for η=R/(Gdn)\eta=R/(Gd\sqrt n)η=R/(Gdn​).
  6. Theorem 6.2, first display: one-point OSGD has R‾n≤R2/η+(dL)2δ2ηn+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le R^2/\eta+\frac{(dL)^2}{\delta^2}\eta n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤R2/η+δ2(dL)2​ηn+δ(3+R/r)Gn for every 0<δ≤r0<\delta\le r0<δ≤r and η>0\eta>0η>0.

Significance

The n3/4n^{3/4}n3/4 bound shows that a single function value per round suffices for sublinear regret against any oblivious sequence of Lipschitz convex losses, with a forecaster whose only operations are a random perturbation and a Euclidean projection. The smoothing identity of Lemmas 6.1–6.2 is the basic tool of zeroth-order (derivative-free) optimization, used well beyond bandits, and Theorem 6.1 is the n\sqrt nn​ benchmark for two-point methods.

All results are proved in the source. To the best of current knowledge none is formalized: the related items of the Introduction to Online Convex Optimization series on Prove2Me (Hazan's Lemma 6.7 and Theorem 6.9) were formalized with missing hypotheses and are recorded as disproved. This mission produces machine-checked statements with every hypothesis explicit, and the formal infrastructure (sphere measure calculus, a projected stochastic gradient analysis) for later zeroth-order results.

Difficulty

Two steps resist a direct formal treatment. First, Lemma 6.1 is a divergence-theorem identity on the ball; Mathlib has the sphere measure and polar coordinates, but its divergence theorem covers boxes rather than balls, so differentiating the ball average in xxx requires either such a theorem or a direct argument about translates of the ball. Second, the regret analysis takes expectations of quantities that depend on the whole past: the iterate xtx_txt​ is a function of S1,…,St−1S_1,\dots,S_{t-1}S1​,…,St−1​, and unbiasedness E[g~t∣xt]=∇ℓ~t(xt)\mathbb E[\widetilde g_t\mid x_t]=\nabla\widetilde\ell_t(x_t)E[g​t​∣xt​]=∇ℓt​(xt​) holds only conditionally, via independence of StS_tSt​ from the past. A pathwise gradient-descent inequality must be combined with this conditional expectation round by round, with measurability of the projected iterates established along the way. The naive approach of treating the estimate as the true gradient of ℓt\ell_tℓt​ fails: it is a gradient of ℓ~t\widetilde\ell_tℓt​, and the gap is handled only by Eq. (6.2) and Lemma 6.3.

Formalization scope

Points are in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d) with d≥1d\ge1d≥1; rounds are t=1,2,…t=1,2,\dotst=1,2,…, sums run over Finset.Icc 1 n. σ\sigmaσ is Mathlib's Measure.toSphere of Lebesgue measure; the uniform laws are normalized restrictions. Randomness lives on an arbitrary probability space; the directions StS_tSt​ are measurable, mutually independent (iIndepFun) and uniform on S\mathbb SS, and in Theorem 6.1 the pairs (St,Ct)(S_t,C_t)(St​,Ct​) are independent with CtC_tCt​ a fair sign independent of StS_tSt​. A run of OSGD is a predicate (start at 000, each iterate a Euclidean projection onto (1−δ/r)K(1-\delta/r)\mathcal K(1−δ/r)K), which determines the run uniquely, so the forecaster uses only observed values and its own randomness. The losses are Lipschitz, differentiable and convex on all of Rd\mathbb R^dRd; the bound ∣ℓt∣≤L|\ell_t|\le L∣ℓt​∣≤L is on K\mathcal KK, because a convex function bounded on Rd\mathbb R^dRd is constant. The minimum over K\mathcal KK is an infimum over the subtype K\mathcal KK, attained in every theorem.

Conventions and corrections, each stated in the item's Formalization Note:

  • Lemma 6.1 carries the factor 1/δ1/\delta1/δ that the printed statement omits and the proof contains (corrected misprint).
  • Theorem 6.1's second display prints η=R/(GDn)\eta=R/(GD\sqrt n)η=R/(GDn​) and a limit "for δ→0\delta\to0δ→0"; the item states R‾n≤2RGdn+δ(3+R/r)Gn\overline R_n\le 2RGd\sqrt n+\delta(3+R/r)GnRn​≤2RGdn​+δ(3+R/r)Gn for η=R/(Gdn)\eta=R/(Gd\sqrt n)η=R/(Gdn​) and every admissible δ\deltaδ, which implies the limit (corrected misprint).
  • Theorems 6.1 and 6.2 add 0<δ≤r0<\delta\le r0<δ≤r, which the proofs need for Xt±,X~t∈KX_t^\pm,\widetilde X_t\in\mathcal KXt±​,Xt​∈K; for the tuned δ\deltaδ of the goal it is a condition on nnn.
  • The goal adds G,L>0G,L>0G,L>0 and n≥1n\ge1n≥1, which its formulas for δ,η\delta,\etaδ,η need; the constant 444 is the book's rounding of 2⋅23/42\cdot2^{3/4}2⋅23/4 and is kept, as is the form R2/ηR^2/\etaR2/η.

The statements cannot be satisfied trivially: the run is pinned by its recursion, the losses are fixed before the randomness, the expectations are of bounded measurable functions (no zero-valued Bochner integrals), and the minimum is over the nonempty compact K\mathcal KK. Section 6.3 (Lemma 6.4, Theorem 6.3) is not included, because its algorithm box and proof use different stage lengths and its unimodality condition is stated on a smaller set than the proof uses.

Needed infrastructure: calculus of ball averages and sphere integrals, symmetry of the uniform sphere law, nonexpansiveness of projections onto closed convex sets, and conditional-expectation bookkeeping for adapted iterates. Each is reusable for zeroth-order optimization; contributions of any of them as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Bubeck, N. Cesa-Bianchi, Regret Analysis of Stochastic and Nonstochastic Multi-armed Bandit Problems, Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning 5(1), 2012. arXiv:1204.5721v2, doi:10.1561/2200000024
  • A. Flaxman, A. Kalai, H. B. McMahan, Online convex optimization in the bandit setting: gradient descent without a gradient, SODA 2005. arXiv:cs/0408007
  • A. Agarwal, O. Dekel, L. Xiao, Optimal algorithms for online convex optimization with multi-point bandit feedback, COLT 2010. link
  • S. Bubeck, R. Eldan, Y. T. Lee, Kernel-based methods for bandit convex optimization, STOC 2017. arXiv:1607.03084
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Certified Adversarial Robustness via Randomized Smoothing 1: The Gaussian-Smoothed Classifier Is Constant on the ℓ2 Ball of Radius (σ/2)(Φ⁻¹(p_A) − Φ⁻¹(p_B))Research Paper

Motivation

Classifiers trained on images, speech and text can be made to change their prediction by perturbations of the input that are tiny in norm (Szegedy et al., 2014). Empirical defences against such adversarial examples have repeatedly been broken by stronger attacks (Athalye, Carlini, Wagner, 2018), which motivates certified defences: classifiers that come with a proof that their prediction at a given input cannot change inside a stated ball around it.

Randomized smoothing turns any classifier, however large or opaque, into one with such a certificate in the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ norm. It was introduced with weaker radii by Lecuyer et al. (2019) and Li et al. (2018). Cohen, Rosenfeld and Kolter (arXiv:1902.02918v2, ICML 2019) proved the radius that is now standard, and showed it cannot be enlarged. Their guarantee underlies most later work on certified ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ robustness, including Salman et al. (2019).

This mission formalizes the robustness guarantee, Theorem 1 of that paper. Page numbers below are PDF pages of the arXiv v2 preprint, which has no printed page numbers.

Setting

Inputs are points of Rd\mathbb R^dRd with the Euclidean norm ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ and inner product δ⊤z\delta^\top zδ⊤z. Classes form a set Y\mathcal YY. A base classifier is a deterministic or random function f:Rd→Yf : \mathbb R^d \to \mathcal Yf:Rd→Y. A random fff is described by the probabilities P(f(z)=c)\mathbb P(f(z) = c)P(f(z)=c), which for each zzz form a probability distribution on Y\mathcal YY.

Fix a noise level σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 and let ε∼N(0,σ2I)\varepsilon \sim \mathcal N(0, \sigma^2 I)ε∼N(0,σ2I) be isotropic Gaussian noise. The class probabilities at xxx are P(f(x+ε)=c)\mathbb P(f(x + \varepsilon) = c)P(f(x+ε)=c), and the smoothed classifier is

g(x)=arg⁡max⁡c∈YP(f(x+ε)=c).(1)g(x) = \arg\max_{c \in \mathcal Y} \mathbb P\big(f(x + \varepsilon) = c\big). \qquad (1)g(x)=argc∈Ymax​P(f(x+ε)=c).(1)

The paper leaves g(x)g(x)g(x) undefined when the maximizer is not unique. "g(x)=cg(x) = cg(x)=c" therefore means that every class other than ccc has strictly smaller probability.

Write Φ\PhiΦ for the standard Gaussian cumulative distribution function and Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 for its inverse. Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 is a real number on (0,1)(0,1)(0,1), and Φ−1(0)=−∞\Phi^{-1}(0) = -\inftyΦ−1(0)=−∞, Φ−1(1)=+∞\Phi^{-1}(1) = +\inftyΦ−1(1)=+∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 4; restated p. 13)

Suppose that at a specific xxx there are a class cAc_AcA​ and numbers pA‾,pB‾∈[0,1]\underline{p_A}, \overline{p_B} \in [0,1]pA​​,pB​​∈[0,1] with

P(f(x+ε)=cA) ≥ pA‾ ≥ pB‾ ≥ max⁡c≠cAP(f(x+ε)=c).(6)\mathbb P\big(f(x + \varepsilon) = c_A\big) \ \ge\ \underline{p_A} \ \ge\ \overline{p_B} \ \ge\ \max_{c \ne c_A} \mathbb P\big(f(x + \varepsilon) = c\big). \qquad (6)P(f(x+ε)=cA​) ≥ pA​​ ≥ pB​​ ≥ c=cA​max​P(f(x+ε)=c).(6)

Then g(x+δ)=cAg(x + \delta) = c_Ag(x+δ)=cA​ for every δ\deltaδ with ∥δ∥2<R\|\delta\|_2 < R∥δ∥2​<R, where

R=σ2(Φ−1(pA‾)−Φ−1(pB‾)).(7)R = \frac{\sigma}{2}\Big(\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A}) - \Phi^{-1}(\overline{p_B})\Big). \qquad (7)R=2σ​(Φ−1(pA​​)−Φ−1(pB​​)).(7)

The statement covers every base classifier and every set of classes. The radius is infinite when pA‾=1>pB‾\underline{p_A} = 1 > \overline{p_B}pA​​=1>pB​​ or pA‾>0=pB‾\underline{p_A} > 0 = \overline{p_B}pA​​>0=pB​​.

Milestones

The milestones are the paper's own steps, in attack order:

  • Lemma 3 (p. 12): the Neyman–Pearson lemma in both directions, for densities μX\mu_XμX​, μY\mu_YμY​ on Rd\mathbb R^dRd and the likelihood-ratio sets {μY≤tμX}\{\mu_Y \le t\mu_X\}{μY​≤tμX​} and {μY≥tμX}\{\mu_Y \ge t\mu_X\}{μY​≥tμX​}.
  • The likelihood ratio and (5) (proof of Lemma 4, p. 13): for X∼N(x,σ2I)X \sim \mathcal N(x,\sigma^2 I)X∼N(x,σ2I) and Y∼N(x+δ,σ2I)Y \sim \mathcal N(x+\delta,\sigma^2 I)Y∼N(x+δ,σ2I), μY/μX=exp⁡(aδ⊤z+b)\mu_Y/\mu_X = \exp(a\delta^\top z + b)μY​/μX​=exp(aδ⊤z+b), so half-spaces orthogonal to δ\deltaδ are likelihood-ratio sets.
  • Lemma 4 (pp. 12–13): Neyman–Pearson for these two Gaussians and the half-spaces {δ⊤z≤β}\{\delta^\top z \le \beta\}{δ⊤z≤β}, {δ⊤z≥β}\{\delta^\top z \ge \beta\}{δ⊤z≥β}.
  • The four Claims of Appendix A.0.1 (pp. 15–16, with (13) and (14) of p. 14): the probabilities of the half-spaces A={z:δ⊤(z−x)≤σ∥δ∥Φ−1(pA‾)}A = \{z : \delta^\top(z-x) \le \sigma\|\delta\|\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A})\}A={z:δ⊤(z−x)≤σ∥δ∥Φ−1(pA​​)} and B={z:δ⊤(z−x)≥σ∥δ∥Φ−1(1−pB‾)}B = \{z : \delta^\top(z-x) \ge \sigma\|\delta\|\Phi^{-1}(1-\overline{p_B})\}B={z:δ⊤(z−x)≥σ∥δ∥Φ−1(1−pB​​)} under XXX and YYY:
P(X∈A)=pA‾,P(X∈B)=pB‾,P(Y∈A)=Φ(Φ−1(pA‾)−∥δ∥σ),P(Y∈B)=Φ(Φ−1(pB‾)+∥δ∥σ).\mathbb P(X \in A) = \underline{p_A},\quad \mathbb P(X \in B) = \overline{p_B},\quad \mathbb P(Y \in A) = \Phi\Big(\Phi^{-1}(\underline{p_A}) - \tfrac{\|\delta\|}{\sigma}\Big),\quad \mathbb P(Y \in B) = \Phi\Big(\Phi^{-1}(\overline{p_B}) + \tfrac{\|\delta\|}{\sigma}\Big).P(X∈A)=pA​​,P(X∈B)=pB​​,P(Y∈A)=Φ(Φ−1(pA​​)−σ∥δ∥​),P(Y∈B)=Φ(Φ−1(pB​​)+σ∥δ∥​).
  • (15) (p. 14): P(Y∈A)>P(Y∈B)\mathbb P(Y \in A) > \mathbb P(Y \in B)P(Y∈A)>P(Y∈B) if and only if ∥δ∥<R\|\delta\| < R∥δ∥<R.

Significance

Theorem 1 turns three numbers at one input into a guarantee over a whole ball: a lower bound on the top-class probability, an upper bound on the other classes, and the noise level. These bounds can be estimated by sampling and certified with confidence intervals (the paper's CERTIFY procedure). That is what lets randomized smoothing certify ImageNet-scale networks, where exact verification methods do not scale. The companion result (Theorem 2, a separate mission of this series) shows that no larger ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ ball can be certified from the same information.

The theorem has a short pen-and-paper proof; no machine-checked proof of it is recorded on Prove2Me. A formal development adds:

  • a checked Neyman–Pearson lemma for randomized tests with densities on Rd\mathbb R^dRd, which Mathlib does not have;
  • the Gaussian likelihood-ratio and half-space computations;
  • an explicit treatment of the endpoint cases pA‾=1\underline{p_A} = 1pA​​=1 and pB‾=0\overline{p_B} = 0pB​​=0, where the radius is infinite.

Difficulty

Every step is classical, so the difficulty lies in the missing infrastructure, not in the idea.

  • Densities. Mathlib's multivariate Gaussian is defined as a pushforward of a product measure, not by a density. Identifying it with the density (2πσ2)−d/2e−∥z−x∥2/(2σ2)(2\pi\sigma^2)^{-d/2}e^{-\|z-x\|^2/(2\sigma^2)}(2πσ2)−d/2e−∥z−x∥2/(2σ2), which Lemma 4 needs, is not available.
  • Projections. The Claims need the law of δ⊤X\delta^\top Xδ⊤X for X∼N(x,σ2I)X \sim \mathcal N(x,\sigma^2 I)X∼N(x,σ2I) in closed form, namely a one-dimensional Gaussian with mean δ⊤x\delta^\top xδ⊤x and variance σ2∥δ∥2\sigma^2\|\delta\|^2σ2∥δ∥2.
  • The inverse CDF. Mathlib has no normal quantile, so Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 is defined here as an infimum. The identities Φ(Φ−1(p))=p\Phi(\Phi^{-1}(p)) = pΦ(Φ−1(p))=p and Φ−1(1−p)=−Φ−1(p)\Phi^{-1}(1-p) = -\Phi^{-1}(p)Φ−1(1−p)=−Φ−1(p) must be derived.
  • Degenerate cases. The obvious argument through the worst-case half-spaces breaks down when δ=0\delta = 0δ=0 or when pA‾\underline{p_A}pA​​ or pB‾\overline{p_B}pB​​ is 000 or 111. There the half-spaces are empty or everything and Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 is infinite, so these cases need a separate argument.

Formalization scope

  • Space and noise. Rd\mathbb R^dRd is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d). N(x,σ2I)\mathcal N(x,\sigma^2 I)N(x,σ2I) is the pushforward of Mathlib's stdGaussian under z↦x+σzz \mapsto x + \sigma zz↦x+σz, with σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0 a hypothesis.
  • Classifiers. A random classifier is a map f : ℝᵈ → PMF 𝒴 with measurable class probabilities; deterministic classifiers are point masses. Y\mathcal YY is an arbitrary type, with no finiteness assumed. The class probability is the published Gaussian smoothing RandomGradFree.Shared.smoothing, applied to z↦P(f(z)=c)z \mapsto \mathbb P(f(z) = c)z↦P(f(z)=c).
  • The prediction. "g(x)=cg(x) = cg(x)=c" is the strict unique-maximizer predicate, and ggg itself is not defined. Defining ggg by an arbitrary choice at ties would make the theorem depend on the tie-break.
  • The radius. RRR is computed in the extended reals with Φ−1(0)=−∞\Phi^{-1}(0) = -\inftyΦ−1(0)=−∞ and Φ−1(1)=+∞\Phi^{-1}(1) = +\inftyΦ−1(1)=+∞. A real-valued Φ−1\Phi^{-1}Φ−1 with junk value 000 at the endpoints would assign a finite, wrong radius there, so it is used only in milestones that assume 0<p<10 < p < 10<p<1. In the two corners pA‾=pB‾∈{0,1}\underline{p_A} = \overline{p_B} \in \{0,1\}pA​​=pB​​∈{0,1}, where (7) reads ∞−∞\infty - \infty∞−∞, the radius is −∞-\infty−∞ and the goal is vacuous, as in the paper.
  • Neyman–Pearson. Random tests are [0,1][0,1][0,1]-valued measurable functions, so the lemmas apply with h(z)=P(f(z)=c)h(z) = \mathbb P(f(z) = c)h(z)=P(f(z)=c) for random fff. The likelihood-ratio sets are written multiplied out (μY≤tμX\mu_Y \le t\mu_XμY​≤tμX​), which avoids division by zero where μX\mu_XμX​ vanishes.
  • Added hypotheses. The milestones about AAA and BBB assume δ≠0\delta \ne 0δ=0 and 0<p<10 < p < 10<p<1, which the paper's computation uses implicitly.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, and general lemmas such as the Gaussian density, the law of linear functionals of a Gaussian vector and properties of the normal quantile. These lemmas are reusable well beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • J. M. Cohen, E. Rosenfeld, J. Z. Kolter, Certified Adversarial Robustness via Randomized Smoothing, ICML 2019; arXiv:1902.02918v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.02918
  • J. Neyman, E. S. Pearson, On the Problem of the Most Efficient Tests of Statistical Hypotheses, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 231, 1933. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.1933.0009
  • M. Lecuyer, V. Atlidakis, R. Geambasu, D. Hsu, S. Jana, Certified Robustness to Adversarial Examples with Differential Privacy, IEEE S&P 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.03471
  • B. Li, C. Chen, W. Wang, L. Carin, Certified Adversarial Robustness with Additive Noise, NeurIPS 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.03113
  • H. Salman et al., Provably Robust Deep Learning via Adversarially Trained Smoothed Classifiers, NeurIPS 2019. https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.04584
  • A. Athalye, N. Carlini, D. Wagner, Obfuscated Gradients Give a False Sense of Security, ICML 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.00420
  • C. Szegedy et al., Intriguing Properties of Neural Networks, ICLR 2014. https://arxiv.org/abs/1312.6199
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ProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 1: Polynomial Generalization Bounds from Hypothesis Stability for the Empirical and Leave-One-Out ErrorsResearch Paper

Why stability bounds

A learning algorithm is judged by its generalization error, its expected loss on a fresh example, which cannot be computed because the data distribution is unknown. Practitioners estimate it either by the empirical error on the training set or by the leave-one-out error, which retrains the algorithm once per example. Classical learning theory justifies these estimates through uniform convergence over the whole hypothesis space (VC dimension, covering numbers). That route says nothing useful about algorithms such as nearest-neighbour rules or regularized kernel methods, whose effective hypothesis space is huge or unknown.

An alternative is to bound the deviation through a property of the algorithm itself: how much its output changes when one training example is removed. This idea goes back to Rogers and Wagner (1978) and Devroye and Wagner (1979) for local rules, and Kearns and Ron (1999) gave it a name. Bousquet and Elisseeff (JMLR 2002) systematized it with several stability notions and corresponding bounds; their paper is the standard reference for algorithmic stability in learning theory. This mission formalizes its first family of results, the polynomial bounds of §4.1.

Setting

Let Z=X×YZ = X \times YZ=X×Y and let DDD be a probability distribution on ZZZ. A training set S={z1,…,zm}S = \{z_1, \dots, z_m\}S={z1​,…,zm​} consists of mmm examples drawn i.i.d. from DDD. A learning algorithm AAA maps a training set SSS to a hypothesis AS:X→Y′A_S : X \to Y'AS​:X→Y′; it is deterministic and symmetric, meaning it does not depend on the order of the examples. A cost ccc with 0≤c(y′,y)≤M0 \le c(y', y) \le M0≤c(y′,y)≤M defines the loss ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y)\ell(f, z) = c(f(x), y)ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y) of a hypothesis fff at z=(x,y)z = (x, y)z=(x,y).

For each index iii, S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i is SSS with ziz_izi​ removed, and SiS^iSi is SSS with ziz_izi​ replaced by an independent fresh draw zi′∼Dz'_i \sim Dzi′​∼D. The three error quantities are

R(A,S)=Ez[ℓ(AS,z)],Remp(A,S)=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS,zi),Rloo(A,S)=1m∑i=1mℓ(AS∖i,zi).R(A,S) = \mathbb E_z[\ell(A_S, z)], \qquad R_{\mathrm{emp}}(A,S) = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_S, z_i), \qquad R_{\mathrm{loo}}(A,S) = \frac1m \sum_{i=1}^m \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}}, z_i).R(A,S)=Ez​[ℓ(AS​,z)],Remp​(A,S)=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS​,zi​),Rloo​(A,S)=m1​i=1∑m​ℓ(AS∖i​,zi​).

Two stability notions (Definitions 3 and 4) control them. AAA has hypothesis stability β1\beta_1β1​ if ES,z[∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(AS∖i,z)∣]≤β1\mathbb E_{S,z}[|\ell(A_S,z) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}},z)|] \le \beta_1ES,z​[∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(AS∖i​,z)∣]≤β1​ for every iii, and pointwise hypothesis stability β2\beta_2β2​ if ES[∣ℓ(AS,zi)−ℓ(AS∖i,zi)∣]≤β2\mathbb E_{S}[|\ell(A_S,z_i) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}},z_i)|] \le \beta_2ES​[∣ℓ(AS​,zi​)−ℓ(AS∖i​,zi​)∣]≤β2​ for every iii.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 11

For m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, under hypothesis stability β1\beta_1β1​ and pointwise hypothesis stability β2\beta_2β2​, for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, each of the following holds with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ over S∼DmS \sim D^mS∼Dm:

R(A,S)≤Remp(A,S)+M2+6Mm(β1+β2)2mδ,R(A,S)≤Rloo(A,S)+M2+6Mmβ12mδ.R(A,S) \le R_{\mathrm{emp}}(A,S) + \sqrt{\frac{M^2 + 6Mm(\beta_1+\beta_2)}{2m\delta}}, \qquad R(A,S) \le R_{\mathrm{loo}}(A,S) + \sqrt{\frac{M^2 + 6Mm\beta_1}{2m\delta}} .R(A,S)≤Remp​(A,S)+2mδM2+6Mm(β1​+β2​)​​,R(A,S)≤Rloo​(A,S)+2mδM2+6Mmβ1​​​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 25 (p. 520), a generalized Rogers–Wagner identity: upper bounds on ES[(R−Remp)2]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2]ES​[(R−Remp​)2] and ES[(R−Rloo)2]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{loo}})^2]ES​[(R−Rloo​)2] by correlations of the loss.
  2. Lemma 9, (8) and (9) (p. 505): ES[(R−Remp)2]≤M22m+3M ES,zi′[∣ℓ(AS,zi)−ℓ(ASi,zi)∣]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M\,\mathbb E_{S,z'_i}[|\ell(A_S,z_i) - \ell(A_{S^i},z_i)|]ES​[(R−Remp​)2]≤2mM2​+3MES,zi′​​[∣ℓ(AS​,zi​)−ℓ(ASi​,zi​)∣] and ES[(R−Rloo)2]≤M22m+3M ES,z[∣ℓ(AS,z)−ℓ(AS∖i,z)∣]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{loo}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M\,\mathbb E_{S,z}[|\ell(A_S,z) - \ell(A_{S^{\setminus i}},z)|]ES​[(R−Rloo​)2]≤2mM2​+3MES,z​[∣ℓ(AS​,z)−ℓ(AS∖i​,z)∣].
  3. The replace-one term (proof of Theorem 11): ES,zi′[∣ℓ(AS,zi)−ℓ(ASi,zi)∣]≤β1+β2\mathbb E_{S,z'_i}[|\ell(A_S,z_i) - \ell(A_{S^i},z_i)|] \le \beta_1 + \beta_2ES,zi′​​[∣ℓ(AS​,zi​)−ℓ(ASi​,zi​)∣]≤β1​+β2​.
  4. The second-moment bounds (proof of Theorem 11): ES[(R−Remp)2]≤M22m+3M(β1+β2)\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M(\beta_1+\beta_2)ES​[(R−Remp​)2]≤2mM2​+3M(β1​+β2​) and ES[(R−Rloo)2]≤M22m+3Mβ1\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{loo}})^2] \le \frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M\beta_1ES​[(R−Rloo​)2]≤2mM2​+3Mβ1​.

Significance

Theorem 11 is the weakest-assumption bound in the paper: it requires only average-case stability, not the uniform (worst-case) stability behind the exponential bounds of §4.2. It shows that both the resubstitution and the deleted estimate are within O(1/mδ)O(1/\sqrt{m\delta})O(1/mδ​) of the risk whenever the stability parameters decay like 1/m1/m1/m, with no reference to the size of the hypothesis class. It also extends Devroye and Wagner's leave-one-out analysis for classification to bounded regression losses and to the empirical estimator. Later work on average stability and on generalization of stochastic gradient methods (for example Hardt, Recht and Singer, 2016) starts from these notions.

The result is proved in the paper; as far as is known it has no machine-checked proof. A formal development has two concrete payoffs. First, it fixes the constants: in checking the argument, two printed slips were found (the empirical constant in Theorem 11 and the third term of Lemma 25's first inequality), and the formal statements record the versions that the paper's proof actually establishes. Second, the Lemma 25 and Lemma 9 machinery — exchangeability of i.i.d. samples under renaming, and second-moment control through stability — is reusable for any later stability result.

Difficulty

The obvious route is the Efron–Stein (Steele) variance inequality, Theorem 1 of the paper. It bounds the variance of R−RempR - R_{\mathrm{emp}}R−Remp​, not its second moment, and leaves the bias to be handled separately; the paper notes that it gives worse constants. The direct route of Appendix A instead expands ES[(R−Remp)2]\mathbb E_S[(R - R_{\mathrm{emp}})^2]ES​[(R−Remp​)2] and rewrites each correlation term by renaming i.i.d. variables: training points, fresh test points and replacement points are exchanged with one another, and the algorithm is retrained on sets T∪{z,z′}T \cup \{z, z'\}T∪{z,z′} with T=S∖{i,j}T = S^{\setminus \{i,j\}}T=S∖{i,j}. Every renaming is a measure-preserving map on a product of m+2m + 2m+2 copies of DDD, and each must be justified by the symmetry of AAA. Doing this rigorously, rather than as "a matter of renaming", is the core of the work. The leave-one-out case is only sketched in the paper ("it is easy to see"), so its formal proof has to be reconstructed.

Formalization scope

  • An algorithm is a function Multiset (X × Y) → (X → Y'). Symmetry in the training set is built into the type, and the same algorithm acts on sets of every size, as SSS and S∖iS^{\setminus i}S∖i require. A sample is S : Fin m → X × Y with law DmD^mDm (Measure.pi); fresh points zzz, z′z'z′, zi′z'_izi′​ are further independent coordinates, via product measures Dm⊗DD^m \otimes DDm⊗D and (Dm⊗D)⊗D(D^m \otimes D) \otimes D(Dm⊗D)⊗D.
  • The loss, empirical error and generalization error are the published FoundationsML.Stability definitions (Loss, EmpiricalError, GeneralizationError).
  • The cost satisfies 0≤c≤M0 \le c \le M0≤c≤M everywhere. The paper's assumption that "all functions are measurable" becomes one hypothesis: for every nnn, (S,z)↦ℓ(AS,z)(S, z) \mapsto \ell(A_S, z)(S,z)↦ℓ(AS​,z) is measurable on (X×Y)n×(X×Y)(X \times Y)^n \times (X \times Y)(X×Y)n×(X×Y). Both stability definitions also require their integrands to be integrable. Together these rule out the trivializing reading in which a non-integrable expectation equals Lean's default value 000 and the stability hypotheses hold vacuously.
  • "With probability 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" is stated as a bound on the failure event: Dm{S:R>Remp+⋯ }≤δD^m\{S : R > R_{\mathrm{emp}} + \cdots\} \le \deltaDm{S:R>Remp​+⋯}≤δ for every δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, separately for each estimator.
  • m≥2m \ge 2m≥2 is assumed in Lemmas 9 and 25 and in the two second-moment steps of the proof, because the lemmas refer to two distinct indices. Theorem 11 itself is stated for every m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, as printed.
  • Corrected statements. (i) Theorem 11's empirical bound is stated with 6Mm(β1+β2)6Mm(\beta_1+\beta_2)6Mm(β1​+β2​), not the printed 12Mmβ212Mm\beta_212Mmβ2​: the proof bounds a hypothesis-stability term by β2\beta_2β2​ when it is bounded by β1\beta_1β1​. The two coincide when β1=β2\beta_1 = \beta_2β1​=β2​. Accordingly the replace-one milestone is stated as ≤β1+β2\le \beta_1 + \beta_2≤β1​+β2​ (printed 2β22\beta_22β2​), and the empirical second-moment bound as M22m+3M(β1+β2)\frac{M^2}{2m} + 3M(\beta_1+\beta_2)2mM2​+3M(β1​+β2​) (printed 6Mβ26M\beta_26Mβ2​). (ii) Lemma 25's empirical inequality has ES[ℓ(AS,zi)ℓ(AS,zj)]\mathbb E_S[\ell(A_S,z_i)\ell(A_S,z_j)]ES​[ℓ(AS​,zi​)ℓ(AS​,zj​)] as its third term, as its proof gives, not the printed leave-one-out term. (iii) The leave-one-out second-moment bound follows from (9), not from (10) as printed.

Contributions are welcome at every level: proofs of the milestones, a general exchangeability lemma for symmetric algorithms on product measures, and Markov/Chebyshev glue for the final step.

Selected references

  • O. Bousquet and A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002), 499–526. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a.html
  • W. H. Rogers and T. J. Wagner, A finite sample distribution-free performance bound for local discrimination rules, Annals of Statistics 6(3) (1978), 506–514. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344196
  • L. Devroye and T. J. Wagner, Distribution-free performance bounds for potential function rules, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 25(5) (1979), 601–604. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1979.1056087
  • M. Kearns and D. Ron, Algorithmic stability and sanity-check bounds for leave-one-out cross-validation, Neural Computation 11(6) (1999), 1427–1453. https://doi.org/10.1162/089976699300016304
  • M. Hardt, B. Recht and Y. Singer, Train faster, generalize better: stability of stochastic gradient descent, ICML 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.01240
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Convex OptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Stability and Generalization 3: Tikhonov Regularization in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space Has Uniform Stability σ²κ²/(2λm)Research Paper

Motivation

Learning from a finite sample is useful only if changing the sample has a controlled effect on the learned predictor. Uniform stability asks for a bound on the change in loss at every test point when one training example is removed. Bousquet and Elisseeff use this property to obtain generalization bounds for learning algorithms, and identify regularization as a source of stability in methods built from reproducing kernels. The present mission isolates their result for a squared norm penalty in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). It concerns the sensitivity of the optimizer itself, before any probability bound on a random training sample is applied. The result is Theorem 22 of Bousquet and Elisseeff (2002).

Setting

Let XXX be an input space, YYY a label space, and HHH a real reproducing kernel Hilbert space of real-valued predictors on XXX. A kernel K:X×X→RK:X\times X\to\mathbb RK:X×X→R and a feature representative Φ(x)∈H\Phi(x)\in HΦ(x)∈H express the reproducing identity f(x)=⟨f,Φ(x)⟩Hf(x)=\langle f,\Phi(x)\rangle_Hf(x)=⟨f,Φ(x)⟩H​ and K(x,x′)=⟨Φ(x),Φ(x′)⟩HK(x,x')=\langle\Phi(x),\Phi(x')\rangle_HK(x,x′)=⟨Φ(x),Φ(x′)⟩H​. Thus K(x,x)=∥Φ(x)∥H2K(x,x)=\|\Phi(x)\|_H^2K(x,x)=∥Φ(x)∥H2​. The source assumes that all diagonal kernel values satisfy K(x,x)≤κ2K(x,x)\le\kappa^2K(x,x)≤κ2.

A labeled example is z=(x,y)∈X×Yz=(x,y)\in X\times Yz=(x,y)∈X×Y. Its loss under fff is ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y)\ell(f,z)=c(f(x),y)ℓ(f,z)=c(f(x),y), where ccc is a real-valued cost. Let DHD_HDH​ be the set of predictions that some element of HHH can produce at some input. The loss is σ\sigmaσ-admissible when c(⋅,y)c(\cdot,y)c(⋅,y) is convex for every label yyy and ∣c(a,y)−c(b,y)∣≤σ∣a−b∣|c(a,y)-c(b,y)|\le\sigma|a-b|∣c(a,y)−c(b,y)∣≤σ∣a−b∣ for all a,b∈DHa,b\in D_Ha,b∈DH​ and y∈Yy\in Yy∈Y. Here σ\sigmaσ is a nonnegative Lipschitz constant. The definition compares any two attainable predictions, even when they arise at different inputs.

Fix a sample S=(z1,…,zm)S=(z_1,\ldots,z_m)S=(z1​,…,zm​), a deleted index iii, and a regularization weight λ>0\lambda>0λ>0. The paper's full and truncated objectives, with squared RKHS norm regularization, are

Rr(g)=1m∑j=1mℓ(g,zj)+λ∥g∥H2,Rr∖i(g)=1m∑j≠iℓ(g,zj)+λ∥g∥H2.R_r(g)=\frac1m\sum_{j=1}^{m}\ell(g,z_j)+\lambda\|g\|_H^2, \qquad R_r^{\setminus i}(g)=\frac1m\sum_{j\ne i}\ell(g,z_j)+\lambda\|g\|_H^2.Rr​(g)=m1​j=1∑m​ℓ(g,zj​)+λ∥g∥H2​,Rr∖i​(g)=m1​j=i∑​ℓ(g,zj​)+λ∥g∥H2​.

The factor in both objectives is 1/m1/m1/m. Let fff and f∖if^{\setminus i}f∖i be minimizers of these respective objectives over all of HHH. The statements allow any minimizer satisfying the relevant global optimality condition; they do not choose one by an arbitrary fallback rule.

Formalization targets

The central target is the explicit deletion stability estimate of Theorem 22. For every test point z∈X×Yz\in X\times Yz∈X×Y,

∣ℓ(f,z)−ℓ(f∖i,z)∣≤σ2κ22λm.|\ell(f,z)-\ell(f^{\setminus i},z)| \le \frac{\sigma^2\kappa^2}{2\lambda m}.∣ℓ(f,z)−ℓ(f∖i,z)∣≤2λmσ2κ2​.

Its four milestones follow the paper's route through Lemma 20, the point-evaluation inequality (25), and the two quantitative inequalities displayed in the proof of Theorem 22. In particular, the intermediate RKHS distance bound is ∥f∖i−f∥H≤κσ/(2λm)\|f^{\setminus i}-f\|_H\le\kappa\sigma/(2\lambda m)∥f∖i−f∥H​≤κσ/(2λm) when κ≥0\kappa\ge0κ≥0. The main theorem uses κ2\kappa^2κ2, so it does not need a choice of sign for κ\kappaκ. These numerical constants are part of the target, rather than placeholders for unspecified bounds.

Significance

The theorem supplies a deterministic, uniform sensitivity estimate for kernel methods trained by squared norm regularization. The bound applies simultaneously to every test example and decreases as either the sample size or the regularization weight increases. It is one of the ingredients that lets the paper apply its earlier stability-to-generalization results to concrete learning procedures. The loss need not be bounded for this theorem; bounding it is a separate question addressed later in the paper.

The result is proved in the source article. This mission asks for a machine-checked version of its exact pairwise claim and the reusable infrastructure around it: the paper's admissibility condition, the two objectives, the general regularizer inequality, and the RKHS evaluation bound. The existing Prove2Me library already has definitions for loss, empirical error, and the RKHS reproducing identity, so the new definitions concentrate on what is specific to these pages. The related replace-one estimate in Mohri, Rostamizadeh and Talwalkar's Foundations of Machine Learning uses a different perturbation and constant; it is not interchangeable with this result.

Difficulty

The two minimizers solve different objectives, and the deleted example appears in only one of them. A comparison of their objective values alone does not directly give a bound on their distance in the Hilbert norm. The source also distinguishes an abstract convex class of functions in Lemma 20 from the full RKHS used in Theorem 22. A proof must keep those domains straight while preserving the precise normalization of the truncated objective. Another delicate point is that the kernel bound controls evaluations through the reproducing identity; a bound on K(x,x)K(x,x)K(x,x) is not by itself a bound on loss unless the admissibility condition is also used.

Formalization scope

The Lean model uses an abstract complete real inner product space HHH, an evaluation map ev⁡:H→(X→R)\operatorname{ev}:H\to(X\to\mathbb R)ev:H→(X→R), a feature map Φ:X→H\Phi:X\to HΦ:X→H, and the published IsRKHSOf predicate tying these to KKK. The completeness instance matches the source's Hilbert-space assumption. Samples have type Fin m → X × Y, so an index i : Fin m already forces m≥1m\ge1m≥1. Minimization ranges over the entire HHH for Theorem 22 and over the declared convex class for Lemma 20. The objective definitions use the published Loss and EmpiricalError objects. No probability measure or measurability assumption is needed for these deterministic assertions.

There is a printed mismatch that affects what “deletion” means. Theorem 22 names an algorithm defined by equation (26), which, run afresh on m−1m-1m−1 points, would normalize its data term by 1/(m−1)1/(m-1)1/(m−1). Lemma 20 and the proof of Theorem 22 instead compare the full objective with equation (20), whose data term uses 1/m1/m1/m. The formalized goal states that comparison, with its explicit constant, and records the discrepancy for audit. This excludes the tempting shortcut of treating the two normalizations as identical. The regularizer is the genuine squared norm and the second minimizer is required to minimize the genuine truncated objective; neither a restricted hypothesis ball nor an artificially assumed distance bound enters the goal. Contributions that establish minimizer existence or connect the pairwise bound to an algorithmic selection would extend this core without changing its statement.

Selected references

  • Olivier Bousquet and André Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002), 499–526. Article and PDF.
  • Mehryar Mohri, Afshin Rostamizadeh, and Ameet Talwalkar, Foundations of Machine Learning, second edition, MIT Press, 2018, Chapter 14. Book information.
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Linear algebraReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction XI: Dutch Traces and the Equivalence of Forward and Backward Views in Monte Carlo LearningTextbook

Motivation

Eligibility traces are one of the basic mechanisms of reinforcement learning. A trace is a short-term memory vector ztz_tzt​ with one component per weight. It records which components contributed to recent value estimates, so that an error observed now can be credited to the right components without storing the past. Chapter 12 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., 2018) organizes the topic around two ways of describing an algorithm. A forward view updates each state toward a target built from rewards that arrive later. A backward view makes an update at every step from the current error and the trace.

The chapter proves one exact equivalence between the two views itself, in §12.6: "This is the only equivalence of forward- and backward-views that we explicitly demonstrate in this book" (p. 301). The setting is linear Monte Carlo prediction, and the backward view uses a dutch trace. The same trace appears in true online TD(λ\lambdaλ), whose exact equivalence to the online λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm (van Seijen and Sutton, 2014; van Seijen et al., 2016) the book cites without proof. Of that proof, §12.6 "gives some of the flavor ... but is much simpler" (p. 301).

The older equivalence of §§12.1–12.2 goes back to Sutton (1988). If the weights are held fixed during an episode, the summed updates of TD(λ\lambdaλ) with accumulating traces equal the summed updates of the off-line λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm. The book leaves it as Exercises 12.3–12.4.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd, a step size α\alphaα and an episode of length T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 with feature vectors x0,…,xT−1∈Rdx_0, \dots, x_{T-1} \in \mathbb R^dx0​,…,xT−1​∈Rd. The episode ends with a single return G∈RG \in \mathbb RG∈R ("a single reward received at the end of the episode ... and ... no discounting", p. 301). The forward view is the linear gradient Monte Carlo, or LMS, rule (12.13): from an initial w0w_0w0​,

wt+1=wt+α [G−wt⊤xt] xt,0≤t<T.w_{t+1} = w_t + \alpha\,[G - w_t^\top x_t]\,x_t, \qquad 0 \le t < T .wt+1​=wt​+α[G−wt⊤​xt​]xt​,0≤t<T.

Let Ft=I−αxtxt⊤F_t = I - \alpha x_t x_t^\topFt​=I−αxt​xt⊤​ be the fading matrix. The backward view keeps two vectors that are updated at each step in O(d)O(d)O(d) time without knowledge of GGG. The dutch trace is z0=x0z_0 = x_0z0​=x0​, zt=zt−1+(1−αzt−1⊤xt) xtz_t = z_{t-1} + (1 - \alpha z_{t-1}^\top x_t)\,x_tzt​=zt−1​+(1−αzt−1⊤​xt​)xt​. The auxiliary vector is at=at−1−αxtxt⊤at−1a_t = a_{t-1} - \alpha x_t x_t^\top a_{t-1}at​=at−1​−αxt​xt⊤​at−1​, with a0=F0w0a_0 = F_0 w_0a0​=F0​w0​.

For the second part, an episode S0,R1,S1,…,RT,STS_0, R_1, S_1, \dots, R_T, S_TS0​,R1​,S1​,…,RT​,ST​ carries states and rewards, and v^(s,w)\hat v(s, w)v^(s,w) is a differentiable value function with v^(terminal,⋅)=0\hat v(\text{terminal}, \cdot) = 0v^(terminal,⋅)=0. For one fixed weight vector www, define the following, with γ∈[0,1]\gamma \in [0,1]γ∈[0,1] and λ∈[0,1)\lambda \in [0,1)λ∈[0,1):

  • the return GtG_tGt​;
  • the nnn-step return Gt:t+nG_{t:t+n}Gt:t+n​ (12.1), with Gt:t+n=GtG_{t:t+n} = G_tGt:t+n​=Gt​ once t+n≥Tt + n \ge Tt+n≥T;
  • the λ\lambdaλ-return Gtλ=(1−λ)∑n≥1λn−1Gt:t+nG^\lambda_t = (1-\lambda)\sum_{n \ge 1}\lambda^{n-1} G_{t:t+n}Gtλ​=(1−λ)∑n≥1​λn−1Gt:t+n​ (12.2);
  • the TD error δt=Rt+1+γv^(St+1,w)−v^(St,w)\delta_t = R_{t+1} + \gamma\hat v(S_{t+1}, w) - \hat v(S_t, w)δt​=Rt+1​+γv^(St+1​,w)−v^(St​,w) (12.6);
  • the accumulating trace z−1=0z_{-1} = 0z−1​=0, zt=γλzt−1+∇v^(St,w)z_t = \gamma\lambda z_{t-1} + \nabla\hat v(S_t, w)zt​=γλzt−1​+∇v^(St​,w) (12.5).

Formalization targets

Goal: the dutch-trace equivalence (12.14), corrected

wT=aT−1+αG zT−1.w_T = a_{T-1} + \alpha G\, z_{T-1}.wT​=aT−1​+αGzT−1​.

The left side is the forward view after TTT LMS updates. On the right, aT−1a_{T-1}aT−1​ and zT−1z_{T-1}zT−1​ are produced by the incremental recursions above. The goal is about the two algorithms, not only about the closed-form product identity.

Milestones on the goal's path (§12.6, p. 302)

  1. wt+1=Ftwt+αGxtw_{t+1} = F_t w_t + \alpha G x_twt+1​=Ft​wt​+αGxt​.
  2. wT=FT−1⋯F0w0+αG∑k=0T−1FT−1⋯Fk+1xkw_T = F_{T-1}\cdots F_0 w_0 + \alpha G \sum_{k=0}^{T-1} F_{T-1}\cdots F_{k+1} x_kwT​=FT−1​⋯F0​w0​+αG∑k=0T−1​FT−1​⋯Fk+1​xk​, the first line of (12.14).
  3. zt=∑k=0tFt⋯Fk+1xkz_t = \sum_{k=0}^{t} F_t \cdots F_{k+1} x_kzt​=∑k=0t​Ft​⋯Fk+1​xk​ for the dutch-trace recursion.
  4. at=Ft⋯F0w0a_t = F_t \cdots F_0 w_0at​=Ft​⋯F0​w0​ for the auxiliary-vector recursion (corrected initialization).

Milestones on the λ\lambdaλ-return (§§12.1–12.2)

  1. (12.3): Gtλ=(1−λ)∑n=1T−t−1λn−1Gt:t+n+λT−t−1GtG^\lambda_t = (1-\lambda)\sum_{n=1}^{T-t-1}\lambda^{n-1}G_{t:t+n} + \lambda^{T-t-1}G_tGtλ​=(1−λ)∑n=1T−t−1​λn−1Gt:t+n​+λT−t−1Gt​ for t<Tt < Tt<T.
  2. Exercise 12.1: Gtλ=Rt+1+γ[(1−λ)v^(St+1,w)+λGt+1λ]G^\lambda_t = R_{t+1} + \gamma[(1-\lambda)\hat v(S_{t+1}, w) + \lambda G^\lambda_{t+1}]Gtλ​=Rt+1​+γ[(1−λ)v^(St+1​,w)+λGt+1λ​].
  3. Exercise 12.3: Gtλ−v^(St,w)=∑k=tT−1(γλ)k−tδkG^\lambda_t - \hat v(S_t, w) = \sum_{k=t}^{T-1}(\gamma\lambda)^{k-t}\delta_kGtλ​−v^(St​,w)=∑k=tT−1​(γλ)k−tδk​.
  4. Exercise 12.4: ∑t<Tαδtzt=∑t<Tα[Gtλ−v^(St,w)]∇v^(St,w)\sum_{t<T}\alpha\delta_t z_t = \sum_{t<T}\alpha[G^\lambda_t - \hat v(S_t, w)]\nabla\hat v(S_t, w)∑t<T​αδt​zt​=∑t<T​α[Gtλ​−v^(St​,w)]∇v^(St​,w).

Significance

The goal says that an O(d)O(d)O(d)-per-step algorithm reproduces the Monte Carlo/LMS result exactly. That algorithm never stores the feature vectors or the TTT intermediate weight vectors. The book draws the conclusion that eligibility traces "are not specific to TD learning at all" (p. 303). The dutch trace in the case γλ=1\gamma\lambda = 1γλ=1 is the same object that true online TD(λ\lambdaλ) (12.11) uses for general γλ\gamma\lambdaγλ. The fading-matrix products and their incremental forms are therefore the vocabulary of any later formalization of true online TD(λ\lambdaλ) and of the online λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm.

Exercises 12.3–12.4 are the fixed-weight equivalence of TD(λ\lambdaλ) and the off-line λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm. They are the standard justification for calling TD(λ\lambdaλ) an approximation of the λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm. Exercise 12.1 and (12.3) are the identities the rest of the chapter uses to manipulate λ\lambdaλ-returns.

On status: all of these results are known and elementary on paper, and the book prints the derivation of (12.14). To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof, and the platform has no statement about λ\lambdaλ-returns, eligibility traces or TD(λ\lambdaλ). What this mission adds is formal statements with every convention fixed, including one correction to the printed text. It also adds reusable definitions of nnn-step returns, λ\lambdaλ-returns and traces.

Difficulty

The algebra is elementary. The difficulty lies in the conventions, and a careless reading of the page produces a false statement. The book initializes a0=w0a_0 = w_0a0​=w0​, and taken literally that makes the goal false. The λ\lambdaλ-return is an infinite series, whose tail collapses only because every nnn-step return that reaches past termination equals the full return. That convention has to be built into the definition of Gt:t+nG_{t:t+n}Gt:t+n​, together with the terminal value v^(terminal,⋅)=0\hat v(\text{terminal}, \cdot) = 0v^(terminal,⋅)=0. Exercises 12.3 and 12.4 are true only when the weights stay fixed. With the algorithms' changing weights wtw_twt​ the nnn-step returns (12.1) use wt+n−1w_{t+n-1}wt+n−1​, and neither identity holds. The boundary indices (t=T−1t = T-1t=T−1, the empty product at k=T−1k = T-1k=T−1, GTλ=0G^\lambda_T = 0GTλ​=0) must come out right.

Formalization scope

Namespace SuttonBartoRL.Traces. Vectors of §12.6 are Fin d → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin d) (Fin d) ℝ, and xx⊤x x^\topxx⊤ is Matrix.vecMulVec x x. The ordered product fadeProd α x j t is Ft⋯FjF_t \cdots F_jFt​⋯Fj​, the identity when t<jt < jt<j. Feature sequences are indexed by N\mathbb NN; only x0,…,xT−1x_0, \dots, x_{T-1}x0​,…,xT−1​ enter. T≥1T \ge 1T≥1 is a hypothesis wherever T−1T - 1T−1 appears. The identities of §12.6 are stated for every real α\alphaα and GGG, a harmless strengthening of the book's positive step size.

For §§12.1–12.2, weights are EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), ∇\nabla∇ is Mathlib's gradient, and each v^(s,⋅)\hat v(s,\cdot)v^(s,⋅) is assumed differentiable in Exercise 12.4. An episode is a length TTT, states and rewards. The value at time t≥Tt \ge Tt≥T is 000. (12.2) is a tsum over n≥0n \ge 0n≥0 of λnGt:t+n+1\lambda^n G_{t:t+n+1}λnGt:t+n+1​, and λ∈[0,1)\lambda \in [0,1)λ∈[0,1), the range the book gives with (12.2). Milestone 5 concludes summability, so the junk value of a divergent tsum cannot make it trivial. Exercises 12.3–12.4 take one weight binder w, used in every return, TD error and gradient. That is the book's fixed-www assumption, stated in the binders.

Correction. The printed initialization a0=w0a_0 = w_0a0​=w0​ (p. 302) contradicts the printed definition at≐Ft⋯F0w0a_t \doteq F_t\cdots F_0 w_0at​≐Ft​⋯F0​w0​ and (12.14). The counterexample is d=1d = 1d=1, T=1T = 1T=1, x0=1x_0 = 1x0​=1, α=1/2\alpha = 1/2α=1/2, w0=1w_0 = 1w0​=1, G=0G = 0G=0: the forward view gives w1=1/2w_1 = 1/2w1​=1/2, while a0+αGz0=1a_0 + \alpha G z_0 = 1a0​+αGz0​=1. The mission states the corrected result with a0=F0w0a_0 = F_0 w_0a0​=F0​w0​, equivalently the same recursion started from a−1=w0a_{-1} = w_0a−1​=w0​. The printed text is kept verbatim in the milestone.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is not the closed-form identity with aT−1a_{T-1}aT−1​ and zT−1z_{T-1}zT−1​ defined as the products and sums. Those vectors are defined by their GGG-free incremental recursions, and the closed forms are separate milestones.

Out of scope: the equivalence of true online TD(λ\lambdaλ) and the online λ\lambdaλ-return algorithm (cited, p. 300), the truncated-return identity (12.10), the error bound (12.8), and all convergence claims. Proofs of the milestones, and reuse of the definitions in later missions on true online TD(λ\lambdaλ), are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, Chapter 12, pp. 287–320. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. S. Sutton, "Learning to predict by the methods of temporal differences", Machine Learning 3 (1988), 9–44. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00115009
  • H. van Seijen and R. S. Sutton, "True online TD(λ)", Proceedings of ICML 2014, PMLR 32, 692–700. https://proceedings.mlr.press/v32/seijen14.html
  • H. van Seijen, A. R. Mahmood, P. M. Pilarski, M. C. Machado and R. S. Sutton, "True online temporal-difference learning", Journal of Machine Learning Research 17 (2016), 1–40. https://jmlr.org/papers/v17/15-599.html
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ProbabilityReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Minimax Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning I: High-Probability Regret Bound for UCBVI with a Chernoff–Hoeffding BonusResearch Paper

Motivation

An agent learning to control an unknown environment must balance rewards it can collect now against information that improves later decisions. In a finite Markov decision process (MDP), every action changes the distribution of the next state, so a mistaken transition estimate can affect decisions many steps later. Regret measures this loss against a policy that already knows the transition probabilities. The paper of Azar, Osband and Munos gives high-probability regret bounds for two variants of upper confidence bound value iteration (UCBVI) in finite-horizon reinforcement learning. This mission targets its Chernoff–Hoeffding variant, UCBVI-CH, whose bonus depends only on the horizon and the visit count. Theorem 1 improves the paper's cited earlier dependence on the number of states from SSS to S\sqrt SS​ in the leading term for sufficiently many interactions. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 2, 4–5.

The paper was released in 2017 alongside work on the attainable dependence of episodic regret on the horizon HHH, state count SSS, action count AAA, and total interaction time TTT. Its second algorithm, UCBVI-BF, uses a variance-dependent bonus and is the subject of the next mission in this series. UCBVI-CH has a simpler bonus and its own explicit bound, making it a distinct mathematical target. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 1–5.

Setting

The state set S\mathcal SS and action set A\mathcal AA are finite and nonempty, with cardinalities SSS and AAA. A stationary transition kernel P(y∣x,a)P(y\mid x,a)P(y∣x,a) gives the probability of moving to state yyy after action aaa in state xxx; each row is nonnegative and sums to one. The known, deterministic reward R(x,a)R(x,a)R(x,a) lies in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. An episode lasts H≥1H\ge1H≥1 steps. The environment chooses its starting state xk,1x_{k,1}xk,1​ before episode kkk and may base that choice on earlier episodes. It cannot see the current episode's future random draws. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, §2 and Assumption 1, pp. 2–3.

A policy π\piπ selects an action from the current state and the step number. Its value Vhπ(x)V_h^\pi(x)Vhπ​(x) is the expected sum of rewards from step hhh through step HHH when starting in state xxx. The terminal value is VH+1π=0V_{H+1}^\pi=0VH+1π​=0, and Vh∗(x)V_h^*(x)Vh∗​(x) is the maximum of Vhπ(x)V_h^\pi(x)Vhπ​(x) over all such policies. Since the state, action and step sets are finite, this maximum is over a finite nonempty policy class. The paper's sentence describing H−hH-hH−h rewards uses a shifted terminal convention; this series follows the HHH reward steps of Algorithms 1–2. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 3–4.

At the start of episode kkk, UCBVI-CH forms visit counts Nk(x,a,y)N_k(x,a,y)Nk​(x,a,y) and Nk(x,a)N_k(x,a)Nk​(x,a) from earlier completed transitions. On a visited pair it uses the empirical row P^k(y∣x,a)=Nk(x,a,y)/Nk(x,a)\widehat P_k(y\mid x,a)=N_k(x,a,y)/N_k(x,a)Pk​(y∣x,a)=Nk​(x,a,y)/Nk​(x,a). Algorithm 2 computes values backward from zero at the terminal step. For a visited pair, Qk,h(x,a)Q_{k,h}(x,a)Qk,h​(x,a) is the minimum of the preceding episode's Qk−1,h(x,a)Q_{k-1,h}(x,a)Qk−1,h​(x,a), HHH, and the empirical Bellman value plus Algorithm 3's bonus. For an unvisited pair, Qk,h(x,a)=HQ_{k,h}(x,a)=HQk,h​(x,a)=H. A maximizing action is chosen at every state, including states outside the realized path. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, Algorithms 1–3, pp. 3–4.

Formalization targets

Theorem 1: UCBVI-CH regret

For KKK episodes and T=KHT=KHT=KH, regret sums the gap V1∗(xk,1)−V1πk(xk,1)V_1^*(x_{k,1})-V_1^{\pi_k}(x_{k,1})V1∗​(xk,1​)−V1πk​​(xk,1​). The goal is the paper's printed bound, with its constants:

Pr⁡ ⁣{Regret⁡(K)>20H3/2LSAK+250H2S2AL2}≤δ,L=ln⁡(5HSAT/δ),δ>0.\Pr\!\left\{\operatorname{Regret}(K)>20H^{3/2}L\sqrt{SAK}+250H^2S^2AL^2\right\}\le\delta, \qquad L=\ln(5HSAT/\delta),\quad \delta>0.Pr{Regret(K)>20H3/2LSAK​+250H2S2AL2}≤δ,L=ln(5HSAT/δ),δ>0.

Algorithm 3 itself uses Lalg=ln⁡(5SAT/δ)L_{\rm alg}=\ln(5SAT/\delta)Lalg​=ln(5SAT/δ) in its bonus 7HLalg/Nk(x,a)7HL_{\rm alg}/\sqrt{N_k(x,a)}7HLalg​/Nk​(x,a)​. Both logarithms remain as printed. The probability is over the MDP's next-state draws, for every admissible starting-state rule and every way of breaking ties between maximizing actions. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, Algorithm 3, p. 4; Theorem 1, p. 5.

Supporting results

Four milestones retain the source's indexed attack path: the Bernstein bound (9) for the empirical value error, the count-deviation display before (11), Lemma 18 on optimism, and the weighted recursion displayed in the proof of Lemma 3. The last milestone preserves the signed weights that appear before the paper's final simplification. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 17, 20–21, 28.

Significance

Theorem 1 gives a finite-sample failure probability with explicit dependence on H,S,A,KH,S,A,KH,S,A,K and δ\deltaδ. It covers a learner whose initial state can change between episodes, a feature that matters in episodic learning where the experimenter does not fix a single starting distribution. For the regime stated after Theorem 1, the leading rate is O~(HSAT)\widetilde O(H\sqrt{SAT})O(HSAT​). This is a result claimed by the paper; the present Lean declarations are open proof targets, not machine-checked proofs of that claim. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, p. 5.

Formalizing the result creates reusable finite objects for adaptive interaction: a constructed probability law on complete paths, empirical transition counts pooled across steps, a policy value defined by its expected reward, and confidence events with their domains stated explicitly. The concentration and optimism milestones can then be investigated independently of the final regret bound. The later UCBVI-BF mission uses the same paper's model with a different bonus. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 3–5, 14–17.

Difficulty

The visit count Nk(x,a)N_k(x,a)Nk​(x,a) is random and depends on earlier observations and decisions. A concentration inequality for a predetermined number of samples therefore does not immediately give a statement that holds at every episode start. The algorithm also reuses the previous episode's QQQ estimate through a minimum. Any optimism claim must account for this dependence across episodes as well as the backward dependence across steps. In the regret analysis, the terms called martingale differences can have either sign, so replacing a positive weight by a larger common bound can reverse an inequality. These are concrete obstacles to the printed chain of estimates. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 4, 17, 20–21, 28.

Formalization scope

States, actions, steps, episodes and complete outcome arrays are finite. Probabilities are finite sums of products of transition rows. The transition-row predicate is a published general definition; this mission defines the paper-specific reward-bounded MDP, policies, UCBVI-CH recursion, and path law on top of it. The starting-state rule can inspect only earlier episodes. Greedy tie-breaking is universally quantified. V∗V^*V∗ is a maximum over policies, and the bonus is read only at positive counts. A model that assigns an arbitrary probability law, fixes one starting state, or omits Algorithm 2's minimum does not represent this target. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 2–4.

Lean uses steps 0,…,H−10,\dots,H-10,…,H−1 and terminal index HHH in place of the paper's algorithmic 1,…,H+11,\dots,H+11,…,H+1. The appendix sometimes puts the terminal value at HHH. The weighted recursion therefore runs through the final reward step, rather than ending one step early. Its typical-state threshold is 4H2L4H^2L4H2L, as required by (34)–(36), whereas Appendix B.1 prints 2H2L2H^2L2H2L. The proof's correction term c4c_4c4​ dominates its other terms under A≥2A\ge2A≥2, which is made explicit in that milestone. The printed (11) loses a factor of two from the count display before it; only the preceding display is a milestone. Lemma 18 is stated under the empirical-model part of the confidence event and δ≤1\delta\le1δ≤1, the domain on which its bonus comparison holds. The weighted milestone retains its coefficients because the bracketed martingale terms can be negative. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 14–17, 20–21, 28.

The goal retains Theorem 1's constant 202020. Appendix C.1 cites Lemmas 15 and 18, but the sketch of Lemma 15 does not track that constant explicitly. Formalizing the printed bound may therefore expose a gap in its proof; the mission records the claim without weakening its constants. Contributions establishing or repairing the explicit bound, as well as the four stated milestones and reusable finite concentration results, are within scope. Azar, Osband and Munos, 2017, pp. 5, 27, 29.

Selected references

  • M. G. Azar, I. Osband and R. Munos, Minimax Regret Bounds for Reinforcement Learning, arXiv:1703.05449v2, 2017. Pinned preprint.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryConvex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent 1: Any Approachability Algorithm Yields Online Linear Optimization with Regret/T at Most 2κ Times Its Approachability RateResearch Paper

Motivation

Online decision makers often have to choose an action before seeing the cost assigned to it. A no-regret algorithm performs almost as well, in total, as the best single action that could have been chosen after the costs were known. In a related repeated-game problem, Blackwell approachability asks a player to keep the average of vector payoffs close to a desired set despite an adversary's choices. These two performance criteria look different: one compares scalar costs to a fixed benchmark, while the other measures a geometric distance. Abernethy, Bartlett, and Hazan establish algorithmic reductions between them, with explicit finite-horizon bounds in their COLT 2011 paper. This mission isolates the direction that turns an approachability algorithm into an online linear optimization algorithm.

The bound matters even when the input algorithm has no known rate. It relates the regret of the resulting online algorithm to the actual distance attained on the corresponding sequence. Any subsequent guarantee on that distance then yields a regret guarantee through the same reduction. The paper also gives the reverse reduction and an application to calibrated forecasting; those are separate missions in this series.

Setting

Fix a dimension ddd and a nonempty compact convex decision set K⊆RdK\subseteq\mathbb R^dK⊆Rd. On round ttt, an algorithm selects xt∈Kx_t\in Kxt​∈K using only the preceding cost vectors f1,…,ft−1f_1,\ldots,f_{t-1}f1​,…,ft−1​. The adversary then reveals ftf_tft​ in the Euclidean unit ball B2(1)B_2(1)B2​(1). The incurred linear cost is ⟨ft,xt⟩\langle f_t,x_t\rangle⟨ft​,xt​⟩. For a horizon TTT, regret compares these costs with the cost of the best single point of KKK evaluated on all TTT rounds:

Regret⁡T=∑t=1T⟨ft,xt⟩−min⁡x∈K∑t=1T⟨ft,x⟩.\operatorname{Regret}_T = \sum_{t=1}^T\langle f_t,x_t\rangle - \min_{x\in K}\sum_{t=1}^T\langle f_t,x\rangle.RegretT​=t=1∑T​⟨ft​,xt​⟩−x∈Kmin​t=1∑T​⟨ft​,x⟩.

The minimum exists because KKK is nonempty and compact. No probabilistic model for the cost sequence is assumed. The round index begins at one, and xtx_txt​ cannot depend on ftf_tft​.

The reduction uses κ=max⁡x∈K∥x∥\kappa=\max_{x\in K}\|x\|κ=maxx∈K​∥x∥, the maximum norm of a decision. Write a⊕xa\oplus xa⊕x for Euclidean concatenation of a scalar and a vector, an element of Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1. The generated cone of a set MMM consists of its nonnegative scalar multiples, cone⁡(M)={αm:α≥0, m∈M}\operatorname{cone}(M)=\{\alpha m:\alpha\ge0,\ m\in M\}cone(M)={αm:α≥0, m∈M}. For a set CCC, its polar cone is C0={θ:⟨θ,z⟩≤0 for every z∈C}C^0=\{\theta:\langle\theta,z\rangle\le0\text{ for every }z\in C\}C0={θ:⟨θ,z⟩≤0 for every z∈C}. This negative-sign convention is fixed throughout the mission.

Algorithm 1 of the paper constructs a vector-payoff game. Its player actions are KKK, its adversary actions are B2(1)B_2(1)B2​(1), its payoff and target are

u(x,f)=(⟨f,x⟩/κ)⊕(−f),S=cone⁡({κ}×K)0.u(x,f)=\bigl(\langle f,x\rangle/\kappa\bigr)\oplus(-f), \qquad S=\operatorname{cone}(\{\kappa\}\times K)^0.u(x,f)=(⟨f,x⟩/κ)⊕(−f),S=cone({κ}×K)0.

A Blackwell approachability algorithm for this game chooses each xtx_txt​ from the preceding adversary moves. Its finite-horizon approachability rate on a given sequence is DT(A)=dist⁡(T−1∑t=1Tu(xt,ft),S)D_T(A)=\operatorname{dist}(T^{-1}\sum_{t=1}^T u(x_t,f_t),S)DT​(A)=dist(T−1∑t=1T​u(xt​,ft​),S), where distance means the Euclidean distance from a point to a set. The online algorithm created by Algorithm 1 uses precisely the same choices xtx_txt​.

Formalization targets

The goal is Theorem 16 of the paper. For every admissible history-based algorithm, every sequence of unit-ball costs, and every T≥1T\ge1T≥1, it asserts

Regret⁡TT≤2κDT(A).\frac{\operatorname{Regret}_T}{T}\le 2\kappa D_T(A).TRegretT​​≤2κDT​(A).

This is a statement about the rate actually obtained on the chosen cost sequence. It assumes no upper bound on DT(A)D_T(A)DT​(A) and does not require an oracle call in the statement. Thus it also covers algorithms whose behavior is specified directly rather than through an implementation of the oracle.

The milestone targets are the distance formula of Lemma 13, the conic distance identity in display (8) of Theorem 16's proof, and the existence of a valid halfspace oracle in Lemma 15. Lemma 13 says distance to a nonempty convex cone equals the attained maximum of a linear functional over the polar cone's unit ball. Display (8) specializes this geometry to Algorithm 1's lifted target. Lemma 15 says that every halfspace containing that target admits a player action whose payoff remains in the halfspace against every permitted adversary move. Together these statements specify the geometry and the oracle needed by the reduction.

Significance

Theorem 16 gives a numerical transfer rule: a bound on approachability distance for Algorithm 1's game immediately bounds average regret for the same sequence. Its factor depends only on the size κ\kappaκ of the decision set. This permits comparison of algorithms in a common finite-horizon language, without replacing the online cost sequence by a distribution or an asymptotic limit. The source paper uses this direction as one half of its equivalence between approachability and no-regret learning Abernethy, Bartlett, and Hazan, 2011.

The mathematical results are established in that paper; the goal here is a machine-checked Lean development of their statements and eventually their proofs. The mission also supplies reusable definitions of generated and polar cones, a Euclidean lift, a finite-history online algorithm, and regret over a compact decision set. Lemma 13 is useful outside this reduction whenever distance to a cone is compared with linear functionals on its polar. The proposed theorem items currently carry open proofs, while their statements and definition files are checked for elaboration in the pinned Lean environment.

Difficulty

The main obstacle is the change of viewpoint from a scalar regret comparison to distance from a set of lifted vector payoffs. A direct comparison of individual round costs does not describe that distance. The target is a polar cone in one additional Euclidean dimension, so a faithful account must keep the lift's geometry, the cone's sign convention, and the normalization by κ\kappaκ aligned. The distance formula also asserts that its maximum is attained. An encoding that merely writes an infimum or supremum with default values can silently make an edge case look valid without representing the paper's claim.

The oracle milestone has a separate quantifier demand. One selected action must work against every adversary move for each halfspace containing the target. It cannot be replaced by a possibly different action for each move, or by a claim only about tangent halfspaces. The theorem includes halfspaces with arbitrary offsets and zero normals because the source oracle accepts any containing halfspace.

Formalization scope

Vectors live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and a⊕xa\oplus xa⊕x lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin (d+1)) with the Euclidean norm. The generated cone uses exactly one nonnegative multiple of a point of the generating set, as in Definition 11. The polar uses ⟨θ,z⟩≤0\langle\theta,z\rangle\le0⟨θ,z⟩≤0, the opposite sign from a positive dual-cone convention. Distances are Euclidean point-to-set distances. All arithmetic is over exact real numbers, and the regret minimum ranges over the image of the nonempty compact set KKK.

The statements require κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 because the source payoff divides by κ\kappaκ. This excludes the degenerate case K={0}K=\{0\}K={0}, in which the source instance is undefined. They require T≥1T\ge1T≥1 wherever an average is formed. Admissible histories consist of unit-ball adversary moves, and each round's decision belongs to KKK. The dimension may be zero syntactically, but the positive-κ\kappaκ hypothesis excludes that case in results using Algorithm 1. These conditions keep the bound from being satisfied through Lean's default values for division by zero, distance to an empty set, or infima over empty sets.

The paper's display (8) writes cone⁡(κ⊕K)\operatorname{cone}(\kappa\oplus K)cone(κ⊕K) and labels its unit ball with dimension ddd; the formalization uses the cone of {κ}×K\{\kappa\}\times K{κ}×K in Rd+1\mathbb R^{d+1}Rd+1, matching Algorithm 1. Lemma 12's printed bipolar claim omits closedness; this mission does not use that uncorrected sentence as a milestone. The oracle statement covers all containing halfspaces. Contributions are welcome for the distance identity, the oracle existence result, and the final regret inequality, as well as geometric lemmas supporting those proofs.

Selected references

  • Jacob Abernethy, Peter L. Bartlett, and Elad Hazan, Blackwell Approachability and No-Regret Learning are Equivalent, Proceedings of the 24th Annual Conference on Learning Theory, JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings 19, 2011, pp. 27–46. Published paper.
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Bandit AlgorithmsOptimizationReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction I: The Gradient Bandit Algorithm Is Stochastic Gradient AscentTextbook

Motivation

The multi-armed bandit is the simplest setting in which a learner must trade off exploiting what it knows against exploring what it does not: one situation, kkk actions, and a reward drawn from an unknown distribution each time an action is taken. Chapter 2 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018) uses it to introduce, in the smallest possible setting, ideas that run through the rest of the book: incremental estimation with a step size, the bias introduced by the initial estimate, soft-max policies over learned preferences, and learning by following the gradient of expected reward.

The chapter ends with the gradient bandit algorithm (§2.8), which learns a numerical preference for each action instead of a value estimate. A shaded box on pp. 38–40 shows that its expected update is exactly a gradient-ascent step on the expected reward, so the algorithm is an instance of stochastic gradient ascent. The same argument, a score-function (likelihood-ratio) identity with a baseline, reappears in Chapter 13 as the REINFORCE algorithm and the policy gradient theorem. The bandit case is where the book first carries it out in full.

Setting

Actions are 1,…,k1, \dots, k1,…,k. Each action xxx has a reward distribution νx\nu_xνx​ on R\mathbb RR with finite mean q∗(x)q_*(x)q∗​(x), the true action value. At each step the learner holds a vector of action preferences H=(H(1),…,H(k))∈RkH = (H(1), \dots, H(k)) \in \mathbb R^kH=(H(1),…,H(k))∈Rk and selects action AAA with the soft-max probability

π(a)=eH(a)∑b=1keH(b)(2.11).\pi(a) = \frac{e^{H(a)}}{\sum_{b=1}^k e^{H(b)}} \qquad (2.11).π(a)=∑b=1k​eH(b)eH(a)​(2.11).

Given A=xA = xA=x, a reward R∼νxR \sim \nu_xR∼νx​ is received. The expected reward is E[R]=∑xπ(x) q∗(x)\mathbb E[R] = \sum_x \pi(x)\, q_*(x)E[R]=∑x​π(x)q∗​(x), a smooth function of HHH. With a step size α>0\alpha > 0α>0 and a baseline B∈RB \in \mathbb RB∈R, the gradient bandit update (2.12) is

H′(A)=H(A)+α(R−B)(1−π(A)),H′(a)=H(a)−α(R−B) π(a)  (a≠A).H'(A) = H(A) + \alpha (R - B)(1 - \pi(A)), \qquad H'(a) = H(a) - \alpha (R - B)\,\pi(a) \ \ (a \ne A).H′(A)=H(A)+α(R−B)(1−π(A)),H′(a)=H(a)−α(R−B)π(a)  (a=A).

The chapter's estimation sections use a single action's rewards R1,R2,…R_1, R_2, \dotsR1​,R2​,…. The sample average after n−1n-1n−1 selections is Qn=(R1+⋯+Rn−1)/(n−1)Q_n = (R_1 + \cdots + R_{n-1})/(n-1)Qn​=(R1​+⋯+Rn−1​)/(n−1), with an arbitrary initial value Q1Q_1Q1​. A constant step size α∈(0,1]\alpha \in (0,1]α∈(0,1] updates Qn+1=Qn+α[Rn−Qn]Q_{n+1} = Q_n + \alpha [R_n - Q_n]Qn+1​=Qn​+α[Rn​−Qn​] (2.5). The trace of one oˉ0=0\bar o_0 = 0oˉ0​=0, oˉn=oˉn−1+α(1−oˉn−1)\bar o_n = \bar o_{n-1} + \alpha (1 - \bar o_{n-1})oˉn​=oˉn−1​+α(1−oˉn−1​) defines the step size βn=α/oˉn\beta_n = \alpha / \bar o_nβn​=α/oˉn​ (2.8)–(2.9).

Formalization targets

Goal: the expected update is the gradient step

For every action aaa, with A∼πA \sim \piA∼π and R∣A=x∼νxR \mid A = x \sim \nu_xR∣A=x∼νx​,

E[H′(a)]=H(a)+α ∂ E[R]∂H(a),\mathbb E\bigl[H'(a)\bigr] = H(a) + \alpha\, \frac{\partial\, \mathbb E[R]}{\partial H(a)} ,E[H′(a)]=H(a)+α∂H(a)∂E[R]​,

that is, the update (2.12) equals the exact gradient-ascent step (2.13) in expected value, for every baseline BBB that does not depend on the selected action.

Milestones

  1. (2.3): Qn+1=Qn+1n[Rn−Qn]Q_{n+1} = Q_n + \tfrac1n [R_n - Q_n]Qn+1​=Qn​+n1​[Rn​−Qn​] for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, including Q2=R1Q_2 = R_1Q2​=R1​ for arbitrary Q1Q_1Q1​.
  2. (2.6): Qn+1=(1−α)nQ1+∑i=1nα(1−α)n−iRiQ_{n+1} = (1-\alpha)^n Q_1 + \sum_{i=1}^n \alpha(1-\alpha)^{n-i} R_iQn+1​=(1−α)nQ1​+∑i=1n​α(1−α)n−iRi​, with weights summing to one.
  3. Exercise 2.7: with βn=α/oˉn\beta_n = \alpha/\bar o_nβn​=α/oˉn​, Qn+1=∑i=1nα(1−α)n−ioˉnRiQ_{n+1} = \sum_{i=1}^n \frac{\alpha(1-\alpha)^{n-i}}{\bar o_n} R_iQn+1​=∑i=1n​oˉn​α(1−α)n−i​Ri​ for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, weights summing to one, and no dependence on Q1Q_1Q1​.
  4. Shift invariance (p. 37): adding a constant ccc to every preference leaves π\piπ unchanged.
  5. Exercise 2.9: for k=2k = 2k=2, π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2))\pi(1) = \sigma(H(1) - H(2))π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2)) with σ(x)=1/(1+e−x)\sigma(x) = 1/(1+e^{-x})σ(x)=1/(1+e−x).
  6. Soft-max derivative (p. 40): ∂π(x)/∂H(a)=π(x)(1a=x−π(a))\partial \pi(x)/\partial H(a) = \pi(x)(\mathbb 1_{a=x} - \pi(a))∂π(x)/∂H(a)=π(x)(1a=x​−π(a)).
  7. Zero-sum gradient (p. 39): ∑x∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0\sum_x \partial \pi(x)/\partial H(a) = 0∑x​∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0.
  8. Performance gradient as an expectation (p. 39): ∂E[R]/∂H(a)=E[(R−B)(1a=A−π(a))]\partial \mathbb E[R]/\partial H(a) = \mathbb E[(R - B)(\mathbb 1_{a=A} - \pi(a))]∂E[R]/∂H(a)=E[(R−B)(1a=A​−π(a))].

Significance

The result. The identity makes a model-free algorithm, which uses only the sampled action and reward, an unbiased estimator of the gradient of a quantity that depends on the unknown q∗q_*q∗​. It therefore places the gradient bandit algorithm within stochastic approximation, where convergence theory for stochastic gradient methods applies. It also explains the role of the baseline: any baseline independent of the action leaves the expected update unchanged, so the choice of baseline can only affect the variance of the update, as Figure 2.5 shows empirically. The estimation milestones make precise two claims the chapter uses repeatedly: sample averages can be maintained incrementally, and constant step sizes produce an exponentially recency-weighted average biased by Q1Q_1Q1​. Exercise 2.7 removes that bias.

Formalizing it. All of these results are elementary and proved (or left as routine exercises) in the book. None of them is formalized on Prove2Me or, as far as is known, in Mathlib. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version of the book's argument with the reward model and baseline condition stated precisely, and a reusable soft-max layer (definition, partial derivatives, shift invariance) for later missions of this series, in particular the policy gradient theorem of Chapter 13.

Difficulty

The mathematics is beginning calculus, as the book says. The formal difficulty lies elsewhere. The goal is an identity between an expectation over a two-stage random experiment (an action from π\piπ, then a reward from νA\nu_AνA​) and a partial derivative in one coordinate of a vector-valued parameter. A proof has to justify exchanging the finite sum with the derivative and splitting the reward integral, and it has to use integrability of each νx\nu_xνx​. It also needs the fact that the baseline term vanishes because ∑x∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0\sum_x \partial\pi(x)/\partial H(a) = 0∑x​∂π(x)/∂H(a)=0. A scalar-parameter version of the log-sum-exp derivative does not suffice: the book differentiates in one coordinate H(a)H(a)H(a) while all other preferences are held fixed. For Exercise 2.7 the obvious unrolling of (2.6) does not apply directly, because the step size βn\beta_nβn​ varies with nnn and the book states neither the weights nor the range of α\alphaα.

Formalization scope

  • Actions are Fin k. Every statement quantifies over some action, so k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 whenever it has content. Preferences are vectors Fin k → ℝ. The partial derivative in coordinate aaa is the derivative of h↦f(update H a h)h \mapsto f(\text{update } H\ a\ h)h↦f(update H a h) at H(a)H(a)H(a). The soft-max derivative milestone is stated with HasDerivAt, so it also asserts differentiability.
  • Rewards: each νx\nu_xνx​ is a probability measure on R\mathbb RR with Integrable identity and mean q∗(x)q_*(x)q∗​(x). The expectation of a function of (A,R)(A, R)(A,R) is ∑xπ(x)∫⋅ dνx\sum_x \pi(x) \int \cdot \, d\nu_x∑x​π(x)∫⋅dνx​. The book's normal-distribution testbed is only an example.
  • The baseline is a fixed real BBB, the book's "any scalar that does not depend on" the action (pp. 39–40). The book's Bt=RˉtB_t = \bar R_tBt​=Rˉt​, the average of past rewards, is covered once one conditions on the past. Footnote 1 on p. 37 states that the chapter's experiments used a Rˉt\bar R_tRˉt​ that also included RtR_tRt​. That baseline depends on AtA_tAt​, and the identity does not cover it.
  • Rewards of one action are a sequence indexed from 111. Q1Q_1Q1​ is arbitrary, and 00=10^0 = 100=1 as in the book (p. 33), so α=1\alpha = 1α=1 is included in (2.6).
  • Exercise 2.7 speaks of "a conventional constant step size α>0\alpha > 0α>0". The formalization takes α∈(0,1]\alpha \in (0,1]α∈(0,1], the range of the constant step size in (2.5). For α=2\alpha = 2α=2 the trace oˉn\bar o_noˉn​ vanishes at every even nnn and βn\beta_nβn​ is undefined. "Without initial bias" is read as "for n≥1n \ge 1n≥1, Qn+1Q_{n+1}Qn+1​ is the displayed weighted average of R1,…,RnR_1, \dots, R_nR1​,…,Rn​ with weights summing to one", which in particular does not involve Q1Q_1Q1​.
  • Exercise 2.9 is read as the two equalities π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2))\pi(1) = \sigma(H(1)-H(2))π(1)=σ(H(1)−H(2)) and π(2)=σ(H(2)−H(1))\pi(2) = \sigma(H(2)-H(1))π(2)=σ(H(2)−H(1)).
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is about the expected value of the algorithm's update (2.12) under the joint law of action and reward, not the soft-max derivative alone and not a version in which the reward is replaced by its mean or the expectation is taken over AAA only.
  • Not formalized: the UCB rule (2.10) and the 10-armed testbed, which carry no provable claim in the chapter, and the stochastic-approximation conditions (2.7), which the book cites without proof.
  • Welcome contributions: a general soft-max library (derivatives, Jacobian, log-sum-exp) over a finite type, reusable for Chapter 13, and proofs of the milestones in the listed order.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton, A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, Chapter 2, pp. 25–46. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. J. Williams, Simple statistical gradient-following algorithms for connectionist reinforcement learning, Machine Learning 8 (1992) 229–256. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992696
  • H. Robbins, S. Monro, A stochastic approximation method, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 22 (1951) 400–407. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729586
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Dynamic ProgrammingOperations ResearchReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Approximately Optimal Approximate Reinforcement Learning II: Near-Optimality of a Policy with Small Policy AdvantageResearch Paper

Motivation

Approximate policy iteration and policy-gradient methods stop when they can no longer find a direction of improvement. Kakade and Langford (ICML 2002) asked what such a stopping point guarantees. Their algorithm, conservative policy iteration, halts at a policy π\piπ for which no policy can improve much on π\piπ as measured under a restart distribution μ\muμ; the quantity that is small is the optimal policy advantage OPT(Aπ,μ)\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu})OPT(Aπ,μ​). Theorem 6.2 of the paper translates this local condition into a global statement: the performance of π\piπ is close to optimal, with a loss controlled by how well μ\muμ covers the states an optimal policy visits.

The bound is the origin of the distribution mismatch coefficient ∥dπ∗,μ~/μ∥∞\|d_{\pi^*,\tilde\mu}/\mu\|_\infty∥dπ∗,μ~​​/μ∥∞​, which reappears in the analysis of approximate dynamic programming (concentrability coefficients, Munos 2003), of conservative and trust-region methods, and of the convergence of policy gradient methods (Agarwal, Kakade, Lee, Mahajan 2021), where it governs the rate. The performance difference lemma (Lemma 6.1) used in its proof has become a standard tool of reinforcement learning theory.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has a finite nonempty state set SSS, a finite nonempty action set AAA, transition probabilities P(s′;s,a)P(s';s,a)P(s′;s,a) (for each s,as,as,a a probability distribution over s′s's′), a reward function R:S×A→[0,R]\mathcal R:S\times A\to[0,R]R:S×A→[0,R] with R>0R>0R>0, and a discount factor 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1. A stochastic policy π(a;s)\pi(a;s)π(a;s) is, for each state sss, a probability distribution over actions. A state distribution is a probability vector μ\muμ on SSS.

The normalized value function is Vπ(s)=(1−γ)E[∑t≥0γtR(st,at)∣π,s]V_\pi(s)=(1-\gamma)E[\sum_{t\ge0}\gamma^t\mathcal R(s_t,a_t)\mid\pi,s]Vπ​(s)=(1−γ)E[∑t≥0​γtR(st​,at​)∣π,s], where s0=ss_0=ss0​=s, at∼π(⋅;st)a_t\sim\pi(\cdot;s_t)at​∼π(⋅;st​) and st+1∼P(⋅;st,at)s_{t+1}\sim P(\cdot;s_t,a_t)st+1​∼P(⋅;st​,at​). The state–action value is Qπ(s,a)=(1−γ)R(s,a)+γ∑s′P(s′;s,a)Vπ(s′)Q_\pi(s,a)=(1-\gamma)\mathcal R(s,a)+\gamma\sum_{s'}P(s';s,a)V_\pi(s')Qπ​(s,a)=(1−γ)R(s,a)+γ∑s′​P(s′;s,a)Vπ​(s′) and the advantage is Aπ(s,a)=Qπ(s,a)−Vπ(s)A_\pi(s,a)=Q_\pi(s,a)-V_\pi(s)Aπ​(s,a)=Qπ​(s,a)−Vπ​(s). The discounted future state distribution from μ\muμ is

dπ,μ(s)=(1−γ)∑t≥0γtPr⁡(st=s;π,μ),s0∼μ,d_{\pi,\mu}(s)=(1-\gamma)\sum_{t\ge0}\gamma^t\Pr(s_t=s;\pi,\mu),\qquad s_0\sim\mu,dπ,μ​(s)=(1−γ)t≥0∑​γtPr(st​=s;π,μ),s0​∼μ,

and the performance of π\piπ from μ\muμ is ημ(π)=∑sμ(s)Vπ(s)\eta_\mu(\pi)=\sum_s\mu(s)V_\pi(s)ημ​(π)=∑s​μ(s)Vπ​(s).

The policy advantage of π′\pi'π′ with respect to π\piπ and μ\muμ is Aπ,μ(π′)=∑sdπ,μ(s)∑aπ′(a;s)Aπ(s,a)\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu}(\pi')=\sum_sd_{\pi,\mu}(s)\sum_a\pi'(a;s)A_\pi(s,a)Aπ,μ​(π′)=∑s​dπ,μ​(s)∑a​π′(a;s)Aπ​(s,a): the expected advantage of π′\pi'π′ over π\piπ on the states π\piπ itself visits. Its maximum over all stochastic policies is OPT(Aπ,μ)=max⁡π′Aπ,μ(π′)\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu})=\max_{\pi'}\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu}(\pi')OPT(Aπ,μ​)=maxπ′​Aπ,μ​(π′) (Definition 4.3). An optimal policy π∗\pi^*π∗ satisfies Vπ(s)≤Vπ∗(s)V_\pi(s)\le V_{\pi^*}(s)Vπ​(s)≤Vπ∗​(s) for every policy π\piπ and every state sss. For nonnegative f,gf,gf,g on SSS, ∥f/g∥∞=max⁡sf(s)/g(s)\|f/g\|_\infty=\max_sf(s)/g(s)∥f/g∥∞​=maxs​f(s)/g(s) (p. 5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6.2 (p. 6)

If OPT(Aπ,μ)<ε\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu})<\varepsilonOPT(Aπ,μ​)<ε and π∗\pi^*π∗ is optimal, then for every state distribution μ~\tilde\muμ~​

ημ~(π∗)−ημ~(π)≤ε1−γ∥dπ∗,μ~dπ,μ∥∞≤ε(1−γ)2∥dπ∗,μ~μ∥∞.\eta_{\tilde\mu}(\pi^*)-\eta_{\tilde\mu}(\pi)\le\frac{\varepsilon}{1-\gamma}\left\|\frac{d_{\pi^*,\tilde\mu}}{d_{\pi,\mu}}\right\|_\infty\le\frac{\varepsilon}{(1-\gamma)^2}\left\|\frac{d_{\pi^*,\tilde\mu}}{\mu}\right\|_\infty.ημ~​​(π∗)−ημ~​​(π)≤1−γε​​dπ,μ​dπ∗,μ~​​​​∞​≤(1−γ)2ε​​μdπ∗,μ~​​​​∞​.

The goal states both inequalities and the outer bound. The evaluation distribution μ~\tilde\muμ~​ is arbitrary and unrelated to the restart distribution μ\muμ; taking μ~=D\tilde\mu=Dμ~​=D, the start distribution, gives Corollary 4.5 (p. 5).

Milestone: Lemma 6.1 (p. 6)

For any policies π~\tilde\piπ~, π\piπ and any starting distribution μ\muμ,

ημ(π~)−ημ(π)=11−γE(a,s)∼π~dπ~,μ[Aπ(s,a)].\eta_\mu(\tilde\pi)-\eta_\mu(\pi)=\frac{1}{1-\gamma}E_{(a,s)\sim\tilde\pi d_{\tilde\pi,\mu}}\big[A_\pi(s,a)\big].ημ​(π~)−ημ​(π)=1−γ1​E(a,s)∼π~dπ~,μ​​[Aπ​(s,a)].

The states are weighted by the future state distribution of the new policy π~\tilde\piπ~, the advantage is that of the old policy π\piπ.

Significance

Theorem 6.2 is the quality guarantee for conservative policy iteration: combined with the paper's Theorem 4.4 (the algorithm stops with OPT(Aπ,μ)<2ε\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu})<2\varepsilonOPT(Aπ,μ​)<2ε after polynomially many calls), it bounds the suboptimality of the returned policy for any target distribution, independently of the size of the state space except through the mismatch coefficient. It also explains the role of the restart distribution: a more uniform μ\muμ makes ∥dπ∗,μ~/μ∥∞\|d_{\pi^*,\tilde\mu}/\mu\|_\infty∥dπ∗,μ~​​/μ∥∞​ small. Lemma 6.1 is used throughout later theory, from trust-region policy optimization to the global convergence of policy gradient methods.

Both results are proved in the paper, with short arguments. The contribution of this mission is a machine-checked version of the infinite-horizon discounted statement in the paper's normalization, with the ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ ratios handled exactly, including states where a denominator vanishes. Neither the discounted performance difference lemma for stochastic policies nor the distribution mismatch bound is known to be formalized in Mathlib; a finite-horizon performance difference identity has been formalized separately and is a different statement.

Difficulty

The mathematics is short; the difficulty is in the infinite-horizon bookkeeping. The value function and dπ,μd_{\pi,\mu}dπ,μ​ are infinite series, and Lemma 6.1 relates the series of two different policies: its natural one-line argument uses the Bellman equation for VπV_\piVπ​, which is not the definition here, together with interchanges of infinite sums over time with finite sums over states and actions, each of which needs summability. Theorem 6.2 then needs two facts that are not stated as results in the paper: that OPT(Aπ,μ)\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu})OPT(Aπ,μ​) equals ∑sdπ,μ(s)max⁡aAπ(s,a)\sum_sd_{\pi,\mu}(s)\max_aA_\pi(s,a)∑s​dπ,μ​(s)maxa​Aπ​(s,a) (the supremum over policies is attained by a greedy policy, and max⁡aAπ(s,a)≥0\max_aA_\pi(s,a)\ge0maxa​Aπ​(s,a)≥0), and that dπ,μ(s)≥(1−γ)μ(s)d_{\pi,\mu}(s)\ge(1-\gamma)\mu(s)dπ,μ​(s)≥(1−γ)μ(s). Reading the ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ ratio with real division would give a false statement when a denominator is zero; the statement avoids this.

Formalization scope

States and actions are finite nonempty types; policies and kernels are real-valued functions π s a (the paper's π(a;s)\pi(a;s)π(a;s)) and P s a s' (the paper's P(s′;s,a)P(s';s,a)P(s′;s,a)), with their distribution properties as explicit hypotheses. The published definitions IsTransitionKernel, IsPolicy, InducedTransition, OccupationDist, InducedReward and PolicyValue from the Foundations of Machine Learning series are reused; VπV_\piVπ​ is (1−γ)(1-\gamma)(1−γ) times PolicyValue, the defining series. OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT is the supremum of the policy advantages over stochastic policies, which is the paper's maximum. Optimality of π∗\pi^*π∗ is relative to stationary stochastic policies, the paper's policy class; the existence of an optimal policy (the paper's "well known result", p. 2) is not part of this mission.

Every hypothesis is explicit: rewards in [0,R][0,R][0,R] with R>0R>0R>0, 0≤γ<10\le\gamma<10≤γ<1, PPP a kernel, π\piπ and π∗\pi^*π∗ stochastic policies, μ\muμ and μ~\tilde\muμ~​ state distributions. Each ∥f/g∥∞\|f/g\|_\infty∥f/g∥∞​ bound is stated multiplicatively: "X≤K∥f/g∥∞X\le K\|f/g\|_\inftyX≤K∥f/g∥∞​" is "X≤KCX\le KCX≤KC for every CCC with f(s)≤Cg(s)f(s)\le Cg(s)f(s)≤Cg(s) for all sss". When some g(s)=0<f(s)g(s)=0<f(s)g(s)=0<f(s) no such CCC exists and the bound is empty, which matches ∥f/g∥∞=+∞\|f/g\|_\infty=+\infty∥f/g∥∞​=+∞; no full-support assumption is made on μ\muμ or μ~\tilde\muμ~​. The hypothesis OPT(Aπ,μ)<ε\mathrm{OPT}(\mathbb A_{\pi,\mu})<\varepsilonOPT(Aπ,μ​)<ε is on the supremum itself, not on the closed form ∑sdπ,μ(s)max⁡aAπ(s,a)\sum_sd_{\pi,\mu}(s)\max_aA_\pi(s,a)∑s​dπ,μ​(s)maxa​Aπ​(s,a), which is a step of the proof; a formalization that assumed the closed form, or that divided by dπ,μd_{\pi,\mu}dπ,μ​ in real arithmetic, would not be this theorem. The proof of the theorem uses only that π∗\pi^*π∗ is a policy; optimality is kept as a hypothesis because the paper states it.

The proof on p. 7 twice writes dπ,μ(s)≤(1−γ)μ(s)d_{\pi,\mu}(s)\le(1-\gamma)\mu(s)dπ,μ​(s)≤(1−γ)μ(s); the inequality it uses, and the one stated on p. 5, is dπ,μ(s)≥(1−γ)μ(s)d_{\pi,\mu}(s)\ge(1-\gamma)\mu(s)dπ,μ​(s)≥(1−γ)μ(s). This slip is in the proof, not in the statement. Pages are PDF pages; the paper has no printed page numbers.

Useful reusable infrastructure: summability and Bellman equations for the normalized discounted value, dπ,μd_{\pi,\mu}dπ,μ​ as a probability distribution with dπ,μ≥(1−γ)μd_{\pi,\mu}\ge(1-\gamma)\mudπ,μ​≥(1−γ)μ, and attainment of OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT by a greedy policy. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Kakade, J. Langford, Approximately Optimal Approximate Reinforcement Learning, Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2002. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/645531.656005
  • R. Munos, Error Bounds for Approximate Policy Iteration, ICML 2003. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/3041838.3041903
  • A. Agarwal, S. Kakade, J. Lee, G. Mahajan, On the Theory of Policy Gradient Methods: Optimality, Approximation, and Distribution Shift, Journal of Machine Learning Research 22(98), 2021. https://jmlr.org/papers/v22/19-736.html
  • J. Schulman, S. Levine, P. Abbeel, M. Jordan, P. Moritz, Trust Region Policy Optimization, ICML 2015. https://arxiv.org/abs/1502.05477
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Captain: Minghui

Certified Federated Unlearning for Linearized ModelsResearch Paper

Removing a client's contribution

Federated learning combines information from several clients without pooling their raw training records. A client may later request removal of its contribution. Retraining on the retained records supplies a natural comparison model, but repeating the training process can be costly. Jin, Chen, Zhang, and Li introduce a linearized learning pipeline and a server-side removal procedure in Forgettable Federated Linear Learning with Certified Data Unlearning, arXiv:2306.02216v3. Their linearization makes the training objective quadratic, so the distinction between an exact Newton correction and an approximate correction can be studied explicitly.

This mission formalizes a corrected finite-run error bound motivated by that analysis. It is not a transcription or validation of the printed Theorem 2. The source audit found that the supplementary argument drops a finite-training term when passing to a limit, uses an invalid general inverse-perturbation inequality, and does not justify its three-term squared-norm constant. The draft preserves the removal problem while stating its error factors explicitly. The source anchors are Section III-C, Theorem 2, PDF pp. 5–6, and supplementary Section C5, PDF p. 16. The preprint first appeared in 2023; this mission fixes the revised May 2026 version so later source changes cannot silently alter its meaning.

Affine features and retained data

A parameter is a vector w∈Rdw\in\mathbb R^dw∈Rd. Record iii has a fixed linear feature map Ai:Rd→RkA_i:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^kAi​:Rd→Rk, an offset aia_iai​, and a target yiy_iyi​. Its prediction is Aiw+aiA_iw+a_iAi​w+ai​. This represents the fixed linearization in the paper's equation (3); arbitrary real targets are permitted, and one-hot classification targets are a special case. Neither approximation accuracy for a nonlinear neural network nor an infinite-width limit is asserted.

Let DDD be the full finite dataset and SSS a nonempty subset of retained indices. Client removal is represented by retaining precisely the indices whose owner differs from the removed client. More general record removals are also allowed. For a fixed regularization parameter μ>0\mu>0μ>0, define

LS(w)=12∣S∣∑i∈S∥Aiw+ai−yi∥2+μ2∥w∥2.L_S(w)=\frac1{2|S|}\sum_{i\in S}\|A_iw+a_i-y_i\|^2+\frac\mu2\|w\|^2.LS​(w)=2∣S∣1​i∈S∑​∥Ai​w+ai​−yi​∥2+2μ​∥w∥2.

Write GS=∣S∣−1∑i∈SAi∗AiG_S=|S|^{-1}\sum_{i\in S}A_i^*A_iGS​=∣S∣−1∑i∈S​Ai∗​Ai​, HS=GS+μIH_S=G_S+\mu IHS​=GS​+μI, and bS=∣S∣−1∑i∈SAi∗(yi−ai)b_S=|S|^{-1}\sum_{i\in S}A_i^*(y_i-a_i)bS​=∣S∣−1∑i∈S​Ai∗​(yi​−ai​). Define uS=HS−1bSu_S=H_S^{-1}b_SuS​=HS−1​bS​ and let uDu_DuD​ use the full dataset. These reference parameters are computed from the data. The accepted child proofs establish the Hessian positivity and invertibility needed for the error bound; the broader unique-minimizer theorem is a separate supporting statement. The construction comes from Section III-A, PDF pp. 3–4, equations (3)–(5).

A separate nonempty server dataset PPP has Gram operator GPG_PGP​ and regularized Hessian HP=GP+μIH_P=G_P+\mu IHP​=GP​+μI. All operator norms below are Euclidean operator norms. The datasets and feature maps are fixed throughout the probability calculation.

Formalization targets

Let WWW be the trained parameter, RRR the parameter returned by retraining on SSS, and VVV an approximate removal correction. The removed parameter is W−VW-VW−V. Their joint probability model has finite outcome space Ω\OmegaΩ, with masses pω≥0p_\omega\ge0pω​≥0 summing to one. They may be dependent. This covers the outputs of finite randomized runs on finite data with fixed initialization; no independence assumption is used.

For each trained parameter www, define the server removal objective and its exact minimizer by

Fw(v)=12⟨v,HPv⟩−⟨HSw−bS,v⟩,vP(w)=HP−1(HSw−bS).F_w(v)=\tfrac12\langle v,H_Pv\rangle-\langle H_Sw-b_S,v\rangle, \qquad v_P(w)=H_P^{-1}(H_Sw-b_S).Fw​(v)=21​⟨v,HP​v⟩−⟨HS​w−bS​,v⟩,vP​(w)=HP−1​(HS​w−bS​).

This is the quadratic surrogate in Section III-B, PDF p. 5, equation (6). Define

Q=E[FW(V)−FW(vP(W))],κ=∥HP−1∥ ∥GP−GS∥,Q=\mathbb E[F_W(V)-F_W(v_P(W))],\quad \kappa=\|H_P^{-1}\|\,\|G_P-G_S\|,Q=E[FW​(V)−FW​(vP​(W))],κ=∥HP−1​∥∥GP​−GS​∥, Etrain=E∥W−uD∥2,Eretrain=E∥R−uS∥2.E_{\rm train}=\mathbb E\|W-u_D\|^2,\qquad E_{\rm retrain}=\mathbb E\|R-u_S\|^2.Etrain​=E∥W−uD​∥2,Eretrain​=E∥R−uS​∥2.

The corrected goal is

E∥W−V−R∥2≤6μQ+6κ2(Etrain+∥uD−uS∥2)+3Eretrain.\boxed{\mathbb E\|W-V-R\|^2\le \frac6\mu Q+6\kappa^2\bigl(E_{\rm train}+\|u_D-u_S\|^2\bigr) +3E_{\rm retrain}.}E∥W−V−R∥2≤μ6​Q+6κ2(Etrain​+∥uD​−uS​∥2)+3Eretrain​.​

The two completed milestones used by the accepted proof are the surrogate gap bound and the corrected signed removal-error identity:

μ2∥v−vP(w)∥2≤Fw(v)−Fw(vP(w)),\frac\mu2\|v-v_P(w)\|^2\le F_w(v)-F_w(v_P(w)),2μ​∥v−vP​(w)∥2≤Fw​(v)−Fw​(vP​(w)), w−v−r=HP−1(GP−GS)(w−uS)+(vP(w)−v)+(uS−r).w-v-r=H_P^{-1}(G_P-G_S)(w-u_S)+(v_P(w)-v)+(u_S-r).w−v−r=HP−1​(GP​−GS​)(w−uS​)+(vP​(w)−v)+(uS​−r).

The broader ridge-structure, exact-Newton-removal and inverse-perturbation statements remain available as separate open theorems. Their milestone entries were removed because the accepted proof does not depend on their full statements.

Formalization note: the completed root is a corrected, paper-derived error bound. Its formal bridge uses the two source-backed child theorems above, anchored to Section III-B (Section 3), PDF p. 5, equation (6), and Section III-C (Section 3), PDF p. 5 and PDF p. 6, Theorem 2; supplementary C5, PDF p. 16, unnumbered displays. The coefficients in the boxed goal are conservative; no optimality claim is made.

What the result supplies

The result connects the removal solver's objective gap, the difference between the server and retained Hessians, and the actual optimization errors to an observable parameter discrepancy. Exact Hessian matching sets κ=0\kappa=0κ=0. Exact removal optimization sets Q=0Q=0Q=0, but finite retraining error still remains. This distinguishes exact optimization of the retained objective from reproducing an unfinished retraining run.

The original paper motivates the comparison; the displayed corrected bound is a new formulation derived from its quadratic setting. The root Lean theorem and its two dependency milestones are now Proved. Their accepted proofs match the original formal statements exactly; the three separate supporting statements remain open. The requested OpenProblem classification describes the formalization task and does not assert that the elementary corrected inequality is an unresolved research conjecture.

The mathematical difficulty

An approximate server Hessian cannot be substituted for the retained Hessian without a sensitivity term. A bound on the difference of the Gram operators alone does not bound its action on every parameter vector. Likewise, a small training error relative to the full-data optimum does not imply that the full and retained optima coincide. The displacement ∥uD−uS∥\|u_D-u_S\|∥uD​−uS​∥ therefore remains visible. Formalization must respect the normalization of each empirical objective, the sign of the correction, and the operator norm used in the perturbation estimate.

Formalization scope

The model uses finite-dimensional real Euclidean spaces, continuous linear maps and adjoints, finite index sets, a total ring inverse, and finite weighted expectations. Positive regularization must justify every use of the inverse; it is not an invertibility assumption hidden inside the dataset. Nonempty retained and server data exclude division by an empty sample count. Zero-dimensional feature or parameter spaces are permitted and harmless. A finite law on an empty outcome type has no inhabitant because its masses cannot sum to one.

The root theorem quantifies over arbitrary output maps W,V,RW,V,RW,V,R. It is an error-propagation theorem in terms of their actual errors and surrogate gap, not a convergence theorem for a particular implementation. Obtaining algorithm-specific bounds on those quantities is separate future work. In particular, the draft does not import the source's unsupported all-smaller-learning-rates FedAvg contraction claim. It also makes no differential-privacy, distributional indistinguishability, nonlinear-network, or empirical accuracy assertion.

Selected references

  • Ruinan Jin, Minghui Chen, Qiong Zhang, Xiaoxiao Li, Forgettable Federated Linear Learning with Certified Data Unlearning, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, early access (2026). arXiv:2306.02216v3, DOI. Main anchors: Section II-B, PDF p. 3, equation (1); Sections III-A–III-C, PDF pp. 3–6, equations (3)–(6), Theorem 2; supplementary Section C5, PDF p. 16, unnumbered displays.
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OptimizationStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Robustness and Generalization IV: Robustness of the Lasso on a Compact Sample SpaceResearch Paper

Motivation

The Lasso (Tibshirani 1996, doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x) is ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-penalized least squares regression, one of the standard estimators of statistics and machine learning because it selects sparse coefficient vectors. Explaining why a learned Lasso predictor generalizes is less routine than it looks. The two classical routes are uniform convergence over the hypothesis class and algorithmic stability (Bousquet and Elisseeff 2002, JMLR 2:499–526). The stability route is closed for the Lasso: Xu, Caramanis and Mannor (IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory 56(7), 2010, doi:10.1109/TIT.2010.2048503) showed that its uniform stability bound does not decrease with the sample size, a fact reproduced as Theorem 7 of Xu and Mannor (2012).

Xu and Mannor, Robustness and Generalization (Mach Learn 86 (2012) 391–423, doi:10.1007/s10994-011-5268-1), propose a third route, algorithmic robustness: if the sample space can be split into KKK cells such that a test point in the same cell as a training point has nearly the same loss, then the algorithm generalizes (their Theorem 1). Their Example 6 shows that the Lasso is robust in this sense, with a number of cells given by a covering number and a robustness level depending on the training responses. This mission formalizes Example 6 together with the general criterion it rests on (Theorem 6) and the Lipschitz estimate for the Lasso loss (Lemma 3).

Setting

A sample is a point z=(z(y),z(x))z = (z^{(y)}, z^{(x)})z=(z(y),z(x)) with a response z(y)∈Rz^{(y)} \in \mathbb Rz(y)∈R and a feature vector z(x)∈Rmz^{(x)} \in \mathbb R^mz(x)∈Rm, so the samples live in Rm+1\mathbb R^{m+1}Rm+1. The sample space Z⊆Rm+1\mathcal Z \subseteq \mathbb R^{m+1}Z⊆Rm+1 is a compact set, and Rm+1\mathbb R^{m+1}Rm+1 carries the norm ∥z∥∞=max⁡(∣z(y)∣,max⁡j∣zj(x)∣)\|z\|_\infty = \max(|z^{(y)}|, \max_j |z^{(x)}_j|)∥z∥∞​=max(∣z(y)∣,maxj​∣zj(x)​∣). A training set is s=(s1,…,sn)∈Zn\mathbf s = (s_1, \dots, s_n) \in \mathcal Z^ns=(s1​,…,sn​)∈Zn.

A learning algorithm maps each training set s\mathbf ss to a hypothesis As\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}As​; with a loss l(h,z)l(h, z)l(h,z), it is (K,ϵ(⋅))(K, \epsilon(\cdot))(K,ϵ(⋅))-robust (Definition 2, p. 396) if Z\mathcal ZZ can be partitioned into KKK disjoint sets C1,…,CKC_1, \dots, C_KC1​,…,CK​, fixed independently of the data, such that for every s∈Zn\mathbf s \in \mathcal Z^ns∈Zn, every training point s∈ss \in \mathbf ss∈s, every z∈Zz \in \mathcal Zz∈Z and every iii,

s,z∈Ci  ⟹  ∣l(As,s)−l(As,z)∣≤ϵ(s).s, z \in C_i \implies |l(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, s) - l(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, z)| \le \epsilon(\mathbf s).s,z∈Ci​⟹∣l(As​,s)−l(As​,z)∣≤ϵ(s).

For a metric ρ\rhoρ on Z\mathcal ZZ and ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0, a set T^⊆Z\hat T \subseteq \mathcal ZT^⊆Z is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-cover of Z\mathcal ZZ if every point of Z\mathcal ZZ is within distance ≤ϵ\le \epsilon≤ϵ of a point of T^\hat TT^; the covering number N(ϵ,Z,ρ)\mathcal N(\epsilon, \mathcal Z, \rho)N(ϵ,Z,ρ) is the least cardinality of such a cover (Definition 1, p. 394).

For a coefficient vector w∈Rmw \in \mathbb R^mw∈Rm let ∥w∥1=∑j∣wj∣\|w\|_1 = \sum_j |w_j|∥w∥1​=∑j​∣wj​∣. Given c>0c > 0c>0, the Lasso is

min⁡w 1n∑i=1n(si(y)−w⊤si(x))2+c∥w∥1,(5)\min_{w} \ \frac1n \sum_{i=1}^n \big(s_i^{(y)} - w^\top s_i^{(x)}\big)^2 + c\|w\|_1, \tag{5}wmin​ n1​i=1∑n​(si(y)​−w⊤si(x)​)2+c∥w∥1​,(5)

a Lasso algorithm returns a minimizer As=w\mathcal A_{\mathbf s} = wAs​=w of (5) for each s\mathbf ss, and the loss is the absolute prediction error l(w,z)=∣z(y)−w⊤z(x)∣l(w, z) = |z^{(y)} - w^\top z^{(x)}|l(w,z)=∣z(y)−w⊤z(x)∣. Finally Y(s)=1n∑i=1n[si(y)]2Y(\mathbf s) = \frac1n \sum_{i=1}^n [s_i^{(y)}]^2Y(s)=n1​∑i=1n​[si(y)​]2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Example 6 (p. 404)

For every compact Z⊆Rm+1\mathcal Z \subseteq \mathbb R^{m+1}Z⊆Rm+1, every c>0c > 0c>0, every Lasso algorithm A\mathcal AA and every γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0,

A is (N(γ/2,Z,∥⋅∥∞), (Y(s)/c+1)γ)-robust.\mathcal A \text{ is } \Big(\mathcal N(\gamma/2, \mathcal Z, \|\cdot\|_\infty),\ \big(Y(\mathbf s)/c + 1\big)\gamma\Big)\text{-robust}.A is (N(γ/2,Z,∥⋅∥∞​), (Y(s)/c+1)γ)-robust.

The statement holds for every selection of a minimizer, since (5) need not have a unique solution.

Milestones

  1. Optimality bound (proof of Lemma 3, p. 419): every Lasso solution satisfies ∥w∗∥1≤1nc∑i=1n[si(y)]2\|w^*\|_1 \le \frac{1}{nc} \sum_{i=1}^n [s_i^{(y)}]^2∥w∗∥1​≤nc1​∑i=1n​[si(y)​]2.
  2. Lemma 3 (p. 419): for all za,zb∈Rm+1z_a, z_b \in \mathbb R^{m+1}za​,zb​∈Rm+1,
∣l(w∗(s),za)−l(w∗(s),zb)∣≤[1nc∑i=1n[si(y)]2+1]∥za−zb∥∞.|l(w^*(\mathbf s), z_a) - l(w^*(\mathbf s), z_b)| \le \Big[\frac{1}{nc} \sum_{i=1}^n [s_i^{(y)}]^2 + 1\Big] \|z_a - z_b\|_\infty.∣l(w∗(s),za​)−l(w∗(s),zb​)∣≤[nc1​i=1∑n​[si(y)​]2+1]∥za​−zb​∥∞​.
  1. Theorem 6 (p. 402): for a metric ρ\rhoρ on Z\mathcal ZZ and γ>0\gamma > 0γ>0, if ∣l(As,z1)−l(As,z2)∣≤ϵ(s)|l(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, z_1) - l(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, z_2)| \le \epsilon(\mathbf s)∣l(As​,z1​)−l(As​,z2​)∣≤ϵ(s) whenever z1∈sz_1 \in \mathbf sz1​∈s and ρ(z1,z2)≤γ\rho(z_1, z_2) \le \gammaρ(z1​,z2​)≤γ, and N(γ/2,Z,ρ)<∞\mathcal N(\gamma/2, \mathcal Z, \rho) < \inftyN(γ/2,Z,ρ)<∞, then A\mathcal AA is (N(γ/2,Z,ρ),ϵ(⋅))(\mathcal N(\gamma/2, \mathcal Z, \rho), \epsilon(\cdot))(N(γ/2,Z,ρ),ϵ(⋅))-robust.

Significance

Combined with Theorem 1 of the same paper, Example 6 yields a generalization bound for the Lasso of the form ϵ(s)+M(2Kln⁡2+2ln⁡(1/δ))/n\epsilon(\mathbf s) + M\sqrt{(2K\ln 2 + 2\ln(1/\delta))/n}ϵ(s)+M(2Kln2+2ln(1/δ))/n​ with KKK a covering number of the sample space, a bound that uses no stability of the algorithm and no uniqueness of the minimizer. Theorem 6 is the reusable part: it converts any data-dependent local Lipschitz or continuity estimate of the loss into robustness, and the paper derives its examples for the SVM, the Lasso, neural networks and PCA from it. The authors note (p. 404) that the resulting bound is weaker than VC-dimension bounds for linear predictors, since it depends exponentially on the dimension; the value of the example is the method, not the rate.

The results are proved in the paper, with short arguments. No machine-checked version of Theorem 6, Lemma 3 or Example 6 is known to exist. The formal work is to connect Mathlib's covering numbers to partitions of a set, to handle the ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​/ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ pairing on R×Rm\mathbb R \times \mathbb R^mR×Rm, and to state robustness so that later missions of this series (the generalization bound of Theorem 1, mission I) can consume it.

Difficulty

The constant in the robustness level depends on the training set through Y(s)Y(\mathbf s)Y(s), while the partition in Definition 2 must be chosen before the training set is seen. A formalization that lets the cells depend on s\mathbf ss proves a much weaker, nearly empty statement, so the data dependence has to be carried entirely by ϵ(s)\epsilon(\mathbf s)ϵ(s) and the cells must depend only on Z\mathcal ZZ and γ\gammaγ. A cover by balls is not a partition, and the radius of the cover (γ/2\gamma/2γ/2) and the closeness threshold in Theorem 6 (γ\gammaγ) differ by the factor that the diameter of a cell requires. The Lipschitz estimate must bound a Lasso solution without any information beyond optimality, and the pairing between ∥w∥1\|w\|_1∥w∥1​ and ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ is the one that makes the constant come out as printed; a Euclidean norm on either side gives a different constant.

Formalization scope

  • Rm+1\mathbb R^{m+1}Rm+1 is ℝ × (Fin m → ℝ), a point being (z^{(y)}, z^{(x)}). Lean's norm on this product is the maximum of the absolute values of all coordinates, which is exactly ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​. ∥w∥1\|w\|_1∥w∥1​ is written out as ∑j∣wj∣\sum_j |w_j|∑j​∣wj​∣, since the default norm on Fin m → ℝ is the sup norm; w⊤xw^\top xw⊤x is dotProduct w x.
  • The sample space is a set Z with IsCompact Z. Robustness (IsRobustOn) asks for cells C : Fin K → Set α that lie in Z, cover Z and are pairwise disjoint (empty cells allowed), chosen before the universally quantified training set; training sets are maps Fin n → α with all points in Z. No measurability is involved anywhere in this mission.
  • The covering number is Mathlib's Metric.coveringNumber at radius Real.toNNReal (γ / 2): closed balls, centres in Z (the metric space of Definition 1 is Z\mathcal ZZ itself), value in ℕ∞, converted with toNat. Theorem 6 assumes its finiteness, as the paper does; without that hypothesis toNat would return 000 and the statement would be false for nonempty Z. Example 6 does not assume it: it follows from compactness.
  • A Lasso algorithm is any function A with ∀ s, IsLassoSolution c s (A s); it is not defined by a choice of minimizer. The regularization parameter satisfies c>0c > 0c>0, which the paper leaves implicit. The factor 1/n1/n1/n is a real division; for n=0n = 0n=0 it is 000 in Lean, the objective reduces to c∥w∥1c\|w\|_1c∥w∥1​, and all statements remain true.
  • The robustness level is (Y(s)/c+1)γ(Y(\mathbf s)/c + 1)\gamma(Y(s)/c+1)γ in Example 6 and 1nc∑i[si(y)]2+1\frac{1}{nc}\sum_i [s_i^{(y)}]^2 + 1nc1​∑i​[si(y)​]2+1 in Lemma 3, each in its printed form.

Useful infrastructure beyond this mission: a lemma turning a finite cover of a set into a partition of it with cells of diameter at most twice the radius, and finiteness of Mathlib's internal covering number for compact sets. Contributions of either as separate theorems are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Xu and S. Mannor, Robustness and Generalization, Machine Learning 86 (2012) 391–423. doi:10.1007/s10994-011-5268-1
  • R. Tibshirani, Regression Shrinkage and Selection via the Lasso, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 58(1) (1996) 267–288. doi:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1996.tb02080.x
  • H. Xu, C. Caramanis and S. Mannor, Robust Regression and Lasso, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 56(7) (2010) 3561–3574. doi:10.1109/TIT.2010.2048503
  • O. Bousquet and A. Elisseeff, Stability and Generalization, Journal of Machine Learning Research 2 (2002) 499–526. jmlr.org/papers/v2/bousquet02a
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Robustness and Generalization III: Quantile-Value and Truncated-Mean Generalization Bounds for Pseudo-Robust AlgorithmsResearch Paper

Motivation

Classical generalization bounds control the gap between the expected loss of a learned hypothesis and its average loss on the training sample. The average is sensitive to outliers: when a non-negligible fraction of the sample is corrupted, the mean loss stops describing the quality of a solution, and quantile-type summaries such as the median become the natural measurement. Quantile losses have long been used for this reason in statistics and econometrics (Koenker and Bassett 1978; Huber 1981). The standard tools for proving generalization bounds — symmetrization, Rademacher and VC arguments — are built around the expected loss and do not extend to quantiles in any direct way.

Xu and Mannor (Mach Learn 86 (2012) 391–423) introduced algorithmic robustness: an algorithm is robust if the sample space can be partitioned into finitely many cells such that a test point falling in the same cell as a training point incurs a similar loss. Because the argument works cell by cell and needs no symmetrization, it transfers to loss functionals other than the mean. Sect. 4.1 of the paper uses this to bound the quantile value and the truncated mean of the testing error, and Sect. 5 relaxes robustness to pseudo robustness, which only asks the cell condition for a subset of the training samples. This mission formalizes the resulting Theorem 5 (p. 402), whose proof is Appendix C (pp. 415–418).

Setting

Let Z\mathcal ZZ be a measurable sample space, H\mathcal HH a set of hypotheses and l:H×Z→[0,M]l : \mathcal H \times \mathcal Z \to [0, M]l:H×Z→[0,M] a loss, with each l(h,⋅)l(h, \cdot)l(h,⋅) measurable. A training set s=(s1,…,sn)\mathbf s = (s_1, \dots, s_n)s=(s1​,…,sn​) consists of nnn i.i.d. draws from a probability measure μ\muμ on Z\mathcal ZZ; its empirical distribution is μemp=1n∑iδsi\mu_{\mathrm{emp}} = \frac1n \sum_i \delta_{s_i}μemp​=n1​∑i​δsi​​. A learning algorithm is a map A:Zn→H\mathcal A : \mathcal Z^n \to \mathcal HA:Zn→H, and As\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}As​ is the hypothesis learned from s\mathbf ss.

For a real random variable XXX and a level β\betaβ, the β\betaβ-quantile value is

Qβ(X)=inf⁡{c∈R:Pr⁡(X≤c)≥β},\mathbb Q^\beta(X) = \inf\{ c \in \mathbb R : \Pr(X \le c) \ge \beta \},Qβ(X)=inf{c∈R:Pr(X≤c)≥β},

and, writing Q=Qβ(X)Q = \mathbb Q^\beta(X)Q=Qβ(X), the β\betaβ-truncated mean is

Tβ(X)=E[X⋅1(X<Q)]+(β−Pr⁡[X<Q]) Q,\mathbb T^\beta(X) = \mathbb E[X \cdot \mathbf 1(X < Q)] + \big(\beta - \Pr[X < Q]\big)\, Q,Tβ(X)=E[X⋅1(X<Q)]+(β−Pr[X<Q])Q,

where the second term vanishes when Pr⁡[X=Q]=0\Pr[X = Q] = 0Pr[X=Q]=0. It is the contribution to EX\mathbb E XEX of the leftmost β\betaβ fraction of the distribution. For a hypothesis hhh and a measure ν\nuν on Z\mathcal ZZ put Q(h,β,ν)=Qβ(l(h,z))\mathcal Q(h, \beta, \nu) = \mathbb Q^\beta(l(h, z))Q(h,β,ν)=Qβ(l(h,z)) and T(h,β,ν)=Tβ(l(h,z))\mathcal T(h, \beta, \nu) = \mathbb T^\beta(l(h, z))T(h,β,ν)=Tβ(l(h,z)) with z∼νz \sim \nuz∼ν.

The algorithm is (K,ϵ(⋅),n^(⋅))(K, \epsilon(\cdot), \hat n(\cdot))(K,ϵ(⋅),n^(⋅)) pseudo robust, with ϵ:Zn→R\epsilon : \mathcal Z^n \to \mathbb Rϵ:Zn→R and n^:Zn→{1,…,n}\hat n : \mathcal Z^n \to \{1, \dots, n\}n^:Zn→{1,…,n}, if Z\mathcal ZZ can be partitioned into KKK disjoint sets C1,…,CKC_1, \dots, C_KC1​,…,CK​, fixed in advance, such that every training set s\mathbf ss has a subset s^\hat{\mathbf s}s^ of n^(s)\hat n(\mathbf s)n^(s) samples with: whenever s∈s^s \in \hat{\mathbf s}s∈s^ and z∈Zz \in \mathcal Zz∈Z lie in a common cell, ∣l(As,s)−l(As,z)∣≤ϵ(s)|l(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, s) - l(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, z)| \le \epsilon(\mathbf s)∣l(As​,s)−l(As​,z)∣≤ϵ(s). With n^≡n\hat n \equiv nn^≡n this is (K,ϵ(⋅))(K, \epsilon(\cdot))(K,ϵ(⋅))-robustness.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5 (p. 402)

Let λ0=(2Kln⁡2+2ln⁡(1/δ))/n\lambda_0 = \sqrt{(2K \ln 2 + 2 \ln(1/\delta))/n}λ0​=(2Kln2+2ln(1/δ))/n​ and r(s)=(n−n^(s))/nr(\mathbf s) = (n - \hat n(\mathbf s))/nr(s)=(n−n^(s))/n. If A\mathcal AA is (K,ϵ(⋅),n^(⋅))(K, \epsilon(\cdot), \hat n(\cdot))(K,ϵ(⋅),n^(⋅)) pseudo robust, β∈(0,1)\beta \in (0,1)β∈(0,1) and δ>0\delta > 0δ>0, then with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ: whenever 0≤β−λ0−r(s)0 \le \beta - \lambda_0 - r(\mathbf s)0≤β−λ0​−r(s) and β+λ0+r(s)≤1\beta + \lambda_0 + r(\mathbf s) \le 1β+λ0​+r(s)≤1,

Q(As,β−λ0−r(s),μemp)−ϵ(s)≤Q(As,β,μ)≤Q(As,β+λ0+r(s),μemp)+ϵ(s),\mathcal Q(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta - \lambda_0 - r(\mathbf s), \mu_{\mathrm{emp}}) - \epsilon(\mathbf s) \le \mathcal Q(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta, \mu) \le \mathcal Q(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta + \lambda_0 + r(\mathbf s), \mu_{\mathrm{emp}}) + \epsilon(\mathbf s),Q(As​,β−λ0​−r(s),μemp​)−ϵ(s)≤Q(As​,β,μ)≤Q(As​,β+λ0​+r(s),μemp​)+ϵ(s), T(As,β−λ0−r(s),μemp)−ϵ(s)≤T(As,β,μ)≤T(As,β+λ0+r(s),μemp)+ϵ(s).\mathcal T(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta - \lambda_0 - r(\mathbf s), \mu_{\mathrm{emp}}) - \epsilon(\mathbf s) \le \mathcal T(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta, \mu) \le \mathcal T(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta + \lambda_0 + r(\mathbf s), \mu_{\mathrm{emp}}) + \epsilon(\mathbf s).T(As​,β−λ0​−r(s),μemp​)−ϵ(s)≤T(As​,β,μ)≤T(As​,β+λ0​+r(s),μemp​)+ϵ(s).

The constants are the paper's, and KKK, ϵ\epsilonϵ, n^\hat nn^, MMM, μ\muμ, δ\deltaδ and the algorithm are arbitrary.

Milestones (Appendix C)

  1. Property 1 (p. 415): for a nonnegative XXX and levels 0≤β2≤β1≤10 \le \beta_2 \le \beta_1 \le 10≤β2​≤β1​≤1 (with β1=1\beta_1 = 1β1​=1 only for XXX bounded above), Qβ1(X)≥Qβ2(X)\mathbb Q^{\beta_1}(X) \ge \mathbb Q^{\beta_2}(X)Qβ1​(X)≥Qβ2​(X) and Tβ1(X)≥Tβ2(X)\mathbb T^{\beta_1}(X) \ge \mathbb T^{\beta_2}(X)Tβ1​(X)≥Tβ2​(X).
  2. Property 2 (p. 415): if Pr⁡(Y≥a)≥Pr⁡(X≥a)\Pr(Y \ge a) \ge \Pr(X \ge a)Pr(Y≥a)≥Pr(X≥a) for all aaa, then Qβ(Y)≥Qβ(X)\mathbb Q^\beta(Y) \ge \mathbb Q^\beta(X)Qβ(Y)≥Qβ(X) and Tβ(Y)≥Tβ(X)\mathbb T^\beta(Y) \ge \mathbb T^\beta(X)Tβ(Y)≥Tβ(X) for β∈[0,1]\beta \in [0,1]β∈[0,1].
  3. The event E\mathcal EE (pp. 415–416): with NiN_iNi​ the indices of samples in CiC_iCi​, ∑i∣∣Ni∣/n−μ(Ci)∣≤λ0\sum_i \big| |N_i|/n - \mu(C_i) \big| \le \lambda_0∑i​​∣Ni​∣/n−μ(Ci​)​≤λ0​ with probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5 shows that any pseudo-robust algorithm has a testing-error quantile and truncated mean that are bracketed by the empirical ones at levels shifted by λ0+(n−n^(s))/n\lambda_0 + (n - \hat n(\mathbf s))/nλ0​+(n−n^(s))/n, up to the robustness tolerance ϵ(s)\epsilon(\mathbf s)ϵ(s). The quantile of the testing error can therefore be estimated from training data for every algorithm to which the robustness framework applies — among them majority voting, SVMs, Lasso and principal component analysis (Sect. 6 of the paper) — without a separate complexity analysis of the loss class. The pseudo-robust form covers algorithms that are robust only away from a small set of training samples, which is the typical situation in the presence of outliers. The robust case n^≡n\hat n \equiv nn^≡n is the paper's Theorem 2 (p. 400).

Formalizing it. The paper states Theorem 5 and proves it in Appendix C; no machine-checked proof exists. The appendix contains misprints (see Formalization scope) and the argument uses minimizers of the loss over each cell, which need not exist; a formal proof settles which steps are sound as written. The definitions of quantile value and truncated mean of a law on R\mathbb RR developed here are reusable beyond this mission.

Difficulty

The concentration step is the same as for the expected loss: on the event E\mathcal EE the empirical cell frequencies are close to the cell probabilities. The difficulty is converting this into a statement about quantiles. Quantile values are not linear in the distribution and are discontinuous in the level, so the triangle-inequality argument that bounds the mean-loss gap does not apply. Mass that moves between cells shifts every level of the quantile function, and the up to n−n^(s)n - \hat n(\mathbf s)n−n^(s) samples outside s^\hat{\mathbf s}s^ carry no guarantee at all, so an arbitrary fraction r(s)r(\mathbf s)r(s) of the empirical law is uncontrolled. For the truncated mean this must be done for the whole lower tail up to level β\betaβ, not just at one point, and the atoms of the loss distribution (the second branch of the definition) have to be accounted for exactly.

Formalization scope

  • The Lean namespace is XuMannorRobust.Quantile. Z\mathcal ZZ is a type with a measurable space structure, H\mathcal HH an arbitrary type, a training set a function Fin n → Z, and the i.i.d. law the product measure Measure.pi (fun _ => μ).
  • "With probability at least 1−δ1 - \delta1−δ" is encoded as: the outer measure of the set of training sets on which the claim fails is at most δ\deltaδ. No measurability of s↦As\mathbf s \mapsto \mathcal A_{\mathbf s}s↦As​ is needed.
  • Added measurability. The paper ignores measurability; the formalization requires each l(h,⋅)l(h,\cdot)l(h,⋅) and each cell CiC_iCi​ to be measurable.
  • Corrected Definition 3. The paper prints the second branch of the truncated mean as (β−Pr⁡[X<Q])/Pr⁡[X=Q]⋅Q\big(\beta - \Pr[X < Q]\big)/\Pr[X = Q] \cdot Q(β−Pr[X<Q])/Pr[X=Q]⋅Q. That contradicts its own worked example on p. 399, where the 0.630.630.63-truncated mean of a uniform law on c1<⋯<c10c_1 < \dots < c_{10}c1​<⋯<c10​ is 0.1(∑i≤6ci+0.3c7)0.1(\sum_{i \le 6} c_i + 0.3 c_7)0.1(∑i≤6​ci​+0.3c7​), and its verbal description. The formalization drops the division, as the example requires; with the printed formula Tβ\mathbb T^\betaTβ would not even be monotone in β\betaβ.
  • Qβ\mathbb Q^\betaQβ and Tβ\mathbb T^\betaTβ are defined on the law of the random variable, a measure on R\mathbb RR. Lean returns 000 for the infimum of an empty set or of a set unbounded below, so Q0=0\mathbb Q^0 = 0Q0=0 (the paper's value is −∞-\infty−∞). This never helps: Q(As,β,μ)≥0\mathcal Q(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s}, \beta, \mu) \ge 0Q(As​,β,μ)≥0 and ϵ(s)≥0\epsilon(\mathbf s) \ge 0ϵ(s)≥0, so the goal's inequalities remain meaningful at level 000. The goal keeps every level in [0,1][0,1][0,1] through the paper's side condition, which depends on n^(s)\hat n(\mathbf s)n^(s) and is therefore placed inside the probability event as a premise. The codomain {1,…,n}\{1, \dots, n\}{1,…,n} of n^\hat nn^ is part of the definition: with n^(s)=0\hat n(\mathbf s) = 0n^(s)=0 nothing would constrain ϵ(s)\epsilon(\mathbf s)ϵ(s).
  • The partition is fixed before the training set; the good subset s^\hat{\mathbf s}s^ may depend on s\mathbf ss and is a set of indices. Choosing the partition after s\mathbf ss would make pseudo robustness trivial and is ruled out.
  • Properties 1 and 2 are stated for nonnegative laws and levels in [0,1][0,1][0,1]. The level 111 is admitted only for a variable bounded above (for property 2, the dominating one). For an unbounded variable, Q1\mathbb Q^1Q1 is +∞+\infty+∞ in the paper, where the inequality is trivial, and a junk 000 in Lean. Property 3 of Appendix C (p. 415) is misprinted (with the constraint ∑αi≤β\sum \alpha_i \le \beta∑αi​≤β the minimum is 000) and is not formalized.
  • Needed infrastructure: the Bretagnolle–Huber–Carol inequality for multinomial frequencies (van der Vaart and Wellner 1996, Prop. A.6.6) (or a direct concentration argument), and elementary order properties of lower quantile values and truncated means of laws on R\mathbb RR. Contributions of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Xu and S. Mannor, Robustness and Generalization, Machine Learning 86(3):391–423, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-011-5268-1
  • R. Koenker and G. Bassett, Regression Quantiles, Econometrica 46(1):33–50, 1978. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913643
  • P. J. Huber, Robust Statistics, Wiley, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1002/0471725250
  • A. W. van der Vaart and J. A. Wellner, Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, Springer, 1996 (Proposition A.6.6). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2545-2
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Robustness and Generalization II: A Learning Method Generalizes w.r.t. a Training Sequence If and Only If It Is Weakly Robust w.r.t. ItResearch Paper

Motivation

Most generalization guarantees in statistical learning theory bound the gap between training error and expected error through a complexity measure of the hypothesis class: VC dimension, Rademacher complexity, covering numbers. Such bounds are sufficient conditions, and they say little about why a particular algorithm, run on a particular data stream, does or does not generalize. Xu and Mannor (Mach Learn 86 (2012) 391–423) proposed algorithmic robustness as an alternative: an algorithm is robust if a test sample "close to" a training sample incurs a loss close to that training sample's loss. Their first results show that robustness implies generalization (Theorem 1 of the paper, the subject of the first mission in this series).

Section 8 of the paper asks the converse question: is some form of robustness also necessary? The answer is Theorem 8. For a learning method trained on a fixed, growing sequence of samples, generalization is equivalent to a weaker property, weak robustness. The authors present this as evidence that robustness is "an essential property of successful learning", and contrast it with the characterization of learnability by stability (Remark 5 of the paper, citing Shalev-Shwartz et al. 2009; journal version JMLR 11 (2010)): learnability is uniform over all distributions, whereas the generalization studied here is for one distribution and one training sequence.

Setting

Let Z\mathcal ZZ be a measurable space of samples, drawn from an unknown probability measure μ\muμ. Let H\mathcal HH be a set of hypotheses and l:H×Z→Rl : \mathcal H \times \mathcal Z \to \mathbb Rl:H×Z→R a loss with 0≤l(h,z)≤M0 \le l(h, z) \le M0≤l(h,z)≤M for all h,zh, zh,z (the paper's standing assumption, Sect. 1.1).

  • The expected loss of hhh is L(h)=Ez∼μ l(h,z)\mathcal L(h) = \mathbb E_{z \sim \mu}\, l(h, z)L(h)=Ez∼μ​l(h,z) (expectedLoss).
  • The average loss of hhh on an nnn-sample set t(n)=(t1,…,tn)\mathbf t(n) = (t_1, \dots, t_n)t(n)=(t1​,…,tn​) is L(h,t(n))=1n∑i=1nl(h,ti)L(h, \mathbf t(n)) = \frac1n \sum_{i=1}^n l(h, t_i)L(h,t(n))=n1​∑i=1n​l(h,ti​) (avgLoss).
  • A learning method A={An}n∈N\mathcal A = \{\mathcal A^n\}_{n \in \mathbb N}A={An}n∈N​ is a sequence of maps An:Zn→H\mathcal A^n : \mathcal Z^n \to \mathcal HAn:Zn→H; As(n)\mathcal A_{\mathbf s(n)}As(n)​ is the hypothesis learned from s(n)\mathbf s(n)s(n).
  • A training sequence s∗=(s1∗,s2∗,… )\mathbf s^* = (s^*_1, s^*_2, \dots)s∗=(s1∗​,s2∗​,…) is fixed and deterministic, and s∗(n)\mathbf s^*(n)s∗(n) denotes its first nnn elements (firstN).
  • A test sample t(n)\mathbf t(n)t(n) consists of nnn i.i.d. draws from μ\muμ; Pr⁡\PrPr always refers to t(n)∼μn\mathbf t(n) \sim \mu^nt(n)∼μn.

The method generalizes w.r.t. s∗\mathbf s^*s∗ (Definition 8) if

lim⁡n→∞∣L(As∗(n))−L(As∗(n),s∗(n))∣=0.\lim_{n\to\infty} \big| \mathcal L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}) - L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \mathbf s^*(n)) \big| = 0.n→∞lim​​L(As∗(n)​)−L(As∗(n)​,s∗(n))​=0.

It is weakly robust w.r.t. s∗\mathbf s^*s∗ (Definition 9) if there are sets Dn⊆Zn\mathcal D_n \subseteq \mathcal Z^nDn​⊆Zn with Pr⁡(t(n)∈Dn)→1\Pr(\mathbf t(n) \in \mathcal D_n) \to 1Pr(t(n)∈Dn​)→1 and

lim⁡n→∞{max⁡s^(n)∈Dn∣L(As∗(n),s^(n))−L(As∗(n),s∗(n))∣}=0.(6)\lim_{n\to\infty} \Big\{ \max_{\hat{\mathbf s}(n) \in \mathcal D_n} \big| L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \hat{\mathbf s}(n)) - L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \mathbf s^*(n)) \big| \Big\} = 0. \qquad (6)n→∞lim​{s^(n)∈Dn​max​​L(As∗(n)​,s^(n))−L(As∗(n)​,s∗(n))​}=0.(6)

A set Dn\mathcal D_nDn​ can be read as a family of perturbed copies of the training set that carries almost all of the probability of the test sample.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8 (p. 409)

A generalizes w.r.t. s∗  ⟺  A is weakly robust w.r.t. s∗,\mathcal A \text{ generalizes w.r.t. } \mathbf s^* \iff \mathcal A \text{ is weakly robust w.r.t. } \mathbf s^*,A generalizes w.r.t. s∗⟺A is weakly robust w.r.t. s∗,

for every probability measure μ\muμ, every loss measurable in zzz with values in [0,M][0, M][0,M], every learning method A\mathcal AA and every training sequence s∗\mathbf s^*s∗.

Milestones

  1. First equality of the proof (p. 410). For n≥1n \ge 1n≥1 and every hhh, Et(n)L(h,t(n))=L(h)\mathbb E_{\mathbf t(n)} L(h, \mathbf t(n)) = \mathcal L(h)Et(n)​L(h,t(n))=L(h).
  2. Sufficiency display (p. 410). If Pr⁡(t(n)∉D)≤δ\Pr(\mathbf t(n) \notin \mathcal D) \le \deltaPr(t(n)∈/D)≤δ and ∣L(h,s^)−L(h,s)∣≤ϵ|L(h, \hat{\mathbf s}) - L(h, \mathbf s)| \le \epsilon∣L(h,s^)−L(h,s)∣≤ϵ on D\mathcal DD, then
∣L(h)−L(h,s)∣≤δM+ϵ.\big|\mathcal L(h) - L(h, \mathbf s)\big| \le \delta M + \epsilon.​L(h)−L(h,s)​≤δM+ϵ.
  1. Lemma 2 (p. 410). If A\mathcal AA is not weakly robust w.r.t. s∗\mathbf s^*s∗, there are ϵ∗,δ∗>0\epsilon^*, \delta^* > 0ϵ∗,δ∗>0 with
Pr⁡(∣L(As∗(n),t(n))−L(As∗(n),s∗(n))∣≥ϵ∗)≥δ∗for infinitely many n.(8)\Pr\big(|L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \mathbf t(n)) - L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \mathbf s^*(n))| \ge \epsilon^*\big) \ge \delta^* \quad\text{for infinitely many } n. \qquad (8)Pr(∣L(As∗(n)​,t(n))−L(As∗(n)​,s∗(n))∣≥ϵ∗)≥δ∗for infinitely many n.(8)
  1. Eq. (9) (p. 411). L(As∗(n),t(n))−L(As∗(n))→0L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \mathbf t(n)) - \mathcal L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}) \to 0L(As∗(n)​,t(n))−L(As∗(n)​)→0 in probability.

Milestones 1–2 give the sufficiency direction; milestones 3–4 give necessity.

Significance

Theorem 8 is a characterization, not a bound. The sufficiency half says a quantitative robustness property yields generalization. The necessity half says every method that generalizes along a sequence is weakly robust along it, so no generalization argument can avoid something of this shape. The paper remarks that (K,ϵ)(K, \epsilon)(K,ϵ)-robustness for every ϵ\epsilonϵ implies weak robustness, which places Theorem 1's condition inside this characterization. Corollary 6, the almost-sure version (generalization with probability 1 iff almost-sure weak robustness), follows from Theorem 8 applied sequence by sequence.

The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof of it is known. This mission contributes a formal statement of Definitions 8 and 9 in Lean, the two directions of the proof as reusable finite-nnn and asymptotic lemmas, and a place to formalize the bounded-loss law of large numbers for a hypothesis that changes with nnn (Eq. (9)), which Mathlib states for a fixed random variable.

Difficulty

The sufficiency direction is a direct estimate once the expectation of the average test loss is identified with the expected loss; the formal work is in handling the product measure μn\mu^nμn and a set Dn\mathcal D_nDn​ that need not be measurable.

The necessity direction is where care is needed. Eq. (9) is not the weak law of large numbers for a fixed function: the hypothesis As∗(n)\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}As∗(n)​ changes with nnn, so the concentration must be uniform in the hypothesis, which holds only because the loss is uniformly bounded. Lemma 2 negates a statement with an existential over sequences of sets and a limit; the naive reading "for each ϵ,δ\epsilon, \deltaϵ,δ some Dn\mathcal D_nDn​ works eventually" does not by itself produce a single sequence Dn\mathcal D_nDn​ satisfying (6) with one limit.

Formalization scope

  • Z\mathcal ZZ is a type with a MeasurableSpace, μ\muμ a Measure with IsProbabilityMeasure, H\mathcal HH an arbitrary type. The learning method is A : (n : ℕ) → (Fin n → Z) → H, the training sequence sStar : ℕ → Z, and t(n)∼\mathbf t(n) \simt(n)∼ Measure.pi (fun _ : Fin n => μ). Indices start at 000.
  • The loss bound 0≤l≤M0 \le l \le M0≤l≤M is a hypothesis of every theorem. Measurability of l(h,⋅)l(h, \cdot)l(h,⋅) is added; the paper explicitly ignores measurability. Expectations are Bochner integrals, well defined here because the loss is bounded and measurable.
  • Probabilities and their limits live in [0,∞][0, \infty][0,∞] (ℝ≥0∞). The sets Dn\mathcal D_nDn​ need not be measurable; their probability is the outer measure. "For infinitely many nnn" is ∃ᶠ n in atTop.
  • Eq. (6) is encoded without a supremum: weak robustness asks for sets DnD_nDn​ and reals ηn→0\eta_n \to 0ηn​→0 with ∣L(As∗(n),s^)−L(As∗(n),s∗(n))∣≤ηn|L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \hat{\mathbf s}) - L(\mathcal A_{\mathbf s^*(n)}, \mathbf s^*(n))| \le \eta_n∣L(As∗(n)​,s^)−L(As∗(n)​,s∗(n))∣≤ηn​ for all nnn and all s^∈Dn\hat{\mathbf s} \in D_ns^∈Dn​. This avoids Lean's junk value sup⁡∅=0\sup \emptyset = 0sup∅=0; since Pr⁡(t(n)∈Dn)→1\Pr(\mathbf t(n) \in D_n) \to 1Pr(t(n)∈Dn​)→1 forces DnD_nDn​ to be nonempty for all large nnn, the bound form is equivalent to the paper's reading.
  • Only part 1 of Definitions 8 and 9 is formalized. Corollary 6 is out of scope.
  • The goal is not trivial in either direction: a constant method on a one-point space satisfies both sides, and a constant method whose hypothesis has training average 111 and expected loss 1/21/21/2 along a fixed sequence fails both, so neither side is vacuous or always true.
  • Needed infrastructure: integrals over Measure.pi of coordinate functions, a Chebyshev or Hoeffding bound for averages of bounded i.i.d. variables uniform over a family of functions, and a diagonal-sequence construction. The uniform concentration lemma is reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the milestones, and alternative routes to Eq. (9), are welcome.

Selected references

  • Huan Xu, Shie Mannor, Robustness and Generalization, Machine Learning 86 (2012) 391–423. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10994-011-5268-1
  • Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Ohad Shamir, Nathan Srebro, Karthik Sridharan, Learnability, Stability and Uniform Convergence, Journal of Machine Learning Research 11 (2010) 2635–2670. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v11/shalev-shwartz10a.html
  • Wassily Hoeffding, Probability Inequalities for Sums of Bounded Random Variables, Journal of the American Statistical Association 58 (1963) 13–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
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