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Operations Research

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The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

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Linear OptimizationOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

A Dynamic Near-Optimal Algorithm for Online Linear Programming I: The Competitive Ratio of the Dynamic Learning AlgorithmResearch Paper

Why online linear programming under random order

Many resource-allocation problems are decided one request at a time: a seller of airline seats or hotel nights, an ad platform allocating advertiser budgets, a network operator admitting bandwidth requests. Each request asks for a bundle of resources and offers a price. It must be accepted or rejected on arrival, before the later requests are seen. The online linear program is the common model. If the order of arrivals is adversarial, no online algorithm can guarantee more than an O(1/n)O(1/n)O(1/n) fraction of the offline optimum (Babaioff et al. 2008). Under the weaker random permutation model the adversary picks the requests but not their order, and near-optimal guarantees are possible.

Timeline, as surveyed in §1.3 of the paper. Kleinberg (2005) gave a 1−O(1/B)1-O(1/\sqrt B)1−O(1/B​) competitive algorithm for the one-dimensional multiple-choice secretary problem and showed that this ratio is best possible, so B≥1/ε2B\ge1/\varepsilon^2B≥1/ε2 is necessary for a 1−O(ε)1-O(\varepsilon)1−O(ε) ratio. Devanur and Hayes (2009) solved a linear program once and used its dual solution as a threshold price for the AdWords problem, with ratio 1−O(πmax⁡m2log⁡n/OPT3)1-O(\sqrt[3]{\pi_{\max}m^2\log n/\mathrm{OPT}})1−O(3πmax​m2logn/OPT​). Feldman et al. (2010) extended one-time learning to general online packing, with a ratio depending on both BBB and OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT and of order 1−O(mlog⁡n/B3)1-O(\sqrt[3]{m\log n/B})1−O(3mlogn/B​) in BBB. Agrawal, Wang and Ye (Oper. Res. 2014) re-learn the dual price every time the history doubles and obtain 1−O(mlog⁡n/B)1-O(\sqrt{m\log n/B})1−O(mlogn/B​), a guarantee that depends on BBB alone and matches Kleinberg's dependence on BBB up to the factor mlog⁡nm\log nmlogn.

Setting

An instance has nnn columns and m≥1m\ge1m≥1 constraints. Column ttt carries an objective coefficient πt≥0\pi_t\ge0πt​≥0 and a constraint column at=(a1t,…,amt)∈[0,1]ma_t=(a_{1t},\dots,a_{mt})\in[0,1]^mat​=(a1t​,…,amt​)∈[0,1]m, and b∈Rmb\in\mathbb R^mb∈Rm is the right-hand side. The offline program is

OPT=max⁡{∑t=1nπtxt: ∑t=1naitxt≤bi (i=1,…,m), 0≤xt≤1}.\mathrm{OPT}=\max\Big\{\sum_{t=1}^n\pi_tx_t:\ \sum_{t=1}^na_{it}x_t\le b_i\ (i=1,\dots,m),\ 0\le x_t\le1\Big\}.OPT=max{t=1∑n​πt​xt​: t=1∑n​ait​xt​≤bi​ (i=1,…,m), 0≤xt​≤1}.

In the random permutation model the columns arrive in the order of a uniformly random permutation σ\sigmaσ of {1,…,n}\{1,\dots,n\}{1,…,n}, and nnn is known in advance. At time ttt the algorithm sees (πt,at)(\pi_t,a_t)(πt​,at​) and must fix xtx_txt​ so that ∑j≤taijxj≤bi\sum_{j\le t}a_{ij}x_j\le b_i∑j≤t​aij​xj​≤bi​ for every iii. An algorithm is ccc-competitive if Eσ[∑tπtxt]≥c⋅OPT\mathbb E_\sigma[\sum_t\pi_tx_t]\ge c\cdot\mathrm{OPT}Eσ​[∑t​πt​xt​]≥c⋅OPT. Inputs are assumed in general position: for any price vector p∈Rmp\in\mathbb R^mp∈Rm at most mmm columns satisfy p⊤at=πtp^\top a_t=\pi_tp⊤at​=πt​.

For a price vector ppp the threshold rule sets xt(p)=1x_t(p)=1xt​(p)=1 if πt>p⊤at\pi_t>p^\top a_tπt​>p⊤at​ and xt(p)=0x_t(p)=0xt​(p)=0 otherwise. Fix ε=2−E\varepsilon=2^{-E}ε=2−E with εn\varepsilon nεn an integer, and let L={εn,2εn,…,2E−1εn}L=\{\varepsilon n,2\varepsilon n,\dots,2^{E-1}\varepsilon n\}L={εn,2εn,…,2E−1εn} and hℓ=εn/ℓh_\ell=\varepsilon\sqrt{n/\ell}hℓ​=εn/ℓ​. For ℓ∈L\ell\in Lℓ∈L, p^ℓ\hat p^{\ell}p^​ℓ is an optimal dual price of the partial program

max⁡∑t=1ℓπtxts.t.∑t=1ℓaitxt≤(1−hℓ)ℓnbi,0≤xt≤1.\max\sum_{t=1}^{\ell}\pi_tx_t\quad\text{s.t.}\quad\sum_{t=1}^{\ell}a_{it}x_t\le(1-h_\ell)\tfrac{\ell}{n}b_i,\quad0\le x_t\le1 .maxt=1∑ℓ​πt​xt​s.t.t=1∑ℓ​ait​xt​≤(1−hℓ​)nℓ​bi​,0≤xt​≤1.

The dynamic learning algorithm (DLA) accepts nothing up to time εn\varepsilon nεn. At a time t∈(ℓ,2ℓ]t\in(\ell,2\ell]t∈(ℓ,2ℓ] it proposes xt(p^ℓ)x_t(\hat p^{\ell})xt​(p^​ℓ) and executes the proposal unless a constraint would be violated, in which case xt=0x_t=0xt​=0. OPTs(d)\mathrm{OPT}_s(d)OPTs​(d) is the optimal value of the program on the first sss arrivals with right-hand side ddd.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

There are absolute constants C1,C2>0C_1,C_2>0C1​,C2​>0 such that, whenever B=min⁡ibi≥C1mlog⁡(n/ε)/ε2B=\min_ib_i\ge C_1m\log(n/\varepsilon)/\varepsilon^2B=mini​bi​≥C1​mlog(n/ε)/ε2,

Eσ[∑t=1nπtxtDLA]≥(1−C2ε) OPT.\mathbb E_\sigma\Big[\sum_{t=1}^n\pi_tx_t^{\mathrm{DLA}}\Big]\ge(1-C_2\varepsilon)\,\mathrm{OPT}.Eσ​[t=1∑n​πt​xtDLA​]≥(1−C2​ε)OPT.

The constants are left unfixed, so the target states only the shape of the result, 1−O(ε)1-O(\varepsilon)1−O(ε) under B≥Ω(mlog⁡(n/ε)/ε2)B\ge\Omega(m\log(n/\varepsilon)/\varepsilon^2)B≥Ω(mlog(n/ε)/ε2), and survives any improvement of the constants.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 881). For an optimal primal x∗x^*x∗ and an optimal dual price p∗p^*p∗, xt(p∗)≤xt∗x_t(p^*)\le x^*_txt​(p∗)≤xt∗​ for every ttt, and under general position the two differ in at most mmm places.
  2. Lemma 10 (p. 887). The Hoeffding–Bernstein inequality for sampling without replacement: P(∣∑i≤rui−rcˉ∣≥t)≤2exp⁡(−t2/(2rσR2+tΔR))\mathbb P(|\sum_{i\le r}u_i-r\bar c|\ge t)\le2\exp(-t^2/(2r\sigma_R^2+t\Delta_R))P(∣∑i≤r​ui​−rcˉ∣≥t)≤2exp(−t2/(2rσR2​+tΔR​)).
  3. Lemma 5 (p. 884). With probability 1−ε1-\varepsilon1−ε, ∑t=ℓ+12ℓaitxt(p^ℓ)≤ℓnbi\sum_{t=\ell+1}^{2\ell}a_{it}x_t(\hat p^\ell)\le\frac{\ell}{n}b_i∑t=ℓ+12ℓ​ait​xt​(p^​ℓ)≤nℓ​bi​ for all iii and all ℓ∈L\ell\in Lℓ∈L.
  4. Lemma 6 (p. 884). With probability 1−ε1-\varepsilon1−ε, ∑t≤2ℓπtxt(p^ℓ)≥(1−2hℓ−ε) OPT2ℓ(2ℓnb)\sum_{t\le2\ell}\pi_tx_t(\hat p^\ell)\ge(1-2h_\ell-\varepsilon)\,\mathrm{OPT}_{2\ell}(\frac{2\ell}{n}b)∑t≤2ℓ​πt​xt​(p^​ℓ)≥(1−2hℓ​−ε)OPT2ℓ​(n2ℓ​b) for all ℓ∈L\ell\in Lℓ∈L.
  5. Lemma 7 (p. 884). E[OPTℓ(ℓnb)]≤ℓnOPT\mathbb E[\mathrm{OPT}_\ell(\frac{\ell}{n}b)]\le\frac{\ell}{n}\mathrm{OPT}E[OPTℓ​(nℓ​b)]≤nℓ​OPT.
  6. Final display of the proof of Theorem 1 (p. 885). ∑ℓ∈Lℓ/n=1−ε\sum_{\ell\in L}\ell/n=1-\varepsilon∑ℓ∈L​ℓ/n=1−ε and ∑ℓ∈Lhℓℓ/n≤2.5ε\sum_{\ell\in L}h_\ell\ell/n\le2.5\varepsilon∑ℓ∈L​hℓ​ℓ/n≤2.5ε.

Lemmas 5 and 6 carry the paper's condition B≥10mlog⁡(n/ε)/ε2B\ge10m\log(n/\varepsilon)/\varepsilon^2B≥10mlog(n/ε)/ε2 with the 101010 replaced by an absolute constant; their probabilities and bounds are exact.

Significance

Theorem 1 gives a 1−O(ε)1-O(\varepsilon)1−O(ε) guarantee for general online packing linear programs under a requirement on BBB alone that grows as 1/ε21/\varepsilon^21/ε2, the order Kleinberg showed necessary. Together with the paper's Theorem 2, which shows that BBB of order log⁡m/ε2\log m/\varepsilon^2logm/ε2 is necessary, it fixes the dependence on ε\varepsilonε and shows that a dependence on mmm cannot be avoided. The paper notes (§5.2) that the guarantee transfers to online integer programs, because the threshold rule outputs integral decisions.

The result is proved on paper but has no machine-checked proof. A formalization adds three things. It gives a verified statement of the exact model: random order as an average over permutations, the online feasibility rule, and the selection among non-unique dual optima. It settles the constants: the paper's proof aims at C1=10C_1=10C1​=10, C2=15C_2=15C2​=15, but its union-bound step does not close with 101010, and a formal proof will record constants that do. Finally, it produces reusable infrastructure: complementary slackness for box-constrained packing programs and a Bernstein inequality for sampling without replacement.

Difficulty

The algorithm is simple. The analysis is not. The learned price p^ℓ\hat p^\ellp^​ℓ depends on the same random sample whose later behaviour must be controlled, so no fixed-price concentration bound applies directly. A statement uniform over all prices is needed, and prices must be grouped by the decision patterns they induce, which calls for a combinatorial count of those patterns. The concentration tool itself is not in Mathlib: Mathlib's Hoeffding inequality is for independent summands, and samples drawn without replacement are dependent. On top of these, the per-period bounds have to be combined with the algorithm's executed decisions. Those decisions differ from the threshold decisions whenever a constraint would be violated, and the loss has to be charged to an event of probability at most 2ε2\varepsilon2ε.

Formalization scope

Columns are Fin n, constraints are Fin m, and all data are real. Time is 0-based in Lean: Lean time τ\tauτ is the paper's time τ+1\tau+1τ+1. The arrival order is a permutation σ\sigmaσ of Fin n, with column σ(τ)\sigma(\tau)σ(τ) arriving at time τ\tauτ. Every expectation and probability over the order is a finite average over all n!n!n! permutations. No measure theory is involved. OPT\mathrm{OPT}OPT and OPTs(d)\mathrm{OPT}_s(d)OPTs​(d) are real suprema over feasible sets that are nonempty and bounded whenever d≥0d\ge0d≥0, and every statement uses them only at such ddd. The standing assumptions ε=2−E\varepsilon=2^{-E}ε=2−E with E≥1E\ge1E≥1, 2E∣n2^E\mid n2E∣n with n≥1n\ge1n≥1, m≥1m\ge1m≥1 and general position (for any price vector, as in the paper) are hypotheses. log⁡\loglog is the natural logarithm.

Optimal dual prices are not unique. The DLA is therefore parametrized by a dual-selection rule, and the theorems hold for every valid rule: one that returns an optimal dual price of the partial program and whose output depends only on the first ℓ\ellℓ arrivals. A rule that may return an arbitrary price, or that looks at future arrivals, is excluded. The conclusion of the goal is a lower bound (1−C2ε) OPT(1-C_2\varepsilon)\,\mathrm{OPT}(1−C2​ε)OPT with absolute constants quantified before every instance parameter. It is not satisfied by the algorithm that accepts nothing, and no hypothesis restricts bbb from above.

A complete development needs LP duality and complementary slackness for finite linear programs, a Bernstein-type inequality for sampling without replacement (reusable well beyond this mission), a bound on the number of threshold patterns induced by price vectors, and the combinatorics of uniformly random prefixes of a permutation. Contributions of any of these as standalone results are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Agrawal, Z. Wang, Y. Ye, A Dynamic Near-Optimal Algorithm for Online Linear Programming, Operations Research 62(4):876–890, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1289
  • R. Kleinberg, A multiple-choice secretary algorithm with applications to online auctions, SODA 2005. https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.5555/1070432.1070519
  • N. Devanur, T. Hayes, The AdWords problem: online keyword matching with budgeted bidders under random permutations, ACM EC 2009. https://doi.org/10.1145/1566374.1566384
  • J. Feldman, M. Henzinger, N. Korula, V. Mirrokni, C. Stein, Online stochastic packing applied to display ad allocation, ESA 2010. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15775-2_16
  • M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, D. Kempe, R. Kleinberg, Online auctions and generalized secretary problems, SIGecom Exchanges 7(2), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1145/1399589.1399596
  • A. W. van der Vaart, J. A. Wellner, Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, Springer, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2545-2
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Convex OptimizationLinear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Linear Programming: Foundations and Extensions IV: Existence of the Central PathTextbook

Motivation

Interior-point methods solve linear programs by moving through the interior of the feasible region instead of along its edges, as the simplex method does. The methods used in practice are path-following methods: they track a curve, the central path, that runs through the interior of the feasible region and ends at an optimal solution. Before any such method can be analysed, the curve has to exist. This mission formalizes Chapter 17 of R. J. Vanderbei, Linear Programming: Foundations and Extensions (4th ed., Springer 2014), which defines the central path through the logarithmic barrier problem and proves that it exists exactly when the primal and the dual problem both have strictly positive feasible points.

The chapter's results have a short history. Barrier methods for nonlinear programming go back to Fiacco and McCormick (1968). Interest in interior-point methods for linear programming began with Karmarkar (1984), whose projective algorithm does not mention a central path; the connection between Karmarkar's method and the primal–dual central path was found by Megiddo (1989), with central points traced back to Huard (1967) and an extended study of the path by Bayer and Lagarias (1989). The chapter is the textbook entry point to this line of work and the foundation for the path-following algorithm of Chapter 18.

Setting

Let AAA be a real m×nm \times nm×n matrix, b∈Rmb \in \mathbb{R}^mb∈Rm and c∈Rnc \in \mathbb{R}^nc∈Rn. The primal linear program is to maximize cTxc^T xcTx subject to Ax≤bAx \le bAx≤b, x≥0x \ge 0x≥0; its dual is to minimize bTyb^T ybTy subject to ATy≥cA^T y \ge cATy≥c, y≥0y \ge 0y≥0. With slack variables w∈Rmw \in \mathbb{R}^mw∈Rm and z∈Rnz \in \mathbb{R}^nz∈Rn they read (17.1)

Ax+w=b, x,w≥0andATy−z=c, y,z≥0.Ax + w = b,\ x, w \ge 0 \qquad\text{and}\qquad A^T y - z = c,\ y, z \ge 0.Ax+w=b, x,w≥0andATy−z=c, y,z≥0.

For a vector ξ\xiξ, ξ>0\xi > 0ξ>0 means that every component is strictly positive. The primal feasible region has nonempty interior when some (xˉ,wˉ)(\bar x, \bar w)(xˉ,wˉ) satisfies Axˉ+wˉ=bA\bar x + \bar w = bAxˉ+wˉ=b with xˉ>0\bar x > 0xˉ>0, wˉ>0\bar w > 0wˉ>0; the dual feasible region has nonempty interior when some (yˉ,zˉ)(\bar y, \bar z)(yˉ​,zˉ) satisfies ATyˉ−zˉ=cA^T \bar y - \bar z = cATyˉ​−zˉ=c with yˉ>0\bar y > 0yˉ​>0, zˉ>0\bar z > 0zˉ>0.

For a parameter μ>0\mu > 0μ>0, the barrier function (17.7) is

f(x,w)=cTx+μ∑j=1nlog⁡xj+μ∑i=1mlog⁡wi,f(x, w) = c^T x + \mu \sum_{j=1}^n \log x_j + \mu \sum_{i=1}^m \log w_i ,f(x,w)=cTx+μj=1∑n​logxj​+μi=1∑m​logwi​,

and the barrier problem (17.2) is to maximize f(x,w)f(x, w)f(x,w) subject to Ax+w=bAx + w = bAx+w=b, over the domain x>0x > 0x>0, w>0w > 0w>0 where the logarithms are finite. A solution of the barrier problem is a point of that domain at which fff attains its maximum over the domain.

Writing X,Z,Y,WX, Z, Y, WX,Z,Y,W for the diagonal matrices carrying x,z,y,wx, z, y, wx,z,y,w and eee for the all-ones vector, the primal–dual central-path system (17.6) is

Ax+w=b,ATy−z=c,XZe=μe,YWe=μe,Ax + w = b, \qquad A^T y - z = c, \qquad XZe = \mu e, \qquad YWe = \mu e,Ax+w=b,ATy−z=c,XZe=μe,YWe=μe,

with x,w,y,z>0x, w, y, z > 0x,w,y,z>0. The last two equations say xjzj=μx_j z_j = \muxj​zj​=μ and yiwi=μy_i w_i = \muyi​wi​=μ for all jjj and iii. The set of its solutions (xμ,wμ,yμ,zμ)(x_\mu, w_\mu, y_\mu, z_\mu)(xμ​,wμ​,yμ​,zμ​), μ>0\mu > 0μ>0, is the primal–dual central path.

The chapter also uses one fact from nonlinear programming: for the problem "maximize f(x)f(x)f(x) subject to gi(x)=0g_i(x) = 0gi​(x)=0, i=1,…,mi = 1, \dots, mi=1,…,m", a critical point is a feasible x∗x^*x∗ with ∇f(x∗)=∑iyi∇gi(x∗)\nabla f(x^*) = \sum_i y_i \nabla g_i(x^*)∇f(x∗)=∑i​yi​∇gi​(x∗) for some Lagrange multipliers yiy_iyi​ (17.3), and Hf(x∗)H_f(x^*)Hf​(x∗) is the Hessian of fff at x∗x^*x∗.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 17.2 (p. 265)

For each fixed μ>0\mu > 0μ>0,

∃ (x,w) solving the barrier problem  ⟺  (∃ xˉ,wˉ>0:Axˉ+wˉ=b)∧(∃ yˉ,zˉ>0:ATyˉ−zˉ=c).\exists\, (x, w) \text{ solving the barrier problem} \iff \big(\exists\, \bar x, \bar w > 0 : A\bar x + \bar w = b\big) \wedge \big(\exists\, \bar y, \bar z > 0 : A^T\bar y - \bar z = c\big).∃(x,w) solving the barrier problem⟺(∃xˉ,wˉ>0:Axˉ+wˉ=b)∧(∃yˉ​,zˉ>0:ATyˉ​−zˉ=c).

Both directions are part of the goal. The statement fixes no constants and no rate; it asserts only when the barrier problem is solvable.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 17.1 (p. 261), second-order sufficiency under linear constraints: if the constraints are linear, a critical point x∗x^*x∗ with ξTHf(x∗)ξ<0\xi^T H_f(x^*)\xi < 0ξTHf​(x∗)ξ<0 for every ξ≠0\xi \ne 0ξ=0 satisfying ξT∇gi(x∗)=0\xi^T \nabla g_i(x^*) = 0ξT∇gi​(x∗)=0 for all iii is a local maximum on the feasible set.
  2. Exercise 10.7 (p. 150): if the primal is feasible and its feasible set {x:Ax≤b, x≥0}\{x : Ax \le b,\ x \ge 0\}{x:Ax≤b, x≥0} is bounded, then there are y>0y > 0y>0, z>0z > 0z>0 with ATy−z=cA^T y - z = cATy−z=c.
  3. Corollary 17.3 (p. 266): if the primal feasible set (or the dual feasible set) has nonempty interior and is bounded, then for each μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 the system (17.6) has exactly one solution with x,w,y,z>0x, w, y, z > 0x,w,y,z>0.

The corollary is stronger than the goal in one direction (it adds uniqueness and the dual variables) and weaker in another (it assumes boundedness).

Significance

The result itself. Theorem 17.2 gives an exact criterion for the barrier problem to be solvable for a fixed μ\muμ, and Corollary 17.3 turns it into the statement that the central path is a well-defined curve μ↦(xμ,wμ,yμ,zμ)\mu \mapsto (x_\mu, w_\mu, y_\mu, z_\mu)μ↦(xμ​,wμ​,yμ​,zμ​) for all μ>0\mu > 0μ>0. Every path-following method, including the one analysed in Chapter 18 of the same book, targets points on this curve; without existence and uniqueness the "target" of an iteration is undefined. The system (17.6) is also the starting point of the primal–dual Newton step.

Formalizing it. These results are classical and proved in the book; none is formalized in the Ax≤bAx \le bAx≤b, x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 form used here. The platform has the converse fact in the standard form Ax=bAx = bAx=b, x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 (a solution of the central-path conditions minimizes the barrier, Introduction to Linear Optimization), but not existence. A formal proof of Theorem 17.2 and Corollary 17.3 produces a reusable existence theorem for the central path that downstream missions on path-following and self-dual methods can import.

Difficulty

The "if" direction of Theorem 17.2 is an existence claim on a set that is neither closed nor bounded: the domain x>0x > 0x>0, w>0w > 0w>0 is open, and the feasible region itself may be unbounded, so the obvious appeal to "a continuous function on a compact set attains its maximum" does not apply directly. The example "maximize 000 subject to x≥0x \ge 0x≥0" (p. 264), whose barrier μlog⁡x\mu \log xμlogx has no maximum, shows that the dual hypothesis cannot be dropped. The "only if" direction, which the book calls trivial and does not prove, needs first-order conditions at a maximizer over a relatively open set.

Theorem 17.1 needs a second-order Taylor expansion with a remainder that is o(∥ξ∥2)o(\|\xi\|^2)o(∥ξ∥2) uniformly along the constraint subspace, not along individual lines. Exercise 10.7 is a theorem of the alternative and is not a consequence of weak duality alone. Uniqueness in Corollary 17.3 requires the positivity of the solution: the equations xjzj=μx_j z_j = \muxj​zj​=μ, yiwi=μy_i w_i = \muyi​wi​=μ admit sign-flipped solutions.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ and Fin m → ℝ; AAA is a Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ. The book's primal–dual pair in Ax≤bAx \le bAx≤b, x≥0x \ge 0x≥0 form with slacks is used throughout; there are no explicit constants in this chapter.

Conventions committed to:

  • "Nonempty interior" means a feasible point with every component strictly positive, as the proof of Theorem 17.2 says. The topological interior of {(x,w):Ax+w=b, x,w≥0}\{(x, w) : Ax + w = b,\ x, w \ge 0\}{(x,w):Ax+w=b, x,w≥0} in Rn+m\mathbb{R}^{n+m}Rn+m is empty whenever m≥1m \ge 1m≥1; reading the theorem that way would make its right-hand side always false for m≥1m \ge 1m≥1, and that reading is ruled out.
  • The barrier problem is posed over x>0x > 0x>0, w>0w > 0w>0 explicitly; Real.log returns 000 at nonpositive arguments and is never evaluated there.
  • Solutions of (17.6) are required to be strictly positive, as in Exercise 17.3 (p. 267).
  • "Bounded" is Bornology.IsBounded of the feasible set in Rn\mathbb{R}^nRn (resp. Rm\mathbb{R}^mRm).
  • In Theorem 17.1 the constraints are Gx=βGx = \betaGx=β; fff is differentiable near x∗x^*x∗ with derivative differentiable at x∗x^*x∗, and ξTHf(x∗)ξ\xi^T H_f(x^*) \xiξTHf​(x∗)ξ is the second Fréchet derivative applied to (ξ,ξ)(\xi, \xi)(ξ,ξ). The local maximum is relative to the feasible set.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: attainment of maxima on compact sets (IsCompact.exists_isMaxOn in Mathlib), first-order conditions on relatively open sets, a theorem of the alternative for Exercise 10.7, and concavity facts about the logarithm. A second-order sufficient condition under affine constraints is not in Mathlib and is reusable beyond linear programming. Proofs of any milestone, including the "only if" half of the goal separately, are welcome contributions.

Selected references

  • R. J. Vanderbei, Linear Programming: Foundations and Extensions, 4th ed., International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 196, Springer, 2014, Chapter 17 and Exercise 10.7. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-7630-6
  • A. V. Fiacco and G. P. McCormick, Nonlinear Programming: Sequential Unconstrained Minimization Techniques, Wiley, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611971316
  • N. Karmarkar, A new polynomial-time algorithm for linear programming, Combinatorica 4 (1984), 373–395. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02579150
  • N. Megiddo, Pathways to the optimal set in linear programming, in Progress in Mathematical Programming, Springer, 1989, 131–158. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9617-8_8
  • D. A. Bayer and J. C. Lagarias, The nonlinear geometry of linear programming I, II, Transactions of the AMS 314 (1989), 499–526 and 527–581. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9947-1989-1005525-6
5 thms1 active userReviewed
Numerical AnalysisOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Minimization Methods for Non-Differentiable Functions IX: Convergence of the r-Algorithm with Exact Directional MinimizationTextbook

Motivation

The r-algorithm of N. Z. Shor is a variable-metric method for minimizing functions that are not differentiable everywhere, such as maxima of smooth functions, penalty functions and Lagrangian dual functions of integer and decomposition problems. It combines a subgradient step with a space dilation along the difference of two successive almost-gradients, and the book reports it competitive with the best variable-metric and conjugate-gradient methods on "gully"-shaped test problems (Shor 1985, §3.6, pp. 68–77). Its convergence theory is limited. Section 3.7 of Shor's book gives a convergence proof only for an idealized version with exact directional minimization, on a class of piecewise smooth functions, and the book itself calls a weakening of the assumptions and rate estimates desirable (p. 85). This mission formalizes that section.

Timeline. Shor and Zhurbenko introduced the r-algorithm in 1971 (Kibernetika, no. 3, 51–59). Shor analysed the convergence of its exact-line-search version in 1975 (Kibernetika, no. 4, 48–53). Section 3.7 of the 1979 Russian monograph, translated in 1985, gives that analysis for piecewise smooth functions. The book states on p. 85 that weaker assumptions and rate estimates would be desirable.

Setting

Let EnE_nEn​ be nnn-dimensional Euclidean space with inner product (x,y)(x, y)(x,y), n≥1n \ge 1n≥1. For a unit vector ξ\xiξ and α>0\alpha > 0α>0 the operator of space dilation is Rα(ξ)x=x+(α−1)(x,ξ)ξR_\alpha(\xi)x = x + (\alpha - 1)(x, \xi)\xiRα​(ξ)x=x+(α−1)(x,ξ)ξ.

Widths. For a compact convex set WWW and a unit vector η\etaη, the width in direction η\etaη is dη(W)=max⁡x∈W(η,x)−min⁡x∈W(η,x)d_\eta(W) = \max_{x \in W}(\eta, x) - \min_{x \in W}(\eta, x)dη​(W)=maxx∈W​(η,x)−minx∈W​(η,x). The width is d(W)=min⁡∥η∥=1dη(W)d(W) = \min_{\|\eta\| = 1} d_\eta(W)d(W)=min∥η∥=1​dη​(W) and the diameter is D(W)=max⁡∥η∥=1dη(W)D(W) = \max_{\|\eta\| = 1} d_\eta(W)D(W)=max∥η∥=1​dη​(W). With eρ(W)=inf⁡z∈W∣(ρ,z)∣e_\rho(W) = \inf_{z \in W}|(\rho, z)|eρ​(W)=infz∈W​∣(ρ,z)∣ put Kρ(W)=dρ(W)/eρ(W)K_\rho(W) = d_\rho(W)/e_\rho(W)Kρ​(W)=dρ​(W)/eρ​(W) (or +∞+\infty+∞ when eρ(W)=0e_\rho(W) = 0eρ​(W)=0) and p(W)=inf⁡∥ρ∥=1Kρ(W)p(W) = \inf_{\|\rho\| = 1} K_\rho(W)p(W)=inf∥ρ∥=1​Kρ​(W).

The class KKK. EnE_nEn​ is partitioned into closed sets Dˉ1,…,Dˉm\bar D_1, \dots, \bar D_mDˉ1​,…,Dˉm​, each the closure of its interior, whose interiors are disjoint and homeomorphic to an open ball or open halfspace; fif_ifi​ is continuously differentiable on an open set containing Dˉi\bar D_iDˉi​; and f=fif = f_if=fi​ on Dˉi\bar D_iDˉi​. At a point xxx, the set of almost-gradients Gf(x)G_f(x)Gf​(x) is the set of gradients ∇fi(x)\nabla f_i(x)∇fi​(x) of the pieces with x∈Dˉix \in \bar D_ix∈Dˉi​. For δ,ε>0\delta, \varepsilon > 0δ,ε>0, Pˉδ,ε(x)\bar P_{\delta,\varepsilon}(x)Pˉδ,ε​(x) is the closed convex hull of all Gf(y)G_f(y)Gf​(y), ∥y−x∥<δ\|y - x\| < \delta∥y−x∥<δ, together with the ε\varepsilonε-balls around the elements of Gf(x)G_f(x)Gf​(x).

The r(α)r(\alpha)r(α)-algorithm. Fix α>1\alpha > 1α>1, β=1/α\beta = 1/\alphaβ=1/α. Start from x0x_0x0​, g~0=0\tilde g_0 = 0g~​0​=0 and a nonsingular B0B_0B0​. At iteration k+1k + 1k+1 choose gf(xk)∈Gf(xk)g_f(x_k) \in G_f(x_k)gf​(xk​)∈Gf​(xk​) with (Bk∗gf(xk),g~k)≤0(B_k^* g_f(x_k), \tilde g_k) \le 0(Bk∗​gf​(xk​),g~​k​)≤0; set gk∗=Bk∗gf(xk)g_k^* = B_k^* g_f(x_k)gk∗​=Bk∗​gf​(xk​), rk=gk∗−g~kr_k = g_k^* - \tilde g_krk​=gk∗​−g~​k​, ξk+1=rk/∥rk∥\xi_{k+1} = r_k/\|r_k\|ξk+1​=rk​/∥rk​∥, Bk+1=BkRβ(ξk+1)B_{k+1} = B_k R_\beta(\xi_{k+1})Bk+1​=Bk​Rβ​(ξk+1​), g~k+1=Rβ(ξk+1)gk∗\tilde g_{k+1} = R_\beta(\xi_{k+1}) g_k^*g~​k+1​=Rβ​(ξk+1​)gk∗​, and xk+1=xk−hk+1Bk+1g~k+1x_{k+1} = x_k - h_{k+1}B_{k+1}\tilde g_{k+1}xk+1​=xk​−hk+1​Bk+1​g~​k+1​ with hk+1≥0h_{k+1} \ge 0hk+1​≥0 such that fff does not increase along the step and some almost-gradient at xk+1x_{k+1}xk+1​ makes a non-acute angle with g~k+1\tilde g_{k+1}g~​k+1​ in the transformed metric. The standing assumption is f(x)→+∞f(x) \to +\inftyf(x)→+∞ as ∥x∥→∞\|x\| \to \infty∥x∥→∞ (3.50).

Formalization targets

Goal: convergence to an isolated local minimum (Theorem 3.13)

Assume (3.50) and ∥xk+1−xk∥→0\|x_{k+1} - x_k\| \to 0∥xk+1​−xk​∥→0 (3.52). If x∗x^*x∗ is an isolated local minimum, the component of {x:f(x∗)≤f(x)≤f(x0)}\{x : f(x^*) \le f(x) \le f(x_0)\}{x:f(x∗)≤f(x)≤f(x0​)} containing x0x_0x0​ also contains x∗x^*x∗, and no other point zzz of that component has linearly dependent Gf(z)G_f(z)Gf​(z), then

lim⁡k→∞xk=x∗.\lim_{k \to \infty} x_k = x^* .k→∞lim​xk​=x∗.

Milestones

  • Lemma 3.2 (p. 80): for B=SOB = SOB=SO with minimum eigenvalue λ(B)\lambda(B)λ(B) of SSS, λ(B)d(W)≤d(BW)≤λ(B)D(W)\lambda(B)d(W) \le d(BW) \le \lambda(B)D(W)λ(B)d(W)≤d(BW)≤λ(B)D(W).
  • Lemma 3.3 (p. 80): for z1,z2∈Wz_1, z_2 \in Wz1​,z2​∈W, 0<β≤10 < \beta \le 10<β≤1 and γ=∥z1−z2∥/d(W)≥1\gamma = \|z_1 - z_2\|/d(W) \ge 1γ=∥z1​−z2​∥/d(W)≥1,
d(Rβ(z1−z2∥z1−z2∥)W)≥d(W)1+(1−β2)/(β2γ2).d\Big(R_\beta\big(\tfrac{z_1 - z_2}{\|z_1 - z_2\|}\big)W\Big) \ge \frac{d(W)}{\sqrt{1 + (1-\beta^2)/(\beta^2\gamma^2)}} .d(Rβ​(∥z1​−z2​∥z1​−z2​​)W)≥1+(1−β2)/(β2γ2)​d(W)​.
  • Theorem 3.11 (p. 82): for every βn<v<1\sqrt[n]{\beta} < v < 1nβ​<v<1, ε,δ>0\varepsilon, \delta > 0ε,δ>0 and r≥1r \ge 1r≥1 there is kˉ>r\bar k > rkˉ>r with
p(Pˉδ,ε(xkˉ))≥v2α2n−1α2−1.p\big(\bar P_{\delta,\varepsilon}(x_{\bar k})\big) \ge \sqrt{\frac{v^2\sqrt[n]{\alpha^2} - 1}{\alpha^2 - 1}} .p(Pˉδ,ε​(xkˉ​))≥α2−1v2nα2​−1​​.
  • Theorem 3.12 (p. 84): the level set {f=f∞}\{f = f_\infty\}{f=f∞​}, f∞=lim⁡kf(xk)f_\infty = \lim_k f(x_k)f∞​=limk​f(xk​), contains a point x∗x^*x∗ with Gf(x∗)G_f(x^*)Gf​(x∗) linearly dependent.

Significance

Theorem 3.13 is the only convergence theorem the book gives for the r-algorithm. Theorems 3.11 and 3.12 hold for any function of the class KKK, convex or not, and say that iterates of the exact version cannot stall at a point where the local almost-gradients are linearly independent: linear dependence of Gf(x)G_f(x)Gf​(x) is a generalized stationarity condition that includes 0∈conv⁡Gf(x)0 \in \operatorname{conv} G_f(x)0∈convGf​(x). Lemmas 3.2 and 3.3 are statements about widths of convex bodies under linear maps and single dilations, and apply to any analysis of space-dilation methods, including the ellipsoid method.

All four results and the goal are proved in the book, the goal as a corollary without a written proof. None of them is formalized. The formalization adds a machine-checked definition of the class KKK and of the algorithm as a relation on sequences covering every admissible choice of almost-gradients and stepsizes, a verified proof of the book's argument, and a check of the corollary step, which the book leaves to the reader.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for descent methods is that the function value drops by a fixed amount at every step unless the gradient is small. That argument fails here. The r-algorithm can make null steps, with xk+1=xkx_{k+1} = x_kxk+1​=xk​ while BkB_kBk​ and g~k\tilde g_kg~​k​ change, and its steps are measured in a metric that degenerates as the dilations accumulate (det⁡Bk=βkdet⁡B0\det B_k = \beta^k \det B_0detBk​=βkdetB0​). A small step does not certify near-stationarity, and a large accumulated dilation does not certify progress.

The difficulty is to relate the geometry of the transformed almost-gradient sets Bk∗Pˉδ,ε(xk)B_k^*\bar P_{\delta,\varepsilon}(x_k)Bk∗​Pˉδ,ε​(xk​) to the decay forced on BkB_kBk​. This needs width estimates for convex bodies under linear maps and single dilations, which Mathlib does not have. Theorem 3.12 also needs a uniform lower bound, near a compact level set, on the Gram determinants of the piece gradients, and the book's proof of it is only sketched. Theorem 3.13 is stated as a corollary with no proof at all. Deriving it requires showing that the iterates cannot leave the prescribed component of {f(x∗)≤f≤f(x0)}\{f(x^*) \le f \le f(x_0)\}{f(x∗)≤f≤f(x0​)}, and that their accumulation points reduce to x∗x^*x∗.

Formalization scope

  • EnE_nEn​ is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n) with n≥1n \ge 1n≥1; operators are continuous linear maps; Bk∗B_k^*Bk∗​ is the adjoint. KρK_\rhoKρ​ and ppp are valued in [0,+∞][0, +\infty][0,+∞], so Kρ(W)=+∞K_\rho(W) = +\inftyKρ​(W)=+∞ is represented exactly. Widths are sInf/sSup of support values, equal to the book's minima and maxima on nonempty compact sets.
  • A function of class KKK is given with its representation (pieces, open domains, smooth fif_ifi​), and Gf(x)G_f(x)Gf​(x) is the set of gradients of the incident pieces, as on p. 79. Linear dependence of Gf(x)G_f(x)Gf​(x) is the negation of linear independence of that set.
  • A run of the algorithm is a predicate on sequences xk,g~k,Bk,gf(xk),hk+1x_k, \tilde g_k, B_k, g_f(x_k), h_{k+1}xk​,g~​k​,Bk​,gf​(xk​),hk+1​; every theorem holds for every run. Step (3) divides by ∥rk∥\|r_k\|∥rk​∥, so rk≠0r_k \ne 0rk​=0 is part of the run: a run that reaches a point where no admissible choice gives rk≠0r_k \ne 0rk​=0 has no continuation, as in the book. The stepsize hk+1=argmin⁡h_{k+1} = \operatorname{argmin}hk+1​=argmin is one admissible choice, not the definition.
  • The standing assumption (3.50) is a hypothesis of Theorem 3.11 as well as of 3.12 and 3.13, because the book imposes it for the rest of the section on p. 79.
  • In Lemma 3.3, β>0\beta > 0β>0 is added (the bound divides by β2\beta^2β2). "Body" means nonempty interior. An isolated local minimum is a local minimum with a neighbourhood containing no other local minimum.
  • Runs exist, so the hypotheses are not vacuous. For f(t)=∣t1∣+2∣t2∣f(t) = |t_1| + 2|t_2|f(t)=∣t1​∣+2∣t2​∣ (four quadrant pieces), started at the minimizer x0=0x_0 = 0x0​=0 with null steps, one can choose gf(xk+1)=−gf(xk)g_f(x_{k+1}) = -g_f(x_k)gf​(xk+1​)=−gf​(xk​) at every step, and 0∉Gf0 \notin G_f0∈/Gf​ keeps rk≠0r_k \neq 0rk​=0. A formalization under which no infinite run exists would make every theorem vacuous. The run predicate also forbids the degenerate reading hk+1<0h_{k+1} < 0hk+1​<0, under which the monotonicity condition (a) would hold vacuously on an empty segment.
  • Needed infrastructure: widths of compact convex sets under linear maps (via the singular values of BBB), the effect of a rank-one dilation on widths, determinant bounds for products of dilations, and Gram-determinant continuity. The first three apply to any space-dilation method and are welcome as independent lemmas.

Selected references

  • N. Z. Shor, Minimization Methods for Non-Differentiable Functions, Springer Series in Computational Mathematics 3, Springer 1985, §3.7, pp. 77–85. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-82118-9
  • N. Z. Shor, N. G. Zhurbenko, A minimization method using the operation of space dilation in the direction of the difference of two successive gradients, Kibernetika (Kiev), no. 3, 51–59, 1971 (listed in the bibliography of Shor 1985; no online copy known).
  • N. Z. Shor, The analysis of convergence of a gradient type method with space dilation in the direction of the difference of two successive gradients, Kibernetika (Kiev), no. 4, 48–53, 1975 (listed in the bibliography of Shor 1985; no online copy known).
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ProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Diffusion approximations for open queueing networks with service interruptions 2: jump-diffusion heavy-traffic limit for long up and down timesResearch Paper

Motivation

Servers in manufacturing lines, communication links and service systems break down, are taken offline for maintenance, or go on vacation. When the interruptions are rare but long, they dominate congestion. A single down period can build a backlog that takes a long time to clear, and in a network that backlog propagates downstream. Standard heavy-traffic diffusion approximations, which describe queue lengths by reflected Brownian motion, do not capture this effect.

Chen and Whitt (Queueing Systems 13, 1993) identify a regime in which the effect survives in the limit. Up times are of order nnn and down times of order n\sqrt nn​, while the load is within 1/n1/\sqrt n1/n​ of capacity. Under the diffusion scaling each down period then becomes a jump, and the limit of the queue-length process is a reflected jump-diffusion. The paper generalises the single-station result of Kella and Whitt (Adv. Appl. Probab. 22, 1990; reference [22] of the paper) to open networks.

Timeline:

  • 1981: Harrison and Reiman define the multidimensional reflection map on continuous paths (Ann. Probab. 9). Reiman (Math. Oper. Res. 9, 1984) extends it to paths with jumps.
  • 1990: Kella and Whitt prove the one-station jump-diffusion limit for long up and down times.
  • 1991: Chen and Mandelbaum give fluid and diffusion limits of open networks without interruptions (Math. Oper. Res. 16 and Ann. Probab. 19; references [5], [6] of the paper).
  • 1993: Chen and Whitt prove the network case with interruptions (this mission), in Skorohod's M1M_1M1​ topology.

Setting

A network has JJJ single-server stations. Customers arrive from outside station jjj according to a counting process AjA_jAj​. Station jjj completes Sj(t)S_j(t)Sj​(t) services in its first ttt units of busy time. The lllth departure from station kkk is routed to station jjj when the indicator χkj(l)=1\chi_{kj}(l)=1χkj​(l)=1, and Rkj(m)=∑l≤mχkj(l)R_{kj}(m)=\sum_{l\le m}\chi_{kj}(l)Rkj​(m)=∑l≤m​χkj​(l) counts such departures. Station jjj alternates up periods u1j,u2j,…u^j_1,u^j_2,\dotsu1j​,u2j​,… and down periods d1j,d2j,…d^j_1,d^j_2,\dotsd1j​,d2j​,…, starting up, and Dj(t)D_j(t)Dj​(t) is its cumulative down time in [0,t][0,t][0,t]. With a work-conserving discipline, the queue length ZZZ and the busy time BBB satisfy

Zj(t)=Zj(0)+Aj(t)+∑kRkj(Sk(Bk(t)))−Sj(Bj(t)),Bj(t)=∫0t1[Zj(s)>0, j up at s] ds,Z_j(t)=Z_j(0)+A_j(t)+\sum_{k}R_{kj}\big(S_k(B_k(t))\big)-S_j(B_j(t)),\qquad B_j(t)=\int_0^t 1[Z_j(s)>0,\ j\text{ up at }s]\,ds ,Zj​(t)=Zj​(0)+Aj​(t)+k∑​Rkj​(Sk​(Bk​(t)))−Sj​(Bj​(t)),Bj​(t)=∫0t​1[Zj​(s)>0, j up at s]ds,

and the idle time is Yj(t)=t−Dj(t)−Bj(t)Y_j(t)=t-D_j(t)-B_j(t)Yj​(t)=t−Dj​(t)−Bj​(t).

The reflection map (ψ,ϕ)(\psi,\phi)(ψ,ϕ) associated with a matrix QQQ takes a path xxx to the pair (y,z)(y,z)(y,z) with z=x+(I−Q)y≥0z=x+(I-Q)y\ge 0z=x+(I−Q)y≥0, yyy nondecreasing, and yjy_jyj​ increasing only when zj=0z_j=0zj​=0.

A sequence of networks is indexed by nnn. The arrival, service and routing processes satisfy functional central limit theorems with rates λn→λ\lambda^n\to\lambdaλn→λ and μn→μ\mu^n\to\muμn→μ at speed 1/n1/\sqrt n1/n​. Up and down times scale as (ukj,n/n, dkj,n/n)⇒(ukj,dkj)(u^{j,n}_k/n,\ d^{j,n}_k/\sqrt n)\Rightarrow(u^j_k,d^j_k)(ukj,n​/n, dkj,n​/n​)⇒(ukj​,dkj​). The network is balanced, λ=[I−Pt]μ\lambda=[I-P^{\mathsf t}]\muλ=[I−Pt]μ, with PPP the routing matrix. The limit down time D^j(t)\hat D_j(t)D^j​(t) is the sum of dkjd^j_kdkj​ over the up periods completed by time ttt, which is a pure-jump process.

The M1M_1M1​ topology on paths with jumps compares completed graphs, in which each jump is filled in by the straight segment from x(t−)x(t-)x(t−) to x(t)x(t)x(t), through their monotone parametrisations.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1, case J=1J=1J=1

For a single station with feedback probability p∈[0,1)p\in[0,1)p∈[0,1), with Z^n(t)=n−1/2Zn(nt)\hat Z^n(t)=n^{-1/2}Z^n(nt)Z^n(t)=n−1/2Zn(nt), B^n(t)=n−1/2[Bn(nt)−nt]\hat B^n(t)=n^{-1/2}[B^n(nt)-nt]B^n(t)=n−1/2[Bn(nt)−nt], Y^n(t)=n−1/2Yn(nt)\hat Y^n(t)=n^{-1/2}Y^n(nt)Y^n(t)=n−1/2Yn(nt) and D^n(t)=n−1/2Dn(nt)\hat D^n(t)=n^{-1/2}D^n(nt)D^n(t)=n−1/2Dn(nt),

(Z^n,B^n,Y^n,D^n)⇒(Z^,B^,Y^,D^)in D((0,∞),R4,M1).(\hat Z^n,\hat B^n,\hat Y^n,\hat D^n)\Rightarrow(\hat Z,\hat B,\hat Y,\hat D)\quad\text{in }D((0,\infty),\mathbb R^{4},M_1).(Z^n,B^n,Y^n,D^n)⇒(Z^,B^,Y^,D^)in D((0,∞),R4,M1​).

Here Z^=ϕ(X^)\hat Z=\phi(\hat X)Z^=ϕ(X^), Y^=μ−1ψ(X^)\hat Y=\mu^{-1}\psi(\hat X)Y^=μ−1ψ(X^) and B^=−D^−Y^\hat B=-\hat D-\hat YB^=−D^−Y^, with Q=pQ=pQ=p and

X^(t)=Z^(0)+ξ^(t)+(cλ−(1−p)cμ)t+(1−p)μD^(t).\hat X(t)=\hat Z(0)+\hat\xi(t)+\big(c_\lambda-(1-p)c_\mu\big)t+(1-p)\mu\hat D(t).X^(t)=Z^(0)+ξ^​(t)+(cλ​−(1−p)cμ​)t+(1−p)μD^(t).

The paper states Theorem 4.1 for JJJ stations, with the analogous formulas and Q=PtQ=P^{\mathsf t}Q=Pt. The mission's goal is its case J=1J=1J=1 (see Formalization scope).

Milestones

  1. Lemma 4.1: D^n⇒D^\hat D^n\Rightarrow\hat DD^n⇒D^ in D((0,∞),RJ,M1)D((0,\infty),\mathbb R^J,M_1)D((0,∞),RJ,M1​).
  2. Lemma 4.2: n−1Bjn(nt)→tn^{-1}B^n_j(nt)\to tn−1Bjn​(nt)→t u.o.c.
  3. Eq. (4.24): n−1/2ξn(nt)→ξ^(t)n^{-1/2}\xi^n(nt)\to\hat\xi(t)n−1/2ξn(nt)→ξ^​(t) u.o.c.
  4. Eqs. (4.28)–(4.29): (n−1/2Xn(nt), n−1/2Dn(nt))→(X^,D^)\big(n^{-1/2}X^n(nt),\,n^{-1/2}D^n(nt)\big)\to(\hat X,\hat D)(n−1/2Xn(nt),n−1/2Dn(nt))→(X^,D^) jointly in M1M_1M1​.
  5. The almost-sure form of Theorem 4.1 on a Skorohod representation space, case J=1J=1J=1.

Significance

The theorem yields a tractable approximation for networks with rare long interruptions: a reflected Lévy-type process driven by a Brownian part and a compound jump part. Its distribution can be studied through the reflection map. The jump directions [I−Pt]diag⁡(μ)ej[I-P^{\mathsf t}]\operatorname{diag}(\mu)e_j[I−Pt]diag(μ)ej​ make explicit how an outage at one station drains its downstream stations while its own queue builds up. Remark (4.3) of the paper derives a diffusion analogue of Little's law from the same limit.

The theorem is proved in the paper, and no part of it has been formalized. A formalization would produce the first machine-checked M1M_1M1​ topology on paths with jumps, a heavy-traffic limit theorem for a queueing network, and the random-time-change argument for counting processes.

Difficulty

The obvious argument chains three facts: the primitive processes converge, hence so does the scaled free process XXX, and the reflection map is continuous. Two steps break. First, subtraction is not continuous in M1M_1M1​ when the two paths jump at the same time in opposite directions, so the joint convergence of D^n\hat D^nD^n across stations needs (4.11) and one common parametrisation. Second, the reflection map is Lipschitz in the uniform topology, but the uniform topology cannot see jumps that occur at nearby times. Carrying the convergence through the reflection map in the M1M_1M1​ topology requires controlling how the regulator and the regulated process move along each jump segment of X^\hat XX^, jointly for all coordinates.

Formalization scope

Stations are Fin J; the network index is n : ℕ, and only n→∞n\to\inftyn→∞ enters. Durations are indexed from 000 in Lean. The queue length is integer valued, (3.2) is computed in Z\mathbb ZZ, and a solution satisfies Z≥0Z\ge 0Z≥0.

  • Solutions, not constructions. Every statement quantifies over all solutions (Zn,Bn)(Z^n,B^n)(Zn,Bn) of (3.2)–(3.3) and all reflection pairs of X^\hat XX^. Existence and uniqueness are asserted in the paper by citation and are not assumed or proved here.
  • M1M_1M1​. Parametric representations are monotone in the order of the completed graph, which is the standard definition. The page states only that the time component is nondecreasing. Convergence on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) means convergence on every [a,b][a,b][a,b] with 0<a<b0<a<b0<a<b continuity points of the limit. Jump segments are segments in Rd\mathbb R^dRd (strong M1M_1M1​). Convergence in D((0,∞),⋅,M1)D((0,\infty),\cdot,M_1)D((0,∞),⋅,M1​) includes the requirement that every path be càdlàg on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), so a copy of the limit that is continuous nowhere cannot satisfy the continuity-point condition vacuously.
  • Weak convergence is in coupling form: one probability space carries copies with the right laws that converge almost surely. The limits in (4.1)–(4.4) are continuous, so there the mode is u.o.c.
  • Corrected printed errors. Lemma 4.2 is stated with n−1n^{-1}n−1 in place of the printed n−1/2n^{-1/2}n−1/2, as in its proof. The map on p. 346 is read as ϕ(X)=Z\phi(X)=Zϕ(X)=Z, ψ(X)=diag⁡(μ)Y\psi(X)=\operatorname{diag}(\mu)Yψ(X)=diag(μ)Y, following (4.13). The reflection map allows y(0)≥0y(0)\ge 0y(0)≥0, because X^(0)\hat X(0)X^(0) may leave the orthant when D^(0)>0\hat D(0)>0D^(0)>0; when x(0)≥0x(0)\ge 0x(0)≥0 this agrees with (2.2).
  • Added hypotheses. The processes Zn,Bn,Z^,Y^Z^n,B^n,\hat Z,\hat YZn,Bn,Z^,Y^ are assumed to be stochastic processes (measurable at each time). All networks share one probability space, so that the routing is literally common. No independence is assumed.
  • The goal is the case J=1J=1J=1 of Theorem 4.1. The printed theorem claims strong M1M_1M1​ convergence, with one parametric representation for all 4J4J4J coordinates, for every JJJ. For J≥2J\ge 2J≥2 that claim fails: during an upstream outage, a downstream queue that empties part-way through the jump bends the prelimit graph of (D^j,Y^k)(\hat D_j,\hat Y_k)(D^j​,Y^k​), while the limit's completed graph is a straight segment. For J=1J=1J=1 every coordinate moves linearly through each jump. The milestones Lemma 4.1, Lemma 4.2, (4.24) and (4.28)–(4.29) are stated for general JJJ, and the almost-sure core of the proof for J=1J=1J=1.

A trivializing formalization is excluded. The hypotheses are satisfiable (for example by deterministic arrival and service processes), N^\hat NN^ is used only when ∑kukj=∞\sum_ku^j_k=\infty∑k​ukj​=∞, and laws are compared only for measurable path maps.

Needed infrastructure: the Skorohod space with the M1M_1M1​ topology and its characterization on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), continuity of addition and of composition with continuous time changes, the multidimensional reflection map on paths with jumps, and a Skorohod representation argument. Proofs of Lemma 4.1 and Lemma 4.2 are welcome independently.

Selected references

  • H. Chen, W. Whitt, Diffusion approximations for open queueing networks with service interruptions, Queueing Systems 13 (1993) 335–359. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01149260
  • O. Kella, W. Whitt, Diffusion approximations for queues with server vacations, Adv. Appl. Probab. 22 (1990) 706–729 (reference [22] of the paper).
  • J. M. Harrison, M. I. Reiman, Reflected Brownian motion on an orthant, Ann. Probab. 9 (1981) 302–308. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176994472
  • H. Chen, A. Mandelbaum, Discrete flow networks: diffusion approximations and bottlenecks, Ann. Probab. 19 (1991) 1463–1519 (reference [6] of the paper).
  • M. I. Reiman, Open queueing networks in heavy traffic, Math. Oper. Res. 9 (1984) 441–458 (reference [25] of the paper).
  • W. Whitt, Some useful functions for functional limit theorems, Math. Oper. Res. 5 (1980) 67–85. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.5.1.67
  • A. V. Skorohod, Limit theorems for stochastic processes, Theory Probab. Appl. 1 (1956) 261–290. https://doi.org/10.1137/1101022
10 thms1 active userReviewed
Control TheoryDynamical SystemsProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stabilization of Hybrid Systems by Feedback Control Based on Discrete-Time State Observations II: Mean-Square and Almost Sure Exponential StabilityResearch Paper

Motivation

Many engineered systems switch between a finite number of operating modes at random times: a power grid after a line failure, a networked controller whose links drop, a manufacturing plant whose machines break down and are repaired. A standard model for such systems is a hybrid stochastic differential equation, also called an SDE with Markovian switching: the state follows an Itô equation whose coefficients depend on a mode that evolves as a continuous-time Markov chain. The monograph of Mao and Yuan (Stochastic Differential Equations with Markovian Switching, 2006) develops the stability theory of these equations.

A controller that stabilizes such a system usually needs the current state. In practice the state is sampled: it is observed at times 0,τ,2τ,…0,\tau,2\tau,\dots0,τ,2τ,… and the control is held between observations. Mao (Automatica 49, 2013) showed that, under a global Lipschitz condition on the drift and diffusion, a feedback control based on discrete-time observations makes a hybrid SDE mean-square exponentially stable when τ\tauτ is small enough. You, Liu, Lu, Mao and Qiu (SIAM J. Control Optim. 53(2), 2015) replaced that condition by local Lipschitz continuity plus linear growth, gave an explicit bound (3.5) on the admissible observation interval, and proved H∞H_\inftyH∞​-stability, asymptotic stability, and, in Section 4, exponential stability in mean square and almost surely with an explicit rate. This mission formalizes that exponential stability result, Theorem 4.2, and the steps of its proof.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,{Ft}t≥0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\{\mathcal F_t\}_{t\ge0},\mathbb P)(Ω,F,{Ft​}t≥0​,P) be a probability space with a filtration satisfying the usual conditions (increasing, right-continuous, F0\mathcal F_0F0​ contains the null sets). On it live an mmm-dimensional {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Brownian motion www and a right-continuous {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Markov chain rrr on S={1,…,N}S=\{1,\dots,N\}S={1,…,N} with generator Γ=(γij)\Gamma=(\gamma_{ij})Γ=(γij​) (γij≥0\gamma_{ij}\ge0γij​≥0 for i≠ji\ne ji=j, zero row sums), independent of www. Fix τ>0\tau>0τ>0 and the sampling time δt=[t/τ]τ\delta_t=[t/\tau]\tauδt​=[t/τ]τ. The controlled system is

dx(t)=(f(x(t),r(t),t)+u(x(δt),r(t),t))dt+g(x(t),r(t),t) dw(t),x(0)=x0, r(0)=r0,(2.1)dx(t)=\big(f(x(t),r(t),t)+u(x(\delta_t),r(t),t)\big)dt+g(x(t),r(t),t)\,dw(t),\qquad x(0)=x_0,\ r(0)=r_0,\tag{2.1}dx(t)=(f(x(t),r(t),t)+u(x(δt​),r(t),t))dt+g(x(t),r(t),t)dw(t),x(0)=x0​, r(0)=r0​,(2.1)

with f,u:Rn×S×R+→Rnf,u:\mathbb R^n\times S\times\mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R^nf,u:Rn×S×R+​→Rn and g:Rn×S×R+→Rn×mg:\mathbb R^n\times S\times\mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R^{n\times m}g:Rn×S×R+​→Rn×m.

The hypotheses are:

  • Assumption 2.1: f,gf,gf,g locally Lipschitz in xxx, and ∣f(x,i,t)∣≤K1∣x∣|f(x,i,t)|\le K_1|x|∣f(x,i,t)∣≤K1​∣x∣, ∣g(x,i,t)∣≤K2∣x∣|g(x,i,t)|\le K_2|x|∣g(x,i,t)∣≤K2​∣x∣ (∣g∣|g|∣g∣ the trace norm).
  • Assumption 2.2: ∣u(x,i,t)−u(y,i,t)∣≤K3∣x−y∣|u(x,i,t)-u(y,i,t)|\le K_3|x-y|∣u(x,i,t)−u(y,i,t)∣≤K3​∣x−y∣ and u(0,i,t)=0u(0,i,t)=0u(0,i,t)=0.
  • Assumption 3.1: there are U∈C2,1(Rn×S×R+;R+)U\in C^{2,1}(\mathbb R^n\times S\times\mathbb R_+;\mathbb R_+)U∈C2,1(Rn×S×R+​;R+​) and λ1,λ2>0\lambda_1,\lambda_2>0λ1​,λ2​>0 with LU(x,i,t)+λ1∣Ux(x,i,t)∣2≤−λ2∣x∣2\mathcal LU(x,i,t)+\lambda_1|U_x(x,i,t)|^2\le-\lambda_2|x|^2LU(x,i,t)+λ1​∣Ux​(x,i,t)∣2≤−λ2​∣x∣2, where
LU=Ut+Ux[f+u]+12trace⁡[gTUxxg]+∑jγijU(x,j,t).\mathcal LU=U_t+U_x[f+u]+\tfrac12\operatorname{trace}[g^TU_{xx}g]+\sum_j\gamma_{ij}U(x,j,t).LU=Ut​+Ux​[f+u]+21​trace[gTUxx​g]+j∑​γij​U(x,j,t).
  • Assumption 4.1: c1∣x∣2≤U(x,i,t)≤c2∣x∣2c_1|x|^2\le U(x,i,t)\le c_2|x|^2c1​∣x∣2≤U(x,i,t)≤c2​∣x∣2 with c1,c2>0c_1,c_2>0c1​,c2​>0.
  • Condition (3.5): λ2>τK32λ1[2τ(K12+2K32)+K22]\lambda_2>\frac{\tau K_3^2}{\lambda_1}\big[2\tau(K_1^2+2K_3^2)+K_2^2\big]λ2​>λ1​τK32​​[2τ(K12​+2K32​)+K22​] and τ≤14K3\tau\le\frac1{4K_3}τ≤4K3​1​.

Put θ=K32/λ1\theta=K_3^2/\lambda_1θ=K32​/λ1​, λ=λ2−θτ[2τ(K12+2K32)+K22]\lambda=\lambda_2-\theta\tau[2\tau(K_1^2+2K_3^2)+K_2^2]λ=λ2​−θτ[2τ(K12​+2K32​)+K22​] (positive by (3.5)), and

H1=θτ(2τ(K12+2K32)+K22)+24θτ4K341−6τ2K32,H2=12θτ2K32(τK12+K22)1−6τ2K32.H_1=\theta\tau\big(2\tau(K_1^2+2K_3^2)+K_2^2\big)+\frac{24\theta\tau^4K_3^4}{1-6\tau^2K_3^2},\qquad H_2=\frac{12\theta\tau^2K_3^2(\tau K_1^2+K_2^2)}{1-6\tau^2K_3^2}.H1​=θτ(2τ(K12​+2K32​)+K22​)+1−6τ2K32​24θτ4K34​​,H2​=1−6τ2K32​12θτ2K32​(τK12​+K22​)​.

In Lean these are Assumption21, Assumption22, C21, LU, Assumption31, Assumption41, Condition35, theta, lam, H1, H2, rateEquationLHS; the basis is HybridSetup, the Itô integral IsItoIntegral, the sampling time delta, solutions SolvesSampledHybridSDE, and the functional (4.7) Vbar, all in the namespace You2015.Expo.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.2 (exponential stability)

Under the hypotheses above, the equation

2τγe2τγ(H1+τH2)+γc2=λ(4.4)2\tau\gamma e^{2\tau\gamma}(H_1+\tau H_2)+\gamma c_2=\lambda\tag{4.4}2τγe2τγ(H1​+τH2​)+γc2​=λ(4.4)

has a unique root γ>0\gamma>0γ>0, and every solution of (2.1) satisfies

lim sup⁡t→∞1tlog⁡(E∣x(t)∣2)≤−γ,lim sup⁡t→∞1tlog⁡∣x(t)∣≤−γ2a.s.\limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac1t\log\big(\mathbb E|x(t)|^2\big)\le-\gamma,\qquad\limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac1t\log|x(t)|\le-\frac\gamma2\quad\text{a.s.}t→∞limsup​t1​log(E∣x(t)∣2)≤−γ,t→∞limsup​t1​log∣x(t)∣≤−2γ​a.s.

for all x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn, r0∈Sr_0\in Sr0​∈S.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. (3.15) E∣x(t)−x(δt)∣2≤2E∫δtt[τ∣f+u(x(δs),⋅)∣2+∣g∣2]ds\mathbb E|x(t)-x(\delta_t)|^2\le2\mathbb E\int_{\delta_t}^t[\tau|f+u(x(\delta_s),\cdot)|^2+|g|^2]dsE∣x(t)−x(δt​)∣2≤2E∫δt​t​[τ∣f+u(x(δs​),⋅)∣2+∣g∣2]ds.
  2. Theorem 3.2 (H∞H_\inftyH∞​-stability): ∫0∞E∣x(s)∣2ds<∞\int_0^\infty\mathbb E|x(s)|^2ds<\infty∫0∞​E∣x(s)∣2ds<∞.
  3. (3.21) E∣x(s)−x(δs)∣2≤3(τK12+K22)1−6τ2K32∫δssE∣x(z)∣2dz+6τ2K321−6τ2K32E∣x(s)∣2\mathbb E|x(s)-x(\delta_s)|^2\le\frac{3(\tau K_1^2+K_2^2)}{1-6\tau^2K_3^2}\int_{\delta_s}^s\mathbb E|x(z)|^2dz+\frac{6\tau^2K_3^2}{1-6\tau^2K_3^2}\mathbb E|x(s)|^2E∣x(s)−x(δs​)∣2≤1−6τ2K32​3(τK12​+K22​)​∫δs​s​E∣x(z)∣2dz+1−6τ2K32​6τ2K32​​E∣x(s)∣2.
  4. (4.11) EVˉ(x^z,r^z,z)≤(H1+τH2)∫z−2τzE∣x(y)∣2dy\mathbb E\bar V(\hat x_z,\hat r_z,z)\le(H_1+\tau H_2)\int_{z-2\tau}^z\mathbb E|x(y)|^2dyEVˉ(x^z​,r^z​,z)≤(H1​+τH2​)∫z−2τz​E∣x(y)∣2dy for z≥2τz\ge2\tauz≥2τ.
  5. (4.14) c1eγtE∣x(t)∣2≤Cc_1e^{\gamma t}\mathbb E|x(t)|^2\le Cc1​eγtE∣x(t)∣2≤C for t≥2τt\ge2\taut≥2τ.
  6. (4.14) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (4.3), the mean-square-to-almost-sure transfer cited from Mao–Yuan [23, Theorem 8.8].

Significance

The result. Theorem 4.2 gives a quantitative guarantee: a controller that samples the state every τ\tauτ units makes the switching system decay exponentially, with a rate γ\gammaγ computable from the constants of the assumptions. Asymptotic stability (Section 3 of the paper) says nothing about how fast trajectories settle; the rate is what a designer trades against the sampling cost when choosing τ\tauτ. The almost sure statement concerns individual trajectories, which is what an operator observes.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them is machine-checked. Mathlib has real Brownian motion but no Itô integral, no stochastic differential equations and no continuous-time Markov chains. The mission therefore also produces a definition layer: a filtration under the usual conditions, a multidimensional {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Brownian motion, an {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Markov chain with a given generator, the L2L^2L2 Itô integral of vector-valued integrands, and the solution notion of an SDE with Markovian switching and a sampled-state delay. A related but different layer exists on Prove2Me for Ethier–Kurtz (EthierKurtz_IsStandardBrownian, EthierKurtz_HasBrownianItoIntegral, EthierKurtz_SolvesBrownianSDE); it has no mode switching and no sampled state, so it cannot express (2.1). Formalization also checks the constants: it found that the printed H1H_1H1​ in (4.5) disagrees with the paper's own derivation (see below).

Difficulty

Equation (2.1) is a stochastic differential delay equation whose delay t−δtt-\delta_tt−δt​ is bounded but jumps at every observation time, so the delay-equation stability theorems that require a differentiable delay with derivative below one (Mao–Yuan, p. 285) do not apply. A Lyapunov function of the current state alone leaves the term Ux[u(x(t))−u(x(δt))]U_x[u(x(t))-u(x(\delta_t))]Ux​[u(x(t))−u(x(δt​))], which has no sign and depends on the path over a whole observation interval. An exponential rate requires controlling this delay term with an exponential weight, and the weight inflates the delay contribution by a factor e2τγe^{2\tau\gamma}e2τγ; the rate equation (4.4) records exactly this balance. The almost sure part does not follow from the mean-square part by Chebyshev's inequality at fixed times alone: a pathwise bound needs control of the supremum of ∣x∣|x|∣x∣ over each unit interval, which involves the martingale part of the solution.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • The state space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so ∣x∣|x|∣x∣ is the Euclidean norm; the explicit constants in (3.5), (3.21), (4.5) depend on it. The diffusion ggg is given by its mmm columns and ∣g∣2=∑k∣gk∣2|g|^2=\sum_k|g_k|^2∣g∣2=∑k​∣gk​∣2 (trace norm). Modes are Fin N (0-based). Time is ℝ≥0; time integrals are over subsets of R\mathbb RR at s.toNNReal.
  • Every expectation of a nonnegative quantity (E∣x∣2\mathbb E|x|^2E∣x∣2, EVˉ\mathbb E\bar VEVˉ) and every time integral of one is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so a non-integrable process cannot produce a junk value 000.
  • Logarithms. The paper's log⁡\loglog takes the value −∞-\infty−∞ at 000. For a finite a(t)≥0a(t)\ge0a(t)≥0, lim sup⁡t→∞1tlog⁡a(t)≤−γ\limsup_{t\to\infty}\frac1t\log a(t)\le-\gammalimsupt→∞​t1​loga(t)≤−γ is stated in the equivalent form "for every γ′<γ\gamma'<\gammaγ′<γ, eventually a(t)≤e−γ′ta(t)\le e^{-\gamma't}a(t)≤e−γ′t". Lean's Real.log 0 = 0 never enters. In (4.3) the almost-sure quantifier is outside the quantifier over γ′\gamma'γ′.
  • Correction of (4.5). The page prints the last term of H1H_1H1​ as 24τ3K34/(1−6τ2K32)24\tau^3K_3^4/(1-6\tau^2K_3^2)24τ3K34​/(1−6τ2K32​). Substituting (3.21) into (4.9), as the proof does, gives 24θτ4K34/(1−6τ2K32)24\theta\tau^4K_3^4/(1-6\tau^2K_3^2)24θτ4K34​/(1−6τ2K32​) (the same computation reproduces the printed H2H_2H2​). The mission uses the corrected H1H_1H1​ in the goal, (4.11) and (4.14). With the printed value the claimed rate could exceed what the proof yields whenever θτ>1\theta\tau>1θτ>1.
  • "The unique root" is a conjunct of the goal (∃! γ>0\exists!\,\gamma>0∃!γ>0); the stability conclusions are stated for every positive root. "(so λ>0\lambda>0λ>0)" is a consequence of (3.5), not a hypothesis. (4.4) is kept as an equality.
  • "The solution of (2.1)" is read as every process satisfying the solution definition: progressively measurable, almost surely continuous paths, E∣x(t)∣2<∞\mathbb E|x(t)|^2<\inftyE∣x(t)∣2<∞ for each ttt, and for each ttt, almost surely, the integral equation with Itô integrals in the L2L^2L2 sense. Existence and uniqueness (cited from Mao–Yuan on p. 908) are not asserted.
  • "An mmm-dimensional Brownian motion" and "a Markov chain with generator Γ\GammaΓ" are read in the Mao–Yuan framework the paper cites: an {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Brownian motion with independent coordinates and increments independent of the past, and an {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Markov chain with transition matrix etΓe^{t\Gamma}etΓ. The usual conditions are kept as hypotheses.
  • "Locally Lipschitz" is uniform in the mode and time on each ball. C2,1C^{2,1}C2,1 carries its derivatives Ut,Ux,UxxU_t,U_x,U_{xx}Ut​,Ux​,Uxx​ as witnesses tied to UUU by derivative relations and joint continuity.
  • "τ>0\tau>0τ>0 sufficiently small for (3.5)" means every τ>0\tau>0τ>0 satisfying both inequalities of (3.5). U,λ1,λ2,c1,c2,τU,\lambda_1,\lambda_2,c_1,c_2,\tauU,λ1​,λ2​,c1​,c2​,τ are data. The constant CCC of (4.14) is chosen after x0x_0x0​, r0r_0r0​, the solution and γ\gammaγ, and before ttt.
  • (3.15), (3.21) and the transfer (4.14) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (4.3) are stated under fewer hypotheses than the surrounding proof has (Assumptions 2.1, 2.2, τ>0\tau>0τ>0, and for (3.21) τ≤1/(4K3)\tau\le1/(4K_3)τ≤1/(4K3​)), because their derivations use no more. Vˉ\bar VVˉ of (4.7) is used only for z≥2τz\ge2\tauz≥2τ, where no extension of the solution to negative times is needed. Other misprints on the page (g(x,i,s)=f(x,i,0)g(x,i,s)=f(x,i,0)g(x,i,s)=f(x,i,0) on p. 909, V(x^0,r^0,t)V(\hat x_0,\hat r_0,t)V(x^0​,r^0​,t) for V(x^0,r^0,0)V(\hat x_0,\hat r_0,0)V(x^0​,r^0​,0) on p. 918, the swapped ∨,∧\vee,\wedge∨,∧ on p. 907) are not formalized.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the expectations are not Bochner integrals, log⁡0\log 0log0 is never evaluated, the goal asserts that the rate equation has exactly one positive root (so the stability clauses are not vacuous), the solution notion admits the true solution and requires path continuity, and the derivative witnesses of UUU are tied to UUU. A sorry-free local check confirms that Assumptions 2.1, 2.2, 4.1, condition (3.5) and λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 hold for n=m=N=1n=m=N=1n=m=N=1, f=g=0f=g=0f=g=0, u(x)=−xu(x)=-xu(x)=−x, U=∣x∣2U=|x|^2U=∣x∣2, K1=K2=K3=1K_1=K_2=K_3=1K1​=K2​=K3​=1, λ1=1/4\lambda_1=1/4λ1​=1/4, λ2=1\lambda_2=1λ2​=1, c1=c2=1c_1=c_2=1c1​=c2​=1, τ=1/10\tau=1/10τ=1/10; for these data LU+λ1∣Ux∣2=−∣x∣2\mathcal LU+\lambda_1|U_x|^2=-|x|^2LU+λ1​∣Ux​∣2=−∣x∣2 by hand.

Welcome contributions: the Itô isometry and Itô's formula for the L2L^2L2 integral defined here, a generalized Itô formula for functions of a Markov-modulated Itô process, the Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequality, and the Borel–Cantelli argument that turns mean-square exponential decay into almost sure decay. These are reusable far beyond this mission. Section 3 of the paper (asymptotic stability) is a separate mission of the same series.

Selected references

  • S. You, W. Liu, J. Lu, X. Mao, Q. Qiu, Stabilization of Hybrid Systems by Feedback Control Based on Discrete-Time State Observations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 53(2), 905–925, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1137/140985779
  • X. Mao, C. Yuan, Stochastic Differential Equations with Markovian Switching, Imperial College Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1142/p473
  • X. Mao, Stabilization of continuous-time hybrid stochastic differential equations by discrete-time feedback control, Automatica 49(12), 3677–3681, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.automatica.2013.09.005
13 thms1 active userReviewed
Dynamic ProgrammingProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Exit Problems for Spectrally Negative Lévy Processes and Applications to (Canadized) Russian Options II: Optimal Stopping for the Perpetual Russian OptionResearch Paper

Motivation

A Russian option is a perpetual American-type claim that pays, when the holder exercises at time τ\tauτ, the maximum of the asset price seen so far, discounted by e−ατe^{-\alpha\tau}e−ατ. It was introduced by Shepp and Shiryaev for the Black–Scholes market (Shepp–Shiryaev 1993), where the underlying log-price is a Brownian motion with drift. Empirical work on asset returns (skewness, heavy tails, downward jumps) motivates replacing the Brownian motion by a Lévy process with negative jumps only. Avram, Kyprianou and Pistorius (2004) solve the Russian optimal stopping problem in that model in closed form, in terms of the scale functions of the process.

Timeline. 1993: Shepp and Shiryaev solve the Russian problem for geometric Brownian motion; Duffie and Harrison give its no-arbitrage price. Graversen and Peskir, and Kyprianou and Pistorius, treat further variants within the Black–Scholes market (the works the paper cites in §6). 2004: Avram, Kyprianou and Pistorius solve it for every spectrally negative Lévy process, covering both unbounded and bounded variation, using the exit problem of the reflected process Y=X‾−XY=\overline X-XY=X−X (their Theorem 1, the subject of the first mission of this series).

Setting

Let (Ω,F,F={Ft}t≥0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbf F=\{\mathcal F_t\}_{t\ge0},\mathbb P)(Ω,F,F={Ft​}t≥0​,P) be a filtered probability space with a right-continuous filtration, and X={Xt, t≥0}X=\{X_t,\ t\ge0\}X={Xt​, t≥0} a spectrally negative Lévy process for F\mathbf FF: X0=0X_0=0X0​=0, càdlàg paths with no positive jumps, independent and stationary increments with Xs+t−XsX_{s+t}-X_sXs+t​−Xs​ independent of Fs\mathcal F_sFs​, and paths that are not monotone. The standing assumption of the paper is that XXX has unbounded variation, or bounded variation and a Lévy measure absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure.

The Laplace exponent is ψ(θ)=log⁡E[eθX1]\psi(\theta)=\log\mathbb E[e^{\theta X_1}]ψ(θ)=logE[eθX1​], and Φ(q)\Phi(q)Φ(q) is the largest root of ψ(θ)=q\psi(\theta)=qψ(θ)=q. For q≥0q\ge0q≥0 the qqq-scale function W(q):R→[0,∞)W^{(q)}:\mathbb R\to[0,\infty)W(q):R→[0,∞) is the unique function that vanishes on (−∞,0](-\infty,0](−∞,0], is continuous on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), and satisfies ∫0∞e−θxW(q)(x) dx=(ψ(θ)−q)−1\int_0^\infty e^{-\theta x}W^{(q)}(x)\,dx=(\psi(\theta)-q)^{-1}∫0∞​e−θxW(q)(x)dx=(ψ(θ)−q)−1 for θ>Φ(q)\theta>\Phi(q)θ>Φ(q). Then Z(q)(x)=1+q∫−∞xW(q)(z) dzZ^{(q)}(x)=1+q\int_{-\infty}^xW^{(q)}(z)\,dzZ(q)(x)=1+q∫−∞x​W(q)(z)dz. The tilted scale functions Wv(p)W_v^{(p)}Wv(p)​ are those of the exponent ψv(θ)=ψ(θ+v)−ψ(v)\psi_v(\theta)=\psi(\theta+v)-\psi(v)ψv​(θ)=ψ(θ+v)−ψ(v).

Fix r≥0r\ge0r≥0 with ψ(1)=r\psi(1)=rψ(1)=r (the risk-neutral condition), and let P1\mathbb P^1P1 be the Esscher measure, dP1/dP∣Ft=eXt−rtd\mathbb P^1/d\mathbb P|_{\mathcal F_t}=e^{X_t-rt}dP1/dP∣Ft​​=eXt​−rt. For z≥0z\ge0z≥0, under P−z1\mathbb P^1_{-z}P−z1​ the process starts at −z-z−z with running maximum X‾t=max⁡{0,sup⁡u≤tXu}\overline X_t=\max\{0,\sup_{u\le t}X_u\}Xt​=max{0,supu≤t​Xu​}, and the reflected process Y=X‾−XY=\overline X-XY=X−X starts at Y0=zY_0=zY0​=z. The passage time is τk=inf⁡{t≥0:Yt∉[0,k)}\tau_k=\inf\{t\ge0:Y_t\notin[0,k)\}τk​=inf{t≥0:Yt​∈/[0,k)}. Fix α>0\alpha>0α>0 and put q=α+rq=\alpha+rq=α+r.

The Russian optimal stopping problem (28) is

wR(z)=sup⁡τ E−z1[e−ατ+Yτ],w^R(z)=\sup_\tau\ \mathbb E^1_{-z}\big[e^{-\alpha\tau+Y_\tau}\big],wR(z)=τsup​ E−z1​[e−ατ+Yτ​],

the supremum over all P1\mathbb P^1P1-almost surely finite F\mathbf FF-stopping times. The option price is Vr(M0,S0)=S0 wR(log⁡(M0/S0))V_r(M_0,S_0)=S_0\,w^R(\log(M_0/S_0))Vr​(M0​,S0​)=S0​wR(log(M0​/S0​)).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

With the optimal level (30) and the candidate value

κ∗=inf⁡{x: Z(q)(x)≤qW(q)(x)},u(z)=ezZ(q)(κ∗−z),\kappa^*=\inf\{x:\ Z^{(q)}(x)\le qW^{(q)}(x)\},\qquad u(z)=e^zZ^{(q)}(\kappa^*-z),κ∗=inf{x: Z(q)(x)≤qW(q)(x)},u(z)=ezZ(q)(κ∗−z),

for every z≥0z\ge0z≥0,

wR(z)=u(z)=E−z1[e−ατκ∗+Yτκ∗],w^R(z)=u(z)=\mathbb E^1_{-z}\big[e^{-\alpha\tau_{\kappa^*}+Y_{\tau_{\kappa^*}}}\big],wR(z)=u(z)=E−z1​[e−ατκ∗​+Yτκ∗​​],

and τκ∗\tau_{\kappa^*}τκ∗​ is a P1\mathbb P^1P1-a.s. finite F\mathbf FF-stopping time.

Milestones

  1. Remark 4: W(u)(x)=evxWv(u−ψ(v))(x)W^{(u)}(x)=e^{vx}W_v^{(u-\psi(v))}(x)W(u)(x)=evxWv(u−ψ(v))​(x).
  2. Lemma 1: Z(q)(x)/W(q)(x)→q/Φ(q)Z^{(q)}(x)/W^{(q)}(x)\to q/\Phi(q)Z(q)(x)/W(q)(x)→q/Φ(q) as x→∞x\to\inftyx→∞ (for q≥0q\ge0q≥0, with the paper's convention for 0/Φ(0)0/\Phi(0)0/Φ(0)).
  3. Remark 3: Wv(0+)=0W_v(0+)=0Wv​(0+)=0 if and only if XXX has unbounded variation.
  4. Corollary 1, (29): the value of stopping at τk\tau_kτk​,
E−z1(e−ατk+Yτk)=ez(Z(q)(k−z)+Z(q)(k)−qW(q)(k)W(q)′(k)−W(q)(k)W(q)(k−z)).\mathbb E^1_{-z}\big(e^{-\alpha\tau_k+Y_{\tau_k}}\big)=e^z\Big(Z^{(q)}(k-z)+\frac{Z^{(q)}(k)-qW^{(q)}(k)}{W^{(q)\prime}(k)-W^{(q)}(k)}W^{(q)}(k-z)\Big).E−z1​(e−ατk​+Yτk​​)=ez(Z(q)(k−z)+W(q)′(k)−W(q)(k)Z(q)(k)−qW(q)(k)​W(q)(k−z)).
  1. Lemma 2 (i): for q>rq>rq>r, f=Z(q)−qW(q)f=Z^{(q)}-qW^{(q)}f=Z(q)−qW(q) decreases on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) to −∞-\infty−∞.
  2. Lemma 2 (ii): κ∗=0\kappa^*=0κ∗=0 if W(q)(0+)≥q−1W^{(q)}(0+)\ge q^{-1}W(q)(0+)≥q−1; otherwise κ∗>0\kappa^*>0κ∗>0 is the unique root of fff.
  3. The stopped process e−α(t∧τκ∗)u(Yt∧τκ∗)e^{-\alpha(t\wedge\tau_{\kappa^*})}u(Y_{t\wedge\tau_{\kappa^*}})e−α(t∧τκ∗​)u(Yt∧τκ∗​​) is a P1\mathbb P^1P1-martingale.
  4. E−z1[e−αt+YtZ(q)(κ∗−Yt)]≤ezZ(q)(κ∗−z)\mathbb E^1_{-z}[e^{-\alpha t+Y_t}Z^{(q)}(\kappa^*-Y_t)]\le e^zZ^{(q)}(\kappa^*-z)E−z1​[e−αt+Yt​Z(q)(κ∗−Yt​)]≤ezZ(q)(κ∗−z).
  5. e−αtu(Yt)e^{-\alpha t}u(Y_t)e−αtu(Yt​) is a P1\mathbb P^1P1-supermartingale.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 gives the price of the perpetual Russian option and its optimal exercise rule for every exponential spectrally negative Lévy market. The rule is to exercise when the ratio of the running maximum to the current price first reaches eκ∗e^{\kappa^*}eκ∗. The level is explicit through scale functions, and it separates the regimes: for bounded variation with W(q)(0+)≥q−1W^{(q)}(0+)\ge q^{-1}W(q)(0+)≥q−1, immediate exercise is optimal. The theorem is the model case of a general method: an optimal stopping problem for a functional of (X,X‾)(X,\overline X)(X,X) is reduced, by a change of measure, to one for the reflected process, and solved by verification. The same method underlies the Canadized Russian option (third mission of the series).

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; it has no machine-checked proof. This mission produces a Lean statement of the full verification theorem, including admissibility of τκ∗\tau_{\kappa^*}τκ∗​. It also states the analytic facts about scale functions that the proof relies on (Lemmas 1, 2 and Remarks 3, 4), which apply to any problem phrased in scale functions.

Difficulty

The obvious route is the classical verification: show that e−αtu(Yt)e^{-\alpha t}u(Y_t)e−αtu(Yt​) is a supermartingale, apply optional stopping, and check equality at τκ∗\tau_{\kappa^*}τκ∗​. The first step fails as a direct Itô computation. In the unbounded-variation case uuu is only C1C^1C1 at κ∗\kappa^*κ∗, and in the bounded-variation case only continuous there. The generator of YYY is nonlocal, so smoothness away from κ∗\kappa^*κ∗ does not control the jump part of the process across the boundary. The equality case needs the exact value of stopping at τk\tau_kτk​ (Corollary 1). That value requires the overshoot of YYY over kkk, which is caused by a downward jump of XXX, and the exit problem of the reflected process. Finally, P1\mathbb P^1P1 is not equivalent to P\mathbb PP on F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​, so passing from P\mathbb PP-facts to P1\mathbb P^1P1-facts is valid only on each Ft\mathcal F_tFt​.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • Time is [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) (ℝ≥0) and values are real. Random times take values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] (WithTop ℝ≥0), and the payoff is set to 000 on {τ=∞}\{\tau=\infty\}{τ=∞}, a P1\mathbb P^1P1-null event for admissible τ\tauτ.
  • The spectrally negative Lévy process is a structure: measurable marginals, X0=0X_0=0X0​=0, independent increments, stationary increments, càdlàg paths, no positive jumps, not almost surely monotone. Paths start at 000, are càdlàg, and have no positive jumps for every ω\omegaω, not merely almost surely. Adaptedness, independence of increments from the past, and right-continuity of F\mathbf FF are added for the filtered version.
  • "The usual conditions" are read as right-continuity only; completeness is not imposed. P1\mathbb P^1P1 is typically singular to P\mathbb PP on F∞\mathcal F_\inftyF∞​, so a complete F0\mathcal F_0F0​ would contradict (3).
  • "Unbounded variation" means "not almost surely of bounded variation on compacts". Condition (AC) is stated through jumps: no jump lands in a Lebesgue-null set, almost surely. The standing assumption is "bounded variation implies (AC)".
  • ψ\psiψ is Mathlib's cumulant generating function; "ψ(v)<∞\psi(v)<\inftyψ(v)<∞" is integrability of evX1e^{vX_1}evX1​.
  • W(q)W^{(q)}W(q) is a definite description (choice among functions with the properties of Definition 2) for q≥0q\ge0q≥0, and the series (5) for q<0q<0q<0. Z(q)Z^{(q)}Z(q) integrates over (−∞,x](-\infty,x](−∞,x].
  • P1\mathbb P^1P1 is data (a probability measure Q\mathbb QQ) with Q∣Ft=eXt−rt⋅P∣Ft\mathbb Q|_{\mathcal F_t}=e^{X_t-rt}\cdot\mathbb P|_{\mathcal F_t}Q∣Ft​​=eXt​−rt⋅P∣Ft​​ for all ttt. P−z1\mathbb P^1_{-z}P−z1​ is encoded by the reflected process with prior maximum 000 and starting point −z-z−z.
  • The value function is a supremum in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] of lower Lebesgue integrals. Expectation identities (Corollary 1, the display on p. 230) are stated in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and thereby assert finiteness.
  • W(q)(0+)W^{(q)}(0+)W(q)(0+) is Function.rightLim, and κ∗\kappa^*κ∗ is the real infimum (30); its nonemptiness is Lemma 2, not a hypothesis. τ0=0\tau_0=0τ0​=0 extends the paper's τk\tau_kτk​, k>0k>0k>0.
  • Readings of informal words: "decreases monotonically" is strict decrease on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); "the unique root" is on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); Lemma 1 is formalized for q≥0q\ge0q≥0, with 0/Φ(0)0/\Phi(0)0/Φ(0) read as lim⁡θ↓0θ/Φ(θ)\lim_{\theta\downarrow0}\theta/\Phi(\theta)limθ↓0​θ/Φ(θ) as the paper stipulates; Remarks 3 and 4 for real qqq, uuu only. The p. 230 martingale, bound and supermartingale claims are stated under the standing assumption, covering all three cases of the proof.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the supremum ranges over every P1\mathbb P^1P1-a.s. finite stopping time of the given filtration (not only passage times, not a smaller filtration), and it is taken in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], where no junk value of an unbounded real supremum can occur.

Infrastructure a complete development needs: Lévy processes on path space, their Laplace exponents and Esscher transforms, scale functions (existence, uniqueness, smoothness under the standing assumption), the reflected process and the exit identity of Theorem 1, optional stopping for continuous-time supermartingales, and Itô/change-of-variables formulas for semimartingales with jumps. The scale-function and Esscher layers are reusable for the other missions of this series and for any fluctuation-theory problem. Contributions to any of these layers, or to the milestones separately, are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Avram, A. E. Kyprianou, M. R. Pistorius, Exit problems for spectrally negative Lévy processes and applications to (Canadized) Russian options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14(1), 215–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1075828052
  • L. Shepp, A. N. Shiryaev, The Russian option: reduced regret, Ann. Appl. Probab. 3(3), 631–640, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005715
  • J. Bertoin, Lévy Processes, Cambridge Tracts in Mathematics 121, Cambridge University Press, 1996. ISBN 0-521-56243-0
  • A. E. Kyprianou, Fluctuations of Lévy Processes with Applications, 2nd ed., Springer, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37632-0
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Dynamic ProgrammingProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Optimal Dividend Problem for a Spectrally Negative Lévy Process II: Optimality of the Double-Barrier Strategy at d* with Bail-Out LoansResearch Paper

Dividends, ruin and bail-out loans

An insurance company's surplus in the Cramér–Lundberg model grows linearly with premiums and falls by claims arriving as a compound Poisson process. When premium income exceeds the expected claims, the surplus drifts to infinity. De Finetti (1957) proposed that the surplus above a barrier should instead be paid to shareholders as dividends, and the resulting optimal dividend problem — maximize the expected discounted dividends — is a central problem of risk theory. A barrier policy, however, drives the surplus below zero with probability one. Harrison and Taylor (1978) and Løkka and Zervos studied, for Brownian motion, a variant with bail-out loans: ruin is forbidden, and the shareholders must inject capital whenever the surplus would become negative, at a cost φ>1\varphi>1φ>1 per unit.

Avram, Palmowski and Pistorius (Ann. Appl. Probab. 17 (2007)) solved the bail-out problem when the surplus is a general spectrally negative Lévy process, which includes the Cramér–Lundberg model, Brownian motion with drift and their sums. They showed that the optimal policy is a double barrier policy for every initial capital. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3 of the paper.

Timeline:

  • 1957 — de Finetti introduces dividend barriers.
  • 1978 — Harrison and Taylor: optimal control of a Brownian storage system with two reflecting barriers.
  • 1995 — Jeanblanc and Shiryaev: optimal dividends for Brownian motion with drift.
  • 2004 — Avram, Kyprianou and Pistorius: exit problems for spectrally negative Lévy processes reflected at their infimum and supremum, in terms of scale functions.
  • 2007 — Avram, Palmowski and Pistorius: Theorems 1 and 3 of the present paper; Pistorius' pathwise construction of the doubly reflected process is used.

Setting

A spectrally negative Lévy process X={Xt}t≥0X=\{X_t\}_{t\ge0}X={Xt​}t≥0​ on a filtered probability space (Ω,F,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb F,P)(Ω,F,F,P) starts at X0=0X_0=0X0​=0, has càdlàg paths, is F\mathbb FF-adapted, and has stationary increments with Xt−XsX_t-X_sXt​−Xs​ independent of Fs\mathcal F_sFs​. Its jumps are all negative, and E[eθXt]=etψ(θ)E[e^{\theta X_t}]=e^{t\psi(\theta)}E[eθXt​]=etψ(θ) for θ≥0\theta\ge0θ≥0, where the Laplace exponent is

ψ(θ)=cθ+σ22θ2+∫(−∞,0)(eθy−1−θy1{∣y∣<1}) ν(dy).\psi(\theta)=c\theta+\tfrac{\sigma^2}{2}\theta^2+\int_{(-\infty,0)}(e^{\theta y}-1-\theta y\mathbf 1_{\{|y|<1\}})\,\nu(dy).ψ(θ)=cθ+2σ2​θ2+∫(−∞,0)​(eθy−1−θy1{∣y∣<1}​)ν(dy).

With initial capital x≥0x\ge0x≥0 the surplus is x+Xx+Xx+X. The standing assumptions are: XXX does not have monotone paths; E[X1]>−∞E[X_1]>-\inftyE[X1​]>−∞ (so ψ′(0+)=E[X1]\psi'(0+)=E[X_1]ψ′(0+)=E[X1​] is finite); σ>0\sigma>0σ>0, or ∫(−1,0)∣y∣ν(dy)=∞\int_{(-1,0)}|y|\nu(dy)=\infty∫(−1,0)​∣y∣ν(dy)=∞, or ν\nuν has a density (condition (3.3)).

A policy πˉ=(L,R)\bar\pi=(L,R)πˉ=(L,R) consists of nondecreasing adapted processes with L0=R0=0L_0=R_0=0L0​=R0​=0: cumulative dividends LLL (left-continuous) and cumulative injected capital RRR (right-continuous). The controlled surplus is Vt=x+Xt−Lt+RtV_t=x+X_t-L_t+R_tVt​=x+Xt​−Lt​+Rt​. The policy is admissible if Vt≥0V_t\ge0Vt​≥0 for t>0t>0t>0 and ∫0∞e−qtdRt<∞\int_0^\infty e^{-qt}dR_t<\infty∫0∞​e−qtdRt​<∞ almost surely. Its value and the value function are

vˉπˉ(x)=E[∫0∞e−qtdLt−φ∫0∞e−qtdRt],vˉ∗(x)=sup⁡πˉ admissiblevˉπˉ(x),\bar v_{\bar\pi}(x)=E\Bigl[\int_0^\infty e^{-qt}dL_t-\varphi\int_0^\infty e^{-qt}dR_t\Bigr],\qquad \bar v_*(x)=\sup_{\bar\pi\ \text{admissible}}\bar v_{\bar\pi}(x),vˉπˉ​(x)=E[∫0∞​e−qtdLt​−φ∫0∞​e−qtdRt​],vˉ∗​(x)=πˉ admissiblesup​vˉπˉ​(x),

with discount rate q>0q>0q>0 and cost φ>1\varphi>1φ>1. The double-barrier strategy πˉ0,a\bar\pi_{0,a}πˉ0,a​ pays out (x−a)+(x-a)^+(x−a)+ at once and then the minimal dividends and injections that keep VVV in [0,a][0,a][0,a]: dLdLdL is carried by {V=a}\{V=a\}{V=a} and dRdRdR by {V=0}\{V=0\}{V=0}.

The qqq-scale function W=W(q)W=W^{(q)}W=W(q) vanishes on (−∞,0)(-\infty,0)(−∞,0), is continuous and nondecreasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and satisfies ∫0∞e−θyW(y)dy=1/(ψ(θ)−q)\int_0^\infty e^{-\theta y}W(y)dy=1/(\psi(\theta)-q)∫0∞​e−θyW(y)dy=1/(ψ(θ)−q) for θ>Φ(q)\theta>\Phi(q)θ>Φ(q), the largest root of ψ=q\psi=qψ=q. Set W‾(y)=∫0yW\overline W(y)=\int_0^yWW(y)=∫0y​W, Z=1+qW‾Z=1+q\overline WZ=1+qW, Z‾(y)=∫0yZ\overline Z(y)=\int_0^yZZ(y)=∫0y​Z. The candidate value of πˉ0,a\bar\pi_{0,a}πˉ0,a​ is

vˉa(x)=φ(Z‾(x)+ψ′(0+)/q)+Z(x)1−φZ(a)qW(a)(0≤x≤a),vˉa(x)=x−a+vˉa(a)(x>a),\bar v_a(x)=\varphi\bigl(\overline Z(x)+\psi'(0+)/q\bigr)+Z(x)\frac{1-\varphi Z(a)}{qW(a)}\quad(0\le x\le a),\qquad \bar v_a(x)=x-a+\bar v_a(a)\quad(x>a),vˉa​(x)=φ(Z(x)+ψ′(0+)/q)+Z(x)qW(a)1−φZ(a)​(0≤x≤a),vˉa​(x)=x−a+vˉa​(a)(x>a),

and the barrier level is d∗=inf⁡{a>0:[φZ(a)−1]W′(a)−φqW(a)2≤0}d^*=\inf\{a>0:[\varphi Z(a)-1]W'(a)-\varphi qW(a)^2\le0\}d∗=inf{a>0:[φZ(a)−1]W′(a)−φqW(a)2≤0}, with inf⁡∅=∞\inf\emptyset=\inftyinf∅=∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3

d∗<∞,vˉ∗(x)=vˉd∗(x)  (x≥0),πˉ0,d∗ exists, is admissible and attains vˉ∗(x).d^*<\infty,\qquad \bar v_*(x)=\bar v_{d^*}(x)\ \ (x\ge0),\qquad \bar\pi_{0,d^*}\ \text{exists, is admissible and attains }\bar v_*(x).d∗<∞,vˉ∗​(x)=vˉd∗​(x)  (x≥0),πˉ0,d∗​ exists, is admissible and attains vˉ∗​(x).

Milestones

  • Lemma 1: W‾(y)/W‾(a)≤W(y)/W(a)\overline W(y)/\overline W(a)\le W(y)/W(a)W(y)/W(a)≤W(y)/W(a) for 0≤y≤a0\le y\le a0≤y≤a.
  • Proposition 2, (3.17): the expected discounted undershoot Ex[e−qT0−XT0−]E_x[e^{-qT_0^-}X_{T_0^-}]Ex​[e−qT0−​XT0−​​] in closed form.
  • Theorem 1: the expected discounted dividends and injections of πˉ0,a\bar\pi_{0,a}πˉ0,a​, a>0a>0a>0, in closed form; hence vˉπˉ0,a=vˉa\bar v_{\bar\pi_{0,a}}=\bar v_avˉπˉ0,a​​=vˉa​.
  • Lemma 2(ii): d∗=0d^*=0d∗=0 if and only if σ=0\sigma=0σ=0 and ν(−∞,0)≤q/(φ−1)\nu(-\infty,0)\le q/(\varphi-1)ν(−∞,0)≤q/(φ−1).
  • Proposition 3(ii): d∗<∞d^*<\inftyd∗<∞ and vˉa≤vˉd∗\bar v_a\le\bar v_{d^*}vˉa​≤vˉd∗​ for all levels aaa.
  • Lemma 3(ii)–(iv): 1≤vˉd∗′≤φ1\le\bar v_{d^*}'\le\varphi1≤vˉd∗′​≤φ with boundary slopes; a↦vˉa(x)a\mapsto\bar v_a(x)a↦vˉa​(x) nonincreasing for a>d∗a>d^*a>d∗; vˉd∗\bar v_{d^*}vˉd∗​ concave.
  • Lemma 5: (Γvˉd∗−qvˉd∗)≤0(\Gamma\bar v_{d^*}-q\bar v_{d^*})\le0(Γvˉd∗​−qvˉd∗​)≤0 on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), with equality on (0,d∗)(0,d^*)(0,d∗).
  • Proposition 4(ii): any C2C^2C2 solution of the variational inequality (5.9) dominates vˉ∗\bar v_*vˉ∗​.

Significance

Theorem 3 answers the bail-out problem completely: for every initial capital and every spectrally negative Lévy surplus, the optimal policy is a double barrier with an explicit level and an explicit value in terms of scale functions. In the classical problem without injections (Theorem 2 of the same paper) the analogous conclusion needs an extra generator condition, and Azcue and Muler exhibited Cramér–Lundberg models where barrier policies are not optimal. The result is the basis of later work on dividends with capital injection, transaction costs and Parisian ruin.

The result has a published proof. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version. As far as is known, no part of the theory used — Lévy processes, scale functions, doubly reflected processes, the generator of a Lévy process, singular stochastic control — has been formalized in Lean's Mathlib.

Difficulty

The value function is a supremum over all adapted singular controls. Its upper bound requires a verification argument: Itô's formula for e−qtw(Vt)e^{-qt}w(V_t)e−qtw(Vt​) with a semimartingale VVV that has jumps, a controlled bounded-variation part and a possibly nonzero continuous martingale part, followed by localization and limits. A function that satisfies the variational inequality only in the viscosity sense is not enough, so the candidate vˉd∗\bar v_{d^*}vˉd∗​ must be shown to be regular enough and to satisfy Γvˉd∗−qvˉd∗≤0\Gamma\bar v_{d^*}-q\bar v_{d^*}\le0Γvˉd∗​−qvˉd∗​≤0 everywhere on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞). Above the barrier this inequality does not follow from a martingale property: the paper derives it from concavity and a comparison with higher barriers, through the resolvent of the doubly reflected process. The lower bound requires the existence and value of the doubly reflected process, and computing that value needs fluctuation identities (two-sided exit, overshoot) that are themselves theorems about scale functions.

Formalization scope

Time is indexed by R≥0\mathbb R_{\ge0}R≥0​. The process is a structure carrying the triplet (c,σ,ν)(c,\sigma,\nu)(c,σ,ν), the paths, adaptedness, independence of future increments from Fs\mathcal F_sFs​, stationarity, the Laplace-exponent identity, and the usual conditions on the filtration. PxP_xPx​ is the law of x+Xx+Xx+X. Policy values are computed as E[∫e−qtdL]−φE[∫e−qtdR]E[\int e^{-qt}dL]-\varphi E[\int e^{-qt}dR]E[∫e−qtdL]−φE[∫e−qtdR] in the extended reals from two [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]-valued expectations, and the value function is a supremum in the extended reals; a policy with both expectations infinite gets −∞-\infty−∞. Stieltjes integrals include the jump at time 000. The scale function is a hypothesis IsScaleFunction (it is unique), and d∗d^*d∗ lives in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so an empty defining set gives ∞\infty∞. The double-barrier strategy is characterized by the two-sided Skorokhod conditions plus mutual singularity of dLdLdL and dRdRdR, which pins the level-000 policy of bounded-variation processes. These conditions hold almost surely, and they are stated on the post-decision surplus Vt+=x+Xt−Lt++RtV_{t+}=x+X_t-L_{t+}+R_tVt+​=x+Xt​−Lt+​+Rt​: dLdLdL is carried by {Vt+=a}\{V_{t+}=a\}{Vt+​=a} and dRdRdR by {Vt+=0}\{V_{t+}=0\}{Vt+​=0}. This is the paper's "minimal amount" (p. 4) and matches its construction on pp. 10–11. The closure-of-support wording of (4.2) on its own would also admit non-minimal lump dividends. Admissibility, Vt≥0V_t\ge0Vt​≥0 for t>0t>0t>0 together with (2.3), is likewise required almost surely.

Printed slips corrected (milestone texts are verbatim):

  • Theorem 3 and Proposition 3(ii) print "ψ′(0+)<∞\psi'(0+)<\inftyψ′(0+)<∞", which always holds; the intended ψ′(0+)>−∞\psi'(0+)>-\inftyψ′(0+)>−∞ is used.
  • (3.3) prints ∫−10x ν(dx)=∞\int_{-1}^0x\,\nu(dx)=\infty∫−10​xν(dx)=∞ for ∫(−1,0)∣x∣ ν(dx)=∞\int_{(-1,0)}|x|\,\nu(dx)=\infty∫(−1,0)​∣x∣ν(dx)=∞.
  • (3.4) prints e−θxe^{-\theta x}e−θx in a dydydy-integral.
  • p. 20 prints the extension vˉd∗(x)+φx\bar v_{d^*}(x)+\varphi xvˉd∗​(x)+φx for vˉd∗(0)+φx\bar v_{d^*}(0)+\varphi xvˉd∗​(0)+φx.
  • Lemma 3(iv) is printed for every a>0a>0a>0 but proved and used only for a=d∗a=d^*a=d∗, and is stated for a=d∗a=d^*a=d∗.
  • Proposition 3(ii) at a=0a=0a=0 is stated only for bounded variation, where vˉ0\bar v_0vˉ0​ is defined.

The goal cannot be satisfied trivially. It asserts equality of the value function with vˉd∗\bar v_{d^*}vˉd∗​, not only an inequality. Existence of the optimal policy is part of the conclusion. Generator statements carry integrability of the jump integrand, so a non-integrable integrand cannot make them true with the junk value 000.

A complete development needs Lévy processes and their Laplace exponents, scale functions, first-passage and two-sided exit identities, reflected and doubly reflected processes, Itô's formula for semimartingales with jumps, and a verification theorem for singular control. All of these are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions of any of these foundations are welcome, as are proofs of the analytic milestones (Lemma 3, Proposition 3(ii)) from the scale-function properties.

Selected references

  • F. Avram, Z. Palmowski, M. R. Pistorius, On the optimal dividend problem for a spectrally negative Lévy process, Ann. Appl. Probab. 17 (2007) 156–180. https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0702893
  • F. Avram, A. E. Kyprianou, M. R. Pistorius, Exit problems for spectrally negative Lévy processes and applications to (Canadized) Russian options, Ann. Appl. Probab. 14 (2004) 215–238. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1075828052
  • M. R. Pistorius, On doubly reflected completely asymmetric Lévy processes, Stochastic Process. Appl. 107 (2003) 131–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4149(03)00065-9
  • J. M. Harrison, A. J. Taylor, Optimal control of a Brownian storage system, Stochastic Process. Appl. 6 (1978) 179–194. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4149(78)90059-5
  • A. E. Kyprianou, Introductory Lectures on Fluctuations of Lévy Processes with Applications, Springer, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-31343-4
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CombinatoricsGraph Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Graph Minors. V. Excluding a Planar Graph: Bounded Tree-Width without a Planar MinorResearch Paper

Motivation

Tree-width measures how closely a graph resembles a tree. Graphs of bounded tree-width admit dynamic-programming algorithms for problems that are NP-hard in general (colouring, Hamiltonicity, and every property expressible in monadic second-order logic, by Courcelle's theorem), which is why the parameter is central to parameterized complexity and to combinatorial optimization on sparse networks. The question this mission addresses is structural: which excluded substructures force bounded tree-width?

The answer is the Excluded Grid Theorem of Robertson and Seymour: excluding a fixed graph HHH as a minor bounds the tree-width if and only if HHH is planar. The "only if" direction is easy, since grids are planar and have unbounded tree-width. The "if" direction is the content of Graph Minors. V. Excluding a Planar Graph (J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 41 (1986) 92–114). It is a cornerstone of the Graph Minors series that culminates in the Robertson–Seymour theorem (graphs are well-quasi-ordered by the minor relation), and it underlies polynomial-time minor testing for planar HHH (Graph Minors XIII) and the Erdős–Pósa-type results of Sect. 8 of the same paper.

Timeline. Robertson and Seymour, Graph Minors V (1986): tree-width at most an explicit, iterated-exponential function of the grid size. Robertson, Seymour and Thomas, Quickly excluding a planar graph (JCTB 62, 1994): bound 2O(θ5)2^{O(\theta^5)}2O(θ5) for the θ\thetaθ-grid. Chekuri and Chuzhoy (J. ACM 2016): the first polynomial bound. Chuzhoy and Tan (JCTB 2021): O(θ9 polylog θ)O(\theta^9\,\mathrm{polylog}\,\theta)O(θ9polylogθ).

Setting

Graphs are finite. A graph HHH is a minor of GGG if HHH can be obtained by contraction from a subgraph of GGG; equivalently, there are nonempty, pairwise disjoint vertex sets β(w)⊆V(G)\beta(w)\subseteq V(G)β(w)⊆V(G), one per vertex www of HHH, each inducing a connected subgraph, such that every edge ababab of HHH is matched by an edge of GGG between β(a)\beta(a)β(a) and β(b)\beta(b)β(b).

A tree-decomposition of GGG is a tree TTT together with bags Xt⊆V(G)X_t\subseteq V(G)Xt​⊆V(G) (t∈V(T)t\in V(T)t∈V(T)) such that every vertex lies in some bag, both ends of every edge lie in a common bag, and Xt∩Xt′′⊆Xt′X_t\cap X_{t''}\subseteq X_{t'}Xt​∩Xt′′​⊆Xt′​ whenever t′t't′ lies on the path of TTT between ttt and t′′t''t′′. Its width is max⁡t(∣Xt∣−1)\max_t(|X_t|-1)maxt​(∣Xt​∣−1), and the tree-width tw(G)\mathrm{tw}(G)tw(G) is the least width of a tree-decomposition of GGG.

The θ\thetaθ-grid has vertex set {vij:1≤i,j≤θ}\{v_{ij}: 1\le i,j\le\theta\}{vij​:1≤i,j≤θ}, with vijv_{ij}vij​ adjacent to vi′j′v_{i'j'}vi′j′​ exactly when ∣i−i′∣+∣j−j′∣=1|i-i'|+|j-j'|=1∣i−i′∣+∣j−j′∣=1. For even θ≥6\theta\ge 6θ≥6, Fθ\mathcal F_\thetaFθ​ is the class of graphs with no minor isomorphic to the θ\thetaθ-grid. Every planar graph HHH is a minor of some even grid of size at least 6; θ(H)\theta(H)θ(H) denotes the least such size.

The paper fixes explicit parameters. For k≥2k\ge 2k≥2: α(2,n)=n+1\alpha(2,n)=n+1α(2,n)=n+1 and α(k,n)=2nθ4+α(k−1,2nθ4+n+1)\alpha(k,n)=2^{n\theta^4}+\alpha(k-1,2^{n\theta^4}+n+1)α(k,n)=2nθ4+α(k−1,2nθ4+n+1). Then θ1=2α(θ2/2,θ2/2)\theta_1=2\alpha(\theta^2/2,\theta^2/2)θ1​=2α(θ2/2,θ2/2); ϕθ1=θ2/2\phi_{\theta_1}=\theta^2/2ϕθ1​​=θ2/2 and ϕk=ϕk+12ϕk+1θ2\phi_k=\phi_{k+1}2^{\phi_{k+1}\theta^2}ϕk​=ϕk+1​2ϕk+1​θ2; θ2=ϕ0+2ϕ1+⋯+2ϕθ1−1+ϕθ1\theta_2=\phi_0+2\phi_1+\dots+2\phi_{\theta_1-1}+\phi_{\theta_1}θ2​=ϕ0​+2ϕ1​+⋯+2ϕθ1​−1​+ϕθ1​​; θ3=(θ2/2)θ2−1\theta_3=(\theta^2/2)^{\theta_2-1}θ3​=(θ2/2)θ2​−1; θ4=θ2(θ3θ2)+12θ2(θ3θ2/2)\theta_4=\theta_2\binom{\theta_3}{\theta_2}+\tfrac12\theta^2\binom{\theta_3}{\theta^2/2}θ4​=θ2​(θ2​θ3​​)+21​θ2(θ2/2θ3​​); θ5=(θ2/2)θ4−1\theta_5=(\theta^2/2)^{\theta_4-1}θ5​=(θ2/2)θ4​−1; θ6=θ3(θ5θ4)+12θ2(θ5θ2/2)\theta_6=\theta_3\binom{\theta_5}{\theta_4}+\tfrac12\theta^2\binom{\theta_5}{\theta^2/2}θ6​=θ3​(θ4​θ5​​)+21​θ2(θ2/2θ5​​); θ7=α(θ5,θ6)\theta_7=\alpha(\theta_5,\theta_6)θ7​=α(θ5​,θ6​); θ8=3θ5(3θ5−1)/4\theta_8=3\theta_5(3^{\theta_5}-1)/4θ8​=3θ5​(3θ5​−1)/4; θ9=θ7(θ8+1)+1\theta_9=\theta_7(\theta_8+1)+1θ9​=θ7​(θ8​+1)+1.

Two auxiliary structures carry the argument. An (m,n)(m,n)(m,n)-web is a pair of families of paths (A1,…,Am)(A_1,\dots,A_m)(A1​,…,Am​), (B1,…,Bn)(B_1,\dots,B_n)(B1​,…,Bn​), each family vertex-disjoint, every AiA_iAi​ meeting every BjB_jBj​, and all m+nm+nm+n paths pairwise edge-disjoint. An (m,n)(m,n)(m,n)-mesh is the same with arbitrary connected subgraphs in place of paths and without edge-disjointness.

Formalization targets

Goal: (2.1)

For every finite planar graph HHH and every finite graph GGG,

H⪯̸G  ⟹  tw(G)≤θ9(θ(H)).H \not\preceq G \;\Longrightarrow\; \mathrm{tw}(G)\le\theta_9\bigl(\theta(H)\bigr).H⪯G⟹tw(G)≤θ9​(θ(H)).

Principal theorem: (7.3)

For even θ≥6\theta\ge 6θ≥6 and G∈FθG\in\mathcal F_\thetaG∈Fθ​,

tw(G)≤θ9.\mathrm{tw}(G)\le\theta_9.tw(G)≤θ9​.

Intermediate targets

  • Sect. 2: every planar graph is a minor of some even θ\thetaθ-grid, θ≥6\theta\ge 6θ≥6.
  • (3.2): nnn disjoint connected subgraphs meeting each of V1,…,VkV_1,\dots,V_kV1​,…,Vk​, or a hitting set of size <α(k,n)<\alpha(k,n)<α(k,n).
  • (4.1), (4.2), (4.4), (4.5), (4.6): no (θ2,θ2)(\theta_2,\theta_2)(θ2​,θ2​)-web in G∈FθG\in\mathcal F_\thetaG∈Fθ​.
  • (5.1), (5.2), (5.3): no (θ5,θ6)(\theta_5,\theta_6)(θ5​,θ6​)-mesh in G∈FθG\in\mathcal F_\thetaG∈Fθ​.
  • (6.2), (6.3), (6.4): weighted and unweighted balanced-cut lemmas valid for all graphs.
  • (7.1), (7.2): separations of order ≤θ7\le\theta_7≤θ7​ splitting V(G)V(G)V(G), or any X⊆V(G)X\subseteq V(G)X⊆V(G), in ratio 1−θ8−11-\theta_8^{-1}1−θ8−1​.

Significance

The theorem converts a qualitative exclusion (no HHH minor) into a quantitative width bound, and it is the entry point of the structure theory of minor-closed classes: every minor-closed class excluding a planar graph has bounded tree-width, and hence all MSO-definable problems on it are solvable in linear time. It is used in the proof of the graph minor theorem, in minor testing, and in the Erdős–Pósa property for planar minors (Sect. 8 of the paper).

The result is proved and classical; to our knowledge it has not been machine-checked in any proof assistant, and Mathlib has no graph minors, tree-decompositions or Menger's theorem. A formalization produces reusable definitions (branch-set minors, tree-decompositions, separations, grids) and a checked proof of the paper's explicit bound. The goal is stated with the paper's constant θ9\theta_9θ9​, not an optimized one; later improvements are stronger variants, not replacements.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt, building a tree-decomposition greedily from small separations, fails because nothing forces small balanced separations to exist. The whole argument supplies them: a graph without a large grid minor has no large mesh (5.3), and a graph with no large mesh has a balanced separation of bounded order (7.1). The step from no grid to no mesh goes through webs and spiders (Sect. 4) and relies on two results from Graph Minors I ((3.1) and (4.3) of the paper, cited without proof), which themselves depend on Menger's theorem. The balanced-cut lemmas (6.2)–(6.4) rest on Tutte's ordering of 2-connected graphs. None of this infrastructure exists in Mathlib.

Formalization scope

Graphs are Mathlib SimpleGraphs on finite types (Fintype V, DecidableEq V). The paper allows loops and multiple edges; for GGG this changes nothing, since every notion used depends only on adjacency, and for HHH in the goal it specializes the theorem to simple planar graphs. Minors use the branch-set model (IsMinor); planarity (IsPlanar) is the existence of a crossing-free drawing in R2\mathbb R^2R2, mirroring the platform's FourColor.IsPlanar. Tree-width is not defined as an infimum; "tree-width at most www" (TreewidthLE) is the existence of a tree-decomposition with all bags of size ≤w+1\le w+1≤w+1 over a finite tree. θ(H)\theta(H)θ(H) enters the goal as a hypothesis IsLeast {t | Even t ∧ 6 ≤ t ∧ IsMinor H (grid t)} θ, which is satisfiable for every planar HHH by the Sect. 2 milestone, so the goal is not vacuous. Every statement of Sects. 3–7 that mentions θ\thetaθ carries the standing assumption "θ\thetaθ even, θ≥6\theta\ge 6θ≥6" as hypotheses. Rational bounds such as (1−θ8−1)∣V(G)∣(1-\theta_8^{-1})|V(G)|(1−θ8−1​)∣V(G)∣ and 2(3k−1)−1∣V(G)∣2(3^k-1)^{-1}|V(G)|2(3k−1)−1∣V(G)∣ are compared in Q\mathbb QQ.

Two printed statements are corrected. (4.5) is printed for 0≤k<θ20\le k<\theta_20≤k<θ2​ and is stated for 0≤k<θ10\le k<\theta_10≤k<θ1​, the only range on which ϕk+1,ψk+1\phi_{k+1},\psi_{k+1}ϕk+1​,ψk+1​ are defined. (5.1) is false as printed for p=1p=1p=1, q≥1q\ge 1q≥1, so it carries the hypothesis "p=1p=1p=1 implies q=0q=0q=0"; the paper uses it only with p=θ2/2p=\theta^2/2p=θ2/2.

Needed infrastructure, reusable well beyond this mission: Menger's theorem, the Graph Minors I linkage results, Tutte's ordering of 2-connected graphs, and a library of lemmas for minors and tree-decompositions. Proofs of any milestone, of the cited results as separate theorems, and of basic API for the definitions are welcome.

Selected references

  • N. Robertson, P. D. Seymour, Graph Minors. V. Excluding a Planar Graph, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 41 (1986) 92–114. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(86)90030-4
  • N. Robertson, P. D. Seymour, Graph Minors. I. Excluding a Forest, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 35 (1983) 39–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-8956(83)90079-5
  • N. Robertson, P. D. Seymour, R. Thomas, Quickly Excluding a Planar Graph, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 62 (1994) 323–348. https://doi.org/10.1006/jctb.1994.1073
  • C. Chekuri, J. Chuzhoy, Polynomial Bounds for the Grid-Minor Theorem, J. ACM 63 (2016), Art. 40. https://doi.org/10.1145/2820609
  • J. Chuzhoy, Z. Tan, Towards Tight(er) Bounds for the Excluded Grid Theorem, J. Combin. Theory Ser. B 146 (2021) 219–265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jctb.2020.09.010
  • B. Courcelle, The Monadic Second-Order Logic of Graphs. I. Recognizable Sets of Finite Graphs, Information and Computation 85 (1990) 12–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/0890-5401(90)90043-H
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Algorithmic Game TheoryOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

A Supply Chain Theory of Factoring and Reverse Factoring 1: The Supplier's Equilibrium Choice Among Recourse, Non-Recourse and Reverse FactoringResearch Paper

Motivation

Small and medium-sized suppliers that sell to large retailers typically ship first and are paid weeks or months later. Until the invoice is paid, the supplier's cash is trapped in accounts receivable, while production has to be financed up front. Factoring (selling or pledging the receivable to a financial intermediary for immediate cash) and reverse factoring (a buyer-initiated program in which the retailer approves the invoice and the supplier is paid early by the retailer's bank) are the standard remedies, and reverse factoring programs of large buyers are often coupled with an extension of payment terms. Which of these instruments a supplier should use, and how the answer depends on the credit ratings of the two firms, is the question addressed by Kouvelis and Xu, "A Supply Chain Theory of Factoring and Reverse Factoring", Management Science 67(10):6071–6088, 2021 (doi:10.1287/mnsc.2020.3788). The paper embeds each financing scheme in the pull wholesale-price game of Cachon (2004) and compares the resulting equilibria.

Setting

A retailer (the Stackelberg leader) offers a wholesale price www to a capital-constrained supplier (the follower), who then chooses a production quantity q≥0q \ge 0q≥0 and carries the inventory; the retail price ppp is fixed, and 0<c<p0 < c < p0<c<p is the unit production cost. Demand D≥0D \ge 0D≥0 has density fff, complementary distribution function Fˉ\bar FFˉ, finite mean, f>0f > 0f>0 on [0,Z][0, \mathbb Z][0,Z] (Z≤+∞\mathbb Z \le +\inftyZ≤+∞), and a strictly increasing failure rate z=f/Fˉz = f/\bar Fz=f/Fˉ (strict IFR). Expected sales are S(q)=∫0qFˉ(ξ) dξS(q) = \int_0^q \bar F(\xi)\,d\xiS(q)=∫0q​Fˉ(ξ)dξ, and k(q)=S(q)/Fˉ(q)k(q) = S(q)/\bar F(q)k(q)=S(q)/Fˉ(q).

Each firm j∈{s,r}j \in \{s, r\}j∈{s,r} has a credit rating Cj∈(Cmin⁡,Cmax⁡)C_j \in (C_{\min}, C_{\max})Cj​∈(Cmin​,Cmax​). The default probability ρj=ρ(Cj)∈[0,1]\rho_j = \rho(C_j) \in [0,1]ρj​=ρ(Cj​)∈[0,1] is strictly decreasing in the rating, and the interest-rate premium ηj=η(Cj)>0\eta_j = \eta(C_j) > 0ηj​=η(Cj​)>0 is decreasing. Production takes a lead time t1t_1t1​, payment follows after a term t2t_2t2​, and the supplier faces a Poisson liquidity shock of rate λs\lambda_sλs​ during production (the retailer, rate λr\lambda_rλr​). Under a scheme i∈{F,N,R}i \in \{\mathcal F, \mathcal N, \mathcal R\}i∈{F,N,R} (recourse, non-recourse, reverse factoring, the last with a payment extension τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0), the supplier's expected profit is

πi(q;w)=(1−ρs)(Λie−λst1wS(q)−cqeηst1),\pi_i(q; w) = (1-\rho_s)\big(\Lambda_i e^{-\lambda_s t_1} w S(q) - c q e^{\eta_s t_1}\big),πi​(q;w)=(1−ρs​)(Λi​e−λs​t1​wS(q)−cqeηs​t1​),

with coefficients ΛF=(1−ρr)+(1−ρs)−eηst2\Lambda_{\mathcal F} = (1-\rho_r) + (1-\rho_s) - e^{\eta_s t_2}ΛF​=(1−ρr​)+(1−ρs​)−eηs​t2​, ΛN=e−ηrt2(1−ρr)\Lambda_{\mathcal N} = e^{-\eta_r t_2}(1-\rho_r)ΛN​=e−ηr​t2​(1−ρr​), ΛR=e−ηr(t2+τ)\Lambda_{\mathcal R} = e^{-\eta_r(t_2+\tau)}ΛR​=e−ηr​(t2​+τ), and effective unit cost ci=c e(ηs+λs)t1/Λic_i = c\,e^{(\eta_s+\lambda_s)t_1}/\Lambda_ici​=ce(ηs​+λs​)t1​/Λi​. The retailer's profit is e−λst1(1−ρr)(p−w)S(q)e^{-\lambda_s t_1}(1-\rho_r)(p-w)S(q)e−λs​t1​(1−ρr​)(p−w)S(q) under factoring and carries the extra factor 2−e−λrτ2 - e^{-\lambda_r \tau}2−e−λr​τ under reverse factoring.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 5

For a given τ≥0\tau \ge 0τ≥0, let C3\mathbb C_3C3​ be the unique supplier rating with ΛF=ΛR\Lambda_{\mathcal F} = \Lambda_{\mathcal R}ΛF​=ΛR​, C1\mathbb C_1C1​ the one with ΛF=ΛN\Lambda_{\mathcal F} = \Lambda_{\mathcal N}ΛF​=ΛN​, and CF,CN,CR\mathbb C_{\mathcal F}, \mathbb C_{\mathcal N}, \mathbb C_{\mathcal R}CF​,CN​,CR​ the feasibility thresholds (ci=pc_i = pci​=p). With all three schemes available,

e−ηrτ<1−ρr:F adopted  ⟺  Cs>CF∨C1,N adopted  ⟺  CN<Cs≤C1;e^{-\eta_r\tau} < 1-\rho_r:\quad \mathcal F \text{ adopted} \iff C_s > \mathbb C_{\mathcal F}\vee\mathbb C_1,\qquad \mathcal N \text{ adopted} \iff \mathbb C_{\mathcal N} < C_s \le \mathbb C_1;e−ηr​τ<1−ρr​:F adopted⟺Cs​>CF​∨C1​,N adopted⟺CN​<Cs​≤C1​; 1−ρr≤e−ηrτ:F adopted  ⟺  Cs>CF∨C3,R adopted  ⟺  CR<Cs≤C3.1-\rho_r \le e^{-\eta_r\tau}:\quad \mathcal F \text{ adopted} \iff C_s > \mathbb C_{\mathcal F}\vee\mathbb C_3,\qquad \mathcal R \text{ adopted} \iff \mathbb C_{\mathcal R} < C_s \le \mathbb C_3.1−ρr​≤e−ηr​τ:F adopted⟺Cs​>CF​∨C3​,R adopted⟺CR​<Cs​≤C3​.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 2 (p. 6078): recourse factoring is feasible iff Cs>CFC_s > \mathbb C_{\mathcal F}Cs​>CF​, and then the unique equilibrium solves pFˉ(q)=cF[1+z(q)k(q)]p\bar F(q) = c_{\mathcal F}[1+z(q)k(q)]pFˉ(q)=cF​[1+z(q)k(q)], w=cF/Fˉ(q)w = c_{\mathcal F}/\bar F(q)w=cF​/Fˉ(q).
  2. Proposition 3 (p. 6079): the same for non-recourse factoring with cNc_{\mathcal N}cN​.
  3. §5.2 (p. 6082, Proposition EC.2): the same for reverse factoring with cR(τ)c_{\mathcal R}(\tau)cR​(τ).
  4. §4.4 (p. 6080, Lemma EC.2): between feasible schemes, the supplier's equilibrium profits are ordered as the Λi\Lambda_iΛi​.
  5. Proposition 4 (p. 6080): the choice between F\mathcal FF and N\mathcal NN alone.

A follow-on item states Corollary 1(i) (p. 6081): when the retailer's rating is at least the supplier's, non-recourse factoring strictly dominates recourse factoring whenever the latter is feasible.

Significance

Proposition 5 is the paper's main prediction: non-recourse factoring is the choice of medium-rated suppliers, recourse factoring of highly rated ones, and reverse factoring with a fixed payment extension is chosen only by low-to-medium-rated suppliers and only if the retailer's rating is not too high relative to the extension. The paper uses it to explain the documented reluctance of suppliers to join reverse-factoring programs that come with extended payment terms (Wuttke, Rosenzweig and Heese 2019; Corsten 2010, a teaching case), and it is the starting point of the paper's Proposition 6 on the retailer's optimal payment extension, which is the subject of the second mission of this series.

The results are proved in the paper's Online Appendix B. To the best of available knowledge none of them, and no model of supply chain finance, has a machine-checked proof. A formal development would also supply a reusable treatment of the pull wholesale-price game under a strictly IFR demand with an arbitrary effective unit cost, of which Propositions 2, 3 and EC.2 are three instances.

Difficulty

The case analysis of Proposition 5 is short once the milestones are available; the substance lies in them. Proposition 2 requires solving a bilevel problem: the follower's best response has to be identified for every wholesale price, including prices at which the supplier produces nothing, and the leader's objective has to be shown to have a single maximizer. The natural route through the first-order condition needs the IFR property to exclude multiple stationary points, and it has to cope with a support end Z\mathbb ZZ that may be finite (where Fˉ\bar FFˉ vanishes and kkk, zzz lose meaning) or infinite. Lemma EC.2 requires the equilibrium supplier profit as an explicit function of the effective cost and a monotonicity argument for it; comparing the Λi\Lambda_iΛi​ directly, without the equilibrium, does not prove it. The proofs themselves are not in the main text.

Formalization scope

Demand is a probability measure μ on ℝ with a density f, the support end Z : EReal, and the complementary distribution function Fbar μ x = μ((x, ∞)). The model data, the coefficients coef, the effective costs cF, cN, cR, the two profit functions, best responses, equilibria, feasibility and adoption are definitions; all theorems are for arbitrary data satisfying Params.Valid and DemandModel. Readings fixed by the formalization:

  • "Feasible": some wholesale price w≥0w \ge 0w≥0 with a supplier best response gives the retailer strictly positive profit. It is not defined as ci<pc_i < pci​<p, which is what Propositions 2 and 3 prove.
  • "Adopted" / "should be adopted": the scheme is feasible and its equilibrium supplier profit is best among the feasible available schemes, with ties resolved R≻N≻F\mathcal R \succ \mathcal N \succ \mathcal FR≻N≻F, the order forced by the paper's boundaries (Cs=C1C_s = \mathbb C_1Cs​=C1​, Cs=C3C_s = \mathbb C_3Cs​=C3​, Cr=C2C_r = \mathbb C_2Cr​=C2​). Profits are compared, not the Λi\Lambda_iΛi​.
  • "The unique value of CsC_sCs​ that satisfies …": a point of (Cmin⁡,Cmax⁡)(C_{\min}, C_{\max})(Cmin​,Cmax​) satisfying the equation and the only such point. The equation cF=pc_{\mathcal F} = pcF​=p is cross-multiplied, c e(ηs+λs)t1=pΛFc\,e^{(\eta_s+\lambda_s)t_1} = p\Lambda_{\mathcal F}ce(ηs​+λs​)t1​=pΛF​, since ΛF\Lambda_{\mathcal F}ΛF​ may be ≤0\le 0≤0.
  • "Cr>C2C_r > \mathbb C_2Cr​>C2​" is read through the paper's equivalence τ>−ηr−1ln⁡(1−ρr)\tau > -\eta_r^{-1}\ln(1-\rho_r)τ>−ηr−1​ln(1−ρr​), i.e. e−ηrτ<1−ρre^{-\eta_r\tau} < 1-\rho_re−ηr​τ<1−ρr​: the stated assumptions give no single crossing in CrC_rCr​.
  • "The unique equilibrium can be derived from …": the equilibrium exists and is unique, and it is exactly the solution of the system with q∈(0,Z)q \in (0, \mathbb Z)q∈(0,Z); this part is stated under feasibility.
  • "Increasing/decreasing" is weak unless stated (p. 6075); ρ\rhoρ is strictly decreasing, η\etaη weakly.
  • Continuity of fff is read on [0,Z][0,\mathbb Z][0,Z], and Z\mathbb ZZ as the upper end of the support.
  • Additions: wholesale prices are nonnegative; the retailer's reverse-factoring profit is the last line of the p. 6082 display (the middle line has a stray factor www).
  • Corollary 1(i): "higher credit rating" is read as Cr≥CsC_r \ge C_sCr​≥Cs​, "dominates" as a strictly larger equilibrium supplier profit whenever recourse is feasible.

A formalization in which feasibility or adoption is defined by the inequalities being proved (ci<pc_i < pci​<p, largest Λi\Lambda_iΛi​) makes the propositions trivial and is ruled out by the definitions above. The profit functions (7), (10) and the p. 6082 display are taken as the model; the derivation from bank and factor pricing (Eqs. (1), (5), (6), Lemma 1) is not formalized, and the unstated assumptions of Table EC.2 are not included. Contributions of reusable lemmas on SSS, kkk and zzz under strict IFR are welcome.

Selected references

  • P. Kouvelis and F. Xu, A Supply Chain Theory of Factoring and Reverse Factoring, Management Science 67(10):6071–6088, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2020.3788
  • G. P. Cachon, The Allocation of Inventory Risk in a Supply Chain: Push, Pull, and Advance-Purchase Discount Contracts, Management Science 50(2):222–238, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0189
  • D. A. Wuttke, E. Rosenzweig, H. S. Heese, An Empirical Analysis of Supply Chain Finance Adoption, Journal of Operations Management 65(3):242–261, 2019.
  • P. Kouvelis and W. Zhao, Who Should Finance the Supply Chain? Impact of Credit Ratings on Supply Chain Decisions, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 20(1):19–35, 2018.
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CombinatoricsOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Branch-and-Price-and-Cut for the Split-Delivery Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows: Some Optimal Solution Traverses Each Pair of Reverse Customer Arcs at Most OnceResearch Paper

Motivation

Vehicle routing problems ask for minimum-cost vehicle routes that deliver goods from a depot to a set of customers. In the split-delivery vehicle routing problem with time windows (SDVRPTW) a customer's demand may be served by several vehicles, and each customer must be visited inside a prescribed time window. Allowing split deliveries matters in practice: for the variant without time windows, Dror and Trudeau (1989) showed empirically that splitting can save substantially, and Archetti, Savelsbergh and Speranza (2006) proved the savings can reach 50%.

Exact methods for the SDVRPTW are branch-and-price algorithms, and they rely on structural properties of optimal solutions to prune the search. Desaulniers (Operations Research 58(1), 2010) collects these properties in §2 of his paper and uses the strongest one, Corollary 2, as a family of valid inequalities (constraint (7)) in his branch-and-price-and-cut method.

Timeline (as reported by Desaulniers 2010, §§1–2).

  • 1989–1990. Dror and Trudeau prove, for the SDVRP without time windows and with the triangle inequality, that some optimal solution has no two routes sharing more than one split customer.
  • 2006. Gendreau, Dejax, Feillet and Gueguen observe that the property holds with time windows, derive the arc-based Corollary 1, and remark that elementary routes suffice (Remark 1).
  • 2010. Desaulniers strengthens Corollary 1 to pairs of reverse arcs (Corollary 2) and exploits it as cutting planes.

Setting

An instance has nnn customers N\mathcal NN, a start depot 000 and an end depot n+1n+1n+1 (the same location at the beginning and end of the planning horizon), and the following data: a vehicle capacity Q>0Q > 0Q>0; a demand di>0d_i > 0di​>0 for each customer, which may exceed QQQ; a time window [ev,lv][e_v, l_v][ev​,lv​] for each node, shared by the two depot copies; nonnegative travel times tvwt_{vw}tvw​, which include the service time at vvv; and nonnegative costs cvwc_{vw}cvw​. The arc set A\mathcal AA contains the idle arc (0,n+1)(0, n+1)(0,n+1) and every arc (v,w)(v, w)(v,w), v≠wv \ne wv=w, with ev+tvw≤lwe_v + t_{vw} \le l_wev​+tvw​≤lw​. The triangle inequality tvx≤tvw+twxt_{vx} \le t_{vw} + t_{wx}tvx​≤tvw​+twx​, cvx≤cvw+cwxc_{vx} \le c_{vw} + c_{wx}cvx​≤cvw​+cwx​ is assumed throughout.

A route is a walk 0→v1→⋯→vm→n+10 \to v_1 \to \dots \to v_m \to n+10→v1​→⋯→vm​→n+1 along arcs of A\mathcal AA, customers possibly repeated, with service start times inside the time windows that respect travel times (waiting is allowed), and nonnegative quantities delivered at its visits whose total is at most QQQ. Its cost is the sum of its arc costs. A solution is a finite family of routes, one per vehicle, with no bound on their number; it is feasible if every customer iii receives in total at least did_idi​, and optimal if it is feasible and no feasible solution costs less. For customers i,ji, ji,j, let xijx_{ij}xij​ be the number of times arc (i,j)(i, j)(i,j) is traversed, summed over all routes of a solution, and let A(N)=A∩(N×N)\mathcal A(\mathcal N) = \mathcal A \cap (\mathcal N \times \mathcal N)A(N)=A∩(N×N).

Formalization targets

All four statements assume the triangle inequality and that the instance has a feasible solution, and assert the existence of an optimal solution with a structural property.

Goal: Corollary 2 (p. 181)

∃ optimal solution with xij+xji≤1for all (i,j)∈A(N).\exists \text{ optimal solution with } x_{ij} + x_{ji} \le 1 \quad \text{for all } (i,j) \in \mathcal A(\mathcal N).∃ optimal solution with xij​+xji​≤1for all (i,j)∈A(N).

The two arcs of a pair of reverse customer arcs are used at most once in total. This is the form constraint (7) of the paper gives to the corollary.

Milestones

  1. Remark 1. Some optimal solution has only elementary routes: no route visits a customer twice.
  2. Theorem 1. Some optimal solution has no two distinct routes with two customers in common.
  3. Corollary 1. Some optimal solution has xij≤1x_{ij} \le 1xij​≤1 for all (i,j)∈A(N)(i, j) \in \mathcal A(\mathcal N)(i,j)∈A(N).

Significance

The result. Corollary 2 turns a property of optimal solutions into linear inequalities on arc-flow variables. Adding them to the arc-flow formulation cuts off fractional points of its linear relaxation while keeping an optimal integer solution, which is how Desaulniers uses them. Remark 1 justifies pricing only elementary routes in column generation. Theorem 1 is the combinatorial fact underneath both corollaries and is reused throughout the split-delivery literature.

Formalizing it. The four results are proved in the literature (Dror–Trudeau; Gendreau et al. 2006); Desaulniers states them without proof. No machine-checked version exists. This mission produces a reusable Lean model of the SDVRPTW (instances, arc sets, feasible routes with schedules and delivery patterns, solutions, optimality) and checked proofs of these properties, including the existence of an optimal solution, which the paper takes for granted.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is local: take an optimal solution that violates the property, shift quantities between two routes, remove a visit, and shortcut. Three points make this less routine than it sounds. First, the statements are existential: each exchange must keep the solution optimal and not reintroduce a violation already removed, so one needs a termination measure that decreases under every exchange (Corollary 2 needs elementarity and the Theorem 1 property simultaneously, not two separate optimal solutions). Second, removing a visit is feasible only because the arc set is defined by time windows: the shortcut arc (v,w)(v, w)(v,w) must be shown to exist from the schedule and the triangle inequality on travel times, and the new schedule must be built explicitly. Third, the feasible set is infinite (real quantities, unbounded walks, unbounded number of vehicles), so the existence of an optimal solution is itself a statement to prove, not a hypothesis.

Formalization scope

Namespace SplitDeliveryVRPTW.Known. Nodes are the inductive type Node n (start, cust i for i : Fin n, finish). All quantities, times and costs are real. The arc set is exactly the set the paper defines (read as "if and only if"), with arcs into the start depot and out of the end depot excluded. The triangle inequality for ttt is imposed on pairwise distinct nodes and for ccc on triples of arcs, where the paper's data is defined. A route is a customer list (repetitions allowed) with a time function over path positions and a quantity function over visits. A solution is an indexed family Fin m → Route I, so identical routes may appear twice. Demand satisfaction uses ≥\ge≥, as constraint (2) does. The per-vehicle bound min⁡{di,Q}\min\{d_i, Q\}min{di​,Q} of constraint (14) is omitted because it changes neither the feasible route patterns nor the costs.

Explicit readings of imprecise phrases:

  • "split customer", "in common" (Theorem 1) are undefined in the paper. A customer two distinct routes visit is split, and the routes have it in common. This visit-based reading is at least as strong as a delivery-based one.
  • Corollary 2's wording "at most one arc in set Aij∗\mathcal A^*_{ij}Aij∗​ appears at most once" is read through constraint (7): the total number of traversals of the arcs of Aij∗\mathcal A^*_{ij}Aij∗​ is at most one. It is stated in the equivalent form free of the choice of A∗(N)\mathcal A^*(\mathcal N)A∗(N).
  • "there exists an optimal solution" is conditional on feasibility, which is the hypothesis added.

Ruled-out trivializations: routes are not restricted to elementary walks (that would make Remark 1 definitional), solutions are not sets (that would forbid duplicate routes), optimality compares against solutions with any number of routes and any visit pattern, "split" is never counted over visits by the same route, capacity and time windows are part of route feasibility, and deliveries occur only at visits.

Useful infrastructure, reusable beyond this mission: shortcut lemmas for feasible routes (removing a visit), exchange lemmas between two routes, and existence of an optimum for split-delivery routing. Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Desaulniers, Branch-and-Price-and-Cut for the Split-Delivery Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows, Operations Research 58(1):179–192, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0713
  • M. Dror, P. Trudeau, Savings by split delivery routing, Transportation Science 23(2):141–145, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.23.2.141
  • M. Dror, P. Trudeau, Split delivery routing, Naval Research Logistics 37(3):383–402, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800370304
  • M. Gendreau, P. Dejax, D. Feillet, C. Gueguen, Vehicle routing with time windows and split deliveries, Technical Report 2006-851, Laboratoire Informatique d'Avignon, 2006.
  • C. Archetti, M. W. P. Savelsbergh, M. G. Speranza, Worst-case analysis for split delivery vehicle routing problems, Transportation Science 40(2):226–234, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1287/trsc.1050.0117
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Control TheoryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimizing Static Linear Feedback: Gradient Method II: The Gradient Flow Stays in the Sublevel Set and Converges Exponentially under State FeedbackResearch Paper

Motivation

The linear-quadratic regulator (LQR) is the basic problem of optimal control: steer a linear system x˙=Ax+Bu\dot x = Ax + Bux˙=Ax+Bu so as to minimize an integrated quadratic cost of state and input. When the full state is measured, the optimal law is a static linear feedback u=−Kxu = -Kxu=−Kx obtained from an algebraic Riccati equation. When only an output y=Cxy = Cxy=Cx is measured, the optimal static output feedback u=−Kyu = -Kyu=−Ky has no closed form, and the problem is nonconvex. In both cases the cost can be written as a function f(K)f(K)f(K) of the gain alone, which makes it natural to minimize fff by gradient methods directly in the space of gains. This view goes back to Levine and Athans (1970) for output feedback and was revived in reinforcement learning by Fazel, Ge, Kakade and Mesbahi (2018), who proved global convergence of policy gradient for discrete-time state-feedback LQR.

Fatkhullin and Polyak (arXiv:2004.09875v2, SIAM J. Control Optim. 2021) carry out this program for the continuous-time problem. They show that fff is coercive, that it is LLL-smooth on every sublevel set, and that under state feedback it satisfies a gradient-domination (Łojasiewicz–Polyak) inequality. From these properties they derive convergence of the continuous gradient flow and of the discrete gradient method. This mission formalizes the continuous part, Theorem 4.1.

Setting

Fix real matrices A∈Rn×nA\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}A∈Rn×n, B∈Rn×mB\in\mathbb R^{n\times m}B∈Rn×m, C∈Rr×nC\in\mathbb R^{r\times n}C∈Rr×n and symmetric positive definite weights Q∈Rn×nQ\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}Q∈Rn×n, R∈Rm×mR\in\mathbb R^{m\times m}R∈Rm×m and covariance Σ∈Rn×n\Sigma\in\mathbb R^{n\times n}Σ∈Rn×n. A gain is K∈Rm×rK\in\mathbb R^{m\times r}K∈Rm×r, and the closed-loop matrix is AK=A−BKCA_K = A - BKCAK​=A−BKC. A square matrix is Hurwitz if all its eigenvalues have negative real part. The stabilizing set is

S={K:AK is Hurwitz}.\mathcal S = \{K : A_K \text{ is Hurwitz}\}.S={K:AK​ is Hurwitz}.

For K∈SK\in\mathcal SK∈S, let X(K)X(K)X(K) and Y(K)Y(K)Y(K) be the unique solutions of the Lyapunov equations

AK⊤X+XAK+C⊤K⊤RKC+Q=0,AKY+YAK⊤+Σ=0.A_K^\top X + XA_K + C^\top K^\top RKC + Q = 0,\qquad A_KY + YA_K^\top + \Sigma = 0 .AK⊤​X+XAK​+C⊤K⊤RKC+Q=0,AK​Y+YAK⊤​+Σ=0.

The LQR cost is f(K)=Tr(X(K)Σ)f(K) = \mathrm{Tr}(X(K)\Sigma)f(K)=Tr(X(K)Σ). It equals the expected infinite-horizon quadratic cost when the initial state has covariance Σ\SigmaΣ. Its gradient with respect to the Frobenius inner product ⟨M,N⟩=Tr(M⊤N)\langle M,N\rangle = \mathrm{Tr}(M^\top N)⟨M,N⟩=Tr(M⊤N) is

∇f(K)=2 (RKC−B⊤X(K)) Y(K) C⊤.\nabla f(K) = 2\,(RKC - B^\top X(K))\,Y(K)\,C^\top .∇f(K)=2(RKC−B⊤X(K))Y(K)C⊤.

Given a known stabilizing gain K0∈SK_0\in\mathcal SK0​∈S, the sublevel set is S0={K∈S:f(K)≤f(K0)}\mathcal S_0 = \{K\in\mathcal S : f(K)\le f(K_0)\}S0​={K∈S:f(K)≤f(K0​)}. The gradient flow is the ODE

K˙(t)=−∇f(K(t)),K(0)=K0.\dot K(t) = -\nabla f(K(t)),\qquad K(0) = K_0 .K˙(t)=−∇f(K(t)),K(0)=K0​.

State feedback (SLQR) is the case C=IC = IC=I; there fff is written fSf_SfS​, and K∗K_*K∗​ denotes a minimizer of fSf_SfS​ on S\mathcal SS. Norms: ∥⋅∥F\|\cdot\|_F∥⋅∥F​ is the Frobenius norm and ∥⋅∥\|\cdot\|∥⋅∥ the spectral norm. λ1(M)\lambda_1(M)λ1​(M) is the smallest eigenvalue of a symmetric MMM.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 for state feedback

For C=IC=IC=I, let L>0L>0L>0 be a Lipschitz constant of ∇f\nabla f∇f on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ and let μ\muμ be the constant (3.11),

μ=λ1(R)λ12(Σ)λ1(Q)8fS(K∗)(∥A∥+∥B∥2fS(K0)/(λ1(Σ)λ1(R)))2.\mu = \frac{\lambda_1(R)\lambda_1^2(\Sigma)\lambda_1(Q)}{8f_S(K_*)\big(\|A\| + \|B\|^2 f_S(K_0)/(\lambda_1(\Sigma)\lambda_1(R))\big)^2}.μ=8fS​(K∗​)(∥A∥+∥B∥2fS​(K0​)/(λ1​(Σ)λ1​(R)))2λ1​(R)λ12​(Σ)λ1​(Q)​.

Then the flow has a solution on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and every solution stays in S0\mathcal S_0S0​, has f(Kt)f(K_t)f(Kt​) nonincreasing, has ∇f(Kt)→0\nabla f(K_t)\to0∇f(Kt​)→0 and min⁡0≤t≤T∥∇f(Kt)∥F2≤f(K0)/T\min_{0\le t\le T}\|\nabla f(K_t)\|_F^2\le f(K_0)/Tmin0≤t≤T​∥∇f(Kt​)∥F2​≤f(K0​)/T, and

∥Kt−K∗∥F≤2L(f(K0)−f(K∗))μ e−μt(t≥0).\|K_t - K_*\|_F \le \frac{\sqrt{2L(f(K_0)-f(K_*))}}{\mu}\,e^{-\mu t}\qquad(t\ge0).∥Kt​−K∗​∥F​≤μ2L(f(K0​)−f(K∗​))​​e−μt(t≥0).

Milestones

In attack order:

  1. Existence of a minimizer (Corollary 3.10).
  2. The gradient formula (Lemma 3.11).
  3. Existence of a Lipschitz constant of ∇f\nabla f∇f on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (Theorem 3.15, qualitative).
  4. The gradient-domination inequality 12∥∇fS(K)∥F2≥μ(fS(K)−fS(K∗))\tfrac12\|\nabla f_S(K)\|_F^2\ge\mu(f_S(K)-f_S(K_*))21​∥∇fS​(K)∥F2​≥μ(fS​(K)−fS​(K∗​)) on S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (Theorem 3.17).
  5. The energy identity ddtf(Kt)=−∥∇f(Kt)∥F2\tfrac{d}{dt}f(K_t) = -\|\nabla f(K_t)\|_F^2dtd​f(Kt​)=−∥∇f(Kt​)∥F2​.
  6. The integral bound of Appendix D.1.
  7. The output-feedback part of Theorem 4.1 (general CCC with rank⁡C=r\operatorname{rank} C = rrankC=r): existence, invariance of S0\mathcal S_0S0​, monotonicity and (4.2).

Significance

The theorem certifies a simple, model-based procedure: start from any stabilizing gain and follow the negative gradient of the cost. The iterate never loses stability, and it converges exponentially to the optimal gain. The same happens for state feedback even though neither fff nor S\mathcal SS is convex. For output feedback it guarantees convergence to stationarity with an explicit O(1/T)O(1/T)O(1/T) rate. The continuous-time result is the template for the discrete gradient method of the same paper (Theorem 4.2) and for policy-gradient analyses of LQR in learning-based control.

The result is proved in the paper. The paper writes out the proof of (4.2) in Appendix D.1. It describes the whole proof as a replica of Theorems 8 and 9 of Polyak 1963, which treat functions satisfying the Łojasiewicz–Polyak inequality on the whole space. No machine-checked version of any of these statements is known. A formal proof would give the first verified treatment of LQR as an optimization problem over gains. It needs Lyapunov equations, the stabilizing set and the cost, together with the analytic facts on which the policy-gradient literature rests: coercivity, smoothness on sublevel sets, and gradient domination.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is the textbook convergence proof for gradient flows of smooth functions satisfying the Łojasiewicz–Polyak inequality. That proof assumes the function is defined and smooth on the whole space. Here fff lives only on the open set S\mathcal SS, blows up at its boundary, is unbounded on S\mathcal SS and is not globally LLL-smooth. The Łojasiewicz–Polyak inequality holds only on S0\mathcal S_0S0​, with a constant that depends on K0K_0K0​. The work therefore lies in keeping the trajectory inside S0\mathcal S_0S0​ and showing it exists for all time. This requires compactness of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ (coercivity of fff) and a positive distance from S0\mathcal S_0S0​ to the boundary of S\mathcal SS. Local ODE existence alone gives neither. The explicit constant μ\muμ additionally requires lower bounds on solutions of Lyapunov equations and an upper bound on ∥K∥F\|K\|_F∥K∥F​ over S0\mathcal S_0S0​.

Formalization scope

Matrices are Matrix (Fin p) (Fin q) ℝ. Hurwitz means every complex eigenvalue of the complexified matrix has negative real part. X(K)X(K)X(K) and Y(K)Y(K)Y(K) are the unique solutions of their Lyapunov equations. Where the solution is not unique (possible only off S\mathcal SS) they take the value 000, and no statement uses these off-S\mathcal SS values. ∇f\nabla f∇f is defined by formula (3.3), and Lemma 3.11 states that it is the Fréchet derivative with respect to the Frobenius inner product. A solution of the flow is a curve with K(0)=K0K(0)=K_0K(0)=K0​ that stays in S\mathcal SS for t≥0t\ge0t≥0. Its entries have the prescribed derivative within [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞). Global existence and invariance of S0\mathcal S_0S0​ are conclusions, never hypotheses. Assuming a global solution, or a solution confined to S0\mathcal S_0S0​, would trivialize the theorem, and that encoding is excluded. The case C=IC=IC=I is a matrix argument CCC with C=1C=1C=1. λ1\lambda_1λ1​ is the minimum of the (unsorted) eigenvalues, and the spectral norm is λmax⁡(M⊤M)\sqrt{\lambda_{\max}(M^\top M)}λmax​(M⊤M)​. "Monotone decreasing" is rendered as nonincreasing. min⁡0≤t≤T\min_{0\le t\le T}min0≤t≤T​ is rendered as the existence of a point of [0,T][0,T][0,T] where the bound holds.

The standing assumptions of p. 3 are hypotheses wherever they apply: K0∈SK_0\in\mathcal SK0​∈S, Q,R,Σ≻0Q,R,\Sigma\succ0Q,R,Σ≻0, rank⁡C=r\operatorname{rank}C=rrankC=r, and B≠0B\ne0B=0. Deviations from the printed paper:

  • The paper's explicit Lipschitz constant (3.8) is false as printed; the planning notes record counterexamples for both output and state feedback. The goal therefore takes LLL as any Lipschitz constant of ∇f\nabla f∇f on S0\mathcal S_0S0​, which is the paper's own definition of LLL-smoothness (§3.6). Theorem 3.15 enters only in its qualitative form, as the existence of such an LLL.
  • The set-builder for S\mathcal SS on p. 3 writes Rm×n\mathbb R^{m\times n}Rm×n; gains are m×rm\times rm×r.
  • The optimal gain K∗K_*K∗​ is a hypothesis (its existence is Corollary 3.10), and f(K∗)>0f(K_*)>0f(K∗​)>0 is not assumed.

A complete development needs the following: Lyapunov equations and their solution theory (uniqueness, positivity, integral representation), continuity and differentiability of K↦X(K)K\mapsto X(K)K↦X(K) on S\mathcal SS, coercivity of fff, global existence for ODEs confined to a compact invariant set, and the Łojasiewicz–Polyak argument for flows on a subset. The Lyapunov and stabilizing-set layer is reusable across control missions. Proofs of any milestone, and of auxiliary lemmas such as Lemmas 3.8, A.5, C.1–C.3, are welcome.

Selected references

  • I. Fatkhullin, B. Polyak, Optimizing Static Linear Feedback: Gradient Method, SIAM J. Control Optim. 59 (2021); preprint arXiv:2004.09875v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.09875
  • M. Fazel, R. Ge, S. Kakade, M. Mesbahi, Global Convergence of Policy Gradient Methods for the Linear Quadratic Regulator, ICML 2018. https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.05039
  • W. S. Levine, M. Athans, On the determination of the optimal constant output feedback gains for linear multivariable systems, IEEE Trans. Automat. Control 15 (1970). https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.1970.1099363
  • H. Karimi, J. Nutini, M. Schmidt, Linear Convergence of Gradient and Proximal-Gradient Methods Under the Polyak–Łojasiewicz Condition, ECML PKDD 2016. https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.04636
  • B. T. Polyak, Gradient methods for the minimisation of functionals, USSR Comput. Math. Math. Phys. 3 (1963), 864–878. https://doi.org/10.1016/0041-5553(63)90382-3
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CombinatoricsGraph TheoryOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Scheduling Subject to Resource Constraints: Classification and Complexity III: The Two-Machine Algorithm for Q2 with One Resource and Unit-Time Jobs Is OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

Many production and computing systems run jobs on parallel machines that also draw on a shared, limited resource: tools, workers, memory, power. Adding such a resource to a scheduling problem can change its complexity entirely. Błażewicz, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan (DAM 1983) extended the three-field classification α∣β∣γ\alpha\mid\beta\mid\gammaα∣β∣γ of Graham, Lawler, Lenstra and Rinnooy Kan by a resource field resλσρres\lambda\sigma\rhoresλσρ, and determined the complexity of every problem with unit-time jobs on identical or uniform machines under the makespan criterion. Their Fig. 2 separates the maximal polynomially solvable cases from the minimal NP-hard ones.

This mission formalizes the polynomial side. Two identical machines are easy under arbitrary resources (Theorem 1, due to Garey and Johnson, via maximum matching). Three identical machines with one resource are NP-hard in the strong sense (Theorem 4), and so are two uniform machines with unit resources (Theorem 3). What remains for uniform machines is settled by two algorithms: a sorting-and-shifting procedure for two uniform machines with one resource of arbitrary size (Theorem 5), and a bottleneck transportation problem for any number of uniform machines with one resource and 0–1 requirements (Theorem 6). The hardness results are the subject of the companion missions I and II.

Setting

There are nnn jobs J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ and mmm machines M1,…,MmM_1,\dots,M_mM1​,…,Mm​. Machine MiM_iMi​ has speed qi>0q_i>0qi​>0; every job has unit execution requirement, so it takes time 1/qi1/q_i1/qi​ on MiM_iMi​. Identical machines (PPP) have qi=1q_i=1qi​=1; uniform machines (QQQ) have arbitrary speeds. There are lll resources RhR_hRh​ with positive integer sizes shs_hsh​, and job JjJ_jJj​ needs a nonnegative integer amount rhjr_{hj}rhj​ of RhR_hRh​ throughout its execution. The field resλσρres\lambda\sigma\rhoresλσρ records restrictions: λ\lambdaλ bounds the number of resources, σ\sigmaσ their sizes, ρ\rhoρ the requirements, a dot meaning "part of the input". So res1⋅⋅res1{\cdot}{\cdot}res1⋅⋅ is one resource with arbitrary size and requirements, and res1⋅1res1{\cdot}1res1⋅1 is one resource with requirements in {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1}.

A schedule gives every job a machine μ(j)\mu(j)μ(j) and a start time Sj≥0S_j\ge0Sj​≥0; the job is executed during [Sj,Cj)[S_j,C_j)[Sj​,Cj​) with Cj=Sj+1/qμ(j)C_j=S_j+1/q_{\mu(j)}Cj​=Sj​+1/qμ(j)​. It is feasible if jobs on the same machine do not overlap and, at every time ttt, the jobs executed at ttt use at most shs_hsh​ of each resource RhR_hRh​. The makespan is Cmax⁡=max⁡jCjC_{\max}=\max_j C_jCmax​=maxj​Cj​. No precedence constraints occur in this mission.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5, correctness of the algorithm

For Q2∣res1⋅⋅, pj=1∣Cmax⁡Q2\mid res1{\cdot}{\cdot},\,p_j=1\mid C_{\max}Q2∣res1⋅⋅,pj​=1∣Cmax​ with q1≥q2q_1\ge q_2q1​≥q2​: put all jobs on M1M_1M1​ in order of nonincreasing r1jr_{1j}r1j​, then repeatedly move the last job of M1M_1M1​ to the earliest feasible time on M2M_2M2​ after the jobs already there, as long as this strictly reduces Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​. For every order with nonincreasing requirements, the resulting schedule AAA is feasible and

Cmax⁡(A)≤Cmax⁡(σ)for every feasible schedule σ.C_{\max}(A)\le C_{\max}(\sigma)\quad\text{for every feasible schedule }\sigma.Cmax​(A)≤Cmax​(σ)for every feasible schedule σ.

Milestones for the goal

The paper's proof has two steps, both milestones. Call a schedule an (a)–(c) schedule when (a) M1M_1M1​ runs its jobs back to back from time 000 in nonincreasing r1jr_{1j}r1j​, (b) M2M_2M2​ runs its jobs in nondecreasing r1kr_{1k}r1k​, and (c) every requirement on M1M_1M1​ is at least every requirement on M2M_2M2​.

  1. The algorithm's schedule is feasible, is an (a)–(c) schedule, and is best among feasible (a)–(c) schedules.
  2. Every feasible schedule can be transformed into a feasible (a)–(c) schedule with no larger Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​.

Further results

  • Theorem 1. For P2∣res⋅⋅⋅, pj=1∣Cmax⁡P2\mid res{\cdot}{\cdot}{\cdot},\,p_j=1\mid C_{\max}P2∣res⋅⋅⋅,pj​=1∣Cmax​, with GGG the graph joining two jobs when they can run together and SSS a maximum matching of GGG, the optimal makespan is n−∣S∣n-|S|n−∣S∣.
  • Theorem 6. For Q∣res1⋅1, pj=1∣Cmax⁡Q\mid res1{\cdot}1,\,p_j=1\mid C_{\max}Q∣res1⋅1,pj​=1∣Cmax​ with the s1s_1s1​ fastest machines listed first, the optimal makespan equals the optimal value of a bottleneck transportation problem that assigns jobs to slots (machine, position) with cost k/qik/q_ik/qi​, resource jobs only to the s1s_1s1​ fastest machines.

Significance

Theorems 5 and 6 complete the classification of Fig. 2 for uniform machines: every special case of Q∣res⋅⋅⋅, pj=1∣Cmax⁡Q\mid res{\cdot}{\cdot}{\cdot},\,p_j=1\mid C_{\max}Q∣res⋅⋅⋅,pj​=1∣Cmax​ not covered by the hardness theorems has a polynomial algorithm. Theorem 1 is the classical reduction of two-machine resource scheduling to maximum matching, the model case for later work on scheduling with conflict graphs.

The paper proves these results briefly: "clearly" for the first half of Theorem 5, "obviously" for Theorem 1, and a one-paragraph model for Theorem 6. The exchange argument of Theorem 5 is presented "in an informal way" through five steps that pass through fractional, preempted jobs. A machine-checked proof makes these arguments exact on a model with real start times. No formalization of these results is known, and the platform had no statement about resource-constrained scheduling on uniform machines before this mission.

Difficulty

With q1≠q2q_1\ne q_2q1​=q2​ the job boundaries on the two machines are misaligned: a job on M2M_2M2​ overlaps parts of several jobs on M1M_1M1​, so the resource check cannot be done slot by slot, and discrete reasoning on integer time grids does not apply. The exchange argument of Theorem 5 must control the resource usage at every real time while jobs are moved between machines and reordered, and it has to end with a nonpreemptive schedule even though the paper's intermediate steps split jobs. For Theorem 1, the hard direction is the lower bound: a feasible schedule with arbitrary real start times must be converted into a matching, which is a statement about how unit jobs on two machines can overlap. For Theorem 6, one must show that restricting resource jobs to the fastest machines and to back-to-back positions loses nothing.

Formalization scope

  • Model. Jobs, machines and resources are Fin n, Fin m, Fin l (0-based). Speeds are positive reals, sizes positive naturals, requirements naturals. Start times are nonnegative reals, execution intervals are half-open, and the resource constraint is checked at every real time. Cmax⁡=0C_{\max}=0Cmax​=0 for n=0n=0n=0. The model carries a precedence digraph for consistency with the companion missions; every statement here assumes it has no arcs.
  • Implicit hypothesis. Theorems 1 and 5 assume every job fits alone (rhj≤shr_{hj}\le s_hrhj​≤sh​), which the paper leaves unstated; without it no feasible schedule exists.
  • The algorithm is a Lean definition following the page: the order is an argument (any nonincreasing order), "as early as possible" is the earliest start after M2M_2M2​'s last job at which the resource constraint holds throughout, and the loop stops at the first move that does not strictly reduce Cmax⁡C_{\max}Cmax​.
  • Optimality is always stated in full: feasibility plus a lower bound against every feasible schedule. No minimum is written as an infimum of a possibly empty set.
  • Theorem 6 is stated with 0–1 slot assignments, the interpretation the paper gives to xijkx_{ijk}xijk​; the page's constraint ∑k=1m\sum_{k=1}^{m}∑k=1m​ is read as ∑k=1n\sum_{k=1}^{n}∑k=1n​.
  • Not formalized: the running times O(ln2+n5/2)O(ln^2+n^{5/2})O(ln2+n5/2) (Theorem 1), O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) (Theorem 5, including the phrase "This O(n log n) algorithm") and O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) (Theorem 6), which depend on a machine model the paper does not fix and, for Theorems 1 and 6, on cited matching and transportation algorithms.
  • Ruled out: a formalization of the goal that proves optimality only against (a)–(c) schedules, against schedules with integer start times, or for one fixed tie-breaking order proves less than Theorem 5.

Contributions welcome: lemmas about step functions of resource usage on half-open intervals, a left-shifting lemma for unit-time schedules on two machines, and the exchange steps of Theorem 5 as separate lemmas.

Selected references

  • J. Błażewicz, J.K. Lenstra, A.H.G. Rinnooy Kan, Scheduling subject to resource constraints: classification and complexity, Discrete Applied Mathematics 5 (1983) 11–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/0166-218X(83)90012-4
  • M.R. Garey, D.S. Johnson, Complexity results for multiprocessor scheduling under resource constraints, SIAM Journal on Computing 4 (1975) 397–411. https://doi.org/10.1137/0204035
  • R.L. Graham, E.L. Lawler, J.K. Lenstra, A.H.G. Rinnooy Kan, Optimization and approximation in deterministic sequencing and scheduling: a survey, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 5 (1979) 287–326. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70356-X
  • S. Even, O. Kariv, An O(n^{2.5}) algorithm for maximum matching in general graphs, Proc. 16th IEEE FOCS (1975) 100–112. https://doi.org/10.1109/SFCS.1975.23
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Control TheoryDynamical SystemsProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Stabilization of Hybrid Systems by Feedback Control Based on Discrete-Time State Observations I: Almost Sure Asymptotic StabilityResearch Paper

Motivation

Many engineered systems switch between a finite number of operating modes at random times: a power grid after a line failure, a networked controller whose links drop, a manufacturing plant whose machines break down and are repaired. A standard model for such systems is a hybrid stochastic differential equation, also called an SDE with Markovian switching: the state follows an Itô equation whose coefficients depend on a mode that evolves as a continuous-time Markov chain. The monograph of Mao and Yuan (Stochastic Differential Equations with Markovian Switching, 2006) develops the stability theory of these equations.

A controller that stabilizes such a system usually needs the current state. In practice the state is sampled: it is observed at times 0,τ,2τ,…0,\tau,2\tau,\dots0,τ,2τ,… and the control is held between observations. Mao (Automatica 49, 2013) showed that, under a global Lipschitz condition on the drift and diffusion, a feedback control based on discrete-time observations stabilizes a hybrid SDE in the sense of mean-square exponential stability when τ\tauτ is small enough. You, Liu, Lu, Mao and Qiu (SIAM J. Control Optim. 53(2), 2015) replaced that condition by local Lipschitz continuity plus linear growth, gave an explicit bound (3.5) on the admissible observation interval τ\tauτ, and proved H∞H_\inftyH∞​-stability, mean-square asymptotic stability, almost sure asymptotic stability and exponential stability of the controlled system. This mission formalizes the almost sure asymptotic stability result, Theorem 3.4, and the results it is built on.

Setting

Let (Ω,F,{Ft}t≥0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,\{\mathcal F_t\}_{t\ge0},\mathbb P)(Ω,F,{Ft​}t≥0​,P) be a probability space with a filtration satisfying the usual conditions (increasing, right-continuous, F0\mathcal F_0F0​ contains the null sets). On it live an mmm-dimensional {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Brownian motion www and a right-continuous {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Markov chain rrr on S={1,…,N}S=\{1,\dots,N\}S={1,…,N} with generator Γ=(γij)\Gamma=(\gamma_{ij})Γ=(γij​) (γij≥0\gamma_{ij}\ge0γij​≥0 for i≠ji\ne ji=j, zero row sums), independent of www. Fix τ>0\tau>0τ>0 and the sampling time δt=[t/τ]τ\delta_t=[t/\tau]\tauδt​=[t/τ]τ, the last observation time up to ttt. The controlled system is

dx(t)=(f(x(t),r(t),t)+u(x(δt),r(t),t))dt+g(x(t),r(t),t) dw(t),x(0)=x0, r(0)=r0,(2.1)dx(t)=\big(f(x(t),r(t),t)+u(x(\delta_t),r(t),t)\big)dt+g(x(t),r(t),t)\,dw(t),\qquad x(0)=x_0,\ r(0)=r_0,\tag{2.1}dx(t)=(f(x(t),r(t),t)+u(x(δt​),r(t),t))dt+g(x(t),r(t),t)dw(t),x(0)=x0​, r(0)=r0​,(2.1)

with f,u:Rn×S×R+→Rnf,u:\mathbb R^n\times S\times\mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R^nf,u:Rn×S×R+​→Rn and g:Rn×S×R+→Rn×mg:\mathbb R^n\times S\times\mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R^{n\times m}g:Rn×S×R+​→Rn×m. The feedback uuu sees the state only at the observation times.

The hypotheses are:

  • Assumption 2.1: f,gf,gf,g locally Lipschitz in xxx, and ∣f(x,i,t)∣≤K1∣x∣|f(x,i,t)|\le K_1|x|∣f(x,i,t)∣≤K1​∣x∣, ∣g(x,i,t)∣≤K2∣x∣|g(x,i,t)|\le K_2|x|∣g(x,i,t)∣≤K2​∣x∣ (∣g∣|g|∣g∣ the trace norm).
  • Assumption 2.2: ∣u(x,i,t)−u(y,i,t)∣≤K3∣x−y∣|u(x,i,t)-u(y,i,t)|\le K_3|x-y|∣u(x,i,t)−u(y,i,t)∣≤K3​∣x−y∣ and u(0,i,t)=0u(0,i,t)=0u(0,i,t)=0.
  • Assumption 3.1: there are U∈C2,1(Rn×S×R+;R+)U\in C^{2,1}(\mathbb R^n\times S\times\mathbb R_+;\mathbb R_+)U∈C2,1(Rn×S×R+​;R+​) and λ1,λ2>0\lambda_1,\lambda_2>0λ1​,λ2​>0 with LU(x,i,t)+λ1∣Ux(x,i,t)∣2≤−λ2∣x∣2\mathcal LU(x,i,t)+\lambda_1|U_x(x,i,t)|^2\le-\lambda_2|x|^2LU(x,i,t)+λ1​∣Ux​(x,i,t)∣2≤−λ2​∣x∣2, where
LU=Ut+Ux[f+u]+12trace⁡[gTUxxg]+∑jγijU(x,j,t).\mathcal LU=U_t+U_x[f+u]+\tfrac12\operatorname{trace}[g^TU_{xx}g]+\sum_j\gamma_{ij}U(x,j,t).LU=Ut​+Ux​[f+u]+21​trace[gTUxx​g]+j∑​γij​U(x,j,t).
  • Condition (3.5): λ2>τK32λ1[2τ(K12+2K32)+K22]\lambda_2>\frac{\tau K_3^2}{\lambda_1}\big[2\tau(K_1^2+2K_3^2)+K_2^2\big]λ2​>λ1​τK32​​[2τ(K12​+2K32​)+K22​] and τ≤14K3\tau\le\frac1{4K_3}τ≤4K3​1​.

In Lean these are Assumption21, Assumption22, C21, LU, Assumption31, Condition35, in the namespace You2015.Asymp; the basis is HybridSetup, the Itô integral IsItoIntegral, the sampling time delta, and solutions SolvesSampledHybridSDE, in the namespace You2015.Shared shared with the companion mission.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.4 (almost sure asymptotic stability)

Under the hypotheses above, every solution of (2.1) satisfies

lim⁡t→∞x(t)=0a.s.\lim_{t\to\infty}x(t)=0\quad\text{a.s.}t→∞lim​x(t)=0a.s.

for all x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn and r0∈Sr_0\in Sr0​∈S. No rate is claimed; the statement is the qualitative convergence of almost every path.

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. (3.15) E∣x(t)−x(δt)∣2≤2E∫δtt[τ∣f+u(x(δs),⋅)∣2+∣g∣2]ds\mathbb E|x(t)-x(\delta_t)|^2\le2\mathbb E\int_{\delta_t}^t[\tau|f+u(x(\delta_s),\cdot)|^2+|g|^2]dsE∣x(t)−x(δt​)∣2≤2E∫δt​t​[τ∣f+u(x(δs​),⋅)∣2+∣g∣2]ds.
  2. Theorem 3.2 (H∞H_\inftyH∞​-stability): ∫0∞E∣x(s)∣2ds<∞\int_0^\infty\mathbb E|x(s)|^2ds<\infty∫0∞​E∣x(s)∣2ds<∞.
  3. (3.21) E∣x(s)−x(δs)∣2≤3(τK12+K22)1−6τ2K32∫δssE∣x(z)∣2dz+6τ2K321−6τ2K32E∣x(s)∣2\mathbb E|x(s)-x(\delta_s)|^2\le\frac{3(\tau K_1^2+K_2^2)}{1-6\tau^2K_3^2}\int_{\delta_s}^s\mathbb E|x(z)|^2dz+\frac{6\tau^2K_3^2}{1-6\tau^2K_3^2}\mathbb E|x(s)|^2E∣x(s)−x(δs​)∣2≤1−6τ2K32​3(τK12​+K22​)​∫δs​s​E∣x(z)∣2dz+1−6τ2K32​6τ2K32​​E∣x(s)∣2.
  4. (3.23) sup⁡t≥0E∣x(t)∣2<∞\sup_{t\ge0}\mathbb E|x(t)|^2<\inftysupt≥0​E∣x(t)∣2<∞.
  5. ∣E∣x(t2)∣2−E∣x(t1)∣2∣≤C(t2−t1)|\mathbb E|x(t_2)|^2-\mathbb E|x(t_1)|^2|\le C(t_2-t_1)∣E∣x(t2​)∣2−E∣x(t1​)∣2∣≤C(t2​−t1​).
  6. Theorem 3.3: lim⁡t→∞E∣x(t)∣2=0\lim_{t\to\infty}\mathbb E|x(t)|^2=0limt→∞​E∣x(t)∣2=0.
  7. (3.24)–(3.25): E∫0∞∣x(t)∣2dt<∞\mathbb E\int_0^\infty|x(t)|^2dt<\inftyE∫0∞​∣x(t)∣2dt<∞ and lim inf⁡t→∞∣x(t)∣=0\liminf_{t\to\infty}|x(t)|=0liminft→∞​∣x(t)∣=0 a.s.
  8. (3.28): P(∃t:∣x(t)∣≥h)≤C/h2\mathbb P(\exists t:|x(t)|\ge h)\le C/h^2P(∃t:∣x(t)∣≥h)≤C/h2 for h>∣x0∣h>|x_0|h>∣x0​∣.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3.4 says that a controller sampling the state at rate 1/τ1/\tau1/τ makes almost every trajectory of the switching system converge to the equilibrium, with an explicit, checkable bound (3.5) on τ\tauτ. Mean-square convergence (Theorem 3.3) does not imply almost sure convergence in general, and a single trajectory is what an operator observes, so the pathwise statement is the one relevant to a deployed system. Condition (3.5) is stated in terms of the constants of Assumptions 2.1, 2.2 and 3.1, so for a concrete system (Section 6 of the paper) it gives a numerical bound on the observation interval.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none of them is machine-checked. Mathlib has real Brownian motion but no Itô integral, no stochastic differential equations and no continuous-time Markov chains. The mission therefore also produces a reusable definition layer: a filtration under the usual conditions, a multidimensional {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Brownian motion, an {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Markov chain with a given generator, the L2L^2L2 Itô integral of vector-valued integrands, and the solution notion of an SDE with Markovian switching and a sampled-state delay. A related but different layer exists on Prove2Me for Ethier–Kurtz (EthierKurtz_IsStandardBrownian, EthierKurtz_HasBrownianItoIntegral, EthierKurtz_SolvesBrownianSDE); it has no mode switching and no sampled state, so it cannot express (2.1).

Difficulty

Equation (2.1) is a stochastic differential delay equation with the delay t−δtt-\delta_tt−δt​, which is bounded but jumps at every observation time and has derivative 111 in between. The stability theorems for hybrid delay equations in the literature require a differentiable delay with derivative less than one (Mao–Yuan, p. 285), so they do not apply. Applying LU\mathcal LULU directly to U(x(t),r(t),t)U(x(t),r(t),t)U(x(t),r(t),t) leaves the term Ux[u(x(t))−u(x(δt))]U_x[u(x(t))-u(x(\delta_t))]Ux​[u(x(t))−u(x(δt​))], which has no sign and depends on the path over a whole observation interval, so a Lyapunov function of the current state alone does not close the argument.

For the goal, the natural first idea, deducing almost sure convergence from E∣x(t)∣2→0\mathbb E|x(t)|^2\to0E∣x(t)∣2→0 or from ∫0∞∣x(t)∣2dt<∞\int_0^\infty|x(t)|^2dt<\infty∫0∞​∣x(t)∣2dt<∞ a.s., fails: both are compatible with paths that make ever shorter excursions away from 000. The obstacle is to exclude infinitely many excursions of a fixed size, which neither moment statement controls.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • The state space is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), so ∣x∣|x|∣x∣ is the Euclidean norm; the explicit constants in (3.5) and (3.21) depend on it. The diffusion ggg is given by its mmm columns and ∣g∣2=∑k∣gk∣2|g|^2=\sum_k|g_k|^2∣g∣2=∑k​∣gk​∣2 (trace norm). Modes are Fin N (0-based). Time is ℝ≥0; time integrals are over subsets of R\mathbb RR at s.toNNReal.
  • Every expectation E∣⋅∣2\mathbb E|\cdot|^2E∣⋅∣2 and every time integral of a nonnegative quantity is a lower Lebesgue integral in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞], so a non-integrable process cannot produce a junk value 000.
  • "The solution of (2.1)" is read as every process satisfying the solution definition: progressively measurable, almost surely continuous paths, E∣x(t)∣2<∞\mathbb E|x(t)|^2<\inftyE∣x(t)∣2<∞ for each ttt, and for each ttt, almost surely, the integral equation with Itô integrals in the L2L^2L2 sense. Existence and uniqueness (cited from Mao–Yuan on p. 908) are not asserted.
  • "An mmm-dimensional Brownian motion" and "a Markov chain with generator Γ\GammaΓ" are read in the Mao–Yuan framework the paper cites: an {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Brownian motion with independent coordinates and increments independent of the past, and an {Ft}\{\mathcal F_t\}{Ft​}-Markov chain with transition matrix etΓe^{t\Gamma}etΓ. The usual conditions are kept as hypotheses.
  • "Locally Lipschitz" is uniform in the mode and time on each ball. C2,1C^{2,1}C2,1 carries its derivatives Ut,Ux,UxxU_t,U_x,U_{xx}Ut​,Ux​,Uxx​ as witnesses tied to UUU by derivative relations and joint continuity.
  • "τ>0\tau>0τ>0 sufficiently small for (3.5)" means every τ>0\tau>0τ>0 satisfying both inequalities of (3.5). U,λ1,λ2,τU,\lambda_1,\lambda_2,\tauU,λ1​,λ2​,τ are data of each statement. The paper's "CCC denotes a positive constant" is an existential chosen after x0x_0x0​, r0r_0r0​ and the solution, and before the time variables and hhh.
  • (3.15) and (3.21) are stated under fewer hypotheses than the surrounding proof has (Assumptions 2.1, 2.2, τ>0\tau>0τ>0, and for (3.21) τ≤1/(4K3)\tau\le1/(4K_3)τ≤1/(4K3​)), because their derivations use no more. Misprints on the page (for example g(x,i,s)=f(x,i,0)g(x,i,s)=f(x,i,0)g(x,i,s)=f(x,i,0) on p. 909 and the swapped definitions of ∨,∧\vee,\wedge∨,∧ on p. 907) are not formalized.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the expectations are not Bochner integrals (which vanish for non-integrable integrands), the solution notion admits the true solution and requires path continuity, the derivative witnesses of UUU are tied to UUU, and a sorry-free check shows that the data hypotheses (Assumptions 2.1, 2.2, 3.1, C2,1C^{2,1}C2,1, (3.5)) are satisfiable, for example by n=m=N=1n=m=N=1n=m=N=1, f=g=0f=g=0f=g=0, u(x)=−xu(x)=-xu(x)=−x, U=∣x∣2U=|x|^2U=∣x∣2, λ1=1/4\lambda_1=1/4λ1​=1/4, λ2=1\lambda_2=1λ2​=1, τ=1/10\tau=1/10τ=1/10.

Welcome contributions: the Itô isometry and Itô's formula for the L2L^2L2 integral defined here, a generalized Itô formula for functions of a Markov-modulated Itô process, and Doob's maximal inequality in continuous time. These are reusable far beyond this mission. Section 4 of the paper (exponential stability) is a separate mission of the same series.

Selected references

  • S. You, W. Liu, J. Lu, X. Mao, Q. Qiu, Stabilization of Hybrid Systems by Feedback Control Based on Discrete-Time State Observations, SIAM J. Control Optim. 53(2), 905–925, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1137/140985779
  • X. Mao, C. Yuan, Stochastic Differential Equations with Markovian Switching, Imperial College Press, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1142/p473
  • X. Mao, Stabilization of continuous-time hybrid stochastic differential equations by discrete-time feedback control, Automatica 49(12), 3677–3681, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.automatica.2013.09.005
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Control TheoryOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A General Stochastic Maximum Principle for Optimal Control Problems: The Maximum Principle with First- and Second-Order Adjoint ProcessesResearch Paper

Motivation

Pontryagin's maximum principle gives necessary conditions for optimality in deterministic optimal control: along an optimal trajectory, the optimal control maximizes (or minimizes) a Hamiltonian built from an adjoint process. For a system driven by Brownian noise the analogous statement was open in full generality for two decades. The difficulty appears exactly when the diffusion coefficient depends on the control and the control domain is not convex, the situation of controlled volatility in finance, of controlled noise intensity in engineering, and of any problem whose admissible actions form a discrete or otherwise nonconvex set.

Shige Peng's 1990 paper (SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4)) closed that case. It introduced the second-order adjoint process and a second-order variational inequality, and it is the starting point of the modern theory of stochastic Hamiltonian systems and of backward stochastic differential equations as a tool in control.

Timeline.

  • 1972: Kushner obtains necessary conditions for diffusions whose diffusion coefficient does not depend on the control (SIAM J. Control 10).
  • 1973–1978: Bismut introduces the adjoint equation as a linear backward stochastic differential equation and develops duality methods (SIAM Review 20).
  • Early 1980s: Bensoussan and Haussmann prove maximum principles for convex control domains or control-independent diffusion, using the first-order adjoint equation only.
  • 1990: Peng proves the general principle, with control-dependent diffusion and an arbitrary nonempty control domain (this mission). In the same year Pardoux and Peng prove existence and uniqueness for nonlinear backward SDEs (Systems Control Lett. 14).
  • 1999: Yong and Zhou give a textbook account of the theory (Springer).

Setting

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space carrying a standard ddd-dimensional Wiener process B=(B1,…,Bd)B=(B^1,\dots,B^d)B=(B1,…,Bd), and let Ft=σ{B(s);0≤s≤t}\mathcal F^t=\sigma\{B(s);0\le s\le t\}Ft=σ{B(s);0≤s≤t} be its natural filtration. Fix a horizon T>0T>0T>0, an initial state x0∈Rnx_0\in\mathbb R^nx0​∈Rn and a nonempty control domain U⊆RkU\subseteq\mathbb R^kU⊆Rk. The data are

g:Rn×Rk→Rn,σ=(σ1,…,σd), σj:Rn×Rk→Rn,l:Rn×Rk→R,h:Rn→R.g:\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^k\to\mathbb R^n,\quad \sigma=(\sigma^1,\dots,\sigma^d),\ \sigma^j:\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^k\to\mathbb R^n,\quad l:\mathbb R^n\times\mathbb R^k\to\mathbb R,\quad h:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R .g:Rn×Rk→Rn,σ=(σ1,…,σd), σj:Rn×Rk→Rn,l:Rn×Rk→R,h:Rn→R.

An admissible control vvv is a progressively measurable UUU-valued process with sup⁡t≤TE∣v(t)∣m<∞\sup_{t\le T}E|v(t)|^m<\inftysupt≤T​E∣v(t)∣m<∞ for every m≥1m\ge1m≥1. Its trajectory solves the state equation

dx(t)=g(x(t),v(t)) dt+∑j=1dσj(x(t),v(t)) dBj(t),x(0)=x0,dx(t)=g(x(t),v(t))\,dt+\sum_{j=1}^d\sigma^j(x(t),v(t))\,dB^j(t),\qquad x(0)=x_0,dx(t)=g(x(t),v(t))dt+j=1∑d​σj(x(t),v(t))dBj(t),x(0)=x0​,

and its cost is J(v)=E∫0Tl(x(t),v(t)) dt+E h(x(T))J(v)=E\int_0^Tl(x(t),v(t))\,dt+E\,h(x(T))J(v)=E∫0T​l(x(t),v(t))dt+Eh(x(T)). A pair (y,u)(y,u)(y,u) is optimal when J(u)≤J(v)J(u)\le J(v)J(u)≤J(v) for every admissible vvv.

Assumption (3): g,σ,l,hg,\sigma,l,hg,σ,l,h are C2C^2C2 in xxx, jointly continuous in (x,v)(x,v)(x,v) together with their first and second xxx-derivatives; gx,gxx,σx,σxx,lxx,hxxg_x,g_{xx},\sigma_x,\sigma_{xx},l_{xx},h_{xx}gx​,gxx​,σx​,σxx​,lxx​,hxx​ are bounded; and g,σ,lx,hxg,\sigma,l_x,h_xg,σ,lx​,hx​ grow at most like C(1+∣x∣+∣v∣)C(1+|x|+|v|)C(1+∣x∣+∣v∣).

The Hamiltonian is H(x,v,p,K)=l(x,v)+(p,g(x,v))+∑j(Kj,σj(x,v))H(x,v,p,K)=l(x,v)+(p,g(x,v))+\sum_j(K_j,\sigma^j(x,v))H(x,v,p,K)=l(x,v)+(p,g(x,v))+∑j​(Kj​,σj(x,v)). The first-order adjoint process (p,K)(p,K)(p,K) solves the backward equation

−dp=[gx∗p+∑jσxj∗Kj+lx]dt−∑jKj dBj,p(T)=hx(y(T)),-dp=\Big[g_x^*p+\sum_j\sigma_x^{j*}K_j+l_x\Big]dt-\sum_jK_j\,dB^j,\qquad p(T)=h_x(y(T)),−dp=[gx∗​p+j∑​σxj∗​Kj​+lx​]dt−j∑​Kj​dBj,p(T)=hx​(y(T)),

and the second-order adjoint process (P,Q)(P,Q)(P,Q), symmetric-matrix valued, solves

−dP=[gx∗P+Pgx+∑jσxj∗Pσxj+∑jσxj∗Qj+∑jQjσxj+Hxx]dt−∑jQj dBj,P(T)=hxx(y(T)),-dP=\Big[g_x^*P+Pg_x+\sum_j\sigma_x^{j*}P\sigma_x^j+\sum_j\sigma_x^{j*}Q_j+\sum_jQ_j\sigma_x^j+H_{xx}\Big]dt-\sum_jQ_j\,dB^j,\qquad P(T)=h_{xx}(y(T)),−dP=[gx∗​P+Pgx​+j∑​σxj∗​Pσxj​+j∑​σxj∗​Qj​+j∑​Qj​σxj​+Hxx​]dt−j∑​Qj​dBj,P(T)=hxx​(y(T)),

with all coefficients evaluated along (y(t),u(t))(y(t),u(t))(y(t),u(t)) and both solutions adapted to Ft\mathcal F^tFt.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 975)

If (y,u)(y,u)(y,u) is optimal, then adjoint processes (p,K)(p,K)(p,K) and (P,Q)(P,Q)(P,Q) exist in LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​, solving the two equations above, such that for every v∈Uv\in Uv∈U, for almost every τ∈[0,T]\tau\in[0,T]τ∈[0,T], almost surely,

H(y,v,p,K−Pσ(y,u))+12tr⁡(σσ∗(y,v)P) ≥ H(y,u,p,K−Pσ(y,u))+12tr⁡(σσ∗(y,u)P),H\big(y,v,p,K-P\sigma(y,u)\big)+\tfrac12\operatorname{tr}\big(\sigma\sigma^*(y,v)P\big)\ \ge\ H\big(y,u,p,K-P\sigma(y,u)\big)+\tfrac12\operatorname{tr}\big(\sigma\sigma^*(y,u)P\big),H(y,v,p,K−Pσ(y,u))+21​tr(σσ∗(y,v)P) ≥ H(y,u,p,K−Pσ(y,u))+21​tr(σσ∗(y,u)P),

all evaluated at time τ\tauτ.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: the spike-perturbed state equals y+y1+y2y+y_1+y_2y+y1​+y2​ up to o(ε2)o(\varepsilon^2)o(ε2) in mean square, where y1,y2y_1,y_2y1​,y2​ solve the first- and second-order variational equations (5), (6).
  2. Lemma 2: the cost expansion (11) is ≥o(ε)\ge o(\varepsilon)≥o(ε) at an optimal control.
  3. Eq. (13): existence and uniqueness of (p,K)(p,K)(p,K) as a Riesz representer.
  4. Eq. (14): the cost expansion in Hamiltonian form is ≥o(ε)\ge o(\varepsilon)≥o(ε).
  5. Eq. (17): existence and uniqueness of (P,Q)(P,Q)(P,Q) as a Riesz representer.
  6. Eq. (18): the variational inequality for these representers.
  7. Eq. (19): (p,K)(p,K)(p,K) is the unique solution of the first-order adjoint equation.
  8. Eq. (20): (P,Q)(P,Q)(P,Q) solves the second-order adjoint equation.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 is the necessary condition for optimal control of diffusions in its general form. When σ\sigmaσ does not depend on the control the trace terms cancel and it reduces to the classical first-order principle. When the control enters the diffusion, the first-order condition is false in general, and the second-order adjoint PPP is the correction. The theorem underlies stochastic linear-quadratic theory, the verification of optimal portfolio and volatility-control policies, and the relation between the maximum principle and the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation.

Formalizing it. The theorem is classical and proved; none of it is machine-checked. Mathlib has real Brownian motion but no stochastic integral, no SDE and no backward SDE. This mission produces the first formal statements on the platform of a controlled SDE, of a backward SDE and of the maximum principle, together with a precise definition layer (Itô integral, Itô process, BSDE solution) that later missions can reuse, e.g. for Peng's endpoint-constrained principle (§6 of the paper) or for the existence theory of BSDEs. A formal proof would also pin down the approximation arguments the paper leaves to the reader.

Difficulty

The obvious route perturbs the optimal control convexly, u+ε(v−u)u+\varepsilon(v-u)u+ε(v−u), and differentiates the cost. That needs UUU convex. For nonconvex UUU one uses a spike variation on a time interval of length ε\varepsilonε. For deterministic systems the state then moves by O(ε)O(\varepsilon)O(ε) and a first-order expansion suffices. With control-dependent diffusion the stochastic integral over the spike interval moves the state by order ε\sqrt\varepsilonε​ in L2L^2L2, so the first-order variational equation leaves an error of the same order as the effect being measured. Second-order terms in the state enter the cost at order ε\varepsilonε, and they are quadratic, so they cannot be handled by a single linear adjoint. The second-order expansion, the matrix-valued adjoint that represents the quadratic term, and the identification of both adjoints with backward SDEs are where the work lies. On the formal side, none of the stochastic calculus exists in Mathlib: the Itô isometry, Itô's formula for matrix-valued processes, moment estimates for linear SDEs and the martingale representation behind the backward equations all have to be built.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • States, controls and noise are Fin n → ℝ, Fin k → ℝ, Fin d → ℝ with the sup norm; matrices are Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ. Time is ℝ≥0, and time integrals are over [0, t] ⊂ ℝ.
  • The Wiener process is Rd\mathbb R^dRd-valued: the paper's "RnR^nRn-valued standard Wiener process" (p. 967) is a misprint, since σ(x,v)∈L(Rd,Rn)\sigma(x,v)\in\mathcal L(R^d,R^n)σ(x,v)∈L(Rd,Rn). Coordinates are independent real Brownian motions (Mathlib's IsBrownianReal).
  • The filtration is the natural filtration of BBB, not completed, as on p. 967.
  • "Adapted", for processes integrated in dtdtdt, is read as progressively measurable.
  • The Itô integral is a relation (an L2L^2L2 limit of elementary integrals, as in Ikeda–Watanabe), not an operator. SDE and BSDE solutions hold "for every ttt, almost surely", with sup⁡tE∣x(t)∣2<∞\sup_tE|x(t)|^2<\inftysupt​E∣x(t)∣2<∞ for forward solutions and LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​ membership for backward ones.
  • Optimality is among admissible controls of finite cost, and the optimal cost is finite; the paper never states finiteness, and a cost can be +∞+\infty+∞ under (3).
  • Lemma 1 is stated with o(ε2)o(\varepsilon^2)o(ε2) where the page prints "≤Cε2\le C\varepsilon^2≤Cε2" in (4). The proof (via (10)) establishes o(ε2)o(\varepsilon^2)o(ε2), and Lemma 2 needs it. Lemma 1, (13), (17), (19) and (20) are stated for any admissible pair, since their proofs do not use optimality.
  • "≥o(ε)\ge o(\varepsilon)≥o(ε)" means: some r(ε)=o(ε)r(\varepsilon)=o(\varepsilon)r(ε)=o(ε) as ε→0+\varepsilon\to0^+ε→0+ bounds the left side from below for small ε\varepsilonε. "∀v∈U\forall v\in U∀v∈U, a.e., a.s." quantifies vvv first, then τ\tauτ, then ω\omegaω.
  • PPP and QjQ_jQj​ are symmetric-valued (Rn,nR^{n,n}Rn,n is the space of symmetric matrices, p. 973). Stochastic integrals against the matrix σ\sigmaσ or QQQ are sums over the columns, ∑j(⋅)j dBj\sum_j(\cdot)_j\,dB^j∑j​(⋅)j​dBj.

Trivializing formalizations ruled out. Without adaptedness the backward equations have pathwise solutions with K=0K=0K=0 and the goal would be free; every adjoint and every solution is required to be progressive for the natural filtration of BBB. The hypotheses are satisfiable: a sorry-free check shows that the zero problem has an optimal pair and that the Itô relation holds for the zero integrand.

Infrastructure needed, and reusable. The Itô integral and isometry, Itô's formula (vector and matrix forms), existence, uniqueness and moment estimates for linear SDEs with bounded coefficients, Riesz representation in LF2L^2_{\mathcal F}LF2​, and existence and uniqueness for linear BSDEs (via martingale representation for the Brownian filtration). All of these are reusable well beyond this mission; contributions of any of them, as separate theorems, are welcome. Related platform definitions: the Ethier–Kurtz series (EthierKurtz_HasBrownianItoIntegral, EthierKurtz_SolvesBrownianSDE) formalizes an Itô integral by dyadic step approximation and uncontrolled SDEs over a completed filtration. The deterministic Pontryagin principle appears in Vector Space Methods XII and Dynamic Programming and Optimal Control III.

Selected references

  • S. Peng, A General Stochastic Maximum Principle for Optimal Control Problems, SIAM J. Control Optim. 28(4), 966–979, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1137/0328054
  • H. J. Kushner, Necessary Conditions for Continuous Parameter Stochastic Optimization Problems, SIAM J. Control 10(3), 550–565, 1972. https://doi.org/10.1137/0310041
  • J.-M. Bismut, An Introductory Approach to Duality in Optimal Stochastic Control, SIAM Review 20(1), 62–78, 1978. https://doi.org/10.1137/1020004
  • E. Pardoux and S. Peng, Adapted Solution of a Backward Stochastic Differential Equation, Systems & Control Letters 14(1), 55–61, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6911(90)90082-6
  • J. Yong and X. Y. Zhou, Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations, Springer, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-1466-3
12 thms1 active userReviewed
OptimizationProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

An Optimal On-Line Algorithm for Metrical Task System 2: The Randomized Competitive Ratio of the Uniform Task System Lies Between H(n) and 2H(n)Research Paper

Motivation

Metrical task systems, introduced by Borodin, Linial and Saks (J. ACM 39(4), 1992), are a common abstraction of on-line problems in which a server occupies one of finitely many states, pays a cost for each task depending on its current state, and may pay a transition cost to change state first. Paging, list update and the kkk-server problem all fit into this framework. The paper's first main result is that every deterministic on-line algorithm on an nnn-state metrical task system has competitive ratio at least 2n−12n-12n−1, and that 2n−12n-12n−1 is attained. The lower bound comes from an adversary that always charges the state the algorithm currently occupies. That adversary needs to know the algorithm's state, which suggests that randomization can help.

Section 7 of the paper makes this precise for the simplest system, the uniform task system, in which all transitions cost 111. There the randomized competitive ratio against an oblivious adversary is between H(n)H(n)H(n) and 2H(n)2H(n)2H(n), where H(n)=1+12+⋯+1nH(n)=1+\tfrac12+\cdots+\tfrac1nH(n)=1+21​+⋯+n1​ is between ln⁡n\ln nlnn and 1+ln⁡n1+\ln n1+lnn. This was the first logarithmic bound for a task system.

Timeline:

  • 1985: Sleator and Tarjan introduce competitive analysis for list update and paging (CACM 28(2)).
  • 1987/1992: Borodin, Linial and Saks define metrical task systems, prove the deterministic ratio 2n−12n-12n−1, and prove H(n)≤wˉ≤2H(n)H(n)\le\bar w\le 2H(n)H(n)≤wˉ≤2H(n) for the uniform system (conference version STOC 1987; journal version cited above).
  • 1991: Fiat, Karp, Luby, McGeoch, Sleator and Young prove the analogous 2Hk2H_k2Hk​ upper bound for randomized paging (J. Algorithms 12(4)).

Setting

A task system (S,d)(S,d)(S,d) is a finite set SSS of nnn states with a transition-cost matrix ddd: d(i,i)=0d(i,i)=0d(i,i)=0, d(i,j)>0d(i,j)>0d(i,j)>0 for i≠ji\ne ji=j, and d(i,k)≤d(i,j)+d(j,k)d(i,k)\le d(i,j)+d(j,k)d(i,k)≤d(i,j)+d(j,k). In the uniform task system, d(i,j)=1d(i,j)=1d(i,j)=1 for all i≠ji\neq ji=j. A task is a vector T∈R≥0ST\in\mathbb R_{\ge0}^ST∈R≥0S​ of processing costs. Given an initial state s0s_0s0​ and tasks T=T1⋯Tm\mathbf T=T^1\cdots T^mT=T1⋯Tm, a schedule is σ:{0,…,m}→S\sigma:\{0,\dots,m\}\to Sσ:{0,…,m}→S with σ(0)=s0\sigma(0)=s_0σ(0)=s0​, of cost

c(T;σ)=∑i=1md(σ(i−1),σ(i))+∑i=1mTi(σ(i)).c(\mathbf T;\sigma)=\sum_{i=1}^m d(\sigma(i-1),\sigma(i))+\sum_{i=1}^m T^i(\sigma(i)).c(T;σ)=i=1∑m​d(σ(i−1),σ(i))+i=1∑m​Ti(σ(i)).

The off-line optimum c0(T)c_0(\mathbf T)c0​(T) is the least cost over all schedules.

A deterministic on-line algorithm chooses σ(i)\sigma(i)σ(i) from s0s_0s0​ and T1,…,TiT^1,\dots,T^iT1,…,Ti. A randomized on-line algorithm RRR chooses σ(i)\sigma(i)σ(i) at random, with a distribution that depends on s0s_0s0​, on T1,…,TiT^1,\dots,T^iT1,…,Ti and on the states σ(0),…,σ(i−1)\sigma(0),\dots,\sigma(i-1)σ(0),…,σ(i−1) already visited. The task sequence is fixed before any random choice is made (an oblivious adversary). With pr(σ∣T)\mathrm{pr}(\sigma\mid\mathbf T)pr(σ∣T) the probability that RRR follows σ\sigmaσ, the expected cost is cˉR(T)=∑σc(T;σ) pr(σ∣T)\bar c_R(\mathbf T)=\sum_\sigma c(\mathbf T;\sigma)\,\mathrm{pr}(\sigma\mid\mathbf T)cˉR​(T)=∑σ​c(T;σ)pr(σ∣T). For w>0w>0w>0, RRR is expected www-competitive if there is a constant KKK with

cˉR(T)≤w c0(T)+K\bar c_R(\mathbf T)\le w\,c_0(\mathbf T)+KcˉR​(T)≤wc0​(T)+K

for every finite task sequence and every initial state. The randomized competitive ratio wˉ(S,d)\bar w(S,d)wˉ(S,d) is the infimum of all such www over all RRR.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7.1

For the uniform task system on n≥1n\ge1n≥1 states,

H(n)  ≤  wˉ(S,d)  ≤  2H(n).H(n)\;\le\;\bar w(S,d)\;\le\;2H(n).H(n)≤wˉ(S,d)≤2H(n).

Milestones

  1. Upper bound (p. 759). Some randomized on-line algorithm is expected 2H(n)2H(n)2H(n)-competitive on the uniform task system.
  2. Lemma 7.2 (p. 759). Let DDD be a distribution on infinite task sequences over a finite task alphabet, with E(c0(Tj))→∞E(c_0(\mathbf T^j))\to\inftyE(c0​(Tj))→∞, and let mj=inf⁡AE(cA(Tj))m_j=\inf_A E(c_A(\mathbf T^j))mj​=infA​E(cA​(Tj)) over deterministic on-line algorithms. Then every achievable www satisfies
lim sup⁡j→∞mjE(c0(Tj))≤w.\limsup_{j\to\infty}\frac{m_j}{E(c_0(\mathbf T^j))}\le w .j→∞limsup​E(c0​(Tj))mj​​≤w.
  1. mj≥j/nm_j\ge j/nmj​≥j/n (p. 760) when the tasks are independent uniformly random unit elementary tasks UsU_sUs​ (cost 111 in sss, 000 elsewhere).
  2. Coupon collector (p. 760). For i.i.d. uniform states on SSS, the expected number of draws until every state has appeared is nH(n)nH(n)nH(n).
  3. Off-line cost (p. 760). Under the same distribution, E(c0(Tj))≤j/(nH(n))+CE(c_0(\mathbf T^j))\le j/(nH(n))+CE(c0​(Tj))≤j/(nH(n))+C for a constant CCC independent of jjj.

Significance

The theorem shows that randomization reduces the competitive ratio of the uniform task system from 2n−12n-12n−1 to Θ(log⁡n)\Theta(\log n)Θ(logn). That is an exponential improvement, and it identifies the adversary's knowledge of the algorithm's state as the source of the deterministic lower bound. Lemma 7.2 is a form of Yao's principle adapted to the additive-constant definition of competitiveness. It is the standard tool for randomized lower bounds in on-line computation, and the same argument shape reappears for paging and kkk-server lower bounds.

On the formalization side, the result is proved but, as far as is known, has not been machine-checked. A complete development yields a reusable model of randomized on-line algorithms with oblivious adversaries, a Yao-type lemma usable for other on-line problems, and a coupon-collector expectation in the product-measure setting. The upper half additionally needs the continuous-time reduction of the paper's Lemma 3.1 in randomized form, or a direct discrete-time algorithm.

Difficulty

For the upper bound, the natural algorithm is continuous-time. It proceeds in phases, and inside a phase it stays in a state until that state has accumulated cost 111. A discrete task can saturate several states at once and straddle a phase boundary. So a discrete algorithm must either simulate the continuous one or be analyzed directly, and the expected transition count per phase must be controlled with the first phase starting in a deterministic state.

For the lower bound, the first obstacle is that the natural statement "wˉ≥lim sup⁡mj/E(c0)\bar w\ge\limsup m_j/E(c_0)wˉ≥limsupmj​/E(c0​)" silently assumes that a randomized algorithm's expected cost, averaged over random inputs, is at least that of the best deterministic algorithm. With the behavioural (kernel) definition used here, this requires converting a kernel into a mixture of deterministic algorithms, which is Kuhn's theorem on each finite horizon. The second obstacle is that the paper's claim E(c0(Tj))≤j/(nH(n))+O(1)E(c_0(\mathbf T^j))\le j/(nH(n))+O(1)E(c0​(Tj))≤j/(nH(n))+O(1) is supported only by the elementary renewal theorem, which gives a limit of ratios; the additive bound needs a sharper renewal estimate. Mathlib has no renewal theory. The hypothesis E(c0(Tj))→∞E(c_0(\mathbf T^j))\to\inftyE(c0​(Tj))→∞ of Lemma 7.2 must also be established for the uniform distribution; the paper does not prove it separately.

Formalization scope

  • States form a finite nonempty type S, and nnn = Fintype.card S; no n≥2n\ge2n≥2 assumption is made (at n=1n=1n=1 the goal reads 1≤wˉ≤21\le\bar w\le21≤wˉ≤2, and wˉ=1\bar w=1wˉ=1). H(n)H(n)H(n) is Mathlib's harmonic n, cast to R\mathbb RR. The uniform system has unit transition cost.
  • Tasks are finite and nonnegative. The paper also allows +∞+\infty+∞ entries; these are excluded. Task sequences are Fin m → S → ℝ and schedules are Fin (m+1) → S with σ 0 = s₀. c0c_0c0​ is a finite minimum.
  • A randomized algorithm is a kernel S → List (S → ℝ) → List S → PMF S. This is the paper's scheduler–taskmaster description (p. 758), equivalent to a distribution over deterministic algorithms on every finite task sequence. pr(σ∣T)\mathrm{pr}(\sigma\mid\mathbf T)pr(σ∣T) is the product of kernel probabilities, and cˉR\bar c_RcˉR​ is a finite sum. That pr(⋅∣T)\mathrm{pr}(\cdot\mid\mathbf T)pr(⋅∣T) sums to 111 has been checked locally.
  • wˉ(S,d)\bar w(S,d)wˉ(S,d) is the real sInf of {w:∃R, R expected w-competitive}\{w : \exists R,\ R \text{ expected } w\text{-competitive}\}{w:∃R, R expected w-competitive}. On the empty set this would be 000, so the upper bound is stated as the existence of an expected 2H(n)2H(n)2H(n)-competitive algorithm, and Lemma 7.2 is stated for every achievable www. The goal's lower half forces the set to be nonempty. Statements of the form "wˉ≤c\bar w\le cwˉ≤c" alone are therefore not acceptable substitutes for milestones 1 and 2.
  • Lemma 7.2 is restricted to task sequences over a finite alphabet, with the product σ\sigmaσ-algebra and measurable singletons. This makes every E(cA(Tj))E(c_A(\mathbf T^j))E(cA​(Tj)) a genuine integral for every deterministic AAA, and it covers the paper's application. The lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup of Lemma 7.2 is taken in EReal.
  • The coupon-collector time takes values in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞] and its expectation is a lower Lebesgue integral. Milestone 5 renders the paper's O(1)O(1)O(1) as an explicit constant CCC chosen before jjj.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone; a discrete-time randomized phase algorithm; a general Kuhn-type conversion from kernels to mixtures of deterministic algorithms; renewal-theoretic lemmas.

Selected references

  • A. Borodin, N. Linial, M. Saks, An Optimal On-Line Algorithm for Metrical Task System, J. ACM 39(4):745–763, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1145/146585.146588
  • D. D. Sleator, R. E. Tarjan, Amortized Efficiency of List Update and Paging Rules, Commun. ACM 28(2):202–208, 1985. https://doi.org/10.1145/2786.2793
  • A. Fiat, R. M. Karp, M. Luby, L. A. McGeoch, D. D. Sleator, N. E. Young, Competitive Paging Algorithms, J. Algorithms 12(4):685–699, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(91)90041-V
  • A. C.-C. Yao, Probabilistic Computations: Toward a Unified Measure of Complexity, FOCS 1977, 222–227. https://doi.org/10.1109/SFCS.1977.24
  • S. M. Ross, Applied Probability Models with Optimization Applications, Holden-Day, 1970 (the elementary renewal theorem cited as [20] in the paper).
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Active InferenceBehaviorDynamical Systems+4·Captain: ActiveInference

Free Energy Principle I: the variational free-energy boundResearch Paper

Motivation

The free energy principle (FEP) proposes that a self-organizing system — a brain, an organism, an agent — persists by minimizing one quantity: the variational free energy of its sensory states under an internal generative model. Introduced by Karl Friston as a principle of brain function [Friston 2006] and stated in its unified form [Friston 2010], the principle makes a precise mathematical claim at its core: whatever internal state estimate the system holds, the free energy of incoming data is never below the data's surprisal (negative log marginal likelihood), and the excess is exactly the Kullback–Leibler divergence between the system's recognition density and the Bayesian posterior implied by the model. Active inference extends the same functional from perception to action and planning [Friston et al. 2017], and the same bound is known in machine learning as the evidence lower bound (ELBO) of variational inference [Parr et al. 2022].

Timeline of the mathematical content this mission formalizes:

  • 2006 — Friston, A free energy principle for the brain (J. Physiol. Paris 100): the bound stated for perception as variational inference on a generative model.
  • 2010 — Friston, The free-energy principle: a unified brain theory? (Nat. Rev. Neurosci. 11, 127–138): free energy as an upper bound on surprisal, presented as the core of a unified account.
  • 2017 — Friston, FitzGerald, Rigoli, Schwartenbeck, Pezzulo, Active inference: a process theory (Neural Comput. 29(1), 1–49): the same functional drives policy selection through expected free energy.
  • 2022 — Parr, Pezzulo, Friston, Active Inference (MIT Press): textbook treatment; the posterior-form identity F=DKL(Q ∥ P(s∣o))−log⁡P(o)F = D_{\mathrm{KL}}(Q\,\|\,P(s|o)) - \log P(o)F=DKL​(Q∥P(s∣o))−logP(o) as the central equation.
  • 2026 — fep_formal (Active Inference Institute): a machine-checked Lean 4 catalogue of 155 Free Energy Principle topics, compiled with zero proof holes against a pinned Mathlib. This mission transcribes the catalogue's core-free-energy chain — topic fep-002 and the foundation module active_inference — onto the platform, turning the first link of the FEP development into solvable community infrastructure.

Setting

Everything is finite, and laws are normalized real mass functions.

A finite law on a finite type α\alphaα is a function p:α→Rp : \alpha \to \mathbb{R}p:α→R with p(x)≥0p(x) \ge 0p(x)≥0 for every xxx and ∑xp(x)=1\sum_x p(x) = 1∑x​p(x)=1. A finite kernel from α\alphaα to β\betaβ assigns to each x∈αx \in \alphax∈α a normalized row over β\betaβ. The mission's definitions Def_fep_finite_laws and Def_fep_finite_information package these carriers with entropy, cross-entropy, and the KL divergence

DKL(p ∥ q)  =  ∑xq(x)⋅klFun ⁣(p(x)q(x)),klFun(x)=xlog⁡x+1−x,D_{\mathrm{KL}}(p\,\|\,q) \;=\; \sum_{x} q(x)\cdot \mathrm{klFun}\!\left(\frac{p(x)}{q(x)}\right), \qquad \mathrm{klFun}(x) = x\log x + 1 - x,DKL​(p∥q)=x∑​q(x)⋅klFun(q(x)p(x)​),klFun(x)=xlogx+1−x,

a totalized real-valued divergence that is finite even at zero-mass atoms (the convention 0⋅log⁡0=00 \cdot \log 0 = 00⋅log0=0 via Real.negMulLog) and nonnegative on normalized laws.

A finite generative model for active inference (definition Def_fep_generative_model) over finite types Policy,State,Outcome\mathsf{Policy}, \mathsf{State}, \mathsf{Outcome}Policy,State,Outcome consists of: an initial state law P(s)P(s)P(s); a policy-conditioned transition kernel; a state-to-outcome likelihood kernel; a preference law over outcomes; and a policy prior. Under a policy π\piπ the model predicts the state law P(s∣π)P(s \mid \pi)P(s∣π) and the outcome law P(o∣π)P(o \mid \pi)P(o∣π). A recognition density is any finite law QQQ over states — the system's internal estimate. At an outcome ooo with positive predicted mass, the Bayesian posterior P(⋅∣o,π)P(\cdot \mid o, \pi)P(⋅∣o,π) is the exact finite Bayes rule. The outcome surprisal is −log⁡P(o∣π)-\log P(o \mid \pi)−logP(o∣π), and the posterior-form variational free energy of a recognition density QQQ is

F[Q,o,π]  =  DKL(Q ∥ P(⋅∣o,π))  −  log⁡P(o∣π).F[Q, o, \pi] \;=\; D_{\mathrm{KL}}\big(Q \,\|\, P(\cdot \mid o, \pi)\big) \;-\; \log P(o \mid \pi).F[Q,o,π]=DKL​(Q∥P(⋅∣o,π))−logP(o∣π).

Formalization targets

Goal: the variational free-energy bound

For every generative model, every policy π\piπ, every outcome ooo with P(o∣π)>0P(o\mid\pi) > 0P(o∣π)>0, and every recognition density QQQ:

−log⁡P(o∣π)  ≤  F[Q,o,π].-\log P(o \mid \pi) \;\le\; F[Q, o, \pi].−logP(o∣π)≤F[Q,o,π].

The recognition density QQQ is universally quantified — the bound holds for whatever state estimate the system happens to carry.

Exactness, uniqueness, and the ELBO form

Three companions pin down the equality case, ordered weakest to strongest alongside the milestone list:

  • Exactness — the Bayesian posterior attains the bound:
F[P(⋅∣o,π), o, π]=−log⁡P(o∣π).F\big[P(\cdot \mid o, \pi),\, o,\, \pi\big] = -\log P(o \mid \pi).F[P(⋅∣o,π),o,π]=−logP(o∣π).
  • Uniqueness — equality characterizes the posterior, with no full-support assumption:
F[Q,o,π]=−log⁡P(o∣π)  ⟺  Q=P(⋅∣o,π).F[Q, o, \pi] = -\log P(o \mid \pi) \iff Q = P(\cdot \mid o, \pi).F[Q,o,π]=−logP(o∣π)⟺Q=P(⋅∣o,π).
  • ELBO form — negating both sides:
−F[Q,o,π]  ≤  log⁡P(o∣π).-F[Q, o, \pi] \;\le\; \log P(o \mid \pi).−F[Q,o,π]≤logP(o∣π).

Measure-theoretic core

Independently of the finite model, in Mathlib's nonnegative extended reals R≥0∪{∞}\mathbb{R}_{\ge0} \cup \{\infty\}R≥0​∪{∞}, with qqq, ppp measures on any measurable space and s∈R≥0∪{∞}s \in \mathbb{R}_{\ge0} \cup \{\infty\}s∈R≥0​∪{∞}:

s  ≤  s+DKL(q ∥ p),s \;\le\; s + D_{\mathrm{KL}}(q \,\|\, p),s≤s+DKL​(q∥p),

the unconditional shape of the bound (topic fep-002 of the source catalogue), with the divergence taken as ∞\infty∞ when the log-likelihood ratio is not integrable.

Significance

The result itself. This inequality is the load-bearing step of the FEP: it converts "minimize free energy" into "move recognition toward the posterior," and it is the exact statement whose continuous, dynamic, and policy-selecting extensions (expected free energy, Markov blankets, non-equilibrium thermodynamics) form the rest of the FEP literature. Without it, the principle's variational step has no mathematical content.

Formalizing it. The mathematics here is classical — Gibbs' inequality — and the source development already proves every row with no proof holes. What the mission adds is faithful, reusable infrastructure: the definitions are published as platform nodes in the shared namespace FreeEnergyPrinciple, so later missions in this programme (expected free energy and policy selection, Markov blankets, Gaussian and continuous-time variants, already proved in the source repository) can import them instead of re-deriving the substrate. Status honesty: all eight items below are formalized and machine-checked locally against the platform environment; each is an open problem on the platform only in the sense that no proof has yet been submitted to it.

Difficulty

The bound itself is a one-line consequence of KL nonnegativity — the naive idea "prove it by simp on the KL sum" is essentially right, and the source proofs are correspondingly short. The actual difficulty is boundary precision, where plausible renderings go silently wrong:

  • The positivity premise P(o∣π)>0P(o \mid \pi) > 0P(o∣π)>0 is not decoration: the Bayesian posterior is defined only where the evidence has positive mass, and hiding that in a totalized division would change the statement.
  • The uniqueness characterization is not a formality: at zero-mass reference atoms the logarithmic cross-entropy identity degenerates, and the proof needs the normalization lemma DKL(p ∥ q)=0↔p=qD_{\mathrm{KL}}(p\,\|\,q) = 0 \leftrightarrow p = qDKL​(p∥q)=0↔p=q, which forces the recognition law's mass to zero wherever the posterior's is zero. A solver who proves the bound but states equality with a full-support hypothesis has proved something different from the source.
  • The measure-theoretic core is deliberately unconditional; adding finiteness side conditions to it would weaken the source's point that R≥0∪{∞}\mathbb{R}_{\ge0} \cup \{\infty\}R≥0​∪{∞} absorbs the degenerate cases.

A vacuous formalization — quantifying over a single distinguished recognition law, or taking "posterior" as an arbitrary variable — would trivialize the goal; the targets below rule this out by fixing the exact finite Bayes rule and universally quantifying QQQ.

Formalization scope

Committed conventions of this mission's Lean development:

  • All model carriers are finite types (Fintype); laws are R\mathbb{R}R-valued normalized mass functions; kernels are normalized rows. No measure-theoretic machinery below the finite substrate except for the measure-theoretic core milestone.
  • KL is the totalized real-valued finite divergence DKL(p ∥ q)=∑xq(x)⋅klFun(p(x)/q(x))D_{\mathrm{KL}}(p\,\|\,q) = \sum_x q(x)\cdot \mathrm{klFun}(p(x)/q(x))DKL​(p∥q)=∑x​q(x)⋅klFun(p(x)/q(x)); entropy uses Real.negMulLog, so 0⋅log⁡0=00 \cdot \log 0 = 00⋅log0=0 exactly, not by exception-handling.
  • The posterior is the exact finite Bayes rule FiniteKernel.posterior, taken at the explicit hypothesis 0<P(o∣π)0 < P(o \mid \pi)0<P(o∣π).
  • One mission-wide namespace FreeEnergyPrinciple; definitions live in the published definition files Def_fep_finite_laws, Def_fep_finite_information, Def_fep_generative_model, and every theorem item imports them. A Free Energy Principle II mission (expected free energy) is expected to reuse the same namespace and definitions.
  • The measure-theoretic core uses Mathlib's InformationTheory.klDiv in ℝ≥0∞ with no finiteness hypotheses.
  • Contributions welcome: alternative measure-theoretic renderings of the core bound, the Gaussian instantiation of the same identity, and ports of the source repository's subsequent rows (Bayesian model reduction, expected free energy) onto these definitions.

Selected references

  • K. Friston, A free energy principle for the brain, Journal of Physiology (Paris) 100 (2006) 70–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jphysparis.2006.10.001
  • K. Friston, The free-energy principle: a unified brain theory?, Nature Reviews Neuroscience 11 (2010) 127–138. https://doi.org/10.1038/nrn2787
  • K. Friston, T. FitzGerald, F. Rigoli, P. Schwartenbeck, G. Pezzulo, Active inference: a process theory, Neural Computation 29 (2017) 1–49. https://doi.org/10.1162/neco_a_00912
  • T. Parr, G. Pezzulo, K. J. Friston, Active Inference: The Free Energy Principle in Mind, Brain, and Behavior, MIT Press (2022). https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262045354/active-inference/
  • D. A. Friedman, fep_formal: Towards Lean 4 Formalization of the Free Energy Principle (v1.2.0), Active Inference Institute (2026), the formal source of truth for this mission. https://github.com/ActiveInferenceInstitute/fep_formal
  • D. A. Friedman, Towards Lean 4 Formalization of the Free Energy Principle: AI-Driven Theorem Sketching and Verification for Active Inference and Bayesian Mechanics, Active Inference Journal (2026). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19699233
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OptimizationProbability·Captain: StellaXin

Capped Base-Stock Policies: A 2.33-ApproximationResearch Paper

A performance guarantee for a simple replenishment rule

When replenishment takes several periods, an inventory decision commits stock before the demand that will consume it is known. Too much stock incurs holding costs; too little loses sales. An optimal decision can depend on the entire pipeline of outstanding orders. A rule with only two adjustable parameters is easier to implement, but its simplicity alone gives no guarantee on the cost it can incur.

Capped base-stock policies combine an inventory-position target with a maximum order quantity. The class was introduced and analyzed by Xin (2021). The present target is the finite-lead-time guarantee in Linwei Xin's Capped Base-Stock Policies: A 2.33-Approximation, specifically the author-supplied manuscript with source label thm-main. A public listing of the paper identifies the July 17, 2026 working paper; the supplied text is the authoritative version for this formalization.

Demand, stock, and delayed orders

Periods are discrete. Demand is a sequence of independent, identically distributed nonnegative real random variables DtD_tDt​ with finite, strictly positive mean μ\muμ. The deterministic lead time is an integer L≥1L\ge1L≥1. Holding and lost-sales rates are h>0h>0h>0 and p>0p>0p>0.

At the beginning of period ttt, ItI_tIt​ is on-hand inventory and x1,t,…,xL,tx_{1,t},\ldots,x_{L,t}x1,t​,…,xL,t​ are outstanding orders, with x1,tx_{1,t}x1,t​ due immediately. That arrival is received, an order qt≥0q_t\ge0qt​≥0 is placed, demand is realized, and costs are charged. The new order arrives LLL periods later. The equations are

It+1=(It+x1,t−Dt)+,xi,t+1=xi+1,t (i<L),xL,t+1=qt.I_{t+1}=(I_t+x_{1,t}-D_t)^+,\qquad x_{i,t+1}=x_{i+1,t}\ (i<L),\qquad x_{L,t+1}=q_t.It+1​=(It​+x1,t​−Dt​)+,xi,t+1​=xi+1,t​ (i<L),xL,t+1​=qt​.

Here u+=max⁡{u,0}u^+=\max\{u,0\}u+=max{u,0}. Unfilled demand is lost rather than backlogged. With ℓt=(Dt−It−x1,t)+\ell_t=(D_t-I_t-x_{1,t})^+ℓt​=(Dt​−It​−x1,t​)+, the period cost is hIt+1+pℓthI_{t+1}+p\ell_thIt+1​+pℓt​. Initial inventory and every pipeline coordinate are zero. A nonanticipative policy chooses orders using only information available before the current demand; policies may depend on the entire observed past and on independent private randomization.

For a policy π\piπ, its long-run expected average cost is

C(π)=lim sup⁡T→∞1T∑t=1TE[hIt+1π+pℓtπ],OPT=inf⁡π∈ΠC(π).C(\pi)=\limsup_{T\to\infty}\frac1T\sum_{t=1}^T\mathbb E[hI_{t+1}^\pi+p\ell_t^\pi],\qquad \mathrm{OPT}=\inf_{\pi\in\Pi}C(\pi).C(π)=T→∞limsup​T1​t=1∑T​E[hIt+1π​+pℓtπ​],OPT=π∈Πinf​C(π).

The capped rule is qt=min⁡{(S−It−∑i=1Lxi,t)+,r}q_t=\min\{(S-I_t-\sum_{i=1}^Lx_{i,t})^+,r\}qt​=min{(S−It​−∑i=1L​xi,t​)+,r} for finite S,r≥0S,r\ge0S,r≥0. Write CCBS∗=inf⁡S,r≥0C(πS,r)C^*_{\rm CBS}=\inf_{S,r\ge0}C(\pi_{S,r})CCBS∗​=infS,r≥0​C(πS,r​). Ordinary base stock is already included by taking r=Sr=Sr=S; no infinite order cap is required.

Formalization targets

For 0≤r≤μ0\le r\le\mu0≤r≤μ and m≥1m\ge1m≥1, set

Irm=max⁡0≤k≤m∑i=1k(r−Di),Gm(r,z)=E[(Irm+∑i=1m(Di−r)−z)+].I_r^m=\max_{0\le k\le m}\sum_{i=1}^k(r-D_i),\qquad G_m(r,z)=\mathbb E\left[\left(I_r^m+\sum_{i=1}^m(D_i-r)-z\right)^+\right].Irm​=0≤k≤mmax​i=1∑k​(r−Di​),Gm​(r,z)=E[(Irm​+i=1∑m​(Di​−r)−z)+].

Empty sums are zero. The lower certificate is

C‾=inf⁡{hz+p(μ−r):0≤r≤μ, z≥0, GL(r,z)≤L(μ−r), GL+1(r,z)≤(L+1)(μ−r)}.\underline C=\inf\{hz+p(\mu-r):0\le r\le\mu,\ z\ge0,\ G_L(r,z)\le L(\mu-r),\ G_{L+1}(r,z)\le(L+1)(\mu-r)\}.C​=inf{hz+p(μ−r):0≤r≤μ, z≥0, GL​(r,z)≤L(μ−r), GL+1​(r,z)≤(L+1)(μ−r)}.

The pair (0,0)(0,0)(0,0) is feasible. Both horizon constraints are retained. With

κL=1+4L2(L+1)(3L−1),\kappa_L=1+\frac{4L^2}{(L+1)(3L-1)},κL​=1+(L+1)(3L−1)4L2​,

the goal is Theorem 1's complete assertion:

CCBS∗≤κLC‾,CCBS∗≤κLOPT≤73OPT.C^*_{\rm CBS}\le\kappa_L\underline C,\qquad C^*_{\rm CBS}\le\kappa_L\mathrm{OPT}\le\frac73\mathrm{OPT}.CCBS∗​≤κL​C​,CCBS∗​≤κL​OPT≤37​OPT.

The exact rational constant is used; the title's 2.33 is a rounded description. Multiplicative inequalities also make sense when the optimal cost is zero.

Five supporting targets reproduce selected source statements: Proposition 1's lower-certificate bound; Proposition 2's finite-cap cost conclusion; Lemma 2's bound on a consecutive block in the greedy recursion; Proposition 3's ordinary-base-stock cost bound; and Proposition 4's two-branch inequality. The finite-cap and ordinary-base-stock parameters remain exactly (S,r)=((L+1)r+z,r)(S,r)=((L+1)r+z,r)(S,r)=((L+1)r+z,r) and S=(L+1)r+2zS=(L+1)r+2zS=(L+1)r+2z, respectively. Labels accompany the printed numbering so the supplied source is unambiguous.

What completing the mission establishes

The result gives a uniform cost guarantee for this policy class across all positive holding and penalty rates, every positive integer lead time, and arbitrary nonnegative demand laws with finite positive mean. It bounds the infimum of costs over the policy parameters; it does not by itself provide an algorithm for selecting parameters or assert that the infimum is attained. At L=1L=1L=1 the displayed coefficient is 2, while its uniform upper bound is 7/37/37/3.

The manuscript supplies mathematical proofs. This mission asks for checked proofs of their formal statements. Compiling the declarations confirms that they are well formed, not that the claims are proved. A completed development would provide reusable delayed-inventory dynamics, measurable history policies, average-cost optimization objects, finite-horizon demand envelopes, and policy-comparison results.

Where the formal work lies

The pipeline carries consequences of past decisions across multiple demand periods. Nonanticipativity and independence must be stated precisely before expectation and convexity arguments can be used. Also, existence of a stationary distribution alone does not identify its expected cost with a long-run cost from an empty initial system. The manuscript invokes stationary results from prior inventory work, including Xin and Goldberg (2016), and uses stationary CBS quantities in intermediate arguments. Their needed hypotheses and connections to the original objective require proof within a complete development.

The two cost bounds depend on both coordinates of a feasible lower-certificate pair. Losing either horizon constraint changes that certificate. Replacing it with an arbitrary scalar lower bound or assuming the policy comparisons would remove substantive parts of the result.

Formalization scope and conventions

Stock, orders, and demand take arbitrary nonnegative real values. Time is represented from zero in the operational model, corresponding to period one in the manuscript. The formal representation uses a canonical probability model with independent demand coordinates and an independent uniform private seed; measurable time-dependent decision functions use only preceding demands and that seed. Connecting arbitrary standard-Borel randomized controls to this canonical realization is a representation obligation. The zero-start optimum ranges over these general history policies, not only stationary or capped policies.

Expected nonnegative costs, their upper limits, and cost infima are represented in the extended nonnegative reals. Thus a policy with infinite expected cost does not acquire a fictitious zero value through a totalized real integral. The finite-horizon envelope expectations use the original integrable demand law. The greedy lemma uses integer-indexed sequences so subtraction of earlier times has no natural-number truncation; its blocks are nonempty, as required to define their maximum.

Definitions contain no unproved facts. In particular, stationarity, convergence from the empty initial state, lower bounds, and upper policy comparisons are not fields assumed by the model. Contributions to these intermediate obligations and to any of the five source targets support the central theorem.

Selected references

  • Linwei Xin, Capped Base-Stock Policies: A 2.33-Approximation, working paper, 2026. SSRN listing. Author-supplied LaTeX is authoritative: Theorem 1 (thm-main), Proposition 1 (lemma-lb), Proposition 2 (prop-finite-cap-bound), Lemma 2 (lem-greedy-window), Proposition 3 (prop-base-stock-bound), Proposition 4 (lem-two-branch). Source SHA-256: f353793c255e1ebed5f3ec541037284bd926183e3e5b71941f13e79c2d67cb7a.
  • Linwei Xin, Technical Note—Understanding the Performance of Capped Base-Stock Policies in Lost-Sales Inventory Models, Operations Research 69(1), 61–70, 2021. DOI.
  • Linwei Xin and David A. Goldberg, Optimality Gap of Constant-Order Policies Decays Exponentially in the Lead Time for Lost Sales Models, Operations Research 64(6), 1556–1565, 2016. DOI.
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Probability·Captain: viratkota

Coherent Measures of Risk: the axioms, and why Value-at-Risk fails themResearch Paper

Motivation

In 1999 Artzner, Delbaen, Eber and Heath asked what a risk measure ought to satisfy, wrote down four axioms, and observed that the industry standard of the day -- Value-at-Risk -- fails one of them. The failing axiom is subadditivity: merging two positions should never require more capital than holding them apart. VaR can violate it, so under VaR a diversified book can appear riskier than its parts.

That observation did not stay academic. It is the reason the Basel framework moved its market-risk capital standard from Value-at-Risk to Expected Shortfall. Few results in mathematical finance have had a more direct regulatory consequence, and the mathematics is elementary enough to state completely.

Setting

A position is a payoff X : Fin (n+1) -> R across finitely many equally-weighted states, and a risk measure rho sends it to the capital that must be added to make it acceptable. Following Definition 2.4 of the paper, rho is coherent when it is translation-invariant, subadditive, positively homogeneous and monotone. Nonemptiness of the state space is carried in the index type so the worst case is always attained; no probability measure is needed for these four axioms, which is faithful to the paper -- Artzner et al. state T, S, PH and M without reference to one.

Value-at-Risk is defined here at an integer tolerance k rather than a probability level, which keeps the quantile unambiguous on a finite space: VaR X k is the least capital leaving at most k states in loss, corresponding to level k/(n+1).

The goal

The mission's goal theorem is the negative result: Value-at-Risk is not subadditive. A witness is 25 equiprobable states with X losing 100 in state 0 alone and Y losing 100 in state 1 alone. Each has one losing state in twenty-five, so at tolerance k = 1 both have VaR = 0; their sum loses in two states, exceeding the tolerance, so VaR (X+Y) 1 = 100 > 0 + 0. The witness was checked numerically before this mission was drafted; what is open is the Lean proof.

The milestones establish the positive contrast on the same footing: worst-case risk, the most conservative measure, satisfies all four axioms, so the failure is specific to VaR rather than inherent to risk measurement.

Source

P. Artzner, F. Delbaen, J.-M. Eber and D. Heath, Coherent Measures of Risk, Mathematical Finance 9 (1999) 203-228. Axioms T, S, PH and M are Definition 2.4; the failure of subadditivity for VaR and the diversification consequence are discussed in Section 3.

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Theoretical Computer Science·Captain: Shuze Chen

The 4/3 Conjecture for Metric TSPOpen Problem

Motivation

The traveling salesman problem — visit nnn cities by the cheapest round trip — is the most widely known problem in combinatorial optimization, and its central open question concerns a linear program. The subtour-elimination relaxation (the Held–Karp bound) replaces tours by fractional edge weights, and both in theory and in practice (it powers the lower bounds inside the Concorde solver) it is remarkably close to the true optimum. How close, in the worst case, is the integrality gap of the relaxation: the supremum of OPT/LP\mathrm{OPT}/\mathrm{LP}OPT/LP over metric instances. Explicit instance families push the gap up to 4/34/34/3; the best proven upper bound sits just barely below 3/23/23/2. The 4/3 conjecture — the gap is exactly 4/34/34/3 — has been the benchmark question of approximation algorithms for four decades.

Timeline

  • 1954. Dantzig, Fulkerson, and Johnson solve a 49-city instance by hand with the cutting planes that become the subtour-elimination LP.
  • 1970–1971. Held and Karp introduce the 1-tree/Lagrangian bound and show it equals the subtour LP value — since then, "the Held–Karp bound".
  • 1976/1978. Christofides, and independently Serdyukov, give the 3/23/23/2-approximation: minimum spanning tree plus a matching on odd-degree vertices.
  • 1980. Wolsey (Math. Prog. Study 13) shows Christofides' analysis goes through against the LP: OPT≤32 LP\mathrm{OPT} \le \frac{3}{2}\,\mathrm{LP}OPT≤23​LP, so the integrality gap is at most 3/23/23/2. Shmoys and Williamson (IPL 1990) rediscover this via a monotonicity property.
  • 1995. Goemans (Math. Programming 69) analyzes the worst-case ratios of TSP relaxations and states the 4/34/34/3 conjecture explicitly; the 4/34/34/3 lower-bound families (three parallel paths) are by then folklore.
  • 2011–2014. For graph metrics (shortest-path metrics of unweighted graphs) the barrier breaks: Oveis Gharan–Saberi–Singh and Mömke–Svensson beat 3/23/23/2, and Sebő–Vygen (Combinatorica 2014) reach 7/57/57/5 — the conjectured-optimal shape of progress, but only for a special class.
  • 2020–2022. Karlin, Klein, and Oveis Gharan prove a 3/2−ε3/2 - \varepsilon3/2−ε approximation for general metric TSP (STOC 2021) and then an integrality-gap bound γ≤3/2−ε\gamma \le 3/2 - \varepsilonγ≤3/2−ε with ε>10−36\varepsilon > 10^{-36}ε>10−36 (FOCS 2022), via max-entropy sampling of spanning trees and strongly Rayleigh distributions — the first general improvement over Wolsey in forty years, by an astronomically small margin.
  • Today. The gap between the 4/34/34/3 lower bound and the 3/2−10−363/2 - 10^{-36}3/2−10−36 upper bound is the conjecture. For half-integral LP solutions — where the conjectured extremal instances live — the bound has been pushed to 1.49831.49831.4983 (Gupta, Lee, Li, Mucha, Newman, and Sarkar, via matroid-based rounding).

Setting

An instance on n≥3n \ge 3n≥3 cities is a cost function ccc assigning to each ordered pair of cities u,vu, vu,v a real cost c(u,v)c(u,v)c(u,v), required to be a metric cost: symmetric (c(u,v)=c(v,u)c(u,v) = c(v,u)c(u,v)=c(v,u)), zero on the diagonal (c(v,v)=0c(v,v) = 0c(v,v)=0), and satisfying the triangle inequality c(u,w)≤c(u,v)+c(v,w)c(u,w) \le c(u,v) + c(v,w)c(u,w)≤c(u,v)+c(v,w). Nonnegativity follows; distinct cities at distance zero are allowed, as usual for metric TSP.

A tour visits every city exactly once and returns to its start. Formally a tour is given by an ordering: a permutation π\piπ of the cities, traversed as π(0),π(1),…,π(n−1)\pi(0), \pi(1), \dots, \pi(n-1)π(0),π(1),…,π(n−1) and back to π(0)\pi(0)π(0); its cost tourCost(c,π)\mathrm{tourCost}(c, \pi)tourCost(c,π) is the sum of the costs of consecutive steps, and OPT(c)\mathrm{OPT}(c)OPT(c) — written tspOpt c — is the minimum over all orderings.

The subtour-elimination (Held–Karp) relaxation replaces the tour by a fractional edge weight x(u,v)x(u,v)x(u,v) for each pair of cities. A weight vector xxx is feasible (IsHeldKarp x) when it is symmetric with zero diagonal, has entries in [0,1][0,1][0,1], gives every city fractional degree two (∑ux(v,u)=2\sum_u x(v,u) = 2∑u​x(v,u)=2), and crosses every nontrivial cut at least twice: for every set SSS of cities other than ∅\emptyset∅ and all cities, ∑u∈S∑v∉Sx(u,v)≥2\sum_{u \in S} \sum_{v \notin S} x(u,v) \ge 2∑u∈S​∑v∈/S​x(u,v)≥2. The Held–Karp bound hkValue c is the infimum of 12∑u∑vc(u,v) x(u,v)\frac{1}{2}\sum_u \sum_v c(u,v)\,x(u,v)21​∑u​∑v​c(u,v)x(u,v) over feasible xxx (the double sum counts each edge twice, hence the 12\frac1221​). The incidence vector of any tour is feasible, so LP≤OPT\mathrm{LP} \le \mathrm{OPT}LP≤OPT always.

Formalization targets

Goal — the 4/3 conjecture

OPT(c)  ≤  43 LP(c)for every n≥3 and every metric cost c.\mathrm{OPT}(c) \;\le\; \tfrac{4}{3}\,\mathrm{LP}(c) \qquad \text{for every } n \ge 3 \text{ and every metric cost } c.OPT(c)≤34​LP(c)for every n≥3 and every metric cost c.

Together with the known lower-bound families this says the integrality gap is exactly 4/34/34/3. The goal carries no algorithm and no constant to improve: it is the terminal statement of the ladder, open in both directions (a proof or a counterexample instance would each settle it).

Milestones — the known ladder

Five results over the same definitions: the relaxation is valid (LP≤OPT\mathrm{LP} \le \mathrm{OPT}LP≤OPT); instance families force the gap arbitrarily close to 4/34/34/3; tree doubling gives OPT≤2 LP\mathrm{OPT} \le 2\,\mathrm{LP}OPT≤2LP; Wolsey's theorem gives OPT≤32 LP\mathrm{OPT} \le \frac{3}{2}\,\mathrm{LP}OPT≤23​LP, the classical upper bound; and the Karlin–Klein–Oveis Gharan record OPT≤(32−ε) LP\mathrm{OPT} \le (\frac{3}{2} - \varepsilon)\,\mathrm{LP}OPT≤(23​−ε)LP for some ε>10−36\varepsilon > 10^{-36}ε>10−36 (FOCS 2022). The last milestone is a statement-level target: its known proof (max-entropy sampling, strongly Rayleigh polynomials) is far beyond current formalization practice, so the mission's usable proving frontier remains Wolsey — the milestone records the state of the art as a formal statement.

Significance

The 4/3 conjecture is the reference open problem of approximation algorithms: the quality of the subtour LP calibrates every algorithmic advance on TSP, and the conjectured extremal instances guide the search for better rounding schemes. The bound is also what practical solvers actually compute — branch-and-cut on this LP solves instances with tens of thousands of cities — so the conjecture is a statement about the observed tightness of the world's most-used combinatorial lower bound.

Nothing in this circle exists in any proof assistant: Mathlib has no TSP, no LP relaxations, no polyhedral combinatorics of tours. The mission's milestones force the base layer into existence — tours over Equiv.Perm, cut constraints over Finset, and, for the upper bounds, the parity and tree arguments (spanning trees against the LP, T-joins for the 3/23/23/2 bound) whose infrastructure is reusable for matching theory and network design far beyond TSP.

Difficulty

The naive plan — round the LP solution to a tour — has no known analysis losing less than 3/23/23/2 in general, and the half-integral extremal instances show the hard cases are structured and simple-looking at once. Christofides' matching argument is provably stuck at 3/23/23/2 against the LP; forty years of work moved the constant by 10−3610^{-36}10−36, and that advance needed an entirely new probabilistic toolkit. On the other side, no instance family with ratio above 4/34/34/3 has ever been found despite extensive computational search over small instances (Benoit–Boyd and successors). Both directions of the goal are genuinely open territory.

Formalization scope

The Lean model commits to: cities Fin n; costs c : Fin n → Fin n → ℝ with IsMetricCost (symmetry, zero diagonal, triangle inequality — nonnegativity is derived, and semimetrics are included as in the standard statement of the conjecture); tours as orderings π : Equiv.Perm (Fin n) traversed cyclically via finRotate, so every permutation denotes a Hamiltonian cycle and every Hamiltonian cycle is denoted; both optimal values as sInf over nonempty, bounded-below sets of reals, so they are genuine minima for n ≥ 3. The hypothesis 3 ≤ n is load-bearing: for n ≤ 2 the degree-2 constraints are infeasible, sInf ∅ = 0 by convention, and the bounds would be false — every theorem therefore carries it.

Welcome contributions: the milestones in any order — held_karp_le_opt is the natural entry point (the tour's incidence vector crosses every cut at least twice); integrality_gap_lower_bound needs the three-path instance family and a case analysis on its tours; tree_doubling_bound needs spanning trees against the LP; wolsey_bound adds the T-join/parity argument and is the summit. Reusable infrastructure — spanning tree polytopes, T-joins, Eulerian traversals, cut lemmas — is welcome as platform theorems. Graph-TSP (7/57/57/5), path TSP, and asymmetric TSP are deliberately left to future missions; the Karlin–Klein–Oveis Gharan bound is stated as a milestone, but its sampling machinery is expected to arrive, if ever, as shared infrastructure built over many contributions.

Selected references

  • G. Dantzig, R. Fulkerson, S. Johnson, Solution of a large-scale traveling-salesman problem, Oper. Res. 2 (1954).
  • M. Held, R. Karp, The traveling-salesman problem and minimum spanning trees, Oper. Res. 18 (1970); Part II, Math. Programming 1 (1971).
  • N. Christofides, Worst-case analysis of a new heuristic for the travelling salesman problem, CMU report (1976); A. Serdyukov, Upravlyaemye Sistemy 17 (1978).
  • L. Wolsey, Heuristic analysis, linear programming and branch and bound, Math. Prog. Study 13 (1980). doi:10.1007/BFb0120913
  • D. Shmoys, D. Williamson, Analyzing the Held-Karp TSP bound: a monotonicity property with application, Inf. Process. Lett. 35 (1990). doi:10.1016/0020-0190(90)90028-V
  • M. Goemans, Worst-case comparison of valid inequalities for the TSP, Math. Programming 69 (1995). doi:10.1007/BF01585563
  • A. Sebő, J. Vygen, Shorter tours by nicer ears, Combinatorica 34 (2014). arXiv:1201.1870
  • A. Karlin, N. Klein, S. Oveis Gharan, A (slightly) improved approximation algorithm for metric TSP, STOC 2021. arXiv:2007.01409
  • A. Karlin, N. Klein, S. Oveis Gharan, A (slightly) improved bound on the integrality gap of the subtour LP for TSP, FOCS 2022. arXiv:2105.10043
  • V. Traub, J. Vygen, Approximation Algorithms for Traveling Salesman Problems, Cambridge University Press, 2024. book page
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Functional AnalysisOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: Shuze Chen

Vector Space Methods II: Gauss–Markov EstimationTextbook

Motivation

Chapter 4 of Luenberger's Optimization by Vector Space Methods (Wiley, 1969) develops linear least-squares estimation as an application of the Hilbert space projection theorem formalized in Mission I of this series. The chapter's centerpiece is the classical Gauss–Markov theorem: among all linear unbiased estimators of an unknown parameter vector from noisy linear measurements, the estimator (W⊤Q−1W)−1W⊤Q−1y(W^\top Q^{-1} W)^{-1} W^\top Q^{-1} y(W⊤Q−1W)−1W⊤Q−1y has minimum variance — componentwise, not merely in trace. This result is foundational for statistics and econometrics, and its Hilbert-space derivation is the cleanest known.

Setting

Measurements are modeled as y=Wβ+εy = W\beta + \varepsilony=Wβ+ε, where yyy is an mmm-dimensional data vector, WWW a known m×nm \times nm×n matrix (n<mn < mn<m) with linearly independent columns, β\betaβ an unknown nnn-dimensional parameter vector, and ε\varepsilonε a random mmm-vector of measurement errors with Eε=0E\varepsilon = 0Eε=0 and covariance E[εε⊤]=QE[\varepsilon\varepsilon^\top] = QE[εε⊤]=Q, positive definite. A linear estimate is β^=Ky\hat\beta = Kyβ^​=Ky for a constant n×mn \times mn×m matrix KKK; it is unbiased when Eβ^=βE\hat\beta = \betaEβ^​=β for every β\betaβ, which holds iff KW=IKW = IKW=I. The optimality criterion is the error second moment E∥β^−β∥2E\|\hat\beta - \beta\|^2E∥β^​−β∥2, and the book's key observation (p. 85) is that the problem splits into nnn independent minimum norm problems, one per component, each solvable by the dual approximation theorem of Mission I.

Formally, randomness is carried by an abstract probability space: a measure space (Ω,μ)(\Omega, \mu)(Ω,μ) with μ\muμ a probability measure, random vectors as functions Ω→Rm\Omega \to \mathbb{R}^mΩ→Rm with explicit integrability hypotheses for all first and second moments, and E[⋅]=∫⋅ dμE[\cdot] = \int \cdot \, d\muE[⋅]=∫⋅dμ.

Formalization targets

The goal is §4.4 Theorem 1 (Gauss–Markov): with K0=(W⊤Q−1W)−1W⊤Q−1K_0 = (W^\top Q^{-1} W)^{-1} W^\top Q^{-1}K0​=(W⊤Q−1W)−1W⊤Q−1,

K0W=I,E[(K0y−β)i2]≤E[(Ky−β)i2]for every i and every K with KW=I,K_0 W = I, \qquad E\big[(K_0 y - \beta)_i^2\big] \le E\big[(K y - \beta)_i^2\big] \quad \text{for every } i \text{ and every } K \text{ with } KW = I,K0​W=I,E[(K0​y−β)i2​]≤E[(Ky−β)i2​]for every i and every K with KW=I,

with error covariance

E[(K0y−β)(K0y−β)⊤]=(W⊤Q−1W)−1.E\big[(K_0 y - \beta)(K_0 y - \beta)^\top\big] = (W^\top Q^{-1} W)^{-1}.E[(K0​y−β)(K0​y−β)⊤]=(W⊤Q−1W)−1.

Milestones: the deterministic least-squares estimate β^=(W⊤W)−1W⊤y\hat\beta = (W^\top W)^{-1} W^\top yβ^​=(W⊤W)−1W⊤y (§4.3 Theorem 1); the book's deterministic reduction — minimize the diagonal entries of KQK⊤KQK^\topKQK⊤ subject to KW=IKW = IKW=I (p. 85); the minimum-variance estimate β^=E[βy⊤](E[yy⊤])−1y\hat\beta = E[\beta y^\top] (E[y y^\top])^{-1} yβ^​=E[βy⊤](E[yy⊤])−1y for random β\betaβ (§4.5 Theorem 1); and the information-form identities RW⊤(WRW⊤+Q)−1=(W⊤Q−1W+R−1)−1W⊤Q−1RW^\top(WRW^\top + Q)^{-1} = (W^\top Q^{-1}W + R^{-1})^{-1}W^\top Q^{-1}RW⊤(WRW⊤+Q)−1=(W⊤Q−1W+R−1)−1W⊤Q−1 and R−RW⊤(WRW⊤+Q)−1WR=(W⊤Q−1W+R−1)−1R - RW^\top(WRW^\top+Q)^{-1}WR = (W^\top Q^{-1}W + R^{-1})^{-1}R−RW⊤(WRW⊤+Q)−1WR=(W⊤Q−1W+R−1)−1 (§4.5 Corollary 2).

Significance

The Gauss–Markov theorem justifies weighted least squares as the optimal linear unbiased procedure and is the standard benchmark against which biased and nonlinear estimators are measured. The minimum-variance estimate of §4.5 is the Bayesian counterpart with prior covariance RRR; the information-form identities connect the two and exhibit Gauss–Markov as the limit R−1→0R^{-1} \to 0R−1→0. Mission III builds the recursive (Kalman) estimator directly on these results.

All results are classical and proved in the source. Mathlib has mature measure-theoretic integration but, to date, no Gauss–Markov theorem and no linear estimation theory; the matrix milestones (trace reduction, information form) are also absent as stated. The probabilistic statements here are deliberately phrased with elementary integrals of products of real-valued components — no Bochner integration of vector-valued maps — so they are approachable with MeasureTheory.integral alone.

Difficulty

The subtlety is bookkeeping, not depth. Unbiasedness must be encoded as the algebraic constraint KW=IKW = IKW=I (the book proves the equivalence with Eβ^=βE\hat\beta = \betaEβ^​=β for all β\betaβ); the componentwise variance claim is strictly stronger than the trace claim and requires the per-component minimum norm argument, not a single matrix inequality. Positive definiteness of QQQ enters through invertibility of W⊤Q−1WW^\top Q^{-1} WW⊤Q−1W, which itself needs the linear independence of the columns of WWW — dropping either hypothesis makes the goal false. In the probabilistic statements every integral needs an integrability hypothesis; the drafts supply integrability of all pairwise products of components, from which integrability of every derived expression follows.

Formalization scope

Random vectors are plain functions Ω → Fin m → ℝ on a MeasurableSpace Ω with a probability measure μ; second moments are hypotheses of the form ∫ ω, ε ω i * ε ω j ∂μ = Q i j with explicit Integrable assumptions; no independence, Gaussianity, or distributional assumptions are used anywhere. Matrices are Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ with Mathlib's Matrix.PosDef, nonconstructive inverse ⁻¹, and mulVec. Norms on parameter space are written as explicit finite sums of squares, avoiding any ambiguity between Euclidean and supremum norms on pi types. The estimators under comparison are strictly linear (β^=Ky\hat\beta = Kyβ^​=Ky, no affine offset), exactly as in the source; §4.5's affine extension (its Problem 6) is out of scope.

Selected references

  • David G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, John Wiley & Sons, 1969. Chapter 4, pp. 78–102. ISBN 0-471-55359-X.
  • A. C. Aitken, On least squares and linear combination of observations, Proc. Roy. Soc. Edinburgh 55 (1935), 42–48 (the weighted-least-squares form of Gauss–Markov).
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Vector Space Methods I: Minimum Norm Problems in Hilbert SpaceTextbook

Motivation

Luenberger's Optimization by Vector Space Methods (Wiley, 1969) organizes a large part of optimization theory around a single geometric idea: minimum norm problems in inner product spaces, solved by orthogonal projection. Chapter 3 is the technical heart of that program. Its projection theorem and normal equations underlie least-squares data fitting, Fourier approximation, minimum-energy control, and the whole statistical estimation theory of Chapter 4 — which Missions II and III of this series formalize on top of the present one.

Setting

Throughout, spaces are real. A pre-Hilbert space is a real vector space XXX with an inner product ⟨⋅,⋅⟩\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle⟨⋅,⋅⟩ inducing the norm ∥x∥=⟨x,x⟩1/2\|x\| = \langle x,x\rangle^{1/2}∥x∥=⟨x,x⟩1/2; a Hilbert space HHH is a complete pre-Hilbert space. Vectors x,yx, yx,y are orthogonal when ⟨x,y⟩=0\langle x, y\rangle = 0⟨x,y⟩=0; for a subset SSS, the orthogonal complement S⊥S^\perpS⊥ is the set of vectors orthogonal to every element of SSS. Given y1,…,yn∈Hy_1,\dots,y_n \in Hy1​,…,yn​∈H, their Gram matrix is G(y1,…,yn)ij=⟨yi,yj⟩G(y_1,\dots,y_n)_{ij} = \langle y_i, y_j\rangleG(y1​,…,yn​)ij​=⟨yi​,yj​⟩ and its determinant g(y1,…,yn)g(y_1,\dots,y_n)g(y1​,…,yn​) is the Gram determinant. A linear variety is a translate x+Mx + Mx+M of a subspace MMM.

Formalization targets

The goal is §3.10 Theorem 2, the dual approximation problem: for linearly independent y1,…,yn∈Hy_1,\dots,y_n \in Hy1​,…,yn​∈H and constants c1,…,cnc_1,\dots,c_nc1​,…,cn​, among all x∈Hx \in Hx∈H satisfying the constraints

⟨x,yi⟩=ci,i=1,…,n,\langle x, y_i\rangle = c_i, \qquad i = 1,\dots,n,⟨x,yi​⟩=ci​,i=1,…,n,

there is a unique vector of minimum norm, and it has the form

x0=∑i=1nβi yi,where∑j=1nβj⟨yj,yi⟩=ci.x_0 = \sum_{i=1}^n \beta_i\, y_i, \qquad \text{where} \qquad \sum_{j=1}^n \beta_j \langle y_j, y_i\rangle = c_i .x0​=i=1∑n​βi​yi​,wherej=1∑n​βj​⟨yj​,yi​⟩=ci​.

The milestone list follows the chapter's own development: the projection theorem in its pre-Hilbert form (§3.3 Theorem 1) and classical form (§3.3 Theorem 2), the orthogonal decomposition H=M⊕M⊥H = M \oplus M^\perpH=M⊕M⊥ with M⊥⊥=MM^{\perp\perp} = MM⊥⊥=M (§3.4 Theorem 1), the normal equations and Gram matrices (§3.6), the Gram determinant formula δ2=g(y1,…,yn,x)/g(y1,…,yn)\delta^2 = g(y_1,\dots,y_n,x)/g(y_1,\dots,y_n)δ2=g(y1​,…,yn​,x)/g(y1​,…,yn​) for the minimum distance (§3.6 Theorem 1), best approximation by Fourier sums over orthonormal families (§3.7, §3.9), minimum norm over a linear variety (§3.10 Theorem 1), and the extension from subspaces to closed convex sets with its variational inequality characterization (§3.12 Theorem 1).

Significance

The dual approximation theorem converts an infinite-dimensional constrained minimum norm problem into an n×nn \times nn×n linear system — the book's model example of finite reduction, applied there to minimum-energy control of a motor (§3.11) and, in Chapter 4, to every linear estimation problem: least squares, Gauss–Markov, and recursive (Kalman) estimation are all instances of these results in a Hilbert space of random variables.

All results here are classical and proved in the source; the mission's product is a faithful machine-checked development with reusable statements. Mathlib already contains close relatives of several milestones (orthogonal projection onto complete subspaces, Submodule.orthogonal), so part of the work is connecting the book's formulations to that library; the Gram determinant distance formula and the dual approximation theorem itself have no direct Mathlib counterpart.

Difficulty

The individual milestones are standard Hilbert space theory. The care is in the statements, not tricks: the pre-Hilbert version of the projection theorem asserts uniqueness and the orthogonality characterization without existence, while existence requires completeness and closedness — conflating the two versions produces unprovable or vacuous statements. The Gram determinant formula requires the (n+1)×(n+1)(n+1) \times (n+1)(n+1)×(n+1) Gram matrix of the extended family (y1,…,yn,x)(y_1,\dots,y_n,x)(y1​,…,yn​,x), where index bookkeeping (Fin.snoc) is easy to get wrong. In §3.12 the variational inequality ⟨x−k0,k−k0⟩≤0\langle x - k_0, k - k_0\rangle \le 0⟨x−k0​,k−k0​⟩≤0 replaces the equality characterization valid for subspaces; the inequality direction is a known trap.

Formalization scope

The development commits to: real scalars (the book allows complex; this series does not), an abstract space H : Type with [NormedAddCommGroup H] [InnerProductSpace ℝ H] and [CompleteSpace H] exactly where the source assumes a Hilbert space; subspaces as Submodule ℝ H with explicit IsClosed hypotheses; finite families as Fin n → H; Gram matrices as Matrix (Fin n) (Fin n) ℝ via Matrix.of; minimum distances as infima (⨅) over coerced submodules. Best approximation statements are phrased as explicit inequalities ‖x - m₀‖ ≤ ‖x - m‖ rather than through any projection operator, so they are usable without choosing Mathlib's orthogonalProjection API. Statements deliberately carry no more hypotheses than the source: §3.3 Theorem 1 and the normal equations hold in any real inner product space; completeness appears only where existence is claimed.

Proofs are expected to lean on Mathlib's inner product space library; contributions of reusable bridging lemmas (e.g. between ⨅-formulations and orthogonalProjection) are welcome as child lemmas via proof sketches.

Selected references

  • David G. Luenberger, Optimization by Vector Space Methods, John Wiley & Sons, 1969. Chapter 3, pp. 46–77. ISBN 0-471-55359-X.
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