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Operations Research

2,232 missions · 1,107 completed

The discipline of applying mathematical analysis to complex decision problems in operations: allocating scarce resources, scheduling, routing, inventory, and the design of service and production systems. Drawing on mathematical programming, stochastic modeling, queueing, simulation, and game-theoretic reasoning, it seeks policies that perform provably well in systems shaped by constraints, congestion, and uncertainty.

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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Product Price, Quality and Service Decisions under Consumer Choice Models V: A Dealer Optimally Offers a Markup-Ordered Assortment and Attaches Long Service to an Adjusted-Markup-Ordered SetResearch Paper

Motivation

Car dealers, electronics retailers and office suppliers sell products whose prices and features are set upstream by manufacturers, and bundle each product with a service of their own: maintenance, repairs or a warranty. The dealer's short-term problem is then purely combinatorial. Which products should be carried, and which of them should come with a long rather than a short service? Longer service makes a product more attractive to consumers but costs the dealer more per unit sold, and the cost per unit of service time depends on the product's quality.

Wang, Ke and Cui (SSRN 3766191, accepted at Manufacturing & Service Operations Management) study price, quality and service decisions under multinomial logit (MNL) and nested logit demand. Section 5.2 of the paper treats the dealer's problem and shows that its solution has a two-threshold structure. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 5, together with the steps of its proof in the Online Supplement.

The single-service version of the question is classical: under MNL demand with fixed prices, the profit-maximizing assortment consists of the products with the highest margins, a revenue-ordered (here: markup-ordered) assortment (Talluri & van Ryzin 2004). Theorem 5 extends this to two service options per product, where the choice is between three actions for each product (not offered, short service, long service) and the margin of each action differs.

Setting

There are products N={1,…,N}\mathcal N=\{1,\dots,N\}N={1,…,N}. Product iii has a fixed price pip_ipi​ and quality qiq_iqi​, a quality sensitivity αi\alpha_iαi​, a service utility per unit time sis_isi​, a unit production cost ciqi2c_iq_i^2ci​qi2​, and a service cost per unit time ai−biqia_i-b_iq_iai​−bi​qi​. Two service durations are available: a short one tst_sts​ and a long one tlt_ltl​.

The dealer chooses two disjoint sets Sl,Ss⊆NS_l,S_s\subseteq\mathcal NSl​,Ss​⊆N: products in SlS_lSl​ are offered with service duration tlt_ltl​, products in SsS_sSs​ with tst_sts​, and the others are not offered. A product iii offered with duration ttt has attraction exp⁡(αiqi−pi+tsi)\exp(\alpha_iq_i-p_i+ts_i)exp(αi​qi​−pi​+tsi​) and markup pi−ciqi2−t(ai−biqi)p_i-c_iq_i^2-t(a_i-b_iq_i)pi​−ci​qi2​−t(ai​−bi​qi​). Under MNL demand with an outside option, product i∈Sli\in S_li∈Sl​ is bought with probability

di(p,q;Sl,Ss)=exp⁡(αiqi−pi+tlsi)1+∑j∈Slexp⁡(αjqj−pj+tlsj)+∑j∈Ssexp⁡(αjqj−pj+tssj),d_i(\mathbf p,\mathbf q;S_l,S_s)=\frac{\exp(\alpha_iq_i-p_i+t_ls_i)}{1+\sum_{j\in S_l}\exp(\alpha_jq_j-p_j+t_ls_j)+\sum_{j\in S_s}\exp(\alpha_jq_j-p_j+t_ss_j)},di​(p,q;Sl​,Ss​)=1+∑j∈Sl​​exp(αj​qj​−pj​+tl​sj​)+∑j∈Ss​​exp(αj​qj​−pj​+ts​sj​)exp(αi​qi​−pi​+tl​si​)​,

and similarly with tst_sts​ for i∈Ssi\in S_si∈Ss​ (eq. (12)). The dealer's expected profit, with market size one, is

Πs(p,q;Sl,Ss)=∑i∈Sl[pi−ciqi2−tl(ai−biqi)]di+∑i∈Ss[pi−ciqi2−ts(ai−biqi)]di,\Pi^s(\mathbf p,\mathbf q;S_l,S_s)=\sum_{i\in S_l}\big[p_i-c_iq_i^2-t_l(a_i-b_iq_i)\big]d_i+\sum_{i\in S_s}\big[p_i-c_iq_i^2-t_s(a_i-b_iq_i)\big]d_i ,Πs(p,q;Sl​,Ss​)=i∈Sl​∑​[pi​−ci​qi2​−tl​(ai​−bi​qi​)]di​+i∈Ss​∑​[pi​−ci​qi2​−ts​(ai​−bi​qi​)]di​,

and problem (13) is to maximize Πs\Pi^sΠs over disjoint pairs (Sl,Ss)(S_l,S_s)(Sl​,Ss​).

Two orderings of products appear in the answer. The short-service markup is zi=pi−ciqi2−ts(ai−biqi)z_i=p_i-c_iq_i^2-t_s(a_i-b_iq_i)zi​=pi​−ci​qi2​−ts​(ai​−bi​qi​). The adjusted markup is

xi=(pi−ciqi2)−Ai (ai−biqi),Ai=tlexp⁡(tlsi)−tsexp⁡(tssi)exp⁡(tlsi)−exp⁡(tssi).x_i=(p_i-c_iq_i^2)-A_i\,(a_i-b_iq_i),\qquad A_i=\frac{t_l\exp(t_ls_i)-t_s\exp(t_ss_i)}{\exp(t_ls_i)-\exp(t_ss_i)} .xi​=(pi​−ci​qi2​)−Ai​(ai​−bi​qi​),Ai​=exp(tl​si​)−exp(ts​si​)tl​exp(tl​si​)−ts​exp(ts​si​)​.

A markup-ordered assortment is a set of the products with the highest values of ziz_izi​; an adjusted markup-ordered set is a set of the products with the highest values of xix_ixi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

Assume ts<tlt_s<t_lts​<tl​, si>0s_i>0si​>0 and ai−biqi≥0a_i-b_iq_i\ge0ai​−bi​qi​≥0 for all iii. There are thresholds θ,θ′\theta,\theta'θ,θ′ such that, with Si∗={i:zi≥θ}S_{i^*}=\{i:z_i\ge\theta\}Si∗​={i:zi​≥θ} and Sj♮={i:xi≥θ′}S_{j^\natural}=\{i:x_i\ge\theta'\}Sj♮​={i:xi​≥θ′},

Sj♮⊆Si∗andΠs(p,q;Sl,Ss)≤Πs(p,q;Sj♮, Si∗∖Sj♮)  for all disjoint (Sl,Ss).S_{j^\natural}\subseteq S_{i^*}\quad\text{and}\quad \Pi^s(\mathbf p,\mathbf q;S_l,S_s)\le\Pi^s\big(\mathbf p,\mathbf q;S_{j^\natural},\,S_{i^*}\setminus S_{j^\natural}\big)\ \text{ for all disjoint }(S_l,S_s).Sj♮​⊆Si∗​andΠs(p,q;Sl​,Ss​)≤Πs(p,q;Sj♮​,Si∗​∖Sj♮​)  for all disjoint (Sl​,Ss​).

Part (a) of the paper (a markup-ordered assortment is an optimal offer set) and part (b) (long service on an adjusted markup-ordered subset of it, short service on the rest) are one statement about the same Si∗S_{i^*}Si∗​.

Milestones from the proof (Online Supplement p. 8)

  1. (EC.11). For disjoint (Sl,Ss)(S_l,S_s)(Sl​,Ss​), r=Πs(Sl,Ss)r=\Pi^s(S_l,S_s)r=Πs(Sl​,Ss​) if and only if r=∑i∈Slhil(r)+∑i∈Sshis(r)r=\sum_{i\in S_l}h^l_i(r)+\sum_{i\in S_s}h^s_i(r)r=∑i∈Sl​​hil​(r)+∑i∈Ss​​his​(r), where hil(r)=[yi−r]exp⁡(αiqi−pi+tlsi)h^l_i(r)=[y_i-r]\exp(\alpha_iq_i-p_i+t_ls_i)hil​(r)=[yi​−r]exp(αi​qi​−pi​+tl​si​), his(r)=[zi−r]exp⁡(αiqi−pi+tssi)h^s_i(r)=[z_i-r]\exp(\alpha_iq_i-p_i+t_ss_i)his​(r)=[zi​−r]exp(αi​qi​−pi​+ts​si​) and yi=pi−ciqi2−tl(ai−biqi)y_i=p_i-c_iq_i^2-t_l(a_i-b_iq_i)yi​=pi​−ci​qi2​−tl​(ai​−bi​qi​).
  2. The fixed point. H(r)=max⁡Sl,Ss{∑Slhil(r)+∑Sshis(r)}=∑imax⁡{hil(r),his(r),0}H(r)=\max_{S_l,S_s}\{\sum_{S_l}h^l_i(r)+\sum_{S_s}h^s_i(r)\}=\sum_i\max\{h^l_i(r),h^s_i(r),0\}H(r)=maxSl​,Ss​​{∑Sl​​hil​(r)+∑Ss​​his​(r)}=∑i​max{hil​(r),his​(r),0}; HHH is non-increasing; r=H(r)r=H(r)r=H(r) has a unique root r∗r^*r∗, and r∗r^*r∗ is the optimal value of (13).
  3. Breakpoints. xi,yi,zix_i,y_i,z_ixi​,yi​,zi​ are the roots of hil=hish^l_i=h^s_ihil​=his​, hil=0h^l_i=0hil​=0, his=0h^s_i=0his​=0, and xi≤yi≤zix_i\le y_i\le z_ixi​≤yi​≤zi​.
  4. Piecewise form. hi=hilh_i=h^l_ihi​=hil​ on r≤xir\le x_ir≤xi​, hish^s_ihis​ on xi<r≤zix_i<r\le z_ixi​<r≤zi​, 000 on r>zir>z_ir>zi​.
  5. Level sets at r∗r^*r∗. Sl={xi≥r∗}S_l=\{x_i\ge r^*\}Sl​={xi​≥r∗} and Ss={zi≥r∗}∖SlS_s=\{z_i\ge r^*\}\setminus S_lSs​={zi​≥r∗}∖Sl​ is an optimal pair with profit r∗r^*r∗.

Significance

Problem (13) has 3N3^N3N feasible pairs. Theorem 5 reduces the search to at most O(N2)O(N^2)O(N2) pairs indexed by two thresholds, and it says which products deserve the long service: those with the highest adjusted margin xix_ixi​, which charges each unit of service cost at the rate Ai>tlA_i>t_lAi​>tl​ rather than at tlt_ltl​. The paper's managerial reading is that high-margin products go with long service, as with retailers that attach longer warranties to expensive items.

The result is proved in the paper; none of it is machine-checked. A formal proof gives a verified two-service extension of the MNL revenue-ordered assortment theorem, and the fixed-point reduction (milestones 1 and 2) is a reusable device for MNL assortment problems with several options per product.

Difficulty

The profit is a ratio of sums, so exchanging one product's service changes every choice probability, and pairwise exchange arguments do not directly compare assortments. The naive idea of ranking products by a single margin fails: the long-service margin yiy_iyi​ and the short-service margin ziz_izi​ order products differently, and the long service also raises the product's attraction. Neither ordering alone decides which products get long service. The adjusted markup xix_ixi​ is the breakpoint at which long and short service become equally profitable, and the three breakpoints xi≤yi≤zix_i\le y_i\le z_ixi​≤yi​≤zi​ must line up for the threshold structure to hold. This ordering uses ai−biqi≥0a_i-b_iq_i\ge0ai​−bi​qi​≥0: with a negative service cost the long service can be optimal for a product whose adjusted markup is below that of a product left unserved, and part (b) fails.

Formalization scope

  • Products are Fin N (0-based); N=0N=0N=0 is allowed. All parameters α,a,b,c,s,p,q\alpha,a,b,c,s,p,qα,a,b,c,s,p,q are arbitrary real vectors and ts,tlt_s,t_lts​,tl​ real numbers; prices and qualities are fixed data, not decisions.
  • The outside option is the constant 111 in the denominator. The MNL formula is the definition; its derivation from Gumbel utilities is cited, not formalized.
  • Decisions are pairs of Finset (Fin N) with Disjoint Sl Ss; optimality is a global inequality against every disjoint pair.
  • "Markup-ordered" and "adjusted markup-ordered" are upper level sets {i:zi≥θ}\{i: z_i\ge\theta\}{i:zi​≥θ}, {i:xi≥θ′}\{i:x_i\ge\theta'\}{i:xi​≥θ′} with real thresholds. Each is a prefix of every decreasing relabelling, so no tie-break is fixed; the empty and the full set are allowed.
  • The model's standing assumptions are explicit hypotheses wherever they are used: ts<tlt_s<t_lts​<tl​ (shortest and longest duration), si>0s_i>0si​>0 (service utility) and ai−biqi≥0a_i-b_iq_i\ge0ai​−bi​qi​≥0 (service cost). The first two make AiA_iAi​ well defined; AiA_iAi​ is a total Lean function that returns 000 when its denominator vanishes, a value no statement relies on. No sign is imposed on bib_ibi​ or cic_ici​.
  • Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the statement has two service levels (a single level would be the Talluri–van Ryzin theorem), uses level sets rather than a fixed relabelling with strict orders, ties the long-service set to the same offered set in (a) and (b) instead of using independent existentials, and states the three hypotheses rather than leaving them implicit.
  • Definitions: the MNL choice probabilities and profit (12)–(13), and the auxiliary functions hil,his,hi,Hh^l_i,h^s_i,h_i,Hhil​,his​,hi​,H, AiA_iAi​, xix_ixi​. Proofs of the milestones need only finite sums, max and elementary real analysis. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative routes to Theorem 5, are welcome.

Selected references

  • Ruxian Wang, Chenxu Ke, Shiliang Cui, Product Price, Quality and Service Decisions under Consumer Choice Models, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2022 (accepted manuscript, SSRN 3766191). https://ssrn.com/abstract=3766191 — DOI of the published version: https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2020.0947
  • Kalyan Talluri, Garrett van Ryzin, Revenue Management Under a General Discrete Choice Model of Consumer Behavior, Management Science 50(1), 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1030.0147
  • Daniel McFadden, Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior, in Frontiers in Econometrics, Academic Press, 1974.
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Product Price, Quality and Service Decisions under Consumer Choice Models IV: Under the Two-Stage Nested Logit Model, Qualities Are Set Product by Product and Markups Are Nest-InvariantResearch Paper

Motivation

A firm that sells durable products with an attached service (a warranty, a maintenance plan, a support contract) chooses three things for each product: its price, its quality, and how long the service lasts. Wang, Ke and Cui (SSRN 3766191, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2022) study this joint decision when consumers choose among the products according to a discrete choice model. Under the multinomial logit (MNL) model they show that every product's optimal service duration is either the shortest or the longest available, so that the products split into a short-service group and a long-service group.

That conclusion suggests a different model of the consumer. In business procurement, and more generally when the buyer first decides how long a product will be used, the consumer plausibly chooses a service duration first and a product second. The two-stage nested logit (NL) model (Ben-Akiva 1973; McFadden 1980) captures exactly this: the two service groups become nests, and products within a nest are closer substitutes than products in different nests. Section 4 of the paper asks whether the MNL structure of optimal qualities and prices survives in this model. This mission formalizes its answer, Theorem 4.

Price optimization under the nested logit model has a substantial literature. For prices alone, the optimal prices within a nest share one markup and the problem reduces to a one-dimensional fixed point (Li & Huh 2011; Gallego & Wang 2014). Theorem 4 adds quality as a decision, with production cost quadratic in quality and service cost depending on quality.

Setting

There are two nests x∈{s,l}x\in\{s,l\}x∈{s,l}. Nest xxx contains mxm_xmx​ products i=1,…,mxi=1,\dots,m_xi=1,…,mx​, and every product of nest xxx is sold with the same fixed service duration txt_xtx​. Product iii of nest xxx has parameters αxi\alpha_{xi}αxi​ (quality sensitivity), axia_{xi}axi​ (base service cost per unit time), bxib_{xi}bxi​ (marginal effect of quality on service cost), cxi>0c_{xi}>0cxi​>0 (production-cost coefficient) and sxis_{xi}sxi​ (service utility per unit time). The firm chooses a price pxip_{xi}pxi​ and a quality qxiq_{xi}qxi​ for every product.

The total attractiveness of nest xxx is ex=∑i=1mxexp⁡(αxiqxi−pxi+txsxi)e_x=\sum_{i=1}^{m_x}\exp(\alpha_{xi}q_{xi}-p_{xi}+t_xs_{xi})ex​=∑i=1mx​​exp(αxi​qxi​−pxi​+tx​sxi​). With upper-level scale parameter μ1≥1\mu_1\ge 1μ1​≥1 (the nest coefficient is 1/μ11/\mu_11/μ1​; the lower-level scale is normalized to 111), a consumer chooses nest xxx with probability

dx(p,q)=ex1/μ11+es1/μ1+el1/μ1,d_x(\mathbf p,\mathbf q)=\frac{e_x^{1/\mu_1}}{1+e_s^{1/\mu_1}+e_l^{1/\mu_1}},dx​(p,q)=1+es1/μ1​​+el1/μ1​​ex1/μ1​​​,

buys nothing with the remaining probability, and, having chosen nest xxx, picks product iii with probability di∣x=exp⁡(αxiqxi−pxi+txsxi)/exd_{i|x}=\exp(\alpha_{xi}q_{xi}-p_{xi}+t_xs_{xi})/e_xdi∣x​=exp(αxi​qxi​−pxi​+tx​sxi​)/ex​. The probability of buying product iii of nest xxx is dxi=dx di∣xd_{xi}=d_x\,d_{i|x}dxi​=dx​di∣x​. The markup of a product is its price minus production cost cxiqxi2c_{xi}q_{xi}^2cxi​qxi2​ minus service cost tx(axi−bxiqxi)t_x(a_{xi}-b_{xi}q_{xi})tx​(axi​−bxi​qxi​), and the firm's expected profit (market size one) is

ΠM(p,q)=∑x∈{s,l}∑i=1mx[pxi−cxiqxi2−tx(axi−bxiqxi)] dxi(p,q).\Pi_M(\mathbf p,\mathbf q)=\sum_{x\in\{s,l\}}\sum_{i=1}^{m_x}\bigl[p_{xi}-c_{xi}q_{xi}^2-t_x(a_{xi}-b_{xi}q_{xi})\bigr]\,d_{xi}(\mathbf p,\mathbf q).ΠM​(p,q)=x∈{s,l}∑​i=1∑mx​​[pxi​−cxi​qxi2​−tx​(axi​−bxi​qxi​)]dxi​(p,q).

The firm maximizes ΠM\Pi_MΠM​ over all real price and quality vectors. When μ1=1\mu_1=1μ1​=1 the model is the MNL model.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4

Let qxi†=(αxi+txbxi)/(2cxi)q^\dagger_{xi}=(\alpha_{xi}+t_xb_{xi})/(2c_{xi})qxi†​=(αxi​+tx​bxi​)/(2cxi​). The equation

r=∑x∈{s,l}μ1(∑i=1mxexp⁡(αxiqxi†−cxiqxi†2−tx(axi−bxiqxi†)+txsxi−r−μ1))1/μ1r=\sum_{x\in\{s,l\}}\mu_1\Bigl(\sum_{i=1}^{m_x}\exp\bigl(\alpha_{xi}q^\dagger_{xi}-c_{xi}q^{\dagger2}_{xi}-t_x(a_{xi}-b_{xi}q^\dagger_{xi})+t_xs_{xi}-r-\mu_1\bigr)\Bigr)^{1/\mu_1}r=x∈{s,l}∑​μ1​(i=1∑mx​​exp(αxi​qxi†​−cxi​qxi†2​−tx​(axi​−bxi​qxi†​)+tx​sxi​−r−μ1​))1/μ1​

has a unique real solution r†r^\daggerr†. With pxi†=μ1+r†+cxiqxi†2+tx(axi−bxiqxi†)p^\dagger_{xi}=\mu_1+r^\dagger+c_{xi}q^{\dagger2}_{xi}+t_x(a_{xi}-b_{xi}q^\dagger_{xi})pxi†​=μ1​+r†+cxi​qxi†2​+tx​(axi​−bxi​qxi†​),

ΠM(p,q)≤ΠM(p†,q†)=r†for all (p,q),\Pi_M(\mathbf p,\mathbf q)\le\Pi_M(\mathbf p^\dagger,\mathbf q^\dagger)=r^\dagger\quad\text{for all }(\mathbf p,\mathbf q),ΠM​(p,q)≤ΠM​(p†,q†)=r†for all (p,q),

and (p†,q†)(\mathbf p^\dagger,\mathbf q^\dagger)(p†,q†) is the only maximizer.

Milestones

The milestones follow the paper's proof in the Online Supplement:

  1. (EC.5): at an optimal price vector, every product iii of nest xxx has markup 1+r/μ1+(1−1/μ1)rx1+r/\mu_1+(1-1/\mu_1)r_x1+r/μ1​+(1−1/μ1​)rx​, where rrr is the profit and rxr_xrx​ the nest's average markup; so markups are constant within a nest.
  2. (EC.6): with a common markup ρx\rho_xρx​ per nest, the profit is ∑xρxdx(ρ,q)\sum_x\rho_x d_x(\boldsymbol\rho,\mathbf q)∑x​ρx​dx​(ρ,q); at the optimal markups, ρx−μ1=r\rho_x-\mu_1=rρx​−μ1​=r for each nonempty nest.
  3. (EC.7): for every rrr, the right-hand side above, as a function of q\mathbf qq, is maximized exactly at q†\mathbf q^\daggerq†.
  4. (EC.8): that right-hand side is strictly decreasing in rrr, so the fixed-point equation has exactly one root.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4 has two consequences. First, each product's optimal quality depends only on its own parameters and its nest's service duration, not on any other product, although all products are substitutes. At this quality, the marginal production and service cost of quality equals the consumer's marginal utility from it. Second, every product in both nests carries the same markup, μ1+r†\mu_1+r^\daggerμ1​+r†: the optimal profit plus the reciprocal of the nest coefficient. A pricing problem with ms+mlm_s+m_lms​+ml​ prices reduces to finding the root of a single monotone function. Proposition 7 of the paper uses these closed forms to compare consumer surplus with and without quality control under the NL model.

Formalizing it. The paper's proof writes down first-order conditions and assumes an optimum exists. The goal here is global optimality and uniqueness over all real prices and qualities, which the paper does not prove. A complete formalization needs the existence of the maximizer or a direct upper bound, together with the first-order identities. The related platform item DLevelNestedLogit.Pricing.stationary_point_iff (Li et al. 2015) characterizes stationary points of the price-only revenue in a ddd-level nested logit model. It has no costs and no quality, and it is not used here. No result of this mission has a machine-checked proof yet.

Difficulty

The profit ΠM\Pi_MΠM​ is not concave in prices (under the nested logit model, concavity is known only after a change of variables to market shares, Li & Huh 2011), so a first-order condition does not by itself certify a global maximum. The paper's argument shows only that any optimum satisfies the stated formulas. For a global result, the critical points must be shown to coincide with the maximizers, and the profit must be bounded above by r†r^\daggerr† everywhere, including at decisions where markups differ across products of a nest or are negative. The two reductions, to nest markups and then to the scalar rrr, are only valid at the optimum and have to be carried out with that in mind. The exponent 1/μ1≤11/\mu_1\le 11/μ1​≤1 makes ex1/μ1e_x^{1/\mu_1}ex1/μ1​​ concave rather than linear in the nest attractiveness. This is the step where the MNL argument does not transfer verbatim.

Formalization scope

  • Nests are a two-element type Nest (s, l). Products of nest xxx are Fin (m x), 0-based. Nests may be empty: an empty nest has ex=0e_x=0ex​=0, 01/μ1=00^{1/\mu_1}=001/μ1​=0, and contributes nothing.
  • The outside option is the "1+1+1+" in the denominator of dxd_xdx​, not a nest.
  • Durations ts,tlt_s,t_lts​,tl​ are fixed data, not decisions, with no order assumed between them. The nests are fixed.
  • Prices and qualities range over all of R\mathbb RR. The model's normalization q≥0q\ge 0q≥0 is not imposed, as in the paper's own formula.
  • Standing hypotheses: μ1≥1\mu_1\ge 1μ1​≥1 (general; μ1=1\mu_1=1μ1​=1 is allowed but is not the only case) and cxi>0c_{xi}>0cxi​>0. No sign is imposed on α,a,b,s\alpha,a,b,sα,a,b,s.
  • Powers are Real.rpow of nonnegative sums of exponentials.
  • "Optimal" means a global maximizer over all real vectors. The milestones that the paper derives from first-order conditions are stated as properties of a global maximizer.
  • The price formula p†p^\daggerp† takes rrr as an argument, and the theorem must identify r=r†r=r^\daggerr=r†.

The following versions are trivializing and are excluded: μ1=1\mu_1=1μ1​=1 only (the MNL case), a single nest, first-order conditions in place of global optimality, fixed qualities, or an optimum defined by the paper's formula.

The definitions (Model, MarkupProblem, Optimum) are self-contained and can be reused for other nested logit pricing results. Contributions are welcome on each milestone, on a sorry-free derivative of ΠM\Pi_MΠM​ in pxip_{xi}pxi​, and on an existence result for the maximizer.

Selected references

  • Y. Wang, J. Ke, S. Cui, Product Price, Quality and Service Decisions under Consumer Choice Models, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 2022 (accepted manuscript, SSRN 3766191). https://ssrn.com/abstract=3766191 — DOI https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2020.0947
  • M. Ben-Akiva, Structure of Passenger Travel Demand Models, PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1973 (no stable link; cited as in the source's bibliography).
  • D. McFadden, Econometric Models for Probabilistic Choice Among Products, Journal of Business 53(3), S13–S29, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1086/296093
  • H. Li, W. T. Huh, Pricing Multiple Products with the Multinomial Logit and Nested Logit Models: Concavity and Implications, Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 13(4), 549–564, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.1110.0344
  • G. Gallego, R. Wang, Price Optimization and Competition for Multi-Products under the Nested Logit Model with Product-Differentiated Price Coefficients, Operations Research 62(2), 450–461, 2014 (cited as in the source's bibliography; link not verified in this session).
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

On the tightness of SDP relaxations of QCQPs 1: Polyhedral Γ and Large Shared Zero Eigenspaces on Semidefinite Faces Give conv(D) = D_SDP and Opt = Opt_SDPResearch Paper

Motivation

Quadratically constrained quadratic programs (QCQPs) minimize a quadratic function subject to quadratic inequality and equality constraints. They model facility location, pooling, max-cut, trust-region steps and robust optimization problems, and every {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} integer program can be written as one; in general they are NP-hard. The standard tractable approach is the Shor semidefinite relaxation, which lifts xxx to the matrix xx⊤xx^\topxx⊤ and relaxes the rank-one condition to positive semidefiniteness. A recurring question is when this relaxation loses nothing: when its optimal value equals that of the QCQP (SDP tightness), and, more strongly, when its projected epigraph equals the convex hull of the QCQP's epigraph (convex hull exactness). The second property also describes the convex hull of the nonconvex feasible set's epigraph, which is useful in branch-and-bound and cutting-plane methods.

Timeline. The S-lemma (Yakubovich, 1971) gives SDP tightness for one inequality constraint, and Fujie and Kojima (1997) recorded the dual description of the SDP value used below. For the trust-region subproblem and its generalization, convex hull descriptions of the epigraph were given by Ho-Nguyen and Kılınç-Karzan (2017) and by Wang and Kılınç-Karzan (arXiv:1907.08843, 2019). Beck (2007) and Beck, Drori and Teboulle (2012) gave SDP tightness results for quadratic matrix programs. Wang and Kılınç-Karzan, On the tightness of SDP relaxations of QCQPs (arXiv:1911.09195v3, Math. Program. 2021), introduced a general framework based on the faces of a dual set Γ\GammaΓ and proved convex hull and tightness results for polyhedral Γ\GammaΓ and for QCQPs with large quadratic eigenvalue multiplicity. This mission formalizes the paper's first convex hull theorem (Theorem 1, p. 13) and the framework it rests on.

Setting

Fix NNN variables and m≥1m\ge1m≥1 constraints, the first mIm_ImI​ inequalities and the remaining mE=m−mIm_E=m-m_ImE​=m−mI​ equalities. Each function is

qi(x)=x⊤Aix+2bi⊤x+ci,Ai∈SN, bi∈RN, ci∈R,i=0,…,m.q_i(x)=x^\top A_ix+2b_i^\top x+c_i,\qquad A_i\in\mathbb S^N,\ b_i\in\mathbb R^N,\ c_i\in\mathbb R,\quad i=0,\dots,m.qi​(x)=x⊤Ai​x+2bi⊤​x+ci​,Ai​∈SN, bi​∈RN, ci​∈R,i=0,…,m.

The QCQP (1) is Opt=inf⁡{q0(x):qi(x)≤0 (i≤mI), qi(x)=0 (i>mI)}\mathrm{Opt}=\inf\{q_0(x): q_i(x)\le0\ (i\le m_I),\ q_i(x)=0\ (i>m_I)\}Opt=inf{q0​(x):qi​(x)≤0 (i≤mI​), qi​(x)=0 (i>mI​)}, and its epigraph is D={(x,t):x feasible, q0(x)≤2t}\mathcal D=\{(x,t): x\text{ feasible},\ q_0(x)\le2t\}D={(x,t):x feasible, q0​(x)≤2t}.

With Qi=(cibi⊤biAi)Q_i=\begin{pmatrix}c_i&b_i^\top\\ b_i&A_i\end{pmatrix}Qi​=(ci​bi​​bi⊤​Ai​​) and Y=(1x⊤xX)Y=\begin{pmatrix}1&x^\top\\ x&X\end{pmatrix}Y=(1x​x⊤X​), the SDP relaxation (3) minimizes ⟨Q0,Y⟩\langle Q_0,Y\rangle⟨Q0​,Y⟩ over X∈SNX\in\mathbb S^NX∈SN with Y⪰0Y\succeq0Y⪰0 and the constraints ⟨Qi,Y⟩≤0\langle Q_i,Y\rangle\le0⟨Qi​,Y⟩≤0 or =0=0=0; its value is OptSDP\mathrm{Opt}_{\mathrm{SDP}}OptSDP​ and its projected epigraph is DSDP={(x,t):∃X, (x,X) feasible, ⟨Q0,Y⟩≤2t}\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}=\{(x,t):\exists X,\ (x,X)\text{ feasible},\ \langle Q_0,Y\rangle\le2t\}DSDP​={(x,t):∃X, (x,X) feasible, ⟨Q0​,Y⟩≤2t} (4). Always conv(D)⊆DSDP\mathrm{conv}(\mathcal D)\subseteq\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}conv(D)⊆DSDP​ and Opt≥OptSDP\mathrm{Opt}\ge\mathrm{Opt}_{\mathrm{SDP}}Opt≥OptSDP​.

For γ∈Rm\gamma\in\mathbb R^mγ∈Rm let A(γ)=A0+∑iγiAiA(\gamma)=A_0+\sum_i\gamma_iA_iA(γ)=A0​+∑i​γi​Ai​, and similarly b(γ)b(\gamma)b(γ), c(γ)c(\gamma)c(γ) and the Lagrangian q(γ,x)=q0(x)+∑iγiqi(x)q(\gamma,x)=q_0(x)+\sum_i\gamma_iq_i(x)q(γ,x)=q0​(x)+∑i​γi​qi​(x). The dual object is

Γ={γ∈Rm: A(γ)⪰0, γi≥0 for i≤mI}.\Gamma=\{\gamma\in\mathbb R^m:\ A(\gamma)\succeq0,\ \gamma_i\ge0\ \text{for } i\le m_I\}.Γ={γ∈Rm: A(γ)⪰0, γi​≥0 for i≤mI​}.

Assumption 1: the QCQP is feasible and some γ∗\gamma^*γ∗ with γi∗≥0\gamma^*_i\ge0γi∗​≥0 for i≤mIi\le m_Ii≤mI​ has A(γ∗)≻0A(\gamma^*)\succ0A(γ∗)≻0. Assumption 3: Γ\GammaΓ is polyhedral. For x^∈RN\hat x\in\mathbb R^Nx^∈RN, F(x^)=arg⁡max⁡γ∈Γq(γ,x^)\mathcal F(\hat x)=\arg\max_{\gamma\in\Gamma}q(\gamma,\hat x)F(x^)=argmaxγ∈Γ​q(γ,x^). A face F\mathcal FF of Γ\GammaΓ is definite if some γ∈F\gamma\in\mathcal Fγ∈F has A(γ)≻0A(\gamma)\succ0A(γ)≻0 and semidefinite otherwise, with shared zero eigenspace V(F)={v:A(γ)v=0 ∀γ∈F}\mathcal V(\mathcal F)=\{v: A(\gamma)v=0\ \forall\gamma\in\mathcal F\}V(F)={v:A(γ)v=0 ∀γ∈F}. Finally aff dim⁡\operatorname{aff\,dim}affdim denotes affine dimension.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 13)

Under Assumptions 1 and 3, if every semidefinite face F\mathcal FF of Γ\GammaΓ satisfies dim⁡V(F)≥aff dim⁡{b(γ):γ∈F}+1\dim\mathcal V(\mathcal F)\ge\operatorname{aff\,dim}\{b(\gamma):\gamma\in\mathcal F\}+1dimV(F)≥affdim{b(γ):γ∈F}+1, then

conv(D)=DSDPandOpt=OptSDP.\mathrm{conv}(\mathcal D)=\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}\qquad\text{and}\qquad\mathrm{Opt}=\mathrm{Opt}_{\mathrm{SDP}}.conv(D)=DSDP​andOpt=OptSDP​.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1 (p. 7): under Assumption 1, DSDP={(x,t):sup⁡γ∈Γq(γ,x)≤2t}\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}=\{(x,t):\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma}q(\gamma,x)\le2t\}DSDP​={(x,t):supγ∈Γ​q(γ,x)≤2t} and OptSDP=min⁡xsup⁡γ∈Γq(γ,x)\mathrm{Opt}_{\mathrm{SDP}}=\min_x\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma}q(\gamma,x)OptSDP​=minx​supγ∈Γ​q(γ,x).
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 9): a semidefinite face has a unit vector in V(F)\mathcal V(\mathcal F)V(F).
  3. Lemma 3 (p. 9): under Assumptions 1 and 2, a point of DSDP\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}DSDP​ with definite F(x^)\mathcal F(\hat x)F(x^) lies in D\mathcal DD.
  4. Observation 1 (p. 10): under Assumption 1, a face of affine dimension mmm is definite.
  5. Lemma 4 (p. 10): under Assumptions 1, 2 and the decomposition condition (7), the two conclusions of Theorem 1 hold.
  6. Lemma 8 (p. 13): under Assumption 3, Γ=Γe+cone(Γr)\Gamma=\Gamma_e+\mathrm{cone}(\Gamma_r)Γ=Γe​+cone(Γr​) with polytopes Γe,Γr\Gamma_e,\Gamma_rΓe​,Γr​, and F(x^)=Fe(x^)+cone(Fr(x^))\mathcal F(\hat x)=\mathcal F_e(\hat x)+\mathrm{cone}(\mathcal F_r(\hat x))F(x^)=Fe​(x^)+cone(Fr​(x^)) when the supremum is finite.
  7. Lemma 7 (p. 13): under the hypotheses of Theorem 1, condition (7) holds.

Companions

Lemma 6 (p. 11: dim⁡V(F)≥k\dim\mathcal V(\mathcal F)\ge kdimV(F)≥k for the quadratic eigenvalue multiplicity kkk), Theorem 2 (p. 15: the hypothesis of Theorem 1 with kkk in place of dim⁡V(F)\dim\mathcal V(\mathcal F)dimV(F)), and Corollaries 1–4 (pp. 16–18: convex quadratic programs, one constraint, bi=0b_i=0bi​=0, scalar quadratic forms with m≤Nm\le Nm≤N).

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 gives a checkable sufficient condition, stated on the faces of a polyhedral dual set, under which the Shor relaxation is exact in the strongest sense: it describes conv(D)\mathrm{conv}(\mathcal D)conv(D), so the SDP value equals the QCQP value and, by Remark 7, conv(D)\mathrm{conv}(\mathcal D)conv(D) is second-order cone representable. Through Lemma 6 it becomes Theorem 2, the symmetry condition k≥aff dim⁡{b(γ)}+1k\ge\operatorname{aff\,dim}\{b(\gamma)\}+1k≥affdim{b(γ)}+1; its corollaries recover the convex hull results for the trust-region subproblem and its generalization and give new ones for simultaneously diagonalizable and "Swiss cheese" problems. The sharpness of the bound is shown in §4.3 of the paper.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper; nothing in it is machine-checked. A formal proof needs strong conic duality for the SDP in Lemma 1, the Minkowski–Weyl decomposition in Lemma 8, and the face-by-face decomposition argument of Lemma 7. These pieces are shared with the paper's SDP tightness result (Theorem 3), which uses Lemmas 1–3 and 8 again.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt is to take (x^,t^)∈DSDP(\hat x,\hat t)\in\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}(x^,t^)∈DSDP​, recover a rank-one solution of the SDP, and read off a point of D\mathcal DD. This fails because an optimal YYY need not have rank one, and a rank-reduction step can leave the feasible set of a nonconvex constraint. The paper instead moves (x^,t^)(\hat x,\hat t)(x^,t^) along a direction vvv in the shared zero eigenspace of the face F(x^)\mathcal F(\hat x)F(x^), and must show that both endpoints of the move stay in DSDP\mathcal D_{\mathrm{SDP}}DSDP​ while the face strictly grows in affine dimension. Controlling the endpoints needs finiteness of the relevant family of quadratic functions, which is where polyhedrality enters; without it (§4.3) the argument and the theorem fail. Lemma 1 also needs a strong duality theorem for semidefinite programs with a minimax step, neither of which is elementary in Lean.

Formalization scope

The Lean development lives in the namespace QCQPTightness.ConvHull. A QCQP is a structure with symmetric A0,AiA_0, A_iA0​,Ai​, vectors b0,bib_0,b_ib0​,bi​, scalars c0,cic_0,c_ic0​,ci​ and a count mI≤mm_I\le mmI​≤m; constraints are indexed by Fin m, constraint iii being an inequality exactly when i<mIi<m_Ii<mI​. Conventions:

  • Opt\mathrm{Opt}Opt and OptSDP\mathrm{Opt}_{\mathrm{SDP}}OptSDP​ are infima in EReal, never real infima; points of RN+1\mathbb R^{N+1}RN+1 are pairs (x,t)(x,t)(x,t), and conv\mathrm{conv}conv is convexHull ℝ.
  • Faces of Γ\GammaΓ are nonempty convex extreme subsets; the page's convention aff dim⁡∅=−1\operatorname{aff\,dim}\emptyset=-1affdim∅=−1 makes the empty face irrelevant, while Lean's affine dimension of ∅\emptyset∅ would be 000.
  • "sup⁡γ∈Γq(γ,x)≤2t\sup_{\gamma\in\Gamma}q(\gamma,x)\le2tsupγ∈Γ​q(γ,x)≤2t" is written ∀γ∈Γ, q(γ,x)≤2t\forall\gamma\in\Gamma,\ q(\gamma,x)\le2t∀γ∈Γ, q(γ,x)≤2t; "a convex combination of points with property PPP" is membership in the convex hull of the set of such points; the unit sphere is v⊤v=1v^\top v=1v⊤v=1.
  • The goal carries exactly the paper's hypotheses plus its standing assumption m≥1m\ge1m≥1 (p. 1); Assumption 2 is not assumed because Assumption 3 implies it.
  • Lemma 8 is printed with "Fr(x^)\mathcal F_r(\hat x)Fr​(x^) is the face of Γe\Gamma_eΓe​"; it is formalized with Γr\Gamma_rΓr​, as the proof and Lemma 7 use it.

A trivializing formalization would assume condition (7), the decomposition of Lemma 8, or any property of F(x^)\mathcal F(\hat x)F(x^) in the goal; the goal assumes none of these, and the dimension hypothesis is satisfiable with semidefinite faces present (for q0=−x2q_0=-x^2q0​=−x2, q1=x2−1q_1=x^2-1q1​=x2−1, the face {γ1=1}\{\gamma_1=1\}{γ1​=1} is semidefinite with dim⁡V=1\dim\mathcal V=1dimV=1).

Infrastructure needed: SDP strong duality (the platform has ConvexOptimization.sdp_strong_duality), the Minkowski–Weyl theorem for polyhedra, faces of convex sets and affine dimension. Proofs of any milestone, of the companions, and reusable lemmas about faces of spectrahedra are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. L. Wang, F. Kılınç-Karzan, On the tightness of SDP relaxations of QCQPs, Math. Program. (2021); arXiv:1911.09195v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.09195 , https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-020-01589-9
  • T. Fujie, M. Kojima, Semidefinite programming relaxation for nonconvex quadratic programs, J. Global Optim. 10 (1997) 367–380. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008282830093
  • A. Beck, Quadratic matrix programming, SIAM J. Optim. 17 (2007) 1224–1238. https://doi.org/10.1137/05064816X
  • N. Ho-Nguyen, F. Kılınç-Karzan, A second-order cone based approach for solving the trust-region subproblem and its variants, SIAM J. Optim. 27 (2017) 1485–1512. https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1065197
  • A. L. Wang, F. Kılınç-Karzan, The generalized trust region subproblem: solution complexity and convex hull results, arXiv:1907.08843 (2019). https://arxiv.org/abs/1907.08843
  • I. Pólik, T. Terlaky, A survey of the S-lemma, SIAM Review 49 (2007) 371–418. https://doi.org/10.1137/S003614450444614X
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Analysis·Captain: mikedeng1

Algorithms for Online Matching, Assortment, and Pricing with Tight Weight-Dependent Competitive Ratios IV: The Tight Ratio 1 − e^{−α⁽¹⁾} Exceeds (1 − 1/e)σ⁽¹⁾ and the Price-Continuum RatioResearch Paper

Motivation

In online matching with multiple prices, a firm sells nnn items with limited inventories to customers who arrive one at a time; each item can be offered at any price from its own finite price set, and the firm must commit to an offer without knowing future customers. Ma and Simchi-Levi (arXiv:1905.04770, Oper. Res. 2020) show that the best possible competitive ratio (worst-case ratio of the online revenue to the offline LP optimum) for a price set P\mathcal PP is an explicit number F(P)=1−e−α(1)F(\mathcal P) = 1 - e^{-\alpha^{(1)}}F(P)=1−e−α(1), computed from P\mathcal PP alone.

Two tight ratios were known before. For a single item sold over a price set, Ball and Queyranne (Oper. Res. 2009) found the tight ratio σ(1)\sigma^{(1)}σ(1). For many items with one price each, the tight ratio is 1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e (Karp, Vazirani and Vazirani 1990; Mehta, Saberi, Vazirani and Vazirani 2007). For a single item whose price ranges over a continuum [r(1),r(m)][r^{(1)}, r^{(m)}][r(1),r(m)], Ball and Queyranne give 1/(1+ln⁡(r(m)/r(1)))1/(1 + \ln(r^{(m)}/r^{(1)}))1/(1+ln(r(m)/r(1))). A reader meeting F(P)F(\mathcal P)F(P) for the first time asks how it compares with these. Proposition 2 of the paper answers that question with strict inequalities, and this mission formalizes it.

Setting

A price set consists of mmm prices

0<r(1)<r(2)<⋯<r(m),0 < r^{(1)} < r^{(2)} < \dots < r^{(m)},0<r(1)<r(2)<⋯<r(m),

with the convention r(0):=0r^{(0)} := 0r(0):=0. Write sj=r(j−1)/r(j)∈(0,1)s_j = r^{(j-1)}/r^{(j)} \in (0,1)sj​=r(j−1)/r(j)∈(0,1) for j=2,…,mj = 2, \dots, mj=2,…,m.

The booking limits α(1),…,α(m)\alpha^{(1)}, \dots, \alpha^{(m)}α(1),…,α(m) are positive numbers with ∑jα(j)=1\sum_j \alpha^{(j)} = 1∑j​α(j)=1 satisfying

1−e−α(1)=1−e−α(j)1−sj,j=2,…,m.(7)1 - e^{-\alpha^{(1)}} = \frac{1 - e^{-\alpha^{(j)}}}{1 - s_j}, \qquad j = 2, \dots, m. \qquad (7)1−e−α(1)=1−sj​1−e−α(j)​,j=2,…,m.(7)

The Ball–Queyranne limits σ(1),…,σ(m)\sigma^{(1)}, \dots, \sigma^{(m)}σ(1),…,σ(m) are positive numbers with ∑jσ(j)=1\sum_j \sigma^{(j)} = 1∑j​σ(j)=1 satisfying

σ(1)=σ(j)1−sj,j=2,…,m.(8)\sigma^{(1)} = \frac{\sigma^{(j)}}{1 - s_j}, \qquad j = 2, \dots, m. \qquad (8)σ(1)=1−sj​σ(j)​,j=2,…,m.(8)

Both systems have exactly one solution (Proposition 1). The paper's ratios are F(P)=1−e−α(1)F(\mathcal P) = 1 - e^{-\alpha^{(1)}}F(P)=1−e−α(1) and G(P)=σ(1)G(\mathcal P) = \sigma^{(1)}G(P)=σ(1) (Definition 2). Finally, for m≥2m \ge 2m≥2 let α\alphaα be the unique real root of

1−e−α=1−αln⁡(r(m)/r(1));1 - e^{-\alpha} = \frac{1 - \alpha}{\ln(r^{(m)}/r^{(1)})};1−e−α=ln(r(m)/r(1))1−α​;

1−e−α1 - e^{-\alpha}1−e−α is the paper's competitive ratio when every item may be priced anywhere in [r(1),r(m)][r^{(1)}, r^{(m)}][r(1),r(m)] (App. E.1).

In Lean the prices are r : ℕ → ℝ read at 1,…,m1, \dots, m1,…,m, and IsPriceSet m r, IsBookingLimits m r α, IsBQLimits m r σ are the predicates above.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (p. 17)

For m≥2m \ge 2m≥2,

(1−1e)σ(1)<1−e−σ(1)<1−e−α(1),(11)\Bigl(1 - \frac1e\Bigr)\sigma^{(1)} < 1 - e^{-\sigma^{(1)}} < 1 - e^{-\alpha^{(1)}}, \qquad (11)(1−e1​)σ(1)<1−e−σ(1)<1−e−α(1),(11) 11+ln⁡(r(m)/r(1))<σ(1),(12)\frac{1}{1 + \ln(r^{(m)}/r^{(1)})} < \sigma^{(1)}, \qquad (12)1+ln(r(m)/r(1))1​<σ(1),(12) 1−e−α<1−e−α(1).(13)1 - e^{-\alpha} < 1 - e^{-\alpha^{(1)}}. \qquad (13)1−e−α<1−e−α(1).(13)

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 13): existence and uniqueness of the solutions of (7) and of (8).
  2. Explicit σ\sigmaσ (App. A, p. 38): σ(j)=(1−r(j−1)/r(j))(1+∑j′=2m(1−sj′))−1\sigma^{(j)} = (1 - r^{(j-1)}/r^{(j)})\bigl(1 + \sum_{j'=2}^m (1 - s_{j'})\bigr)^{-1}σ(j)=(1−r(j−1)/r(j))(1+∑j′=2m​(1−sj′​))−1.
  3. Monotonicity (App. A, p. 38): x↦x/(1−e−x)x \mapsto x/(1 - e^{-x})x↦x/(1−e−x) (with its limit value 111 at x=0x = 0x=0) is strictly increasing on [0,1][0, 1][0,1].
  4. (33) (App. A, p. 39): α(1)\alpha^{(1)}α(1) is the unique solution of x+∑j=2m−ln⁡(1−(1−e−x)(1−sj))=1x + \sum_{j=2}^m -\ln\bigl(1 - (1 - e^{-x})(1 - s_j)\bigr) = 1x+∑j=2m​−ln(1−(1−e−x)(1−sj​))=1.
  5. (34) (App. A, p. 39): the root α\alphaα is the unique solution of x+∑j=2m(1−e−x)ln⁡(r(j)/r(j−1))=1x + \sum_{j=2}^m (1 - e^{-x})\ln(r^{(j)}/r^{(j-1)}) = 1x+∑j=2m​(1−e−x)ln(r(j)/r(j−1))=1, and it lies in (0,1)(0,1)(0,1).
  6. Ranges of FFF and GGG (p. 14): 1−e−1/m≤F(P)≤1−e−11 - e^{-1/m} \le F(\mathcal P) \le 1 - e^{-1}1−e−1/m≤F(P)≤1−e−1 and 1/m≤G(P)≤11/m \le G(\mathcal P) \le 11/m≤G(P)≤1.
  7. Two prices, (4) (p. 7): for P={r,ξr}\mathcal P = \{r, \xi r\}P={r,ξr}, F(P)=1−(1+4ξ(ξ−1)/e−1)/(2(ξ−1))F(\mathcal P) = 1 - \bigl(\sqrt{1 + 4\xi(\xi-1)/e} - 1\bigr)/(2(\xi - 1))F(P)=1−(1+4ξ(ξ−1)/e​−1)/(2(ξ−1)).

Significance

The result. Inequality (11) shows that the multi-item, multi-price ratio is not obtained by multiplying the single-item ratio σ(1)\sigma^{(1)}σ(1) by the single-price penalty 1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e: the true ratio is strictly larger, so neither the ratio nor the algorithms of the paper can be assembled from the two classical cases. Inequalities (12) and (13) quantify the value of a discrete price menu: restricting the continuum [r(1),r(m)][r^{(1)}, r^{(m)}][r(1),r(m)] to finitely many prices strictly raises the tight ratio, both for one item (Ball–Queyranne) and for many items (this paper). The ranges of FFF and GGG bound the guarantees in terms of the number of prices alone, and the two-price formula (4) is the explicit instance used throughout the paper's introduction.

Formalizing it. All results here are proved in the paper (App. A); none has a machine-checked proof that we know of. The mission produces a checked theory of the booking-limit systems (7) and (8), which the paper's three main theorems (the competitive ratios of Multi-price Balance and Multi-price Ranking, and the matching upper bound) all rest on, and checked proofs of the comparisons. The booking-limit predicates are the same in the companion missions of this series and are intended to be shared after consolidation.

Difficulty

The statements are elementary, but (7) is a nonlinear system: eliminating α(2),…,α(m)\alpha^{(2)}, \dots, \alpha^{(m)}α(2),…,α(m) leaves a polynomial equation of degree mmm in e−α(1)e^{-\alpha^{(1)}}e−α(1), with no closed form for m≥3m \ge 3m≥3. So α(1)\alpha^{(1)}α(1) cannot be computed and compared directly; every inequality has to be derived from properties of the defining equations. The root α\alphaα of (13) is likewise defined only implicitly (via the Lambert WWW function). The naive approach of comparing the two systems equation by equation does not give (11)'s second inequality, because (7) and (8) relate each limit to the first one through different functions and the two families are tied together only by their common normalization ∑j=1\sum_j = 1∑j​=1. In Lean the main friction is bookkeeping: sums over {2,…,m}\{2, \dots, m\}{2,…,m}, natural-number index arithmetic j−1j - 1j−1, and the uniqueness arguments, which require strict monotonicity of the functions in (33) and (34).

Formalization scope

Conventions: prices are r : ℕ → ℝ, 1-based, with price r 0 = 0 for r(0)r^{(0)}r(0); sums over j=2,…,mj = 2, \dots, mj=2,…,m are over Finset.Icc 2 m. The booking limits are not constructed by Classical.choose: every statement takes functions α, σ together with the hypotheses IsBookingLimits m r α / IsBQLimits m r σ (equations (7)/(8), positivity on 1,…,m1, \dots, m1,…,m, sum 111). Proposition 1 shows these hypotheses pin down the paper's values on 1,…,m1, \dots, m1,…,m, so no statement is about an arbitrary α\alphaα; a sanity file exhibits solutions for m=1m = 1m=1 and for the price set {1,2}\{1, 2\}{1,2}, so the hypotheses are satisfiable. Standing assumptions are those of the paper: m≥1m \ge 1m≥1 throughout and m≥2m \ge 2m≥2 in Proposition 2, (33), (34), as printed. The constant 1−1/e1 - 1/e1−1/e is written 1−e−11 - e^{-1}1−e−1.

Clause (13) is stated for every real root of 1−e−a=(1−a)/ln⁡(r(m)/r(1))1 - e^{-a} = (1-a)/\ln(r^{(m)}/r^{(1)})1−e−a=(1−a)/ln(r(m)/r(1)); milestone 5 proves that exactly one root exists, so the clause is neither vacuous nor weaker than the printed "the unique solution". The monotonicity of x/(1−e−x)x/(1 - e^{-x})x/(1−e−x) is posed on the printed [0,1][0,1][0,1] with the value at 000 set explicitly to the limit 111, since Lean's 0/0=00/0 = 00/0=0 would otherwise give a junk value there.

Everything needed is in Mathlib (Real.exp, Real.log, Real.sqrt, finite sums). Contributions are welcome on any milestone; the monotonicity lemma and Proposition 1 are reusable by the other missions of this series. The paper's proofs are in its Appendix A (pp. 38–39).

Selected references

  • W. Ma, D. Simchi-Levi, Algorithms for Online Matching, Assortment, and Pricing with Tight Weight-dependent Competitive Ratios, arXiv:1905.04770v1, 2019; Operations Research 68(6), 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.04770, https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2019.1957
  • M. O. Ball, M. Queyranne, Toward Robust Revenue Management: Competitive Analysis of Online Booking, Operations Research 57(4), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0654
  • R. M. Karp, U. V. Vazirani, V. V. Vazirani, An Optimal Algorithm for On-line Bipartite Matching, STOC 1990. https://doi.org/10.1145/100216.100262
  • A. Mehta, A. Saberi, U. Vazirani, V. Vazirani, AdWords and Generalized Online Matching, Journal of the ACM 54(5), 2007. https://doi.org/10.1145/1284320.1284321
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach 2: Clique and Lifted Clique Cuts on Pairwise Incompatible Clusters Are ValidResearch Paper

Motivation

Strategic open pit mine planning decides which parts of an ore body are excavated, when, and where each block of material is sent. Rivera Letelier, Espinoza, Goycoolea, Moreno and Muñoz (Operations Research 68(5), 2020) model the problem as a mixed-integer program, the precedence-constrained production scheduling problem with clusters (PCPSP-C), generalising the formulation of Bienstock and Zuckerberg (2010). Its integer versions have large integrality gaps on production scheduling instances, so the authors derive several families of cutting planes. This mission concerns the first family, the extraction cuts of §5.1: early start cuts, diamond cuts, and clique and lifted clique cuts. They exploit only the mining capacity of each period and the precedence structure, and they are valid both under full integrality and under the partial integrality used in commercial mine planning software.

Clique inequalities for precedence-constrained knapsack problems go back to Boyd (1993); early start cuts to Gaupp (2008, doctoral dissertation, Colorado School of Mines); the diamond cuts resemble cuts of Zhu, Bard and Yu (2006) for multimode project scheduling. The paper's contribution is their extension to the multi-period clustered model and to partial integrality.

All page references are journal pages of the published Operations Research article.

Setting

An instance has finite sets B\mathcal BB of blocks, D\mathcal DD of destinations and C\mathcal CC of clusters, the latter a partition of B\mathcal BB, and periods T={1,…,T}\mathcal T=\{1,\dots,T\}T={1,…,T}. Block bbb lies in cluster c(b)c(b)c(b) and has weight qb≥0q_b\ge 0qb​≥0. A precedence relation b1≺b2b_1\prec b_2b1​≺b2​ on blocks induces one on clusters (c1≺c2c_1\prec c_2c1​≺c2​ if some block of c1c_1c1​ precedes some block of c2c_2c2​), assumed to be a strict partial order. The arc set A\mathcal AA is its transitive reduction: (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A when c′c'c′ is an immediate predecessor of ccc. The closure is cl(c)={c}∪{c′:c′≺c}cl(c)=\{c\}\cup\{c':c'\prec c\}cl(c)={c}∪{c′:c′≺c}, the reverse closure rcl(c)={c}∪{c′:c≺c′}rcl(c)=\{c\}\cup\{c':c\prec c'\}rcl(c)={c}∪{c′:c≺c′}, and for a set SSS of clusters q(S)=∑c∈S∑b∈cqbq(S)=\sum_{c\in S}\sum_{b\in c}q_bq(S)=∑c∈S​∑b∈c​qb​, with qc=q({c})q_c=q(\{c\})qc​=q({c}).

Variables xc,tx_{c,t}xc,t​ give the fraction of cluster ccc extracted in period ttt and yb,d,ty_{b,d,t}yb,d,t​ the fraction of block bbb sent to destination ddd in period ttt. The constraints (2)–(7) of p. 1427 are

xc(b),t=∑dyb,d,t,∑txc,t≤1,∑t′≤txc,t′≤∑t′≤txc′,t′  ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,x_{c(b),t}=\sum_{d}y_{b,d,t},\qquad \sum_{t}x_{c,t}\le 1,\qquad \sum_{t'\le t}x_{c,t'}\le\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c',t'}\ \ ((c,c')\in\mathcal A),\qquad Gy\le g,\qquad y\ge 0,xc(b),t​=d∑​yb,d,t​,t∑​xc,t​≤1,t′≤t∑​xc,t′​≤t′≤t∑​xc′,t′​  ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,

together with an integrality condition: full integrality (10) xc,t∈{0,1}x_{c,t}\in\{0,1\}xc,t​∈{0,1} defines the PCPSP-F, and partial integrality (11), "∑t′≤txc,t′>0\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c,t'}>0∑t′≤t​xc,t′​>0 implies ∑t′≤txc′,t′=1\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c',t'}=1∑t′≤t​xc′,t′​=1 for (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A", defines the PCPSP-P. The general rows Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g include the mining capacity rows (8), ∑b∑dqb yb,d,t≤Ut\sum_b\sum_d q_b\,y_{b,d,t}\le U_t∑b​∑d​qb​yb,d,t​≤Ut​.

The cuts are written in the cumulative variables wc,t=∑t′=1txc,t′w_{c,t}=\sum_{t'=1}^{t}x_{c,t'}wc,t​=∑t′=1t​xc,t′​ (17), and with Qt=∑t′=1tUt′Q_t=\sum_{t'=1}^{t}U_{t'}Qt​=∑t′=1t​Ut′​. Two clusters c1,c2c_1,c_2c1​,c2​, neither preceding the other, are f-incompatible in time ttt if q(cl({c1,c2}))>Qtq(cl(\{c_1,c_2\}))>Q_tq(cl({c1​,c2​}))>Qt​, and p-incompatible if q(cl({c1,c2})∖{c1,c2})>Qtq(cl(\{c_1,c_2\})\setminus\{c_1,c_2\})>Q_tq(cl({c1​,c2​})∖{c1​,c2​})>Qt​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (clique and lifted clique cuts), p. 1433

For a set {c1,…,ck}\{c_1,\dots,c_k\}{c1​,…,ck​} of clusters and t∈Tt\in\mathcal Tt∈T, the clique inequality

∑i=1kwci,t≤1(23)\sum_{i=1}^{k}w_{c_i,t}\le 1\tag{23}i=1∑k​wci​,t​≤1(23)

is valid for the PCPSP-F if the cic_ici​ are pairwise f-incompatible, and for the PCPSP-P if they are pairwise p-incompatible. If moreover c≺cic\prec c_ic≺ci​ for every iii, the lifted inequality ∑i=1kwci,t≤wc,t\sum_{i=1}^{k}w_{c_i,t}\le w_{c,t}∑i=1k​wci​,t​≤wc,t​ is valid under the same conditions. The goal is the conjunction of these four validity claims.

Milestones

  • (18)–(20), p. 1432: wc,t≤wc,t+1w_{c,t}\le w_{c,t+1}wc,t​≤wc,t+1​, wc,t≤wc′,tw_{c,t}\le w_{c',t}wc,t​≤wc′,t​ for (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A, and ∑cqc wc,t≤Qt\sum_c q_c\,w_{c,t}\le Q_t∑c​qc​wc,t​≤Qt​ at every feasible point satisfying (8).
  • (21), p. 1432: under full integrality, wc,t∈{0,1}w_{c,t}\in\{0,1\}wc,t​∈{0,1}. Its partial counterpart (22), "wc,t>0w_{c,t}>0wc,t​>0 implies wc′,t=1w_{c',t}=1wc′,t​=1 for (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A", is condition (11) verbatim in this formalization, which writes (11) in cumulative form, so it has no item of its own.
  • Theorem 2 (early start cuts), p. 1432: if q(cl(c))>Qtq(cl(c))>Q_tq(cl(c))>Qt​, then wc,t=0w_{c,t}=0wc,t​=0 is valid for the PCPSP-F, and if qc>0q_c>0qc​>0, wc,t≤(Qt−q(cl(c)∖{c}))+/qcw_{c,t}\le (Q_t-q(cl(c)\setminus\{c\}))^+/q_cwc,t​≤(Qt​−q(cl(c)∖{c}))+/qc​ is valid for the PCPSP-P.
  • Theorem 3 (diamond cuts), p. 1433: for t1≤t2t_1\le t_2t1​≤t2​ and c1≺c2c_1\prec c_2c1​≺c2​, wc2,t2≤wc1,t1w_{c_2,t_2}\le w_{c_1,t_1}wc2​,t2​​≤wc1​,t1​​ is valid for the PCPSP-F if q(cl(c2)∩rcl(c1))>Qt1,t2=∑t′=t1t2Ut′q(cl(c_2)\cap rcl(c_1))>Q_{t_1,t_2}=\sum_{t'=t_1}^{t_2}U_{t'}q(cl(c2​)∩rcl(c1​))>Qt1​,t2​​=∑t′=t1​t2​​Ut′​, and for the PCPSP-P if q((cl(c2)∩rcl(c1))∖{c1,c2})>Qt1,t2q((cl(c_2)\cap rcl(c_1))\setminus\{c_1,c_2\})>Q_{t_1,t_2}q((cl(c2​)∩rcl(c1​))∖{c1​,c2​})>Qt1​,t2​​.

Significance

Each of these inequalities cuts off fractional points of the linear relaxation while keeping every integer (or partially integer) schedule, and early start cuts can fix variables to zero before the solve. The paper motivates them by the large integrality gaps it observes on production scheduling instances (§5, p. 1432) and evaluates them, with its production cuts, in the computational study of §8. Because they use only the precedence order and the mining capacity, the extraction cuts apply to any multi-period precedence-constrained knapsack structure, beyond mining.

The results are proved in the paper, by short contradiction arguments. None of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them yields a reusable model of the PCPSP-C with its two integrality regimes, and a checked account of exactly which rows of the formulation each cut relies on: in particular that validity needs the capacity rows (8) and the integrality condition, and fails for the LP relaxation.

Difficulty

The arguments rely on facts the paper uses in one line. Under partial integrality, wc,t>0w_{c,t}>0wc,t​>0 forces wc′,t=1w_{c',t}=1wc′,t​=1 for every predecessor c′c'c′ of ccc, not only for the immediate ones of A\mathcal AA; this requires chaining condition (11) along covering arcs of a finite strict order, and showing that every precedence is a chain of immediate ones. The counting step needs x≥0x\ge 0x≥0, which is not a constraint of the formulation but follows from xc(b),t=∑dyb,d,tx_{c(b),t}=\sum_d y_{b,d,t}xc(b),t​=∑d​yb,d,t​, y≥0y\ge 0y≥0 and the nonemptiness of clusters. The diamond cut further splits the capacity Qt1,t2Q_{t_1,t_2}Qt1​,t2​​ between periods and uses monotonicity of www in time. A natural first attempt, arguing directly from the closure of ≺\prec≺, does not apply: the formulation constrains only the arcs of A\mathcal AA.

Formalization scope

Blocks, destinations and clusters are finite types; periods are Fin T, index ttt standing for period t+1t+1t+1. An instance carries the block-to-cluster map, the block precedence, values, discount rate, weights, capacities and mmm side rows Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g. Cluster precedence is derived from block precedence; A\mathcal AA is its covering relation, and constraints (4) and (11) range over A\mathcal AA only. The closure of a pair, which the page does not define, is cl(c1)∪cl(c2)cl(c_1)\cup cl(c_2)cl(c1​)∪cl(c2​). Incompatibility includes incomparability of the two clusters, as on the page; "pairwise" ranges over distinct members of a finite set, which may be empty or a singleton.

The standing assumptions of §2.1 are hypotheses of every statement: clusters cover B\mathcal BB (so each is nonempty), ≺\prec≺ is a strict partial order on clusters, r>0r>0r>0, and qb≥0q_b\ge 0qb​≥0. A cut "valid for the PCPSP-F (PCPSP-P)" is stated as: at every point feasible for the formulation with full (partial) integrality whose mining capacity rows (8) hold, the inequality holds. The capacity rows enter as an explicit hypothesis because the paper assumes they are among the rows of Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g; without them every cut is false. Validity is never asserted for the LP relaxation, where the cuts do not hold, so the integrality condition cannot be dropped. In Theorem 2 the division by qcq_cqc​ is guarded by qc>0q_c>0qc​>0, as on the page.

The development needs only finite sums, finite sets and orders from Mathlib. Contributions are welcome on the chaining lemma for covering relations of finite strict orders and on the nonnegativity and monotonicity of www, which every milestone shares.

Selected references

  • O. Rivera Letelier, D. Espinoza, M. Goycoolea, E. Moreno, G. Muñoz, Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach, Operations Research 68(5):1425–1444, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2019.1965
  • D. Bienstock, M. Zuckerberg, Solving LP Relaxations of Large-Scale Precedence Constrained Problems, Proc. 14th Conf. Integer Programming and Combinatorial Optimization (IPCO), 2010, pp. 1–14.
  • E. A. Boyd, Polyhedral results for the precedence-constrained knapsack problem, Discrete Applied Mathematics 41(3):185–201, 1993.
  • G. Zhu, J. F. Bard, G. Yu, A Branch-and-Cut Procedure for the Multimode Resource-Constrained Project-Scheduling Problem, INFORMS Journal on Computing 18(3):377–390, 2006.
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach 3: Variable-Right-Hand-Side Production Cuts along a Precedence Chain Are ValidResearch Paper

Motivation

Strategic open pit mine planning decides which parts of an ore body are excavated, in which period, and where each block of material is sent: to a processing plant, a stockpile or a waste dump. Rivera Letelier, Espinoza, Goycoolea, Moreno and Muñoz (Operations Research 68(5), 2020) state the problem as a mixed-integer program, the precedence-constrained production scheduling problem with clusters (PCPSP-C), which extends the formulation of Bienstock and Zuckerberg (IPCO 2010) to clusters of blocks that are extracted together. The integer versions of this program have large integrality gaps on production scheduling instances (§5, p. 1432), so the authors derive problem-specific cutting planes. This mission concerns the variable-right-hand-side (VRHS) production cuts of §5.2. They combine the precedence order of the clusters with the capacity of a single destination: if a solution sends many blocks to a capacitated destination, the predecessors of those blocks must be fully extracted.

The VRHS cuts are introduced first on a one-period, two-destination set, the mode-knapsack set MK (§5.2.1), and then generalised to the full multi-period clustered model (§5.2.2). Disaggregated formulations with destination choices go back to Boland et al. (Comput. Oper. Res. 2009); cutting planes for the precedence-constrained knapsack structure of open pit scheduling were studied by Bley et al. (Comput. Oper. Res. 2010).

All page references are journal pages of the published Operations Research article.

Setting

An instance has finite sets B\mathcal BB of blocks, D\mathcal DD of destinations and C\mathcal CC of clusters, the latter a partition of B\mathcal BB, and periods T={1,…,T}\mathcal T=\{1,\dots,T\}T={1,…,T}. Block bbb lies in cluster c(b)c(b)c(b) and has weight qb≥0q_b\ge 0qb​≥0. A precedence relation b1≺b2b_1\prec b_2b1​≺b2​ on blocks induces one on clusters (c1≺c2c_1\prec c_2c1​≺c2​ if some block of c1c_1c1​ precedes some block of c2c_2c2​), assumed to be a strict partial order. The arc set A\mathcal AA is its transitive reduction: (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A when c′c'c′ is an immediate predecessor of ccc. The reverse closure of a cluster is rcl(c)={c}∪{c′:c≺c′}rcl(c)=\{c\}\cup\{c':c\prec c'\}rcl(c)={c}∪{c′:c≺c′}, the cluster and everything that requires it; for a set SSS of clusters, q(S)=∑c∈S∑b∈cqbq(S)=\sum_{c\in S}\sum_{b\in c}q_bq(S)=∑c∈S​∑b∈c​qb​.

Variables xc,tx_{c,t}xc,t​ give the fraction of cluster ccc extracted in period ttt, and yb,d,ty_{b,d,t}yb,d,t​ the fraction of block bbb sent to destination ddd in period ttt. The constraints (2)–(7) of p. 1427 are

xc(b),t=∑dyb,d,t,∑txc,t≤1,∑t′≤txc,t′≤∑t′≤txc′,t′  ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,x_{c(b),t}=\sum_{d}y_{b,d,t},\qquad \sum_{t}x_{c,t}\le 1,\qquad \sum_{t'\le t}x_{c,t'}\le\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c',t'}\ \ ((c,c')\in\mathcal A),\qquad Gy\le g,\qquad y\ge 0,xc(b),t​=d∑​yb,d,t​,t∑​xc,t​≤1,t′≤t∑​xc,t′​≤t′≤t∑​xc′,t′​  ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,

together with an integrality condition: full integrality (10), xc,t∈{0,1}x_{c,t}\in\{0,1\}xc,t​∈{0,1}, defines the PCPSP-F, and partial integrality (11), "∑t′≤txc,t′>0\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c,t'}>0∑t′≤t​xc,t′​>0 implies ∑t′≤txc′,t′=1\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c',t'}=1∑t′≤t​xc′,t′​=1 for (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A", defines the PCPSP-P. The general rows Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g include the destination capacity rows (9), ∑bqb yb,d,t≤Utd\sum_b q_b\,y_{b,d,t}\le U^d_t∑b​qb​yb,d,t​≤Utd​. The cuts use the cumulative variables wc,t=∑t′=1txc,t′w_{c,t}=\sum_{t'=1}^{t}x_{c,t'}wc,t​=∑t′=1t​xc,t′​ (17).

The mode-knapsack set MK (p. 1433) fixes a DAG G=(B,A)G=(\mathcal B,\mathcal A)G=(B,A), weights qb>0q_b>0qb​>0 and a capacity U>0U>0U>0, and consists of the vectors (x,yP,yW)(x,y^P,y^W)(x,yP,yW) with

∑bqbybP≤U,ybP+ybW=xb,xb≤1,xb>0⇒xb′=1 ((b,b′)∈A),yP,yW≥0.\sum_b q_b y^P_b\le U,\qquad y^P_b+y^W_b=x_b,\qquad x_b\le 1,\qquad x_b>0\Rightarrow x_{b'}=1\ ((b,b')\in\mathcal A),\qquad y^P,y^W\ge 0.b∑​qb​ybP​≤U,ybP​+ybW​=xb​,xb​≤1,xb​>0⇒xb′​=1 ((b,b′)∈A),yP,yW≥0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 7 (VRHS cuts), p. 1434

Fix d∈Dd\in\mathcal Dd∈D, t∈Tt\in\mathcal Tt∈T and clusters c1≺c2≺⋯≺cnc_1\prec c_2\prec\dots\prec c_nc1​≺c2​≺⋯≺cn​ with q(rcl(c1)∖rcl(cn))<Utd<q(rcl(c1))q(rcl(c_1)\setminus rcl(c_n))<U^d_t<q(rcl(c_1))q(rcl(c1​)∖rcl(cn​))<Utd​<q(rcl(c1​)). Let Δk=rcl(ck)∖rcl(ck+1)\Delta_k=rcl(c_k)\setminus rcl(c_{k+1})Δk​=rcl(ck​)∖rcl(ck+1​), δk=q(Δk)\delta_k=q(\Delta_k)δk​=q(Δk​) for k<nk<nk<n, and Δn=rcl(cn)\Delta_n=rcl(c_n)Δn​=rcl(cn​), δn=Utd−q(rcl(c1)∖rcl(cn))\delta_n=U^d_t-q(rcl(c_1)\setminus rcl(c_n))δn​=Utd​−q(rcl(c1​)∖rcl(cn​)). For constants 0≤αb≤10\le\alpha_b\le 10≤αb​≤1 (b∈cnb\in c_nb∈cn​), the inequality

∑k=1n−1∑c∈Δk∑b∈cqbyb,d,t+∑b∈cnαbqbyb,d,t+∑c∈rcl(cn)∖{cn}∑b∈cqbyb,d,t≤∑k=1nδkwck,t(32)\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\sum_{c\in\Delta_k}\sum_{b\in c}q_b y_{b,d,t}+\sum_{b\in c_n}\alpha_b q_b y_{b,d,t}+\sum_{c\in rcl(c_n)\setminus\{c_n\}}\sum_{b\in c}q_b y_{b,d,t}\le\sum_{k=1}^{n}\delta_k w_{c_k,t}\tag{32}k=1∑n−1​c∈Δk​∑​b∈c∑​qb​yb,d,t​+b∈cn​∑​αb​qb​yb,d,t​+c∈rcl(cn​)∖{cn​}∑​b∈c∑​qb​yb,d,t​≤k=1∑n​δk​wck​,t​(32)

is valid for the PCPSP-F, and, when ∑b∈cnαbqb≤Utd−q(rcl(c1)∖rcl(cn))\sum_{b\in c_n}\alpha_b q_b\le U^d_t-q(rcl(c_1)\setminus rcl(c_n))∑b∈cn​​αb​qb​≤Utd​−q(rcl(c1​)∖rcl(cn​)) (33), for the PCPSP-P. The goal is the conjunction of the two validity claims.

Milestones

  • (29)–(30), p. 1434: under either integrality condition, wc,t<1w_{c,t}<1wc,t​<1 implies yb,d,t=0y_{b,d,t}=0yb,d,t​=0 for every block of a cluster in rcl(c)∖{c}rcl(c)\setminus\{c\}rcl(c)∖{c}, and yb,d,t≤wc(b),ty_{b,d,t}\le w_{c(b),t}yb,d,t​≤wc(b),t​. The third condition (31) of the page is the capacity row (9) itself.
  • (35), p. 1435: ∑c∈Δk∑b∈cqbyb,d,t≤δkwck,t\sum_{c\in\Delta_k}\sum_{b\in c}q_b y_{b,d,t}\le\delta_k w_{c_k,t}∑c∈Δk​​∑b∈c​qb​yb,d,t​≤δk​wck​,t​ for k=1,…,n−1k=1,\dots,n-1k=1,…,n−1.
  • (36), p. 1435: under (33), ∑b∈cnαbqbyb,d,t≤δnwcn,t\sum_{b\in c_n}\alpha_b q_b y_{b,d,t}\le\delta_n w_{c_n,t}∑b∈cn​​αb​qb​yb,d,t​≤δn​wcn​,t​.
  • Theorem 5, p. 1434: in MK, every block bbb with qb≤Uq_b\le Uqb​≤U gives the valid inequality ∑b′∈rcl(b)qb′yb′P≤Uxb\sum_{b'\in rcl(b)}q_{b'}y^P_{b'}\le U x_b∑b′∈rcl(b)​qb′​yb′P​≤Uxb​.

Significance

A valid inequality removes fractional points of the linear relaxation while keeping every feasible schedule. The VRHS cuts are among the production cuts that the paper evaluates in its computational study (§8), alongside the extraction cuts and the hourglass cuts. Their right-hand side is not a constant but a combination of extraction variables along a chain, which is what lets them couple the destination capacity with the precedence order; the paper's Theorem 5 shows the mechanism on MK, Theorem 7 in the full model. The partial integrality regime, under which the second half of Theorem 7 holds, is the one used by commercial mine planning software (p. 1427).

The results are proved in the paper by case analysis on the first index kkk with wck,t<1w_{c_k,t}<1wck​,t​<1. None of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them makes explicit which rows of the formulation each cut uses (the destination capacity (9) and the integrality condition), and what role the coefficient condition (33) plays in the partially integral case.

Difficulty

The proof uses that Δ1,…,Δn−1\Delta_1,\dots,\Delta_{n-1}Δ1​,…,Δn−1​ partition rcl(c1)∖rcl(cn)rcl(c_1)\setminus rcl(c_n)rcl(c1​)∖rcl(cn​) and are disjoint from rcl(cn)rcl(c_n)rcl(cn​), which requires rcl(ck+1)⊆rcl(ck)rcl(c_{k+1})\subseteq rcl(c_k)rcl(ck+1​)⊆rcl(ck​) along the chain. It uses that wc,t≤wck,tw_{c,t}\le w_{c_k,t}wc,t​≤wck​,t​ for every c∈rcl(ck)c\in rcl(c_k)c∈rcl(ck​), and that wc,t<1w_{c,t}<1wc,t​<1 forces all strict successors of ccc to be unextracted; both chain the constraints (4) and (11) along covering arcs of a finite strict order, since the formulation constrains only the arcs of A\mathcal AA, not all of ≺\prec≺. A natural first attempt, arguing directly from ≺\prec≺, therefore does not apply. The counting step needs x≥0x\ge 0x≥0, which is not a constraint of the formulation but follows from xc(b),t=∑dyb,d,tx_{c(b),t}=\sum_d y_{b,d,t}xc(b),t​=∑d​yb,d,t​, y≥0y\ge 0y≥0 and the nonemptiness of clusters. In the partial integrality case a fractional wcn,tw_{c_n,t}wcn​,t​ is possible, and the bound on the cnc_ncn​ term must come from (33) rather than from integrality.

Formalization scope

Blocks, destinations and clusters are finite types; periods are Fin T, index ttt standing for period t+1t+1t+1. An instance carries the block-to-cluster map, the block precedence, values, discount rate, weights, capacities and mmm side rows Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g. Cluster precedence is derived from block precedence; A\mathcal AA is its covering relation, and constraints (4) and (11) range over A\mathcal AA only. The chain c1,…,cnc_1,\dots,c_nc1​,…,cn​ is a function on N\mathbb NN read at 1,…,n1,\dots,n1,…,n with n≥1n\ge 1n≥1, and condition 1 of Theorem 7 is stated for consecutive pairs. In (32), yyy is taken at the single period ttt and www is cumulative.

The standing assumptions of §2.1 are hypotheses of every PCPSP-C statement: clusters cover B\mathcal BB (so each is nonempty), ≺\prec≺ is a strict partial order on clusters, r>0r>0r>0, and qb≥0q_b\ge 0qb​≥0. A cut "valid for the PCPSP-F (PCPSP-P)" is stated as: at every point feasible for the formulation with full (partial) integrality whose destination capacity rows (9) hold, the inequality holds. The capacity rows enter as an explicit hypothesis because the paper assumes they are among the rows of Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g; without them the cut is false. Validity is never asserted for the LP relaxation, where (29) and (32) fail, so the integrality condition cannot be dropped. Conditions 2 and 3 of Theorem 7 are kept as on the page, although the proof does not use condition 3. In MK, the DAG property, q>0q>0q>0 and U>0U>0U>0 are hypotheses; an arc (b,b′)(b,b')(b,b′) means that extracting bbb forces b′b'b′, and rcl(b)rcl(b)rcl(b) collects bbb and the blocks from which bbb is reachable.

The development needs only finite sums, finite sets and orders from Mathlib. Contributions are welcome on the chaining lemma for covering relations of finite strict orders, on the nonnegativity and monotonicity of www, and on the partition {Δk}\{\Delta_k\}{Δk​} of rcl(c1)∖rcl(cn)rcl(c_1)\setminus rcl(c_n)rcl(c1​)∖rcl(cn​), which the goal and the milestones share.

Selected references

  • O. Rivera Letelier, D. Espinoza, M. Goycoolea, E. Moreno, G. Muñoz, Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach, Operations Research 68(5):1425–1444, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2019.1965
  • D. Bienstock, M. Zuckerberg, Solving LP Relaxations of Large-Scale Precedence Constrained Problems, Proc. 14th IPCO, LNCS 6080, 1–14, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-13036-6_1
  • N. Boland, I. Dumitrescu, G. Froyland, A. M. Gleixner, LP-based disaggregation approaches to solving the open pit mining production scheduling problem with block processing selectivity, Computers & Operations Research 36(4):1064–1089, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cor.2007.12.006
  • A. Bley, N. Boland, C. Fricke, G. Froyland, A strengthened formulation and cutting planes for the open pit mine production scheduling problem, Computers & Operations Research 37(9):1641–1647, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cor.2009.12.008
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Multistage Distributionally Robust Mixed-Integer Programming with Decision-Dependent Moment-Based Ambiguity Sets I: Under Moment Bounds, the Stage Bellman Equation Is One LP-Dual MinimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

In many planning problems the decision changes the uncertainty it faces. Opening a facility raises the demand observed near it; a maintenance decision changes the failure distribution of a component; a price shifts the demand law. Decision-dependent uncertainty of this kind breaks the standard assumption of stochastic programming that the probability distribution is fixed in advance. When the distribution is in addition only partly known, the natural model is distributionally robust: the decision maker optimizes against the worst distribution in an ambiguity set whose shape itself depends on the decision.

X. Yu and S. Shen (arXiv:2002.12518v3, 2020; published in Mathematical Programming) study the multistage version of this model with binary state variables, and show that under three families of moment-based ambiguity sets each stage of the dynamic program can be rewritten as a single minimization, which can then be solved by stochastic dual dynamic integer programming (SDDiP). This mission formalizes the first family, Type 1, in which every moment is bounded above and below by decision-dependent functions.

Timeline. Two-stage decision-dependent DRO with moment bounds was reformulated by F. Luo and S. Mehrotra (Distributionally robust optimization with decision dependent ambiguity sets, Optimization Letters, 2020, arXiv:1806.09215), Theorem 3.1. SDDiP for multistage stochastic integer programs is due to J. Zou, S. Ahmed and X. A. Sun (Stochastic dual dynamic integer programming, Math. Program. 175(1–2):461–502, 2019, doi:10.1007/s10107-018-1249-5). Yu and Shen (2020) combine the two in the multistage setting, for Type 1 (moment bounds), Type 2 (mean and covariance) and Type 3 (Delage–Ye type) sets.

Setting

Fix one stage ttt of the dynamic program. The state x∈{0,1}Ix\in\{0,1\}^Ix∈{0,1}I links stage ttt to stage t+1t+1t+1, and the stage variable y∈RI×Jy\in\mathbb R^{I\times J}y∈RI×J is used only at stage ttt. The pairs (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) allowed at stage ttt form the stage feasible set S=Xt(xt−1,ξt)S=X_t(x_{t-1},\xi_t)S=Xt​(xt−1​,ξt​), and g(x,y)g(x,y)g(x,y) is the stage cost.

The random vector of stage t+1t+1t+1 takes one of KKK values ξ1,…,ξK∈RJ\xi^1,\dots,\xi^K\in\mathbb R^Jξ1,…,ξK∈RJ, the same for every decision (Assumption 3). What depends on the decision is the probability vector p∈RKp\in\mathbb R^Kp∈RK on these points. Qt+1(x,ξk)Q_{t+1}(x,\xi^k)Qt+1​(x,ξk) is the value of the next stage when the state is xxx and scenario kkk occurs.

Moment functions. For nonnegative integers ksjk_{sj}ksj​, the moment functions are fs(ξ)=∏j=1Jξjksjf_s(\xi)=\prod_{j=1}^J\xi_j^{k_{sj}}fs​(ξ)=∏j=1J​ξjksj​​, s=1,…,ms=1,\dots,ms=1,…,m, collected into f=(f1,…,fm)f=(f_1,\dots,f_m)f=(f1​,…,fm​).

Type 1 ambiguity set. For decision-dependent bounds l(x),u(x)∈Rml(x),u(x)\in\mathbb R^ml(x),u(x)∈Rm and p‾(x),pˉ(x)∈RK\underline p(x),\bar p(x)\in\mathbb R^Kp​(x),pˉ​(x)∈RK,

Pt+1D1(x)={p∈R+K : p‾(x)≤p≤pˉ(x),  l(x)≤∑k=1Kpkf(ξk)≤u(x)}.\mathcal P^{D_1}_{t+1}(x)=\Big\{p\in\mathbb R^K_+\ :\ \underline p(x)\le p\le\bar p(x),\ \ l(x)\le\sum_{k=1}^Kp_kf(\xi^k)\le u(x)\Big\}.Pt+1D1​​(x)={p∈R+K​ : p​(x)≤p≤pˉ​(x),  l(x)≤k=1∑K​pk​f(ξk)≤u(x)}.

Normalization ∑kpk=1\sum_kp_k=1∑k​pk​=1 is obtained by choosing one moment function f1≡1f_1\equiv1f1​≡1 with l1=u1=1l_1=u_1=1l1​=u1​=1.

Stage Bellman equation. The stage value is

Qt(xt−1,ξt)=min⁡(x,y)∈S{g(x,y)+max⁡p∈Pt+1D1(x)∑k=1Kpk Qt+1(x,ξk)}.(2)Q_t(x_{t-1},\xi_t)=\min_{(x,y)\in S}\Big\{g(x,y)+\max_{p\in\mathcal P^{D_1}_{t+1}(x)}\sum_{k=1}^Kp_k\,Q_{t+1}(x,\xi^k)\Big\}.\tag{2}Qt​(xt−1​,ξt​)=(x,y)∈Smin​{g(x,y)+p∈Pt+1D1​​(x)max​k=1∑K​pk​Qt+1​(x,ξk)}.(2)

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 8)

If Pt+1D1(x)\mathcal P^{D_1}_{t+1}(x)Pt+1D1​​(x) is nonempty for every feasible xxx, then (2) equals the joint minimization

min⁡α,β,γ‾,γˉ,x,y  g(x,y)−αTl(x)+βTu(x)−γ‾Tp‾(x)+γˉTpˉ(x)s.t.  (−α+β)Tf(ξk)−γ‾k+γˉk≥Qt+1(x,ξk),k∈[K],(x,y)∈S,α,β,γ‾,γˉ≥0.(4)\begin{aligned}\min_{\alpha,\beta,\underline\gamma,\bar\gamma,x,y}\ \ &g(x,y)-\alpha^{\mathsf T}l(x)+\beta^{\mathsf T}u(x)-\underline\gamma^{\mathsf T}\underline p(x)+\bar\gamma^{\mathsf T}\bar p(x)\\ \text{s.t.}\ \ &(-\alpha+\beta)^{\mathsf T}f(\xi^k)-\underline\gamma_k+\bar\gamma_k\ge Q_{t+1}(x,\xi^k),\quad k\in[K],\\ &(x,y)\in S,\qquad \alpha,\beta,\underline\gamma,\bar\gamma\ge0.\end{aligned}\tag{4}α,β,γ​,γˉ​,x,ymin​  s.t.  ​g(x,y)−αTl(x)+βTu(x)−γ​Tp​(x)+γˉ​Tpˉ​(x)(−α+β)Tf(ξk)−γ​k​+γˉ​k​≥Qt+1​(x,ξk),k∈[K],(x,y)∈S,α,β,γ​,γˉ​≥0.​(4)

In Lean, "equals" is the statement that for every real qqq, qqq is the attained minimum of (2) if and only if it is the attained minimum of (4).

Milestones: the inner LP (C-17) (p. 36)

  1. Weak duality. For a state xxx, every p∈Pt+1D1(x)p\in\mathcal P^{D_1}_{t+1}(x)p∈Pt+1D1​​(x) and every dual point satisfying (4b) and (4d) at xxx, ∑kpkQt+1(x,ξk)≤−αTl(x)+βTu(x)−γ‾Tp‾(x)+γˉTpˉ(x)\sum_kp_kQ_{t+1}(x,\xi^k)\le-\alpha^{\mathsf T}l(x)+\beta^{\mathsf T}u(x)-\underline\gamma^{\mathsf T}\underline p(x)+\bar\gamma^{\mathsf T}\bar p(x)∑k​pk​Qt+1​(x,ξk)≤−αTl(x)+βTu(x)−γ​Tp​(x)+γˉ​Tpˉ​(x).
  2. Strong duality. If Pt+1D1(x)≠∅\mathcal P^{D_1}_{t+1}(x)\ne\emptysetPt+1D1​​(x)=∅, some feasible ppp and some dual point satisfying (4b) and (4d) have equal objective values.

Companion: (7) (p. 9)

With the 2J+12J+12J+1 moment constraints of (5)–(6) (normalization, first and second moments of each coordinate around affine decision-dependent empirical moments μj(x)\mu_j(x)μj​(x), Sj(x)S_j(x)Sj​(x)) and p‾=0\underline p=0p​=0, pˉ=1\bar p=1pˉ​=1, the stage value equals the joint program (7), whose objective (7a) has no γ\gammaγ-terms.

Significance

Theorem 1 removes the inner maximization from every stage of the multistage model. Without it, each stage is a min–max problem whose inner feasible set moves with the binary decision, and SDDiP's cut generation does not apply. After the reformulation, each stage is a single mixed-integer program whose only nonlinearities are products of a binary state with a continuous dual variable, which McCormick envelopes linearize exactly. The paper's facility-location experiments use exactly this route via (7).

The result is proved on paper by a one-line appeal to LP strong duality. No machine-checked version exists. The formal content this mission adds is the precise accounting of what the appeal needs: that the inner LP is bounded (from 0≤p≤pˉ(x)0\le p\le\bar p(x)0≤p≤pˉ​(x)), that its dual is attained, that the outer minimum transfers between the two formulations in both directions, and that the sign constraint p≥0p\ge0p≥0 is present. A Lean development also separates the parts that hold for arbitrary SSS and ggg from the paper's standing linearity and compactness assumptions.

The platform already has a general LP strong duality theorem, LinearOptimization.lp_strong_duality (Bertsimas–Tsitsiklis, Theorem 4.4, on a general-form LP structure; proved). It is a tool for the milestones, not a statement of this paper.

Difficulty

The inner problem is a finite LP, so the difficulty is not depth but bookkeeping that the paper leaves to the reader. Strong duality must be applied to an LP with four families of inequality rows plus sign constraints, with the moment rows written as sums of vectors. The obvious reading of (3) as printed — no p≥0p\ge0p≥0 — makes Theorem 1 false when p‾(x)\underline p(x)p​(x) has negative entries, because the free variable ppp would force (4b) to be an equality. The equivalence of the two outer minima also needs care: (4) minimizes jointly over (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) and the multipliers, so the attained minimum of (4) must be matched with a pair (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) at which the inner maximum of (2) is attained, in both directions. For (7), the dual of (6) lacks the γˉ\bar\gammaγˉ​-terms of (4), so (7) is not a literal instance of Theorem 1: the redundancy of p≤1p\le1p≤1 under ∑kpk=1\sum_kp_k=1∑k​pk​=1, p≥0p\ge0p≥0 has to be used.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in the namespace DDMomentDRO.Type1. States are Fin I → ℝ, stage variables Fin I → Fin J → ℝ, scenarios Fin K → Fin J → ℝ, all indices 000-based. The moment exponents are a matrix e : Fin m → Fin J → ℕ. Qt+1Q_{t+1}Qt+1​ is an arbitrary real function of (x,k)(x,k)(x,k): the theorems use nothing about the next stage, so the recursion is not formalized. The binary state is kept as a hypothesis on SSS; linearity of ggg and compactness and polyhedrality of SSS (p. 5) are dropped, a disclosed generalization. The ambiguity set includes p≥0p\ge0p≥0 (the proof's (C-17f)), which (3) as printed omits, and no normalization row is added. Minimum and maximum are IsLeast and IsGreatest of explicitly defined value sets, never sSup/sInf, so an empty ambiguity set or an unbounded inner problem cannot produce a junk value; nonemptiness of the ambiguity set at every feasible state is the theorem's hypothesis, as on the page. An empty stage set makes both sides of the equivalence false rather than vacuously true, so it does not trivialize the goal. The objective (7a) is transcribed term by term.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the two duality milestones (from the platform's LP duality or directly from Farkas' lemma in Mathlib), the transfer argument for Theorem 1, and the specialization (7).

Selected references

  • X. Yu, S. Shen, Multistage distributionally robust mixed-integer programming with decision-dependent moment-based ambiguity sets, arXiv:2002.12518v3, 2020; Mathematical Programming, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.12518
  • F. Luo, S. Mehrotra, Distributionally robust optimization with decision dependent ambiguity sets, Optimization Letters, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.09215
  • J. Zou, S. Ahmed, X. A. Sun, Stochastic dual dynamic integer programming, Mathematical Programming 175, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1249-5
  • D. Bertsimas, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Linear Optimization, Athena Scientific, 1997, Theorem 4.4.
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Multistage Distributionally Robust Mixed-Integer Programming with Decision-Dependent Moment-Based Ambiguity Sets III: Under Slater, the Delage–Ye-Type Stage Bellman Equation Is One SDP MinimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

In many multistage decision problems the probability law of the next uncertainty depends on the decision taken now: opening a facility changes the demand it attracts, a price changes the distribution of sales, maintenance changes failure rates. Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) handles an imperfectly known law by optimizing against the worst distribution in an ambiguity set. When that set itself moves with the decision, the model is decision-dependent, and the classical reformulations, which treat the ambiguity set as fixed, do not apply directly.

X. Yu and S. Shen (arXiv:2002.12518v3, 2020; Math. Program., DOI 10.1007/s10107-020-01580-4) study multistage mixed-integer DRO with binary state variables and decision-dependent moment-based ambiguity sets over a finite support. Their Theorems 1–3 turn each stage's min–max Bellman equation into a single minimization, which is the input to a stochastic dual dynamic integer programming (SDDiP) algorithm. This mission covers their main result, Theorem 3, for the most general of their three sets: a Delage–Ye-type set in which the mean lies in an ellipsoid around a decision-dependent estimate and the centred second-moment matrix is bounded by a decision-dependent matrix.

Timeline. Delage and Ye (Oper. Res., 2010, DOI 10.1287/opre.1090.0741) introduced the ellipsoid-plus-second-moment set for a decision-independent law and gave a semidefinite reformulation. Luo and Mehrotra (Optim. Lett., 2020) derived duality-based reformulations for decision-dependent moment sets in a single stage. Yu and Shen (2020) carry these into the multistage mixed-integer setting with binary states.

Setting

Fix one stage ttt. The data are:

  • a stage feasible set S⊆{0,1}I×RI×JS \subseteq \{0,1\}^I \times \mathbb R^{I\times J}S⊆{0,1}I×RI×J of pairs (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) (state and stage variable) and a stage cost g(x,y)g(x,y)g(x,y);
  • a finite support ξ1,…,ξK∈RJ\xi^1, \dots, \xi^K \in \mathbb R^Jξ1,…,ξK∈RJ of the next-stage random vector (the same for every decision);
  • next-stage values Qk(x)=Qt+1(x,ξk)Q^k(x) = Q_{t+1}(x, \xi^k)Qk(x)=Qt+1​(x,ξk);
  • a decision-dependent mean estimate μ(x)∈RJ\mu(x) \in \mathbb R^Jμ(x)∈RJ, a matrix Σ(x)∈RJ×J\Sigma(x) \in \mathbb R^{J\times J}Σ(x)∈RJ×J (written Sig in Lean), and size parameters γ,η∈R\gamma, \eta \in \mathbb Rγ,η∈R.

For weights p∈RKp \in \mathbb R^Kp∈RK write Mk(x)=(ξk−μ(x))(ξk−μ(x))⊤M_k(x) = (\xi^k - \mu(x))(\xi^k - \mu(x))^\topMk​(x)=(ξk−μ(x))(ξk−μ(x))⊤ and ξˉ(p)=∑kpkξk\bar\xi(p) = \sum_k p_k \xi^kξˉ​(p)=∑k​pk​ξk. The Type 3 ambiguity set (14) is

PD3(x)={p≥0:∑kpk=1, (ξˉ(p)−μ(x))⊤Σ(x)−1(ξˉ(p)−μ(x))≤γ, ∑kpkMk(x)⪯η Σ(x)}.\mathcal P^{D_3}(x) = \Big\{ p \ge 0 : \sum_k p_k = 1,\ (\bar\xi(p) - \mu(x))^\top \Sigma(x)^{-1} (\bar\xi(p) - \mu(x)) \le \gamma,\ \sum_k p_k M_k(x) \preceq \eta\,\Sigma(x) \Big\}.PD3​(x)={p≥0:k∑​pk​=1, (ξˉ​(p)−μ(x))⊤Σ(x)−1(ξˉ​(p)−μ(x))≤γ, k∑​pk​Mk​(x)⪯ηΣ(x)}.

The stage Bellman equation (2) is

Qt=min⁡(x,y)∈S{g(x,y)+max⁡p∈PD3(x)∑kpkQk(x)}.Q_t = \min_{(x,y) \in S} \Big\{ g(x,y) + \max_{p \in \mathcal P^{D_3}(x)} \sum_k p_k Q^k(x) \Big\}.Qt​=(x,y)∈Smin​{g(x,y)+p∈PD3​(x)max​k∑​pk​Qk(x)}.

Write A∙B=tr⁡(A⊤B)A \bullet B = \operatorname{tr}(A^\top B)A∙B=tr(A⊤B) for the Frobenius product.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 12)

Assume that for every feasible (x,y)∈S(x,y) \in S(x,y)∈S, Σ(x)≻0\Sigma(x) \succ 0Σ(x)≻0, and that Slater's condition holds: some probability vector ppp satisfies the ellipsoid constraint strictly and ∑kpkMk(x)≺η Σ(x)\sum_k p_k M_k(x) \prec \eta\,\Sigma(x)∑k​pk​Mk​(x)≺ηΣ(x). Then the minimum of the Bellman equation exists exactly when the minimum of the mixed-integer semidefinite program (15) exists, and the two are equal:

min⁡x,y,s,Z,Y g(x,y)+s+Σ(x)∙z1−2μ(x)⊤z2+γz3+η Σ(x)∙Y\min_{x,y,s,Z,Y}\ g(x,y) + s + \Sigma(x)\bullet z_1 - 2\mu(x)^\top z_2 + \gamma z_3 + \eta\,\Sigma(x)\bullet Yx,y,s,Z,Ymin​ g(x,y)+s+Σ(x)∙z1​−2μ(x)⊤z2​+γz3​+ηΣ(x)∙Y

subject to s−2z2⊤ξk+Mk(x)∙Y≥Qk(x)s - 2 z_2^\top \xi^k + M_k(x) \bullet Y \ge Q^k(x)s−2z2⊤​ξk+Mk​(x)∙Y≥Qk(x) for all kkk, Z=(z1z2z2⊤z3)⪰0Z = \begin{pmatrix} z_1 & z_2 \\ z_2^\top & z_3 \end{pmatrix} \succeq 0Z=(z1​z2⊤​​z2​z3​​)⪰0, Y⪰0Y \succeq 0Y⪰0, and (x,y)∈S(x,y) \in S(x,y)∈S.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 3, pp. 37–39)

  1. The ellipsoid constraint (C-20d) is equivalent to (Σ(x)τ−μ(x)(τ−μ(x))⊤γ)⪰0\begin{pmatrix} \Sigma(x) & \tau-\mu(x) \\ (\tau-\mu(x))^\top & \gamma \end{pmatrix} \succeq 0(Σ(x)(τ−μ(x))⊤​τ−μ(x)γ​)⪰0.
  2. The Lagrangian identity (C-21).
  3. The dual function: maximizing the Lagrangian over p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, τ∈RJ\tau \in \mathbb R^Jτ∈RJ gives the stated objective under the stated constraints, and +∞+\infty+∞ otherwise.
  4. Weak duality: every p∈PD3(x)p \in \mathcal P^{D_3}(x)p∈PD3​(x) is bounded by every dual-feasible objective value.
  5. Strong duality (C-22) under Slater, with both sides attained.

A companion statement from §4.2.2 (p. 15) is also included: the cones DD(U)DD(U)DD(U) built from diagonally dominant matrices consist of positive semidefinite matrices.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3 replaces a min–max problem, whose inner maximum ranges over a set that moves with xxx, by one minimization in which xxx enters only through the data μ(x)\mu(x)μ(x), Σ(x)\Sigma(x)Σ(x). With affine μ\muμ, Σ\SigmaΣ and binary xxx, the bilinear terms can then be linearized, giving the mixed-integer SDP (16)–(17) to which the paper applies SDDiP-type cutting planes. Without the reformulation there is no single-level stage problem to generate cuts from.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; it has no machine-checked proof that we know of. The proof in the paper is brief: it cites convexity and Slater for strong duality and does not check that the domain p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, the Schur-complement rewrite and the strict inequalities fit the conic duality theorem it relies on. A formal proof checks these points, and the per-stage duality lemmas (milestones 4 and 5) can be reused by any moment-based DRO model over a finite support.

Difficulty

Weak duality and the regrouping of the Lagrangian are routine. The difficulty is strong duality with dual attainment (milestone 5): the inner problem has an inverse-matrix constraint and a semidefinite constraint, and the duality theorem must be applied to the conic form after the Schur rewrite, with a Slater point of that form. The paper states Slater for "a vector ppp". A Slater point with negative entries does not lie in the domain p≥0p \ge 0p≥0, so it gives no interior point there. Passing from per-state duality to the equality of the two outer minima also needs care: the Bellman minimum is over pairs at which the inner maximum is attained, and the reformulated minimum is a joint minimization over (x,y)(x, y)(x,y) and the dual variables.

Formalization scope

  • Indices are 0-based (Fin I, Fin J, Fin K). States are Fin I → ℝ, the support is ξ : Fin K → Fin J → ℝ, and Σ\SigmaΣ, ZZZ, YYY are Mathlib matrices. ⪰\succeq⪰ and ≻\succ≻ are PosSemidef/PosDef of the difference (both include symmetry). The block ZZZ is indexed by Fin J ⊕ Unit, with the same z2z_2z2​ in both off-diagonal blocks.
  • Minima and maxima are IsLeast/IsGreatest on sets of values, so attainment is part of every claim. The goal reads: for all qqq, qqq is the least stage value iff qqq is the least value of (15).
  • Added hypotheses, disclosed: Σ(x)≻0\Sigma(x) \succ 0Σ(x)≻0 at feasible xxx (implicit on the page, which writes Σ(x)−1\Sigma(x)^{-1}Σ(x)−1; Mathlib's inverse of a singular matrix is 000). p≥0p \ge 0p≥0 in the ambiguity set ((C-20f); Assumption 3 calls ppp a probability). The Slater point is a probability vector (Theorem A.3 says "a probability measure").
  • Dropped hypotheses, disclosed generalization: linearity of ggg and compactness and polyhedrality of SSS are not used. μ\muμ and Σ\SigmaΣ are arbitrary functions of xxx; the affine form (12) is imposed only later in the paper. QkQ^kQk is an arbitrary real function, because the stage theorem uses nothing about the recursion. Binary states are kept as a hypothesis.
  • Printed text not copied: the Slater clause of Theorem 3 is cut at the right margin of p. 12 and is restored from Theorem B.6 (p. 36). "u∈Rdu \in \mathbb R^du∈Rd" on p. 38 is read as u∈RJu \in \mathbb R^Ju∈RJ.
  • No trivializing reading: the strict inequalities of Slater are kept, since non-strict ones would make the theorem false. No sSup/sInf values are used, so there are no junk values. An empty SSS makes both sides empty, so the equivalence carries no content there. A sorry-free check confirms that the hypotheses are satisfiable on a two-point instance with value 3.
  • Needed infrastructure: Schur complements for positive definite blocks (in Mathlib), the trace inequality for products of PSD matrices, and a conic strong-duality theorem with dual attainment under Slater for semidefinite constraints. Contributions of the last as a reusable lemma are welcome.

Selected references

  • X. Yu, S. Shen, Multistage distributionally robust mixed-integer programming with decision-dependent moment-based ambiguity sets, arXiv:2002.12518v3, 2020; Math. Program., 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.12518
  • E. Delage, Y. Ye, Distributionally robust optimization under moment uncertainty with application to data-driven problems, Oper. Res. 58(3), 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0741
  • F. Luo, S. Mehrotra, Distributionally robust optimization with decision dependent ambiguity sets, Optimization Letters, 2020, pp. 1–30 (as cited by Yu & Shen).
  • J. Zou, S. Ahmed, X. A. Sun, Stochastic dual dynamic integer programming, Math. Program. 175, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1249-5
  • A. A. Ahmadi, G. Hall, Sum of squares basis pursuit with linear and second order cone programming, Algebraic and Geometric Methods in Discrete Mathematics, Contemp. Math. 685, 27–53, 2017 (as cited by Yu & Shen).
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Multistage Distributionally Robust Mixed-Integer Programming with Decision-Dependent Moment-Based Ambiguity Sets II: Under Mean and Covariance, the Stage Bellman Equation Is One LP-Dual MinimizationResearch Paper

Motivation

Many planning problems are solved in stages. A decision is taken, uncertainty is revealed, and the next decision reacts to it. Facility location, capacity expansion and network design all fit this pattern. In a growing class of such problems, the distribution of the uncertainty depends on the decision: opening a facility changes the demand it attracts, and a maintenance decision changes the failure rates that follow. Stochastic programs with decision-dependent uncertainty go back to Jonsbråten, Wets and Woodruff (1998) and Goel and Grossmann (2006).

When the distribution is not known exactly, distributionally robust optimization (DRO) optimizes against the worst distribution in an ambiguity set of plausible ones. Moment-based ambiguity sets, which are defined by constraints on the mean and covariance, are one of the standard choices (Delage and Ye, 2010). Luo and Mehrotra (2020) studied single-stage DRO in which such moment sets depend on the decision. Yu and Shen (2020) carry this into the multistage mixed-integer setting. Their goal is to rewrite each stage's min–max Bellman equation as one minimization, so that the stagewise decomposition algorithm SDDiP (Zou, Ahmed and Sun, 2019) applies.

This mission formalizes their reformulation for the Type 2 ambiguity set, which matches a decision-dependent mean and covariance exactly.

Setting

Fix a stage ttt. The decision at stage ttt is a pair (xt,yt)(x_t,y_t)(xt​,yt​): a binary state xt∈{0,1}Ix_t\in\{0,1\}^Ixt​∈{0,1}I, passed to the next stage, and a stage variable yt∈RI×Jy_t\in\mathbb R^{I\times J}yt​∈RI×J. The pair must lie in a stage feasible set S=Xt(xt−1,ξt)S=X_t(x_{t-1},\xi_t)S=Xt​(xt−1​,ξt​) and costs gt(xt,yt)g_t(x_t,y_t)gt​(xt​,yt​).

The next-stage random vector ξt+1∈RJ\xi_{t+1}\in\mathbb R^Jξt+1​∈RJ takes one of finitely many values ξt+11,…,ξt+1K\xi^1_{t+1},\dots,\xi^K_{t+1}ξt+11​,…,ξt+1K​. This support is fixed (Assumption 3), and only the probabilities p=(p1,…,pK)p=(p_1,\dots,p_K)p=(p1​,…,pK​) are uncertain. The value of being in state xtx_txt​ when scenario kkk occurs is Qt+1k=Qt+1(xt,ξt+1k)Q^k_{t+1}=Q_{t+1}(x_t,\xi^k_{t+1})Qt+1k​=Qt+1​(xt​,ξt+1k​).

The decision determines a mean μ(xt)∈RJ\mu(x_t)\in\mathbb R^Jμ(xt​)∈RJ and a covariance matrix Σ(xt)∈RJ×J\Sigma(x_t)\in\mathbb R^{J\times J}Σ(xt​)∈RJ×J. The Type 2 ambiguity set is the set of probability vectors that match them exactly:

Pt+1D2(xt)={p∈R≥0K: ∑kpk=1,  ∑kpkξt+1k=μ(xt),  ∑kpk(ξt+1k−μ(xt))(ξt+1k−μ(xt))⊤=Σ(xt)}.\mathcal P^{D_2}_{t+1}(x_t)=\Big\{p\in\mathbb R^K_{\ge 0}:\ \sum_{k}p_k=1,\ \ \sum_k p_k\xi^k_{t+1}=\mu(x_t),\ \ \sum_k p_k(\xi^k_{t+1}-\mu(x_t))(\xi^k_{t+1}-\mu(x_t))^\top=\Sigma(x_t)\Big\}.Pt+1D2​​(xt​)={p∈R≥0K​: k∑​pk​=1,  k∑​pk​ξt+1k​=μ(xt​),  k∑​pk​(ξt+1k​−μ(xt​))(ξt+1k​−μ(xt​))⊤=Σ(xt​)}.

The Bellman equation (2) of stage ttt is

Qt(xt−1,ξt)=min⁡(xt,yt)∈S{gt(xt,yt)+max⁡p∈Pt+1D2(xt)∑k=1KpkQt+1k}.Q_t(x_{t-1},\xi_t)=\min_{(x_t,y_t)\in S}\Big\{g_t(x_t,y_t)+\max_{p\in\mathcal P^{D_2}_{t+1}(x_t)}\sum_{k=1}^Kp_kQ^k_{t+1}\Big\}.Qt​(xt−1​,ξt​)=(xt​,yt​)∈Smin​{gt​(xt​,yt​)+p∈Pt+1D2​​(xt​)max​k=1∑K​pk​Qt+1k​}.

Throughout, A∙B=trace⁡(A⊤B)A\bullet B=\operatorname{trace}(A^\top B)A∙B=trace(A⊤B) is the Frobenius inner product.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2 (p. 11)

If Pt+1D2(xt)\mathcal P^{D_2}_{t+1}(x_t)Pt+1D2​​(xt​) is nonempty for every feasible xtx_txt​, then

Qt(xt−1,ξt)=min⁡xt,yt,s,u,Y gt(xt,yt)+s+u⊤μ(xt)+Σ(xt)∙Ys.t.  s+u⊤ξt+1k+(ξt+1k−μ(xt))(ξt+1k−μ(xt))⊤∙Y≥Qt+1k∀k,(xt,yt)∈S, s∈R, u∈RJ, Y∈RJ×J.\begin{aligned} Q_t(x_{t-1},\xi_t)=\min_{x_t,y_t,s,u,Y}\ & g_t(x_t,y_t)+s+u^\top\mu(x_t)+\Sigma(x_t)\bullet Y\\ \text{s.t. }\ & s+u^\top\xi^k_{t+1}+(\xi^k_{t+1}-\mu(x_t))(\xi^k_{t+1}-\mu(x_t))^\top\bullet Y\ge Q^k_{t+1}\quad\forall k,\\ & (x_t,y_t)\in S,\ s\in\mathbb R,\ u\in\mathbb R^J,\ Y\in\mathbb R^{J\times J}. \end{aligned}Qt​(xt−1​,ξt​)=xt​,yt​,s,u,Ymin​ s.t.  ​gt​(xt​,yt​)+s+u⊤μ(xt​)+Σ(xt​)∙Ys+u⊤ξt+1k​+(ξt+1k​−μ(xt​))(ξt+1k​−μ(xt​))⊤∙Y≥Qt+1k​∀k,(xt​,yt​)∈S, s∈R, u∈RJ, Y∈RJ×J.​

The left side is a minimum exactly when the right side is, and the two values agree.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 2, p. 37)

  1. Weak duality. For every p∈Pt+1D2(x)p\in\mathcal P^{D_2}_{t+1}(x)p∈Pt+1D2​​(x) and every (s,u,Y)(s,u,Y)(s,u,Y) satisfying the constraints above at xxx,
∑kpkQt+1k≤s+u⊤μ(x)+Σ(x)∙Y.\sum_k p_kQ^k_{t+1}\le s+u^\top\mu(x)+\Sigma(x)\bullet Y.k∑​pk​Qt+1k​≤s+u⊤μ(x)+Σ(x)∙Y.
  1. Strong duality. If Pt+1D2(x)≠∅\mathcal P^{D_2}_{t+1}(x)\neq\emptysetPt+1D2​​(x)=∅, both sides are attained and the two optimal values are equal.

Significance

The theorem turns a min–max problem into a single minimization. Under the paper's affine model (12) for μ\muμ and Σ\SigmaΣ, and with McCormick envelopes for the products of binary states and continuous duals, that minimization becomes a mixed-integer linear program. SDDiP can then solve the multistage model stage by stage, with valid cuts. The Type 2 set is the paper's middle case. It captures correlations between the components of ξt+1\xi_{t+1}ξt+1​, which the separate moment bounds of the Type 1 set (Theorem 1) cannot, and it still has an LP dual. The Type 3 set of Theorem 3 instead leads to a semidefinite program.

The result is proved in the paper: Appendix C gives a short argument by linear-programming duality. It has not been formalized. A formal proof pins down details the printed proof leaves implicit:

  • the nonnegativity constraint, which (10) omits;
  • that the dual matrix YYY is unrestricted;
  • that both optima are attained.

It also yields a reusable, machine-checked instance of LP duality for moment-matching problems on a finite support.

Difficulty

There are two steps. The first is linear-programming strong duality for the inner problem in matrix-valued form. Its constraints are a scalar equation, a vector equation in RJ\mathbb R^JRJ and a matrix equation in RJ×J\mathbb R^{J\times J}RJ×J, so the dual variables are a scalar, a vector and a matrix, paired through dot and Frobenius products. Turning this into a standard-form LP to which a library duality theorem applies takes bookkeeping. The second step is the exchange of the outer minimum with the dual minimum. Here attainment matters: the inner maximum must be attained at every feasible xtx_txt​, and the stated equality must hold both when the outer minimum exists and when it does not. Weak duality alone gives only one inequality. The naive argument "dualize and combine" also hides the fact that, without p≥0p\ge0p≥0, the dual constraints would have to be equalities.

Formalization scope

  • Indices and types. States are Fin I → ℝ, stage variables are Fin I → Fin J → ℝ, the support is ξ : Fin K → Fin J → ℝ, and the next-stage values are an arbitrary function Qn x k. The theorem uses nothing about the recursion that defines Qt+1Q_{t+1}Qt+1​. The covariance map is named Sig.
  • Minima and maxima. These are least and greatest elements of value sets (IsLeast, IsGreatest), never sInf/sSup. The goal states that qqq is the least stage value if and only if qqq is the least value of (11). An empty stage set, or an empty ambiguity set, cannot make the statement hold by default values. The ambiguity set is never empty at a feasible state, because that is the theorem's hypothesis, and an empty stage set makes both sides false.
  • Hypotheses added or dropped.
    • The ambiguity set includes p≥0p\ge0p≥0. This is (C-18e) of the paper's proof; (10) as printed omits it.
    • YYY is a free real matrix.
    • The standing assumptions that gtg_tgt​ is linear and SSS is a nonempty compact mixed-integer polyhedron are not imposed, since the theorem holds for every SSS and gtg_tgt​. The binary state is kept as a hypothesis.
    • No symmetry or definiteness is assumed of Σ(x)\Sigma(x)Σ(x).
    • The affine forms (12) are not imposed; they are used only afterwards, for the MILP.
  • Infrastructure. Finite-dimensional LP duality with equality constraints and a nonnegative variable, transported to vector and matrix constraints. Statements of LP strong duality already exist on the platform and may be used as tools. Contributions welcome: a proof of each milestone, a general "finite-support moment-matching duality" lemma, and the attainment argument.

Selected references

  • X. Yu, S. Shen, Multistage distributionally robust mixed-integer programming with decision-dependent moment-based ambiguity sets, arXiv:2002.12518v3, 2020; Mathematical Programming. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.12518
  • E. Delage, Y. Ye, Distributionally robust optimization under moment uncertainty with application to data-driven problems, Operations Research 58(3):595–612, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0741
  • F. Luo, S. Mehrotra, Distributionally robust optimization with decision dependent ambiguity sets, Optimization Letters, 2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.09215
  • J. Zou, S. Ahmed, X. A. Sun, Stochastic dual dynamic integer programming, Mathematical Programming 175(1–2):461–502, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-018-1249-5
  • V. Goel, I. E. Grossmann, A class of stochastic programs with decision dependent uncertainty, Mathematical Programming 108(2–3):355–394, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-005-0658-4
  • T. W. Jonsbråten, R. J.-B. Wets, D. L. Woodruff, A class of stochastic programs with decision dependent random elements, Annals of Operations Research 82:83–106, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1018943626786
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach 1: Under G, g ≥ 0 Every Minimal Optimal Schedule Stays inside the Ultimate Pit LimitResearch Paper

Motivation

Strategic planning of an open pit mine decides, over a horizon of 20 to 50 years, which parts of an ore body are excavated, when, and where the excavated material is sent. A deposit is discretized into blocks, often millions of them, and the decisions are constrained by wall-slope precedences between blocks, by mining and processing capacities, and by blending and other operational rules. The resulting mixed-integer programs are far beyond the reach of general-purpose solvers, so practitioners and researchers rely heavily on preprocessing: rules that provably remove variables before the model is solved.

The oldest such rule is the ultimate pit limit. Lerchs and Grossmann (1965) showed that the most profitable pit, ignoring time and capacities, is a maximum-weight closure of the precedence graph and can be computed by a graph algorithm. Caccetta and Hill (2003) used this limit to eliminate blocks in the capacitated pit problem (C-PIT), where each block has a predefined destination. Rivera Letelier, Espinoza, Goycoolea, Moreno and Muñoz (Operations Research, 2020) extend that result to the general precedence-constrained production scheduling problem with clusters (PCPSP-C) of Bienstock and Zuckerberg (2009): multiple destinations per block, clusters of blocks extracted together, arbitrary nonnegative side constraints, and either full or partial integrality. This mission formalizes that extension, Theorem 1 of the article, together with the surrounding claims of §2 and §4. The source is the published Operations Research article; all page numbers are journal pages.

Setting

A PCPSP-C instance consists of a finite set of blocks B\mathcal BB, destinations D\mathcal DD, and periods T={1,…,T}\mathcal T = \{1, \dots, T\}T={1,…,T}. Sending block bbb to destination ddd is worth pb,dp_{b,d}pb,d​ (possibly negative); in period ttt it is worth pb,d,t=pb,d/(1+r)tp_{b,d,t} = p_{b,d}/(1+r)^tpb,d,t​=pb,d​/(1+r)t for a discount rate r>0r > 0r>0. A relation b1≺b2b_1 \prec b_2b1​≺b2​ means that b1b_1b1​ must be extracted no later than b2b_2b2​. The blocks are partitioned into clusters C\mathcal CC, with c(b)c(b)c(b) the cluster of bbb; clusters inherit precedence (c1≺c2c_1 \prec c_2c1​≺c2​ if some block of c1c_1c1​ precedes some block of c2c_2c2​), this relation is assumed to be a partial order, and A\mathcal AA is the set of immediate precedences: (c,c′)∈A(c, c') \in \mathcal A(c,c′)∈A when c′c'c′ immediately precedes ccc. Blocks have weights qb≥0q_b \ge 0qb​≥0, and a matrix inequality Gy≤gGy \le gGy≤g collects all side constraints (capacities and others).

The variables are xc,tx_{c,t}xc,t​, the fraction of cluster ccc extracted in period ttt, and yb,d,ty_{b,d,t}yb,d,t​, the fraction of block bbb sent to ddd in period ttt. The PCPSP-C maximizes ∑b,d,tpb,d,t yb,d,t\sum_{b,d,t} p_{b,d,t}\, y_{b,d,t}∑b,d,t​pb,d,t​yb,d,t​ subject to

xc(b),t=∑dyb,d,t,∑txc,t≤1,∑t′≤txc,t′≤∑t′≤txc′,t′ ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,x_{c(b),t} = \sum_{d} y_{b,d,t},\quad \sum_t x_{c,t} \le 1,\quad \sum_{t'\le t} x_{c,t'} \le \sum_{t' \le t} x_{c',t'}\ ((c,c')\in\mathcal A),\quad Gy \le g,\quad y \ge 0,xc(b),t​=d∑​yb,d,t​,t∑​xc,t​≤1,t′≤t∑​xc,t′​≤t′≤t∑​xc′,t′​ ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,

and to an integrality condition: full (xc,t∈{0,1}x_{c,t} \in \{0,1\}xc,t​∈{0,1}) or partial (once a cluster has started, each of its immediate predecessors must be completely extracted). An optimal solution is minimal if no other optimal solution lies componentwise below it.

With pˉc=∑b∈cmax⁡dpb,d\bar p_c = \sum_{b \in c} \max_d p_{b,d}pˉ​c​=∑b∈c​maxd​pb,d​, the ultimate pit limit problem U-PIT is the linear program

max⁡∑c∈Cpˉcxcs.t.xc≤xc′  ((c,c′)∈A),xc∈[0,1].\max \sum_{c \in \mathcal C} \bar p_c x_c \quad\text{s.t.}\quad x_c \le x_{c'}\ \ ((c,c') \in \mathcal A),\qquad x_c \in [0,1].maxc∈C∑​pˉ​c​xc​s.t.xc​≤xc′​  ((c,c′)∈A),xc​∈[0,1].

The pit limit of a vector x∈[0,1]Cx \in [0,1]^{\mathcal C}x∈[0,1]C is {c:xc>0}\{c : x_c > 0\}{c:xc​>0}; for a PCPSP-C solution it is the pit limit of xc1=∑txc,tx^1_c = \sum_t x_{c,t}xc1​=∑t​xc,t​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 1431)

If G≥0G \ge 0G≥0 and g≥0g \ge 0g≥0, then for either integrality condition, every minimal optimal solution (x∗,y∗)(x^*, y^*)(x∗,y∗) of the PCPSP-C and the minimal optimal solution xUx^UxU of U-PIT satisfy

POPT={c:∑txc,t∗>0}  ⊆  PU-PIT={c:xcU>0}.P^{OPT} = \Big\{c : \sum_{t} x^*_{c,t} > 0\Big\} \;\subseteq\; P^{U\text{-}PIT} = \{c : x^U_c > 0\}.POPT={c:t∑​xc,t∗​>0}⊆PU-PIT={c:xcU​>0}.

Milestones

  1. Nested pits (§2.2, p. 1428). For a feasible xxx, the sets B(x;t)={b:∑t′≤txc(b),t′>0}\mathcal B(x;t) = \{b : \sum_{t' \le t} x_{c(b),t'} > 0\}B(x;t)={b:∑t′≤t​xc(b),t′​>0} are pits and increase with ttt.
  2. x1x^1x1 is U-PIT feasible (§4.1, p. 1431).
  3. Uniqueness of the minimal optimum of U-PIT (§4.1, claim (b), p. 1431). This is what makes "the" pit limit PU-PITP^{U\text{-}PIT}PU-PIT well defined.
  4. Existence of an optimum (§2.1, p. 1427) under either integrality condition, whenever the problem is feasible.
  5. Dominated triplet elimination (§4.2, p. 1431). If (b,d1,t)(b,d_1,t)(b,d1​,t) uses no more of every resource than (b,d2,t)(b,d_2,t)(b,d2​,t) and is worth at least as much, some optimal solution has yb,d2,t=0y_{b,d_2,t} = 0yb,d2​,t​=0.

Significance

Theorem 1 turns an expensive mixed-integer program into a smaller one using a single maximum-closure computation that ignores time and resources: every cluster outside PU-PITP^{U\text{-}PIT}PU-PIT can be deleted from the instance. In the article's computational study this preprocessing is part of the pipeline that solves industrial instances to near-optimality. The result covers the partial-integrality models used in commercial mine-planning software, not only the full-integrality model of the earlier literature.

The article's proof of Theorem 1 is in an online e-companion; the companion claims of §2 and §4 are stated in the text with brief or cited justifications (claim (b) is attributed to the maximum closure literature, Hochbaum 2008). None of these results has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal model of the PCPSP-C that the sibling missions of this series (clique, variable-right-hand-side and hourglass cuts) share, and a verified justification of a preprocessing step in practical use.

Difficulty

The obvious argument, "a cluster outside the ultimate pit has nonpositive value, so drop it", fails on two counts. First, value is not additive over clusters: U-PIT optimality only says that the clusters outside PU-PITP^{U\text{-}PIT}PU-PIT that can be added to it as a closed set have nonpositive total value, not that each cluster outside it does. Second, the PCPSP-C is a multi-period problem in which a cluster may be extracted in fractions over several periods with different discount factors, and with side constraints that may forbid extracting it at all. The statement therefore depends on the discount factors being decreasing in time, on the side constraints being monotone (G,g≥0G, g \ge 0G,g≥0), and on minimality of the PCPSP-C solution, without which an optimal solution may also extract clusters of zero value outside the limit.

Formalization scope

Everything lives in the namespace OpenPitMIP.UltPit. An instance is a structure over finite types of blocks, destinations and clusters, with periods Fin T (index ttt is period t+1t+1t+1, so the discount factor is (1+r)t+1(1+r)^{t+1}(1+r)t+1). Block precedence is primitive; cluster precedence and the arc set A\mathcal AA (the transitive reduction) are derived from it, and the precedence rows (4) and (13) range over A\mathcal AA only. The standing assumptions of §2.1 are bundled in one hypothesis: the clusters partition the blocks (every cluster is nonempty), cluster precedence is a strict partial order, r>0r > 0r>0, and qb≥0q_b \ge 0qb​≥0. The integrality condition is a parameter ranging over {full, partial}, and Theorem 1 is stated for both. Optimality and minimality are taken over the whole feasible set, with the componentwise order on the pair (x,y)(x, y)(x,y). At least one destination is assumed, so that max⁡dpb,d\max_d p_{b,d}maxd​pb,d​ exists. U-PIT is the linear program over [0,1]C[0,1]^{\mathcal C}[0,1]C, not a binary closure problem.

The theorem is not trivialized: no minimal optimal solution is assumed to exist beyond what the hypotheses give, the discounting is part of the model (with arbitrary period values the theorem is false), and the hypotheses are jointly satisfiable (one block, one cluster, one period, p=−1p = -1p=−1, with the zero solution minimal optimal in both problems).

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a proof of Theorem 1, and reusable lemmas on closure polytopes (lattice structure, binary minimal optima), which are of interest beyond mining.

Selected references

  • O. Rivera Letelier, D. Espinoza, M. Goycoolea, E. Moreno, G. Muñoz, Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach, Operations Research 68(5):1425–1444, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2019.1965
  • L. Caccetta, S. P. Hill, An application of branch and cut to open pit mine scheduling, Journal of Global Optimization 27(2–3):349–365, 2003.
  • D. Bienstock, M. Zuckerberg, A new LP algorithm for precedence constrained production scheduling, working paper, Columbia University, 2009.
  • D. S. Hochbaum, The pseudoflow algorithm: A new algorithm for the maximum-flow problem, Operations Research 56(4):992–1009, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1080.0524
  • H. Lerchs, I. F. Grossmann, Optimum design of open-pit mines, Transactions of the Canadian Mining Institute 58(1):47–54, 1965.
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OptimizationProbabilityStatistics·Captain: mikedeng1

Solving Chance-Constrained Problems via a Smooth Sample-Based Nonlinear Approximation 1: Smoothed Sample Feasible Sets Lie in the True Feasible Set with Probability ≥ 1 − ⌈1/β⌉⌈2LD/t⌉ⁿ exp(−2NM²)Research Paper

Motivation

A chance-constrained program minimizes a cost f(x)f(x)f(x) over a closed set X⊆RnX\subseteq\mathbb R^nX⊆Rn subject to a constraint that must hold with high probability rather than surely:

min⁡x∈Xf(x)s.t.P(C(x,ξ)≤0)≥1−α,\min_{x\in X} f(x)\quad\text{s.t.}\quad \mathbb P\bigl(C(x,\xi)\le 0\bigr)\ge 1-\alpha,x∈Xmin​f(x)s.t.P(C(x,ξ)≤0)≥1−α,

where ξ\xiξ is a random vector, C(x,ξ)=max⁡jcj(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)=\max_j c_j(x,\xi)C(x,ξ)=maxj​cj​(x,ξ) collects the uncertain constraints, and α∈(0,1)\alpha\in(0,1)α∈(0,1) is the tolerated risk. Such models are used in power-system dispatch, portfolio selection, and supply-chain and process design, wherever a constraint may be violated in rare scenarios at a controlled rate.

The probability is rarely computable, so in practice it is replaced by an estimate from an i.i.d. sample ξ1,…,ξN\xi_1,\dots,\xi_Nξ1​,…,ξN​. The empirical frequency is a step function of xxx and yields a mixed-integer program. Peña-Ordieres, Luedtke and Wächter (arXiv:1905.07377v2; SIAM J. Optim. 30(3), 2020) replace the indicator by a smooth approximation, which turns the sample problem into a smooth nonlinear program that standard solvers can handle. The question this mission addresses is whether a point accepted by the smoothed sample problem is actually feasible for the true chance constraint, and with what probability.

Timeline. Luedtke and Ahmed (SIAM J. Optim. 19 (2008)) proved finite-sample feasibility guarantees for the empirical (non-smooth) sample approximation, first for finite XXX and then, under a Lipschitz condition on CCC, for bounded XXX (their Theorem 10). Peña-Ordieres, Luedtke and Wächter (2020) extended these guarantees to the smoothed approximation (Theorems 3.8, 3.11 and 3.13 of the preprint).

Setting

Let ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 and let γε:[−ε,ε]→[0,1]\gamma_\varepsilon:[-\varepsilon,\varepsilon]\to[0,1]γε​:[−ε,ε]→[0,1] be admissible: strictly decreasing, symmetric in the sense γε(−y)=1−γε(y)\gamma_\varepsilon(-y)=1-\gamma_\varepsilon(y)γε​(−y)=1−γε​(y), and such that the smoothed indicator

Γε(y)={1y≤−εγε(y)−ε<y<ε0y≥ε\Gamma_\varepsilon(y)=\begin{cases}1& y\le-\varepsilon\\ \gamma_\varepsilon(y)&-\varepsilon<y<\varepsilon\\ 0& y\ge\varepsilon\end{cases}Γε​(y)=⎩⎨⎧​1γε​(y)0​y≤−ε−ε<y<εy≥ε​

is differentiable on R\mathbb RR. The paper's concrete choice is a quartic-kernel polynomial (its (2.6)).

For a decision xxx and a level ttt, define

  • the true cdf F(t;x)=P(C(x,ξ)≤t)F(t;x)=\mathbb P(C(x,\xi)\le t)F(t;x)=P(C(x,ξ)≤t);
  • the smoothed cdf Fε(t;x)=∫Γε(C(x,ξ)−t) dPξF_\varepsilon(t;x)=\int\Gamma_\varepsilon(C(x,\xi)-t)\,d\mathbb P_\xiFε​(t;x)=∫Γε​(C(x,ξ)−t)dPξ​;
  • the smoothed sample cdf FεN(t;x)=1N∑i=1NΓε(C(x,ξi)−t)F^N_\varepsilon(t;x)=\frac1N\sum_{i=1}^N\Gamma_\varepsilon(C(x,\xi_i)-t)FεN​(t;x)=N1​∑i=1N​Γε​(C(x,ξi​)−t).

The true feasible set is Xα={x∈X∣F(0;x)≥1−α}X_\alpha=\{x\in X\mid F(0;x)\ge1-\alpha\}Xα​={x∈X∣F(0;x)≥1−α}, and the shifted sample feasible set with shift ttt and sample risk level δ\deltaδ is

Xε,δN,t={x∈X∣FεN(−t;x)≥1−δ}.X^{N,t}_{\varepsilon,\delta}=\{x\in X\mid F^N_\varepsilon(-t;x)\ge 1-\delta\}.Xε,δN,t​={x∈X∣FεN​(−t;x)≥1−δ}.

Throughout, C(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)C(x,ξ) has a continuous distribution for each x∈Xx\in Xx∈X (Assumption 3.1). The margin of a point is Mx=F(0;x)−Fε(−t;x)+(α−δ)M_x=F(0;x)-F_\varepsilon(-t;x)+(\alpha-\delta)Mx​=F(0;x)−Fε​(−t;x)+(α−δ); Assumption 3.7 asks that δ∈[0,α]\delta\in[0,\alpha]δ∈[0,α] and M:=inf⁡x∈XMx>0M:=\inf_{x\in X}M_x>0M:=infx∈X​Mx​>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.13

Suppose XXX is bounded with sup-norm diameter DDD, that ∣C(x,ξ)−C(y,ξ)∣≤L∥x−y∥∞|C(x,\xi)-C(y,\xi)|\le L\|x-y\|_\infty∣C(x,ξ)−C(y,ξ)∣≤L∥x−y∥∞​ for all x,y∈Xx,y\in Xx,y∈X with probability one (Assumption 3.12), and that Assumption 3.7 holds with t>0t>0t>0 and δ>0\delta>0δ>0. Then for every β∈(0,δ]\beta\in(0,\delta]β∈(0,δ],

P(Xε,(δ−β)N,2t⊆Xα)≥1−⌈1/β⌉ ⌈2LD/t⌉nexp⁡{−2NM2}.\mathbb P\bigl(X^{N,2t}_{\varepsilon,(\delta-\beta)}\subseteq X_\alpha\bigr)\ge 1-\lceil1/\beta\rceil\,\lceil 2LD/t\rceil^n\exp\{-2NM^2\}.P(Xε,(δ−β)N,2t​⊆Xα​)≥1−⌈1/β⌉⌈2LD/t⌉nexp{−2NM2}.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 3.8. For x∈X∖Xαx\in X\setminus X_\alphax∈X∖Xα​,  P(FεN(−t;x)≥1−δ)≤exp⁡{−2NMx2}\ \mathbb P(F^N_\varepsilon(-t;x)\ge1-\delta)\le\exp\{-2NM_x^2\} P(FεN​(−t;x)≥1−δ)≤exp{−2NMx2​}.
  2. Theorem 3.11. For finite XXX,  P(Xε,δN,t⊆Xα)≥1−∣X∖Xα∣exp⁡{−2NM2}\ \mathbb P(X^{N,t}_{\varepsilon,\delta}\subseteq X_\alpha)\ge 1-|X\setminus X_\alpha|\exp\{-2NM^2\} P(Xε,δN,t​⊆Xα​)≥1−∣X∖Xα​∣exp{−2NM2}.
  3. The net claim (proof of Theorem 3.13). Each slice XjX_jXj​ of XXX by the value of F(0;⋅)F(0;\cdot)F(0;⋅) at resolution 1/⌈1/β⌉1/\lceil1/\beta\rceil1/⌈1/β⌉ has a finite subset ZjZ_jZj​ with ∣Zj∣≤⌈2LD/t⌉n|Z_j|\le\lceil2LD/t\rceil^n∣Zj​∣≤⌈2LD/t⌉n that is a t/Lt/Lt/L-net of XjX_jXj​ in ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​.
  4. (3.5). Theorem 3.11 applied to the net ZZZ with levels α−β\alpha-\betaα−β and δ−β\delta-\betaδ−β.
  5. The transfer step. x∈Xε,(δ−β)N,2tx\in X^{N,2t}_{\varepsilon,(\delta-\beta)}x∈Xε,(δ−β)N,2t​ and ∥x−z∥∞≤t/L\|x-z\|_\infty\le t/L∥x−z∥∞​≤t/L imply FεN(−t;z)≥1−δ+βF^N_\varepsilon(-t;z)\ge1-\delta+\betaFεN​(−t;z)≥1−δ+β.
  6. Corollary 3.9 (companion). If C(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)C(x,ξ) has a density strictly decreasing on (−ε,ε)(-\varepsilon,\varepsilon)(−ε,ε) and F(0;x)<1−αF(0;x)<1-\alphaF(0;x)<1−α, then βx=F(0;x)−Fε(0;x)>0\beta_x=F(0;x)-F_\varepsilon(0;x)>0βx​=F(0;x)−Fε​(0;x)>0 and P(FεN(0;x)≥1−α)≤exp⁡{−2Nβx2}\mathbb P(F^N_\varepsilon(0;x)\ge1-\alpha)\le\exp\{-2N\beta_x^2\}P(FεN​(0;x)≥1−α)≤exp{−2Nβx2​}.

Significance

The result. Theorem 3.13 gives an explicit, non-asymptotic sample size NNN under which every point accepted by the smoothed sample problem (with a small shift 2t2t2t and a slightly tightened risk level δ−β\delta-\betaδ−β) is feasible for the original chance constraint, uniformly over an infinite decision set. Solving the smooth approximation therefore yields certifiably feasible solutions with a quantified failure probability, the bound depending on the dimension nnn only through the covering number ⌈2LD/t⌉n\lceil 2LD/t\rceil^n⌈2LD/t⌉n. Corollary 3.9 adds that, under a monotone density near zero, the unshifted smoothed approximation is conservative.

Formalizing it. The results are proved in the paper; none is formalized anywhere to our knowledge. A formal development would produce a machine-checked one-sided Hoeffding bound for averages of bounded functions of an i.i.d. sample, a union bound over a finite candidate set, and a sup-norm covering lemma, assembled into a uniform feasibility guarantee. These ingredients are reused across the sample-average-approximation literature.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is a union bound over XXX, which fails for infinite XXX: the event Xε,(δ−β)N,2t⊆XαX^{N,2t}_{\varepsilon,(\delta-\beta)}\subseteq X_\alphaXε,(δ−β)N,2t​⊆Xα​ involves uncountably many points, and is not even obviously measurable. Discretizing XXX by a sup-norm grid is not enough on its own either: a grid point may be infeasible while nearby points are feasible, and the true cdf F(0;⋅)F(0;\cdot)F(0;⋅) need not be continuous in xxx. The paper's device is to discretize simultaneously in xxx and in the value of F(0;x)F(0;x)F(0;x), which requires covering each level slice separately and then transferring sample feasibility from a point to its representative, at the price of the shift 2t→t2t\to t2t→t and the level change δ→δ−β\delta\to\delta-\betaδ→δ−β. Keeping the constants exactly as printed, with ⌈1/β⌉\lceil1/\beta\rceil⌈1/β⌉ slices and ⌈2LD/t⌉n\lceil 2LD/t\rceil^n⌈2LD/t⌉n points per slice, is part of the task.

Formalization scope

  • Decisions are Fin n → ℝ, whose Mathlib norm is the sup norm ∥⋅∥∞\|\cdot\|_\infty∥⋅∥∞​ used in Assumption 3.12 and Theorem 3.13. XXX is closed (the paper's standing hypothesis).
  • ξ\xiξ takes values in a measurable space Ξ\XiΞ with probability law Pξ\mathbb P_\xiPξ​. The sample is N≥1N\ge1N≥1 measurable maps ξi:Ω→Ξ\xi_i:\Omega\to\Xiξi​:Ω→Ξ on a probability space, mutually independent, each with law Pξ\mathbb P_\xiPξ​. C(x,⋅)C(x,\cdot)C(x,⋅) is assumed measurable for x∈Xx\in Xx∈X (a disclosed addition: it makes C(x,ξ)C(x,\xi)C(x,ξ) a random variable). Assumption 3.1 is encoded as Pξ(C(x,ξ)=y)=0\mathbb P_\xi(C(x,\xi)=y)=0Pξ​(C(x,ξ)=y)=0 for all yyy.
  • Statements of the form "P(A)≥1−b\mathbb P(A)\ge1-bP(A)≥1−b" are stated as P(not A)≤b\mathbb P(\text{not }A)\le bP(not A)≤b with P\mathbb PP evaluated as an outer measure; this implies the printed form and assumes no measurability of the event.
  • Assumption 3.7's infimum MMM is a parameter with M>0M>0M>0 and M≤MxM\le M_xM≤Mx​ on XXX, equivalent to the infimum because the bounds decrease in MMM.
  • "Bounded with diameter DDD" is ∥x−y∥∞≤D\|x-y\|_\infty\le D∥x−y∥∞​≤D on XXX with D>0D>0D>0. Positivity is necessary: for a single infeasible point and n≥1n\ge1n≥1 the printed bound with D=0D=0D=0 would read P≥1\mathbb P\ge1P≥1.
  • A formalization in which these hypotheses are unsatisfiable, the event is assumed measurable, or MMM is a junk infimum is ruled out: a sorry-free sanity file exhibits the quartic kernel (2.6) as admissible and a one-point instance meeting the goal's diameter and margin hypotheses.
  • Not posed: Hoeffding's inequality (Theorem 3.6), whose one-sided form is in Mathlib (ProbabilityTheory.measure_sum_ge_le_of_iIndepFun with hasSubgaussianMGF_of_mem_Icc_of_integral_eq_zero); and Corollary 3.10, whose printed exponent does not follow from its proof.

Contributions welcome: proofs of any milestone, in particular the sup-norm covering lemma and the Hoeffding step, which are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Peña-Ordieres, J. R. Luedtke, A. Wächter, Solving chance-constrained problems via a smooth sample-based nonlinear approximation, SIAM J. Optim. 30(3), 2020; preprint arXiv:1905.07377v2. https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.07377 , https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1261985
  • J. Luedtke, S. Ahmed, A sample approximation approach for optimization with probabilistic constraints, SIAM J. Optim. 19(2), 2008. https://doi.org/10.1137/070702928
  • W. Hoeffding, Probability inequalities for sums of bounded random variables, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 58, 1963. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1963.10500830
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Production Scheduling for Strategic Open Pit Mine Planning: A Mixed-Integer Programming Approach 4: Hourglass Production Cuts Are Valid under Full and Partial IntegralityResearch Paper

Motivation

Strategic open pit mine planning decides which parts of an ore body are excavated, in which period, and to which destination (a processing plant, a stockpile, a waste dump) each block of material is sent. Rivera Letelier, Espinoza, Goycoolea, Moreno and Muñoz (Operations Research 68(5), 2020) model this as a mixed-integer program, the precedence-constrained production scheduling problem with clusters (PCPSP-C), which extends the PCPSP of Bienstock and Zuckerberg (2010) by grouping blocks into clusters that are extracted together. The integer versions of the model have weak linear relaxations on production scheduling instances, so the authors derive cutting planes. Their production cuts (§5.2) exploit the capacity of a single destination together with the precedence structure. This mission concerns the second family of production cuts, the hourglass cuts: they bound how much material must be sent away from a capacitated destination once a cluster is started, using both the predecessors and the successors of that cluster.

Valid inequalities for precedence-constrained knapsack problems have been studied since Boyd (1993) (cited on p. 1433); the paper's contribution is the extension to several destinations, several periods, clusters and partial integrality, the condition used in commercial mine planning software.

All page references are journal pages of the published Operations Research article.

Setting

An instance has finite sets B\mathcal BB of blocks, D\mathcal DD of destinations and C\mathcal CC of clusters, the latter a partition of B\mathcal BB, and periods T={1,…,T}\mathcal T=\{1,\dots,T\}T={1,…,T}. Block bbb lies in cluster c(b)c(b)c(b) and has weight qb≥0q_b\ge 0qb​≥0. A precedence relation b1≺b2b_1\prec b_2b1​≺b2​ on blocks induces one on clusters (c1≺c2c_1\prec c_2c1​≺c2​ if some block of c1c_1c1​ precedes some block of c2c_2c2​), assumed to be a strict partial order. The arc set A\mathcal AA is its transitive reduction: (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A when c′c'c′ is an immediate predecessor of ccc. The closure is cl(c)={c}∪{c′:c′≺c}cl(c)=\{c\}\cup\{c':c'\prec c\}cl(c)={c}∪{c′:c′≺c} and the reverse closure rcl(c)={c}∪{c′:c≺c′}rcl(c)=\{c\}\cup\{c':c\prec c'\}rcl(c)={c}∪{c′:c≺c′}; b(S)b(S)b(S) is the set of blocks of a set SSS of clusters, and q(S)q(S)q(S) is the total weight of a set of blocks.

Variables xc,tx_{c,t}xc,t​ give the fraction of cluster ccc extracted in period ttt and yb,d,ty_{b,d,t}yb,d,t​ the fraction of block bbb sent to destination ddd in period ttt. The constraints (2)–(7) of p. 1427 are

xc(b),t=∑dyb,d,t,∑txc,t≤1,∑t′≤txc,t′≤∑t′≤txc′,t′  ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,x_{c(b),t}=\sum_{d}y_{b,d,t},\qquad \sum_{t}x_{c,t}\le 1,\qquad \sum_{t'\le t}x_{c,t'}\le\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c',t'}\ \ ((c,c')\in\mathcal A),\qquad Gy\le g,\qquad y\ge 0,xc(b),t​=d∑​yb,d,t​,t∑​xc,t​≤1,t′≤t∑​xc,t′​≤t′≤t∑​xc′,t′​  ((c,c′)∈A),Gy≤g,y≥0,

with an integrality condition: full integrality (10), xc,t∈{0,1}x_{c,t}\in\{0,1\}xc,t​∈{0,1}, defines the PCPSP-F, and partial integrality (11), "∑t′≤txc,t′>0\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c,t'}>0∑t′≤t​xc,t′​>0 implies ∑t′≤txc′,t′=1\sum_{t'\le t}x_{c',t'}=1∑t′≤t​xc′,t′​=1 for (c,c′)∈A(c,c')\in\mathcal A(c,c′)∈A", defines the PCPSP-P. The rows Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g include the destination capacity rows (9), ∑bqb yb,d,t≤Utd\sum_b q_b\,y_{b,d,t}\le U^d_t∑b​qb​yb,d,t​≤Utd​. The cuts are written in the cumulative variables wc,t=∑t′=1txc,t′w_{c,t}=\sum_{t'=1}^{t}x_{c,t'}wc,t​=∑t′=1t​xc,t′​ (17).

The simplified setting of §5.2.1 is the mode-knapsack set MK (p. 1433): for a directed acyclic graph G=(B,A)G=(\mathcal B,\mathcal A)G=(B,A), weights q>0q>0q>0 and a capacity U>0U>0U>0, the triples (x,yP,yW)(x,y^P,y^W)(x,yP,yW) with ∑bqbybP≤U\sum_b q_by^P_b\le U∑b​qb​ybP​≤U, ybP+ybW=xb≤1y^P_b+y^W_b=x_b\le 1ybP​+ybW​=xb​≤1, yP,yW≥0y^P,y^W\ge 0yP,yW≥0, and xb>0⇒xb′=1x_b>0\Rightarrow x_{b'}=1xb​>0⇒xb′​=1 for every arc (b,b′)(b,b')(b,b′). Here PPP is processing and WWW is waste.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8 (hourglass cuts), p. 1435

Let d∈Dd\in\mathcal Dd∈D, 1≤t1≤t≤T1\le t_1\le t\le T1≤t1​≤t≤T, cˉ∈C\bar c\in\mathcal Ccˉ∈C, and let S⊆b(cl(cˉ)∖{cˉ})S\subseteq b(cl(\bar c)\setminus\{\bar c\})S⊆b(cl(cˉ)∖{cˉ}) be a set of blocks with q(S)≥∑s=t1tUsdq(S)\ge\sum_{s=t_1}^{t}U^d_sq(S)≥∑s=t1​t​Usd​. With R=rcl(cˉ)∖{cˉ}R=rcl(\bar c)\setminus\{\bar c\}R=rcl(cˉ)∖{cˉ}, the inequality

(q(S∪{cˉ})−∑s=t1tUsd)wcˉ,t+∑b∈b(R)qb∑s=t1tyb,d,s≤∑b∈S∪{cˉ}qb(wc(b),t−∑s=t1tyb,d,s)(37)\Bigl(q(S\cup\{\bar c\})-\sum_{s=t_1}^{t}U^d_s\Bigr)w_{\bar c,t}+\sum_{b\in b(R)}q_b\sum_{s=t_1}^{t}y_{b,d,s}\le\sum_{b\in S\cup\{\bar c\}}q_b\Bigl(w_{c(b),t}-\sum_{s=t_1}^{t}y_{b,d,s}\Bigr)\tag{37}(q(S∪{cˉ})−s=t1​∑t​Usd​)wcˉ,t​+b∈b(R)∑​qb​s=t1​∑t​yb,d,s​≤b∈S∪{cˉ}∑​qb​(wc(b),t​−s=t1​∑t​yb,d,s​)(37)

is valid for the PCPSP-C, that is, for both the PCPSP-F and the PCPSP-P.

Milestones

  • Proof of Theorem 8, p. 1435: if wcˉ,t>0w_{\bar c,t}>0wcˉ,t​>0, every cluster preceding cˉ\bar ccˉ has wc,t=1w_{c,t}=1wc,t​=1.
  • Proof of Theorem 8, p. 1435: the blocks of SSS, of cˉ\bar ccˉ and of b(R)b(R)b(R) together respect the capacity UsdU^d_sUsd​ of every period.
  • Theorem 6, p. 1434: the simplified hourglass cut (q(S)+qb−U)xb≤∑b′∈S∪{b}qb′yb′W(q(S)+q_b-U)x_b\le\sum_{b'\in S\cup\{b\}}q_{b'}y^W_{b'}(q(S)+qb​−U)xb​≤∑b′∈S∪{b}​qb′​yb′W​ is valid for MK when S⊆cl(b)∖{b}S\subseteq cl(b)\setminus\{b\}S⊆cl(b)∖{b} and q(S)≥Uq(S)\ge Uq(S)≥U.
  • The lifted inequality of p. 1434, which adds ∑b′∈rcl(b)∖{b}qb′yb′P\sum_{b'\in rcl(b)\setminus\{b\}}q_{b'}y^P_{b'}∑b′∈rcl(b)∖{b}​qb′​yb′P​ to the left-hand side of Theorem 6.
  • Display (38), p. 1436: the block set S∗={b:c(b)≺cˉ, wcˉ,t∗>wc(b),t∗−∑s=t1tyb,d,s∗}S^*=\{b: c(b)\prec\bar c,\ w^*_{\bar c,t}>w^*_{c(b),t}-\sum_{s=t_1}^{t}y^*_{b,d,s}\}S∗={b:c(b)≺cˉ, wcˉ,t∗​>wc(b),t∗​−∑s=t1​t​yb,d,s∗​} maximizes the violation of (37) at any point (w∗,y∗)(w^*,y^*)(w∗,y∗).

Significance

In the computational study of §8 (Table 5, p. 1440; discussion on p. 1442) the authors add early start, lifted clique, VRHS and hourglass cuts to the LP relaxation and drop one class at a time; they observe that all classes improve the bound and that the hourglass cuts have the most significant impact. Display (38) makes the separation of the most violated hourglass cut a single pass over the blocks for each cluster, destination and period window. The cuts are valid under partial integrality, the weaker condition that mine planning software imposes, so they strengthen the relaxation of the model actually solved in practice.

Theorem 8 is proved in the paper by a direct calculation; no machine-checked proof exists. A formal proof would certify the inequality in exactly the generality of the model (clusters, several destinations, several periods, both integrality conditions), and the formal model of the PCPSP-C built for it is shared with the other missions of this series.

Difficulty

The inequality is false for the LP relaxation: a fractional start of cˉ\bar ccˉ need not force its predecessors to be complete. Every proof therefore has to use integrality, and the two integrality conditions behave differently. Under partial integrality (11) the implication "started implies predecessors complete" is stated only along the arcs of the transitive reduction A\mathcal AA, and has to be propagated along chains of immediate predecessors to reach every predecessor of cˉ\bar ccˉ. The capacity step needs that the strict predecessors, cˉ\bar ccˉ itself and its strict successors are pairwise disjoint block sets, which is where the strict partial order is used. The www terms are cumulative from period 1 while the yyy terms are summed from t1t_1t1​; the two must not be aligned.

Formalization scope

Periods are Fin T, so index ttt denotes period t+1t+1t+1. Cluster precedence is derived from the block relation, and A\mathcal AA is its covering relation. The standing assumptions of §2.1 (clusters partition the blocks, ≺\prec≺ a strict partial order on clusters, discount rate r>0r>0r>0, weights q≥0q\ge 0q≥0) are a single hypothesis on the instance. "Valid for the PCPSP-C" is stated as: for each integrality condition, at every feasible (x,y)(x,y)(x,y) whose destination capacity rows (9) hold, which is the page's assumption that (9) is among the rows Gy≤gGy\le gGy≤g. The destination ddd, unbound on the page, is a fixed arbitrary destination. In Theorem 8 SSS is a set of blocks and q(S∪{cˉ})q(S\cup\{\bar c\})q(S∪{cˉ}) is the weight of SSS together with the blocks of cˉ\bar ccˉ. In MK an arc (b,b′)(b,b')(b,b′) means b′b'b′ precedes bbb, and ≺\prec≺ is reachability in GGG.

Reading "valid" as "valid for the LP relaxation" would make the goal false, while dropping the condition S⊆b(cl(cˉ)∖{cˉ})S\subseteq b(cl(\bar c)\setminus\{\bar c\})S⊆b(cl(cˉ)∖{cˉ}), or the capacity rows, would make it a different statement; neither is the target. In (38) the maximum is taken over all S⊆b(cl(cˉ)∖{cˉ})S\subseteq b(cl(\bar c)\setminus\{\bar c\})S⊆b(cl(cˉ)∖{cˉ}) as on the page, without the side condition q(S)≥∑Usdq(S)\ge\sum U^d_sq(S)≥∑Usd​, which S∗S^*S∗ need not satisfy.

A complete development needs only finite sums, finsets and the transitive closure of a relation from Mathlib. Proofs of the milestones, of the MK results and of the goal are all welcome; the lemma that partial integrality propagates along chains of arcs is reusable across all production cuts of the paper.

Selected references

  • O. Rivera Letelier, D. Espinoza, M. Goycoolea, E. Moreno, G. Muñoz, Production scheduling for strategic open pit mine planning: a mixed-integer programming approach, Operations Research 68(5):1425–1444, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2019.1965
  • D. Bienstock, M. Zuckerberg, Solving LP relaxations of large-scale precedence constrained problems, Proc. 14th Conf. Integer Programming and Combinatorial Optimization (IPCO), 1–14, 2010 (reference list of the article above).
  • E. A. Boyd, Polyhedral results for the precedence-constrained knapsack problem, Discrete Applied Mathematics 41(3):185–201, 1993 (reference list of the article above).
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Multistage Adaptive Robust Optimization for the Unit Commitment Problem II: Under the W_it-Policy, Robust Generation and Ramping Limits Reduce to the Extreme Total-Load ScenariosResearch Paper

Motivation

Unit commitment (UC) is the daily scheduling problem of electricity system operators: decide which generators are switched on in each hour of the next day, and how much each produces, so that supply meets the net load at minimum cost while respecting generation limits, ramping limits and transmission limits. With growing shares of wind and solar power, the net load is uncertain at the time the commitment is fixed. Adaptive robust UC protects the schedule against every net-load trajectory in an uncertainty set.

Lorca, Sun, Litvinov and Zheng (Oper. Res., 2016) argue that the dispatch must be nonanticipative (the output at hour ttt may depend only on loads observed up to ttt) and propose a multistage robust UC model. To make it computable they restrict the dispatch to affine policies of the observed loads, in the spirit of Ben-Tal, Goryashko, Guslitzer and Nemirovski (Math. Program. 99, 2004). The paper solves the model on the IEEE 118-bus test case and on the 2718-bus Polish system. The two results of this mission are what makes the simplest such policy cheap to solve: under it, the semi-infinite robust constraints on generation, ramping and energy balance collapse to finitely many deterministic constraints.

Setting

There are NgN_gNg​ generators iii, NdN_dNd​ load nodes jjj and periods t∈T={1,…,T}t\in\mathcal T=\{1,\dots,T\}t∈T={1,…,T}. A net-load trajectory is d=(djt)\boldsymbol d=(d^t_j)d=(djt​), and its total load in period ttt is ∑j∈Nddjt\sum_{j\in\mathcal N_d}d^t_j∑j∈Nd​​djt​. The budget uncertainty set (3) is

Dt={dt: ∑j∣djt−dˉjt∣d^jt≤ΓNd, djt∈[dˉjt−Γd^jt, dˉjt+Γd^jt]},D=∏t∈TDt,\mathcal D^t=\Big\{\boldsymbol d^t:\ \sum_{j}\frac{|d^t_j-\bar d^t_j|}{\hat d^t_j}\le\Gamma\sqrt{N_d},\ d^t_j\in[\bar d^t_j-\Gamma\hat d^t_j,\ \bar d^t_j+\Gamma\hat d^t_j]\Big\},\qquad\mathcal D=\prod_{t\in\mathcal T}\mathcal D^t,Dt={dt: j∑​d^jt​∣djt​−dˉjt​∣​≤ΓNd​​, djt​∈[dˉjt​−Γd^jt​, dˉjt​+Γd^jt​]},D=t∈T∏​Dt,

with nominal loads dˉ\bar ddˉ, deviations d^>0\hat d>0d^>0 and a conservativeness parameter Γ≥0\Gamma\ge0Γ≥0.

The WitW_{it}Wit​-policy (10) sets the output of generator iii in period ttt to an affine function of the current total load,

pit(d)=wit+Wit∑j∈Nddjt,p^t_i(\boldsymbol d)=w^t_i+W_{it}\sum_{j\in\mathcal N_d}d^t_j ,pit​(d)=wit​+Wit​j∈Nd​∑​djt​,

and the WiW_iWi​-policy (9) is the special case in which Wit=WiW_{it}=W_iWit​=Wi​ does not depend on ttt. Given commitments xit,uit,vitx^t_i,u^t_i,v^t_ixit​,uit​,vit​, output limits pimin⁡,pimax⁡p^{\min}_i,p^{\max}_ipimin​,pimax​ and ramp rates RD,RU,SD,SURD,RU,SD,SURD,RU,SD,SU, the robust constraints of the affine model (8) require, for all d∈D\boldsymbol d\in\mathcal Dd∈D: generation limits pimin⁡xit≤pit(d)≤pimax⁡xitp^{\min}_ix^t_i\le p^t_i(\boldsymbol d)\le p^{\max}_ix^t_ipimin​xit​≤pit​(d)≤pimax​xit​ (8c); ramping limits −RDitxit−SDitvit≤pit(d)−pit−1(d)≤RUitxit−1+SUituit-RD^t_ix^t_i-SD^t_iv^t_i\le p^t_i(\boldsymbol d)-p^{t-1}_i(\boldsymbol d)\le RU^t_ix^{t-1}_i+SU^t_iu^t_i−RDit​xit​−SDit​vit​≤pit​(d)−pit−1​(d)≤RUit​xit−1​+SUit​uit​ ((8d), (8e)); and energy balance ∑ipit(d)=∑jdjt\sum_ip^t_i(\boldsymbol d)=\sum_jd^t_j∑i​pit​(d)=∑j​djt​ (8g).

The extreme total-load scenarios are a trajectory dmax⁡∈D\boldsymbol d_{\max}\in\mathcal Ddmax​∈D whose total load is maximal over D\mathcal DD in every period (19), a trajectory dmin⁡∈D\boldsymbol d_{\min}\in\mathcal Ddmin​∈D whose total load is minimal in every period (20), and the mixed scenarios

dminmax(t)=(dmin⁡1,…,dmin⁡t−1,dmax⁡t,…,dmax⁡T),dmaxmin(t)=(dmax⁡1,…,dmax⁡t−1,dmin⁡t,…,dmin⁡T)\boldsymbol d_{minmax}(t)=(\boldsymbol d^1_{\min},\dots,\boldsymbol d^{t-1}_{\min},\boldsymbol d^t_{\max},\dots,\boldsymbol d^T_{\max}),\qquad\boldsymbol d_{maxmin}(t)=(\boldsymbol d^1_{\max},\dots,\boldsymbol d^{t-1}_{\max},\boldsymbol d^t_{\min},\dots,\boldsymbol d^T_{\min})dminmax​(t)=(dmin1​,…,dmint−1​,dmaxt​,…,dmaxT​),dmaxmin​(t)=(dmax1​,…,dmaxt−1​,dmint​,…,dminT​)

of (21), (22).

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 6

Under the WitW_{it}Wit​-policy (or the WiW_iWi​-policy), for every generator iii and period ttt:

(8c) over D  ⟺  (8c) over {dmin⁡,dmax⁡},\text{(8c) over }\mathcal D\iff\text{(8c) over }\{\boldsymbol d_{\min},\boldsymbol d_{\max}\},(8c) over D⟺(8c) over {dmin​,dmax​}, (8d), (8e) at t over D  ⟺  (8d), (8e) at t over {dmin⁡,dmax⁡,dminmax(t),dmaxmin(t)}.\text{(8d), (8e) at }t\text{ over }\mathcal D\iff\text{(8d), (8e) at }t\text{ over }\{\boldsymbol d_{\min},\boldsymbol d_{\max},\boldsymbol d_{minmax}(t),\boldsymbol d_{maxmin}(t)\}.(8d), (8e) at t over D⟺(8d), (8e) at t over {dmin​,dmax​,dminmax​(t),dmaxmin​(t)}.

Milestones

  1. Proof of (i) (pp. ec1–ec2): (8c) over D\mathcal DD is equivalent to four deterministic inequalities, at the total loads of dmax⁡\boldsymbol d_{\max}dmax​ and dmin⁡\boldsymbol d_{\min}dmin​.
  2. (23)–(24) (p. 19): because D\mathcal DD is a product over periods, the worst case of Wit∑jdjt−Wi,t−1∑jdjt−1W_{it}\sum_jd^t_j-W_{i,t-1}\sum_jd^{t-1}_jWit​∑j​djt​−Wi,t−1​∑j​djt−1​ over D\mathcal DD is a maximum over Dt\mathcal D^tDt minus a minimum over Dt−1\mathcal D^{t-1}Dt−1.
  3. (25a)–(25d) (p. 19): both the maximum and the minimum of that difference over D\mathcal DD are attained in {dmin⁡,dmax⁡,dminmax(t),dmaxmin(t)}\{\boldsymbol d_{\min},\boldsymbol d_{\max},\boldsymbol d_{minmax}(t),\boldsymbol d_{maxmin}(t)\}{dmin​,dmax​,dminmax​(t),dmaxmin​(t)}.

Companion: Proposition 4

For a full-dimensional uncertainty set, the robust energy balance (8g) holds if and only if ∑iwit=0\sum_iw^t_i=0∑i​wit​=0 and ∑iWit=1\sum_iW_{it}=1∑i​Wit​=1 for all ttt ((15)); for the WiW_iWi​-policy, ∑iwit=0\sum_iw^t_i=0∑i​wit​=0 and ∑iWi=1\sum_iW_i=1∑i​Wi​=1 ((14)).

Significance

Proposition 6 removes the constraints (8c)–(8e) from the constraint-generation loop of the affine robust UC: they can be imposed before the algorithm starts, through two scenarios per generation constraint and four per ramping constraint, leaving only the worst-case cost constraint and the transmission constraints to be separated. Proposition 4 turns the semi-infinite energy balance into 2T2T2T linear equalities. Together they are the reason the WitW_{it}Wit​-policy scales to the 2718-bus system in the paper's experiments.

Both results are proved in the paper, and the proofs are short. No machine-checked version is known. The formalization fixes the exact handling of the first period (the initial dispatch pi0p^0_ipi0​), the exact definition of the mixed scenarios, and the dependence of part (ii) on the product structure of D\mathcal DD, all of which the paper leaves implicit or states loosely.

Difficulty

Part (i) needs only that the constraint is affine in the scalar total load of one period. Part (ii) is where the obvious argument fails: the ramping constraint couples two periods, and a set that is not a product over periods may not contain a trajectory that is simultaneously maximal in period ttt and minimal in period t−1t-1t−1. The separability of D\mathcal DD is exactly what puts dminmax(t)\boldsymbol d_{minmax}(t)dminmax​(t) and dmaxmin(t)\boldsymbol d_{maxmin}(t)dmaxmin​(t) in D\mathcal DD. The labels the paper attaches to (25a) and (25d) are swapped relative to (21)–(22); following them literally sends the argument to the wrong scenario.

Formalization scope

  • Representation. Generators, load nodes and periods are Fin Ng, Fin Nd, Fin T; trajectories are Fin T → Fin Nd → ℝ. Periods are 0-based: Lean period t is the paper's period t+1t+1t+1, so "periods 1,…,t−11,\dots,t-11,…,t−1" in (21)–(22) are the Lean periods s < t.
  • First period. The dispatch "at t−1t-1t−1" for the first period is the initial dispatch pi0p^0_ipi0​ and xit−1x^{t-1}_ixit−1​ is the initial status xi0x^0_ixi0​; both are data.
  • Commitments are arbitrary reals: the results do not use x,u,v∈{0,1}x,u,v\in\{0,1\}x,u,v∈{0,1}.
  • Scenarios are hypotheses. dmax⁡\boldsymbol d_{\max}dmax​ and dmin⁡\boldsymbol d_{\min}dmin​ are any members of D\mathcal DD with maximal, respectively minimal, total load in every period, never a chosen witness. A formalization in which they are arbitrary trajectories, or in which the four-scenario set is not tied to D\mathcal DD, is ruled out: part (ii) is false for it.
  • Extrema in milestone 2 are taken in EReal, under the standing assumptions Γ≥0\Gamma\ge0Γ≥0, d^>0\hat d>0d^>0 that make every Dt\mathcal D^tDt nonempty and bounded.
  • Policies. Everything is stated for the WitW_{it}Wit​-policy; the WiW_iWi​-policy is the instance Wit=WiW_{it}=W_iWit​=Wi​.
  • Proposition 4 is stated for a general set with nonempty interior, as on the page, with the added hypothesis Nd≥1N_d\ge1Nd​≥1: with no load node the statement is false.

The development needs only finite sums, products of sets, and order facts about affine functions; it reuses nothing beyond Mathlib. Proofs of the milestones, the goal and Proposition 4 are welcome.

Selected references

  • Á. Lorca, X. A. Sun, E. Litvinov, T. Zheng, Multistage adaptive robust optimization for the unit commitment problem, Operations Research, 2016 (manuscript of September 29, 2014). https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1456
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable robust solutions of uncertain linear programs, Mathematical Programming 99:351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • D. Bertsimas, E. Litvinov, X. A. Sun, J. Zhao, T. Zheng, Adaptive robust optimization for the security constrained unit commitment problem, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(1):52–63, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2205021
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Multistage Adaptive Robust Optimization for the Unit Commitment Problem I: Without Ramping Constraints, Two-Stage and Multistage Robust Unit Commitment Are EquivalentResearch Paper

Motivation

Unit commitment (UC) is the day-ahead decision of an electricity system operator: which generators to switch on in each hour of the next day, and how much each of them should produce. System operators solve UC problems every day, and their cost and reliability are first-order concerns of power-system operations. With a large share of wind and solar generation, the net load (demand minus renewable output) at each node is uncertain at commitment time, and robust optimization is one of the standard ways to commit units that remain operable for every load trajectory in an uncertainty set.

The robust UC literature first adopted the two-stage model (Jiang et al. 2012; Zhao and Zeng 2012; Bertsimas et al. 2013): commitments are chosen first, then the dispatch is chosen after the whole day's net loads are revealed. In reality the operator learns the loads hour by hour, so the dispatch at hour ttt may only use what has been observed up to ttt. Lorca, Sun, Litvinov and Zheng (2016) introduced the multistage robust UC model that imposes this non-anticipativity, and asked when the extra realism matters. Their answer is this mission's goal: it matters only through the ramping constraints.

Setting

There are generators i∈Ngi\in\mathcal N_gi∈Ng​, net-load nodes j∈Ndj\in\mathcal N_dj∈Nd​, lines l∈Nll\in\mathcal N_ll∈Nl​ and hours t∈T={1,…,T}t\in\mathcal T=\{1,\dots,T\}t∈T={1,…,T}.

  • A commitment (x,u,v)(x,u,v)(x,u,v) consists of on/off, start-up and shut-down indicators xit,uit,vit∈{0,1}x_i^t,u_i^t,v_i^t\in\{0,1\}xit​,uit​,vit​∈{0,1}. The set XXX of admissible commitments is cut out by the logical constraints (1b)–(1g): the start-up/shut-down identity xit−xit−1=uit−vitx_i^t-x_i^{t-1}=u_i^t-v_i^txit​−xit−1​=uit​−vit​ and minimum up and down times UTi,DTiUT_i,DT_iUTi​,DTi​.
  • For a commitment xxx and the hour-ttt net loads dt∈RNdd^t\in\mathbb R^{N_d}dt∈RNd​, the dispatch set without ramping ΩtNR(x,dt)\Omega_t^{NR}(x,d^t)ΩtNR​(x,dt) is the set of pt∈RNgp^t\in\mathbb R^{N_g}pt∈RNg​ with generation limits pimin⁡xit≤pit≤pimax⁡xitp_i^{\min}x_i^t\le p_i^t\le p_i^{\max}x_i^tpimin​xit​≤pit​≤pimax​xit​, line limits ∣αl⊤(Bppt−Bddt)∣≤flmax⁡|\alpha_l^\top(B^pp^t-B^dd^t)|\le f_l^{\max}∣αl⊤​(Bppt−Bddt)∣≤flmax​ and energy balance ∑ipit=∑jdjt\sum_ip_i^t=\sum_jd_j^t∑i​pit​=∑j​djt​.
  • The ramping constraints (1i) couple consecutive hours: −RDitxit−SDitvit≤pit−pit−1≤RUitxit−1+SUituit-RD_i^tx_i^t-SD_i^tv_i^t\le p_i^t-p_i^{t-1}\le RU_i^tx_i^{t-1}+SU_i^tu_i^t−RDit​xit​−SDit​vit​≤pit​−pit−1​≤RUit​xit−1​+SUit​uit​.
  • The budget uncertainty set is D=∏tDt\mathcal D=\prod_t\mathcal D^tD=∏t​Dt with
Dt={dt: ∑j∣djt−dˉjt∣d^jt≤ΓNd,  djt∈[dˉjt−Γd^jt, dˉjt+Γd^jt]}.\mathcal D^t=\Big\{d^t:\ \sum_j\frac{|d_j^t-\bar d_j^t|}{\hat d_j^t}\le\Gamma\sqrt{N_d},\ \ d_j^t\in[\bar d_j^t-\Gamma\hat d_j^t,\ \bar d_j^t+\Gamma\hat d_j^t]\Big\}.Dt={dt: j∑​d^jt​∣djt​−dˉjt​∣​≤ΓNd​​,  djt​∈[dˉjt​−Γd^jt​, dˉjt​+Γd^jt​]}.
  • The commitment cost is F(x)=∑t∑i(Gixit+Siuit)F(x)=\sum_t\sum_i(G_ix_i^t+S_iu_i^t)F(x)=∑t​∑i​(Gi​xit​+Si​uit​) and the dispatch cost is ∑t∑iCipit\sum_t\sum_iC_ip_i^t∑t​∑i​Ci​pit​.

The two-stage robust UC (2) minimizes over XXX

F(x)+max⁡d∈D min⁡p∈Ω(x,d) ∑t∑iCipit,F(x)+\max_{d\in\mathcal D}\ \min_{p\in\Omega(x,d)}\ \sum_t\sum_iC_ip_i^t ,F(x)+d∈Dmax​ p∈Ω(x,d)min​ t∑​i∑​Ci​pit​,

where the dispatch ppp is chosen knowing the whole trajectory ddd. The multistage robust UC (5) minimizes over XXX

F(x)+min⁡p(⋅) max⁡d∈D ∑t∑iCipit(d[t]),F(x)+\min_{p(\cdot)}\ \max_{d\in\mathcal D}\ \sum_t\sum_iC_ip_i^t(d^{[t]}),F(x)+p(⋅)min​ d∈Dmax​ t∑​i∑​Ci​pit​(d[t]),

over policies pt(d[t])p^t(d^{[t]})pt(d[t]) that depend only on d[t]=(d1,…,dt)d^{[t]}=(d^1,\dots,d^t)d[t]=(d1,…,dt) and satisfy the dispatch constraints for every d∈Dd\in\mathcal Dd∈D.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1 (p. 11)

With the ramping constraints deleted from both models,

F(x)+max⁡d∈Dmin⁡p∈ΩNR(x,d)c(p)  =  F(x)+min⁡p(⋅) non-anticipativemax⁡d∈Dc(p(d))for every (x,u,v)∈X,F(x)+\max_{d\in\mathcal D}\min_{p\in\Omega^{NR}(x,d)}c(p)\;=\;F(x)+\min_{p(\cdot)\ \text{non-anticipative}}\max_{d\in\mathcal D}c(p(d))\qquad\text{for every }(x,u,v)\in X,F(x)+d∈Dmax​p∈ΩNR(x,d)min​c(p)=F(x)+p(⋅) non-anticipativemin​d∈Dmax​c(p(d))for every (x,u,v)∈X,

and consequently the two problems have the same optimal value over XXX.

Milestones (the steps of the paper's proof)

Both sides are compared with problem (1P), whose objective is

F(x)+∑t∈T max⁡dt∈Dt min⁡pt∈ΩtNR(x,dt) ∑iCipit.F(x)+\sum_{t\in\mathcal T}\ \max_{d^t\in\mathcal D^t}\ \min_{p^t\in\Omega_t^{NR}(x,d^t)}\ \sum_iC_ip_i^t .F(x)+t∈T∑​ dt∈Dtmax​ pt∈ΩtNR​(x,dt)min​ i∑​Ci​pit​.
  1. Part (i): the dispatch set without ramping is separable over time; the uncertainty set (3) is separable over time; hence the two-stage objective equals the (1P) objective.
  2. Part (ii): the multistage objective equals the nested max-min value of (M~NR)(\widetilde M^{NR})(MNR); one stage of the nested problem splits off the later value; backward induction gives the sum of per-period worst cases; hence the multistage objective equals the (1P) objective.

Companion results (Example 1, Propositions 1–2, pp. 7–9)

On a two-bus, two-hour system with line limit and ramp rates equal to 111, the two-stage model is feasible (Proposition 1), yet under its commitment no causal dispatch policy is feasible (Proposition 2). These show that the hypothesis "without ramping constraints" cannot be dropped.

Significance

The theorem locates exactly where multistage robust UC differs from the two-stage model: in the inter-temporal coupling created by ramping. Without ramping, the hourly dispatch problems decouple and so does the uncertainty set, so seeing the future gives the dispatch no advantage. With ramping, Example 1 shows the two-stage model can certify a commitment that fails in real-time operation. The practical message drawn in the paper is that the multistage model is useful precisely when ramping capability is a scarce resource, which is the situation of systems with high renewable penetration.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known it has not been machine-checked. This mission produces a formal model of robust UC (commitment logic, network-constrained dispatch, budget uncertainty, non-anticipative policies) together with a checked proof of the equivalence and of the counterexample. The model is a reusable base for later formal work on robust and multistage power-system models, such as the affine-policy results of the same paper.

Difficulty

The two separability steps are short on paper but must be carried out in the extended reals, where infeasible dispatch problems have value +∞+\infty+∞ and sums of extended reals are not well behaved in general; the argument has to show that no −∞-\infty−∞ arises. The main gap is the multistage side. The paper passes from the policy formulation (5) to the nested max-min formulation (6) by a remark, without proof. Formally, the value of an optimization over non-anticipative policies, which are functions on the whole uncertainty set, has to be identified with a backward max-min recursion over the per-hour sets, in both directions and without any attainment of the minima. A tempting shortcut, defining the multistage model as the nested formula, would prove nothing about policies and is excluded.

Formalization scope

  • Hours are Fin T, 0-based: Lean period ttt is the paper's t+1t+1t+1. Generators, nodes, buses and lines are Fin Ng, Fin Nd, Fin Nb, Fin Nl.
  • The initial status x0x^0x0 and dispatch p0p^0p0, which (1c) and (1i) use at the first hour, are data fields; the paper leaves them implicit.
  • Commitment variables are real-valued with the constraint {0,1}\{0,1\}{0,1} inside XXX. The index ranges of (1d)–(1g) avoid natural-number subtraction.
  • All optimal values are in EReal; an infimum over an empty set is +∞+\infty+∞, the paper's convention for infeasibility.
  • Standing assumptions of the budget set (3), carried as hypotheses: Γ≥0\Gamma\ge0Γ≥0 and d^jt>0\hat d_j^t>0d^jt​>0. They make dˉ∈D\bar d\in\mathcal Ddˉ∈D, so every Dt\mathcal D^tDt is nonempty.
  • Policies are functions of the hour and the whole trajectory; non-anticipativity is the requirement that the dispatch at hour ttt depends only on the net loads up to hour ttt. Without this requirement the multistage model would coincide with the two-stage model by definition and the theorem would be empty.
  • "Equivalent" is formalized as equality of the two objectives at every commitment in XXX, plus equality of the optimal values.
  • Example 1 is formalized on its own: two buses, the commitment ((1,1),(1,1))((1,1),(1,1))((1,1),(1,1)), energy balance, ramp bounds ±1\pm1±1 and the line limit 111 on the net injection at bus AAA. It is not an instance of the budget set (3).

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones and the goal, and lemmas on infima and suprema of sums over product sets in EReal, which are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • Á. Lorca, X. A. Sun, E. Litvinov, T. Zheng, Multistage adaptive robust optimization for the unit commitment problem, Operations Research 64(1), 2016. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1456
  • D. Bertsimas, E. Litvinov, X. A. Sun, J. Zhao, T. Zheng, Adaptive robust optimization for the security constrained unit commitment problem, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 28(1), 2013. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2205021
  • R. Jiang, J. Wang, Y. Guan, Robust unit commitment with wind power and pumped storage hydro, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 27(2) 800–810, 2012.
  • L. Zhao, B. Zeng, Robust unit commitment problem with demand response and wind energy, IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2012, 1–8.
  • J. Ostrowski, M. F. Anjos, A. Vannelli, Tight mixed integer linear programming formulations for the unit commitment problem, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 27(1), 2012 (cited for the form of (1d)–(1g)).
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming 5: The ε-Approximation (6ε) Is Equivalent to the Mixed-Integer Bilinear Program (7)Research Paper

Motivation

Two-stage robust optimization models decisions taken in two steps around an uncertain parameter: a first-stage decision xxx is fixed before a parameter ξ\xiξ is revealed from an uncertainty set Ξ\XiΞ, and a second-stage (recourse) decision yyy is taken afterwards. When the recourse is binary (whether to open a facility, route a vehicle, schedule a task), the exact two-stage problem is computationally out of reach, and the classical tool of affine decision rules does not apply. KKK-adaptability, introduced by Bertsimas and Caramanis (2010), replaces the full recourse function by KKK candidate second-stage policies y1,…,yKy^1,\dots,y^Ky1,…,yK chosen here-and-now, of which the best feasible one is selected once ξ\xiξ is known.

Hanasusanto, Kuhn and Wiesemann (Oper. Res. 63(4), 2015; preprint) study this approximation for problems in which the uncertainty affects both the objective and the constraints. When the constraints are uncertain, the KKK-adaptability problem has a discontinuous objective, and the authors approximate it by a family of problems (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​), ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0, whose uncertainty sets are closed polyhedra. Their Theorem 5 states that each (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​) is equivalent to an explicit mixed-integer bilinear program (7), which standard Big-M techniques turn into a mixed-integer linear program solvable by off-the-shelf software. This mission formalizes Theorem 5.

Setting

The data are matrices C∈RQ×NC\in\mathbb R^{Q\times N}C∈RQ×N, Q∈RQ×MQ\in\mathbb R^{Q\times M}Q∈RQ×M, T∈RL×NT\in\mathbb R^{L\times N}T∈RL×N, W∈RL×MW\in\mathbb R^{L\times M}W∈RL×M, H∈RL×QH\in\mathbb R^{L\times Q}H∈RL×Q, and a polyhedral uncertainty set Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b}\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^Q: A\xi\le b\}Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b}, A∈RR×QA\in\mathbb R^{R\times Q}A∈RR×Q, b∈RRb\in\mathbb R^Rb∈RR, assumed nonempty and bounded. The first-stage feasible set is X⊆{0,1}N\mathcal X\subseteq\{0,1\}^NX⊆{0,1}N and the second-stage feasible set is Y⊆{0,1}M\mathcal Y\subseteq\{0,1\}^MY⊆{0,1}M. A decision is a tuple (x,{yk}k∈K)∈X×YK(x,\{y^k\}_{k\in\mathcal K})\in\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y^K(x,{yk}k∈K​)∈X×YK, K={1,…,K}\mathcal K=\{1,\dots,K\}K={1,…,K}. Under the parameter ξ\xiξ, policy yky^kyk is feasible if Tx+Wyk≤HξTx+Wy^k\le H\xiTx+Wyk≤Hξ and then costs ξ⊤Cx+ξ⊤Qyk\xi^\top Cx+\xi^\top Qy^kξ⊤Cx+ξ⊤Qyk.

A vector ℓ∈L={0,1,…,L}K\ell\in\mathcal L=\{0,1,\dots,L\}^Kℓ∈L={0,1,…,L}K records, for each policy kkk, either ℓk=0\ell_k=0ℓk​=0 (policy kkk is feasible) or the index ℓk\ell_kℓk​ of a violated constraint. Write L+\mathcal L_+L+​ for the ℓ\ellℓ with every component nonzero and ∂L=L∖L+\partial\mathcal L=\mathcal L\setminus\mathcal L_+∂L=L∖L+​. For ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 the approximate uncertainty sets are

Ξϵ(ℓ)={ξ∈Ξ: Tx+Wyk≤Hξ  ∀k:ℓk=0,[Tx+Wyk]ℓk≥[Hξ]ℓk+ϵ  ∀k:ℓk≠0},\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)=\Big\{\xi\in\Xi:\ Tx+Wy^k\le H\xi\ \ \forall k:\ell_k=0,\quad [Tx+Wy^k]_{\ell_k}\ge[H\xi]_{\ell_k}+\epsilon\ \ \forall k:\ell_k\ne0\Big\},Ξϵ​(ℓ)={ξ∈Ξ: Tx+Wyk≤Hξ  ∀k:ℓk​=0,[Tx+Wyk]ℓk​​≥[Hξ]ℓk​​+ϵ  ∀k:ℓk​=0},

and problem (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​) minimizes over decisions the objective

φϵ(x,{yk})=max⁡ℓ∈L max⁡ξ∈Ξϵ(ℓ)[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡k: ℓk=0ξ⊤Qyk],\varphi_\epsilon(x,\{y^k\})=\max_{\ell\in\mathcal L}\ \max_{\xi\in\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{k:\ \ell_k=0}\xi^\top Qy^k\Big],φϵ​(x,{yk})=ℓ∈Lmax​ ξ∈Ξϵ​(ℓ)max​[ξ⊤Cx+k: ℓk​=0min​ξ⊤Qyk],

where a minimum over no index is +∞+\infty+∞. The set ΔK(ℓ)={λ∈R+K:e⊤λ=1, λk=0 ∀k:ℓk≠0}\Delta_K(\ell)=\{\lambda\in\mathbb R^K_+: e^\top\lambda=1,\ \lambda_k=0\ \forall k:\ell_k\ne0\}ΔK​(ℓ)={λ∈R+K​:e⊤λ=1, λk​=0 ∀k:ℓk​=0} is the face of the probability simplex supported on the feasible policies, and HℓkH_{\ell_k}Hℓk​​ is the ℓk\ell_kℓk​-th row of HHH as a column vector.

Problem (7) minimizes τ\tauτ over x∈Xx\in\mathcal Xx∈X, yk∈Yy^k\in\mathcal Yyk∈Y, τ∈R\tau\in\mathbb Rτ∈R and, for every ℓ\ellℓ, auxiliary variables λ(ℓ)∈ΔK(ℓ)\lambda(\ell)\in\Delta_K(\ell)λ(ℓ)∈ΔK​(ℓ), α(ℓ)≥0\alpha(\ell)\ge0α(ℓ)≥0, βk(ℓ)≥0\beta^k(\ell)\ge0βk(ℓ)≥0, γ(ℓ)≥0\gamma(\ell)\ge0γ(ℓ)≥0, subject to

b⊤α(ℓ)− ⁣ ⁣∑k:ℓk=0 ⁣(Tx+Wyk)⊤βk(ℓ)+ ⁣ ⁣∑k:ℓk≠0 ⁣([Tx+Wyk]ℓk−ϵ)γk(ℓ)≤τ,A⊤α(ℓ)− ⁣ ⁣∑k:ℓk=0 ⁣H⊤βk(ℓ)+ ⁣ ⁣∑k:ℓk≠0 ⁣Hℓkγk(ℓ)=Cx+∑kλk(ℓ)Qykb^\top\alpha(\ell)-\!\!\sum_{k:\ell_k=0}\!(Tx+Wy^k)^\top\beta^k(\ell)+\!\!\sum_{k:\ell_k\ne0}\!\big([Tx+Wy^k]_{\ell_k}-\epsilon\big)\gamma_k(\ell)\le\tau,\quad A^\top\alpha(\ell)-\!\!\sum_{k:\ell_k=0}\!H^\top\beta^k(\ell)+\!\!\sum_{k:\ell_k\ne0}\!H_{\ell_k}\gamma_k(\ell)=Cx+\sum_k\lambda_k(\ell)Qy^kb⊤α(ℓ)−k:ℓk​=0∑​(Tx+Wyk)⊤βk(ℓ)+k:ℓk​=0∑​([Tx+Wyk]ℓk​​−ϵ)γk​(ℓ)≤τ,A⊤α(ℓ)−k:ℓk​=0∑​H⊤βk(ℓ)+k:ℓk​=0∑​Hℓk​​γk​(ℓ)=Cx+k∑​λk​(ℓ)Qyk

for ℓ∈∂L\ell\in\partial\mathcal Lℓ∈∂L, and

b⊤α(ℓ)+∑k([Tx+Wyk]ℓk−ϵ)γk(ℓ)≤−1,A⊤α(ℓ)+∑kHℓkγk(ℓ)=0b^\top\alpha(\ell)+\sum_k\big([Tx+Wy^k]_{\ell_k}-\epsilon\big)\gamma_k(\ell)\le-1,\qquad A^\top\alpha(\ell)+\sum_kH_{\ell_k}\gamma_k(\ell)=0b⊤α(ℓ)+k∑​([Tx+Wyk]ℓk​​−ϵ)γk​(ℓ)≤−1,A⊤α(ℓ)+k∑​Hℓk​​γk​(ℓ)=0

for ℓ∈L+\ell\in\mathcal L_+ℓ∈L+​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5 (p. 19)

For every ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 and every decision (x,{yk})∈X×YK(x,\{y^k\})\in\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y^K(x,{yk})∈X×YK,

{τ∈R: τ feasible in (7) with (x,{yk})}={τ∈R: τ≥φϵ(x,{yk})},φϵ(x,{yk})=inf⁡{τ feasible in (7)},\{\tau\in\mathbb R:\ \tau\text{ feasible in (7) with }(x,\{y^k\})\}=\{\tau\in\mathbb R:\ \tau\ge\varphi_\epsilon(x,\{y^k\})\},\qquad \varphi_\epsilon(x,\{y^k\})=\inf\{\tau\text{ feasible in (7)}\},{τ∈R: τ feasible in (7) with (x,{yk})}={τ∈R: τ≥φϵ​(x,{yk})},φϵ​(x,{yk})=inf{τ feasible in (7)},

and the optimal values of (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​) and (7) coincide.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 5, pp. ec8–ec10)

  1. φϵ=max⁡ℓmax⁡ξ∈Ξϵ(ℓ)[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡λ∈ΔK(ℓ)∑kλkξ⊤Qyk]\varphi_\epsilon=\max_{\ell}\max_{\xi\in\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)}\big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{\lambda\in\Delta_K(\ell)}\sum_k\lambda_k\xi^\top Qy^k\big]φϵ​=maxℓ​maxξ∈Ξϵ​(ℓ)​[ξ⊤Cx+minλ∈ΔK​(ℓ)​∑k​λk​ξ⊤Qyk], and ΔK(ℓ)=∅  ⟺  ℓ∈L+\Delta_K(\ell)=\emptyset\iff\ell\in\mathcal L_+ΔK​(ℓ)=∅⟺ℓ∈L+​.
  2. If Ξϵ(ℓ)=∅\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)=\emptysetΞϵ​(ℓ)=∅ for all ℓ∈L+\ell\in\mathcal L_+ℓ∈L+​, the maximization over ξ\xiξ and the minimization over λ\lambdaλ can be exchanged, and the weights can be chosen per ℓ\ellℓ.
  3. The epigraph problem (EC.6) has the same value as (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​) at every decision.
  4. If Ξ\XiΞ is nonempty and bounded then {A⊤α:α≥0}=RQ\{A^\top\alpha:\alpha\ge0\}=\mathbb R^Q{A⊤α:α≥0}=RQ.
  5. For ℓ∈∂L\ell\in\partial\mathcal Lℓ∈∂L, the semi-infinite constraint of (EC.6) is equivalent, by LP duality, to the first block of (7).
  6. For ℓ∈L+\ell\in\mathcal L_+ℓ∈L+​, Ξϵ(ℓ)=∅\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)=\emptysetΞϵ​(ℓ)=∅ if and only if the second block of (7) is feasible.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5 is what makes the approximation (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​) computable: a robust problem with infinitely many constraints indexed by ξ\xiξ becomes one finite program whose only nonlinear terms are products of a binary variable and a continuous one. Remark 7 of the paper notes that these products can be linearized with standard Big-M techniques, giving a mixed-integer linear program. Combined with the convergence of (6ϵ)(6_\epsilon)(6ϵ​) to the KKK-adaptability problem as ϵ→0\epsilon\to0ϵ→0 (Proposition 2 of the paper), it yields a practical solution scheme for two-stage robust binary programs with constraint uncertainty.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked proof exists. The proof chains a min-max exchange, an epigraph reformulation, LP strong duality and a Farkas-type certificate, each applied to a polyhedron that depends on the decision. A formalization pins down the conventions the paper leaves implicit (values ±∞\pm\infty±∞, which sets may be empty, why the dual programs are always feasible) and produces a reusable statement of LP duality in the presence of an infeasible primal.

Difficulty

The equivalence must hold in three regimes at once: decisions for which some Ξϵ(ℓ)\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)Ξϵ​(ℓ), ℓ∈L+\ell\in\mathcal L_+ℓ∈L+​, is nonempty (both sides +∞+\infty+∞, program (7) infeasible); decisions for which every Ξϵ(ℓ)\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)Ξϵ​(ℓ) is empty (both sides −∞-\infty−∞); and the finite case. A naive application of LP duality fails exactly when Ξϵ(ℓ)\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)Ξϵ​(ℓ) is empty for some ℓ∈∂L\ell\in\partial\mathcal Lℓ∈∂L: the primal maximum is then −∞-\infty−∞, and one needs the dual to be feasible, which requires the nonemptiness and boundedness of Ξ\XiΞ. The min-max exchange needs compactness and convexity of Ξϵ(ℓ)\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)Ξϵ​(ℓ), which must be checked for each ℓ\ellℓ, and the exchange of min⁡λ\min_\lambdaminλ​ with max⁡ℓ\max_\ellmaxℓ​ requires the weights λ(ℓ)\lambda(\ell)λ(ℓ) to be chosen separately for each ℓ\ellℓ.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ and matrices are Matrix (Fin a) (Fin b) ℝ; inequalities between vectors are componentwise. The problem data, with Ξ\XiΞ nonempty and bounded and X,Y\mathcal X,\mathcal YX,Y consisting of 0/1 vectors, form one structure. An index ℓ∈L\ell\in\mathcal Lℓ∈L is a function Fin K → Fin (L+1); L+\mathcal L_+L+​ is "every component nonzero" (never the order 0 < ℓ on functions, which means only "nonzero somewhere"). The value ℓk=i+1\ell_k=i+1ℓk​=i+1 refers to row i : Fin L. All objective values and optimal values are in EReal: a minimum over an empty index set is +∞+\infty+∞, a maximum over an empty set is −∞-\infty−∞, and the infimum of an empty set of τ\tauτ is +∞+\infty+∞. The auxiliary variables of (7) are functions of ℓ\ellℓ; a single shared α\alphaα would describe a different, stronger program.

"Equivalent" is formalized as a per-decision identity (the feasible τ\tauτ are exactly those ≥φϵ\ge\varphi_\epsilon≥φϵ​) together with equality of the optimal values; a statement giving only one inequality, or only the optimal values, would not rule out a reformulation that loses decisions. A statement in which every Ξϵ(ℓ)\Xi_\epsilon(\ell)Ξϵ​(ℓ) is assumed empty, or in which (7) is replaced by its feasibility without the bound τ\tauτ, would be trivially true and is not the theorem.

A complete development needs: the minimax theorem for bilinear functions on compact convex sets (Mathlib's Sion.minimax), LP strong duality for inequality-form programs including the infeasible-primal case, and a Farkas alternative for systems Aξ≤bA\xi\le bAξ≤b, Gξ≤gG\xi\le gGξ≤g. The duality statements are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. A. Hanasusanto, D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming, Operations Research 63(4):877–891, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1392 (preprint: Optimization Online 2014/03/4294, https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/4294.pdf)
  • D. Bertsimas, C. Caramanis, Finite Adaptability in Multistage Linear Optimization, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 55(12):2751–2766, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2010.2049764
  • M. Sion, On general minimax theorems, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 8(1):171–176, 1958. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1958.8.171
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming 1: Under Objective Uncertainty, min{dim 𝒴, rk Q} + 1 Policies Attain the Two-Stage Optimal ValueResearch Paper

Motivation

Many planning problems are made in two stages: a first decision is fixed before an uncertain parameter is observed, and a second, corrective decision is made afterwards. When the second-stage decisions are binary (which route, which facility, which crew), the resulting two-stage robust binary programs are notoriously hard: the second-stage decision is a function of the uncertain parameter, and no general finite reformulation is known.

Bertsimas and Caramanis (IEEE Trans. Automatic Control, 2010) proposed the K-adaptability approximation: instead of a full second-stage policy, the decision maker commits here-and-now to KKK candidate second-stage decisions and implements the best of them once the parameter is known. Besides being computable, this matches practice in vehicle routing, production scheduling and emergency planning, where a small number of contingency plans is preferred to re-optimizing after every observation. The basic question is how many candidates are needed before nothing is lost. Hanasusanto, Kuhn and Wiesemann (Oper. Res. 63(4), 2015) answer it when the uncertainty affects only the objective function; this mission formalizes that answer, Theorem 1 of their paper.

Setting

The data are matrices C∈RQ×NC\in\mathbb R^{Q\times N}C∈RQ×N, Q∈RQ×MQ\in\mathbb R^{Q\times M}Q∈RQ×M, T∈RL×NT\in\mathbb R^{L\times N}T∈RL×N, W∈RL×MW\in\mathbb R^{L\times M}W∈RL×M, a vector h∈RLh\in\mathbb R^Lh∈RL, a set X⊆R+N\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^N_+X⊆R+N​ of first-stage decisions xxx, a set Y⊆{0,1}M\mathcal Y\subseteq\{0,1\}^MY⊆{0,1}M of binary second-stage decisions yyy, and an uncertainty set

Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b},\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^Q : A\xi\le b\},Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b},

a nonempty bounded polyhedron. (The paper writes QQQ both for the number of uncertain parameters and for the cost matrix; in Lean the dimension is nQ and the matrix Q.)

The two-stage robust binary program with objective uncertainty is

PO:min⁡x∈X max⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡y∈Y{ξ⊤Qy:Tx+Wy≤h}].\mathcal{PO}:\qquad \min_{x\in\mathcal X}\ \max_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{y\in\mathcal Y}\{\xi^\top Qy : Tx+Wy\le h\}\Big].PO:x∈Xmin​ ξ∈Ξmax​[ξ⊤Cx+y∈Ymin​{ξ⊤Qy:Tx+Wy≤h}].

For K≥1K\ge1K≥1 and K={1,…,K}\mathcal K=\{1,\dots,K\}K={1,…,K}, the K-adaptability problem is

POK:min⁡{max⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡k∈Kξ⊤Qyk]:x∈X, yk∈Y, Tx+Wyk≤h  ∀k∈K}.\mathcal{PO}_K:\qquad \min\Big\{\max_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{k\in\mathcal K}\xi^\top Qy^k\Big] : x\in\mathcal X,\ y^k\in\mathcal Y,\ Tx+Wy^k\le h\ \ \forall k\in\mathcal K\Big\}.POK​:min{ξ∈Ξmax​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈Kmin​ξ⊤Qyk]:x∈X, yk∈Y, Tx+Wyk≤h  ∀k∈K}.

The affine dimension dim⁡Y\dim\mathcal YdimY is the dimension of the smallest affine subspace containing Y\mathcal YY, and rk⁡Q\operatorname{rk}QrkQ is the rank of the cost matrix QQQ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

For every number of policies K≥min⁡{dim⁡Y,rk⁡Q}+1K\ge\min\{\dim\mathcal Y,\operatorname{rk}Q\}+1K≥min{dimY,rkQ}+1,

opt⁡(POK)=opt⁡(PO).\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal{PO}_K)=\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal{PO}).opt(POK​)=opt(PO).

Steps of the paper's proof (milestones)

  1. Conservative approximation (p. 12): opt⁡(PO)≤opt⁡(POK)\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal{PO})\le\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal{PO}_K)opt(PO)≤opt(POK​) for every KKK.
  2. With K=∣Y∣K=|\mathcal Y|K=∣Y∣ policies (p. ec1): opt⁡(PO∣Y∣)=opt⁡(PO)\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal{PO}_{|\mathcal Y|})=\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal{PO})opt(PO∣Y∣​)=opt(PO).
  3. Min-max reformulation (EC.1) (p. ec1): for every decision,
max⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡k∈Kξ⊤Qyk]=min⁡λ∈ΔKmax⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+∑k∈Kλk ξ⊤Qyk],\max_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{k\in\mathcal K}\xi^\top Qy^k\Big]=\min_{\lambda\in\Delta_K}\max_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\sum_{k\in\mathcal K}\lambda_k\,\xi^\top Qy^k\Big],ξ∈Ξmax​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈Kmin​ξ⊤Qyk]=λ∈ΔK​min​ξ∈Ξmax​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈K∑​λk​ξ⊤Qyk],

with ΔK\Delta_KΔK​ the unit simplex in RK\mathbb R^KRK. 4. (EC.1) = (EC.2) (p. ec2): the randomized problem with ∣Y∣|\mathcal Y|∣Y∣ policies has the same optimal value as the one with dim⁡Y+1\dim\mathcal Y+1dimY+1 policies; and, for the case rk⁡Q<dim⁡Y\operatorname{rk}Q<\dim\mathcal YrkQ<dimY, as the one with rk⁡Q+1\operatorname{rk}Q+1rkQ+1 policies. 5. (EC.2) is the (D+1)(D+1)(D+1)-adaptability problem (p. ec2): for every KKK, the randomized problem with KKK policies has the optimal value of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​.

Significance

The set Y\mathcal YY may contain exponentially many binary vectors, so a priori full adaptability could require exponentially many policies. Theorem 1 says that under objective uncertainty at most min⁡{M,rk⁡Q}+1\min\{M,\operatorname{rk}Q\}+1min{M,rkQ}+1 policies are ever needed, a number linear in the problem size. It justifies solving POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ for small KKK as an exact method rather than a heuristic whenever dim⁡Y\dim\mathcal YdimY or rk⁡Q\operatorname{rk}QrkQ is small, and it is the reason the paper's mixed-integer linear reformulation of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ (Theorem 2) solves PO\mathcal{PO}PO itself for such KKK. It also contrasts with the constraint-uncertainty case, where the same paper shows that every K<∣Y∣K<|\mathcal Y|K<∣Y∣ can leave a strict gap.

Theorem 1 is proved in the paper's e-companion. As far as is known, neither the theorem nor any step of its proof has a machine-checked proof; this mission produces one, together with reusable Lean statements of the problems PO\mathcal{PO}PO, POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ and their randomized relaxations in the extended reals.

Difficulty

The obvious argument lists all feasible second-stage decisions as policies, which needs ∣Y∣|\mathcal Y|∣Y∣ of them. Reducing this number is not a matter of discarding unused policies: for different ξ\xiξ different policies are optimal, and which subset of dim⁡Y+1\dim\mathcal Y+1dimY+1 policies suffices is not determined by any single ξ\xiξ. The reduction to dim⁡Y+1\dim\mathcal Y+1dimY+1 policies holds only for the optimal value, not decision by decision, and it passes through a relaxation in which the policies are mixed with weights; exchanging the maximum over Ξ\XiΞ with the minimum over the weights requires compactness and convexity of Ξ\XiΞ, and in Lean the exchange has to be carried out for extended-real values. The bound must also hold for every KKK above the threshold, so monotonicity in the number of policies is part of the statement.

Formalization scope

  • The data form one structure Problem N M L nQ R; its fields include the standing assumptions: X⊆R+N\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^N_+X⊆R+N​, every point of Y\mathcal YY is a 0/1 vector (Y\mathcal YY is a Finset), and Ξ\XiΞ is nonempty and bounded. X\mathcal XX is an arbitrary set (the paper allows mixed binary first-stage decisions).
  • All objective functions and optimal values take values in EReal. Maxima and minima are suprema and infima, as in the paper's notation: a first-stage decision without a feasible second-stage decision has objective +∞+\infty+∞, and an infeasible problem has optimal value +∞+\infty+∞.
  • Policies are indexed by Fin K and need not be distinct; every policy must satisfy Tx+Wyk≤hTx+Wy^k\le hTx+Wyk≤h, as in problem POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ of Observation 1.
  • dim⁡Y\dim\mathcal YdimY is Module.finrank ℝ (vectorSpan ℝ 𝒴) (so dim⁡∅=0\dim\emptyset=0dim∅=0 in Lean; both optimal values are then +∞+\infty+∞), and rk⁡Q\operatorname{rk}QrkQ is Matrix.rank.
  • POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ is defined with the minimum over the KKK policies, not through weights λ∈ΔK\lambda\in\Delta_Kλ∈ΔK​; defining it through the randomized relaxation would make the min-max step true by definition and is ruled out.
  • Proofs will need Sion's minimax theorem (Sion.minimax in Mathlib), Carathéodory's theorem (convexHull_eq_union), compactness of bounded polyhedra and extended-real iSup/iInf manipulation. Lemmas on suprema of linear functions over compact polyhedra and on min-max exchange in EReal are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative routes to the goal, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. A. Hanasusanto, D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming, Operations Research 63(4), 877–891, 2015; formalized from the preprint, Optimization Online 2014/03/4294 (revision of 2015-03-30). https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1392
  • D. Bertsimas, C. Caramanis, Finite Adaptability in Multistage Linear Optimization, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 55(12), 2751–2766, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2010.2049764
  • M. Sion, On General Minimax Theorems, Pacific Journal of Mathematics 8(1), 171–176, 1958. https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1958.8.171
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Convex OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming 4: The ε-Approximations (6ε) Converge Uniformly to the K-Adaptability ProblemResearch Paper

Motivation

Two-stage robust optimization models decisions taken in two steps around an uncertain parameter: a here-and-now decision xxx is fixed before the parameter ξ\xiξ is revealed, and a wait-and-see decision yyy adapts to it, and the decision maker guards against the worst ξ\xiξ in an uncertainty set Ξ\XiΞ. When the second-stage decisions are binary, as in routing, scheduling and network design, the exact two-stage problem is computationally out of reach. Bertsimas and Caramanis (IEEE TAC, 2010) proposed the K-adaptability approximation: choose KKK second-stage policies y1,…,yKy^1,\dots,y^Ky1,…,yK here and now, and once ξ\xiξ is revealed implement the best of those that are feasible. Hanasusanto, Kuhn and Wiesemann (Oper. Res., 2015; preprint Optimization Online 2014/03/4294) study this problem in depth. When the uncertain parameter enters the second-stage constraints, the K-adaptability problem is in general neither convex nor continuous, and to obtain a solvable reformulation the authors first approximate it by a family of problems with closed uncertainty sets. This mission formalizes the statement that this approximation is asymptotically exact.

Setting

The data are matrices C∈RQ×NC\in\mathbb R^{Q\times N}C∈RQ×N, Q∈RQ×MQ\in\mathbb R^{Q\times M}Q∈RQ×M, T∈RL×NT\in\mathbb R^{L\times N}T∈RL×N, W∈RL×MW\in\mathbb R^{L\times M}W∈RL×M, H∈RL×QH\in\mathbb R^{L\times Q}H∈RL×Q, a nonempty bounded polyhedron Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b}\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^Q: A\xi\le b\}Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b}, a first-stage set X⊆{0,1}N\mathcal X\subseteq\{0,1\}^NX⊆{0,1}N (the standing assumption of §3 of the paper) and a second-stage set Y⊆{0,1}M\mathcal Y\subseteq\{0,1\}^MY⊆{0,1}M. A decision is (x,{yk}k∈K)∈X×YK(x,\{y^k\}_{k\in\mathcal K})\in\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y^K(x,{yk}k∈K​)∈X×YK with K={1,…,K}\mathcal K=\{1,\dots,K\}K={1,…,K}. Policy yky^kyk is feasible for ξ\xiξ if Tx+Wyk≤HξTx+Wy^k\le H\xiTx+Wyk≤Hξ. The K-adaptability problem PK\mathcal P_KPK​ minimizes over decisions

sup⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+inf⁡k∈K{ξ⊤Qyk:Tx+Wyk≤Hξ}],\sup_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\inf_{k\in\mathcal K}\{\xi^\top Qy^k: Tx+Wy^k\le H\xi\}\Big],ξ∈Ξsup​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈Kinf​{ξ⊤Qyk:Tx+Wyk≤Hξ}],

which is +∞+\infty+∞ when some ξ\xiξ leaves no feasible policy.

Let L={0,…,L}K\mathcal L=\{0,\dots,L\}^KL={0,…,L}K. For ℓ∈L\ell\in\mathcal Lℓ∈L, the set Ξ(ℓ)\Xi(\ell)Ξ(ℓ) collects the ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ for which every policy with ℓk=0\ell_k=0ℓk​=0 is feasible and every policy with ℓk≠0\ell_k\neq0ℓk​=0 violates constraint ℓk\ell_kℓk​ strictly: [Tx+Wyk]ℓk>[Hξ]ℓk[Tx+Wy^k]_{\ell_k}>[H\xi]_{\ell_k}[Tx+Wyk]ℓk​​>[Hξ]ℓk​​. Problem (6) minimizes

φ(x,{yk})=sup⁡ℓ∈L sup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓ)[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡k∈K: ℓk=0ξ⊤Qyk].\varphi(x,\{y^k\})=\sup_{\ell\in\mathcal L}\ \sup_{\xi\in\Xi(\ell)}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{k\in\mathcal K:\,\ell_k=0}\xi^\top Qy^k\Big].φ(x,{yk})=ℓ∈Lsup​ ξ∈Ξ(ℓ)sup​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈K:ℓk​=0min​ξ⊤Qyk].

The sets Ξ(ℓ)\Xi(\ell)Ξ(ℓ) are not closed. For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 the closed inner approximations Ξε(ℓ)\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)Ξε​(ℓ) replace the strict inequality by [Tx+Wyk]ℓk≥[Hξ]ℓk+ε[Tx+Wy^k]_{\ell_k}\ge[H\xi]_{\ell_k}+\varepsilon[Tx+Wyk]ℓk​​≥[Hξ]ℓk​​+ε, and problem (6ε)(6_\varepsilon)(6ε​) has objective φε\varphi_\varepsilonφε​, defined like φ\varphiφ with Ξε(ℓ)\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)Ξε​(ℓ). The effective domains dom(6)\mathrm{dom}(6)dom(6) and dom(6ε)\mathrm{dom}(6_\varepsilon)dom(6ε​) are the decisions at which φ\varphiφ, respectively φε\varphi_\varepsilonφε​, is not +∞+\infty+∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (pp. 18–19)

(i) There is ε0>0\varepsilon_0>0ε0​>0 such that

dom(6ε)=dom(6)for all ε∈(0,ε0].\mathrm{dom}(6_\varepsilon)=\mathrm{dom}(6)\qquad\text{for all }\varepsilon\in(0,\varepsilon_0].dom(6ε​)=dom(6)for all ε∈(0,ε0​].

(ii) For every κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 there is ε0>0\varepsilon_0>0ε0​>0 such that for all ε∈(0,ε0]\varepsilon\in(0,\varepsilon_0]ε∈(0,ε0​] and every decision in dom(6)\mathrm{dom}(6)dom(6), both objective values are finite and

∣φε(x,{yk})−φ(x,{yk})∣≤κ.|\varphi_\varepsilon(x,\{y^k\})-\varphi(x,\{y^k\})|\le\kappa .∣φε​(x,{yk})−φ(x,{yk})∣≤κ.

Milestones

  • Proposition 1 (p. 16): for every decision, the objective of PK\mathcal P_KPK​ equals φ\varphiφ. This anchors (6), and hence the goal, to the K-adaptability problem.
  • Proof of Lemma 1, first step (p. ec6): every ξ∈Ξ(ℓ)\xi\in\Xi(\ell)ξ∈Ξ(ℓ) lies in Ξε(ℓ)\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)Ξε​(ℓ) for all small ε\varepsilonε.
  • Lemma 1 (p. ec6): if Ξ(ℓ)≠∅\Xi(\ell)\ne\emptysetΞ(ℓ)=∅, then dH(Ξε(ℓ),Ξ(ℓ))→0d^{\mathrm H}(\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell),\Xi(\ell))\to0dH(Ξε​(ℓ),Ξ(ℓ))→0 as ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0ε↓0, in Euclidean Hausdorff distance.
  • Proof of Proposition 2, chain (a)–(d) (p. ec7): for a decision in dom(6)\mathrm{dom}(6)dom(6) and ε\varepsilonε small,
∣φε−φ∣≤(max⁡ℓsup⁡ξ∈Ξ(ℓ)inf⁡ξ′∈Ξε(ℓ)∥ξ−ξ′∥)⋅max⁡k∥Cx+Qyk∥.|\varphi_\varepsilon-\varphi|\le\Big(\max_{\ell}\sup_{\xi\in\Xi(\ell)}\inf_{\xi'\in\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)}\|\xi-\xi'\|\Big)\cdot\max_{k}\|Cx+Qy^k\| .∣φε​−φ∣≤(ℓmax​ξ∈Ξ(ℓ)sup​ξ′∈Ξε​(ℓ)inf​∥ξ−ξ′∥)⋅kmax​∥Cx+Qyk∥.

Significance

Proposition 2 is the justification for the computational part of §3 of the paper: Theorem 5 reformulates (6ε)(6_\varepsilon)(6ε​), not (6), as a mixed-integer bilinear program, and Proposition 2 says that solving that program for small ε\varepsilonε recovers the K-adaptability problem's feasible decisions exactly and its objective values to arbitrary accuracy, uniformly over all decisions. Without it the bilinear reformulation would approximate an unrelated problem. Together with Proposition 1 it connects the original K-adaptability problem PK\mathcal P_KPK​ to a family of problems with closed, polyhedral uncertainty sets. The same exhaustion of a non-closed polyhedral set by closed inner approximations appears whenever strict inequalities are replaced by ε\varepsilonε-margins.

The results are proved in the paper's e-companion. To our knowledge none of them has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a Lean model of the K-adaptability problem with constraint uncertainty and its decision-dependent uncertainty sets, which other formalizations of the paper's Theorem 5 or of related K-adaptability work can reuse.

Difficulty

Pointwise, the claim is easy: each ξ∈Ξ(ℓ)\xi\in\Xi(\ell)ξ∈Ξ(ℓ) belongs to Ξε(ℓ)\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)Ξε​(ℓ) once ε\varepsilonε is below its own constraint slack. That slack can be arbitrarily close to 000 on Ξ(ℓ)\Xi(\ell)Ξ(ℓ), because Ξ(ℓ)\Xi(\ell)Ξ(ℓ) is not closed, so no single ε\varepsilonε works for all ξ\xiξ. Uniformity in ξ\xiξ needs a compactness argument on the bounded set Ξ\XiΞ. Uniformity over decisions needs finiteness of X×YK\mathcal X\times\mathcal Y^KX×YK, which is where X⊆{0,1}N\mathcal X\subseteq\{0,1\}^NX⊆{0,1}N enters. With a continuous first stage the threshold in (i) could depend on xxx. A second difficulty is bookkeeping: φ\varphiφ and φε\varphi_\varepsilonφε​ are extended-real suprema of infima over index sets that may be empty, and the comparison in (ii) must first show that both values are finite.

Formalization scope

  • Parameters ξ\xiξ live in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin nQ), so every norm and distance is Euclidean, as in the paper's use of Cauchy–Schwarz. Decisions are pairs (x, y) with y : Fin K → Fin M → ℝ. Y\mathcal YY is a Finset of 0/1 vectors and X\mathcal XX a set of 0/1 vectors.
  • ℓ\ellℓ is a function Fin K → Fin (L+1). The paper's row l∈{1,…,L}l\in\{1,\dots,L\}l∈{1,…,L} is i.succ for i : Fin L.
  • All objective values are in EReal. The paper's max and min are read as sup and inf, an infimum over no admissible policy is +∞+\infty+∞, and a supremum over an empty set is −∞-\infty−∞. "Finite (do not evaluate to +∞+\infty+∞)" in the definition of the effective domains is read as <+∞<+\infty<+∞. Part (ii) asserts that both values are real numbers before comparing them, so the truncation EReal.toReal ⊤ = 0 plays no role.
  • Lemma 1 uses the extended Hausdorff distance Metric.hausdorffEDist. The real-valued Metric.hausdorffDist is 000 when one set is empty, so a statement with it would drop the nonemptiness of Ξε(ℓ)\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)Ξε​(ℓ) that the lemma contains.
  • Part (i) cannot be satisfied by the inclusion dom(6)⊆dom(6ε)\mathrm{dom}(6)\subseteq\mathrm{dom}(6_\varepsilon)dom(6)⊆dom(6ε​) alone, which is immediate from Ξε(ℓ)⊆Ξ(ℓ)\Xi_\varepsilon(\ell)\subseteq\Xi(\ell)Ξε​(ℓ)⊆Ξ(ℓ). The content is the reverse inclusion, with one threshold ε0\varepsilon_0ε0​ for all decisions. Likewise (ii) has a single threshold for all decisions of the domain, not one per decision.
  • A complete development needs: the cover ⋃ℓΞ(ℓ)=Ξ\bigcup_\ell\Xi(\ell)=\Xi⋃ℓ​Ξ(ℓ)=Ξ, finiteness of the decision set, compactness of the closure of Ξ\XiΞ, and elementary facts about EReal suprema. Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments, and variants with X\mathcal XX continuous under additional hypotheses are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. A. Hanasusanto, D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming, Operations Research 63(4):877–891, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1392 (preprint read: Optimization Online 2014/03/4294, revision of 2015-03-30, https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/4294.pdf)
  • D. Bertsimas, C. Caramanis, Finite Adaptability in Multistage Linear Optimization, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 55(12):2751–2766, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2010.2049764
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Linear OptimizationOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming 2: The K-Adaptability Problem with Objective Uncertainty Is Equivalent to the MILP (5)Research Paper

Motivation

Many planning problems are decided in two stages. A here-and-now decision xxx is taken before an uncertain parameter vector ξ\xiξ is observed, and a wait-and-see decision yyy is taken afterwards. When the wait-and-see decision is binary (which route to drive, which facility to open, which machine to schedule), the resulting two-stage robust binary program has no known tractable reformulation, even when ξ\xiξ ranges over a polyhedron.

Bertsimas and Caramanis (2010) proposed the K-adaptability approximation. Here KKK candidate second-stage policies are fixed here and now, together with xxx, and the best of them is selected once ξ\xiξ is known. Operationally this matches settings where a few contingency plans are preferred to an arbitrary re-optimization, such as production scheduling or emergency response. Bertsimas and Caramanis gave a bilinear reformulation for K=2K = 2K=2. Hanasusanto, Kuhn and Wiesemann (2015) proved that, when ξ\xiξ enters only the objective, the K-adaptability problem for any KKK is equivalent to a single mixed-integer linear program (MILP) whose size is polynomial in the input data. That equivalence, Theorem 2 of their paper, is the subject of this mission.

Setting

The data are matrices C∈RQ×NC\in\mathbb R^{Q\times N}C∈RQ×N, Q∈RQ×MQ\in\mathbb R^{Q\times M}Q∈RQ×M, T∈RL×NT\in\mathbb R^{L\times N}T∈RL×N, W∈RL×MW\in\mathbb R^{L\times M}W∈RL×M, a vector h∈RLh\in\mathbb R^Lh∈RL, and an uncertainty set

Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b},A∈RR×Q, b∈RR,\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^Q : A\xi\le b\},\qquad A\in\mathbb R^{R\times Q},\ b\in\mathbb R^R,Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b},A∈RR×Q, b∈RR,

assumed nonempty and bounded. Inequalities between vectors are componentwise. The letter QQQ names both the number of uncertain parameters and a matrix. The first-stage feasible set is X⊆R+N\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^N_+X⊆R+N​, and the second-stage feasible set is Y⊆{0,1}M\mathcal Y\subseteq\{0,1\}^MY⊆{0,1}M.

Fix K≥1K\ge1K≥1 and write K={1,…,K}\mathcal K=\{1,\dots,K\}K={1,…,K}. The K-adaptability problem with objective uncertainty is

POK:minimize  max⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡k∈Kξ⊤Qyk]subject tox∈X, yk∈Y, Tx+Wyk≤h  ∀k∈K.\mathcal{PO}_K:\quad \text{minimize}\ \ \max_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{k\in\mathcal K}\xi^\top Qy^k\Big]\quad\text{subject to}\quad x\in\mathcal X,\ y^k\in\mathcal Y,\ Tx+Wy^k\le h\ \ \forall k\in\mathcal K.POK​:minimize  ξ∈Ξmax​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈Kmin​ξ⊤Qyk]subject tox∈X, yk∈Y, Tx+Wyk≤h  ∀k∈K.

The decision consists of xxx and the KKK policies y1,…,yKy^1,\dots,y^Ky1,…,yK. The adversary chooses ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ, and the decision maker then uses the cheapest policy. Following the paper, max and min denote sup and inf when they are not attained.

With eee the all-ones vector, the MILP (5) is

minimizeb⊤αsubject tox∈X, yk∈Y, zk∈R+M, k∈K, α∈R+R, β∈R+K,A⊤α=Cx+∑k∈KQzk,e⊤β=1,Tx+Wyk≤h,  zk≤yk,  zk≤βke,  zk≥(βk−1)e+yk∀k∈K.\begin{aligned}\text{minimize}\quad & b^\top\alpha\\ \text{subject to}\quad & x\in\mathcal X,\ y^k\in\mathcal Y,\ z^k\in\mathbb R^M_+,\ k\in\mathcal K,\ \alpha\in\mathbb R^R_+,\ \beta\in\mathbb R^K_+,\\ & A^\top\alpha=Cx+\sum_{k\in\mathcal K}Qz^k,\quad e^\top\beta=1,\\ & Tx+Wy^k\le h,\ \ z^k\le y^k,\ \ z^k\le\beta_ke,\ \ z^k\ge(\beta_k-1)e+y^k\quad\forall k\in\mathcal K.\end{aligned}minimizesubject to​b⊤αx∈X, yk∈Y, zk∈R+M​, k∈K, α∈R+R​, β∈R+K​,A⊤α=Cx+k∈K∑​Qzk,e⊤β=1,Tx+Wyk≤h,  zk≤yk,  zk≤βk​e,  zk≥(βk​−1)e+yk∀k∈K.​

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 2

Problem POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ is equivalent to the MILP (5). Formally:

  1. (x,y1,…,yK)(x,y^1,\dots,y^K)(x,y1,…,yK) is feasible in POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ if and only if some (z,α,β)(z,\alpha,\beta)(z,α,β) completes it to a feasible point of (5);
  2. for every feasible (x,y1,…,yK)(x,y^1,\dots,y^K)(x,y1,…,yK),
max⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+min⁡kξ⊤Qyk]=min⁡{b⊤α:(x,y,z,α,β) feasible in (5)},\max_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\min_{k}\xi^\top Qy^k\Big]=\min\big\{b^\top\alpha : (x,y,z,\alpha,\beta)\ \text{feasible in (5)}\big\},ξ∈Ξmax​[ξ⊤Cx+kmin​ξ⊤Qyk]=min{b⊤α:(x,y,z,α,β) feasible in (5)},

and the minimum on the right is attained; 3. the optimal values of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ and (5) coincide.

Parts 1 and 2 are the per-decision correspondence; part 3 is the equality of optimal values. Together they are what "equivalent" means on p. 13.

Intermediate statements (milestones)

  • Epigraph LP. For fixed xxx and yky^kyk, the objective of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ equals
max⁡{ξ⊤Cx+τ:Aξ≤b, τ≤ξ⊤Qyk ∀k}.\max\{\xi^\top Cx+\tau : A\xi\le b,\ \tau\le\xi^\top Qy^k\ \forall k\}.max{ξ⊤Cx+τ:Aξ≤b, τ≤ξ⊤Qyk ∀k}.
  • Dual LP. That value equals
min⁡{b⊤α:α≥0, β≥0, A⊤α=Cx+∑kβkQyk, e⊤β=1},\min\Big\{b^\top\alpha : \alpha\ge0,\ \beta\ge0,\ A^\top\alpha=Cx+\sum_k\beta_kQy^k,\ e^\top\beta=1\Big\},min{b⊤α:α≥0, β≥0, A⊤α=Cx+k∑​βk​Qyk, e⊤β=1},

and the minimum is attained.

  • Exact linearization. For y∈{0,1}My\in\{0,1\}^My∈{0,1}M, 0≤β≤10\le\beta\le10≤β≤1 and z≥0z\ge0z≥0,
z=βy  ⟺  z≤y, z≤βe, z≥(β−1)e+y.z=\beta y\iff z\le y,\ z\le\beta e,\ z\ge(\beta-1)e+y.z=βy⟺z≤y, z≤βe, z≥(β−1)e+y.

Significance

The result. Theorem 2 makes the K-adaptability problem with objective uncertainty solvable by off-the-shelf MILP solvers, and the size of (5) grows polynomially in the size of the input data (p. 13). Together with Theorem 1 of the same paper, which shows that min⁡{dim⁡Y,rk⁡Q}+1\min\{\dim\mathcal Y,\operatorname{rk}Q\}+1min{dimY,rkQ}+1 policies already recover the full two-stage problem, it yields an exact finite MILP formulation of two-stage robust binary programs with objective uncertainty. The paper's numerical experiments on supply chain design and route planning (§4.1–4.2), which are instances of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​, use this formulation.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper, in a short argument in its electronic companion. No machine-checked version exists. A formal proof certifies the exact form of (5), including every sign and every inequality of the linearization, against the original min–max–min problem. It also exercises LP strong duality in a form with attainment, for a polyhedron given by Aξ≤bA\xi\le bAξ≤b with free variables. The same pattern (dualize an inner LP, then linearize products of a continuous and a binary variable) recurs across robust and bilevel optimization, so a reusable development of it is valuable beyond this paper.

Difficulty

The obvious route is to swap the max over ξ\xiξ with the min over policies, and that fails. The function ξ↦min⁡kξ⊤Qyk\xi\mapsto\min_k\xi^\top Qy^kξ↦mink​ξ⊤Qyk is concave, not linear, so POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ is not a min–max of a bilinear function in the policies. The inner maximization must be kept as an optimization problem and replaced by an equivalent minimization, which needs LP strong duality with attainment of the dual optimum. Its preconditions (primal feasibility from Ξ≠∅\Xi\ne\emptysetΞ=∅, boundedness from Ξ\XiΞ bounded and K≥1K\ge1K≥1) have to be discharged. The dualized problem contains products βkyk\beta_ky^kβk​yk of continuous and binary variables. Replacing them by linear constraints is exact only because yky^kyk is binary and 0≤βk≤10\le\beta_k\le10≤βk​≤1; with fractional yky^kyk the three inequalities do not force zk=βkykz^k=\beta_ky^kzk=βk​yk (Remark 4, p. 14). The remaining effort is bookkeeping in extended reals: optimal values are infima and suprema, and the correspondence of feasible points must be exact in both directions.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, matrices are Matrix (Fin a) (Fin b) ℝ, products are Matrix.mulVec and dotProduct, and ≤ on vectors is componentwise. The paper's dimension QQQ is nQ. The data, with the standing assumptions of §1 (Ξ nonempty and bounded, X⊆R+N\mathcal X\subseteq\mathbb R^N_+X⊆R+N​, points of Y\mathcal YY binary), form one structure KAdaptability.ObjMILP.Problem. X\mathcal XX is an arbitrary set of nonnegative vectors, and Y\mathcal YY an arbitrary set of 0/1 vectors. Policies are indexed by Fin K with the hypothesis 0 < K. The all-ones vector eee is 1.

Every objective and optimal value is an EReal. The objective of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​ is a supremum over Ξ\XiΞ of ξ⊤Cx\xi^\top Cxξ⊤Cx plus an infimum over kkk. The optimal values of POK\mathcal{PO}_KPOK​, of (5) and of the dual LP are infima, equal to +∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible. The epigraph LP's value is a supremum. Part 3 of the goal is an equality of infima, since the optimum over xxx need not be attained when X\mathcal XX is not closed.

The goal does not assert merely that the two optimal values coincide, nor an inequality. It states the per-decision identity with attainment and the correspondence of feasible decisions. The program (5) appears with exactly its constraints, including Tx+Wyk≤hTx+Wy^k\le hTx+Wyk≤h, so it cannot be replaced by some other MILP.

A complete development needs LP strong duality with dual attainment for max⁡{c⊤ξ+τ:Aξ≤b, τ≤dk⊤ξ}\max\{c^\top\xi+\tau : A\xi\le b,\ \tau\le d_k^\top\xi\}max{c⊤ξ+τ:Aξ≤b, τ≤dk⊤​ξ}. The platform's LinearOptimization.lp_strong_duality and SmaleNinth.lp_strong_duality are possible tools, in their own encodings. It also needs elementary facts about EReal suprema and infima. Contributions of a general "LP value equals dual LP value" lemma in the Matrix.mulVec encoding are welcome and reusable.

Selected references

  • G. A. Hanasusanto, D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming, Operations Research 63(4), 877–891, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1392 (version read: preprint, Optimization Online 2014/03/4294, revision of 2015-03-30, https://optimization-online.org/2014/03/4294/)
  • D. Bertsimas, C. Caramanis, Finite Adaptability in Multistage Linear Optimization, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 55(12), 2751–2766, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2010.2049764
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable Robust Solutions of Uncertain Linear Programs, Mathematical Programming 99(2), 351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
  • D. Bertsimas, D. B. Brown, C. Caramanis, Theory and Applications of Robust Optimization, SIAM Review 53(3), 464–501, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1137/080734510
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming 3: Under Constraint Uncertainty, Every K < |𝒴| Can Leave a Strict GapResearch Paper

Motivation

Two-stage robust optimization models decisions taken in two steps around an uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ: a here-and-now decision xxx is fixed before ξ\xiξ is revealed, and a wait-and-see (recourse) decision yyy is chosen afterwards, against the worst case of ξ\xiξ in an uncertainty set Ξ\XiΞ. When the recourse is binary — routing, scheduling, facility opening, emergency response — the fully adaptive problem is intractable in general, and practitioners also often prefer a short list of contingency plans to an arbitrary decision rule.

The K-adaptability approach, introduced by Bertsimas and Caramanis (IEEE TAC 2010), fixes KKK candidate recourse decisions here-and-now and implements the best feasible one once ξ\xiξ is known. Hanasusanto, Kuhn and Wiesemann (Oper. Res. 2015; preprint Optimization Online 2014/03/4294) study how many candidates are needed. Their Theorem 1 shows that if ξ\xiξ enters only the objective, min⁡{dim⁡Y,rk⁡Q}+1\min\{\dim\mathcal Y,\operatorname{rk}Q\}+1min{dimY,rkQ}+1 candidates recover the fully adaptive optimum. Their Theorem 4, the subject of this mission, shows that this fails completely once ξ\xiξ enters the constraints.

Setting

The generic two-stage robust binary program P\mathcal PP has data C∈RQ×NC\in\mathbb R^{Q\times N}C∈RQ×N, Q∈RQ×MQ\in\mathbb R^{Q\times M}Q∈RQ×M, T∈RL×NT\in\mathbb R^{L\times N}T∈RL×N, W∈RL×MW\in\mathbb R^{L\times M}W∈RL×M, H∈RL×QH\in\mathbb R^{L\times Q}H∈RL×Q, a first-stage set X⊆{0,1}N\mathcal X\subseteq\{0,1\}^NX⊆{0,1}N, a second-stage set Y⊆{0,1}M\mathcal Y\subseteq\{0,1\}^MY⊆{0,1}M, and a nonempty bounded polyhedral uncertainty set Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b}\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^Q : A\xi\le b\}Ξ={ξ∈RQ:Aξ≤b}. Its optimal value is

opt⁡(P)=inf⁡x∈X sup⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+inf⁡y∈Y{ξ⊤Qy:Tx+Wy≤Hξ}].\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P)=\inf_{x\in\mathcal X}\ \sup_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\inf_{y\in\mathcal Y}\{\xi^\top Qy : Tx+Wy\le H\xi\}\Big].opt(P)=x∈Xinf​ ξ∈Ξsup​[ξ⊤Cx+y∈Yinf​{ξ⊤Qy:Tx+Wy≤Hξ}].

The K-adaptability problem PK\mathcal P_KPK​ instead chooses x∈Xx\in\mathcal Xx∈X and policies y1,…,yK∈Yy^1,\dots,y^K\in\mathcal Yy1,…,yK∈Y in advance:

opt⁡(PK)=inf⁡x, y1,…,yK sup⁡ξ∈Ξ[ξ⊤Cx+inf⁡k∈{1,…,K}{ξ⊤Qyk:Tx+Wyk≤Hξ}].\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P_K)=\inf_{x,\,y^1,\dots,y^K}\ \sup_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big[\xi^\top Cx+\inf_{k\in\{1,\dots,K\}}\{\xi^\top Qy^k : Tx+Wy^k\le H\xi\}\Big].opt(PK​)=x,y1,…,yKinf​ ξ∈Ξsup​[ξ⊤Cx+k∈{1,…,K}inf​{ξ⊤Qyk:Tx+Wyk≤Hξ}].

If no policy is feasible for some ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ, the inner infimum is over the empty set and the objective is +∞+\infty+∞. Affine dependence of the right-hand side on ξ\xiξ is written with an extra parameter ξQ+1\xi_{Q+1}ξQ+1​ constrained to equal 111.

The paper's instance (EC.4) has no first-stage decision, Y={0,1}Q\mathcal Y=\{0,1\}^QY={0,1}Q, zero objective, and constraints yq−ξq≤12y_q-\xi_q\le\frac12yq​−ξq​≤21​, ξq−yq≤12\xi_q-y_q\le\frac12ξq​−yq​≤21​ (q=1,…,Qq=1,\dots,Qq=1,…,Q) over Ξ=[0,1]Q\Xi=[0,1]^QΞ=[0,1]Q. Its K-adaptability problem is (EC.5).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4 (p. 15)

For every Q∈NQ\in\mathbb NQ∈N and every K<∣Y∣=2QK<|\mathcal Y|=2^QK<∣Y∣=2Q, the instance (EC.4) satisfies

opt⁡(P) < opt⁡(PK).\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P)\ <\ \operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P_K).opt(P) < opt(PK​).

One instance per QQQ serves every K<∣Y∣K<|\mathcal Y|K<∣Y∣ at once.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 4, p. ec5)

opt⁡(EC.4)=0,\operatorname{opt}(\text{EC.4})=0,opt(EC.4)=0, y⋆∈{0,1}Q∖{y1,…,yK} ⟹ objective of (EC.5) at (y1,…,yK)=+∞,y^\star\in\{0,1\}^Q\setminus\{y^1,\dots,y^K\}\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{objective of (EC.5) at }(y^1,\dots,y^K)=+\infty,y⋆∈{0,1}Q∖{y1,…,yK} ⟹ objective of (EC.5) at (y1,…,yK)=+∞, K<2Q ⟹ opt⁡(EC.5)=+∞.K<2^Q\ \Longrightarrow\ \operatorname{opt}(\text{EC.5})=+\infty.K<2Q ⟹ opt(EC.5)=+∞.

Significance

The result. Theorem 4 separates the two regimes of the paper. Under objective uncertainty a number of policies linear in the dimension suffices (Theorem 1); under constraint uncertainty no number short of ∣Y∣|\mathcal Y|∣Y∣, which is exponential in MMM, can be guaranteed. This justifies the paper's turn in §3 to approximations of PK\mathcal P_KPK​ whose quality depends on KKK rather than to exact recovery of P\mathcal PP, and it marks a structural limit for any method that approximates two-stage problems by finitely many contingency plans.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version exists. The mission produces general Lean definitions of P\mathcal PP and PK\mathcal P_KPK​ with the +∞+\infty+∞ conventions made explicit, reusable by later missions on this paper (the ε-approximations of §3.1 and the bilinear reformulation are stated for the same problems), and a checked instance showing that the convention "infeasible means +∞+\infty+∞" is what drives the gap.

Difficulty

The mathematics of the instance is elementary; the content lies in stating it against the general problems. The step that fails for any obvious formalization shortcut is the treatment of infeasibility: the gap between 000 and +∞+\infty+∞ exists only because an empty inner infimum is +∞+\infty+∞ and the outer supremum ranges over a nonempty set. A formalization in which a missing feasible policy contributes 000 (the Lean default for a real-valued infimum of the empty set) would make PK\mathcal P_KPK​ and P\mathcal PP agree on this instance, and the theorem false. A second subtlety is the affine right-hand side ξq+12\xi_q+\frac12ξq​+21​, which the general model with linear HξH\xiHξ admits only through the auxiliary coordinate ξQ+1=1\xi_{Q+1}=1ξQ+1​=1.

Formalization scope

  • Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin a) (Fin b) ℝ, inequalities between vectors are componentwise.
  • All objective and optimal values are in EReal; max and min are read as sup and inf; an empty infimum is +∞+\infty+∞, an infeasible problem has value +∞+\infty+∞.
  • Y\mathcal YY is a Finset of 0/1 vectors and X\mathcal XX a set of 0/1 vectors (the standing assumption of §3). Nonemptiness and boundedness of Ξ\XiΞ are part of the data, so the instance proves them.
  • Policies are a family indexed by Fin K and may repeat; K=0K=0K=0 and Q=0Q=0Q=0 are allowed.
  • The instance has parameter dimension Q+1Q+1Q+1, Ξ=[0,1]Q×{1}\Xi=[0,1]^Q\times\{1\}Ξ=[0,1]Q×{1}, W=[I;−I]W=[I;-I]W=[I;−I], H=[I,12e;−I,12e]H=[I,\frac12 e;-I,\frac12 e]H=[I,21​e;−I,21​e], and {0,1}Q\{0,1\}^Q{0,1}Q as the image of Fin Q → Bool, with ∣{0,1}Q∣=2Q|\{0,1\}^Q|=2^Q∣{0,1}Q∣=2Q proved in the definition file.

A trivializing formalization is ruled out: the goal is stated about the general optimal values optP and optPK evaluated at the instance, not about a hard-coded formula for (EC.4) or (EC.5); a statement whose problems are written out for the instance alone would reduce to a computation and is not the paper's theorem.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the three milestones and the goal; lemmas computing opt⁡(PK)\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P_K)opt(PK​) for general data (monotonicity in KKK, the conservative-approximation inequality opt⁡(P)≤opt⁡(PK)\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P)\le\operatorname{opt}(\mathcal P_K)opt(P)≤opt(PK​), equality at K=∣Y∣K=|\mathcal Y|K=∣Y∣), which are reusable across the series.

Selected references

  • G. A. Hanasusanto, D. Kuhn, W. Wiesemann, K-Adaptability in Two-Stage Robust Binary Programming, Operations Research 63(4):877–891, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1392 (preprint used: Optimization Online 2014/03/4294, revision of 2015-03-30)
  • D. Bertsimas, C. Caramanis, Finite Adaptability in Multistage Linear Optimization, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 55(12):2751–2766, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2010.2049764
  • A. Ben-Tal, A. Goryashko, E. Guslitzer, A. Nemirovski, Adjustable Robust Solutions of Uncertain Linear Programs, Mathematical Programming 99(2):351–376, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-003-0454-y
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Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization III: The Lifting Theorem — a Conic Bound on E[g(z̃)] Describes Exactly the z̃-Marginals of a Lifted Ambiguity SetResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust optimization asks a decision to perform well against every probability distribution in an ambiguity set P\mathcal PP, a family of distributions consistent with partial information about an uncertain parameter z~∈RP\tilde z \in \mathbb R^Pz~∈RP. Which kinds of information an ambiguity set can encode decides which models a solver can handle. Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim (Optimization Online 3757, 2013; Operations Research 62(6), 2014, doi:10.1287/opre.2014.1314) introduce a standardized ambiguity set: distributions of (z~,u~)(\tilde z, \tilde u)(z~,u~) described by one linear expectation constraint E[Az~+Bu~]=b\mathbb E[A\tilde z + B\tilde u] = bE[Az~+Bu~]=b and by probability bounds on conic confidence sets. A linear expectation constraint can only fix means. Section 3 of the paper shows that it covers much more, through the Lifting Theorem (Theorem 5): a conic bound on a nonlinear moment E[g(z~)]\mathbb E[g(\tilde z)]E[g(z~)] is equivalent to a linear constraint on an auxiliary random vector u~\tilde uu~ together with an almost-sure conic constraint coupling u~\tilde uu~ and z~\tilde zz~. With this result the paper recognizes mean, variance, mean absolute deviation and Huber-loss bounds as special cases of its standardized set.

This mission formalizes assertion (i) of the Lifting Theorem and two of its instances.

Setting

A proper cone K⊆RM\mathcal K \subseteq \mathbb R^MK⊆RM is a closed convex cone that is pointed (K∩−K={0}\mathcal K \cap -\mathcal K = \{0\}K∩−K={0}) and has nonempty interior; x≼Kyx \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} yx≼K​y means y−x∈Ky - x \in \mathcal Ky−x∈K. Fix a measurable map g:RP→RMg : \mathbb R^P \to \mathbb R^Mg:RP→RM, a vector f∈RMf \in \mathbb R^Mf∈RM, measurable sets Ci⊆RP\mathcal C_i \subseteq \mathbb R^PCi​⊆RP and bounds p‾i≤p‾i\underline p_i \le \overline p_ip​i​≤p​i​ for iii in a finite index set I\mathcal II.

The moment set P′\mathcal P'P′ (momentSet) contains the probability distributions Q\mathbb QQ on RP\mathbb R^PRP under which EQ[g(z~)]\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[g(\tilde z)]EQ​[g(z~)] exists, EQ[g(z~)]≼Kf\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[g(\tilde z)] \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} fEQ​[g(z~)]≼K​f, and Q[z~∈Ci]∈[p‾i,p‾i]\mathbb Q[\tilde z \in \mathcal C_i] \in [\underline p_i, \overline p_i]Q[z~∈Ci​]∈[p​i​,p​i​] for all iii.

The lifted set P\mathcal PP (liftedSet) contains the probability distributions P\mathbb PP on RP×RM\mathbb R^P \times \mathbb R^MRP×RM of a pair (z~,u~)(\tilde z, \tilde u)(z~,u~) such that EP[u~]=f\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde u] = fEP​[u~]=f, P[g(z~)≼Ku~]=1\mathbb P[g(\tilde z) \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} \tilde u] = 1P[g(z~)≼K​u~]=1, and P[z~∈Ci]∈[p‾i,p‾i]\mathbb P[\tilde z \in \mathcal C_i] \in [\underline p_i, \overline p_i]P[z~∈Ci​]∈[p​i​,p​i​] for all iii.

For a set S\mathcal SS of joint distributions, the marginal Πz~S\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal SΠz~​S (marginal) is the set of z~\tilde zz~-marginals of its members.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5 (i)

P′=Πz~P.\mathcal P' = \Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P .P′=Πz~​P.

The goal is the set identity for arbitrary measurable ggg, any proper cone and any finite family of measurable confidence sets.

Milestones

  1. P′⊆Πz~P\mathcal P' \subseteq \Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal PP′⊆Πz~​P, in the constructive form of the proof: for Q∈P′\mathbb Q \in \mathcal P'Q∈P′, the law of (z~, g(z~)−EQ[g(z~)]+f)(\tilde z,\, g(\tilde z) - \mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[g(\tilde z)] + f)(z~,g(z~)−EQ​[g(z~)]+f) with z~∼Q\tilde z \sim \mathbb Qz~∼Q lies in P\mathcal PP and has z~\tilde zz~-marginal Q\mathbb QQ.
  2. The conic form of monotonicity of the expectation: φ≼Kψ\varphi \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} \psiφ≼K​ψ almost surely implies E[φ]≼KE[ψ]\mathbb E[\varphi] \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} \mathbb E[\psi]E[φ]≼K​E[ψ].
  3. Πz~P⊆P′\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P \subseteq \mathcal P'Πz~​P⊆P′.
  4. Example 1 (Mean): for g(z)=Gzg(z) = Gzg(z)=Gz and no confidence sets, Πz~P={Q:G EQ[z~]≼Kf}\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P = \{\mathbb Q : G\,\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[\tilde z] \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} f\}Πz~​P={Q:GEQ​[z~]≼K​f}.
  5. Proposition 3, assertion 2 (Mean Absolute Deviation): Πz~{P:EP[u~]=f, u~≥∣z~−m∣ a.s.}={Q:EQ[∣z~−m∣]≤f}\Pi_{\tilde z}\{\mathbb P : \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde u] = f,\ \tilde u \ge |\tilde z - m| \text{ a.s.}\} = \{\mathbb Q : \mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[|\tilde z - m|] \le f\}Πz~​{P:EP​[u~]=f, u~≥∣z~−m∣ a.s.}={Q:EQ​[∣z~−m∣]≤f}, componentwise.

Significance

The result. Theorem 5 is what lets the paper's tractable reformulation (Theorem 1, a finite conic system equivalent to a worst-case expectation constraint) apply to ambiguity sets with nonlinear moment information. Without it, the standardized set would describe only first moments and confidence-set probabilities; with it, any moment function whose K\mathcal KK-epigraph is conic representable can be bounded, including covariance bounds through the semidefinite cone and robust-statistics bounds such as mean absolute deviation. The identity is exact, so worst-case expectations of functions of z~\tilde zz~ over P′\mathcal P'P′ and over P\mathcal PP coincide.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved in the paper (Appendix A, p. 40), in a few lines that pass silently over measure-theoretic points: existence of expectations, the measurability of the lift, and the transfer of expectations to the marginal. No machine-checked version exists. The formal statement makes the integrability conditions explicit and shows which of them are needed (see below). The same encoding serves the other lifted ambiguity sets of the paper (Examples 2–6, Propositions 2 and 3).

Difficulty

The informal proof is short; the difficulty is in the bookkeeping. The construction direction needs the pushforward of Q\mathbb QQ under z↦(z,g(z)−c)z \mapsto (z, g(z) - c)z↦(z,g(z)−c) to be a probability measure with the right expectations and marginal, which requires measurability of ggg and integrability of g(z~)g(\tilde z)g(z~). The projection direction needs an integral of a vector-valued function to stay in a closed convex cone when the integrand does so almost surely, and needs expectations of functions of z~\tilde zz~ to coincide under the joint law and under its marginal. The natural first attempt, reading P[g(z~)≼Ku~]=1\mathbb P[g(\tilde z) \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} \tilde u] = 1P[g(z~)≼K​u~]=1 and E[u~]=f\mathbb E[\tilde u] = fE[u~]=f as enough to control E[g(z~)]\mathbb E[g(\tilde z)]E[g(z~)], fails: g(z~)g(\tilde z)g(z~) can be very negative along the cone and need not have an expectation at all.

Formalization scope

Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, distributions are MeasureTheory.Measure with IsProbabilityMeasure, expectations are Bochner integrals, probabilities are μ.real, and Πz~\Pi_{\tilde z}Πz~​ is the image under Measure.map Prod.fst. The index set I\mathcal II is Fin nI (0-based). The proper cone is a local predicate IsProperCone (closed, contains 000, closed under addition and nonnegative scaling, pointed, nonempty interior), and x≼Kyx \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} yx≼K​y is y - x ∈ K.

Committed conventions and deviations from the page:

  • Every expectation is read as existing and finite. Both sets carry Integrable clauses; without them Lean's integral of a non-integrable map is 000, and the moment set would contain every distribution with f∈Kf \in \mathcal Kf∈K whose g(z~)g(\tilde z)g(z~) has no expectation, a trivializing formalization that these clauses rule out.
  • The lifted set additionally requires g(z~)g(\tilde z)g(z~) to be integrable. This is necessary: with M=1M = 1M=1, K=R+\mathcal K = \mathbb R_+K=R+​, f=0f = 0f=0, g(z)=−z2g(z) = -z^2g(z)=−z2, z~\tilde zz~ standard Cauchy and u~≡0\tilde u \equiv 0u~≡0, the joint law meets the page's constraints but E[g(z~)]\mathbb E[g(\tilde z)]E[g(z~)] does not exist.
  • The page's hypothesis that ggg has a conic representable K\mathcal KK-epigraph is not used by assertion (i) and is dropped; ggg is only assumed measurable. Assertion (ii) ("P\mathcal PP can be reformulated as an instance of (4)") is not formalized, since it rests on the informal notion of conic representability.
  • Confidence sets are arbitrary measurable sets, a generalization of the paper's closed conic sets (5).
  • In Example 1, the lifted set is an instance of the standardized ambiguity set (4), so its members are read as having a finite first moment of (z~,u~)(\tilde z, \tilde u)(z~,u~), as for every set of the form (4); the target set requires EQ[z~]\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[\tilde z]EQ​[z~] to exist. Without that clause the identity fails for G=0G = 0G=0 (a z~\tilde zz~-marginal without a mean).

A sanity file (not part of the proposal) proves milestone 2 and exhibits Dirac members of both sets, so the hypotheses are satisfiable.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones and goal, and general lemmas on pushforward lifts and conic expectation bounds, which are reusable for the other lifted ambiguity sets of the series.

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Optimization Online preprint 3757 (version of September 22, 2013). https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/3757.pdf
  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Operations Research 62(6):1358–1376, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1314
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Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization IV: An Absolute Mean Spread Bound Describes Exactly the z̃-Marginals of a Lifted Ambiguity SetResearch Paper

Motivation

Distributionally robust optimization handles an uncertain parameter z~∈RP\tilde z\in\mathbb R^Pz~∈RP whose distribution is only partly known. A decision must satisfy an expectation constraint for every distribution in an ambiguity set, the set of distributions consistent with the available information. Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim (Optimization Online preprint 3757, 2013; Operations Research 62(6), 2014, doi:10.1287/opre.2014.1314) introduce a standardized ambiguity set. Its members are joint distributions of z~\tilde zz~ and auxiliary random vectors u~\tilde uu~, constrained by expectation conditions and by probability bounds on conic confidence sets. Worst-case expectation constraints over such a set have tractable conic reformulations. The practical question is which kinds of distributional information this format can express. A set over (z~,u~)(\tilde z,\tilde u)(z~,u~) describes information about z~\tilde zz~ through its z~\tilde zz~-marginals, so the precise claim is that some set of distributions of z~\tilde zz~ equals the projection of a standardized set.

Section 3 of the paper settles this question for several common descriptors of dispersion. One of them is the absolute mean spread, the gap between the mean of a random variable above a threshold and its mean below it. Levi, Perakis and Uichanco used it to describe demand uncertainty in data-driven newsvendor models (Oper. Res. 63(6), 2015). The paper notes that, unlike variance or coefficient-of-variation bounds, spread information "can no longer be constructed via straightforward application of Theorem 5", its general lifting result for conic-representable moment bounds. Proposition 2 provides a dedicated lifting instead.

Setting

Fix f∈RPf\in\mathbb R^Pf∈RP, a threshold θ∈R\theta\in\mathbb Rθ∈R, a spread budget σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0 and a probability level ρ∈(0,1)\rho\in(0,1)ρ∈(0,1). For a probability distribution Q\mathbb QQ on RP\mathbb R^PRP under which f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ has a finite mean, write

EQ[f⊤z~∣A]=EQ[f⊤z~ 1A]Q[A],A∈{f⊤z~≥θ}, {f⊤z~<θ}.\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid A]=\frac{\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\,\mathbf 1_A]}{\mathbb Q[A]},\qquad A\in\{f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta\},\ \{f^\top\tilde z<\theta\}.EQ​[f⊤z~∣A]=Q[A]EQ​[f⊤z~1A​]​,A∈{f⊤z~≥θ}, {f⊤z~<θ}.

The absolute mean spread of f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ at θ\thetaθ is EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]-\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]. The target set (spreadSet) consists of the Q\mathbb QQ with Q[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ\mathbb Q[f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]=\rhoQ[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ whose spread is at most σ\sigmaσ.

The lifted ambiguity set P\mathcal PP (liftedSpreadSet) consists of the probability distributions P\mathbb PP of (z~,u~,v~,w~)(\tilde z,\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde w)(z~,u~,v~,w~) on RP×R3\mathbb R^P\times\mathbb R^3RP×R3 with EP[w~]=σ\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde w]=\sigmaEP​[w~]=σ and P[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ\mathbb P[f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]=\rhoP[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ, satisfying almost surely

f⊤z~=θ+u~−v~,w~≥ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~,u~,v~≥0.f^\top\tilde z=\theta+\tilde u-\tilde v,\qquad \tilde w\ge\rho^{-1}\tilde u+(1-\rho)^{-1}\tilde v,\qquad \tilde u,\tilde v\ge0 .f⊤z~=θ+u~−v~,w~≥ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~,u~,v~≥0.

The marginal Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathbb PΠz~​P is the law of z~\tilde zz~ under P\mathbb PP, and Πz~P={Πz~P:P∈P}\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P=\{\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathbb P:\mathbb P\in\mathcal P\}Πz~​P={Πz~​P:P∈P}.

For the companion result, the Huber loss (8) is Hδ(z)=12z2H_\delta(z)=\tfrac12z^2Hδ​(z)=21​z2 if ∣z∣≤δ|z|\le\delta∣z∣≤δ and δ(∣z∣−12δ)\delta(|z|-\tfrac12\delta)δ(∣z∣−21​δ) otherwise, for δ>0\delta>0δ>0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 2 (Absolute Mean Spread), pp. 17–18

Πz~P={Q∈P0(RP): EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≤σ, Q[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ}.\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P=\Big\{\mathbb Q\in\mathcal P_0(\mathbb R^P):\ \mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]-\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]\le\sigma,\ \mathbb Q[f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]=\rho\Big\}.Πz~​P={Q∈P0​(RP): EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−EQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≤σ, Q[f⊤z~≥θ]=ρ}.

The page states the conclusion as Q0∈Πz~P={… }\mathbb Q^0\in\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P=\{\dots\}Q0∈Πz~​P={…} for a given Q0\mathbb Q^0Q0 in the right-hand set. The set identity is the content, and it is the goal.

Milestones

The milestones follow the two inclusions of the proof (pp. 40–41).

  1. For every P∈P\mathbb P\in\mathcal PP∈P:
EP[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]≤ρ−1EP[u~]+θ,EP[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≥(1−ρ)−1EP[−v~]+θ.\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]\le\rho^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde u]+\theta,\qquad \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]\ge(1-\rho)^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[-\tilde v]+\theta.EP​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]≤ρ−1EP​[u~]+θ,EP​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]≥(1−ρ)−1EP​[−v~]+θ.

Combining them gives

spread≤ρ−1EP[u~]+(1−ρ)−1EP[v~]≤EP[w~]=σ,\text{spread}\le\rho^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde u]+(1-\rho)^{-1}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde v]\le\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[\tilde w]=\sigma,spread≤ρ−1EP​[u~]+(1−ρ)−1EP​[v~]≤EP​[w~]=σ,

and hence Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal PΠz~​P is contained in the target set. 2. For Q\mathbb QQ in the target set, u~=[f⊤z~−θ]+\tilde u=[f^\top\tilde z-\theta]^+u~=[f⊤z~−θ]+ and v~=[θ−f⊤z~]+\tilde v=[\theta-f^\top\tilde z]^+v~=[θ−f⊤z~]+ satisfy

E[u~]=ρ EQ[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−ρθ,E[v~]=(1−ρ) EQ[−f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]+(1−ρ)θ.\mathbb E[\tilde u]=\rho\,\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z\ge\theta]-\rho\theta,\qquad \mathbb E[\tilde v]=(1-\rho)\,\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[-f^\top\tilde z\mid f^\top\tilde z<\theta]+(1-\rho)\theta .E[u~]=ρEQ​[f⊤z~∣f⊤z~≥θ]−ρθ,E[v~]=(1−ρ)EQ​[−f⊤z~∣f⊤z~<θ]+(1−ρ)θ.

Consequently E[ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~]\mathbb E[\rho^{-1}\tilde u+(1-\rho)^{-1}\tilde v]E[ρ−1u~+(1−ρ)−1v~] equals the spread, and the target set is contained in Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal PΠz~​P. 3. A companion, Proposition 3, assertion 3 (p. 21): for δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and g≥0g\ge0g≥0, the distributions with EQ[Hδ(f⊤z~)]≤g\mathbb E_{\mathbb Q}[H_\delta(f^\top\tilde z)]\le gEQ​[Hδ​(f⊤z~)]≤g are exactly the z~\tilde zz~-marginals of a lifted set on RP×R+5\mathbb R^P\times\mathbb R^5_+RP×R+5​ with auxiliary variables u~,v~,w~,s~,t~\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde w,\tilde s,\tilde tu~,v~,w~,s~,t~.

Significance

The proposition places absolute mean spread information inside the paper's standardized framework. Every result proved there for standardized sets therefore applies to spread-constrained ambiguity sets. The lifted set of Proposition 2 violates the paper's nesting condition (N), so Theorem 1's exact reformulation does not apply. Instead, Theorem 3 and Observation 1 give conservative approximations, which here are linear programs (p. 18). The Huber companion does the same for an expected Huber loss bound, a robust alternative to a variance bound.

Both results are proved in the paper. Neither has a machine-checked proof that this mission is aware of. A formalization adds three things: a checked equality of the two sets, with every integrability and positivity side condition made explicit; reusable lemmas on elementary conditional means of a scalar projection; and a check of the companion. The companion's printed proof contains an incorrect intermediate identity (see Difficulty), although the proposition itself holds.

Difficulty

The obvious reading of the inclusion Πz~P⊆\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P\subseteqΠz~​P⊆ target is "the constraint on w~\tilde ww~ bounds the spread pointwise". That reading fails, because the spread is a ratio of expectations over two complementary events, and u~\tilde uu~ and v~\tilde vv~ are not determined by z~\tilde zz~. Only their difference is fixed, almost surely. The bound must hold for every coupling of (u~,v~)(\tilde u,\tilde v)(u~,v~) with z~\tilde zz~ that respects the constraints. The reverse inclusion needs an explicit lift of an arbitrary Q\mathbb QQ. The lift has to meet the moment condition E[w~]=σ\mathbb E[\tilde w]=\sigmaE[w~]=σ exactly, not just as an inequality. The paper leaves that step implicit.

In Lean the main friction is measure-theoretic bookkeeping: integrability of the auxiliary coordinates (which is derived, not assumed), set integrals over the two half-spaces, and push-forwards along the first projection. In the Huber companion, the identity the proof states for the minimized integrand is false in general: with δ=1\delta=1δ=1 and u~=v~=12\tilde u=\tilde v=\tfrac12u~=v~=21​ the left side is 14\tfrac1441​ and the right side is 12\tfrac1221​. The inclusion Πz~P⊆{… }\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathcal P\subseteq\{\dots\}Πz~​P⊆{…} needs a different pointwise inequality.

Formalization scope

  • RP\mathbb R^PRP is Fin nP → ℝ, with f⊤zf^\top zf⊤z written f ⬝ᵥ z. The lifted outcome space is (Fin nP → ℝ) × (ℝ × ℝ × ℝ), and u~,v~,w~\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde wu~,v~,w~ are the projections uOf, vOf, wOf. The Huber lift uses Fin 5 → ℝ with components 0,…,4=u~,v~,w~,s~,t~0,\dots,4=\tilde u,\tilde v,\tilde w,\tilde s,\tilde t0,…,4=u~,v~,w~,s~,t~.
  • The marginal Πz~P\Pi_{\tilde z}\mathbb PΠz~​P is μ.map Prod.fst. Both theorems are stated as set identities between Set (Measure _).
  • Conditional means are elementary: E[f⊤z~ 1A]/Q[A]\mathbb E[f^\top\tilde z\,\mathbf 1_A]/\mathbb Q[A]E[f⊤z~1A​]/Q[A] (condMeanGe, condMeanLt). σ-algebra conditioning is not used. Both events have probability ρ\rhoρ or 1−ρ1-\rho1−ρ, both positive because ρ∈(0,1)\rho\in(0,1)ρ∈(0,1), so no division by zero occurs.
  • Integrability convention.
    • Members of the target set have f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ integrable, and members of P\mathcal PP have w~\tilde ww~ integrable. These are the expectations the page writes, and Lean's integral of a non-integrable function is 000, so without these clauses the sets would contain junk members.
    • Integrability of u~\tilde uu~, v~\tilde vv~ and f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~ under P∈P\mathbb P\in\mathcal PP∈P is not assumed. It follows from 0≤u~≤ρw~0\le\tilde u\le\rho\tilde w0≤u~≤ρw~ and 0≤v~≤(1−ρ)w~0\le\tilde v\le(1-\rho)\tilde w0≤v~≤(1−ρ)w~ almost surely.
    • In the companion, Hδ(f⊤z~)H_\delta(f^\top\tilde z)Hδ​(f⊤z~) is required to be integrable under Q\mathbb QQ.
  • Hypotheses are the page's: σ≥0\sigma\ge0σ≥0 and 0<ρ<10<\rho<10<ρ<1; for the companion, δ>0\delta>0δ>0 and g≥0g\ge0g≥0. Nothing is added.
  • Printed typo. Proposition 3.3 prints Hδ(t⊤z~)H_\delta(t^\top\tilde z)Hδ​(t⊤z~) in its conclusion. No ttt occurs there, and the hypothesis and the proof use f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~, so the Lean states f⊤z~f^\top\tilde zf⊤z~.
  • No trivializing reading. Neither side is empty by construction: the law 12(δ−1+δ1)\tfrac12(\delta_{-1}+\delta_1)21​(δ−1​+δ1​) on R1\mathbb R^1R1 with f=1f=1f=1, θ=0\theta=0θ=0, ρ=12\rho=\tfrac12ρ=21​, σ=2\sigma=2σ=2 lies in the target set and is the marginal of a member of P\mathcal PP, as checked in a sorry-free sanity file. For P=0P=0P=0 both sides are empty, consistently.
  • Infrastructure. Elementary conditional means of a scalar projection over complementary half-spaces, set integrals of positive and negative parts, and push-forwards along Prod.fst are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of the individual milestones are welcome, as are reusable lemmas on lifts of the form z↦(z,ϕ(z))z\mapsto(z,\phi(z))z↦(z,ϕ(z)).

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Optimization Online preprint 3757 (version of September 22, 2013); Operations Research 62(6):1358–1376, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1314
  • R. Levi, G. Perakis, J. Uichanco, The Data-Driven Newsvendor Problem: New Bounds and Insights, Operations Research 63(6):1294–1306, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2015.1422
  • P. J. Huber, Robust Estimation of a Location Parameter, Annals of Mathematical Statistics 35(1):73–101, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177703732
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Dynamic ProgrammingMarkov ChainOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Robust Markov Decision Processes 1: Over s-Rectangular Ambiguity Sets, Robust Policy Improvement Is Solved by a Stationary Randomized Policy and the Fixed Point of the Robust Bellman MapResearch Paper

Motivation

A Markov decision process (MDP) is evaluated with a transition kernel that, in practice, is estimated from data. The expected total reward of a policy can be very sensitive to small errors in that estimate (Mannor, Simester, Sun and Tsitsiklis, 2007). Robust MDPs address this by letting the kernel range over an ambiguity set and optimizing the worst-case expected reward. Iyengar (2005) and Nilim and El Ghaoui (2005) showed that when the ambiguity set is (s, a)-rectangular (the transition law of each state–action pair varies independently of all others), the robust problem is solved by a robust Bellman recursion and a deterministic stationary policy is optimal.

Wiesemann, Kuhn and Rustem (Robust Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 38(1), 2013) widen this to s-rectangular ambiguity sets, in which the transition laws of different actions in the same state may be coupled. Their Theorem 4.1 shows that robust policy improvement over such sets is still solved by a robust Bellman fixed point, but the optimal stationary policy may need to randomize. This mission formalizes that theorem and the chain of results its proof uses.

Timeline:

  • 2005: Iyengar; Nilim and El Ghaoui — robust dynamic programming over (s, a)-rectangular sets, deterministic stationary optimal policies.
  • 2010–2013: Wiesemann, Kuhn and Rustem — s-rectangular sets with affinely parametrized kernels; robust value iteration for evaluation (Theorem 3.2) and improvement (Theorem 4.1); randomization needed in general.

Setting

States form a finite set S\mathcal SS, actions a finite set A\mathcal AA. Choosing action aaa in state sss and moving to s′s's′ pays a reward r(s,a,s′)≥0r(s,a,s')\ge 0r(s,a,s′)≥0; rewards are discounted by λ∈(0,1)\lambda\in(0,1)λ∈(0,1) and the initial state has a known law p0p_0p0​ in the probability simplex M(S)\mathcal M(\mathcal S)M(S).

The uncertain parameter ξ\xiξ lies in

Ξ={ξ∈Rq: ξ⊤Olξ+ol⊤ξ+ωl≥0, l=1,…,L},\Xi=\{\xi\in\mathbb R^q:\ \xi^\top O_l\xi+o_l^\top\xi+\omega_l\ge 0,\ l=1,\dots,L\},Ξ={ξ∈Rq: ξ⊤Ol​ξ+ol⊤​ξ+ωl​≥0, l=1,…,L},

with OlO_lOl​ symmetric negative semidefinite, Ξ\XiΞ bounded and containing a Slater point. Transition probabilities are affine in the parameter, pξ(⋅∣s,a)=ksa+Ksaξ∈M(S)p^\xi(\cdot\mid s,a)=k_{sa}+K_{sa}\xi\in\mathcal M(\mathcal S)pξ(⋅∣s,a)=ksa​+Ksa​ξ∈M(S) for ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ. The ambiguity set P\mathcal PP is the set of kernels (pξ(⋅∣s,a))s,a(p^\xi(\cdot\mid s,a))_{s,a}(pξ(⋅∣s,a))s,a​, ξ∈Ξ\xi\in\Xiξ∈Ξ. It is s-rectangular if P=×sPs\mathcal P=\times_{s}\mathcal P_sP=×s​Ps​, where Ps\mathcal P_sPs​ collects the blocks (Ps1,…,PsA)(P_{s1},\dots,P_{sA})(Ps1​,…,PsA​) of members of P\mathcal PP: the parameter may be chosen separately in each state.

A stationary randomized policy π∈Π\pi\in\Piπ∈Π assigns to each state a distribution π(⋅∣s)\pi(\cdot\mid s)π(⋅∣s) over actions. It induces the Markov reward process

P^ss′(π;ξ)=∑aπ(a∣s)pξ(s′∣s,a),r^s(π;ξ)=∑aπ(a∣s)∑s′pξ(s′∣s,a)r(s,a,s′),\widehat P_{ss'}(\pi;\xi)=\sum_a\pi(a\mid s)p^\xi(s'\mid s,a),\qquad \widehat r_s(\pi;\xi)=\sum_a\pi(a\mid s)\sum_{s'}p^\xi(s'\mid s,a)r(s,a,s'),Pss′​(π;ξ)=a∑​π(a∣s)pξ(s′∣s,a),rs​(π;ξ)=a∑​π(a∣s)s′∑​pξ(s′∣s,a)r(s,a,s′),

and the reward to-go v(π;ξ)=∑t≥0[λP^(π;ξ)]tr^(π;ξ)v(\pi;\xi)=\sum_{t\ge0}[\lambda\widehat P(\pi;\xi)]^t\widehat r(\pi;\xi)v(π;ξ)=∑t≥0​[λP(π;ξ)]tr(π;ξ). The worst-case expected total reward of π\piπ is inf⁡ξ∈Ξp0⊤v(π;ξ)\inf_{\xi\in\Xi}p_0^\top v(\pi;\xi)infξ∈Ξ​p0⊤​v(π;ξ).

Two robust Bellman maps on RS\mathbb R^SRS carry the results:

ϕs(π;w)=min⁡ξ∈Ξ{r^s(π;ξ)+λ∑s′P^ss′(π;ξ)ws′},φs(w)=max⁡π∈Πϕs(π;w).\phi_s(\pi;w)=\min_{\xi\in\Xi}\Big\{\widehat r_s(\pi;\xi)+\lambda\sum_{s'}\widehat P_{ss'}(\pi;\xi)w_{s'}\Big\},\qquad \varphi_s(w)=\max_{\pi\in\Pi}\phi_s(\pi;w).ϕs​(π;w)=ξ∈Ξmin​{rs​(π;ξ)+λs′∑​Pss′​(π;ξ)ws′​},φs​(w)=π∈Πmax​ϕs​(π;w).

In Lean these are phiEval and phiImprove, in the namespace WiesemannRMDP.SRect.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 (robust policy improvement)

For an s-rectangular P\mathcal PP, φ\varphiφ has a unique fixed point w∗w^*w∗, per-state maximizers πs∈arg⁡max⁡π∈Πϕs(π;w∗)\pi^s\in\arg\max_{\pi\in\Pi}\phi_s(\pi;w^*)πs∈argmaxπ∈Π​ϕs​(π;w∗) exist, and the glued policy π∗(a∣s)=πs(a∣s)\pi^*(a\mid s)=\pi^s(a\mid s)π∗(a∣s)=πs(a∣s) together with the constant function ϑ∗≡w∗\vartheta^*\equiv w^*ϑ∗≡w∗ attains

sup⁡π∈Π sup⁡ϑ:Ξ→cRS{inf⁡ξ∈Ξp0⊤ϑ(ξ): ϑ(ξ)≤r^(π;ξ)+λP^(π;ξ)ϑ(ξ) ∀ξ∈Ξ}=p0⊤w∗.\sup_{\pi\in\Pi}\ \sup_{\vartheta:\Xi\overset{c}{\to}\mathbb R^S}\Big\{\inf_{\xi\in\Xi}p_0^\top\vartheta(\xi):\ \vartheta(\xi)\le\widehat r(\pi;\xi)+\lambda\widehat P(\pi;\xi)\vartheta(\xi)\ \forall\xi\in\Xi\Big\}=p_0^\top w^*.π∈Πsup​ ϑ:Ξ→cRSsup​{ξ∈Ξinf​p0⊤​ϑ(ξ): ϑ(ξ)≤r(π;ξ)+λP(π;ξ)ϑ(ξ) ∀ξ∈Ξ}=p0⊤​w∗.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 3.1 (b), (c), (a): v(π;ξ)v(\pi;\xi)v(π;ξ) is the unique solution of w=r^+λP^ww=\widehat r+\lambda\widehat Pww=r+λPw; every sub-solution lies below it; vvv is Lipschitz on Π×Ξ\Pi\times\XiΠ×Ξ.
  2. Reformulation (10): for fixed π\piπ, inf⁡ξp0⊤v(π;ξ)\inf_\xi p_0^\top v(\pi;\xi)infξ​p0⊤​v(π;ξ) equals the inner supremum above, over all and over continuous ϑ\varthetaϑ.
  3. ϕ(π;⋅)\phi(\pi;\cdot)ϕ(π;⋅) is a contraction (proof of Theorem 3.2).
  4. Theorem 3.2: for s-rectangular P\mathcal PP and fixed π\piπ, the constant fixed point of ϕ(π;⋅)\phi(\pi;\cdot)ϕ(π;⋅) solves the evaluation problem (10).
  5. From the proof of Theorem 4.1: the glued policy satisfies w∗=ϕ(π∗;w∗)w^*=\phi(\pi^*;w^*)w∗=ϕ(π∗;w∗), and φ\varphiφ is a contraction.

Significance

Theorem 4.1 reduces robust policy improvement over s-rectangular sets to computing the fixed point of one map on RS\mathbb R^SRS, each evaluation of which is a finite convex program; the paper derives a polynomial-time method from it (Corollary 4.2). It also shows that the optimal policy is stationary but generally randomized, which separates s-rectangular from (s, a)-rectangular robust MDPs. Theorem 3.2 is the evaluation counterpart and is used again when the paper compares s-rectangular and general ambiguity sets (Proposition 3.10).

The results are proved in the paper; none is formalized. On the platform, the (s, a)-rectangular analogue with deterministic policies and costs (Nilim and El Ghaoui) and a related robust linear-programming characterization in another model (Derman, Geist and Mannor) exist, but neither covers coupled actions, randomized policies or rewards depending on the next state. A complete development would give machine-checked robust value iteration for s-rectangular sets and reusable facts on the reward to-go of a finite Markov reward process.

Difficulty

The obvious argument copies the nominal proof: the optimum of the constant-ϑ\varthetaϑ restriction is the fixed point w∗w^*w∗, so the constant function is optimal. That only solves the restriction to constant ϑ\varthetaϑ; the problems optimize over all continuous reward to-go functions ϑ:Ξ→RS\vartheta:\Xi\to\mathbb R^Sϑ:Ξ→RS, and showing that no non-constant ϑ\varthetaϑ does better is where s-rectangularity enters. Without it the claim is false: the paper's Example 3.11 gives a non-rectangular set where the constant bound is strictly below the worst-case reward. A second subtlety is that ϕs(π;w)\phi_s(\pi;w)ϕs​(π;w) depends on π\piπ only through the row π(⋅∣s)\pi(\cdot\mid s)π(⋅∣s), which is what lets per-state maximizers be assembled into a single policy; the maximizers are in general not deterministic.

Formalization scope

States and actions are finite nonempty types; policies are functions π(a∣s)\pi(a\mid s)π(a∣s) satisfying the published IsPolicy, and the simplex condition on pξ(⋅∣s,a)p^\xi(\cdot\mid s,a)pξ(⋅∣s,a) is the published IsTransitionKernel. P^\widehat PP and r^\widehat rr are built from the published InducedTransition and InducedReward. The model is a structure Model with the standing assumptions in Model.Standing. The reward to-go is defined by the series ∑t[λP^]tr^\sum_t[\lambda\widehat P]^t\widehat r∑t​[λP]tr, not as the solution of the evaluation equation, so Proposition 3.1 (b) is not definitional. The minimum over Ξ\XiΞ and the maximum over Π\PiΠ are infima and suprema over subtypes, attained under the standing assumptions; the objective inf⁡ξp0⊤ϑ(ξ)\inf_\xi p_0^\top\vartheta(\xi)infξ​p0⊤​ϑ(ξ) is used only for ϑ\varthetaϑ continuous on Ξ\XiΞ, and where arbitrary ϑ\varthetaϑ appear (the middle line of (10)) the infimum is taken in the extended reals. Inequalities on RS\mathbb R^SRS are componentwise; contractions are with respect to the sup norm. The paper's ω\omegaω in (3b) carries the index lll, as elsewhere in the paper.

A statement that compares the fixed point only with constant reward to-go functions, or that takes w∗w^*w∗ and π∗\pi^*π∗ as hypotheses satisfying the conclusion, is not Theorem 4.1; the goal asserts existence and uniqueness of w∗w^*w∗, existence of the maximizers, and optimality against every policy and every continuous feasible ϑ\varthetaϑ.

Useful infrastructure: Neumann series for λ\lambdaλ times a row-stochastic matrix, continuity of infima over compact parameter sets, and contraction properties of min/max Bellman operators. Proofs of the milestones, and of nonvacuity of richer instances, are welcome.

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, B. Rustem, Robust Markov Decision Processes, Mathematics of Operations Research 38(1):153–183, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1120.0566 (formalized from the Optimization Online revision of February 9, 2012: https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/2610.pdf)
  • G. N. Iyengar, Robust Dynamic Programming, Mathematics of Operations Research 30(2):257–280, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1040.0129
  • A. Nilim, L. El Ghaoui, Robust Control of Markov Decision Processes with Uncertain Transition Matrices, Operations Research 53(5):780–798, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0216
  • S. Mannor, D. Simester, P. Sun, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Bias and Variance Approximation in Value Function Estimates, Management Science 53(2):308–322, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0614
  • M. L. Puterman, Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming, Wiley, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470316887
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Convex OptimizationOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization II: The Naïve Approximation Implies the Infimal Convolution Bound, Which Implies the Distributionally Robust ConstraintResearch Paper

Motivation

A constraint E[v(x,z~)]≤w\mathbb E[v(x,\tilde z)] \le wE[v(x,z~)]≤w on a decision xxx needs the distribution of the random vector z~\tilde zz~, which in practice is known only through partial information: a support, some moments, the probability mass of a few regions. Distributionally robust optimization requires the constraint for every distribution consistent with that information. Wiesemann, Kuhn and Sim (Optimization Online 3757, 2013; Oper. Res. 62(6), 2014) introduced a standardized ambiguity set built from expectation conditions and probability bounds on confidence sets. Their Theorem 1 shows that the worst-case constraint over such a set is equivalent to a finite conic system, provided the confidence sets satisfy a nesting condition: any two are strictly nested or disjoint.

Many natural ambiguity sets violate nesting, for instance two overlapping confidence ellipsoids. For these the paper (§2.2) proposes two conservative approximations, the naïve approximation and the infimal convolution bound, and Theorem 3 orders them: the naïve approximation implies the infimal convolution bound, which implies the robust constraint. Infimal convolution bounds of this type had been used in classical and distributionally robust optimization before, e.g. in Goh and Sim (2010), Theorem 4. This mission formalizes Theorem 3, the steps of its proof, and Proposition 1, which compares partitions.

Setting

The random vector is z~∈RP\tilde z \in \mathbb R^Pz~∈RP, with an auxiliary u~∈RQ\tilde u \in \mathbb R^Qu~∈RQ. A proper cone K\mathcal KK is a closed convex cone with K∩(−K)={0}\mathcal K\cap(-\mathcal K)=\{0\}K∩(−K)={0} and nonempty interior, and x≼Kyx \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K} yx≼K​y means y−x∈Ky - x\in\mathcal Ky−x∈K. For i∈I={1,…,I}i \in \mathcal I = \{1,\dots,I\}i∈I={1,…,I} the confidence sets are Ci={(z,u):Ciz+Diu≼Kici}\mathcal C_i = \{(z,u) : C_iz + D_iu \preccurlyeq_{\mathcal K_i} c_i\}Ci​={(z,u):Ci​z+Di​u≼Ki​​ci​}, and the ambiguity set is

P={P:EP[Az~+Bu~]=b,  P[(z~,u~)∈Ci]∈[p‾i,p‾i]  ∀i∈I}.\mathcal P = \Big\{\mathbb P : \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[A\tilde z + B\tilde u] = b,\ \ \mathbb P[(\tilde z,\tilde u)\in\mathcal C_i]\in[\underline p_i,\overline p_i]\ \ \forall i\in\mathcal I\Big\}.P={P:EP​[Az~+Bu~]=b,  P[(z~,u~)∈Ci​]∈[p​i​,p​i​]  ∀i∈I}.

The standing conditions are: (C1) CI\mathcal C_ICI​ is bounded with p‾I=p‾I=1\underline p_I = \overline p_I = 1p​I​=p​I​=1 (it is the support); (C2) some P∈P\mathbb P\in\mathcal PP∈P meets every non-degenerate probability bound strictly; (C3) v(x,z)=max⁡l [(Slz+sl)⊤x+tl⊤z+tl]v(x,z) = \max_{l}\,[(S_lz+s_l)^\top x + \mathbf t_l^\top z + t_l]v(x,z)=maxl​[(Sl​z+sl​)⊤x+tl⊤​z+tl​], a maximum of finitely many bi-affine pieces, so vvv is convex in xxx. The distributionally robust constraint (3) is EP[v(x,z~)]≤w\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(x,\tilde z)]\le wEP​[v(x,z~)]≤w for all P∈P\mathbb P\in\mathcal PP∈P.

Write A⋐BA \Subset BA⋐B when AAA lies in the interior of BBB. A partition {Ij}j∈J\{\mathcal I_j\}_{j\in\mathcal J}{Ij​}j∈J​ of I\mathcal II, with J=∣J∣J = |\mathcal J|J=∣J∣ blocks, satisfies the weak nesting condition (N′) if within each block any two distinct confidence sets are strictly nested or disjoint. The outer approximation Pj\mathcal P^jPj keeps the expectation condition and only the probability bounds of block jjj:

Pj={P:EP[Az~+Bu~]=b,  P[(z~,u~)∈Ci]∈[p‾i,p‾i]  ∀i∈Ij}.\mathcal P^j = \Big\{\mathbb P : \mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[A\tilde z + B\tilde u] = b,\ \ \mathbb P[(\tilde z,\tilde u)\in\mathcal C_i]\in[\underline p_i,\overline p_i]\ \ \forall i\in\mathcal I_j\Big\}.Pj={P:EP​[Az~+Bu~]=b,  P[(z~,u~)∈Ci​]∈[p​i​,p​i​]  ∀i∈Ij​}.

With Γ(x)={(y,δ):∑jyj=x, ∑jδj=1, δ>0}\Gamma(x) = \{(y,\delta) : \sum_j y_j = x,\ \sum_j\delta_j = 1,\ \delta > 0\}Γ(x)={(y,δ):∑j​yj​=x, ∑j​δj​=1, δ>0}, the naïve approximation (6) and the infimal convolution bound (7) are

min⁡j∈Jsup⁡P∈PjEP[v(x,z~)]≤w,inf⁡(y,δ)∈Γ(x)∑j∈Jδjsup⁡P∈PjEP[v(yj/δj,z~)]≤w.\min_{j\in\mathcal J}\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P^j}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(x,\tilde z)]\le w,\qquad \inf_{(y,\delta)\in\Gamma(x)}\sum_{j\in\mathcal J}\delta_j\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P^j}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(y_j/\delta_j,\tilde z)]\le w.j∈Jmin​P∈Pjsup​EP​[v(x,z~)]≤w,(y,δ)∈Γ(x)inf​j∈J∑​δj​P∈Pjsup​EP​[v(yj​/δj​,z~)]≤w.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3 (p. 13)

(6) ⟹ (7) ⟹ (3),and (3)⟹(7), (3)⟹(6)  if J=1,\text{(6)}\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{(7)}\ \Longrightarrow\ \text{(3)},\qquad\text{and (3)} \Longrightarrow \text{(7)},\ \text{(3)}\Longrightarrow\text{(6)}\ \text{ if } J = 1,(6) ⟹ (7) ⟹ (3),and (3)⟹(7), (3)⟹(6)  if J=1,

under (C1)–(C3), (N′) and one disclosed added hypothesis, the uniform first-moment bound (see Formalization scope).

Milestones (proof of Theorem 3, p. 37; Proposition 1, p. 14)

  1. P⊆Pj\mathcal P\subseteq\mathcal P^jP⊆Pj for every jjj (p. 12).
  2. The chain: for (y,δ)∈Γ(x)(y,\delta)\in\Gamma(x)(y,δ)∈Γ(x), ∑jδjsup⁡PjE[v(yj/δj,z~)]≥∑jδjsup⁡PE[v(yj/δj,z~)]≥sup⁡PE[v(x,z~)]\sum_j\delta_j\sup_{\mathcal P^j}\mathbb E[v(y_j/\delta_j,\tilde z)] \ge \sum_j\delta_j\sup_{\mathcal P}\mathbb E[v(y_j/\delta_j,\tilde z)] \ge \sup_{\mathcal P}\mathbb E[v(x,\tilde z)]∑j​δj​supPj​E[v(yj​/δj​,z~)]≥∑j​δj​supP​E[v(yj​/δj​,z~)]≥supP​E[v(x,z~)].
  3. (7) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (3).
  4. The limiting display: with δj⋆(k)=1−1/k\delta_{j^\star}(k) = 1-1/kδj⋆​(k)=1−1/k, yj⋆=xy_{j^\star} = xyj⋆​=x and δj(k)=1/(k(J−1))\delta_j(k) = 1/(k(J-1))δj​(k)=1/(k(J−1)), yj=0y_j = 0yj​=0 otherwise,
∑jδj(k)sup⁡P∈PjEP[v(yj/δj(k),z~)] →k→∞ sup⁡P∈Pj⋆EP[v(x,z~)].\sum_j\delta_j(k)\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P^j}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(y_j/\delta_j(k),\tilde z)]\ \xrightarrow[k\to\infty]{}\ \sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P^{j^\star}}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}[v(x,\tilde z)].j∑​δj​(k)P∈Pjsup​EP​[v(yj​/δj​(k),z~)] k→∞​ P∈Pj⋆sup​EP​[v(x,z~)].
  1. (6) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (7).
  2. If J=1J = 1J=1 then P=P1\mathcal P = \mathcal P^1P=P1.
  3. Proposition 1: if one partition refines another, both satisfying (N′), then (7) for the finer partition implies (7) for the coarser one.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1 of the paper needs nesting; Theorem 3 is what remains when nesting fails. It certifies that both surrogates are safe (a decision satisfying either satisfies the robust constraint) and that the infimal convolution bound is never looser than the naïve one. The paper also shows that (7), with Γ(x)\Gamma(x)Γ(x) replaced by a closed approximation, has a conic reformulation (Observation 1), while optimizing over (6) with several constraints is strongly NP-hard (Theorem 4). Proposition 1 then says coarser partitions give tighter bounds, which guides the choice of partition.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper; no machine-checked version is known. Formalizing it produces a reusable layer of extended-real worst-case expectations over sets of probability measures, with the infimal convolution and the perspective δ v(y/δ,⋅)\delta\,v(y/\delta,\cdot)δv(y/δ,⋅), and it corrects a gap in the printed proof of (6) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (7) (see below).

Difficulty

The implications (7) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (3) and Proposition 1 are short on paper; in Lean the work lies in extended-real arithmetic, where −∞+∞=−∞-\infty+\infty=-\infty−∞+∞=−∞, and in the integrability of v(x,z~)v(x,\tilde z)v(x,z~). The step (6) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (7) is the delicate one. The constraint δ>0\delta>0δ>0 forbids putting all weight on the minimizing block, so the bound is reached only in a limit, and the limit requires every block's worst-case expectation of v(0,z~)v(0,\tilde z)v(0,z~), and of δ v(x/δ,z~)\delta\,v(x/\delta,\tilde z)δv(x/δ,z~) uniformly in δ\deltaδ, to be controlled. The outer approximations drop the support condition (C1) for blocks that do not contain III, so these worst-case values can be +∞+\infty+∞, and the printed justification fails.

Formalization scope

Rn\mathbb R^nRn is Fin n → ℝ; the outcome space is (Fin nP → R)×(Fin nQ → R)(\texttt{Fin nP → ℝ})\times(\texttt{Fin nQ → ℝ})(Fin nP → R)×(Fin nQ → R) with its Borel σ-algebra. Indices are 0-based: I\mathcal II is Fin (nI + 1) (so I≥1I\ge1I≥1), CI\mathcal C_ICI​ is index Fin.last nI, and J\mathcal JJ is Fin nJ. A partition is a surjective block map blk : Fin (nI + 1) → Fin nJ, so every block is nonempty; "J=1J=1J=1" is nJ = 1. Distributions in P\mathcal PP and in every Pj\mathcal P^jPj are probability measures with a finite first moment, since a Lean integral of a non-integrable function is 000. Worst-case expectations, (6) and (7) take values in EReal, with sup⁡∅=−∞\sup\emptyset=-\inftysup∅=−∞; the minimum in (6) is a finite infimum, and yj/δjy_j/\delta_jyj​/δj​ is used only on Γ(x)\Gamma(x)Γ(x), where δ>0\delta>0δ>0. Constraint (3) is in its ∀\forall∀-form.

Added hypothesis. The goal, milestone 4 and milestone 5 assume a uniform first-moment bound: for every jjj, sup⁡P∈PjEP∥z~∥<∞\sup_{\mathbb P\in\mathcal P^j}\mathbb E_{\mathbb P}\|\tilde z\| < \inftysupP∈Pj​EP​∥z~∥<∞. Without it (6) ⇒\Rightarrow⇒ (7) is false: with P=1P=1P=1, C1=[0,12]\mathcal C_1=[0,\tfrac12]C1​=[0,21​] of probability at least 12\tfrac1221​, C2=[0,1]\mathcal C_2=[0,1]C2​=[0,1] of probability 111, the singleton partition, v(x,z)=zv(x,z)=zv(x,z)=z and w=1w=1w=1, (6) holds through P2\mathcal P^2P2, while P1\mathcal P^1P1 contains 12δ0+12δM\tfrac12\delta_0+\tfrac12\delta_M21​δ0​+21​δM​ for every MMM, so (7) fails. The bound holds whenever every block contains a bounded confidence set with p‾i=1\underline p_i=1p​i​=1. No other hypothesis is added; (N′), (C1) and the cone conditions are kept as on the page although the proofs do not use them.

The definitions rule out the trivializing formalizations: no expectation is a junk integral, empty blocks are excluded by surjectivity, the ambiguity set is nonempty under (C2), and no real-valued supremum or division by a zero weight appears. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and reusable lemmas on EReal suprema of integrals and on perspectives of piecewise-affine functions.

Selected references

  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Optimization Online preprint 3757, version of September 22, 2013. https://optimization-online.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/3757.pdf
  • W. Wiesemann, D. Kuhn, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Convex Optimization, Operations Research 62(6):1358–1376, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2014.1314
  • J. Goh, M. Sim, Distributionally Robust Optimization and Its Tractable Approximations, Operations Research 58(4):902–917, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1090.0712
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Algorithmic Game Theory·Captain: mikedeng1

Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy I: Every Coarse Correlated Equilibrium of a Smooth Game Has Expected Cost at Most the Robust Price of Anarchy Times OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

The price of anarchy (POA) of a game measures how much selfish behaviour costs: it is the ratio between the largest cost of an equilibrium and the cost of an optimal outcome, for a nonnegative objective such as the sum of the players' costs. Since Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou (1999) and Roughgarden and Tardos (2002), POA bounds have been proved for routing, scheduling, facility location, auctions and many other models, mostly for pure Nash equilibria.

Pure Nash equilibria need not exist, are hard to compute in general, and are not what players running learning algorithms converge to. A bound that holds only at pure Nash equilibria therefore says little about realized play. Roughgarden's paper (J. ACM 62(5), 2015; conference version STOC 2009) observes that most known POA proofs follow one template, the smoothness argument, and proves that any bound obtained this way extends automatically to much broader equilibrium concepts. This mission formalizes the static half of that result: the extension to coarse correlated equilibria (Theorem 3.2) and to their approximate versions (Theorem 4.1).

Timeline:

  • 1999: Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou introduce the worst-case ratio of equilibria to optimum.
  • 2005: Awerbuch–Azar–Epstein and Christodoulou–Koutsoupias prove the bound 5/2 for linear congestion games; their arguments are smoothness arguments in hindsight.
  • 2009: Roughgarden (STOC) isolates smoothness and proves the extension theorems; the journal version (2015) adds the tightness results for congestion games.
  • 2009–2015: smoothness is adapted to auctions (Syrgkanis–Tardos 2013) and to local and approximate variants.

Setting

A cost-minimization game has finitely many players iii. Player iii chooses a strategy sis_isi​ from an arbitrary set SiS_iSi​; an outcome is a vector s=(si)is = (s_i)_is=(si​)i​, and player iii pays a real cost Ci(s)C_i(s)Ci​(s). Write (si′,s−i)(s_i', s_{-i})(si′​,s−i​) for the outcome in which player iii switches to si′s_i'si′​ and the others stay put. The joint cost is C(s)=∑iCi(s)C(s) = \sum_i C_i(s)C(s)=∑i​Ci​(s), assumed nonnegative.

An outcome sss is a pure Nash equilibrium if Ci(s)≤Ci(si′,s−i)C_i(s) \le C_i(s_i', s_{-i})Ci​(s)≤Ci​(si′​,s−i​) for every iii and si′∈Sis_i' \in S_isi′​∈Si​. For ϵ≥0\epsilon \ge 0ϵ≥0 it is an ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium if Ci(s)≤(1+ϵ)Ci(si′,s−i)C_i(s) \le (1+\epsilon) C_i(s_i', s_{-i})Ci​(s)≤(1+ϵ)Ci​(si′​,s−i​).

A coarse correlated equilibrium is a probability distribution σ\sigmaσ over outcomes with

Es∼σ[Ci(s)]≤Es∼σ[Ci(si′,s−i)]for every i and si′∈Si,\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C_i(s)] \le \mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C_i(s_i', s_{-i})] \quad\text{for every } i \text{ and } s_i' \in S_i,Es∼σ​[Ci​(s)]≤Es∼σ​[Ci​(si′​,s−i​)]for every i and si′​∈Si​,

and an ϵ\epsilonϵ-coarse correlated equilibrium satisfies the same with a factor (1+ϵ)(1+\epsilon)(1+ϵ) on the right. Every pure Nash, mixed Nash and correlated equilibrium is a coarse correlated equilibrium, and coarse correlated equilibria are exactly the limits of play in which every player has vanishing external regret.

The game is (λ,μ)(\lambda,\mu)(λ,μ)-smooth if for every two outcomes s,s∗s, s^*s,s∗

∑iCi(si∗,s−i)≤λ C(s∗)+μ C(s).\sum_i C_i(s_i^*, s_{-i}) \le \lambda\, C(s^*) + \mu\, C(s).i∑​Ci​(si∗​,s−i​)≤λC(s∗)+μC(s).

The robust price of anarchy is ρ(G)=inf⁡{λ/(1−μ):μ<1, G is (λ,μ)-smooth}\rho(G) = \inf\{\lambda/(1-\mu) : \mu < 1,\ G \text{ is } (\lambda,\mu)\text{-smooth}\}ρ(G)=inf{λ/(1−μ):μ<1, G is (λ,μ)-smooth}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.2 (static extension theorem)

For every game GGG with robust POA ρ(G)\rho(G)ρ(G), every coarse correlated equilibrium σ\sigmaσ and every outcome s∗s^*s∗,

Es∼σ[C(s)]≤ρ(G)⋅C(s∗).\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C(s)] \le \rho(G)\cdot C(s^*).Es∼σ​[C(s)]≤ρ(G)⋅C(s∗).

Milestones

  1. Claim (3)–(5), p. 5: in a (λ,μ)(\lambda,\mu)(λ,μ)-smooth game with λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0, μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, every pure Nash equilibrium sss satisfies C(s)≤λ1−μC(s∗)C(s) \le \frac{\lambda}{1-\mu} C(s^*)C(s)≤1−μλ​C(s∗) for an optimal s∗s^*s∗.
  2. §4.1, p. 16: every ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibrium satisfies C(s)≤(1+ϵ)λ1−μ(1+ϵ)C(s∗)C(s) \le \frac{(1+\epsilon)\lambda}{1-\mu(1+\epsilon)} C(s^*)C(s)≤1−μ(1+ϵ)(1+ϵ)λ​C(s∗) for an optimal s∗s^*s∗.
  3. The chain (16)–(21), p. 13: for one fixed pair (λ,μ)(\lambda,\mu)(λ,μ) with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, Es∼σ[C(s)]≤λ1−μC(s∗)\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C(s)] \le \frac{\lambda}{1-\mu} C(s^*)Es∼σ​[C(s)]≤1−μλ​C(s∗) for every coarse correlated equilibrium σ\sigmaσ and every outcome s∗s^*s∗.
  4. Theorem 4.1, p. 16: for every ϵ\epsilonϵ-coarse correlated equilibrium,
Es∼σ[C(s)]≤(1+ϵ)λ1−μ(1+ϵ)⋅C(s∗).\mathbf{E}_{s\sim\sigma}[C(s)] \le \frac{(1+\epsilon)\lambda}{1-\mu(1+\epsilon)}\cdot C(s^*).Es∼σ​[C(s)]≤1−μ(1+ϵ)(1+ϵ)λ​⋅C(s∗).

Significance

Theorem 3.2 says that the robust POA of a game bounds the expected cost of every coarse correlated equilibrium, which contains every other equilibrium concept in the hierarchy. Combined with the companion result for no-regret sequences (Theorem 3.3, mission II of this series), it makes POA bounds meaningful for learning dynamics: whenever players use no-regret algorithms, their average cost is within the robust POA of optimal. For linear congestion games, which are (5/3,1/3)(5/3, 1/3)(5/3,1/3)-smooth, it yields the bound 5/25/25/2 for all coarse correlated equilibria at once. Theorem 4.1 shows that the bounds degrade gracefully when the equilibrium condition holds only approximately, which covers equilibria computed to finite accuracy.

The results are proved in the paper; their proofs are short. No machine-checked version is known to exist. The mission's value is a reusable, platform-wide definition layer for cost-minimization games, smoothness, the robust POA and the equilibrium hierarchy, on which later results can be stated: the bicriteria bounds of §4.2, the tightness theorem for congestion games (mission III), and smoothness bounds for specific models such as auctions, routing and scheduling.

Difficulty

The mathematics is linear: it uses only linearity of expectation and one rearrangement. The difficulty lies in the encoding. The robust POA is an infimum over a set that may be empty (then ρ(G)=+∞\rho(G) = +\inftyρ(G)=+∞ on the page) and need not be attained. Passing from the fixed-pair bound to the infimum uses C(s∗)≥0C(s^*) \ge 0C(s∗)≥0. Theorem 4.1's printed side condition ϵ<1/μ−1\epsilon < 1/\mu - 1ϵ<1/μ−1 is meaningless when μ=0\mu = 0μ=0 and reverses its meaning when μ<0\mu < 0μ<0. Each of these must be handled so that the formal statement is neither false nor vacuous.

Formalization scope

Players form a finite type with decidable equality, and strategy sets are arbitrary types with no finiteness assumed. Outcomes are dependent functions, and the deviation (si′,s−i)(s_i', s_{-i})(si′​,s−i​) is Function.update s i s'ᵢ. Costs are real-valued, and λ,μ\lambda, \muλ,μ are unconstrained reals except μ<1\mu < 1μ<1. Probability distributions are finitely supported weight functions that are nonnegative with total mass 111. Expectations are therefore finite sums with no integrability side conditions. This covers all finite games and all mixed and correlated equilibria of finite games, but not distributions with infinite support.

The robust POA is an extended-real (EReal) infimum over the smoothness pairs with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, so it is +∞+\infty+∞ when no such pair exists, and the goal compares the expected cost with ρ(G)⋅C(s∗)\rho(G)\cdot C(s^*)ρ(G)⋅C(s∗) in EReal. The goal carries two explicit hypotheses:

  • the joint cost is nonnegative, which is the paper's standing assumption (§1, p. 2; §2.4, p. 10);
  • some smoothness pair with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1 exists, so that ρ(G)<+∞\rho(G) < +\inftyρ(G)<+∞.

Without the second, a game with no smoothness pair and C(s∗)=0C(s^*) = 0C(s∗)=0 would be claimed to have expected cost at most 000 (EReal sets (+∞)⋅0=0(+\infty)\cdot 0 = 0(+∞)⋅0=0), which the page does not assert. A formalization in which the distribution may have total mass 000, or in which ρ(G)\rho(G)ρ(G) is an infimum over all pairs rather than over the smoothness pairs with μ<1\mu < 1μ<1, trivializes or falsifies the goal, and is ruled out by the definitions.

In Theorem 4.1 and the ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash bound:

  • "ϵ<1/μ−1\epsilon < 1/\mu - 1ϵ<1/μ−1" is encoded as μ(1+ϵ)<1\mu(1+\epsilon) < 1μ(1+ϵ)<1, which agrees with it for 0<μ<10 < \mu < 10<μ<1;
  • ϵ≥0\epsilon \ge 0ϵ≥0 is assumed, the implicit domain of an approximation parameter.

The ϵ\epsilonϵ-coarse correlated equilibrium is the extension of (15) that the paper says is "defined in the same way" as ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash equilibria (p. 15). Remark 4.4 writes out the payoff analogue.

Claim (3)–(5) and the ϵ\epsilonϵ-Nash bound keep the paper's hypotheses λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 and optimality of s∗s^*s∗, although the inequalities hold without them. Example 4.2 is not posed: its printed bound (5−5ϵ)/(2−ϵ)(5-5\epsilon)/(2-\epsilon)(5−5ϵ)/(2−ϵ) should read (5+5ϵ)/(2−ϵ)(5+5\epsilon)/(2-\epsilon)(5+5ϵ)/(2−ϵ).

Contributions welcome:

  • proofs of the four milestones and of the goal;
  • a measure-theoretic version for distributions with infinite support, with explicit integrability hypotheses;
  • reuse of the definitions in other smoothness results.

Selected references

  • T. Roughgarden, Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy, J. ACM 62(5), Article 32, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1145/2806883
  • T. Roughgarden, Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy, Proc. 41st ACM STOC, 513–522, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1145/1536414.1536485
  • E. Koutsoupias, C. Papadimitriou, Worst-Case Equilibria, Proc. STACS, LNCS 1563, 404–413, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38
  • G. Christodoulou, E. Koutsoupias, The Price of Anarchy of Finite Congestion Games, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 67–73, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060600
  • B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar, A. Epstein, The Price of Routing Unsplittable Flow, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 57–66, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060599
  • V. Syrgkanis, É. Tardos, Composable and Efficient Mechanisms, Proc. 45th ACM STOC, 211–220, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1145/2488608.2488635
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Optimization·Captain: mikedeng1

Joint Assortment Optimization and Customization under a Mixture of Multinomial Logit Models 2: Customization Raises the Optimal Expected Revenue by at Most a Factor m, and the Factor Is TightResearch Paper

Motivation

An assortment decision determines which products a seller makes available to a customer. When customers differ, the seller may first choose a limited collection of products and then decide which of those products to display to each arriving customer. This is a concrete way to represent personalized product pages or offers with a common inventory or display budget. The benefit of that second decision is not immediate from a single-customer model: personalization can remove products that dilute one type's purchases while retaining them for another type. El Housni and Topaloglu quantify this benefit for a mixture of multinomial logit choice models.

Their Theorem 3.1 compares optimal expected revenue with and without customer-type customization. It gives a universal factor depending only on the number of types and an explicit family showing that this order can occur. The result is already proved in the authors' SSRN version of December 7, 2021. This mission concerns the statements and proof in that version; the published Operations Research article appeared in 2023 and may use different numbering.

Setting

There are nnn products N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\ldots,n\}N={1,…,n} and mmm customer types M={1,…,m}M=\{1,\ldots,m\}M={1,…,m}. Product iii earns revenue ri>0r_i>0ri​>0 when purchased. Customer type jjj arrives with probability θj≥0\theta_j\ge0θj​≥0, with ∑j∈Mθj=1\sum_{j\in M}\theta_j=1∑j∈M​θj​=1. Its preference weight for product iii is vij≥0v_{ij}\ge0vij​≥0; the no-purchase alternative has weight one. An assortment S⊆NS\subseteq NS⊆N offered to type jjj yields MNL expected revenue

Rev⁡j(S)=∑i∈Srivij1+∑i∈Svij.\operatorname{Rev}_j(S)=\frac{\sum_{i\in S}r_i v_{ij}}{1+\sum_{i\in S}v_{ij}}.Revj​(S)=1+∑i∈S​vij​∑i∈S​ri​vij​​.

The seller may initially carry at most KKK products. In the customized assortment problem (CAP), it chooses SSS and, after seeing the type, offers a subset Sj⊆SS_j\subseteq SSj​⊆S. For a fixed carried set, write fj(S)=max⁡T⊆SRev⁡j(T)f_j(S)=\max_{T\subseteq S}\operatorname{Rev}_j(T)fj​(S)=maxT⊆S​Revj​(T) and fC(S)=∑j∈Cθjfj(S)f^C(S)=\sum_{j\in C}\theta_j f_j(S)fC(S)=∑j∈C​θj​fj​(S) for any collection CCC of types. Thus fM(S)f^M(S)fM(S) is the expected personalized revenue. In the mixed multinomial logit problem (MMNL), the same carried assortment SSS is offered to every type. Both models obey the same first-stage cardinality limit:

zCAP=max⁡S⊆N, ∣S∣≤KfM(S),zMMNL=max⁡S⊆N, ∣S∣≤K∑j∈MθjRev⁡j(S).z_{\rm CAP}=\max_{S\subseteq N,\ |S|\le K}f^M(S),\qquad z_{\rm MMNL}=\max_{S\subseteq N,\ |S|\le K}\sum_{j\in M}\theta_j\operatorname{Rev}_j(S).zCAP​=S⊆N, ∣S∣≤Kmax​fM(S),zMMNL​=S⊆N, ∣S∣≤Kmax​j∈M∑​θj​Revj​(S).

This formulation follows §2 and §3 of the December 2021 SSRN version, pp. 5–7. A zero preference weight is allowed: the authors' tightness instance assigns zero to products a type does not consider.

Formalization targets

Theorem 3.1: universal comparison

For every valid model and every first-stage budget KKK, the target is

zMMNL≤zCAP≤m zMMNL.z_{\rm MMNL}\le z_{\rm CAP}\le m\,z_{\rm MMNL}.zMMNL​≤zCAP​≤mzMMNL​.

The factor counts customer types, not products. The result covers K=0K=0K=0 as well: both values are zero. It does not assume the products are sorted by revenue, since the numerical indexing convention in §2 is unnecessary for this comparison and is incompatible with the paper's tightness family.

Theorem 3.1: order-tight family

The same theorem says that there are instances for which the CAP value is Ω(m)\Omega(m)Ω(m) times the MMNL value. The formal target uses the instance constructed in its proof, pp. 8–9 and records the explicit bound implied there:

zMMNL>0,zCAP≥m6 zMMNL(m≥2).z_{\rm MMNL}>0,\qquad z_{\rm CAP}\ge\frac{m}{6}\,z_{\rm MMNL}\qquad(m\ge2).zMMNL​>0,zCAP​≥6m​zMMNL​(m≥2).

In this family n=K=mn=K=mn=K=m. With α=(∑j=1ma−j)−1\alpha=(\sum_{j=1}^m a^{-j})^{-1}α=(∑j=1m​a−j)−1, the parameters are θj=α/aj\theta_j=\alpha/a^jθj​=α/aj, ri=air_i=a^iri​=ai, and vij=bm−i+1v_{ij}=b^{m-i+1}vij​=bm−i+1 when i≤ji\le ji≤j and zero otherwise. The proof chooses b=m−1b=m-1b=m−1 and a=2m(m−1)ma=2m(m-1)^ma=2m(m−1)m. The goal also asserts that this family satisfies the model assumptions. The accompanying milestones are the paper's typewise comparison, the CAP lower bound, equation (3.1), its two term bounds, and the MMNL upper bound.

Significance

The universal inequality limits the improvement that type-specific displays can offer in this model using only the number of types. The family in the second part shows that no bound independent of mmm can replace it across all valid instances. Thus the comparison locates the possible value of customization even when the seller may carry every product. It also distinguishes the effect of a shared display from the effect of the common product budget, since the example has K=nK=nK=n.

The paper already proves both claims. A complete formal development would check the exact MNL revenue formula, the two finite optimization problems, and the asymptotic example within one Lean environment. It would leave reusable definitions for personalized and common assortments under a mixture of choice models. The statements in this draft compile with proof placeholders; this mission does not claim that the theorem has a machine-checked proof yet. It welcomes proofs of the listed milestones, lemmas about finite maxima and nonnegative MNL revenue, and a proof of the combined goal.

Difficulty

For each type, personalization maximizes revenue over its own subset of SSS; MMNL must use one subset for all types. Exchanging the sum over types with a maximum over assortments would erase that distinction and is generally invalid. A simple comparison of the two optima gives the first inequality but cannot explain the precise factor mmm or why it can be approached in order. The tightness family also balances rapidly changing revenues and arrival probabilities against preference weights. Its boundary case m=2m=2m=2 has b=1b=1b=1, so a claim needing b>1b>1b>1 would miss a valid member of the family.

Formalization scope

Lean represents products by Fin n, customer types by Fin m, and assortments by Finset (Fin n). The paper's one-based product iii is Lean's index i.val + 1: aia^iai becomes a ^ (i.val + 1), and bm−i+1b^{m-i+1}bm−i+1 becomes b ^ (m - i.val). The preference function takes product first and type second, matching vijv_{ij}vij​. The common revenue calculation imports the published ChoiceCDLP.MNL.mnlObjective with no-purchase weight one.

All maxima are Finset.sup' over nonempty finite families. The feasible family contains the empty assortment for every natural-number budget; the personal subassortment family contains the empty set as well. This makes the values genuine finite maxima, including at zero budget. No real sSup fallback value is used. The standing assumptions are positive revenues, nonnegative preference weights, nonnegative arrival probabilities, and a probability sum of one. The explicit instance is restricted to m≥2m\ge2m≥2, has positive MMNL value, and satisfies each standing assumption. These conditions exclude a vacuous Ω(m)\Omega(m)Ω(m) ratio based on zero MMNL value or an instance outside the model.

The complete development needs elementary facts about finite sums, powers, ordered Finsets, finite maxima, and nonnegative rational functions. The MNL objective is already a separate published definition; the paper-specific CAP, MMNL, and instance definitions are local. The proof targets are the claims printed in the December 2021 SSRN version, with the constant 1/61/61/6 disclosed as an explicit pin from its proof.

Selected references

  • O. El Housni and H. Topaloglu, Joint Assortment Optimization and Customization under a Mixture of Multinomial Logit Models: Value of Personalized Assortments, SSRN 3830082, version of December 7, 2021, §§2–3, pp. 5–9; published in Operations Research, 2023. SSRN
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